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Come for the politics, stay for the snark.

Fundamental belief of white supremacy: white people are presumed innocent, minorities are presumed guilty.

Let’s delete this post and never speak of this again.

A fool as well as an oath-breaker.

Be a wild strawberry.

We can’t confuse what’s necessary to win elections with the policies that we want to implement when we do.

“I was told there would be no fact checking.”

Too little, too late, ftfnyt. fuck all the way off.

Accused of treason; bitches about the ratings. I am in awe.

Prediction: the gop will rethink its strategy of boycotting future committees.

Michigan is a great lesson for Dems everywhere: when you have power…use it!

Narcissists are always shocked to discover other people have agency.

So it was an October Surprise A Day, like an Advent calendar but for crime.

You passed on an opportunity to be offended? What are you even doing here?

Boeing: repeatedly making the case for high speed rail.

Those who are easily outraged are easily manipulated.

“Can i answer the question? No you can not!”

The fight for our country is always worth it. ~Kamala Harris

Dear legacy media: you are not here to influence outcomes and policies you find desirable.

Finding joy where we can, and muddling through where we can’t.

Beware of advice from anyone for whom Democrats are “they” and not “we.”

Reality always lies in wait for … Democrats.

The worst democrat is better than the best republican.

If a good thing happens for a bad reason, it’s still a good thing.

President Musk and Trump are both poorly raised, coddled 8 year old boys.

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You are here: Home / Archives for 2014

Archives for 2014

Start The Week With The Lord God Bird

by Tom Levenson|  September 8, 201410:09 am| 52 Comments

This post is in: Excellent Links

66_Ivory-billed_Woodpecker_(Duke_of_Portland_Audubon_edition)

A nice start to what might be a tolerable week* comes in the form of a message from Harvard’s rare books collection, the Houghton Library.  Its collection of 114 early J.J. Audubon drawings is now online in high resolution.  Among the treats, a depiction of two Ivory Billed Woodpeckers, the “lord god bird,” having their way with a tree.

According to the announcement, these early drawings are rare/of heightened interest because of Audubon’s practice of destroying sketches and alternate versions after selecting what he saw as the best of any subject.  The earliest images in this collection date back to when Audubon was 18, and, says Harvard, they probably survived Audubon’s rolling erasure of his tracks in the hands of one of his patrons.  In any event, the images are gorgeous, and there for the gazing.

That said, the image above is a later Audubon not from the Houghton collection, as Harvard requires permission from the curator before reusing their images. I’m asking for same; if I get it, I’ll add one from this trove.

*Hah! Who am I kidding.  There are still Republicans with actual power!

Image:  John James Audubon, Plate 66 of Birds of America, depiction of the Ivory Billed Woodpecker, 1838.

Start The Week With The Lord God BirdPost + Comments (52)

Apples and tangerines

by David Anderson|  September 8, 201410:03 am| 30 Comments

This post is in: Anderson On Health Insurance

Charles Gaba is passing along an interesting piece comparing the pricing of on and off-exchange plans. I think his analysis is significantly incomplete.

Overall the least expensive metal plans from United Healthcare, Aetna, Cigna, and Assurant were significantly more expensive than the least expensive metal plans available on state exchanges. Across the bronze, silver, and gold metal tiers, the least expensive plans offered by the four off-exchange carriers were over 40% more expensive on average than the least expensive plans on the exchanges.

There are a couple of things to remember. First, carriers that offer a plan on-Exchange have to offer the same plan off the Exchange. However, carriers that don’t offer a plan on the Exchange can offer basically whatever they want (as long as it qualifies as providing defined minimal coveragE) off Exchange. Secondly, and more importantly, the target audience of the on and off-Exchange plans are very different. I think this is the significant driver of the cost differential.

On Exchange most people make under 400% Federal Poverty Level (FPL) and are expecting subsidies. The subsidies are structured to create an incentive for very low cost Silver alternatives. On Exchange, people are looking for very low cost plans, so that means narrow networks, HMO configurations and usually carriers that are engaged in either optimistic pricing or loss-leader strategies.

Off-Exchange, especially for carriers that aren’t on the Exchange yet, the population is different. Typically, the shopper is someone who makes more than 400% FPL or at least more than the subsidy cut-off income level for their county of residence . This means they are less price sensitive as they expect to pay full price. The off Exchange plans are competing only against other off Exchange plans, so they are competing more on features than pricing. This means the default setting is probably a wider network with either a PPO or EPO configuration as the baseline default as the market for Off Exchange policies is probably too small and fragmented to make it worthwhile to build seperate policy configurations that deviate significantly from past offerings. The number of “value” shoppers off-Exchange is low for the amount of work needed to create a dirt cheap policy. If someone is off-Exchange, they have money to spend and will buy something decent. If they are cost sensitive, they can go on the Exchange and get a cheap policy without subsidy.

I would speculate that the major off-Exchange carriers in 2014 will have reasonably competitive on-Exchange pricing in 2015 because the Exchanges are big enough to make it worth their time to build brand new products from scratch to anchor near 2nd Silver pricing. But the market segments this year are very different, so it is an apples to tangerine comparisons.

Apples and tangerinesPost + Comments (30)

Open thread

by Tim F|  September 8, 201410:00 am| 65 Comments

This post is in: Open Threads

If it keeps on raining, the levee’s going to break.

Chat about whatever.

***Update***

Moved it down a spot, because obviously rock beats scissors and Mayhew beats open thread.

Open threadPost + Comments (65)

Monday Morning Open Thread: Oscar, Winner

by Anne Laurie|  September 8, 20144:38 am| 86 Comments

This post is in: Dog Blogging, Open Threads, Pet Rescue

mbaquist Oscar

I’ve been remiss about sharing, lately. Here’s commentor MBaquist:

I’m a long time lurker with occasional comments. Haven’t had a dog for almost 20 years, till my youngest wore down his father and we made a trip to the Dumb friends league.

Oscar hopped into my daughter’s lap at the Dumb friends league center, thus winning over a teen who has actively distrusted dogs all her life. She immediately took over, choosing a purple collar and leash because her dog has to be fashionable, rejecting his shelter name – Hermann – and generally running over her little brother who was the reason we were looking for a dog in the first place. Oscar was recovering from surgery on his hip – shattered when he was hit as a stray; wonder if that’s why he hadn’t been snapped up before?

He’s since won over the other dog hater in the family – MrBaquist, taken over our lives, caused us to chase him all around the neighborhood when he pulled out of his harness (that sucker is as tight as my pre-child outfits now) and has brought a glow of happiness to the youngest that previously only Lego could do. And it’s only been 3 weeks. Looking forward to many more years with the little happy monster!

PS will post another pic when MrBaquist outfits him with the metal studded collar he’s been fantasizing about for a while…

***********
Ha. Our own “otherwise perfect” Houdini-rescue will be thirteen in November, but he can still give us a run, literally, when we forget to treat him like a supermax-level flight risk. That’s why I changed his name to Zevon, after another excitable guy with no sense of proportion!

Apart from accidentally achieving peak cardiac rate via terror, what’s on the agenda for the start of another week?

Monday Morning Open Thread: Oscar, WinnerPost + Comments (86)

Open Thread–I think John is influencing me, and not in a good way.

by Soonergrunt|  September 7, 201410:53 pm| 80 Comments

This post is in: Open Threads

I don’t have anything else for you. Some ideas riffing off my earlier post and turning around, and I might come up with something in a day or so.  Or not.  It depends on my mood, frankly.

You all remember last year when I drove a deck screw through a board and into my left forearm?  Well, last Sunday, I shot a 16 gauge finishing nail into my left middle finger with my new power finishing nail gun. It embedded in the metacarpal.  Completely painless until I pulled it out with the pliers.  Then my wife, who is smarter than me, hassled me until I went to ER and got a tetanus shot, which sucked.  But hey, they gave me a lollipop, so I had that going for me, which was good!  And then on Wednesday, I got the first ever kidney stone of my life. Standing in the kitchen drinking coffee when all of a sudden, a sharp pain in my left back side.  First thing I thought was “I’m being stabbed!” and I looked over my shoulder and no one was there with a knife or a hockey mask and there was no blood on the floor.  Then I collapsed on the floor, doubled up in pain.  I figured out that it was a kidney stone by the time my wife drove me to the ER which is about 5 minutes away (which seems increasingly lucky, btw) and they gave me dilaudid in an IV, which is really good shit if you can get it, and a CAT scan, and some pills and a strainer.  It passed Thursday evening.

Anyway, here’s a nice shiny new thread for you all to enjoy.

Title fixed, you perverts.

Open Thread–I think John is influencing me, and not in a good way.Post + Comments (80)

Open Thread: Massachusetts Primary Tuesday

by Anne Laurie|  September 7, 20147:09 pm| 117 Comments

This post is in: Election 2014, Local Races 2018 and earlier, Open Threads, Daydream Believers

Pure Masshole self-indulgence, for a slow Sunday evening. I was talking about the primary with my Spousal Unit, a lefty-liberal who faithfully donates and votes and even does GOTV work sometimes, but not a political junkie. And he said, “Not that I won’t vote for her, but I’m still a little pissed at Coakley for losing to Scott Brown… ”

I’m sure he’s not the only Democratic voter with that bias, but watch the video above, and remember that Shannon O’Brien knows better than most how hard it is for a female politician to get ahead in Massachusetts. “Elizabeth Warren!,” say the spectators, but let’s be honest: Warren was an outside candidate — nothing to do with the permanent MA-Dem establishment. When she ran in 2012, she had just drawn lots of national progressive attention by being passed over for a big political job, and none of the men who were plausible Democratic Senate candidates felt like taking the risk of running against Centerfold Brown and all his out-of-state money/muscle. Warren, much as I love her and hard as I campaigned for her, was no threat to the state’s Permanent Party. If she won (as she did!), they could take the credit, and if she lost, it was no skin off Steve Grossman’s future plans. (The same is true of Governor Patrick; he ran in 2006 as an “outsider”, winning a three-way primary where his opponents bloodied each other badly, and running in the general election against a Republican woman and an unusually deep- pocketed “independent”. This is not at all a coincidence. Ours is a progressive Commonwealth, but the political machinery remains firmly in the hands of old-school urban traditionalists.)

Video by way of D.R. Tucker at the Washington Monthly, who adds:

… In order to win the general election, Coakley will have to rip the moderate mask off of Baker, who has been trying to position himself as a non-reactionary Republican in the tradition of former Massachusetts Governor William Weld. Coakley must point out that Baker clearly plans to pull a switcheroo—run as nice-guy centrist, then govern as a radical Scott Walker clone. She must mention—early and often—Baker’s controversial ties to New Jersey’s Koch-approved Governor, Chris Christie…

Hey, there are plenty of moderate Republicans out there—go to your local cemetery, and you’ll find moderate Republicans all over the place. Baker is not one of them; if he was, then why did he run for governor in 2010 as a climate-change-denying Tea Partier?

This will not be an election, but a trial, with prosecutor Coakley trying to put away an identity thief and con artist falsely representing himself as a reasonable Republican. I’m confident that she will present a compelling case, and that the Bay State’s jury will give Baker a harsh sentence.

And that, I think, is the pro-Coakley argument for progressives: Come November, it’s gonna be Charlie “smiling, centrist, independence-loving independent” Baker running on the (stealth) Repub ticket. Dr. Donald Berwick is the True Progressive’s Choice (and, I’m told, a very nice man) but that’s not going raise his primary share much above the single digits. When the low-info voters catch a mid-October thirty-second political spot, the main difference between Baker and Steve “lifer in the Dem machine” Grossman would be how Baker looks like the TV ideal of a classy upscale candidate, and Grossman… does not. Which is shallow, but that’s the waters in which we are fishing.

True, I have a sentimental attachment to the idea of bringing Massachusetts forward into feminist parity with such progressive states as Arizona. But given the race we’re running as of this point in time, I think that Martha Coakley is also the best Democratic candidate we have. By all means, vote for Berwick this Tuesday, but when your fellow primary voters once again fail you, don’t take it out on Coakley in November, okay?

Open Thread: Massachusetts Primary TuesdayPost + Comments (117)

Failing to plan is planning to fail against the Islamic State

by Soonergrunt|  September 7, 20146:05 pm| 96 Comments

This post is in: Military, Open Threads

Originally crossposted at a friend’s blog, Combat Cav Scout, who made it better with some editing.

When I was a Private in Infantry OSUT back in the dark ages of 1988, my Drill Sergeants had these pithy sayings that they would sling around, usually while smoking some troop, usually me, for some infraction or mistake. “Don’t assume, son. It makes an ass out of u and me!”  The two that really stuck with me, and have actual application in the career of the Infantryman are “Piss poor prior planning prevents proper performance,” and “Failing to plan is planning to fail!” These two maxims are pretty useful in many situations, both in and out of the service, but in the military, the mistakes of failure to plan or to plan properly before a mission are almost always a prime ingredient in mission failure, with all that entails.

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Failing to plan is planning to fail against the Islamic StatePost + Comments (96)

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