A lot of you have asked for GOTV groups to give to. Here’s one that Maze Dancer has talked a lot about, Four Directions, that is dedicated to getting Native Americans to the polls. That could be crucial in Arizona. We raised some money for them last time.
Four Directions
And here’s a Senate race I really like: the special election in Georgia. It will probably go to a run-off but maybe not: the polls are looking really good these days for Raphael Warnock. Collins and Loeffler are beatable clowns.
Raphael Warnock, Georgia Senate (special election)
raven
In for the Rev
evap
The GA special is interesting. First, I don’t see how Warnock gets above 50% on Tuesday, if I am proven wrong I’ll be dancing in the streets. The polling that I’ve seen is mostly Warnock against Loeffler and it looks like he will win in this case. But what if Collins makes the runoff? I haven’t seen any polling of Warnock against Collins.
At this point, it seems that the likeliest scenario is two runoff elections in GA in January. I haven’t seen any poll giving Ossoff or Purdue more than 50%.
marcopolo
@evap: Warnock leads in head to heads against both Rs. I would also be surprised if he outright won with over 50% but my gut tells me he’d do better against Loeffler (due the latent misogyny of a lot of R voters) than against Collins. Of course, I’d also be hoping for some bad blood from the supporters of whichever R lost on Nov 3 that would maybe keep some of them sitting at home in the runoff instead of voting.
WaterGirl
raven
@evap: Perdue Ossof is not a special election
Florida Frog
Thank for the four direction thermometer. I’m in. I donate to Rev. Warnoff weekly and am daring to hope he can get to 50% on Tuesday.
evap
@raven: I know that, but it is still a majority-win race.
Geminid
@raven: the latest AJC poll had Perdue 47%, Ossoff 46%, and Liberterian Shane Hazel at 4%. So you may be treated to two runoffs. TV and radio stations will clean up on advertising. Everyone else will just have to grin and bear it.
Geminid
@Geminid: I never gave Ossoff much of a chance. He has the thinest resume of any of the Democratic Senate challengers except maybe Gross in Alaska. And he doesn’t seem to have exceptional charisma. But political analyst Rachel Bitecofer asserts that negative polarization expressed through demographics currently is more important than candidate quality. She may be right.
There go two miscreants
In for both of them. I’ve donated to Four Directions before. I like that they are willing to leave a message when they get voicemail on my phone; most calls just hang up.
Geminid
@Geminid: that’s “negative partisanship,” not polarization. Bitecofer explains the concept well in her February 2020 New Republic article “Hate is on the Ballot.” Her longer analytical work is published by the Niskanen Center and her new website, The Cycle. She keeps up a very informative twitter feed as well.
randal m sexton
Im getting Pavlovian about hitting the actblue dontation thing when I see that now.
A good one maybe : https://www.naacpldf.org/support/ The NAACP legal defense fund.