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The republican ‘Pastor’ of the House is an odious authoritarian little creep.

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You are here: Home / Archives for 2020

Archives for 2020

Not To Promote War, But To Preserve Peace… LTC Alexander Vindman’s Next Chapter

by Adam L Silverman|  February 8, 20208:58 pm| 117 Comments

This post is in: America, Military, Open Threads, Silverman on Security

Elihu Root, the father of the US Army War College (USAWC) stated that its purpose is:

Not to promote war but to preserve peace by intelligent and adequate preparation to repel aggression

Today The Washington Post has reported that:

Both of the Vindmans were detailed to the NSC and will return to jobs in the Defense Department, with Alexander Vindman then planning to report to the Army War College in July.

A number of you asked me in comments last night what I thought was going to happen. I laid out several possibilities. One of them being that he was sent to either USAWC or one of the other Services’ senior leader colleges outside of the DC area (either Naval War College in Rhode Island or Air War College in Alabama). This would place him back in school for his O5/O6 (lieutenant colonel/colonel) level professional military education (PME), and get him out of the capitol region. LTC Vindman will be matriculating at the end of July/beginning of August into the resident class at USAWC for academic year (AY) 2021. When he graduates he will have earned both a Masters in National Security and Strategy and his Joint Professional Military Education Phase II certification. Without these he would not be eligible for an O6 (colonel) level command or equivalent assignment. He’s just at the right stage of his career, 22 years in, to be sent to one of the senior leader colleges. Given how the selection process for the Senior Leader Colleges is done, I suspect that this was also always his intended follow on assignment to serving on the National Security Staff of the National Security Council as his assignment was supposed to originally end in May of this year. While it does not always work out that way because life is not neat, the expectation is that the officers who attend the Senior Leader Colleges will serve well past their graduations retiring as full colonels or captains near or at the 30 year mandated retirement or be promoted to general officer/flag officer and serve past the 30 year mark.

Here’s what I think is likely to happen to LTC Vindman and his career based on informed speculation. He will attend USAWC as a student next academic year, graduate, and I would expect that he will be then moved onto the faculty as the Director of Eurasian Studies where he’ll oversee the Eurasian Regional Studies Elective (every student in the resident class is required to take a regional studies elective, but they get to choose which one, which is why it is called an elective even though it is mandatory – don’t ask me, I just worked there…). If this happens, then at some point he’ll be promoted to full colonel and will serve out the remainder of his career at USAWC. He and his family will have eight years of stability in a lovely small town that is close to a medium sized city (Harrisburg) and within a ninety minute to two hour drive of three large cities – Philadelphia, Baltimore, and DC – depending on traffic and whether you’re driving like you stole it. During the short summer breaks between resident class graduation and course prep for the next academic year, he, like many of the Foreign Area Officers (FAOs) assigned to the faculty will be available for temporary duty assignments in his functional speciality as a Foreign Area Officer. While the pinnacle of a career for a FAO is usually being a Defense Attache (DAT) or Senior Defense Official (SDO) at a US embassy within their region of expertise, given LTC Vindman’s prominence, I’m not sure that will be possible. I cannot imagine it would be safe to send him back to US Embassy Moscow to be the DAT, especially given how Russian intelligence and security treats US personnel assigned there. I expect that he and his family will have the stability that this type of assignment at USAWC brings: not having to relocate every two or three years, being able to keep your kids in the same schools until they graduate, and allowing one’s spouse to finally begin to put down some career roots.

Prudens Futuri

Open thread

Adam L Silverman served as the Cultural Advisor to the 48th, 49th, and 50th Commandants of the US Army War College from 1 July 2010 through 15 June 2014 as an appointed supervisory civil servant on civilian mobilization orders. In that assignment he also served as Professor of National Security & Strategy with a focus on culture for strategy and policy in the Department of National Security & Strategy, as well as the course director for the US Army War College culture and theater strategic pre-deployment certification course. He is the first and only person to be assigned to USAWC as the Cultural Advisor.

Not To Promote War, But To Preserve Peace… LTC Alexander Vindman’s Next ChapterPost + Comments (117)

Election Year Open Thread: New Hampshire’s Ceremonial Running of the Journos

by Anne Laurie|  February 8, 20206:11 pm| 110 Comments

This post is in: C.R.E.A.M., Election 2020, Open Threads, All we want is life beyond the thunderdome

One of my treasured #fitn memories is John Kasich getting fake-annoyed then real-annoyed by every single voter at one town hall being from Maryland. https://t.co/WPC4sYvFiC

— Dave Weigel (@daveweigel) February 8, 2020

New Hampshire’s biggest industry — no lie — is tourism. And one of the state’s biggest earned-media tourism advertisements is its #FITN – FIRST IN THE NATION sinecure. It’s as rigidly choreographed as a Regency country dance, with every party well-versed in the steps: The natives pretend they’re flattered by the attention, and the journalists pretend they’re not desperate to finish the charade and move on to somewhere more entertaining…

I start every voter interview by asking "are you a New Hampshire voter" and sometimes have to go through 3-4 people before I find one. https://t.co/nKz40cqx4D

— Alex Seitz-Wald (@aseitzwald) February 8, 2020

The last weekend before the New Hampshire primary: When candidates dig deep and passionately make their closing argument to rooms full of Massachusetts voters

— Benjy Sarlin (@BenjySarlin) February 8, 2020

It’s primary time. Walking a block on Elm Street in Manchester from my parked car to lunch I was stopped by two reporters who wanted to interview me as a typical voter.

— Walter Shapiro (@MrWalterShapiro) February 8, 2020

New Hampshire, a state whose motto is “Live Free Or Die,” has last call at 1 a.m.

And they call themselves libertarians.

— Kevin Robillard (@Robillard) February 8, 2020

One blessing, this year, is that at least a couple of the no-hoper candidates are expected to drop out after they fail to break single digit (as in, 1%) in Tuesday’s beauty contest. This dude, for instance…

Most of the crowd has left before Deval Patrick started speaking. He got kind of screwed after Sanders belatedly agreed to come and took his prime spot pic.twitter.com/6RWemRjgQw

— Dave Weigel (@daveweigel) February 8, 2020

show full post on front page

Election Year Open Thread: New Hampshire’s Ceremonial Running of the JournosPost + Comments (110)

Afternoon Open Thread

by John Cole|  February 8, 20202:35 pm| 136 Comments

This post is in: Open Threads

Some friends of mine have a bunch of hens who are their pets, and they love them to bits and dote on them. They are all named after NPR announcers, too. You should see their henhouse- a family of four could live in there. At any rate, they bought scarves for their hens, and the recent snow gave them an opportunity to use them. Personally, I think every hen needs a scarf now:

Afternoon Open Thread
Audie Cornish
Afternoon Open Thread 1
Cokie Roberts
Afternoon Open Thread 2
Melissa Block
Afternoon Open Thread 3
Nina Totenberg
Afternoon Open Thread 4
Yuki Noguchi

I think we can all agree that Pearl needs a scarf, right?

Afternoon Open ThreadPost + Comments (136)

I Feel Safest of All; I Can Lock All My Doors

by @heymistermix.com|  February 8, 202012:11 pm| 145 Comments

This post is in: Open Threads

I’m not a big car guy. I buy a car, I drive it into the ground, I buy another car. Lather, rinse, repeat. My current daily driver is a 2004 Honda CR-V, a car so dull it has its own ironic song and music video. It has 80K miles, and I think I drive it too much.

Right now it is snowing, and I will go out whenever I feel like it, because of AWD and Blizzak snow tires. I buy AWD cars and put snow tires on in the winter because of this:

International Scout II

A red version of this 4WD vehicle was the first car I ever drove. It was my dad’s, and it had one purpose: to get him to the hospital no matter how much snow was on the ground. A secondary purpose was having something to display his McGovern/Daschle/etc. stickers on. I don’t know if it’s possible for an American male to care less about cars than he did.

The Scout II was a handful to drive. It was overpowered (V-8), had touchy brakes, was prone to roll over, and it had a disconcerting habit of turning cookies on ice if you weren’t extremely careful. My brother and a carload of his friends found this out the hard way on an icy bridge outside of town. They were inches from death–after a 360, that Scout ended halfway up the new solid concrete guard rail on that bridge. Another few inches, and they’d have been in icy water. Nobody was injured, but the car was totaled.

After that accident, my dad did the only sensible thing – he went out and bought a new Scout II. This one was green. It was in that car that I had a near brush with death on an icy four lane road on the edge of town late one night, when I hit the brakes to slow down for a turn, and the Scout did a 360 in the middle of the road. Luckily, no cars were coming, and there was no damage except to my underwear.

When it snowed and the old man wasn’t on call, we’d take that thing out and pull people out of ditches, and just generally fuck around busting through drifts. If you haven’t driven with 4WD or AWD in the snow, or on crappy back roads, it makes what can be a white knuckle experience a lot easier and a lot of fun. We also liked to take the Scout when we had dates because it had a front bench seat. For teenagers, cars are freedom, and driving a car that gave you the freedom to go more-or-less anywhere was a feeling that I don’t think I’ll ever forget.

This whole reminiscence was triggered by an article in an overlanding mag about a company that rehabs Scouts. The Scout (and a bigger version, the Traveler Travelall) were produced by International Harvester between 1961 and 1980 (1953-1975 for the Travelall). Mechanically, they were kind of a piece of shit. The guy in the article doing the rehab basically gets rid of everything but the body, which makes sense to me, given all the work that we had to do on those cars. But that was par for the course for pretty much all domestic cars at the time. Luckily, the invisible hand of the free market has created a rising tide for all car manufacturers, and US cars don’t fall apart after a couple of years anymore.

Anyway, I thought it might be fun to reminisce about your first car. I need to go to the grocery store now, and I hope the roads haven’t been plowed.

I Feel Safest of All; I Can Lock All My DoorsPost + Comments (145)

Weekend Reading: Elizabeth Warren Is the Real Deal

by Anne Laurie|  February 8, 202011:09 am| 48 Comments

This post is in: Excellent Links, Open Threads, Show Us on the Doll Where the Invisible Hand Touched You, Warren for President 2020

There's a lot we can do to end gun violence—and I've got a plan outlining how I'll do that. But we should also ask why nothing is being done right now. If we want to end gun violence, we must root out the corruption that is holding up progress. #WarrenTownHall pic.twitter.com/vM3bM4uAGF

— Elizabeth Warren (@ewarren) February 6, 2020


This is brilliant! Don’t argue with those who insist ‘My gun is a tool, I need it’… go with the analogy “So is your car, but we’ve managed to reduce highway deaths by 80% without eliminating cars.” Of course, a good part of that improvement came from government mandates insisting on seatbelts and insurance and sobriety tests, but who’s in favor of uninsured drunks in exhaust-spewing clunkers?

THREAD: Today we're republishing almost 200 posts Elizabeth Warren wrote at TPM between 2005 and 2008. Some of these have been available online at the Wayback Machine, many – and the earliest – are back online for the first time in a decade. https://t.co/FPe2vFCqzW cc: @ewarren

— Josh Marshall (@joshtpm) February 6, 2020

and Traister's profile is brilliant (all of her election stuff is): https://t.co/gtCKR8fvWc

— Anne "I know how to please girls" Lister ? ? (@gjackstan) February 6, 2020

This was my introduction to Elizabeth Warren and a real understanding of how powerful the financial industry was in Congress that it could casually push through these wide ranging changes. Warren and her students explained the problems. Since these TPM posts I've seen https://t.co/AK7cetCH7u

— Kombiz Lavasany (@kombiz) February 6, 2020

The power of private equity to strip jobs, income, and value from working people and lift it up. I've watched it with Puerto Rico, before Hurricane Maria where she was an advocate for the Island being able to get out of debt, after the hurricane where she has a bill that protects

— Kombiz Lavasany (@kombiz) February 6, 2020

against the measure while Deval Patrick, and some other dems supported privatization. We won with 60%+ the vote with a strong multi-racial coalition against a well-funded charter industry.

The TPM posts were my initial introduction and I've learned tremendously from watching her

— Kombiz Lavasany (@kombiz) February 6, 2020

Weekend Reading: Elizabeth Warren Is the Real DealPost + Comments (48)

Debate Thoughts

by @heymistermix.com|  February 8, 20209:24 am| 100 Comments

This post is in: Open Threads

Last night’s was the first debate I watched this cycle. I really wanted to wait until the field was winnowed down to those who could actually win. Here are a few thoughts:

David Muir, who did the bulk of the questioning, was terrible and foreshadowing of the garbage Democrats are going to have to wade through this Fall. His foreign policy (i.e., for him, war) questions were especially awful. They could all be summed up as “are you wimpy Democrats going to actually give me some wars or not?” I watched the debate on ABC’s streaming service, and it was all house ads. One ad I saw multiple times was David Muir riding in a Blackhawk, David Muir putting on his bulletproof vest — basically, studly David Muir looking studly. You’d think he was a special ops soldier, instead of a guy anchoring a newscast that exists only to sell hemorrhoid cream and diabetes test strips to old people. The good news is all of the major candidates were able to turn his questions around and give answers that weren’t dodges, but didn’t buy into his villager framing.

Though she had more time at the end, the moderators called on Yang and Steyer more that Warren in the early going. She was good as always. Her passion when she looks into the camera and talks about the issues is just riveting, to me. She’s also very good on her feet and unruffled. My only critique, is mild – her answers are a little information-dense, but they got better later. I wish she would catch on.

Pete was uneven. He had some platitudinous, fluffy answers. But he also did really well on a couple, like the ones about war and his defense of Biden. I heard one answer that really concerned me – it was to Linsey Davis’ question about why South Bend had an increase in arrests of people of color under Pete’s leadership. His first answer was a dodge, but since she’s apparently a real journalist, she drilled him again. Then, he went into an explanation of how terrible some of the gang infested neighborhoods in South Bend (pop 100K, home of Notre Dame, really?) are, so as part of his law enforcement strategy, those neighborhoods were targeted for more enforcement. I heard this as: we rousted young black men and hung bullshit weed charges around their necks. I don’t think that answer is getting full coverage, but I can’t imagine he gained any votes in the black community last night, and that’s a real problem for him as a candidate.

Amy Klobuchar is a really good debater, clearly the best on the stage last night. She’s also tough, and you can tell she hates Pete. He might remind her of the young full-of-shit staffers that she’s crushed under the heel of her sensible pumps over the years, without even getting her perfect haircut mussed up. Anyway, she went at him, hard, a couple of times. Towards the end she just basically took over from Steyer, who was blowing hard on race, and gave a really touching replay of her story coming up from nothing in Minnesota. There was a lot of emotion in that response, which is a great balance to the toughness she exhibited earlier. She’s the full meal deal. I think if she were the candidate moderates coalesced around, she would be very effective.

Biden was a little word-salady, as usual, but overall he did fine. There were some flashes of Joe, the guy underneath that everyone loves. His praise of Vindman, and having the audience stand up to honor him, was a great example of what I mean. I think fighting for his political life agrees with him.

Bernie was Bernie. As he was walking on, I noticed that he was wearing the uniform of every business traveler in the 80’s – grey poly/wool blend pants, a blue sportcoat, cheap shirt and tie. He probably bought it off the rack at the JC Penney in Burlington, and before the debate I can see him telling someone “these clothes are perfectly fine, they still have a lot of life in them.” He’s such a total character, and it’s part of what makes him hard to touch. He is shouty and pointy, but I just can’t imagine Klobuchar trying the same kind of attack on him that she did with Pete. I don’t think anyone did any real damage to him, and the response to the question of whether anyone likes him brought out good responses from Biden and Amy, and were a plus for him.

I had heard that Yang has a sense of humor and is pretty good at the debates. He seemed nervous and maybe a little deflated. He had to lay off staff this week, so I think maybe this thing just got real for him. I wasn’t impressed, and I came in expecting more from him.

Steyer could have spent his money better, but rich people wasting money is apparently what our politics have come to.

I think we get lost in the weeds of the fighting between the different candidates, but to me, the unity question at the start made everyone look good, there was no nasty infighting (Klobuchar landed a couple of punches on Pete, but they were all fair game), and it didn’t spend more than a few minutes on the intricacies of health care policy. Overall, a good night for Democrats. Any of the major candidates could beat Trump.

One more thing: A couple candidates mentioned “debating Trump”. Not gonna happen, in my opinion. Trump doesn’t need debates – they’re a risk – so he just won’t do it. He has Fox and Facebook on his side, the networks will all cover his Nuremberg rallies, and his Twitter feed will drive election coverage.

Debate ThoughtsPost + Comments (100)

Saturday Morning Open Thread: SOME WEEK

by Anne Laurie|  February 8, 20206:17 am| 161 Comments

This post is in: Election 2020, Open Threads, Post-racial America, Warren for President 2020

Okay. Great week, everybody. Let’s never do it again.

— Rebecca Traister (@rtraister) February 8, 2020

Unequivocably good:

Virginia to eliminate a state holiday honoring Robert E. Lee and Stonewall Jackson. It'll make Election Day a day off instead – CNNPolitics https://t.co/Evc0QDlKXt

— Jim Acosta (@Acosta) February 7, 2020

Elsewhere…

I am at a Manchester coffee shop talking on the phone with someone about the Democratic primary in NH.

Then I look to my left. pic.twitter.com/YY6mPrVshw

— Dan Merica (@merica) February 7, 2020

Presidential material Gen X-ers with super impressive credentials, ready to take the reins and lead our country into the 21st century, who…won't be asking for your vote in New Hampshire this week.

Everything is fine. The nomination process is fine. pic.twitter.com/9YpV7dg10r

— Dean Barker (@deanbarker) February 7, 2020

Gardner had originally predicted over 500,000 https://t.co/WsUOfeN9n8

— Peter Hamby (@PeterHamby) February 7, 2020

But then again, more positive news:

UMass Lowell poll: 62% of New Hampshire Democrats would rather see a giant meteor strike the earth and extinguish all human life than see President Trump get re-elected. pic.twitter.com/YAoXyP1I1Q

— Sahil Kapur (@sahilkapur) February 7, 2020

Saturday Morning Open Thread: SOME WEEKPost + Comments (161)

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