Come for the politics, stay for the snark.

Republicans: “Abortion is murder but you can take a bus to get one.” Easy peasy.

One way or another, he’s a liar.

Speaking of republicans, is there a way for a political party to declare intellectual bankruptcy?

Tick tock motherfuckers!

If ‘weird’ was the finish line, they ran through the tape and kept running.

We can’t confuse what’s necessary to win elections with the policies that we want to implement when we do.

Republicans want to make it harder to vote and easier for them to cheat.

Jesus watching the most hateful people claiming to be his followers

It’s the corruption, stupid.

But frankly mr. cole, I’ll be happier when you get back to telling us to go fuck ourselves.

Putin must be throwing ketchup at the walls.

Petty moves from a petty man.

The Supreme Court cannot be allowed to become the ultimate, unaccountable arbiter of everything.

The arc of history bends toward the same old fuckery.

How any woman could possibly vote for this smug smarmy piece of misogynistic crap is beyond understanding.

In after Baud. Damn.

Washington Post Catch and Kill, not noticeably better than the Enquirer’s.

Since when do we limit our critiques to things we could do better ourselves?

Fight for a just cause, love your fellow man, live a good life.

Fear or fury? The choice is ours.

We are builders in a constant struggle with destroyers. keep building.

When you’re a Republican, they let you do it.

Proof that we need a blogger ethics panel.

Sadly, there is no cure for stupid.

You are here: Home / Open Threads / “Vote for Mike Lee,” says Mike Lee in shock endorsement…

“Vote for Mike Lee,” says Mike Lee in shock endorsement…

by | 115 Comments

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Utah is a deep red state, but Utahns never seemed super-enthusiastic about the tacky and degenerate orange oaf or his henchmen, including their U.S. Senator, Mike Lee, and Mike Lee seems a tad nervous:

Shame on the Salt Lake Tribune for falling for that bullshit ploy. They’ve updated the author of the piece since Soonergrunt got that screen cap: the self-fluffing is currently attributed to “Campaign for Mike Lee.”

That’s no improvement. Like Soonergrunt said, the piece is intended to bamboozle readers into thinking the Trib endorsed Lee. I thought that at first glance — and we know many don’t look past the headline.

Maybe Lee is right to be concerned. Utah Dems didn’t endorse anyone to give conservative-but-not-MAGA independent candidate Evan McMullin a shot at unseating Lee, and the race is close according to polls.

Speaking of the Polling Fairy, if you’re worried about the Times/Siena poll that shows Republicans gaining ground in the midterms, check out this post at Steve M’s No More Mr. Nice Blog. Steve wonders if the NYT is so worried about underestimating Republican support again that they’ve overcorrected the weighting.

I have no idea what’s going to happen, but close races in what history suggests should be a red wave election in places where Republicans typically dominate make me wonder if perhaps Dem enthusiasm is underrated. We’ll know in a few weeks. Meanwhile, enjoy the spectacle of Mike Lee endorsing Mike Lee.

Open thread.

Reader Interactions

115Comments

  1. 1.

    Baud

    Baud! 20XX!: Endorsed by Baud! 20XX!

    ETA: Correction: Baud! 20XX! has endorsed Joe Biden.  We apologize for the error.

  3. 3.

    Omnes Omnibus

    Bob Dole would have never let Bob Dole do that for Bob Dole.

    Also, I will reiterate that I do not think that pollsters or the MSM have adequately accounted for Dobbs in their models and narratives.

  4. 4.

    p.a.

    Open thread, so:

    I’ve been liking (in a hate-watch kind of way) The Rings of Power, and Friday’s season-ender was wonderful as Galadriel turned down Sauron/Halbrand’s offer of politico/romantic union, setting up a season 2 plotline with The Dark Lord neglecting plans of Middle Earth dominance to troll Right Stuff looking for someone to share the top floor of Barad dûr with.

  6. 6.

    Betty Cracker

    @Omnes Omnibus: I’m hanging my hopes on that reed too, and also that it’s impossible to prognosticate using traditional models in this deeply weird and anomalous political moment.

  7. 7.

    trollhattan

    “Principled conservative.” Words that go together like soil mongoose and creative lint.

  8. 8.

    Goku (aka Amerikan Baka)

    I was going to bring that NYT thing up, as I just saw that headline on the frontpage of the NYT. Apparently, according to it, Dems have seen independents and women drop. I’m a little bit skeptical, but we’ll see.

    Anywhoo, I got my 50 post cards today from my local FedEx Office store and they look awesome. I was afraid they were going to look blurry but they didn’t. I used an online website to boost the DPI to 300 from 120. They’re fairly large post cards, so I should have plenty of room to write. I’m a little stumped on what to write though, given the front of the post card does a good job talking about saving SS, democracy, codifying Roe, etc

    For you post card writers, what broad strokes could you give me?

    I figure I could go with, “This election is a very pivotal one that could determine whether this country remains a democracy and fulfills the inherent promise to Promote the Public Welfare and create a more perfect union. Together, we’ve got this.”

  10. 10.

    trollhattan

    @cain: “Please clap.”

    As though it were a hurdle to be reelected in Utah with (R) next to your name? If you have a Pepsi distributorship there you don’t even need to show up at the office. Same with being Republican.

  12. 12.

    Scout211

    Steve wonders if the NYT is so worried about underestimating Republican support again that they’ve overcorrected the weighting.

    Harry Enten’s analysis on CNN.com seemed to be more of the same overcorrection. I couldn’t even read the whole thing. Lots of concepts and statements that I would characterize as “maybe this and maybe that, but possibly this or possibly that—I’m so smart! Read MEEEEEEE!” The end.

  15. 15.

    Mousebumples

    @Goku (aka Amerikan Baka): general ideas –

    • Voting dates (eg vote early in person starting October XX for the November 8 election)
    • Voting is your super power
    • Thank you for being a voter
    • Website & #hashtag for your candidate(s)

    Not sure where you’re getting addresses from, but #PostcardsToVoters gives approved and allowed messaging. (eg need to include these statements, may include these for this campaign, and may include these more generic statements)

    Happy postcarding!

  16. 16.

    Jackie

    Mike Lee and Evan McMullin debate tonight. That might be entertaining, between Lee’s third-person self endorsement and his begging Mitt to endorse him on Tucker’s show the other night!

  18. 18.

    brendancalling

    Maybe he should change his name to Stuart Small-Lee, since clearly he’s good enough, smart enough, and doggone it people like him (according ti his mirror).

  20. 20.

    BC in Illinois

    The Hoarse Whisperer points out that the NYT poll is a nationwide poll of … 792 people.

    This is a joke. If the New York Times has integrity or shame, it would humbly apologize for the absurdity of a national poll of 792 people.

    Here is the NYT tweet.

  21. 21.

    Ocotillo

    @Omnes Omnibus:   Man I hope this is correct.  I have seen a rash of horse race stories on TV media saying Dobbs has dropped in importance to voters because, doncha know there is some inflation out there.

    Soon expecting Speaker McCarthy stories.

  22. 22.

    Betty Cracker

    @Goku (aka Amerikan Baka): & @Mousebumples: Yep, I stick with the messaging P2V provides too and keep the verbiage relatively short and sweet. I see post-carders on Twitter who get all fancy by using different color pens, drawings, etc., which is awesome, but I keep mine simple for speed, mostly. I do underline candidate names and critical dates.

  23. 23.

    TaMara

    @Betty Cracker: I seriously, and maybe naively, think that anywhere Dems are polling just under 50% they are going to win, because I think Dobbs decision, women and young people have not been factored in.

    At least that helps me sleep at night…until the actual numbers on in.

    I did NOT see KS coming, so that weighs in my hopefulness.

  24. 24.

    Dangerman

    Do GOP assholes (pardon the potential redundancy) have to go to some form of uncharm school to act like POS’s?

  26. 26.

    piratedan

    @Ocotillo: as always….. inflation is bad and if you’re explaining you’re losing….

    never any questions about…. well, what policies would you put in place to curb inflation…. (tax cuts for the rich and privatize medicare and social security)) …

    its as if the current situation manifested itself context-free… no words about a global pandemic recovery affecting everyone, no mention of climate change, no mention of when money was sent out keeping people afloat that the corresponding economic reaction was for everyone else to raise prices because there was money being spent.

    and there’s no memory of which party caused the last two economic meltdowns… and we’re seeing the price of eggs and gas being given the same consideration as the real possibility of the end of Democracy as we know it.

  27. 27.

    surfk9

    I have been canvassing for Josh Harder CA-09. Democratic men and women are fired up even here in my little purple town. I hosted canvassing at my house all weekend. Had lots of canvassers from the Bay Area and Sacramento and they were encouraged by the amount of enthusiasm that’s out there.

  30. 30.

    Betty Cracker

    Another thing I like about doing postcards to voters: it makes me feel as if I have a stake in the outcomes of more obscure races in other states, aside from my obvious preference for Dems to win across the board, everywhere. Thanks to my postcard work, I am:

    • Keenly interested in a MN House race (never even been to MN!)
    • Rooting for three OH Supreme Court candidates (never done more than drive through or change planes in OH!)
    • Pulling for specific candidates for Ag and Railroad commish in TX.

     

    Stacey Abrams, Senator Warnock and Beto O’Rourke were also featured in my mailings, but I already knew about and was pulling for them.

  31. 31.

    Patricia Kayden

    if you’re worried about the Times/Siena poll that shows Republicans gaining ground in the midterms

    Disappointing if true. I’m hoping for a Kansas surprise.

  32. 32.

    CaseyL

    @BC in Illinois: There are statistical sampling models pollsters are supposed to use that allow them to take what seems like a ludicrously small number of responses (e.g., “less than 1000”) and extrapolate them to an entire population.

    I mean, they do need to use sampling models because polling an entire state, much less country, is impossible.

    However, I don’t know what models they’re using, how those models are created, or even if pollsters are using models from 20 years ago.  (Not to mention the difficulties of polling when most people have Caller ID and don’t respond to numbers they don’t recognize.)

  34. 34.

    Calouste

    @BC in Illinois: 792 is a decent number for a poll like that (IIRC 450 is the minimum to get a 4% margin of error). Of course that means that the poll doesn’t say anything more than “it’s basically tied”.

    Would be nice if the US was like the UK, where polls are showing Labour with a 30+% lead over the shitshow formerly known as the Conservative party.

  36. 36.

    Betty Cracker

    Christ, this asshole is still at it:

    "Vote for Mike Lee," says Mike Lee in shock endorsement...

    It’s perfectly legit to worry that the war will spiral into some even more calamitous atrocity than what is already underway — JFC, I’m pretty sure most of us are concerned about that! But his persistently framing it in Putin’s terms screams bad faith. I do not trust a company controlled by that man with any national security-critical capability. Not for Ukraine, and not for the U.S. either.

  41. 41.

    MisterForkbeard

    @Betty Cracker: This is such a stupid argument. Not even counting the whole “russia invaded Crimea just 8 years ago so now they get to keep it forever”, Russia literally says all of Ukraine is a core part of Russia.

    So I guess that means we just have to shrug and give Putin what he wants? Musk is such a fucking goon.

  44. 44.

    Sloegin

    Guess the Trib isn’t worried about staying in business if they’re just giving away political advertising for free.

  45. 45.

    Ken

    @p.a.: Galadriel turned down Sauron/Halbrand’s offer of politico/romantic union

    This reminds me of one of my favorite XKCDs.

    (But as you may have noticed, everything reminds me of XKCD.)

  47. 47.

    Scout211

    People, Mike Lee was duped, I tell you. Duped!  I just read it in the Washington Examiner so it must be true!  It’s all a big mistake!  He’s not really a narcissistic asshole. Not really!

    Ha Ha Ha Ha!

    Sen. Mike Lee (R-UT) is firing back at a local Utah newspaper for publishing a piece that purportedly showed him endorsing himself for reelection — which the Republican is saying is not the case.

    In a seemingly bizarre op-ed published over the weekend by the Salt Lake Tribune, an article attributed to Lee touted the Utah Republican for his “reputation as [a] principled conservative” in his reelection bid against independent candidate Evan McMullin (I-UT). But representatives for Lee said they provided “a version of Sen. Lee’s standard bio” rather than an op-ed to be published.

  50. 50.

    TaMara

    I found this tweet thread helpful for my mental health:

  51. 51.

    Nelle

    @MisterForkbeard: In 2018, I was told that  building belonging to my great-grandfather (mill?  Factory?) Had been seized by the Russian Navy.  If true, I hope the Ukrainians blow it to pieces.

  52. 52.

    Betty Cracker

    @TaMara: That is helpful. Truth is, none of us has a damn clue what’s going to happen. All we can do is work for the best outcome. So, off to write more postcards!

  55. 55.

    dm

    @Betty Cracker: The problem with all these polls showing Republicans gaining is that if the Democrats win it will be “because the Demonrats ST0LLLL3 1T!!!111!!!!”

    (Of course, they were going to complain of that anywhere a Republican lost, anyway.)

  58. 58.

    Jackie

    I’m trying to ignore the polls until after the elections. The 2016 and 2020 polls prove the pollsters don’t know jack shit. What little I’ve heard about the NY poll suggests republicans are trying to suppress the vote by discouraging Dems from voting by skewing the results. Don’t follow the polls. JUST VOTE.

    Eta  I’m waiting for our resident Gloomy Gus Eeyore to pollute the evening threads with his “the sky is falling” oooh noes.

  60. 60.

    dm

    @Calouste: 792 is an okay number for an overall poll, but if they’re drawing conclusions about women and Latino voters, they probably have around 400 women and maybe 100 Latino voters in their pool

    ETA: oops, confused this with another poll.

  61. 61.

    Eyeroller

    About polling: there are statisticians here and I’m not a statistician, but I was a physicist and of course physicists know about everything (XKCD cartoon here: https://xkcd.com/793/).  But as I understand it, a surprisingly small number of respondents will give you an accurate result if they are 1. truly randomly selected and 2. representative.  I have read that pollsters are having an increasingly difficult time with their samples due to nobody answering their phones anymore.  Then on top of that, their goal for election polling is not just to report results, as they might for marketing or policy questions, but to predict the election, so on top of the data about responses they apply a model of who is likely to show up to vote.  Most polling misses are due to the models, not to the sample size, again as I understand it.  Plus of course there is the possibility of respondents lying to pollsters, which is particularly likely for sensitive issues like abortion.  (The Kansas initiative was polling at basically tied, and I also recall a vote in Mississippi a few years ago on “fetal personhood” which polled winning, but was utterly blown out.)

    The economic situation hasn’t really changed that much over the past month to a few weeks — we’ve had inflation for some time now.  Maybe the uptick in gas prices could drive it (thanks, Saudis) though in my area that’s been relatively modest.

  62. 62.

    Geminid

    @MisterForkbeard: Musk is tossing out a red herring. Crimea is the last part of its territory Ukraine wants to reclaim. Southern cities like Kherson, Melitipol and Mariupol are much more important. The parts of Luhansk and Donets that Russia took in 2014 are next in importance. I believe that a jackal with strong Ukraine ties has said that the Crimea is of questionable value, a kind of “white elephant” for whoever holds it. Ukraine might well agree to a ceasefire that left it in Russian hands even though it would not cede it by treaty.

    Musk is trying to divert attention from Russia’s daily attacks on Ukrainian civilians, and the mass graves of victims Russia left behind when Ukraine’s armed forces chased them from its territory.

  63. 63.

    UncleEbeneezer

    If you haven’t already, everybody should really watch this excellent segment by John Oliver on Transgender Rights. He debunks so many of the myths that Conservatives are using to dehumanize Trans People and kids. The whole thing is quite thorough and very well done.

    #TransRightsAreHumanRights
    #ProtectTransKids

  65. 65.

    SuzieC

    @Betty Cracker: Me too.  Attended my third letter writing party yesterday for Indivisible Central Ohio.  We are on track to write 10,000 letters into Marcy Kaptur’s District and OH-1 with Chabot/Landsman.  That’s not even to mention the thousands of postcards our members have written into Georgia, Florida, and for the Ohio Supreme Court.

  67. 67.

    Immanentize

    @cain: Does no one remember the 1991 democratic plebiscite regarding independence in which the country went overwhelmingly for independence from Russia? Even a majority of people in Crimea voted to be with Ukraine.

    Case closed, no? Musk’s “history” is Russian propaganda.

  68. 68.

    Enhanced Voting Techniques

    I got the impression this time around the poll weighing is pretty useless because between the SCOTUS ruling,  pandemic cause demographic changes, Trump’s treason antics and the war over there, this is an atypical election.

    My, out on a limb prediction, is the special elections show that if the GOPers is bat shit nutters the polls end up off 10 points against him. So it going to come down to how many GOP candidates are nutters in these purple districts.

  71. 71.

    Jackie

    Is WaterGirl putting up a post for tonight’s debates? I’m interested in the Lee/McMullin debate and Stacey/Kemp debate. And I think Ohio has senate debate part II?

  72. 72.

    brendancalling

    I haven’t done any letter writing, but I’ve been canvassing for Fetterman and Shapiro the past few weekends. Going out this weekend as well.

    We’re getting a steady—and cold—rain right now in Philly. Comin’ down in pails. Lightning too!

    Finally moved into my own place too. It’s been awhile.

  74. 74.

    Enhanced Voting Techniques

    @Eyeroller: Also worth noting that polling, like most attempts at predictive math, is useless in an atypical situation.

    And speaking of gas prices, the gas were I live shot down 30c a gallon in one day. Which is just as odd as when it shot up 50c a gallon earlier this month.

  76. 76.

    HinTN

    My cousin, who is a staunch Utah Republican, is loudly proclaiming his vote for the Independent and his revulsion with MAGA. That’s something.

  78. 78.

    Enhanced Voting Techniques

    @Scout211: People, Mike Lee was duped, I tell you. Duped!  I just read it in the Washington Examiner so it must be true!  It’s all a big mistake!  He’s not really a narcissistic asshole. Not really!

    Yes, well, Mike Lee went behind Mike Lee’s back and turned in that editorial endorsing Mike Lee without out Mike Lee knowing.  Mike Lee is a senator and has important matters of national interest to mind and can’t just watch Mike Lee all day for games like this!  Mike Lee is clearly the victim here.

  79. 79.

    Geminid

    Evan McMullin is close to upsetting Mike Lee because Utah Democrats endorsed him at their April state convention. This was a controversial move, and while ~780 delegates voted for it, ~590 voted against. A month later, polling by the Deseret News found that a majority of Utah Democrats approved of the endorsement, although 20% “strongly disapproved.”

    Other than the Senate race, Democrats are fielding a full slate of candidates in Utah this year. Their tactical alliance with McMullin may even net them some votes in other races, but that is just speculation.

  80. 80.

    HinTN

    @Goku (aka Amerikan Baka): I have written the following 75 times with another 25 to go.

    I am writing to you from Tennessee because I believe that this election is critical to  saving our democracy.  Democrats need (insert name here) to represent your district to hold the House. [When there’s a Senate race I add] They also need (Insert name here) in the Senate. Please vote for Democrats up and down the ballot.

    Then I sign my name (first only).

    YMMV

  84. 84.

    Betty Cracker

    @HinTN: Ha! Well, I am a locally famous copywriter. I bet in meat space, most of y’all have read something I wrote without knowing it was written by a familiar foul-mouthed, swamp-dwelling harpy!

  85. 85.

    Princess

    I am a pessimist and I’m always, always wrong when I predict politics but: my gut is that the polls are right and Dems are going to fall short in many races. Not by a mile but by enough.

    Go ahead and do the volunteer work and canvassing to prove me wrong.

    Trusting Dobbs will outweigh inflation required me to trust white women (well, 50% of them) waaaay more than I do. And I am one. I think at the end of the day they’ll cross their fingers, hope for the best for themselves, and vote with money and their husbands like they always do.

  86. 86.

    UncleEbeneezer

    @CarolPW: Agreed.  I love how he easily debunked EVERY major claim these assholes make about Transgender Rights:

    • Trans kids/people are NOT dominating sports

    • Trans kids DON’T have access to surgeries

    • Trans kids are NOT getting hormones and puberty blockers without parental and medical expert’s input

    • There is no widespread movement of regretful, Detransitioning people.  It’s only 2% and half of those only Detransition because our society doesn’t support them enough!!

    • Puberty blocking isn’t irreversible, PUBERTY IS!!

    • There has never been any wave of attacks or threats from Trans people at Cisgender people in shared bathrooms

    • Every major medical, psychological organization supports the value of Gender Affirming Care

    • The other side’s “experts” are all Xtian Fundamentalists who openly hate LGBTQ people

    Etc.

    And I love how he emphasizes the sheer joy/relief that Trans kids feel when allowed to transition.  It makes them happier and does no harm to the rest of us, and that really is all that should matter.

    PS- I haven’t watched it yet, but apparently Jon Stewart’s AppleTV special on the same topic, is really superb, as well.

  87. 87.

    C Stars

    @UncleEbeneezer: I’m so happy to see people with some visibility speaking out against all the hate and lies. It was starting to feel like trans kids were going to get rolled over by the hate machine with no pushback from popular media. I hope to see more of this.

  90. 90.

    Dan B

    @UncleEbeneezer: Great summary!  Well have to watch it on the big screen soon.  I had the good fortune to spend time with a number of trans leaders and influencers decades ago, and for several decades.  One was my Democratic party supervisor.  She was a character and fun to spend time with.  She’d been head of the very large oenological society and had wine tastings at her apartment.

  91. 91.

    CarolPW

    @UncleEbeneezer: All of those kids and parents were hugely relatable. And how could anyone deny that adorable blond girl appropriate bathroom access? Like choosing Rosa Parks for the bus, trans advocates are putting their most non-threatening foot forward to make their points.

  92. 92.

    MomSense

    I’m making volunteer calls for poll watchers/voter protection.  I thought they would have me doing persuasion calls but apparently the big concern is making sure same day registration and voter challenges are covered.

  97. 97.

    Two rabbits

    Any free polling sites I can look at that have state legislature races?
    I am particularly interested in Michigan state senate and state house.

    I think Cook Political report has them, but must pay.

    crunched thru 2 pages of search results without success

    thanks

  99. 99.

    J R in WV

    And that Russian Navy base in Crimea — it can’t reach any ocean outside the Black Sea, a tiny lake of an ocean, without the complete cooperation of the Turks, who control the very narrow straits between the Black Sea and the Med. So not really as important as Pearl in Hawaii.

    Also, RU took control of Crimea in 2014, not forever ago at all. After giving it to Ukraine in return for Ukraine giving Russia back the nuclear weapons that were Ukranian after the USSR broke apart some decades ago. Along with a promise of eternal friendship and peace, which was obviously not worth the paper that agreement was written on. Putin is less honorable than a crooked body-shop manager!

  100. 100.

    Kristine

    @Mousebumples:

    Not sure where you’re getting addresses from, but #PostcardsToVoters gives approved and allowed messaging. (eg need to include these statements, may include these for this campaign, and may include these more generic statements)

    That’s why I will be signing up with them–it’s my first time writing cards and I need guidance. I ordered postcards from their Etsy store yesterday and received notice that they shipped today. I could have them as early as Wednesday. Ordered the stamps online from USPS–those could take a couple of days as well.

  102. 102.

    Betty Cracker

    @UncleEbeneezer: Saw a clip from Stewart’s show on Twitter. He was interviewing a simpering wingnut pol whose name/state I’ve forgotten, but he ably dismantled her bullshit. Stewart is a mixed bag in my book, but when he gets his teeth into a righteous cause, he’s the best kind of ally.

  103. 103.

    Elizabelle

    @HinTN:   Thank you!  I like your language for postcards.

    @Princess:   I hope you turn out to be wrong again.  Didn’t happen in Kansas.

    I agree with Omnes (as usual); I don’t think the polls are adequately assessing Dobbs.  And the insurrection/fragility of democracy.

    That FTF NY Times headline took the wind out of my sails, for a while this morning, although I don’t trust them much, either.

  107. 107.

    kalakal

    @Dorothy A. Winsor: The dumb thing was he didn’t need to do any of it. He had a very prestigous academic post, was highly respected, had sold well in the past and had gotten good reviews. He was a complete idiot as well as a complete arsehole

  108. 108.

    Another Scott

    @Calouste: Small numbers can work, if you know the magic to do to make the sample representative.

    A poll in Kansas of 1557 voters less than 2 weeks before the primary day said Yes 47, No 43 with 10% undecided.

    The actual results, less than 2 weeks later, were Yes 40.84%, No 59.16%.

    Pollsters have a hard job, especially during pandemics and their aftermath, especially post-Dobbs. I’m not convinced that most of them know how to adjust their samples to be representative now.

    We’ll see!

    Forward!!

    Cheers,
    Scott.

  109. 109.

    Cmorenc

    @Calouste: That’s why detailed crosstabs indicating the actual composition, location, etc of the sample is.  A 4% statistical margin of error in a sample of 792 assumes a random, unbiased sample, but that assumption dissolved if you have to add secret sauce to correct assumed skewing of the actual sample undertepresenting some components and overrepresenting others.  Or in statistics-speak, the 4% represents standard deviation of the sample from an accurate one, but again that’s only valid if the sample is accurately representative eg of folks refusing to answer pollster survey calls

  110. 110.

    Mousebumples

    @Kristine: sounds great! I’d start the sign up process if you haven’t already. They have you do a sample postcard with their messaging before they share any address details so they don’t have people not following directions who are contacting the target voters. Their etsy postcards are amazing, but any old postcards (or upcycled cardstock) works too!

    Happy postcarding!

  111. 111.

    StringOnAStick

    @Mousebumples: I got my Etsy vote postcards yesterday and wrote another 40 today; it’s almost like conjuring the desired outcome by writing their scripts over and over.  I like the heavier cardstock better than pre-stamped USPS blank postcards, plus these have nice colourful “vote” graphics.  I’ll get another set of addresses tomorrow.  It feels like actually doing something positive instead of wanting to curl up in the fetal position.  I live in a 100% vote by mail state, so poll watching isn’t a thing here.

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