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You are here: Home / Archives for Foreign Affairs / Saudi Arabia

Saudi Arabia

War for Ukraine Day 1,478: Are the Best Drones In the World In the Room with Us Now?

by Adam L Silverman|  March 13, 20269:14 pm| 14 Comments

This post is in: Foreign Affairs, Foreign Policy, Iran, Military, Open Threads, Russia, Saudi Arabia, Silverman on Security, War, War in Ukraine

First dose of antibiotics is in, I slept most of the afternoon, so we’re making limited progress.

Before we get going, Carlo emailed and asked about the announcement that Trump and Team Clown Shoes are going to deploy the 31st Marine Expeditionary Unit (MEU) from its home port in Japan to the CENTCOM area of responsibility (AOR). I’ve seen several overlapping reports, but this is clear as mud right now. That said, what appears to be happening is that they’re sending the float aboard The Tripoli. Whether it’s the entire MEU, which would be between 2,500 and 5,000 Marines depending on their current force strength, or a smaller detachment, such as their rapid response battalion, or something in between is not know. It appears that they don’t have any long range fires or modern air defense capabilities within the MEU. I expect they’re being sent to their slaughter.

On a related note, I’ve yet to see anything from a legitimate source concerning The Abraham Lincoln. Until I do, there’s nothing worthwhile to say.

❤️‍🩹🇺🇦 Ukraine returns seven more children from temporarily occupied territories

They all experienced pressure, humiliation and attempts to impose someone else’s identity on them. Today, these children and adolescents are finally safe.

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— MAKS 25 👀🇺🇦 (@maks23.bsky.social) March 13, 2026 at 5:10 PM

Among those rescued is 6-year-old Nika, who was forced to march under the supervision of armed guards in kindergarten.

Also, 18-year-old (now) Dmytro, whom the Russian authorities tried to draft into the ranks of the Russian Armed Forces, despite serious health problems.

— MAKS 25 👀🇺🇦 (@maks23.bsky.social) March 13, 2026 at 5:10 PM

Trump had some thoughts today about drones:

TRUMP: Ukraine has to pay for everything, and they pay through NATO.

KILMEADE: Are they helping us with drone defense?

TRUMP: No, we don’t need the help in drone defense. We know more about drones than anybody. We have the best drones in the world, actually.

🤷‍♀️

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— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) March 13, 2026 at 1:15 PM

They’re not good thoughts. They’re not accurate thoughts. But they’re thoughts.

A meme of COL Hogan, COL Klink, and Sergeant Schultz from Hogan's Heroes triple face palming in Klink's office. The caption says" Triple facepalm: For when a double facepalm is just not enough to describe the epic fail..."

President Zelenskyy went to France today and met with President Macron.

Aww, look at these two sharing an umbrella!
France has another ‘umbrella’ it could share, though… 🇫🇷😏

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— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) March 13, 2026 at 11:48 AM

The former did not do a daily address, but he did make a prepared statement at the beginning of their joint press conference. Video below, English transcript after the jump.

show full post on front page

Statement by the President of Ukraine During a Joint Press Conference with the President of France

13 March 2026 – 16:28

Thank you very much personally, Emmanuel. Thank you for everything.

Dear Mr. President,

Distinguished journalists!

I am grateful for this visit, for all of France’s support for Ukraine and for Ukrainians, and for your personal support, Emmanuel. We in Ukraine know all this and value it greatly. We also value the fact that we can always coordinate with France and stand together on many issues – that is so important, especially during wartime. Today, Emmanuel, his team, and I – we are also grateful to our colleagues – focused primarily on security. Our security – that of Ukraine, of Europe, and global security, particularly in light of developments in the Middle East and the Gulf region.

Yesterday in Iraq, a French serviceman was killed in an Iranian strike – please accept my personal condolences, my deepest sympathies, and those of all Ukrainians, to his family and loved ones. Soldiers were also injured, and we hope for their speedy recovery. And it is extremely important for everyone around the world that, through joint efforts, we succeed in stabilizing the situation and prevent this war from spreading further as well. Everyone sees the loss of life, everyone sees the destruction, and the threats to different countries in the region; everyone sees the destabilization of global markets due to the effective halt of traffic through the Strait of Hormuz. Opinions may vary regarding this U.S. campaign against the Iranian regime, but it is hard for anyone to argue with the fact that the regime in Iran is terrorist in nature, and the entire region – and Iran itself – certainly needs far greater respect for life and stronger protection of life, first and foremost from this regime in Iran.

Ukraine can contribute to stabilization. More than ten countries have already approached us for support in defending against “shaheds” – Iranian attack drones. These are essentially the same attack drones that the Iranian regime supplied to Russia and taught the Russians to use them against the civilian population of Ukraine. Today, we in Ukraine have the greatest expertise in the world in countering “shaheds” – because of this war, and certainly because of all these massive attacks: this includes the development of interceptors, our new expertise, and a systemic defense against drones, primarily Iranian ones. It is not enough simply to obtain interceptors somewhere – there must also be experience in using them. Our warriors have such experience. There must also be proper systemic work with radars and with the entire air defense system.

Ukraine is ready to share this experience for the security of those partners who are helping us. Naturally, we went over this with Emmanuel, and naturally, we will coordinate all our efforts. Of course, we believe that Europe must also put such defenses in place. Russia’s war against Ukraine and Iran’s strikes against countries in the region demonstrate what modern warfare looks like, what the threats are, and how partners must cooperate to ensure protection. The President of France and I have also discussed this in detail, and we are ready to work together with France. It is important that France takes a leading role in these joint defense projects for Europe.

Of course, today and always, Emmanuel and I maintain substantive coordination on issues related to our protection in Ukraine and our defense. Emmanuel is clearly informed about all aspects of the situation on the frontline, and I am grateful to you for your support and grateful for your advice.

And today we are devoting significant attention – just now, in an expanded format with our teams, and in the one-on-one conversation that will take place a little later, after the press conference – to joint defense production. We discussed both bilateral projects and the SAFE instrument. All of this represents significant potential that can strengthen both our states and all of Europe. Ukraine is grateful for France’s defense support throughout all these years, and today we identified steps and specific decisions that can deliver strong results. This concerns both air defense and combat aviation.

We discussed our cooperation with France at the European Union level and within the Coalition of the Willing. We remember how effective the leadership of France and Emmanuel personally was in enabling Ukraine to obtain candidate status for accession to the European Union. It was a historic step, a historic event. I am very grateful to you, Emmanuel. Now, France’s leadership can also be decisive in many respects for Ukraine’s future accession to the European Union. We are discussing possible formats; there must be a clear date for such accession – at least we strongly want this – so that Russia has absolutely no opportunity to block Ukraine through Russian accomplices somewhere here in Europe.

It is important to continue putting pressure on Russia over this war in order to achieve genuine security and a lasting peace. We must overcome the blocking of the European Union’s 20th sanctions package against Russia. Emmanuel has already spoken about this. This is all the more important in light of the U.S. decisions to partially ease sanctions on Russian oil currently on tankers at sea. This easing alone on the part of the United States could provide Russia with around ten billion dollars for the war. This certainly does not help peace. And that is why the European Union’s resolve, and that of other partners around the world, must remain firm – it must work in a way that leaves Russia with no illusions. Russia must end this war. And I am grateful to everyone who is helping us in this effort.

One more point. For us, support for the €90 billion package for Ukraine over the next two years is crucial – it is our financial security guarantee. And now, ahead of the European leaders’ meeting in Brussels next week, we are coordinating our positions to secure the unblocking of these funds. At a time when Russia is effectively gaining additional resources due to yet another wave of destabilization, Ukraine must receive what Europe has already decided on. It is important that Europe’s decisions work. France supports us in this.

Thank you for this, Emmanuel! Thank you!

Glory to Ukraine!

Georgia:

Protest nights on Rustaveli Avenue are often musical.

Day 471 of daily, uninterrupted, nationwide protests in Georgia.

🎶 Bella Ciao

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— Rusudan Djakeli (@rusudandjakeli.bsky.social) March 13, 2026 at 1:44 PM

Day 471 of #GeorgiaProtests

1. Further isolation of the regime, a Russian proxy and sanctions evasion enabler, pro-Iran, pro-CCP;
2. Further targeted sanctions;
3. Aid to CSOs and independent media;
4. International investigation into chemicals use against protesters;

📷 MOSE

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— Marika Mikiashvili 🇬🇪🇺🇦🇪🇺 (@marikamikiashvili.bsky.social) March 13, 2026 at 2:59 PM

GD police in Tbilisi are searching the bags of protest participants before allowing them to enter the area in front of Parliament on Rustaveli Avenue.

#GeorgiaProtests Day 471
#TerrorinGeorgia

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— Publika.ge (@publikage.bsky.social) March 13, 2026 at 1:13 PM

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— Marika Mikiashvili 🇬🇪🇺🇦🇪🇺 (@marikamikiashvili.bsky.social) March 13, 2026 at 3:22 PM

This is how the Georgian Dream’s Russian propaganda works.

24 @OSCE member states expressed support for the @osce_odihr Moscow Mechanism report on Georgia.

32 others simply did not comment.

Imedi TV card👇🏻, implying the majority of OSCE states condemn the report.

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— Marika Mikiashvili 🇬🇪🇺🇦🇪🇺 (@marikamikiashvili.bsky.social) March 13, 2026 at 10:25 AM

Hungary:

“You pesky Ukrainians, how dare you get invaded and disrupt my cheap Russian oil supply, which I sell to my people at a markup and pocket the difference.” – Peter translated.

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— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) March 13, 2026 at 10:14 AM

The EU:

🇪🇺❗️🇺🇸 EU foreign policy chief Kaja Kallas accused the U.S. of trying to weaken the EU, saying Washington “wants to divide Europe” and “doesn’t like the European Union.” – FT

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— The Ukrainian Review (@theukrainianreview.bsky.social) March 13, 2026 at 5:31 PM

Kallas is, unfortunately, correct in her assessment.

Canada:

Carney: “Canada’s position is to maintain sanctions on Russia, including on the shadow fleet which is moving it’s oil.

There has been very tight cooperation between Russia and Iran at great cost to the people of Ukraine and a great threat to peace and security in Europe.

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— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) March 13, 2026 at 5:59 PM

The coalition of the willing has stood up to that — in providing the framework for security guarantees, in providing support and training and materiel to Ukraine, and in terms of sanctions which we stand by and will continue to do so.”

— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) March 13, 2026 at 5:59 PM

Germany:

Germany continues taking concrete steps to build its defence against the Russian threat to Europe:

🔹Rheinmetall will increase production from 70k to 1.5m artillery shells per year by 2030
🔹Ukrainian instructors will use their experience fighting Russia to train German soldiers

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— Maria Drutska (@mariadrutska.bsky.social) March 13, 2026 at 4:26 AM

Merz: We discussed Russian oil and gas deliveries with the US President in the G7 this week. Six members clearly said this sends the wrong signal.

This morning we learned the US government apparently decided otherwise.

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— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) March 13, 2026 at 9:59 AM

We think this is wrong — there’s a price issue, not a supply shortage. I’d like to know what other motives are behind this temporary decision.

— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) March 13, 2026 at 9:59 AM

France:

Macron: In no case should an increase in the price of oil lead us to change our position with regard to Russia. That is the position of the G7 and, of course, that of France and Europe.

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— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) March 13, 2026 at 9:34 AM

The US:

Cause:

BESSENT: The Russian barrels are on the water, and it is a quick source for the Indian refineries. The other way to think about it is, those barrels are going to end up in China anyway.

​HOST: But is it a shame that Russia benefits?

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— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) March 13, 2026 at 3:57 PM

​BESSENT: Again, it is unfortunate, and we hope that it will be in a micro-period that they will benefit.

THAT OIL WOULD HAVE BEEN SOLD MUCH CHEAPER, FFS. BY MAKING IT LEGAL, YOU ARE REMOVING DISCOUNTS!

— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) March 13, 2026 at 3:57 PM

Effect:

The war in the Middle East is bringing Russia up to $150 million per day in additional oil revenue, – FT.

Rising oil prices after the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz boosted demand for Russian crude from India and China.

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— Maria Drutska (@mariadrutska.bsky.social) March 13, 2026 at 9:23 AM

Extra tax revenues have already reached $1.3-1.9 billion and could grow to $3.3-4.9 billion by the end of March.

— Maria Drutska (@mariadrutska.bsky.social) March 13, 2026 at 9:23 AM

Back to Ukraine.

Exilenova+ ran the numbers for early March. Russia launches about 124 drones a day at Ukraine, Ukraine sends about 202 back. Most are cheap decoys to probe air defenses, but the scale is massive both ways, they note.

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— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) March 13, 2026 at 7:18 AM

Ukrainian robot aircraft manufacturer Wild Hornets denied reports that Saudi energy giant Aramco is in direct talks to buy tens of thousands of Ukrainian interceptor drones, calling claims of a deal “inaccurate.”

www.kyivpost.com/post/71885

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— Kyiv Post (@kyivpost.com) March 13, 2026 at 10:21 AM

From The Kyiv Post:

Recent reports that the Saudi energy giant Aramco is in direct talks with a major Ukrainian drone manufacturer to sell tens of thousands of interceptor drones are not true, a Friday statement from the major Ukrainian robot aircraft manufacturer Wild Hornets said.

The Ukrainian company is not negotiating the export of its interceptor drones with any country or company from the Persian Gulf, and a recent Wall Street Journal article reporting that a deal like that had been agreed to with Aramco is inaccurate, the statement said.

The Wall Street Journal, on March 12, reported that the world’s largest oil company, Saudi Aramco, is in talks with at least two Ukrainian companies – SkyFall and Wild Hornets – to purchase interceptor drones.

Wild Hornets is in contact “daily by many representatives from the Middle East and European Union countries regarding the possible export of STING drones. However, our efforts are currently focused on cooperation with the Armed Forces of Ukraine, the National Guard, the Security Service of Ukraine, and the Main Intelligence Directorate,” the company statement said in part.

SkyFall had not responded to a Kyiv Post request for comment by the time this article was published.A fast-flying, $2,000 aircraft about the size of a coffee machine, the Wild Hornets-manufactured STING drone, in the past six months, has become a critical component of Ukraine’s multi-layered national air defense system, which defends Ukrainian airspace against an average 100-200 Russian drones every night, and up to 800 aircraft during the heaviest strikes.

Skyfall’s recently developed P1-SUN interceptor drone is advertised to be even cheaper, at $1,000 an aircraft. SkyFall’s premier products are a first-person view (FPV) drone called Shrike and a bomber drone called Vampire, which is widely used across Ukraine’s armed forces.

Company representatives are currently participating in Ukraine government-led talks with other countries on training operators and supplying drones, and Wild Hornets is “ready to join such assistance within the framework of diplomatic initiatives,” the statement says.

If and when a deal is reached to deliver Wild Hornets drones to a foreign purchaser, deliveries would take place without compromising aircraft deliveries to Armed Forces of Ukraine (AFU) users, the statement said.

More at the link.

Ukrainian intercept team on combat duty, ready to take down Russian Shaheds with Sting drones.

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— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) March 13, 2026 at 1:54 PM

Ukrainian SBS operators bagged four rare Merlin aircraft, a Buk-M1 and a Nebo radar on Friday the 13th. From March 1-13, SBS birds have downed 21 Russian air defense elements. Army-level Merlin-VR recon planes were also taken out near Hulyaipole.

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— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) March 13, 2026 at 12:56 PM

Ukrainian SBS drones hit a Buk-M1 (possibly a mockup) near Kurakhove and a Nebo-55Zh6 radar in occupied Crimea, Magyar reports. These strikes are coming so often it’s almost routine.

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— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) March 13, 2026 at 12:01 PM

Ukraine’s SBU thwarted a Russian attempt to assassinate the commander of Ukraine’s 3rd Army Corps, Andriy Biletsky. A Ukrainian serviceman recruited by Russian intelligence was detained for trying to gather information to guide a missile-bomb strike on the general’s location.

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— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) March 13, 2026 at 5:32 AM

The man planned to leak the locations of his brigade’s headquarters and training centre. He was reportedly recruited through his ex-wife in Russian-occupied Zaporizhzhia and now faces life imprisonment for treason.

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— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) March 13, 2026 at 5:32 AM

🇺🇦 The story of the rescue of two wounded infantrymen of the 63rd brigade with the help of ground drone.

The operators of the battalion of unmanned systems were forced to work without navigation, in terrible weather, with a huge risk of being hit by drones.

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— MAKS 25 👀🇺🇦 (@maks23.bsky.social) March 13, 2026 at 12:55 PM

🇺🇦🤖 The rescue of ground drone is also a special operation.

The 25th Airborne Unmanned Systems Battalion showed how they rescue ground troops injured on the battlefield.

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— MAKS 25 👀🇺🇦 (@maks23.bsky.social) March 13, 2026 at 6:35 AM

🔥 A heavy bomber of the Armed Forces of Ukraine covered the Russian Armed Forces’ ammunition warehouse.

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— MAKS 25 👀🇺🇦 (@maks23.bsky.social) March 13, 2026 at 12:30 PM

❗️❗️❗️

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— MAKS 25 👀🇺🇦 (@maks23.bsky.social) March 13, 2026 at 12:30 PM

Kostiantynivka, Donetsk Oblast:

Pani Natalia, 70 evacuated her husband in a wheelchair from the killzone.

They walked 13km (!) until they got to the Ukrainian defenders on the outskirts of Kostiantynivka.

“We’ve been together for 51yrs. I will never leave him”.

Impossible to watch this w/o tears.

Video by Vadym Heiko.

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— Olena Halushka (@halushka.bsky.social) March 13, 2026 at 11:25 AM

That is one bad ass 70 year old!

🛡️Border guards of the Phoenix unit thwarted an attempt by the occupiers to launch a massive assault in the direction of Kostyantynivka: enemy infantry, vehicles, armored vehicles, and tanks went on the attack, but were left to burn out in the fields of Donetsk region.

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— MAKS 25 👀🇺🇦 (@maks23.bsky.social) March 13, 2026 at 1:47 PM

Bohuslavka, Kharkiv Oblast:

Four Ukrainian paratroopers from the 77th Brigade’s 2nd Air Assault Battalion raided an enemy position near Bohuslavka, Kharkiv. Four occupiers surrendered. A fifth resisted and was eliminated.

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— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) March 13, 2026 at 11:43 AM

Kremenchuk, Poltava Oblast:

Russia has struck the Kremenchuk oil refinery with over 60 missiles and 260 drones during the war, Ukraine’s Energy Minister says. The total number of targets launched was much higher, he added.

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— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) March 13, 2026 at 5:24 AM

Russian occupied Crimea:

💥 Krymskyi Veter reports that UAV struck radar positions in the village of Uyutnoye near Yevpatoriya.

❗️Two powerful explosions in Simferopol

❗️Powerful explosions near Kerch

— MAKS 25 👀🇺🇦 (@maks23.bsky.social) March 13, 2026 at 6:12 PM

💥💥💥 There have already been at least eight explosions in Simferopol, Crimea!

— MAKS 25 👀🇺🇦 (@maks23.bsky.social) March 13, 2026 at 6:44 PM

🔥 There were two powerful explosions near Tavriya Thermal Power Plant near Simferopol (Crimea)

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— MAKS 25 👀🇺🇦 (@maks23.bsky.social) March 13, 2026 at 6:53 AM

Russian occupied Zaporizhzhia Oblast:

😍🔥 Yesterday in the occupied part of the Zaporizhzhia region, the forces of the 422nd separate regiment stopped the plunder of Ukrainian land by destroying moving railway transport in the amount of 2 locomotives.

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— MAKS 25 👀🇺🇦 (@maks23.bsky.social) March 13, 2026 at 3:31 PM

Krasnodar Krai, Russia:

Ukrainian drones hit a military airfield in Maykop, Krasnodar region, overnight. Locals report over ten explosions at the Khanskaya base as air defenses fired for over an hour. Sites in Nevinnomyssk and Kirovo-Chepetsk were also struck.

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— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) March 13, 2026 at 5:48 AM

🔥 Confirmation of strike on AT-22/4 unit at the Afipsky refinery, – CyberBoroshno

One of the columns of the unit is burning, as well as a gas leak from the accompanying overpass.

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— MAKS 25 👀🇺🇦 (@maks23.bsky.social) March 13, 2026 at 7:01 PM

🔥🤩 Footage of burning Afipsky refinery filmed dozens of kilometers away!

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— MAKS 25 👀🇺🇦 (@maks23.bsky.social) March 13, 2026 at 7:11 PM

Yesterday’s drone strike on the Tikhoretskaya oil terminal in Krasnodar region burned out two storage tanks, Dnipro Osint reports.

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— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) March 13, 2026 at 7:21 AM

Another satellite shot of Tikhoretsk, apparently while it was still burning.

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— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) March 13, 2026 at 8:20 AM

The Republic of Bashkortostan, Russia:

An oil well in Kendektamak, Bashkortostan, Russia, suddenly caught fire for “unknown reasons.”

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— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) March 13, 2026 at 6:42 AM

Belgorod Oblast, Russia:

🔥😎 Footage from the Belgorod region, where a safari is going on against enemy Pantsirs with strike drones.

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— MAKS 25 👀🇺🇦 (@maks23.bsky.social) March 13, 2026 at 3:37 PM

That’s enough for tonight.

Your daily Patron!

There are no new Patron skeets or videos today.

Here is some adjacent material.

💙😻 His face is turned up to the sun with such bliss, as if he has just heard that today there will be light and water at the same time all day long.
I wish I could live as happily as this cat! 😃

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— Vitalis Viva (@vitalisviva.bsky.social) March 13, 2026 at 9:59 AM

Open thread!

War for Ukraine Day 1,478: Are the Best Drones In the World In the Room with Us Now?Post + Comments (14)

War for Ukraine Day 1,477: If You Smell What the Rock Is Cooking

by Adam L Silverman|  March 12, 202611:18 pm| 16 Comments

This post is in: Foreign Affairs, Foreign Policy, Iran, Military, Open Threads, Russia, Saudi Arabia, Silverman on Security, War, War in Ukraine

A modified panel from the Tin Tin comics. Tin Tin is on the left. He is looking at the Captain who is sitting at the bar. There is a drink at the Captain's right elbow and Tin Tin's dog is sniffing it. The Captain's word bubble says "What a year, huh?" Tin Tin replies: "Captain, it's only the 3rd of January."

(Current status, though it is now 17 March)

I’m trying to fight off what I think is likely the beginning of the start of pollen season annual sinus infection. I feel like something the cat dragged in, got a good look at in the light, then dragged right back out. And I don’t even have a cat! Anyhow, I’m going to just work through the basics so I can go back to bed.

The cost:

This is 15-year-old Mariia Nalyvaiko, she was killed today by russians as a result of a Shahed drone strike on private homes in the village of Syniavka, Chernihiv region 💔

The tragedy was reported by Syniavka Secondary School:

“Mariia was cheerful, sincere, bright, and very active.

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— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) March 12, 2026 at 8:07 AM

She took part in Olympiads, competitions, and the school Euroclub, and proudly represented the school in vocal performances. Mariia was always open to people, never refused to help, and genuinely tried to support others.

Eternal and blessed memory to Mariia.”🕯️

— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) March 12, 2026 at 8:07 AM

Dwayne “The Rock” Johnson recored a special message for a Ukrainian Soldier whose call sign is Rock:

Dwayne ‘The Rock’ Johnson recorded a greeting for a Ukrainian commander with the call sign Скеля – Rock, who leads the 425th Assault Regiment (also nicknamed ‘Rock’)

❤️‍🩹

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— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) March 12, 2026 at 2:53 PM

President Zelenskyy sat for an interview with Politico yesterday.

ZELENSKYY: If our soldiers voluntarily withdraw from Donbas, they’ll lose friends, homes, relatives, and memories there. The morale of the entire army and nation would collapse instantly.

POLITICO: Even if you get peace in return?

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— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) March 12, 2026 at 5:48 PM

ZELENSKYY: Yes. Because “peace” is just words from Putin. Who can trust him?

— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) March 12, 2026 at 5:48 PM

Here’s the full video:

He traveled to Romania today. He met with Romanian President Nicosur Dan and they held a joint press conference. Video below, English transcript of President Zelenskyy’s statement at the start of the press conference after the jump.

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Statement by the President of Ukraine During the Joint Press Conference with the President of Romania

12 March 2026 – 17:27

Mr. President, Nicușor,

Our dear teams, distinguished guests, members of the press!

First of all, I want to thank all of Romania, and you personally, Mr. President, for your very principled position throughout all these years of Russia’s full-scale war against Ukraine, our people, and all of our Europe. Russia certainly does not want peace in Europe, and this aggressor invests heavily in destabilizing countries and destroying the normal foundations of life. The worst form of Russian policy today is directed against Ukraine – on our land, in our skies: Russian missiles, Russian assaults. We wish no one else to face this, and we are grateful for your support in defending our independence and protecting our people. Today, our meeting and talks focused primarily on how we can ensure greater cooperation and strengthen the energy and economic capacities of both our nations, so that together we can do more for the national security of our states. Now, especially following the outbreak of the new war in the Middle East, it is entirely clear that real protection for any nation comes specifically through joint action. The United States of America, along with more than 10 countries in Europe and the Middle East, has already reached out to Ukraine, requesting our support for their defensive capabilities. Our teams are working together, including already in countries in the Middle East, and Ukraine believes that our region, all of Europe, and other European countries also need more cooperation and wider application of the experience we have gained in protecting our lives and defending Ukraine. Romania, together with other European countries and the United States, has helped us protect our skies – we are grateful for that, and this is particularly related to the component of defense against missiles. We value Romania’s readiness to continue cooperation, and we are proposing to expand collaboration between our countries to defend against all the threats that Russia may unleash – all the threats that arise every day. And that threat is not only directed at Ukraine. In particular, we can see a significant drone threat. Today, we have a joint statement on the development of these very defense capabilities. There is a document on defense cooperation, and this is the right step toward strengthening our states. It is important that Romania is ready to cooperate with Ukraine within the framework of the pan-European SAFE instrument. I am grateful for the support of our European integration – thank you, Nicușor – and for the joint work at the EU level. Our states truly deserve a meaningful strategic partnership, and today we have formally affirmed this. And I congratulate our nations on this fact.

Second. Ukraine and Romania have very significant potential for economic and infrastructure cooperation. This is something that can substantially strengthen our national economies and drive economic growth. We are working these weeks to expand cross-border energy cooperation, and it is important that we are building two new power lines with Romania. Work has begun, and this is something that will support our regions, particularly the Chernivtsi region, and will also enable Romania to become stronger in terms of ensuring energy security in our part of Europe. This is clearly mutually beneficial for both our countries. The relevant document on the construction of interconnectors was also signed today. Equally important is our ability to pursue projects together in resource extraction on the Black Sea shelf. Romania is really already doing substantial work in this area, and there are opportunities to expand it – our team has the relevant proposals. Today, we also discussed fully practical projects in the oil and gas sector that can support us now, including in light of the challenges related to the Middle East. While situational, we also have significant potential for strategic cooperation in the oil and gas sector, and we are working toward that. The President rightly said that we must implement energy projects as quickly as possible. This is very important for us, and I am confident, for Romania and for all of Europe. We also reviewed opportunities for transporting American LNG to Ukraine via Romania.

I am also grateful for Romania’s assistance with the transit of essential supplies into and out of Ukraine – this logistical help greatly supports us during the war and generates extra economic opportunities for Ukraine, Romania, and Moldova. We are also working to open new border crossing points – and this will be achieved already this summer. We have established a special framework for our cooperation with each other and with Moldova – the Odesa Triangle – and we expect to continue working within this format. We also discussed the Bucharest Nine format for May, and the President has invited Ukraine to participate. I am very grateful for this.

And, of course, Ukraine greatly values the attention and respect Romania shows in supporting our people – particularly our citizens here, in Romania. We discussed this with the President, and one of such decisions aimed at strengthening our humanitarian and cultural cooperation and in fostering mutual respect between our peoples was my signing of a decree establishing Romanian Language Day in Ukraine, to be observed annually on August 31. In Romania, the Ukrainian Language Day is already observed on November 9. We also discussed, both at the team level and today directly with the President, educational issues – for the Romanian community in Ukraine and for our Ukrainian community in Romania – and we are ready to continue working fairly on all these matters. Ukraine and Romania are natural strategic partners. The geography of our region, the security challenges we face, and the economic needs of our peoples all point to one conclusion: cooperation between us must only grow stronger. I thank you once again! Thank you, Nicușor!

Glory to Ukraine!

Georgia:

Day 470 of daily, uninterrupted, nationwide protests in Georgia. 🇬🇪

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— Rusudan Djakeli (@rusudandjakeli.bsky.social) March 12, 2026 at 1:30 PM

Day 470 of daily #GeorgiaProtests

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— Marika Mikiashvili 🇬🇪🇺🇦🇪🇺 (@marikamikiashvili.bsky.social) March 12, 2026 at 7:54 PM

One recommendation in the OSCE Moscow Mechanism report published today states that the States Parties to the Rome Statute may consider referring the situation in Georgia to the ICC, given the growing number of cases of political persecution, torture, and other inhumane acts.

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— Publika.ge (@publikage.bsky.social) March 12, 2026 at 12:04 PM

The OSCE’s Moscow Mechanism has issued a damning report on Georgia, activated by 23 countries. The report documents democratic backsliding, repression of protesters and media, political prisoners, torture allegations, and election irregularities. 1/n

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— Rusudan Djakeli (@rusudandjakeli.bsky.social) March 12, 2026 at 11:05 AM

It calls on the Georgian authorities to release political prisoners, investigate torture, stop arbitrary arrests, repeal repressive laws (foreign agents/FARA/grants laws, anti-protest restrictions, etc.), and ensure fair elections and judicial independence. 2/n

— Rusudan Djakeli (@rusudandjakeli.bsky.social) March 12, 2026 at 11:05 AM

The report urges the international community to use accountability mechanisms, including targeted sanctions, the OPCW, the International Court of Justice (ICJ), and even the International Criminal Court (ICC).

Georgian Dream has dismissed the report as “politically motivated.” 3/n

— Rusudan Djakeli (@rusudandjakeli.bsky.social) March 12, 2026 at 11:06 AM

JUST IN: the OSCE fact-finding mission (Moscow Mechanism) report on Georgia is to be published today.

A brief summary according to Giorgi Burjanadze, one of the most reputable people to interpret the document:

📷 Giorgi Burjanadze

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— Marika Mikiashvili 🇬🇪🇺🇦🇪🇺 (@marikamikiashvili.bsky.social) March 12, 2026 at 11:22 AM

According to the OSCE report, the situation in Georgia is so grave that all possible international mechanisms concerned with human rights should be activated.

This includes:

1. Referring to the International Criminal Court (ICC) in the Hague to initiate an investigation;

2/3

— Marika Mikiashvili 🇬🇪🇺🇦🇪🇺 (@marikamikiashvili.bsky.social) March 12, 2026 at 11:22 AM

2. Interstate application by states to the ECHR;

3. Interstate dispute proceedings in the UN Torture Tribunal or the UN Court of Justice;

4. Universal jurisdiction over individual violators;

5. Targeted sanctions to hold individuals accountable.

And other mechanisms!

3/3.

— Marika Mikiashvili 🇬🇪🇺🇦🇪🇺 (@marikamikiashvili.bsky.social) March 12, 2026 at 11:22 AM

👇🏻 Joint statement by the UK and 23 other states on the OSCE Moscow Mechanism findings in Georgia. The statement implies readiness to consider recommended measures, which even includes referral to the International Criminal Court,

1/

www.gov.uk/government/s…

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— Marika Mikiashvili 🇬🇪🇺🇦🇪🇺 (@marikamikiashvili.bsky.social) March 12, 2026 at 6:52 PM

in case Georgian authorities fail to address key recommendations — essentially reversing the democratic backsliding.

2/

— Marika Mikiashvili 🇬🇪🇺🇦🇪🇺 (@marikamikiashvili.bsky.social) March 12, 2026 at 6:52 PM

“The Moscow Mechanism exists to support participating States in upholding their shared commitments in the human dimension. We, as invoking States, stand ready to support meaningful follow‑up, including through continued discussion in the Permanent Council

3/

— Marika Mikiashvili 🇬🇪🇺🇦🇪🇺 (@marikamikiashvili.bsky.social) March 12, 2026 at 6:52 PM

and engagement with Georgian authorities and civil society as well as by seriously considering the Report’s recommendations to the OSCE Participating States and to the International Community.”

4/4.

— Marika Mikiashvili 🇬🇪🇺🇦🇪🇺 (@marikamikiashvili.bsky.social) March 12, 2026 at 6:52 PM

Sweden:

Sweden has detained another tanker from Russia’s “shadow fleet,” the Sea Owl 1 — Swedish Minister for Civil Defence Carl-Oskar Bohlin.

The vessel is under sanctions, suspected of having no registered flag state and of carrying oil.

Bravo, Sweden! Keep it up.

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— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) March 12, 2026 at 6:48 PM

Hungary:

Russian fingerprints are all over Orban’s attempts to provoke Ukraine before April’s vote:

🔹Illegally seizing $80m in Ukrainian bank assets
🔹Sending a team to “inspect” Druzhba without permission
🔹Social media videos claiming Ukraine is threatening Orban’s family

1 month to vote day, expect more.

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— Maria Drutska (@mariadrutska.bsky.social) March 12, 2026 at 4:23 AM

Viktor Orbán has been Hungary’s PM since May 2010. Now, the only thing he is able to offer Hungarians is the explicit all-out demonization of Ukraine and the EU.

russia is trying to save one of its favorite EU assets using usual hatred tactics.

Photos: Marijn Markus.

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— Olena Halushka (@halushka.bsky.social) March 12, 2026 at 6:30 AM

Péter Szijjártó accused Ukraine of attacking the infrastructure of “TurkStream” in Russia.

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— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) March 12, 2026 at 6:25 AM

Saudi Arabia:

The world’s largest oil company, Saudi Aramco, is considering purchasing Ukrainian drone interceptors to protect its oil fields from attacks, – WSJ.

Talks involve Ukrainian developers SkyFall and Wild Hornets. Saudi officials also contacted Phantom Defense, which produces anti-drone EW systems.

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— 🦋Special Kherson Cat🐈🇺🇦 (@specialkhersoncat.bsky.social) March 12, 2026 at 1:42 PM

The company is discussing cooperation with Ukrainian manufacturers SkyFall and Wild Hornets. Saudi officials have also been in contact with Phantom Defense, which produces electronic warfare systems designed to suppress drones.

— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) March 12, 2026 at 1:45 PM

The Ukrainians needs to get everything they can financially out of this deal.

The US:

U.S. Permanent Representative to NATO Matthew Whitaker said there is no public evidence of Russia participating in the ongoing conflict alongside Iran.

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— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) March 12, 2026 at 2:02 PM

Ambassador Toilet has thoughts. They’re not good thoughts, but they’re thoughts. Why does he have these thoughts?

Russian envoy Dmitriev met Witkoff in Florida to discuss easing US sanctions on Russia.

Meanwhile, Russia is giving Iran advice on how to better target US forces in the Mideast with drones.

Can someone please explain to me how this is America First? I must be missing something.

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— Maria Drutska (@mariadrutska.bsky.social) March 12, 2026 at 3:07 AM

That’s why.

Again, if you look around the table and can’t tell who the mark is, you’re the mark.

Back to Ukraine.

Today we have footage of the aftermath of FP-2 strike drones destroying two Russian air defense systems: S-300V launcher and a Tor.

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— 🦋Special Kherson Cat🐈🇺🇦 (@specialkhersoncat.bsky.social) March 12, 2026 at 6:15 AM

Kharkiv:

In Kharkiv region during efforts to eliminate the consequences of a Russian attack, rescuers came under repeated strikes twice.

Overnight, russian drones attacked several settlements in the Kharkiv region. Strikes were recorded in the Zolochiv, Malynivka, and Velykyi Burluk communities,

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— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) March 12, 2026 at 8:57 AM

as well as in Kharkiv itself. Several fires broke out. A 39-year-old woman was injured, and infrastructure facilities along with private homes were damaged.

❗ While extinguishing the fires, russian forces carried out two double tap strikes. A fire truck was damaged, but rescuers were not injured

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— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) March 12, 2026 at 8:57 AM

Successfully intercepted. Explosion was in the sky. Thank you air defense!

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— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) March 12, 2026 at 11:52 AM

Bakhmut:

This was Bakhmut, once a nice, cozy town until russia “liberated” it from life itself.
Wherever russia goes, it brings only death and destruction.

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— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) March 12, 2026 at 9:27 AM

Mykolaiv:

In Mykolaiv, a Shahed drone with a warhead of about 100 kilograms pierced the roof and floors of a residential building but, by sheer miracle, did not detonate.

This our daily life in Ukraine because our neighbors are genocidal war criminals.

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— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) March 12, 2026 at 2:53 PM

A Russian drone with a 100 kg warhead pierced through the roof and ceiling of a house in Mykolaiv, yet miraculously, it did not explode.

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— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) March 12, 2026 at 5:36 PM

Kyiv:

Air alert over much of Ukraine – threat of ballistic missile launches from Bryansk Oblast in fascist Russia. This is actually the first air alert in Kyiv since March 9, though the east and south of Ukraine has been under daily attack pretty much as usual.

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— Euan MacDonald (@euanmacdonald.bsky.social) March 12, 2026 at 7:44 AM

Russian occupied Crimea:

During February 2026, operators from the “Prymary” unit struck multiple Russian targets in Crimea:

48Ya6-K1 Podlyot, Sopka-2, P-18 Terek, a Shahed/Geran UAV ground relay, a RSP-6M2, an electronic jamming station, and the 39N6 Kasta-2E2.

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— 🦋Special Kherson Cat🐈🇺🇦 (@specialkhersoncat.bsky.social) March 12, 2026 at 6:48 AM

Kostiantynivka, Donetsk Oblast:

Ukrainians carried out a unique operation near Kostiantynivka. A robot was returning to base after successfully delivering ammunition, food, and medical supplies to soldiers of the 100th SMB. On the way back, it encountered troops from another brigade who were trying to evacuate a wounded soldier.

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— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) March 12, 2026 at 2:09 PM

Through the built-in speakers, the operator of the Sirko ground robotic system addressed them: “Glory to Ukraine, warriors! Do you need help?”

The robot took the wounded soldier on board. Over the next 20 minutes, Sirko raced at full speed, evading Russian drones.

— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) March 12, 2026 at 2:09 PM

Kherson:

Russians continue hunting civilians and civilian vehicles in Kherson and the surrounding region, acting with impunity while hiding behind the total disregard of this genocide happening live.

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— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) March 12, 2026 at 1:48 PM

Moscow, Russia:

Recently, due to constant threats of drone strikes, communications have begun to be jammed in Moscow. Because of this, problems have already arisen for taxis, courier services, and stores, and Russians have started buying pagers.

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— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) March 12, 2026 at 11:04 AM

According to the Russian marketplace Wildberries, from March 6 to 10, pager purchases increased by 73% compared to the same period in February. Demand for two-way radios (+27%) and landline phones (+25%) has also increased.

— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) March 12, 2026 at 11:04 AM

In the State Duma, it was stated that Telegram will not work in Russia, even with a VPN.

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— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) March 12, 2026 at 9:56 AM

Kaliningrad, Russia:

In Kaliningrad, an air raid alert has begun.

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— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) March 12, 2026 at 1:08 PM

Krasnodar Krai, Russia:

As morning dawns, multiple fires caused by drone sanctions can be seen in this video from the Tikhoretsk-Nafta oil transshipment terminal in Krasnodar Krai.

This major oil hub was a critical piece of Russia’s export infrastructure.

Can’t sell the oil if it can’t be exported.😎

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— Maria Drutska (@mariadrutska.bsky.social) March 12, 2026 at 1:39 AM

In Tikhoretsk, Krasnodar Krai of russia the local oil and gas company is getting cooked 🔥

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— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) March 11, 2026 at 11:13 PM

Good morning 😉👌
🔥 Ukrainian air sanctions have been successfully implemented. Fires are raging at three locations of a strategic Russian oil depot in the Krasnodar region.

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— Vitalis Viva (@vitalisviva.bsky.social) March 12, 2026 at 7:54 AM

💥 The key oil hub of southern Russia, Tikhoretsk, has been hit by SBU drones!
The Tikhoretsk oil hub is one of the largest oil transshipment points in southern Russia, supplying raw materials to Russian ports on the Black Sea.

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— Vitalis Viva (@vitalisviva.bsky.social) March 12, 2026 at 7:54 AM

Who wants S’mores?

That’s enough for tonight.

Your daily Patron!

There are no new Patron skeets or videos today.

Here is some adjacent material.

The Ukrainian military helped us deliver to frontline towns in Kharkiv region too dangerous for the Hachiko team to visit. This woman sent us a video—the cats didn’t wait to eat, but look at how patient the dogs are! 🐕🇺🇦

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— Nate Mook (@natemook.bsky.social) March 1, 2026 at 10:36 AM

Open thread!

War for Ukraine Day 1,477: If You Smell What the Rock Is CookingPost + Comments (16)

War for Ukraine Day 1,395: Putin Chose Witkoff

by Adam L Silverman|  December 20, 20259:33 pm| 17 Comments

This post is in: Foreign Affairs, Foreign Policy, Military, Open Threads, Russia, Saudi Arabia, Silverman on Security, War, War in Ukraine

A black and white cartoon with Popeye the Sailor Man facing forward and to the left. His word bubble says "I Yam Disgustipated"

Kremlin envoy Kirill Dmitriev arrived at a Miami golf club for another round of golf club diplomacy with Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner.

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— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) December 20, 2025 at 1:49 PM

Putin calling all the shots. Witkoff either doesn’t understand Putin’s goals or doesn’t want to and doesn’t care. Ukraine deserves better. And so do we. www.wsj.com/world/putin-…

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— Jim Goldgeier (@jimgoldgeier.bsky.social) December 20, 2025 at 3:09 PM

The Wall Street Journal has reported that Putin manipulated Trump into picking Witkoff to negotiate Putin’s preferred end to Russia’s genocidal re-invasion of Ukraine. (emphasis mine)

Steve Witkoff, a billionaire real-estate developer and longtime golfing partner of Donald Trump, was just days into his job as the new president’s special envoy to the Middle East when he received a tantalizing message from the crown prince of Saudi Arabia.

Vladimir Putin was interested in meeting Witkoff—so interested that he might consider releasing an American prisoner to him. The invitation came from a Kremlin moneyman named Kirill Dmitriev, using the de facto Saudi ruler, Mohammed bin Salman, as an intermediary.

There was just one thing: Witkoff would be expected to come alone, without any CIA handlers, diplomats or even an interpreter, a person familiar with the outreach said. 

The Russian president had been studying psychological profiles of the officials around Trump, including Keith Kellogg, the retired three-star general Trump had named as America’s envoy to Russia and Ukraine. Putin’s intelligence-agency reports stressed that Kellogg’s daughter ran a charity in Ukraine—a red flag signaling he might be hostile to Russian demands during coming peace talks, people familiar with the documents said. Kellogg had also shrugged off an appeal from television personality Tucker Carlson, who told him before Inauguration Day that Moscow was ready to start talking.

Perhaps there was someone else in Trump’s inner circle who might make a better fit?

Ten months later, Kellogg is out and Witkoff and Dmitriev, two businessmen with strong personal connections to their respective presidents, are sketching a new economic and security order for Europe. Jared Kushner, Trump’s son-in-law, has pitched in to help negotiate where Russia’s borders will end, the shape of Ukraine’s army and how quickly Trump could tear down the new Iron Curtain of sanctions blockading Russia’s troubled economy. 

This month, Witkoff concluded his sixth trip to Russia, talking with Putin for five hours through midnight. Not since the U.S. allied with Joseph Stalin during the Lend Lease Act has a White House official enjoyed such frequent, personal access to a Russian or Soviet leader. Witkoff has yet to visit Ukraine. Its leaders—and European capitals—complain he is urging them to give Russia territory in return for a peace deal they aren’t sure will hold. This weekend, Dmitriev is scheduled to visit Witkoff in Miami, for another round of talks.

The emergence of Witkoff as envoy to the Kremlin is partly a story of Putin maneuvering to nudge aside America’s diplomats and clasp hands with its billionaires. It wasn’t a hard sell. Trump has made no secret of his skepticism about traditional institutions and alliances, valuing personal loyalty from a decadeslong friend like Witkoff.

As Kellogg sees it, Russia worked behind the scenes to replace him—but it was Trump who made the call to narrow his portfolio to Ukraine. He and Witkoff get along well, he said in an interview. “I know the Ukrainians. He knows the Russians,” he said. “Nobody’s got their nose out of joint.”

Speaking on Tuesday, Trump said that Witkoff “knew nothing” about Russia as he started the job, but was proving successful because “people love Steve.” 

To The Wall Street Journal, Witkoff, 68, calls himself a dealmaker. “It means putting yourself in the other party’s shoes and figuring out how to help him get political space to do this deal,” he said. Yes, he lacks foreign policy experience, but nearly four years into a war that has cost more than a million casualties, he argues, it is time to try something new.

He is aware of the criticism that he is bumbling his way through diplomacy of the highest stakes, but a White House official stresses that he travels with diplomatic security and takes briefings before trips by the National Security Council, Office of the Director of National Intelligence, or Secretary of State Marco Rubio. After meeting Putin, he typically dials the president, vice president and Rubio over a secure U.S. Embassy line.

“Perhaps in prior administrations you’d have a massively bureaucratic bloated process to get anything done,” said White House spokeswoman Anna Kelly. “The president personally directs people he trusts, like Secretary Rubio, Special Envoy Witkoff and others, to implement his foreign policy goals.”

A White House official said that the decision to appoint Witkoff was Trump’s decision alone. “Suggesting that foreign countries had any input on this is absurd,” the official said.

Trump’s official Russia envoy, Kellogg, held back. In the weeks before the inauguration, Carlson encouraged him to speak with the Russians, but Kellogg—who had served as national security adviser to Vice President Mike Pence and later as a Fox News contributor—was still putting together his plan for addressing the conflict. Carlson was put off: “He was totally committed to war with Russia,” he said in a text message to the Journal.

Kellogg told the Journal that was “bullshit.” From the moment Trump appointed him, he said, “I began working aggressively to achieve his goal of ending the death and destruction.”

As it turned out, an official from the Kremlin, known as “Putin’s money man,” was already talking to the crown prince of Saudi Arabia about another envoy from the Trump administration: Steve Witkoff.

More at the link.

Putin’s money man is Dmitriev. Jared is in it, of course, for the money he can make off of Ukrainian blood. Trump is just an ignoramus.

Kremlin envoy Kirill Dmitriev hinted at Arctic cooperation with the US after arriving in Miami to meet Witkoff and Kushner. HUR Chief Kyrylo Budanov said earlier that Washington and Moscow are discussing joint Arctic shelf development.

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— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) December 20, 2025 at 10:09 AM

The Kyiv Independent was all over this back in November, which I covered in a nightly update at the time, including that Witkoff has control over a member of the White House spokesperson’s office. (emphasis mine)

U.S. Special Envoy Steve Witkoff is running a shadow operation inside the White House in an effort to sideline pro-Ukraine officials, the Kyiv Independent has learned.

Witkoff — a real estate mogul with no diplomatic background before his appointment — has emerged as one of the central architects of a new Washington peace proposal that Ukrainian officials say revives the Kremlin’s most sweeping demands.

A source in Ukraine’s President’s Office earlier said that Witkoff is shaping the plan in direct coordination with Kirill Dmitriev, Russia’s top economic negotiator and an operator in Moscow’s efforts to influence Washington.

“He has been doing it for months,” the source said, mentioning Witkoff’s 28-point plan that has been seen in Kyiv as a de facto capitulation to Russia.

For Ukraine, the envoy has become a deeply concerning figure.

Witkoff has emerged as Trump’s de facto personal envoy to Russian President Vladimir Putin, participating in solo meetings with foreign leaders while bypassing diplomatic protocol.

The envoy has met Putin at least five times, spending three to four hours with him during each session on Feb. 11, March 13, April 11 and 25, and again in August.

After nearly every meeting, the U.S. president declared that “great progress was made,” while Witkoff later echoed Kremlin talking points in his conversations with U.S. media.

The envoy also reportedly used Kremlin translators during these talks.

This kind of approach has alarmed U.S. officials, who said that Witkoff appears overly aligned with Moscow and lacks a clear understanding of Ukraine’s position. In July, he also urged Trump to lift U.S. energy sanctions on Russia and pushed a territorial swap that Ukrainian officials consider unworkable and a dangerous concession.

Witkoff’s other track has been his talks with Dmitriev, who heads Russia’s Direct Investment Fund and has long served as one of Putin’s key emissaries to the West.

Each time Witkoff traveled to Russia, Dmitriev was waiting — the two held quiet, informal meetings away from official channels.

Shortly after, the new U.S. peace proposal emerged — one that looks remarkably like Moscow’s demands.

Witkoff has spent the past month quietly shaping the framework, working directly with Dmitriev, a source familiar with the matter said.

One of the people responsible for communications for the White House is seen as “one of Witkoff’s people,” feeding media talking points favorable to Witkoff and his Russia-friendly approach, a source familiar with the matter said.

According to a high-ranking U.S. official who spoke on conditions of anonymity, the current plan is supported by U.S. Vice President JD Vance, while other top U.S. officials were cut out of the negotiations process.

More at the link.

To just quickly remind everyone, Witkoff has made a lot of money doing business with Russian oligarchs and senior organized crime figures, which I’ve also noted in previous updates.

Ine Iversen, an independent reporter covering Ukraine, posted a thread on X that claimed Witkoff “has spent three decades swimming in russian money, russian mob circles, and russian real-estate pipeline.” Others have cited American journalist Craig Unger, who wrote on Substack recently about what he described as Witkoff’s ties to the “Russian Mafia.”

Iversen and Unger pointed to how real estate magazine The Real Dealreported in 2013 that Witkoff submitted a recommendation for indicted Russian mobster Anatoly Golubchik when he applied to live in a condominium building in New York.

On X, some users have also tied Witkoff to Len Blavatnik, a Ukraine-born businessman who partnered with Russian billionaire Viktor Vekselberg. Vekselberg was sanctioned by the U.S. for his ties to Putin, while Blavatnik, despite divesting from all Russian assets following Russia’s 2022 invasion of Ukraine, was sanctioned by Ukraine in 2023.

Let’s break this down:

  1. Putin leveraged MBS to manipulat Trump into selecting Putin’s preferred special envoy, Steve Witkoff.
  2. Witkoff’s handler is Dmitriev, who is Putin’s money man.
  3. Witkoff has a history of doing business with Russian oligarchs and/or senior members of Russian organized crime.

Witkoff is clearly acting under what we call reflexive control:

Reflexive control (RC) is the term used to describe the practice of predetermining an adversary’s decision in your favor, by altering key factors in the adversary’s perception of the world. The term is primarily encountered in discussion of Russian techniques of information warfare. In this context, the practice represents a key asymmetric enabler to gain critical advantages, neutralizing the adversary’s strengths by causing him or her to choose courses of action that are damaging to the adversary and further Russian objectives.

Trump is as well, but in Trump’s case it’s because he’s an exceedingly emotionally needy ignoramus.

And here’s the reality of what Putin is actually planning:

HUR Chief Budanov said Russia plans to occupy Baltic states by 2027, accelerated from 2030, and strike Poland without occupation, viewing the West as weak and indecisive.

— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) December 20, 2025 at 3:05 AM

President Zelenskyy’s held a joint press conference with the Prime Minister of Portugal, Luis Montenegro. He made a formal statement at the beginning of the press conference. Video below, English transcript after the jump.

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Statement by the President of Ukraine During a Joint Press Conference With the Prime Minister of Portugal

20 December 2025 – 15:43

Dear journalists!

Today, we welcome the Prime Minister of Portugal to Ukraine on his first visit to our country as Prime Minister. We are deeply grateful to Portugal and to your entire society for your unwavering support for Ukraine. While geographically distant, we are part of one Europe – a continent where the fate of the whole depends on each nation.

I want to thank Portugal for choosing specifically a democratic and strong Europe – a Europe that must remain free from the nonsense of any dictators. That is the question at hand today: whether Europe can preserve itself and its values.

Putin started this war and is dragging it out not just for our Donbas, but to strip nations of the ability to decide the fate of their own countries. He wants to make all the decisions himself – personally or with friends who are just like him.

Russia’s war against Ukraine has always been and continues to be a war about something beyond just the territory of Ukraine alone. And that is why Russia will never be satisfied with any piece of land if someone grants it something. It will not be satisfied with anything. We must defend the fundamental principles of Europe and of normal life for nations – independence, sovereignty, and democracy. And all of this must also be reflected in the agreement on ending the war.

That is exactly how we are working with our partners – preparing an agreement – carefully working on every point, every step, to achieve not some backroom carve-up of territory and resources, but an agreement on a stable and lasting peace with reliable security guarantees for Ukraine. This is our goal, and I am grateful to everyone who is helping make this goal a reality.

Today, I briefed the Prime Minister on the situation at the front – in our defense and in diplomacy. We discussed the prospects for diplomatic efforts and the possible involvement of European countries. There are effective formats in place, including our Coalition of the Willing, which will participate in guaranteeing security.

Of course, we are also interested in Portugal’s involvement in Ukraine’s reconstruction. Russian strikes currently continue, and all the support we receive from our partners is crucial for us.

Right now, in particular, the Odesa region is facing a tough situation because of Russian strikes on port infrastructure, logistics, and energy facilities. Russia is again trying to restrict Ukraine’s access to the sea and block our coastal regions. We will resist this, and we will be grateful to all partners for their support and for assistance in this as well – for Ukraine’s port infrastructure, our logistics, our energy sector, and our coastal cities.

Today, Ukraine and Portugal issued a very important joint statement – we have just signed it – on establishing a partnership for the production of maritime drones, which is one of the most promising areas of our defense efforts at present. It is important to deliver results. And across all parts of our Europe, there must be sufficient strength to counter any threats, and modern drones are a real tool of defense.

I want to thank Portugal for its contribution to the PURL initiative – we discussed this today with Luís – which is vital for us, as it enables us to purchase American weapons that cannot currently be produced in Europe, including Patriot missiles. Portugal also supported the joint European decision on a financial security guarantee for Ukraine for the coming years – EUR 90 billion for 2026–2027, which is very tangible.

We also appreciate that Russian frozen assets remain blocked in Europe and other countries, which is only fair: Russia must pay for its own aggression with its assets, its losses, and its future.

We thank everyone who stands with us, who stands with Ukraine! Thank you, esteemed Prime Minister, for this visit. Thank you, Portugal, for your respect and support for the Ukrainian community – we know how warmly you treat Ukrainians. And I would like to especially recognize your contribution to the restoration of our educational infrastructure – our Ukrainian schools, primarily in Chernihiv and Cherkasy. Thank you again, Luís, for your visit, and thank you to your team.

Glory to Ukraine!

Georgia:

A very large crowd today in Tbilisi on day 388 of nonstop protests in Georgia.

The illegitimate, pro-Russian, repressive, corrupt regime must stand down. #GeorgiaProtests

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— Rusudan Djakeli (@rusudandjakeli.bsky.social) December 20, 2025 at 11:12 AM

For 388 days in a row, Georgians have been protesting in 8+ cities against the pro-Russian, illegitimate Georgian Dream regime.

This is Tbilisi tonight, on our weekly march. My phone camera can’t capture where the crowd ends.

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— Rusudan Djakeli (@rusudandjakeli.bsky.social) December 20, 2025 at 11:24 AM

Day 388 of #GeorgiaProtests

And still so many people in the streets!

We demand new, free and fair elections, unconditional release of all regime prisoners,

And international investigation into the use of chemical agents during November-December 2024 crackdowns!

📷 MOSE

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— Marika Mikiashvili 🇬🇪🇺🇦🇪🇺 (@marikamikiashvili.bsky.social) December 20, 2025 at 12:20 PM

Protesters unfurled a banner reading “with poison” on Freedom Square, covering Tbilisi City Hall’s New Year’s slogan, “A city full of kindness.”

#GeorgiaProtests
Day 388

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— Publika.ge (@publikage.bsky.social) December 20, 2025 at 1:16 PM

Despite mass arrests and draconian laws and fines, Georgians still take to the streets every day in 8+ cities. 🇬🇪🇪🇺

Day 388 of nonstop protests in Tbilisi.

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— Rusudan Djakeli (@rusudandjakeli.bsky.social) December 20, 2025 at 11:43 AM

A large crowd in Tbilisi tonight, on day 388 of nonstop protests in Georgia.

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— Rusudan Djakeli (@rusudandjakeli.bsky.social) December 20, 2025 at 11:48 AM

Yesterday, the amazing activist Lasha Janjghava, opened a bar in Tbilisi that will obviously be the main hangout place of Georgian protesters, an integral part of our liberation movement.

Check it out!

1/2

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— Marika Mikiashvili 🇬🇪🇺🇦🇪🇺 (@marikamikiashvili.bsky.social) December 20, 2025 at 9:08 AM

Its name is Saubari, which in Georgian means “a talk, a conversation,” also combining the word for a bar, “bari.” (Yes, the Georgian -i at the end of all consonants 😁).

#GeorgiaProtests 🇬🇪🇪🇺

2/2.

— Marika Mikiashvili 🇬🇪🇺🇦🇪🇺 (@marikamikiashvili.bsky.social) December 20, 2025 at 9:08 AM

Next in: Georgian Dream finds sanitary violations at Lasha’s bar and closes it down 🤡

— Marika Mikiashvili 🇬🇪🇺🇦🇪🇺 (@marikamikiashvili.bsky.social) December 20, 2025 at 9:09 AM

The financial distress of protesters in Georgia is unimaginable, and while we still don’t have any support whatsoever as are partners still discussing channeling ways, at least we can sometimes rely on each other for helping us out.

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— Marika Mikiashvili 🇬🇪🇺🇦🇪🇺 (@marikamikiashvili.bsky.social) December 20, 2025 at 5:19 AM

The new registry on all people in Georgia who have ever suffered from mental problems or addictions could be used to forcibly send protesters to psychiatric institutions.

— Psychiatrist Eka Chkonia says.

— Marika Mikiashvili 🇬🇪🇺🇦🇪🇺 (@marikamikiashvili.bsky.social) December 20, 2025 at 9:49 AM

Turkey:

In Turkey, Russian drones keep crashing for the second day in a row.

Today, a Merlin-VR went down near Manyas.

Yesterday, an Orlan-10 reconnaissance drone fell near Izmit.

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— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) December 20, 2025 at 6:40 AM

On December 15, a Turkish F-16 shot down a drone over the Black Sea after it “went out of control” and was heading toward Turkish territory.

— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) December 20, 2025 at 6:40 AM

Three Russian reconnaissance drones were found near Turkey’s Bosphorus and Dardanelles straits in five days, with an Orlan-10 crashing in Kocaeli on December 19 and a Merlin-VR in Balikesir on December 20, after Turkey reported downing an unidentified UAV on December 15.

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— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) December 20, 2025 at 8:11 AM

Sweden:

Sweden announced $200 million in direct budget support for Ukraine in 2026, Foreign Minister Andrii Sybiha said.

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— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) December 20, 2025 at 2:05 PM

Back to Ukraine.

Russian Urals crude from Novorossiysk dropped to $34.52 per barrel as of December 16, with some China-bound cargoes selling at over $35 discount, effectively below $30, RBC reported citing Argus Media.

— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) December 20, 2025 at 5:45 AM

Ukrainian analysts Resursgam estimate Russian oil is $5-7 from the $30-35 break-even point where Moscow’s sector shifts from lost profits to direct losses, with further drops likely from new 2026 supply, tighter sanctions and shadow fleet attacks.

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— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) December 20, 2025 at 8:08 AM

Russia has begun deploying tanks topped with… shipping containers?

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— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) December 20, 2025 at 6:31 PM

As they say in the Ranger Regiment: “That’s a technique!”

russia weaponizes cold and darkness. They bring the light back — Ukraine’s energy workers.

— Olena Halushka (@halushka.bsky.social) December 20, 2025 at 1:11 PM

Video shows Ukrainian soldier shooting down a Shahed drone with an Igla MANPADS.

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— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) December 20, 2025 at 4:58 AM

Izium, Kharkiv Oblast:

In Izium, Kharkiv Oblast, rescuers recovered the bodies of a man and a woman from the rubble of their home, destroyed by a russian airstrike this afternoon.

#Ukraine #UkrainianView

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— Iryna Voichuk (@irynavoichuk.bsky.social) December 20, 2025 at 12:33 PM

As a result of today’s russian attack on Izium in Kharkiv region, a married couple: a 47‑year‑old man and a 42‑year‑old woman, were killed, the regional police reported. Their home was destroyed. Rescuers managed to save the family’s dog.

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— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) December 20, 2025 at 1:34 PM

Kharkiv:

Kharkiv is balancing between two realities.
Christmas decorations — because people need hope.
Anti-drone nets near the city — because russia hunts civilians with FPV drones.

Normal life and survival exist side by side.
Two worlds. One city.

This is life under russia’s war.

#Ukraine #UkraineView

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— Iryna Voichuk (@irynavoichuk.bsky.social) December 20, 2025 at 5:56 AM

Kupyansk, Kharkiv Oblast:

Interestingly, the russian general who reported to putin about the supposed “capture” of Kupiansk has vanished. 👀😁

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— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) December 20, 2025 at 9:32 AM

Zaporizhzhia Oblast:

HUR shared footage from Zaporizhzhia front showing Active Operations units striking Russian forces, vehicles and fortified positions with drones, destroying enemy drones, plus behind-the-scenes work with wounded.

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— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) December 20, 2025 at 6:32 AM

Hypnotic video of the Ukrainian defense lines in the Zaporizhzhia region

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— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) December 20, 2025 at 7:28 AM

The sun’s shining down on these green fields of France
The warm wind blows gently and the red poppies dance
The trenches have vanished long under the plow
No gas, no barbed wire, no guns firing now
But here in this graveyard that’s still no man’s land
The countless white crosses in mute witness stand
To man’s blind indifference to his fellow man
And a whole generation were butchered and damned

Odesa:

The death toll after a russian missile strike on Odesa has risen to 8, with 27 others injured.

Some of the victims were on a bus that ended up at the epicenter of the attack.

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— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) December 20, 2025 at 6:30 AM

Russia hit Odesa region with modified Shahed drones equipped with factory-installed thermal cameras for remote targeting, Militarnyi reported, noting Moscow previously bolted cameras externally but now integrates them inside for better aerodynamics.

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— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) December 20, 2025 at 7:35 AM

Russian occupied Crimea:

Two Russian Su-27 fighter jets hit

The Security Service of Ukraine struck aircraft at the Belbek airbase in Crimea. One jet was destroyed on the while loaded with ammunition 🔥

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— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) December 20, 2025 at 6:18 AM

Say ‘Hello’👋

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— 🦋Special Kherson Cat🐈🇺🇦 (@specialkhersoncat.bsky.social) December 20, 2025 at 4:32 AM

Kyiv:

This Christmas tree in the Kyiv city center shall remind everyone of the price of light in Ukraine these days. Often, heroic energy engineers pay the ultimate price to keep our homes lit and warm. Ordinary men and women are doing miracles to make sure that darkness cannot prevail.
Photo DTEK.

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— Olena Halushka (@halushka.bsky.social) December 20, 2025 at 4:42 AM

Chasiv Yar:

A T-72 tank crew of the 24th Separate Mechanized Brigade is firing at a building in Chasiv Yar, where Russians have set up firing positions.

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— 🦋Special Kherson Cat🐈🇺🇦 (@specialkhersoncat.bsky.social) December 20, 2025 at 2:23 PM

Pokrovsk:

Operators from Ukraine’s 68th Separate Ranger Brigade hunt Russian infantry on the Pokrovsk axis.

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— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) December 20, 2025 at 12:00 PM

Vatnik channels are complaining that, in just a week, a “DPR militia hero” was disposed of near Pokrovsk. He had suffered from epilepsy and other serious illnesses since at least 2015, dating back to the fighting near Maryinka…

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— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) December 20, 2025 at 5:01 PM

Clearly unfit for frontline service, he was shuffled from one sector to another before being sent to Pokrovsk – where he duly met his end. Such is the Russian world.

— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) December 20, 2025 at 5:01 PM

The Dobropillia axis:

Ukrainian FPV drone footage shows destroyed Russian equipment near Nove Shakhove on the Dobropillia axis.

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— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) December 20, 2025 at 8:58 AM

Donetsk Oblast:

Drone operators from Ukraine’s 427th Rarog Regiment halted a Russian assault on the Donetsk axis by destroying tanks, armored vehicles and an MTU-20 bridge layer, the Unmanned Systems Forces reported.

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— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) December 20, 2025 at 7:00 AM

Krasnodar Krai, Russia:

A strike using the Sub Sea Baby drone inflicted major damage on a Project 636 Varshavyanka-class submarine, rendering it unable to go to sea independently or perform combat missions, British intelligence reported.

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— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) December 20, 2025 at 4:39 AM

Moscow Oblast, Russia:

Russian monitors issued a missile alert for Moscow region. Jet-powered UAVs, possibly Flamingo or similar type, are reportedly heading toward the area.

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— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) December 20, 2025 at 2:17 PM

Kursk Oblast, Russia:

Fire reported at a substation in Russia’s Kursk region.

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— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) December 20, 2025 at 1:45 PM

Rostov Oblast, Russia:

Flashes reported at a substation in Aksay, Rostov region.

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— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) December 20, 2025 at 12:41 PM

Volgograd Oblast, Russia:

Ground subsidence under the strategic Central Asia-Center gas pipeline resulted from deliberate actions, not natural causes, Ukrinform sources in HUR reported, adding that gas transit has been halted indefinitely.

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— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) December 20, 2025 at 6:19 AM

The Central Asia-Center gas pipeline in Russia’s Volgograd region went offline Thursday, halting indefinitely a route Russia uses to import up to 12 billion cubic meters of gas annually from Kazakhstan and Uzbekistan, HUR sources told Babel.

— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) December 20, 2025 at 7:02 AM

That’s enough for tonight.

Your daily Patron!

A new Patron video!

@patron__dsns

Чекаю фото ваших ялинок у коментарях!🌝🎄✨

♬ original sound – Beka – Beka

Here’s the machine translation of the caption:

I am waiting for photos of your Christmas trees in the comments!🌝🎄✨

Open thread!

War for Ukraine Day 1,395: Putin Chose WitkoffPost + Comments (17)

War for Ukraine Day 978: Russia Strikes at a Kharkiv Landmark & UNESCO Heritage Site

by Adam L Silverman|  October 28, 20248:22 pm| 26 Comments

This post is in: China, Foreign Affairs, Foreign Policy, Military, Open Threads, Russia, Saudi Arabia, Silverman on Security, War, War in Ukraine

Painting by NEIVANMADE. It has a white background an in the center are Soldiers in green doing air defense by firing at incoming Russian missiles in the upper right. The missiles are red and yellow. In the upper left, written in green, is the text: "SAVE THE BRAVEST PEOPLE IN THE WORLD!" Below the Soldiers, also written in green, is "SUPPORT FOR KHARKIV"

(Image by NEIVANMADE)

A quick housekeeping note: Rosie is doing better now that we’re a week on from her final chemo treatment. Thank you for all the good thoughts, well wishes, prayers, and donations.

Russia attacked a very distinctive landmark in Kharkiv today.

Russia has attacked the very center of #Kharkiv, targeting not only the cultural heritage of the city but also a UNESCO site.

This is Derzhprom, one of #Ukraine‘s first skyscrapers and one of the largest in the world, built back in 1928. pic.twitter.com/zJMN6tjrGJ

— MFA of Ukraine 🇺🇦 (@MFA_Ukraine) October 28, 2024

pic.twitter.com/9R0d2FYYmI

— Kate from Kharkiv (@BohuslavskaKate) October 28, 2024

The Derzhprom building or State Industry building in Kharkiv Completed in 1928, was one of the first skyscrapers in the Soviet Union and the largest construct made of reinforced concrete at the time. Derzhprom has been recognized as a UNESCO World Heritage site.
It survived WW2 and nazi occupation, but russia damaged it tonight.

Everyone in Kharkiv is shaken by this attack on Derzhprom—symbol of the city and unique site of world architecture, the largest building in the world in the style of constructivism. This is Russia’s strategy of terror and intimidation in action. pic.twitter.com/DAgMkVVvuU

— Maria Avdeeva (@maria_avdv) October 28, 2024

Here is the butcher’s bill that Russia has run up over the past week:

Russia does not stop its terror against Ukraine. Daily, it launches aggression against our people, cities, and villages, using various types of weapons. This week alone, the occupiers have used over 1,100 guided aerial bombs, more than 560 strike drones, and approximately 20… pic.twitter.com/UC7dPvH5pD

— Volodymyr Zelenskyy / Володимир Зеленський (@ZelenskyyUa) October 27, 2024

Russia does not stop its terror against Ukraine. Daily, it launches aggression against our people, cities, and villages, using various types of weapons. This week alone, the occupiers have used over 1,100 guided aerial bombs, more than 560 strike drones, and approximately 20 missiles of various types against our country.

I want to express my gratitude to our people who work day and night to protect Ukrainians from Russian attacks, provide assistance, and are always ready to save lives.

We are working hard with our partners to stop the enemy, strengthen Ukraine, and provide maximum protection for our people so that this Russian terror becomes impossible.

President Zelenskyy had a very busy day today. He participated in the 4th Ukraine-Nordic Summit where he gave remarks and then did a joint press conference. He also sat for an interview with the Times of India.

Let’s start with his speech at the summit itself. Video below, English transcript after the jump.

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Russian Threats of Escalation Should Not Undermine Our Resolve – Speech by the President at the Ukraine-Nordic Summit

28 October 2024 – 20:54

First, I want to thank the Prime Minister of Iceland for hosting this Summit. Thank you so much for the invitation. The Fourth Ukraine – Nordic Countries Meeting in such a format. It is a successful format to my mind and I’m glad that it is developing.

Dear friends!

Thank you for your strong support for Ukraine and for upholding the highest standard of principled assistance from your nations.

The first thing dictators attack is that – principles. Different ‘Putins’ around the world undermine principles within their own societies, using propaganda and repression, so that people cannot stand up for what they believe in. And then, when the dictatorship gains strength and has enough resources, it tries to export its lack of principles, creating a gray zone without values next to itself.

Europe has had to face this many times. Now, we are at another defining moment.

Russia is trying to convince nations that giving up principles is easy – that they can ignore international law and turn a blind eye to injustice, as if this will bring stability. This is the main message from Moscow – Putin tells everyone to forget their principles, not to be decisive and to hand over Ukrainian land and people, and then, supposedly, Russian bombs will stop. But throughout history, whenever such deals were made, the threat returned – stronger.

Today we have the chance to win in Eastern Europe, so that we do not have to fight later on the northern or other eastern fronts – in Baltics and Poland, or in the South – the Balkans where conflicts can easily be sparked, or in African nations whose issues are much closer to European societies than it might seem.

We must uphold international law and the values our societies are built on. We must be decisive. People matter. The law matters. The borders of nations and the right of each nation to decide its own future – matter. And although we know that Putin threatens leaders and countries that might help us force Russia towards peace through strength, we must not give in. Russian threats of escalation should not undermine our resolve. Only determination – truly long-range – will bring the war to an end. Not talks or someone’s backchannels but decisiveness.

First. I thank you for each defense package to Ukraine. Every weapon you provide helps protect a normal life, the kind of life you enjoy in your countries, here in Iceland or in any of your societies, a life that no longer exists in Russia, where basic human rights have been taken away.

We’re now in the challenging period, in the third year of full-scale war, and our soldiers on the front lines need renewed strength. That’s why we are working to equip our brigades. This is really very important, this is really urgent. We are already partnering with other countries – France has helped equip one brigade, and I hope that we will discuss today how to help with other brigades. We count on your joint support in this case.

Second. I’m grateful to Denmark and other partners who are investing in weapon production, in our internal production in Ukraine. Artillery, shells, drones – everything that allows Ukraine to defend itself, despite any logistical delays from partners or shifting political moods in global capitals.

We see Putin is ramping up his arms production and rogue regimes like Pyongyang are aiding him. Next year, as we understand, Putin aims to match the EU’s production of munitions. We can only prevent this now.

That’s why I urge you to increase your investment in weapon manufacturing in Ukraine, particularly long-range missiles and drones, electronic warfare systems – key tools for reducing Russia’s potential. I also urge you to invest in purchasing artillery ammunition from third countries for our soldiers. This will greatly help on the front line. Our team will provide you with all the necessary details about the countries that can supply this ammunition.

And please continue to develop your own industries, producing everything needed for defense, including sensitive items like microchips. Europe needs industrial strength and independence from other parts of the world.

And of course we need to stop Putin’s investments in war. The shadow fleet allows Russia to bypass sanctions earning billions of dollars and represents a serious and imminent threat to the environment as well as the rules-based international order. Without access to your territorial waters, a significant part of Putin’s tankers is worthless. Let’s take action on this, and I am especially addressing Denmark. We should develop a strong strategy relying upon general principles of international maritime law, the legal framework governing the Danish Straits, and obligations to protect the environment.

Third. Invitation to NATO.

We already discussed it with the Prime Minister of Iceland. And today we will have time to discuss very important things in detail. Principles always mean clarity – knowing what you believe in, keeping promises, and ensuring your words can be trusted. Ukraine has long been told that we have the same rights as any other democratic nation in Europe. But is this truly the case? We’re not talking about NATO membership for Ukraine right now, during the war. We’re only talking about an invitation to join NATO – a political decision that would provide geopolitical clarity for Ukraine and all of Europe, and of course, would strengthen us in diplomacy with Russia when that time comes, and the Second Peace Summit happens.

It’s clear why an invitation to NATO is not the same as full membership in the Alliance. Yet some leaders speak of it as if it were. They are asked about an invitation, but they respond about membership. This is not fair. This is just to say ‘no’.

Ukraine deserves an honest answer, and I ask you to support this transparency. Please work with partners across Europe – especially in Berlin – so that we can achieve this geopolitical clarity together.

When Ukraine receives an invitation to NATO, it will become an unbreakable defensive wall against Russia’s imperial ambitions. Russia must end its aggressive stance, and that starts with letting go of its ambitions over Ukraine.

Dear friends!

Everything I’ve just shared with you is part of the Victory Plan, along with other key measures essential for our defense – deterring Russia, strengthening economic cooperation, implementing further sanctions against Russian aggression, and more.

You all have this document. I urge you to support it, to implement its points, and to back our efforts with partners who remain skeptical. Why are they skeptical? The doubts aren’t really about Ukraine but about their own principles – whether their values are truly stronger than Putin’s ambitions. Let’s weaken Putin together. That will be our shared victory.

Thank you for your attention!

Prime Minister of Iceland, Prime Minister of Sweden, Prime Minister of Denmark, Prime Minister of Finland, Prime Minister of Norway – thank you very much, thanks for your support and thanks to your people!

Слава Україні!

Next up, the joint press conference:

Here’s the full text of the joint statement of the summit:

28 October 2024

At the fourth Ukraine – Nordic Summit in Reykjavik on 28 October, the Prime Ministers of Iceland, Denmark, Norway, Finland and Sweden and the President of Ukraine issued the following statement:

I. We, the leaders of the Nordic countries reaffirm our unwavering commitment to Ukraine’s sovereignty, territorial integrity and security. Our comprehensive support for Ukraine is steadfast and will continue for as long as it is necessary. The Nordic countries have thus far provided Ukraine with more than 20 EUR billion in military, financial and humanitarian support. Substantial amounts have been allocated to meet the pressing needs ahead of the coming winter, including the winter package focusing on energy, social resilience and humanitarian support, delivered during the Nordic Baltic Foreign Ministers’ recent visit to Odesa. The Nordic countries will continue to seek new avenues for supporting Ukraine and its people, while it continues to fight off Russia’s aggression.

II. Ukraine’s fight for its independence, sovereignty, and territorial integrity within its internationally recognised borders directly contributes to Euro-Atlantic security. The Nordic countries attach special importance to developing deep, comprehensive and long-term security cooperation with Ukraine and ensuring a secure future for both Ukraine and the Nordic countries for generations to come. The Nordic countries underscore their commitment to ensuring full and efficient implementation of the bilateral agreements on security cooperation and long-term support in close coordination with Ukraine. The bilateral agreements on security cooperation and long-term support between Ukraine and each of the Nordic countries serve as a solid ground for strengthening their mutual security. The Nordic countries will continue to assist Ukraine through military, financial, and humanitarian support in the framework of these agreements. The Nordic countries and Ukraine welcome the Ukraine Compact presented on the margins of the NATO Summit in Washington D.C. in 2024 providing a framework for supporting Ukraine in the short, medium and long term. The Nordic countries and Ukraine support the G7 Joint Declaration of Support for Recovery and Reconstruction of Ukraine.

III. The Nordic countries underline their interest in the further development of cooperation with Ukraine’s defence industry. The Nordic countries have so far pledged EUR 195 million in procurements through Ukraine’s defence industry. Extraordinary revenues from immobilised Russian assets could be one possible source for funding such initiatives. The Nordic countries welcome the agreement on the use of extraordinary revenues stemming from Russia’s immobilised assets to establish a macro-financial assistance loan to Ukraine and maintain that Russia’s assets should remain immobilised until Russia ceases its war of aggression and compensates Ukraine for the damage caused by war. The Nordic countries will continue the pressure on Russia and to limit its ability to wage its war of aggression against Ukraine, including through sanctions and international measures against the shadow fleet transporting Russian oil used to circumvent sanctions.

IV. The Nordic countries are determined to continue to support and enhance the defence capabilities of the Defence Forces of Ukraine in their fight for security and peace in Europe. The Nordic countries already made substantial contributions through bilateral and multilateral donations, including ammunition of various calibres, as well as efforts to strengthen European ammunition production capacity, such as ASAP, and national decisions to increase heavy ammunition production.

V. The Nordic countries support Ukraine’s Victory Plan as presented by President Zelenskyy. We will work to contribute to its implementation. We will also work to strengthen Ukraine’s position, ahead of a second Peace Summit towards a just and lasting peace based on international law, including the UN Charter, that respects Ukraine’s sovereignty, independence and territorial integrity.

VI. We reiterate that Ukraine’s future place is in NATO. We will continue to support Ukraine on its irreversible path to full Euro-Atlantic integration, including NATO membership. We support a greater role for NATO in the coordination of security assistance and training and welcome the establishment of NATO Security Assistance and Training for Ukraine. We are convinced that Ukraine’s future membership will be of significant added value to the European Union and contribute to peace, stability and prosperity in Europe. We welcome the opening of EU accession negotiations with Ukraine and have stepped up our joint efforts to support Ukraine’s EU accession.

Here’s the video of the interview with the Times of India:

Finally, First Lady Zelenska did an interview with Portuguese TV channel SIC:

That’s a lot of video.

The cost:

Анастасія Кравчук.
Бойова медичка 68 окремої єгерської бригади. Пішла воювати у 2024. Загинула від поранень.

Вічна памʼять і слава. Честь.
Сили її коханому… pic.twitter.com/3xwd88xVkI

— Yara Chornohuz (@BlackStork22) October 27, 2024

Anastasia Kravchuk.
Combat medic of the 68th separate hunting brigade. Went to fight in 2024. Died of wounds.

Eternal memory and glory. Honor.
Strength to her lover…

North Korea:

Ukrainian Military Intelligence (GUR) was the first to report this, though NATO and the Pentagon said they couldn’t confirm it then. It’s clear now that GUR was well ahead, or perhaps NATO and the Pentagon knew but preferred to downplay it to save face. Take your pick https://t.co/RUiMG78FbC

— Tatarigami_UA (@Tatarigami_UA) October 28, 2024

Ukraine & South Korean intel called this one right. https://t.co/JINfzZhPn9

— Shashank Joshi (@shashj) October 28, 2024

From Politico:

North Korea has sent about 10,000 troops to Russia for training, some of whom are already moving toward the front lines near the Ukrainian border, the Pentagon warned Monday.

“We are increasingly concerned that Russia intends to use these soldiers in combat or to support combat operations against Ukrainian forces in Russia’s Kursk” region, Pentagon spokesperson Sabrina Singh told reporters.

The confirmation comes hours after NATO Secretary-General Mark Rutte said North Korean troops were moving toward Russia’s Kursk region, which thousands of Ukrainian forces entered in August and where they continue to hold significant ground as Russian forces struggle to dislodge them.

The Pentagon’s figure is markedly higher than previous reports on North Korean troops entering the fight. Last week, the White House said it believed about 3,000 North Korean troops had arrived in Russia.

The entry of North Korean forces into the mix adds a new element of uncertainty to the conflict since for the first time troops from outside of Russia and Ukraine could join in the fighting, raising new questions over the wider global impact of the almost 3-year-old war.

Russia has increasingly relied on North Korea to supply artillery shells and missiles as the war has gone on and Russian stockpiles have been thinned by the overwhelming use of munitions along the front lines. The entry of North Korean troops takes that relationship a step further and raises concerns over Moscow transferring its own military know-how — including nuclear weapon components or industrial help — to the Kim regime in Pyongyang.

In a post on Facebook, Ukraine Foreign Minister Andrii Sybiha said “Ukraine has warned that Russia is preparing to deploy North Korean units,” for weeks, but “we did not see a decisive answer. It has now been confirmed by the NATO Secretary General. Conclusion: listen to Ukraine.”

More at the link.

There’s a reason that DIA stands for Do It Again!

Croatia:

Croatia Planing to buy 50 Leopard 2A8 tanks from Germany, and send 30 M-84 tanks and 30 M-80 IFVs to Ukrain.

Croatia would deliver 30 M-84 tanks and 30 M-80 infantry fighting vehicles to Ukraine in the first delivery. Germany would then pay money to Croatia for those vehicles… pic.twitter.com/DPHpHqArTn

— Special Kherson Cat 🐈🇺🇦 (@bayraktar_1love) October 28, 2024

Croatia Planing to buy 50 Leopard 2A8 tanks from Germany, and send 30 M-84 tanks and 30 M-80 IFVs to Ukrain.

Croatia would deliver 30 M-84 tanks and 30 M-80 infantry fighting vehicles to Ukraine in the first delivery. Germany would then pay money to Croatia for those vehicles (M84 and M80) and the total price of the new Leopard 2A8 would be reduced by that amount.
https://jutarnji.hr/vijesti/hrvatska/hrvatska-kupuje-50-najnovijih-tenkova-leopard-2a8-a-nasih-30-starih-tenkova-i-30-oklopnjaka-saljemo-ukrajini-15516812

Georgia:

This is so powerful! Thousands gather at Tbilisi’s Rustaveli Square as anthem of Europe plays. Georgians are demanding re-elections and a European future for 🇬🇪🇪🇺 pic.twitter.com/g1y9hrMffD

— Maria Avdeeva (@maria_avdv) October 28, 2024

🔴 “Stolen” – reads a laser projection on the @Geoparliament building. #GEOElections2024 #GeorgiaElections pic.twitter.com/ppNN4pzr6u

— Netgazeti (@netgazeti) October 28, 2024

Georgia’s president dubs the election a “Russian special operation”, claims it was rigged & calls for protests. Georgia’s prime minister tells me “irregularities happen everywhere, in every country.” Our latest report from Tbilisi. Camera @mattgodtv Producer @BenTavener pic.twitter.com/erryBVPQRw

— Steve Rosenberg (@BBCSteveR) October 28, 2024

⭕️In #Tbilisi, protesters booed Hungarian Prime Minister @PM_ViktorOrban as he left his hotel to meet with @PM_Kobakhidze.
⭕️The demonstrators are protesting election rigging by #Georgia’s ruling party in the recent elections.#GEOElections2024 #GeorgiaElections pic.twitter.com/HWJ1fihoVa

— Netgazeti (@netgazeti) October 28, 2024

Let’s deal with the Starlink Snowflake. As we covered briefly last week when The Wall Street Journal reporting broke, Musk is in somewhat regular communication with Putin. One of the actually important parts of the reporting, which everyone seems to be treating as a funny anecdote, is the fact that Musk got black out drunk on vodka at a lunch meeting in Russia. Apparently this was because he’d come from his previous stop, Paris, still inebriated. Leave aside that Musk is 53 year old man with the emotional neediness of a toddler, as well as the oppositional defiance disorder. Even if you also leave aside that his business interests in terms of needing to source materials to make the batteries for his cars and to ensure that his low earth orbit satellites stay in orbit make him susceptible to whatever it is Putin and Xi want, showing up drunk in Moscow and then getting black out drunk before passing out is incredibly stupid. Because I’m sure the Russians recorded everything. Everything he said, everything he did. Whomever he’s paying to do his personal security should be avoided at all costs! We now know that he’s compromised because of his emotional neediness, his business and financial dealings, and because he was drunk at a business lunch in Russia.

Today, Politico brings us Fiona Hill’s thoughts on the Starlink Snowflake:

‘Everything Is Subservient to the Big Guy’: Fiona Hill on Trump and America’s Emerging Oligarchy https://t.co/4oGo89fqJl via @politico

— toomas ilves, ex-verif (@IlvesToomas) October 28, 2024

Here’s some excerpts:

The news of the past few weeks has included some developments that on their own could seem minor: Since he left office, Donald Trump has held a half-dozen phone calls with Vladimir Putin. Elon Musk is also talking regularly to the Russian leader. A couple of newspaper owners decided their newspapers’ editorial boards shouldn’t make an endorsement in the presidential election.

But for Fiona Hill, the former Trump adviser who is one of the world’s top experts on Russia and Putin, these events create a worrisome pattern.

In an interview with POLITICO Magazine, Hill, like other scholars and historians with an expertise in autocratic regimes, said she sees the American political system already drifting into autocracy, even before Trump is potentially elected. A key sign is that members of the country’s billionaire class are acting more and more like oligarchs.

Thinking about Trump and Putin and Musk as fellow oligarchs helps explain why they all seem so enthralled with each other. As Hill noted, they are part of a very small group of men who control vast fortunes and vast political power that have global reach, and who prefer to deal with each other.

“They aren’t driven by the people they represent or the companies that they represent, but by the peer group that they are in, which is an extraordinarily small group of people,” Hill told me. “Their interactions are all about them figuring out how to exercise power together.”

When it comes to Musk, he’s promoting Trump’s candidacy and transacting with Putin because it serves his own interests in amassing political and financial power, Hill said: “His loyalty is not necessarily to the United States.”

Putin also apparently is in regular contact with Elon Musk. What do you think is happening there?

People are always asking, ‘Why does Trump admire Putin?’ One could also ask, ‘Why does Trump admire Musk?’ Because Elon Musk is now probably the single largest contributor and most vocal proponent for Trump’s reelection campaign. We’ve seen him at rallies with Trump. We’ve seen him offering prizes to potential voters for Trump. He’s constantly talking about the literally millions of dollars that he is spending in support of Trump. Musk and Trump both see themselves as members of an extraordinarily powerful class of rich men who want influence on a global scale.

Musk is something that we’ve never really seen before. People refer back to the Rockefellers and Andrew Carnegie and the robber barons of the Gilded Age, or the billionaires that emerged in Russia in the 1990s and 2000s. Musk is beyond that in his wealth and influence. He’s on track to become the world’s first trillionaire. His personal wealth is about the same as a medium-sized country. His bonuses are on the scale of the defense budgets of a whole host of countries.

So not only is Musk trying to bankroll Trump’s reelection, but he’s talking to Putin. He’s talking to people in China and elsewhere. Musk has global business interests. He’s part of a rich and powerful class of people who see themselves as global peers.

For members of this group, they aren’t driven by the people they represent or the companies that they represent, but by the peer group that they are in, which is an extraordinarily small group of people that are either billionaires on this scale or the leaders of major countries like [Chinese President] Xi and Putin and also potentially Trump. Their interactions are all about them figuring out how to exercise power together.

Understandably, for Musk, he’s hoping to get something out of Trump, out of Trump’s success in the elections in terms of his own businesses. But he’s also hoping to get something out of Putin as well. For Elon Musk, for Starlink and also for SpaceX, he needs access to terrestrial relay stations across the whole of the planet, including Russia and China and all of the larger territories. He needs to make sure that his satellite systems — and most of the satellites in orbit at this particular point belong to Starlink — that they’re not held at risk by hostile powers like a China or Russia. We’ve seen that Russia has the capacity to destroy satellites in space and avoiding this outcome is Musk’s bottom line in his interests.

Putting aside Starlink and SpaceX and Musk’s major businesses, he’s now the head of the most powerful and influential social media outlet, X, which has become a megaphone, not just for Musk’s own political preferences, but for other groups or individuals who want to have access to an increasingly global audience. Musk’s takeover of X has weaponized disinformation from Russia, from China, Iran, North Korea and other countries that have the United States as an adversary. And we have to ask, why is Musk not stopping that?

Because, again, his loyalty is not necessarily to the United States, where most of his companies are based. He’s operating on a global scale. So when we start to see all of these connections between Musk talking to Putin, Musk supporting Trump, we’re now in a different place than we’ve been in the past. We’ve not really ever had someone operating on this kind of scale, because of the massive advances in technology and interstate communication.

Is there a contradiction between Musk’s interests and the interests of the U.S. economy?

Musk has had a very positive impact on the U.S. economy. He’s generated a lot of innovation and spurred others into action. But Musk is also a billionaire businessman, a future trillionaire businessperson, who seeks power. He seeks to not just get contracts from the state, but to try to capture the state, which is, frankly, what he’s doing in supporting Trump’s election.

Musk is hoping to actually own the state. He sees Trump, obviously, as a pathway to power. He’s making this pretty explicit. So you’ve got to ask the question, what happens next? That’s where you need to start worrying about longer-term impacts on the economy and the country.

What we’ve seen in a host of other countries is that where you get an oligarchy in control, you also have a more autocratic leadership. You start to see the chipping away of the rule of law. You start to see the squeezing of the economy, as there’s deregulation in favor of particular interests and then a much more reduced space for other people to enter into the economy.

I know this is not news to you all as I’ve written about the threat emanating from ultra high net worth individuals for on a number of occasions here over the years.

Musk is an exceedingly dangerous insider threat. Because of his business with the US government, he has the ability to access information that is advantageous to him, but also to hostile foreign state and non-state actors. He’s emotionally unstable, a drug addict and alcoholic by his own admission, a walking zipper malfunction, and worth more money – at least on paper – than a significant number of the sovereign nation-states on the planet put together. And he owns the social network formerly known as Twitter, which he’s turned into a firehose of disinformation, misinformation, and agitprop. Which is being used to great effect by Putin’s catspaws at the GRU, the PRC’s Ministry of State Security, the DPRK, MBS’s merry band of mirth makers, the Iranians, and Bibi’s hasbarists (hasbaristas?).

All of this is how you get a network, operating largely in plain site, that is dedicated to promoting the lie that America’s election systems, structures, institutions, and processes are all being manipulated by the enemy within.

In the aftermath of Donald J. Trump’s defeat in 2020, one of his election lawyers set out to keep the lies about his loss alive.

The lawyer, a well-connected conservative named Cleta Mitchell, knit together grass-roots activists, Republican lawyers, party officials and deep-pocketed advocacy groups into a vast national network. The aim was nothing less than remaking American elections.

Over the past four years, Ms. Mitchell’s Election Integrity Network has done more than any other group to take Mr. Trump’s falsehoods about corruption in the democratic system and turn them into action.

Its participants have propelled specious theories from corners of the internet into the halls of Congress.

They successfully lobbied for new state election laws and procedures, diving deep into the intricacies of election regulations. They have fanned out in neighborhoods on the hunt for evidence of election fraud.

And they have huddled in private, weekly meetings, methodically laying the groundwork that could be used to contest a Trump defeat.

The New York Times has obtained recordings of more than 400 of those meetings, over 400 hours of conversations, along with additional documents and training materials. It is a trove that provides an extraordinary behind-the-scenes look at how misinformation is used to manufacture a movement.

Even as it claims to be nonpartisan and grass-roots, Ms. Mitchell’s network has closely coordinated with the Trump-controlled Republican National Committee. It found an audience with several election officials, including four Republican secretaries of state, as well as more than a dozen state legislators.

Pillars of the conservative movement — groups funded by the megadonors Rebecca Dunn, Richard Uihlein, as well as the Bradley Impact Foundation and others — provided organizational and financial backing. The network was initially a project of the Conservative Partnership Institute, a group associated with Mark Meadows, a chief of staff in the Trump White House. Citizens for Renewing America, a related group founded by Russell T. Vought, a close Trump ally, also contributed money early on, according to public records.

All of this coordination allowed debunked theories to jump from state to state. The network was instrumental in prompting state officials, in rapid succession, to abandon a widely regarded election data system, for example.

Earlier this year, Ms. Mitchell said she was called by God to shift her attention to the possibility that noncitizens were voting. Now, in the final weeks of the campaign, Republicans across the country, chief among them Mr. Trump, are wholly convinced of the baseless claims that Democrats are registering undocumented immigrants in droves in a plot to steal the election.

You’ll notice the ultra-high net worth donors/backers, referred to as “pillars of the conservative movement” that have funded Mitchell. You’ll also notice that Mitchell believes the Deity is communicating directly with her. And, of course, a good chunk of this misinformation and agitprop was propagated through Musk’s social network once he took over and destroyed the trust and safety team. More recently he’s been subsidizing it directly with his donations, as well as the PACs and SuperPACs he’s funding. This is why Ms. Mitchell and her band of fine, upstanding citizens are now considered the greatest threat to the 2024 elections:

U.S. intelligence agencies have identified domestic extremists with grievances rooted in election-related conspiracy theories, including beliefs in widespread voter fraud and animosity toward perceived political opponents, as the most likely threat of violence in the coming election.

In a Joint Intelligence Bulletin that was not distributed publicly but was reviewed by NBC News, agents from the FBI and the Department of Homeland Security warn state and local law enforcement agencies that domestic violent extremists seeking to terrorize and disrupt the vote are a threat to the election and throughout Inauguration Day.

The report identified the potential targets as candidates, elected officials, election workers, members of the media and judges involved in election cases. The potential threats include physical attacks and violence at polling places, ballot drop boxes, voter registration locations and rallies and campaign events.

More at the link.

This is also how you get ballot boxes set on fire, which happened in both Vancouver, WA and Portland, OR over the weekend. You know, the destruction of ballots accompanied by other acts of terrorism, state based terror, and influence operations intended to subvert and election instigated by hostile foreign actors like we saw over the weekend in the rigged election in Georgia. Or like we’ve seen in any number of other failing and failed states.

None of this is happening by accident. It is not a coincidence. It was predictable. Every time I’ve written about Bernard Fall’s theory of revolutionary warfare, how what was going on in the US was revolutionary warfare aided and abetted by the actions of both ultra-high net worth Americans and hostile foreign actors, and that it would get worse in the run up to the 2024 elections and in their aftermath has been a description of what we’re now seeing

This is what happens when you treat a violent revolutionary movement, funded by ultra-high net worth Americans and aided and abetted by hostile foreign actors that has been in open and ongoing revolt against the constitutional order and the US government for four years, as normal political actors exercising their first amendment rights instead of as what they are: the most dangerous of insider threats. We have dozens of GOP members of the House and the Senate who have been involved in this rebellion, including helping to plan it at the White House with Trump and his senior people including Cleta Mitchell, before and immediately after the 2020 elections who get kid glove treatment because of the Speech and Debate clause. The Speech and Debate clause does not cover text messages and emails that are part of the planning process for a rebellion and insurrection. It covers things said in speech and debate by members of the House and the Senate, as well as other routine actions and communications by representatives and senators. That does not include plotting to overthrow the US Constitution and the constitutional order. Believing that it does is the category error of category errors.

We’re a little more than a week away from finding out just how badly the impotent and flaccid AG Garland, Director Wray, Director Mayorkas, and their DOJ, FBI, and DHS have failed us. And whether I am correct that the Biden administration has been a four year interregnum in the devolution of the US into a white Christian herrenvolk kleptocratic managed illiberal democracy ruled by the Trump family on behalf of domestic and foreign oligarchs. I would prefer to be very wrong on this one!

I’ll get to Dougan’s part in all of this later in the week.

The Vremivka direction:

20 units of russian armored vehicles were destroyed by Ukrainian warriors in the Vremivka direction. That was another russian failed attack with massive losses. pic.twitter.com/4q7YUCtDMl

— Defense of Ukraine (@DefenceU) October 28, 2024

The Kursk cross border offensive:

A legendary American duo in service with #UAarmy.
🇺🇸-made Bradley IFV and Abrams tank are performing a combat task in the Kursk region, destroying russian treeline positions.

📹: 47th Mechanized Brigade pic.twitter.com/AXbH5M49Bm

— Defense of Ukraine (@DefenceU) October 28, 2024

Russian surveillance complex fails to detect a Ukrainian drone that approaches it rather slowly, and then blows it up. The Ukrainian drone even had time to scope out the enemy complex’s cope cage, find the bit broken open by an earlier attack, and zip in to deliver its payload. https://t.co/LfJB1GoEAx

— Euan MacDonald (@Euan_MacDonald) October 28, 2024

Vovchansk:

The Ukrainian city of Vovchansk has been pummelled by Russian forces. Hospitals, schools, residential blocks and more have been flattened. Now, a new analysis suggests close to 80% of buildings in the city have been either damaged or destroyed. https://t.co/F5ldNup5rC

— Bellingcat (@bellingcat) October 28, 2024

From Bellingcat:

“I don’t have enough fingers to count what was there,” says Nelia Stryzhakova as she recalls the Ukrainian town of Vovchansk, where she has lived for the past 40 years.

“There was a technical school, a medical school, seven schools, many kindergartens. How many factories did we have? An oil extraction factory, a butter factory, a furniture factory, a carriage factory, of which there were only two in Ukraine.”

The director of the local library, Stryzhakova, was among those to flee Vovchansk when Russian forces began to advance on the city in May this year.

Vovchansk is an administrative centre in the north-east of Ukraine, divided by the Vovcha river, and just five kilometres from the Russian border. In 2022, Vovchansk had 17,000 inhabitants, many with relatives in Russia.

“The city is beautiful, the people are beautiful, we had everything. We didn’t even think that in (just) five days we would be blown off the ground like that,” Stryzhakova said.

Her words are backed up by video and social media evidence that show explosion after explosion across the city.

Bellingcat and journalists from Agence France-Presse (AFP) bureaus in Kyiv, Kharkiv and Paris have partnered to investigate the damage in the city and talk to former residents who have first-hand experience of the destruction.

An analysis of satellite imagery suggests that 60 percent of buildings in Vovchansk have been completely destroyed.

Partial damage was observed on a further 18 percent of buildings, leaving just 22 percent of the city where damage has yet to be detected as of late September 2024.

Kindergartens, schools, religious sites, factories and libraries have all been wiped out. Videos and drone footage show a desolate landscape where only the burnt-out skeletons of buildings once stood. Residents now living as refugees in nearby Kharkiv, like Stryzhakova, describe desperately fleeing the town under heavy bombardment.

“I took my documents from work and a couple of personal items,” Stryzhakova said. “That’s all I have. Objects are not the most important,”

The north of Vovchansk, where the majority of fighting has taken place, has been almost entirely destroyed or seriously damaged. The city centre also appears to be so severely affected that few structures remain. According to the city’s mayor, ninety percent of the centre has been “flattened”.

Although areas south of the Vovcha river that flows through Vovchansk have been badly impacted, especially in industrial districts and houses along major roads, large pockets of intact housing are still visible.

Bellingcat used SkySat imagery from Planet Labs PBC to carry out a damage assessment on a building-by-building basis. The process manually mapped out damage observed in the satellite imagery into three categories in the map below – green, orange, and red. Green corresponds with no observed damage, orange categorises indications of damage, and red means the destruction of a building (readers can zoom in and switch between satellite imagery dates as well as show or hide the damage assessment layer).

The destruction in Vovchansk soared after Russia’s most recent offensive began in May.

Other towns and cities on the front line in Ukraine have faced a similar fate.

Bakhmut in eastern Ukraine’s Donetsk Oblast was once home to 70,000 people before it was almost completely destroyed during intense fighting in 2023.

Lieutenant Denys Yaroslavsky of Ukraine’s 57th Brigade Reconnaissance Unit fought in both Bakhmut and Vovchansk. “The pace of destruction was so fast. What happened in Bakhmut in two or three months happened in Vovchansk in two or three weeks. Perhaps it was due to the proximity of the border, or the increase in the number of guided aerial bombs and the intensification of heavy fire,” he said.

Much more at the link including imagery and visualizations.

Donetsk Oblast:

The Security Service of Ukraine detained an FSB agent in Donetsk region. He turned out to be a 34-year-old local volunteer of the UN World Food Program recruited by the Russians.

Disguising himself as a volunteer, he spied on the locations of the Ukrainian Defense Forces in the… pic.twitter.com/y9ea2GhkeC

— Special Kherson Cat 🐈🇺🇦 (@bayraktar_1love) October 28, 2024

The Security Service of Ukraine detained an FSB agent in Donetsk region. He turned out to be a 34-year-old local volunteer of the UN World Food Program recruited by the Russians.

Disguising himself as a volunteer, he spied on the locations of the Ukrainian Defense Forces in the Pokrovsk front.

The task of the Russian agent was to identify the locations of Ukrainian infantrymen and artillery, which are holding the defensive positions near the district center.

Now he faces life sentence with confiscation of property.

https://t.me/SBUkr/13231

Kharkiv:

Last night, Kharkiv didn’t sleep – it endured. Russian bombs tore through civilian spaces, reducing homes to debris and injuring 13 innocent lives.

The world owes more than sympathy, it owes action.

📷place_kharkiv pic.twitter.com/DyQXqvJoDF

— Iryna Voichuk (@IrynaVoichuk) October 28, 2024

Kherson:

#Kherson Today:

🔴Overnight, an anti-tank missiles attack
💔1 woman killed
Dozens of houses damaged

A drone attack on a civilian and ambulance
💔A doctor killed, 3 injured

🔴 a drone attack on a high-rise building caused fire

Several drone attacks on cars#HumanSafari pic.twitter.com/kdwGY9IL6z

— Zarina Zabrisky 🇺🇸🇺🇦 (@ZarinaZabrisky) October 28, 2024

Nikopol:

#DroneAttacksCivilians rage in Ukraine–and not just in #Kherson.

I continue my series of reports. #Nikopol residents are under daily #drone attacks.

Vira lost her apartment to shelling and now hides from drones at her daughter’s house.

“They have four tiny paws…” pic.twitter.com/tdnAqzZASW

— Zarina Zabrisky 🇺🇸🇺🇦 (@ZarinaZabrisky) October 28, 2024

Moscow:

Special Sewage Operation:
A brown fountain as tall as a multi-story building has burst from the ground in Moscow district of Novomoskovsk.
● Residents frustrated by the crumbling infrastructure say the shit has really hit the fan. pic.twitter.com/AmZvQ3HaqW

— Jason Corcoran (@jason_corcoran) October 28, 2024

That’s enough for tonight.

Your daily Bayraktar.

Wait, what?

The #Bayraktar plant in #Ukraine is 80% ready and will be operational next year. The plant is expected to produce the Bayraktar both the TB2 and TB3, which are capable of carrying a larger load. The plant will employ 500 people and produce about 120 UAVs per year. pic.twitter.com/QgGAtfNMiB

— Ukraine Business News (@theUBN) October 28, 2024

And now your daily Patron!

A new video from Patron’s official TikTok:

@patron__dsns

О ні, на вас щойно скоїв напад пес Патрон! (Насправді то я біг, щоб побажати вам чудового дня)🤭 #песпатрон

♬ original sound – GrannyIsNotSus

Here’s the machine translation of the caption:

Oh no, you’ve just been attacked by the dog Patron! (Actually, I was running to wish you a great day) 🤭 #песпатрон

Open thread!

War for Ukraine Day 978: Russia Strikes at a Kharkiv Landmark & UNESCO Heritage SitePost + Comments (26)

War for Ukraine Day 958: A Lot to Cover Tonight

by Adam L Silverman|  October 8, 202411:04 pm| 21 Comments

This post is in: Foreign Affairs, Foreign Policy, Military, Open Threads, Russia, Saudi Arabia, Silverman on Security, War, War in Ukraine

Two quick housekeeping notes. First, we’re still all doing okay here at the hotel. Rosie is lying on the bed next to her sister while I do this update. Thank you all for the good thoughts, well wishes, prayers, and donations.

Second, I’m going to keep this to the basics again tonight. I will hit the reporting from yesterday on Russian executions of Ukrainian POWs, which is a war crime. And I’m going to touch on some of the newly reported excerpts from Woodward’s new book.

I bet you cannot guess what Russia did in Kharkiv today?

Kharkiv. Saltivka. Photo by Vitalii Hnidyi pic.twitter.com/sfZfZgzq2D

— Maria Avdeeva (@maria_avdv) October 8, 2024

You are looking at the body of a civilian, russia murdered them today in Kharkiv simply because they could.

Guided aerial bomb struck an ally, killing 2 people and injuring at least 3 more.

Don’t let this become the norm. Kharkiv needs your voice and help!

📸: @GwaraMedia pic.twitter.com/uyWzc6GPuW

— Kate from Kharkiv (@BohuslavskaKate) October 8, 2024

Meanwhile Pentagon Deputy Spokesperson: https://t.co/OsXz7AKxaX pic.twitter.com/F2xNsVruFp

— Andriy Haydash (@andriyhaydash) October 8, 2024

Or in Kherson:

⚡️ In Kherson, Russian forces dropped explosives from a drone onto a bus, causing damage but fortunately injuring neither the passengers nor the driver. pic.twitter.com/Uo2icgPUsX

— UNITED24 Media (@United24media) October 8, 2024

Here is President Zelenskyy’s address from earlier today. Video below, English transcript after the jump.

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Two New Sanctions Packages Were Imposed: on Those Who Betrayed Ukraine and on Military Production in Russia – Address by the President

8 October 2024 – 19:43

I wish you health, fellow Ukrainians!

I held a meeting of the Staff today. Several issues were discussed, but the most important one was weapons: production in Ukraine, supplies from our partners, and our procurement efforts – all over the world, wherever there are shells or equipment that can strengthen our defense. Commander-in-Chief Syrskyi reported on our army’s needs, and government officials reported on the capabilities that have already been implemented and that can be secured this year. This applies to our current needs and planned supplies for the coming year. The priority is to maximize the development of the domestic sector, domestic production, and thus all private initiatives, all the forces of Ukrainian entrepreneurship that are already working and can work even harder for defense. Among the key areas identified are drones for our army, and this should be a supply that not only constantly increases in volume, but also evolves and develops in line with the demands of war. Production must quickly adapt to the needs of the front and to new possibilities for using the weapons we have. Another fundamental area is electronic warfare, and here the private sector and Ukrainian entrepreneurs are already helping Ukraine significantly. And much more can be done. We will also attract additional investments from our partners here, and this week, in particular, work will be done on that. A separate focus is our state missile program, and all of its elements, all of Ukraine’s missile achievements, should have much more combat use, both on the front lines and in the territory of Russia. We need results faster. All relevant tasks are now underway.

Today, there was also a separate and long report by the Commander-in-Chief on our frontline actions, on all defensive operations, as well as on the Kursk operation – the fighting in the Kursk region is now in its third month already, and we are maintaining the necessary pressure on Russia in this area. Chief of the Defense Intelligence of Ukraine Budanov also delivered a detailed report on the ongoing processes in the enemy’s system and our influence on them. There was also a report by Minister of Defense Umerov regarding aspects of cooperation with partners.

And one more thing.

We continue our work on sanctions – two new sanctions packages were imposed today. On those who have betrayed Ukraine and also, on military production in Russia – those legal entities and individuals who are working for terror. And we will continue to synchronize our Ukrainian sanctions and our pressure on the enemy with everyone in the world who, like Ukrainians, wants real peace. I am grateful to everyone who helps our state, our people. I thank everyone who really does everything they can to make Ukraine stronger. I thank all our warriors!

Glory to Ukraine!

President Zelenskyy posted this earlier today. In light of the continued glide bomb attacks on Kharkiv, the genocidal ongoing human safaris Russia is undertaking Kherson, and the completely tone deaf response from the Pentagon’s Deputy Spokesperson, it is especially prescient.

The obvious necessity for Ukraine is to strengthen our air defense everywhere it is needed, to make this Russian terror impossible.

It is important that the great countries possessing the necessary weapons are truly great in protecting lives — not by keeping these systems in… pic.twitter.com/GnAIHJTVuv

— Volodymyr Zelenskyy / Володимир Зеленський (@ZelenskyyUa) October 8, 2024

The obvious necessity for Ukraine is to strengthen our air defense everywhere it is needed, to make this Russian terror impossible.

It is important that the great countries possessing the necessary weapons are truly great in protecting lives — not by keeping these systems in storage or warehouses, but ensuring that systems like Patriots and others are actively used to save lives.

His post was likely in response to this reporting about the Commanding General of US European Command (EUCOM)/Supreme Allied Commander Europe (SACEUR) and what the Biden administration did or did not do with his recommendations for arming Ukraine.

The US military’s top commander in Europe compiled a list of weapons systems the US possesses that could help Ukraine but that the Biden admin has not yet provided, including air-to-surface missiles and a secure communications network used by NATO. https://t.co/tIneq5ZPFD

— Natasha Bertrand (@NatashaBertrand) October 8, 2024

From CNN:

The US military’s top commander in Europe compiled a list of weapons systems the US possesses that could help Ukraine in its fight against Russia that the Biden administration has not yet provided, including air-to-surface missiles and a secure communications network used by NATO.

In an annex attached to a classified report about the Biden administration’s Ukraine strategy that was delivered to Congress early last month, Gen. Chris Cavoli outlined a list of US capabilities that could help the Ukrainian military fight more effectively, according to people familiar with the report.

The list included the Joint Air-to-Surface Standoff Missile, a type of air-launched cruise missile, and a communications system known as the Link 16 — a data sharing network used by the US and NATO that is supposed to enable more seamless communication between battle systems and is particularly useful for air and missile defense command and control. Ukraine has asked for both systems repeatedly, another source familiar with their requests said.

Cavoli’s list does not address why the US hasn’t provided systems that he assesses would be of value. But US officials have previously expressed concerns about sensitive US technology falling into Russian hands, which one source said is likely the holdup with the Link 16 system. The air-to-surface missiles, which are fired from fighter jets, might not be useful to the Ukrainians unless they achieve some level of air superiority, the source added.

Nearly three years into the war, the Ukrainians are still pleading with the US to provide more advanced weaponry and lift restrictions on how long-range missile systems provided by the US can be used. And with the US presidential election less than one month away, the future of the US’ support for Ukraine is uncertain, even as the US says it is working to make sure Ukraine has what it needs to last them through at least the end of 2025.

The Ukrainian government continues to lobby hard. When President Volodymyr Zelensky met with President Joe Biden at the White House late last month, he came armed with a detailed list—not of weapons, but of targets inside Russia that he wants to hit with US-provided long-range missiles, known as ATACMS, according to sources familiar with the meeting.

The list is a key part of Zelensky’s “victory plan” for winning the war. Biden, who has to date prohibited the Ukrainians from deploying the missile systems for deep strikes into Russia, was not entirely dismissive of the request, the sources said. But he was ultimately non-committal.

The leaders agreed to keep discussing the issue. But Biden won’t be meeting with Zelensky again in the near future after he canceled a trip to Germany for a gathering of the Ukraine Defense Contact Group this week, and it remains unlikely that the US will change its policy on long-range missiles, officials told CNN.

Broadly, US officials say they are giving Ukraine everything that the US military assesses Kyiv needs at this moment to support its fight. Officials also argue that that the US’ limited supply of long-range ATACMS systems are better used against targets in Crimea. The Ukrainians have already conducted several successful strikes deep inside Russia using their own long-range drones that have damaged Russia’s defense industrial base, US officials note — drones that in fact have a far longer range than the ATACMs.

US officials have also said that Russia has moved some of its most valuable targets outside of the ATACMS’ 180-mile range, anyway. The Ukrainians have argued, though, that there are plenty of Russian assets within range, including military bases and production and logistics facilities, that would make for strategic targets.

As a way to “Trump-proof” US security aid, should former President Donald Trump win in November, the US and its allies have been working on ways to ensure that Ukraine has what it needs through the end of 2025. NATO has established its own mechanism for facilitating aid and military training, which was launched in July. The Pentagon is also getting closer to offering contracts to private American companies to travel to the country and help with the equipment sustainment and logistics there, officials said, a key part of making sure Ukraine’s weapons and equipment don’t break down at key moments.

Broadly, though, the US is hoping that 2025 marks a turning point for Russia’s ability to sustain its own war effort.

Hope is not a strategy. Imposing actual costs on Putin and Russia is. Until that happens, Putin and Russia will continue to behave as they have.

Two months ago I bombed that kids hospital. You have imposed no meaningful consequences. To us in Kremlin, this means it is permitted. pic.twitter.com/WvNxeSvzqe

— Darth Putin (@DarthPutinKGB) October 8, 2024

Norway:

Thank you for your unwavering support!
Together, we are stronger.
🇺🇦🤝🇳🇴 https://t.co/RdeeBcWeTn

— Defense of Ukraine (@DefenceU) October 8, 2024

Slovakia:

Ammunition arrived in Ukraine, with the Slovak people raising over €4 million, which allowed the purchase of 122 tons of ammunition. The collection began after the 🇸🇰 govt declared that it was not necessary to initiate any official actions to collect ammunition.

🇺🇦🤝♥️🇸🇰

— Mustafa Nayyem (@mefimus) October 7, 2024

France:

During Macron’s 1st election we hacked & leaked his campaign. He said France would one day respond.

The dildo of consequences rarely arrives lubed. https://t.co/KSP5Bb5PHG

— Darth Putin (@DarthPutinKGB) October 8, 2024

The Kyiv Independent has the details.

Ukraine should receive the first Mirage 2000 fighter jets from France in the first quarter of 2025, French Defense Minister Sebastien Lecornu said on Oct. 8.

French President Emmanuel Macron unveiled in June that Paris would provide Kyiv with an unspecified number of Mirage 2000-5 planes to boost its airpower.

The planes “will be equipped with new equipment: air-to-ground combat capabilities and anti-electronic warfare defense,” Lecornu noted.

“The training of Ukrainian pilots and mechanics continues.”

The first cohort of Ukrainian pilots have completed Alpha Jet training in France, the French Armed Forces announced on Sept. 20.

The Mirage 2000 is a multirole aircraft designed in the late 1970s and introduced in 1984.

The 2000-5 version has upgraded radar systems and can carry fuel drop tanks, greatly increasing its range. The French media previously reported that the version delivered to Ukraine would be equipped to hit ground targets.

The Mirage 2000-5 is a fourth-generation fighter jet, meaning it is in the same class as the U.S.-made F-16 that Ukraine’s Air Force already operates.

Denmark and the Netherlands were the first countries to deliver their F-16s, making them the first Western fighter jets in Ukraine’s arsenal.

While Kyiv awaits Mirages and additional F-16s, it is also in talks to acquire Swedish-made Saab JAS 39 Gripen and the Eurofighter Typhoon fighters.

Hungary:

According to Euronews, Hungary has blocked the €35 billion promised by the European Union to Ukraine.

The loan will not be unlocked until the next president of the United States is elected. pic.twitter.com/rTwN21v4oz

— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated) October 8, 2024

If Kamala Harris is elected, Orban will not remove the block on this aid. If Trump is elected, Orban will not remove the block on this aid. Because Orban is doing Putin’s bidding. What we don’t know is whether this has emerged from the private phone calls that Trump has been having with Putin since he left office. Many of which occurred while Trump was definitely still illegally possessing classified materials. And since it is an open question whether the Feds actually were able to find and seize all of it or whether Trump is still in illegal possession of these classified materials because he moved them around his other properties, specifically Bedminster, which is where he spends most of the summer. We know about these phone calls because CNN published excerpts from Bob Woodward’s new book.

The explosive new reports raise fresh questions about the former US president’s relationship with the Russian leader https://t.co/2Dp4sgu3Q6 pic.twitter.com/ChTjHHt0yc

— Financial Times (@FT) October 8, 2024

Here are the details from CNN:

The book, “War,” also reveals new details about Donald Trump’s private conversations with Putin – and a secret shipment of Covid-19 testing equipment Trump sent to the Russian president for his personal use during the height of the pandemic.

– Citing a Trump aide, Woodward reports that there have been “maybe as many as seven” calls between Trump and Putin since Trump left the White House in 2021.

In a statement, Trump spokesman Steven Cheung said Trump gave Woodward “absolutely no access” for the book. “None of these made up stories by Bob Woodward are true,” he said.

Woodward writes that Trump has stayed in touch with Putin after leaving office.

In one scene, Woodward recounts a moment at Mar-a-Lago where Trump tells a senior aide to leave the room so “he could have what he said was a private phone call with Russian President Vladimir Putin.”

“According to Trump’s aide, there have been multiple phone calls between Trump and Putin, maybe as many as seven in the period since Trump left the White House in 2021,” Woodward writes.

Woodward asked Trump aide Jason Miller whether Trump and Putin had spoken since he left the White House. “Um, ah, not that, ah, not that I’m aware of,” Miller told Woodward.

“I have not heard that they’re talking, so I’d push back on that,” Miller added.

Woodward writes that Biden’s Director of National Intelligence Avril Haines “carefully hedged” when asked about whether there were any post-presidency Trump-Putin calls.

“I would not purport to be aware of all contacts with Putin. I wouldn’t purport to speak to what President Trump may or may not have done,” Haines said, according to Woodward.

There is also this very unfortunate excerpt regarding Trump, as well as current Assistant to the President-National Security Advisor (APNSA/NSA) Jake Sullivan and Saudi Crown Prince Muhammed bin Salman:

Woodward also recounts a meeting that Graham, the South Carolina senator, had with the crown prince in March.

“Hey, let’s call Trump,” Graham said to MBS while visiting with the Saudi leader in March.

What happened next offers a fascinating window into how the Saudi leader operates and communicates with various world leaders and government officials. Woodward writes that bin Salman had an aide bring over a bag with about 50 burner phones, pulling out one labeled “TRUMP 45.”

Among the others in the bag, Woodward writes, was a burner labeled “JAKE SULLIVAN.”

What Woodward is describing is an insider threat. Given that he’s writing about a former president, currently running for president again while at the same time leading an ongoing revolt against the US Constitution and the constitutional order makes this threat exceedingly dangerous. It also shows the intellectual poverty in how AG Garland, FBI Director Wray, the DOJ, and the FBI have dealt with the insurrection at the Capitol on 6 JAN 2021, those who actually planned and directed it – Trump, some of his senior internal and outside advisors, members of Congress, ultra-high net worth funders, the leaders of a number of conservative/pro-Trump organizations – and the ongoing revolt and lukewarm civil war that Trump and his movement have been waging against the United States ever since.

We also have new reporting by Woodward about Trump and Putin’s relationship while the former was president.

The book also contains new details about Trump’s relationship with the Russian president. In 2020, Woodward writes, Trump had “secretly sent Putin a bunch of Abbott Point of Care Covid test machines for his personal use.”

During the height of the pandemic, Russia and the United States did exchange medical equipment such as ventilators. But Putin — who infamously isolated himself over fears of Covid — told Trump on a phone call to keep the delivery of the Abbott machines quiet, Woodward reports.

“Please don’t tell anybody you sent these to me,” Putin said to Trump, according to Woodward.

“I don’t care,” Trump replied. “Fine.”

“No, no,” Putin said. “I don’t want you to tell anybody because people will get mad at you, not me. They don’t care about me.”

Woodward also provides some new insight into how Putin got into President Biden’s head, as well as those of his senior natsec appointees: (emphasis mine)

One of the most dramatic scenes in “War” reveals just how alarmed Biden and his national security team became over the prospect of Putin using nuclear weapons.

By September 2022, US intelligence reports deemed “exquisite” revealed a “deeply unnerving assessment” of Putin — that he was so desperate about battlefield losses that he might use tactical nuclear weapons in Ukraine.

Based on the alarming new intelligence reports, the White House believed there was a 50% chance Russia would use a tactical nuclear weapon — a striking assessment that had skyrocketed up from 5% and then 10%, Woodward reports.

“On all channels, get on the line with the Russians,” Biden instructed his national security adviser, Jake Sullivan. “Tell them what we will do in response,” he said, according to Woodward.

The book recounts a tense phone call between Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin and his Russian counterpart in October 2022.

“If you did this, all the restraints that we have been operating under in Ukraine would be reconsidered,” Austin said to Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu, according to Woodward. “This would isolate Russia on the world stage to a degree you Russians cannot fully appreciate.”

“I don’t take kindly to being threatened,” Shoigu responded.

“Mr. Minister,” Austin said, according to Woodward, “I am the leader of the most powerful military in the history of the world. I don’t make threats.”

Two days later, the Russians requested another call. This time, the Russian defense minister dramatically claimed the Ukrainians were planning to use a “dirty bomb” — a false story the US believed the Kremlin was pushing as a pretext to deploy a nuclear weapon.

“We don’t believe you,” Austin said firmly in response, according to Woodward. “We don’t see any indications of this, and the world will see through this.”

“Don’t do it,” he said to Shoigu.

“I understand,” Shoigu replied.

“It was probably the most hair-raising moment of the whole war,” Colin Kahl, a senior Pentagon official, later said of the episode.

I want to really emphasize this exchange between Secretary Austin and Shoigu:

“If you did this, all the restraints that we have been operating under in Ukraine would be reconsidered,” Austin said to Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu, according to Woodward. “This would isolate Russia on the world stage to a degree you Russians cannot fully appreciate.”

Ooooh, the restraints would be reconsidered. Russia would be isolated in a way they can’t fully appreciate. This is not exactly scary stuff. The proper statement here should have been: “If you tactically use a nuke, then you will, not you might, you will face the full might of the NATO alliance. This is our most important redline. If you cross it, Russia will be dismantled.

These statements from President Biden are absolutely correct:

Ahead of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, Biden complained that Obama didn’t do enough to stop Putin in 2014, when the Russian leader invaded Crimea.

“They fucked up in 2014,” Biden said to a friend, according to Woodward. “That’s why we are here. We fucked it up. Barack never took Putin seriously.”

Biden added, “We did nothing. We gave Putin a license to continue!” Biden was angry: “Well, I’m revoking his fucking license!”

While he may have intended to “revoke his (Putin’s) fucking license,” the problem is Biden didn’t really revoke the license. He just tried to adjust the speed limit and give Putin a curfew.

Putin probed for mush, he found mush, and so he has kept going. He will keep going until he probes and finds steel.

The US Intel Community, and the Biden administration, keeps making a category error. Putin’s threat to tactically use a nuke and the Russian doctrine that back stops that threat, is part of Russia’s doctrinal approach to setting the theater of operations. Russian doctrine clearly states that first they set the informational theater through influence and psychological operations and political warfare and only once they have dominance in the information theater do they then proceed to the actual physical theater of operations. They’ve been very good at this. We’ve been very bad at actually hearing what they’re really telling us and then countering what they’re really doing.

The good news is that we’re beginning to get a better understanding of where VP Harris would take US natsec, defense, and foreign policy if she is elected president.

Democratic presidential candidate Kamala Harris said in an interview aired on Oct. 7 that if she is elected, she would refuse to engage in peace talks with Russian President Vladimir Putin without Ukraine’s involvement.https://t.co/tAc3E4Pfy9

— The Kyiv Independent (@KyivIndependent) October 8, 2024

From The Kyiv Independent:

Democratic presidential candidate Kamala Harris said in an interview aired on Oct. 7 that if she is elected, she would refuse to engage in peace talks with Russian President Vladimir Putin without Ukraine’s involvement.

“Not bilaterally without Ukraine, no. Ukraine must have a say in the future of Ukraine,” Harris told CBS’s “60 Minutes” when asked if she would consider negotiating one-on-one with Putin to end the war.

The Biden administration has similarly ruled out discussions with Putin, and Harris criticized former President Donald Trump’s approach to the Ukraine crisis, calling his policies a surrender to Russia’s invasion.

“Donald Trump, if he were president, Putin would be sitting in Kyiv right now. He talks about, ‘Oh, he can end it on day one.’ You know what that is? It’s about surrender,” she added.

Harris also commented on Ukraine’s potential NATO membership, saying she would address the issue “if and when it arrives at that point.”

“Right now, we are supporting Ukraine‘s ability to defend itself against Russia’s unprovoked aggression,” she said. “There will be no success in ending that war without Ukraine and the UN charter participating in what that success looks like.”

We have even more from The Financial Times:

If vice-president Kamala Harris defeats Donald Trump in November, most of America’s allies will greet her victory with thinly veiled delight. “If she wins,” says an official from one of its long-standing Asian partners, “we will have a national holiday!” The official was barely joking, such are the worries in many capitals over the presumed unpredictability of a second Trump term.

Initial relief, however, over the prospect of a Harris administration would soon be followed by searching questions over her worldview and how it might differ from President Joe Biden’s. Her allies talk enthusiastically about how she, as America’s first post-baby boomer president, would bring fresh and “modern” thinking to America’s role in the world, and to a host of issues including the use of artificial intelligence and outer space for defence.

Her advisers also stress her doughty apprenticeship: in Biden’s four years in office she has met 150 heads of state, addressed the Munich Security Conference three times, and sat in on Biden’s key geopolitical telephone calls.

But she would come to the Oval Office with one of the least articulated visions of the world and America’s place in it of any incoming president in modern history. Partly because she entered the race late after the 81-year-old Biden stepped aside in July over concerns about his increasing frailty, and partly out of the caution of her campaign, there are just a few speeches by her to parse for clues into her thinking.

In the final month of campaigning in a tight race, Trump is seeking to paint the career prosecutor as too callow for a turbulent world. Her allies point to the hawkish note she struck in August when accepting her party’s presidential nomination. “I will ensure America always has the strongest, most lethal fighting force in the world,” she declared. The word “lethal” was all the more resonant given the traditional Republican charge that Democrats are “weak” on defence.

Beyond the public rhetoric, however, the contours of a philosophy are emerging. She is a “realist” or “pragmatist”, say people familiar with her thinking, though they add she bristles at being pigeonholed and likes to see herself as the consummate prosecutor probing propositions.

Like Biden — and indeed Trump — she would be instinctively cautious about deploying troops and reflexively standing by America’s post-1945 role as the world’s policeman. To understand a Harris foreign policy, says Patrick Gaspard, a former ambassador to South Africa who is now president of the liberal Center for American Progress think-tank and a veteran party strategist, you have to appreciate how Trump’s victory in 2016 turned American politics upside down and made it more inward-looking. It forced Democrats to tailor foreign policy far more to the concerns of ordinary people than was the case for much of the post-1945 era.

“Both parties used to say to voters, ‘You will eat the spinach of our trade deals.’ Well, Trump called time on that and said, ‘We won’t cut a single deal that isn’t about you,’” Gaspard says. “Harris would prioritise Main Street, and that affects how we would think about everything from climate to China. Unlike Trump, though, it would be a Main Street focus that isn’t about isolation.”

Allies of Harris insist she would not shrink from projecting force when America’s interests are under threat. “She understands you cannot protect America simply by shutting our doors and rolling up our tent,” says Senator Chris Murphy, a senior Democrat on the foreign relations committee.

In particular she would adhere to two pillars of Biden’s foreign policy — working with allies to prop up the battered foundations of the liberal international order, and maintaining pressure on Beijing via tariffs.

However, she would stop short of seeking to “decouple” from China’s economy, allies say.
But there would be a shift of tone and trajectory, confidants say, highlighting her age, roots and upbringing. Harris, 59, is the child of immigrants — her mother was born in India and her father in Jamaica — and she was brought up in California where she became the state’s attorney-general.

“She is of a different generation and background to Biden,” says David Rothkopf, a foreign-policy analyst who has been advocating for her since long before July when she replaced the president as the Democrats’ candidate. “She is not a baby boomer. She is post-cold war; she started working in 1990. If Biden’s economic origin story is the rustbelt, hers is Silicon Valley.”

Such a shift could affect a range of issues including most sensitively the one that has consumed so much of Biden’s last year: the Middle East.

Much more at the link.

Here’s yesterday’s reporting from The Telegraph on Russia’s expanding execution of Ukrainian POWs.

🇷🇺🇺🇦 Executions of Ukrainian prisoners of war by Vladimir Putin’s forces have surged this year, with a top Kyiv official warning it could indicate a shift in Russian policy

Read more 👇https://t.co/a3aps64mgP pic.twitter.com/o1kN7LWRns

— The Telegraph (@Telegraph) October 6, 2024

Executions of Ukrainian prisoners of war by Vladimir Putin’s forces have surged this year, with a top Kyiv official warning it could indicate a shift in Russian policy.

Some 80 per cent of the 93 prisoner executions recorded since the start of the war took place this year, Yuriy Belousov, the head of the prosecutor-general’s office, revealed on local TV.

Gruesome videos and photos that appear to show the killings are often circulated by war bloggers and Telegram accounts, becoming vital evidence for Ukraine’s investigations.

In a video circulated last week, a shirtless man kneels in a grave while being pushed around by a figure wearing a Russian military uniform with Wagner PMC patches.

A knife is pointed at his throat and he is forced to say: “Thank you, Uncle Zhenya Prigozhin, for raising such guys.” Prigozhin was the head of Russia’s infamous state-funded private military company Wagner, who died in a plane crash last year.

A second clip appears to show the back of the same man, shirtless and in army-green shorts, in a field.

The person filming declares the man is “sentenced to death” in the name of the Russian Federation, before two people open fire.

The Telegraph has not been able to independently verify the videos but Ukrainian authorities said they were investigating.

Last week, the prosecutor-general’s office announced it had opened an investigation into the “largest mass execution” since the start of the war, after 16 Ukrainian prisoners of war were killed in Donetsk.

Unverified videos appear to show captured Ukrainian soldiers emerging from a forested area and lining up, before Russian forces open fire. Russian soldiers then approach the wounded and shoot them again at close range.

Mr Belousov previously said it was hard to view the killings as isolated incidents because they had been carried out by different units and in different regions.

Instead, he claimed the rise suggested a “change at the policy level, maybe in the instructions the Russian military is receiving”. It could indicate the killings are “part of Russian policy”, he added.

The execution of prisoners of war is illegal under the Geneva Convention, which regulates the conduct of armed conflicts, with both parties obliged to treat captives humanely.

In September, Ukraine appealed to the International Committee of the Red Cross and the United Nations after a photo emerged allegedly showing a prisoner of war who had been executed with a sword by Russian forces.

In the photo, the bloodied body of a Ukrainian soldier lies on the floor with a sword sticking out of his abdomen. The words “for Kursk” are written on the blade.

The killings highlight the grim reality for Ukrainians in Russian captivity, as the United Nations warned of the “widespread and systematic torture” of prisoners of war.

A report released last week by the UN High Commissioner for Human Rights detailed the ill-treatment of hundreds of Ukrainian prisoners of war, and said there were indications detention facility supervisors were aware of the treatment and had the ability to prevent it.

Some public figures in Russia have “explicitly encouraged inhumane treatment, and even killing, of Ukrainian prisoners of war”, the report added.

Much more at the link.

Here’s more on the Feodosia oil terminal in Russian occupied Crimea:

«Images of Feodosia taken at 2:57 p.m. local time today show at least 10 fuel tanks were on fire at the time.» The photos were taken before more fuel tanks were reported to have exploded.https://t.co/iiOe5wa6d1 https://t.co/3OTU4LR3mo pic.twitter.com/qBM8XCcdH7

— Special Kherson Cat 🐈🇺🇦 (@bayraktar_1love) October 8, 2024

Feodosia, Russian marine oil terminal, another 2 fuel tanks exploded. https://t.co/fiIb9aSCjY https://t.co/fhnihStAWD pic.twitter.com/43iahvGs8t

— Special Kherson Cat 🐈🇺🇦 (@bayraktar_1love) October 8, 2024

First satellite image of the aftermath of strike on Russian marine oil terminal in Feodosia, Crimea. https://t.co/ORjLi8AKIx https://t.co/gnUWHspplv pic.twitter.com/TjkUNXFqmf

— Special Kherson Cat 🐈🇺🇦 (@bayraktar_1love) October 8, 2024

The left bank of the Dnipro, Russian occupied portion of Kherson Oblast:

Strikes on Russian positions on the left bank Kherson region.
(46.4737111, 32.2374789) https://t.co/nYFeaUDIQc pic.twitter.com/6T4qeDHwUa

— Special Kherson Cat 🐈🇺🇦 (@bayraktar_1love) October 8, 2024

That’s enough for tonight.

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Open thread!

War for Ukraine Day 958: A Lot to Cover TonightPost + Comments (21)

War for Ukraine Day 895: For Want of a Nail!!!!!!!

by Adam L Silverman|  August 6, 202410:09 pm| 24 Comments

This post is in: Foreign Affairs, Military, Open Threads, Saudi Arabia, Silverman on Security, War, War in Ukraine

Painting by NEIVANMADE. It has a white background an in the center are Soldiers in green doing air defense by firing at incoming Russian missiles in the upper right. The missiles are red and yellow. In the upper left, written in green, is the text: "SAVE THE BRAVEST PEOPLE IN THE WORLD!" Below the Soldiers, also written in green, is "SUPPORT FOR KHARKIV"

(Image by NEIVANMADE)

Two quick housekeeping notes. First, Rosie is still doing well after her treatment yesterday. Thank you all for the good thoughts, well wishes, prayers, and donations.

Second, tonight’s update is going to be terse, grim, and if you don’t want your mellow harshed from today’s domestic to the US news, you may want to pass on by.

As I start drafting tonight’s post – 8:50 PM EDT/3:50 AM local in Ukraine – Sumy and Kharkiv Oblasts in the east and the central/north-central oblasts of Ukraine are under air raid alert with a strike reported in Khmelnitskyi Oblast.

Shortly after I published last night’s update, which was right after the air raid alert in Kharkiv went back up, the Russian’s launched an Iskander barrage at Kharkiv City:

Explosion in Kharkiv ‼️

— Kate from Kharkiv (@BohuslavskaKate) August 6, 2024

❗️This morning, russian forces launched an Iskander missile strike at the heart of Kharkiv, damaging apartment buildings, a polyclinic, a student dormitory, and other civilian infrastructure. Currently, eight civilians are reported injured!

📷Nakypilo, Gwara media pic.twitter.com/9spZuBZLnW

— Iryna Voichuk (@IrynaVoichuk) August 6, 2024

❗️An eight-month-old infant is among eight injured in the recent russian missile strike on Kharkiv this morning!

📷Gwara media pic.twitter.com/a0iz3XwUf4

— Iryna Voichuk (@IrynaVoichuk) August 6, 2024

UPD. Kharkiv. A russian missile strike on the city resulted in one civilian death and 12 injuries. Rescue operations are ongoing, as there may still be people trapped beneath the rubble. pic.twitter.com/GNu47Aft2e

— Iryna Voichuk (@IrynaVoichuk) August 6, 2024

If you’re wondering why this keeps happening, why Ukraine can’t stop it from happening, part of the reason is going to hurt. One part, obviously, is because Putin and the Russian are undertaking a genocidal re-invasion of Ukraine. If Putin can take it Ukraine and Russianize it into the Ruskiy Mir, great. If not, he’ll destroy it, rebuild, and then repopulate it with real ethnic Russians from the Russian metropoles. The other part, however, is that President Biden has appointed the worst, most risk averse senior national security team possible, which has prevented Ukraine from actually using the weapons they’ve been provided from prosecuting legitimate military targets in Russia. Targets, that had they been targeted when Ukraine had the opportunity, would make it much, much, much harder for Russia to carry out its genocidal attacks on Ukrainian civilians. Forbes has the details: (emphasis mine)

For months, Ukrainian officials have been begging their foreign allies for permission to use the best donated weaponry—in particular, powerful ballistic missiles—to hit Russian warplanes that have been parking out in the open at airfields inside Russia within quick flying time of Ukrainian cities.

For months, those allies have demurred, citing the risk of escalation as Russia’s wider war on Ukraine grinds into its 29th month.

Clearly growing impatient, Ukrainian forces have stepped up their attacks on the most vulnerable Russian airfields—strictly deploying Ukrainian-made munitions. On Saturday, Ukrainian drones targeted Morozovsk air base in southern Russia 200 miles from the front line in eastern Ukraine.

According to the Ukrainian intelligence directorate, the drone raid destroyed a Russian air force Sukhoi Su-34 fighter-bomber, damaged two additional Su-34s and burned down an ammunition warehouse.

The directorate published satellite imagery of the base depicting what it described as “extensive areas of scorched earth” resulting from the ammo cooking off in the aftermath of the attack.

Since dropping its first crude glide bombs on Ukraine last year, the Russian air force has really embraced the satellite-guided munitions. Thanks to their pop-out wings, the hastily-built “KAB” glide bombs possess just enough range—25 miles or more, depending on the model—to allow Su-34 fighter-bombers to hit Ukrainian troops and civilians from beyond the range of the best Ukrainian air defenses.

Every day, the Russians drop as many as 100 KABs, some weighing more than three tons. “Unfortunately, in urban environments, their large and frequent use is highly effective,” Ukrainian analysis group Frontelligence Insight reported.

“Even though they are often imprecise, the sheer payload is enough to demolish or severely damage buildings, even if the KAB doesn’t hit the target directly,” Frontelligence Insight continued. “When buildings collapse, underground basements trap people inside, making rescue operations impossible, especially when the Russians conduct double and triple-tap attacks.”

As urban demolition weapons, the KABs have been a deciding factor in practically every recent Russian victory all along the 700-mile front line. “In the past, like in the battle for Bakhmut [last year], it sometimes took days for Russian artillery to damage buildings enough to force defenders to retreat,” Frontelligence Insight explained. “Now, entire buildings can collapse in seconds, rendering them useless for defensive purposes.”

It’s a top priority of the government in Kyiv to blunt the glide-bombing campaign by destroying the bombers, the bombs—or both.

There was a rare opportunity to deliver a major blow against the KAB infrastructure earlier this summer, when the Russian air force’s 47th Guards Bomber Aviation Regiment parked dozens of Su-34s—out of roughly 100 in service—in open at Voronezh Malshevo air base in southern Russia 100 miles from the border with Ukraine.

Voronezh Malshevo is a reasonably well-defended base, so the Ukrainians pleaded for permission to fire their best American-made Army Tactical Missile System rockets at the base. The ATACMs are almost impossible to intercept.

But the administration of U.S. Pres. Joe Biden said no. “Our policy has not changed,” Jake Sullivan, Biden’s national security advisor, told reporters last month. As before, Ukraine would only be allowed to fire ATACMS at targets in Russian-occupied Ukraine.

The Russians observed the heated diplomacy regarding ATACMS—and made a rare proactive decision to pull the Su-34s from Voronezh Malshevo and other border airfields.

“Between the second half of June and mid-July, Russian forces relocated a lion’s [share] of valuable military assets away from the border area with Ukraine,” Frontelligence Insight noted. The departure of Su-34s from Voronezh Malshevo was among “the most notable movements.”

Today many of the Su-34s are at bases hundreds of miles from the border. They’re not invulnerable to Ukrainian drones—the farthest-flying models range more than 1,000 miles.

But they are safe from most Ukrainian drones, as well as from the ATACMS, the most powerful of which range just 190 miles. If the White House ever grants permission for ATACMS raids on Russian bases, it might be too late. The most valuable targets may be too far away.

Obviously, a handful of Su-34s—as well as some stocks of KAB bombs—remain at border airfields such as Morozovsk: Ukraine just hit three of the planes plus their ammo.

But to end the glide-bombing campaign, Ukraine needs to destroy scores of Su-34s—not one or several. And smarter Russian deployments are making that harder to achieve.

For want of a nail!!!

I want to make another point here. The Biden administration has gone all in on an initiative to reduce and mitigate civilian harm. Secretary Austin issued a memo, which was followed by the creation of an action plan and then a DOD instruction. There is a heavy emphasis on protecting civilians. On working with allies and partners to do so. They even set up a Civilian Protection Center of Excellence as directed in the action plan. You know what the Biden administration is not doing? Not doing anything to help protect Ukrainian civilians. It is actively preventing Ukraine from protecting its own civilians. The hypocrisy, strategic malpractice, and risk aversion is overwhelming. We’re not talking about letting Ukraine attack Red Square or the Kremlin or the Winter Palace or even Putin’s mansion in Sochi. We’re talking about legitimate military targets that are targeting and killing Ukrainian civilians every single day! These absolutely unjustifiable decisions aren’t making anyone safer. Not the Ukrainians, not our NATO and EU allies and partners, and not Americans.

For want of a fucking nail!!!

Here is President Zelenskyy’s address from earlier today. Video below, English transcript after the jump.

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In July, Our Warriors Have Used More Drones Than the Occupier – Address by the President

6 August 2024 – 19:03

Dear Ukrainians!

Today, I held a meeting of the Staff. Several issues. The first issue is, of course, the front, the report of the Commander-in-Chief – he took part in the meeting directly from the frontline. He is right there. He reported on all directions of our actions. And the toughest ones are the Pokrovsk and Toretsk directions, as well as the Kharkiv region and all other combat directions – we leave none of them neglected. We are doing our best to support our units and destroy the occupier. I thank each of our combat brigades, all the soldiers and commanders who are destroying the enemy with all their might and, in particular, using our drone capabilities with precision. Our Ukrainian Defense and Security Forces are already gaining the upper hand in this regard – and in July, our warriors have used more drones than the occupier. This should be a steady trend at the front – for all types of drones our units have.

From FPVs to all the others, including our long-range drones, which are already having a strategic impact on the war. They are influencing it in Ukraine’s favor. And our Ukrainian lead in drones can not only be the factor that brings a just end to the war, but will also make Ukraine a security provider for other countries. Today, our Government officials from the Ministry of Strategic Industries and the Ministry of Finance also presented reports on drone production and financing. We have already contracted one million drones for this year, and more will follow in total within the year. We are not disclosing all the details now, but our drone production capabilities are steadily increasing, and we are working not only with state funding but also with partners, so that they invest in our drone production. Into something that is helping us defend ourselves now, and in the future, will help to keep safe all those who value life and who are now standing shoulder to shoulder with us. Also today, the Staff adopted a decision on our missile program – to increase funding. And separately, the Minister of Defense reported on the provision of our brigades with weapons and on relevant negotiations with our partners. I am grateful to all in the world who are truly willing to support us in the way we need to in order to achieve results now and in the future. The advantage of our warriors over the occupier is something we can all achieve together. Everyone who works for the sake of our independence in Ukraine. Everyone in the world, who truly values international law and wants to achieve a real, lasting, and just peace as soon as possible. The determination, courage, and support of Ukrainians now – the truly courageous decisions of our partners – is what guarantees that Russia will not succeed in imposing permanent chaos and wars on the world instead of normal life.

And one more thing.

Right now, a rescue operation is still underway in Kharkiv after the Russian strike. There are people under the rubble, and we are doing our utmost to help them. At the moment, we know that 12 people were injured. Unfortunately, one person died. My condolences to the families and friends.

All necessary forces are involved in the rescue operation. And we will certainly respond to Russia. Russian terror will inevitably be punished. And I thank everyone in the world who is helping Ukraine get closer to this goal.

Glory to Ukraine!

It is important to remember that the neo-fascist domestic British terrorism targeting migrants was fomented by an ongoing information warfare influence operation from Russian and Russian backed actors in the information environment.

“Russian state media were among those who falsely identified the suspect – who was charged overnight – as an asylum seeker who had arrived in the UK in a small boat.”—yes, but where did those false claims originate? Clue: it wasn’t St Petersburg. Suggest we look closer to home. https://t.co/qQR5hZNCeK

— Shashank Joshi (@shashj) August 5, 2024

From The Telegraph:

The Kremlin launched a disinformation campaign in March, spreading false claims that MI6 and other Western intelligence agencies were responsible for a terror attack in Moscow.

Asked whether Moscow’s attitude towards the UK was “as grave as you can recall”, Sir Richard replied: “Yes, I think it is at the moment, certainly towards the West.

“The Russians think they’re in an existential conflict with us. That’s my view of the international situation. I think we are slightly complacent, and I don’t think people necessarily understand the danger that we’re in.”

Sir Richard said he had “not specifically heard of” a fake news website called Channel3Now, which was behind the false information about the Southport attacker.

“Clearly, it’s one of the sources of this activity out of Russia,” he added. “I think the people running these [sites] have a pretty open instruction to exploit opportunities as they identify them.

“They’re not going to get clearance from Putin, but it’s part of the nature of their setup and how they operate … They’re not going to act with restraint.”

Sir Richard said his own email account had been targeted by Russian hackers, despite him no longer holding an intelligence role. “You can see the extent of the effort they’re prepared to put into these activities,” he added. “I can’t say I’m a strategically crucial person.”

Asked whether X, formerly Twitter, had become a “wild west” under the control of Elon Musk, its owner, Sir Richard said Mr Musk’s approach to the social media platform represented “a split in America between those who believe in control and … absolute freedom and anarchy”.

Lord Mann, the Government’s independent adviser on anti-Semitism, suggested on Wednesday that Sir Keir Starmer should take action to regulate X, writing: “The way Twitter is framing its algorithms towards violent extremism requires careful but decisive action from legislators. Online harm is back on the agenda.”

Russian backed actors that are being amplified by the Starlink Snowflake:

This is one where correspondence from community voices to X about the dangers of stoking disinformation could be a useful, reportable intervention

— Sunder Katwala (@sundersays) August 5, 2024

https://t.co/Ja2F3v42XT

— Sunder Katwala (@sundersays) August 5, 2024

Here’s a good rundown on how the Starlink Snowflake is being a useful idiot for Russia:

🧵🚨1/ It’s insane that @Elonmusk replied to @europeinvasionn’s tweet about UK riots. The account EuropeInvasionn, as I have stated many times now, is an influence operation. It’s a hijacked X account that exclusively deals in anti-migrant & anti-Muslim great replacement disinfo

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2/ EuropeInvasion was the most influential account spreading the false news that the attacker in #Southport was a Muslim. Arguably one of the biggest vectors in the disinfo potentially contributing to the violence in the UK
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3/ A day later, it was the most widely shared account spreading an unsubstantiated and unfounded rumour that a murder in Ipswich was conducted by a Somali immigrant.Image
4/ It has 387k followers and has only been tweeting since February. It used to be an account with the handle @makcanerkripto. It was event suspended briefly by Twitter last month but reinstated.
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5/ Musk also replies to the likes of @visegrad24 and @radiogenoa – similar accounts spreading racist bigotry. That Musk seems to think there will be civil war in UK or Europe is either because he follows such accounts, or because that’s a narrative he is keen to
promoteImage
6/ And by ‘insane’ I don’t mean ‘surprising’, I mean it’s absurd that he can do this and continue to get away with being a race baiting bigot. 
7/ And in this particular case, why this account. How did he come across it, or was he presented it? Understanding this would be important. 

If you want this stuff to stop, the only way to make it stop is for Russia to be defeated. It’s ability to wage conventional war, to use its conventional capabilities to make war on civilians in Ukraine in pursuit of Putin’s genocidal objectives, and its ability to wage political warfare, including information warfare, psychological operations, influence operations, and its ongoing wetwork campaign of assassination and sabotage. To do this you allow Ukraine to prosecute legitimate military targets. You actually put the defense industrial base on a war footing. You actually make significant investments in counterintelligence, counter-influence, and counter-political warfare capabilities and operations.

Or you can continue to do what the Biden administration is doing, which is lose the third world war and sacrifice Ukrainian lives while doing so.

The reason:

Love will win.

📹: @DPSU_ua pic.twitter.com/Qc4THBcLfx

— Defense of Ukraine (@DefenceU) August 6, 2024

Pokrovsk:

The situation in the Pokrovsk direction is critical, with defenses in several areas collapsed and yet to stabilize, largely due to a shortage of personnel. Diverting nearly a brigade to launch an assault on Kursk Oblast, which lacks strategic sense, borders on mental disability

— Tatarigami_UA (@Tatarigami_UA) August 6, 2024

Chasiv Yar:

Chasiv Yar.

The hellscape of Russian liberation. pic.twitter.com/SSkGGu9b3y

— Illia Ponomarenko 🇺🇦 (@IAPonomarenko) August 6, 2024

Soledar:

The Soledar direction: our warriors continue to destroy russian tanks.

📹: 10th Mountain Assault Brigade pic.twitter.com/HiGcMarNVL

— Defense of Ukraine (@DefenceU) August 6, 2024

Kyiv:

During Russian missile attack on Kyiv on the night of August 6, Russians again used North Korean ballistic missiles KN-23.

The missile fell in the forest next to the highway. From the place of fall of this missile to the center of Kyiv – about 20 km. https://t.co/jMYncid7Qc… https://t.co/l2I5cjpLZ1 pic.twitter.com/uj7GDDdcIL

— Special Kherson Cat 🐈🇺🇦 (@bayraktar_1love) August 6, 2024

Kherson Oblast:

🚨 #Kherson #DroneAttacks on the rise

🚨EXCLUSIVE 📹 #Russian drone chases civilian
caught on CCTV camera

Today, Russian drones attack civilians in Kherson region 20 times.

⚫ 1 killed
⚫ 12 injured
⚫ Homes invaded
⚫ Elderly targeted
⚫ Stores, gas stations hit

📢 pic.twitter.com/N1PymmMmaq

— Zarina Zabrisky 🇺🇸🇺🇦 (@ZarinaZabrisky) August 6, 2024

Russian occupied Crimea:

Crimean Telegram channels report explosions in the area of Oktyabrskoye airfield and the neighboring train station.

According to reports, the airfield no longer hosts aircraft but is used as an ammunitions warehouse.

Crimean “authorities” already closed down the railway between… pic.twitter.com/du9AD4gWPW

— Anton Gerashchenko (@Gerashchenko_en) August 6, 2024

Crimean Telegram channels report explosions in the area of Oktyabrskoye airfield and the neighboring train station.

According to reports, the airfield no longer hosts aircraft but is used as an ammunitions warehouse.

Crimean “authorities” already closed down the railway between Simferopol and Dzhankoi.

Kursk Oblast Russia:

2/https://t.co/0zNfc7Hw28

— Rob Lee (@RALee85) August 6, 2024

Some of the geolocated footage from today. 4/https://t.co/anyRN1eBN1 pic.twitter.com/AfkC0KBnUQ

— Rob Lee (@RALee85) August 6, 2024

Videos of Russian Lancet and Iskander strikes on a Buk-M1 TELAR and vehicles reportedly near the border. 6/https://t.co/zP54wARqulhttps://t.co/0jdat3oSp1https://t.co/vForFigLwNhttps://t.co/uGQz5NnW29 pic.twitter.com/Mk3EEshHcB

— Rob Lee (@RALee85) August 6, 2024

More from Rob Lee:

Some early thoughts about this operation. The most important factor in the war right now is Russia’s manpower and force availability advantage, in particular with infantry. That is the primary reason why Ukraine is struggling to hold back Russian advances in Donetsk oblast. Russia’s Kharkiv offensive further stretched Ukraine’s reserves, which means Ukrainian commanders have limited forces to reinforce units that are under pressure or to stop breakthroughs. 
The situation on the Pokrovsk and Toretsk fronts is serious. The war has not seen large swings of the front line since 2022, but Russia’s advances on the Pokrovsk front over the past three weeks have been relatively rapid for the 2023-2024 period. So the question is how this operation will affect the fighting elsewhere and whether these forces could have been employed more effectively in Donetsk oblast. 2/ 
Compared to previous crossborder operations, this one is notable in that it appears to involve Ukrainian conventional forces and not just from GUR. Ukraine likely also is not able to employ HIMARS in support of the operation because the US only authorized strikes in Belgorod oblast relevant to Russia’s Kharkiv offensive. 3/ 
Ultimately, the two previous large crossborder operations in May-June 2023 and March 2024 had little effect on the fighting on the priority axes. The 2023 operation caught Russia by surprise and may have been a relatively effective economy of force mission (though it did not force Russia to redeploy significant forces from priority areas) but the March 2024 operation was far less successful. 4/ 
Since then, Russia stood up a Northern Group of Forces leading the Kharkiv offensive, and has strengthened its forces on the border. So Russia already has greater forces/conventional capabilities in the area, better command and control, and it has conscript units that can be deployed, which are not used in Ukraine. It is unlikely this operation will force Russia to pull significant forces from Ukraine. 5/ 
Russia has improved its dynamic targeting with persistent ISR coverage from UAVs behind Ukrainian lines, which are used to locate targets for Lancets, Krasnopol, Iskander-M, and other PGMs. Russian UAV footage of Ukrainian units moving across the border suggests this problem has not been solved, which can make it dangerous to mass armor. 6/ 
A limited operation might be able to achieve limited goals, but a more ambitious operation carries greater risks. It is unlikely this operation will have a significant effect on the course of the war, and previous crossborder operations did not have serious domestic political ramifications for Putin. 7/ 
We only have limited information right now and the size and scope of the operation isn’t clear, but largescale crossborder operations are more difficult now than they were in 2023 and Russia continues to advance in the Donbas. 8/

https://t.co/C8NGg5WbjX

Russians have advanced another 500 to 1000 meters in western Niu-York.

Considering how calm the Russians climbing on the roof are, it’s safe to say that there are no Ukrainians nearby.

48.3365, 37.8234 pic.twitter.com/ctFobyRcL4

— John Helin (@J_JHelin) August 6, 2024

And Tataragami’s take:

You need to consider the broader theater. The Russians are holding there their reserve forces, including guards battalions for logistics bases, conscripts, territorial defense units, FSB rapid reaction forces, and some leftover units from the previously planned Sumy operation.…

— Tatarigami_UA (@Tatarigami_UA) August 6, 2024

You need to consider the broader theater. The Russians are holding there their reserve forces, including guards battalions for logistics bases, conscripts, territorial defense units, FSB rapid reaction forces, and some leftover units from the previously planned Sumy operation. None of these will affect the main strategic direction – Donetsk oblast. We’re losing ground in key areas like New York and Toretsk right now, with Russian forces pushing closer to Pokrovsk. Yet, we are talking about some secondary rear units in Kursk Oblast, which affect the situation on the frontlines where it matters

They have reserves there, which they will deploy, and I have been tracking them since spring. I don’t foresee the Russians needing to redeploy resources from Donetsk oblast. They may bring in additional reserves from Bryansk or Belgorod Oblast, but this won’t affect Donbas

— Tatarigami_UA (@Tatarigami_UA) August 6, 2024

It is possible this is some type of MIL-DEC (military deception) operation or part of a Maskirovka strategy to divert attention from and provide cover for something else the Ukrainians are doing. But I agree with both Tatarigami and Lee, this doesn’t make a lot of sense and is unlikely to yield any significant gains all while diverting precious resources from where they’re needed in the eastern theater.

More from Morosovsk airfield:

This what happens when a highly-motivated (and really fucking angry) power of the good delivers true justice on behalf of the innocent under attack.

— Illia Ponomarenko 🇺🇦 (@IAPonomarenko) August 6, 2024

So here’s a Russian Sukhoi Su-34 jet destroyed in a Ukrainian attack at Russia’s Morozovsk airbase.

Yes, imagine your reaction if someone had told you on February 24, 2022, that 895 days on, Ukraine would be raiding Russia’s Kursk Oblast (although we have a lot of questions),… pic.twitter.com/AQehfOh5Eb

— Illia Ponomarenko 🇺🇦 (@IAPonomarenko) August 6, 2024

So here’s a Russian Sukhoi Su-34 jet destroyed in a Ukrainian attack at Russia’s Morozovsk airbase.

Yes, imagine your reaction if someone had told you on February 24, 2022, that 895 days on, Ukraine would be raiding Russia’s Kursk Oblast (although we have a lot of questions), annihilating Russian airbases and oil refineries, and celebrating the acquiring of Western-provided F-16s.

The aftermath of the attack on the Russian military airfield Morozovsk in the Rostov region.

Remains of destroyed air bombs and missiles.

Ukraine is effectively destroying military facilities in Russia while Russia is killing civilians in Ukraine pic.twitter.com/i71hmzkn8s

— Денис Казанський (@den_kazansky) August 6, 2024

It looks impressive, but the Ukrainians were only able to kill one Su-34. A month and a half ago they had the chance to get the majority of them, if not all of them but were told no by the Biden administration. They won’t get that chance again any time soon if ever. How many Ukrainians have been killed or wounded in glide bomb and cruise missile attacks in the past 45 days? How much Ukrainian infrastructure? Yes, the Russians are responsible for that. The Biden administration is responsible for not letting the Ukrainians try to prevent it.

That’s enough for tonight.

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Open thread!

War for Ukraine Day 895: For Want of a Nail!!!!!!!Post + Comments (24)

War for Ukraine Day 781: A Brief(ish) Sunday Night Update

by Adam L Silverman|  April 14, 20247:45 pm| 63 Comments

This post is in: Foreign Affairs, Foreign Policy, Iran, Israel, Military, Open Threads, Russia, Saudi Arabia, Silverman on Security, United Kingdom, War, War in Ukraine

Painting by NEIVANMADE. It has a white background an in the center are Soldiers in green doing air defense by firing at incoming Russian missiles in the upper right. The missiles are red and yellow. In the upper left, written in green, is the text: "SAVE THE BRAVEST PEOPLE IN THE WORLD!" Below the Soldiers, also written in green, is "SUPPORT FOR KHARKIV"

(Image by NEIVANMADE)

I chose not to do an update on Israel and Iran because there’s not much to say. The US assembled a coalition with the British, French, Jordanians, and Saudis to either take down Iranian drones and missiles that were overflying their airspaces (the Jordanians and Saudis) or to just shoot them down en route regardless of whose air space they were in (the US, Britain, and France). There was only one Israeli casualty – a 7 year old Bedouin girl was injured and is being treated in an Israel hospital – and minimal damage to the bases in the Golan and the Negev. President Biden apparently got Bibi to not immediately retaliate, thereby lowering the temperature. At the same time he laid it on thick telling Bibi that this was a huge victory for Israel, demonstrated how Israel can defend itself, and that Bibi should take the win. The reality is that had the US and the coalition the Biden administration had not quickly put together interceded, we have no idea whether Israel’s air defense and missile defense would have been effective enough. Because of the intervention of the US led coalition, we don’t really know how effective the David’s Arrow and David’s sling missile defense systems are.

Ukraine condemns Iran’s attack on Israel using “Shahed” drones and missiles. We in Ukraine know very well the horror of similar attacks by Russia, which uses the same “Shahed” drones and Russian missiles, the same tactics of mass air strikes.

Every effort must be made to prevent…

— Volodymyr Zelenskyy / Володимир Зеленський (@ZelenskyyUa) April 14, 2024

Ukraine condemns Iran’s attack on Israel using “Shahed” drones and missiles. We in Ukraine know very well the horror of similar attacks by Russia, which uses the same “Shahed” drones and Russian missiles, the same tactics of mass air strikes.

Every effort must be made to prevent a further escalation in the Middle East. Iran’s actions threaten the entire region and the world, just as Russia’s actions threaten a larger conflict, and the obvious collaboration between the two regimes in spreading terror must face a resolute and united response from the world.

The sound of “Shahed” drones, a tool of terror, is the same in the skies over the Middle East and Europe. This sound must serve as a wake-up call to the free world, demonstrating that only our unity and resoluteness can save lives and prevent the spread of terror worldwide.

The world cannot wait for discussions to go on. Words do not stop drones and do not intercept missiles. Only tangible assistance does. The assistance we are anticipating. We must strengthen security and resolutely counter all those who want to make terror a new normal.

It is critical that the United States Congress make the necessary decisions to strengthen America’s allies at this critical time.

 

Difference is that in Ukraine it sometimes happens on a daily basis https://t.co/EyRpJNOd0H

— Anne Applebaum (@anneapplebaum) April 14, 2024

We do know that modern fighter jets are a necessary component of anti-drone and anti-missile defense. While they already knew this, the Ukrainians have again taken note of this reality. And that at the end of the day, despite all the rhetoric, they are on their own. No one is going to launch fighters to intercept inbound drones and missiles targeting Ukrainian civilians and civilian infrastructure. And because the Biden administration dithered, hemmed, hawed, and let Putin have a say in their deliberations, the Ukrainians are still month’s away from getting F-16s. Israel does something strategically stupid and it gets all the help it needs. Ukraine fights for its life and gets fuck all.

As of right now, 7:09 PM EDT, the only air raid alerts are the ones over Russian occupied Luhansk and Crimea.

While the US was leading a coalition to defend Israel, the Russians once again bombarded Kharkiv:

Russian troops struck a private house in Kharkiv Oblast with an air bomb, resulting in the deaths of a couple living there. A 61-year-old woman and a 68-year-old man were killed, buried beneath the rubble of their home. pic.twitter.com/CCpdhnvlK0

— Iryna Voichuk (@IrynaVoichuk) April 14, 2024

Dnipro was also targeted again today. Unfortunately I can’t embed the tweet with video from Iulia Mendel because it is one of the ones that won’t embed because Musk has manipulated the code to target certain types of posts about Ukraine.

Here is President Zelenskyy’s address from earlier today. Video below, English transcript after the jump.

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Assistance to Ukraine is Still Limited, and Russia Still Has Access to Missile Components – Address by the President

14 April 2024 – 20:39

I wish you health, fellow Ukrainians!

This day, just as every day of this war, began with the results of our defenders of the sky. Last night, they managed to shoot down 10 “Shahed” drones out of 10 used by the Russians. I am grateful to all our warriors of the mobile firing groups and all other defenders of the sky. In total, Russian terrorists have already used almost 130 “Shahed” drones against Ukraine this week. Fortunately, we managed to shoot down most of them. They also used more than 80 Russian missiles and almost 700 guided aerial bombs. Unfortunately, it is much more difficult to destroy them. And these are the numbers for this one week only.

Today missiles and drones were used again. Dnipro and Nikopol, Pokrovsk and other cities in the Donetsk region, Kharkiv, Kherson, and Sumy regions. There are casualties and, unfortunately, fatalities. My condolences to all those who have lost their loved ones.

Russia uses every day, week and month to inflict significant damage. Unfortunately, assistance to Ukraine is still limited, and the Russian state still has access to critical components needed to produce missiles and drones. Each missile targeting Ukraine contains at least dozens of components – electronics, chips – supplied by companies from other countries and imported through the territory of Russia’s neighbors. The “Shahed” drones also contain components produced in the free world. All of this must and can be stopped: the connivance at terror, the ability of terrorists to seek accomplices around the world, and all forms of Russian terror itself.

Modern aviation proves its effectiveness, modern air defense systems are capable of protecting lives – this was demonstrated in the Middle East when aviation and air defense shot down Iranian missiles and “Shahed” drones aimed at Israel. The whole world sees what real defense is. It sees that it is feasible. And the whole world saw that Israel was not alone in this defense – the threat in the sky was also being eliminated by its allies. And when Ukraine tells its allies that unity provides the best defense, they are already well aware of its effectiveness. They are aware of it and ensure it. And when Ukraine says that its allies should not turn a blind eye to Russian missiles and drones, it means action is needed – a bold one.

It is not rhetoric that protects the sky, it is not opinions that curb the production of missiles and drones for terror. And the fact that sanctions against Russia are still being circumvented, and that we in Ukraine have been waiting for months for a vital support package – that we are still waiting for a vote in Congress – shows that the terrorists’ confidence has been on the rise for months as well. We cannot waste any more time.

Real protection of life must be ensured wherever there is a terrorist threat to it. Everything must be done to prevent evil and wars from spreading across the world – in Europe, the Middle East, or anywhere else. I thank everyone who understands this. Everyone who can protect life must do so. Everyone who can restrict the potential of terror must do so. Ukraine, the Middle East, and all other parts of the world equally deserve a just and lasting peace.

And one more thing. The frontline. The situation at the front in such a fierce war is always tough. But these days – especially in the Donetsk sector – it is aggravating. I am grateful to every brigade, every soldier and commander who are doing everything to defend our positions and who are destroying the occupier. This week, I am especially grateful to the 58th separate motorized infantry brigade, the 68th separate jaeger brigade, and the 148th separate artillery brigade of the Ukrainian Air Assault Forces – its warriors are unfailingly effective. And this week was the 148th brigade’s day. My congratulations to you guys, thank you! I am also thankful to the 55th Zaporizhzhia Sich separate artillery brigade. Well done! It is also worth mentioning the Defense Intelligence of Ukraine – the Kraken and Artan units and the 9th Department of the Defense Intelligence of Ukraine. I am proud of you!

Glory to all who contribute to Ukraine’s defense against Russian terror! Glory to everyone who makes our country stronger. I thank everyone in the world who helps!

Glory to Ukraine!

Here is an interview with Ukraine’s Foreign Ministry Dmytro Kuleba. I have the closed captioning on and set to English:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=x4k1nJ86tdM

The price:

Yana Stepanenko running the Boston marathon!

Unbreakable spirit! Glory to Yana! https://t.co/iGEToFtHdu pic.twitter.com/rSyS7dlG0I

— Anton Gerashchenko (@Gerashchenko_en) April 14, 2024

Here’s more on how the US is being perceived in Ukraine:

To the hundreds of bots or trolls saying Ukraine is a pawn in US game:

Whatever the level of disappointment and abandonment we may feel about our partners, this will never distort the sole party to blame for the war and Ukraine’s suffering: Russia and its people.

So fuck off.

— Stas Olenchenko 🇺🇦 (@StasOlenchenko) April 14, 2024

3. Nobody pushed Ukrainians to resist. It was Ukraine’s resistance that pushed the West to review their Russia policies and support us.
4. The only way forward is to keep supporting Ukraine’s Armed Forces, build stronger bonds and keep working to victory.
5. Russia will fall.

— Stas Olenchenko 🇺🇦 (@StasOlenchenko) April 14, 2024

To wit👇.

The reality is that while Ukraine is less of an ally than Israel, it is Israel that causes greater inconvenience.

The strategic stakes are great in Israel/Palestine, but they’re greater in Ukraine. Failing to contain Russia will make Iran seem like child’s play. https://t.co/Ig0wz7khhp

— Sam Greene (@samagreene) April 14, 2024

Expect Russia to ramp up attacks in Ukraine in order to drive home the point.

The question is whether Washington will persist in compartmentalizing these conflicts, or whether it will recognize its strategic priorities, rein in Bibi, and redouble its resolve in Ukraine.

— Sam Greene (@samagreene) April 14, 2024

Dipshit, ineffective, self promoting Democratic campaign operatives need to shut the fuck up.

We see the blockade by Johnson/MAGA.

However, please understand that America’s partisanship issues won’t matter much if Ukraine gets abandoned & exterminated by Russia.

If the US is a functional democracy and a leader of the free world, it has to find workarounds & solutions.

— Stas Olenchenko 🇺🇦 (@StasOlenchenko) April 14, 2024

The interception of Iranian missiles and drones by American and British air defense systems over Israel is very showing.

On one side, Russia has been attacking Ukraine for two years using various means, ranging from cruise missiles to gliding bombs and drones, including those…

— WarTranslated (@wartranslated) April 14, 2024

The interception of Iranian missiles and drones by American and British air defense systems over Israel is very showing.

On one side, Russia has been attacking Ukraine for two years using various means, ranging from cruise missiles to gliding bombs and drones, including those supplied by Iran. Despite this, Ukraine stands alone in defending itself against these deadly assaults, with neighboring NATO countries even tolerating Russian provocations with missiles flying into NATO airspace, and no one takes them out.

Meanwhile, the close alliance between Russia and Iran, the “new Axis,” is evident. Yet, targeted strikes against Iran, including its top military figures, are carried out regularly and effectively.

The disparity between Iran and Russia is not vast, except for one crucial aspect: Russia possesses huge nuclear arsenals and frequently employs them in nuclear blackmail. While the West states how it is hesitant to engage in direct conflict with Russia to avoid direct confrontation, it seems more willing to confront Iran.

Concerningly, the West is trembling before Russian nuclear blackmail and will continue being intimidated. And of course, this does not mean that the Americans and the British should have avoided helping Israel (which is not in NATO, like Ukraine), that’s not the point.

No, the issue is that Ukraine’s so-called allies have to be begged to provide defence to protect the vital energy infrastructure, while to others, the aid is handed out without any hesitation.

Speaking of the Starlink Snowflake, the Russian neo-NAZIs are very fond of him:

I mean, it’s just a violent neo-Nazi group known for committing brutal atrocities against Ukrainians and openly propagating racial hatred and Russian white supremacy – not a big deal.

— Illia Ponomarenko 🇺🇦 (@IAPonomarenko) April 14, 2024

Chasiv Yar:

Commander-in-Chief Syrskyi says Russia set a goal of capturing Chasiv Yar by 9 May ("Victory Day" in Russia), in line with the future targets of reaching Kramatorks agglomeration (where Ukrainian Eastern HQ is located).

Full message:

"I worked in another, very important and… pic.twitter.com/kendjcYQks

— WarTranslated (@wartranslated) April 14, 2024

Commander-in-Chief Syrskyi says Russia set a goal of capturing Chasiv Yar by 9 May (“Victory Day” in Russia), in line with the future targets of reaching Kramatorks agglomeration (where Ukrainian Eastern HQ is located).

Full message:

“I worked in another, very important and dangerous direction.

The enemy is also concentrating efforts to break through our defenses west of Bakhmut, to reach the Siverskyi Donets – Donbas canal, capture the settlement of Chasiv Yar, and create conditions for further advance to the Kramatorsk agglomeration.

The implementation of the enemy’s plans is hindered by the heroic defense of our brigades, which literally dug into the ground, holding back the enemy’s daily attacks. Using numerical superiority and various motivational factors, including shootings [of their own], separate groups of enemy infantry reached the “Noviy” district, but were destroyed by FPV-kamikaze strikes and artillery fire.

At the same time, the threat remains relevant, taking into account the fact that the higher Russian military leadership has set the task for its troops to capture Chasiv Yar by May 9.

In order to respond adequately to the actions of the enemy and strengthen the defense of our troops in this direction, measures were taken to significantly strengthen the brigades with ammunition, drones, and EW devices.

The main conclusion from the two-day work at the front is the need to improve the quality of training, including the moral and psychological component, to increase the number of high-tech unmanned systems of various purposes with trained operators, to improve the quality of conducting asymmetric operations in order to reduce the combat potential of the enemy.

We continue to carry out organisational activities with an emphasis on increasing the efficiency of management, eliminating duplication, directing freed resources to support combat units and units.

The main task of these measures is to increase the fighting capacity of our troops, save the lives of our soldiers, disrupt the enemy’s plans, and ensure the preparation of reserves.

The fight continues!
Glory to Ukraine!”

https://t.me/osirskiy/652

Novomykhailivka:

Two russian BTR-82 APCs tried to attack Ukrainian positions near Novomykhailivka, but something went wrong.

📹: 79th Air Assault Brigade pic.twitter.com/WVuBFDFP7h

— Defense of Ukraine (@DefenceU) April 14, 2024

Antonivka Village:

russian Buk air defense system explode like a firework near the Antonivka village.

📹: Khortytsia operational-strategic group pic.twitter.com/4OzkiiMmRE

— Defense of Ukraine (@DefenceU) April 14, 2024

 

That’s enough for tonight.

Your daily Patron!

No new Patron tweets tonight and I’m saving the video for tomorrow. So here’s some adjacent material:

Please watch this story of Rex the dog.

His home was ruined by Russian shelling, and Rex was trapped inside by the debris. Rex's owner was injured, his daughter took him to the hospital (the ambulance couldn't get there because the shelling was that intense).

Volunteers rescued… pic.twitter.com/gT0Psage8v

— Anton Gerashchenko (@Gerashchenko_en) April 14, 2024

Please watch this story of Rex the dog.

His home was ruined by Russian shelling, and Rex was trapped inside by the debris. Rex’s owner was injured, his daughter took him to the hospital (the ambulance couldn’t get there because the shelling was that intense).

Volunteers rescued Rex and brought him to Kharkiv.

Rex’s owners kept looking for him, and finally, they were reunited.

This is what we're fighting for. pic.twitter.com/71ZfmYq9BK

— Anton Gerashchenko (@Gerashchenko_en) April 14, 2024

War for Ukraine Day 781: A Brief(ish) Sunday Night UpdatePost + Comments (63)

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