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Balloon Juice

Come for the politics, stay for the snark.

Beware of advice from anyone for whom Democrats are “they” and not “we.”

Every decision we make has lots of baggage with it, known or unknown.

Hot air and ill-informed banter

Well, whatever it is, it’s better than being a Republican.

We can show the world that autocracy can be defeated.

Disappointing to see gov. newsom with his finger to the wind.

The republican speaker is a slippery little devil.

White supremacy is terrorism.

The worst democrat is better than the best republican.

Radicalized white males who support Trump are pitching a tent in the abyss.

This has so much WTF written all over it that it is hard to comprehend.

Giving up is unforgivable.

This chaos was totally avoidable.

Keep the Immigrants and deport the fascists!

Fucking consultants! (of the political variety)

Today’s gop: why go just far enough when too far is right there?

Marge, god is saying you’re stupid.

You come for women, you’re gonna get your ass kicked.

That’s my take and I am available for criticism at this time.

Whatever happens next week, the fight doesn’t end.

My right to basic bodily autonomy is not on the table. that’s the new deal.

The willow is too close to the house.

Cancel the cowardly Times and Post and set up an equivalent monthly donation to ProPublica.

You don’t get rid of your umbrella while it’s still raining.

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Open Thread:  Hey Lurkers!  (Holiday Post)

Open Threads

You are here: Home / Archives for Open Threads

Throwing Out the Baby with the Bathwater?

by WaterGirl|  August 5, 202512:20 pm| 145 Comments

This post is in: Open Threads

I think a lot of us are still reeling from the devastation, leading us to us to tend to be rigid instead of being able to perceive nuance.

I have said this before – I believe there is not just one true faith and that there is not just one reason we landed in the shitty place we’re in.  It was a perfect storm, change any one of them and we would have squeaked by with a narrow victory.  But now we’re in the shitty place, and our primary goal needs to be getting out of the shitty place we’re in.  When the house is on fire, your only goal is to get everyone out of the house alive; if you don’t make it out of the fire, then nothing else matters.

It seems to me that the most important thing right now is getting 51 seats in the Senate and a bunch more seats in the house.  Let me be clear, that does not mean I’m wiling to sacrifice anyone’s human rights to get those seats, but it does mean that we have to work with allies that have the same end goal, even if the members of the coalition have a 100 different priorities they feel are most important.

When you’re at war, you don’t throw out the experienced general because they are older than you like, or they said or did something you don’t like, or because they made a mistake about something. Age is definitely a consideration, and I am more than tired of the seniority system that rewards attendance over performance.

And yes, the median age of elected Democrats in the House and the Senate is too high.  But that doesn’t mean we shouldn’t be thrilled that it looks like there’s a good chance that Sherrod Brown will run for the Senate in 2026, regardless of his age, because he is our best shot.  The same thing is true for some of our other leaders.  Age should be a consideration, but not the only consideration.

What we need to do FIRST IS WIN.

Unlike the other side, we are intellectually sophisticated enough to understand and accept the need for nuance.  In a crisis, it’s human nature to become more rigid.  The more threatened I feel, the more rigid I become, and I know I’m not alone in that.

So I think we need to fight that tendency to be rigid in our thinking. At every level, we need to be more flexible.  I think that could be our secret weapon, if we can embrace it.

I met my best friend at work – we both worked in the same unit at the University.  At performance review time, we had to review ourselves and then turn that in to our bosses, and then they reviewed us.  Tina always said that there were plenty of people who would criticize or tear you down, and she wasn’t going to help them in the process by giving herself bad marks on anything.   There was a lot of wisdom in that, I thought, and I would apply the Tina Principle to the situation we’re in.

The fact that we lost does not mean that we weren’t doing a lot of the right things.  It doesn’t mean that our messaging was terrible.  It doesn’t mean that the Democratic party is broken.  It doesn’t mean that we have to change everything.

Yes, we lost.  It’s mind-blowingly awful.  But there were a lot of foreign actors with their thumbs on the scale, and I believe the election could have gone the other way, and likely would have gone the other way, without all the bad actors.  Russia.  Israel.  Hamas.

I want to come back to a point that Another Scott made recently, which is that many of the presidential elections for the last 25 years or so have been pretty close.  A third party candidate here.  Hanging chads there.  A series of slim wins and slim losses on both sides.

I simply do not think that our loss in November means the Democratic party is broken and that we have to throw half of the Dems overboard.  Yes, the mean age of Democratic elected officials is too high.   I don’t think we need to change course as much as we need to do some changing with the times, particularly with respect to how we get our message out in the age of not just social media, but corrupt social media and mainstream media.

Speaking of flexibility, I think the consultants and the fundraising machines are blind to the fact that they have taken things too far, and that what was once a good approach is no longer working.  They cry wolf a thousand times a day, and crying wolf even louder and more frequently is not working.  That’s a course correction I can get behind.

We talked about fairness in yesterday’s post, Democrats: Making Your Life Better.

The smart move is to learn the right lessons from our loss, and learn from what has come since then, but we will surely lose if we continue to shiv our allies and throw the baby out with the bathwater.

Even here, sometimes we resemble dogs with their hackles up, and once those hackles go up, it’s hard to have any outcome besides a fight.  Maybe learning to recognize when we are being rigid would be a good first move.

Throwing Out the Baby with the Bathwater?Post + Comments (145)

Good News for Democrats Open Thread: Sherrod Brown

by Anne Laurie|  August 5, 202511:24 am| 70 Comments

This post is in: Local Races, Open Threads, Proud to Be A Democrat

I feel like Sherrod Brown had to have seen some good data if he really is getting involved in that Senate race
www.axios.com/2025/08/04/sherrod-brown-ohio-senate-race-husted

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— David Dayen (@ddayen.bsky.social) August 4, 2025 at 6:23 PM

Former Sen. Sherrod Brown (D-Ohio) is interviewing campaign managers for a 2026 comeback bid, a clear indication that he’s preparing to jump into the race to defeat Sen. Jon Husted (R-Ohio), according to three people familiar with the matter.

Why it matters: Brown would be another marquee recruit for Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer (D-N.Y.), who made two trips to Ohio this summer to persuade Brown to enter the race…

Zoom in: While Ohio has been viewed as a stretch target for the party next year, Brown’s entrance into the race would immediately boost Democratic chances.

– Brown, a three-term senator, lost Ohio by under four percentage points in 2024, when Vice President Harris lost to President Trump by 11 percentage points.

– If he makes a final decision to enter the race, Brown would join former North Carolina Gov. Roy Cooper, who announced his Senate campaign last week, as two of Schumer’s top prospects to eat into the GOP’s margins in 2026…

Zoom out: Schumer knows that Brown is likely his best shot at running a competitive campaign in Ohio next year, as the state moves away from the Democratic Party.

– Brown, 72, would face Husted, 57, who was appointed to fill the vacant seat created when JD Vance resigned from the Senate to serve as vice president…

Well that's about the absolute best possible news.

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— Schnorkles O'Bork (@schnorkles.bsky.social) August 4, 2025 at 6:19 PM

===

Ohio slides into very competitive pretty easily if Brown is running in an off-year that's Dem favored.

— Schnorkles O'Bork (@schnorkles.bsky.social) August 4, 2025 at 6:20 PM

===

I think people who are complaining that Sherrod Brown is old should stfu and realize that a turnip is better than a continued republican majority, and if he's the best and strongest candidate in Ohio (he is) then fucking put him on the ticket.

— Schnorkles O'Bork (@schnorkles.bsky.social) August 4, 2025 at 6:36 PM

===

Reminder:

Y’all chose this over Sherrod Brown. Come on, Ohio. Really?

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— Sherrilyn Ifill (@sifill.bsky.social) August 2, 2025 at 8:43 PM

===

Sherrod Brown was on the Senate Banking Committee and skeptical of crypto. Bernie Moreno was/is a luxury car dealer with questionable campaign finance practices, on the ballot solely to favor crypto, and no interest in helping other than rich Ohioans.

— Joe Sabol Farm (@sabolfarm.bsky.social) August 2, 2025 at 9:52 PM

Good News for Democrats Open Thread: Sherrod BrownPost + Comments (70)

Tuesday Morning Open Thread: Now Comes ‘Finding Out’

by Anne Laurie|  August 5, 20256:37 am| 174 Comments

This post is in: Open Threads, Proud to Be A Democrat, Show Us on the Doll Where the Invisible Hand Touched You, Trump Crime Cartel

Finally, a united nation.

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— Kevin M. Kruse (@kevinmkruse.bsky.social) August 4, 2025 at 7:38 PM

===

About half of all Americans say the cost of groceries is a “major” source of stress in their life right now, while 33% say it’s a “minor” source of stress, according to the poll from The Associated Press-NORC Center for Public Affairs Research. buff.ly/vvM9ItD

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— PBS News (@pbsnews.org) August 4, 2025 at 1:22 PM

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A group of well-known Washington lawyers is opening a law firm focused on challenging President Donald Trump’s executive orders and agency actions as he strives to dramatically reshape the federal government during his second term.

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— CNN (@cnn.com) August 4, 2025 at 9:18 PM

===

DOJ is walking back the White House’s goal to arrest 3,000 immigrants per day
It’s another discrepancy between what White House advisers say and the administration’s legal posture.
www.politico.com/news/2025/08…

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— Lauren Ashley Davis (@laurenmeidasa.bsky.social) August 3, 2025 at 10:43 AM

===

Donald Trump talked a big game on the economy, promising a new “Golden Era.”
But unemployment is up.
Economic growth has slowed.
Inflation is increasing.
This is the ugly reality of Trump’s economy.

— Elizabeth Warren (@warren.senate.gov) August 3, 2025 at 12:53 PM

===

This is why Donald is crying about Elizabeth Warren.

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— LOLGOP (@thefarce.org) August 4, 2025 at 12:22 PM

Tuesday Morning Open Thread: Now Comes ‘Finding Out’Post + Comments (174)

Monday Night Music Thread

by WaterGirl|  August 4, 202510:00 pm| 64 Comments

This post is in: Music, Open Threads

One of my favorite music threads was based on an image that eclare had commented on one day.  The image evoked a song, and we jumped off from there.  I go back to that post sometimes on my iPad when I go to bed.  A song from simpler times, and there’s something about the rhythm or the syncopation that sounds like the clomping of horse hooves hitting the ground, and I find it a comfort in these times.

Here’s a link to that thread if you’re interested.

Friday Night Music Thread

Anyway, I  thought we might try it again with this amazing image from BigJimSlade.

It feels magical to me, like  something out of a fairytale or a dream.

On The Road - BigJimSlade - Alps 2025 - Milan, Saas-Fee, Chamonix and Courmayeur, part the last (11) 1
Image by BigJimSlade (8/4/25)

I can imagine hobbits walking through there, but I doubt we know any of the songs they would have been singing.  (Someone will surely prove me wrong here by knowing about some hobbit lore that talks about the songs they sang.)

Is there music that goes with this image?  Hard rock?   (I’ll show myself out.)   Snow-capped mountains, blue skies, daisies,  beauty, dreams?  Seems like there could be a lot to work with.

Open thread.

Monday Night Music ThreadPost + Comments (64)

War for Ukraine Day 1,257: A Brief Monday Night Update

by Adam L Silverman|  August 4, 20258:42 pm| 10 Comments

This post is in: Foreign Affairs, Foreign Policy, Military, Open Threads, Russia, Silverman on Security, War, War in Ukraine

A painting by the Ukrainain artist NEIVANMADE. The upper 1/2 is grey and there are black Shahed drones on it aimed towards the bottom of the painting. The bottom half of the painting has a blood red background and in the center of the bottom is a house, to it's left is a swing set, and to its right is a car. They are charcoal grey on the blood red background background. The drones are targeting the house, swing set, and car. Above the house and below the drones are the words "Russia Kills To Erase Free People".

(Image by NEIVANMADE)

The cost:

Rescuers have recovered the body of another victim from the rubble of a residential building in Kramatorsk, bringing the death toll to 6.

On July 31st, Russians struck the building, causing a portion of it to collapse.

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— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) August 4, 2025 at 7:43 AM

President Zelenskyy traveled to Kharkiv today, which is where he filmed his daily address.

Zelensky visited the Vovchansk sector and met with troops from the 17th Motorized Infantry Battalion of the 57th Brigade. They discussed the frontline situation, Vovchansk’s defense, combat dynamics, drone supply and use, recruitment, and direct funding for brigades.

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— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) August 4, 2025 at 11:49 AM

Video below, English transcript after the jump.

show full post on front page

The State Will Continue to Support Our Cities and Communities in the Eastern Part of Ukraine – Address by the President

4 August 2025 – 17:49

I wish you health, fellow Ukrainians!

Today, in Kharkiv and the region, with our people of great strength. First, I visited combat brigades. The Vovchansk direction – the 57th Brigade. Then, the positions of the 92nd Separate Assault Brigade. These are very effective brigades – thank you, warriors, for every occupier destroyed. I presented the men with state awards. In both brigades, we had very candid conversations – including about how the important decisions already made are working in practice, particularly regarding direct funding for brigades – first of all, funding for drones. It’s very important now to give brigades more opportunities to independently purchase pickup trucks and other necessary equipment as well – based on their own needs and choices. Unfortunately, there are still many legal hurdles and red tape. We will simplify everything and give more opportunities to our brigades. Tomorrow, I will convene a Staff meeting to discuss everything we heard today from our servicemen. Plus, the development of contracts in the army – so that contracts can be expanded, including on the basis of the experience of “18-24” contracts. I’ve already spoken with the head of the region and the head of the city about additional financial support for the brigades in the Kharkiv region that are carrying out combat missions – this is something we discussed today with the guys from the 57th Brigade. Of course, there are things we’ll not disclose publicly – those we discussed with the battalion commanders – but we will do our best to implement all of it as well. It was important to meet today in Kharkiv with our communities, with representatives of businesses, schools, and universities. I’m grateful to everyone for their work in Kharkiv, for Kharkiv, and for all of our Ukraine. The state will continue to support our cities and communities in the eastern part of Ukraine. In particular, this includes special conditions for businesses in frontline and border areas – to preserve jobs and sustain our Ukrainian production. There are many specific aspects, and we have already discussed them with Prime Minister Yuliia Svyrydenko. I am expecting a report on the action plan for the border areas.

And one more thing – something special.

Here in Kharkiv, I met today with very young boys and girls – but they already know what they want, who they want to become, and that their choice is Ukraine – an independent Ukraine. We are all fighting for one thing – independence for Ukraine, a battle still to be won together by all Ukrainians. I am absolutely confident that weʼll do it – Ukraine will always be independent and strong. Just like our people. Thank you, people!

Glory to Ukraine!

First Lady Zelenska was in Japan today. She met with mental health professionals at the University of Tokyo Hospital.

Olena Zelenska Met with Mental Health Support Workers in Japan

4 August 2025 – 18:24

During her working visit to Japan, First Lady of Ukraine Olena Zelenska met with the staff of the Shibuya Himawari Psychological Assistance Center for Ukrainians and the University of Tokyo Hospital. She also spoke with individuals currently receiving assistance there.

The Shibuya Himawari Center was established immediately after the start of Russia’s full-scale invasion to provide psychological support for Ukrainians who found refuge in Japan. Today, around 1,500 people are registered there, and in total, over 6,000 Ukrainians have received support at the center.

The National Association of Mental Health Professionals of Japan also supports people remaining in Ukraine – offering online consultations, on-the-ground assistance, regular experience-sharing with Ukrainian professionals, and hosting training sessions, workshops, and symposiums.

Olena Zelenska thanked the Head of the Association and the Director of Shibuya Himawari Center, Mariko Ukiyo, for her personal visit to Ukraine earlier this year, during which she trained Ukrainian psychologists in art therapy techniques.

“Japan is one of the few countries with deep experience in crisis preparedness and population support in emergency situations. The culture of respect for vulnerability and the sense of responsibility for collective safety are highly developed here. Every challenge is met with a response rooted in both medicine and culture,” the First Lady said.

She emphasized that Ukraine is also sharing its own experience with Japan in this field. A series of animated videos from the All-Ukrainian Mental Health Program “How Are You?” – focused on stress management and self-help techniques – will be showcased at EXPO 2025, currently underway in Tokyo, and in schools across Japan.

Olena Zelenska also visited the University of Tokyo Hospital, which hosts a Recovery Center for patients transitioning out of the acute phase of treatment in the neuropsychiatry department. The center provides assistance to individuals suffering from depression, anxiety, and adjustment disorders, combining physical activity, psychotherapy, and elements of social training.

“Today I’m visiting a place that could serve as an important example for Ukraine. At the same time, after years of implementing the All-Ukrainian Mental Health Program, we’re now in a position to share our own experience – one gained in extreme, wartime conditions,” she noted.

The First Lady spoke about the creation in Ukraine of 279 Resilience Centers and a network of 200 specialized mental health centers within hospitals, as well as the integration of mental health care into the work of over 2,000 primary health care facilities.

“Every country forges its own path to mental health, but when we manage to combine the best practices, it makes everyone stronger,” Olena Zelenska concluded.

Here’s the video:

She also spoke at the Ukrainian-Japanese Forum of Tokyo,

Georgia:

Day 250 of #GeorgiaProtests

“Until the end!”

And many thought it would lose the spark in August 🔥

📷 Giga Lemonjava

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— Marika Mikiashvili 🇬🇪🇺🇦🇪🇺 (@marikamikiashvili.bsky.social) August 4, 2025 at 2:06 PM

“Until the end!”

Day 250 of daily, nationwide protests in Georgia. 🇬🇪✊

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— Rusudan Djakeli (@rusudandjakeli.bsky.social) August 4, 2025 at 2:56 PM

“Until the End” — 250th day of continuous protests in Tbilisi. Citizens are still demanding the resumption of parliamentary elections and the release of those arrested for participating in Pro-EU protests.

#GeorgiaProtests

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— Publika.ge (@publikage.bsky.social) August 4, 2025 at 2:06 PM

People took to Freedom Square for a human chain to stand with Nino Datashvili. Nino is a regime prisoner, a mother and a schoolteacher who’s punished with a psychiatric institution.

Considering Mzia Amaglobeli’s trials in Batumi and Tbilisi being deserted in August, it’s a lot.

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— Marika Mikiashvili 🇬🇪🇺🇦🇪🇺 (@marikamikiashvili.bsky.social) August 4, 2025 at 12:42 PM

Mzia Amaghlobeli delivers her final remarks in court before the expected verdict:

“I see diplomats and international orgs here. Their presence isn’t personal support—it means we’re not alone on this path toward dictatorship. Thank you, friends of Georgia.”

📷 Batumelebi

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— Rusudan Djakeli (@rusudandjakeli.bsky.social) August 4, 2025 at 5:41 AM

Verdict expected August 6. Remember that for each trial, they drive Mzia back and forth for approx 10 hours.

Mzia on the charges:

“From day one, I’ve never denied responsibility—unlike Dgebuadze. I believe Georgian law lays out adequate punishment for a slap.”

— Rusudan Djakeli (@rusudandjakeli.bsky.social) August 4, 2025 at 5:52 AM

The substantive hearing of Mzia Amaglobeli’s case has concluded at the Batumi City Court. Today, she delivered her closing statement. Judge Nino Sakhelashvili will announce the verdict for Mzia Amaglobeli, co-founder of Batumelebi and Netgazeti, on August 6 at 14:00.

1️⃣

#TerrorinGeorgia

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— Publika.ge (@publikage.bsky.social) August 4, 2025 at 2:01 PM

2️⃣

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— Publika.ge (@publikage.bsky.social) August 4, 2025 at 2:01 PM

3️⃣

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— Publika.ge (@publikage.bsky.social) August 4, 2025 at 2:01 PM

4️⃣

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— Publika.ge (@publikage.bsky.social) August 4, 2025 at 2:01 PM

5️⃣

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— Publika.ge (@publikage.bsky.social) August 4, 2025 at 2:01 PM

6️⃣

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— Publika.ge (@publikage.bsky.social) August 4, 2025 at 2:01 PM

7️⃣

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— Publika.ge (@publikage.bsky.social) August 4, 2025 at 2:01 PM

8️⃣

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— Publika.ge (@publikage.bsky.social) August 4, 2025 at 2:01 PM

9️⃣

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— Publika.ge (@publikage.bsky.social) August 4, 2025 at 2:01 PM

1️⃣0️⃣

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— Publika.ge (@publikage.bsky.social) August 4, 2025 at 2:01 PM

1️⃣1️⃣

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— Publika.ge (@publikage.bsky.social) August 4, 2025 at 2:01 PM

1️⃣2️⃣

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— Publika.ge (@publikage.bsky.social) August 4, 2025 at 2:01 PM

🟥Trial in Mzia Amaglobeli’s case has ended. New medical reports reveal her vision is rapidly worsening — with severe loss in both eyes.

🟥The verdict announcement was postponed to August 6 at 14:00.

#FreeMzia
#RepressionInGeorgia

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— Batumelebi&Netgazeti (@netgazeti.org) August 4, 2025 at 6:22 AM

While Europe, the US and the UK are taking more time than expected for sanctions, the Georgian Dream is transferring everything to Dubai.

— Marika Mikiashvili 🇬🇪🇺🇦🇪🇺 (@marikamikiashvili.bsky.social) August 4, 2025 at 9:38 AM

The Netherlands:

🇳🇱The Netherlands has announced a new €500 million package aid for Ukraine. Funds will be used to purchase military equipment from US reserves for Ukraine.

The package will include missiles and components for the Patriot air defense system. www.defensie.nl/actueel/nieu…

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— 🦋Special Kherson Cat🐈🇺🇦 (@specialkhersoncat.bsky.social) August 4, 2025 at 1:04 PM

“Ukraine will receive a package of U.S.-made weapons from the Netherlands, including Patriot missiles.” – Zelensky.

The total value of the package is €500 million. The president noted that the Netherlands is the first NATO country to purchase U.S.-manufactured weapons specifically for Ukraine.

— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) August 4, 2025 at 4:29 PM

Back to Ukraine.

A few observations drawn from insider insights, open-source data, information from russian internal documents, and conversations with senior officers, frontline soldiers, and volunteers – based on developments from Spring through Summer 2025. Thread🧵:

— Tatarigami (@tatarigami.bsky.social) August 4, 2025 at 12:31 AM

2/ Since early 2025, Russia’s personnel losses have remained among the highest since the war began. But at the same time, Ukraine has faced a sharp rise in desertion and AWOL cases. The pace of Russian territorial advances is higher than during the same period in 2024.

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— Tatarigami (@tatarigami.bsky.social) August 4, 2025 at 12:31 AM

3/ Each year follows a similar pattern: Russian forces form a pocket around a town, Ukraine cites manpower shortages and lack of aid, Russia takes heavy losses but advances, Ukraine inflates already high Russian casualty figures, while Moscow grossly downplays them

— Tatarigami (@tatarigami.bsky.social) August 4, 2025 at 12:31 AM

4/ Today, Russia is producing more drones, becoming increasingly organized, and gaining an edge, particularly in drone warfare, both in quantity and operational sophistication. The entire kill chain has improved, and training for drone operators has scaled

— Tatarigami (@tatarigami.bsky.social) August 4, 2025 at 12:31 AM

5/ Simultaneously, while force generation remains Moscow’s main advantage, coercion and abuse to mobilize people have increased sharply. More conscripts are pressured to sign contracts to avoid abuse, and far more arrested individuals are offered contracts to avoid criminal cases

— Tatarigami (@tatarigami.bsky.social) August 4, 2025 at 12:31 AM

6/ Russian troops largely doubt the war’s stated goals are achievable. Unlike Ukraine’s forces, Moscow enforces a strict punitive system with systematic extrajudicial punishments. While such cases have increased in the Ukrainian army since 2022–2023, they remain unsystematic

— Tatarigami (@tatarigami.bsky.social) August 4, 2025 at 12:31 AM

7/ A far bigger problem for Ukraine remains mobilization and growing dissatisfaction with mobilization methods. Although these incidents number in the hundreds, just a fraction of the tens of thousands involved, they receive outsized online coverage and attention.

— Tatarigami (@tatarigami.bsky.social) August 4, 2025 at 12:31 AM

8/ This narrative is amplified by Russian propaganda, but it’s also fair to note that the government’s response has often been inadequate. In several clear-cut cases, serious violations were publicly dismissed as Russian psyops or met with vague promises to investigate.

— Tatarigami (@tatarigami.bsky.social) August 4, 2025 at 12:31 AM

9/ In private conversations with TCK personnel, I was told that legally exempt individuals are sometimes mobilized to meet quotas. Once mobilized, they often launch legal proceedings to secure release- draining time and resources from the combat units who receive such dead weight

— Tatarigami (@tatarigami.bsky.social) August 4, 2025 at 12:31 AM

10/ Many changes, such as improved transfers, digitalization, data collection, and the shift to a corps structure, have led to tangible improvements. Ironically, I supported these reforms back in 2022–2023, when some dismissed them, arguing that it can’t be done during a wartime

— Tatarigami (@tatarigami.bsky.social) August 4, 2025 at 12:31 AM

11/ Ukraine’s position in 2025 is better than I had anticipated last year. For example, I expected urban fighting in Pokrovsk to begin by late 2024 or early winter 2025 – but Russian forces have taken significantly more time to reach their current positions

— Tatarigami (@tatarigami.bsky.social) August 4, 2025 at 12:31 AM

12/ That said, constant self-reassurance that Ukraine is holding and Russia is on the verge of collapse is harmful. The front may stay static and advances slow, until the situation deteriorates to the point where Russia might seize thousands of square kilometers per month

— Tatarigami (@tatarigami.bsky.social) August 4, 2025 at 12:31 AM

13/ Of course, the opposite could happen – but counting on that while the balance shifts toward Russia isn’t a strategy. The West must apply real pressure to bring Moscow to the table, as it no longer takes empty threats seriously.

— Tatarigami (@tatarigami.bsky.social) August 4, 2025 at 12:31 AM

“… “killing” implies murder, which would be wrong, says Titan; she prefers to call her job “liquidating Russians”. The unit is one of a small but growing number of all-female drone crews. Genitals are irrelevant to flying drones, notes Maria Berlinska” www.economist.com/europe/2025/…

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— Shashank Joshi (@shashj.bsky.social) August 3, 2025 at 7:21 AM

From The Economist:

Commander Twig and her girls pull into a café near the Zaporizhia front and order non-alcoholic mojitos. In the distance is the occasional thud of outgoing artillery. The word “killing” implies murder, which would be wrong, says Twig’s comrade, Titan; she prefers to call her job “liquidating Russians”. The five-strong unit is one of a small but growing number of all-female drone crews. Genitals are irrelevant to flying drones, notes Maria Berlinska, a campaigner for military women.

Unlike men, many of whom are unwilling conscripts, all Ukrainian women under arms are volunteers. They number about 100,000 of the country’s 1m military personnel. Some 5,500 are on the front line, says Oksana Grygorieva, a gender adviser to the armed forces. They include medics, drivers, drone crews and others. Before Russia’s full-scale invasion in 2022 about 15% of armed forces staff were female. The army’s huge growth means that though the share is smaller, the number of women serving has more than doubled.

Perhaps 20% of the students in military high schools and universities are women, says Ms Grygorieva—a huge shift. Only in 2018 did Ukrainian legislators open such schools to women, and remove other restrictions on the roles they could fulfil. Laws against sexual harassment in the armed forces are now being tightened. The struggle is to ensure women “are not treated like second-class soldiers”, says Ms Grygoieva. Formal barriers may have gone but informal ones remain, says Katerina Prymak, head of Veteranka, which campaigns for military women’s rights.

Alina Shukh initially tried to enlist in the prestigious Azov Brigade, but they said they had “no positions for women”. Instead she joined the more egalitarian Khartiia Brigade. As a former professional heptathlete, Sergeant Shukh notes, she is stronger than most male soldiers. In any case, says Olha Bihar, who commands an artillery unit, technology is changing warfare: the best killer may now be a tiny drone pilot with dexterous fingers. “All our stereotypes are changing,” she says; she hopes, some day, to be minister of defence.

Much more at the link.

Ukrainian Mi-24 with 47 interceptions of Russian Shahed drones.

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— 🦋Special Kherson Cat🐈🇺🇦 (@specialkhersoncat.bsky.social) August 4, 2025 at 1:31 PM

According to Russian media, the Russian Su-57 has been armed with a new hypersonic missile similar to the Zircon.

Previously, the Zircon had not been used from fighter jets – it was only launched from ships or ground-based platforms.
united24media.com/latest-news/…

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— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) August 4, 2025 at 12:43 PM

This would be ungood.

From United24 Media:

Russia’s Su-57 fifth-generation fighter jet has been equipped with hypersonic weaponry, according to Lieutenant General Alexander Maksimtsev, Chief of the Main Staff and First Deputy Commander-in-Chief of the Russian Aerospace Forces.

In an interview with the state-owned Krasnaya Zvezda, Maksimtsev confirmed that the aircraft is now fitted with “modern aviation strike systems and hypersonic weapons” as part of the ongoing state defense procurement program.

According to Military Watch Magazine on August 2, the specific class of hypersonic missile integrated into the Su-57 remains undisclosed.

However, the report indicates the likely candidate is an air-launched version of the Zircon cruise missile, which has been under development for several years.

The missile—originally deployed from Russian Navy ships and submarines—reaches speeds of up to Mach 9 and is designed to evade current and next-generation air defense systems.

The Zircon was first reported in operational service on a Russian surface combatant in early 2023 and later expanded to submarine platforms.

Russian defense officials, including then-Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu, have described the missile’s capability to bypass air defenses as a key advantage.

The missile features an estimated range of 1,000 kilometers, and its high velocity is considered sufficient to disable large naval vessels through kinetic impact alone.

Although Russia has not officially confirmed which missile is now in service aboard the Su-57, previous state media coverage and defense industry sources have indicated that a compact hypersonic missile for internal carriage had reached the prototype stage by early 2023.

The missile was reportedly designed to fit the internal weapons bays of the Su-57, maintaining the aircraft’s low-observable profile.

Parallel efforts have also been made to expand the Su-57’s long-range strike capability. In October 2023, Russian media reported that a new air-launched cruise missile—derived from the Kh-101/102 family used by strategic bombers—had been adapted for use by the Su-57.

Although reduced in size, the missile reportedly retained its 3,500-kilometer range through a new turbojet engine and redesigned internal layout.

While the Su-57 currently serves with only one frontline regiment, military analysts note that missile systems developed for the platform could later be deployed across other aircraft types.

A similar approach was seen in July 2025, when the R-77M air-to-air missile, originally designed for the Su-57, was adopted by Su-35S units. Russia’s MiG-31K interceptor also remains a candidate for fielding air-launched hypersonic weapons, including the Kh-47M2 Kinzhal ballistic missile and potentially a version of the Zircon.

More at the link.

The Security Service of Ukraine reported that one Su-30SM fighter jet was completely destroyed and another damaged, along with three Su-24s hit. The enemy suffered major losses, as a single Su-30SM typically costs between $35 and $50 million.

[image or embed]

— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) August 4, 2025 at 8:45 AM

Kyiv:

A swarm of seven Russian/Iranian Shahed drones flies over Ukraine. Fascist Russia has stepped up its attacks on democratic Ukraine in recent weeks. Drone launches have already been reported this evening (Aug. 4) in Ukraine.

[image or embed]

— Euan MacDonald (@euanmacdonald.bsky.social) August 4, 2025 at 12:08 PM

Sleeping through the entire night without russians trying to kill you — that’s became an extraordinary feeling these days.

— Olena Halushka (@halushka.bsky.social) August 4, 2025 at 5:36 AM

Russian occupied Crimea:

❗️The Security Service of Ukraine claims it successfully carried out a drone strike on the Russian Saky airfield in occupied Crimea last night damaging or destroying five Russian military aircraft as a result. One Su-30SM was reportedly destroyed, another damaged, as well as three Su-24s.

[image or embed]

— 🦋Special Kherson Cat🐈🇺🇦 (@specialkhersoncat.bsky.social) August 4, 2025 at 6:40 AM

/2. Locals reported a drone attack on Crimea overnight, but there are no visual confirmations yet. We’ll have to wait for updates or satellite imagery.

— 🦋Special Kherson Cat🐈🇺🇦 (@specialkhersoncat.bsky.social) August 4, 2025 at 6:40 AM

Russians have created a record 35 km traffic jam on the Crimean Bridge. The queue formed on the entry side to the peninsula from Taman. Over 4,000 vehicles were stuck due to inspections, with wait times reaching around 8 hours.

[image or embed]

— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) August 4, 2025 at 4:20 PM

Sumy and Chernihiv Oblasts:

Russia has started attaching anti-tank cluster mines to Shahed drones.
The photo shows one of the drones spotted today over Ukrainian territory.
Such drones have recently been observed among a group of Shaheds entering the borders of Sumy and Chernihiv regions.

[image or embed]

— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) August 4, 2025 at 4:00 PM

Samara Oblast, Russia:

🛢️(Reuters) – Primary oil processing at Russia’s Novokuibyshevsk refinery
has been halted. CDU-11 with a capacity of 18,900 metric tons per day was hit.

[image or embed]

— 🦋Special Kherson Cat🐈🇺🇦 (@specialkhersoncat.bsky.social) August 4, 2025 at 1:57 PM

/2. Ryazan oil refinery has halted around half its refining capacity. Two units were stopped: CDU-3 – 8,600 metric tons per day, and CDU-4 – 11,400 tons per day.

At the moment, the Ryazan refinery is operating only with CDU-6, 23,200 tons per day, around 48% of total capacity.

— 🦋Special Kherson Cat🐈🇺🇦 (@specialkhersoncat.bsky.social) August 4, 2025 at 1:57 PM

Volgograd Oblast, Russia:

The moment of the night attack on Russian railway infrastructure. Frolovo, Volgograd region.

[image or embed]

— 🦋Special Kherson Cat🐈🇺🇦 (@specialkhersoncat.bsky.social) August 4, 2025 at 2:58 AM

That’s enough for tonight.

Your daily Patron!

There are no new Patron skeets or videos today. Here is some adjacent material:

Now that’s a happy Ukrainian dog! This is Artem, who turned his home in Sviatohirsk, eastern Ukraine, into a shelter for abandoned animals. He takes care of over a dozen dogs—they are all excited when the Hachiko team arrives with food deliveries. 🐶

[image or embed]

— Nate Mook (@natemook.bsky.social) July 20, 2025 at 2:22 PM

Open thread!

War for Ukraine Day 1,257: A Brief Monday Night UpdatePost + Comments (10)

Good News, Within Its Limits, Open Thread: The Post exposed this farmer’s struggle. Then the USDA called.

by Anne Laurie|  August 4, 20258:35 pm| 28 Comments

This post is in: Economics, Media, Open Threads, Show Us on the Doll Where the Invisible Hand Touched You

The Post exposed this farmer’s struggle. Then the USDA called.
www.yahoo.com/news/article…

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— Martin J McSweeny (@smartymarty1965.bsky.social) August 4, 2025 at 10:21 AM

I posted the WaPo‘s original story about JJ Ficken back in June, and commentor reaction was… let’s say, mixed. And yet! It’s good that one of the few remaining national newspapers can get a response from the current Oval Office occupation [unpaywalled link]:

He had begun to doubt the call would ever come, but as JJ Ficken arrived one afternoon last month at a meeting for the local farming cooperative in eastern Colorado, his phone buzzed. An acronym he knew well appeared on the screen: “USDA.”…

Four days earlier, The Washington Post had published a story about a federal grant program that promised JJ $200,000, spread across two years, to cover the cost of a seasonal farmhand from Latin America. In January, President Donald Trump suspended billions in agriculture funding, and even when a court ordered the money unfrozen, it was disbursed at a trickle, leaving desperate farmers fearful the administration would kill the program before it reimbursed them. JJ, 37, endured months of uncertainty as he took on tens of thousands of dollars in debt to bring in a 24-year-old stranger from Guatemala.

Now, in the phone call on June 25, an empathetic staffer from the U.S. Agriculture Department told him that, after The Post’s story, she had been directed to pay him as fast as possible. “She was told to get it done,” he said, and two days later, the first $100,000 appeared in his bank account.

JJ realized he’d been prioritized, and he worried for the dozens of other farmers in the program who had also waited weeks or months to receive critical reimbursements. Now, in the aftermath of The Post’s story, the Agriculture Department has moved to expedite all the payments.

The process has lagged, at least in part, because the Trump administration decimated the agency’s workforce, reducing its staff by more than 15,000. Earlier this month, it began recruiting internal specialists to disburse the grant money more quickly, according to current and former department officials as well as records obtained by The Post.

“The program has been processing payments since May, and they will continue to be processed as required documents are reviewed and subsequently verified,” an agency spokesperson told The Post in an emailed statement, acknowledging that it “has reallocated resources within the department” to assist the grant program…

The Agriculture Department also declined to answer questions about the program’s future or whether it might still be canceled, but the current and former agency officials, who spoke on the condition of anonymity because they feared reprisal, said the decision to bring on additional staff suggests the grant will continue through 2026, as the government originally pledged. That would provide farmers the financial support to bring back foreign workers for a second season.

Because the grant was created under President Joe Biden, Trump’s political appointees may never officially support it, according to a former agency official close to the program…

===

Dozens of farmers The Post interviewed, including many who said they voted for Trump, have been confounded by his administration’s unwillingness to endorse a program so popular among key constituents. Few threats to their livelihoods are more existential than the chronic labor shortage. At least a dozen American workers quit on Bennett before he turned to H-2A. Since 2008, Padilla estimated she’d lost nearly 50, costing her an average of $20,000 a year in wasted training.

show full post on front page

They and many other farmers in the program have raved about their migrant workers, whom it was also designed to benefit and protect. H-2A laborers – who can be hired only after the jobs are advertised to U.S. citizens – have at times been abused and exploited by employers, but farmers in the program must agree to provide quality conditions and arrange for their workers to attend “know your rights and resources” training.

In April, the Agriculture Department canceled research that would measure whether the program helped farmers or curbed illegal immigration. In a letter to researchers, the agency alleged, without evidence, that their efforts supported “DEI,” a reference to “diversity, equity and inclusion” initiatives that Trump’s administration has sought to eradicate…

===

Otto Vargas, who grew up on his father’s 40-acre farm, had long prayed for a job in the United States. In Kirk, he said yes to every request and worked to learn the complex farming equipment that was nothing like what he’d operated back home. JJ, who covered Otto’s rent on a tidy single-wide, invited him over for regular dinners with JJ’s wife, Kassidee, and their two kids.

JJ learned that Otto had applied for residency in the United States in 2023, the same year he married a neighbor from Guatemala who now lives legally in Rhode Island. Otto learned that JJ’s life was complicated, too. Kassidee worked as a dental hygienist, and because their daughter, who is 7, had recently been diagnosed with Type 1 diabetes, the couple home-schooled both children. On Tuesdays, JJ looked after the kids by himself, towing them along while his wife worked at her clinic…

The Post’s story about them drew more than 5,100 comments, many dismissing JJ’s struggles because he’d voted for Trump. One reader sent an anonymous letter to his home, asserting that the president’s supporters “DESERVE EVERY BAD BREAK YOU GET.”…

Not everything has gone the way JJ hoped, because that’s farming. One evening when the two men were working 90 miles east of Kirk, a hailstorm swept through town. Kassidee and the kids huddled in their basement as chunks of ice tore into their roof and mangled the corn JJ had planted.

With insurance, JJ figured he might break even, but the calamity didn’t panic him. The first half of the grant money had arrived, and by then, he realized what he’d found in Otto.

Even if the Trump administration cancels the grant after Otto flies home in the fall, JJ has made up his mind about next year.

“I’ll bring him back until he don’t want to come no more,” JJ said, “with or without the money.”

Good News, Within Its Limits, Open Thread: <em>The Post exposed this farmer’s struggle. Then the USDA called.</em>Post + Comments (28)

Monday Night Open Thread

by John Cole|  August 4, 20257:18 pm| 70 Comments

This post is in: John Cole Presents "This Fucking Old House", Open Threads

It’s cool to see that we have now reached the “pervy grandpa announces at sunday dinner he wants to bang sidney sweeney” stage of this nonsense:

Monday Night Open Thread 28

If you are a drinker, pour one out tonight for Sydney Sweeney’s pr team, they are going through some things.

***

Had a great day on the mower, and one of the problems with having that much time to think is a lot of the stuff I remember is really something I wish I could forget. At one point, out of nowhere, a memory of the time I had a skin tag removed from my groin by a dermatologist. It was at a teaching school and the doctor asked if I minded if a resident watched and I opened my fat yap and said “If it is ok with you they can do it they have to learn it somewhere.” I’ve always been that way with every procedure, bring ’em all in let’s make it a day. Better they learn it on a 30 year old single dude accustomed to army physicians (in all seriousness they were all top notch) than some poor kid or fragile being.

He left, I disrobed and the doctor came back a little bit later, knocked, walked in, and behind him was this drop dead gorgeous resident. She was Persion, if that is still allowed to be used to describe someone (and I am being serious, not flippant- if that is inappropriate these days please tell me). Just beautiful olive skin, green eyes, those delicate little eyelashes and perfect eyebrows, and that luxurious silky black hair with blue notes when the light hits it a certain way to give a depth and luster you can almost feel when you look at it. Jesus now I sound like a pervy grandpa.

At any rate, as she was pushing my testicles to the side to cut away the skin tag, I blurted out “This is a great first impression!”

And really, there’s just no recovering from that. I am sure some scriptwriter could make a shitty romcom that would make 100 million or so, but that’s Hollywood and not real life. Besides, if we are any kind of movie right now it is dystopian sci-fi or horror.

The point of this story is that I am just still, for whatever reason, stuck on the fact that current Republicans seem completely without shame. Just none whatsoever. And no one cares. The media let them, half their supporters know they are lying and don’t care. These guys are going out there just doing what the fuck ever with no care in the world, and I am relitigating and reliving every awkward interaction I had over 55 years on the regular.

Motherfuckers.

***

Via the Powder Blue Satan, this story is maddening:

The digital deluge is a familiar annoyance for anyone on a Democratic fundraising list. It’s a relentless cacophony of bizarre texts and emails, each one more urgent than the last, promising that your immediate $15 donation is the only thing standing between democracy and the abyss.

The main rationale offered for this fundraising frenzy is that it’s a necessary evil—that the tactics, while unpleasant, are brutally effective at raising the money needed to win. But an analysis of the official FEC filings tells a very different story. The fundraising model is not a brutally effective tool for the party; it is a financial vortex that consumes the vast majority of every dollar it raises.

We all have that one obscure skill we’ve inadvertently maxed out. Mine happens to be navigating the labyrinth of campaign finance data. So, after documenting the spam tactics in a previous article, I told myself I’d just take a quick look to see who was behind them and where the money was going.

I’m glad that we avoid crap like that and vet out groups.

In a related vein, though, I hate writing stuff like this because I really do feel like a parody of a cranky old bastard writing this, but it just feels like 85-95% of everything is a fucking scam. Idiots are burning up lakes making fake ai art of… lakeside cottages and everything is just bullshit. And it’s impossible to cancel anything once you have signed up for it. That “click to cancel” rule was going to be amazing, but, you know, elections have consequences.

It’s legalized thievery using a quirk of digital currency and credit cards to basically steal. When they make it impossible for you to cancel, because they already have your info, they can just keep charging you until you finally escape the labyrinth. In a world of cash and checks to cancel a service you just… don’t go. Or don’t pay.

And it’s like that with everything, especially insurance. They deny half your procedures or medications just because they figure if they deny 1000 people, 800 of them will just give up, and they can maybe winnow the other 200 down some more with 3 hour wait times on the phone or requiring another doctor visit, etc. Every single news service has bullshit paid content masquerading as news- CNN being one of the absolute worst. Half their web page is “we asked ten experts what the best hair dryer was and you’re gonna be shocked to learn it was the Dyson who just so happen to be paying for this to appear on our front page.”

Everything is just bullshit and a scam. With inflation about to hit us bad along with the rest of the contracting economic news, we’re about due for another downsizing of package sizes at the grocery store. Who will be the first to break out the 1/3 gallon ice cream carton? The eight pack of eggs?

ehh get off my grass you damned kids

I’m off to watch a couple episodes of Spooks. Be good to each other.

Monday Night Open ThreadPost + Comments (70)

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