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You are here: Home / 2017 / Archives for June 2017

Archives for June 2017

Peter Smith Joins The Trump Cast Of Thousands

by Cheryl Rofer|  June 30, 201711:34 pm| 114 Comments

This post is in: Dolt 45, Election 2016, Russiagate

Curiouser and curiouser. And later and later. My acuity at analysis declines after about 3 in the afternoon, but I figure this is important enough to pose some questions now.

Yesterday and today the Wall Street Journal had two articles about a man named Peter Smith, who was a Republican political operative and VERY interested in Hillary Rodham Clinton’s allegedly hacked emails. I read the first last night and can’t access the second behind the Journal’s paywall. (Any Juicer who wants to send it, my address is at the top of the page.) In any case, what is in the articles seems vague and suggestive of connections rather than determinative. But it is little pieces put together that will finally make a picture.

Within the past hour, Matt Tait, who tweets as @pwnallthethings, posted on Lawfare. Tait was one of the sources for the WSJ articles and has his own story to tell about Smith. I’ll post some selections with my questions.

First, the presence of old (ancient, even) Republican operatives around Trump has struck me for some time. The late Roy Cohn, the dandyish Roger Stone, and now Peter Smith. Cohn and Stone go back to the Nixon days. And all three are associated with dirty tricks. No question here, just an observation.

The Trump campaign seems to have been very eager to get Clinton’s emails. Smith contacted Tait seemingly to enlist him in a search for and potential verification of those emails.

Initially, I assumed the query must have been about my work on the DNC hack; after all, few people followed my account prior to the DNC breach, whereas my analysis of the break-in at the DNC had received considerably more coverage. I assumed his query about the “Clinton emails” was therefore a mistake and that he meant instead to talk to me about the emails stolen from the DNC. So I agreed to talk to him, thinking that, whatever my views on then-candidate Trump, if a national campaign wanted an independent non-partisan view on the facts surrounding the case, I should provide it to the best of my ability.

Yet Smith had not contacted me about the DNC hack, but rather about his conviction that Clinton’s private email server had been hacked—in his view almost certainly both by the Russian government and likely by multiple other hackers too—and his desire to ensure that the fruits of those hacks were exposed prior to the election. Towards the course of a long phone call, he mentioned that he had been contacted by someone on the “Dark Web” who claimed to have a copy of emails from Secretary Clinton’s private server, and this was why he had contacted me; he wanted me to help validate whether or not the emails were genuine.

What was Smith’s role in the campaign? He is said to be skilled in opposition research. The Steele dossier was funded by a Republican who supported Jeb Bush in the primary, and then taken up by a Democratic funder (I think) after the Republican convention. Does his activity dovetail with Christopher Steele’s?

Tait suspected that Smith’s “Dark Web” contact was Russian, but Smith didn’t seem to care where he got the information. Was a Russian connection accidental? Probably wouldn’t be from the Russian side.

Flynn is in this up to his earlobes. How much did Trump know? He certainly was fond of Flynn.

Although it wasn’t initially clear to me how independent Smith’s operation was from Flynn or the Trump campaign, it was immediately apparent that Smith was both well connected within the top echelons of the campaign and he seemed to know both Lt. Gen. Flynn and his son well. Smith routinely talked about the goings on at the top of the Trump team, offering deep insights into the bizarre world at the top of the Trump campaign. Smith told of Flynn’s deep dislike of DNI Clapper, whom Flynn blamed for his dismissal by President Obama. Smith told of Flynn’s moves to position himself to become CIA Director under Trump, but also that Flynn had been persuaded that the Senate confirmation process would be prohibitively difficult. He would instead therefore become National Security Advisor should Trump win the election, Smith said.

Tait keeps referring to Smith’s “deep knowledge of the campaign.” I’ll go back to my question about his role and also wonder who his connections in the campaign were.

Peter Smith Joins The Trump Cast Of ThousandsPost + Comments (114)

Friday Night Party Open Thread

by Anne Laurie|  June 30, 201710:27 pm| 82 Comments

This post is in: Gay Rights are Human Rights, Open Threads, Clown Shoes

Last day of Pride month. Don't forget to draw a rainbow on your doorpost before sundown so Mike Pence passes over your house.

— OhNoSheTwitnt ?????? (@OhNoSheTwitnt) June 30, 2017

And while you’re at it, thank all the gods and your parents that you’re smart enough to understand towels:

…DudeRobe isn’t just a robe, though there is one of those. It’s an entire lineup of towel-lined loungewear—from robes and hoodies to shorts and pants—designed for bros. Because apparently normal robes are just too ladylike for true dudes. No, seriously: The brand’s Kickstarter ad actually says, point blank, “Bathrobes are too girly.” Wow….

And yet, almost five hundred aspiring idiots signed up for this on Kickstarter. What percentage do you wanna bet have used the phrase ‘No homo’ un-ironically?

Friday Night Party Open ThreadPost + Comments (82)

Friday Evening Open Thread: Overlooked in the Noise

by Anne Laurie|  June 30, 20175:56 pm| 243 Comments

This post is in: Dolt 45, Foreign Affairs, I'm With Her 2016, Military, Open Threads, Proud to Be A Democrat, All we want is life beyond the thunderdome

JUST IN: GOP-led House committee approves Dem amendment to revoke Trump’s war authority https://t.co/CHJJoAtxMu pic.twitter.com/4I6XwSdtPz

— The Hill (@thehill) June 29, 2017

Yeah, probably just symbolic, but good for Rep. Barbara Lee [warning: autoplay] —

The House Appropriations Committee on Thursday approved an amendment that would revoke a 2001 law giving the president authority to undertake war against al Qaeda and its affiliates unless a replacement provision is created.

Lawmakers applauded when the amendment was added by voice vote to the defense spending bill, highlighting the frustration many members of Congress feel about the Authorization for Use of Military Force (AUMF), which was initially approved to authorize the response to the Sept. 11, 2001, attacks.

It has since been used to justify the Iraq War and the fight against the Islamic State in Iraq and Syria.

Despite the applause, it is unclear whether it will make it past the Senate and be included in a final version of a defense spending bill. The amendment would revoke the 2001 AUMF after 240 days following the passing of the act, forcing Congress to vote on a new AUMF in the interim…

Just in time for Independence Day, too.

What else is on the agenda as we start the (long, for some of us) weekend?

Whoa. My amdt to sunset 2001 AUMF was adopted in DOD Approps markup! GOP & Dems agree: a floor debate & vote on endless war is long overdue. pic.twitter.com/FS8LfYWo5J

— Rep. Barbara Lee (@RepBarbaraLee) June 29, 2017

Friday Evening Open Thread: Overlooked in the NoisePost + Comments (243)

Schlock Doctrine

by John Cole|  June 30, 20173:49 pm| 255 Comments

This post is in: Dolt 45, Republican Venality, Assholes

What is increasingly obvious to everyone, even the media, is that the Trump administration is just in complete chaos, no one is really in charge, most of the agencies and staff positions are missing personnel, let alone qualified personnel who know things, and it’s sort of just a slow motion disaster. It’s kind of like when a well run business gets sold out to a bunch of idiots who know nothing about business, and everyone keeps trying to get in touch with the people who used to run things, but they are long gone, no one has been hired to replace them, and the phones don’t get answered or if they do they get answered by one of the new owner’s kids who has no idea what the hell is going on.

It is also completely obvious that there is quite simply NO ONE in the administration who can tell Orange Julius Caesar no. He either won’t listen to advice, can’t listen to advice, can’t understand the advice, or is too addled to remember what the advice is, and there is no one there in real time with the power to keep him on the straight and narrow. I’m personally of the opinion that he is mentally ill, but were he of sound mind, would still be fantastically under equipped mentally to handle the position the idiot GOP peter principled him into.

The Mika/Morning Joe shitshow from Il Douche is just additional evidence of this, something that can be added to the growing pile of fail that already includes the Comey firing, the “I has recordings oh wait no I don’t” and on and on and on. But the important thing to remember in all of this is that while all this is going on, Republican operatives are using the chaos to fulfill life long goals.

The Kris Kobach/Hans von Sapovsky voter purge, the destruction of medicaid, destroying longstanding alliances and trade agreements, immigrations “reforms,” stacking the courts, gutting the EPA and actively using the government to attack CLimate Science, etc. It’s nearly impossible to keep track of all the evil shit that is going on, and it wouldn’t surprise me if Trump doesn’t know of 99% of the shit that is happening.

The last 24 hours. pic.twitter.com/InK2gqFFOU

— Mazel Tov Cocktail (@AdamSerwer) June 30, 2017

Trump really is, in every sense of the phrase, a useful idiot. Not just for Putin, but for the fuckers in the GOP, as well. It’s going to take us decades to recover from this administration, if we can.

Schlock DoctrinePost + Comments (255)

Experts in our Midst: Ocean Acidification

by Alain Chamot (1971-2020)|  June 30, 201712:00 pm| 64 Comments

This post is in: Open Threads

A second guest-post from Ocean Scientist Boussinesque!

Continuing this Balloon-Juice 5-year mission to share new insights and new topics of conversation, Science Officer Boussinesque has returned with a new post (I may or may not have watched Star Trek: Beyond this week, which could be impacting some things…).

You may have heard the words “Ocean Acidification” before, but chances are that unless you’ve actively researched the topic, you don’t know much beyond what the words themselves imply. It’s one of the scarier consequences of global climate change, but it gets less mainstream media attention because it’s not as easily understood as sea level rise or increasing global mean temperatures. Whether you’re a committed environmentalist, a member of an industry that interacts with the ocean, or a member of an industry that needs/wants to cut emissions and energy use, this is important to understand, as well as to act on in any way you are able.

 

I’ll be glossing over a lot of the chemical specifics, but to start by framing the scope of the problem, it’s important to realize two things–(1) that the ocean is HUGE (~71% of the planet’s surface), and (2) that phytoplankton (microscopic ocean plants) collectively produce about as much oxygen as all of the land-based plants. The ocean is also in chemical equilibrium with the atmosphere (over the time scales we care about), which means that the gasses in the air and those dissolved in the ocean have reached a stable point. If concentration of a gas like CO2 in the atmosphere goes up, more of it will dissolve into the ocean to restore that balance. Because of fun fact (1), it takes a huge amount of a gas being dissolved into the oceans to change the concentration noticeably. In practice, this means that the ocean “buffers” changes in the chemical composition of the atmosphere. The flip side of this is that, when the concentrations of those chemicals in the ocean measurably increase, we already have a very large problem to mitigate.

 

The big problem here comes with what CO2 does once it’s in the ocean; dissolved CO2 is used in photosynthesis by phytoplankton (which is good), and reacts with water to form carbonic acid, which then dissociates into carbonate and hydrogen ions (not so good). Increasing CO2 concentrations drive up the hydrogen ion concentration, which in turn lowers the pH. Lower pH impacts the availability of carbonate negatively, and this is where the biology starts getting involved. A large number of species of phytoplankton (as well as corals, shellfish, and a number of organisms higher in the food chain) use calcium carbonate (CaCO3) to make shells. As carbonate availability goes down, these organisms have a harder time maintaining their shells and skeletons to keep them from dissolving. Imagine trying to build a sandcastle while the tide is coming in, and you’ll have an idea of why this is a losing proposition long-term.

The end result of all this is that a number of species at the base of the oceanic food chain stand a risk of going extinct if this continues, leading to a collapse in the ocean food web that effectively turns large swathes of the ocean into an acidic wasteland. The main takeaway is that it’ll be hard to predict exactly what the final state may be–there are other species that may thrive in a more acidic ocean, but they probably won’t be the ones that we’re willing/able to eat, and an overall decrease in ocean productivity ALSO decreases the effectiveness of the ocean’s ability to serve as a “sink” for carbon (dead organics sinking into the deep ocean, sedimentation, and some other processes are ways that the ocean removes carbon from circulation for long periods of time), which will accelerate the overall process.

 

I’d like to note that none of this cares about where the CO2 originally came from–it’s a simple chain of chemical reactions, which then interact with the biology of the ocean–and it’s an inevitable consequence of atmospheric CO2 levels continuing to rise. This is why it’s so important to reduce emissions as much as possible–to go carbon neutral, or carbon negative if at all possible. The ocean touches all of us, economically and environmentally, whether we realize it or not.

There’s a lot more to the issue overall than I’ve been able to cover here, so if you’re interested in learning more, I recommend checking out PMEL’s website: http://www.pmel.noaa.gov/co2/

There was also an excellent op-ed in the New York Times about this a couple years ago: http://www.nytimes.com/2015/10/16/opinion/our-deadened-carbon-soaked-seas.html?_r=0

(Image credits: pmel.noaa.gov)

 

I’d also like to poll the jackal pack about the format for these types of posts going forward–would you prefer more frequent, shorter snippets about requested topics, or slightly-less-frequent-but-more-meaty posts in the style of the first one?

I’d like to continue doing the “introduction to oceanography”-style posts, I’m just not sure how regularly I’ll be able to belt them out, and wanted to see what would be best to keep the slavering hordes from picking my bones clean.

Experts in our Midst: Ocean AcidificationPost + Comments (64)

Breakin’ the law?

by DougJ|  June 30, 201710:51 am| 153 Comments

This post is in: Readership Capture, Blogospheric Navel-Gazing

I have close to zero interest in most things Joe-and-Mike related but I’m curious to know if this kind of thing is legal (if true, which it certainly it is). Is it?

“We got a call that, ‘Hey, the National Enquirer is going to run a negative story against you guys…’ And they said, ‘If you call the president up, and you apologize for your coverage, then he will pick up the phone and basically spike this story,” Scarborough said.

Scarborough didn’t name names, but he said “three people at the very top of the administration” called him about this.

“The calls kept coming and kept coming, and they were like ‘Call. You need to call. Please call. Come on, Joe. Just pick up the phone and call him.'”

In other words, grovel to the president and he’ll make the mean story disappear.

Breakin’ the law?Post + Comments (153)

Stray Paper

by @heymistermix.com|  June 30, 20179:34 am| 83 Comments

This post is in: Security Theatre

This should be fun:

The TSA is testing new requirements that passengers remove books and other paper goods from their carry-on baggage when going through airline security. […] The rationale for the policy change given by Kelly and the TSA is that the imposition of growing fees for checked baggage by the airlines has prompted passengers to more densely pack their carry-ons, and that this has made it harder for screeners to identify particular items amid the jumble of images appearing on their screens.

It’s always interesting to me which parts of the airline market are out of bounds for regulation and are subject only to Baby Jesus’ invisible hand of the market. Apparently the disruptive innovation that passengers need to pay for every checked bag is one of those things. I can’t think of a single recent change that has made airline travel more miserable, save for the ever more stupid security theater changes (liquids!) that the TSA dreams up every other year. The boarding process on larger planes takes at least 1/3 longer as we wait for the last set of passengers to jam their overstuffed bags into the overheads, and then for the stragglers to run their bags back up the aisle to be gate checked.

Of course, passengers with TSA Pre and any status on an airline won’t be hurt by this new rule. Pre passengers leave their laptops in bags, and status flyers board early and put whatever they damn please in the overhead bins. Its the poor bastards who are taking their one trip a year to visit Disneyworld or the grandkids who are inconvenienced here.

(via LGM)

Stray PaperPost + Comments (83)

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