(Image by NEIVANMADE)
It's almost 2 a.m. here, and russian Shahed drones are reportedly flying toward Kharkiv.
— Iryna Voichuk (@IrynaVoichuk) March 26, 2024
As I draft this at 7:55 PM EDT, the only air alert over unoccupied Ukraine is in the north/northeast of the country: Chernihiv, Sumy, Poltava, and Kharkiv Oblasts. My guess is that it is Sumy and Kharkiv that are in the Russian’s sights. As we covered last week, Sumy is seeing daily attacks, but they aren’t getting as much coverage. Kharkiv’s power grid – generation and transmission – has been taken out by Russia and it seems to be a Russian priority to inflict as much damage on Kharkiv as possible.
Ukraine has hit two more Russian naval vessels. One of which the Russians stole from Ukraine in 2014, renamed, and reflagged.
The 🇺🇦 defense forces successfully struck the reconnaissance ship “Ivan Khurs” and the large landing ship “Kostyantyn Olshansky” – the updated information about the attack on March 24 by @UA_NAVY.
As we reported before, during the attack, the large landing ships “Yamal” and… pic.twitter.com/BvGnTTOqrj
— Defense of Ukraine (@DefenceU) March 26, 2024
The 🇺🇦 defense forces successfully struck the reconnaissance ship “Ivan Khurs” and the large landing ship “Kostyantyn Olshansky” – the updated information about the attack on March 24 by @UA_NAVY.
As we reported before, during the attack, the large landing ships “Yamal” and “Azov” were also damaged.
In 2014, russia stole the large landing ship "Kostyantyn Olshansky" from Ukraine when they occupied Crimea.
In 2024, Ukraine struck "Konstantin Olshansky" with a Ukrainian-made "Neptun" missile. russia planned to use the ship against Ukraine.10 years have passed, but justice… pic.twitter.com/Q6Xs36cBbd
— Defense of Ukraine (@DefenceU) March 26, 2024
In 2014, russia stole the large landing ship “Kostyantyn Olshansky” from Ukraine when they occupied Crimea.
In 2024, Ukraine struck “Konstantin Olshansky” with a Ukrainian-made “Neptun” missile. russia planned to use the ship against Ukraine.10 years have passed, but justice has been restored. The russian Black Sea Fleet is suffering in temporarily occupied Crimea. Ukraine will win!
Here is President Zelenskyy’s address from earlier today. Video below, English transcript after the jump.
I expect strengthening of the strategic capabilities of our state to predict and influence the processes on which national security depends – address by the President of Ukraine
26 March 2024 – 19:26
I wish you health, fellow Ukrainians!
I started the day with gratitude to the National Guard of Ukraine – today is the tenth anniversary of its establishment. I personally congratulated the national guardsmen and presented awards to the warriors. Our entire country should appreciate that the National Guard of Ukraine is a truly indispensable element of our country’s Defense and Security Forces and in many ways sets the standards for all our defenders.
I would also like to mention specific units and specific warriors who deserve special, personal gratitude for their effective actions at the front during this time. The 1st Presidential Operational Brigade – Soldier Ruslan Turanov and Lieutenant Dmytro Kalin. The 3rd Operational Brigade of the National Guard – Soldier Vladyslav Romanchuk, Senior Soldier Yehor Holubin, Sergeant Serhiy Maryshev. The 4th Operational Brigade – Soldier Artur Mizin and Junior Lieutenant Ruslan Minchenko. The 5th Separate Slobozhanska Brigade – Senior Soldier Oleh Shumov, Sergeant Bohdan Keichyn and Chief Sergeant Oleh Miroshnychenko. The 12th Special Forces Brigade of the National Guard – Senior Soldier Leonid Kubyshkovskyi and Junior Sergeants Mykola Halinskyi and Bohdan Petryniak. As well as the 18th Slovyansk Brigade – Sergeant Ruslan Khaimenov, Senior Sergeant Vladyslav Soroka and Junior Lieutenant Artem Holubenko. I thank all of you guys!
I would also like to mention the Omega Special Forces Center of the National Guard – all its warriors. Recently, I signed a decree to posthumously confer the title of Hero of Ukraine on Colonel Andriy Pryimachenko, commander of the 1st Detachment of the Omega Center. Our country has exemplary brave warriors. We are proud of each of them.
Today I continued the reboot of our state’s governance system. There are personnel changes. I am grateful to Oleksiy Danilov for his work as Secretary of the National Security and Defense Council of Ukraine. He is being reassigned to another area. More details will follow. I have appointed Oleksandr Lytvynenko as the new Secretary of the National Security and Defense Council – he will combine his experience of leading the Foreign Intelligence Service of Ukraine with the tasks of the National Security and Defense Council. Oleh Ivashchenko has become the new Head of the Foreign Intelligence Service, he has the relevant experience. In general, I expect strengthening of the strategic capabilities of our state to predict and influence the processes on which the national security of our country depends.
We will continue to strengthen Ukraine and upgrade our state system in all areas.
One more thing.
Every day, we continuously monitor the work in the regions, including Kharkiv, on eliminating the consequences of Russian strikes. Today, Prime Minister Denys Shmyhal made a report on the matter. And I am grateful to everyone on the ground who works for the people, who non-stop, around the clock, does everything possible to ensure that people and businesses have electricity, communication, transport – all those essentials of life that are needed.
Thank you to everyone who cares about Ukraine! Thank you to everyone who protects our country and people!
Glory to Ukraine!
10 years ago, the National Guard of Ukraine was created.
The brave warriors of the National Guard defended Ukraine during 10 years of russian aggression and more than 2 years of the full-scale invasion. They destroy the enemy on the most difficult axes of the front and bring 🇺🇦… pic.twitter.com/U1DaWC3QZ9
— Defense of Ukraine (@DefenceU) March 26, 2024
10 years ago, the National Guard of Ukraine was created.
The brave warriors of the National Guard defended Ukraine during 10 years of russian aggression and more than 2 years of the full-scale invasion. They destroy the enemy on the most difficult axes of the front and bring 🇺🇦 victory closer every day.
Thank you for your service.
Congratulations on National Guard of Ukraine Day!
Volodymyr Zelenskyy has reshuffled his top intelligence and national security chiefs, the second personnel shake-up this year aimed at reinvigorating Ukraine’s war effort and turning the momentum in its favour. https://t.co/MKTcI9tfxc via @FT
— Christopher Miller (@ChristopherJM) March 26, 2024
From The Financial Times:
Volodymyr Zelenskyy has reshuffled his top intelligence and national security chiefs, the second personnel shake-up this year aimed at reinvigorating Ukraine’s war effort and turning the momentum in its favour.
The Ukrainian president dismissed Oleksiy Danilov, head of the national security and defence council, and replaced him with foreign intelligence chief Oleksandr Lytvynenko, according to decrees published on the presidential website on Tuesday.
Oleh Ivashchenko will replace Lytvynenko as chief of foreign intelligence, according to the site. Ivashchenko previously served as deputy head of the military intelligence directorate (GUR), whose aerial and sea drone attacks on high-value targets have rankled the Kremlin.
“Today I continued rebooting the system of managing our state,” Zelenskyy said later on Tuesday. “I appointed Oleksandr Lytvynenko as the new secretary of the national security council. He will combine his experience of leading the Foreign Intelligence Service with the tasks facing the National Security and Defense Council of Ukraine.”
“In general, I expect the strengthening of the strategic capabilities of our state to predict and influence the processes on which the national security of our state depends. The strengthening of Ukraine and the renewal of our state system in all directions will be continued.”
The 51-year-old Lytvynenko had served as foreign intelligence chief since July 2021. A veteran national security and intelligence official, the multilingual Lytvynenko is widely respected among his western and Ukrainian counterparts. The shake-up now has him returning to the NSDC, where he previously served as the agency’s chief.
Zelenskyy’s personnel change comes a little more than a month after he dismissed the commander-in-chief of the armed forces Valeriy Zaluzhny, with whom he had disagreements. Zaluzhny has since been tapped by the president to serve as Ukraine’s ambassador in London.
The Ukrainian president has asserted that the changes in his defence, intelligence and security apparatus are needed to reboot Ukraine’s war effort after its unsuccessful counteroffensive last year and as it faces significant challenges, including exhausted troops, a shortage of manpower and dwindling ammunition.
More at the link!
Ukrainian Foreign Minister Dmytro Kuleba sat for an interview with Politico. Here are some excerpts:
KYIV — Ukrainian foreign minister Dmytro Kuleba doesn’t mince his words. There’s one item his country desperately needs to fend off Russia’s relentless missile attacks.
“Give us the damn Patriots,” he demanded. Originating in the United States, Patriot surface-to-air missiles are the best defense system to combat the ballistic missiles that have been raining down on Ukraine with increasing intensity in recent days.
“If we had enough air defense systems, namely Patriots, we would be able to protect not only the lives of our people, but also our economy from destruction,” he added.
The need for such defenses is all too clear for residents of Kyiv. Just an hour before Kuleba sat down with POLITICO at the foreign ministry on Monday, in broad, mid-morning daylight, the Ukrainian capital came under attack from Russian ballistic missiles.
A couple of loud blasts rang out just moments after air raid sirens blared across the city. Kuleba was in the city’s botanical gardens to make a video for an upcoming trip at the time.
The missiles were intercepted by Patriot air defenses. But nine people, including a teenage girl, were still injured from falling debris, including in the district near to where Kuleba was filming.
The foreign minister’s demand comes at a fraught moment for Ukraine in its attempt to repel Vladimir Putin’s invading forces. Western support, strong at the start of the invasion two years ago, has weakened in recent months, with a major new U.S. aid package held up by partisan divisions in Congress.
European allies have struggled to plug the gap in the supply of funding and arms that Kyiv so badly needs. Ukraine’s war of self-preservation is precariously placed. Russia is making advances on the battlefield and Putin, fresh from a distorted election victory, is leaping on every opportunity to intensify the Russian assault.
Ukraine’s tired soldiers in the east of the country must somehow hold their lines.
“When Ukrainian troops are losing positions, let’s look at the reason why,” Kuleba said. “It is because Russia has began to massively use upgraded aerial guided bombs.”
He explained that these bombs are weapons “you cannot escape from” if you’re the intended target. “You cannot jam it. It just falls on your head and destroys everything. This is how we’re losing positions and the only way to prevent this is to shoot down the planes carrying the bombs,” he added. “We need air-defense systems on the frontlines.”
Last week, it was reported that the US has urged Kyiv to halt attacks on Russia’s energy infrastructure and oil facilities, fearing Ukrainian drone strikes will drive up global energy prices. Kuleba wouldn’t confirm that, but asked if he sometimes feels Western allies want Ukraine to fight with one hand tied behind its back, he replied: “Yes, I do.”
Kyiv is, of course, unconditionally grateful for all the support that is coming from the Western alliance, he said. But he worries the allies’ actions don’t always match their rhetoric and as the war drags on, they are “going back to the usual way of doing politics.”
He describes a vicious circle – weapons are withheld or delayed or supplied in insufficient numbers and then the allies say Ukraine is retreating, it is impossible for Ukraine to win. And the allies ask themselves, why they should provide Ukraine with “game-changing” weapons.
“But guys all this picture of reality that you paint for yourselves is the outcome of one simple fact — that Ukrainian soldiers do not have sufficient amounts of weapons because you did not provide them,” he said.
Asked about Joe Biden’s $60 billion aid package for Ukraine that’s been stalled for months by Republicans on Capitol Hill, the bespectacled Kuleba is terse. “We will welcome a decision,” he said. Ukraine has been given timeframes for delivering the aid since last October. “Every time I hear a new deadline, I just say, ‘God bless America and the U.S. Congress,’” he said with a smile.
What about Germany, which is tying itself in knots over whether to supply long range Taurus missiles, another important item on Kyiv’s wish list? “Listen, I’m tired of answering this. Sorry. You can quote me, I don’t mind. But every time I answer the question, I get irritated feedback from Berlin. Leave it to them. They put themselves in this situation. Let them find a way out,” he said.
French President Emmanuel Macron escapes the Kuleba critique. After a shaky start, Macron has recently stiffened his resolve — in his public commentary at least — insisting that Europe cannot rule out sending ground troops to Ukraine if that’s what is needed to prevent Russia winning. “We were pleased to see President Macron evolve in that direction,” he said.
While Ukraine has never asked for “European combat troops’ boots on the ground”, EU leaders need to get used to the idea that “the day may come.”
“I’m perfectly aware that Europeans are not used to the idea of war,” he said. “But this is a carelessness Europeans simply cannot afford — neither for themselves nor their children,” he says grimly. “Ukraine can win. But if Ukraine loses, Putin will not stop.”
There’s a bit more at the leak.
But, you might ask, wasn’t there money for Ukraine in the just passed 2024 Defense Appropriations Act? Yes there was. It wasn’t very much. Also, the DOD spent it in November 2023. Politico has the details.
When Congress approved $300 million to arm Ukraine late last week, it marked the first time lawmakers have approved new funding for Kyiv’s war effort in more than a year.
There’s just one problem: The money is already gone.
The cash, allocated to the Ukraine Security Assistance Initiative, was included in a $1.2 trillion government funding package signed by President Joe Biden on Saturday. But the money was actually obligated in November while the Pentagon was operating under a temporary continuing resolution, an administration official said.
So while its passage might’ve marked a brief bipartisan win, it was essentially a symbolic move. That $300 million “is not available for us to use now,” said the official, who was granted anonymity to discuss the dynamics of the budget.
The security assistance initiative puts money toward contracts for future deliveries of munitions and equipment for Ukraine. The Pentagon broadcast that it had depleted the account months ago, noting that a $300 million support package in November “exhausts the remaining USAI funds currently available to support Ukraine.”
Even if it were available, the money wouldn’t turn the tide of the war. Rather, it was a gesture from Washington that the U.S. isn’t out of the game, despite House Republican leadership holding up roughly $60 billion in military aid for months.
During that time, Ukraine’s counteroffensive sputtered out and its front-line units ran low on critical artillery shells and other munitions. And lawmakers told POLITICO the money won’t fix Ukraine’s immediate crisis.
Congress has appropriated funding for the Ukraine Security Assistance Initiative annually since Russia invaded Crimea in 2014. That funding is separate from the process of transferring existing weapons from U.S. inventories directly to the front lines, known as presidential drawdown authority, which officials have used to rush equipment to the battlefield. After a transfer, lawmakers must then provide the Pentagon with money to buy new replacement equipment.
USAI money, by contrast, has been used for longer-term needs. Big-ticket items purchased since the 2022 full-scale Russian invasion include Abrams tanks and Patriot air defense systems.
In the meantime, the White House and Pentagon leaders have warned for months that both pools of funding have dried up and scaled-back efforts to send Kyiv more weapons, ammo and equipment. The U.S. recently scraped together a separate $300 million package of missiles, ammo and other weapons for Ukraine using Army contract savings.
The only solution from here, administration officials argue, is for the House to pass tens of billions of dollars worth of new assistance.
“DOD has repeatedly urged Congress to pass a supplemental to support Ukraine in its time of need and to replenish our stocks,” Pentagon spokesperson Maj. Charlie Dietz said. “For Ukraine, this supplemental is vital — there’s no other way to meet Ukraine’s needs at scale.”
National Security Council spokesperson John Kirby on Friday said a Russian missile attack on Ukraine’s energy infrastructure that day underscored the need to restart aid. Kirby said it is “vital [that] we continue to provide Ukraine with air defense systems and capabilities.”
“Mr. Putin is not waiting. He’s not sitting on his hands,” Kirby said. “He’s making lethal use of every single minute available to him while our own Congress refuses to act. He’s not wavering, and neither should we.”
More at the link.
Ukraine is doing what it can, under the circumstances, to increase their own production.
UKRAINE RAMPS UP AMMO PRODUCTION, Russia struggles to advance despite 10x ammo and personnel advantage.
AP footage shows weapon systems and ammo production in Western Ukraine.
— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated) March 26, 2024
Iceland:
🇺🇦🤝🇮🇸
We are grateful to Iceland for its decision to provide approximately €2 million to the Czech Republic's initiative to purchase ammunition for Ukraine.
Iceland will also provide 75 million ISK to purchase equipment for women in the Ukrainian army, including uniforms,…— Defense of Ukraine (@DefenceU) March 26, 2024
🇺🇦🤝🇮🇸
We are grateful to Iceland for its decision to provide approximately €2 million to the Czech Republic’s initiative to purchase ammunition for Ukraine.
Iceland will also provide 75 million ISK to purchase equipment for women in the Ukrainian army, including uniforms, bulletproof vests, and medical and hygiene products.
Thank you, friends!
Together, we are stronger.
Also Iceland:
🌟 The Ukrainian national team has qualified for the final stage of the European Football Championship after winning the playoff match with Iceland!
Thank you, Iceland, for a great match and unwavering support for Ukraine 🇺🇦🫂🇮🇸
Congratulations! We are beyond proud! 👏🏻 pic.twitter.com/Xq4V3Z5Skc
— MFA of Ukraine 🇺🇦 (@MFA_Ukraine) March 26, 2024
Kyiv:
Earlier today:
15 minutes into air raid alert after 8 pm on 26 March, people in Kyiv are waiting it out in an underground passage. Some of them brought along their small folding chairs. These are available at almost any angling equipment store, while stocks last pic.twitter.com/c0ApTboP17
— Andriy Kulykov (@AndriyKulykov) March 26, 2024
Remember the video of the Kyivan barista continuing to serve coffee despite the plate glass of her shop being blow out yesterday? This is what happened to blow the plate glass of her shop out. No one was hurt! Amazingly!
The moment when the ballistic missile hit Kyiv from the cameras of the same coffee shop where the girl later continued to make coffee. pic.twitter.com/1zJWviO98u
— Roman Sheremeta 🇺🇦 (@rshereme) March 26, 2024
"This is a warhead of yesterday's 3M22 missile. As long as a Shahed-136 warhead, weighing no more than 200kg, of which 80 kg of explosives."https://t.co/2z9hEUd5nb https://t.co/sSEIuhJvgU pic.twitter.com/AjydoyyXRf
— Special Kherson Cat 🐈🇺🇦 (@bayraktar_1love) March 26, 2024
Kharkiv:
Russian forces just hit a civilian facility in Kharkiv with a missile!
— Iryna Voichuk (@IrynaVoichuk) March 26, 2024
As Western politicians procrastinate, once-inhabited areas in Kharkiv Obl are becoming ruins & graveyards due to intensifying russian attacks. The responsibility for the bloodshed lies not only with the russians but also with those who deliberately delay military aid to Ukraine.
— Iryna Voichuk (@IrynaVoichuk) March 26, 2024
Kharkiv's main power station, crucial for providing power and heating to the second-largest Ukrainian city, destroyed by missile attack on March 22nd. Reconstruction will be as complex as building a new one. Russia has repeatedly attempted to destroy this facility for two years pic.twitter.com/EidRysrZTy
— Maria Avdeeva (@maria_avdv) March 26, 2024
The Kreminna front:
Destroyed Russian AFV column on the Kreminna front. Russian losses of 1xT-72, 4xBMP-2, 1xBMP-3, 1xBTR-82 shown on the video. https://t.co/U4gYCcESOK pic.twitter.com/ItgWLXOXto
— Special Kherson Cat 🐈🇺🇦 (@bayraktar_1love) March 26, 2024
Kherson Oblast:
The new methods of air defense.
A Ukrainian FPV drone intercepted a russian aircraft-type drone in the Kherson region.📹: 38th Marines Brigade pic.twitter.com/ctJLP2X1kI
— Defense of Ukraine (@DefenceU) March 26, 2024
Zaporizhzhia Oblast:
Mr. Himars is on the hunt!
The russian Buk air defense system was destroyed on the Zaporizhzhia axis.📹: @SOF_UKR pic.twitter.com/f5uxRJZVxK
— Defense of Ukraine (@DefenceU) March 26, 2024
You know what that means!
Russian occupied Sevastapol, Crimea:
/2. The missile hit the rear of Ivan Khurs. pic.twitter.com/tFDBLBpTfr
— Special Kherson Cat 🐈🇺🇦 (@bayraktar_1love) March 26, 2024
Here’s the full text of the first tweet:
/1. Today, the Ukrainian Navy released a statement that during the recent missile attack on Sevastopol, the Russian Yury Ivanov-class intelligence ship (Project 18280) – Ivan Khurs, also came under attack.
Now, satellite images have appeared confirming the fact of a direct hit on Ivan Khurs, as a result of which the ship was damaged.
Location of the ship – (44.6132900, 33.5290100).
https://t.me/kiber_boroshno/7473
/4. Ivan Khurs was attacked by marine kamikaze drones back in May 2023 but has not suffered any visible damage as a result. https://t.co/fhf6c5UHUG
— Special Kherson Cat 🐈🇺🇦 (@bayraktar_1love) March 26, 2024
And the full text of the third tweet:
/3. Yury Ivanov-class intelligence ship, Ivan Khurs. This is the only ship of this class in the Russian Black Sea Fleet. On June 25, 2018, Ivan Khurs officially became part of the Black Sea Fleet.
The main purpose of the ship is to provide communications and fleet control, conduct electronic reconnaissance and electronic warfare.
Characteristics:
Displacement: 4000 tons;
Length – 96m, width – 16m, draft – 4m;
Crew: 131.
Belgorod Oblast, Russia:
EXPLOSIONS are heard now in war-torn Belgorod as furious residents are in conflict with infamous propagandist Solovyev who told them to "shut up, scum" on federal TV and called their complaints "disgusting hysteria". pic.twitter.com/amgFTIwXg1
— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated) March 26, 2024
Lukashenko gives the game away on the Crocus disco attack:
Belarusian President Aleksandr Lukashenko said the terrorists who fled after attacking a Moscow concert hall turned toward the Ukrainian border because they “understood that they couldn’t get into Belarus.”https://t.co/NkzQMlniCL
— Meduza in English (@meduza_en) March 26, 2024
Meduza has the details:
Belarusian President Aleksandr Lukashenko said the terrorists who fled after attacking a Moscow concert hall on Friday turned toward the Ukrainian border because they “understood that they couldn’t get into Belarus.”
Russia’s Federal Security Service reported on Saturday that it had apprehended four of the suspects in Russia’s Bryansk region, which borders both Belarus and Ukraine.
According to Lukashenko, Belarusian security forces set up roadblocks, including at the Russian border. “Therefore, there was no way for [the terrorists] to get into Belarus. They saw this, so they turned away and went toward the Russia-Ukraine border,” Belarusian state-run news agency Belta quotes Lukashenko as saying.
Lukashenko also said that he spoke with Putin about the closure of the Belarusian border, which the Russian president had allegedly requested.
Oh, now Lukashenko SUDDENLY confirms ISIS terrorists tried to make it to Belarus but failed and simply took another road that leads toward the border with Ukraine – well, a large-scale, active war zone front line featuring large military forces and belts of minefields on BOTH…
— Illia Ponomarenko 🇺🇦 (@IAPonomarenko) March 26, 2024
Oh, now Lukashenko SUDDENLY confirms ISIS terrorists tried to make it to Belarus but failed and simply took another road that leads toward the border with Ukraine – well, a large-scale, active war zone front line featuring large military forces and belts of minefields on BOTH sides.
But hey – Putin needs Ukraine to be behind the ISIS mass murder in Moscow he failed to prevent and respond to.
It could have been Santa Claus if Putin had a personal war on Santa Claus and needed ordinary Russians to keep drowning in irrational morbid hatred towards Santa.
Tatarigami and his team take a deep dive into the security failures at the Crocus disco in EuroMaidan Press:
On 22 March, without any apparent difficulty, four terrorists entered Crocus City Hall, a major music venue in Moscow, where they killed over a hundred people. Afterward, they exited the venue, got into the same car they arrived in, and safely drove away from Moscow, one of the most heavily surveilled cities in the world.
The systemic failure across every security layer, from top to bottom, understandably leaves many observers puzzled, prompting them to question whether it signifies a complete collapse of state security or something else.
How could Russia, one of the most heavily surveilled states in the world, where a single opposition protester with anti-war signs will be swept away in minutes, have committed this glaring failure? Was it permitted to happen or merely a consequence of systemic failure within corrupt intelligence and law enforcement structures?
After all, its police force is one of the largest in the world – 934,011 serving a roughly 140 million population. With nearly 639 officers per 100,000 people, it exceeds China’s fourfold on a per capita basis.
Moreover, Russia’s security structure includes the National Guard,with 400,000 personnel, and around 200,000 employees of the Federal Security Service, a portion of whom are involved in extensive digital surveillance.
On 7 March, the US embassy in Russia stated that it was monitoring reports of imminent plans by extremists to target large gatherings in Moscow, including concerts, advising US citizens to steer clear of such venues. Additionally, Adrienne Watson, spokesperson for the US National Security Council, stated that the US government had shared this information with Russian authorities in line with its longstanding “duty to warn” policy.
On the same day, one of the perpetrators of the terror attack, Shamsiddin Fariduni, visited Crocus City Hall. The most plausible explanation is that this visit constituted a reconnaissance operation, intended to survey and familiarize oneself with the environment, security measures, and potential routes of movement.
On 19 March, mere days before the attack, Putin, during an FSB board meeting, disregarded the warnings, denouncing them as “provocative” and equating them to “outright blackmail.”
On 22 March, at approximately 19:55, the terrorist assault group arrived near the Concert Hall in a white Renault sedan. This arrival was captured on a dashcam by a passing vehicle. Geolocation data indicates that they parked the car not far from the entrance, locking it before departing.
This detail is significant, as it suggests that the car was unoccupied and there was no driver left inside. Consequently, they would need to return to the parked car at this spot at a later time.
Around 20:00 witnesses started to report loud sounds resembling shots. Soon after, videos emerged on multiple Telegram channels, depicting the attackers shooting at people.
State-affiliated outlets such as Gazeta and KP reported that terrorists left the scene at 20:13.
Around 20:30, it was announced that Russian rapid reaction forces were on their way, approximately 17 minutes after the perpetrators had already left the scene.
According to the Telegram channel “Ostorozhno Novosti,” correspondents on-site reported that firefighters were unable to combat the fire as they awaited the arrival of special forces, which had not yet reached the scene. This information was posted at 20:44, nearly 30 minutes after the terrorists had departed.
As a result, the terrorist attack unfolded without encountering any significant obstacles, for a duration of almost 20 minutes. The anti-terror units not only arrived nearly an hour (!) late but also wasted time preparing for the assault and searching for the assailants inside the burning building, who had already escaped.
Such sluggishness and incompetence have raised numerous questions, including whether this delay was deliberate, potentially allowing the perpetrators to evade capture.
As previously noted, Moscow stands as one of the most heavily surveilled cities globally, having one of the highest police-to-population ratios. As the political, military, and economic hub of Russia, Moscow has long been the focal point of Russian law enforcement agencies. With numerous bases and facilities dispersed throughout the city, it houses rapid reaction forces alongside regular armed police units.
Crocus City Hall was not an isolated case. Situated less than 2 kilometers from the Moscow Oblast Government and Moscow Oblast Duma (Council), the area has a notable police presence. A mere 500 meters from Crocus City Hall, across the road, lies the closest police station.
Further examination via Yandex street view corroborates the existence of the police station, identified as the Pavshyno police department.
Of particular significance to this case is the presence of a sizable National Guard base, situated a mere 10 minutes away from the venue.
This is important given that Rosgvardia, the Russian National Guard, functions as a militarized police unit tasked with maintaining public order, ensuring safety, and combating terrorism and extremism. This unit also accommodates rapid reaction forces, equipped to respond to armed incidents rapidly.
Given the absence of a reported hostage situation, these forces should have been present at the venue. However, as it was discovered earlier, rapid reaction forces, possibly from another unit, were deployed after the attackers had already left.
Another overlooked, yet equally significant failure that occurred that evening was the armed guard’s failure to respond.
According to Alexander Khinshtein, a member of the Russian parliament, Crocus City Hall was protected by the private security company “Crocus Profi,” which boasted a rapid response group armed with MP-71 pistols and Saiga-20 KV rifles. Additional verification has confirmed that private security company “Crocus Profi” is indeed registered at Mezhdunarodnaya 6 street – a building located in very close proximity to Crocus City Hall.
Much, much more at the link. Including plenty of imagery.
They seem nice!
Whether they simply stopped caring about the optics, or it’s my confirmation bias, but recently there’s been visibly more Russian special forces/military with very obvious swastika patches in *officially publicized videos*. This one is FSB (source https://t.co/OWVOGBuFdV at 1:55) pic.twitter.com/S7u5cSraGK
— Alexey Kovalyov (@Alexey__Kovalev) March 26, 2024
These asshats too. Notice the Nazi salute?
In Moscow subway, a Yakut woman (most likely a Russian citizen) was verbally assaulted by Russian nazis. No one came to help her. pic.twitter.com/D7km9Opp43
— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated) March 26, 2024
The Yakut are a Turkic ethno-national group from northern Siberia.
That’s enough for tonight.
Your daily Patron!
There are no new Patron tweets or videos today, so here’s some adjacent material.
Happy dogs 🐕 as Sasha from the Hachiko team refills one of the feeding stations in eastern Ukraine today! We have nearly 150 stations like this across front line cities to serve the homeless pets with your help. 🙏 pic.twitter.com/I1LRRNybPN
— Nate Mook (@natemook) March 26, 2024
For those interested, here’s the link to the Hachiko Foundation.
Legends. pic.twitter.com/t7bWVKBNMa
— UNITED24 Media (@United24media) March 20, 2024
Open thread!
jackmac
I continue to marvel at the ability of a country without much of a Navy to dominate the sea.
Thanks Adam.
YY_Sima Qian
Not that Russia does not have a Neo-Nazi problem (among many other problems), but the swastika symbol has religious significance across the world (including Europe) far beyond & long predating its association w/ Nazism. Russia in particular has large population of Mongolian peoples who are adherents of Buddhism. The symbol shown seems to be far too stylized if intended as a Neo-Nazi message.
Of course, if it was an Ukrainian soldier wearing that patch, Russian propaganda would be screaming “Nazis” at the top of their lungs.
Adam L Silverman
@YY_Sima Qian: That’s standard neo-Nazi embellishment. It’s hard to tell from the picture, but it appears to be a swastika fused with an sonenrad. And the Buddhist swastikas are different. They’re either reversed and not on a bias or just not on a bias.
YY_Sima Qian
@jackmac: Shore batteries have historically dominated naval flotillas: heavier guns, higher placement leading to longer range, much better sustainment, etc. They had been limited by the short range of shore based artillery & lack of mobility.
Modern transport, sensors & munitions have even the scales on both sides of the equation (shore based batteries now have land mobility, shipborne missiles now have long range), but it is still possible for land based missiles to pack bigger warheads & outrange ship based ones, & sustainment remains far superior.
Plus, it is clear that Russian reconnaissance capabilities are quire limited, & its surface fleet has suffered rapid obsolescence. Even its newer frigate & corvette designs have prioritized offensive punch at the expense of self-defense, given the limited displacements to play w/.
Jay
Thank you again, Adam.
Anton Gerashchenko has a lot to say, today.
https://nitter.poast.org/Gerashchenko_en
HumboldtBlue
The Hachiko Foundation deserves more air time.
AlaskaReader
Thanks Adam
TeezySkeezy
The HIMARS remix thing just depresses me now because we *could* give them but we aren’t doing shit now. Sad. If we *did* give Ukraine weapons, this is how we *would* have done it. If we did it. But we aren’t. (yes I mixed that with an unrelated distasteful trope, but not as tasteless as us not supplying Ukraine.)
Dagaetch
Thank you, Adam.
The naval victories are heartening, certainly. And impactful in varying ways: bad news that Russia has to hide from their citizens, economically painful, etc. And I believe you’ve posted some information about how it’s allowed Ukrainian grain exports to resume. But I’m wondering how much of a direct impact on the land fighting they might have? Are those naval vessels taking part in some way?
YY_Sima Qian
@Adam L Silverman: in Hinduism, Jainism & some schools of Buddhism, the swastika is left facing. Traditional Chinese cultural iconography used both left face & right facing interchangeably. Stylistically. the icon in the picture seems similar to the Greek tetraskelino or the Bashkir symbol of sun & fertility.
I am going by the Wikipedia page, of course. I am very surprised just how widespread the symbol really is, especially in Europe. Finnish & Latvian militaries adopted the icon in the early 20th century. Kalmyk cavalry units in the Red Army used it during the Russian Civil War. Numerous European corporations adopted the symbol in the 19th century, before it became associated w/ the Nazis. The artifacts excavated at Sutton Hoo contained the symbol. & the earliest example was apparently found in Ukraine, dating back to 10,000 BC. Even Native Americans used the symbol. Perhaps it is something humans carried out of Africa.
Again, Russia clearly has a Ne-Nazi problem, but I am not sure this particular example is necessarily damning.
Alison Rose
Thank you as always, Adam.
So glad I still come to these posts because otherwise I would not have seen the swastika defending. Fun times. Super cool.
Carlo Graziani
And so, Russia continues its long, embarrassing tradition of generating leaders who are the worst political consumers of the best political intelligence.
Stalin, ignoring war warnings about German intentions from Russian agents in 1941. Stalin, again, failing to understand the significance of the perfect information on the Manhattan Project that Beria was supplying to him in 1944. Andropov, pushing the KGB to develop evidence for a non-existent plan by the West to attack the USSR in 1983. Putin himself, requiring the FSB to supply political reports in 2021 demonstrating that many, possibly most Ukrainians would welcome a Russian coup de main, which, accordingly would turn into a weekend walk-over.
It’s like those guys are nothing but a succession of Dick Cheneys. They can get access to priceless, timely, secret information, and they still make consistently stupid decisions.
TeezySkeezy
@YY_Sima Qian:
Yeah, but, *now*, with the benefit of hindsight, how many military or paramilitary groups in the world can argue they have the naivete of any of those swastika-using groups who came before the Nazis? None. You can’t compare the use today with the use pre-Third Reich. It’s tainted and anyone who uses it knows the message it sends.
Gin & Tonic
@YY_Sima Qian: Adam is right, of course, about the symbology. But also, the lettering around the perimeter of that patch, as best I can make out, is quasi-Nordic stylization of Cyrillic letters which spell out “Be a warrior – live forever.” By quasi-Nordic I mean that it is intended to resemble runes.
If you’re really interested you can find those patches for sale on some .ru sites.
TeezySkeezy
@Gin & Tonic: The little annotations don’t matter. If one’s job is killing, and one uses a swastika to represent that job, it’s nazi shit. Why else would these voluntary killing forces “flirt” with the symbolism they KNOW is going to be interpreted a certain way? Why go all edge-lord on the symbolism if they aren’t actually sympathetic to the way it is generally gonna be interpreted?
That said, I 100% support Ukraine but I hate seeing excuses made for the swastika in either a Ukrainian or Russian military group. It’s disgusting.
eversor
@Carlo Graziani:
I work in intelligence and have off and on for years. My experience has always been that people embrace the product when it suits their needs and ignore it when it doesn’t.
A ton of intel today is based off OSINT. Open Source INTEL. You can assemble a lot from public sources and it only becomes classified if someone talks about it who holds a position or you corroborate it or add to it with classified stuff and then you get into TS/SCI and all sorts of containers you don’t want or need to deal with. I still maintain that out of the volume of people we have here who’ve have or held clearances from basic CONFIDENTIAL up to those who’ve had bingo cards of them none of us would have stolen and stashed classified crap in a shit room.
Let’s take the US. How many of our elected officials do you think aren’t using or ignoring it on a political basis? And this is a both sides issue though one side is so massively worse both sides goes out the window. Looking at this congress now they couldn’t run a lemonade stand so what makes you think they can use the product they are given?
There’s also three sides to the intel game. There’s the gathering of it, the analyzing it, and then the smiting people from it. In theory this is a phase. The gathering has to go well. The analysis has to go great. Smiting is in the “who fucking cares” area. In practice those in charge of the smiting are going to ignore what they don’t like and like what they like and you can always invent a reason to blow the shit out of someone or something.
Bad leadership can bypass analysis. So you can take raw data (which is what is fed into the system), cut out the experts looking at it, and then get straight to the wrath of god. This trashes the entire system and my “in uniform” before private sector started was 2000-2004 so I saw this all go down first hand. I can’t mention those I contract for now. But I am not in the smiting business.
But having had to deal with multiple customers (nation states) everyone gets pissy when the analysis part of it all doesn’t back what they want. And the fucked up part is that’s the gem of the product. That’s where you get all the brains of the game comparing, contrasting, picking it apart and then you get the product.
Looking at raw data and smiting the fuck out of something is easy. Figuring out what is actually going on is the hard part.
But if we are all going to insist on having idiots as leaders this is what happens. Trump is a stupid fucking idiot with brain damage but he does piss off the Karens. Putin damn well knows better because he was in the military and spook game.
Gin & Tonic
@TeezySkeezy: You think I was making excuses??
TeezySkeezy
@eversor: So you “work in intel” but regularly go online to talk about eliminating people based upon their religious affiliation. Hm, okay….
TeezySkeezy
@Gin & Tonic:
Not you. Sorry if that was misconstrued. Just I’m tired of the endless deconstruction of the nazi emblems by people trying to gaslight us into thinking they aren’t what they obviously are.
EDIT: I realize what I wrote was pretty vague and was a wide cast. Definitely don’t want to accuse people here of any of that kind of sympathy. I was just getting out a frustration and didn’t make myself clear.
Another Scott
@Gin & Tonic: Supposedly it’s a Slavic Valkyrie Symbol. Which would seem to fit with the text.
FWIW.
Cheers,
Scott.
frosty
@Alison Rose: Nice to see you here.
Roberto el oso
@YY_Sima Qian: re the swastika debate. As a rule of thumb, and in a present-day context, unless the symbol appears in an obviously Buddhist or Hindu context, I read it as Nazi.
TeezySkeezy
@Roberto el oso: Yes, if it is strictly in terms of a traditional religious observance or expression that is fine. I’ve bought Indian food with swastikas on the can (proper traditional ones). But if you’re picking up a rifle to go kill some people people with that symbol on your uniform…hm, that’s not a proper traditional religious usage. That’s some nazi shit. And people with guns who put that on their patches know so.
BeautifulPlumage
The Tatarigami article is very good. I’m wondering how many Moscow venues can be described as “a major music venue”? The warning seemed to be specific. Would this mean 10 venues to secure? 20?
eversor
@TeezySkeezy:
I’ve never actually called directly for a genocide of Christians and I’m engaged to a Catholic. Despite having being abused by the Church. I don’t stop my extended family from voting GOP as hey! Your Christians that’s your home. I can respect that and their non lying about the nasty parts of that religion far more than I can the fakers who believe in hippy Jesus. Go on with your bad self. I did get my liberal nieces and sisters in law not to vote by pointing out to them that the Democratic party is a Karen party and as they are women of color Karens (white, liberal, college educated, suburban women) are their main issue. All it took was pointing out that who was calling them and going door to door and when it hit them it was white women they noped right out of politics.
Eliminating Christianity is not a call for genocide and I usually couch things in “de Christianization” terms which both Germany and South Arfica dealt with internally. I am confident a similar process will have because the under 50 crowd has had it with Christianity. I am fully confident that in my life we will either be a full theocracy or the cross will be viewed as the swastika. It’s one or the other. And I don’t think that having dedicated anti Christian Nationalists (which means anti Christian) working in this area is a bad thing. It’s me or Mike Johnson. That middle ground got blown to shit years ago and it’s not comming back. Not all intel jobs are classified either.
I’ve been also rather open that I live in NOVA which is home to all sorts of places so all work here is related to those various areas. I haven’t hid that I was a vet either.
Elmination talk is not what you think. “Christianity is a curse on humanity and should be removed” is not remotely eliminationist. Especially when Christians, unlike Jews, do actually control things and did cause Jan 6. As a person of Jewish ancestory who’s family was almost entirely eliminated, had to convert as a kid to get into the clubs, was then molested as a result, check your shit at the door cause it ain’t gonna fly.
eversor
@TeezySkeezy:
I was a skater for a long time and Nordic runes are a thing there. They kept using the SS rune and all sorts of reasons were come up with it and then the person came out as a flat out Nazi.
So runes, like the Cross, are warning signs.
YY_Sima Qian
@TeezySkeezy: & people across E/SE/S/C Asia are tired of the religious culture symbol they have used for millennia, & continue to use widely today, to be only associated w/ Nazism in western minds because it was appropriated by the Nazis. Russia has a lot of Mongolian peoples in its population & especially its military, most of them are Buddhists.
It is certainly possible that the unit wearing the patch has Neo-Nazi leanings; or, maybe it is mostly composed of ethnic Mongols (or Turkics peoples for whom the symbol has cultural significance). We have seen plenty of evidence for Neo-Nazism in Russia where there is little doubt. I think context matters. If the units is composed of ethnic Russians, then I would be much more inclined to believe the patch is deliberately signaling Neo-Nazi sympathies, because ethnic Russians live in a different cultural environment than ethnic Mongols, & they may have different intent when using the same symbols.
It’s not like only Neo-Nazis are capable of atrocities. Buddhists w/o Neo-Nazi sympathies are just as capable of butchery, see the Tuvan units at Bucha.
wombat probability cloud
@Roberto el oso: Or Kuna (in Panama).
Roberto el oso
@YY_Sima Qian: Yes, that’s a very good point, about the presence of Russians from the ethnic minorities in the East in the Russian military. But, given the Kremlin propaganda about Ukrainian Nazis, would this sort of thing, even if it is a minor detail like a patch, slip past Russian officers? Maybe so.
Roberto el oso
@eversor: I see you’ve expanded your repertoire of bigotry to include misogyny and racism along with your beloved anti-Christian hatred. Way to go, pal.
Jay
@Roberto el oso:
in the ruzzian “Army”, they flaunt them.
https://www.france24.com/en/live-news/20230825-utkin-the-nazi-tattooed-commander-who-gave-wagner-its-name
One of thousands
https://www.rferl.org/a/russian-neo-nazis-fighting-ukraine/31871760.html
Roberto el oso
@Jay: Thanks. I knew there was quite a bit of it among the Wagner types, as well as among the convicts who got conscripted.
YY_Sima Qian
@Roberto el oso: I don’t think the Russian officers would care that much. Accusations of Nazism in Ukraine was & is transparently dishonest.
Jay
@Roberto el oso:
The Rusich Battalion is full on Nazi.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Rusich_Group
Just one of many.
Origuy
There’s a resurgence of Slavic paganism, called the Slavic Native Faith or Rodnovery. Not just in Russia, but also in Poland and Ukraine, where it is sometimes called Sylenkoism.
YY_Sima Qian
@Origuy: Well, the Nazis appropriated the swastika & the “SS” runes harkening back to pagan Germanic/Nordic roots, too.
Jay
@Origuy:
@YY_Sima Qian:
An the funny thing is, the pagan’s have been gone, wiped out, converted, with no written records* for 600 years, so it’s all made up BS.
*the only written records of their practices, are questionable propaganda written by the various churches that extinguished them. Pretty much only the Sammi retain some of their pagan culture.
So it’s just woo sales. Buy a pet rock with runes etched in by a CNC machine. Only $57.89.
Roberto el oso
@Jay: it does seem to have about as much “historical” validity as heavy metal mythology. Which is probably enough for the specific demographic it seems to attract.
sab
@Jay: Do (or did) First Nations use any symbol like that wheel of life thing? My grandmother (born 1895) had a silver bracelet with that she got sometime in the 1920s, long before it had bad connotations. She was in Wisconsin then, with family in Ontario. I don’t know anything about its origin but it certainly had nothing to do with Europe. She never wore it in my lifetime but she did keep it.
Jay
@sab:
Yes, wheels, (not representations of wheels, as we know them) were used as decorations, set out on the ground for ceremonies and meetings, ( with rocks), and held spiritual value, etc
The Sonnograd only has a bad rep because in the 1990’s, Nazi’s adopted it as a way to signal to other Nazi’s, that they were Nazi’s.
sab
@Jay: That is what it was. Sort of a backwards swastika. I know it had nothing to do with Germany.
Jay
@sab:
Nope, that’s a swastika, most common to the Plains Tribes, “backwards” to how the Nazi’s used it, like almost everybody else, for which it was a religious symbol.
The Sonnograd is a circle, with left angled “lighting strikes”, radiating out of the center of the circle.
sab
@Jay: That makes sense. Grandma’s respectible family were bankers in Toronto, but she had Metis cousins much farther west, living a lot like her family did in Wisconsin.
Jay
@sab:
Metis culture is an amalgamation of French-Canadian, Scottish- Canadian and Plains Indigenous cultures, formed in Rupert’s Land.
Just guessing, but I would guess that the bracelet was a trade item, intended for the Plain’s First Nations, either by the Hudson’s Bay Company or the NorthWest Company.
So, it may be way older than the 1920’s. It may have been kept by a family member, or at some point in time, traded back to a family member.
You should have a museum take a look at it. It’s history.
sab
@Jay: Which kind of museum? American museums would be clueless. Grandma was American born to a Canadian mother. Her mother died very early ( had been a nurse, got TB) and Grandma never really knew her, but she was kind of obsessed with her Canadian heritage. Scottish and Swiss furtraders.
Norman Bethune was a second or third cousin. Grandma was ashamed of that commie, but it really boosted my sister when she went to China. Neither she nor the Chinese knew about the relationship until some cousin did geneology and wrote her some questions in China. And she asked. Then she became a minor big thing.
Life can be weird.
YY_Sima Qian
@eversor: What you say about how the power that be “consume” intelligence & analyses definitely rhymes w/ how large corporations operations, especially how they utilize consulting services.
Jay
@sab:
Life is often weird.
If you can, just take good, close up digital photos, and send them to the Gabriel Dumont Institute of Native Studies and Applied Research, with an email asking?????
Gabriel Dumont was Louis Riel’s Minister of War, when the Metis and the Blackfoot stumbled into war with Canada.
YY_Sima Qian
@sab: No sh*t! You are related to Norman Bethune?!!
He is lionized to this day in elementary school textbooks in China, as an exemplar of the international comrades who came to help China & the Communist cause when such help was sorely needed. He might have been a Communist, but he died in China providing medical care for Communist forces fighting the Imperial Japanese Army, as well as the Chinese civilian population living in Communist controlled base areas that were constantly under pressure from the IJA’s “Three All” eradication campaigns. He had done the same for the Republican forces during the Spanish Civil War, & was an early proponent of socialized medicine in Canada.
His political & socio-economic views might have been naive & misguided, but he certainly was not a cynic & truly lived his values.
sab
@YY_Sima Qian: Grandma was embarrassed but the rest of us are rather proud.
ETA My dad, from the other side of the family (paternal not maternal) but medical has also always been proud to be distantly associated.
Also too my sister’s Chinese in-laws, also from a medical family.
Jay
@YY_Sima Qian:
Norman Bethune is still a hero in Canada.
And he was not a Communist, he was a communist.
bjacques
@Jay: heh. Down in Houston in the 1990s, the first I heard of the Metis was in a remarkable book called “Gone To Croatan”, from Autonomedia, about various groups in North America like the Seminoles, Melungeons, and Metis, with a common theme of white people dropping out of colonial society and joining the First People and/or runaway slaves to form societies on the edge of “civilization” until it inevitably caught up with them.
By the way, last night was an attempt at mocking the Blob wrt the Kims that seems to have crashed on the rocks of Poe’s Law.
EDIT (for YY_Sima Qian): I live in Amsterdam, and there’s a boulevard called Henk Sneevlietlaan. Henk was a founder of the Communist Party of the Netherlands (CPN), and attended the Communist International meeting in Guangzhou. We were staying there a few days and happened to wander past the house where they met.
sab
@YY_Sima Qian: Our first ancestor from Scotland was an Army chaplain from Scotland named John Bethune. He lost but survived in a battle in the Carolinas during the American Revolution.. Having lost, he had to parole (promise to behave and not fight) so he went off to Canada. Where he thrived.
His kids somehow married cousins of Alexander MacKenzie the furtrading explorer.
We are descended from both sides, but we went south of the border and are American not Canadian .
sab
@sab: I am American but find Canada endlessly fascinating. Living on the same continent they are so different from us.
Eta Similar but different history.
sab
@sab: Politics aside (whichever way you lean) he was an exceptional doctor who spent his career, by choice, in extremely difficult circumstances and did amazing work there.
sab
@sab: Anyone medical (not political) has been proud. Anyone political not medical has not. Says everyone about values and whether they care about you.
YY_Sima Qian
@bjacques: You mean the house in Guangzhou? I was not even aware of the location. The meeting & the place is not particularly well publicized the general public.
YY_Sima Qian
@Jay:
Quite true!
YY_Sima Qian
@sab:
A great way of putting it.
Roberto el oso
@Jay: There’s a pretty good movie about him in which he’s played by another great Canadian, Donald Sutherland, also with Helen Mirren and Colm Feore.