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Balloon Juice

Come for the politics, stay for the snark.

A tremendous foreign policy asset… to all of our adversaries.

“Facilitate” is an active verb, not a weasel word.

People really shouldn’t expect the government to help after they watched the GOP drown it in a bathtub.

“The defense has a certain level of trust in defendant that the government does not.”

I might just take the rest of the day off and do even more nothing than usual.

Republicans don’t want a speaker to lead them; they want a hostage.

It’s the corruption, stupid.

There are no moderate republicans – only extremists and cowards.

Our job is not to persuade republicans but to defeat them.

American history and black history cannot be separated.

Dear Washington Post, you are the darkness now.

Russian mouthpiece, go fuck yourself.

Hi god, it’s us. Thanks a heap, you’re having a great week and it’s only Thursday!

Washington Post Catch and Kill, not noticeably better than the Enquirer’s.

The way to stop violence is to stop manufacturing the hatred that fuels it.

People identifying as christian while ignoring christ and his teachings is a strange thing indeed.

🎶 Those boots were made for mockin’ 🎵

If senate republicans had any shame, they’d die of it.

Optimism opens the door to great things.

Hey hey, RFK, how many kids did you kill today?

He wakes up lying, and he lies all day.

You know he’s going to shit a cat.

We can’t confuse what’s necessary to win elections with the policies that we want to implement when we do.

… gradually, and then suddenly.

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General Stupidity

You are here: Home / Archives for General Stupidity

Cruel Shoes II

by Betty Cracker|  March 9, 20265:32 pm| 141 Comments

This post is in: Open Threads, Politics, Republican Stupidity, Assholes, General Stupidity

There’s an insane story in the WSJ about how TeMussolini has a new dementia game. He guesses the shoe size of male appointees and cronies, then has a minion order Florsheim shoes for them in the size he guessed.

He expects giftees to wear the shoes in his presence. Doesn’t always work out so well.

Rubio in too-large shoes

Real Caligula appoints his horse as consul stuff!

I wonder if the shoe recipients hobble around in ill-fitting shoes indefinitely, or do they order the same shoes in the right size and make the switch on the down low?

I hope it’s the former. They deserve cruel shoes.

Open thread.

ETA: Piggy is supposed to give a speech right about now. It will be lies, so I’m not gonna bother watching.

Cruel Shoes IIPost + Comments (141)

Underpants Noem (Open Thread)

by Betty Cracker|  March 3, 20262:00 pm| 155 Comments

This post is in: Domestic Politics, Open Threads, Republican Stupidity, Assholes, Clown Shoes, General Stupidity

The incompetent twatwaffle Donald Trump appointed to run the sprawling Department of Homeland Security agency appeared before the Senate Judiciary Committee. It didn’t go well for her. Here’s a fellow Republican who voted to confirm her:

Tillis to Noem: “A 14 month old dog is basically a teenager in dog years. You decided to kill that dog bc you hadn’t invested the appropriate training, then you have the audacity to write a book & say it’s a leadership lesson! … Those are bad decisions not unlike what happened in Minneapolis”

[image or embed]

— Aaron Rupar (@atrupar.com) March 3, 2026 at 12:55 PM

Tillis is retiring, so he went full honey badger, later calling for Noem’s resignation and threatening to throw sand in the Senate’s procedural gears if she keeps stonewalling on answers Tillis has demanded about how DHS fucked up investigations in North Carolina.

***

In other news, the demented president embarrassed the country in front of a foreign leader again. In a press avail with German Chancellor Friedrich Merz, Trump wrongly claimed his own shitty father was born in Germany.

The odious Fred Trump was actually born in an outer NYC borough. It was Trump’s cathouse-running grandfather Drumpf who was born in Germany and then kicked out for being a draft dodger, after which he made his way to the U.S.

Sounds like Trump would like to tariff Spain into supporting his unpopular war, but oops, SCOTUS:

Trump: “Spain has been terrible. I told Scott to cut off all dealings with Spain. They said we can’t use their bases. We could use their bases if we want. We could just fly in and use it. Nobody is gonna tell us not to use it.”

[image or embed]

— Aaron Rupar (@atrupar.com) March 3, 2026 at 12:04 PM

But actually, Trump WON on tariffs, actually, despite SCOTUS plastering a big red L on his mottled orange forehead:

Trump: “We won on tariffs, actually. Somebody said, ‘You actually won the case.’ We won on tariffs. You had a decision that was wrong.”

[image or embed]

— Aaron Rupar (@atrupar.com) March 3, 2026 at 12:11 PM

Oh, and invading Iran is super popular — and gas prices are going to fall back to $1 a gallon real soon, just you wait.

Trump on going to war with Iran: “I have never had more compliments on something I did. So if we have a high oil prices for a little while, but as soon as this ends these prices are gonna drop I believe even lower than before.”

[image or embed]

— Aaron Rupar (@atrupar.com) March 3, 2026 at 12:09 PM

To sum up, what a pack of whiny-ass, buffoonish and incompetent losers.

Open thread.

Underpants Noem (Open Thread)Post + Comments (155)

Respite: At Play in the Fields of the LLMs

by Tom Levenson|  March 1, 20266:17 pm| 109 Comments

This post is in: Open Threads, Respite, Technology, General Stupidity

ETA: This was written for Balloon Juice but is crossposted at Inverse Square.

So…

Just this week I learned that through my home institution I have access to a suite of LLMs, including all the usual suspects (Anthropic’s Claude, OpenAI’s ChapGPT, Meta’s Llama, and Google’s Gemini. MIT’s come up with a very nice interface to interact with all this artificial talent, and I’ve spent a couple of hours this weekend taking some of them out for a spin. (I’m avoiding OpenAI’s offerings both as a trivial protest and because I don’t trust anything about that company.

So far I’ve enjoyed Claude the most (the Haiku 4.5 model, if you’re wondering). Gemini is interesting, if a bit finicky. But what made me howl was the encounter I just had with Llama, Mr. Zuckerberg’s contribution to the genre. Context: over the holidays I  had a conversation with a senior person at another magnificent 7 tech firm who’d just seen a colleague leave to go to Meta who was utterly dismissive of the company and relieved to be rid of anyone dumb enough (in his view) to basically end his career in top-tier tech by grabbing Facebook bucks. Spoiler: after what you’ll read below, I can see where my friend was coming from.

So here’s the setup. I’ve been asking the various models what I hope are zero-consequence questions, queries in which no one could possibly get hurt if the LLMs wing their way to utter bollocks. A typical ask: map out the logical structure Einstein used in his 1905 light quantum behavior. That one tended to get an initial poor answer based on the idea that the paper centers on the then-pressing mystery of the photoelectric effect–a common mistake for people as well as machines. Pressing the models led Claude in particular to a much more sophisticated account of the paper drawing attention to the way Einstein used arguments from thermodynamics to propose the necessity of understanding light as discrete packets of energy.

Respite: At Play in t

The paper was about this new “heuristic” [Einstein’s term] view of light, and the photoelectric effect appears only as one experimental support for that view. (Much more here.)

After three or four trips through the query engineering needed to get a useful result I’d found my way down the list of models at my disposal to Meta’s Llama.  I was bored with light quanta and so asked a different, much simpler question:

“When a stock is overvalued as defined by a price to earnings ratio a standard deviation or more higher than historical market norms for that company’s sector, what are the typical events or analyses that drive that share price back down to the norm?”

Llama gave me a very stock answer that would have been at home in a high school economics class, so I decided to become a little more pointed in my pursuit:

Given that analysis, how would you explain Tesla’s long run of share prices between one and two orders of magnitude over that of other and much larger and more profitable car companies, like Toyota?

What followed was…first unimpressive and then hilarious. See for yourselves below the jump:

show full post on front page

Respite: At Play in the Fields of the LLMsPost + Comments (109)

War Piggies

by Betty Cracker|  February 28, 20264:54 am| 183 Comments

This post is in: Foreign Affairs, Open Threads, Politics, Republican Stupidity, War, Assholes, General Stupidity

It rained here a lot yesterday, and then our power went down around sunset. Bill had made chocolate chip banana bread earlier, so we ate that for dinner. We felt childishly guilty about it because it was definitely the same as eating cake for dinner.

Since we live in hurricane country, we have tons of candles. As it grew darker, I lit a bunch  of them, creating a romantic ambiance. Then we retreated to the porch, drank a glass or three of wine and listened to the birdcalls and gentle rainfall. It was a pleasant way to spend the evening.

The power didn’t come back until after we’d snuffed out the candles and turned in for the night. So, we were blissfully oblivious to the fact that a flaccid, sweaty hot dog skin stuffed with greed and unearned self-regard and wearing a dumb white trucker hat came on the TV to bray about toppling a foreign regime.

Sweaty, corpulent man in a blazer and white shirt wearing a dumb white trucker hat.

I have no idea what will happen as a result of this foolishness, but it’s difficult to imagine anything these psychopaths do making the world a better place. The next time this pack of belligerent, bumbling chuckle-fucks effect an improvement will be the first.

***

Speaking of sweaty, beady-eyed sociopaths, the former Fox News personality who runs the Pentagon made good on his threat to yank the Department of Defense AI contract with Anthropic, designate that organization a national security threat and award the contract to OpenAI instead.

It’s unclear that Hegseth has the authority to do that, but in a post-law society, maybe that doesn’t matter. Here’s an excerpt of a statement from Anthropic, plus a link to the entire thing:

Earlier today, Secretary of War Pete Hegseth shared on X that he is directing the Department of War to designate Anthropic a supply chain risk. This action follows months of negotiations that reached an impasse over two exceptions we requested to the lawful use of our AI model, Claude: the mass domestic surveillance of Americans and fully autonomous weapons.

We have not yet received direct communication from the Department of War or the White House on the status of our negotiations.

We have tried in good faith to reach an agreement with the Department of War, making clear that we support all lawful uses of AI for national security aside from the two narrow exceptions above. To the best of our knowledge, these exceptions have not affected a single government mission to date.

We held to our exceptions for two reasons. First, we do not believe that today’s frontier AI models are reliable enough to be used in fully autonomous weapons. Allowing current models to be used in this way would endanger America’s warfighters and civilians. Second, we believe that mass domestic surveillance of Americans constitutes a violation of fundamental rights.

Here’s a tweet on the topic from OpenAI’s Sam Altman, whose wildly overvalued organization is the beneficiary of Hegseth-Trump’s spat with Anthropic:

War Piggy 1

Given the character of the so-called “Department of War” under Trump and Hegseth, my takeaway from this is that OpenAI tech will power the Pentagon’s dystopian domestic surveillance and self-guided robo-extermination units. Good to know.

Such is my personal paranoia level about all the planet-destroying plagiarism machines that when I first heard about the spat between Anthropic and the DOD, I wondered if it was a PSYOP to make the portion of the public that is wary of AI (i.e., the majority) believe there are good guy AI purveyors. I remain skeptical.

It’s unfortunate that all the decision-making about AI deployment is left to techno fascists in the private sector while allied reactionary clowns run the U.S. government and are personally in charge of its vast nuclear arsenal. And by “unfortunate,” I mean “fucking terrifying.”

It is also darkly amusing that everyone involved has to pretend that the Department of Defense is now called “Department of War” because the decrepit adolescents running the joint think that sounds badass and will kick anyone who calls the massive federal agency by its proper name out of the He-Man Woman-Haters Club treehouse.

Anyhoo, it’s supposed to rain all day today too. I’m tempted to shut off the electricity so we can once again experience the cozy darkness, obliviously eating additional chocolate chip banana bread and drinking more wine by candlelight.

The end.

War PiggiesPost + Comments (183)

The Stepford Bots

by Betty Cracker|  February 24, 202612:57 pm| 157 Comments

This post is in: C.R.E.A.M., Open Threads, Politics, Republican Venality, All we want is life beyond the thunderdome, General Stupidity

In a post yesterday that referenced the NC 4th primary, we talked about how coverage and candidate and/or supporter messaging can apply misleading labels to sandbag opponents and tempt voters to cast ballots based on bullshit vibes. Michelle Goldberg at the Times brings up an example of that in her current column, where she alleges shenanigans in the NY 12th primary for the retiring Jerry Nadler’s seat.

One of the contenders is Alex Bores, an NY assemblyman who worked as a data scientist. Goldberg says an outfit called Think Big PAC is running misleading ads against Bores ($1M spent so far). The ads show scary ICE raids, point out that Bores used to work at Palantir and claim “ICE is powered by Bores’s tech.”

Bores did work at Palantir until 2019. He says he resigned over the company’s work with ICE. Also, Bores sponsored legislation in the NY statehouse to put guardrails on AI, and regulating it at the federal level is a centerpiece of his current campaign for the House.

According to Goldberg, the tech oligarchs know this and are determined to stop Bores. She says Think Big is affiliated with Leading the Future, a super PAC funded by Trump-backing billionaires like Palantir cofounder Joe Lonsdale, literal eggheaded VC villain Marc Andreessen and Greg Brockman, president of OpenAI.

Here’s a gift link to Goldberg’s column, plus an excerpt:

A.I. feels, to many of us, creepy and invasive — a sense that’s only exacerbated by the antihumanist pronouncements of its creators. “I suspect that in a couple of years on almost any topic, the most interesting, maybe the most empathetic conversation that you could have will be with an A.I.,” Sam Altman, a co-founder of Open AI, said last year. More recently, he said it was “unfair” to harp on A.I.’s environmental cost because “it also takes a lot of energy to train a human.”

There’s a huge political opportunity for the party that can stand up for human beings in the face of this alienating, machine-worshiping ethos. For Democrats to seize it, they need both the fortitude to make foes of some of the world’s richest men and the expertise to know how these technologies can be constrained. If Leading the Future fears a candidate, those of us desperate for a different future should consider it an endorsement.

I don’t know anything about that district, but I hope voters see through what looks like an oligarch-funded flimflam. I hope NY 12th constituents evaluate Bores honestly rather than falling for dark money bullshit.

We’re all choking on that bullshit to some extent, and it’s going to get worse, God help us. As Mr. Orwell said, “To see what is in front of one’s nose needs a constant struggle.”

***

Thinking about the man-baby sociopaths who are whisking us off to dystopia reminded me of a fascinating theory I read the other day. I was alerted to it by this Bluesky post from our own Sister Golden Bear.

Important read: “The actual automation is happening in the reproductive economy—the care, attention, organization, and emotional labor that women have always performed… The “ick” is the recognition: That’s what I was. That’s what I did. Now it’s a product. And they’re calling it revolutionary.”

[image or embed]

— Sister Golden Bear (@sistergoldenbear.bsky.social) February 23, 2026 at 2:50 AM

Abi Awomosu, author of “How Not to Use AI,” wrote a Substack piece (link here) that began by riffing on a startling statistic: Women adopt AI at rates 25% lower than men, and a yawning gender gap persist across countries, cultures, professional groups, etc.

Awomosu says “agentic” AI is a Stepford wife for the modern era, and she theorizes that women’s visceral rejection of the technology “isn’t technophobia or a gap to close. It’s wisdom to act on.”

It’s a pretty fascinating essay. The author reviews the types of Stepford wives each tech company is building, and she talks about the choices we can make in response to the onslaught, which is to resist or use the tool built to replace us to escape the trap instead.

I’m not a deep thinker on this (or any other!) topic. Maybe Awomosu is right about why more women than men seem to find AI repulsive. My initial wee hours-reaction after reading the essay was along the lines of, “Damn, she’s right!”

Personally, I’d feel better about AI if the people in charge of training it up and foisting it off on us (whether we like it or not!) weren’t authoritarian sociopaths or at least authoritarian sociopath-adjacent. But I know lots of guys who feel that way too.

Anyhoo, food for thought, and an open thread,

The Stepford BotsPost + Comments (157)

“These are not very bright guys, and things got out of hand” (part infinity)

by Betty Cracker|  February 17, 202612:43 pm| 187 Comments

This post is in: Open Threads, Politics, Republican Stupidity, Assholes, General Stupidity

As most of y’all surely know, the post title is a quote from 20th century prophet Deep Throat, also known as FBI Associate Director Mark Felt, of Watergate fame. Mr. Throat’s warning resonates more than half a century later as we endure rule by fool.

That sentence occurred to me repeatedly as I read excerpts of the Epstein files. Lots of these guys, including Epstein himself, come across as blithering idiots. Elizabeth Spiers wrote about this phenomenon at “The Nation” in a piece titled Epstein Class Clowns. Here’s an excerpt:

The files are full of these men spouting theories about population decline, the supposed inferiority of non-white people, and what rights women should and shouldn’t have. These theories are bigoted and evil, but they are also—and I mention this again for a reason—very, very dumb. Epstein and Musk both believed that they are, as white men, genetically superior and tried to (or did) impregnate large numbers of women because they wanted to spread their supposedly superior DNA far and wide in order to create a more intelligent population. This is a childlike understanding of genetics, population sciences, and probably the female reproductive system…

There is nothing wrong with not understanding things that aren’t in your field of expertise; as Socrates said, the origin of true wisdom is acknowledging that “I know that I know nothing.” But these particular know-nothings are a far cry from Socrates. Instead of learning more in a spirit of humility, their typical response when confronted with evidence that their store of knowledge is thin wasn’t to consult with actual experts; rather, it was to assume the experts whose facts and research contradict their theories are wrong and that anything can be learned simply by thinking from first principles. (This is why Elon Musk dreams of colonies on Mars and NASA scientists do not: They have already thought through the problem a lot more, and actually understand the science.)

The crappy thinking that pervades all of this would be innocuous if the complacent know-nothings in question were just 20-year-olds posting on Reddit boards. But these people influence major policy decisions, allocate money on our behalf whether we like it or not, and are responsible politically for where we are now—at the precipice of utter democratic collapse and bringing back measles.

Yep. As Spiers notes, the oligarchs and academics surrounding Epstein may be talented or even brilliant in specific areas. But because they are too arrogant to know what they don’t know and far too pompous and self-important to listen to others who do know what they’re talking about, well, here we are.

The same is true of Epstein associate Donald Trump, who is dumb as a post in most ways but has an undeniable talent for self-promotion and mirroring an audience’s grievances. And now that braying ass is president. Again.

***

But you know who’s really, really, really dumb, according to the New York Times yesterday and also the Wall Street Journal? Representative Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D-NY), that’s who. Like the Times, the Journal rendered every “um” and “uh” in AOC’s (admittedly awkward) answer to a question about U.S. policy toward China and Taiwan. The Journal added commentary:

The soliloquy is especially impressive because Ms. Ocasio-Cortez could have taken cover under the fact that U.S. policy is to decline to answer the question.

But that would require understanding the concept of “strategic ambiguity” toward the island of 23 million free people. It’s nice to hear that Ms. Ocasio-Cortez wants to “make sure that we never get to that point,” though deterrence demands military power and the willingness to use it, not “economic research” and “global positions,” whatever those are.

Mr. Trump is no great communicator of America’s vital interest in a free Pacific, but he understands deterrence at an instinctual level. Voters may not like the frenetic Trump show, but they know that China under the Communist Party is a hostile power. Democrats will continue to lose elections if they appear not to recognize the world’s threats.

To this, I say fuck you, The Editorial Board. It’s fair to criticize AOC’s response to that or any other question. It’s fair to disagree with her on policy, approach, whatever.

But basically shouting “dumb commie lady” at AOC while fluffing the demented orange bully’s “instinctual” understanding of “deterrence”? Fuck off with that noise.

***

Lastly, this was exquisitely choreographed, and I found it deeply moving.

Wow.

[image or embed]

— Nash Is Here For It (@nashishereforit.bsky.social) February 16, 2026 at 10:59 PM

Good to know art still happens at the Kennedy Center despite the hostile takeover of Tacky Engulf & Devour, Inc. According to comments on Bluesky, the dancers are from The First Amendment Troop, which is on Instagram here.

Open thread!

“These are not very bright guys, and things got out of hand” (part infinity)Post + Comments (187)

Saturday Odds & Ends (Open Thread)

by Betty Cracker|  February 14, 20262:30 pm| 183 Comments

This post is in: Domestic Politics, Foreign Affairs, Open Threads, Politics, Republican Stupidity, General Stupidity

Since Alex Pretti’s murder, there have been two anti-ICE protests in my deep-red town. Anecdotally, I’ve seen bipartisan disgust with this administration’s authoritarian overreach.

One of the protesters in my town carried a large Gadsden flag. At first I thought he was a counter-protester, but he had anti-ICE signage too.

This Jersey man gets emotional about what’s happening in his neighborhood at a protest this week:

Yesterday morning kids were sent running from their bus stop in panic because ICE showed up. This guy at today’s ICE Out of Lindenwold protest is a must watch 😭. @maddow.bsky.social

[image or embed]

— Cooper River Indivisible (@crindivisible.bsky.social) February 13, 2026 at 9:37 PM

Sounds like he’s fed up with Trump’s child-snatching squads, so he’s carrying a sign for the first time in his life. Republicans cannot afford to alienate white guys in Callaway golf hats, so you love to see it!

***

Speaking of love…

Give her what she really wants for Valentine’s Day: A bookshelf with a rolling ladder, a vintage bottle of Château Margaux, a basket of fresh pastries, and a candlelight meal where she can dine on the hearts of all who’ve wronged her.

— The Whimsical Muse (@whimsicalmuse.bsky.social) February 14, 2026 at 6:23 AM

Yes! That’s not what I’m getting, but Bill is making his famous cinnamon roast chicken, a recipe handed down from his Polish American grandma. It has far more olive oil, butter and garlic than cinnamon — all the good things!

***

Speaking further of love, our Painted Bunting continues to visit. If you listen with the sound on, you’ll hear the cries of Limpkins looking for love in the background.

#PaintedBunting is back! Didn’t see him yesterday, so I thought he’d moved on. 🪶

[image or embed]

— Betty Cracker of Florida (@bettycrackerfl.bsky.social) February 14, 2026 at 7:19 AM

I’m quite fond of the Limpkins, but they scream incessantly from late January until March or so — day and night. I’ve been up since 4 AM thanks to those horny feathered screamers, and it will get worse when it warms up enough to leave the windows open overnight.

Limpkin screeching so annoyed The Yearling and Cross Creek author Marjorie Kinnan Rawlings that she developed recipes featuring the birds and was said (by herself) to make an excellent roast Limpkin. I wonder if she used cinnamon?

Open thread!

Saturday Odds & Ends (Open Thread)Post + Comments (183)

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