Here’s the live feed for the President’s scheduled 6:30 PM EST address this evening on the COVID 19 coronavirus.
I honesty don’t know what to expect from him tonight. Apparently the President is very angry with Dr. Nancy Messonnier, who is the career, professional infectious disease specialist leading the CDC’s response.
“It’s great to make emergency preparations, it’s not great to make predictions,” the official said.
— Eamon Javers (@EamonJavers) February 26, 2020
It doesn’t help that Dr. Messonnier is former Deputy Attorney General Rod Rosenstein’s sister, which has set Rush Limbaugh and other supporters and surrogates of the President off on a variety of related conspiracy theories about how COVID19 is somehow a deep state conspiracy against the President. Which I’m sure makes all of seriously ill and dead people in dozens of countries feel much better.
I’m sure someone has recommended that the President be put on a script loaded into the teleprompter, kept as calm as possible, told to just go out and do the “just the facts ma’am” address about what is going on, and then turn it over to the medical professionals from the CDC and the NIH. But as is always the case with the President, there is no way to know whether we’re going to get a very subdued President who makes his way through a statement he clearly doesn’t want to make and then quickly leaves without taking questions or whether we’re going to get an unleashed President who doesn’t stay on script, opens up for questions, and then answers them however he feels like doing so. The former would be okay, the latter would create a whole series of new problems given the President’s and his administration’s well documented history of lying, presenting factually inaccurate information, and promoting conspiracy theories.
There are, however, a number of good quality sources for accurate information. Anne Laurie has been bringing us all an early morning round up of a lot of those sources – most of whom are medical professionals and researchers working on these issues. Here is the link to the CDC’s recommended guidance. And here is the link to the CDC’s updates on the COVID 19 coronavirus. Here’s one from The Washington Post that Cheryl sent me, as well as an excellent article from Foreign Policy she passed on as well. You should also give this article that Cheryl highlighted in a tweet yesterday a read too.
This article contains many good suggestions. It's mainly written for professionals in risk communication. Tips for the rest of us are in small print throughout, and at the bottom, under "What's working for us."
h/t @SellaTheChemist https://t.co/AQZHHuF7PO— Cheryl Rofer (@CherylRofer) February 25, 2020
A lot of the recommendations are the common sense ones that we all use for cold and flu seasons: wash your hands regularly, don’t touch your face, eyes, nose, mouth unless you’ve washed or sanitized your hands, if you’re feeling ill stay home if possible and contact your physician for guidance, cough and sneeze into a disposable tissue or the inside of your elbow (vampire sneeze or cough), if you are experiencing respiratory difficulties, seek medical assistances as soon as you can. And, of course, get a flu shot or the nasal mist. It won’t help with COVID 19, but it will provide some protection against the seasonal flu and potentially remove that as a potential medical issue for you. And, of course, the normal emergency preparations that we’ve posted about in regard to natural disasters apply: have a week to two week’s worth of non-perishable food, make sure your prescription and over the counter medicines are filled, make sure your home first aid kit is properly stocked, get plenty of rest, check reliable news sources, the usual.
Unfortunately, in terms of the official US response, we are in something of uncharted waters with the COVID 19 virus. The President is a known conspiracy monger who lies frequently and who has been more than happy to politicize public health and other potential national security issues for his own advantage. We all remember his helpful and thoughtful contributions to the US government’s response to ebola in 2014. It also doesn’t help that the President has overseen the degradation of the US’s ability to respond to a public health emergency by firing the National Security Staff members on the National Security Council who coordinate public health emergency and pandemic response, as well as cutting the CDC response teams and efforts by 80%. The President has also reduced US national health spending by $15 billion and eliminating the $30 million complex crisis fund, which would ordinarily be tapped to respond to something like the COVID 19 outbreak. Just as personnel is policy, so too is budgeting. What the President is and is not willing to fund is as much a determinant to what the official policy of the US is as who is hired to oversee and implement it and how it is officially delineated. It won’t matter a bit if the President delineates a strategy tonight to respond to the COVID 19 outbreak because the personnel and budgeting that the President have put forward would be trying to ask of that strategy that which no strategy could provide: ways and means that do not exist.
The President has repeatedly demonstrated that he doesn’t value intelligence. By this I’m referring to the product produced by the US intelligence community (IC), as well as other information coming from professional sources intended to enhance decision making. The purpose of intelligence is to provide timely, useful, and accurate information in a digestible format so that senior leaders and decision makers can make appropriate assessments of threats, challenges, and opportunities and the best decisions possible to deal with them. It is the role of senior advisors to provide the President what he needs to know, not what he wants to hear, based on the most timely and accurate information and analyses possible. And the President has also, repeatedly, indicated he doesn’t value this either. The firing of Vice Admiral Maguire as Acting DNI ten days ago is just the most recent example of this unfortunate reality.
If the President can be convinced to get out of the way and let the professionals at the CDC and the NIH and what is left of the US’s national public health officers corps do their jobs, let Congress quickly ramp up funding to allow these agencies to rapidly expand their personnel and operation, we might be okay. But if he cannot control his impulses, things are likely to be far rougher than they would need to be going forward. And even if he can contain himself, he can’t and won’t stop his surrogates and supporters spreading conspiracy theories that will make it much harder for the Federal, state, and local governments to respond.
We are off the looking glass and through the map.
Open thread.
Elizabelle
You could not pay me to watch Trump. It would be bad for my health. With or without a mask and clean hands.
Major Major Major Major
Given Limbaugh’s age and respiratory health status, and the high likelihood we all may have of catching COVID19… well, he stands a decent chance of dying from this thing, and I think I hope it gets him before the cancer gets a chance to.
Betty Cracker
If Trump had a brain rattling around in that empty melon atop his neck (spoiler alert: he does not), he’d give Rosenstein a Medal of Freedom. Rosenstein swept the muck under the rug as best he could with zero help from Trump.
Betty Cracker
Also, it’s pretty fucked up how Trump makes his minions stand around the podia while he slathers on the orange makeup.
Adam L Silverman
@Major Major Major Major: He’s likely immunosuppressed from his treatments as well.
Brachiator
If he has his sharpie with him, we’re all in trouble.
More seriously, his decisions and actions here could end up having a tremendous impact on the country, and his presidency.
Adam L Silverman
@Betty Cracker: That’s not how he, his surrogates, and his supporters see it. They think that Rosenstein tried to destroy his presidency and is part of the coup against him.
Adam L Silverman
@Betty Cracker: You’d think he could splash some on VP Pence. That dude has the complexion of wallpaper paste!
Adam L Silverman
@Brachiator: Yep. And, as I’ve said for over three years now, people will get hurt, especially those that least deserve to be hurt.
Adam L Silverman
We have over 50 cases of people with COVID 19 in the US. The President keeps saying we have 15 cases.
Betty Cracker
This is not a reassuring press conference!
Johnny Gentle (famous crooner)
@Brachiator: I give it three days before Mick Mulvaney is put in charge of the CDC.
trollhattan
Am hoping we can make it to the end of school before it hits, because that seems to be a major contributor to how quickly bugs get spread about (e.g., every office I’ve ever worked in has a major cold uptick as soon as fall semester begins). It could help slow transmission over the summer and add valuable time developing a vaccine. Does anybody know if Tamaflu has an effect?
They’re toying with cancelling the Olympics, if you can believe that.
Goku (aka Amerikan Baka)
Somebody should ask these stupid fucks if Italy, ROK, Japan, and several other countries in Europe and all over the world are also in on it
David ??Merry Christmas?? Koch
Q: Which morons on CNN will say he was “presidential” because he didn’t drool or blame Comey for the Kennedy assassination?
A: All of them, Katie
Adam L Silverman
@Johnny Gentle (famous crooner): Jared. His mother always wanted him to be a doctor.
AnnaN
Jesus H Christ on a popsicle – Trump is incoherent.
Adam L Silverman
@Goku (aka Amerikan Baka): South Korea, Japan, Germany, and France are definitely in on it.//
Adam L Silverman
@David ??Merry Christmas?? Koch: Van Jones.
Goku (aka Amerikan Baka)
@Adam L Silverman:
We did. A few weeks ago. Trump keeps repeatedly trying to downplay this serious outbreak. He doesn’t want this to affect his reelection chances/stock portfolio. The top leadership across the government, particularly the appointees, are clueless fools
I can’t decide who I hate more: Trump himself or the morons who voted him into office and still support/defend him even now
Nothing is ever his fault. He always the victim and he has no agency of his own, except when he does, because something is going right for him once in a blue moon
The Dangerman
Good to know that he calls the flu…
…the flu.
mad citizen
I saw how trumpov is going to speak about the COVID 19 emergency, and realized I am still at an emergency level regarding the continuing WH occupation of the orange one.
Adam L Silverman
Oh goody, VP Pence is our COVID 19 Czar! Let’s pray away the disease.
chris
Pence? Y’all are so…
TaMara (HFG)
@Betty Cracker: Let the markets fall!!! Just to see the baboon butt face when it’s directly related to him trying to “reassure” the nation.
Major Major Major Major
@Adam L Silverman: don’t some folks like to use a number that doesn’t include the cruise ship people? Still isn’t 15 I don’t think but I’ve definitely seen two numbers with that calculation.
Thanks for the nice links, btw, like the first one a lot. ETA I guess that thank-you should go to Cheryl, thanks Cheryl!
debbie
@Betty Cracker:
Betty, you need to illustrate this!
Cermet
@trollhattan: Good question that google might answer – but don’t expect any clear answers … lol. That this isn’t the flu and that this virus is in the SARs family so attacks cells completely different – would appear to reduce the odds.
Adam L Silverman
@Major Major Major Major: The last official number I saw was 54 confirmed cases in the US.
Brachiator
@Johnny Gentle (famous crooner):
My money is on Young Jared.
debbie
@Adam L Silverman:
Something about bringing in Japanese-Americans because it was the right thing to do?
Goku (aka Amerikan Baka)
@Major Major Major Major:
Yeah, I believe that 54 figure includes the repatriated citizens placed into quarantine from the cruise ship off Japan
Aleta
Why not Jared? Has he forsaken us?
Major Major Major Major
@trollhattan: oddly enough, kids don’t seem to be affected very much. Zero reported fatalities under age ten. But they’re definitely highly effective disease vectors!
Repatriated
@Adam L Silverman: Mr. Vice President, your bus is about to arrive.
The Dangerman
I hit mute after he announced Pence as the expert. Be stronger than me!
Adam L Silverman
@Major Major Major Major: Interestingly the CDC is reported 14 on their site:
https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/cases-in-us.html
But, two days ago 53 reported/confirmed cases were being attributed to them:
https://www.marketwatch.com/story/cdc-there-are-now-53-covid-19-cases-in-us-as-more-diamond-princess-passengers-test-positive-2020-02-24
Baud
@Adam L Silverman:
https://balloon-juice.com/2020/02/25/corvids-not-covid/#comment-7597210
Adam L Silverman
Ahh, Secretary Azar has explained the numbers: 14 confirmed in the US from the US, 2 from people now in the US who were in Wuhan, and 34 or so who were on the cruise ship and are now in the US.
Shrillhouse
Trump’s remarks are simultaneously hilarious and terrifying.
“We have great quarantine facilities…”
Oh, good.
Goku (aka Amerikan Baka)
@Adam L Silverman:
Oh don’t forget Brazil, Romania, Serbia, Austria, Spain, Croatia, Switzerland, Greece, Norway
The Dangerman
@Repatriated:
Someplace, Nikki Haley is warming up in the bullshit pen.
Ryan
Mobbed up! Ready to go! Seriously, Pence’s newfound faith in the competence and effectiveness of the federal government is, situational.
Major Major Major Major
I managed to find some n95 masks at the hardware store on Monday. Didn’t want to pay the price-gougers online so lucky me. I also ordered a laptop I was planning to get in a couple months, just in case the electronics supply chain goes super pear-shaped.
I’m mostly worried about my parents, though. Mom has to do a lot of work travel and dad volunteers at the museum, and they aren’t inclined to stop. I’m in a 0.2% mortality age band; they are not.
chris
@Goku (aka Amerikan Baka): Canada standing right here
Also Dow futures started to rise until Pence. Tomorrow should be interesting.
Aleta
“I could not be more delighted” that the guy who’s hoping for plague to confirm the 2nd Coming is now in charge, says the Sec of HHS.
Goku (aka Amerikan Baka)
@Major Major Major Major:
Just wanted to say sorry if I’ve been a little panicky recently about this virus. How are things in NYC? Have you noticed anything out of the ordinary?
bjacques
Dr. Shuchat certainly can accessorize
JPL
A few years ago someone who works at the CDC mentioned that they are very careful not to upset the president because their funding could be cut.
Shalimar
@Betty Cracker: Trump really looks horrible. His face is orange but apparently he puts it on himself because there is a white circle around each eye. How has he appeared on television for decades and not have a makeup person?
Ryan
At least Trump didn’t Go To Jared.
Adam L Silverman
@Baud: Please see Ann Laurie on the mezzanine level to collect your prize.
Nicole
@Goku (aka Amerikan Baka): NYC always has a decent number of people wearing face masks in the winter, so no, I haven’t seen anything unusual here.
(I know you asked Major, but as I’m on the subway every day, I figured I’d chime in)
cain
@Goku (aka Amerikan Baka):
The whole world is in on it – how strange no cases in Russia, eh? But funny how they are all in on spreading the disinformation and causing fear and panic, but don’t worry, Russia is going to get their own COVID 19 spreading too – maybe with Russia going full COVID 19 they’ll stop interfering in our elections if we end up having one.
See: https://www.rferl.org/a/u-s-officials-link-covid-19-disinformation-campaign-to-russian-proxy-accounts/30448927.html
Major Major Major Major
@Goku (aka Amerikan Baka): if you have been, I didn’t notice. Probably indistinguishable from the panicky background radiation.
Can’t say I’ve noticed anything different here, but it’s only been a couple days since our collective OH SHIT moment.
Now if you’ll excuse me, I’m off to hoard beans.
Cermet
Don’t worry about this virus; as the country with the best health care system and enough hospitals, we’ll be fine. Besides, if China can build a 1000 bed hospital in under two weeks we can do … wait. Our medical system is solely profit driven and there is no profit in that. If this virus sweeps the country and even has just a 5% rate of developing into serious illness, we’ve really, really screwed.
Naming pence is proof the orange fart cloud is a coward. Make the most powerless person in charge of the response – that way, when it fails, the orange fart can claim its the vp’s fault. The leader and person with the most power refuses to take charge – utter coward.
Shalimar
@Adam L Silverman: This morning I read that someone from the administration testified in a hearing that there were 60 cases, 45 from the cruise ship and a 15th non-cruise ship case that had been confirmed as he was walking into the hearing. Either I’m mis-remembering, or they’re walking that number back.
edit: https://www.businessinsider.com/wuhan-coronavirus-us-cases-health-risk-2020-1
chopper
so basically when coronavirus starts to spread here it’s gonna be all her fault for saying it.
Gravenstone
@Major Major Major Major: I endorse this sentiment.
Gravenstone
@Johnny Gentle (famous crooner): Jared. Not like his portfolio is overburdened or anything.
Amir Khalid
So Trump is angry with an expert for telling him an unpleasant truth. I don’t know if her being Rod Rosenstein’s sister has anything to do with it (I guess we’ll know that for sure if someone brings it up) but isn’t that pretty much normal for him?
chopper
that’s putting it mildly. she’s been the only FPer talking much about it. by a country mile.
Goku (aka Amerikan Baka)
@Major Major Major Major:
I wasn’t so lucky. I managed to get a 10 pack of Milwaukee Multi-Purpose Professional N95 valved respirators on Amazon for like 40 bucks on Monday and they arrived this afternoon. 3 each for me and my parents. I also bought swim goggles because the virus can enter through the eyes in aerosol form. They’ll do for having to leave the house to get supplies. According to the CDC, these can be safely reused with care
I’m in the same boat as you. My parents are both in their late 50s. My grandmother is 85 but lives by herself. I’m going to have to talk to other family about precautions, such as wearing surgical masks when visiting her. But here’s some possible good news: those mortality numbers are mostly from China where the air quality is terrible and many people smoke. Did your parents ever smoke cigarettes?
Gravenstone
@AnnaN: So a day ending in -y, in other words?
hells littlest angel
@Shalimar: I always assumed Victoria Jackson does his makeup.
Adam L Silverman
@Shalimar: I think this is in line with how Azar explained the numbers. Apparently the President has decided that the repatriated cases don’t count as cases in the US because the people contracted it outside the US.
dmsilev
@Gravenstone: To be fair, I’m sure Jared would be every bit as effective at dealing with coronavirus as he was at bringing peace to the Middle East.
Gravenstone
@Goku (aka Amerikan Baka): All of them, young Goku. Hate makes you strong. Give in to the Dark Side.
/stifling a Palpatine cackle
Gravenstone
@Adam L Silverman: Someone in this joint wanted Pence to turn his steely squint on the disease. Guess they’ll get their wish. Gods spare us all…
Adam L Silverman
@Gravenstone: That was Baud.
oatler.
And now the punchline. Trump said the market my have tanked because of the people on the Democratic debate stage.
Major Major Major Major
@Goku (aka Amerikan Baka): my dad smoked many years ago, as did I. But yes, the numbers from China, which has terrible air quality and a surplus of old male smokers, are possibly skewing the sample.
Adam L Silverman
cain
@Adam L Silverman:
If I recall, he was quite upset that they ended up in the U.S. to begin with. I believe he is a big germ phobe too.. he’s going to be going a little crazy from that as well.
ron riddell
is der fuhrerm aking any sense
Adam L Silverman
@cain: Yep and yep.
Enhanced Voting Techniques
So the Twaffel in Chief in going to politicize a disease. Only a conservative boomer.
Adam L Silverman
And now he’s ranting in answering press questions.
Kent
@The Dangerman: This.
They know this is going to be bad and they need a fall guy to deflect blame off the 2020 Trump Campaign. Pence is a two-fer. I expect the loyal MAGA junta has been looking for an excuse to defenestrate Pence and put someone more exiting in the VP slot.
As Winston Churchill famously said. “Never let a good crisis go to waste”
Gravenstone
@Goku (aka Amerikan Baka): You guys keep this talk of face masks and swimming goggles up and I’m going to end up ‘borrowing ‘ an SCBA from work at this rate.
Citizen Scientist
Cheese and crackers, Trump makes Pence sound presidential. And you can tell Trump does not care about any victims of the CV, just its effects on the stock markets.
cain
@Adam L Silverman:
haha, we are so fucked. We are going to see true incompetence that cannot be hidden. These republicans are going to be really shitting themselves.
(and us along with them)
#MAGA
dmsilev
@oatler.: I know “logic” and “consistency” and “merest glimmerings of sanity” are not Trump’s strong suits, but why would the market tank both before and after this particular Democratic debate and not any of the 342 prior ones?
WaterGirl
@chopper:
In all fairness, it’s Anne Laurie’s beat, and other front pagers respect that.
cain
@Citizen Scientist:
Surprised that he’s not worried about the lack of people coming to his hotels.
Gvg
You know, i’ve said before, Trump has been unusually lucky in not having any real crisises till now, except the ones he caused. We’ve all known he would be a disaster when something happened, and something always happens. My theory is the world knows how precarious things are and the normal bad actors have been laying low till Trump is gone. But natural disaster don’t have agency so here we are. I was expecting him to screw up a Hurricane response (again). This is worse. Election season is probably strategically good but it’s not in anybody’s control.
i do suspect we’ll have an outbreak of stupid country against country attacks right after we get a sane President back in office. There is only so long that can hold off.
Adam L Silverman
@WaterGirl:
via GIPHY
trollhattan
O/T
Makes me sad. Loved their small, trippy set of records and did not know too much about them past Hope Sandoval’s dreamy voice.
Adam L Silverman
@cain: The foreign leaders that book his hotels and properties aren’t on the travel ban lists.
J R in WV
So we are all saved from certain death from covid-19 Plague by VP Mike Pence!
Huzzah !! Hurray !!
We are so screwed, Pence is barely able to keep breathing on schedule, let alone think about science on his own!
Adam L Silverman
@Gvg: Deity forbid this gets bad, but if it does, this won’t be like the mess he made of the Puerto Rico hurricane response because unlike Puerto Rico, all the newspapers and TV and cable news folks live in the continental US.
Kent
He’ll probably turn the Trump Doral into a quarantine center and bill the federal government about $10,000/day per person for the service to the country. Win-win since his Plan-A of having the G7 meet there got torpedoed.
Adam L Silverman
I need to clarify and correct something the President just said. Once the government lets personnel go, whether they’re civil servants or contractors and shutters the programs they are working on, it is VERY, VERY, VERY difficult to get that capability and those personnel back. Even in an emergency.
Elizabelle
@Gvg: That’s an interesting theory.
It would seem Trump has been unusually lucky in no really terrible external events on his watch that would affect the continental US.
Puerto Rico: sucks to be you.
Patricia Kayden
hitchhiker
I watched this with the sound off and closed caption running. Does trump know any words besides “very”?
Seriously, he uses it in every sentence and sometimes more than once. It’s so embarrassing to watch him hold up his little map and claim that we’re the best. It’s so embarrassing to watch him share that he just now learned that many thousands of people die of the flu every year. It’s so embarrassing to watch him squinting meaningfully at reporters.
God, it’s all so damned embarrassing. And the answer to a potential pandemic is Mike fucking Pence.
germy
Adam L Silverman
Cheryl Rofer
@Adam L Silverman: Not to mention that development of a vaccine and tracking the epidemiology of disease spread need continuing action, starting yesterday.
Adam L Silverman
@Cheryl Rofer: No arguments here.
chris
@hitchhiker: Very is a very strong word so he uses it very strongly. I mean, who wouldn’t?
Aziz, light!
Adam, I understand your preference for using the man’s title rather than his name, but the grammatical convention when identifying an officeholder is to lowercase the title unless it is followed by his name. He is the president, not the President. There is no need to give this title any more dignity than it deserves.
ant
How many people in the USA are being tested for the virus?
Do we have test kits? How much do they cost? Who pays?
Are these questions being asked?
Elizabelle
@Aziz, light!: I never call him anything other than Trump.
He deserves neither the office nor the title, and likely came by neither honestly.
germy
chris
@trollhattan: Mazzy Star? Never heard of them! So thanks for that. Assume you’re also a fan of the Cowboy Junkies?
germy
Rush wants to have some fun with the rubes before he checks out for good:
hitchhiker
@Elizabelle:
I can’t even bring myself to capitalize his name. He’s trump to me, a word that now means something like rat or toad.
Annamal
Serious question, what are the chances that the virus is spreading undetected at the moment?
Gravenstone
@germy: In other words, someone is going big on pharma stocks!
danielx
So was the presser as big a shitshow as Charles Pierce expected? Leaving aside the fact that with Mike Pence (R-bobblehead) in charge of the government response, we are clearly doomed.
Adam L Silverman
@ant: They’ve tested around 445 people so far (as of yesterday’s report by the CDC). There are problems with the CDC’s test kits that they are trying to fix as quickly as possible. And no, they weren’t being asked.
germy
@Gravenstone: I remember Jonas Salk. He wanted his polio vaccine to maximize human welfare, not profit. What a sucker.
Luciamia
@cain: Please, let him go full Howard Hughes. Shuffling around the West Wing with tissue boxes on his feet.
Adam L Silverman
@danielx: Yes, yes it was.
Adam L Silverman
Elizabelle
@germy: Putting dittoheads’ lives at risk? Maybe Rush can do some good on his way out, after all.
Better off without him and the majority of them.
germy
@Elizabelle: I had the same thought, but dittoheads breathe on the rest of us.
Kent
Yes, we have the answer. Under our current mess of a health care system it works like this: https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/coronavirus-test-medical-bill-china-us-miami-osmel-martinez-azcue-a9358146.html
JPL
@Adam L Silverman: And that is how Nikki Haley becomes tump’s running mate.
JPL
@germy: Will no one think about the farmers?
Adam L Silverman
@JPL: Our great patriotic farmers!
Ksmiami
@Amir Khalid: fuck him I hope he catches it and drops dead. see his plan to divide us has worked.
Jeffro
@cain: I’m already laughing, picturing the poor trumpov staffer who knows they’d better STIFLE THAT SNEEZE THEY FEEL COMIN’! or else they’ll be out on their butts as part of the Deep State conspiracy to spread COVID-19 in the White House argle bargle gargle…
Mnemosyne
@Annamal:
Non-expert me says there’s about a 100 percent chance. It seems to be something that flies under the radar as “normal” flu until someone has the really bad reaction and stops breathing.
?BillinGlendaleCA
@JPL: Ivanka Trump.
Mnemosyne
@Kent:
I’m guessing that this will be transformed into yet another Obama failed us and the PPACA sucks! moment in the minds of the Berniebros.
Adam L Silverman
Thoughts and prayers!
Adam L Silverman
@Annamal:
100% chance!
Marcopolo
@Annamal: Serious answer. Since it appeared COVID-19 is infectious prior to symptoms manifesting you should assume it is spreading under the radar.
Lol, or see what AS just posted above this.
Another Scott
Thanks for this. I noticed he was yammering on the radio on the drive home, but I refused to listen.
Along the lines of Cheryl’s links, GovExec – You’re likely to get coronavirus:
But, but, the BBC News chyron says that Donnie said that the USA is #1 in preparedness. USA!! USA!!
:-/
Cheers,
Scott.
Ksmiami
@Gravenstone: I’m hoping this wipes them off the fucking planet
Adam L Silverman
@Marcopolo:
Redshift
Sadly, Pence probably is the least unqualified qualified person they could have picked (since it was going to be from the shallow pool of people Trump knows to be loyal.) From what I’ve read, you want an administrator, not a medical expert, and Pence is one of their few remaining people with that experience.
He also has the experience of having caused an AIDS outbreak in his state through his misguided policies, but he still may be the least bad choice.
Marcopolo
@Mnemosyne: Not even as normal flu…it’s seems to be infectious prior to symptoms manifesting.
Eric S.
@Kent: I really should’ve hacked and coughed and spit up on his DC hotel when I had the chance yesterday.
Jeffro
@Adam L Silverman: The DBTs have a new song called “Thoughts and Prayers” you would like… (it’s about gun control but same idea) =)
Marcopolo
John Carter 1966
This where the MSM fumbles on the one yard line!
RaflW
@Adam L Silverman: Ah, so that’s the Indiana health care that Trump said “many states” were looking to as a shining example. SMDH.
Mike in Pasadena
@oatler.: I was driving and listening on the radio when that puke came over the air. Monday’s crash was the day before the debate. Tuesday’s continuation of the crash was also before the debate started. Yet, the market crashed because of things the debaters said. That was a lot like what the Republicans were saying about the 2007/2008 crash: “…the stock market tanked in anticipation that Obama was going to win.” Gag. I turned the radio off and somehow managed to avoid crashing into something.
David ??Merry Christmas?? Koch
Run the Gubmint like a business
Marcopolo
I’ve been thinking if Trump continues to hold massive campaign rallies there might be an opportunity for an enterprising person who would like to explore getting infected and then introduce chaos into the MAGA ecosphere.
/s (but you know there are seriously unhinged folks out there thinking about doing this to groups they hate—who needs guns?)
cckids
@hitchhiker: God, it’s all so damned embarrassing.
This. I swear, every time I think about future textbooks, and that this assclown will forever be recognized as a US President, I just despair.
Adam L Silverman
@Marcopolo: I had a discussion about this with the Navy admiral who specialized in infectious diseases back in 2002 or 2003. That if I really wanted to do some damage as a terrorist, I’d send a number of people into hot zones for highly infectious and highly deadly diseases that would be likely to create mass panic if their was an outbreak. Specifically ebola and marburg. Get my operatives infected and then have them travel through multiple countries and multiple airports to try to cause the most widely dispersed infection pattern as possible. I’m a doctor, but not his type of doctor, and was thinking it through from my area of expertise and he basically told me he didn’t think this would work very well.
Jeffro
Did not realize Azar was a former pharma exec…it all makes sense now…
Hey Dems, don’t hold back here. It’s important that all Americans know who’s fighting for them, and who’s fighting for pharma profits in the middle of a crisis. Like, REALLY important.
RaflW
I listened to the whole prepared part of the event. Trump really can’t hold a continuous thought for more than about five words. He also seems to have at most a couple hundred word vocabulary. It’s bizarre.
The non-Pence, non-Trump portion seemed not awful, but also a bit Pollyanna.
Trump saying when he resumed the mic that the US is very, very prepared struck me as reckless. Though Pence will take the fall for that.
Marcopolo
Let me tell you, at least for me not touching my face is gonna take a lot of work. Started this morning & it is much more difficult than I thought it would be.
I also purchased some extra non-perishable foods at the grocery store today. I’ll be doing this every few days going forward until I have enough put aside for a couple weeks.
Better safe than sorry.
Martin
I’m trying to get our institutional plans ramped up. My tactic is to lay out the numbers. Assuming a 2% mortality rate, which is the best info we have right now, a university with 30,000 students and 15,000 employees is looking at potentially 600 student fatalities and 300 staff. Unlikely with a bunch of 20 year old students, but staff tend to be fairly broad age range.
I’m very skeptical of our larger governmental plans, but institutions like universities and companies can move fairly rapidly and I think will be expected to.
I’ve been talking to colleagues in China and it’s really apparent how poorly positioned we are. They shut entire universities down and shifted instruction online. Faculty/staff are required to take their temperature twice a day. It is both amazingly draconian and seemingly quite practical at the same time, and it’s backed by a Berlin Airlift scale operation to keep cities functioning, which we obviously used to be able to do, but I’m not convinced we can do any longer given how it took 3 days to deliver water to the Superdome.
Kent
Don’t you know? Trump can never fail. He can only be failed.
Jeffro
@Adam L Silverman: “ebola runners”…told by their handler that they’d receive the ‘vaccine’ once they had gone through their eight (or whatever) assigned airports/urban grocery stores/bars/subways/etc…and of course collapsing at the end in major metro hospitals when the ‘vaccine’ meet-up never happens…
I’ll just stop now and save it for my post-apocalyptic novel that I’m going to write in the post-apocalypse…
SiubhanDuinne
@Johnny Gentle (famous crooner):
Deleted. Never mind. Adam got there first. As usual.
Mnemosyne
@Marcopolo:
Cole is laughing at all of us while he counts the dozens of jars of food he canned over the summer.
Jeffro
@Martin: the mortality rate is one thing…how this will clog up pharmacies, doctor’s offices, ERs, etc is another.
I’ve been trying to tell friends and relatives to focus on stocking up on their prescriptions and then work down the priority list. Those supply-chain issues alone are going to really test the public.
Martin
@Adam L Silverman: Right after 9/11 my dad and I over beers made a laundry list of ways to terrorize the nation. It was pretty easy to come up with stuff. Dozens of things. Some would work much better than others, of course, but they were also really cheap and almost trivial to implement.
It made us feel better to realize how vulnerable we are and yet how few people are actually looking to exploit those vulnerabilities. We’re easy to terrorize, and yet almost nobody actually terrorizes us.
Marcopolo
@Adam L Silverman: If I recall this has been a plot device in a few stories—like 12 Monkeys.
If anyone want a fun read, there is a book called Feed where the concept is two teams of scientists independently come up with cures for the common cold & cancer which work, but which also somehow cause people who have both cures in their body when they die to turn into zombies. Unanticipated consequences! There are three books in the series and it is fun escapist (well mostly) reading. Here’s a link:
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Feed_(Grant_novel)
mad citizen
@cckids: You have captured my overriding thoughts over these last 3-4 years. I was just thinking, he is barely running the executive branch of government–has done and is doing the absolute minimum amount of “work”.
Trollhattan, nice of you to mention the passing of David Roback. I really liked his work, Mazzy Star, Opal, etc. An easy statement would be he was really underrated in the music world.
SiubhanDuinne
@AnnaN:
Marcopolo
@Jeffro: And yet we have a drug system in place where insurance companies limit the number of pills for your prescriptions you can get down to the exact day & you cannot get 2 months. I go through this with my 87 yr old mom every couple of months when she’s down to two days worth of some prescription yet the insurer won’t pay for the new ones until the very last minute.
Anyways, we’ve discussed stocking up on her meds the past few days but see no way to do it atm.
Martin
@Jeffro: Yeah, calamity is one of those rare times when a centrally managed economy can be beneficial. Of course, it’s a complete crap-shoot if the execution will work (usually it doesn’t) but at least the potential is there.
Capitalism is quite good at solving broad decentralized supply/demand problems, but it’s equally poor at solving collective action problems. So, a vaccine is developed. Who has the patent, who manufactures it, how much can they charge for it, who will pay for it? Can you force someone to pay out of pocket for the vaccine? How do you distribute it?
Lots of this stuff will do great. Lots of it won’t. We have no way of determining which thing will fall in which category until shit goes badly.
Ksmiami
@Elizabelle: yep and the good news is the demographics of the ditto heads align quite nicely with the statistics on covid-19 fatality rates.
Marcopolo
@Mnemosyne: Well there is something to be said for self-reliance. I think Ralph Waldo Emerson had something to say about it. Now when we all show up on his doorstep that’ll teach him a different lesson :).
Obvious Russian Troll
@mad citizen: I am also sad to hear about his death. I was a fan of his since Rain Parade, and of course he was only a few years older than I am.
Brachiator
@Martin:
We are still learning a lot, and things may change as the disease spreads. For example:
Still, some of the evidence suggests that all people are not equally at risk.
Gender and health habit issues:
The cigarette smoking thing and possible links is very interesting. In the US and other countries, cigarette smoking is down. But vaping….
Mike in NC
Fat Bastard will tell the marks at his next campaign rally that he knows more about infectious diseases than all of the losers and eggheads at CDC and NIH combined, and they’ll wave their MAGA hats and cheer.
Mnemosyne
@Marcopolo:
Crazy thought — could you call her doctor(s) and see if they have any of her meds in sample form? Those usually cover about 2 weeks.
Marcopolo
@Jeffro: Haven’t seen anyone mention this but prior to the press conference Azar testified before the House. Among other things he said this:
Ksmiami
@Adam L Silverman: those are blood borne diseases like HIV so ppl just running through airports wouldn’t necessarily spread the disease effectively- close direct contact with fluids wouldn’t really happen in this scenario
Ksmiami
@Mike in NC: and then they’ll go back to their mega churches and diners and spread the disease.
Marcopolo
@Mnemosyne: I was thinking we lie & say she’s going out of town for a long enough time to get 2 months of each prescription.
Marcopolo
@Brachiator: If you have read how COVID-19 affects the body (the virus attacks your lungs at the same time it is provoking bodily responses that cause a higher rate of mucous production in the lungs), having lung tissue that is already damaged by smoking or vaping would definitely lead to a higher mortality rate.
nasruddin
@chris: Verily
Marcopolo
@ant: In response to your question about testing, there are under two dozen labs in the entire country that are currently equipped to do testing (most in big blue states—NY & CA for example). So there have not been that many tests in the US. And then there was this report (tweet links to an article about how testing kits the CDC were unusable due to a flawed component).
Jeffro
@Marcopolo: yes…not sure if others mentioned it above (I think they did) and I know I put it out on FB and Twitter…
These guys are almost literally going to hang themselves come November if they keep this up.
Although I trust the Dems to keep it close ;)
Martin
@Brachiator: Right. In our case we have a LOT of low income students, a constantly shocking discovery of how many homeless students. We run the only public hospital in a county with 3 million people – and a lot of those employees work there and are likely to be completely overrun by cases.
Certainly we’re optimistic that our students and staff are healthy and have good health care, and all will be fine, but shit, we don’t really know until it hits.
patrick II
@Shalimar:
He doesn’t like to admit he needs makeup. He pretends things are different than they are if it makes him feel better. About 40% of Americans have joined him in his magical thinking, most with more dire consequences than looking silly on TV.
Martin
@Marcopolo: And related the vaccine comment above, how many testing kits can the nation produce? How many can be evaluated (anyone take comfort by how badly handled the rape kit situation in this country is?)? Again, how does distribution get handled to care providers, by care providers to the public, etc?
I know we have the capacity to do these things, but they require levels of coordination that I doubt we can pull off. Plus, other problems – the anti-vaxxers are going to lose their shit over this. They were just today fighting a vaccine bill in CT.
cain
Sorry to jump in, where is the open thread kind sirs? Check out this – it seems that Bernie’s supporters have their collective heads so much up Bernie’s ass that even the campaign can’t control them and hell they think Bernie’s campaign is part of the establishment!
https://twitter.com/AlxThomp/status/1232855696183615489
That’s some crazy ass shit.
Eolirin
@Martin: I wouldn’t draw any comparisons with the rape kit situation. That’s more to do with decades of law enforcement priorities than anything to do with the medical servicing side of things.
But I do agree that we’re going to have a hard time coordinating things. Trump broke our ability to do that pretty good.
cain
@Marcopolo:
The tobacco industry’s worst nightmare. A virus that kills smokers.
WaterGirl
@cain: Sounds like they are imploding. Good.
Bill Arnold
@The Dangerman:
That would be “as ambitious as Lucifer” Nikki Haley
karensky
Little late but I am waiting for the president* to call the new virus “My Sharona Virus.” That’s all.
mrmoshpotato
mad citizen
@karensky: You are brilliant, and that song was pretty much a virus back in the day. The hooks are undeniable. If people still listened to rock music, Weird Al doing “My Corona” should be hitting in 3, 2, …
Chris T.
@hitchhiker: The word “trump” should come to mean traitor, as “quisling” did. (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Vidkun_Quisling)
Enhanced Voting Techniques
You all know that if the Coronvirus is spread at one of Dmuf’s endless rallies by some idiot who just had to go with a fever the Red Hats would instantly blame the Left no matter what the truth. The correlation to Trump can not fail, only be failed is the Right is always the victim.
What we really never with the god damn Chines virus is MORE COWBELLS!
catclub
This sounds the one where the CDC said do not bring them on the plane, and the State department overruled their recommendation.
mrmoshpotato
@cain: Hot. Damn.
catclub
What critical piece comes from a supply chain based in China?
catclub
@Martin: We’re easy to terrorize, and yet almost nobody actually terrorizes us.
9-11 was an amazing one-off and al Qaeda had no idea how to take advantage of that. They had no understanding of our society.
see Boyd and Malvo – less than $10k, two guys and beater car,
and a rifle.
Annamal
@Adam L Silverman: Yep, well that will do it…
:(
I was hoping that I was being paranoid.
Here’s hoping this is a wake up call for public health management.
Chris Johnson
I have a feeling that, to Trump, all this is about throwing Pence under the bus.
Pence, there to replace Trump as the appointed Russian pawn. Pence, selected by a Russian agent, working so hard to be bland all this time, to not get thrown off the bus just in case God speaks to him and says ‘the orange asshole is dead, and you are President’.
Trump will be trying to have him shot for failing to contain the coronavirus. To Trump, it’s the perfect crime: make Pence be responsible for this thing that is going to go horribly wrong and look bad, and then Pence will look bad not him!
Because Trump is demented and had brain worms BEFORE he even was demented.
This is a pretty fucked-up moment to use a crisis to enact a petty vengeance. But that’s Trump for ya. The ONLY thing he’s caring about is ‘can I blame and get rid of Pence?’. I wonder to what extent that part of it will work, and to what extent he’s pissing off Putin by constantly ruining everything.
Kent
Look out Hipsters. Coronavirus is coming for you!!
https://www.koin.com/news/cdc-recommends-men-shave-their-beards-to-protect-against-coronavirus/
joel hanes
@Chris T.:
The word “trump” should come to mean traitor, as “quisling” did.
Already there, but Trump is worse than Quisling.
Kent
@Chris Johnson: As Winston Churchill famously said. “Never let a good crisis go to waste”
RobertDSC-Mac Mini
@Marcopolo:
Right out of a Tom Clancy book.
lgerard
Paula White is standing by, ready to wave her arms and shout some Jesus words to cure those afflicted.
Jeffro
@Chris T.: it should actually mean worse than a traitor…a stupid, narcissistic, self-interested for no noble cause at all traitor. Just a jackass braying about itself, all the time, because it’s the world’s awesomest jackass and also according to the daddy voices in its head all the other jackasses are out to rip it off so it’d better rip them off first.
Sorry if that’s a little specific.
Jeffro
@catclub: State didn’t want the bad PR for trumpov, and so now here we are…
Jeffro
@catclub: truth. it’s shocking that A-Q and subsequent terrorist groups didn’t realize just how much they could shut down with a few similar pairs or groups.
ziggy
I watched almost all the news conference, and I hate to say it, but Trump looked as good as he has in quite a while. Actually jovial at times. Maybe 100,000 indians chanting “Namaste Trump” soothed his ego for a while. Or maybe they have a new med regime that is working better. Surprising after such a long trip.
emjayay
@Goku (aka Amerikan Baka): The usual % of Asians wearing masks. My Brooklyn neighborhood is at least 50% Asian and there’s typically some mask wearing Asians on the subway here or there and today was about typical.
Aziz, light!
@Chris Johnson: You are overthinking this. Pence got the gig because it was Trump’s easiest move. Hand a job that he doesn’t give a shit about and that can’t be spun to his benefit to the nearest loyal lapdog.
Sally
@trollhattan: I’m too late answering this, but no, tamiflu does not ameliorate Covid 19.
emjayay
@hitchhiker: ^^^^^
opiejeanne
@Kent: Seattle will look like a different city!
EthylEster
Why is Melania in the picture?
I can’t recall any other president having his wife at events like these.
Does she have (other) bullies to encourage to “be best”?
J R in WV
@Marcopolo:
You will have to claim she will be out of country, or in an area with no drug stores, like Navajo Nation, which gets medications from the Indian Health Service. If you are just in some other city, you can get a refill there. Been there, tried that.