I don’t know a lot about this blog Stan Collender’s Capital Gains and Games, but they seem well-informed and the tone is intelligent:
I was talking informally with a number of the members of Congress who had been there after the meeting ended. There was unanimous agreement among those members that the biggest thing the House GOP had done wrong during the 1995 and 1995-96 shutdowns was that it had given in to Bill Clinton too early. The GOP would have gotten a much better deal, they told me, if it had pushed harder and been willing to keep the government closed longer.
They’re putting the odds of a shutdown at 90%.
As I’ve said before, I don’t think a shutdown in and of itself is a big deal politically, but it’s another nail in the Republicans’ coffin for 2016 and beyond. It’s going to be depressing reading BOTH SIDES DO IT over and over, but let’s buck up. Gettysburg was a million times more depressing, and we know how that war ended.