When do we start reporting the lack of off the charts enthusiasm for Trump?
A gazillion stories about Biden but Trump ain’t bringing them out the way he used to
And @mckaycoppins reported his rallies don’t have the entertainment edge they used to
Something’s happening here https://t.co/hDlLDqcZsV
— Greg Dworkin (@DemFromCT) January 21, 2024
1/Last 3-4 weeks the vibes about the election have significantly shifted. For three years I’ve been asking why people assumed that after 1-6, Dobbs, indictments, & cognitive decline that Trump would keep or even add to his 2020 voters. It’s always been a bad assumption
— Dana Houle (@DanaHoule) January 23, 2024
2/Part of the problem, of course, has been the media polls, which have seemed predicated on similar or greater Trump turnout (as if there are a lot of people who didn’t vote in 2016 or 2020 but now, after all that has happened since Nov 2020, finally felt strongly…
3/…about Trump that _this_ time they’ll vote for him). Those polls have also showed 3rd party candidates getting 20% of the vote, which was evidence that they didn’t like their choices & hadn’t confronted the necessity to make a choice from the actual candidates…
4/Its also taken time for people to start to figure out that much of the supposed “sourness about the economy” was Repubs responding to survey questions about the economy w partisan answers (aided by spectacularly crappy press coverage of Biden policy successes). But now…
5/…we’re starting to get actual votes for & against Trump. Lot of pundits downplayed the Repubs’ 2022 disaster, they keep on saying Dobbs will fade, they ignored or failed to understand the results of 2023/special elections, etc.
But in Iowa Trump got barely 50%. He may win…
6/…NH by a solid margin, but reporters are starting to run in to a lot of 2020 Trump voters who adamantly refuse to vote for him in 2024. The evidence is harder to brush off
Trump is significantly weaker than he was when he lost by 7m votes
Late Night Open Thread: A Shift in the VibesPost + Comments (69)