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Balloon Juice

Come for the politics, stay for the snark.

The poor and middle-class pay taxes, the rich pay accountants, the wealthy pay politicians.

Compromise? There is no middle ground between a firefighter and an arsonist.

So many bastards, so little time.

Come on, man.

You don’t get rid of your umbrella while it’s still raining.

The arc of history bends toward the same old fuckery.

75% of people clapping liked the show!

They don’t have outfits that big. nor codpieces that small.

Anne Laurie is a fucking hero in so many ways. ~ Betty Cracker

This fight is for everything.

Historically it was a little unusual for the president to be an incoherent babbling moron.

Rupert, come get your orange boy, you petrified old dinosaur turd.

… riddled with inexplicable and elementary errors of law and fact

The revolution will be supervised.

The National Guard is not Batman.

Polls are now a reliable indicator of what corporate Republicans want us to think.

Keep the Immigrants and deport the fascists!

Giving in to doom is how we fail to fight for ourselves & one another.

Good lord, these people are nuts.

Is trump is trying to break black America over his knee? signs point to ‘yes’.

Thanks to your bullshit, we are now under siege.

Republicans choose power over democracy, every day.

“Jesus paying for the sins of everyone is an insult to those who paid for their own sins.”

The world has changed, and neither one recognizes it.

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Open Thread:  Hey Lurkers!  (Holiday Post)

Open Threads

You are here: Home / Archives for Open Threads

Late Night Open Thread: The SC(R)OTUS Immunity Theory, Illustrated

by Anne Laurie|  July 4, 20243:55 am| 107 Comments

This post is in: Excellent Links, Open Threads, Republican Venality, Supreme Court Corruption

Late Night Open Thread:  The SC(R)OTUS Immunity Theory, Illustrated

(Ann Telnaes via Washington Post)
 
Late Night Open Thread:  The SC(R)OTUS Immunity Theory, Illustrated 1
(Lalo Alcaraz via GoComics.com)
 
Late Night Open Thread:  The SC(R)OTUS Immunity Theory, Illustrated 3
(Nick Anderson via GoComics.com)
 
Late Night Open Thread:  The SC(R)OTUS Immunity Theory, Illustrated 5
(Walt Handelsman via GoComics.com)
 
Late Night Open Thread:  The SC(R)OTUS Immunity Theory, Illustrated 2
(Jack Ohman via GoComics.com)
 

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Late Night Open Thread:  The SC(R)OTUS Immunity Theory, Illustrated 6
 
Late Night Open Thread:  The SC(R)OTUS Immunity Theory, Illustrated 8
(Clay Bennett via GoComics.com)
 
Late Night Open Thread:  The SC(R)OTUS Immunity Theory, Illustrated 4
(John Deering via GoComics.com)
 

Forget winning, so much immunity! pic.twitter.com/7HKNXaF6aa

— Michael Steele (@MichaelSteele) July 2, 2024


 
Late Night Open Thread:  The SC(R)OTUS Immunity Theory, Illustrated 7
(Drew Sheneman via GoComics.com)

Late Night Open Thread: The SC(R)OTUS Immunity Theory, IllustratedPost + Comments (107)

The Dogs Aren’t Happy About This

by WaterGirl|  July 3, 20249:25 pm| 108 Comments

This post is in: Open Threads

JAMES LILEKS, STAR TRIBUNE – guest post by the dog, Birch.

I hope James Lileks doesn’t mind our posting the whole column that was written by his dog, Birch.
Go click the link when you’re done reading!

Fireworks from a dog’s point of view

show full post on front page

Fireworks from a dog’s point of view

Hello, my name is Birch. I belong to James Lileks, who has the day off. I decided to write his column. On behalf of all of us in the dog community, I beg you to listen: Terror Boom Bomb Time is coming up and we dogs are begging you to stop it.

We have no idea what’s going on and it scares the heck out of all of us, except for Winnie up the street — he’s like a beer barrel with fur who wouldn’t flinch if a meteor landed next to him. The guy’s so chill his butt smells like ice cream. But the rest of us live in dread and fear, because this is the worst time of the year. And I say that as a dog with no sense of linear time at all, so you know previous July 4ths have left an impression.

Look at it from our point of view. It’s a nice night. We’re all outside, guests are over, the grill’s working overtime and we all are having a good time. Then, all of a sudden, there’s a sound we can’t explain. Something really big just made a huge boom so loud that we can feel it in our guts. Or, worse, a whoosh and a shriek. Or a lot of short, buzzing sounds like when your mouth is full of bees.

And none of you humans seem at all bothered. By any of it.

I’m, like, “Hello? Did you not hear that? Do you not smell that? I know you have bad ears and you couldn’t smell a dead deer if it was a mile in front of you, but I’ve got thick flaps of skin and fur hanging over my ears and I heard it. Every bang, boom and hiss. I’m convinced we’re all in terrible danger. It could be that the world is ending. Let’s find shelter! Now!”

But you humans just laugh and look at the sky.

Now, I’m used to you people not understanding threat assessment. Every day the mailman comes to kill us and I’m the only one who recognizes the threat. I do, because that’s my job. So I respond appropriately. And somehow I’m misbehaving, being shushed and get a Dramamine wrapped in cheese — like that’s going to help. Might as well dip a towel in 3.2 beer and let me chew on it for a while.

When Independence Day rolls around, you think you’re doing me a big favor by putting me in the Thunder Jacket. It’s supposed to give me comfort because it’s tight. If you were terrified because a mob is heading down the street setting everything on fire, would you think “Well, I’d better put on some pants I wore in high school.”
Are you thinking that a tight jacket reminds us of our mother disciplining us?

Newsflash, Dr. Doolittle: When I was a puppy my mom didn’t cinch me up in Saran Wrap when I was scared. And then you have the nerve to stand there and laugh at me as I stand immobile, too embarrassed to move.

I understand that this is how you celebrate your independence from England. I mean, I have no idea what that means, but neither do a third of the morons making the Terror Booms, and they don’t have the excuse of being a dog, but that’s another issue.

Point is, we dogs lived with this for too long, and this year we finally did something about it.

You might have noticed that there is no official Minneapolis fireworks this year. Gosh, I wonder how that happened. Not saying we used our influence with city officials. Not saying we didn’t.

But Minneapolis, for one, is switching to a laser show. A blessedly quiet laser show. No Terror Booms from downtown. And while I know there will still be Bad Sounds, it’s a start.

It’s the cats’ turn this year. A laser show? Let the cats go nuts for once.

h/t comrade scotts agenda of rage

Open thread!

The Dogs Aren’t Happy About ThisPost + Comments (108)

War for Ukraine Day 861: Russia Ramps Up the Bombardment of Kharkiv & Dnipro

by Adam L Silverman|  July 3, 20248:36 pm| 46 Comments

This post is in: Foreign Affairs, Foreign Policy, Military, Open Threads, Russia, Silverman on Security, War, War in Ukraine

Painting by NEIVANMADE. It has a white background an in the center are Soldiers in green doing air defense by firing at incoming Russian missiles in the upper right. The missiles are red and yellow. In the upper left, written in green, is the text: "SAVE THE BRAVEST PEOPLE IN THE WORLD!" Below the Soldiers, also written in green, is "SUPPORT FOR KHARKIV"

(Image by NEIVANMADE)

A couple of quick housekeeping notes. First, it took me three tries to spell housekeeping correctly. So we’ll see how the rest of tonight’s update goes.

Second, Rosie is still doing well during her second week off between the second and third rounds of chemo. Round three starts Monday. Thank you all for the good thoughts, well wishes, prayers, and donations.

Third, my answer to hrprogressive’s question last night was meant to simply answer the question. I do appreciate the kind words. And you are all most welcome.

As of 7:35 PM EDT, most of northern Ukraine, with the exception of Kyiv Oblast, is under air raid alert.

Russia opened up on Kharkiv and Dnipro again today.

Russia hit Kharkiv with three guided bombs launched from Belgorod. Until Ukraine can hit the airfields where these planes take off, the terror will keep going. Why do we always have to ask for what’s so obvious?! pic.twitter.com/PlQQucAfIt

— Maria Avdeeva (@maria_avdv) July 3, 2024

A couple stands in disbelief at the ruins of their home, destroyed by a russian air strike. Today, three aerial bombs hit Kharkiv, damaging houses and civilian infrastructure. Eight civilians were injured, including a child.

📹place_kharkiv pic.twitter.com/lKjSBVXgNw

— Iryna Voichuk (@IrynaVoichuk) July 3, 2024

The new russian FAB-500 air bomb, which is twice as powerful as the KAB and FAB-250, can now reach any point in Kharkiv, Governor Syniehubov said. With a new range of 80 km, every air alarm lasting 12-16 hours poses a real threat.

— Iryna Voichuk (@IrynaVoichuk) July 3, 2024

Russia attacked residential areas of the Dnipro city with missiles. They did it in morning when there are a lot of people on the streets. The shopping mall was damaged. At least 5 civilians killed

It’s hard to believe that there are people in Europe and USA who justify this pic.twitter.com/LWprjKGot2

— Денис Казанський (@den_kazansky) July 3, 2024

Imagine starting your morning like this. pic.twitter.com/p9PznECKCg

— Maria Avdeeva (@maria_avdv) July 3, 2024

Here is President Zelenskyy’s address from earlier today. Video below, English transcript after the jump.

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We Are Preparing for the NATO Summit in Washington, Including from the Perspective of Patriots for Ukraine – the Address by the President of Ukraine

3 July 2024 – 19:50

Dear Ukrainians!

Rescue operations after the Russian missile strike in Dnipro have been continuing all day long. More than 50 people were injured. All of them are getting the necessary assistance. For now, 5 people have been reported killed. My condolences to their families and friends.

Several buildings, a hospital, and an enterprise were damaged in Dnipro. There have also been missile strikes on our other regions: guided aerial bombs aimed at Kharkiv and our frontline positions.

There is only one way we can stop all of this: more air defense systems, more long-range strikes on the Russian terrorists’ bases, on their airbases. We are actively communicating about all this with our partners – at all levels. We are preparing for the NATO Summit in Washington, D.C., including from the perspective of Patriots for Ukraine.

Today I held several meetings on our communication with partners – on plans for this July. There will be important negotiations. Some progress has also been made on new security agreements for Ukraine. I am grateful to our team for this work.

Today, I held several meetings with Government officials: Prime Minister Shmyhal, First Deputy Prime Minister Svyrydenko, Deputy Prime Minister Fedorov, Minister of Finance Marchenko. We already have clear details of new solutions for Ukrainians – new programs that will help people in this time of electricity shortages, as well as stabilize mobile communications. Now we need maximum opportunities to ensure generation – to create a new decentralized generation, and there will be financial resources for this. In the near future, Government officials will announce all the details.

One more thing. Today I spoke with Commander-in-Chief Syrskyi – there was a report on the frontline situation. I also spoke with Minister of Defense Umerov – about his contacts in America and about new packages for Ukraine.

Today, I had a meeting with the President of the UN General Assembly and congratulated the new Prime Minister of the Netherlands on the beginning of his work.

I thank everyone who is helping us! I thank everyone who is fighting and working for Ukraine and Ukrainians!

Glory to Ukraine!

“A ceasefire is not finishing the war. We’ve been there. It would be just a frozen conflict.” – President Zelenskyy in an interview with Bloomberg. https://t.co/4A0dx80Yej pic.twitter.com/iTT8VY83aL

— Anton Gerashchenko (@Gerashchenko_en) July 3, 2024

Dnipro. Russian terrorists have struck our city again. As of now, five people have been killed, and thirty-four injured, including a child. All necessary services are on site, and rescuers are helping all the victims.

Only two things can stop this Russian terror – modern air… pic.twitter.com/nqhPYmlbxR

— Volodymyr Zelenskyy / Володимир Зеленський (@ZelenskyyUa) July 3, 2024

Dnipro. Russian terrorists have struck our city again. As of now, five people have been killed, and thirty-four injured, including a child. All necessary services are on site, and rescuers are helping all the victims.

Only two things can stop this Russian terror – modern air defense systems and the long-range capabilities of our weapons.

The world can protect lives, and it requires the determination of leaders. Determination that can and must make protection from terror the norm again.

Happy Anti-Aircraft Missile Troops Day!
Thank you for your professionalism and for protecting peaceful cities from russian terror.
Thousands of enemy missiles and drones destroyed — millions of innocent lives saved.

The video shows the combat work of the MIM-104 Patriot in… pic.twitter.com/I3iQUmh2iY

— Defense of Ukraine (@DefenceU) July 3, 2024

Happy Anti-Aircraft Missile Troops Day!
Thank you for your professionalism and for protecting peaceful cities from russian terror.
Thousands of enemy missiles and drones destroyed — millions of innocent lives saved.

The video shows the combat work of the MIM-104 Patriot in service with 🇺🇦 Anti-Aircraft Missile Troops.
📹: @BackAndAlive

The cost:

Vasyl Palamarchuk, Ukrainian writer and lawyer, father of three, died defending Ukraine.

Vasyl was 43 years old. Before the full-scale war, he defended Ukraine in 2013-2015, when Russia first invaded.

Eternal memory and eternal glory to Ukrainian Hero. pic.twitter.com/AEi7TjpYsw

— Anton Gerashchenko (@Gerashchenko_en) July 3, 2024

The reason:

This is what Ukraine is fighting for. pic.twitter.com/lcW4QsXjs8

— Anton Gerashchenko (@Gerashchenko_en) July 3, 2024

Nelly is 21 years old. She is a senior mortar gunner.

“There will be no peace without our Crimea, without our Donbas and without our Luhansk region. I was born when Crimea, Donbas and Luhansk were officially ours. I have not visited Crimea, but I really want to go there. I want… pic.twitter.com/d940jF6Dbd

— Anton Gerashchenko (@Gerashchenko_en) July 3, 2024

Nelly is 21 years old. She is a senior mortar gunner.

“There will be no peace without our Crimea, without our Donbas and without our Luhansk region. I was born when Crimea, Donbas and Luhansk were officially ours. I have not visited Crimea, but I really want to go there. I want to travel around Donbas and Luhansk without a mortar, without a machine gun, but as a tourist.
When I find out that Ukraine has won, the first thing I will do is go to the cemetery to visit our Defenders,” she says.

📹: pa. nelli. ka/TikTok

Here’s the details on the next US security assistance package that was announced yesterday:

Biden Administration Announces Additional Security Assistance for Ukraine:

(PDA) package valued at up to $150 million and $2.2 billion in Ukraine Security Assistance Initiative funds. (USAI) funding will be used to purchase interceptors for PATRIOT and NASAMS air defense systems… pic.twitter.com/LkZkx4FAKh

— Special Kherson Cat 🐈🇺🇦 (@bayraktar_1love) July 3, 2024

Biden Administration Announces Additional Security Assistance for Ukraine:

(PDA) package valued at up to $150 million and $2.2 billion in Ukraine Security Assistance Initiative funds. (USAI) funding will be used to purchase interceptors for PATRIOT and NASAMS air defense systems for Ukraine.

https://defense.gov/News/Releases/Release/Article/3827072/biden-administration-announces-additional-security-assistance-for-ukraine/

RELEASE
IMMEDIATE RELEASE
Biden Administration Announces Additional Security Assistance for Ukraine
July 3, 2024

Today, the Department of Defense (DoD) announces additional security assistance to meet Ukraine’s critical security and defense needs. This includes the authorization of a Presidential Drawdown Authority (PDA) package valued at up to $150 million to provide Ukraine with key capabilities, including: additional air defense interceptors; artillery and other fires, and anti-tank weapons.

In addition, DoD is announcing a significant package of air defense interceptors using approximately $2.2 billion in Ukraine Security Assistance Initiative (USAI) funds. This funding will be used to purchase interceptors for PATRIOT and NASAMS air defense systems for Ukraine. As previously announced, the Biden Administration plans to accelerate delivery of these munitions by re-sequencing upcoming Foreign Military Sales deliveries for Ukraine. As a result, Ukraine will be provided with the interceptors it urgently needs to protect its people and critical infrastructure against Russia’s aerial attacks.

The PDA package is the Biden Administration’s sixtieth tranche of equipment to be provided from DoD inventories for Ukraine since August 2021.

The capabilities in the PDA package include:

  1. Missiles for HAWK air defense systems;
  2. Ammunition for High Mobility Artillery Rocket Systems (HIMARS);
  3. 155mm and 105mm artillery rounds;
  4. 81mm mortar rounds;
  5. Tube-Launched, Optically-Tracked, Wire-Guided (TOW) missiles;
  6. Javelin and AT-4 anti-armor systems;
  7. Small arms ammunition and grenades;
  8. Demolitions equipment and munitions;
  9. Tactical vehicles to tow and haul equipment;
  10. Tactical air navigation systems and aircraft support equipment; and,
  11. Spare parts, maintenance, and other field and ancillary equipment.

The United States will continue to work together with some 50 Allies and partners to ensure Ukraine’s brave defenders receive the critical capabilities needed to fight Russian aggression.

Chasiv Yar:

This is all that’s left of the Kanal district in the eastern part of Ukraine’s Chasiv Yar.

There is nothing left to mutilate and nothing else to rely on in defense.

Ukrainan forces retreated deeper into the town to go on fighting. pic.twitter.com/m5IN2ZwTaQ

— Illia Ponomarenko 🇺🇦 (@IAPonomarenko) July 3, 2024

It is important to remember, that Chasiv Yar was one of the “prepared” by the Armed Forces of Ukraine (AFU) fallback sites. It appears part of the strategy here was to pull the Russians into a location – in this case Chasiv Yar – and use it as a kill zone.

Donetsk Oblast:

Detonation after todays strike on Donetsk. pic.twitter.com/eld91elbAm

— Special Kherson Cat 🐈🇺🇦 (@bayraktar_1love) July 3, 2024

 

Henichesk, Russian occupied Kherson Oblast:

On June 30, 2024, a missile strike targeted the command post of the Dnepr group of troops near Henichesk, occupied Kherson region. The attack involved two HIMARS MLRS missiles with cluster warheads, hitting a two-story administrative building used as a command center.

The… pic.twitter.com/eQ52rCAdnI

— NOELREPORTS 🇪🇺 🇺🇦 (@NOELreports) July 3, 2024

On June 30, 2024, a missile strike targeted the command post of the Dnepr group of troops near Henichesk, occupied Kherson region. The attack involved two HIMARS MLRS missiles with cluster warheads, hitting a two-story administrative building used as a command center.

The strike resulted in 5 fatalities and 12 injuries. Colonel-General Mikhail Teplinsky, the commander of the Dnepr group, was wounded. A special commission is investigating the incident, suspecting a mole, as the strike occurred shortly after Teplinsky’s arrival.

For you drone and HIMAR enthusiasts:

“Shark” UAV flew almost 100 km to the rear of the enemy and corrected the HIMARS missile strike on the rare russian radar system “Nebo-SVU”.

📹: Operational Command South pic.twitter.com/2TQRiv8i3I

— Defense of Ukraine (@DefenceU) July 3, 2024

Obligatory:

This is something we’ll need to keep an eye on as it fits the pattern we’ve been seeing in Europe:

An explosion at the General Dynamics Ordnance and Tactical Systems’ plant in Camden, United States today injured at least two people.

The Camden plant houses more than 880,000 square feet of manufacturing and storage space, and it supports military programs such as the Hellfire… pic.twitter.com/GA3BD5Yfh9

— Anton Gerashchenko (@Gerashchenko_en) July 3, 2024

An explosion at the General Dynamics Ordnance and Tactical Systems’ plant in Camden, United States today injured at least two people.

The Camden plant houses more than 880,000 square feet of manufacturing and storage space, and it supports military programs such as the Hellfire and Javelin missiles and various mortar munitions.

https://apnews.com/article/general-dynamics-camden-defense-facility-16b98c88d1670709fcc7869c0563dad3

From the Associated Press:

CAMDEN, Ark. (AP) — An explosion at a defense weapons plant in Arkansas injured at least two people Wednesday and left another missing, the facility’s operators said.

The explosion happened at the General Dynamics Ordnance and Tactical Systems’ plant in Camden, about 86 miles (138 kilometers) south of Little Rock, a company spokesperson said. The company initially called it an “incident involving pyrotechnics” but later confirmed it was an explosion.

“At this time, we are working with first responders and can confirm the incident resulted in at least two injuries and one missing individual,” Berkley Whaley with General Dynamics said in a statement. “We are cooperating fully with the authorities as they conduct their investigation.”

Whaley also confirmed that production was paused at the building where the explosion occurred.

The company did not provide details on the extent of the injuries. The state Department of Emergency Management said it was monitoring and stood ready to assist but did not provide additional details.

One patient was treated at the Ouachita County Medical Center’s emergency room and is stable, said Diane Isaacs, the hospital’s risk manager. Another patient was flown out of the state by helicopter, she said.

For instance, this just happened in Finland:

It’s a longer article, use google translate. https://t.co/fUQ68bf3Cp

— Aki Heikkinen (@akihheikkinen) July 3, 2024

Here’s the machine translation from New Finland:

According to police chief Seppo Kolehmainen, special events that have emerged around Finland are under the supervision of the central crime police. The police have been monitoring the situation from the perspective of hybrid influence since the Russian invasion of Ukraine in February 2022.

During the summer, news has been published about several burglaries and attempted burglaries at water supply plants around Finland. In Pirkanmaa, the central crime police have under investigation a total of three burglaries made at water supply sites.

Turun Sanomat two water treatment plants located in the Southern Finland emergency centre area were also broken into in June.

Uusimaaaccording to the magazine, the Porvoo water reserve has been broken into two consecutive nights in June. Evening Messages has reported on attempted burglary of the Sipoo water water tower.
Chief police officer Seppo Kolehmainen tells Uusi Suomi that the police are following crime against critical infrastructure closely and that they take events seriously.

He describes the burglaries as exceptional, because the fractures to waterworks in remote locations are rather atypical. There is rarely anything worth stealing in them, Kolehmainen explains.

”Since the start of the war in Ukraine on 24 February 2022, we have been monitoring and analysing the situation all the time”, Kolehmainen says.

The investigation of water supply burglaries is carried out in Pirkanmaa by the central crime police (krp), which also monitors the overall situation nationwide.

”We have approximately the entire personnel following certain intelligence issues and they are compiled into a report in the central crime police, which makes it possible to assess the current operating environment”, Kolehmainen says.

Kolehmainen points out that drinking water represents ”valtava’s important critical infrastructure” both in Finland and elsewhere.

”Yes, this awake has to be”, he says.

The chief police officer bundles illogical burglaries, passers-by and drone flying near critical infrastructure, which has already been seen in Finland. He mentions infiltrations inside water utilities, strange hippies near gas plants and in electricity production, drones above a nuclear power plant, and strange fires, such as the ignition of Posti’s sorting center.

” I mean that there are many such observations in an environment where someone has to be awake because of the overall picture that, wait, something is happening here now. A report of these will be compiled in the central crime police.”

And a bit more on this sabotage and subversion campaign from the Thread Reader app:

European NATO countries’ security isn’t separate from that of Ukraine.

The better the war goes for Russia, the more capacity it has free to stir up incidents in other countries – likely below the threshold of armed conflict but it’s a quite direct threat nevertheless.

Example from Finland: we had a peaceful year after submitting the NATO application as Russia was bogged down in Ukraine. Since fall 2023, after the failed Ukrainian counteroffensive, we’ve seen:
– instrumentalized migration
– several attempts at sabotage at water supply 

– attempted break-ins (at least one successful) at other critical infrastructure, such as electricity supply.

These are almost daily in the news at the moment. 

In Sweden and Norway attempts at photographing security sites and critical infrastructure (often with drones) have been recorded. GPS basically doesn’t work in our region.

So yep there’s a correlation between how the war is going for Russia and the frequency and magnitude 

These incidents aren’t even only happening in Russia’s direct vicinity but also in France and Germany – in case I need to list countries that count.

Russian aggressive interference against France’s interests was the reason why Macron did such a volte face in his policy. 

Here’s a recent report from our Nordic-Baltic region, in case @hanskundnani is interested in what kind of an actor Russia actually is, instead of making this about some foreign policy analysts’ prestige. 

@hanskundnani …and here’s the report. We’re already observing a massive ramping up of all these activities and our report is nowhere near exhaustive.

Particularly good to keep an eye on what’ Russia is doing on Svalbard.

Tracking the Russian Hybrid Warfare – Cases From Nordic-Baltic CountriesIn this report, the Stockholm Free World Forum has gathered experts from all Nordic-Baltic states to showcase examples of Russian hybrid attacks against our countries. Russia employs a broad variety o…https://frivarld.se/rapporter/tracking-the-russian-hybrid-warfare-cases-from-nordic-baltic-countries/
@hanskundnani And, please note, all of this is happening while the U.S. is still committed to NATO. So this isn’t as simple as “US commitment vs. Ukraine”. 

The Russian Baltic fleet:

One of the most modern missile ships of the Russian navy was set on fire from the inside, and secret documents were stolen: a Russian military officer voluntarily defected to the Ukrainian side.

A Russian citizen with the call sign “Goga” served in the Russian Baltic Fleet and… https://t.co/WWWVKwTyar pic.twitter.com/G3GnDVvrEl

— Anton Gerashchenko (@Gerashchenko_en) July 3, 2024

One of the most modern missile ships of the Russian navy was set on fire from the inside, and secret documents were stolen: a Russian military officer voluntarily defected to the Ukrainian side.

A Russian citizen with the call sign “Goga” served in the Russian Baltic Fleet and allegedly wanted to quit because of Russia’s war of aggression against Ukraine. In 2023, he turned to the GUR’s I Want to Live project. Since then, he helped Ukrainian intelligence agencies and organized a sabotage on the Serpukhov ship. Together with the secret documents, “Goga” was taken out of the territory of the Russian Federation by the Ukrainian intelligence agencies, the GUR said.

📹: Radio Svoboda

That’s enough for tonight.

Your daily Patron!

A new video from Patron’s official TikTok.

@patron__dsns

Щастя не в грошах! Воно у гумових качечках 🌝 #песпатрон

♬ yes to heaven slowed – whitelinesprettybabyy

Here’s the machine translation of the caption:

Happiness is not in money! It is in rubber ducks 🌝 #песпатрон

Open thread!

War for Ukraine Day 861: Russia Ramps Up the Bombardment of Kharkiv & DniproPost + Comments (46)

Wednesday Evening Open Thread: The ‘Debate’ Goes Ever On

by Anne Laurie|  July 3, 20247:23 pm| 193 Comments

This post is in: Elections 2024, Open Threads, President Biden, Proud to Be A Democrat

Sincere posting:

If you are a moderately attentive partisan D, you've known since 2020 that Biden was coming out of retirement to try to stop the apocalypse, was going to be carried out on his shield, and knows it.

— Antieukalyptustische Aktion (@bkmacd) July 1, 2024

Reuters:

WH’s @KJP46 says Biden moving forward with his presidency and re-election campaign and “absolutely not” stepping aside

— Steve Holland (@steveholland1) July 3, 2024

NBC:

President Biden on call with staff just now:

“Let me say this as clearly as I possibly can, as simply and straightforward as I can: I am running."

"No one is pushing me out.”

"I'm not leaving. I'm in this race to the end and we're going to win."

— Gabe Gutierrez (@gabegutierrez) July 3, 2024

I don’t read Propane Jane as often as I should, because she’s so prolific, but this thread is excellent:

When Biden announced his candidacy in April 2019, he literally framed it as ‘look, I know I’m old, but America is in such tremendous peril that I’m compelled to un-retire and lead the battle for the soul of our nation.’ We had a ginormous field of youthful candidates, but HE WON. https://t.co/n5d39FK5qE

— Propane Jane™ 🔥💣 (@docrocktex26) July 2, 2024

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He didn’t shy away from his age, to the contrary he demonstrated why/how his institutional memory & wisdom were PRECISELY what was needed in a battle for the soul of our nation against the evil nightmares of our ugly past. He spoke directly to the keepers of that past’s history. https://t.co/fL02vvDLyG

— Propane Jane™ 🔥💣 (@docrocktex26) July 3, 2024

The same pundits twisting themselves in knots to create the “perfect” scenario that doesn’t involve Biden were the same ones who shit themselves in shock that he secured the nomination in South Carolina on the battle tested strength of the Black vote. They never had a clue.

— Propane Jane™ 🔥💣 (@docrocktex26) July 3, 2024

Long story short, I don’t wanna hear shit else about his age unless it’s that he loves America so much that even at 81 he WON’T STOP FIGHTING the battle for the soul of this godforsaken nation and would consider it an honor to die on that battlefield and pass the torch to his VP. pic.twitter.com/jafZ0jCorE

— Propane Jane™ 🔥💣 (@docrocktex26) July 3, 2024

Mr. Charles P. Pierce, at Esquire:

… [T]here hasn’t been a presidential campaign in my lifetime in which the money boys didn’t panic over something. The consulting class—from the old Obama hands to, God help us, James Carville—all sit around being smarter than everybody else because they once hit the lottery with a genius-level politician. The pundit class needed grist for the mill, and I hate to say I told you so, but our stalwart new friends, the Never Trump Republicans, fairly stampeded to the lifeboats. The late Lowell George called it back in 1971.

Okay, so here’s my take. The president is the candidate as long as he wants to be the candidate. If he takes himself out, then Vice President Harris is the candidate. Period. Full stop. Over and out. She’s the only one who can deploy the money that the Biden campaign has raised, and the only one with a legitimate claim on the political infrastructure already in place. Passing her over for Johnny Perfect Candidate guarantees a bloody nomination battle and the loss of a big chunk of one of the most important parts of the Democratic base.

The Brokered Convention is a glorious fantasy for people who cover politics and know absolutely nothing about political history. The 1924 Democratic convention in New York, to name just one example that’s been bandied about recently, was a four-star political calamity. It took the party 103 ballots to nominate a faceless lawyer named John W. Davis, largely because William McAdoo, a prohibitionist backed by the revived Ku Klux Klan, and New York governor Al Smith, the Catholic and a “wet,” couldn’t get out of each other’s way. Thus did Calvin Coolidge win his own full term as president. Imagine all that with social media and television. On second thought, don’t.

The president is the candidate if he wants to be. If not, Vice President Harris is. All else is chaos. Don’t believe, no, don’t believe, don’t believe everything you hear…

And Rev. Senator Warnock is a wise man:

Sen. Raphael Warnock on Meet the Press: “There have been more than a few Sundays where I wished I preached a better sermon. But after the sermon was over, it was my job to embody the message, to show up for the people that I serve. And that’s what Joe Biden has been doing.” pic.twitter.com/LIbQ54H9ne

— Aaron Rupar (@atrupar) June 30, 2024

Warnock: “Often in our politics in America, it’s covered like it’s a football game. This is not fantasy football. This is people’s lives we’re talking about … we have no proof that Donald Trump has ever though about anybody other than himself.” pic.twitter.com/dTIHSkRylF

— Aaron Rupar (@atrupar) June 30, 2024

Warnock: “I’ll tell you watching Donald Trump the other night, I had to say to myself, ‘this is a sick person.’ How do you stand and literally lie every 90 minutes? I don’t know anybody like that. We’re not even talking about whether you’re worthy to be president.” pic.twitter.com/EZJ3u6NvBg

— Aaron Rupar (@atrupar) June 30, 2024

Wednesday Evening Open Thread: The ‘Debate’ Goes Ever OnPost + Comments (193)

A Little More History

by @heymistermix.com|  July 3, 20243:45 pm| 333 Comments

This post is in: Open Threads

A Little More History

First, from what I’ve seen there’s nothing in the polls to justify the bedlinen micturating that’s happening right now.  The last I saw was an aggregate one point shift away from Biden, which is meaningless unless it continues.

Second, I’m seeing “when did this happen before” stories, but “this” (Biden being pushed out, in the hopes of those writing the stories) hasn’t happened before.  Both Truman and LBJ, the last two Democrats who chose not to run for a second (really more like a 2 1/2) term, quit after a poor showing in the New Hampshire primary. Biden won all the primaries except for Alaska, and it wasn’t even close.

We can argue all day about whether the Democrats should have more serious primaries.  For example, I think that 2016 could have benefitted from a more robust set of candidates.  But in 2024, unlike in 1952 and 1968, no serious candidate thought it was worth challenging Biden.

There’s never a shortage of politicians who hope that some deus ex machina moment will make them President or VP, short-circuiting the years of work that it normally takes to run for the office.  I think we’re seeing some of that in the current panic.  I guess I shouldn’t be surprised, but I sure am not amused.

A Little More HistoryPost + Comments (333)

Wednesday Barely Afternoon Open Thread

by WaterGirl|  July 3, 202412:12 pm| 196 Comments

This post is in: Open Threads

I’m playing catch-up for clients this week so I don’t have anything to share related to current events, but it looks like we can use any open thread.

I went to the farmer’s market, came home, started a load of laundry, and washed my breakfast dishes and silverware.  Sat down to work at the computer, started typing, and without really noticing, I apparently kept wiping my left hand on my pants or shirt.  Then I consciously notice the stickiness so I started to get up to wash my hands, and I see blood on my keyboard, blood smeared all over the left side of my shirt, blood on the left side of my pants.

Super bummed about the capris because I had just found them yesterday when I was starting to organize my closet room!  I love them and I hadn’t seen them for at least a couple of summers, maybe more!

Anyway I had apparently cut my finger on… something?

Anyway, that’s all I can type one-handed.

Open thread!

Update: Okay, I’ll add this as a mood lifter, because I saw it just now and laughed out loud.

Good morning.

Take a walk in your neighborhood today.

Touch some grass.

Grab a coffee with a friend.

All the things Steve Bannon can’t.

— Jack E. Smith ⚖️ (@7Veritas4) July 3, 2024

It’s been kind of a rough day. I was disbarred in New York, and my phone number turned up in the Epstein phone logs.

Oh. Wait.

Pardon me.

That was Rudy Giuliani getting disbarred and Donald Trump with his phone numbers in the Epstein phone logs.

— Rick Wilson (@TheRickWilson) July 3, 2024

Wednesday Barely Afternoon Open ThreadPost + Comments (196)

Wednesday Morning Open Thread: Interesting Times, Dammit

by Anne Laurie|  July 3, 20248:34 am| 400 Comments

This post is in: Elections 2024, Open Threads, President Biden, Proud to Be A Democrat, Our Failed Media Experiment

This election is between Donald Trump, who lies, and Joe Biden, who leads.

Watch our new ad. pic.twitter.com/Pz72vLP6ZY

— Kamala Harris (@KamalaHarris) July 1, 2024

EXCLUSIVE: @GStephanopoulos will sit down with Pres. Biden for the exclusive first television interview since the presidential debate. Tune in across ABC News platforms Friday, July 5.

Read more: https://t.co/ZEE7WVrBAf

— ABC News (@ABC) July 2, 2024


Mark your calendars:

… Biden will speak to “Good Morning America” and “This Week” anchor George Stephanopoulos for the interview. A first look will air on the Friday, July 5, edition of “World News Tonight with David Muir” with portions airing on Saturday and Sunday on “Good Morning America.”

The extended interview will air Sunday, July 7, on “This Week” and Monday’s episode of “Good Morning America.”…

Former House Speaker Nancy Pelosi told MSNBC on Tuesday that the president had “a bad night,” but added, “He has judgment. He has strategic thinking and the rest.”

Democratic Sen. Bob Casey, who is running for reelection in Pennsylvania, threw his support behind Biden Monday afternoon when asked about the president’s debate performance, telling reporters he is confident Biden can run a strong reelection race and serve a second term.

“No, I don’t worry about that. Look, he had a bad night in the debate, but I think people know what’s at stake,” he said.

Friday is three days away and there is a national holiday on Thursday this is why you don’t have a job anymore, Brian https://t.co/P8Mndd8Lh4

— Peter Wolf (@peterawolf) July 2, 2024

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It's not a media creation but it's also not consuming the average person's every waking thought like it is with the media. https://t.co/G3uKMyk2ic

— Shadow Of The Nerdtree (@agraybee) July 2, 2024

Not to pick on this guy in particular because this is a common sentiment but the “plan” isn’t to hope Biden wins but to *help* him win using the only mechanism we have to pick presidents in the unusual government (democracy is novel!) we created. https://t.co/bkRl04BLkV

— He-Hulk: Attorney at Law (@TrevvyTrev) July 2, 2024

Incredible to me that this stuff only surfaces because the Biden campaign and media watchdog types tweet it out. To the extent it figures into campaign coverage at all (even pre-debate) it’s just ho-hum, in passing, nbd, etc. https://t.co/4WiPsozWpZ

— Brian Beutler (@brianbeutler) July 3, 2024

"Donald Trump's mental and physical health is objectively worse than Joe Biden's, but because voters care more about Joe Biden's we aren't going to cover it" is the media's posture and if you don't hate them for it, you're a sucker. https://t.co/pHPDUXPPyS

— The Biden Accomplishments Guy (@What46HasDone) July 2, 2024

"Since the President has near-absolute power, you should want one who will use it responsibly instead of someone who will ship you off to camps" is in fact a great argument for one's candidacy. pic.twitter.com/g0E6jBllEv

— Summertime and the Voxin' is Easy (@VoxPrudentia) July 3, 2024

Wednesday Morning Open Thread: Interesting Times, DammitPost + Comments (400)

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