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Balloon Juice

Come for the politics, stay for the snark.

The words do not have to be perfect.

Technically true, but collectively nonsense

Everyone is in a bubble, but some bubbles model reality far better than others!

No one could have predicted…

Everything is totally normal and fine!!!

When the time comes to make an endorsement, the pain of NYT editors will be palpable as they reluctantly whisper “Biden.”

Balloon Juice, where there is always someone who will say you’re doing it wrong.

Prediction: the gop will rethink its strategy of boycotting future committees.

… riddled with inexplicable and elementary errors of law and fact

Jesus, Mary, & Joseph how is that election even close?

But frankly mr. cole, I’ll be happier when you get back to telling us to go fuck ourselves.

Nothing says ‘pro-life’ like letting children go hungry.

He seems like a smart guy, but JFC, what a dick!

My right to basic bodily autonomy is not on the table. that’s the new deal.

When your entire life is steeped in white supremacy, equality feels like discrimination.

Something needs to be done about our bogus SCOTUS.

Motto for the House: Flip 5 and lose none.

That’s my take and I am available for criticism at this time.

Somebody needs to explain to DeSantis that nobody needs to do anything to make him look bad.

Historically it was a little unusual for the president to be an incoherent babbling moron.

Putin dreamed of ending NATO, and now it’s Finnish-ed.

It’s a doggy dog world.

Whoever he was, that guy was nuts.

If you still can’t see these things even now, maybe politics isn’t your forte and you should stop writing about it.

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You are here: Home / Archives for 2024

Archives for 2024

Wednesday Night Open Thread

by John Cole|  March 13, 20247:54 pm| 133 Comments

This post is in: John Cole Presents "Stories from the Road", John Cole Presents "This Fucking Old House"

Time zones suck.

Been a busy couple of days as I am wrapping up all the repairs and getting everything finished that I started so that I can do a proper cleanup before leaving. Joelle has to go to her friend’s funeral and is flying out Friday morning and coming back on Sunday, so I have delayed my departure until Monday. One room is finally complete, though- the sun room/room, and we got all the tiki furniture that we had been temporarily using in the living room moved in there:

Wednesday Night Open Thread 4

We finally got a couch- Joelle found a couch on fb market for 800 bucks that was two years old and was originally $3-4k, did some background and the owner was in one of the wealthy neighborhoods, talked them down to 500, and we now have a couch in the living room, which is nice. Apparently Joelle says you can get steals like that all the time depending on where the people live, because they have so much money they just throw shit away. I’m relieved because we went couch shopping a couple times and the sticker shock gave me chest pains.

Wednesday Night Open Thread 5

I gotta go get Joelle and we have to put the living room together, so I wanted to get this up early before I forget.

Wednesday Night Open ThreadPost + Comments (133)

Wednesday Evening Open Thread: Has Ol’ Man Trump Lost His Touch?

by Anne Laurie|  March 13, 20246:39 pm| 106 Comments

This post is in: 2024 Elections, Excellent Links, Trumpery

Has Ol’ Man Trump Lost His Touch? - STOCKPILE

(Nick Anderson via GoComics.com)

 
Excellent argument from Josh Marshall, at TPM — “Has Ol’ Man Trump Lost His Touch?”:

… [P]olitically [Trump] is very, very rusty. Even in Trumpian terms his speeches these days are disjointed, weird, discordant. And again — not by the standard of who you might want within a mile of the Oval Office. I mean even in terms of Trumpian politics. He’s not the same.

I suspect some of that is his age. Some of it may be that he’s just out of practice, despite basically campaigning from the moment he left office. Trump used to have a very clear eye for what people wanted and what they didn’t. Plausibly or not, back in 2016 he was very clear that he had no interest in touching Social Security or Medicare. Why? Because people like them. Trump wants love and he wants power. The way to get those is to make people happy, to give them what they want or at least tell them you’re going to give them what they want. He was very down on Obamacare. But that is because back in 2016 the word if not the program was still not very popular. A politician like Trump is never in the business of convincing anyone that it’s important to do something that doesn’t sound fun and immediately appealing.

Once in power, of course, Trump essentially delegated most of his policy agenda to the GOP. The only thing that seemed to really animate him was trade policy or using domestic trade subsidies to reward supporters — which amounted mostly to the same thing. But in most respects Trump’s entire presidency amounted to taking office with the assumption that being President meant unlimited power and unlimited love. That quickly turned out not to be the case and much of his subsequent presidency and post-presidency became a mix of grievance and payback for that not being the case.

There is a key difference here that is important to understand. Trump’s 2016 campaign’s success stemmed in large part from channeling the cultural and social grievance of middle aged white American men. His 2024 agenda is heavily focused on his personal grievances and doing away with all the restraints on the presidency that hobbled him and led to ego injuries in during his first term — Trump Unbound, as it were. (Think back to 2016 and consider where the “Deep State” or unbridled marxist civil servants would have figured into anything he was talking about.) His enemies are your enemies and he’s going to kick all of their asses. We know all this. It’s the essence of most of his speeches, threats, and so forth. To execute on this he’s surrounded himself with a cast of ideologues who have created a program for him. The folks making the plans are unsurprisingly hard core right-wingers who support a lot of very unpopular things. That’s why Project 2025, the Trumpian government blueprint assembled by a group of Trump administration alums under the aegis of the Heritage Foundation, looks like such a juicy target for Democrats. The people around Trump now know how to write out the plan, how to plug it into the various departments and agencies, and whatever other right-wing stuff that goes along with it is fine with him because it all means power and retribution in his hands…

I’ve thought for some time that Trump shows a lot of the signs of the kind of rage dementia that often eludes detection because the energy of the aggression gets read as focus and executive function rather than cognitive deterioration. What’s been harder for me to read is what part of this is the psychic pressure of the 2020 defeat combined with the accumulating legal peril and what is the accumulated impact of going from 69 years of age to 77. Whatever the precise mix, it also impacts his political agility and feel for the popular mood. It leads to stuff like this wholly unforced social insurance goof. This probably won’t be the only example. It hasn’t gotten much attention yet because even though Trump gets coverage, he hasn’t been in the mix of an actual campaign in years. We’ll see more of it because, again, he ain’t the same.

Trump on Social Security: weapons grade gibberish—-> pic.twitter.com/WvPQKb2CeW

— Charlie Sykes (@SykesCharlie) March 12, 2024

Wednesday Evening Open Thread: <em>Has Ol’ Man Trump Lost His Touch? </em>Post + Comments (106)

Hahahahaha – Elon Musk Edition

by WaterGirl|  March 13, 20245:37 pm| 61 Comments

This post is in: Open Threads

He who laughs last…

Is it too early to celebrate?

On The Road - patrick II - 4th of July, Small Indiana Lake 2
Photo credit: Patrick II from On the Road

BREAKING:

Elon Musk being investigated by SEC for Securities Fraud, per new legal filing in SEC vs Musk: pic.twitter.com/i0Y7YpVuGO

— Gabe Hoffman (@GabeHoff) March 13, 2024

x

Credit and predictions per BGrahamDisciple on Threads: pic.twitter.com/ai8gxNXQI1

— Gabe Hoffman (@GabeHoff) March 13, 2024

These assholes always always always bring it upon themselves.

Open thread.  Open season on Musk!

Hahahahaha – Elon Musk EditionPost + Comments (61)

HAHAHAHA Ken Buck Fucked Lauren Boebert (Figuratively!)

by $8 blue check mistermix|  March 13, 20245:04 pm| 71 Comments

This post is in: Open Threads

HAHAHAHA Ken Buck Fucked Lauren Boebert (Figuratively!)
This just in:

U.S. Rep. Lauren Boebert said Wednesday that she will not pursue the Republican special election nomination to replace U.S. Rep. Ken Buck in Colorado’s 4th Congressional District after he departs Congress at the end of next week.

Boebert is still running, however, in the Republican primary to be the GOP nominee for the November election in the 4th District.

In a written statement, Boebert called Buck’s resignation “a swampy backroom deal to try to rig an election” for her opponents.

“Forcing an unnecessary special election on the same day as the primary election will confuse voters, result in a lame duck congressman on day one, and leave the 4th District with no representation for more than three months,” she wrote. “The 4th District deserves better.”

Buck apparently quit without telling Pastor Mike in advance, cutting the R majority in the House down to a couple (depending on health, etc.).  Part of the reason for Buck’s abrupt resignation probably lies the rules for special elections in Colorado:

Whoever wins the Republican vacancy nomination for the special election may have a slight advantage in the primary because their name will appear twice on the June 25 ballot. [Gov Jared] Polis said blending the two elections will save money, but voters in the 4th District may be confused about why there are two similar races on their primary ballot.

Republican and Democratic vacancy committees, made up of party insiders, will have to meet within the next few weeks to select their respective nominees for the special election. Vacancy committees are notoriously unpredictable.

Yes, they’re unpredictable, but it doesn’t take a genius to predict that Republican “party insiders” in CO-4 won’t pick Boebert because they’re hella pissed that she decided to bring her carpetbag full of money and her family drama into their district.  Boebert is attempting to blunt the inevitable humiliation of not getting chosen by saying she’s not even going to run. (ETA: Also, she would have to resign her CO-3 seat to run in the CO-4 special, so Buck put her between a rock and a hard place.)  This is similar to a kid saying he didn’t even want to play with a toy after mom gives it to his sister.

The result of all this machination is that voters in CO-4 will have ballots:  one to pick the interim replacement for Buck, which will contain the party nominee for the seat,  and one for primary to choose the Republican candidate for the November general election.  Getting the nod for the special is a powerful endorsement and incentive for voters to vote for the same person in the special and the primary.

The bottom line here is that Boebert underestimated Ken Buck and he gave her a fuck-you, adios, you lose present going out the door.  You love to see it.

HAHAHAHA Ken Buck Fucked Lauren Boebert (Figuratively!)Post + Comments (71)

True Detective’s Nic Pizzolatto Needs a Time Out

by The Thin Black Duke|  March 13, 20242:34 pm| 123 Comments

This post is in: Open Threads

Nic Pizzolatto Needs a Time Out 1

When compared to comedic gems such as The Producers, Young Frankenstein and Silent Movie, I have to confess that History of the World, Part 1 is disappointing. This lackluster 1981 film by Mel Brooks feels like a series of hit-or-miss comedy sketches barely held together by duct tape.

However, a highlight of History of the World, Part 1 for me is the hilarious “Dawn of Man” sequence in the beginning of the film. Underneath the sitcom caveman schtick, Brooks sees a fundamental truth and happily knocks it out of the park.

Narrator: Even in primitive man, the need to create was part of his nature. This need, this talent clearly separated early men from animals, who would never know this gift.

[a group of cavemen is intently watching someone doing something on the wall]
Narrator: And here, in a cave about 2 million years ago, the first artist was born.

[a drawing of a buffalo is shown, and a proud artist exhibiting his work to the tribe]
Narrator: And, of course, with the birth of the artist, came the inevitable after birth… the critic.

[the critic urinates on the drawing]

And millions of years later, some things never change. The war between Artists and Critics goes on, with no ceasefire in sight. However, oddly enough, there are times where the combatants will switch roles and go to the Dark Side.

Case in point, Nic (True Detective) Pizzolatto. He went all in and Nic ain’t taking any prisoners.

Pizzolatto created the True Detective series for the premium cable network, with the first season starring Matthew McConaughey and Woody Harrelson. The fourth season, titled True Detective: Night Country, stars Kali Reis and Jodie Foster and is the first season without Pizzolatto’s involvement, although he is still credited as an executive producer of the drama.

Night Country recently wrapped its season and now ranks as the most-watched season of the franchise that started in 2014. Although the show created by Issa López has enjoyed good ratings and positive reviews, franchise originator Pizzolatto has thrown shade throughout the series’ run. 

Pizzolatto has reshared posts from some viewers criticizing the fourth season of True Detective. In a screenshot posted on social media, Pizzolatto shared an opinion from a fan slamming the finale, calling it “some of the sloppiest writing” and praising the show’s first season.

Is it me or does Pizzolatto sound like a bitter divorcee who’s enraged that his ex-wife has the gall to be happy without him? Worse, Pizzolatto doubled down on his online blitzkrieg.

Phillip Maciak@pjmaciak . Feb 19
You may have liked the TRUE DETECTIVE finale or you may have hated the TRUE DETECTIVE finale, but one thing is indisputable: Nic Pizzolatto is on Instagram, posting other people’s stories about how Issa López ruined the franchise like an absolutely enormous baby.

I see a “cease and desist” order in Nic Pizzolatto’s future. Nic has already found out to his dismay that if you can’t stand the heat, stay out the kitchen you tossed a grenade in. If this public meltdown was happening at a bar, Pizzolatto would have been cut off already. Sorry, dude. You don’t gotta go home, but you can’t stay here.

Anyway, in response to these slanderous comments, Issa López refused to get into the trench and wrestle in the mud with Pizzolatto. Instead, López released a statement that was more gracious and compassionate than he deserved.

In an interview with Vulture, López said, “I believe that every storyteller has a very specific, peculiar, and unique relation to the stories they create, and whatever his reactions are, he’s entitled to them.”

Translation: Not my clowns, not my circus.

(Wanna bet López choosing to take the high ground made Mr. Pizzolatto feel like she was rubbing salt into his wound with a Brillo pad?)

Still, it begs the question: why did Nic Pizzolatto decide to piss in his own bowl of cornflakes?

Here’s a theory: Sometimes the creative architects who build franchises get lost.

Maybe Pizzolatto is freaking out that True Detective became a puzzle he forgot how to solve so he does the guy thing and blames the women who he thinks don’t deserve to keep what he used to have even though he can’t tell you why.

It’s not Ms. López’s fault, Nic. You’re on the same side. Stop acting like a drunk Fred Flintstone writing your critique on the wall in the cave.

Sometimes the Muse stops speaking to you. Poetry becomes gibberish and the lovely melodies you used to sing together abruptly degenerated into loud and intolerable static.

The last thing an Artist ever wants to hear from their Muse is I’m not into you anymore, goodbye. Sadly, it’s an occupational hazard that inflicts creative people, and it happens without warning.

Why? Who the hell knows? Creativity is fragile magic to begin with. But yeah, it happens. A lot.

Chris Carter of the X-Files forgot who Scully and Muldur were.

Star Wars needed to step out from the enormous shadow of George Lucas to find itself again.

It took a while for Star Trek: The New Generation to build an identity because a Gene Roddenberry-sized road block was in the way.

The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey movies were such a joyless, by-the-numbers corporate product that moviegoers would be justified in asking for a DNA sample just to confirm that Peter Jackson was somewhere in there.

James Cameron, one of the best action movie directors of his generation, is trapped in a time loop making endless sequels to Avatar.

These visionaries got served an eviction notice from the franchises they built from the ground up and nobody knows why.

Too much interference from the Boss who signs the paychecks? Burnout? A cunning pickpocket stole your Karmic Lottery Ticket? Ain’t got a clue. Sometimes it goes and all you can do is hope it comes back.

I hope Nic Pizzolatto works it out soon and gets back in the game. No more standing outside your ex’s house with a boom box over your head. Please. It wasn’t a good look when John Cusack did it.

True Detective’s Nic Pizzolatto Needs a Time OutPost + Comments (123)

Judge McAfee in GA Case – No Need To Panic

by WaterGirl|  March 13, 202410:56 am| 139 Comments

This post is in: Open Threads, Politics, Trump Indictments

 

I’m sure we’ll be hearing more from the legal eagles soon, as to whether this is a big deal. While we wait.

This is NOT the Fani Willis disqualification motion ruling.

It is an order quashing certain counts in the indictment because they lack specificity to put the defendants on notice so they can prepare an adequate defense. https://t.co/aKnhiUikYq

— Katie Phang (@KatiePhang) March 13, 2024

.

The charges dismissed from the indictment include counts 2, 5, 6, 23, 28, and 38. They relate to alleged efforts by Trump and others to solicit violations of oaths of office from state officials like Brad Raffensperger and former GA House Speaker David Ralston. pic.twitter.com/IdU4cO3Aex

— Anna Bower (@AnnaBower) March 13, 2024

.

New: As we await a decision from Judge McAfee on whether to disqualify Fani Willis, he has issued an order dismissing some charges in the indictment against Trump and others–but denies efforts to dismiss certain “overt acts” included in the indictment.https://t.co/jbV4sO7oVJ

— Anna Bower (@AnnaBower) March 13, 2024

.

BREAKING: in somewhat of an indication that Judge McAfee will NOT disqualify Willis, he’s refusing to throw out key elements of the RICO charge although he is tossing a few of the later counts against a few of the defendants for lack of specificity (1/x) pic.twitter.com/Vr84iedqOp

— Norm Eisen (norm.eisen on Threads) (@NormEisen) March 13, 2024

h/t Omnes on this last one.

Update with further details at 2 pn:

Some nuance missing from reporting on the impact of today’s ruling on Trump’s call to Brad Raffensperger:

For now, the criminal count related to the infamous call for soliciting a violation of Raffensperger’s oath of office is out.

The related overt act, however, survives. pic.twitter.com/lmgwTVrWaX

— Adam Klasfeld (@KlasfeldReports) March 13, 2024

.

Update at 4:27 pm

Judge nixes some of Georgia’s charges against Trump and his allies − but that won’t necessarily derail the case.

Is the judge saying there is not enough evidence to proceed with this case?

No. He’s saying that the state has not sufficiently explained how the evidence relates to an oath. For example, we know Rudy Giuliani went to the Georgia General Assembly with John Eastman and provided false information in order to encourage these state officials to overturn the election. The theory is that violated both the federal and state constitutions.

But a prosecutor could make that claim in a number of different ways. Did they violate the Georgia Constitution’s right to vote; did they violate the equal protection clause in the U.S. Constitution? Is it the right to vote that is spelled out in Georgia’s state Constitution? Or is there some other provision of federal or state law they violated? It’s just not clear.

Could this delay the trial against Trump and his allies in Georgia?

Maybe. We will have to see. Willis can bring a new, more detailed indictment that is more in line with the state oath. I think if Willis brings another indictment on these charges, there probably won’t be a delay.

If she appeals this decision, rather than just seeking a new indictment, that might slow things down a little.

Open thread.

Judge McAfee in GA Case – No Need To PanicPost + Comments (139)

Hope and Inspiration On a Wednesday Morning

by WaterGirl|  March 13, 20249:15 am| 150 Comments

This post is in: Activist Judges!, Open Threads, Supreme Court, Supreme Court Corruption

I always feel better knowing that Sheldon Whitehouse is not giving up on making our judicial system work.  He calls them out and actually tries to make change.  Dick Durbin in my senator, and I wish he would make Senator Whitehouse the chair of Judiciary Committee.  Sadly, in all these years, Durbin has never once called to ask for my advice!

Faulty decisions founded on false facts walk the streets like zombies plaguing our democracy. pic.twitter.com/a6rOK4Hnbr

— Sheldon Whitehouse (@SenWhitehouse) March 12, 2024

This look like good news to me – it certainly seems to have the potential to be better than the current judge shopping that is so destructive to the rule of law.  But I am not really familiar with this group and what power it actually has.  Does anybody know?

The Judicial Conference of the United States has strengthened the policy governing random case assignment, limiting the ability of litigants to effectively choose judges in certain cases by where they file a lawsuit.

The policy addresses all civil actions that seek to bar or mandate state or federal actions, “whether by declaratory judgment and/or any form of injunctive relief.” In such cases, judges would be assigned through a district-wide random selection process.

“Since 1995, the Judicial Conference has strongly supported the random assignment of cases and the notion that all district judges remain generalists,” said Judge Robert J. Conrad, Jr., secretary of the Conference. “The random case-assignment policy deters judge-shopping and the assignment of cases based on the perceived merits or abilities of a particular judge. It promotes the impartiality of proceedings and bolsters public confidence in the federal Judiciary.”

In most of the nation’s 94 federal district courts, local case assignment plans facilitate the random selection of judges. Some plans assign cases to a judge in the division of the court where the case is filed. In divisions where only a single judge sits, these rules have made it possible for a litigant to pre-select that judge by filing in that division.

In a November 2021 letter, Senator Thom Tillis (R-N.C.), and Patrick Leahy, a Vermont senator who since has retired, raised concerns about a concentration of patent cases filed in single-judge divisions.

Chief Justice John G. Roberts, Jr., referenced this letter in his 2021 Year-End Report on the Federal Judiciary, calling for a study of judicial assignment practices in patent cases.

“Senators from both sides of the aisle have expressed concern that case assignment procedures … might, in effect, enable the plaintiff to select a particular judge to hear a case,” Roberts said. During the patent-case study, the Court Administration and Case Management Committee (CACM) determined that similar issues might occur in bankruptcy and other types of civil litigation. Public debate grew when several highly controversial lawsuits, seeking nationwide injunctions against federal government policies, were filed in single-judge court divisions.

In submitting the proposed policy to the Judicial Conference, the CACM Committee said that some local case assignment plans risked creating an appearance of “judge shopping.” The committee also noted that the value of trying a civil case in the nearest court division becomes less important when the impact of a ruling might be felt statewide or even nationally.

The amended policy applies to cases involving state or federal laws, rules, regulations, policies, or executive branch orders. District courts may continue to assign cases to a single-judge division when they do not seek to bar or mandate state or federal actions, whether by declaratory judgment and/or any form of injunctive relief.

In addition to the Judiciary policy, the CACM committee will disseminate guidance to all district courts regarding civil case assignment.

The 26-member Judicial Conference is the policy-making body for the federal court system. By statute, the Chief Justice of the United States serves as its presiding officer and its members are the chief judges of the 13 courts of appeals, a district judge from each of the 12 geographic circuits, and the chief judge of the Court of International Trade.

What else are you seeing along the lines of hope and inspiration?

I love that some right-wing idiot is now referring to Biden as Jacked Up Joe.
But I hope we don’t end up with photos like this.

Hope and Inspiration On a Wednesday Morning

Open thread.

Hope and Inspiration On a Wednesday MorningPost + Comments (150)

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