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Balloon Juice

Come for the politics, stay for the snark.

Oh FFS you might as well trust a 6-year-old with a flamethrower.

Republicans don’t lie to be believed, they lie to be repeated.

Republicans: slavery is when you own me. freedom is when I own you.

Jack be nimble, jack be quick, hurry up and indict this prick.

If ‘weird’ was the finish line, they ran through the tape and kept running.

“Loving your country does not mean lying about its history.”

Human rights are not a matter of opinion!

fuckem (in honor of the late great efgoldman)

When they say they are pro-life, they do not mean yours.

The real work of an opposition party is to oppose.

We will not go quietly into the night; we will not vanish without a fight.

Jesus watching the most hateful people claiming to be his followers

Come on, man.

It’s easy to sit in safety and prescribe what other people should be doing.

After dobbs, women are no longer free.

Marge, god is saying you’re stupid.

You are either for trump or for democracy. Pick one.

Hey Washington Post, “Democracy Dies in Darkness” was supposed to be a warning, not a mission statement.

Dear Washington Post, you are the darkness now.

“woke” is the new caravan.

How any woman could possibly vote for this smug smarmy piece of misogynistic crap is beyond understanding.

When tyranny becomes law, rebellion becomes duty. ~Thomas Jefferson

Fight them, without becoming them!

If you can’t control your emotions, someone else will.

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Open Thread:  Hey Lurkers!  (Holiday Post)

Open Threads

You are here: Home / Archives for Open Threads

Quick Post on the Toronto Crash

by @heymistermix.com|  February 18, 20255:28 pm| 85 Comments

This post is in: Open Threads

The child who was taken to Sick Kids is in good condition.   Apparently there’s one person left in critical condition but I haven’t seen a recent update.  Juan Browne of the Blancolirio YouTube channel is up with his first take.  He didn’t see anything obviously bad about the approach.  He’s got the latest video which was shot from the cockpit of another aircraft waiting to take off.  Everything we’ve seen so far points to a problem with the plane or the flight crew, not Toronto Pearson airport, and the plane and crew are US (Endeavor flying as Delta Express) so this crash is squarely on the shoulders of Endeavor, Delta and the FAA.

(The flight attendants and the firefighters here did a great job.  Don’t take your luggage with you when you evacuate, and wear some decent shoes.)

This is a huge political opportunity with two prongs:

First, Musk’s cuts to the FAA, which are making it less safe.  The original Rolling Stone piece is paywalled, but Democratic Underground has some excerpts:

-snip-

Rolling Stone spoke with a fired FAA employee who was among a handful of employees working on an obstacle impact team at the Mike Monroney Aeronautical Center in Oklahoma City. The team evaluates many tens of thousands of potential new hazards — such as new buildings, windmills, and especially cranes — to inform flight procedures each year.

The obstacle impact team was already understaffed before it was gutted. “There are currently four people remaining over there to do the work of 15 people,” they say, adding: “The danger to the national airspace can’t be understated. This is a very real threat to the American flying public.”

-snip-

Though Musk and the White House claim their job cuts relate in no way to anyone involved with airline safety, Rolling Stone separately spoke with a second terminated FAA employee whose job was ensuring that pilots are medically able and certified to fly. It’s a vital role, especially given the ongoing airline pilot shortage.

“We were already behind,” says the terminated FAA employee. “The pilots already complained that there’s a shortage in getting their medical certification [approved]. It’s just going to be put further behind now.”

-snip-

Second, the nonsensical idea that SpaceX is going to somehow “fix” the Air Traffic Control system.

A team from Elon Musk’s SpaceX is visiting the Air Traffic Control Command Center in Virginia Monday to help overhaul [ed. note: vomit] the system in the wake of last month’s deadly air disaster in Washington, DC, US Secretary of Transportation Sean Duffy announced. The news comes after CNN reported that the Federal Aviation Administration fired hundreds of probationary employees who maintain critical air traffic control infrastructure.

The exact number of workers losing their jobs is unknown, but the union representing them said it was in the “hundreds.” The Trump administration is in the process of trying to eliminate thousands of federal employees as it works with Congressional Republicans on a massive tax cutting bill that is said to favor mostly corporations and the wealthy.

If I’m in SpaceX management and King Elon calls up to have me send some people to “fix” the air traffic control system, I’m sending the most annoying, incompetent assholes that I can find, so let’s start there.  Continue with the fact that the FAA has gone through a 20 year cycle with a lack of radar system replacement (according to their own document).  This means that the systems are old, and the people who repair them have years of experience on how to maintain old radars.  ATC radar and whatever radar SpaceX uses to track launches are completely different animals.

The FAA is understaffed, removing more staff will just lessen safety, and a lot of people are nervous flyers.  I think the natural inclination of the responsible party is to not scare people unnecessarily.  I’m telling you that I’m scared of flying, and scaring people right now is necessary.

Quick Post on the Toronto CrashPost + Comments (85)

Take the Deal, Authoritarian Bastard!

by WaterGirl|  February 18, 20251:00 pm| 120 Comments

This post is in: Democratic Response to Trump 2.0, Open Threads, Trump-Musk

Promoted from the comments.

Is President Musk or his orange assistant smart enough to understand that they (and we) are being mocked around the world?

If yes, do they understand that is not a good thing?

 

Post by @[email protected]
View on Mastodon

 

h/t sentient ai from the future

The beacon of democracy is rolling in its grave.

And as long as we are laughing through the tears, this is one of the best protest signs ever.

I’m pretty sure this photo was from AM in NC.

Take the Deal, Authoritarian Bastard!Post + Comments (120)

Everybody’s Quitting

by @heymistermix.com|  February 18, 202511:21 am| 102 Comments

This post is in: Open Threads

Thanks to everyone who sent protest pics from yesterday.  I’m going to post your reports and pics soon.  But, sheesh, seems like everybody’s quitting, and it isn’t quiet quitting,  so I wanted to cover that first.

Let’s start in New York City.  Yesterday, four deputy mayors resigned their posts.  There are eight in total.  The city comptroller, Brian Lander,  sent a letter to Adams asking him to provide a contingency plan by the end of the week, otherwise Lander might convene an “Inability Committee” meeting, which is the way under the Section 10 of the City Charter to remove the mayor if the governor doesn’t act.  Kathy Hochul, who needs a lot of weathermen to see which way the wind is blowing, issued a statement that seemed like she’s actually considering using her power to remove Adams.  She’s going to meet with key members of the downstate machine as well as Lander today:

CBS News New York’s Marcia Kramer has learned the meetings Hochul will have will be one on one with New York political leaders, including City Comptroller Brad Lander, City Council Speaker Adrienne Adams, House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries, and Queens Congressman Gregory Meeks.

Kramer has also learned everything is on the table, including the mayor deciding to resign or deciding not to run for reelection, and even the governor using her powers to remove the mayor from the power, something that has never happened in New York state history.

While it’s true that the mayor has never been removed, FDR started the process and had court rulings saying he could do so back when he was governor (the mayor resigned instead), and Pataki removed the Bronx DA from a case and won court rulings on that.

The state of play on the dismissal of Adams’ charges is that Young Voldemort Bove apparently put all the remaining public integrity prosecutors in a room and said nobody’s leaving until someone files a dismissal on Adam’s charges. The dismissal was filed by two attorneys, Antoinette Bacon and Edward Sullivan.   I’m not an expert, but reading that filing, it’s all “The Acting Attorney General determined…” — that’s Bove.  So, I think they filed the dismissal but basically hope to keep their careers and bar cards by simply reporting what Bove told them to do.  The federal judge handling the case, Dale E. Ho, has scheduled a hearing for tomorrow.

The DOGErs got another one:

The top official at the Social Security Administration stepped down after a clash with DOGE employees over access to sensitive personal records, two sources told ABC News.

Michelle King, a career official who served at the agency for more than 30 years, was serving as acting commissioner of the Social Security Administration but left the agency after she was replaced with Leland Dudek this weekend.

Sources said that DOGE employees were seeking access to an internal data system which includes sensitive, personal information of Americans.

Presumably King’s replacement will be more open to letting Elon have every American’s data so he can enroll us all in his new payment system on X.

Edit: Sorry, missed another one:

WASHINGTON (Reuters) -The top federal prosecutor who supervised criminal cases at the Washington, D.C. U.S. Attorney’s office resigned on Tuesday, citing what she described as an improper demand by officials appointed by President Donald Trump’s administration to launch a criminal probe and pursue an asset freeze.

In a letter to the interim U.S. Attorney Ed Martin reviewed by Reuters, the office’s criminal chief Denise Cheung wrote that the Trump administration had ordered her to investigate a government contract awarded during Joe Biden’s administration and pursue a freeze of the recipient’s assets.

She said that neither request was supported by the evidence, which she said she was provided with by the Deputy Attorney General’s office.

Cheung is a 24-year career prosecutor at DoJ.  I’m sure her replacement, someone who graduated from Liberty University and just passed the bar on their third try, will be up to the task.

Everybody’s QuittingPost + Comments (102)

Tuesday Morning Open Thread: Perhaps This Revolution *Will* Be Televised…

by Anne Laurie|  February 18, 20256:21 am| 303 Comments

This post is in: DOGESHIT, Open Threads, Proud to Be A Democrat, Trump Crime Cartel, Elon Musk

This cartoon got Luckovich banned from Twitter, so we know the taunts are working Elon’s last nerve.
Tuesday Morning Open Thread 22

(mike Luckovich via GoComics.com)

Today is two days earlier than Rick Santelli's rant that helped kick off the Tea Party in 2009. If Trump & Musk keep fucking shit up, & Democratic donors & organizers get their shoulders behind this anger, we can shake the earth

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— Chatham Harrison is tending his garden (@chathamharrison.bsky.social) February 17, 2025 at 8:14 PM

This is the kind of action that keeps Social Security checks arriving on time. This is the kind of action that keeps us from making war on our closest & best neighbor. This is citizenship & every person who's out there will be able to look back with pride on having stood up when it counted.

— Chatham Harrison is tending his garden (@chathamharrison.bsky.social) February 17, 2025 at 8:18 PM


 
So many spinning dishes, so few plate-adjusters…

Saying stuff like this backs you into a corner: they're either going to not do anything but claim anyway to have fixed all the fraudulent payments, or they're going to 𝗿 𝗲 𝗮 𝗹 𝗹 𝘆 𝗳 𝘂 𝗰 𝗸 𝘂 𝗽

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— Hemry, Local Bartender (@bartenderhemry.bsky.social) February 17, 2025 at 9:48 PM


 

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autocracy is a way of betting your life and the lives of your children on the ideal that the men with guns who guard you will not kill you in your sleep. in other news the president is taking aim at the men with guns who guard him.

— rev. howard arson (@theophite.bsky.social) February 15, 2025 at 11:49 PM

And, given recruiting rates among military families, the *parents* of the men with guns who guard him. I might be willing to endure hardships for Mr. Trump, but am I willing to help dispossess & abandon my parents to Make America Great Again?

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— Chatham Harrison is tending his garden (@chathamharrison.bsky.social) February 15, 2025 at 11:58 PM

Tuesday Morning Open Thread 21

I would send men drunk on poppy juice & hateful children into the aerarium to burn anything they deemed unimportant

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— Chatham Harrison is tending his garden (@chathamharrison.bsky.social) February 16, 2025 at 1:38 AM

Elsewhere, Trump’s so-called “allies” ready their tools for the smash & grab run…

Choosing to interpret this as "we don't expect this administration to last longer than 2-3 months"

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— Hemry, Local Bartender (@bartenderhemry.bsky.social) February 18, 2025 at 2:56 AM

Tuesday Morning Open Thread: Perhaps This Revolution *Will* Be Televised…Post + Comments (303)

Late Night Open Thread: Whack *All* the Moles, Many Times!

by Anne Laurie|  February 18, 20253:04 am| 85 Comments

This post is in: Open Threads, Proud to Be A Democrat, Trump Crime Cartel, Your Place Is In The Resistance

I come from a culture that cherishes its grudges, so of course I like this framing:

COMPLAINT: trying to counter these guys is like playing whac-a-mole!
REALITY: Whac-a-mole is:
–fun for the folks holding the mallets
–rough going for the moles
–dumbass moles just keep on exposing themselves
–it's something a whole group can enjoy
–feels good inside to thwack an asshole

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— Jason Linkins (@dceiver.bsky.social) February 17, 2025 at 6:10 PM

so much of media seems to think its primary job is to turn a spotlight on the hypocrisy of the audience's own pieties when its actual job is to hit a guy who made one million dollars turning puppies into mulch with a hammer five hundred times

— rev. howard arson (@theophite.bsky.social) February 17, 2025 at 2:12 AM

The voters asked for cheap eggs. Trump & Musk are the villains here

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— Chatham Harrison is tending his garden (@chathamharrison.bsky.social) February 17, 2025 at 3:27 PM

Every time you run the blade across you cut the groove deeper

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— Chatham Harrison is tending his garden (@chathamharrison.bsky.social) February 17, 2025 at 2:25 PM

With at least one target, it seems to be working…

im not mad, im laughing, actualy

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— Chatham Harrison is tending his garden (@chathamharrison.bsky.social) February 17, 2025 at 12:19 PM

please dont put in the very platform that i own that i got mad.

— Chatham Harrison is tending his garden (@chathamharrison.bsky.social) February 17, 2025 at 12:20 PM

Late Night Open Thread: Whack *All* the Moles, Many Times!Post + Comments (85)

Speaking of Escapism Open Thread

by WaterGirl|  February 17, 20257:43 pm| 47 Comments

This post is in: Open Threads, TV & Movies

Speaking of escapism, I am on episode 7 of The Morning Show Season 3.  Apparently shooting has been wrapped up for Season 4, but it will be awhile before we get to see it.

Is anyone interested in a free-wheeling conversation about the show on zoom?   I figure that’s the best option so we don’t have to worry about spoilers.  If you think you might be interested, let me know in the comments and I’ll get that going.

I would also happily do the same for a conversation about Slow Horses, if there’s interest.

What’s everyone else doing as an antidote to all the ugliness?

Speaking of Escapism Open ThreadPost + Comments (47)

War for Ukraine Day 1,089: A Bad Deal Is Worse than No Deal at All

by Adam L Silverman|  February 17, 20257:27 pm| 49 Comments

This post is in: Foreign Affairs, Foreign Policy, Military, Open Threads, Russia, Silverman on Security, War, War in Ukraine

Painting by NEIVANMADE. It has a white background an in the center are Soldiers in green doing air defense by firing at incoming Russian missiles in the upper right. The missiles are red and yellow. In the upper left, written in green, is the text: "SAVE THE BRAVEST PEOPLE IN THE WORLD!" Below the Soldiers, also written in green, is "SUPPORT FOR KHARKIV"

(Image by NEIVANMADE)

All of eastern and central Ukraine – at 6:20 PM EST/1:20 AM local time in Ukraine – is once again under air raid alert for drone swarm attack.

It appears that portions of last week’s US “proposal” for Ukrainian mineral resources has leaked:

Parts of the leaked critical minerals agreement that the US presented to Zelensky last week

I am told the original document stipulated that this agreement between the US and Ukrainian governments would be governed under.. NY State law!

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— Dmitri Alperovitch (@dmitri.silverado.org) February 17, 2025 at 11:12 AM

Which would mean that Letitia James would be in charge of its enforcement!

Other issues here:
– Request to sign an agreement that says “Pre-decisional & Deliberative”
– No specification on the timeframe for the license payments – in perpetuity or limited in some form?

— Dmitri Alperovitch (@dmitri.silverado.org) February 17, 2025 at 11:12 AM

– US commitments are extremely vague. I am told the original draft didn’t include any, which would have made it unenforceable under NY law (you have to have future considerations included in a contract)

— Dmitri Alperovitch (@dmitri.silverado.org) February 17, 2025 at 11:12 AM

That’s not so much a “proposal” as a list of demands.

I think it’s the first case in human history where a nation fighting for its survival against a major aggressor is being forced—by a non-combatant partner—into paying Versailles-style reparations over military aid that had earlier been provided purposefully at no cost.

— Illia Ponomarenko (@ioponomarenko.bsky.social) February 17, 2025 at 4:10 PM

And all of this while the war is still ongoing and far from lost.

— Illia Ponomarenko (@ioponomarenko.bsky.social) February 17, 2025 at 4:10 PM

We are probably the first country to be asked to pay reparations for being invaded. It would be funny if it weren’t so tragic.

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— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) February 17, 2025 at 1:45 PM

I think it is important for everyone to keep in mind, that these demands, “negotiating” without Zelenskyy and Ukraine at the table, and especially Kellogg’s and Trump’s demands that Ukraine must hold elections, are all attempts to actually undermine President Zelenskyy. It is an active measure and influence campaign. It is also Putin’s active measure and influence campaign. Putin has been hammering on this for a long time as a way to present what he thinks is a reasonable objection to why he can’t end his genocidal re-invasion: Ukraine doesn’t have a legitimate president for him to negotiate because there haven’t been elections since the beginning of the genocidal re-invasion. The reason there haven’t been elections is, of course, the result of the genocidal re-invasion: Ukraine is under martial law due to the state of emergency created by having to defend against Russia. Under Ukrainian law, elections are suspended until after the emergency is lifted. Trump picked this up from Putin and, most likely also Musk and the latter’s toady David Sacks who have been amplifying this agitprop on the hellsite. Kellogg is now pushing it because Trump is. This is a perfect example of reflexive control, specifically the reflexive control that Putin has over Trump. Which is why the EU and the UK have also been excluded by Trump from these negotiations.

Three basic Soviet/Russian rules for negotiating with the West:
1.Demand the maximum, don’t ask.
2.Present ultimatums.
3.Never give ground—there’s always someone in the West willing to offer something.

Just a reminder.

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— Maria Avdeeva (@mariainkharkiv.bsky.social) February 17, 2025 at 1:40 PM

Ukrainska Pravda has more on President Zelenskyy’s views on what the US is doing in Saudi Arabia this week.

Ukraine will not be participating in upcoming talks in Saudi Arabia and will not recognise any agreements made on Ukraine without Kyiv’s involvement.

Source: Zelenskyy, commenting on the talks in Saudi Arabia between Russian and US representatives, quoted by Interfax-Ukraine

Quote from Zelenskyy: “Ukraine will not participate [in the talks]. Ukraine did not know anything about them. And Ukraine considers any negotiations about Ukraine without Ukraine to be useless. And we cannot recognise anything or any agreements about us without us. And we will not recognise such agreements.”

Details: The head of state noted that there is a bilateral track in these negotiations, “and they have the right to do that if they have bilateral issues”. Zelenskyy added that this had been discussed before, but only now have they “begun to speak publicly”.

Zelenskyy said his official visit to Saudi Arabia on 18 February “has no connection with the things happening in Saudi Arabia at the level of the US and Russian representatives”.

The president added that he would ask Saudi Arabia’s Crown Prince and Prime Minister Mohammed bin Salman about the talks.

He also said that he would raise the issue of lowering oil prices during his visit and believes that US President Donald Trump may do so too.

Quote from Zelenskyy: “I don’t know who can reduce prices. I believe that President Trump has the greatest power to do this, and he is the strongest in this area, in the energy sector, and controls it. And I think that if he set the goal, he could do it.”

Background:

  • On Monday 17 February, US Secretary of State Marco Rubio arrived in Saudi Arabia for talks between US and Russian delegations on resolving the war in Ukraine.
  • According to Axios, the meeting between the Russian and US officials will take place on Tuesday, 18 February.
  • On 16 February, Andrii Yermak, Head of the Office of the President of Ukraine, said that no meetings with Russians are planned until a plan to end the war has been developed.

President Zelenskyy held a videoconference press availability today. During that event he made it clear that Europe had to be represented at any actual talks to end Russia’s genocidal re-invasion of Ukraine.

There is no doubt that Europe must be at the negotiating table for ending the war in Ukraine, therefore it is important to appoint a special representative to be involved in this process. This was stated by President Volodymyr Zelenskyy during a video conference with media representatives.

The Head of State stressed that the United States is a strategic partner of Ukraine and a leader in providing assistance, but during the negotiations, the proposals from European countries regarding the format of support for our state and security guarantees should also be considered. That is why Volodymyr Zelenskyy supports the idea of appointing a special representative of Europe.

“The specifics of what Europe offers or how it supports Ukraine, in what format, and what security guarantees Europe is ready to provide – all this will definitely be on the table, for sure. We will consider who that person will be. It is important for us that this person is not only a representative of Europe and is respected by Europe. It is critical that everyone at the table understands that this is a serious person,” the President said.

The Head of State added that the negotiations should involve countries ready to assume responsibility for security guarantees, assistance, investments in Ukraine’s restoration and prevention of further aggression by Russia.

Here is the video of that videoconference:

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Georgia:

Rustaveli Avenue is blocked again. The continuous protest continues. Day 82.

#GeorgiaProtests

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— Publika.ge (@publikage.bsky.social) February 17, 2025 at 2:06 PM

Tonight was Day 82 of our continuous protests against the Russian dictatorship in Georgia. #GeorgiaProtests
📷 MOSE

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— Marika Mikiashvili 🇬🇪🇺🇦🇪🇺 (@marikamikiashvili.bsky.social) February 17, 2025 at 3:29 PM

I uploaded this video 11 hours ago and closed the app. And it got posted JUST NOW as I entered the app again. I guess it’s my fault that I never learn to wait but sometimes I just cannot wait due to circumstances. It takes LONG to upload things here. An app should be FAST. @support.bsky.team

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— Marika Mikiashvili 🇬🇪🇺🇦🇪🇺 (@marikamikiashvili.bsky.social) February 17, 2025 at 3:55 AM

15-20 minutes until a cleaning serviceman began tidying up and the protesters helped (I suppose the candles were already burned). This is very bitter but to a degree also sweet. Very few things have put together the regime police and protesters, if anything at all. #GeorgiaProtests 2/2.

— Marika Mikiashvili 🇬🇪🇺🇦🇪🇺 (@marikamikiashvili.bsky.social) February 17, 2025 at 3:52 AM

GD continues to adopt repressive laws—Mamuka Mdinaradze stated that “an article on treason will be added to the Criminal Code.”

#TerrorinGeorgia

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— Publika.ge (@publikage.bsky.social) February 17, 2025 at 1:54 PM

The regime in Georgia says they’ll be introducing “high treason” in the Criminal Code. Next in: protesters are jailed for high treason because protesting anything at all is high treason against the firm national interests protected by the regime. #terrorinGeorgia

— Marika Mikiashvili 🇬🇪🇺🇦🇪🇺 (@marikamikiashvili.bsky.social) February 17, 2025 at 3:57 PM

This morning, February 17, Giorgi Gakharia was attacked — eggs were thrown at him as he returned to Tbilisi from the Munich conference. Gakharia’s team alleges that the attack was orchestrated by Ivanishvili’s group.

#TerrorinGeorgia

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— Publika.ge (@publikage.bsky.social) February 17, 2025 at 8:04 AM

Ex-PM and now one of the opposition leaders Giorgi Gakharia and his associate, ex-Georgian Ambassador to Germany Elguja Khokrishvili were thrown eggs at at Tbilisi airport by Titushky (regime thugs) as they returned from the Munich Security Conference. 1/2

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— Marika Mikiashvili 🇬🇪🇺🇦🇪🇺 (@marikamikiashvili.bsky.social) February 17, 2025 at 4:01 AM

“Are you not funded by USAID anymore? Are you not a sellout, principle-less agent/spy anymore?”
The regime tries to rally their propaganda around USAID now in a desperate effort to get President Trump’s attention. #terrorinGeorgia 2/2.

— Marika Mikiashvili 🇬🇪🇺🇦🇪🇺 (@marikamikiashvili.bsky.social) February 17, 2025 at 4:01 AM

Propagandist Natia Beridze threatens President Zourabichvili with a Titushky (regime thugs) attack similar to Gakharia’s at the airport and advises she wear a raincoat. The President is coming back from the Munich Security Conference.

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— Marika Mikiashvili 🇬🇪🇺🇦🇪🇺 (@marikamikiashvili.bsky.social) February 17, 2025 at 6:16 AM

Paweł Herczyński about Mzia Amaghlobeli:

“She has become a symbol of journalistic courage and of the relentless fight for justice. She embodies the spirit of those unjustly detained”.

#TerrorinGeorgia

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— Publika.ge (@publikage.bsky.social) February 17, 2025 at 8:34 AM

The EU:

“European officials believe Trump is likely to agree to withdraw US troops from the Baltics and perhaps further west, leaving the EU vulnerable to a Russian army that Nato governments warn is preparing for a larger conflict beyond Ukraine.”
Oof. @gideonrachman.bsky.social www.ft.com/content/11f1…

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— Christopher Miller (@christopherjm.ft.com) February 17, 2025 at 10:24 AM

From The Financial Times: (emphasis mine)

When JD Vance took the stage at the Munich Security Conference last week, he issued a stern warning. The US vice-president told the assembled politicians and diplomats that free speech and democracy are under attack from European elites: “The threat I worry the most about vis-à-vis Europe is not Russia, it’s not China, it’s . . . the threat from within.”

If Vance hoped to persuade his audience, rather than simply insult it, he failed. Indeed, his speech backfired spectacularly, convincing many listeners that America itself is now a threat to Europe. In the throng outside the conference hall, a prominent German politician told me: “That was a direct assault on European democracy.” A senior diplomat said: “It’s very clear now, Europe is alone.” When I asked him if he now regarded the US as an adversary, he replied: “Yes.”

The most positive verdict I heard on the speech was that it was “puerile bullshit”, but aimed at a US audience and therefore safely ignored. But unpack Vance’s speech — and place it in the context of Donald Trump’s decision to engage Vladimir Putin, while sidelining Ukraine and Europe — and it becomes clear that American culture wars, international security and European politics can no longer be disentangled.

What Vance did was to subvert the ideas of freedom, democracy and shared values that have underpinned the western alliance for 80 years. In his world the battle for freedom in Europe is no longer about deterring an autocratic and aggressive Russia, as it was for Harry Truman or Ronald Reagan. Vance’s fight for freedom is a battle to save “western civilisation”, as defined by Elon Musk and others, from the twin threats of mass immigration and the “woke mind virus”.

The Trump administration’s ideology means that, in important respects, it now feels more affinity with Putin than Volodymyr Zelenskyy. Putin is seen as a warrior fighting for his country and for conservative values; the Ukrainian is dismissed as a freeloader with all the wrong friends in Europe.

The Trump administration regards the European far right as its true allies. In appealing for the likes of the Alternative for Germany (AfD) party to be welcomed into government, Vance is calling for Europe to turn into a larger version of Viktor Orbán’s Hungary — a soft autocracy with a soft spot for Putin’s Russia. It was telling that, in Munich, Vance found time to meet Alice Weidel, the AfD’s co-leader, but not with Chancellor Olaf Scholz.

Trump clearly intends to cut a deal on Ukraine with Putin over the heads of Zelenskyy and the Europeans. That could have tragic consequences for Ukraine, which may soon be asked to accept loss of territory without security guarantees for the future. The alternative would be to try to fight on without American help.

The implications for the rest of Europe are also alarming. Putin wants Nato troops removed from the whole of the former Soviet empire. European officials believe Trump is likely to agree to withdraw US troops from the Baltics and perhaps further west, leaving the EU vulnerable to a Russian army that Nato governments warn is preparing for a larger conflict beyond Ukraine.

It is clear that the US can no longer be regarded as a reliable ally for the Europeans. But the Trump administration’s political ambitions for Europe mean that, for now, America is also an adversary — threatening democracy in Europe and even European territory, in the case of Greenland.

So what to do? Europeans need to start preparing fast for the day when the US security guarantee to Europe is definitively removed. That must involve building up autonomous defence industries. It should also mean a European mutual defence pact, outside Nato, that extends beyond the EU — to include Britain, Norway and others.

Trump will use any leverage he has to force America’s European allies into compliance on issues from trade and security to their domestic politics. That means that Europe must now start the painful process of “de-risking” its relationship with the US, looking for areas of dangerous dependence on America and stripping them out of the system.

More at the link!

👋👋 Since there’s a lot of talk from Trump about how “Europe has not really carried its weight in terms of the money” for Ukraine, let’s just share some facts.

Right from the beginning, *Europe has provided *more* aid to Ukraine than the United States*

1/2

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— Arthur Snell (@snellarthur.bsky.social) February 14, 2025 at 4:26 AM

Yes, 🇺🇸 gave more weapons, for 2 reasons:
1 – DoD has a lot more unused stuff to give
2 – it suits 🇺🇸 military-industrial complex to be paid to give stuff to 🇺🇦

Yes, Europe must increase defence spending, but don’t forget that 🇺🇸’s huge military budget is a big subsidy to its own economy.

2/2

— Arthur Snell (@snellarthur.bsky.social) February 14, 2025 at 4:26 AM

Romania:

The US used to lobby for the release of the likes of Sakharov or Solzhenitsyn. Now it is pushing to free Andrew Tate. Quite a falling off …

[image or embed]

— Gideon Rachman (@gideonrachman.bsky.social) February 17, 2025 at 1:14 PM

Tate and his brother are obvious flight risks now that Trump is president. If they were released they’d immediately try to get to the US knowing that Trump wouldn’t extradite them back to Romania for prosecution for sex trafficking. rape, and forming a criminal gang. They’re also wanted in Britain with sex trafficking and rape.

Italy:

/1. Two explosions presumably occurred on board of tanker “Seajewel” which was transporting oil from Russia to Europe despite sanctions.

The vessel’s crew states that they heard two loud bangs and the damaged hull shows concave deformation, indicating the likely use of explosive devices.

[image or embed]

— 🦋Special Kherson Cat🐈🇺🇦 (@specialkhersoncat.bsky.social) February 17, 2025 at 5:27 PM

/2.The damage being below the waterline and the fish kill nearby further support the theory that explosive devices have been used.

Savona Coast Guard is conducting an on-site investigation with divers. Investigators have not released any further information so far. www.pravda.com.ua/eng/news/202…

— 🦋Special Kherson Cat🐈🇺🇦 (@specialkhersoncat.bsky.social) February 17, 2025 at 5:30 PM

Ukrainska Pravda has the details:

Two explosions occurred in the city of Savona in northern Italy on the moored oil tanker Seajewel, which Ukrainska Pravda has found was transporting oil from Russia to Europe despite sanctions.

Source: Italian news outlet IVG

Details: IVG reported that the cause of the explosion is unknown. However, the vessel’s crew states that they heard two loud bangs and the damaged hull shows concave deformation, indicating the likely use of explosive devices. The damage being below the waterline and the fish kill nearby further support the theory that explosive devices have been used.

The Savona Coast Guard is conducting an on-site investigation with divers. Investigators have not released any further information so far.

The Seajewel is one of the tankers that were loaded with Russian cargo three times in 2024 (in February, March and May) and came back after each unloading.

Earlier, Ukrainska Pravda found out that the Seajewel tanker was spotted unloading in the Romanian port of Constanța after arriving from the Turkish port of Ceyhan. Sources in law enforcement agencies reported that the tanker was supposed to be heading to the Russian city of Novorossiysk for transshipment.

The US:

Trump stated that he does not see Russia as a threat to NATO and Europe and doubts that it intends to attack any Alliance country. He said this to Fox News journalists.

www.foxnews.com/video/636893…

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— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) February 17, 2025 at 12:44 PM

Reflexive control.

Back to Ukraine.

[image or embed]

— Illia Ponomarenko (@ioponomarenko.bsky.social) February 17, 2025 at 1:25 PM

The funniest part? Donald Trump couldn’t care less about “American taxpayer money,” “the lives of Russians and Ukrainians,” or “peace on Earth.”

The only things that truly matter to him are his bottomless ego and his relentless obsession with proving how “tough” and “victorious” he is.

— Illia Ponomarenko (@ioponomarenko.bsky.social) February 17, 2025 at 5:28 PM

…constantly trying to outshine Biden in a petty act of revenge for losing the election.

And, true to his nature, he “wins” at the expense of America’s allies and the most vulnerable.

— Illia Ponomarenko (@ioponomarenko.bsky.social) February 17, 2025 at 5:28 PM

His tantrums, insults, and blackmailing antics always seem to target Canada, Mexico, Denmark, Ukraine, the EU—dragging them into unnecessary scandals that lead to nothing but chaos.

— Illia Ponomarenko (@ioponomarenko.bsky.social) February 17, 2025 at 5:28 PM

Yet, for some reason, Trump is never in a hurry to pull the same stunts on Putin or Xi.

And that’s the real problem for the free world: Putin fully exploits Trump’s childish need to score an easy “win” at Ukraine’s expense. Millions of people may pay a terrible price for it.

— Illia Ponomarenko (@ioponomarenko.bsky.social) February 17, 2025 at 5:28 PM

But Trump won’t be one of them.

— Illia Ponomarenko (@ioponomarenko.bsky.social) February 17, 2025 at 5:28 PM

Several notable meetings between China and Ukraine and statements made during interviews indicate that Beijing is actively interested in the peace process and is open to cooperation with Kyiv. China is also positioning itself for post-war reconstruction efforts and potential security partnerships.

— Tatarigami (@tatarigami.bsky.social) February 17, 2025 at 1:48 PM

Whether I like it or not is irrelevant, this is a natural and expected development. Moreover, there is a risk that if the U.S. administration continues its anti-European rhetoric, coupled with subtle threats to “buy” Greenland from its European NATO ally, shifts could emerge in Europe as well.

— Tatarigami (@tatarigami.bsky.social) February 17, 2025 at 1:48 PM

It’s too early to draw firm conclusions, and much of it is still very speculative, but one thing is clear, China has no intention of staying on the sidelines

Relevant materials:

bsky.app/profile/anto…

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— Tatarigami (@tatarigami.bsky.social) February 17, 2025 at 1:48 PM

Detection and destruction of the enemy’s S-350 “Vityaz” anti-aircraft missile system. Estimated cost of $135 million.

[image or embed]

— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) February 17, 2025 at 7:47 AM

Kyiv:

Last night Kyiv was hit with a big snowstorm. It was also hit with a big Russian aerial attack. So as snow blanketed the Ukrainian capital, our night was punctuated by air defense systems and explosions — and frequent pings of mobile alerts telling people to seek shelter.

[image or embed]

— Christopher Miller (@christopherjm.ft.com) February 17, 2025 at 10:28 AM

Kharkiv:

Three civilians were injured, and 15 houses were damaged in Kharkiv last night.

[image or embed]

— Iryna Voichuk (@irynavoichuk.bsky.social) February 17, 2025 at 3:50 AM

Last night, a Russian drone struck a yard in Kharkiv, destroying a garage and a shack, and shattering the house windows, terrifying the 71-year-old owner.

It could have been worse, you might think—and you’re not wrong. Russia has done

[image or embed]

— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) February 17, 2025 at 7:23 AM

worse. But who does this? Who targets people’s homes in the dead of night? It’s terrorism, pure and simple.

— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) February 17, 2025 at 7:23 AM

Chornobyl:

The State Emergency Service of Ukraine reported that roof climbers are extinguishing three smoldering insulation spots on the Chernobyl sarcophagus. Partial uncovering of the shelter’s structures is ongoing. The radiation level at the nuclear power plant’s site remains within safe limits.

[image or embed]

— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) February 17, 2025 at 9:38 AM

Krasnodar Oblast, Russia:

In the Krasnodar region, drones also attacked the “Kropotkinskaya” oil pumping station.

This is the largest oil pumping station of the Caspian Pipeline Consortium in Kuban. After the attack, the station ceased operations.

[image or embed]

— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) February 17, 2025 at 5:34 AM

That’s enough for tonight.

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Open thread!

War for Ukraine Day 1,089: A Bad Deal Is Worse than No Deal at AllPost + Comments (49)

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