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Balloon Juice

Come for the politics, stay for the snark.

I’d hate to be the candidate who lost to this guy.

They are lying in pursuit of an agenda.

The real work of an opposition party is to oppose.

Lick the third rail, it tastes like chocolate!

The arc of the moral universe does not bend itself. it is up to us to bend it.

Thanks to your bullshit, we are now under siege.

Whoever he was, that guy was nuts.

Republicans: slavery is when you own me. freedom is when I own you.

A norm that restrains only one side really is not a norm – it is a trap.

This year has been the longest three days of putin’s life.

Fucking consultants! (of the political variety)

People are complicated. Love is not.

Wow, you are pre-disappointed. How surprising.

Someone should tell Republicans that violence is the last refuge of the incompetent, or possibly the first.

Hey Washington Post, “Democracy Dies in Darkness” was supposed to be a warning, not a mission statement.

My years-long effort to drive family and friends away has really paid off this year.

Washington Post Catch and Kill, not noticeably better than the Enquirer’s.

When I was faster i was always behind.

I am pretty sure these ‘journalists’ were not always such a bootlicking sycophants.

This has so much WTF written all over it that it is hard to comprehend.

If a good thing happens for a bad reason, it’s still a good thing.

Come on, media. you have one job. start doing it.

President Musk and Trump are both poorly raised, coddled 8 year old boys.

Usually wrong but never in doubt

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Open Thread:  Hey Lurkers!  (Holiday Post)

Open Threads

You are here: Home / Archives for Open Threads

Sci-fi/Fantasy Book Club, Anyone? (Open Thread)

by Major Major Major Major|  February 27, 20242:31 pm| 68 Comments

This post is in: Books, Open Threads, Recommended Reading

Hey all! Some friends and I have been organizing a book club over on Bluesky, and I thought it would be fun to invite the folks here who want to join, and maybe do a parallel one here, if there’s enough interest. Our previous selections were Neuromancer and A Wizard of Earthsea; this time we’re going for something more modern. We’re picking the book with a bracket, and the voting is happening over there, so if you want a say, please participate! The brackets are vaguely based on subgenre/vibe. Here are the selections:

The polls to vote in are linked below that post, starting here. There are a lot of good options, and a lot that I haven’t read, so I’m hoping one of those wins. Or at least that Foundryside loses because I do not want to read that again. I think that you should be able to vote once without a Bluesky account, but I’m not 100% on that.

And with that out of the way, this can be an open thread. One possible topic: read any good books lately? I’m reading Authority by Jeff VanderMeer, the sequel to Annihilation, which was incredible. It’s… fine so far. Much more normal. I think I’d be enjoying it more if not for the comparison. Next I’ll be rereading Alfred Bester’s The Stars My Destination, in the original American serialization–my dad got me the 1956-57 back issues of Galaxy for Christmas.

Sci-fi/Fantasy Book Club, Anyone? (Open Thread)Post + Comments (68)

Everyone Is Doing What They Can

by WaterGirl|  February 27, 202411:30 am| 178 Comments

This post is in: Open Threads

Okay, not everyone is doing what they can, but a whole lot of people are, and I want to spotlight some of them.

While Harry Litman are saying that the Supreme Court isn’t going to rule in favor of Colorado and the 14th amendment – for reasons that have nothing to do with the rule of law, and you know, doing the job they were put there to do – Judge Luttig is fighting the good fight.

Judge Luttig

Judge Luttig is, of course, a conservative Republican, and in fact he may be one of the only ones left.  If I recall the story correctly, one of his friends called him on Jan 6 and asked him what he was going to do about what was happening at the insurrection.  His first reaction was that there was nothing he could do.  But his friend’s words stuck with him, and he realized he could tweet something to try to help calm things down.  And so his journey to defend our democracy began.

And now he’s fighting hard, making his case in every way he can – he testified before the Jan 6 committee, on TV, as a guest on podcasts, in amicus briefs, on twitter.  Trying to make it uncomfortable for the Supreme Court to do what Harry Litman believes they will do – he is trying to get them to respect the constitution.  Luttig is not going down without a fight, and he’s not going to let democracy go down without a fight.

Thomas Jefferson agreed with Hamilton about very little, except for the danger of populist demagogues. “If once elected, and at a second or third election outvoted by one or two votes,

— @judgeluttig (@judgeluttig) February 21, 2024

He may be the only Republican I respect right now.  I halfway respect Liz Cheney, but it’s halfway because I think she has ulterior motives.  But at least she’s fighting to keep Trump out of office.  And she’s a Republican so she can get on the talk shows, even if she has been cast out of the party.

Michael Fanone

Today I learned that Michael Fanone is on a mission to raise awareness about Jan 6 and about MAGA extremism.  He fought for this country and sacrificed on jan 6, he testified publicly and told the truth about what happened,  He wrote a book.  And now he’s going on the road to try to reach people where they are.

Officer Michael Fanone again.

I’m hitting the road in my home, Virginia this week to raise awareness about January 6th and MAGA extremism.

Follow along as I take you behind the scenes on @Courage4America’s social media.
– Fanone pic.twitter.com/najpoXXKBA

— Courage for America (@Courage4America) February 26, 2024

Harry Dunn

We all know what Harry Dunn did on Jan 6, and now he’s running for office.

While oral arguments were heard at the Supreme Court for Trump to be barred from the Colorado ballot, today I formally filed to be ON the ballot in Maryland this May 14th. I’m running to represent the people of the 3rd Congressional District. In Congress I will hold Trump… pic.twitter.com/DpjDumgKCu

— Harry Dunn (@libradunn) February 9, 2024

Mark Hamill

Hey @EmbassyRussia- tell me you don’t understand #StarWars without telling me you don’t understand #StarWars. 🇷🇺
(hint: the Ukrainian people are the Rebels-YOU are the Evil Empire)

Swing and a miss Russkies, but thanks for playing! 🙏

(PS: I remain profoundly honored to have… pic.twitter.com/0SSmOzTxDP

— Mark Hamill (@MarkHamill) February 26, 2024

Who are some other people who are doing what they can?  I bet we can name a few.

What they have choosen to do is different for each of them.  How each of us on Balloon Juice choose to make our own contribution in this fight will be as unique to each of us as they are for the people featured in this post.

Open thread.

Everyone Is Doing What They CanPost + Comments (178)

Another Monday Night Open Thread

by WaterGirl|  February 27, 202412:42 am| 28 Comments

This post is in: Open Threads

Looks like we could use a new thread.

A friend sent me this. Perfect. pic.twitter.com/ppnCHTlJF1

— Victor Shi (@Victorshi2020) February 26, 2024

Puppies!  Ice cream!  Biden.  And a slam at the former guy.

Perfect.

Another Monday Night Open ThreadPost + Comments (28)

War for Ukraine Day 733: The Ukrainians Continue to Fall Back

by Adam L Silverman|  February 26, 20248:47 pm| 24 Comments

This post is in: Foreign Affairs, Foreign Policy, Military, Open Threads, Russia, Silverman on Security, War, War in Ukraine

Have I mentioned that there are only four more shopping days until the federal government begins to shut down to the dysfunction and extremism of the House GOP majority caucus?

The Ukrainians are continuing to fall back to secondary positions as a result of the ammunition and material famine thay are in because the US has stopped resupplying them.

AFU have withdrawn from the village of Lastochkyne near Avdiivka. They are now fortifying defense lines along Orlivka, Tonenke, and Berdychi to halt any further Russian advancement to the west. pic.twitter.com/8KQBD2JVSN

— Maria Avdeeva (@maria_avdv) February 26, 2024

And the US has stopped resupplying them because the Republican majority that took over the House in January 2023 does not want to resupply them.

In the Senate, Mitch McConnell, despite his statements of support for Ukraine to the contrary, is prepared to sacrifice them on the bonfire of his political ambitions:

Senate GOP leader Mitch McConnell, whose wife was the target of racist attacks by Donald Trump, is reportedly in negotiations to endorse the oft-indicted Republican front-runner. https://t.co/Q2vHlise83

— Jim Roberts (nycjim.bsky.social) (@nycjim) February 26, 2024

From The New York Times:

Donald J. Trump and Mitch McConnell haven’t said a word to each other since December 2020.

But people close to both men are working behind the scenes to make bygones of the enmity between them and to pave the way for a critical endorsement of the former president by the one Republican congressional leader who has yet to offer one, according to three people familiar with both teams’ perspectives who were not authorized to discuss the situation publicly.

Assuming it happens, Mr. McConnell’s endorsement of Mr. Trump would have enormous symbolic value to the former president, giving him the embrace of the last holdout of Republican power whose rejection of him represents the final patch of unconquered territory in Mr. Trump’s march to the party’s 2024 presidential nomination.

The support of Mr. McConnell, the Republican senator from Kentucky and the chamber’s minority leader, would also carry huge value in signaling to an entire class of donors and Trump-resistant Republican elites that it’s acceptable to get behind the party’s expected nominee — no matter their misgivings. This is no small thing, given that Mr. Trump has been forced to spend more than $50 million already on legal bills, and the groups supporting him are expected to be vastly outspent by President Biden’s operation.

The secretive conversations between the Trump and McConnell camps have been happening between key advisers to both men who have known and worked with each other for more than 20 years: Chris LaCivita, a top campaign adviser to Mr. Trump, and Josh Holmes, a confidant and longtime political strategist for Mr. McConnell.

Since around the time of the Iowa caucuses last month, Mr. LaCivita and Mr. Holmes started making more of a concerted effort to trade information — particularly about Mr. Trump’s Senate endorsements — and to create an opening for a more productive working relationship.

Both Mr. Trump and Mr. McConnell were made aware of this back channel between the two camps. By late January, Mr. Trump had told people close to him that he expected Mr. McConnell would endorse him.

You may ask yourself why, at this point, McConnell would do this. The answer is simple: Sonya Sotomayor and Clarence Thomas. Associate Justice Sotomayor is not in the best of health and Associate Justice Thomas is the oldest justice currently on the court. McConnell would like to be able to place at least one if not two more young, Federalist Society reactionaries on the Supreme Court. If the price to replace both the oldest Justice, who is a Republican appointee and one of the three remaining Democratic ones, with two young Federalist Society reactionaries that will lock the court even further into its current composition for another forty years, then that’s a price he’s happy to pay.

Here is President Zelenskyy’s address from earlier today. Video below, English transcript after the jump.

show full post on front page

Cooperation and determination are the two answers to the question of ending the war and bringing peace closer – address by the President of Ukraine

26 February 2024 – 19:32

I wish you health, fellow Ukrainians!

A brief report on this day.

First, we continue our new tradition of paying special tribute to the Heroes of Ukraine. I had the honor to hand over apartment certificates to 30 more families of Ukrainian Heroes – warriors of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, our National Guard, and the National Police: officers, sergeants, and soldiers. I am grateful to every family of our warriors, all our Heroes, for giving Ukraine such protection, for such courage and strength. It is an honor to represent the country that is defended by such people.

The second thing today is several important events with our partners. The Prime Minister of Bulgaria, a country that is a good neighbor of ours, was on a visit to Kyiv. And today, actually, we talked about how to make our good neighborliness even more effective and stronger. The important aspects are the increase in defense cooperation, joint production, and co-production in the defense sector. Also, political interaction. There is even more economic work ahead for our countries: expanding trade, expanding our infrastructure and logistics capabilities. I thank Bulgaria for its maximum pragmatism. Today, I also took part in a special summit in Paris, a summit of leaders convened by Mr. President of France. The main topic was everything that strengthens us in Europe, our resilience and capabilities. Of course, our arsenals, our ability to produce weapons, the supply of weapons to Ukraine, and the continuity of support. Everything we do together to defend against Russian aggression adds real security to our nations for decades to come. Because each of Russia’s losses and each of Russia’s defeats teaches Russia and any other enemy of Europe and the free world at large that aggression does not and cannot yield results. Cooperation and determination are the two answers that everyone should give to the question of ending the war and bringing peace closer.

Today is a special day in Ukraine. We all recall the events of 2014, when the occupation of Crimea was taking place on the same days and the fate of international security and international relations was being determined. It all started in Crimea – this Russian revanchism, this Russian war. And it is there, in Crimea, that the Russian evil must suffer a key defeat. We have already achieved significant results in the Black Sea. We are working to achieve the necessary results in the sky and on the ground in Crimea. And I am grateful to all partners who are helping with this.

One more thing. Today, we launched our economic platform “Made in Ukraine.” This is an important tool to promote economic growth in Ukraine. Everyone should clearly understand that we must give our country and our people as many opportunities as possible to meet their needs and ensure their defense. It is our economy, it is the taxes paid in Ukraine that enable us to provide for the army… The state must and will do everything to provide as many opportunities as possible for the Ukrainian economy. And to give our economy as much diversity as possible – options for export and trade, for joint modern production with partners, and for our own Ukrainian goods and services. We are supporting Ukrainian products as much as possible so that Ukraine can meet its interests as much as possible – on the battlefield and beyond.

Everything is done for the strength of Ukraine, to support our Heroes and our entire society. We must win. We must do everything to win. This is a matter of survival for Ukraine and Ukrainians. No one will grant our country success. It can only be our joint work – as active and energetic as possible, every day and without pauses.

Thank you to everyone who works for Ukraine in this way! Thank you to everyone who fights for Ukraine!

Glory to Ukraine!

10 years ago, thousands of people in Crimea took to the streets to protest against the presence of russian troops.
The rally became a symbol of resistance to the occupation, which has been going on for 10 years.
Crimea is Ukraine! pic.twitter.com/xhU4pErokO

— Defense of Ukraine (@DefenceU) February 26, 2024

Hungary approved Sweden’s ascension into NATO today.

NATO lake is finally a thing!

Welcome, Sweden! 🇸🇪 pic.twitter.com/3BGmwgmaBX

— Saint Javelin (@saintjavelin) February 26, 2024

Huge congratulations to 🇸🇪Sweden.

This was a historically correct and wise decision. But of course, just being part of NATO is unfortunately not enough in our time.

Putin's Russia is undermining the very idea of the Western security alliance, and NATO stops it as long as it…

— Illia Ponomarenko 🇺🇦 (@IAPonomarenko) February 26, 2024

Huge congratulations to 🇸🇪Sweden.

This was a historically correct and wise decision. But of course, just being part of NATO is unfortunately not enough in our time.

Putin’s Russia is undermining the very idea of the Western security alliance, and NATO stops it as long as it believes Article 5 is a thing and that nations will really use it if/when the time comes.

The military and defense production is a top priority now.

The belle epoque of a seemingly universal peace in Europe is unfortunately over.

Here’s the cost of GOP intransigance:

The US support is a life or death for us. Ukrainian Parliamentarians pleading to @SpeakerJohnson. https://t.co/KhNSQqTdKv

— Kira Rudik (@kiraincongress) February 26, 2024

I’ve spoken to numerous dignitaries from various different nations in Kyiv over the last couple of days and what I’ve tried to instil into all of them is the critical state of affairs regarding munitions supplies that currently exists in Ukraine.

— Jimmy Rushton (@JimmySecUK) February 25, 2024

“We can’t medivac our guys from the contact line anymore because we don’t have any artillery ammunition to suppress the Russians. We have to leave them to die”, the Ukrainian officer told me.

— Jimmy Rushton (@JimmySecUK) February 25, 2024

Russian President Putin is emboldened right now and believes he's winning the war in Ukraine because the U.S. has "blinked, because we don't seem to have the courage, either politically or morally right now, to stand up and support Ukraine," Russia expert Fiona Hill says. pic.twitter.com/jsn673B7AU

— Face The Nation (@FaceTheNation) February 25, 2024

Ukraine is, however, going on the front foot and taking the fight into Russia:

There has been a vast uptick in attacks deeper into Russian territory, with home-built Ukrainian missiles and drones targeting military facilities, munitions factories and energy infrastructure in Russiahttps://t.co/MOIC2l9L80 pic.twitter.com/MpMPyWSUCx

— Financial Times (@FT) February 26, 2024

The Financial Times has details:

Towards the end of 2023, Ukraine began facing shortfalls in artillery supplies from the US and Europe. Rationing of shells is having an impact on the battlefield, making it harder for Ukrainian forces to fend off Russian infantry assaults or strike battery positions. This month, Ukraine withdrew its troops from the frontline town of Avdiivka after a four-month battle.

With the land war looking grim, Ukraine pivoted last year to using technology to carry out daring attacks within occupied territory and in Russia.

Ukraine’s biggest military achievements were drone and missile strikes against military facilities in Russian-occupied Crimea. Ukrainian forces are estimated to have sunk one-fifth of Russia’s Black Sea fleet stationed in the area.

There has also been a vast uptick in attacks deeper into Russian territory, with home-built Ukrainian missiles and drones striking military facilities, munitions factories and energy infrastructure in Russia.

Ukraine aims to step up these strikes on Russian soil in 2024, with the aim of at least disrupting if not crippling the Kremlin’s war effort and bringing the conflict home to ordinary Russians.

Lots of animations/visualizations at the link.

France:

"Nothing should be excluded from pursuing our objective. Russia cannot, must not win this war."

"There can be no security in Europe without Russia's defeat."

— Ben Hall (@hallbenjamin) February 26, 2024

Unfortunately there’s no guarantee that Putin won’t be able to subvert France by getting his local French surrogate elected:

"Every month a secret group of sympathetic high-level civil servants, many retired but some young, meets to offer Le Pen advice. Legislative bills for her first 100 days are being prepared"
How Le Pen is preparing for power and why complacency is misplacedhttps://t.co/ozvbnt7cQW

— Sophie Pedder (@PedderSophie) February 26, 2024

From The Economist:

It is an annual ritual in France for political leaders to make a new year’s address. Time was that Marine Le Pen, the leader of the hard-right National Rally (rn, formerly the National Front), did so from the back room of a boxy building in Nanterre, on the drab outskirts of Paris. In those days the party she took over in 2011 from her father, Jean-Marie, was more about low-budget protest and fringe provocation than taking power.

This January the job fell to Jordan Bardella, her slick 28-year-old protégé and now president of the rn, whom she watched from the front row. In a dark suit and tie, he spoke from a grand salon on the swanky Avenue Hoche in Paris, a step away from the Champs-Elysées. The symbolism was potent. The shift from the capital’s periphery to the heart of elite Paris encapsulates a political strategy: the rn is preparing for power.

Ms Le Pen is no stranger to national elections. Since taking the helm at what was then an extreme-right outfit, co-founded in 1972 by a former member of the Waffen ss and nostalgic for French-run Algeria, she has shaped it into a nationalist-populist party. Having stood at three presidential elections, she has made it to the final run-off in two. Each time, she has lost to the current incumbent, Emmanuel Macron. But her final score has jumped: from 34% in 2017 to 41% in 2022. In 2027 Mr Macron will be barred from running for a third consecutive term. Early polls now suggest—however prematurely—that this time she could scrape a victory.

Already some doors are opening. Mr Bardella was invited in November to debate with students on the campus of hec, a top business school in the Paris region. Aides are trying, though with difficulty, to set up meetings for him and his boss with cac 40 business leaders. Late last year Ms Le Pen lunched publicly with a former boss of edf, the state-owned electricity utility, at an upscale Paris restaurant.

For a party that portrays itself as the champion of the people against the out-of-touch ruling class in Paris, such efforts are necessarily tricky. In 2022 Ms Le Pen railed against the “globalist” Mr Macron, who “enslaves mankind to the logic of economics and accounting”. Yet the rn argues that to win the highest office it also needs to combine its strong support base among the less-educated with a chunk of the most-educated and better-off. In 2022 only 26% of those with a university degree voted for Ms Le Pen in the second round.

Today’s watchword is reassurance. On policy, Ms Le Pen has dropped calls for “Frexit”, leaving the eu or the euro, which worried voters, while retaining her core nationalist demands, including an end to the right to citizenship for those born to foreign parents on French soil. On style, today’s rn has been purged of its most thuggish elements and antisemitic rhetoric. Ms Le Pen’s 87 fellow deputies sit, besuited, in parliament; two periodically preside over proceedings. Having changed the party’s name, evicted her own father and shed its family-values conservatism, Ms Le Pen has installed a new generation of loyalists. The single biggest age group among rn deputies is now the 30- to 39-year-olds. For the first time in 40 years a poll in December showed that more of the French (45%) do not consider the party to be a “danger for democracy” than judge that it is (41%).

How far the rn really has shed its past instincts, however, let alone gained the skills to govern, is a different question. Ms Le Pen is certainly not yet a guest at the clubs and debates frequented by the Paris elite. Toxic hangers-on still move in her orbit. She is an admirer of Hungary’s strongman, Viktor Orban, and her party sits in the European Parliament with Germany’s far-right afd. A Kremlin-linked Russian bank financed some of her previous election campaigns. Even today the rn argues against Ukraine joining either nato or the eu.

The difficulty for centrist politicians, though, is that the rn’s normalisation has gone far enough to defang some of their traditional tactics against it. Taking the moral high ground, or scaremongering, no longer washes with much of the electorate. Younger voters, who barely recall her father’s stint, see Mr Bardella as just another politician; a pinned clip on his TikTok account has a massive 8.5m views. In Italy the relative moderation in office of Giorgia Meloni, the prime minister, whose party has roots in post-war neo-fascism, also weakens the case for panic. “Fear in public opinion is overestimated,” says Dominique Reynié, director of Fondapol, a think-tank. “People think that Le Pen is someone like them.”

Ahead of European Parliament elections in June, and to reboot his government, Mr Macron has installed a counterpoint to Mr Bardella as prime minister: the 34-year-old Gabriel Attal. Six years apart, each uncommonly poised in debates, the pair have faced each other in television studios before. Already, Mr Attal is proving far more popular than his boss, with a 53% approval rating, 17 points higher than Mr Macron’s. But his arrival has not yet made any dent in the crushing ten-point lead that the rn enjoys over Mr Macron’s Renaissance grouping in polls for the Euro-election.

Most awkwardly, Mr Macron’s attempt to follow the electorate to the right on immigration has ended up helping the rn. In a tactical ambush the rn unexpectedly backed his recent immigration bill, embarrassing the government and allowing Ms Le Pen to claim an “ideological victory”.

Finding a way to resist nationalist-populism challenges centrists across Europe. Rational argument is a flimsy tool against its simplistic certitudes. Back in 2017, during a presidential debate, Mr Macron famously exposed Ms Le Pen as unfit to govern, when she confused two big French firms and failed to explain her unfathomable currency policy. The more her party does its homework, the harder this argument will be to make. “Our adversaries underestimate the rn,” says the party’s Mr Tanguy. “They don’t realise that we are ready.”

Tatarigami and his Frontelligence Insight team have published a new assessment of how Russia is sourcing the components for its military production despite the sanctions regime. First tweet from the thread, the rest from the Thread Reader App:

Playing the International Security System: How does Russia purchase sanctioned components from Taiwan and the US?

Our team has accessed documents obtained by the hacktivist group "Cyber Resistance" and has analyzed the data. Here are key points and select documents. 🧵Thread pic.twitter.com/fWvfSXt9ml

— Tatarigami_UA (@Tatarigami_UA) February 26, 2024

2/ Frontelligence Insight concluded that the Russian company “Special Technology Center,” which produces drones for the Russian military, indirectly buys equipment from Keysight Technologies, an American corporation, and MPI Corporation, a Taiwanese company. This is how we know: 
3/ The “Special Technology Center,” abbreviated as STC, is a Russian company specializing in the production of technological equipment, notably the Orlan-10 UAV and Leer-3 drone-based electronic warfare system for the Russian army 
4/ This company has been sanctioned by many countries and can be located both in the sanction list of Ukraine and the US:Image
5/ Despite sanctions, STC acquires equipment from both American and Taiwanese sources through intermediary companies that obscure the original buyer. Thanks to the documents, we now know their names.Image
6/ The key person in the deliveries was the procurement manager of the Special Technology Center – Andrei Florinskiy. According to documents, he received 3 commercial proposals for the supply of parts from KeySight. The proposals came from Dipaul, Radioline, and RitmImage
7/ It seems that one of these entities, named “Radioline,” has previously made agreements with the Special Technology Center for the procurement of Keysight equipment, as indicated in these separate documents:Image
8/ One of the documents has drawn our attention to the lead engineer of Radioline, Mikhail Mulminov, who has previously received contracts with this Special Technology Center. The conducted research has uncovered some concerning details.Image
9/ On the website of Saint Petersburg Electrotechnical University, Mikhail Mulminov is recognized as a regional representative of Keysight Technologies, the American company from which the sanctioned company is seeking to procure equipment.Image
10/ In this photograph, Mikhail Mulminov is standing alongside equipment with the Keysight Technologies logo during a lecture at another university, providing additional evidence of his association with Keysight Technologies.Image
11/ His face visually aligns with his profile picture on the popular Russian social network “VK.”
It is unclear whether he is still employed with Keysight Technologies and what his current connection to the company is. Nevertheless, it creates numerous concerns.Image
12/ It remains unclear whether Russian company “Radioline” directly purchased equipment for the sanctioned STC from Keysight Technologies or utilized another third party in between. 
13/ The emails also suggest that Radioline is not the sole company tasked with acquiring Western technology for the Special Technology Center. It has also entered into an agreement with Protech, with CEO Denis Nikolaevich Koval, to acquire Western equipment, including Keysight.Image
14/ Russians also try to broaden their search beyond Western avenues, which is why, unsurprisingly, the sanctioned STC company made an agreement with Akmetron, a distribution company that imports Taiwanese dual-use technology from MPI Corporation into Russia.Image
15/ Headquartered in Taiwan, MPI Corporation specializes in producing semiconductors and various technological items. According to intercepted documents, a procurement contract for an MPI TS150 Probe Station was granted, totaling $154,700.Image
16/ Earlier this year, @InformNapalm, a volunteer community, also scrutinized some of these documents, publishing a compelling and detailed investigation on the Russian Special Technological Center LLC’s procurement of equipment from European and Chinese companies 
17/ Addressing this problem requires a multi-step approach, including sectoral sanctions, robust monitoring, and enforcement. Halting the supply of dual-use goods to Russia is a more cost-efficient strategy than the prolongation of the war. 
18/ If you want to read the complete article, feel free to visit our website, as provided in my bio.

If you would like to see more of these investigations, consider supporting us through BuyMeaCoffee, as our expenses rely solely on your public support.

Tatarigami_UA is All Source Public IntelligenceSatellite imagery and other expenses https://buymeacoffee.com/frontelligence
19/ Thank you for reading. Don’t forget to like and share the initial message in the thread for maximum visibility! 

While the Russians are resourcing material for their war economy despite the sanctions, the Ukrainians are trying to crowd source their acquisition process:

Attention! ‼️

VAU is struggeling!
We feel helpless in the attempts on reaching out to new donors.

As of now, nearly all of our efforts to arm the Ukrainian army is funded by a few regular donors.

As you might have noticed, we have had to post older videos for a longer… pic.twitter.com/XccsAn8yfT

— Veteran Aid Ukraine (@Veteransforukr1) February 26, 2024

 

Attention! ‼️

VAU is struggeling!
We feel helpless in the attempts on reaching out to new donors.

As of now, nearly all of our efforts to arm the Ukrainian army is funded by a few regular donors.

As you might have noticed, we have had to post older videos for a longer period of time when reaching out.
This is simply due to the fact that we are unable to fund new projects at the same pace we did earlier.

We desperately need your help in spreading the word about our work. And we desperately need our followers to consider donating to our cause.

The situation on several parts of the frontline is desperate.

As long as the western governments fails to support Ukraine adequately, we – the people of the free world must do whatever we can to make sure that the Ukrainian lines hold.

Plesse consider retweeting / quoting / liking, and please consider donating at

http://Paypal.me/veteranaidukranaidukraine
http://Vaukraine.com

Hello, everyone. As the war rages on and the aid from the US to Ukraine is blocked in the congress, the value of every piece of equipment becomes higher and higher.

I've started a new fundraiser to help protect equipment Krab howtizers.

Donation 🔗 https://t.co/BeBRvtUBKq

We… pic.twitter.com/iSZhSEYIbm

— ✙ Constantine ✙ (@Teoyaomiquu) February 26, 2024

Hello, everyone. As the war rages on and the aid from the US to Ukraine is blocked in the congress, the value of every piece of equipment becomes higher and higher.

I’ve started a new fundraiser to help protect equipment Krab howtizers.

Donation 🔗 https://paypal.com/pools/c/927dvSZtDd

We will purchase an excavator that will be used to build protective shelters, to save the equipment and lives of the service members of the 26th brigade of the 🇺🇦 Armed forces. We need to dig in as deep as possible.

Our previous project to protect Krabs was succesful, I can say that we saved at least 2 Krab SPGs that cost 10s of millions of dollars at a cost of only $30000.

Here you can observe the proof, russians used multiple lancet drones to try and take out this Krab, but thanks to our combined efforts, the hull wasn’t penetrated and the jet stream of the cumulative charge was weakened and dispersed before hitting the Krab armor saving the vehicle.

I know that people are exhausted, and lose interest in Ukraine. Unfortunately the “fatigue” touches everyone, but we can’t abandon those who are fighting for their freedom and liberty.

Please donate, Slava Ukraini 🇺🇦

There are dozens more of these.

Here’s an entire thread, I’m just posting the first tweet.

🔔Fundraiser announcement – Holding the line

Today, in collaboration with the @69thSB, we are announcing the start of a critically important fundraiser to support the 3rd Assault Brigade, 129th Territorial Defense Brigade and the 117th Separate Mechanized Brigade, all involved… pic.twitter.com/na1cv1KOv8

— NOELREPORTS 🇪🇺 🇺🇦 (@NOELreports) February 25, 2024

🔔Fundraiser announcement – Holding the line

Today, in collaboration with the @69thSB, we are announcing the start of a critically important fundraiser to support the 3rd Assault Brigade, 129th Territorial Defense Brigade and the 117th Separate Mechanized Brigade, all involved in the fiercest fighting across two frontline locations.

What are we raising money for?
▫️ A minimum of 100 FPV drones
▫️ 4 NAFO cars + EW protection

This requires an amount of €125.000.

You can donate here 👉https://help99.co/patches/noel-reports-x-nafo-69th-sniffing-brigade-present-holding-the-line

Help us by Liking, Reposting and/or Commenting on this post for maximum visiblity. If you don’t donate, this is a small effort with big impact. It also helps to Tag as many people as possible to make them aware of this fundraiser.

Unit information
The 3rd Assault Brigade is in rapid need of replacement of pick-ups, as the battle for Avdiivka took its toll. In addition, we raise money to provide their drone units with FPV drones. They are accompanied by the 129th Territorial Defense Brigade in this direction who requested a pick-up to aid the mobility of their UAV unit.

The 117th Mechanized Brigade is involved in the defense of the Robotyne direction. There, the Russians are attacking with a lot of armored vehicles and tanks. FPV drones are needed to compensate for the lack of artillery shells. Help them to maintain holding Ukrainian land that was de-occupied in the counter-offensive operations in 2023.

Between Congressional GOP bad faith and intransigence and the seeming lack of an actual effective strategy from the Biden administration to resource Ukraine beyond pleading with and trying to shame the shameless into doing something, Ukraine’s winter has gotten colder, longer, and deadlier.

Radensk, Russian occupied Kherson Oblast:

Strike on what is said to be the base of Russian UAV operators. Radensk, Kherson region. ~18km from the frontline.
(46.5605098, 32.9506383) pic.twitter.com/0REx0lVcss

— Special Kherson Cat 🐈🇺🇦 (@bayraktar_1love) February 26, 2024

Sevastopol, Russian occupied Crimea:

Locals in Russian-occupied Sevastopol report of powerful explosions. First incoming video shows flares in the skies which indicate air defense fire.

Source: Telegram / Crimean Wind pic.twitter.com/8KNcYTXWeu

— (((Tendar))) (@Tendar) February 26, 2024

That’s enough for tonight.

Your daily Patron!

A new video from Patron’s official TikTok!

@patron__dsns

Два роки боротьби 🇺🇦❤️‍🩹 #славаукраїні #славагероям #fakesituation⚠️ #fakeall⚠️

♬ original sound – british.royalty

Here’s the machine translation of the caption:

Two years of struggle 🇺🇦❤️‍🩹 #славаукраїні#славагероям#fakesituation⚠️#fakeall⚠️

Open thread!

War for Ukraine Day 733: The Ukrainians Continue to Fall BackPost + Comments (24)

New Jack Smith Filing in the MAL Documents Case (A Thing of Beauty)

by WaterGirl|  February 26, 20243:41 pm| 230 Comments

This post is in: Open Threads

DC Indictment News

GOVERNMENT’S SURREPLY IN OPPOSITION TO DEFENDANTS’ MOTION TO COMPEL DISCOVERY

This is the MAL case in Florida, with Judge Loose Cannon, but I am pleased to have this all on the record, in such clear and concise terms.

What the filing is about.

As set forth below and in the Government’s forthcoming opposition to defendant Donald J. Trump’s motion to dismiss the indictment based on selective and vindictive prosecution, the defendants’ request for discovery should be denied.

The fun part!  I’ll bet it felt good to get this out.  (bolding is mine)

None of the purported comparators the defendants identify is similarly situated. There have been many government officials who have possessed classified documents after the ends of their terms in office—often inadvertently, sometimes negligently, and very occasionally willfully.

There have also been a very small number of cases in which former government officials who havebeen found in possession of classified documents have briefly resisted the government’s lawful efforts to recover them.

But there has never been a case in American history in which a former official has engaged in conduct remotely similar to Trump’s. He intentionally took possession of a vast trove of some of the nation’s most sensitive documents—documents so sensitive that they were presented to the President—and stored them in unsecured locations at his heavily trafficked social club.

When the National Archives and Records Administration (“NARA”) initially sought their return (before learning that they contained classified national defense information), Trump delayed, obfuscated, and dissembled.

Faced with the possibility of legal action, he ostensibly agreed to comply with NARA’s requests but in fact engaged in additional deception, returning only a fraction of the documents in his possession while claiming that his production was complete.

Then, when presented with a grand jury subpoena demanding the return of the remaining documents bearing classification markings, Trump attempted to enlist his own attorney in the corrupt endeavor, suggesting that he falsely tell the FBI and grand jury that Trump did not have any documents, and suggesting that his attorney hide or destroy documents rather than produce them to the government.

Failing in his effort to corrupt the attorney, Trump enlisted his trusted body man, codefendant Waltine Nauta, in a scheme to deceive the attorney by moving boxes to conceal his (Trump’s) continued possession of classified documents. As a result, Trump, through his attorney, again returned only a portion of the classified documents in his possession while falsely claiming that his production was complete.

The obstructive conduct even persisted from there. In June 2022, knowing that he had arranged for Nauta to move boxes to conceal them from Trump’s attorney, and knowing that the government had subpoenaed the security video footage that would reveal that surreptitious box movement, Trump, now joined by not only Nauta but also codefendant Carlos De Oliveira, attempted to have the information-technology manager at Mar-a- Lago delete the video footage that would show the movement of boxes.

The defendants have not identified anyone who has engaged in a remotely similar suite of willful and deceitful criminal conduct and not been prosecuted. Nor could they.

It goes on from there, but that’s the money quote – full filing  (PDF)

New Jack Smith Filing in the MAL Documents Case (A Thing of Beauty)Post + Comments (230)

Repub Venality Open Thread: “Dim, or Disloyal?” — Why Not Both?

by Anne Laurie|  February 26, 20242:30 pm| 61 Comments

This post is in: Excellent Links, Foreign Affairs, Open Threads, Proud to Be A Democrat, Republican Stupidity, Republican Venality

Ex-FBI informant charged with lying about Bidens will appear in court as judge weighs his detention https://t.co/17oNV6XFoH

— The Associated Press (@AP) February 26, 2024

LOS ANGELES (AP) — A former FBI informant charged with fabricating a multimillion-dollar bribery scheme involving President Joe Biden’s family is set to appear in a California federal court on Monday as a judge considers whether he must remain behind bars while he awaits trial.

Special counsel David Weiss’ office is pressing U.S. District Judge Otis Wright II to keep Alexander Smirnov in jail, arguing the man who claims to have ties to Russian intelligence is likely to flee the country.

A different judge last week released Smirnov from jail on electronic GPS monitoring, but Wright ordered the man to be re-arrested after prosecutors asked to reconsider Smirnov’s detention. Wright said in a written order that Smirnov’s lawyers’ efforts to free him was “likely to facilitate his absconding from the United States.”…

Smirnov had been an informant for more than a decade when he made the explosive allegations about the Bidens in June 2020, after “expressing bias” about Joe Biden as a presidential candidate, prosecutors said. Smirnov had only routine business dealings with Burisma starting in 2017, according to court documents. No evidence has emerged that Joe Biden acted corruptly or accepted bribes in his current role or previous office as vice president.

While his identity wasn’t publicly known before the indictment, Smirnov’s claims have played a major part in the Republican effort in Congress to investigate the president and his family, and helped spark what is now a House impeachment inquiry into Biden. Republicans pursuing investigations of the Bidens demanded the FBI release the unredacted form documenting the unverified allegations, though they acknowledged they couldn’t confirm if they were true.

 
Repubs insist being hoist on their own petard has greatly improved their viewing angle!…

This would be a good time to remind everyone that both the Mueller report & the Senate Intelligence Committee found "sweeping, systematic" Russian interference in the 2016 election.

Dim or disloyal? Republicans again ensnared in possible Russian plot.https://t.co/u7BrPYkA5E

— Bill (@MurderedHornet) February 25, 2024

Another banger from Jen Rubin, at the Washington Post — “Dim or disloyal? Republicans again ensnared in possible Russian plot”: [gift link]

Are Republicans easy marks or willing participants in Russian anti-Biden operations? That’s a troubling question raised by the Feb. 14 grand jury indictment of a former FBI informant, Alexander Smirnov, on charges of concocting a tale about President Biden’s supposed involvement in his family members’ business dealings.

Allegations by Smirnov — who appears to have ties to Russian intelligence, according to the federal indictment — have formed the backbone of the House Republicans’ laughable attempt to build an impeachment case against the president. They championed him as their star witness. Now the Republicans’ fact-deficient storyline has been shredded.

The Post reported that Smirnov, who has not entered a plea yet, is accused of “making a false statement and creating a false and fictitious record” by trying to implicate Biden in corruption related to his son Hunter Biden’s involvement with the Ukraine energy company Burisma. “The charges,” the article said, “amount to a stark rebuke of conservatives, particularly Rep. James Comer (R-Ky.), chairman of the House Committee on Oversight and Accountability, who touted Smirnov’s claims as he and other Republican lawmakers tried to build a corruption case against the president and his family.”

Even more damning, The Post subsequently reported that “Smirnov’s indictment and detention memo suggest the allegations were not only false, but possibly a Russian-inspired smear.”…

Now Republicans are pretending that Smirnov wasn’t so important after all. They’re vowing to plow ahead on this cock-and-bull mission that never got off the ground. Not only did multiple witnesses testify that Biden had no involvement with his son’s business dealings, but previous allegations that Biden acted on his son’s behalf had also already been thoroughly repudiated.

show full post on front page

The current House debacle overlaps with a Russian disinformation project described by the national security specialists Ryan Goodman and Asha Rangappa on the website Just Security in 2020. That scheme enticed Republican Sens. Ron Johnson (Wis.) and Chuck Grassley (Iowa) to buy into the now-discredited scenario that as vice president Biden sought on behalf of his son to stop an investigation of Burisma. (It also added in another phony Ukraine election interference claim.)

And let’s not forget that special counsel Robert S. Mueller III found “sweeping and systematic” Russian interference in the 2016 presidential election on Donald Trump’s behalf….

Republicans have built their entire oversight operation on rooting out the “weaponization of government” as a tool for accusing Democrats of misdeeds. Talk about projection. As former FBI agent Rangappa told me, “It seems like Comer’s impeachment inquiry is the real ‘weaponization committee’ — weaponized by Russia, that is.”

Republicans’ affinity over multiple elections for Russian-backed plots should warrant wall-to-wall coverage. (Let us not forget Russian efforts detailed in the Mueller report to enlist the Trump campaign and sabotage Hillary Clinton’s campaign in 2016.) Responsible news outlets should press House Republicans to justify their refusal to vote for aid for Ukraine and habit of spreading Russian conspiracy theories…

Jessica: I'm surprised that Comer and Jordan have this high of a threshold for humiliation. pic.twitter.com/0dUrHEi15y

— Acyn (@Acyn) February 21, 2024

Repub Venality Open Thread: <em>“Dim, or Disloyal?”</em> — Why Not Both?Post + Comments (61)

It’s Hard to Convince People that You’re Killing Them for Their Own Good

by WaterGirl|  February 26, 20241:15 pm| 78 Comments

This post is in: Open Threads

I was going through a box of papers this afternoon, and I was ruthless – maybe too ruthless – in throwing away papers that they say you should keep.

But I found one gem that was bittersweet.

A bumper sticker, in the words of Molly Ivins: “It’s hard to convince people that you’re killing them for their own good.”

It was true back when she said it all those years ago, and I wonder if it’s ever been more true than it is today.

Open thread.

It’s Hard to Convince People that You’re Killing Them for Their Own GoodPost + Comments (78)

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