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Balloon Juice

Come for the politics, stay for the snark.

“Until such time as the world ends, we will act as though it intends to spin on.”

GOP baffled that ‘we don’t care if you die’ is not a winning slogan.

… riddled with inexplicable and elementary errors of law and fact

You passed on an opportunity to be offended? What are you even doing here?

Too little, too late, ftfnyt. fuck all the way off.

Nancy smash is sick of your bullshit.

The truth is, these are not very bright guys, and things got out of hand.

Jack Smith: “Why did you start campaigning in the middle of my investigation?!”

Mediocre white men think RFK Jr’s pathetic midlife crisis is inspirational. The bar is set so low for them, it’s subterranean.

This country desperately needs a functioning fourth estate.

“Facilitate” is an active verb, not a weasel word.

All hail the time of the bunny!

I swear, each month of 2025 will have its own history degree.

I did not have this on my fuck 2025 bingo card.

I’m starting to think Jesus may have made a mistake saving people with no questions asked.

The Giant Orange Man Baby is having a bad day.

People really shouldn’t expect the government to help after they watched the GOP drown it in a bathtub.

It’s always darkest before the other shoe drops.

The “burn-it-down” people are good with that until they become part of the kindling.

It’s possible to be a liberal firebrand without crapping on the party.

“But what about the lurkers?”

This fight is for everything.

Hey hey, RFK, how many kids did you kill today?

Too often we confuse noise with substance. too often we confuse setbacks with defeat.

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You are here: Home / Archives for 2024

Archives for 2024

Written in Blood

by @heymistermix.com|  September 8, 20243:01 pm| 44 Comments

This post is in: Open Threads

Michael Lewis’ long-form profile of Chris Marks is definitely worth a read [WaPo gift link].  Marks’ pioneering work in mine safety led to the first year in modern history (2016) with no fatalities from roof falls in coal mines.  The piece does a lot to debunk the horseshit conservative talking points about industry self-regulating.  Here’s one example:

Gubmint Regulation

One of the examples in the piece is the introduction of roof bolts to replace timber supports.  Even though these could in theory be a safer solution, the invisible hand of the free market worked against safety:

The standard story — the story accepted by the coal mine industry — was that new technology had led inexorably to greater safety. What had happened was far more interesting — and told you how this little American subculture worked, rather than the way economists who had never seen the inside of a coal mine might imagine that it worked. Roof bolts were indeed more efficient and effective than timber supports in preventing chunks of roof from wounding miners. But they were expensive to install. The coal mine companies had, in effect, figured out how few roof bolts they needed to use to maintain the same level of risk their miners had endured before their invention. “Simply stated,” Chris wrote, “roof bolts can only prevent roof falls if enough of them are installed.”

And so, amazingly, for the first 20 years of its use, the main effect of the most important lifesaving technology in the history of coal mining was to increase the efficiency of the mines while preserving existing probabilities of death and injury. Taking advantage, essentially, of people conditioned to a certain level of risk by failing to ameliorate that risk. “No one puts people’s lives at risk per se,” Chris said. “It’s not obvious most of the time that people’s lives are at stake. You’re always playing probabilities. But they knew what they were doing. They could see people dying. Even in a union mine they did it. That is what is so extraordinary. These were not dumb guys. This was a conscious decision.”

It took a catastrophe in Utah in 2007 to change the law so that there was mandatory inspection of mines deeper than 1,000 feet.  That led to to the 2016 year without a single death.  The irony in this whole roof collapse issue is that roof collapses are very expensive for the mining industry, so they should have a market incentive to increase safety.  But, since Supply-Side Jesus is just a myth, it took government regulation to save lives, as it does in so many other industries, such as the meat industry’s recent regulatory failure at Boar’s Head Meats.

Written in BloodPost + Comments (44)

Drizzly Sunday (Open Thread)

by Betty Cracker|  September 8, 20242:23 pm| 95 Comments

This post is in: Elections 2024, Open Threads, Politics, Republican Stupidity

I made a lemon drizzle cake today. I’m not much of a baker, but the recipe is mostly foolproof.
Drizzle (Open Thread)

It’s pretty good! But Paul Hollywood would probably say something unkind about the crumb structure.

It’s a good weekend for cocooning, featuring gloomy skies and frequent drizzle. Our dirt road is so bad that only the hardiest vehicles can get through.

Just saw my first Harris-Walz ad in the wild while watching the Dolphins vs. Jags. It was economics focused and featured Harris speaking directly to camera, sounding impossibly coherent and reasonable.

She contrasted her approach to Trump’s anti-freedom, pro-plutocrat agenda, and an orange-tinted photo of the deranged shit-sack flashed onscreen briefly.

The ad seemed effective to me, but I’m not the audience. It captured the visual contrast — the weird old shrieking yam vs. the normal, competent woman — about as well as possible.

That contrast will be unmistakable in the upcoming debate. Will y’all watch?

I’m undecided — maybe I’ll just catch the highlights. I know who I’m voting for, and limiting exposure to the toxic orange sludge pit in semi-human form seems a healthier choice.

Open thread!

Drizzly Sunday (Open Thread)Post + Comments (95)

Exciting News from NCAAT about our Fundraising!

by WaterGirl|  September 8, 20241:53 pm| 53 Comments

This post is in: Open Threads

On Wisconsin!

The good folks at NCAAT found us a second external match for $20,000!

So our first $5,000 had an external match, and an Angel match, which is 4x.

Everything going forward until we reach our $25,000 goal – will have DOUBLE external match.  That means that if we also have an Angel match, all donations are 6x.

So $10 turns into $60, and $100 turns into $600!  I’ll let you do the math for the amounts in between. :-)

And we do!  I swear that some of you guys can feel me thinking “this angel match is over, and I don’t have anything lined up”, and then I get an email message from a new angel, as I did this morning.

So we have a $1,500 Angel match, anonymous, and they will match up to $150 per person!  6x matching!


Donate

More information that would have made yesterday’s post too long!

Many / most of the organizations we support are “non-partisan”, which means they they organize to get people to register and vote, and to understand the stakes in the election, but they don’t tell you HOW to vote.  In that case, it’s all about the target population.

Native Americans tend to vote for Democrats at 90+% – you don’t need to talk to people about how to vote if the choice is between the side that wants to help you and the side that wants to kill you.  Think about it; I won’t spell it out group by group, but that’s true for most of the groups we support.

Supporting and Endorsing Kamala Harris

NCAATIA’s NC Youth Poll shows Harris leading Trump by 45 points! 

Now we just need to get them to vote!

They are educating youth on Harris’ work defending reproductive rights and the environment (climate change), as well as other issues deeply important to AAPI and BIPOC youth, including protecting immigrants’ rights and prioritizing a ceasefire in Gaza.

***

But NCAATIA’s own polling indicated that while 80% of BIPOC youth have been following the presidential campaign, only 45% can say the same about the governor’s race.

Downballot Races

DOWNBALLOT RACES: The NC governor’s race is between the eminently qualified Democrat Josh Stein and the MAGA extremist Mark Robinson.  But NCAATIA’s own polling indicated that while 80% of BIPOC youth have been following the presidential campaign, only 45% can say the same about the governor’s race.  NCAATIA is educating students on Stein’s record in protecting DACA recipients, prioritizing public education and criminal justice reform.  Robinson, on the other hand……The goal is to energize turnout for Stein through education; which will ultimately benefit the Presidential race as well.

***

Defeat an Anti-Immmigrant Ballot Measure

NCAATIA is motivating AAPI and BIPOC voters to turn out to beat a disingenuous initiative to amend the state Constitution to state that only citizens can vote (already the law), effectively erasing the sole mention of naturalized citizens in the entire document.  This is obviously an effort to stir up anti-immigrant rhetoric and chill voting by naturalized citizens.  NCAAT seems this as an opportunity to mobilize voters – much like Prop 187 did for the Latino community in California in 1994.

***

We are seriously heading into direct donations to Balloon Juice candidates, even as we finish out our final few organizations.

Look for these in the coming week.

Also, stay tuned for a North Carolina-based down ballot candidate and Supreme Court fundraiser soon, with invaluable input from our friends at NCAATIA and the Black Alliance.

And a thermometer for the surprising Senate race in Nebraska, and a House race there, too.

***

Open thread!

 

Exciting News from NCAAT about our Fundraising!Post + Comments (53)

Quilt Raffle Reminder (and check to make sure you’re on the list)

by WaterGirl|  September 8, 202412:35 pm| 19 Comments

This post is in: Open Threads

Our goal for the quilt raffle was $5,000 – and the thermometer reads $5,001.

Great job everyone!

Open Thread & New $1,250 Angel Match for The Civics Center

 

Reminder:  Tickets for this gorgeous quilt are still available until 5 pm Eastern Time.

If you “bought” tickets for the quilt raffle, please check the list below and make sure you are on it!

My list shows 122 tickets purchased, but the amount of $$ in the thermometer is the equivalent of 200 tickets sold.

Possible explanations:

  • You “bought” tickets but forgot to send email to WaterGirl.
  • Made a donation to Montana in the quilt thermometer by mistake.
  • I somehow missed your email.
  • You wanted to see the quilt raffle make its goal, so you did a straight donation into quilt thermometer.

Not everyone included their nym in the email, so if you didn’t, check for your first name or your initials.

Also, please check for the number of tickets.  If you bought more than one, you are listed here as “more than 1” because I didn’t think it was anybody’s business to know how many any one person bought.  So if you got more than one ticket, feel free to email me and I can let you know how many I have you down for.

Nym

1 or 1+

Kristine

1

Raleigh

more than 1

RedDirtGirl

1

Banditqueen

1

skyweaver

1

Marleedog

more than 1

Subaru Diane

1

Avalie

more than 1

dnfree

1

Robin

1

TL

1

Darkrose

1

Cynthia

         more than 1         

longtime lurker

more than 1

Madeleine

more than 1

Paul

1

Rachel

more than 1

GH

1

Sandy

1

Peter

1

Joe

1

PT & S

1

RH

1

RA

1

WW

1

KM

1

Ann

1

Chris

1

lurker

1

silvery

more than 1

Blue Guitarist

more than 1

Nancy

more than 1

Dmkingto

more than 1

Luci

1

Needs more dogs

more than 1

JanieM

1

netto

1

Talaith

more than 1

Shane in SLC

more than 1

evodevo

1

gkoutnik

more than 1

Cam

more than 1

HinTN

more than 1

Peggy

1

Stuart

1

Constance

1

Zach

1

Frank

1

artemis

1

GB

more than 1

Barbara

more than 1

Ken

more than 1

way2blue

more than 1

Memory Pallas

more than 1

Eric

1

Stephen

1

lurker JK

1

Open thread!

Quilt Raffle Reminder (and check to make sure you’re on the list)Post + Comments (19)

Sunday Morning Open Thread: Last-Minute Notice(s)

by Anne Laurie|  September 8, 20248:01 am| 276 Comments

This post is in: Elections 2024, Kamala Harris for President, Open Threads, Republicans in Disarray!

Thrilled to be part of #Heroes4Harris this Sunday at 4 PM ET! Join me and real-world heroes like Lt. Col. @AVindman, @RepAdamSchiff, Indigenous leaders, activist icons, and a host of surprise celebrity guests known for their heroic roles on screen! Sign up:… https://t.co/mawUjiinbi

— Mandy Patinkin (@PatinkinMandy) September 7, 2024

Here’s the video I recorded for the Democratic National Convention

Trump is a national security threat #WereNotGoingBack pic.twitter.com/O3zFM7WE0k

— Alexander S. Vindman ???? (@AVindman) September 7, 2024

MILWAUKEE: I’ll be in town this weekend to launch the Harris-Walz campaign’s Black Men Vote Weekend of Action. We'll be hosting barbershop talks, networking events, and a film screening.

Use the link below to find an event, and I'll see you tomorrow!https://t.co/uo1rOyA2wm pic.twitter.com/yEU9a9WSkC

— Wendell Pierce (@WendellPierce) September 6, 2024

What a moment. Kamala Harris just went to a local business in Pittsburgh where she took the time to greet young people, thank teachers, and talk with voters in this election. Kamala Harris continues doing what Donald Trump can never do. Love her.

pic.twitter.com/LCYs01MxMV

— Victor Shi (@Victorshi2020) September 7, 2024

Shouldn't this have been labelled, BREAKING NEWS?

— Jack Rakove (@JRakove) September 7, 2024

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Sunday Morning Open Thread: Last-Minute Notice(s)Post + Comments (276)

Sunday Morning Garden Chat: Sweetness in Seattle

by Anne Laurie|  September 8, 20244:46 am| 29 Comments

This post is in: Garden Chats

Sunday Morning Garden Chat:  Sweetness in Seattle
 
Gifted gardener / photographer Dan B:

Top photo: By early August the Daylilies were finishing up. The ‘Sunday Gloves’ was one of the last. Behind the big pot is a mix of variegated Sambuccus (Elderberry) that is on the property line. After fourteen years it’s grown from a two foot tall twig to an effective privacy screen. I like screening that’s not flat. It fools the eye into feeling you’re not as hemmed in.

From the spare bedroom there’s a good view of the rectangular pond and the rip rap wall that holds the soil that was dug out to make the pond. On the left is the tool shed that replaced the one that was almost completely rotted away. My partner has fitted it with a TV, woodstove, chaise lounges, parabolic heaters, and having tossed out the tools it’s now his Clubhouse!

Sunday Morning Garden Chat:  Sweetness in Seattle

To the north are the sawn Columnar Basalt steps that go to the raised terrace where we sit on warm summer evenings. It’s got a view to Mount Baker, a ten thousand foot tall, glacier clad volcano, 90 air miles north. Jay can probably see it from his city.

Sunday Morning Garden Chat:  Sweetness in Seattle 2

Looking back towards the house over the last of the Alstroemeria ‘Aztec Gold’ to the red Wall O Waters that keep our tomatoes warm at night. They’re loaded with big green tomatoes. We’re hopeful for ripening.

Sunday Morning Garden Chat:  Sweetness in Seattle 3

We had a dry spell for flowers but great foliage contrast tides us over. The purple foliage plants were a present for my partner. He is responsible for lots of big leaved plants like the giant Gunnera, which we saw growing wild at 9,000 feet in Costa Rica, and there are ten Calocasias, plus Cannas, and others with leaves up to five feet across.

Sunday Morning Garden Chat:  Sweetness in Seattle 4

Sunday Morning Garden Chat:  Sweetness in Seattle 5

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Sunday Morning Garden Chat: Sweetness in SeattlePost + Comments (29)

War for Ukraine Day 927: A 67 Drone Swarm

by Adam L Silverman|  September 7, 20248:21 pm| 40 Comments

This post is in: Foreign Affairs, Foreign Policy, Iran, Military, Open Threads, Russia, Silverman on Security, War, War in Ukraine

Screen shot of painting by NEIVANMADE. It has a grey border. On the left is a Ukrainian apartment block in the background. In the left foreground is an armored forearm and fist blocking incoming Russian rockets and missiles. The Russian rockets and missiles are red and have the "Z" symbol on them. The backgound is black. Above the armored arm and fist, written in white, is "Every Single Day in Ukraine."

(Image by NEIVANMADE)

Two quick housekeeping notes. First, Rosie is doing great. Her next treatment is a week from Monday. Thank you all for the good thoughts, well wishes, prayers, and donations.

Second, President Zelenskyy was still traveling today and has not posted a video address or any other new video.

Last night Russia launched a swarm of 67 Iranian made Shahed drones against Ukraine. Ukrainian air defense was able to neutralize 58 of them.

Russia launched 67 Shahed killer drones against 🇺🇦 last night. These have their origin in 🇮🇷, and if 🇮🇷 now also delivers ballistic missiles to 🇷🇺 it must be answered by 🇪🇺 action. https://t.co/oXqnLvJWk0

— Carl Bildt (@carlbildt) September 7, 2024

Ukrainian MiG-29 intercepts Shahed during Russian night drone attack on Ukraine https://t.co/7KpektU5KC https://t.co/tbepNFKuoW pic.twitter.com/lJ2b9jv8eS

— Special Kherson Cat 🐈🇺🇦 (@bayraktar_1love) September 7, 2024

A news source, has finally accurately described the US’s approach to supporting Ukraine.

Excellent from @StewartMcDonald https://t.co/dQfh5mmW5x pic.twitter.com/8qZ9VyIiwu

— Benjamin Tallis 🇺🇦 (@bctallis) September 7, 2024

🗞️ This week’s column: Biden’s policy on Ukraine is emboldening Putin and eroding European security. Ukraine must have the ability to strike back against the very military facilities visiting death upon its people.
__https://t.co/9t4n5lTePw

— Stewart McDonald (@StewartMcDonald) September 7, 2024

From The Scotsman: (emphasis mine)

A Russian missile strike on Lviv, in western Ukraine, left Yaroslav Bazylevych the sole survivor of his family this week. His wife and three daughters were killed, victims of a war where, in the words of Lithuania’s Foreign Minister, “Russian planes are better protected by Western guarantees than Ukrainian civilians.”

Yaroslav, his wife, Yevheniya, and three daughters – Emilia, Daryna and Yaryna – all lived in Lviv, a city near Ukraine’s border with Poland which has long been considered a safer haven within Ukrainian territory. Until recently, it has experienced limited Russian attacks. This recent bombardment came after devastating missile strikes on the central Ukrainian city of Poltava, which claimed the lives of over 50 people, making it one of Russia’s deadliest attacks on Ukraine to date.

Russia’s war of aggression against Ukraine is intensifying, and yet still the Western posture seems to be utterly stuck in a rut. Ukraine complains – rightly – that Western weapons deliveries are simply not enough, that they take too long to arrive and that too many restrictions are placed upon their use. This has become a particular point of focus as Western partners – principally the Biden administration – insist on a blurred policy when it comes to using American-made weapons to strike military targets within Russia.

Although the White House lifted its blanket ban on targeting assets in Russia earlier this year, they continue to dole out a whole range of excuses as to why certain weapons systems must not or should not be used. Usually, “unnamed officials” at the State Department reference the risk of nuclear escalation or claim that the use of longer-range weapons hitting inside Russia won’t change the strategic outlook of the war because the targets aren’t worth hitting.

If the war has shown us anything, it’s that Putin’s nuclear sabre-rattling is just that. But the idea that Ukraine can’t change the strategic outlook is simply for the birds. A recent study from the US-based think tank, the Institute for the Study of War, argues that there are around 250 military objects – airfields, military bases, communications stations and logistics hubs – within range of Army Tactical Missile Systems, a tactical ballistic missile built by Lockheed Martin and supplied by the US.

Ben Hodges, a former commander of American forces in Europe, told The Economist that the “constant excuse-making is both misleading and inaccurate. There is no moral or legal reason for not going after these targets.” He was even more blunt when he took to X/Twitter after the Russian bombing of a housing block in Kharkiv when he said: “US policy is protecting Russia’s ability to do this.”

Another example would be the UK and French-supplied Storm Shadow/Scalp cruise missiles. Ukraine wants to use these to target legitimate Russian assets but because they contain American components, the US gets an effective veto.

The supply of Storm shadow missiles – albeit limited – is not insignificant. They have a long range and can, for example, penetrate hardened aircraft hangers. They would present a headache for Russian military planners, who have already moved significant assets further away from the Ukrainian border. But Joe Biden says no. With his pushback, Russian bombers sleep a little more soundly.

In recent days, Ukrainian officials have travelled to Washington in the hope of securing a readjustment to the current policy of ‘yes but, no but’. It’s understood Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky will also raise the issue directly with Biden when the pair meet at the upcoming UN General Assembly in New York.

A change is indeed needed if Ukraine is to win, and this war is to come to an end. How can it possibly be that we – politicians and citizens of the West – allow Russian bombers to be better protected than Yaroslav’s wife and three children? Ukraine must be allowed to strike back if they are to protect their sovereignty, which is entirely the point of article 51 of the UN Charter.

What we are witnessing in Washington is the slow boiling of a frog. Biden’s stubbornness, and his inability to see the bigger strategic picture, will prolong the war, deteriorate European security even further and only encourage Russia to push the envelope as they seek to create a new wave of Ukrainian refugees in Europe.

John Foreman, the former British Defence Attaché in Moscow, put it rather well to me earlier this week when he said: “The US strategy is the inverse of Roosevelt’s. Biden speaks loudly but carries a small stick.”

More at the link.

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War for Ukraine Day 927: A 67 Drone SwarmPost + Comments (40)

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