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Balloon Juice

Come for the politics, stay for the snark.

“The defense has a certain level of trust in defendant that the government does not.”

It’s pointless to bring up problems that can only be solved with a time machine.

We need to vote them all out and restore sane Democratic government.

“When somebody takes the time to draw up a playbook, they’re gonna use it.”

“Alexa, change the president.”

Impressively dumb. Congratulations.

Just because you believe it, that does not make it true.

You passed on an opportunity to be offended? What are you even doing here?

“Jesus paying for the sins of everyone is an insult to those who paid for their own sins.”

Anne Laurie is a fucking hero in so many ways. ~ Betty Cracker

I did not have this on my fuck 2025 bingo card.

The revolution will be supervised.

Do not shrug your shoulders and accept the normalization of untruths.

The most dangerous place for a black man in America is in a white man’s imagination.

Be a wild strawberry.

If you tweet it in all caps, that makes it true!

Cancel the cowardly Times and Post and set up an equivalent monthly donation to ProPublica.

Whatever happens next week, the fight doesn’t end.

Nothing says ‘pro-life’ like letting children go hungry.

When do we start airlifting the women and children out of Texas?

rich, arrogant assholes who equate luck with genius

Michigan is a great lesson for Dems everywhere: when you have power…use it!

Fundamental belief of white supremacy: white people are presumed innocent, minorities are presumed guilty.

The snowflake in chief appeared visibly frustrated when questioned by a reporter about egg prices.

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Open Thread:  Hey Lurkers!  (Holiday Post)

Open Threads

You are here: Home / Archives for Open Threads

Special Elections & More

by WaterGirl|  February 12, 20256:42 pm| 54 Comments

This post is in: Open Threads, Political Action, Politics

Zoom With Four Directions Set for Thursday at 7 pm ET 1

Some of us are itching to do something constructive.  Key special elections are coming up.  I’d like to start a list of strategic elections where we can possibly make a difference this year.

Wisconsin holds their elections in April every year, and this year there’s another Supreme Court seat in play.  We won the majority with the election of Janet Protasiewicz, but a Democratic justice is retiring, so the majority is up for grabs again.  (Yes, I know that SC races are technically non-partisan.)   Do we want to go back to gerrymandering in Wisconsin?  Hell no!

There are special elections for two House seats coming up in Florida.  They are log-shots, but in this year all bets are off.  With the House being so close, I think Dems would be crazy to not to go all-out to try to win them.  I know several people in real life whose work is impacted in significant ways by all the evil of this administration, and I suspect that by April pretty much every person will either be directly impacted or know someone close to them that have.

There’s also a special election in New York to replace Elise Stefanik that we need to go for.

Here’s a nice little TikTok video for more information – and inspiration – about why it’s worth fighting for the House seats.

While we’re researching for groups we could support in their efforts for these races in FL and NY, we’re gonna start with Wis*Dems.  That’s about the only state party I would feel comfortable supporting – they have a track record and they know how to win.  I think sending $ directly to the NY ad FL candidates is probably not a great use of resources, hence the search for groups that are organizing.  If you know of any in FL or NY, please chime in!

Also, is anyone interested in postcard threads?  One of the groups we support suggested that this year we all need to up our game and move out of our comfort zones.  If you wrote a few postcards, write more.  If you wrote a bunch, consider other actions – if you don’t want to knock on doors, consider making phone calls to find other volunteers.  It’s hard to think about doing more when it sometimes feels like we’re in the middle of the ocean without a life jacket, but if we want to make it to shore. that’s what we need to do.


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Special Elections & MorePost + Comments (54)

Share With Me a Common Disaster

by @heymistermix.com|  February 12, 20254:42 pm| 97 Comments

This post is in: Open Threads

Share With Me a Common Disaster

Share With Me a Common Disaster 1

 

I wanted to gather up everything I’ve been tracking on the politics of the current situation in one post:

show full post on front page

Polls

  1. Polls are still all over the place but we’re seeing some movement in the direction shown above (among Democrats).  The same poll showed a 60/40 split among Republicans, with the 60% group wanting Republicans in Congress to support Trump when they agree, pushback when they don’t agree.
  2. Another poll showed that there was a lessening of support for Trump for the under-30s age group.
  3. That said, I think the polls are showing, in general, that people are still catching with the coup and the freezing of funds for critical programs will continue to make a mark.  Also, courts ruling against the Trump administration, consistently and often, is negative, no matter what those of us who are more politically engaged think about whether there will be consequences.
  4. Inflation, as Betty posted about earlier this morning, hasn’t magically gone down, and $8/dozen eggs are just one example. Even if Trumpers fuck with inflation figures, as we saw with the Biden Administration, people make their own judgment about prices independent of the graphs.

Musk

  1. As Betty posted below about the DOGE hearing, Democrats are eager and able to hammer Musk.  Betty’s Casar clip is brutal, and Jasmine Crockett,  Robert Garcia and Melanie Stansbury also got some licks in.  (Follow that Garcia link for a real banger.)
  2. He is an unfuckable, weird, unelected incel.  There is nothing about the guy that is politically attractive, and he wants to steal your grandma’s money.  He’s a great target for Democrats and an anchor around the neck of Republicans.  There are going to be protests at Tesla dealerships across the nation.  Good.

Congress

  1. Republicans – This bunch of cowards are still trying to keep their mouths shut in public, but when they write to their constituents, they are singing a different tune.  Betty mentioned this TPM piece below (another gift link from me), which includes a link to this Bulwark piece with some letters that aren’t just “don’t listen to the leftwing media”.  Greg Sargent covered this with Elizabeth Saunders in his podcast this morning.
  2. Democrats – In general, I think they’re waking up.  Axios posted a piece yesterday saying that Democrats are “pissed” that they’re getting so much pushback and phone calls.  One of the reps quoted was Don Beyer.  His Deputy Chief of Staff is on Bluesky and he said (and I believe him) that Beyer’s quote was truncated — Beyer welcomes calls, but also says to please call Republicans.  I think all the following are true: some Democrats are pissed about getting so many calls, a lot of them welcome those calls, and a lot of people are calling Democrats instead of Republicans.  There is zero point in calling a Democrat who doesn’t represent you.  And calling Republicans can work.   Another positive sign is Hakeem Jeffries appointing a Rapid Response Task Force that has some Democrats who aren’t afraid to fight.  If I were a Dem who hadn’t been loudly opposing Trump, and I saw those “confidence” numbers in the graphic above, I’d be worried, because the base is more angry than I’ve ever seen them.  Unfortunately, there’s still a lot of things happening in the Senate under unanimous consent.

Tariffs

  1. Trump, who a few days ago backtracked on across-the-board 25% tariffs, has now said he’ll impose 25% tariffs on steel and aluminum in March, further enraging our North American trading partners.  He did that in his first term, and at least Mexico retaliated with targeted tariffs on, among other things, bourbon.  They were in effect for a useless year and did nothing to revive the US steel industry.
  2. Canada –  I spent some time on r/onguardforthee, a subreddit of Candians with a liberal bent.  Canadians are pissed, and these new tariffs are just throwing gas on a fire.  A new poll shows that the Liberals are projected to win a in majority Quebec if Mark Carney is their leader, a big change from earlier polling.  The key point is that any Canadian who was Trump-curious is getting hammered, and the Tories can’t run away from their prior infatuation with Trump.  Conservative Ontario Premier Doug Ford, who got a lot of press when he said he’d remove US liquor from LCBO shelves, and “rip up” a Starlink contract, has backtracked on both those promises, and even the generally Conservative-leaning Globe & Mail is on his ass about that.  Canadian-US tourism (a $20 billion + industry) is going to take a big hit, because Candians are serious about boycotting the US, no matter what their political leanings.  The Peace Bridge, a Canada/US crossing at Buffalo, was empty on the Canadian side the other night.  I’ve never seen that.  If you want to get a feel for just how pissed Canadians are, this interview with Member of Parliament Charlie Angus covers the bases.
  3. Mexicans are more used to being treated like shit by the US than Canada, but they think the tariffs are more than ridiculous because Mexico is a net importer of steel and aluminum from the US.  Claudia Sheinbaum is sticking to her strategy of calmly saying that Mexico will negotiate with the US and work things out.  Her Instagram, which in my view is a model of how a politician should use social media, has some not-so-subtle imagery.  This weekend, she participated in the “loyalty march”, a tradition that AMLO re-started, which commemorates a time when cadets marched with the Mexican President from the Military Academy to the National Palace to thwart a putsch.  Nothing subtle about this picture:

Share With Me a Common Disaster 3

Overall, my take is that we’re still in trouble, but the pushback has begun.

Share With Me a Common DisasterPost + Comments (97)

Cuts, Jibs, etc. (Open Thread)

by Betty Cracker|  February 12, 20252:44 pm| 110 Comments

This post is in: Open Threads, Politics

This is perfect — bravo, Rep Casar:

How much Elon Musk makes from the government a day: $8 million.

How much a senior on Social Security gets a day: $65

Guess which budget Musk and Trump want to cut?

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— Congressman Greg Casar (@repcasar.bsky.social) February 12, 2025 at 1:07 PM

I like the way he smuggled in the reference to the committee’s chair, Marjorie Taylor Greene.

Also, it’s the corruption, stupid:

CORRUPTION: Musk is abusing his position to block investigations into his own corporations⬇️

[image or embed]

— Congressman Greg Casar (@repcasar.bsky.social) February 12, 2025 at 2:17 PM

Will people hear about it or care? I don’t know. But there’s a corrupt heist by billionaires going down on the ceremonial (and alleged billionaire) president’s watch, and it’s great to see elected Dems calling it out here and elsewhere. More of this, please.

Also, fellow red-staters, our calls to congressional offices may be having an effect. Rachel Maddow covered it in last night’s show, and Josh Marshall is collecting responses to constituent complaints about Musk’s takeover from Repub reps. They’re getting a wee bit more circumspect in their responses instead of the initial “suck it, libturd.” Read more at this TPM gift link.

Open thread!

Cuts, Jibs, etc. (Open Thread)Post + Comments (110)

Trump’s Candidate Lost – Too Bad, So Sad

by WaterGirl|  February 12, 202510:28 am| 141 Comments

This post is in: Open Threads

Voters to choose between Jenkins, Sculti in special election for Westchester County executive

Democrat Ken Jenkins and Republican Christine Sculti are vying for Westchester County’s executive seat in a special election Tuesday to select a new county executive in a special election Tuesday.

Jenkins is Westchester’s first Black county executive, and the frontrunner in Tuesday’s race. But he won’t get to skate through: Sculti, a deputy elections commissioner and one-time chief advisor to former County Executive Rob Astorino, is running a last-minute campaign to become the first woman in the seat.

Speaking with WAMC, Republican Sculti says her first priority as county executive would be to repeal what she calls Westchester’s “sanctuary county law.” Passed in 2018, the Immigrant Protection Act restricts how and when county agencies cooperate with federal immigration authorities.

“My legal team has analyzed the law, which we find to be flawed,” says Sculti. “So, what I’m prepared to do is issue an executive order that will repeal the law and direct the county departments, specifically corrections, probation, and public safety, to immediately start working with the federal authorities to detain, deport violent, criminal, illegal aliens.”

 

Trump throws weight behind GOP candidate Christine Sculti in Westchester County special election

President Trump threw his weight behind the GOP candidate in the Westchester County executive’s special election set for Tuesday, blasting Democrats in the Big Apple suburb for “protecting” criminal migrants.

The president injected himself Monday afternoon into the little-known race which pits County Executive Ken Jenkins, a Democrat, against Republican challenger Christine Sculti in a bid to wrap up the rest of George Latimer’s term after he resigned to start his gig in Congress last month.

“On Tuesday, February 11th, there is an important Special Election for Westchester County Executive in New York! Democrats have made Westchester County a ‘Sanctuary County’ protecting criminal illegals!” Trump wrote on Truth Social.

Too Bad, So Sad (Not Really!)

Jenkins sails to victory over Sculti in special election for Westchester County executive

Westchester County Executive Ken Jenkins trounced Republican Christine Sculti on Tuesday in a special election to serve until the end of this year in the office Jenkins was appointed to fill last month.

In unofficial results with all election districts tallied, the Democrat led by 63.6%-36.4%, a 27.2-point margin. He and Sculti were vying to finish the unexpired term of Jenkins’ predecessor, George Latimer, who stepped aside in January after seven years as county executive to take up a House seat he won in November.

 

 

 

 

Trump’s Candidate Lost – Too Bad, So SadPost + Comments (141)

Trumpflation (Open Thread)

by Betty Cracker|  February 12, 20259:05 am| 201 Comments

This post is in: Open Threads, Republican Stupidity

Inflation is rising faster that expected:

(CNN) — The cost of food and energy continued to climb in January, hitting 3% for the first time since June 2024, pushing the cost of living higher for Americans.

Consumer prices rose 0.5% from December, resulting in an annual inflation rate of 3% for the 12 months that ended in January, according to the latest Consumer Price Index data released Wednesday by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.

Economists were expecting inflation to pick up 0.3% from December, keeping the annual rate at 2.9%, according to FactSet consensus estimates.

Is the price spike Trump’s fault since he was ceremonial president for only 10 days of the look-back period? Yep. It is definitely Trump’s fault. That’s how it works.

Empty egg case at supermarket

Also, where are my fucking $3 EGGS, Trump? No excuses — the president is responsible for egg supply as well as inflation increases, everyone knows that. Even if he has outsourced his job to a apartheid South Africa-born weirdo dipshit who wears a spawn on his head to ward off Luigis.

Trumpflation is an intolerable hardship for every American, and it’s Trump’s fault. Pass it on!

Open thread.

Trumpflation (Open Thread)Post + Comments (201)

War for Ukraine Day 1,083: A Brief Tuesday Night Update

by Adam L Silverman|  February 11, 20258:16 pm| 35 Comments

This post is in: Foreign Affairs, Foreign Policy, Military, Open Threads, Russia, Silverman on Security, War, War in Ukraine

Trump went on Fox News earlier today, demanded that Ukraine pay the US back for the hundreds of billions of dollars the US has sent them and gotten nothing in return, and then announced that Ukraine had agreed to pay the US back with $500 billion worth of rare earth elements.

You can argue about the moral aspect of it, but my controversial (even for a Ukrainian) opinion is that if he helps us achieve lasting peace, so that every generation of Ukrainians will stop paying a bloody price for being born next to russia, he can have his resources.

And my kidney, if he must.

[image or embed]

— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) February 11, 2025 at 8:43 AM

You will be shocked, shocked to learn that Ukraine has not agreed to this.

⚡️ US Treasury Secretary to visit Ukraine this week for talks on critical minerals deal, Bloomberg reports.

U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent will visit Ukraine this week to discuss a potential deal between Kyiv and Washington on critical minerals, Bloomberg reported on Feb. 11.

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— The Kyiv Independent (@kyivindependent.com) February 11, 2025 at 11:04 AM

From The Kyiv Independent:

Editor’s note: The article was updated after U.S. President Donald Trump confirmed Scott Bessent’s visit to Ukraine.

U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent will visit Ukraine this week to discuss a potential deal between Kyiv and Washington on critical minerals, Bloomberg reported on Feb. 11, citing undisclosed sources.

Later in the day, U.S. President Donald Trump confirmed that Bessent would arrive in Ukraine to meet with President Volodymyr Zelensky.

“I am sending Secretary of the Treasury Scott Bessent to Ukraine to meet President Zelensky,” Trump wrote on Truth Social.

“This war must and will end soon — too much death and destruction. The U.S. has spent billions of dollars globally with little to show. When America is strong, the world is at peace.”

Trump previously suggested that new aid shipments could depend on trade deals the U.S. negotiates with Ukraine. On Feb. 3, Trump said he wanted to provide Ukraine with weapons and aid in exchange for “rare earths and other things.”

Zelensky has said he is open to an arrangement that would grant U.S. companies access to Ukraine’s rare earth mineral reserves in exchange for continued support from Washington.

Bessent will be the first representative of the new U.S. administration after Trump’s return to the White House.

Zelensky earlier announced that some high-profile people from Trump’s team would visit Ukraine this week before the Munich Security Conference, which starts on Feb. 14.

The Presidential Office also said previously that Ukraine is preparing to host Trump’s special envoy for Ukraine and Russia, Keith Kellogg, in February.

According to sources in Ukraine’s President’s Office, cited by RBC-Ukraine, Kellogg will visit Ukraine on Feb. 20 after the Munich Security Conference.

There’s a really important point that needs to be made right now: a significant portion of those Ukrainian rare earth elements are currently underneath where Russia’s armed forces are illegally occupying Ukraine.

A secondary important point: do not offer Trump any of your internal organs.

A tertiary important point: given the Treasury Secretary’s net worth, you’d think he could afford a better plastic surgeon.

A quartary important point: roast Thanksgiving turkey is not a good color for the President.

Here is President Zelenskyy’s address from earlier today. Video below, English transcript after the jump.

show full post on front page

Ukraine Will Be Able to Complete Two More Power Units at the Khmelnytskyi Nuclear Power Plant, Which Means More than Two Gigawatts of Electricity – Address by the President

11 February 2025 – 19:39

Dear Ukrainians!

Today, first and foremost, I want to thank all the defenders of our skies. Every unit, every warrior who is protecting Ukraine from Russian missiles and drones. Today, we faced another strike on our energy sector – nearly 20 Russian missiles, including ballistic ones, and almost 125 drones of various types. A substantial amount of them was shot down. I will particularly commend the mobile fire groups of the 302nd Anti-Aircraft Missile Brigade of Kharkiv – great work, warriors! Thank you! I am also grateful to all our helicopter pilots in the Defense Forces, who, virtually every night, under extremely difficult conditions, deliver results in intercepting “Shahed” drones. These are helicopter pilots from our Land Forces, Air Force, Navy, and Border Guard Service – everyone in our Ukrainian Defense and Security Forces who is involved in protecting our skies, as well as those who contribute and offer support – thank you all! This week, and next week, we will continue discussions with our partners on ways to enhance the capabilities of our air defense – the protection of all our skies. Every available opportunity in the world, every potential contract that can strengthen Ukraine – we are focusing on all of these and working as quickly as possible.

It is also important to mention Ukraine’s energy security today – an important day, as the Verkhovna Rada of Ukraine has made a significant step. Ukraine will be able to complete two more power units at the Khmelnytskyi Nuclear Power Plant, which means more than two gigawatts of electricity for Ukraine. And to put it into context, currently, during these difficult winter months, we can import roughly that amount of electricity from our neighbors. Our completed power units will allow Ukraine to operate without imports, even during the winter months. And it will definitely help us keep electricity prices from rising for the people. And even in terms of special economic projects with our partners – with the United States, with President Trump – regarding Ukraine’s special resources, extraction and processing, Ukraine will now be able to speak more confidently, as it will have an additional and significant source of electricity in the future. In the modern world, industrial growth and development of any economy must be based on the development of energy sources. This is exactly what we are doing. Of course, there are some voices of criticism. But these are the voices of those for whom cheap energy in Ukraine is simply not profitable- they fill their pockets or the pockets of those they depend on from higher energy prices than nuclear power. All these numbers are available. Anyone can see and verify for themselves. I am grateful to our deputies who have supported Ukraine’s energy independence and industrial development.

We are already prepared for meetings with representatives of the United States – negotiations will begin soon. At many levels. I have scheduled a meeting of the National Security and Defense Council for tomorrow. On several issues. We will work on making medicines cheaper in Ukrainian pharmacies – this is important. And we will continue defending our state through sanctions.

I am grateful to everyone who stands with Ukraine.

Glory to Ukraine!

President Zelenskyy also sat for an interview with The Guardian today. He provided greater clarity on the potential rare earth element deal, as well as some of the strategic calculus behind the Kursk cross border offensive. (emphasis mine)

In a Fox News interview aired late on Monday, Trump said the US had spent hundreds of billions of dollars on Ukraine in recent years. “They may make a deal, they may not make a deal, they may be Russian some day, they may not be Russian some day, but we’re gonna have all this money in there and I said I want it back,” said Trump.

It means that along with Zelenskyy’s oft-heard messages about the geopolitical and moral risks of allowing Russia to prevail in Ukraine, he has added some new ones, tailor-made for the US president. Most notable is the idea that the US will get priority access to Ukraine’s “rare earths”, a prospect that has piqued Trump’s interest enough for him to mention it several times in recent media appearances. Trump on Tuesday said he was dispatching US treasury secretary Scott Bessent to Ukraine, which was reported by Reuters to discuss rare earth mineral resources.

Zelenskyy said he pitched this idea to Trump back in September, when the pair met in New York, and he intends to return with “a more detailed plan” about opportunities for US companies both in the reconstruction of postwar Ukraine and in the extraction of Ukrainian natural resources.

Ukraine has the biggest uranium and titanium reserves in Europe, said Zelenskyy, and it was “not in the interests of the United States” for these reserves to be in Russian hands and potentially shared with North Korea, China or Iran.

But there was a financial incentive, too, he said: “We are talking not only about security, but also about money … Valuable natural resources where we can offer our partners possibilities that didn’t exist before to invest in them … For us it will create jobs, for American companies it will create profits.”

Zelenskyy said it was crucial for Ukraine’s security that US military support continued, giving the example of US-made Patriot air defence systems. “Only Patriot can defend us against all kinds of missiles, only Patriots. There are other [European] systems … but they cannot provide full protection … So even from this small example you can see that without America, security guarantees cannot be complete,” he said.

If Trump does manage to get Ukraine and Russia to the negotiating table, Zelenskyy said he planned to offer Russia a straight territory exchange, giving up land Kyiv has held in Russia’s Kursk region since the launch of a surprise offensive there six months ago.

“We will swap one territory for another,” he said, but added that he did not know which part of Russian-occupied land Ukraine would ask for in return. “I don’t know, we will see. But all our territories are important, there is no priority,” he said.

As Zelenskyy turns his attention to Trump-whispering, he said it was still too early to pass judgment on the previous administration. Relations between Kyiv and Washington were said to be increasingly frosty as Zelenskyy’s team grew frustrated with Joe Biden’s focus on managing the risks of escalation.

Asked whether he thought Biden would go down in history as the man who helped save Ukraine, or the man who responded too slowly to meet the challenge from Putin, Zelenskyy laughed and said it was “very difficult” to say at this stage.

He criticised Biden’s initial unwillingness to provide Ukraine with weapons – “this lack of confidence gave confidence to Russia” – but said Ukraine was grateful for all the help that followed.

The full evaluation, he said, would only emerge with time: “History shows that there are many things that you just don’t know, what happened behind the scenes, what negotiations there were … it’s hard to characterise it all today because we don’t know everything. Later we will know, we will know everything.”

Much more at the link.

Georgia:

Day 76. We demand new, free and fair elections, and the release of all political prisoners.
The rhythmic public chant get more intense. I think it was February 1 when “until the end” was incorporated, and now I heard “bring down the regime” for the first time. #GeorgiaProtests

[image or embed]

— Marika Mikiashvili 🇬🇪🇺🇦🇪🇺 (@marikamikiashvili.bsky.social) February 11, 2025 at 12:55 PM

Day 76. The police was less persistent today and people were also took the risk of jumping onto the road more arbitrarily and openly.
The very vulgar anti-Georgian Dream anthem can be heard in this video of the first moment of blocking Rustaveli. #GeorgiaProtests

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— Marika Mikiashvili 🇬🇪🇺🇦🇪🇺 (@marikamikiashvili.bsky.social) February 11, 2025 at 12:45 PM

1/ Citizen Lasha Gabitashvili says that this morning, while walking his dog, he was attacked by 3 masked men.

#TerrorinGeorgia

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— Publika.ge (@publikage.bsky.social) February 11, 2025 at 12:57 AM

2/ A few weeks ago, Gabitashvili protested against GD members in Abu Dhabi, after which he was physically assaulted by party members while having breakfast at a hotel.

— Publika.ge (@publikage.bsky.social) February 11, 2025 at 12:57 AM

Video below. I’m so angry, this walking botox must pay.

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— Marika Mikiashvili 🇬🇪🇺🇦🇪🇺 (@marikamikiashvili.bsky.social) February 11, 2025 at 3:09 PM

Guram Rogava immediately after the attack and then at a hospital. “Small incident.”

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— Marika Mikiashvili 🇬🇪🇺🇦🇪🇺 (@marikamikiashvili.bsky.social) February 11, 2025 at 3:09 PM

The “small incident.”

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— Marika Mikiashvili 🇬🇪🇺🇦🇪🇺 (@marikamikiashvili.bsky.social) February 11, 2025 at 3:09 PM

My vocabulary in the post below was inspired by Professor Levan Ghambashidze who said: “the Georgian culture will vomit out the Georgian Dream.”
Indeed: the Georgian culture will not erase, kill, digest, overcome, or defeat the Georgian Dream. It will vomit it out.

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— Marika Mikiashvili 🇬🇪🇺🇦🇪🇺 (@marikamikiashvili.bsky.social) February 11, 2025 at 5:30 PM

You cannot simply outvote such regimes and continue business as usual with them in the political spectrum. The iron law of history is that either they swallow a nation fully, or a nation throws them up like a food poisoning, cleanses itself, and moves on to treat them as the filth of history that 2/

— Marika Mikiashvili 🇬🇪🇺🇦🇪🇺 (@marikamikiashvili.bsky.social) February 11, 2025 at 10:08 AM

must never be allowed to happen again, forging a truly civic society.
I am glad that there’s a rapidly increasing reevaluation of Georgia’s recent history to the detriment of all that this criminal regime represents. 3/

— Marika Mikiashvili 🇬🇪🇺🇦🇪🇺 (@marikamikiashvili.bsky.social) February 11, 2025 at 10:08 AM

Admittedly, I assumed that there were people and issue-specific professionals smarter than me in this country and since it was the paradigm that the 2024 elections would be impossible to rig, so I went along with it). 4/4.

— Marika Mikiashvili 🇬🇪🇺🇦🇪🇺 (@marikamikiashvili.bsky.social) February 11, 2025 at 10:08 AM

Poland:

A russian SU-24 military aircraft violated Polish airspace, according to the Polish Armed Forces Operational Command 👀

[image or embed]

— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) February 11, 2025 at 4:26 PM

Back to Ukraine.

As Ukraine nears the fourth year of full-scale war with Russia, it is launching a major army reform aimed at improving its efficiency and organization on the battlefield.

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— The Kyiv Independent (@kyivindependent.com) February 11, 2025 at 8:59 AM

The The Kyiv Independent has more details on this concept that we covered about two weeks ago:

As Ukraine nears the fourth year of full-scale war with Russia, it is launching a major army reform aimed at improving its efficiency and organization on the battlefield.

“We need the corps system,” President Volodymyr Zelensky said on Feb. 3, adding: “Today we discussed approaches to the appointment of corps commanders: these should be the best-trained, most promising officers with combat experience and modern thinking.”

“The army must be modern.”

The Ukrainian army currently operates largely under a brigade-level system. According to Zelensky, there are more than 100 brigades, each of which is subordinated to operational-tactical groups (OTU), which are subject to operational-strategic command (OSUV), and operational commands (OK).

According to experts speaking to the Kyiv Independent, this has created an unwieldy management system that leads to poor coordination, as each OTU or OSUV may have dozens of brigades under its command.

John Hardie, deputy director of the Russia Program at the Foundation for Defense of Democracies, told the Kyiv Independent that OTUs and OSUVs are temporary bodies, so their commanders do not know their brigades as well as a permanent corps commander would.

A related problem is that battalions from one brigade are often scattered across different parts of the front and attached to other brigades, undermining unit cohesion, he added.

Hardie also said micromanagement is another drawback of this system, as there have been cases of interfering commanders without knowledge of a complete or up-to-date picture of the situation on the ground.

Drawing on the experience of NATO partners, Ukraine plans to implement a corps system instead of a brigade one, seeking to improve cohesion.

A corps is an army formation consists of several brigades rather than dozens, and includes various branches of the forces and support units.

The upcoming reform will add the corps level to the army structure, which will be organizationally above the brigades. The Ukrainian military command plans to create 20 corps, Ukrainian media outlet Censor.net reported, citing undisclosed sources.

Mick Ryan, a retired Australian Army Major-General said a corps usually has only three to seven brigades at its disposal, which allows commanders to better focus on their troops, and distributes the management load more efficiently.

“(The transition to the corps) will allow them just to get their arms around the brigades, have some brigades planning for operations, some brigades conducting operations, some brigades resting from operations,” Ryan said.

“It will allow for more efficient employment of land combat forces and a more efficient link between the tactical and General Staff,” he added.

Ryan said the transition to the corps system is also part of the Ukrainian army’s adaptation to NATO standards and separation from its Soviet heritage.

Yet, the newly created corps could be different from those deployed by the U.K. and the U.S. during the Cold War, as there have been “profound changes” in technology since 1990s, he said.

“The West should look on with some interest because the reality is, besides the Americans, most Western military organizations are brigade-centric organizations,” Ryan said.

There are currently five corps in the Ukrainian Armed Forces — the 9th, 10th, and 11th corps of the Ground Forces, the Rapid Reaction Corps in the Air Assault Forces, and the Marine Corps in the Navy.

“Ukraine currently has some army corps, but they’re basically corps in name only. Their units are often scattered to different parts of the front line, and the corps lack many corps-echelon support units,” Hardie said.

“Even in instances where multiple units from a corps have operated alongside one another, such as during the 2023 counteroffensive, the corps commanders didn’t exercise command and control, and at any rate, the units lacked sufficient cohesion to function together as corps,” Hardie added.

Viktor Kevliuk, a retired Ukrainian military officer and defense expert, told the Kyiv Independent that the past performance of existing corps should be a cause for concern.

“In 2023, the 9th and 10th corps failed in the offensive in Zaporizhzhia Oblast. In 2024, the 7th corps surrendered Vuhledar and then Kurakhove,” he said.

“In 2025, we still believe that the corps (system) is a panacea for all diseases.”

More at the link.

Here’s Tatarigami’s take on Trump’s demands for $500 billion worth of compensation:

Based on direct statements from President Trump, Ukraine would be expected to “pay back” $500 billion in resources.

Thread:

1/ This was not framed as a trade of new weapons for resources, but rather, as Trump put it, “We are going to have all this money, and I want it back.”

— Tatarigami (@tatarigami.bsky.social) February 11, 2025 at 1:48 PM

2/ Meanwhile, National Security Advisor Waltz has stated that Europe will be fully responsible for Ukraine’s security, saying security guarantees are “squarely” a European issue. Additionally, Pete Hegseth confirmed there will be no U.S. boots on the ground.

— Tatarigami (@tatarigami.bsky.social) February 11, 2025 at 1:48 PM

3/ Ukraine’s main problems right now are
– A shortage of infantry
– Organizational inefficiencies

The leading cause of casualties on both sides in 2024 and 2025 was drones, specifically “bomb-dropping drones” and FPV kamikaze drones, which the U.S. does not supply.

— Tatarigami (@tatarigami.bsky.social) February 11, 2025 at 1:48 PM

4/ Most drones are acquired through donations, direct unit purchases, Ukrainian funds, or loans and investments. The US does not directly provide these drones. For the cost of one U.S.-supplied Switchblade 300 loitering munition, Ukraine could buy approximately 55–80 FPV drones – much better deal.

— Tatarigami (@tatarigami.bsky.social) February 11, 2025 at 1:48 PM

5/ For months, our team has received reports of personnel transfers from air defense, electronic warfare, anti-tank, artillery reconnaissance, and drone units into infantry roles. Some units have been ordered to transfer 50% of their personnel into infantry.

— Tatarigami (@tatarigami.bsky.social) February 11, 2025 at 1:48 PM

6/ In certain cases, Western-supplied equipment is not being fully utilized because trained personnel have been reassigned. In this context, adding more overpriced Abrams tanks or Switchblades does little to solve the problem.

— Tatarigami (@tatarigami.bsky.social) February 11, 2025 at 1:48 PM

7/ Yes, Ukraine still needs key systems like HIMARS missiles, artillery shells, intelligence data, Starlink, and other critical assets. But none of this justifies a $500 billion “payback,” making the proposed deal a terrible one for Ukraine.

— Tatarigami (@tatarigami.bsky.social) February 11, 2025 at 1:48 PM

8/ Without solid security guarantees, like NATO or US boots on the ground – the war cannot be stopped. Paper guarantees from the US hold little value, as the Budapest Memorandum has already shown. If Europe is expected to provide Ukraine’s security, why should Ukraine make a deal with the US at all?

— Tatarigami (@tatarigami.bsky.social) February 11, 2025 at 1:48 PM

9/ Why not deal directly with Europe on security and resources instead of involving an overpriced middleman? Right now, there are far more questions than answers, but one thing is clear: Washington has no real plan.

— Tatarigami (@tatarigami.bsky.social) February 11, 2025 at 1:48 PM

10/ The current proposals don’t position the U.S. as a strategic counter to Russia – instead, they suggest Russia will retain occupied territories, and get sanctions relief, while Ukraine gets pillaged by Trump.

— Tatarigami (@tatarigami.bsky.social) February 11, 2025 at 1:48 PM

The last salvo of the Russian T-90M ‘Breakthrough’https://t.me/robert_magyar/1033

[image or embed]

— 🦋Special Kherson Cat🐈🇺🇦 (@specialkhersoncat.bsky.social) February 11, 2025 at 12:44 PM

🇨🇦🤝🇺🇦 Helijet International has delivered a Sikorsky S-76A medical helicopter to Ukraine. The helicopter, previously used for medical transport in British Columbia, will now support life-saving evacuation missions in Ukraine.

[image or embed]

— 🦋Special Kherson Cat🐈🇺🇦 (@specialkhersoncat.bsky.social) February 11, 2025 at 6:40 AM

Fighters from the “Bureviy” brigade of the National Guard of Ukraine showed an air battle with a Russian drone.

[image or embed]

— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) February 11, 2025 at 2:16 PM

Zolochev, Kharkiv Oblast:

Russia continues its daily terror against civilians. Today, a russian airstrike hit a house in Zolochiv, Kharkiv Oblast, injuring seven people, including a 12-year-old boy.

[image or embed]

— Iryna Voichuk (@irynavoichuk.bsky.social) February 11, 2025 at 8:23 AM

Russia struck Zolochev in the Kharkiv region with guided aerial bombs, damaging 13 houses and injuring 7 people, including a 12-year-old child. Two women and a man were pulled from the rubble.

[image or embed]

— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) February 11, 2025 at 8:42 AM

From The Kyiv Independent:

Russia launched an airstrike against the village of Zolochiv in Kharkiv Oblast on Feb. 11, injuring at least six people, Governor Oleh Syniehubov reported.

A 12-year-old boy was among the injured. Three of the victims have been hospitalized, while the others were provided medical assistance on the spot, the governor said.

Russian forces reportedly struck the town with guided aerial bombs at around 11:27 a.m. local time, hitting a house.

The full extent of damage and casualties is being determined.

Zolochiv, with a pre-war population of 7,700, lies around 15 kilometers (10 miles) south of the Ukraine-Russia border and some 35 kilometers (20 miles) from the regional center, Kharkiv.

Kharkiv Oblast in Ukraine‘s northeast is a regular target of Russian missile, drone, and glide bomb attacks from across the border or Russian-occupied territories.

Kherson:

🇺🇦Kherson region; last 24 hrs:

💔22:00 – a man, 54, injured; high-rises damaged

04:12 – 3 aerial bombs

08:20 – artillery

09:10 – artillery

09:30 – artillery

13:40 – artillery

💔14.00 – a woman, 65, stepped on a mine, injured

💔14.30 Russian drone attacks a car; 2 injured

[image or embed]

— Zarina Zabrisky (@zarinazabrisky.bsky.social) February 11, 2025 at 9:54 AM

The Siversk front:

One of the Russian assaults group which attempted to attack Ukrainian positions on the Siversk front without any vehicle support. t.me/sylasvobody/97

[image or embed]

— 🦋Special Kherson Cat🐈🇺🇦 (@specialkhersoncat.bsky.social) February 11, 2025 at 4:00 AM

The Kursk cross border offensive:

In Russia’s Kursk region, Russians damaged a Ukrainian pickup truck. That night, in retaliation, their house, along with belongings and equipment, was destroyed by an aerial strike.

[image or embed]

— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) February 11, 2025 at 12:10 PM

Saratov Oblast, Russia:

Russian oil refinery in Saratov was under drone attack tonight. “Saratov Oil Refinery” is one of the oldest Russian oil refining enterprises. Oil refining volume: 7.2 million tons per year. 600km from the frontline.

[image or embed]

— 🦋Special Kherson Cat🐈🇺🇦 (@specialkhersoncat.bsky.social) February 11, 2025 at 3:13 AM

That’s enough for tonight.

Your daily Patron!

First some adjacent material from today’s rescue operations:

Resources saved this precious and absolutely unbothered guy from under the rubble today 🐈‍⬛️

[image or embed]

— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) February 11, 2025 at 5:41 PM

And a new video:

@patron__dsns

Живий-здоровий!❤️🐾#песпатрон

♬ original sound – D I S T O R T I O N

Here’s the machine translation of the caption:

Alive and well! ❤️🐾#песпатрон

Open thread!

War for Ukraine Day 1,083: A Brief Tuesday Night UpdatePost + Comments (35)

Dipshit Incel Addict Holds Diminished Old Man Hostage

by @heymistermix.com|  February 11, 20257:03 pm| 100 Comments

This post is in: Open Threads

I didn’t get a chance to watch King Elon and his kid (Klingon? MouseClick?) give a press conference while diminished partially senile Vassal Trump looked on, but it looks like it was a banger.

Asked to respond to people who say he’s orchestrating a hostile takeover of government, Elon Musk lies that “a majority of the public voted for President Trump”

[image or embed]

— Aaron Rupar (@atrupar.com) February 11, 2025 at 2:32 PM


This is just pure, unadulterated political fucking poison. Nobody voted for Musk. Trump said a lot of things, but he never said that he would put this clown in charge of the government and just sit there and nod vacantly. He’s going to take away your kids’ IEP. He’s going to take away money that keeps your University — and the University Hospital that saves lives — running. He’ll break all the rules that you have to follow just to screw you in order to make himself and his buddies richer.

The politics of this are not hard. A posse of unfuckable nerds has infiltrated our government to steal our money because Trump let them.

Edit: Forgot this gem:

Reporter: You said an example of fraud that you have cited was $50 million of condoms was sent to Gaza but after a fact-check apparently it was Gaza in Mozambique meant to protect them against HIV. 

Musk: First of all, some of the things I say will be incorrect

[image or embed]

— Acyn (@acyn.bsky.social) February 11, 2025 at 2:49 PM

Dipshit Incel Addict Holds Diminished Old Man HostagePost + Comments (100)

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