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Balloon Juice

Come for the politics, stay for the snark.

You passed on an opportunity to be offended? What are you even doing here?

The desire to stay informed is directly at odds with the need to not be constantly enraged.

The arc of history bends toward the same old fuckery.

The only way through is to slog through the muck one step at at time.

Dear media: perhaps we ought to let Donald Trump speak for himself!

We’ve had enough carrots to last a lifetime. break out the sticks.

🎶 Those boots were made for mockin’ 🎵

Just because you believe it, that does not make it true.

We still have time to mess this up!

… gradually, and then suddenly.

I have other things to bitch about but those will have to wait.

These days, even the boring Republicans are nuts.

Prediction: the gop will rethink its strategy of boycotting future committees.

Nothing says ‘pro-life’ like letting children go hungry.

I would try pessimism, but it probably wouldn’t work.

Hey Washington Post, “Democracy Dies in Darkness” was supposed to be a warning, not a mission statement.

A tremendous foreign policy asset… to all of our adversaries.

And now I have baud making fun of me. this day can’t get worse.

People really shouldn’t expect the government to help after they watched the GOP drown it in a bathtub.

Damn right I heard that as a threat.

They are not red states to be hated; they are voter suppression states to be fixed.

It’s always darkest before the other shoe drops.

Trump’s cabinet: like a magic 8 ball that only gives wrong answers.

Speaking of republicans, is there a way for a political party to declare intellectual bankruptcy?

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Open Threads

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Dan Pfeiffer Is Worth Listening To: Don’t Believe the Hype, Trump’s First Moves are Very Unpopular

by WaterGirl|  January 21, 20259:50 am| 189 Comments

This post is in: Open Threads, Politics, Can you say "overreach"?

Dan Pfeiffer is one of the people whose substack I pay for, and it’s worth it. I’ll share some of today’s here because I think this is important.  And because it’s important for us to not contribute to the narrative that FFOTUS (First Felon of the United States) is all powerful.

Trump’s inauguration was a truly surreal event.

[…]

Amid this bizarre collection of people and unintentionally ironic location, Trump claimed a massive mandate. and proclaimed the beginning of a “Golden Age” for America. Trump made big and specific promises many of which were executive orders he signed within hours of being sworn in. Later in the day, Trump pardoned 1500 January 6th defendants.

This is all part of a specific strategy,

In the lead-up to the inauguration, Trump aides described this flurry of executive actions as a “shock and awe” campaign (perhaps Team Trump could use a primer on how the Iraq War went). The New York Times reported:

Narrator: just assume the usual bullshit from the NYT, I won’t copy that here.

[…]

The Republicans, his tech oligarch allies, and some in the media are eating it up, but new polling shows that the public is not on board with Trump’s agenda.

Broad Support for Trump’s Narrative

Look, we have to be honest with ourselves; this is not 2017. Back then, Trump stumbled ass backward in the presidency. In many ways, his victory was a fluke. He lost the popular vote and didn’t get above 47% in most swing states. The public didn’t support him or his agenda. This time, Trump won the popular vote, and he entered office more popular than ever.

The public is very open to his message of change and upending the status quo. A New York Times and Ipsos poll found that nine in ten Americans believe the political system is broken and that a majority supported “mass deportation.”

Now for the better news:

show full post on front page

The Public is Not on Board with Trump’s MAGA Agenda

There is a typical cadence to a presidency. The newly elected President comes at their political apex. It’s when they have most political capital to expend, and then they spend the next couple of years drawing down on that account. Every unpopular action, gaffe, or controversy costs political capital, and that account is rarely refilled

A new Wall Street Journal poll shows that Trump is about to spend a bunch of his limited political capital on a series of unpopular agenda items.

Here are the specific findings of the poll:

Even immigration, which is supposed to be his best issue, Trump is fairly vulnerable. As noted above, there is broad support for the idea of deporting undocumented immigrants, but support plummets when you get into the details of who may be deported and how it would happen. An Axios poll found real skepticism for the specifics of Trump’s immigration agenda.

This polling should give Democrats hope that Trump’s political honeymoon will be short-lived, but none of it will matter if do make the case relentlessly in the coming weeks.

I am perplexed by the second part of the final sentence (in italics, just above).  I can’t tell if something is missing or if “do” is supposed to be “don’t” or if that’s an awkward way of saying we have to make the case relentlessly in the coming weeks.  What case?

What do you think of the article, and what do you think the last sentence means?

 

Dan Pfeiffer Is Worth Listening To: Don’t Believe the Hype, Trump’s First Moves are Very UnpopularPost + Comments (189)

Tuesday Morning Open Thread: Protecting Where We Can

by Anne Laurie|  January 21, 20258:23 am| 156 Comments

This post is in: Open Threads

I love this so much!
At the inauguration, Justice Ketanji Brown Jackson wore a distinctive collar adorned with cowrie shells, which are believed to offer protection from evil in African traditions.
This choice mirrors the late Justice Ginsburg’s practice of using collars to convey a message.

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— Christopher Webb (@cwebbonline.com) January 20, 2025 at 8:19 PM


 
I’m not gonna call her our Shadow President, but if that’s who she wants to be…

New on MSNBC: Vice President Harris will fly back to Los Angeles today with an all-female U.S. Air Force crew — the first time an all-female crew has operated a C-33.
Upon landing, Harris will visit a local fire station and then distribute food to community members impacted by the wildfires.

— Kyle Griffin (@kylegriffin1.bsky.social) January 20, 2025 at 1:30 PM

Former Secretary of State has an opinion:

Hillary laughing at Trump announcing he’s renaming the Gulf Of Mexico to the Gulf of America ?? pic.twitter.com/UWypR7d8vb

— Adam (@AdamJSmithGA) January 20, 2025

BREAKING: President Joe Biden has commuted the life sentence of Indigenous activist Leonard Peltier, who was convicted in the 1975 killings of two FBI agents. Peltier will transition to home confinement, Biden said in a statement. https://t.co/CpCvWBlQOk

— The Associated Press (@AP) January 20, 2025

Peltier has always refused to petition for a pardon, on the grounds that he’s not apologizing for crimes he didn’t commit. He’s an old man, and he’ll get to live out his remaining time surrounded by his family and his community:

Indigenous activist Leonard Peltier will return home nearly half a century after he was imprisoned for the 1975 killings of two FBI agents. President Joe Biden commuted Peltier’s sentence Monday following decades of community-led advocacy calling his imprisonment an example of the U.S. government’s mistreatment of Native Americans.

The White House said Peltier, who is now 80 and of declining health, will transition to home confinement. The commutation is not a pardon for crimes committed, a decision some of Peltier’s advocates welcomed since he has always maintained his innocence. But the last-minute move as Biden left office angered law enforcement officers who believe he is guilty.

The National Congress of American Indians celebrated the “historic” decision in a statement saying the case “has long symbolized the systemic injustices faced by Indigenous Peoples.”…

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The movement grabbed headlines in 1973 when it took over the village of Wounded Knee on Pine Ridge — the Oglala Lakota Nation’s reservation in South Dakota — leading to a 71-day standoff with federal agents.

Peltier has long admitted he was present and firing during the June 26, 1975, confrontation with FBI agents who went to Pine Ridge to serve arrest warrants amid battles over Native treaty rights and self-determination.

After being injured in a shootout, agents Jack Coler and Ronald Williams were shot in the head at close range, the FBI said. AIM member Joseph Stuntz also was killed. Peltier fled to Canada but was extradited to the United States and convicted on two counts of first-degree murder. He was sentenced to life in prison in 1977, despite defense claims of falsified evidence.

Two other movement members and Peltier’s co-defendants, Robert Robideau and Dino Butler, were acquitted in the killings…

Bureau of Prisons spokesperson Emery Nelson said Peltier remained incarcerated Monday at USP Coleman, a high-security prison in Florida. Peltier’s lawyer said his release date was tentatively set for Feb. 18.

The commutation Monday follows decades of lobbying and protests by Native American leaders and others who maintain Peltier was wrongfully convicted. Amnesty International has long considered him a political prisoner. Advocates for his release included Archbishop Desmond Tutu, civil rights icon Coretta Scott King, actor and director Robert Redford, and musicians Pete Seeger, Harry Belafonte and Jackson Browne…

Biden issued a record number of individual pardons and commutations. He announced Friday that he was commuting the sentences of almost 2,500 people convicted of nonviolent drug offenses, and he issued a broad pardon to his son Hunter, who was prosecuted for gun and tax crimes.

Outgoing Interior Secretary Deb Haaland, the first Native American Cabinet member, posted on X that the commutation ″signifies a measure of justice that has long evaded so many Native Americans for so many decades.”

“I am grateful that Leonard can now go home to his family,” she added. “I applaud President Biden for this action and understanding what this means to Indian Country.”

Politico is piously disturbed that President Biden didn’t pardon enough people… “Left off Biden’s list of pardons: Jack Smith”:

… Trump has frequently mused about seeking revenge on prosecutors like special counsel Jack Smith, who led the two federal criminal cases against Trump, and Manhattan District Attorney Alvin Bragg, who brought the New York hush money case that ended in Trump’s conviction. Trump has amplified calls for Smith to be thrown in prison and even said he should be “thrown out of the country.” Trump has similarly said “there is a case to be made” that Bragg should be “prosecuted.”

Neither was named by Biden on Monday as the recipient of a pardon, even as the outgoing president moved to protect other prominent officials who have sparked Trump’s ire.

Also left empty-handed were the judges who oversaw Trump’s numerous criminal and civil proceedings. Trump has railed against many of those judges and suggested they should be punished. For instance, he has derided Justice Juan Merchan, the New York trial judge who presided over the hush money case, as “corrupt.” And Trump has said Justice Arthur Engoron, another New York state judge who imposed a half-billion dollar judgment on Trump for civil business fraud, should be “arrested.”

None of them had said publicly that they wanted a pardon, and it’s not clear any of them would have accepted one. But some top Democrats, like Rep. Jim Clyburn of South Carolina, had endorsed the notion of preemptively pardoning prosecutors, particularly Smith.

One reason Biden and his legal advisers may have eschewed pardons for prosecutors and judges is that they may have concluded that pardon protection was unnecessary in light of long-standing immunity principles for certain officials in the judicial system. The Supreme Court has held that prosecutors and judges have broad immunity for anything they do in their official capacities…

And Politico doesn’t mention it, but I personally suspect there’s a few Trump-enabling legal jurists who would slow-walk any such prosecutions, because some of them have to be smart enough that they don’t want to set any precedents for future not-venial not-Trump administrations. Sure, Pam Bondi doesn’t care, but some of those minions presumably remember that the Thousand-Year Reich overestimated its longevity by approximately 988 years… and the Germans had the advantage of novelty.
 
Speaking of pardons…

Speaker Emerita Pelosi hits Trump:
"It is shameful that the President has decided to make one of his top priorities the abandonment and betrayal of police officers who put their lives on the line to stop an attempt to subvert the peaceful transfer of power."

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— Kyle Griffin (@kylegriffin1.bsky.social) January 20, 2025 at 8:30 PM

This woman has more integrity in her little finger than Musk, Bezos, and Zuckerberg with all their billions.

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— Patrick Chovanec (@prchovanec.bsky.social) January 20, 2025 at 11:07 PM

Why I won't take a pardon and what I think about Trump being President again!

Listen in tonight 10pm ET with @abbydphillip as I share my thoughts about J6 criminals pardons! pic.twitter.com/wZ4z4tEIKH

— Pam Hemphill (@PamHemphill79) January 21, 2025

Tuesday Morning Open Thread: Protecting Where We CanPost + Comments (156)

War for Ukraine Day 1,062: Russian Drone Storms Over Ukraine

by Adam L Silverman|  January 20, 20259:54 pm| 17 Comments

This post is in: Foreign Affairs, Foreign Policy, Military, Open Threads, Russia, Silverman on Security, War, War in Ukraine

Painting by NEIVANMADE. It has a white background an in the center are Soldiers in green doing air defense by firing at incoming Russian missiles in the upper right. The missiles are red and yellow. In the upper left, written in green, is the text: "SAVE THE BRAVEST PEOPLE IN THE WORLD!" Below the Soldiers, also written in green, is "SUPPORT FOR KHARKIV"

(Image by NEIVANMADE)

Two quick housekeeping notes. First, I am going to keep tonight’s update very brief for obvious reasons.

Second, before anyone asks, yes, I saw the clips of what Musk did. Those gestures are definitely NAZI salutes. They are not a symptom of Asperbergers or being on the spectrum or whatever other bullshit is being promoted to try to gaslight everyone. That’s all I have to say about that.

History has had extremely dark times when humankind had all reasons to be ashamed and terrified of itself… but I’m trying really hard to recall a time when so many things around were such a grave insult to basic human intellectual capabilities.

— Illia Ponomarenko (@ioponomarenko.bsky.social) January 20, 2025 at 5:41 PM

I mean, the world’s richest man doing the Nazi salute at the U.S. presidential inauguration ceremony… there’s something fundamentally wrong about this world right now.

— Illia Ponomarenko (@ioponomarenko.bsky.social) January 20, 2025 at 5:41 PM

Right now, 9:22 PM EST/4:22 AM local time in Ukraine, all of eastern and central Ukraine, from north to south, is under air raid alert with the exception of Chernihiv Oblast. The alert maps are showing drones, but it is important to remember that the drone swarms are often used to try to overwhelm Ukrainian air defense so that the missiles and bombs can get through.

This was last night’s Ukrainian air defense tally:

On the eve of Trump’s inauguration, fascist Russia makes huge drone attack against democratic Ukraine: of 141 drones, 93 Iranian/Russian Shahed attack drones shot down, 47 decoy drones’ location lost (two flew back to Russia). Shostka in Sumy Oblast came under Russian ballistic missile attack.

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— Euan MacDonald (@euanmacdonald.bsky.social) January 20, 2025 at 3:51 AM

Here is President Zelenskyy’s address from earlier today. Video below, English transcript after the jump.

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Ukrainians Are Ready to Work Together with Americans to Achieve Peace, True Peace – Address by the President

20 January 2025 – 20:42

I wish you health, fellow Ukrainians!

Today, the Security Service of Ukraine, the State Bureau of Investigation, the National Police, and the Prosecutor’s Office are also doing a good job of ensuring justice in Ukraine, particularly in military affairs. Wealthy draft officers, situations like those in the Kharkiv region when the Russian army attempted to occupy our land and advance on Kharkiv again, and criminal errors in brigade management – all these issues require thorough investigation and just responses. I thank law enforcers for today’s efforts, and it is essential for people to feel that no status or past achievements can override the rule of law.

I held a meeting of the Staff today – many issues were discussed, including our domestic production and equipment repairs. Our defense industry, our defense production, is an absolute priority.

Today, the Speaker of the Lithuanian Seimas visited Ukraine. We discussed further cooperation between our states and our nations. I am grateful for the support of all Lithuanians, all our friends. I would like to thank Gitanas, the President of Lithuania. And I am confident that the kind of unity we have between our countries, between Ukraine and Lithuania, is exactly what all of Europe needs now – so that we can achieve security for ourselves and for everyone in Europe. Right now, there is a good opportunity for this.The inauguration of the new President of the United States, Donald Trump. He is a strong person. I wish President Trump and all of America success. Ukrainians are ready to work together with Americans to achieve peace, true peace. This is an opportunity that must be seized.

Glory to Ukraine!

Georgia:

#GeorgiaProtests

Day 54

📷Basti Mgaloblishvili/@Publika_ge

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— Publika.ge (@publikage.bsky.social) January 20, 2025 at 2:55 PM

Today was day 54 of large-scale, continuous protests, and day 84 overall.
More importantly, today was the day, January 20, about which the illegitimate, puppet PM said it was impossible for protests to last until. 🤡 #GeorgiaProtests

— Marika Mikiashvili 🇬🇪🇺🇦🇪🇺 (@marikamikiashvili.bsky.social) January 20, 2025 at 1:05 PM

I took a photo of this elderly couple near the Parliament. They’re probably over 75. Late at night, in the freezing cold, they stood hand in hand with the Georgian flag, protesting against the tyrannical regime—together, caring for each other, and thinking about the future of the youth.

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— Ani (@anieliashvili.bsky.social) January 19, 2025 at 9:50 AM

This man stands every day on Rustaveli at a protest rally, holding a banner, and each day the message is different. Today’s message is: “To our European friends – don’t leave Georgia in Russia”.

#GeorgiaProtests

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— Publika.ge (@publikage.bsky.social) January 20, 2025 at 12:28 PM

JUST IN: @netgazeti.org director Mzia Amaghlobeli, jailed and degraded by Irakli Dgebuadze the Batumi Police Head, announces a hunger strike. #terrorinGeorgia #GeorgiaProtests

— Marika Mikiashvili 🇬🇪🇺🇦🇪🇺 (@marikamikiashvili.bsky.social) January 20, 2025 at 7:35 AM

🟥 The CEO of independent media outlets Batumelebi & Netgazeti has been refusing food in prison in protest.

🔴 Her lawyers and Batumelebi’s editor-in-chief held a press conference, calling the case politically motivated and her detention unlawful.
#GeorgiaProtests
#ReporessionInGeorgia

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— Batumelebi&Netgazeti (@netgazeti.org) January 20, 2025 at 6:37 AM

🔴”Fight while there is still time. Fight wherever you are, in every corner of this land, beyond its borders, villages and cities, streets and lecture halls, workplaces, and public squares.

Be brave. Protect and strengthen one another,” Mzia Amaglobeli, in a prison letter.
#GeorgiaProtests

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— Batumelebi&Netgazeti (@netgazeti.org) January 20, 2025 at 6:57 AM

Protesters in Tbilisi and Batumi rallied today in support of Mzia Amaglobeli, the jailed founder of “Batumelebi.” They demand the suspension of Batumi Police Chief Irakli Dgebuadze and call for Mzia’s release by replacing her pretrial detention with an alternative measure.

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— Publika.ge (@publikage.bsky.social) January 20, 2025 at 4:31 AM

“In 2025, we must deal the decisive blow to the radicals in our country and finish with the fascism” – illegitimate PM Kobakhidze.
Massive repressions coming. #terrorinGeorgia #GeorgiaProtests

— Marika Mikiashvili 🇬🇪🇺🇦🇪🇺 (@marikamikiashvili.bsky.social) January 20, 2025 at 3:47 AM

JUST IN: the regime begins purging universities in Georgia!

Illegitimate PM Kobakhidze announces a 4-year-long special “government” commission effort to “fundamentally reform” the university system. He states that the current system was modeled by the previous government for themselves, 1/

— Marika Mikiashvili 🇬🇪🇺🇦🇪🇺 (@marikamikiashvili.bsky.social) January 20, 2025 at 3:04 AM

that the majority of Tbilisi State University professors are political appointees and that there is no place for politics at universities. Kobakhidze also added that the reform would likely meet the same protest from the public as the “Foreign Agents” law did.
#terrorinGeorgia #GeorgiaProtests 2/2.

— Marika Mikiashvili 🇬🇪🇺🇦🇪🇺 (@marikamikiashvili.bsky.social) January 20, 2025 at 3:04 AM

Back to Ukraine.

Here’s the Russian butcher’s bill for just last week:

Russia launched nearly 550 drones, 60 missiles, over 660 aerial bombs against Ukraine in a week, Zelensky says #Ukraine

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— 🔱🇺🇦 (@amplifyukraine.eu) January 20, 2025 at 6:00 AM

From The Kyiv Independent:

Russian forces launched around 550 attack drones, nearly 60 missiles of various types, and more than 660 aerial bombs against Ukraine during the past week, President Volodymyr Zelensky said in his evening address on Jan. 20.

Russia launched a mass aerial attack against Ukraine on Jan. 15, targeting Lviv, Kharkiv, Ivano-Frankivsk, and Khmelnytskyi oblasts. On Jan. 18, Russia attacked Kyiv with missiles, killing three people, and injuring three others.

Over the week, the Ukrainian military shot down 33 missiles, including ballistic missiles, and 311 attack drones, according to Zelensky. Another 136 drones used in daily attacks on infrastructure “did not reach their targets,” the president added.

“I am very grateful to all our soldiers, military aviation, anti-aircraft gunners, electronic warfare units, and mobile fire groups. But the task remains unchanged — continue strengthening our skies’ protection,” Zelensky said.

“More Patriot (air defenses) for Ukraine means more protection of life. More long-range capability for Ukraine means more guarantees that the Russian war will be stopped,” he added.

Ukraine has lobbied international partners for more air defense capabilities in the wake of intensifying Russian strikes targeting civilian and energy infrastructure.

Ukraine is also reportedly working on developing its own air defense systems, Commander-in-Chief Oleksandr Syrskyi said in an interview with the Ukrainian news outlet TSN on Jan. 19.

The Kursk cross border offensive:

Ukrainian Forces repelled a large mechanised assault by the occupiers’ army in the Kursk operational zone, destroying 3 tanks, 7 IFVs, and several dozen personnel. The bloody and fiery carousel was orchestrated by combined units of the 47th and 82nd Brigades using artillery, drones, and small arms

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— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) January 20, 2025 at 2:04 PM

Full video: t.me/brygada47/1168

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— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) January 20, 2025 at 2:04 PM

The drone flew in to check the Kursk ammunition depot and joined the party.

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— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) January 20, 2025 at 12:44 PM

Zolochiv, Kharkiv Oblast:

Yesterday, Russia launched three guided aerial bombs on Zolochiv in the Kharkiv region, destroying several households and injuring a 14-year-old girl and an elderly woman.

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— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) January 20, 2025 at 5:50 AM

Antonivka, Kherson Oblast:

🆘 “this is what happened to our house, we fed all the abandoned animals till now, the house is uninhabitable, thank God, everyone survived….. 6 cats, 7 dogs, 5 people. Help us to evacuate” – Inna

Kherson. Antonivka. The road of death.

Russian drones hit all rescue cars.

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— Zarina Zabrisky (@zarinazabrisky.bsky.social) January 20, 2025 at 8:02 AM

I first met Inna in October 2023. She was pregnant with twins but lost one baby due to the guided aerial bomb attacks on her house. Since then, the family has been through hell. Now, they are stuck in a ruined house where no one can drive. euromaidanpress.com/2023/10/06/w…

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— Zarina Zabrisky (@zarinazabrisky.bsky.social) January 20, 2025 at 8:07 AM

Pokrovsk:

Russians have been shelling Pokrovsk all day.

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— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) January 20, 2025 at 2:07 PM

Smolensk Oblast, Russia:

Smolensk, Russia – witness captures a moment drone crashes into a building/facility.

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— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) January 20, 2025 at 6:37 PM

Smolensk – witness captures moment russian air defence missile takes out an unidentified drone.

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— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) January 20, 2025 at 6:39 PM

According to reports, UAVs physically sanctioned an aviation plant in Smolensk — an aircraft and missile manufacturer. The plant is already under EU and US sanctions and produces Kh-59 missiles.

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— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) January 20, 2025 at 6:45 PM

Kazan, Russia:

Video of what appears to be a drone flying in the direction of aircraft factory followed by large explosion in Kazan, Russia early on Jan. 20. Drone may have hit the factory, KAPO-Kompozit (КАПО-Композит) or its nearby oil depot.

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— Euan MacDonald (@euanmacdonald.bsky.social) January 20, 2025 at 4:40 AM

Geolocation of factory: 55.868513,49.112231
Video filmed from: 55.859090, 49.105464
Oil deport circled in red.
Source: t.me/exilenova_pl…

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— Euan MacDonald (@euanmacdonald.bsky.social) January 20, 2025 at 4:46 AM

Liski, Russia:

/4. Fifth day, Russian oil depot in Liski is still burning

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— 🦋Special Kherson Cat🐈🇺🇦 (@specialkhersoncat.bsky.social) January 20, 2025 at 6:22 AM

Major Russian channels confirm a new fire at the oil refinery in the city of Liski, Voronezh region, following a UAV strike. The ineffective air defense system remains powerless against Ukraine’s slow-moving drones.

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— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) January 20, 2025 at 2:50 PM

That’s enough for tonight.

Your daily Patron!

There are no new Patron skeets or videos today. Here is some adjacent material.

Today’s Cat of Conflict is a cute red furry cat Nastia and her sister saw in their village in the Vinnytsia region.

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— Tim Mak (@timkmak.bsky.social) January 20, 2025 at 9:25 AM

Feeding station in action today. The Hachiko team keeps 125 of these refilled across the front lines of Ukraine each week. Super simple—but they work!

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— Nate Mook (@natemook.bsky.social) January 18, 2025 at 5:28 PM

Open thread!

War for Ukraine Day 1,062: Russian Drone Storms Over UkrainePost + Comments (17)

A Real Fucking Mystery

by @heymistermix.com|  January 20, 20255:55 pm| 294 Comments

This post is in: Open Threads

A Real Fucking Mystery

Elon did this twice* at a rally.  Let’s see how our news media responded.

AP:  “Elon Musk pumped his fists as he spoke at the Inauguration Day viewing party at Capital One arena. He celebrated Trump’s victory, calling it “really important” and highlighting the new president’s promise to plant the U.S. flag on Mars — a longtime goal of Musk’s.”

NYT:  “Elon Musk ignites online speculation over the meaning of a hand gesture.”

Washington Post:  Nada, no mention at all.

Guardian: Elon Musk appears to make back-to-back fascist salutes at inauguration rally

The Guardian wins this round — wish they didn’t have so many TERFs working there.

Also, Amy Klobuchar is on BlueSky bragging about how great it is that we had a peaceful transition of power.  She also had some kind of a role at the Inaguration (I saw it on the gym TV so I’m not sure what it was).  The absolute inability to read the moment should be shocking, but after the last few years, it isn’t.

Edit: * Josh Marshall saw this and said Elon did it three times.

A Real Fucking MysteryPost + Comments (294)

‘Shock and Awe’ Only Works if You’re Shocked and Awed

by @heymistermix.com|  January 20, 20251:09 pm| 141 Comments

This post is in: Open Threads

'Shock and Awe' Only Works if You're Shocked and Awed
Ben’s got it right, as does Josh Marshall:

I’m not one to tell people how they should react to or experience things. But for me I’m taking all of this in with a serene impassivity. They won. They’re entitled to their day. The Trump people have been signaling for days that they’re going to hit the ground running with what they describe as an executive ‘shock and awe’. I don’t see any reason to be shocked or awed. I don’t say this in any grand metaphysical sense. I mean that I’ve seen headstrong winners of close elections high on their own supply before. As I wrote a couple weeks ago, all of this is meant to hit you with so much sensory stimulus that you become overwhelmed. But the images you see wrapped around you in an iMax theater aren’t real. It’s still a movie.

I saw a bit of the inauguration on TV at the gym, and it seemed small and cramped. Two soldiers (Marines?) marching down the aisle as tightly as they could ended up physically pushing through the packed crowd. Then Trump got up and I stopped looking, because whatever he yaps is bullshit, and I’ll be focusing my energy on the fights against the certainly unconstitutional executive orders that he’ll be shitting out today.

Another good attitude about the inauguration was AOCs, who said on TikTok and Insta that she’s not attending the inauguration: “Let me make myself clear. I don’t celebrate rapists. So, no, I’m not going to the inauguration tomorrow.”

‘Shock and Awe’ Only Works if You’re Shocked and AwedPost + Comments (141)

January Made me Shiver

by @heymistermix.com|  January 20, 202510:10 am| 267 Comments

This post is in: Open Threads

Today’s the day.  In preparation, Biden has issued a number of preemptive pardons:

WASHINGTON (AP) — President Joe Biden on Monday pardoned Dr. Anthony Fauci, retired Gen. Mark Milley and members of the House committee that investigated the Jan. 6 attack on the Capitol, in an extraordinary use of the powers of the presidency in his final hours to guard against potential “revenge” by the incoming Trump administration.

The decision by Biden comes after Donald Trump warned of an enemies list filled with those who have crossed him politically or sought to hold him accountable for his attempt to overturn his 2020 election loss and his role in the storming of the U.S. Capitol on Jan. 6, 2021. Trump has selected Cabinet nominees who backed his election lies and who have pledged to punish those involved in efforts to investigate him.

“The issuance of these pardons should not be mistaken as an acknowledgment that any individual engaged in any wrongdoing, nor should acceptance be misconstrued as an admission of guilt for any offense,” Biden said in a statement. “Our nation owes these public servants a debt of gratitude for their tireless commitment to our country.”

Good.

Now to the infighting that will characterize the Trump administration.  Vivek Ramaswamy is out at DOGE and signaling a run for Ohio Governor.  LOL at that last bit.  Steve Bannon says he wants state AGs to use the (execrable) Laken Riley Act to sue to block H1-B visas.  That’s a shot across Elon’s bow, since he loves his H1-B employees and has a lot of operations in Texas, where Ken Paxton would I’m sure love to file yet another performative lawsuit.

In other news, not only did Trump move the inauguration indoors, he also had the Jumbotrons in the National Mall taken down, so any of his supporters who travelled to DC to watch the inaugural will do so from their hotel rooms or at the hotel bar.  The mistreatment of the rubes who bought his snake oil starts now.

Anne Laurie posted that remix of “Everybody Wants to Rule The World” in Latin below, and it’s a worthy contender for the theme song of the Trump Administration, but given the number of whiny-ass broligarchs in his orbit (“Tesla CEO Elon Musk, the world’s richest man, as well as Meta founder Mark Zuckerberg, Google CEO Sundar Pichai, Apple CEO Tim Cook and Amazon founder Jeff Bezos” went to church with the Trumps this morning), I nominate this song:

January Made me ShiverPost + Comments (267)

Monday Morning Open Thread: Lodestars for the Present Moment

by Anne Laurie|  January 20, 20256:17 am| 336 Comments

This post is in: Books, Open Threads, Proud to Be A Democrat

The promise of this nation is real. And the progress that we've made possible during this Administration wasn't just about today, it was about tomorrow.

It was about showing that America – and American democracy – works.

Not just for the privileged few. But for all of us. pic.twitter.com/mNdIs8vo94

— President Biden (@POTUS) January 18, 2025

(Yes, I miss them already.)
 

She wrote a whole essay on this: commongood.cc/reader/a-few…

[image or embed]

— Caitlin (@constantcait.bsky.social) January 9, 2025 at 5:00 PM

Been saving this for the right moment. From the Common Good Collective, the wise & prescient Octavia Butler, twenty-five years ago, with “A Few Rules For Predicting The Future”:

Octavia Butler was an author of moving and prophetic science fiction novels. She wrote an essay in 2000 for Essence Magazine that teaches us the capacity we have to understand the future, as well as our limitations.

Reflection: When a student asks Butler what the answer is to ending the suffering in the world, she replies, “…there’s no single answer that will solve all of our future problems. There’s no magic bullet. Instead there are thousands of answers–at least. You can be one of them if you choose to be.”

“SO DO YOU REALLY believe that in the future we’re going to have the kind of trouble you write about in your books?” a student asked me as I was signing books after a talk. The young man was referring to the troubles I’d described in Parable of the Sower and Parable of the Talents, novels that take place in a near future of increasing drug addiction and illiteracy, marked by the popularity of prisons and the unpopularity of public schools, the vast and growing gap between the rich and everyone else, and the whole nasty family of problems brought on by global warming.

“I didn’t make up the problems,” I pointed out. ‘All I did was look around at the problems we’re neglecting now and give them about 30 years to grow into full-fledged disasters.’…

Learn From the Past
Of course, writing novels about the future doesn’t give me any special ability to foretell the future. But it does encourage me to use our past and present behaviors as guides to the kind of world we seem to be creating. The past, for example, is filled with repeating cycles of strength and weakness, wisdom and stupidity, empire and ashes. To study history is to study humanity. And to try to foretell the future without studying history is like trying to learn to read without bothering to learn the alphabet…

Respect the Law of Consequences
… I don’t believe we can do anything at all without side effects–also known as unintended consequences. Those consequences may be beneficial or harmful. They may be too slight to matter or they may be worth the risk because the potential benefits are great, but the consequences are always there. In Parable of the Sower, my character put it this way:

All that you touch/You Change
All that you Change/Changes you
The only lasting truth/Is Change
God/Is Change…

Monday Morning Open Thread: Lodestars for the Present Moment

(John Deering via GoComics.com)

Monday Morning Open Thread: Lodestars for the Present MomentPost + Comments (336)

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