All these “this has to be the nail in the coffin for Biden” tweets seem to posit that Biden cannot simply tell them to go fuck themselves and there’s nothing they can do about it. https://t.co/0z1V1mwQF4
— Thomas (@tcstephenson818) July 7, 2024
Before he nearly died of an autoimmune disease, Dana Houle ran Democratic campaigns for a living. I’ve been holding onto this thread to see how things shook out over the weekend, and it’s become abundantly clear that you can’t set up a whole circus overnight based around a few professional clowns and a plethora of would-be ringmasters…
This tweet (starting a thread) got over 1.1m views. Not one person said it was wrong. (A few ppl disagreed but cited examples that don’t pertain to our current situation.)
It’s Biden or maybe Harris, nobody else https://t.co/iGZ6jPrTbT https://t.co/JQkLuK3nq6
— Dana Houle (@DanaHoule) July 7, 2024
2/It’s possible I’m missing something, but I don’t think so. Here’s why the Democrats can nominate Joe Biden, or possibly Kamala Harris, but nobody else.
There’s only one candidate with a 2024 presidential campaign committee registered with the Federal Election Commission.
3/Some of the “stuff” of the Biden campaign can probably be transferred to the DNC (and maybe state parties), but most of it can’t. Another candidate can’t just take over Biden’s campaign.
So, think about it.
A new nominee would not have a campaign. Like, not a tax ID…
4/Not a bank account, not a website or address. There would be nothing. They would start out largely paralyzed for weeks.
First and most obviously, there would be no staff. And there would be no HR process for hiring staff, no payroll process. So a new campaign trying to…
5/…rapidly expand would have to focus on staffing. They could probably hire people from the Biden campaign, but not all would want to work for the new candidate.
Among the first people needed would be compliance and legal staff, because a new campaign would be immediately…
6/…challenged on ballot access and all kinds of other stuff. Compliance would be needed to deal with the massive influx of immediate cash and to be sure everything meets FEC rules.
But to get cash they’d need banking/accounting as well. So that needs to be set up…
7/And since most of the money would come in online, they’d need to immediately set up a web operation robust enough to handle to load, and secure enough to handle the obvious cyberattacks that would happen. So they’d need contracts for servers, support staff, etc…
8/This new campaign would also be immediately inundated with calls and emails from press, potential volunteers and donors, other campaigns/party orgs, orgs inviting the candidate to events, etc.. So they would immediately need staff for press, scheduling, political, etc
9/Some of these people could probably slide over from the DNC or state parties. But that leaves holes at the DNC and state parties.
But let’s say they could immediately staff up. Where does everyone work? Office leases prob can’t be automatically transferred to the…
10/…new campaign, so all of those would need to be renegotiated, and some may not be available to the new campaign. They’d also have to deal with utilities.
Then, how does everyone communicate? As we know from 2016, security breeches can be fatal. So it’s not something…
11/…that can be tossed together in a day or so.
Clearing Dawn Open Thread: Too Late to Turn Back NowPost + Comments (173)























