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Balloon Juice

Come for the politics, stay for the snark.

Polls are now a reliable indicator of what corporate Republicans want us to think.

“Perhaps I should have considered other options.” (head-desk)

You are either for trump or for democracy. Pick one.

One way or another, he’s a liar.

Every one of the “Roberts Six” lied to get on the court.

Wake up. Grow up. Get in the fight.

The “burn-it-down” people are good with that until they become part of the kindling.

When they say they are pro-life, they do not mean yours.

Good lord, these people are nuts.

Too little, too late, ftfnyt. fuck all the way off.

My right to basic bodily autonomy is not on the table. that’s the new deal.

And now I have baud making fun of me. this day can’t get worse.

There are no moderate republicans – only extremists and cowards.

Sadly, there is no cure for stupid.

We know you aren’t a Democrat but since you seem confused let me help you.

I might just take the rest of the day off and do even more nothing than usual.

America is going up in flames. The NYTimes fawns over MAGA celebrities. No longer a real newspaper.

After dobbs, women are no longer free.

No offense, but this thread hasn’t been about you for quite a while.

I like political parties that aren’t owned by foreign adversaries.

In after Baud. Damn.

Today’s gop: why go just far enough when too far is right there?

Republicans in disarray!

There are some who say that there are too many strawmen arguments on this blog.

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You are here: Home / Archives for 2024

Archives for 2024

The Universal Constant

by Rose Judson|  November 7, 20243:00 am| 163 Comments

This post is in: Open Threads

Via commenter Kelly in Cole’s post below, some math from John Rogers:

27 percent never fails

First actual laugh I’ve had since Tuesday night, albeit a bitter laugh. I’ve got a pal who is despondent about the election coming over this evening. I’m going to order us curry and then set up my projector screen and force him to play The Legend of Zelda: Tears of the Kingdom for a while. Good for him to be taken care of, good for me to do some taking care of.

Not eating much. Lots of paid work on, which is a helpful distraction. Moving forward with various proactive practicalities. I’ve also convinced my family (the sane half, anyway) to move group chat and communication over to Signal from WhatsApp.

(P.S.: If you’re following Books of All Time, episode 19 will be out late on Friday. For obvious reasons.)

The Universal ConstantPost + Comments (163)

Wednesday Night Open Thread

by John Cole|  November 6, 202410:14 pm| 117 Comments

This post is in: John Cole Presents "This Fucking Old House", Open Threads

Great post by Adam below.

So I ate something. I had picked up chinese yesterday was too nervous to eat and then too sick to my stomach to eat, was not hungry all day, and just ate something, so that is good. I also am pushing back my trip a day. Earlier I was in the kind of mood to just drive into a concrete underpass at 80 mph, but that was quickly replaced with rage at pretty much everything. Regardless, I didn’t sleep last night and am not going to sleep well tonight, and I just don’t want to put other people at risk with distracted driving tomorrow. I will leave on Friday.

I have already cruised through being upset about the election so am now straight into the anger phase, where I suspect I will stay until November 2028. Fuck Donald Trump.

Wednesday Night Open ThreadPost + Comments (117)

War for Ukraine Day 987: Adjustments & Changes

by Adam L Silverman|  November 6, 20249:45 pm| 38 Comments

This post is in: Foreign Affairs, Foreign Policy, Military, Open Threads, Russia, Silverman on Security, War, War in Ukraine

Three housekeeping notes. First, Rosie is doing great. She’ll see her regular vet Friday, which will be the first time her regular vet has seen her since she started chemo. This is just routine. Thank you for all the good thoughts, well wishes, prayers, and donations.

Second, about a month or so ago Cole and I had a discussion about tweets. Specifically, because Apartheid Clyde keeps mucking around with the code and the API, embedding tweets is really mucking up the site. There’s just no way for any developer to stay on top of the mess. Of course the majority of Ukrainians and those reporting on Ukraine are continuing to do so on the hellsite, which is why I was continuing to embed them. I’ve already checked and Nitter posts don’t embed. But I think all of us would like to give the Starlink Snowflake less exposure, so over the next few days I’ll be trying just using the Nitter link and copying and pasting the content combined with using BlueSky embeds where I can. This will mean less screen shots and videos, so may not be optimal and I may have to go back to doing things the other way. Thank you all in advance for your forbearance.

Third, I’m taking several days of leave to recharge. That’s from my actual paying work.  Tomorrow I will do a post on where we are in the wake of yesterday’s and today’s news. However, I want to make an important point right now: what you all did here, including Watergirl’s organizing, was incredible. The civic action you all undertook, providing donations for, or both was amazing and you should all be very, very proud of your efforts. The reason we are where we are though is because while civic action is necessary, it is not sufficient by itself given the reality of the past nine years. The President-elect’s movement is a revolutionary one that revolves around a revanchist, reactionary racist, antisemitic, Islamophobic, misogynist, homophobic, xenophobic, and (white) Christian nationalist ideology fused with a cult of personality around the President-elect. And this movement is aided and abetted by extreme gerrymanders, extreme voter suppression, extreme voter disenfranchisement, low intensity revolutionary violence/the threat of violence, and the subversion of the federal judiciary and the 25 states where the GOP has trifectas. As necessary as civic action is, it is not sufficient to counter that. It has to be combined with counter-guerilla warfare to counter the violence/threats of violence and counter-political action to counter the subversion of the federal courts, the extreme gerrymanders, voter suppression, and voter disenfranchisement. Unless an individual or small group is going to undertake a partisan counter-guerilla warfare campaign, which would of necessity have to be violent, these things can only really be done by government officials. And they weren’t. They weren’t even undertaken. I’ll have more on this tomorrow, but I wanted to make sure that everyone recognizes that you all did everything you could possibly do in the one line of effort that can be done by the citizenry. You all did great and important work, take both pride and as much comfort in that as you can!

Here is President Zelenskyy’s address from earlier today. Video below, English transcript after the jump.

show full post on front page

War for Ukraine Day 987: Adjustments & ChangesPost + Comments (38)

Wednesday Evening Open Thread: Kamala Harris’ Concession Speech

by Anne Laurie|  November 6, 20245:56 pm| 114 Comments

This post is in: Elections 2024, Kamala Harris for President, Open Threads, Proud to Be A Democrat

“While I concede this election, I do not concede the fight that fueled this campaign. The fight for freedom, for opportunity, for fairness, and the dignity of all people.”

— Kamala Harris in her concession speech. pic.twitter.com/38zUS1YXFB

— Pop Base (@PopBase) November 6, 2024

Kamala Harris: And so to everyone who is watching, do not despair. This is not a time to throw up our hands. This is a time to roll up our sleeves. This is a time to organize, to mobilize, and to stay engaged. pic.twitter.com/t9uiVrJ0cA

— Acyn (@Acyn) November 6, 2024

Kamala Harris delivers a gracious and classy concession speech.

Difficult to hear, but necessary.
Incredibly well done. ???????? pic.twitter.com/YEmCfucTZl

— BrooklynDad_Defiant!?? (@mmpadellan) November 6, 2024

"Sometimes the fight takes a while."

Here is the full entire concession speech from VP Kamala Harris at Howard University.

?? pic.twitter.com/5TUVHPdFEw

— Art Candee ???? (@ArtCandee) November 6, 2024

Wednesday Evening Open Thread: Kamala Harris’ Concession SpeechPost + Comments (114)

The Fight Never Ends

by Soonergrunt|  November 6, 20244:58 pm| 94 Comments

This post is in: 2024 Activism, Open Threads

Same thing I said to my kids 8 years ago:
We are engaged in a fight to make our communities, our country, and our world better.
The fight was never ours to win and damn sure never ours to surrender. We fight. Over and over, and over again to the end of our days, and our children and grandchildren after us.
So take the day to mourn and weep without shame if you need to. It’s human.
But you get ONE day. Because the fight doesn’t ever stop, and we need you back in the line.

 

Oh, and literally EVERY WORD John said here: https://balloon-juice.com/2024/11/06/some-post-loss-decorum/

The Fight Never EndsPost + Comments (94)

Some More Good Reads

by @heymistermix.com|  November 6, 20244:42 pm| 71 Comments

This post is in: Open Threads

Some More Good Reads

This is a long, somber one from Popehat, Ken White.  I won’t excerpt it.

Digby has a whole post from James Fallows today.  Again worth a read.

Scott Lemieux’ take on Harris is roughly what I think (post also has some good embedded threads):

I know data and logic can never stop a pundit’s fallacy, and “the operation was a success but the patient died” is of no consolation at this point, but the idea that the problem last night was the result of marginal messaging choices is completely delusional […]

This is a nationwide shift to the right and against the presidential in-party, and the shift was notably less pronounced in the contested battleground states, which is the opposite of what you would expect if Harris ran a poor campaign. There is no such thing as a flawless campaign but Harris had much higher net approval ratings than Biden, correctly identified the most competitive states, improved Democratic margins there, and was notably more competitive than other incumbent parties have done since COVID inflation (or than Trudeau is looking).

In the comments on my last post, people were re-litigating the Biden step aside.  Here’s my take:  if you’re going to talk counterfactuals, I also want to hear how you think things would have gone if Biden had chosen to be a one-term president and there had been a robust Democratic primary, where we had a lot of TV time and attention in the vacuum left by Trump’s coronation by the Republicans.   I don’t know the answer to that, but I’m firmly in the camp that Biden would have gotten creamed worse than Harris.

Some More Good ReadsPost + Comments (71)

Please Adjust Your Own Mask

by Rose Judson|  November 6, 20242:51 pm| 93 Comments

This post is in: Open Threads, All we want is life beyond the thunderdome, Bitter Despair is the New Black, I Will Cut You If You Muddy This Thread

“Ah! Well, nevertheless,” remains undefeated, it seems.

Please Adjust Your Own Mask

From over here it feels like something has snapped between me and the home country. I’m now a small craft adrift from the big boat. More numb than grieving so far. The big, immediate anxiety for me is financial: I rely on US-based clients, and higher tax and a weaker dollar could leave me unable to meet bills over here even if I keep all of them. I’m already looking for more UK-based work and talking to an immigration lawyer about naturalization.

I’m worried about my trans relatives, about my parents’ healthcare, about my in-laws and other loved ones who are green card holders or recently naturalized Americans — Stephen Miller has made it clear he wants an office of denaturalization. I’m worried about my daughter’s US citizenship rights and mine, and so much more besides.

I hate “self-care” talk — nowadays it smacks of influencers and elaborate bubble baths and related bullshit. But I’ve been reminding myself all day to complete basic tasks, so I’ll share those reminders with you:

  • Take care of your food and hydration
  • Rest – if not able to sleep, read something simple and distracting on paper, away from devices
  • Exercise (screaming counts)
  • Talk to others who feel the same way
  • Clean something in your space, no matter how small
  • Look after your pets and your young ones

You really cannot give from an empty cup.

If you are in a dark and completely hopeless place, please follow John’s advice from earlier and call for help.

The LGBT National Hotline: (888) 843-4564

National Suicide Prevention Lifeline: (800) 273-8255

Tell us in the comments, please, one good, non-politics thing you saw today – anything that gave you even a picosecond of relief. Here’s mine: Monty and the current regular stray I’m feeding, Crusty Oliver, seem to be on a foes-to-bros character arc. This morning they were sleeping on the patio table in proximity to one another. This is a photo of them hanging out on my garden shed from the other day:

Please Adjust Your Own Mask 1

I’ll get that wily little scruffball to the vet yet.

Please Adjust Your Own MaskPost + Comments (93)

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