• Menu
  • Skip to primary navigation
  • Skip to main content
  • Skip to primary sidebar

Before Header

  • About Us
  • Lexicon
  • Contact Us
  • Our Store
  • ↑
  • ↓

Balloon Juice

Come for the politics, stay for the snark.

The republican caucus is covering themselves with something, and it is not glory.

“What are Republicans afraid of?” Everything.

Michigan is a great lesson for Dems everywhere: when you have power…use it!

That’s my take and I am available for criticism at this time.

Giving in to doom is how authoritarians win.

We are builders in a constant struggle with destroyers. keep building.

If you voted for Trump, you don’t get to speak about ethics, morals, or rule of law.

When we show up, we win.

Baby steps, because the Republican Party is full of angry babies.

When someone says they “love freedom”, rest assured they don’t mean yours.

I would try pessimism, but it probably wouldn’t work.

Not so fun when the rabbit gets the gun, is it?

Relentless negativity is not a sign that you are more realistic.

Technically true, but collectively nonsense

Sometimes the world just tells you your cat is here.

You don’t get to peddle hatred on saturday and offer condolences on sunday.

Let me file that under fuck it.

No one could have predicted…

They punch you in the face and then start crying because their fist hurts.

A thin legal pretext to veneer over their personal religious and political desires.

Dear elected officials: Trump is temporary, dishonor is forever.

Boeing: repeatedly making the case for high speed rail.

Dear Washington Post, you are the darkness now.

I’d hate to be the candidate who lost to this guy.

Mobile Menu

  • Seattle Meet-up Post
  • 2025 Activism
  • Targeted Political Fundraising
  • Donate with Venmo, Zelle & PayPal
  • Site Feedback
  • War in Ukraine
  • Submit Photos to On the Road
  • Politics
  • On The Road
  • Open Threads
  • Topics
  • COVID-19
  • Authors
  • About Us
  • Contact Us
  • Lexicon
  • Our Store
  • Politics
  • Open Threads
  • 2025 Activism
  • Garden Chats
  • On The Road
  • Targeted Fundraising!
You are here: Home / Archives for Foreign Affairs / Israel

Israel

War for Ukraine Day 1,124: Russia Hits More Civilian Targets in Sumy, Kharkiv, & Other Parts of Ukraine

by Adam L Silverman|  March 24, 202510:14 pm| 13 Comments

This post is in: Foreign Affairs, Foreign Policy, Israel, Military, Open Threads, Russia, Silverman on Security, War, War in Ukraine

I know that Rose covered the big news from this morning, which is good because I don’t want to have to do so. I will just say that this kind of sloppiness is unlikely to be a one off. The question that has to be asked is how many more times has this happened over the past two months and who other than Goldberg ended up getting highly classified information from Trump’s senior natsec team?

The Russians unloaded on Sumy today.

Russia attacked Sumy with missiles just now!

[image or embed]

— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) March 24, 2025 at 9:02 AM

Russia just bombed a school and several apartment building in Sumy, as their delegation negotiates “peace.”

[image or embed]

— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) March 24, 2025 at 12:15 PM

UPD Sumy. The number of injured in russian missile attack has risen to 74.

[image or embed]

— Iryna Voichuk (@irynavoichuk.bsky.social) March 24, 2025 at 11:00 AM

14 children injured in Sumy in Russian missile attack. This is Russia’s “negotiations.”

[image or embed]

— Maria Avdeeva (@mariainkharkiv.bsky.social) March 24, 2025 at 10:49 AM

Sumy right now‼️

[image or embed]

— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) March 24, 2025 at 11:09 AM

Here is President Zelenskyy’s address from earlier today. Video below, English transcript after the jump.

show full post on front page

The War Was Brought from Russia, and It Is to Russia That the War Must Be Pushed Back. They Must Be the Ones Forced Into Peace – Address by the President

24 March 2025 – 20:49

Dear Ukrainians!

The key takeaways from this day. Right now in Sumy, a rescue operation is still ongoing. All services are involved – Ukraine’s State Emergency Service, National Police, our medical and municipal services. There are many injured – as of now, reports confirm nearly 90 people injured, including 17 children. At the epicenter of the attack were a school and residential buildings. Fortunately, the children at the school were in shelter. I am grateful to everyone helping the people and to all those saving the lives of Ukrainians. Each day like this, every night under Russian missiles and drones, every single day of this war brings loss, pain, and destruction that Ukraine never wanted. The war was brought from Russia, and it is to Russia that the war must be pushed back. They must be the ones forced into peace. They are the ones who must be pressured to ensure security. Thank you to everyone who is helping us in this. Thank you to all who are working for the security of Ukraine, for the protection of our people, and for the defense of our cities.

I held a Staff meeting today – various issues were discussed. In particular, the training of our warriors and the modernization of that training. There was a report from General Oleh Apostol, Deputy Commander-in-Chief, on the changes in training – including the implementation of modern methodologies. We also reviewed training programs, psychological support, information support, and cooperation with partners. There are certain issues that need to be addressed. There was also a report on the 18-24 contract program, including the first results. We will be expanding it – I was at the front on Saturday, there is a demand from specific brigades. We will respond positively to that demand – more brigades will be able to take in young volunteers. This experience should also be extended to the National Guard of Ukraine and Border Guard units. All effective units within the Defense Forces must be given every opportunity to develop and enhance the potential of our country and our resilience.Today, we also held meetings focused on diplomatic efforts. I recently spoke with Defense Minister Rustem Umerov. Yesterday, there was a meeting with the U.S. team. Today, U.S. representatives spoke with the war team – that is, with representatives of Russia. After that, another meeting took place between the Ukrainian and American teams. I’m expecting a new report. What we need is movement toward real peace – toward guaranteed security. And this is something we all need – in Ukraine, in Europe, in America, and across the world – everyone who wants stability in international relations. Russia remains the only actor dragging this war out, jeering at both our people and the global community. To push Russia toward peace, we need strong moves and strong actions. We are ready to support every strong initiative that can make diplomacy more effective – and that means applying pressure to force Russia to want to end this war. That means sanctions. That means support for Ukraine. That means international coordination. This week, we are also preparing substantive work with our European partners on concrete security steps – joint security steps. A significant part of Europe is ready for concrete security work – and that’s a good thing. I thank everyone who stands with Ukraine!

Glory to Ukraine!

Georgia:

Protests continue in Georgia.

Day 117.

#GeorgiaProtests

[image or embed]

— Publika.ge (@publikage.bsky.social) March 24, 2025 at 1:28 PM

Day 117. You can help us avoid whatever costs can be avoided by targeted sanctions and calls for new, free and fair Parliamentary elections, because things won’t just “stabilize” in Georgia, we won’t stop – and because Georgia is what Russia plans for Ukraine. #GeorgiaProtests

[image or embed]

— Marika Mikiashvili 🇬🇪🇺🇦🇪🇺 (@marikamikiashvili.bsky.social) March 24, 2025 at 1:29 PM

“For nearly 3 months, the people of Georgia have been protesting in favour of a future in the EU & against the course of the Georgian leadership. They continue to face intimidation, arrests & violence” – stated in a statement released by the German Foreign Ministry.

[image or embed]

— Publika.ge (@publikage.bsky.social) March 24, 2025 at 2:45 PM

Jonathan is amazing! It was my pleasure!

[image or embed]

— Marika Mikiashvili 🇬🇪🇺🇦🇪🇺 (@marikamikiashvili.bsky.social) March 24, 2025 at 5:02 PM

The so-called Supreme Court of the Russian-occupied Donetsk region has sentenced Georgian fighter in Ukraine, Nadim Khmaladze, in absentia to 14 years in prison in a strict regime colony.

[image or embed]

— Publika.ge (@publikage.bsky.social) March 24, 2025 at 8:28 AM

Moscow on the Potomac with a detour through Brasil:

Glenn Greenwald, Tucker Carlson & Alexander Dugin. “This is not just eccentric provocation by MAGA attention-seekers; it is a window into a serious, philosophical concordance that is emerging between parts of the American and Russian right.” www.economist.com/united-state…

[image or embed]

— Shashank Joshi (@shashj.bsky.social) March 24, 2025 at 6:52 AM

‘Mr Bannon “has been arguing that the United States and Russia are both Christian and nationalist in their essence,” says Mr Teitelbaum. He argues this is a prelude to a new Republican conception of American identity based on rootedness and peoplehood’ www.economist.com/united-state…

[image or embed]

— Shashank Joshi (@shashj.bsky.social) March 24, 2025 at 6:54 AM

From The Economist:

Russophilia was once an affliction of the American left, of socialists who made excuses for Stalinism or Soviet totalitarianism. No longer. One month ago, Glenn Greenwald, a heterodox American journalist once lionised by the left and now admired by the conspiratorial right, dropped by Moscow to absorb the wisdom of Alexander Dugin, a prominent, anti-liberal Russian thinker sometimes likened to “Putin’s Rasputin”.

During his trip to Moscow a year ago to film a sympathetic interview with Vladimir Putin, Tucker Carlson, an influential MAGA media personality, visited Mr Dugin, too, and found him irresistible. “We were having a conversation that we were not going to film…but what you said was so interesting that we got a couple of cameras and put this together,” he gushed at the start of their interview, and nodded enthusiastically as Mr Dugin lambasted the failures of liberalism and the excesses of wokeness. This is not just eccentric provocation by MAGA attention-seekers; it is a window into a serious, philosophical concordance that is emerging between parts of the American and Russian right.

The most obvious alignment is over geopolitics, especially the position of Ukraine. The hardline MAGA right objected to Joe Biden’s military aid not just out of partisan instinct but also because they believe Ukraine ought to have been more accommodating of its regional superpower. Just as America gets to dictate terms within its sphere of influence, to Canada over trade or to Panama over its canal, Russia has rights over Ukraine, this thinking goes. Adherents of America First are realists, not idealists like their neoconservative predecessors. They see foreign interventionism as futile adventurism. Their view of the world is multipolar, as is Mr Dugin’s.

But Mr Dugin’s contempt for Ukraine runs deeper. His most famous work published in 1997, “The Foundations of Geopolitics”, advocates for “Eurasianism”—the idea of a restored, great new Russia that straddles both Asia and Europe. He argued that Ukraine was a “huge danger” to this project. He elaborated: “Ukraine as a state has no geopolitical meaning. It has neither a special cultural message of universal significance, nor geographic uniqueness, nor ethnic exclusivity.” During Mr Putin’s invasion of Crimea in 2014, Mr Dugin’s enthusiasm for conquering Ukraine reached such excessive heights that he lost his appointment at the prestigious Moscow State University. His Rasputin-like reputation therefore seems overblown, though he still works as a kind of international ambassador to illiberal right-wing movements. An assassination attempt in 2022—via car bomb, believed to be planted by agents of Ukraine, which killed his daughter—has amplified Mr Dugin’s prominence.

The alignment with MAGA involves more than geopolitics. The ideas that have emerged to justify the governance of Mr Trump and Mr Putin—neither of whom are renowned philosophers—bear striking resemblances. Within the West, the international coalition of nationalist conservatives, stretching from Trumpism in America to bolsonarismo in Brazil to Orbanism in Hungary, rejects the basic precepts of enlightenment liberalism, like individualism and the universality of human rights.

The alignment with MAGA involves more than geopolitics. The ideas that have emerged to justify the governance of Mr Trump and Mr Putin—neither of whom are renowned philosophers—bear striking resemblances. Within the West, the international coalition of nationalist conservatives, stretching from Trumpism in America to bolsonarismo in Brazil to Orbanism in Hungary, rejects the basic precepts of enlightenment liberalism, like individualism and the universality of human rights.

This critique is shared by Russian justifiers of Mr Putin, who see an alliance against the decadence and depravity of liberalism. They disdain globalism and wokeness, which they see as the logical endpoint of Western liberalism. To prevent global hegemony of any kind, national conservatives in America, France, Hungary and Italy argue that the sovereignty of the nation-state must be supreme. Whereas Mr Dugin once argued that Russia ought to create an axis with Germany and Japan (“dismembering” China in the process) to stand up to American hegemony, he now recognises that such efforts are unnecessary. “Each day it becomes more and more evident that USA and Russia are on the same wave, but EU-globalists are on the opposite one,” he wrote recently on X.

You might think there would be irreconcilable differences between the MAGA and Russian right, since Mr Dugin is straightforward in his advocacy for an authoritarian state unified with the Orthodox Church, even suggesting the restoration of the oprichniki, the tsarist secret police established by Ivan the Terrible. “Should we not recognise autocracy, patriarchy and the authoritarian system not only de facto, but also de jure? Shouldn’t the Church and the institutions of traditional society regain their dominant position in society?” he wrote in 2022. The nationalist conservative movement in America and Europe, however, is couched in majoritarian populism—expressing the democratic will of people while imposing ever-fewer limits on the authority of their elected representatives. In America the goal is to smash the liberal state.

“In the Russian case, the state is the embodiment of the nation. It’s not the case in the us. Trump is dismantling the federal state; Putin’s goal is to reinforce the state,” says Marlene Laruelle, a professor at George Washington University.

In this respect, the Russian political right does not represent the mainstream of the Trumpist intellectual right. Yet some of its ideas resonate with fringier figures. One strain of right-wing, post-liberal thought in America is integralism. Its adherents argue for the unification of the Catholic church with the state. Some, like Patrick Deneen, a critic of liberalism and professor at Notre Dame University, argue for “aristopopulism”—replacement of rule of the current, decadent elite with a different elite with the right politics.

American thinkers affiliated with the so-called “Dark Enlightenment” or “neo-reactionary movement” are more straightforward in arguing against egalitarianism and democracy. Curtis Yarvin, one such thinker, has called for an American monarchy that would be run by a dictator-president, a figure sometimes referred to more politely as a “national CEO”. Vice-President J.D. Vance has approvingly cited Mr Yarvin’s work, though not the monarchic aspects of his outlook. Recently Mr Vance greeted him at a party by saying, in jest, “Yarvin, you reactionary fascist!”

There are other discordances, too. Western national conservatives aim to defend the nation-state from globalism, whereas the sacred object for Mr Dugin (and Mr Putin) is the Russian civilisation-state, which transcends Westphalian borders. “They describe me as ultranationalist, but I am not nationalist at all!” Mr Dugin told Mr Greenwald in his interview.

More at the link.

Oleksandr Merezhko, head of Ukraine’s Foreign Policy Committee, called for U.S. envoy Steve Witkoff’s recall, labeling his remarks on referendums in Russian-occupied areas “disgraceful.” Merezhko accused Witkoff of echoing Russian propaganda, questioning if he represents Trump or Putin.

— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) March 24, 2025 at 8:44 AM

Back to Ukraine.

The cost:

Russian captivity kills! Red Cross neglects their duty before Ukrainian prisoners held in russian captivity, failing to provide protection, any help whatsoever, or even visit them.

On the picture is Ivan Petrovsky. He spent 1037 days in russian captivity and lost 40 kg.

[image or embed]

— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) March 24, 2025 at 8:31 AM

Marusya is 7 years old and from Dnipro

[image or embed]

— Sofia (@sofiaukraini.bsky.social) March 20, 2025 at 9:34 AM

Despite their own intelligence, American officials began to take Putin at his word. Russia was able to influence some people from Trump’s team: they told them that Ukrainians do not want the war to end and we must be forced to- Volodymyr Zelenskyy for TIME.

[image or embed]

— Vitalis Viva (@vitalisviva.bsky.social) March 24, 2025 at 9:23 AM

From Time:

early six years have passed since Volodymyr Zelensky was elected president of Ukraine, yet he still cringes at all the polished brass and chandeliers that crowd his office. The place does seem rather gaudy, like a room plucked straight from Mar-a-Lago, and Zelensky can’t seem to stop apologizing for it as he shows me around one evening in March. He would rather scrap the furniture, he says, rip down the pilasters, and use white paint to hide the gold leaf on the ceiling.

“But, you know, we haven’t had much time for renovations, especially these last few years,” he says, referring to the war. Only in the back of his chambers, behind Ukraine’s version of the Resolute Desk, is there a space that feels like home to Zelensky—a small room with a single bed and a set of paintings that he chose himself. They are not museum pieces. At the local bazaar, similar ones might fetch a few hundred dollars at most. But they matter to the president because of what they represent.

The one that hangs above his bed shows a Russian warship sinking into the Black Sea. Another shows Ukrainian troops fighting recently on Russian territory. The third, Zelensky’s favorite, shows the Kremlin engulfed in flames. “Each one’s about victory,” he says as we cram into the space for a look at the pictures. “That’s where I live.”

But he did not invite me over for a tour. His basic aim, as far as I could tell, was to clear the air after his recent visit to the Oval Office, the one that became a viral sensation for the world and a source of trepidation for his country. For several interminable minutes on the morning of Feb. 28, President Donald Trump and Vice President J.D. Vance had berated Zelensky, calling him ungrateful, weak and dangerous while talking over his attempts to argue back. “You don’t hold the cards,” Trump told Zelensky. “You’re gambling with World War III!”

On the advice of people he trusts, Zelensky has mostly avoided talking about the episode, not wanting to deepen a diplomatic crisis that had threatened to cost him nothing less than his country’s existence. His standard answer to questions about it has been, “Let’s leave that to history.” Even now, he hopes to turn the page and move on. But his instincts rarely allow him to keep quiet for long about the things that bother him, which is partly what got him into trouble with Trump.

Going into that meeting, Zelensky says, he had it all planned out. He had been to the White House a handful of times during the war. But this would be his first sit-down with Trump in the Oval Office, and it would mark a critical point in Trump’s effort to force a peace deal in Ukraine. To make an impression, Zelensky decided to bring a set of gifts. Their aim was to break through any ill will the U.S. President felt toward Ukraine, and to dispel what Zelensky believed was the influence of Russian propaganda on the White House.

One of the gifts fit with an emerging tradition of the Trump era, in which guests bring shiny tokens of their respect and fealty. In a recent example, Benjamin Netanyahu, the Prime Minister of Israel, gave Trump a golden pager, commemorating the explosive devices Israel used to kill or injure thousands of its enemies last year in Lebanon. Vladimir Putin went further than that, commissioning an oil painting of Trump and sending it this month to the White House. In Zelensky’s case, the gift was even glitzier: the championship belt of his friend Oleksandr Usyk, who holds the world heavyweight boxing title.

As he took his seat in the Oval Office, Zelensky placed the belt on a side table near his right elbow, planning to reach over and hand it to Trump in front of the assembled journalists. Instead, as the televised briefing began, Zelensky reached for another one of his gifts. It was a folder containing a series of gruesome photographs, showing Ukrainian prisoners of war after their time in Russian captivity. Some of their bodies were grotesquely emaciated. Others showed signs of torture. “That’s tough stuff,” Trump said, his face leaden, as he took the photos from Zelensky and began leafing through them.

Those pictures, according to some U.S. officials, marked the point when the meeting went wrong. Had Zelensky offered the championship belt, the gesture might have lightened the mood. The photos had the opposite effect. They seemed to get Trump’s guard up, as though he were being blamed for the suffering of those soldiers. Still, even today, Zelensky does not regret his decision to present these images. He had been trying to reach beyond Trump’s transactional instincts, beyond his need for flattery, and appeal to Trump as a human being. “He has family, loved ones, children. He has to feel the things that every person feels,” Zelensky says. “What I wanted to show were my values. But then, well, the conversation went in another direction.”

Among the most painful exchanges in the Oval Office meeting took place near the end, when Zelensky asked whether J.D. Vance had visited Ukraine during the war. They both knew he had not, and Vance shot back that he had no interest in Zelensky’s “propaganda tours.”

The insult must have stung. Throughout the invasion, it has been the policy of Ukraine to encourage guests to see its destruction up close. Zelensky often brings visitors to hospitals full of wounded soldiers, ruins caused by missile strikes, or mass graves that Russian forces leave behind. Envoys from the White House have made a point of avoiding such excursions since Trump took office in January. But Zelensky remains committed to their value in diplomacy, and his team invited me to take such a trip on the day of our interview.

Much more at the link.

Ukrainian tennis star Marta Kostyuk wraps up her victory over russian Anna Blinkova at the Miami Open today with an underarm ace serve💥

[image or embed]

— Sofia (@sofiaukraini.bsky.social) March 24, 2025 at 7:28 AM

A drone operator from the Czech Republic is destroying Russians.

“We all enjoy it when we eliminate Russians – one arm goes one way, everything else goes the other.” – says Karolína, a UAV operator from the 59th Assault Brigade.
youtu.be/Op3noVfgnY8?…

[image or embed]

— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) March 24, 2025 at 11:58 AM

Kharkiv:

In Kharkiv, russian drone just landed on the children’s playground.

Thankfully, it didn’t detonate.

[image or embed]

— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) March 24, 2025 at 3:22 PM

Kyiv:

Kyiv Patrol Police showed the first moments after drone debris hit a high-rise building on March 23.

[image or embed]

— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) March 24, 2025 at 7:48 AM

Nadia, Russian occupied Luhansk Oblast:

Democratic Ukraine could defeat fascist Russia if the West gave it full military support and imposed (and enforced) more damaging sanctions on the Kremlin.

[image or embed]

— Euan MacDonald (@euanmacdonald.bsky.social) March 24, 2025 at 5:28 AM

Somewhere in Russia:

Several Ukrainian drones successfully reached the Russian ammunition depot.

[image or embed]

— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) March 24, 2025 at 2:39 PM

Primorsky Krai:

Russians report a crash of a Su-25: “A Su-25 crashed in Primorsky Krai (Russia). Preliminary cause: engine failure. The pilot ejected. He is alive and well.”

[image or embed]

— 🦋Special Kherson Cat🐈🇺🇦 (@specialkhersoncat.bsky.social) March 24, 2025 at 7:20 AM

Belgorod Oblast, Russia:

🚀HIMARS missiles with 180,000 tungsten carbide balls strike on the Russian military helicopters in the Belgorod region of Russia.

🚁Two Russian Ka-52 and two Mi-8 helicopters were targeted. t.me/ukr_sof/1518

[image or embed]

— 🦋Special Kherson Cat🐈🇺🇦 (@specialkhersoncat.bsky.social) March 24, 2025 at 1:37 AM

Obligatory:

That’s enough for tonight.

Your daily Patron!

There are no new Patron skeets or videos today. Here is some adjacent material.

When we see these eyes, we have no choice but to help. #DogsOfUkraine 🇺🇦

[image or embed]

— Nate Mook (@natemook.bsky.social) March 16, 2025 at 10:14 PM

Open thread!

War for Ukraine Day 1,124: Russia Hits More Civilian Targets in Sumy, Kharkiv, & Other Parts of UkrainePost + Comments (13)

War for Ukraine Day 1,092: The Butcher’s Bill from Russia’s Attack Last Night

by Adam L Silverman|  February 20, 202510:53 pm| 15 Comments

This post is in: Foreign Affairs, Foreign Policy, Israel, Military, Open Threads, Palestine, Russia, Silverman on Security, War, War in Ukraine

(Image by NEIVANMADE)

A quick unrelated note: The Israeli National Institute of Forensic Medicine has now confirmed – wishing the past 2 hours or so –  that the second adult remains returned today are NOT Shiri Bibas. They have positive DNA matches on the remains of Oded Lifschitz and on the two Bibas children, but they have no match for Shiri Bibas or any other Israeli hostage. The remains are likely those of a Gazan Palestinian woman killed in the conflict.
There are three possibilities here:

  1. Shiri Bibas is dead, but the remains could not be recovered, so they sent this woman’s remains back (I assess this as low probability as it doesn’t further Hamas’s interests).
  2. Hamas was not holding Shiri Bibas, either PIJ or one of the criminal orgs was, and this is what they gave Hamas and Hamas sent them back not knowing they were not Shiri Bibas (I assess this as a moderate to high probability).
  3. One of the criminal orgs was holding Shiri Bibas and they trafficked her (I assess this as a moderate probability as it would explain why the children were killed shortly after they were kidnapped).

I expect that this will lead to a significant uptick in violence.

One other, but related note, before we get started. There is significant inaccurate information bouncing around today regarding what Trump and his natsec team are or might be doing in regarding the EU or Ukraine. It’s not disinformation, nor misinformation per se as the sources are legit. Rather, it’s remarks were made by senior leaders in different European states and in Ukraine that further reporting/clarifications indicated were innacurate.

As expected, last night’s Russian drone swarms were followed by missiles. Here’s the butcher’s bill.

Kherson, after last night’s russian aerial bomb attack on the residential building.

[image or embed]

— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) February 20, 2025 at 6:56 AM

Rescuers have recovered the body of a man from beneath the rubble at the site of the russian air strike in Kherson. Rescue efforts are ongoing.

[image or embed]

— Iryna Voichuk (@irynavoichuk.bsky.social) February 20, 2025 at 9:11 AM

In the aftermath of last night’s russian strike on a residential building in Kherson, rescuers recovered the body of a mother of two from the rubble. Her 14-year-old twins, a boy and a girl, are among the injured.

[image or embed]

— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) February 20, 2025 at 12:40 PM

Last night, russia launched a missile attack on critical infrastructure in Kharkiv Oblast, the Ukrainian Air Force reported

Up to 14 missiles were fired, including Kh-101/Kh-55SM, Kalibr/Iskander-K, & Iskander-M/KN-23. Details on the impact of the attack have not been disclosed

— Iryna Voichuk (@irynavoichuk.bsky.social) February 20, 2025 at 3:28 AM

I’ve seen the scale of destruction caused by a single Iskander missile strike, yet even I struggle to imagine the aftermath of 14 such strikes.

— Iryna Voichuk (@irynavoichuk.bsky.social) February 20, 2025 at 3:38 AM

Here is President Zelenskyy’s address from earlier today. Video below, English transcript after the jump.

show full post on front page

Peace Is Always a Common Cause – Especially the Peace We Must Leave for All Future Generations – Address by the President

20 February 2025 – 23:50

I wish you health, fellow Ukrainians!

Today has been a very long day.

I held a Staff meeting, where I received briefings from the military on our positions at the front, the situation with supplies – contracts, weapons packages. The work continues, and I am grateful to every one of our partners who understands the need for strong positions – both on the frontline to protect our people and in diplomacy, where both strength and truth matter. There were reports on deep-strike operations against Russian military facilities and infrastructure supporting the war. For every two dollars invested in our long-range capabilities, we already ensure almost ten dollars in Russian losses. This is the dynamic we need – Russia must feel the cost of war to truly want peace. Additionally, the Head of the Foreign Intelligence Service presented important reports today.

And today, we also had a lot of international activities. General Kellogg – a meeting that restores hope. We need strong agreements with the United States – agreements that will truly work. I gave instructions to work swiftly and very sensibly. Economy and security must always go hand in hand, and the details of the agreements matter – the better they are structured, the greater the results. With General Kellogg, we discussed the frontline situation, the need to release all our prisoners held in Russia, and the necessity of a reliable and clear system of security guarantees – one that ensures this war will never return and that Russians will never again destroy lives. We all need peace – Ukraine, Europe, America, everyone in the world.

I just spoke with President Macron – we coordinated our positions, discussed the next steps and views on security guarantees in particular. I spoke with the Prime Minister of Denmark – we appreciate that Mette and the people of Denmark feel what we are striving for. I spoke with the Prime Minister of Norway – not only about our bilateral relations but also about Europe’s future and energy security. I spoke with the President of Finland – there are good and important proposals, and we exchanged views on how the situation is developing. I spoke with the Prime Minister of Canada – I informed him about the current developments, and we discussed prospects within the G7 in particular. I also spoke today with the President of South Africa – I am grateful for the support, support of our sovereignty, and for the position that the peace process must be inclusive. Peace is always a common cause – especially the peace we must leave for all future generations. Thank you all for your help, and for the feeling of unity – unity that is as important now as it was in 2022. I am proud of our people – of everyone who fights, who helps, and who believes that evil must not prevail in wars.

And I began this day by honoring the memory of Ukrainians who died 11 years ago… Already 11 years. The Heroes of the Heavenly Hundred. The Heroes of Dignity. Eleven years ago, on this day, Russia’s first aggressive steps against our Crimea began. Ukraine will do everything to end this war – everything necessary. And we need a just peace – one worthy of the nation that so bravely defends itself. I am proud of you, Ukrainians! And I see how you defend the truth. This is extremely important. Thank you! Thank you for your support!

Glory to Ukraine!

Georgia:

Tbilisi, freezing cold. -2℃. 22:20. The 85th day of continuous protests against Georgian Dream’s Russian actions and decisions.

#GeorgiaProtests

[image or embed]

— Publika.ge (@publikage.bsky.social) February 20, 2025 at 2:40 PM

Protesters read out names of Georgians fallen in Russia’s war in Ukraine and chant “Glory to the Heroes!” after each name. This is our struggle too! They gave their lives for a free Georgia! 🇬🇪🇺🇦 #GeorgiaProtests

[image or embed]

— Marika Mikiashvili 🇬🇪🇺🇦🇪🇺 (@marikamikiashvili.bsky.social) February 20, 2025 at 1:02 PM

The next week will be even worse. #GeorgiaProtests

[image or embed]

— Marika Mikiashvili 🇬🇪🇺🇦🇪🇺 (@marikamikiashvili.bsky.social) February 20, 2025 at 1:31 PM

Temur Katamadze, who was arrested for participating in protests, refuses to end his hunger strike. He has been on hunger strike for 35 days, consuming only water, and is now hospitalized.

#TerrorinGeorgia

[image or embed]

— Publika.ge (@publikage.bsky.social) February 20, 2025 at 2:42 AM

Protesters read out names of Georgians fallen in Russia’s war in Ukraine and chant “Glory to the Heroes!” after each name. This is our struggle too! They gave their lives for a free Georgia! 🇬🇪🇺🇦 #GeorgiaProtests

[image or embed]

— Marika Mikiashvili 🇬🇪🇺🇦🇪🇺 (@marikamikiashvili.bsky.social) February 20, 2025 at 1:02 PM

[image or embed]

— Marika Mikiashvili 🇬🇪🇺🇦🇪🇺 (@marikamikiashvili.bsky.social) February 20, 2025 at 8:55 AM

The US:

“The US is opposing calling Russia the aggressor in a G7 statement on the third anniversary of Moscow’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine” – shocking stuff from @christopherjm.ft.com on just how quickly the Trump administration is swinging behind Putin’s Russia. www.ft.com/content/7380…

[image or embed]

— Evan O’Connell (@evanoconnell.bsky.social) February 20, 2025 at 9:09 AM

From The Financial Times:

The US is opposed to calling Russia the aggressor in a G7 statement on the third anniversary of Moscow’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine, threatening to derail a traditional show of unity, according to western officials.

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy’s participation at a virtual G7 summit on Monday has also not yet been agreed, officials said, while Italian Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni’s office announced she would not participate.

It comes after US President Donald Trump blamed Ukraine for the war, described Zelenskyy as a “dictator without elections” and suggested that Russia should be invited back into the G7.

The Trump administration doubled down on its criticism of Zelenskyy on Thursday, with national security adviser Mike Waltz accusing Kyiv of hurling “unacceptable” insults at the US president, and also demanding that Ukraine agree to a minerals deal.

The dispute over the planned G7 statement comes after Trump shocked Kyiv and its European allies by contacting Russian President Vladimir Putin and authorising bilateral talks that are aimed at ending the war in Ukraine.

Trump has flattered Putin, agreed to many of his demands regarding the war and showed a willingness to quickly normalise Washington’s relations with Moscow.

US envoys are objecting to the phrase “Russian aggression” and similar words that have been used by G7 leaders since 2022 to describe the war in Ukraine, the officials said.

The world’s leading economies have traditionally issued a statement of support for Ukraine on February 24, the day on which Russia’s full-scale invasion started three years ago.

“We are adamant there must be a distinction made between Russia and Ukraine. They are not the same,” an official briefed on the matter told the Financial Times.

“The Americans are blocking that language, but we are still working on it and hopeful of an agreement.”

In a further snub, a planned news conference following talks between Zelenskyy and Keith Kellogg, Trump’s special envoy for Ukraine, was cancelled after a US request, according to officials in Kyiv.

The US embassy in Kyiv declined to comment, but Zelenskyy said he had a “good conversation, full of details” with Kellogg on Thursday.

The two men discussed the situation on the battlefield, Zelenskyy said, “as well as effective security guarantees . . . We have proposed the fastest and most constructive way to achieve results.”

The change in US language on Russia marks a contrast with last year, when the country’s aggression was mentioned five times in the G7 leaders’ statement.

The 2024 statement said: “We call on Russia to immediately cease its war of aggression and completely and unconditionally withdraw its military forces from the internationally recognised territory of Ukraine.”

The Trump administration’s insistence on softening the language reflects a broader shift in US policy to describe the war as the “Ukraine conflict”, people familiar with the matter said.

Recent statements from the US Department of State use similar wording, including a readout from secretary of state Marco Rubio’s meeting on Tuesday with Russian foreign minister Sergei Lavrov in Riyadh that twice mentions “the conflict in Ukraine”.

Waltz said Trump was “very frustrated” with Zelenskyy over his perceived ingratitude for American support during the war and Kyiv’s rejection of a US proposal to take rights to half of Ukraine’s rare earth minerals.

“Some of the rhetoric coming out of Kyiv, frankly — and insults to President Trump — were unacceptable,” he added.

Waltz called on Zelenskyy to reopen talks over a critical minerals deal, after Trump suggested the US was owed $500bn worth of Ukraine’s resources in exchange for Washington’s assistance to the war-torn country.

Mike Johnson, Republican Speaker of the US House of Representatives, said there was “no appetite” for another funding bill for Ukraine in Congress, adding the conflict had to be brought to an end.

Elon Musk, the technology billionaire and key Trump adviser, hit out at Zelenskyy and repeated the president’s call to hold an election in Ukraine.

“In reality, he is despised by the people of Ukraine, which is why he has refused to hold an election,” Musk said.

A poll published this week showed the Ukrainian president enjoyed 57 per cent support at home, up from 52 per cent in December, according to the Kyiv International Institute of Sociology.

More at the link.

The EU:

Europeans have to realize 3 things:
1. Trump prefers Putin over democratic Europeans.
2. Trump: “our friends are worse than our enemies” so the “friends” are no longer friends.
3. Trump has ended NATO & US support for democracies.

— Anders Åslund (@andersaslund.bsky.social) February 20, 2025 at 12:05 PM

Tbh, I saw this and thought: “careful Economist, it can always get worse…”
#happythoughts

[image or embed]

— Ulrike Franke (@rikefranke.bsky.social) February 20, 2025 at 2:39 PM

France:

President Macron went online to discuss the situation in Ukraine and answer questions for an hour.

Among other things, he reaffirmed the legitimacy of the Ukrainian president, emphasizing that he won fair elections. Macron highlighted that new elections are

[image or embed]

— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) February 20, 2025 at 4:48 PM

currently unfeasible due to ongoing occupation, the large number of refugees, and people being on the frontline. He stressed the need for lasting peace first.

he also pointed out that Putin has a long history of manipulating elections in russia.

— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) February 20, 2025 at 4:48 PM

Back to Ukraine.

Make no mistake, the talks about “Zelensky not being nice to Trump” coming from US officials are a farce. Unfortunately, the Russians have presented the US with a list of demands outlining how they envision Ukraine’s future. While I can’t publish the list, I can say a few things:

— Tatarigami (@tatarigami.bsky.social) February 20, 2025 at 2:58 PM

it closely resembles the early versions of the Istanbul agreement, and it’s likely to leak soon. When the US started to follow some of the points from these demands, I have serious doubts that if Zelensky bows to Trump, it will make any difference.

— Tatarigami (@tatarigami.bsky.social) February 20, 2025 at 2:58 PM

Anybody with a minimal of at least two brain cells to rub together knows who started this! Ukrainian female POWs tortured and paraded naked through the snow by Russian troops. And we know who doesn’t have those two cells to begin with!

www.telegraph.co.uk/global-healt…

[image or embed]

— hsack121 (@hsack121.bsky.social) February 20, 2025 at 1:08 PM

From The Telegraph:

WARNING!! WARNING!! GRAPHIC CONTENT!! WARNING!! WARNING!!

Ukrainian women taken as prisoners of war are being tortured and humiliated by Russian soldiers in a systematic campaign of abuse, survivors have revealed.

Some have been subjected to cruel degradations, including being forced to march naked in the snow and expose themselves to their captors.

The Telegraph tracked down four women who agreed to speak out about the months and, in some cases, years they spent in captivity.

Their testimonies reveal the brutality with which Moscow’s forces treat the Ukrainians they have captured, providing evidence of what are almost certainly war crimes.

“They led us to the showers with bags over our heads, where we were forced to undress. We had to walk naked in front of the men and everyone else, bent over, through freezing cold water,” said Larysa Kycherenko, 53, who served in Ukraine’s National Guard.

“Afterwards, we were forced to sing the Russian anthem while naked. We returned to the cells in tears, utterly distraught, crying and in a state of hysteria… It was inhumane. To them, we were nothing.”

While they make up a small minority of the total number of POWs captured by Russia, women like Ms Kycherenko say the threats they faced were different to those of the men imprisoned alongside them.

“If it’s hard for men, it’s even harder for women – many of the women weren’t fighters,” she said.

Ms Kycherenko, her husband and her 34-year-old son were captured in occupied Mariupol in 2022 after they were betrayed by their neighbours.

ALL CLEAR!!!!

Much, much more at the link!

Paratroopers of the 46th Separate Airmobile Brigade, on a “Husky” armored vehicle, dashed directly to the Russian position and manually dropped an anti-tank mine TM-62.

[image or embed]

— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) February 20, 2025 at 2:49 PM

Kyiv:

⚡️Several waves of explosions reported in Kyiv.

Explosions were heard in Kyiv around midnight local time, according to a Kyiv Independent journalist on the ground. Air defense has been active in the capital.

— The Kyiv Independent (@kyivindependent.com) February 20, 2025 at 5:24 PM

The sounds of war in the sky of Kyiv right now

[image or embed]

— Illia Ponomarenko (@ioponomarenko.bsky.social) February 20, 2025 at 3:41 PM

Today is also the day of remembrance for the Heavenly Hundred.

Eleven years ago, our country changed forever when we broke away from Russia. Heavenly Hundred sacrificed for independent future of Ukraine, and today we stand stronger and more resilient—defending our freedom and values.

Ukrainians decide our own future.

[image or embed]

— Maria Avdeeva (@mariainkharkiv.bsky.social) February 20, 2025 at 6:04 AM

Today in #Ukraine it’s the Day of the Heavenly Hundred.

This day in 2014 proved to be the bloodiest day of the revolution as the #Russia controlled government killed 48 protesters. In total 107 people died in the Euromaidan protests.
I was there, these are my photos.

[image or embed]

— Tim White (@twmcltd.bsky.social) February 20, 2025 at 4:06 AM

Odesa:

For the second day in a row, russia continues to destroy Odesa’s energy infrastructure. As a result of another night attack, ~5000 people have been left without electricity.

Light will overcome darkness eventually. Modern russia will be remembered as a terrorist state forever.

[image or embed]

— UNITED24 (@u24.gov.ua) February 20, 2025 at 2:58 PM

🔥🇺🇦 For the second night in a row, Russians have attacked a power facility in Odesa.
As a result of the attacks on Odesa district, 89,500 customers are without electricity. A 55-year-old man was also injured in the shelling and hospitalized.

[image or embed]

— Vitalis Viva (@vitalisviva.bsky.social) February 20, 2025 at 8:03 AM

💥 Night air battle over Odesa. Soldiers of the Ukrainian Navy destroyed 16 Shaheds.

[image or embed]

— MAKS 24 👀🇺🇦 (@maks23.bsky.social) February 20, 2025 at 6:46 AM

Sumy Oblast:

Russians attempted to break into the Sumy region with two BMD-2s, but after several hits, they abandoned the equipment and ran away.

[image or embed]

— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) February 20, 2025 at 11:46 AM

Donetsk Oblast:

The 110th Separate Mechanized Brigade repelled a six-hour Russian assault in the Donetsk sector.
t.me/c/1657686284…

[image or embed]

— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) February 20, 2025 at 6:52 AM

Do not try this at home!!!!

Improvised Russian rocket launcher built from scrap materials

[image or embed]

— 🦋Special Kherson Cat🐈🇺🇦 (@specialkhersoncat.bsky.social) February 20, 2025 at 6:29 PM

Moscow:

A research institute in Moscow, the Lebedev Institute of Precision Mechanics and Computer Engineering, which developed military tech and was under EU and Swiss sanctions, burned down overnight. The cause of the fire is undisclosed.

[image or embed]

— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) February 20, 2025 at 8:12 AM

That’s enough for tonight.

Your daily Patron!

There are no new Patron skeets or videos today. Here is some adjacent material.

She knows who started the war in Ukraine.

[image or embed]

— The Spirit of Lorenzo the Cat (@lorenzothecat.bsky.social) February 20, 2025 at 7:09 PM

Today’s Dog of War is this pup who Nastia ran into while taking a walk. The doggie has the whole winter outfit together – from beanie to lil boots – to go through hopefully one of the last freezing weeks of the winter.

[image or embed]

— Tim Mak (@timkmak.bsky.social) February 19, 2025 at 10:22 AM

Open thread!

War for Ukraine Day 1,092: The Butcher’s Bill from Russia’s Attack Last NightPost + Comments (15)

War for Ukraine Day 1,055: A Brief Monday Night Update

by Adam L Silverman|  January 13, 20256:55 pm| 15 Comments

This post is in: Foreign Affairs, Foreign Policy, Israel, Military, Open Threads, Russia, Silverman on Security, War, War in Ukraine

Painting by NEIVANMADE. It has a white background an in the center are Soldiers in green doing air defense by firing at incoming Russian missiles in the upper right. The missiles are red and yellow. In the upper left, written in green, is the text: "SAVE THE BRAVEST PEOPLE IN THE WORLD!" Below the Soldiers, also written in green, is "SUPPORT FOR KHARKIV"

(Image by NEIVANMADE)

A quick housekeeping note: I had some dental work done to bring some very old repairs up to 2024 standards this afternoon. I’m very tired and expect discomfort as the anesthesia wears off. I’m just going to hit the highlights, have something to eat, and rack out. No real analysis tonight.

About 2/3rds of Ukraine is under air raid alert as of 6:30 PM EDT/1:30 AM local time in Ukraine. The alert maps don’t have any Russian fixed wing craft up as part of the alert, just drones. At least for now, this appears to be another drone swarm attack.

⚡️Explosions heard in Kyiv.

Several loud explosions were heard in central Kyiv late at night on Jan. 13, Kyiv Independent correspondents reported.

According to Kyiv Mayor Vitali Klitschko, air defense units are repelling a drone attack against the city.

— The Kyiv Independent (@kyivindependent.com) January 13, 2025 at 4:51 PM

Kharkiv region is under the russian drone attack right now‼️

— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) January 13, 2025 at 1:41 PM

“Target down.” A video of the downing of one of the “Shaheds” on January 13 has surfaced online.

The Air Force Command released footage of combat action against a Shahed-type attack drone on the eastern front.

[image or embed]

— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) January 13, 2025 at 9:30 AM

Here is President Zelenskyy’s address from earlier today. Video below, English transcript after the jump.

show full post on front page

A Survey Has Been Launched in the Army Plus App – It Includes Five Candidates for the Position of Hetman Sahaidachnyi National Land Forces Academy Head – Address by the President

13 January 2025 – 21:32

I wish you health, fellow Ukrainians!

Today, I held a meeting of the Staff.

The key issue is the development of our drones and all forms of their usage. There were reports on production and contracts, from FPV drones to long-range models, as well as on solutions that will allow us to more effectively destroy the invader and protect the lives of our warriors. There are technological proposals we must implement, and I am grateful to all our military personnel, every company, every official, and every volunteer involved in this effort to continuously modernize the Ukrainian army in terms of technologies.

There was also a report on robotic systems, as well as on artillery – both our domestic artillery production and our global procurement, especially of ammunition.

It is important that Ukraine has good dynamics in the production of artillery, and our own capabilities to supply the army will only increase.

Today, we also discussed personnel matters with Oleksandr Syrskyi, Anatoliy Barhylevych, Mykhailo Drapatyi, and Pavlo Palisa, specifically the appointment of a new head of the Hetman Sahaidachnyi National Land Forces Academy.

It is one of the key military education institutions in Ukraine, and the Academy definitely deserves changes. What exactly those changes will be and who will implement them will be decided together with our Ukrainian military, with all our warriors who want changes.

To that end, a corresponding survey has been launched in the Army Plus app. It includes five candidates for the position of Academy head and an opportunity to suggest changes to the education process and relations within the Academy.

It is especially important for cadets and Academy graduates to share their experiences and ideas.

As of now, two thousand votes have already been cast – just a few hours since the survey was launched. Thank you to everyone participating. The Army Plus app is available to all our warriors.

I thank the team at the Ministry of Defense of Ukraine for developing such functionality.

I also had a conversation today with the President of France. It was a pretty long and detailed discussion. We discussed defense support – various forms, arms packages for Ukraine. We talked about investments in the procurement of shells for Ukraine. We also discussed the deployment of partner contingents and the training of our troops. And of course, the global situation. We are coordinating our positions. Thank you, France! Thank you, Emmanuel.

And one more thing.

Today, I signed documents concerning sanctions. One is a decree imposing sanctions on Russia’s financial sector, targeting 140 different entities. We will continue working with our partners to align our pressure. The second document is a draft law introducing criminal liability for attempts to circumvent sanctions. This is, in many ways, a continuation of international practices regarding sanctions enforcement. We all understand that the more pressure we exert on the aggressor, the closer we bring peace. Sanctions are one of the most effective tools for justly pressuring Russia and everyone associated with it or working for the war. This draft law will be submitted to the Verkhovna Rada of Ukraine.

Glory to Ukraine!

Slovakia:

🤣 Meanwhile, Volodymyr Zelenskyy responded to an invitation from Slovak Prime Minister Fico.

[image or embed]

— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) January 13, 2025 at 12:34 PM

Germany:

Ukraine has received its first advanced wheeled howitzer, the RCH 155.

German Defense Minister Boris Pistorius handed over the first of 54 RCH 155 wheeled self-propelled artillery systems to Ukraine.

[image or embed]

— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) January 13, 2025 at 7:52 AM

The US:

Trump’s special envoy for Ukraine/Russia on timetable for ending war: Let’s set it at 100 days and move all the way back and figure a way we can do this in the near term to make sure that the solution is solid, it’s sustainable, and that this war ends

[image or embed]

— Acyn (@acyn.bsky.social) January 12, 2025 at 6:25 PM

I have been the Senior Civilian Advisor to seven general officers/flag officers (GO/FO). The above is what happens when a GO/FO has no idea what they’re talking about, do not understand the actual strategic issues, and no one staffed (read prepped) them for their engagement.

Georgia:

Day 47 of large-scale nationwide protests; day 77 of protests overall. We have two demands:
1. New, free and fair elections;
2. The release of the unlawfully detained.
#GeorgiaProtests #terrorinGeorgia #NewElectionsforGeorgia

[image or embed]

— Marika Mikiashvili 🇬🇪🇺🇦🇪🇺 (@marikamikiashvili.bsky.social) January 13, 2025 at 12:41 PM

@netgazeti.org has released a video and stated that their director, Mzia Amaglobeli, was insulted during her detention by the head of Batumi police, Irakli Dgebuadze. In the video, his words can be heard: “With criminal code… I’ll arrest her with criminal code and I’ll f***”

[image or embed]

— Publika.ge (@publikage.bsky.social) January 13, 2025 at 8:10 AM

🟥 The video shows #Batumi Police Chief Irakli Dgebuadze cursing & threatening Mzia Amaghlobeli, the founder and CEO of Netgazeti & Batumelebi, after her arrest.

⭕️ Dgebuadze personally participated in the arrest.
⭕️ Amaglobeli is accused of attacking Dgebuadze – a Police Officer.
#TerrorInGeorgia

[image or embed]

— Batumelebi&Netgazeti (@netgazeti.org) January 13, 2025 at 9:04 AM

Amaglobeli has been detained since the night of Jan 11-12. Initially arrested for putting up a poster, she was briefly released before being rearrested. This video followed her second arrest. She is now accused of “attacking a police officer,” punishable by 4 to 7 years in prison

— Batumelebi&Netgazeti (@netgazeti.org) January 13, 2025 at 11:15 AM

🟥 January 13 – A protest rally is taking place near the Batumi City Court, where cases of participants detained during the January 11 #GeorgiaProtests are being heard.

[image or embed]

— Batumelebi&Netgazeti (@netgazeti.org) January 13, 2025 at 12:10 PM

“Freedom for Mzia Amaghlobeli!” – Representatives of the media and civil society are holding a protest rally in the Batumi, demanding the release of the head of independent media outlet @netgazeti.org. Amaghlobeli is facing imprisonment for 4 to 7 years.

#TerrorinGeorgia

[image or embed]

— Publika.ge (@publikage.bsky.social) January 13, 2025 at 11:50 AM

Friends, it is important to support @netgazeti.org agency and battle the regime narrative that the director, Mzia Amaghlobeli, is to blame for slapping a policeman. International outlook on Batumelebi must be that of unconditional support as a regime-oppressed media & director.

[image or embed]

— Marika Mikiashvili 🇬🇪🇺🇦🇪🇺 (@marikamikiashvili.bsky.social) January 13, 2025 at 4:33 PM

2/5
After Mzia left the police administrative building, where she had been arrested on an administrative charge for putting up a poster, she stopped some distance from the gate of the building with her relatives.

— Batumelebi&Netgazeti (@netgazeti.org) January 13, 2025 at 3:42 PM

3/5
We were there with our family members, who were even cheerful due to her release. The situation was entirely calm, and the demonstration was naturally coming to an end. Suddenly, the gate opened, and Dgebuadze rushed out with several police officers.

— Batumelebi&Netgazeti (@netgazeti.org) January 13, 2025 at 3:42 PM

4/5
They began detaining our relatives without any justification, triggering chaos and confusion. The officers were cursing and threatening us during the incident. Mzia was dragged away, even losing a shoe in the process.

— Batumelebi&Netgazeti (@netgazeti.org) January 13, 2025 at 3:42 PM

5/5
In panic caused by the police, people could not understand why they were being beaten or detained. Mzia’s reaction was not an attack on a police officer surrounded by about 20 other officers; it was a response to the violence, humiliation, & threats perpetrated by the police”.

— Batumelebi&Netgazeti (@netgazeti.org) January 13, 2025 at 3:42 PM

The regime detains people for longer periods now. The standard would be 2 days pre-trial. The recent Batumi detainees are sentenced to 5 days. The standard administrative offense article 173, “disobedience,” implies up to 15 days detention. #terrorinGeorgia #GeorgiaProtests

— Marika Mikiashvili 🇬🇪🇺🇦🇪🇺 (@marikamikiashvili.bsky.social) January 13, 2025 at 5:03 PM

Back to Ukraine.

The Kursk cross border offensive:

“The agency assessed that the North Koreans are struggling to adapt to drones and other elements of modern warfare. They are further disadvantaged by the crude tactics of their Russian commanders” apnews.com/article/nort…

[image or embed]

— Shashank Joshi (@shashj.bsky.social) January 13, 2025 at 5:42 AM

From the AP:

SEOUL, South Korea (AP) — South Korea’s spy agency told lawmakers on Monday that two North Korean soldiers who were captured by Ukrainian forces while fighting alongside Russian forces in Russia’s Kursk border region haven’t expressed a desire to seek asylum in South Korea.

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy has said he’s willing to hand over the soldiers to North Korea if the country’s authoritarian leader, Kim Jong Un, arranges for an exchange with Ukrainian prisoners of war in Russia. Zelenskyy said one of the North Korean soldiers wishes to stay in Ukraine while the other wants to return to his country, which was consistent with interview videos released by his government. “If Kim Jong Un even remembers these citizens of his and is capable of organizing an exchange for our warriors being held in Russia, we are ready to transfer such soldiers. Undoubtedly there will be more POWs from North Korea,” Zelenskyy said in an address late Sunday. He said in a separate posting on the social media platform X that “there may be other options” for North Korean prisoners who don’t wish to go back.

In a closed-door briefing at South Korea’s National Assembly, the National Intelligence Service confirmed its participation in the questioning of the North Korean soldiers by Ukrainian authorities. The agency said the soldiers haven’t expressed a request to resettle in South Korea, according to two lawmakers who attended the meeting.

The agency said it was willing to discuss the matter with Ukrainian authorities if the soldiers eventually do ask to go to South Korea. About 34,000 North Koreans have defected to capitalist rival South Korea to avoid economic hardship and political suppression at home, mostly since the late 1990s.

Koo Byoungsam, spokesperson of South Korea’s Unification Ministry, which handles inter-Korean affairs, said facilitating the asylum of the North Korean soldiers would require “legal reviews, including on international law, and consultations with related nations.”

“There’s nothing we can say at the current stage,” Koo said.

Seoul’s spy agency believes that about 300 North Korean soldiers have died and another 2,700 have been injured while fighting against Ukrainian forces, in what represents North Korea’s first involvement in large-scale conflict since the 1950-53 Korean War.

The agency assessed that the North Koreans are struggling to adapt to drones and other elements of modern warfare. They are further disadvantaged by the crude tactics of their Russian commanders, who have thrown them in assault campaigns without providing rear-fire support, according to Lee Seong Kweun, a lawmaker who attended the agency’s briefing.

The agency said memos found on dead North Korean soldiers indicated that they had been ordered to commit suicide before being captured, according to Lee. The agency said one North Korean soldier, facing the threat of being captured by Ukrainian forces, shouted “General Kim Jong Un” and tried to detonate a hand grenade before he was shot and killed.

Moon Seong Mook, a retired South Korean brigadier general, said the high death toll for North Korean soldiers was predictable, as they would not have been sufficiently prepared for an unfamiliar mission in the terrain of the Kursk region, which is vastly different from North Korea’s mountainous landscape.

Another disadvantage for the North Koreans is that they are not conducting independent operations but are being thrust into combat under Russian commanders, possibly struggling with unfamiliar tactics and communication issues due to language barriers, said Moon, who has taken part in numerous military talks with North Korea. The North Korean forces could be operating special surveillance teams to arrest or execute attempted deserters, he said.

“The current battlefield environment, combined with drones and other technologies, have created situations North Korean soldiers have never encountered before,” Moon said. “They are also being deployed in large numbers in wide-open fields, where there is no place to hide, in continuous battles to retake the area, and that seems to be where the casualties are coming from.”

Much more at the link!

Lyptsy, Kharkiv Oblast:

Lyptsy, Kharkiv region. Another town dying under russian bombs.

[image or embed]

— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) January 13, 2025 at 1:24 PM

Bryansk, Russia:

/1.Ballistic missiles strike is reported in Bryansk, Russia. Presumably ATACMS were used.

[image or embed]

— 🦋Special Kherson Cat🐈🇺🇦 (@specialkhersoncat.bsky.social) January 13, 2025 at 2:07 PM

/2. Preliminary, the Bryansk Chemical Plant named after the 50th Anniversary of the USSR was attacked.

This is a military plant which among other things is a known location for manufacture of ammunition and overhaul of Russian MLRS systems, such as: Uragan, Grad, Tornado-G.

[image or embed]

— 🦋Special Kherson Cat🐈🇺🇦 (@specialkhersoncat.bsky.social) January 13, 2025 at 2:24 PM

/3. Bryansk Chemical Plant burning after missile strikes.

[image or embed]

— 🦋Special Kherson Cat🐈🇺🇦 (@specialkhersoncat.bsky.social) January 13, 2025 at 2:33 PM

That’s enough for tonight.

Your daily Patron!

There are no new Patron skeets or videos today. Here is some adjacent materials.

🦁🇺🇦 Odesa Zoo showed a day in the life of its pets – white lions.
These are extremely rare animals listed in the Red Book. There are only about 300 of these predators in the world, and several of them are “Odessans” 🥰

[image or embed]

— Vitalis Viva (@vitalisviva.bsky.social) January 12, 2025 at 9:36 AM

Open thread!

War for Ukraine Day 1,055: A Brief Monday Night UpdatePost + Comments (15)

War for Ukraine Day 976: Odesa Under Attack

by Adam L Silverman|  October 26, 20248:31 pm| 12 Comments

This post is in: Foreign Affairs, Foreign Policy, Iran, Israel, Military, Open Threads, Russia, Silverman on Security, War, War in Ukraine

Screen shot of new artwork by NEIVANMADE. The background is black. In the bottom foreground are grey Ukrainian homes and apartment buildings being bombarded by red Russian missiles with the Special Military Operation "Z" symbol on them. Above the missiles, written in red is the word "Ruzzians". Below the buildings being attacked is the statement "Turns Homes Into Graves".

(Image by NEIVANMADE)

Two quick housekeeping notes. First, Rosie is continuing to slowly do better. Though she is milking it a bit regarding her food. Tonight she got a freshly cooked hamburger. Last night she got a freshly cooked chicken breast. Thank you all for the good thoughts, well wishes, prayers, and donations.

Second, despite a nap yesterday, and about ten hours of sleep overnight, I’m still fried. I’m trying not to nod off as I type this, so I’m just going to run through the basics again so I can rack out. I’ll get to that other stuff tomorrow night.

Russian opened up on Odesa with a ballistic missile earlier today.

Loud explosion over central
Odesa. Media reporting Crimea-launched ballistic missile. Shortly after earlier drone attack in the region. pic.twitter.com/zUJM0HMPqV

— Michael Bociurkiw (@WorldAffairsPro) October 26, 2024

People ceilings fell down from blast wave not even at attack point #Odesa pic.twitter.com/nbtzI1YYSr

— Twin Anna Pirates MD (@AnnaOdesitka) October 26, 2024

Here’s a partial butcher’s bill from Russia’s genocidal attack on Ukrainian civilians and civilian facilities last night:

#Kyiv
A missile hit a high-rise
Girl, 15, killed
6 injured#Dnipro
3 killed (1 child)
19 injured (4 kids)
1 child lost an arm…#Kherson
2 killed by artillery
1 man by a drone

That’s just overnight and incomplete; numbers still coming in #Ukraine pic.twitter.com/fHURDaACJC

— Zarina Zabrisky 🇺🇸🇺🇦 (@ZarinaZabrisky) October 26, 2024

It you’re wondering why Ukraine needs to retake their Russian occupied territories, it is not just to restore Ukraine’s legitimate, internationally recognized borders. It is also to push Russia’s military back as far as possible to deny the Russians the ability to attack Ukraine from closer range.

Here is President Zelenskyy’s address from earlier today. Video below, English transcript after the jump.

show full post on front page

We Expect the Necessary Increase in Pressure on Russia and More Support for Ukraine – Address by the President

26 October 2024 – 20:02

Dear Ukrainians!

Today, efforts were still underway to clear the rubble in Dnipro after the Russian strike. More than 20 people were injured by the strike – all have received the necessary assistance. But tragically, five people were killed, including a child. In Kyiv, a girl died as a result of a strike by “Shahed” drones – she was fourteen years old. My condolences to all families and loved ones.

Today, the town of Kostyantynivka in the Donetsk region was attacked. Four police officers were injured. There were also shellings in the Sumy and Kharkiv regions, the Donetsk region was under attack, the south of our state: Odesa, Zaporizhzhia, our Kherson region.

Each of these days of war proves only that Moscow is determined to continue its aggression. They want nothing else there. That is why they are trying to increase their defense production, and specifically by circumventing sanctions. That is why they are increasingly engaging North Korea as an ally, and any day now their soldiers may appear on the battlefield fighting against Ukraine. Ukraine will be forced to actually fight against North Korea in Europe.

These are the conditions when the lack of partners’ stronger decisions in support of Ukraine only encourages Putin to invest further in terror. The world is capable of stopping the war from unfolding. Abstractions and words are not enough for this – concrete steps are needed.

We have provided all such steps in the Victory Plan. Something that will prevent further aggression by the culprits of the war. We expect the necessary increase in pressure on Russia. We expect more support for Ukraine. This will be only fair. And the time that passes while there are no decisions – unfortunately, this translates to constant Russian strikes and constant losses of our lives.

Next week will be the time of our very intense work with partners, first of all, to support our warriors, warriors at the front, and to implement our strategy of forcing Russia to end the war. We are preparing major signals of support.

Today, I want to highlight the efforts of our various people who work every day and night to defend Ukrainians from Russian strikes. Who provide assistance and always protect lives.

Dnipro: the entire staff of the State Emergency Service of Ukraine in the Dnipro region, and especially Yevhen Panchuk, Dmytro Sauliak, Dmytro Luchka, Oleksandr Tykva. Also, National Police officers Oleksii Skakun and Karyna Aliieva. Thank you and your colleagues!

Sumy and the region: Oleksandr Matviienko, Vitalii Kaplun, Yurii Kostiuk – these are employees of the State Emergency Service of Ukraine in the region. Also, police officers: Serhii Zarutskyi and Hennadii Tereshchenko. Thank you, guys!

Kherson region: rescuers Oleh Zasymenko, Kostiantyn Naboka, Dmytro Volkov and Mykola Katruk. As well as police captains – both serving in KORD – Dmytro Hmyria and Andriy Kotliuba. Thank you!

Kharkiv region: the guys who work in groups to evacuate people from danger zones, employees of the State Emergency Service – Volodymyr Zatirka, Yevhen Afoniv, Serhii Kachanenko. And the National Police of Ukraine: Serhii Huskov and Uliian Pihal. Thank you for your round-the-clock work and real service to people and Ukraine.

I thank everyone who stands with Ukraine, who stands with our people; every warrior. I thank those who defend our state, hold our Ukrainian positions and destroy the occupier with all their might! We must definitely defend Ukraine.

Glory to Ukraine!

The cost:

Troyanivska Mariyka was killed by a russian drone yesterday in Kyiv.
She was only 15 and studied in the 9th grade. https://t.co/OE39jDY10W pic.twitter.com/WyDkU1v5H4

— Kate from Kharkiv (@BohuslavskaKate) October 26, 2024

Here’s the full machine translated text of the quoted tweet:

Troyanivska Mariyka was killed by a Russian drone yesterday.

She was only 15, studied in the 9th grade of the “Prestige” lyceum of the Solomyansk district.

…a leader and inspiration for the entire Lyceum..

Our district, Kyiv, Ukraine and the world have lost their future.

Irreversible loss.
Condolences to the family and loved ones.

The reason:

Ukrainian symbols serve as talismans for our soldiers at the frontlines.

📹: @United24media pic.twitter.com/lAdxAU6qMv

— Defense of Ukraine (@DefenceU) October 25, 2024

I posted recently about this brave mother who waited for her son to return from Russian captivity.

Here is the moment of them finally meeting again after 30 months apart.

What they had to live through…

📹: ludafeduseva/TikTok https://t.co/Uikj6oS6sm pic.twitter.com/rMPtyd9tgi

— Anton Gerashchenko (@Gerashchenko_en) October 26, 2024

Georgia:

The atmosphere at Georgia’s crucial elections, viewed by both sides as an existential choice, is highly tense. The ruling GD party frames it as a choice between war and peace, while the opposition sees it as a decision between a pro-European or pro-Russian path 1/7 pic.twitter.com/npPuQr6UB5

— Anastasia Stognei (@NastyaStognei) October 26, 2024

The elections are existential not only for the country as a whole but for the opposition too. If the ruling party wins, the main anti-GD force, United National Movement, faces the threat of being banned and likely prosecuted 3/7

— Anastasia Stognei (@NastyaStognei) October 26, 2024

Voter turnout is above 50%, higher than the last two elections but slightly below that in 2012, when the GD-led coalition ousted the previous parliament under Mikheil Saakashvili 5/7 pic.twitter.com/YR3oU03f1o

— Anastasia Stognei (@NastyaStognei) October 26, 2024

The pre-election polls are as polarised as the media landscape here. As a result, the opposition is convinced that the ruling party will not get more than 35%, while the GD itself is sure that it will with at least 60% percent. Confrontation seems almost inevitable 7/7

— Anastasia Stognei (@NastyaStognei) October 26, 2024

Hugely important vote this weekend in Georgia. My @FT colleagues @hallbenjamin @NastyaStognei wrote yesterday, ‘The country is holding elections that could decide whether it tilts towards Moscow or Brussels. Observers fear that violence may follow.’ Seems that violence is already… https://t.co/8xyvbx421q

— Christopher Miller (@ChristopherJM) October 26, 2024

Hugely important vote this weekend in Georgia. My @FT colleagues @hallbenjamin @NastyaStognei wrote yesterday, ‘The country is holding elections that could decide whether it tilts towards Moscow or Brussels. Observers fear that violence may follow.’ Seems that violence is already rearing its head. https://ft.com/content/8f9add86-863d-4d60-adfa-bc82382ed20d

The first preliminary results from Georgia have been released.

With 70% of precincts counted, the ruling Georgian Dream party gets 52.99% of the vote

The main opposition forces — the Coalition for Change and the UNM — receive 11.2% and 9.83%, respectively pic.twitter.com/kVvGVGZXo9

— Anastasia Stognei (@NastyaStognei) October 26, 2024

Polling stations have closed in Georgia.
Data from exit-polls is contradictory.
President Zourabichvili says the opposition has won, PM of Hungary Orban congratulates the “Georgian Dream” (current ruling party).

The situation in Georgia is rather tense.
According to polls,… https://t.co/Rx7BN1V3vd pic.twitter.com/TfRG4QpNgm

— Anton Gerashchenko (@Gerashchenko_en) October 26, 2024

Polling stations have closed in Georgia.
Data from exit-polls is contradictory.
President Zourabichvili says the opposition has won, PM of Hungary Orban congratulates the “Georgian Dream” (current ruling party).

The situation in Georgia is rather tense.
According to polls, people’s moods are mixed and contradicting. While Georgians are afraid of a war with Russia (and the “Georgian Dreams” uses that to its advantage), most Georgians are pro-EU integration and, at the very least, do not want to lose their visa-free access to the Schengen Area.

Geopolitical stakes are very high:

If “Georgian Dream” remains in power, monumental changes in the Caucasus region cannot be ruled out.

The Kremlin has been hinting for quite some time that it can approve the return of South Ossetia and Abkhazia into Georgia with a special status and broad rights.
If that happens, Ivanishvili (head of “Georgian Dream”) will be able to announce the “restoration of Georgia’s territorial integrity.”

Moscow is very keen on having a pro-Russian Georgian government. That would mean a key country in the Caucasus in the Russian sphere of influence. Crucial logistical routes go through there (e.g., the route of oil transport from the Caspian Sea into Turkey and Europe). It would also mean the possibility to restore railroad connection of Russia with Armenia, and then, all the way up to Iran. So that, in turn, would mean a direct land corridor between Russia and Iran.

Then, a transport corridor (North-South). Russia (North) – Caucasus – Iran – India – Sri Lanka. So, Georgia is a key element in Russia’s potential ability to influence India.

Tbilisi turning around would definitely influence Armenia’s geopolitical course – it will then be completely surrounded either by enemy countries (Azerbaijan and Turkey) or by Russia’s allies (Iran and Georgia).

But the most important consequence of pro-Russian powers winning in Georgia is that Russia would showcase itself as the only one able to guarantee security and territorial integrity of post-Soviet states. Even for those with whom it previously waged wars.

A lot of people fully realize how dangerous the victory of the “Russian world” would be, so the fight at the Georgian elections was intense. We will see how events will unfold.

We trust in the democratic Georgia. Waiting for official results.

📹: supporters of the ruling party in Georgia celebrate their victory

Things are not looking good in Georgia. Georgian Dream is an oligarch funded and run pro-Putin/pro-Russian political party. They have become increasingly unpopular and, in response, increasingly tyrannical. A chunk of Georgia has been occupied by Russia since August 2008. I have served with the Georgians in Iraq, but I honestly do not know what is going to happen if Georgian Dream remains in power, consolidates control, and cracks down further.

North Korea:

‘“We expect the troops will mainly be deployed in Kursk and consist of mainly special units from the North Korean army,” Brekelmans said, adding that the first deployment was a way for Russia to test the troops and to gauge international reaction.’ https://t.co/UMd2c4jl5U

— Shashank Joshi (@shashj) October 25, 2024

The Cyprus Mail has the details:

Dutch intelligence has confirmed that Russia has deployed at least 1,500 troops from North Korea to fight in the Ukrainewar, Dutch Defense Minister Ruben Brekelmans said Friday.

Moscow has not denied previous U.S. claims that North Korea had sent troops to Russia, a move that the West is casting as a significant escalation of the war.

“We expect the troops will mainly be deployed in Kursk and consist of mainly special units from the North Korean army,” Brekelmans said, adding that the first deployment was a way for Russia to test the troops and to gauge international reaction.

Kursk is a Russian city near the Ukrainian border where Ukrainian forces staged a major incursion in August.

Iran:

Major knock-on effect of Israeli strikes on Iran is that Iran won’t be able to supply Russia with new ballistic missiles for many months until it rebuilds its manufacturing capabilities

— Anshel Pfeffer אנשיל פפר (@AnshelPfeffer) October 26, 2024

The EU:

“Officials briefed on the discussions say there is no possibility EU militaries could match what the US is providing” to Ukraine. https://t.co/RAzjyuvgkh Other things being equal, yes. But in longer term, Europeans have agency on defence spending, industry, etc.

— Shashank Joshi (@shashj) October 25, 2024

From The Financial Times: (emphasis mine)

EU capitals are racing to draw up assessments of the bloc’s biggest vulnerabilities if Donald Trump is re-elected to the White House, as polls suggest the contest is tilting in the former president’s favour.

Senior EU officials are holding daily meetings to outline where a Trump presidency could cause the most pain for the bloc, said people familiar with the talks.

They said topics under discussion included how to withstand a barrage of trade tariffs, offset an end to US aid to Ukraine and maintain sanctions against Russia if Washington lifts its restrictions.

“Everyone is taking everything much more seriously,” said one senior EU diplomat. “We are trying to make sure we will not be taken by surprise.”

The preparations include formal talks between EU ambassadors and the staff of European Commission president Ursula von der Leyen, as well as informal groups of senior EU diplomats considering possible strategies.

Trump has vowed to impose flat 10 per cent tariffs on all imports and is critical of US support for Kyiv and sceptical of Nato, which underpins Europe’s defence.

Polling suggests he is in a dead heat against vice-president Kamala Harris ahead of the November 5 election, and has overtaken his Democratic rival as the candidate Americans trust most with the economy, according to a Financial Times poll released this week.

“In my personal point of view, we will be in trouble. Deep trouble,” another EU diplomat said of a Trump win. “This disruptive element will be huge, and the unpredictability will be huge.”

The biggest short-term security concern of EU officials is how to continue support to Ukraine if Trump cuts off a flow of weapons that has played a vital role in helping Kyiv thwart Russia’s invasion.

The EU has provided more financial support to Ukraine than the US. But American weapons stockpiles and capabilities are far larger than European countries’. Officials briefed on the discussions say there is no possibility EU militaries could match what the US is providing.

Officials in the bloc are also deeply concerned that a Trump administration would lift sanctions on Russia. That would raise the question of how much economic pressure the EU could maintain on Moscow without US support, even if Japan, the UK and other allies kept sanctions in place.

Trump’s scepticism towards Nato has also exacerbated long-running fears about European reliance on US security guarantees.

“Right now we are arguing amongst ourselves about how to raise €100bn for defence and whether we really need to,” said another EU diplomat, referring to the bloc’s debate about a joint debt issue. “If Trump wins, we’ll instead be talking about €1tn and it won’t be optional.”

The EU talks to prepare for a possible Trump return to the White House have intensified over the past month. They follow von der Leyen’s decision this year to form a small in-house war room to prepare for the US election result, focused mainly on trade and security issues.

More at the link.

Ukraine’s air defense is doing yeoman’s work, but air defense is never perfect:

Russia launched a total of 11,466 missiles at Ukraine between Sept. 2022 and Sept. 2024: an average of over 23 missiles launched daily, per @CSIS. (Ukraine, interestingly, has intercepted 79.8 percent of those) https://t.co/vePyG60Npa

— Mike Eckel (@Mike_Eckel) October 25, 2024

From CSIS:

Ukraine is under siege from Russian firepower strikes and needs additional Western military aid, expanded sanctions against Moscow’s allies, intelligence support, and long-range strike authorization to defend its citizens.

From September 28, 2022, to September 1, 2024, Russia launched a total of 11,466 missiles. On average, 23.2 missiles were launched daily, with the median number of daily launches recorded at 17 missiles. This indicates that while the daily launch rate typically hovered around the mid-20s, there were numerous days with significantly higher activity. Notably, there were 17 days during the study period when missile launches exceeded 82 missiles in a single day. These high-intensity launch days correspond to specific military operations, strategic offensives, or responses to critical developments on the battlefield, reflecting moments of heightened conflict intensity.

This analysis is based on data compiled by Petro Ivaniuk. The dataset is available at Kaggle. CSIS has verified that the data aligns with the official numbers published by Ukraine’s Air Force social media accounts. The analysis in this paper covers the period from September 2022 to September 2024.

The data reveals that the daily intercept rate averaged 83.5 percent, with the median intercept rate reaching 88.5 percent. This high level of intercept efficiency suggests the deployment of advanced missile defense technologies capable of neutralizing a substantial portion of incoming threats on most days. When evaluating the overall intercept rate across the entire study period, it stands at 79.8 percent. This aggregated figure, which is the total intercept rate of the launched missiles, while slightly lower than the daily averages, demonstrates that Ukraine has been successful at defending its skies, both due to Western support and indigenous programs like the acoustic air defense network.

The analysis of missile deployment during the Russia-Ukraine war reveals a significant diversity in the types of missile models employed by Russian forces. The dataset encompasses 52 distinct missile model entries, which include both individual models and combinations of multiple models. This diversity underscores the multifaceted offensive capabilities and strategic flexibility maintained throughout the conflict. While the dataset lists 52 missile model entries, many entries represent combinations of multiple models. After deconstructing these combinations, there are 36 unique missile models identified. This diversity reflects an operational approach to firepower strikes of combining different models like long-range attack drones, ballistic missiles, and cruise missiles to complicate the ability of Ukraine to defend its skies. Of note, many of these unique combinations were launched from different geographic sites further complicating air defense.

Much more at the link.

Selydove:

Updated map showing further Russian advances in Selydove, north of Vuhledar, and north of Zolota Nyva. https://t.co/kRsB0C3n7e https://t.co/1MwmenCOSc pic.twitter.com/qVrjtC0OFL

— Rob Lee (@RALee85) October 26, 2024

The Kerch Strait:

/2. Russian helicopter which crashed in the Kerch Strait likely was a Mi-28. pic.twitter.com/mcgnj6x9oa

— Special Kherson Cat 🐈🇺🇦 (@bayraktar_1love) October 26, 2024

Kyiv:

Barbaric Russian attack on Ukraine tonight kills two children and two women. Yet some still buy into Russia’s ‘guardian of Christianity’ lies. pic.twitter.com/qbDOqTMBQd

— Maria Avdeeva (@maria_avdv) October 26, 2024

Dnipro:

“That’s it, Yulia, dear, we saved you!” – Ukrainian rescuers’ gentle words as they pulled a young woman from rubble in Dnipro. Their voices kept her conscious through the rescue.

But the same Russian missile strike killed 3 others, including a child. pic.twitter.com/BYRBx8Fu35

— Euromaidan Press (@EuromaidanPress) October 26, 2024

The death toll in Dnipro has risen to 5 following yesterday’s russian attack on the city. https://t.co/5bJYVGI7x6 pic.twitter.com/YAhZmYgOMq

— Kate from Kharkiv (@BohuslavskaKate) October 26, 2024

Lyptsi:

Lyptsi is a village in the #Kharkiv region that has borne many scars from Russia’s constant shelling.

This is the local hospital, which was patching up blast-damaged windows in November 2023, but now stands half-destroyed. pic.twitter.com/x1keE3kR8j

— MFA of Ukraine 🇺🇦 (@MFA_Ukraine) October 25, 2024

Ryazan, Russia:

russian oil refinery in Ryazan seems to be having a party 🔥 pic.twitter.com/3qPcY1zchE

— Kate from Kharkiv (@BohuslavskaKate) October 26, 2024

Russian Telegram channels report a drone attack and a fire in the area of Ryazan oil refinery.

This oil refinery can process over 17 million tons of oil per year. It is the third most powerful oil refinery in Russia.

Waiting for more information. pic.twitter.com/V0jrU0Y1rK

— Anton Gerashchenko (@Gerashchenko_en) October 26, 2024

That’s enough for tonight.

Your daily Patron!

There are no new Patron tweets or videos tonight. Here is some adjacent material.

☺️ pic.twitter.com/wEH92Rr6dj

— UkrARMY cats & dogs (@UAarmy_animals) October 23, 2024

😎 pic.twitter.com/1bv8NMWKfZ

— UkrARMY cats & dogs (@UAarmy_animals) October 23, 2024

Open thread!

War for Ukraine Day 976: Odesa Under AttackPost + Comments (12)

War for Ukraine Day 969: The Glide Bombing Continues

by Adam L Silverman|  October 19, 20249:49 pm| 30 Comments

This post is in: China, Foreign Affairs, Foreign Policy, Iran, Israel, Military, Open Threads, Palestine, Russia, Silverman on Security, War, War in Ukraine

A quick housekeeping note. Rosie, Ruby too, are doing great. Rosie’s last chemo treatment is Monday, so we’ll have more on that then. Now that the humidity has come down a lot and the heat as well, it is safer to walk her. We did a 3/4 mile walk earlier and she did very well despite not doing a lot of walking during the course of her treatments because of the effects of them on her combined with the outrageously high heat and humidity. Thank you all for the good thoughts, well wishes, prayers, and donations.

Now that I’ve gotten a bit of rest, I want to take a moment and spend a little more time on the North Korean soldiers issue. The Republic of Korea’s (ROK/South Korea) National Intelligence Service (NIS) has reported that the soldiers that Kim has dispatched to Russia to fight against the Ukrainians are DPRK Special Forces. These are elite soldiers. They are not conscripts doing their mandatory service. They get special privileges in exchange for their service, proper food and access to sundry goods and commodities included. They are committed to the concept of Juche. These are not troops you want to take lightly. While there’s a lot of sturm und drang right now over whether they’ve actually been deployed to Russia or that they have been, but they’re not going to be used to fight the Ukrainians, these guys are what the Russians thought and mythologized their own Special Forces to be before the Ukrainians chewed them up in February and March 2022. It is also important to remember that it gets VERY, VERY, VERY cold on the Korean peninsula during the winter, there’s a lot of mountainous terrain, and the North Korean Special Forces are trained and acclimated for winter and mountain warfare, so the Ukrainian winter is not going to phase them. If they are assigned to fight the Ukrainians things are going to get very, very, very sporty very quickly.

On the other side of the DMZ, the ROK has their own elite Special Forces. I’ve got friends and colleagues who have worked with them. Even the Special Forces (Green Berets) and Rangers tell stories of agreeing to get up early and do PT with the South Korean Special Forces and getting completely smoked by the latter. They’re in amazing condition, highly trained and skilled, and excellent Soldiers.

The larger issue here is that we are looking at an expansion of one of the kinetic/lethal theaters of operation in Putin’s world war against the US, the EU, NATO, and other US allies and partners. The other three primarily kinetic/lethal theaters are the Russian occupied parts of Georgia; Syria, where Russia attacked civilian targets in Idlib just last week; and the Sahel states. Again, Russia’s world war is primarily being waged with the elements of national power – Diplomatic, Informational, Economic, Financial, Intelligence, and Legal – other than Militaray power except in these four theaters of operation. It is a world war where the aggressor’s/Russia’s military power is not normally distributed as most of the targets are being attacked with the other elements of Russian national power. Where Russian military power is used outside of these four theaters, it is the result of the GRU, Russia’s military intelligence, undertaking it’s sabotage and wetwork campaigns. Campaigns that are also being conducted by Russia’s SVR as the two agencies are in competition with each other. Putin’s world war is being resourced by Iran, North Korea, and, based on recent reporting, the PRC. Russia is killing Ukrainian civilians and destroying Ukrainian infrastructure with Iranian and North Korean weapons systems and munitions. We are now waiting to see if the North Korean Special Forces will actually be deployed against the Ukrainians. And while it is out of scope for the Ukrainian war updates, Kim has cut the roads and rail lines near the DMZ while redeploying additional forces to that area.

I do not expect President Biden and his senior natsec appointees to actually figure this out. They have been incredibly resistant to actually recognizing the geo-strategic reality of the past four years. Even if it was not apparent from their response to and handling of Putin’s genocidal re-invasion of Ukraine, it is visible from space in regard to their mismanagement of the Israel-Hamas, Israel-Hezbullah wars. I read the Israeli news reporting, commentary and analysis, and subject matter experts every day. All of them, every single one, are repeatedly amazed about how Biden, Blinken, Austin, Sullivan, Hochstein, McGurk, et al have been played by Bibi, Dermer, and the rest of Bibi’s people over and over and over again.

Their belief, shared by the rest of the Blob inside and outside the Beltway, that the PRC is the pacing threat and we have to pivot US natsec to meet it before 2027 is based on a significant misunderstanding of Chinese political, strategic, and military culture, Xi, and what the PRC is actually doing in its own geo-strategic activities. Their fundamental misunderstanding of China’s political and military geography has now come home to roost with the latest North Korean developments.

Quite simply, there is not a part of the world that is safer and more stable than it was four years ago. Yes, had Trump been reelected, it would all be worse, but just because Trump and his team would be worse, and that he and they have been actively working to subvert Biden and his team’s natsec efforts, doesn’t excuse the strategic malpractice, mismanagement, and failures of President Biden and his senior natsec appointees.

But just because these are the wrong men – and every single member of the senior natsec team handling these issues are men – to meet this moment, does not mean we should fail to recognize the moment for what it is: an ever expanding world war.

Here’s a summary of Russia’s drone swarm attack last night/early this morning:

Ukraine still under heavy drone attack by Russia. Drones downed over capital overnight (1) wreckage damaging building (2). A Shahed drone attacked energy infrastructure in Sumy Oblast (3), and a new type of Russian drone has been spotted over Kyiv and Cherkasy oblasts. pic.twitter.com/GX3bvTlyQT

— Euan MacDonald (@Euan_MacDonald) October 19, 2024

Here is President Zelenskyy’s address from early today. Video below, English transcript after the jump.

show full post on front page

We Keep Working to Free Our People: Military Personnel and Civilians – Address by the President

19 October 2024 – 20:30

I wish you health, fellow Ukrainians!

First of all, today our gratitude goes to our team involved in the exchanges and to all Ukrainian warriors – every unit – who replenish the exchange fund for our state. I am proud of you all, and I thank you for your help in liberating our people from Russian captivity.

It is important to understand that nothing happens just like that. Strong positions are always needed for Ukraine. The capabilities of our state must always be increased. In times of war, results can only be earned. I thank everyone who makes this possible.

We have managed to bring back another 95 Ukrainians from Russian captivity. Most of them are privates and sergeants, 26 officers. Defenders of Mariupol, and generally of the Donetsk, Luhansk, Kharkiv, Kyiv, Chernihiv and Kherson regions. Among them are Azov warriors. Also, Maksym Butkevych – a Ukrainian human rights activist, who went to defend Ukraine after the beginning of the full-scale war. All those who have been returned are now receiving the assistance they need.

And we keep working to free our people: military personnel and civilians. This is a very difficult process, but the more effective we are on the battlefield and in diplomacy, the sooner we will be able to bring the others back. We are investigating the fate of everyone who may be in captivity. We are trying very hard to get all of them back.

I thank the Armed Forces, the Security Service of Ukraine, the Defense Intelligence of Ukraine, the Office, the Ministry of Internal Affairs, the Ombudsman, the Coordination Headquarters – all those who are involved and those who help. As well as our partners – those countries and leaders who strengthen our positions within this work. And always, whenever we have the opportunity, we talk to leaders during visits about the need to bring Ukrainians home. All of them. All those who are captured by Russia.

Today, I met with the Minister for Foreign Affairs of France. It was exactly the meeting we needed. I am grateful to France, President Macron, and all of French society for supporting Ukraine, our defense. We had very good, productive talks in Paris during my visit. We cooperate fruitfully for defense, and in politics, and for our greater resilience – of Ukraine and of all our Europe. I am grateful to France for its support of the Victory Plan – the points that can really bring good faith diplomacy and a just peace closer. And we will be grateful to France for collaborating with our other partners to ensure that we have this shared vision – the vision that only a fair end to the war can truly guarantee a lasting peace.

And one more thing. I want to mention Norway: we have a new support package this week – 260 million dollars. The package is aimed at supporting our energy sector. Restoring destroyed facilities and developing modern infrastructure – this is what we need right now, ahead of winter.

There is also another step – a winter aid package from the Nordic-Baltic Eight: Sweden, Norway, Iceland, Finland, Lithuania, Latvia, Estonia, Denmark. Thank you!

This week, there are also new important decisions in the framework of sanctions against Russia and its allies – the UK’s sanctions against Russia’s shadow tanker fleet. And we need the world to put much more pressure on Russia in this area. The shadow tanker fleet helps Putin finance war and terror, and in addition, it poses a global security threat to all countries whose coasts and seas could be polluted by the operation of such tankers. I am grateful to everyone in the world who realizes this and tries to protect people and countries.

This week has also brought Ukraine a new bilateral security agreement: we signed it with Greece. In general, our architecture of security agreements is developing and growing. But these are always very specific agreements. And it is important to implement every single point. We are working on it.

I thank everyone who stands with Ukraine! Glory to our people!

Glory to Ukraine!

The cost and the reason:

Can’t hold back tears of joy watching this–95 Ukrainian defenders are finally home from Russian captivity!

This exchange is very special, with heroes like Maksym Butkevych, who were unjustly sentenced to years in Russian prisons. pic.twitter.com/lPINroOX3m

— Maria Avdeeva (@maria_avdv) October 19, 2024

The reason:

This is what Ukraine is fighting for.

📹: sashantonenko/TikTok pic.twitter.com/Q5HkLIhEbg

— Anton Gerashchenko (@Gerashchenko_en) October 19, 2024

Butkevych is a Ukrainian human rights activist who was being held in a prison in Luhansk with 40 other POWs.

The full video is here. https://t.co/8zajyQ0Jzy

— Hromadske Radio in English (@HromRadio_eng) October 18, 2024

The first image of Maksym Butkevych after he returned to Ukraine in POW swap with Russia.

Answering question from journalist @dianabutsko, he said that he he did not know that he would be exchanged. Maksym added that 40 Ukrainian POWs were illegally held in a Luhansk prison along with him and another freed serviceman, and the release could encourage those POWs to expect their return home one day.

Maksym Butkevych says that is almost happy.

The image is from video by @Hromadske

Here’s the machine translation of the quoted tweet with the video:

Maksym Butkevich, a released human rights defender and military man, said that the news about the exchange was unexpected – he learned about it by accident on the way

Video: Diana Butsko / hromadske

What Levada says below was true in Russia then, is true in Russia now, and is exactly what Trump and his surrogates, proxies, and benefactors cosplaying as proxies (Musk) are trying to ensure is true in the US in the run up to the November election:

Back in 2005, Yuri Levada, a well known Russian sociologist, political scientist and the founder of the Levada Center, said:

“The authorities need people to feel danger from all sides… And this requires constant mobilization readiness. Scary authorities need frightened people.… pic.twitter.com/sgbQ3C0vEY

— Anton Gerashchenko (@Gerashchenko_en) October 19, 2024

Back in 2005, Yuri Levada, a well known Russian sociologist, political scientist and the founder of the Levada Center, said:

“The authorities need people to feel danger from all sides… And this requires constant mobilization readiness. Scary authorities need frightened people. They are easier to rule.”

Canada:

Canada announced $64.8 million in military assistance to Ukraine.

The package includes small arms and ammunition, personal protective equipment and military uniforms for women, drones, training for Ukrainian soldiers, and contribution to the IT Capability Coalition.

We are… pic.twitter.com/2TKsX3oCl7

— Defense of Ukraine (@DefenceU) October 19, 2024

Canada announced $64.8 million in military assistance to Ukraine.

The package includes small arms and ammunition, personal protective equipment and military uniforms for women, drones, training for Ukrainian soldiers, and contribution to the IT Capability Coalition.

We are grateful to our Canadian friends for their unwavering support!
Together, until victory comes!
🇺🇦🤝🇨🇦
@NationalDefence @BillBlair

Lithuania:

🎯 As I said a decade ago, if you think stopping Putin is expensive, wait until you see the price of letting him win. https://t.co/7NuMPHwfp0

— Garry Kasparov (@Kasparov63) October 19, 2024

Germany:

🇩🇪🤔 Olaf Scholz criticized Friedrich Merz’s proposal to issue an ultimatum to Putin.

“When he say: If the attacks on the infrastructure do not stop, then we’ll do this or that. This is the logic of escalation. It is not reasonable,” he said. pic.twitter.com/NYDeXVdPUC

— The Ukrainian Review (@UkrReview) October 18, 2024

The PRC:

The US Department of the Treasury is saying that China is designing, developing, and producing armed #drones in China, for Russia’s war in Ukraine. (And is sanctioning the firms)

Via @BastianBrauns who wrote about this here, in Germanhttps://t.co/svV5kdfcCX

— Ulrike Franke (@RikeFranke) October 19, 2024

Poltava:

Ukrainian Mi-24 helicopter intercepts Shahed kamikaze drone during recent Russian attack on Ukraine. https://t.co/ntsOhaO7Gr https://t.co/LEeU83kknh pic.twitter.com/gTPkYs95J0

— Special Kherson Cat 🐈🇺🇦 (@bayraktar_1love) October 19, 2024

Russian/Iranian Shahed kamikaze drones attacking Ukraine today. Poltava region. https://t.co/LEeU83kknh pic.twitter.com/WoYSL6nObg

— Special Kherson Cat 🐈🇺🇦 (@bayraktar_1love) October 19, 2024

Zaporizhzhia:

At least 8 people were injured in the russian aerial bomb attack on Zaporizhzhia earlier today. pic.twitter.com/fBUnWG2QXO

— Kate from Kharkiv (@BohuslavskaKate) October 19, 2024

Kharkiv:

I’m tired to the point I’m just going to sleep the night away, and if russia decides to bomb us again, I’m going to ignore it altogether https://t.co/fOtMlFuNGw pic.twitter.com/Z2Bx0ROl6X

— Kate from Kharkiv (@BohuslavskaKate) October 19, 2024

“If I were healthier, I would go and shoot them [Russians] with a machine gun!” – 90-year-old Mrs Olha Shevchenko survived World War II, famine, and is now braving evacuation in Kharkiv region in her beautiful red hat.

May she have many more peaceful years.

📹: TSN pic.twitter.com/kJ4ZeCy2tx

— Anton Gerashchenko (@Gerashchenko_en) October 18, 2024

Odesa:

For 2nd consecutive night in Ukraine, Russian drones swarming in several regions; most of nation on alert. Just now from Kyiv mayor @Vitaliy_Klychko: “Air defense forces work in the capital. Stay in shelters!” Here in Odesa, a 3rd heightened air raid alert that’s still active pic.twitter.com/7ZKO7TRCOf

— Michael Bociurkiw (@WorldAffairsPro) October 19, 2024

Bryansk, Russia:

Bryansk this night https://t.co/shdWCfKrPS pic.twitter.com/WLrmTx3ga8

— 𝔗𝔥𝔢 𝕯𝔢𝔞𝔡 𝕯𝔦𝔰𝔱𝔯𝔦𝔠𝔱△ 🇬🇪🇺🇦🇺🇲🇬🇷 (@TheDeadDistrict) October 19, 2024

St. Petersburg:

Russian Telegram channels report that hundreds of buildings are without electricity in Russian St Petersburg.

Local authorities claim it was an “accident”. Locals say they accident was preceded by explosions from a drone attack. https://t.co/VFKbCoY2Sr pic.twitter.com/qtpt5q37S3

— Anton Gerashchenko (@Gerashchenko_en) October 19, 2024

That’s enough for tonight.

Your daily Patron!

A new video from Patron’s official TikTok!

@patron__dsns

🙂‍↔️🏃🏻‍➡️ #песпатрон

♬ original sound – Dami

Open thread!

War for Ukraine Day 969: The Glide Bombing ContinuesPost + Comments (30)

War for Ukraine Day 953: Would You Look at That, Apparently You Can Bomb a Russian Airbase Deep Behind the Lines, Who Knew?

by Adam L Silverman|  October 3, 20247:50 pm| 15 Comments

This post is in: Foreign Affairs, Foreign Policy, Iran, Israel, Military, Open Threads, Russia, Silverman on Security, War, War in Ukraine

Two quick housekeeping notes. First, Rosie is doing great. Thank you all for the good thoughts, well wishes, prayers, and donations.

Second, thank you all for the Rosh HaShana wishes.

Apparently you can strike a Russian base well behind enemy lines.

Helping Ukraine defeat Russia will isolate Iran, thus degrading Iranian support for Hizbollah, Hamas, and Houthis. It will also send a message of deterrence to China. These wars are connected…parts of one strategic challenge to our way of life, requiring political will,… https://t.co/0WpSL1Njuh

— Ben Hodges (@general_ben) October 3, 2024

Helping Ukraine defeat Russia will isolate Iran, thus degrading Iranian support for Hizbollah, Hamas, and Houthis. It will also send a message of deterrence to China. These wars are connected…parts of one strategic challenge to our way of life, requiring political will, industrial capacity and military capability.

Who knew?

I expect that the Biden administration will now turn off the long range weapons systems and the flow of long range weapons to Ukra… Wait, I’m getting an update: Israel.

Never mind.

Here’s the butcher’s bill from last night’s Russian attack:

Russia continues to terrorize the civilian population of Ukraine, overnight launching 105 Shahed kamikaze drones onto several regions of the country.

Despite the relentless attacks, Ukrainian air forces are still downing the majority – this time successfully eliminating 78.… pic.twitter.com/lxyFOsOP5f

— KyivPost (@KyivPost) October 3, 2024

Russia continues to terrorize the civilian population of Ukraine, overnight launching 105 Shahed kamikaze drones onto several regions of the country.

Despite the relentless attacks, Ukrainian air forces are still downing the majority – this time successfully eliminating 78.

Ukraine is forbidden by the US to strike the source of the attacks with western weapons.

⚡️Russia launches mass drone attack on Ukraine, 15 drones downed in Kyiv.

About 15 Russian drones were detected and shot down near Kyiv overnight on Oct. 3, city authorities said.https://t.co/ZJPbSq3sC2

— The Kyiv Independent (@KyivIndependent) October 3, 2024

From The Kyiv Independent:

About 15 Russian drones were detected and shot down near Kyiv overnight on Oct. 3, city authorities said.

The air raid alert in Ukraine’s capital lasted 5.5 hours, with explosions reported in Kyiv and surrounding areas.

Drone attacks on Kyiv have increased in recent weeks, with Russia launching several groups of drones at night, approaching from various directions and altitudes, according to the Kyiv City Military Administration.

“The enemy launched the first groups of drones before midnight, but more and more UAVs (unmanned aerial vehicles) were constantly added throughout the night,” authorities reported on Oct. 3.

“Nevertheless, none of the Russian drones reached their target.”

Debris from downed drones fell in Kyiv’s Desnianskyi district. No damage or injuries were reported.

Ukraine’s Air Force reported that Russia launched 105 Shahed-type drones across Ukraine overnight. Seventy-eight were shot down across 15 oblasts, while 23 were lost to electronic warfare, and one flew toward Belarus, the statement said.

Here is President Zelenskyy’s address from earlier today. Video below, English transcript after the jump.

show full post on front page

Long-Range Capabilities Must Finally Be Provided in the Way Necessary to End This War – Address by the President

3 October 2024 – 19:29

Dear Ukrainians!

Today, the new NATO Secretary General, Mark Rutte, paid his first visit to Kyiv, and this is a significant visit to Ukraine he made immediately after assuming the powers of the Alliance’s Secretary General. And the key now is to actually back up this priority with decisions. It’s clear how important it is to fully implement every agreement we’ve made with our partners on defense support. Timeliness in support means resilience on the frontline. The frontline must be strengthened, and long-range capabilities must finally be provided in the way necessary to end this war. Everyone in the Alliance understands the needs.

As we head into winter, Ukraine’s air defense is no less important, along with real progress in the joint interception of Russian missiles and drones. We see that one of the main reasons for the security deficit in the skies of Ukraine, and in particular near the borders of NATO, our neighbors, is the lack of decisions on joint operations and joint defense. What works in the skies of the Middle East and helps Israel’s defense can work just as well in the skies of our part of Europe – in Ukraine – helping to save lives. There are specific technical solutions and fully effective tactics for this. Today, we discussed these matters with Mark Rutte – we will continue convincing all partners of what needs to be implemented for effective air defense.

Also, the invitation for Ukraine to join NATO and the progress toward membership is a constant topic on the table in our discussions with partners. Today, Mark and I talked about the details of this. It is equally necessary for all of us in Europe – Ukraine in the Alliance – not just for the sake of greater collective strength, and not just because it’s fair and deserved for Ukrainians, but also because only with Ukraine’s full integration and our clear place in the Euro-Atlantic space can we effectively eliminate Russia’s old, criminal temptation to disrupt the European way of life. Geopolitical certainty for Ukraine and for the whole of Europe is of the utmost value. This is the solid foundation of peace – when there is no insufficiently secure place in Europe’s security architecture.

There was a report today from Commander-in-Chief Syrskyi. Frontline – Donetsk, Kharkiv, and Zaporizhzhia regions. Our response to Russia’s attacks on border communities. As well as the operation in the Kursk region – our ongoing active measures. I am grateful to all our warriors – every combat brigade – who are really effective on the battlefield now, in the most intense sectors. These weeks, the 35th separate marine brigade, the 57th separate motorized infantry brigade, the 68th separate jaeger brigade, the 102nd separate territorial defense brigade, the 118th separate mechanized brigade and the 425th separate assault battalion especially deserve our gratitude. Thank you all, warriors!

I thank everyone who is fighting and working for Ukraine! Glory to our people!

Glory to Ukraine!

Mark Rutte, the new Secretary General of NATO, made his first official visit today. To Ukraine.

Important visit to #Kyiv to meet my friend, President @ZelenskyyUa. We discussed the areas where #Ukraine needs further support. As the new #NATO Secretary General, it is my priority to take this support forward to ensure that Ukraine prevails. pic.twitter.com/jROe82yF8c

— Mark Rutte (@SecGenNATO) October 3, 2024

Mark Rutte’s first visit as NATO Secretary General @SecGenNATO is to Ukraine, and this is truly significant. It immediately and clearly outlines the priorities, highlighting where the shared values of the entire Euro-Atlantic region are being defended right now. It also… pic.twitter.com/cknjtn7SsY

— Volodymyr Zelenskyy / Володимир Зеленський (@ZelenskyyUa) October 3, 2024

Mark Rutte’s first visit as NATO Secretary General @SecGenNATO is to Ukraine, and this is truly significant. It immediately and clearly outlines the priorities, highlighting where the shared values of the entire Euro-Atlantic region are being defended right now. It also emphasizes that we in Ukraine can count on Mark’s continued personal leadership.

Our key objective, of course, remains Ukraine’s full membership in the Alliance. Today, we also discussed Ukraine’s Victory Plan, the situation on the battlefield, the current needs of our troops, as well as Ukraine’s air defense needs and additional cooperation with our neighbors.

As winter approaches, it is crucial to implement all the agreements regarding air defense, especially those discussed at the NATO summit in Washington.

He and President Zelenskyy held a joint press conference.

Ukraine needs to strengthen its positions on the frontline so that we can increase pressure on Russia for the sake of fair, real diplomacy. This is why we need a sufficient quantity and quality of long-range weapons, the provision of which, in my opinion, is being delayed by our… pic.twitter.com/73LV1yQLXE

— Volodymyr Zelenskyy / Володимир Зеленський (@ZelenskyyUa) October 3, 2024

Ukraine needs to strengthen its positions on the frontline so that we can increase pressure on Russia for the sake of fair, real diplomacy. This is why we need a sufficient quantity and quality of long-range weapons, the provision of which, in my opinion, is being delayed by our partners.

Today, with Mark Rutte @SecGenNATO, we also discussed Ukraine’s air defense needs and additional cooperation with our neighbors. We see, particularly in the Middle East, how it is possible to protect people’s lives through the unity of allies. Jointly intercepting Iranian missiles is no different from jointly intercepting Russian missiles, and especially “Shaheds,” which link the Russian and Iranian regimes.

What we need in our region is more determination from our partners to put an end to Russian terror.

Here’s the full video.

Permission for Ukraine to strike targets in Russia with long-range weapons will be discussed at the “Ramstein” meeting on October 12, – Mark Rutte. pic.twitter.com/uyfQTdBuQw

— Maria Drutska 🇺🇦 (@maria_drutska) October 3, 2024

I’m sure it will.

Romania:

The Patriot system promised by Romania arrived in Ukraine https://t.co/kwaj9gHE3l

— Special Kherson Cat 🐈🇺🇦 (@bayraktar_1love) October 3, 2024

Here’s the full text of the quoted tweet:

Romania will donate Patriot air defense system to Ukraine. Official website of the president of Romania:

«Considering the significant deterioration of the security situation in Ukraine, as a result of Russia’s constant and massive attacks on civilians and civil infrastructure, especially on the energy sector, as well as the regional consequences of this situation, including on Romania’s security, in close coordination with the Allies, Council members decided to donate a PATRIOT system to Ukraine.»

https://presidency.ro/ro/media/sedinta-consiliului-suprem-de-aparare-a-tarii1718883520

Russia committed another war crime today by executing another Ukrainian POW.

russians have once again executed a Ukrainian prisoner of war on camera.

I wish everyone advocating for ‘peace deals’ would reflect on how can you make peace with those who come to murder you, your family, everyone you love, and destroy your very way of life?

I wish the UN and…

— Kate from Kharkiv (@BohuslavskaKate) October 3, 2024

russians have once again executed a Ukrainian prisoner of war on camera.

I wish everyone advocating for ‘peace deals’ would reflect on how can you make peace with those who come to murder you, your family, everyone you love, and destroy your very way of life?

I wish the UN and the Red Cross would stop being passive, uninvolved, and indifferent, as they hang out on Carphatian resorts.

I wish something would change.

How many more of us need to die on camera for the world to finally understand what we are up against and the consequences of delaying crucial support and decisions?

I’ve watched the video. You do not need to watch it, you do not need to see the screen shots from it. Just note what Russia has done.

 

Vovchansk:

This was Vovchansk city.
It does not exist anymore because Ukraine couldn’t strike back. pic.twitter.com/UhZDEt17IB

— Kate from Kharkiv (@BohuslavskaKate) October 3, 2024

Kharkiv:

When russian aircraft bombed Kharkiv last night, I couldn’t reach my parents. The fear was paralyzing. Minutes felt endless. Then my dad answered – they were okay. I cried with relief, rage, and exhaustion. The wounds left by russia’s war will never fully heal. Something inside…

— Iryna Voichuk (@IrynaVoichuk) October 3, 2024

When russian aircraft bombed Kharkiv last night, I couldn’t reach my parents. The fear was paralyzing. Minutes felt endless. Then my dad answered – they were okay. I cried with relief, rage, and exhaustion. The wounds left by russia’s war will never fully heal. Something inside me is broken beyond repair.

Oleksandr rescued his cat from his home, completely destroyed by a Russian glide bomb last night. Residents only had a few minutes after the air raid warning before the bomb hit. For Kharkiv, these attacks have become a brutal daily reality pic.twitter.com/PBLnotCcMu

— Maria Avdeeva (@maria_avdv) October 3, 2024

Vuhledar:

Good article by @StankoNastya on the reasons behind the Vuhledar fall. Those who follow me know these are the same systemic issues I’ve written about repeatedly. It bothers me how these problems are frequently overlooked and the focus shifted elsewherehttps://t.co/y4LU7ZxenF

— Tatarigami_UA (@Tatarigami_UA) October 3, 2024

SildstvoInfo has the details:

After two years of defence of Vuhledar, the Ukrainian military withdrew from the city. Today, the Khortytsia operational and strategic grouping of troops officially announced this: ‘Having suffered numerous losses as a result of prolonged fighting, the enemy did not give up trying to capture Vuhledar. In an attempt to take control of the town at any cost, they managed to send reserves to conduct flanking attacks that exhausted the defences of the Ukrainian Armed Forces. As a result of the enemy’s actions, the city was threatened with encirclement. The Higher Command gave permission for a manoeuvre to withdraw units from Vuhledar in order to save personnel and military equipment, and to take up a position for further actions.’

Slidstvo.Info spoke to one of the military officers at the headquarters of one of the battalions of the 72nd Brigade of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, which has been defending this area and Vuhledar in particular since August 2022 without rotation. The soldier’s name has been changed for security reasons.

‘Before the brigade was redeployed to the Donetsk region, we had a fully operational unit and staff. But over two years of fighting without rotations and rest, we turned into an incapacitated unit, the brigade was wiped out,’ says Viktor, who holds a position at the headquarters of one of the battalions of the 72nd Brigade of the Armed Forces of Ukraine.

‘In the two years since we have been in the Vuhledar area, only once in my battalion have we been able to fully staff only one company — out of the entire battalion. Every three months, we received 25 new recruits, mostly old men aged 50+. They were poorly trained in the ‘training schools’, they did not know tactical medicine at all, nor what a grenade launcher was. There was zero fire support, so we managed to teach them what we could in a week on the spot, but understood that it was very little time.’

When asked why they failed to hold the town, which was situated on a hill and had a very favourable position for defence, and which his brigade and other units had held for two years, Viktor explains: ‘And what is a dominant height now, if the enemy’s reconnaissance drones are hovering over you around the clock? And they have an advantage in artillery, we had practically no artillery, it’s not like it was in the winter of 23rd, when we defeated the 155th Brigade (in February 2023, the 72nd Brigade destroyed several columns of Russian tanks and effectively rendered the 155th Marine Brigade of the Russian Federation incapable of fighting, which attacked Pavlivka, near Vuhledar — ed.) Then we had a lot of artillery, shoot if you want, but now we don’t, they have parity in the air due to the larger number of FPV drones. The Russians also started remotely mining all the access roads to the front line. Yes, their infantry are bums, but they have an advantage in means and numbers. We simply had no one and nothing to fight with.’

Viktor tells us how many men he has left in the battalion. Out of 350 people, there are up to 30 people left for one platoon. This includes mechanics, drivers, and recently infantrymen who held the front line — a 2-3 kilometre strip — and there were 14-18 people in the unit.

‘We have repeatedly said that the unit is incapable of fighting, we were sometimes given some manpower, but they were also quickly worn out due to inadequately cut tasks, such as “restoring lost positions”, and we could no longer hold the ones we were standing on at the time,’ the soldier says.

When asked whether the Russian offensive on Vuhledar could have been deterred in recent months, Viktor replies that yes, ‘if we had been replaced at least 2-3 months ago, but it depends on who and what quality of infantry would have been there, whether they would not have been afraid to hold the front line.’

Slidstvo.Info asked the press service of the 72nd Brigade of the Armed Forces of Ukraine for a comment on the circumstances of their withdrawal from Vuhledar, but they have not yet officially commented on this information.

Before the full-scale invasion, about 15,000 people lived in Vuhledar. The town was destroyed in 2023. A few days before the capture of Vuhledar, there were just over 100 residents left. According to the Donetsk Military-Civilian Administration, all children were evacuated.

The Kursk cross border offensive.

Strikes reported in Kurchatov, Kursk region of Russia. pic.twitter.com/qrlev48ayg

— Special Kherson Cat 🐈🇺🇦 (@bayraktar_1love) October 3, 2024

Interception of 16 Russian reconnaissance drones and 1 Lancet loitering munition on the Kursk front. https://t.co/PUhB3QOlOh pic.twitter.com/lsiaRPhh2B

— Special Kherson Cat 🐈🇺🇦 (@bayraktar_1love) October 3, 2024

Interception of 16 Russian reconnaissance drones and 1 Lancet loitering munition on the Kursk front. https://t.co/PUhB3QOlOh pic.twitter.com/lsiaRPhh2B

— Special Kherson Cat 🐈🇺🇦 (@bayraktar_1love) October 3, 2024

Voronezh Oblast, Russia:

Ukrainian drones targeted Russian military airfield in Borisoglebsk, Voronezh region tonight. The results of the attack are yet unknown pic.twitter.com/HwSqozO1PB

— Special Kherson Cat 🐈🇺🇦 (@bayraktar_1love) October 3, 2024

Drone attacks, like strike on Borisoglebsk airfield are Ukraine’s most effective response right now. These facilities—where Russia stores KABs, fighter jets, and aviation fuel—are used to bomb Ukrainian cities. Imagine the impact if Ukraine had permission for heavier weapons pic.twitter.com/KYOxl4uUMN

— Maria Avdeeva (@maria_avdv) October 3, 2024

That’s enough for tonight.

Your daily Patron!

A new video from Patron’s official TikTok.

@patron__dsns

Я би був сирником або морозивом, напевно! 🤭🧀🍮 Ідея: @mavka.kytsia

♬ Hatachi no koi – ♡

Here’s the machine translation of the caption:

I would have been a cheesecake or ice cream, probably!🤭🧀🍮 Ідея: @mavka.kytsia

Open thread!

War for Ukraine Day 953: Would You Look at That, Apparently You Can Bomb a Russian Airbase Deep Behind the Lines, Who Knew?Post + Comments (15)

War for Ukraine Day 943: President Zelenskyy Travels to the US & Russia Continues Hunting Ukrainians in Kherson with Drones

by Adam L Silverman|  September 23, 20248:55 pm| 17 Comments

This post is in: Foreign Affairs, Foreign Policy, Iran, Israel, Military, Open Threads, Russia, Silverman on Security, War, War in Ukraine

Two quick housekeeping notes. First, Rosie is still doing very well. Thank you all for the good thoughts, well wishes, prayers, and donations.

Second, I don’t have the bandwidth to add another conflict for updates right now. But I do want to make a couple of quick points. The first is that Israel has, in just today’s strikes, has killed enough Lebanese to get over the 25% mark of its total campaign numbers from 2006. That campaign lasted 34 days. It is unclear what the proportion of Hezbullah fighters and personnel are to civilian casualties right now, regardless, the overall number and percentage compared to 2006 is astonishing.

The death toll in Lebanon has just been raised to 492. It’s a bloodbath. https://t.co/Y21t4uNYEP

— Liz Sly (@LizSly) September 23, 2024

Full disclosure: I know Liz Sly. She’s an excellent reporter and knows the Levant exceedingly well. She interviewed me when I was deployed in Iraq.

Second, I don’t know how this ends. The Biden administration had been trying to deescalate this for almost an entire year. That’s not worked for a variety of reasons. Third, the people who will be hurt the worst are just every day Lebanese and Israelis. Some will be Arab, some will be Druze. Some will by Muslim, some Jewish, some Christian, some Druze, some Bahai. They are the real victims. They are the victims of leaders who care more about themselves and their doctrinally derived ideological grievances and megalomaniacal sense of historical over importance than about the people they claim to represent.

Russia is hunting Ukrainian civilians in Kherson:

Russian drone manhunt in Kherson continues day by day. They are killing the citizens who refused to be a part of the russian world out of spite. https://t.co/atZp2FxnC0

— Kate from Kharkiv (@BohuslavskaKate) September 23, 2024

They’re doing something similar in Nikopol:

❗️The russian bastards are terrorizing Nikopol: they attach heat traps to FPV drones and randomly launch them at houses and cars, thus provoking fires, — the military.

They do not try to find military targets, and these traps are not aimed. The burning temperature is about 2000… pic.twitter.com/vNwm8xuCaj

— Jürgen Nauditt 🇩🇪🇺🇦 (@jurgen_nauditt) September 23, 2024

❗️The russian bastards are terrorizing Nikopol: they attach heat traps to FPV drones and randomly launch them at houses and cars, thus provoking fires, — the military.

They do not try to find military targets, and these traps are not aimed. The burning temperature is about 2000 degrees.

President Zelenskyy has traveled to the US in order to address the UN General Assembly later in the week. Today he addressed the Plenary Session of the Summit of the Future. Video below, English transcript after the jump.

show full post on front page

We Know Exactly How Much Global Unity Can Achieve – Speech by the President of Ukraine at the Plenary Session of the Summit of the Future

23 September 2024 – 23:53

Thank you so much! Ladies and gentlemen,

It is important that the world is working to develop a shared vision for the best future for humanity. As soon as such collective efforts begin, true interests are always revealed.

Ukraine supports efforts to keep all nations united, safe and strictly adhere to the U.N. Charter. And you all can see who always not only stands against it, but also actively works to undermine global unity.

This time, during the work on the Pact for the Future, the same small group of seven accomplices, led by Russia, has once again acted destructively, always opposing any global initiatives that strengthen the effectiveness of the U.N. Charter.

This group has always behaved this way whenever the U.N. tried to do something that works for everyone’s good. And you all see it. I thank Germany and Namibia for their co-facilitation of the Pact for the future. I also thank Zambia and Sweden for facilitating the negotiations on the Global Digital Compact. My thanks go to Jamaica and the Netherlands, who co-chaired the inter-governmental process on the Declaration for Future Generations. It is very, very important that we hear a united voice from Africa now – this common stance of African nations strengthens global efforts. And my sincere thanks to all the countries that have offered their helpful ideas for the future.

The world needs a peaceful future and sustainable development. And I say this as the President of Ukraine, a country resisting Russia’s brutal colonial aggression. And we know exactly how much global unity can achieve – both here at the U.N. and through the Peace Summits for Ukraine, where we aim to overcome the destructiveness of Russia and its accomplices.

We are now preparing for the second Peace Summit, moving forward with our partners, step by step, according to the Peace Formula.

And we are working on food security, energy security, and holding Russia accountable for its terror. Next, we will address all the other points of the Peace Formula, including the release of prisoners, the restoration of territorial integrity, and more.

And we are preparing a document to present at the second Peace Summit.

I invite all leaders, nations to continue supporting our joint efforts for a just and peaceful future!

Putin has stolen much already, but he will never steal the world’s future. I am sure.

Thank you!

Glory to Ukraine!

He also addressed the American Academy of Achievement Awards Ceremony, where he received an award. Video followed by the English transcript.

We Need Not to Lose the Next Few Months in War, So That We Don’t Lose the Next Decades – Speech by the President of Ukraine at the American Academy of Achievement Awards Ceremony

23 September 2024 – 12:32

Thank you very much.

Dear friends! All guests gathered here tonight and every friend of freedom who will hear us! 

I thank you for this honor. And I want you to know that in everything we have achieved so far, and most importantly – everything we can still achieve, our people and our Ukrainian bravery – you have become a part of it – your help, your choices, your determination will not let freedom be lost.

The world today does not allow us to lose a single battle when on one side is freedom, and everything we would never wish for our children is on the other. None of us would wish – no matter we are in America, Ukraine or anywhere across Europe, anywhere in the world – no one willingly chooses regimes like the Russian one, Iranian or any other dictatorship, for their children. These regimes are always built on violence, always make wars and spill blood, and always steal the future – they ruin years, leaving decades in ruins. This is why they must lose.

We don’t have much time. The next few months will be decisive. Ahead of us in this war – Russia’s war against Ukraine and all of you because this is Russia’s war against freedom itself, – we are short of time to define what the outcome will be. And we must define it. Not Russia, not their bloody allies.

We need to be faster. We need not to lose the next few months in war, so that we don’t lose the next decades. Ukraine has a Plan for Victory. And I will present this Plan to America – to President Biden, to the Congress and to both Presidential candidates – Kamala Harris and Donald Trump – and all our global allies. And I believe this must be our shared achievement – victory for freedom, with no compromises at freedom’s expense. Right now, we all hold the power to shape the world our children and their children will live in.

What will they believe in? Our children.

Will they believe in the values that unite all of you despite any differences, and this country, and our bond with America?

Or will they lose hope, living in a world where wars are permanent?

This Golden Plate will never be given to Putin or such as him. The reason is obvious – there are no awards for killings they bring, for dreams they ruin and for countries they burn. Today people receive this award for being the best in what they do – for their ingenuity which can only be realized in freedom.

We all need victory. And we all know why.

And may that victory reflect each and every one of you and your support. Thank you! Thank you for the invitation!

God bless America! 

Cлава Україні!

Scranton, PA;

Zelenskyy visited a Scranton Army Ammunition Plant in the USA where 155mm artillery shells for the Armed Forces of Ukraine are produced

“400 people work here. I really wanted to come here and thank you. 400 people saved millions of Ukrainians. From myself and all our people,… pic.twitter.com/SBH3ZKXdxn

— Special Kherson Cat 🐈🇺🇦 (@bayraktar_1love) September 23, 2024

Zelenskyy visited a Scranton Army Ammunition Plant in the USA where 155mm artillery shells for the Armed Forces of Ukraine are produced

“400 people work here. I really wanted to come here and thank you. 400 people saved millions of Ukrainians. From myself and all our people, thank you very much.” – Zelenskyy, addressing the factory workers.

https://president.gov.ua/news/prezident-vidvidav-skrentonskij-armijskij-boyepripasnij-zavo-93389

During my visit to the Scranton Army Ammunition Plant, where components for artillery and mortar shells are produced, including 155 mm shells for Ukraine, I emphasized the dedication of the workers, which is truly inspiring—they are helping Ukraine stand strong in our fight for… pic.twitter.com/rs0vLZRlVU

— Volodymyr Zelenskyy / Володимир Зеленський (@ZelenskyyUa) September 23, 2024

During my visit to the Scranton Army Ammunition Plant, where components for artillery and mortar shells are produced, including 155 mm shells for Ukraine, I emphasized the dedication of the workers, which is truly inspiring—they are helping Ukraine stand strong in our fight for freedom.

I am grateful to the people of Scranton, Pennsylvania, and all the states where Americans are building this incredible arsenal of global freedom. Together, we are strengthening the defense of liberty and democracy.

🇺🇦🇺🇸

Washington, DC & New York:

NEW — The Ukrainian government was circulating materials to members of Congress this past weekend to enlist their help in discrediting China’s so-called “peace” plan for Russia/Ukraine at the UN General Assembly this week.https://t.co/xjSMkxcg6F

— Andrew Desiderio (@AndrewDesiderio) September 23, 2024

From Punchbowl News:

The Ukrainian government is seeking to mobilize U.S. lawmakers as part of its bid to discredit China’s so-called “peace” plan as the United Nations General Assembly gets underway this week.

Over the weekend, Ukrainian officials were circulating materials to members of Congress outlining Kyiv’s strong opposition to the Beijing-authored plan, according to a senator who was contacted on the issue.

Several lawmakers are expected to be in New York for meetings as part of the annual U.N. gathering. And the outreach shows that Ukraine is looking to U.S. lawmakers to help make their case against China’s plan, which has drawn praise from Russian President Vladimir Putin.

The expectation is that China’s top officials will be making a strong pitch for their proposal here at the U.N. meeting.

Why Congress? It should go without saying that Congress is one of the Ukrainian government’s most important constituencies beyond its borders. Without congressional backing, Ukraine wouldn’t get critical weapons and equipment in its still desperate struggle with Russia.

And the last thing Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky wants to see is an effort to restrict his military’s ability to ultimately defeat Russia. That’s exactly how Zelensky views Beijing’s plan, which calls on Western countries to stop enabling Ukraine’s military strikes into Russian territory, among other recommendations.

Of course, bipartisan majorities in Congress are actively urging the Biden administration to lift existing restrictions on Ukraine’s ability to strike into Russia. So it makes sense that Ukraine would want to enlist lawmakers to help make their case to the dozens of world leaders and thousands of diplomats who will be at UNGA this week.

What’s the argument? Kyiv’s opposition to China’s efforts focus in large part on what Ukrainian officials say is their short-term goal: pushing the United States to allow it to strike inside Russia as a way to establish a “buffer” against attacks on Ukraine.

According to the senator briefed on the issue and a Ukrainian official, the materials shared with U.S. lawmakers have warnings about China’s intentions, including to “take advantage of the uncertainty caused by the U.S. presidential election.”

Beijing’s plan is described by the Ukrainian government as self-serving, with the goal of strengthening China-Russia ties by forcing Moscow to increase its dependency on China. Kyiv also warns that Beijing will try to enlist “one of the powerful European players as mediators.”

There was more Ukraine news regarding Washington DC in this morning’s Politico Morning Defense, which I get as a courtesy from a former client. And it ain’t good.

Ukraine not included: The short-term funding bill does not renew the administration’s authority to transfer nearly $6 billion worth of weapons and equipment to Ukraine. Without action from Congress to raise the threshold on drawdown authority, the program will reset to $100 million on Oct. 1.

The Biden administration has requested that Congress roll over the $5.9 billion that hasn’t been used. The authority is Washington’s main tool for arming Ukraine, and allows the Pentagon to send weapons from military inventories into the fight. There’s no money appropriated for it, but Congress has allocated billions to replace weapons that have been drawn from DOD stocks.

It remains unclear if Congress or the Pentagon will pivot to a Plan B for assisting Ukraine. Pentagon officials had warned that its expiration would hinder efforts to help the country.

After the conservative CR that Speaker Mike Johnson put forward last week didn’t re-up the authority, Democrats urged him to rethink that stance in a letter last week spearheaded by HFAC ranking Democrat Gregory Meeks and Rep. Bill Keating.

Speaking of Washington, DC and not good:

JUST NOW!!! I asked @POTUS if he made his decision to allow Ukraine to use long-range weapons.

“No” he replied… pic.twitter.com/yrwwhfBA5b

— Alex Raufoglu (@ralakbar) September 22, 2024

No rush. Take all the time you need. Maybe have an ice cream while you’re at it.

Every time a Western politician, philosopher, historian, or celebrity speaks about the universal values of democracy, freedom, self-determination, and upholding these ideals globally, just read this and remind yourself that such words are hollow and have only declaratory value https://t.co/LoG7p0RQgQ

— Tatarigami_UA (@Tatarigami_UA) September 23, 2024

Here’s the full text of Tatarigami’s quoted tweet:

President Zelensky is seeking security guarantees as part of Ukraine’s ongoing effort to join NATO. While few expect this request to result in a positive answer, the reality is that Ukraine urgently needs security assurances to end the war and ensure its survival. This isn’t mere rhetoric to grab your attention – it’s an invitation to an honest discussion about why Zelensky is pushing for a new security framework – and why it must be taken seriously.

Some of these points may echo earlier discussions, but they need to be repeated to understand the full picture. No matter how optimistic some portray the situation, or talk about great Ukraine after the victory, it doesn’t resolve the problem. Admitting the problem and discussing it is the first step to a solution.

Let’s take a hard look at the potential consequences if Ukraine freezes the conflict without securing firm guarantees.

First, consider the economic and demographic problems of post-war Ukraine. The country has lost ~18% of its territory, including important agricultural and industrial regions in the south and east. Even in areas under Ukrainian control near the frontline, land remains unsafe due to extensive minefields. Sea ports like Mariupol and Berdyansk are occupied, and large industrial facilities, akin to Azovstal are destroyed.

Demographically, the situation is even worse. Before the war, Ukraine already faced one of the worst population trends in Europe. The Ptoukha Institute for Demography estimates that only around 29 million people lived in government-controlled areas at the start of 2024 – which is down from 45 million before the 2014 Russian invasion and Crimea’s annexation.

The war has accelerated the exodus of younger Ukrainians, particularly women and children, leaving behind an aging population. Adding to this, hundreds of thousands of veterans will return home, many of whom will require physical and psychological support. Managing this social, economic, and political burden without security guarantees would be a monumental task for any state forced to have high military spending, let alone Ukraine, with GDP per capita almost 5 times less than Greece. Additionally, without firm security guarantees and a concrete long-term plan, the likelihood of people returning from abroad remains slim.

Lack of guarantees will multiply the factor of instability, with fears of another Russian invasion driving more citizens to flee once borders fully reopen. The resulting uncertainty would deter post-war investments, as high-security risks and social instability would create an unattractive environment for any serious economic engagement.

Politically, Ukraine will also enter a period of uncertainty and risks. While Zelensky remains a unifying figure in wartime, internal tensions, which are often invisible to the Western audience are mounting, creating an increasingly toxic political atmosphere. A stalled war, millions displaced, lost territories, and a crippled economy hardly set the stage for calm and easy elections. As Ukraine enters a period of intense political competition, accusations of military failures are likely to dominate the discourse. It will be a test of Ukraine’s ability to preserve national unity across political lines.

Some argue that immigration could help address the problem, but what exactly would draw immigrants to Ukraine, where the average monthly salary is between $500 and $700, in a country ravaged by post-war problems and facing the constant threat of another Russian invasion? Especially when far more attractive opportunities are available within the EU.

Many Western partners assure Ukraine that aid will ensure that it won’t happen, but how reliable are these statements, given the history of similar statements akin to “Will support Ukraine as long as it takes” in today’s realities? Democracies operate on election cycles, and promises of long-term support can quickly become an object of shifting political winds. As elections approach, Ukraine could find itself a target of political debate, with opposition asking why their nations should prioritize foreign aid over pressing domestic issues like healthcare, education, or economic problems. In such an environment, the commitment to Ukraine is unstable and can’t be trusted.

The same applies to military aid for Ukraine. While Russia will keep rebuilding its forces, Ukraine will primarily depend on its own, much smaller domestic production and increasingly uncertain Western support, which will use peace as an excuse to diminish its aid

Russia, despite facing similar challenges, holds a significant advantage by being larger in most metrics, allowing it to better absorb these problems. Its vast resources, particularly oil and gas, offer economic leverage to soften the post-war problems. Moreover, Russia is likely to see some sanctions bypassed thanks to inconsistent enforcement. Under these conditions, it may only be a matter of time before Russia rebuilds a force large enough to deliver a decisive blow to Ukraine. Meanwhile, democratic Ukraine, without solid security guarantees, faces a far bleaker scenario.

Current peace proposals essentially send the same message: no guarantees for Ukraine, but a demand to cede territory and abandon aspirations of joining the Western alliance. In other words, nearly 30 million people are being sacrificed because the West is too weak and unwilling to make bold, risky decisions that could shape a better future.

Germany:

Both points are well observed by @gideonrachman

Germany, political extremism and the risks to Ukraine https://t.co/J8SDmmFkda pic.twitter.com/zcozbddckQ

— Ulrike Franke (@RikeFranke) September 23, 2024

Here are the details from The Financial Times:

The potential impact of Donald Trump on the Ukraine war and the western alliance is well understood. But what happens in Germany could be almost as important.

The Germans are the second-largest national aid donors to Ukraine, after the US, and they are central players in both the EU and Nato. But populist parties, sympathetic to Russia, are on the rise in Germany.

The Alternative for Germany party (AfD) almost won the elections in the state of Brandenburg on Sunday. This is the party’s third strong performance in a row, after coming first in state elections in Thuringia and a close second in Saxony.

Combine the AfD vote with that of the Sahra Wagenknecht Alliance (BSW) and something like a third of Germans — and many more in eastern Germany — are voting for populist parties that are militantly anti-migration, hostile to Nato and determined to cut off aid to Ukraine. When Volodymyr Zelenskyy addressed the Bundestag in June, all but four of the AfD’s 77 members boycotted his speech.

The policy stances taken by the AfD and BSW, combined with accusations that many AfD members have an undeclared agenda that is even more extremist, mean that Germany’s traditional parties will refuse to go into coalition with the populists — at least at the national level. But the rise of the political extremes is already having an influence on government policies. Germany’s decision to impose border controls with its EU neighbours reflects the angst about illegal migration that the populists have capitalised on.

Ukraine’s supporters worry that the next policy adjustments will involve a softening of German support for Kyiv. The Ukrainian army is already struggling to hold off Russian forces in the east of the country and is running short of ammunition and troops. A decline in German and American support for Ukraine could help Russia to win the war.

Even if Russian tanks do not roll into Kyiv, Ukraine’s supporters worry that the Zelenskyy government may soon be forced to make territorial concessions that would allow Vladimir Putin to claim victory. A bad peace deal could put Ukraine’s future as a viable nation in doubt and embolden Putin to threaten other countries.

Ukraine’s friends in Berlin see proliferating signs of a possible softening in German support. While Britain and the US are debating allowing Ukraine to use their long-range missiles to strike deep inside Russia, Germany has ruled out supplying its own Taurus missiles.

Germany’s finance minister, Christian Lindner, has said that there can be no further package of financial aid for Ukraine, without making politically impossible compensatory cuts in the budget. The EU’s decision to mobilise some frozen Russian assets to help Ukraine has taken the financial pressure off Berlin for now. But the question of German financial aid is certain to return.

Chancellor Olaf Scholz is lagging badly behind in national polls and looks to be heading for defeat in next September’s federal elections. Ukraine’s most ardent supporters worry that Scholz may be tempted to try to revive his political fortunes, by launching a pre-election peace initiative with Russia.

Nervousness about what Scholz might be up to was reflected in rumours doing the rounds in Berlin last week that a contact group, composed of members of his Social Democratic party, was in Moscow for secret talks.

These suggestions were waved away in the chancellery. Scholz’s key aides seem almost equally exasperated by the Russophile populists and by the hawks in Berlin that are demanding a sharp increase in aid for Kyiv. They see themselves as representing the moderate German middle on Ukraine. The government’s task, as Scholz sees it, is to keep a divided country together around a basically pro-Ukraine policy.

For the Ukrainians, however — long frustrated by what they regard as the snail-like pace of German aid — any suggestion that the Scholz government may become even more cautious is dismaying. Hawks in Kyiv and Berlin argue that if Putin is not defeated in Ukraine, he will move on to threaten Nato and ultimately Germany itself.

Scholz and his allies insist that he is not naive about the threat posed by Putin. They see the daily evidence of Russian brutality in Ukraine, as well as sabotage and disinformation inside Germany itself. Over the long term, German analysts worry that Russia has now fully converted into an economy primed for war and weapons production. They note that some of the most advanced weaponry that Russia is churning out is not being used in Ukraine, but seems to be being stored for some possible future conflict.

The German chancellor knows all this. But political leaders live in the moment and their outlooks are almost invariably dominated by domestic politics. Scholz has a very difficult election ahead and would like to run as the peace candidate.

More at the link. If you can stomach it.

Here’s the details on the butcher’s bill Russia has run up since June:

Here’s the @NRC_Norway press release: https://t.co/gPAMR3rVE0

— Christopher Miller (@ChristopherJM) September 23, 2024

The Norwegian Refugee Council has the details.

As the conflict in Ukraine continues to escalate dramatically, civilians are paying a heavy price amid increased attacks and violence, warns the Norwegian Refugee Council (NRC). Over 3,200 civilian casualties were recorded in Ukraine between June and August this year – a 33.7 per cent increase compared to the same period last year. This marks the highest three-month casualty total since 2022.

After two and a half years of escalated conflict, Ukraine once again suffers from increased attacks on civilians and widespread destruction of civilian infrastructure, including energy plants, homes, schools, and hospitals.

“The increase in devastating attacks this summer has been a stark reminder of the pain and suffering that are inflicted by this war. Communities across Ukraine have struggled to find protection from the relentless onslaught of missiles and drones that have been launched,” said Roberto Vila-Sexto, Ukraine country director for NRC.

The latest wave of attacks has also severely compromised Ukraine’s energy capacity, which has more than halved since the start of the conflict. Reduced access to energy threatens to deepen humanitarian needs as winter approaches, placing additional pressure on those who are displaced or whose homes have been damaged over the past two and a half years.

“Ukrainians are now forced to seek safety not only from the attacks, but also from the harsh winter ahead. The massive destruction of energy infrastructure heavily impacts the most vulnerable, who have often been displaced multiple times over the last two years, with limited access to help and services,” added Vila-Sexto.

The situation is particularly dire for the elderly and those with disabilities.

“I can’t remember the last time I woke up from my alarm clock. The last few months I have been woken up from the sound of air strike alarms and explosions after missile or drone attacks. You can’t sleep normally. When you go to sleep at night, you are always ready to run to the bomb shelter and it is really exhausting,” said Valentyna, 63, from Kyiv.

Displaced persons seeking safety from the attacks are often left with heavily damaged or destroyed homes, the fields they used to work contaminated by landmines and explosives, and few prospects of a return to normalcy.

In addition to the rise in civilian casualties within Ukraine, Russian authorities have reported that at least 91 civilians have been killed and 455 injured in the Russian Federation as a result of missile and drone strikes since February 2022 up to June 2024.

“This summer has been a clear warning of what the impact will be on civilian populations if this war continues to escalate. Parties to the conflict must adhere to International Humanitarian Law and protect civilians and civilian infrastructure. The international community must do everything within its power to continue to provide support for the humanitarian aid efforts, especially to those civilians living along the frontline,” said Vila-Sexto.

Notes to editors:

  • 3,274 civilian casualties were recorded in Ukraine between June and August this year (June: 161 killed/717 injured, July: 244 killed/1,112 injured, August: 184 killed/856 injured). This marks the highest three-month casualty total since 2022 (OHCHR).
  • Ukraine’s energy capacity has more than halved since the start of the conflict from February 2022 up to June 2024 (ACAPS).
  • Russian authorities have reported that at least 91 civilians have been killed and 455 injured in the Russian Federation as a result of missile and drone strikes from February 2022 up to June 2024 (United Nations).

The NATO Alliance:

Russia is already waging war on NATO. The evidence is strong.

Check out this important thread and map of Russian hybrid operations in Europe ⬇️ https://t.co/ggyta0bOqq

— Jordan Warlick (@jvcwarlick) September 23, 2024

Here’s the details from the US Helsinki Commission:

For years, Russia has used hybrid warfare tactics to disrupt governance, sow division, and undermine physical & economic security across NATO.

These attacks have become commonplace, but they must be treated as part of a shadow war 🇷🇺 is waging against the democratic world.
🧵1/7Image

In June, Russian agents set fire to a German defense manufacturer’s metal factory.

At the time of the attack, a German politician said, “It has long been clear that Russia is waging a hybrid war against European countries, including Germany.” 2/7

Russia started Berlin factory fire as part of hybrid war on Europe, report saysGerman police believe a technical defect caused the blaze, but security officials have blamed Russia.https://www.politico.eu/article/russia-berlin-fire-diehl-behind-arson-attack-on-factory/

US intelligence uncovered a Russian plot to assassinate European defense industry executives supporting Ukraine.

A NATO official commented, “…we’re seeing a campaign of covert sabotage activities from Russia that have strategic consequences.” 3/7

Exclusive: US and Germany foiled Russian plot to assassinate CEO of arms manufacturer sending weapons to Ukraine | CNN Politicshttps://edition.cnn.com/2024/07/11/politics/us-germany-foiled-russian-assassination-plot/index.html#:~:text=The%20plan%20to%20kill%20Armin,Papperger%20and%20foil%20the%20plot

In April, hacktivists associated with the Cyber Army of Russia targeted water systems in the US, Poland, and France in a series of attacks that threatened water supply and wastewater management. 4/7

https://www.axios.com/2024/04/17/russia-us-water-system-hacks-sandworm

This month, local security forces uncovered a Russian plot to train and pay operatives to perpetrate a coup in Armenia.

They planned to violently take over the country’s elected government and derail its pro-West path. 5/7

Russia tried to stage coup in Armenia, prosecutors allegeA traditional Moscow ally, Armenia has pivoted to the West since the Ukraine war began, and its PM now says it could seek EU membership.https://www.politico.eu/article/russia-stage-violent-coup-armenia-investigation-allegiation/
Each of these actions must be understood in the context of a Russian strategy to use every means at its disposal to undermine NATO’s unity, effectiveness, and security—and to create chaos & instability in democracies wherever possible. 6/7 
As we will explore in our hearing tomorrow, while some NATO countries may not want to accept it, Russia is already operating on a war footing against us, and we must redouble our efforts to effectively counter Russian attacks. 7/7
csce.gov/press-releases…

Russia? Waging war on NATO? Who would ever think such a thing?

Eez a puzzlement!

Kharkiv:

A few minutes ago, Kharkiv got struck by several russian glide bombs ‼️

— Kate from Kharkiv (@BohuslavskaKate) September 23, 2024

It seems russia won’t stop until even the dead are left without refuge. https://t.co/9IL4bJWuF7 pic.twitter.com/UhAgVGGQVG

— Iryna Voichuk (@IrynaVoichuk) September 23, 2024

Donetsk Oblast:

A massive russian attack in the Donetsk region ended up with fiasсo.
The warriors from the 79th Air Assault Brigade destroyed 3 tanks and 2 IFVs. pic.twitter.com/JgZROxGDTm

— Defense of Ukraine (@DefenceU) September 23, 2024

Also, Donetsk:

Ukraine had hoped its audacious operation in Kursk would force the Kremlin to redeploy resources from Donetsk, but that has not happened. Russia’s offensive has gained steam https://t.co/7nNXhFQ5oC pic.twitter.com/oP5gAXq2z8

— Financial Times (@FT) September 23, 2024

From The Financial Times:

On a recent sweltering afternoon, the screens of the Ukrainian National Guard’s 15th Brigade command centre lit up with alarming footage from the eastern front: the radar was showing a dozen highly-destructive Russian glide bombs barrelling towards Ukrainian positions.

Another screen displayed hacked feeds from Russian suicide drones zeroing in on Ukrainian tanks. And a third, coming from a Ukrainian reconnaissance drone, was tracking enemy motorcycles and dune buggies headed towards Kyiv’s forces.

“You can see how they overwhelm us,” grumbled a commander known by the call sign “Phoenix”.

The Russian offensive gained steam in August, as Ukraine diverted thousands of its most battle-hardened troops to carry out a surprise incursion into Russia’s Kursk region. Ukraine had hoped its audacious operation would force the Kremlin to redeploy resources from Donetsk, but that has not happened.

Instead, Russian forces captured several towns, moving within 8km of Pokrovsk and just 4km of Myrnohrad and unleashing the might of the Russian army on both logistical hubs in an attempt to take them before the end of the year.

Some commanders and many soldiers see this as the cost of the Kursk offensive and a poor trade-off.

“Kursk was a good idea, it exposed Russia as being weaker than many people believed,” said a commander of a Ukrainian ground forces unit. “But we are paying the price of it with [more of our own land].”

With a combined pre-war population of 100,000, Pokrovsk and Myrnohrad are vital for Ukraine’s defence of the eastern front. If they fall, it would endanger the larger cities of Kostyantynivka, Druzhkivka, Kramatorsk and Slovyansk and significantly boost Russia’s strategic position in the region, Ukrainian commanders warned.

Capturing these two hubs would also hurt Ukrainian morale, which had just received a boost from the Kursk incursion, said commanders and soldiers.

Russia’s main strategy has remained the same since the start of its full-scale invasion in 2022: overpowering Ukrainian forces with sheer might and resource advantages, Phoenix and commanders from four other Ukrainian brigades told the Financial Times this month. They all complained their soldiers were sometimes outnumbered at a ratio of 1:8 and that for every shell fired, Russians were firing 10 or more.

But the Russian forces had also adapted, the commanders said, learning from earlier mistakes and avoiding large assaults with tanks and armoured vehicles. Their new tactics have led to recent successes in Ukraine’s Donetsk region, forcing Ukrainian troops to retreat and bringing Moscow closer to its goal of controlling the entire area.

The signs of Russia’s destructive advance were evident around Pokrovsk, where freezer vans transporting fallen soldiers passed signs urging drivers to “pray for our troops”. Trucks carried damaged western-provided weaponry to the rear for repairs and excavators were digging fresh trenches in unharvested sunflower fields.

Access to Pokrovsk has become increasingly dangerous, with Russian rockets destroying overpasses and forcing evacuees on to perilous dirt roads. Inside the city, the atmosphere was eerily desolate, interrupted by the sound of nearby artillery duels. Military vehicles roamed the streets and most buildings bore the scars of aerial attacks. Missiles have also knocked out electricity and water supplies.

In August, authorities ordered the evacuation of families and children from Pokrovsk and Myrnohrad. But 18,000 residents remain in the two cities, largely on their own after trains carrying people west were cancelled this month because of security concerns. The closest railway station is 100km west, in Pavlohrad.

The locals who refused to leave did so either out of stubbornness or for fear of starting over in a new place. A small group known as zhduny, or “the waiting ones”, supports the Russian war effort, believing life will improve under their rule. Ukrainian commanders have encountered zhduny recently in nearby Selydove, where Russian forces are advancing. The Russians evacuated some of them to occupied Mariupol, said a Ukrainian commander.

Mykhailo Temper, a battery commander in the 21st battalion of Ukraine’s Separate Presidential Brigade who has been in the region since April, said that Russian tactics shifted in midsummer. They are now employing faster, more mobile units and have adopted strategies previously used by Wagner, the paramilitary group led by the late Russian warlord Yevgeny Prigozhin — who was killed in a plane crash last year after leading a revolt against Moscow’s top brass.

“[Vladimir] Putin destroyed Wagner, but he took the most effective parts of it,” Temper said. The Russian army, he added, “learned lessons and experiences from Wagner and are fighting like them”.

“Boulevardier”, a drone operator in Temper’s battalion, said the new Russian tactic of using smaller infantry units to attack from several directions at once had made it harder for him to target troops.

At the same time, Ukrainians could do little about Russian attack helicopters and jets carrying glide bombs, soldiers said.

“We have no air defences here,” said a deputy commander in Ukraine’s 72nd mechanised brigade fighting 70km south of Pokrovsk in Vuhledar, a town at risk of being encircled by Russian troops.

The attempt to take Vuhledar has been costly for Moscow’s forces, with thousands of troops killed and hundreds of tanks and armoured vehicles destroyed in nearly two years of battle.

But with his own troops “exhausted”, the deputy commander said, the Russians could stand a better chance at taking it in the coming weeks. “We have had zero rotations since the full-scale invasion” began in 2022, he said. Typically, that would happen every one to two months. “We need a break.”

Delays in western arms deliveries are also a factor in the worsening situation for Ukrainian forces, commanders said. But the commanders laid the blame with Kyiv’s military leadership for moving too slowly to build defensive lines and then constructing ineffective trenches and firing positions.

“Where are our fortifications?” the deputy commander asked. “There were no real defensive lines” in February when the Russians first managed a breakthrough, taking the town of Avdiivka.

What had been built since was inadequate, he said: in open fields, far from tree lines, and sometimes behind hilltops — which makes it hard to spot the enemy.

“This is bullshit,” he said in frustration. “We can’t get infantry to trenches without any cover.” The troops rely on shrubbery, which hardly conceals their movements, leading to “senseless deaths”.

Much more at the link!

Vuhledar, Donetsk Oblast:

Updated map showing Russian advances on the flanks of Vuhledar, around Ukrainsk, and in New York and Toretsk. The situation in Vuhledar continues to deteriorate. https://t.co/VhSJQxhgtwhttps://t.co/e9DaSslWGo https://t.co/jfp4LhSPdr pic.twitter.com/h9zJYd3hkV

— Rob Lee (@RALee85) September 22, 2024

Here’s the full video, with subtitles of Ukraine’s K2 Unit using its drones to rescue a Russian soldier and safely bring him in as a POW:

Kursk Oblast, Russia:

HIMARS strike on the Russian BUK-M3 air defence system in Kursk region. Video by the 413rd Battalion of Unmanned Systems of Ukraine. https://t.co/HywcGyEqSh pic.twitter.com/yhbIKPXTnJ

— Special Kherson Cat 🐈🇺🇦 (@bayraktar_1love) September 23, 2024

Omsk Oblast, Russia:

In Omsk, saboteurs penetrated the territory of the military unit, and burned the Mi-8 helicopter of the Russian Aerospace Forces pic.twitter.com/yKHQvAyLMz

— Special Kherson Cat 🐈🇺🇦 (@bayraktar_1love) September 23, 2024


Here’s a new visual assessment of the battle damage to the Russian ammo depots:

Maxar collected a trove of new high-resolution satellite imagery showing the damage to Russian ammunition depots in western southern Russia. 📷@Maxar

Thread with much imagery.

Starting off with the before / after shots of the ammo storage buildings at the Oktyabrski depot.

Image
Image
Image
Image

Imagery of the destruction of probable missile cannisters at the Oktyabrski ammo depot.
Image
Image
At one location in the Toropets depot, a large crater nearly 82-meters wide is visible where there used to be a storage building and bunker. Additionally, train rail cars that were likely used to transport ammunition to the depots were damaged or destroyed at each location.
Image
Image

More images collected from Toropets.

Image
Image
Image
Image

More images collected from Toropets.

Image
Image
Image
Image

More images collected from Toropets.
Image
Image
Damage to material being offloaded from railcars at Toropets. Before vs after.
Image
Image
Destroyed railcars observed in the vicinity of the Toropets ammo depot.Image

/7. High resolution satellite imagery of a second destroyed Russian ammunition depot in Toropets. https://t.co/9KfjrQPONn pic.twitter.com/HMIg00PIbk

— Special Kherson Cat 🐈🇺🇦 (@bayraktar_1love) September 23, 2024

/12. Finally some good satellite imagery of Tikhoretsk ammunition storage. https://t.co/mTGfM20TzE pic.twitter.com/p4pouRzMc8

— Special Kherson Cat 🐈🇺🇦 (@bayraktar_1love) September 23, 2024

Several have asked about Russia’s munitions production. This should answer some of your questions:

Russia produces 500 Shahed drones per month, as well as 90-115 cruise missiles and up to 56 ballistic missiles – Forbes Ukraine

According to the publication’s estimates, the rate of missile production in Russia is 132-171 units per month. And this costs Moscow $1.1 billion.… pic.twitter.com/QyrW40Lw4H

— Anton Gerashchenko (@Gerashchenko_en) September 23, 2024

Russia produces 500 Shahed drones per month, as well as 90-115 cruise missiles and up to 56 ballistic missiles – Forbes Ukraine

According to the publication’s estimates, the rate of missile production in Russia is 132-171 units per month. And this costs Moscow $1.1 billion.

Some information on stockpiles and weapons production:
▪️ Shahed drones – 200 units in stock. Up to 500 new ones per month:
▪️ Kh-101 cruise missile – 190 units, 40-50 news ones per month;
▪️ Iskander-M ballistic missile – 130 units, 30-40 new ones per month;
▪️ Fath-360 ballistic missile from Iran – range up to 120 km. First batch – 200 missiles, The Times wrote;
▪️ KN-23 – about 60 missiles from North Korea, etc.

Source: https://forbes.ua/war-in-ukraine/rosiya-viroblyae-vid-130-dalekobiynikh-raket-ta-ponad-500-droniv-na-misyats-forbes-ukraine-diznavsya-detali-17092024-23667

That’s enough for tonight.

Your daily Patron!

There are no new Patron tweets or videos today. Here’s some adjacent material.

Transportation of the robot dog by heavy drone. https://t.co/ncCyJ75Bxo pic.twitter.com/Uf5kh9Nlkz

— Special Kherson Cat 🐈🇺🇦 (@bayraktar_1love) September 23, 2024

Open thread!

War for Ukraine Day 943: President Zelenskyy Travels to the US & Russia Continues Hunting Ukrainians in Kherson with DronesPost + Comments (17)

  • Go to page 1
  • Go to page 2
  • Go to page 3
  • Interim pages omitted …
  • Go to page 11
  • Go to Next Page »

Primary Sidebar

On The Road - Winter Wren - North of Quebec City (part 2 of 3) - Cap Tourmente and on the way to Tadoussac 2
Image by Winter Wren (5/13/25)

Recent Comments

  • David Anderson on Uncertainty, clawback and low income insurance in the Ways and Means bill (May 13, 2025 @ 3:07pm)
  • Trollhattan on MAHA Slap Fight! (Open Thread) (May 13, 2025 @ 3:06pm)
  • Matt McIrvin on MAHA Slap Fight! (Open Thread) (May 13, 2025 @ 3:05pm)
  • Trollhattan on MAHA Slap Fight! (Open Thread) (May 13, 2025 @ 3:04pm)
  • Jay on Uncertainty, clawback and low income insurance in the Ways and Means bill (May 13, 2025 @ 3:04pm)

PA Supreme Court At Risk

Donate

Balloon Juice Posts

View by Topic
View by Author
View by Month & Year
View by Past Author

Featuring

Medium Cool
Artists in Our Midst
Authors in Our Midst
War in Ukraine
Donate to Razom for Ukraine

🎈Keep Balloon Juice Ad Free

Become a Balloon Juice Patreon
Donate with Venmo, Zelle or PayPal

Meetups

Upcoming Ohio Meetup May 17
5/11 Post about the May 17 Ohio Meetup

Calling All Jackals

Site Feedback
Nominate a Rotating Tag
Submit Photos to On the Road
Balloon Juice Anniversary (All Links)
Balloon Juice Anniversary (All Posts)
Fix Nyms with Apostrophes

Hands Off! – Denver, San Diego & Austin

Social Media

Balloon Juice
WaterGirl
TaMara
John Cole
DougJ (aka NYT Pitchbot)
Betty Cracker
Tom Levenson
David Anderson
Major Major Major Major
DougJ NYT Pitchbot
mistermix

Keeping Track

Legal Challenges (Lawfare)
Republicans Fleeing Town Halls (TPM)
21 Letters (to Borrow or Steal)
Search Donations from a Brand

PA Supreme Court At Risk

Donate

Site Footer

Come for the politics, stay for the snark.

  • Facebook
  • RSS
  • Twitter
  • YouTube
  • Comment Policy
  • Our Authors
  • Blogroll
  • Our Artists
  • Privacy Policy

Copyright © 2025 Dev Balloon Juice · All Rights Reserved · Powered by BizBudding Inc