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Looks Like I Picked the Wrong Week to Stop Sniffing Glue

You are here: Home / Archives for Looks Like I Picked the Wrong Week to Stop Sniffing Glue

Terrifying Read: “‘Nothing on this page is real’”

by Anne Laurie|  November 19, 20188:31 pm| 143 Comments

This post is in: Excellent Links, All we want is life beyond the thunderdome, Fools! Overton Window!, I Reject Your Reality and Substitute My Own, Looks Like I Picked the Wrong Week to Stop Sniffing Glue, Riveted By The Sociological Significance Of It All

A journo-nerd note about the @elisaslow story everyone is rightly praising:

There’s no nut graph, no summation of “what it all means,” and the story is all the better for it.

It makes readers’ minds turn, without telling them to.

https://t.co/RaKwZkMvYd

— Eric Umansky (@ericuman) November 19, 2018

It is, in truth, one heckuva story. Neither of the main characters have anything but the best of intentions, and yet… Kudos to the Washington Post for demonstrating “How lies become truth in online America“:

NORTH WATERBORO, Maine — The only light in the house came from the glow of three computer monitors, and Christopher Blair, 46, sat down at a keyboard and started to type. His wife had left for work and his children were on their way to school, but waiting online was his other community, an unreality where nothing was exactly as it seemed. He logged onto his website and began to invent his first news story of the day…

He had launched his new website on Facebook during the 2016 presidential campaign as a practical joke among friends — a political satire site started by Blair and a few other liberal bloggers who wanted to make fun of what they considered to be extremist ideas spreading throughout the far right. In the last two years on his page, America’s Last Line of Defense, Blair had made up stories about California instituting sharia, former president Bill Clinton becoming a serial killer, undocumented immigrants defacing Mount Rushmore, and former president Barack Obama dodging the Vietnam draft when he was 9. “Share if you’re outraged!” his posts often read, and thousands of people on Facebook had clicked “like” and then “share,” most of whom did not recognize his posts as satire. Instead, Blair’s page had become one of the most popular on Facebook among Trump-supporting conservatives over 55.

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Terrifying Read: “‘Nothing on this page is real’”Post + Comments (143)

Horrorshow Open Thread: When the Amateurs Step on Your Carefully Choreographed Hate Campaign

by Anne Laurie|  October 25, 201812:47 am| 49 Comments

This post is in: domestic terrorists, Election 2018, Hail to the Hairpiece, Open Threads, Republican Venality, All Too Normal, Looks Like I Picked the Wrong Week to Stop Sniffing Glue

Trump warns of violence if GOP loses midterms @CNNPolitics https://t.co/l4afEmZpfy

— Cheri Jacobus (@CheriJacobus) October 25, 2018

Unbelievable — a Fox News segment fear-mongering about the 'left-wing mob' and 'incivility' toward Mitch McConnell at a restaurant was interrupted by breaking news coverage of a string of bombs sent to prominent Democrats pic.twitter.com/UKZogGKHHA

— Aaron Rupar (@atrupar) October 24, 2018

Trump’s 2020 campaign manager apologizes for email sent out earlier today in Lara Trump’s name that criticized CNN and said the media needed “a wake up call.” Brad Parscale says it was “a pre-programmed, automated message” and they don’t condone violence against CNN or anyone. pic.twitter.com/cKCBR5oioO

— Kaitlan Collins (@kaitlancollins) October 24, 2018

If you work in comms & are responsible for scheduling ANYTHING in advance, you need to make sure that if breaking news happens you do an item-by-item review of everything scheduled for near future and pull back anything that might come off wrong. https://t.co/hz4wlHeGM9

— Dara Lind (@DLind) October 24, 2018

Phenomenal timing, @NRA: NRA lobbyist @DLoesch says Trump supporters and gun owners may need to bring guns to polls to protect themselves from progressives. #bombscare https://t.co/sU7nw3aaBN

— Shannon Watts (@shannonrwatts) October 24, 2018

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Horrorshow Open Thread: When the Amateurs Step on Your Carefully Choreographed Hate CampaignPost + Comments (49)

Monday Evening Open Thread: Be of Good Cheer!

by Anne Laurie|  October 22, 20186:22 pm| 219 Comments

This post is in: Hail to the Hairpiece, Open Threads, All Too Normal, Looks Like I Picked the Wrong Week to Stop Sniffing Glue

Being sarcastic on a regular basis can add up to 3 yrs to your life. Sarcasm is extremely healthy for the mind.

— Psychology Living (@LivPsy) October 20, 2018

I thought the Trump presidency would be my demise, now it seems I will live forever.

— Andrea R MD (@AndreaR9Md) October 21, 2018


.

Maybe all we have left is sarcasm, but at least it’s an infinitely renewable resource…

Monday Evening Open Thread: Be of Good Cheer!Post + Comments (219)

Repub Horrorshow Open Thread: Ginning Up His Angry Mob

by Anne Laurie|  October 20, 20188:34 pm| 160 Comments

This post is in: Dolt 45, Republican Stupidity, Republican Venality, All Too Normal, Decline and Fall, Looks Like I Picked the Wrong Week to Stop Sniffing Glue

Trump: "Democrats produce mobs, Republicans produce jobs. Hashtag. Right? That's called hashtag. That's a new hashtag. That's a hot one."

— Daniel Dale (@ddale8) October 20, 2018

pic.twitter.com/hp3IWjrTBy

— Neeners777 (@marygribbin809) October 20, 2018

The very civil crowd cheers very civilly when our civil president brings up Gianforte body slamming a reporter

More civil cheering when he says attacking reporters helps republicans win elections pic.twitter.com/tvNHOrBvmz

— Andrew Lawrence (@ndrew_lawrence) October 19, 2018

Reporter: "Do you regret bringing up, last night at your rally, the assault on a reporter by a Congressman?"

President Trump: "No, not at all … That was a different league and different world." pic.twitter.com/vHvGbRsMOy

— MSNBC (@MSNBC) October 19, 2018

In a couple weeks, Trump is going to be raving about how the guys who worked the bone saw. "Really manly. You ever cut off a limb? Wow, that's a lot of work. Takes a lot of muscle. Those are my kind of guys."

— Kevin M. Kruse (@KevinMKruse) October 19, 2018

Steve Scalise was the guy shot and almost killed at the Congressional baseball practice:

He wasn’t “ribbing” Gianforte, he was praising him. He said Gianforte’s body-slam made Gianforte “my kind of – he’s my guy.” He then acknowledged, “I shouldn’t say this.” Then he told Gianforte, “There’s nothing to be embarrassed about.” https://t.co/H6NhFNF0R0

— Daniel Dale (@ddale8) October 19, 2018

They specifically tasked him to do it because doing so serves as an innoculaton against the obvious response to the absurdity of the statement.

— CavsKermit (@JbkJbk1234) October 19, 2018

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Repub Horrorshow Open Thread: Ginning Up His Angry MobPost + Comments (160)

Late Night Puerto Rico Open Thread: Lest We Forget

by Anne Laurie|  September 21, 20181:31 am| 24 Comments

This post is in: An Unexamined Scandal, C.R.E.A.M., Open Threads, All Too Normal, Ever Get The Feeling You've Been Cheated?, Looks Like I Picked the Wrong Week to Stop Sniffing Glue

The problem with being Dinesh D'Souza is that people become habituated to Dinesh D'Souza, so that you have to be more and more extremely Dinesh D'Souza for people to notice you as Dinesh D'Souza.https://t.co/9tTWVjOTr8

— SupersedingHat (@Popehat) September 20, 2018


 
Under normal circumstances, I’d be posting this tomorrow when more readers would see it… but Murphy only knows what skeletons will fall out of various Repub closets for this week’s Friday News Dump…

A year ago today, Hurricane Maria made landfall in Puerto Rico. It would be the worst storm to hit the island in 90 years.

"Blackout in Puerto Rico" examined why the storm left the island in the dark and struggling to survive. https://t.co/kcse4zMppc pic.twitter.com/Ffzt5dq0AP

— FRONTLINE (@frontlinepbs) September 20, 2018

Let’s be clear: Maria was a tragedy. And the ensuing response—or lack thereof—was a travesty. 365 days later, our fellow Americans in Puerto Rico are STILL suffering on parts of the island. They need our full support. https://t.co/aFm8RtQ8CE

— Tom Udall (@SenatorTomUdall) September 20, 2018

Late Night Puerto Rico Open Thread: Lest We ForgetPost + Comments (24)

Saturday Late Night Open Thread: Bad Omens

by Anne Laurie|  September 8, 201811:00 pm| 112 Comments

This post is in: Open Threads, All Too Normal, Clown car, Looks Like I Picked the Wrong Week to Stop Sniffing Glue

“Ford Gives Pardon to Nixon,
Who Regrets ‘My Mistakes’”
—New York Times about tomorrow 1974: pic.twitter.com/LgGJNcUrLC

— Michael Beschloss (@BeschlossDC) September 7, 2018

Serene cluelessness alert!

We are entering final two months before an election. During the last election two month pre-period, Trump was aided by ripped-from-context stolen material posted online to try to harm the media. https://t.co/q7gk2tVpo2

— Maggie Haberman (@maggieNYT) September 7, 2018

Some kind of as-yet-unknown ‘massive power surge’ blew out the surge protector, the power bar, and probably the widescreen monitor on my computer yesterday. Ended August having to cancel our planned mini-vacation. My expiring credit card’s replacement got hacked before it reached me. And the drain blockage we’ve dumped a couple thou into diagnosing is now labelled as a pipe collapse where it enters the main sewer under the public road — our responsibility, “normal wear & tear”, insurance won’t cover it — so we’ll be tapping the home equity credit line as soon as we can hire a city-approved contractor. How was your week?

Should’ve known bad craziness would be coming down…

WOW! Full Moon seen early this morning over the Statue of Liberty in New York City, NY. Photo credit: Jennifer Khordi. https://t.co/gsGy701lmK #Moon #Space #NYC pic.twitter.com/RMFtaD3iQf

— Mark Tarello (@mark_tarello) August 27, 2018

Saturday Late Night Open Thread: Bad OmensPost + Comments (112)

Who Wrote the Op-Ed: Text-Mining Edition

by Major Major Major Major|  September 6, 20181:08 pm| 254 Comments

This post is in: Goddamned Traitors, Republicans in Disarray!, Tech News and Issues, Looks Like I Picked the Wrong Week to Stop Sniffing Glue, Not Normal

When the cowardly “Resistance” op-ed came out, my first thought was, Gee, I bet we could get some insights on authorship by doing an automated textual analysis. Because of course that was my first thought. Well, somebody was kind enough to do one for us. Specifically, Michael W. Kearney, a journalism and informatics professor at the University of Missouri. Here is the result; I’ll do a layperson’s explanation below, and then some technical links for those so inclined.

https://twitter.com/kearneymw/status/1037700388617629696

Executive summary: This analysis suggests that it was somebody from the office of the Vice President, the State Department, or the Department of Commerce.

What is this?

  • The y-axis is various Twitter accounts, labeled on the left.
  • The x-axis is the textual correlation.
  • Kearney took up to 3,200 tweets from each of the accounts listed, and ran an analysis on those corpuses. He then compared the resulting numbers to the results of the same analysis run on the text of the op-ed.
  • The line at the top shows, of course, a 1.0 correlation with the op-ed itself. The next-highest are the Twitter accounts for the Vice President, Trump (who we can discount), Secretary Pompeo, Secretary Ross, and the State Department.
  • The analysis includes figures for things like comma usage, sentiment, politeness, word choice, first- and second-person preference, and so on.
  • It probably wasn’t somebody at the Department of Transportation.

Caveats

  • Update: I assumed this went without saying, but obviously tweets are not an ideal data source; just most-readily usable with what Kearney had laying around, and within a very short time period. 
  • We know from reporting on the Wolff book that anonymous sources sometimes intentionally steal other staffers’ phrasing when providing quotes.
    • This could explain the use of ‘lodestar,’ a strongly Pence-affiliated word.
    • However, it is harder to fake things like comma usage.
  • Higher-ranking officials are likely, in their Twitter communications, to try to sound more like Trump, or in general use more homogenous language.
    • This could explain the ~0.7 cluster of the most important officials and departments.
  • These are not huge volumes of text, and thus the figures are potentially not representative.

Technical Details

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