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Balloon Juice

Come for the politics, stay for the snark.

She burned that motherfucker down, and I am so here for it. Thank you, Caroline Kennedy.

Books are my comfort food!

“In this country American means white. everybody else has to hyphenate.”

Since when do we limit our critiques to things we could do better ourselves?

A thin legal pretext to veneer over their personal religious and political desires.

Many life forms that would benefit from greater intelligence, sadly, do not have it.

Mediocre white men think RFK Jr’s pathetic midlife crisis is inspirational. The bar is set so low for them, it’s subterranean.

After dobbs, women are no longer free.

We need to vote them all out and restore sane Democratic government.

The unpunished coup was a training exercise.

“In the future, this lab will be a museum. do not touch it.”

Only Democrats have agency, apparently.

Historically it was a little unusual for the president to be an incoherent babbling moron.

No Kings: Americans standing in the way of bad history saying “Oh, Fuck No!”

This isn’t Democrats spending madly. This is government catching up.

Not all heroes wear capes.

Find someone who loves you the way trump and maga love traitors.

There are no moderate republicans – only extremists and cowards.

They are not red states to be hated; they are voter suppression states to be fixed.

Decision time: keep arguing about the last election, or try to win the next one?

… riddled with inexplicable and elementary errors of law and fact

Republicans: The threats are dire, but my tickets are non-refundable!

Is it irresponsible to speculate? It is irresponsible not to.

Disagreements are healthy; personal attacks are not.

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Open Thread:  Hey Lurkers!  (Holiday Post)

Open Threads

You are here: Home / Archives for Open Threads

Open Thread: MYOB, Repubs

by Anne Laurie|  July 24, 20252:42 pm| 115 Comments

This post is in: C.R.E.A.M., Open Threads, Proud to Be A Democrat, Republican Venality

one of the biggest sea changes amongst republicans in the last 5-10 years or so has been their aggressive refusal to let business owners run their businesses, and that really *is* a huge sea change

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— GOLIKEHELLMACHINE (@golikehellmachine.com) July 23, 2025 at 12:50 PM

I think Tim Walz had the right idea on this: Today’s GOP are weirdos who want to tell you how to run your business, and also want to hang around bathrooms checking out other peoples’ genitals. MIND YOUR OWN BUSINESS, YOU WEIRDOS!

“government should stay the hell out of my business” was about a rock solid a principle and law amongst republicans as you could find for as long as i can remember, this is legitimately really new

— GOLIKEHELLMACHINE (@golikehellmachine.com) July 23, 2025 at 12:51 PM

===

mostly, but you could find extremely racist republicans through the 80s, 90s and 00s who still believed that minorities had the right to own and run their businesses, that was a big part of their argument against any kind of social welfare

— GOLIKEHELLMACHINE (@golikehellmachine.com) July 23, 2025 at 12:53 PM

===

It’s honestly one of the most bizarre things about this admin, and the thing that makes me think that there’s truly not anyone steering the boat who’s not a crank to the nth degree.

— Adam Weird (@needlephilic.bsky.social) July 23, 2025 at 12:58 PM

—
ETA:

I spent some years working on corporate DEI efforts and I can tell you that the administration is not just waging war on diversity, they're waging war on uniqueness and individuality. One reason businesses value diversity is that people of diverse backgrounds bring diverse skills and experiences.

— Dave von Ebers (@dave-von-ebers.bsky.social) July 24, 2025 at 9:52 AM


===

It's the same reason that a lot of companies have moved away from rigid hierarchies based solely on age and seniority. You have to have new voices and perspectives to thrive. And that's not ageism, it's a rational business practice that values everyone.

— Dave von Ebers (@dave-von-ebers.bsky.social) July 24, 2025 at 9:52 AM


===

The same is true with DEI efforts. It's not "discrimination" against white people or men. It's a simple matter of broadening the pool of qualified candidates to ensure you get the benefit of a wide variety of experiences and skills.

— Dave von Ebers (@dave-von-ebers.bsky.social) July 24, 2025 at 9:52 AM

Open Thread: MYOB, RepubsPost + Comments (115)

Trump-Epstein Scandal: “Sweetheart Deal 2.0”?

by Betty Cracker|  July 24, 20257:11 am| 289 Comments

This post is in: C.R.E.A.M., Open Threads, Republican Stupidity, Trumpery

Trump keeps trying and failing to reassert control over the media cycle as the Epstein scandal engulfs his shitty administration. One ploy was to “demand” the release of grand jury transcripts from the Epstein trial, which likely would have revealed nothing useful. A Florida judge denied that request yesterday. Then there was Tulsi Gabbard’s absurd dog and pony show, which also failed to douse the spotlight on Trumpstein.

The latest gambit is to send the DOJ’s #2, Todd Blanche, to “interview” Epstein accomplice Ghislaine Maxwell today in a Florida prison. (Blanche is #2 in the sense that he’s second in command at the DOJ after Pam Bondi and one of several turds who served as Trump’s criminal defense attorneys and now allegedly works for the government while essentially continuing to serve as Trump’s criminal defense attorney, only now on our dime.)

Night before last, Chris Hayes talked to Miami Herald investigative reporter Julie Brown, whose work exposed the sweetheart deal Epstein struck with then-prosecutor Alexander Acosta, whom Trump later appointed to his cabinet. Brown probably knows more about the Epstein case than anyone and has interviewed many of Epstein’s 200 or so victims.

If Trump’s criminal defense attorney strikes a second corrupt bargain in the Epstein matter, perhaps inducing Maxwell to name some names (not Trump or GOP donors, obvs.) in exchange for leniency, I’m not sure that will quell the furor either.

I mean, Maxwell is a convicted child sex trafficker. As Brown points out, some of the victims blame her as much as Epstein since Maxwell was the one who recruited and groomed them to be exploited by wealthy and powerful men, including Epstein.

Trump seems to have a lot of sympathy for Maxwell, but does anyone else? I doubt it. Maybe this will blow up in his ugly orange face too.

Open thread.

Trump-Epstein Scandal: “Sweetheart Deal 2.0”?Post + Comments (289)

Late Night Open Thread: Hunter Biden Talks With Jaime Harrison

by Anne Laurie|  July 24, 20251:05 am| 87 Comments

This post is in: Open Threads, Proud to Be A Democrat

Hunter Biden tears up as he reveals something to Jaime Harrison about President Biden's visit to Charleston in 2015 right after the racist massacre at the oldest Black church in the South.
Watch this: ??

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— David Schwartz (@davidschwartz.bsky.social) July 22, 2025 at 12:00 PM

This interview is just over *one* hour, and I’m told includes far fewer f-bombs (different audience, different phrasing, same attitude). Seems to be a certain amount of interest in what the younger Mr. Biden has to say…

Hunter Biden on the Biden-Trump Presidential Debate…
Watch the entire @atourtable.bsky.social interview for more… youtu.be/HVqiWu1fLdg?… or go to aotpodcast.com

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— Jaime Harrison (@jaimeharrison.bsky.social) July 21, 2025 at 1:29 PM

===

It really is time for Biden/Harris supporters to start mounting an aggressive unapologetic pushback to all the bullshit being said about the 2024 election.

— Ragnarok Lobster (@eclecticbrotha1.bsky.social) July 22, 2025 at 12:22 AM


At Our Table with Jaime Harrison / Episode 2: Hunter Biden

show full post on front page

This is commonly known as "blowing up your spot"

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— Ragnarok Lobster (@eclecticbrotha1.bsky.social) July 22, 2025 at 6:43 PM

===

he is still talking because, unlike chris cillizza, people are interested in what he has to say.

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— GOLIKEHELLMACHINE (@golikehellmachine.com) July 22, 2025 at 3:51 PM

===

Hunter Biden's three hour interview pissed off all the right people in the Pundit Industrial Complex, the small minded blowhards and self righteous pen pushers for profit who are currently hollering like hit dogs while thinking they can easily dismiss Hunter by mocking him as a drug addict.

— Ragnarok Lobster (@eclecticbrotha1.bsky.social) July 22, 2025 at 6:08 PM

===

I have a dozen friends who are prepared to say exactly the same things as Hunter Biden after dinner if you give them the chance, & they are desperate for a leader who shares their passion & is ready to get in front of the cameras & microphones & fight the good fight.

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— Chatham Harrison dba TRUMP DELENDUS EST (@chathamharrison.bsky.social) July 21, 2025 at 10:16 PM

Late Night Open Thread: Hunter Biden Talks With Jaime HarrisonPost + Comments (87)

War for Ukraine Day 1,245: The Fallout

by Adam L Silverman|  July 23, 20259:21 pm| 10 Comments

This post is in: Foreign Affairs, Foreign Policy, Military, Open Threads, Russia, Silverman on Security, War, War in Ukraine

Air raid alerts are going up across Ukraine as I finish up tonight’s post at 4:15 AM local time in Ukraine/9;15 PM EDT. The Russians struck civilian targets in Ukraine about 4:10 AM local time:

Russia is attacking Odesa with drones. There are fires in the city, including on the famous Privoz market.

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— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) July 23, 2025 at 9:07 PM

And Kharkiv:

Russian drones in Kharkiv skies again ‼️

— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) July 23, 2025 at 9:17 PM

We’ve begun to see the fallout and the initial walk back because of the fallout in response to the almost immediate protests to the legislation reorganizing Ukraine’s independent anti-corruption agencies that President Zelenskyy signed into law yesterday.

Financial Times: “The rush appears to have been sparked by investigations into members of Zelenskyy’s circle…”

Several officials close to Zelenskyy said it was at least partly in response to a NABU criminal case against his close ally Oleksiy Chernyshov

Source: t.co/5dDNWiPnm7

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— Tatarigami (@tatarigami.bsky.social) July 23, 2025 at 11:07 AM

From Ukrainska Pravda:

Ukraine’s Prosecutor General Ruslan Kravchenko asserts that he did not request an expansion of his own authority over the National Anti-Corruption Bureau of Ukraine (NABU) and the Specialised Anti-Corruption Prosecutor’s Office (SAPO).

Source: Ukrainska Pravda reporting from Kravchenko’s briefing in Kyiv on 23 July

Quote from Kravchenko: “I did not seek an increase in the powers of the Prosecutor General. My opinion was not consulted.”

Details: Kravchenko revealed that he discovered the amendments to the Criminal Procedure Code, which bolster his influence over anti-corruption bodies, through the Telegram channel of MP Yaroslav Zhelezniak.

Kravchenko brushed aside queries about the rushed adoption and signing of the law, insisting that legislation is the domain of the Verkhovna Rada (Ukrainian Parliament), while his role is merely to enforce it.

Background:

  • On 22 July, the Verkhovna Rada passed Law No. 12414 On Amendments to the Code of Criminal Procedure Code on Peculiarities of Pre-trial Investigation of Criminal Offences Related to the Disappearance of Persons Under Special Circumstances in the Conditions of Martial Law, with amendments that make NABU and SAPO dependent on the decisions of the Prosecutor General.
  • The heads of NABU and SAPO, Semen Kryvonos and Oleksandr Klymenko, called on Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy not to sign the document that would effectively destroy the independence of the anti-corruption agencies. However, on the evening of 22 July, Zelenskyy signed the law.
  • Protests were held in many cities across Ukraine following the adoption of this legislative initiative.

Signaling a possible concession, President Zelensky announced he will propose a bill to Parliament in response to recent criticism, aiming to strengthen law enforcement and boost the independence of anti-corruption agencies. While this offers hope to many, skepticism remains

— Tatarigami (@tatarigami.bsky.social) July 23, 2025 at 1:45 PM

By the way, this isn’t what you’d do if you had truly infiltrated Russian moles throughout the anti-corruption bodies, as initially claimed. Zelensky is a good leader, but don’t worship him

— Tatarigami (@tatarigami.bsky.social) July 23, 2025 at 1:48 PM

The protests continue:

Protests against Law 12414 are several times larger today in Kyiv.

It’s important to understand that, no matter what russian propaganda claims, these are NOT protests to surrender.

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— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) July 23, 2025 at 3:10 PM

Protests are spreading across Ukraine.
Kharkiv joins in.

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— Iryna Voichuk (@irynavoichuk.bsky.social) July 23, 2025 at 2:37 PM

😁

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— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) July 23, 2025 at 8:18 PM

Yes, that’s Ukrainians protesting Congresswoman Taylor Greene.

Really convenient for protest signs making that rada (parliament) rhymes with zrada (betrayal)

— Mira of Kyiv 🇺🇦 (@reshetz.bsky.social) July 23, 2025 at 7:21 AM

Here is President Zelenskyy’s address from earlier today. Video below, English transcript after the jump. (emphasis mine)

show full post on front page

I Will Propose a Bill to the Verkhovna Rada of Ukraine That Will Be the Response; All the Norms for the Independence of Anti-Corruption Institutions Will Be in Place – Address by the President

23 July 2025 – 19:12

I wish you good health, fellow Ukrainians!

A few things from today.

Right now in Türkiye, our team’s meetings are already in progress. The first was with the Turkish side in Ankara on key security issues so important for both our countries. I’m receiving hourly reports. We expect that today’s further opportunity for meetings with the Russian side in Istanbul – the opportunity to take the right steps – will not be wasted. We are determined to continue working for the release of our people from Russian captivity, for the return of our Ukrainian children, and for a real ceasefire. The priority is preparation for a leaders’ meeting, and our delegation has the necessary authority for this – directives for discussing the key issues.

Also, all day today, preparations continued for the new stage of the exchange. We are waiting for our people back home. It is very important that despite all difficulties, Ukrainians are coming back. And for every name, we conduct checks and gather all information. There have been many cases when our guys were listed as missing in action, but we found them in captivity. We carefully verify all this every time.

Of course, there were many meetings with government officials and representatives of law enforcement agencies. That’s actually how my day began – with a very detailed conversation involving the Security Service of Ukraine, the National Anti-Corruption Bureau of Ukraine, Specialized Anti-Corruption Prosecutor’s Office, the Ministry of Internal Affairs, the National Agency on Corruption Prevention, the State Bureau of Investigation, and Ukraine’s Prosecutor General. It was important to me that each of them share their arguments and their perspective. It was important that they finally tell each other what had long been building up. I really value the agreement to work as a team – to continue collaborating, and to implement measures that can truly create a sense of unavoidable accountability, and therefore justice, in Ukraine. We agreed that the heads of these institutions will jointly propose an action plan – a plan of concrete steps that can strengthen the rule of law in Ukraine. Of course, everyone has heard what people are saying these days – what they are saying on social media, to each other, on the streets. It’s not falling on deaf ears. We’ve analyzed all the concerns, all the aspects of what needs to be changed and what needs to be stepped up. I will propose a bill to the Verkhovna Rada of Ukraine that will be the response. It will ensure the strength of the rule of law system. And there will be no Russian influence or interference in the activities of law enforcement. And very importantly: all the norms for the independence of anti-corruption institutions will be in place. I strongly expect specific proposals of the legal norms that should make it happen from our group of heads of law enforcement and anti-corruption agencies, from the Prosecutor General of Ukraine. This will be a presidential bill, and we will implement it as part of our strategy for the transformation of the state. Also today, I signed a decree to reduce bureaucratic procedures and immediately launch an audit of public spending. I expect the Government of Ukraine to deliver concrete results within a month – so that we can redirect as many state resources as possible to Ukraine’s defense and to our state’s resilience. We are also preparing meaningful steps on deregulation – to give people more freedom. We will definitely make it all happen. And I thank everyone who supports these efforts. And what will remain most important is not losing our national unity, ending this war, stopping this Russian evil, and securing a dignified peace for Ukraine. And exactly as we all envision it – as a full-fledged part of Europe. We’ll make it happen.

Glory to Ukraine!

What I’ve italicized and bolded above all sounds really good. And it makes sense. It would’ve sounded better and made more sense if this had been done first and then used the outcome of those discussion to transparently make reforms. Instead he did what he, his party, and his parliamentary allies did what they did yesterday the way they did it yesterday. Which means it’s now time to tap dance as fast as possible.

From The Financial Times:

Six years ago, President Volodymyr Zelenskyy issued a video urging citizens to call the hotline of Ukraine’s anti-corruption authority if they were offered bribes or kickbacks.

Now the agency is at the centre of the biggest political crisis of his wartime presidency after his drive to seize control triggered fresh allegations of an authoritarian power grab, sparking protests in Kyiv and sending shockwaves through Europe.

The unexpected decision on Tuesday to bring Ukraine’s two flagship anti-corruption bodies — the National Anti-Corruption Bureau (Nabu) and the Specialised Anti-Corruption Prosecutor’s Office (Sapo) — under the control of the president’s handpicked prosecutor has provoked rare public outcry and criticism of executive over-reach in wartime.

One government adviser accused Ukraine’s leaders of silencing dissent and enabling authoritarian drift, betraying the democratic principles for which Ukrainians have fought and died during years of war against Russian aggression.

“The Russians want to kill us . . . But you get used to that feeling,” Liubov Tsybulska wrote on Facebook. “Much worse is feeling danger from those who govern your country — from your own people, to whom you gave up part of your freedoms during wartime.”

Zelenskyy signed the bill into law late on Tuesday, as more than 2,000 protesters outside his fourth-floor office window shouted for him to veto it and chanted “Shame!” Hundreds stayed on the street past the midnight military curfew in a rare act of wartime defiance — including veterans and soldiers with prostheses from battle injuries.

Organisers are calling for further demonstrations in the capital and in the cities of Lviv, Odesa and Dnipro in coming days.

The hasty manoeuvres to bring the anti-corruption bodies under the oversight of prosecutor-general Ruslan Kravchenko, a Zelenskyy appointee, were set in motion over the weekend by the president and his powerful chief of staff, Andriy Yermak, according to several lawmakers and western diplomats familiar with the matter.

But Kravchenko himself said he had not been notified by the president of the plan, telling reporters in Kyiv on Wednesday that he had found out the same way much of the public had — on a popular Telegram channel run by a Ukrainian MP.

The rush appears to have been sparked by investigations into members of Zelenskyy’s circle and the president’s desire to further consolidate control over powerful institutions during wartime. Civil society leaders said he had timed the move on the assumption that western allies would be too distracted — including by US President Donald Trump’s turbulent policy moves — to notice internal Ukrainian politics.

Western partners have remained cautious about publicly criticising Kyiv, including on corruption, understanding that Russia would weaponise such criticism, said western diplomats in Kyiv.

Several officials close to Zelenskyy said it seemed at least in part in response to a criminal case opened by Nabu against the president’s close ally and former deputy prime minister Oleksiy Chernyshov, who was charged with abuse of power and illegal enrichment last month. Chernyshov, who denies the allegations, was dismissed in last week’s reshuffle.

The new law came just over a week after Zelenskyy and senior aides launched raids on prominent critics and activists, leading to accusations that wartime powers were being used to marginalise opponents, silence civil society and tighten control over state institutions. That followed sanctions earlier this year targeting high-profile figures, including former president Petro Poroshenko.

The president’s office ordered MPs back to the capital for an urgent session on Tuesday, with MPs from Zelenskyy’s ruling faction told that “the boss” was watching closely and noting any opposition, according to a lawmaker from the president’s party.

Most complied. The legislation was passed with the help of votes from former pro-Russian MPs and the party of former prime minister and political firebrand Yulia Tymoshenko.

In an interview with the Ukrainian news site Livyy Bereh on Wednesday, Nabu director Semen Kryvonos said that among the MPs who voted in favour of the law were several “who have the status of suspects” in cases being investigated by the agency.

While Zelenskyy insisted the shake-up was needed to root out Russian influence inside his country’s anti-corruption bodies, his critics warn it undermines democratic checks, weakens the country’s institutional integrity and risks alienating Ukraine’s western backers at a pivotal moment in the war against Russia.

“We discussed various challenges, all of them,” Zelenskyy said in a midnight video address early on Wednesday, referencing meetings with the prosecutor-general and the heads of Nabu, Sapo and Ukraine’s security services. “The anti-corruption infrastructure will work, only without Russian influence — it needs to be cleared of that.”

But Transparency International’s Ukraine office accused Zelenskyy and his MPs of ‘‘destroying a decade of hard-won progress in anti-corruption reforms’’.

The developments threaten to undermine the huge strides made over the past decade to tackle entrenched corruption and which helped Ukraine win EU candidate status in 2022.

Two MPs who asked not to be named, including one from the president’s own party, likened the legislation to the so-called dictatorship law pushed through parliament by a show of hands in January 2014. That gave the then pro-Russian president Viktor Yanukovych extraordinary powers to crack down on Euromaidan protesters, sparking weeks of bloodshed.

Nabu said in a statement on Wednesday after the meeting with Zelenskyy that its director had emphasised to the president that the legislative changes adopted on Tuesday “significantly restricted the independence” of the agencies.

Signalling a possible concession, on Wednesday evening Zelenskyy said he had heard concerns about his move to strip Nabu and Sapo of their independence, and would soon submit a new bill to parliament in response.

This new draft law “will empower the law enforcement system” while achieving his stated goal of rooting out “Russian influence or interference in the activities of law enforcement agencies”, he said. “All the necessary provisions for the independence of anti-corruption institutions will be ensured.”

Much more at the link.

Georgia:

Day 238 of #GeorgiaProtests

We will win this. They know it, we know it. The only question is: at what cost.

Targeted sanctions are already unsettling the regime and their pillars, and can help us avoid whatever costs can be avoided.

📷 Dato Simonia

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— Marika Mikiashvili 🇬🇪🇺🇦🇪🇺 (@marikamikiashvili.bsky.social) July 23, 2025 at 4:21 PM

For the 238th consecutive day, Rustaveli Avenue is blocked in Tbilisi, Georgia. Protests continue in 8+ cities. 🇬🇪✊

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— Rusudan Djakeli (@rusudandjakeli.bsky.social) July 23, 2025 at 2:08 PM

Illegitimate PM Kobakhidze claims that the Schengen visa-free drained the population and stalled local economic growth anyway.

Just a few years ago, his master Bidzina Ivanishvili stated young people should leave Georgia because Georgia cannot provide them with jobs. For real.

— Marika Mikiashvili 🇬🇪🇺🇦🇪🇺 (@marikamikiashvili.bsky.social) July 23, 2025 at 6:05 AM

The US:

Spiegel reports Ukraine may not receive the Patriot systems promised by Trump until spring 2026. The U.S. administration believes European allies should first provide systems from their stockpiles and receive replacements later.

www.spiegel.de/politik/deut…

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— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) July 23, 2025 at 12:28 PM

Spiegel reports Ukraine will have to wait a year for the promised Patriot air defense. A year.

While russia keeps bombing us, murdering civilians. Politicians make promises, get praised, and yet russia still gets to bomb us freely. I fucking hate how this system works.

— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) July 23, 2025 at 11:24 AM

Back to Ukraine.

The third direct negotiations between Ukraine and Russia in Turkey have concluded, lasting less than an hour.

According to Russian media, Russia and Ukraine agreed on exchanges of civilian and military personnel during the talks.

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— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) July 23, 2025 at 2:38 PM

By an amazing coincidence, the Verkhovna Rada went on vacation for several weeks on the very next day after the law was passed.

— Iryna Voichuk (@irynavoichuk.bsky.social) July 23, 2025 at 3:21 PM

Apparently the Speaker of the Verkhovna Rada is Mike Johnson. Who knew? 🤷🏻‍♂️

There was another exchange of POWs between Ukraine and Russia today.

🇺🇦250 Ukrainians returned home from Russian captivity

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— 🦋Special Kherson Cat🐈🇺🇦 (@specialkhersoncat.bsky.social) July 23, 2025 at 3:55 PM

Our people are home‼️
New prisoners of war exchange just happened between Ukraine and russia.
Welcome home,our darlings, our heroes!❤️‍🩹

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— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) July 23, 2025 at 3:34 PM

“My love… can you believe it? I’m home. Three and a half years…”

First phone calls after prisoners of war exchange 😭❤️‍🩹

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— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) July 23, 2025 at 4:32 PM

They are home ❤️‍🩹

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— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) July 23, 2025 at 4:34 PM

I am incredibly proud of the people of Ukraine. Honestly, it’s so unfair that so many challenges keep falling on us — but the resilience and stamina of my Ukrainians is truly striking.

— Olena Halushka (@halushka.bsky.social) July 23, 2025 at 2:15 PM

You can sense twitter poasters from a mile away

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— Mira of Kyiv 🇺🇦 (@reshetz.bsky.social) July 23, 2025 at 4:20 PM

There’s too many labubu posters, I’m uncomfortable, this may be known as the labubu revolution

— Mira of Kyiv 🇺🇦 (@reshetz.bsky.social) July 23, 2025 at 4:23 PM

Have you ever seen a drone drop a grenade? On a Russian pontoon crossing.

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— 🦋Special Kherson Cat🐈🇺🇦 (@specialkhersoncat.bsky.social) July 23, 2025 at 3:56 AM

Kharkiv:

Russian drones approaching Kharkiv right now ‼️ air raid alert

— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) July 23, 2025 at 5:45 PM

Air defense working in Kharkiv ‼️

— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) July 23, 2025 at 5:56 PM

Protests against Law 12414 took place in Kharkiv today. It was peaceful. Cars passing by were beeping in support. I’m incredibly proud of my fellow citizens for showing up despite being so close to the frontline,

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— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) July 23, 2025 at 11:53 AM

knowing full well they could be bombed without warning. These people understand the risks, and still choose to make themselves heard. peacefully but firmly.

— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) July 23, 2025 at 11:53 AM

And Kharkiv special: “Putin Khuilo” 😁

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— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) July 23, 2025 at 12:07 PM

The Kreminna front:

Fiber optic FPV drone strikes on Russian logistics. Work of the Signum unit. Kremina front.

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— 🦋Special Kherson Cat🐈🇺🇦 (@specialkhersoncat.bsky.social) July 23, 2025 at 5:35 PM

The Kursk cross border offensive:

Aviation continues operating across all directions. A MiG-29, using GBU-39 bombs, is destroying enemy firing positions, dugouts, personnel, and their ammunition in Tyotkino.

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— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) July 23, 2025 at 2:31 PM

Russian occupied Crimea:

Local media in Crimea report that the city is currently under heavy missile and drone attack right in the middle of the negotiations in Istanbul, with explosions occurring one after another. There are also reports of internet disruptions in Sevastopol.

— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) July 23, 2025 at 12:50 PM

Russian occupied Mariupol:

There’s no water in Mariupol. At least not for the people.
But there’s plenty for car washes and fountains — the priorities of the occupying authorities.
And they call it a “water crisis”? Just malicious tongues spreading lies.

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— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) July 23, 2025 at 6:15 AM

The southern front:

Russia has sent a new regiment formed in Chechnya to southern Ukraine, said Southern Defense Forces spokesman Vladyslav Voloshyn. The unit, created in Khankala, now includes four battalions, with the latest arriving two weeks ago.

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— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) July 23, 2025 at 5:59 AM

Adler, Krasnodar Krai, Russia:

Russia. Adler. Oil depot going 💥🔥

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— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) July 23, 2025 at 6:42 PM

Low pass of the Ukrainian kamikaze drone “Liutyi” over Adler, Russia.

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— 🦋Special Kherson Cat🐈🇺🇦 (@specialkhersoncat.bsky.social) July 23, 2025 at 6:59 PM

Rostov Oblast, Russia:

A key railway hub in Novocherkassk, Rostov region, linking Rostov-on-Don, Voronezh, Volgograd, and Kamensk-Shakhtinsky, has been attacked. The occupiers use it to move equipment, ammo, and fuel for Putin’s army to the Ukrainian border.

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— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) July 23, 2025 at 4:50 AM

That’s enough for tonight.

Your daily Patron!

There are no new Patron skeets or videos today. Here is some adjacent material.

😼🇺🇦 This is Sergeant Cat.
I have returned from night patrol of the perimeter. Traces of mouse activity have been detected near the food warehouse. We plan to call in reinforcements to strengthen security.
There have been no casualties among the personnel.
End of report.

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— Vitalis Viva (@vitalisviva.bsky.social) July 20, 2025 at 5:03 PM

I love it when members of society have an active civil position

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— Mira of Kyiv 🇺🇦 (@reshetz.bsky.social) July 22, 2025 at 2:23 PM

Open thread!

War for Ukraine Day 1,245: The FalloutPost + Comments (10)

Open Thread: The WSJ Turns Against Don TACO

by Anne Laurie|  July 23, 20255:26 pm| 158 Comments

This post is in: C.R.E.A.M., Open Threads, Republican Venality, Republicans in Disarray!, Trumpery

i think the president of the united states of america deserves to know whether his vice president jd vance is leaking details of the child trafficking and money laundering scheme the president was involved in to the press

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— GOLIKEHELLMACHINE (@golikehellmachine.com) July 23, 2025 at 4:25 PM

Hat tip to the multiple commentors who linked to the unpaywalled archive.com version –Per the WSJ, “Justice Department Told Trump in May That His Name Is Among Many in the Epstein Files”:

… In May, Bondi and her deputy informed the president at a meeting in the White House that his name was in the Epstein files, the officials said. Many other high-profile figures were also named, Trump was told. Being mentioned in the records isn’t a sign of wrongdoing.

The officials said it was a routine briefing that covered a number of topics and that Trump’s appearance in the documents wasn’t the focus.

They told the president at the meeting that the files contained what officials felt was unverified hearsay about many people, including Trump, who had socialized with Epstein in the past, some of the officials said. One of the officials familiar with the documents said they contain hundreds of other names.

They also told Trump that senior Justice Department officials didn’t plan to release any more documents related to the investigation of the convicted sex offender because the material contained child pornography and victims’ personal information, the officials said. Trump said at the meeting he would defer to the Justice Department’s decision to not release any further files…

The administration didn’t publicly announce the decision until weeks later on July 7, when the Justice Department posted a memo on its website. The statement, which was unsigned, stated that a thorough review had turned up no list of Epstein’s clients, no evidence that would lead to an investigation of uncharged third parties and no additional documents that merited public disclosure. It said that much of the material would have been sealed in a trial to protect victims and to block the dissemination of child pornography…

FBI Director Kash Patel has privately told other government officials that Trump’s name appeared in the files, according to people close to the administration.

Patel declined to answer an inquiry from the Journal about the Epstein case, but said in a statement that the memo on the Justice Department website explaining why the department wouldn’t release more Epstein documents was “consistent with the thorough review conducted by the FBI and DOJ.”

Details of Bondi’s meeting with Trump haven’t been previously reported. Trump’s advisers had for months, including during the presidential campaign, said they would release the files, and Trump, while at times equivocal, indicated he would support the release…

Absolutely Kash Patel.

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— caverylittle.bsky.social (@caverylittle.bsky.social) July 23, 2025 at 4:34 PM


===

The real problem is that there's too many scheming Viziers to really keep track of now

— Cooper Lund (@cooperlund.online) July 23, 2025 at 4:24 PM

ETA: I personally found it significant that Annie Linskey is one of the ‘reporters’ on the WSJ piece. Linskey is a professional saboteur — I first ran across her when she was trying to kneecap Elizabeth Warren’s senate campaign against Scott Brown — so if she’s willing to have her name on an anti-Trump report, well…

Speaking of scheming Vizers! I really appreciate Mr. Charles P. Pierce’s brilliant summary of the case against the other top contendor. From Esquire, “JD Vance Visited the Murdochs Right Before the WSJ Dropped Trump’s Letter to Epstein”:

J Divan Vance, vice president of the United States, is a man of great ambition. He is also a man of great unpopularity. These things generally cancel each other out in the life of a politician. But Vance’s impression of his own importance is so solid that this rule no longer applies. And it appears that he may have found his own conservative Sanhedrin, one willing to pay the 30 pieces of silver it would take to sell out the boss, in the wilds of Montana. From the Associated Press:

show full post on front page

Vice President JD Vance on Tuesday made a brief trip to Montana, where he spoke to media mogul Rupert Murdoch; his son Lachlan Murdoch, the head of Fox News and News Corp.; and a group of other Fox News executives, according to two people familiar with the trip. Vance met with the group at the Murdoch family ranch in southwest Montana near Dillon, according to the people. They confirmed the visit to The Associated Press on condition of anonymity because they were not authorized to speak publicly about it. It’s not clear why the vice president addressed the group or what they spoke about.

This meeting took place shortly before Murdoch’s Wall Street Journal published its scoop about the birthday letter allegedly written by the president to Jeffrey Epstein, which takes this little item out of the frontiers of classic MAGA paranoia and into the heart of the hopelessly mutated mainstream of American politics…

Vance’s sudden enthusiasm for Big Sky country adds an extra measure of turmoil into the already roiling stew of MAGA politics. The president is being belabored by large portions of his base over documents detailing his relationship with Epstein, perhaps the most notorious American human trafficker since the passage of the Thirteenth Amendment. Many of those same MAGAnauts have no use for Vance, whom they view as a) the ambitious climber that he is and b) the tool of a new tech elite led by gazillionaire Peter Thiel, Vance’s one-man raison d’être as a politician…

It's worth remembering that according to the Journal, Musk was right. That means Trump confided in him, which I doubt; or it means the fact is common knowledge through a certain level of government. The Journal hints at the latter.

— Richard M. Nixon (@dicknixon.bsky.social) July 23, 2025 at 4:37 PM

====
Counter-argument, from the Oval Office Occupant’s current designated Liar-on-Fox:

Bessent: "Newspapers like the Wall Street Journal are not used to a high-functioning executive president. They are used to perhaps President Obama, who was not as economically sophisticated as President Trump." pic.twitter.com/RwzEIeHVev

— Aaron Rupar (@atrupar) July 21, 2025

Open Thread: The WSJ Turns Against Don TACOPost + Comments (158)

More Site Fun!

by WaterGirl|  July 23, 20254:38 pm| 55 Comments

This post is in: Open Threads, Site Maintenance

I am aware of the wonkiness in Betty’s Budgets and Bad Faith post.

Bringing up the post

  • It shows as 20 comments on the front page.
  • It shows as 20 comments if I use the fly-out to get there.
  • It shows as 20 comments if I’m logged in as a front-pager.
  • It shows as 20 comments if I’m a regular person, not logged in.
  • It does this in Safari and Chrome, I didn’t test other browsers, but I’m sure it’s universal.

Posting a comment makes all the comments show up

  • If I post a comment as a front-pager, every comment shows up.
  • If I post a comment as a a regular person, every comment shows up.
  • If I refresh the page after posting a comment, every comment shows up.

I assume those things are true for all of you.  If not, please chime in, with details.

What I don’t know is whether the most current post is also wonky

Can you chime in either way?

Also, now that I have published this post, I would love to know whether the wonkiness occurs for you in this one, as well.

Open thread.

 

More Site Fun!Post + Comments (55)

Polling Trump’s ‘Popularity’ Open Thread: Gradually, Then All At Once?

by Anne Laurie|  July 23, 20253:42 pm| 137 Comments

This post is in: Excellent Links, Open Threads, Trumpery, Our Failed Media Experiment

Nice to see @doherty13.bsky.social with a smart piece for @politico.com today: "A Polling Analyst Digs Into Trump’s Ratings and the Epstein Saga"

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— John Gramlich (@johngramlich.bsky.social) July 22, 2025 at 1:31 PM

Per Politico — “A Polling Analyst Digs Into Trump’s Ratings and the Epstein Saga”:

… Compared with past presidents, Trump’s job approval ratings have, for the most part, moved within a narrow range. The reason is simple: He has always had a low ceiling, constrained by the single-digit approval he gets from Democrats and independents who lean Democratic. But he also has a high floor, thanks to the steady, 80 percent-plus support he invariably receives from the GOP base.

That’s what makes the firestorm surrounding the administration’s handling of the Jeffrey Epstein files such a potentially pivotal moment for the president. Coming on the heels of the U.S. bombing of Iran (not to mention passage of the so-called Big Beautiful Bill, faulted by some conservatives for its deficit-busting spending), the Epstein affair is about to reveal something important about the resilience of Trump’s bond with the GOP base. The suspicion Epstein is generating among Republicans is raising questions about whether Trump’s floor may finally crack — and, one way or another, become the “it” moment his opponents have eagerly awaited for so long…

Trump launched his second term in January flirting with 50 percent approval in many polls; this passed for a “honeymoon” by Trump’s own modest standards. By the 100-day mark in April, which happened to come shortly after the tumultuous rollout of his tariff policy, Trump’s ratings had fallen to the mid-40 percent range across the major polling aggregators — a return to his familiar resting place…

That’s why the furor over the administration’s handling of the Epstein files is potentially so important. It’s not just MAGA leaders and influencers who are upset with the administration — it’s rank and file Republicans. Quinnipiac University’s latest survey, released July 16, found more than three times as many registered voters disapproved (63 percent) than approved (17 percent) of how the administration has dealt with the Epstein affair. More revealing, Republicans, who normally can be counted on to overwhelmingly back Trump’s handling of any issue, were divided: 40 percent approved while 36 percent disapproved and a suspiciously large minority (24 percent) declined to answer.

show full post on front page

Yet here’s the thing: that same survey found that Trump’s job rating was virtually unchanged since June, with 40 percent approving and 54 percent disapproving (Quinnipiac polls consistently show lower approval ratings for Trump than do many other surveys). Nor was there any evidence that Trump’s image among Republicans had been damaged; 90 percent approved of the way he was doing his job as president. This week’s CNN survey also showed no real change in Trump’s approval.

Clearly, the Epstein controversy is in its early stages and many Americans are still forming their opinions. But it’s not occurring within a vacuum: Trump is facing increasing pressure on many other fronts as well. Inflation is creeping back up, the polling on the BBB has been abysmal, and Trump’s tariffs may yet jolt the economy again, when (or if) they kick in next month.

The backdrop here matters a great deal. Since he was first elected, Trump has never been all that popular, especially when compared with his predecessors. His first-term average approval rating of 41 percent placed him below every other president dating back to Harry S. Truman, according to Gallup Org. Trump barely edged out former president Biden, whose 42 percent average was the second-lowest.

His second term ratings also are weaker than those of his past presidents. The main difference among the polls at his 100-day milestone was whether Trump was the least popular modern president ever at that point, or whether his rating was slightly higher than his own lackluster first-term approval mark.

However, Trump thus far has also been able to avoid the devastating ratings declines that other presidents have suffered, despite the fact that his approval on specific issues — most notably, immigration and the economy — is in negative territory…

Because Trump’s approval ratings move in such a narrow range, even small changes — positive or negative — over the next several months could have major consequences. Even at his current level of support, Trump’s job rating almost certainly will act as a drag for Republican candidates for the House and Senate.

The narrative around Trump’s presidency would shift as well. In the world of poll coverage, change sells, while lack of change is a signal to the reader to read no further. As a result, there is a constant temptation for partisans and more neutral observers alike to exaggerate small shifts in individual surveys to bolster preferred storylines; thus, Trump’s job approval has at times been variously described as “plummeting,” “surging” or “at record lows (or highs),” often based on limited evidence.

But a decisive change in the trajectory, seen across a number of high-quality surveys, would be a different matter, reshaping long-term perceptions of the president.

Based on Trump’s history, it is almost impossible to imagine him approaching either the lofty heights of Bill Clinton (73 percent approval in December 1998, following his House impeachment) or the subterranean depths of George W. Bush (25 percent approval in December 2008, during the financial crisis). Because of historic levels of partisan polarization, the days of extraordinarily high or low presidential job ratings are probably over.

Historically, presidents looked to 50 percent job approval as the key indicator of their standing with the public. For Trump, 40 percent is the new 50 percent. The remainder of his second term will look very different if his job ratings are consistently below that line rather than above it. How the Epstein saga plays out could be a major factor.

Our beautiful president has taxed the poor, sent troops to stomp through playgrounds in California, opened up concentration camps, doubled the price of seemingly random goods for no discernible reason, and bombed a foreign country just to do it. And yet these ungrateful peasants are unhappy?

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— Tim Onion (@bencollins.bsky.social) July 23, 2025 at 10:13 AM

Polling Trump’s ‘Popularity’ Open Thread: Gradually, Then All At Once?Post + Comments (137)

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