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Balloon Juice

Come for the politics, stay for the snark.

It’s pointless to bring up problems that can only be solved with a time machine.

fuckem (in honor of the late great efgoldman)

Let me file that under fuck it.

Democracy cannot function without a free press.

The desire to stay informed is directly at odds with the need to not be constantly enraged.

Sadly, there is no cure for stupid.

Of course you can have champagne before noon. That’s why orange juice was invented.

Speaking of republicans, is there a way for a political party to declare intellectual bankruptcy?

It is not hopeless, and we are not helpless.

There are a lot more evil idiots than evil geniuses.

If ‘weird’ was the finish line, they ran through the tape and kept running.

Second rate reporter says what?

When they say they are pro-life, they do not mean yours.

Republicans cannot even be trusted with their own money.

I like political parties that aren’t owned by foreign adversaries.

They fucked up the fucking up of the fuckup!

“In the future, this lab will be a museum. do not touch it.”

When you’re a Republican, they let you do it.

Seems like a complicated subject, have you tried yelling at it?

Good lord, these people are nuts.

Dumb motherfuckers cannot understand a consequence that most 4 year olds have fully sorted out.

The most dangerous place for a black man in America is in a white man’s imagination.

Historically it was a little unusual for the president to be an incoherent babbling moron.

This fight is for everything.

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Open Thread:  Hey Lurkers!  (Holiday Post)

Open Threads

You are here: Home / Archives for Open Threads

Evening open thread

by Soonergrunt|  December 26, 20249:34 pm| 122 Comments

This post is in: Mostly Open Thread, Open Threads, Unions and Labor

We haven’t had snow around these parts until yesterday morning, we got up and there was a couple inches of fresh snow on the ground. It stayed all day, so we had a white Christmas. Got up this morning, and it was raining, so all the snow got washed away.
Some people like it that way, but if I could get several feet of snow, I’d prefer that.
It keeps the idiots down.

Christmas happened, and we all got pretty much what we wanted. We’re an easy bunch. Freddie got gourmet dog biscuits and a sweater because of course he did.
My wife bought a Cure 81 spiral-cut ham, and I smoked it. Yes it was already cooked, but we smoked it low with cherry wood and a glaze made from brown sugar, honey and the drippings. Turned out really nice. I’m getting better at this smoking thing all the time, and yes, I realize I’m a walking stereotype, but it was either smoking meats or becoming an expert in one battle of the civil war or ww2, and I get hungry now and again so that’s the way I went.
Our negotiations with the agency are on hold for the holidays. We’ll hit it hard when we come back and while I strongly suspect the incoming administration will force the agency to cut a bunch of stuff out, we’ll wrap them up in paper for as long as we can because what else can we do?
Trump’s nominee for Secretary of Labor, Lori Chavez-DeRemer happens to be the only Republican that my union, American Federation of Government Employees, endorsed the last election. She has a history of supporting organized labor and supporting civil servants. I wonder how long she’ll last in Trump’s admin, and I wonder what’s going to happen. I honestly don’t think the GOP-controlled Senate would confim her.
Trump’s nominee for Secretary of Agriculture, Brooke Rollins, 52, graduated from Texas A&M University with an undergraduate degree in agricultural development before completing law school at the University of Texas. She served as domestic policy chief during Trump’s first term, a portfolio that included agricultural policy. After leaving the White House, she became president and CEO of the America First Policy Institute, a group helping to lay the groundwork for a second Trump administration. Rollins, in an interview earlier this year, called Trump an “amazing boss.” 
I find that last bit ominous.
We’re going to California for a week here in a couple days.  Looking forward to it.

How did everybody make out for Christmas?

Evening open threadPost + Comments (122)

War for Ukraine Day 1,037: Kyiv Under Fire

by Adam L Silverman|  December 26, 20248:01 pm| 18 Comments

This post is in: Foreign Affairs, Foreign Policy, Military, Open Threads, Russia, Silverman on Security, War, War in Ukraine

Air raid alert map of Ukraine. There are alerts up for Kyiv, Poltava, and Cherkasy Oblasts, as well as for Luhansk and Crimea, which are always under air raid alert. There are indicators of recent strikes on the City of Kyiv.

As you can see in the air raid alert map above, there are strikes in/near the city of Kyiv. The alert map indicates that these strikes occurred at 2:12 and 2:13 AM local time in Ukraine, which is 7:12 and 7:13 PM EST.

Not only did Russia hit the Azerbaijan Airlines plane with air defense, they then repeatedly denied landing permission and employed GPS spoofing to try to force the plane to crash into the Caspian Sea. Which would’ve made it far harder to ascertain the cause of the crash.

Hoo boy.

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— Daniel Drezner (@dandrezner.bsky.social) December 26, 2024 at 8:00 AM

From EuroNews:

38 passengers were killed on Wednesday after Azerbaijan Airlines Flight 8432 crashed as it attempted to make an emergency landing near the city of Aktau in Kazakhstan.

Azerbaijani government sources have exclusively confirmed to Euronews on Thursday that a Russian surface-to-air missile caused the Azerbaijan Airlines plane crash in Aktau on Wednesday.

According to the sources, the missile was fired at Flight 8432 during drone air activity above Grozny, and the shrapnel hit the passengers and cabin crew as it exploded next to the aircraft mid-flight.

Government sources have told Euronews that the damaged aircraft was not allowed to land at any Russian airports despite the pilots’ requests for an emergency landing, and it was ordered to fly across the Caspian Sea towards Aktau in Kazakhstan.

According to data, the plane’s GPS navigation systems were jammed throughout the flight path above the sea.

The missile was fired from a Pantsir-S air defence system, Baku-based international outlet AnewZ reported, citing Azerbaijani government sources.

According to Russian sources, at the time the Azerbaijan Airlines flight was passing over the territory of Chechnya, Russian air defence forces were actively attempting to shoot down Ukrainian UAVs.

The head of the Security Council of the Chechen Republic, Khamzat Kadyrov, confirmed that a drone attack on Grozny took place on Wednesday morning, noting that there were no casualties or damage.

If this preliminary data is confirmed, this would be the second time in a decade that Russian forces have destroyed a commercial aircraft after the MH17 crash in Ukraine. This time, Russia’s own citizens, as well as those from neighbouring countries, are among the casualties.

More at the link.

Here is President Zelenskyy’s address from earlier today. Video below, English transcript after the jump.

show full post on front page

We Are Seeing the Right and Necessary Results in Destroying the Military Infrastructure of the Enemy – Address by the President

26 December 2024 – 19:30

I wish you health, fellow Ukrainians!

First.Military. Today, there was a report from Commander-in-Chief Syrskyi and Defense Minister Umerov. The front. Supplies. It is very important that the United States is now increasing deliveries. This is necessary to stabilize the situation. I am grateful to our partners. The pace of deliveries must be such that it disrupts the pace of Russian assaults. We need greater strength of weapons. And strong positions for diplomacy. And every unit, every brigade contributing to this brings us closer to the possibility of a normal peace. I thank our 95th, 80th, and 82nd separate air assault brigades for their resilience and bravery in battles over these weeks. Also, the 68th separate jaeger brigade – well done, guys! My gratitude as well to the 225th and 425th separate assault battalions – thank you! I would also like to highlight all our warriors who are carrying out long-range strikes on Russian territory. We are seeing the right and necessary results in destroying the military infrastructure of the enemy – and only military targets. Ukraine is defending itself from aggression, and our strikes are exclusively directed at military targets.

The Armed Forces of Ukraine, the Security Service of Ukraine, the Defense Intelligence, the Foreign Intelligence Service – I am grateful to all involved structures for their precision.

Today, much attention was also given to domestic issues – the decisions and innovations needed in the long term to ensure that Ukraine can bring back as many of our people as possible who left because of the war. We must create all the necessary economic and social incentives for Ukrainians to work in Ukraine, to work for Ukraine, and to build greater potential for Ukraine to compete equally on the global stage. The Ukrainian people have proven their courage and can demonstrate to the world their ability to recover and rebuild from the ruins. Today, I held a meeting on this matter with Deputy Prime Ministers Chernyshov, Fedorov, and Kuleba, along with the Office team. We are also preparing for talks tomorrow with representatives of Ukrainian businesses – to discuss the systemic solutions needed now and in the future to give Ukraine greater confidence and a strong economic pulse.

And the third important point for today.

I spoke with the President of Serbia and thanked Aleksandar for supporting our country and our people. We discussed our cooperation – both bilateral and with other partners. I really appreciate our dialog. Maximum constructive relations for Ukraine and joint security with our partners.

Glory to Ukraine!

Georgia:

Day 29 of pro-European, anti-Russian #GeorgianProtests

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— Publika.ge (@publikage.bsky.social) December 26, 2024 at 1:59 PM

#GeorgiaProtests Day 29

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— Publika.ge (@publikage.bsky.social) December 26, 2024 at 3:03 PM

“It’s the first generation since the 14th century that’s [both] born & being raised in a free 🇬🇪. The first generation that we must ensure goes through the full cycle of freedom, learns fight, defends and maintains freedom.”
– Jege Sakhokia, info. security specialist, musician.

— Marika Mikiashvili 🇬🇪🇺🇦🇪🇺 (@marikamikiashvili.bsky.social) December 26, 2024 at 6:29 PM

Illegitimate PM Kobakhidze states that President Zourabichvili not leaving the Palace would be a criminal responsibility. He also added that, patrons frequently sacrifice their agents and their agents sacrifice themselves, but now she’d be sacrificing say, 100 more people. A threat of violence. 1/2

— Marika Mikiashvili 🇬🇪🇺🇦🇪🇺 (@marikamikiashvili.bsky.social) December 26, 2024 at 3:23 PM

For context, there’s a debate whether the legitimate President should insist on staying at the Orbeliani Palace which, by the way, she is the first residing President of, or whether the Palace means nothing and she can set up her legitimate administration wherever. 2/2.

— Marika Mikiashvili 🇬🇪🇺🇦🇪🇺 (@marikamikiashvili.bsky.social) December 26, 2024 at 3:23 PM

It looks like the GOP’s unnatural and fanatical obsession with the People’s Republic of China may work out in favor of Georgia’s anti-Georgian Dream/anti-Russia and pro-EU movement.

One more post from U.S representative Joe Wilson.

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— Publika.ge (@publikage.bsky.social) December 26, 2024 at 3:02 PM

They are chanting “solidarity to the Tkibuli miners” and “freedom to all the prisoners of the regime.” It’s probably the miners fired over political grounds recently, but could be broader than that. Impressive how more and more spheres are incorporated into the resistance. #GeorgiaProtests

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— Marika Mikiashvili 🇬🇪🇺🇦🇪🇺 (@marikamikiashvili.bsky.social) December 26, 2024 at 12:53 PM

21:25 The march of the People from Batumi and Tkibuli arrived on Rustaveli and is now marching to the parliament. Day 29 of #GeorgiaProtests

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— Markus Reuter (@markusreuter.bsky.social) December 26, 2024 at 12:30 PM

20:55 – More than 4 weeks of protesting and still thousands demonstrate on Day 29 in front of the Parliament in Tbilisi. They demand new, fair and free elections and the release of the prisoners. #GeorgiaProtests

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— Markus Reuter (@markusreuter.bsky.social) December 26, 2024 at 11:57 AM

1/ Former senior official of the Special Tasks Department, Irakli Shaishmelashvili, who resigned following the government’s suspension of European integration and the abuse of demonstrators, has left Georgia.

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— Publika.ge (@publikage.bsky.social) December 26, 2024 at 1:58 PM

2/ He wrote:

“I would like to limit myself to just a word of thanks to Giorgi Chikvaidze, Salome Zourabichvili, US Embassy Tbilisi”

— Publika.ge (@publikage.bsky.social) December 26, 2024 at 1:58 PM

3 “A special thank you to those strangers who have shown incredible support and love. I hope I will be given the opportunity to repay this respect in a dignified way.

P.S. I will get back to you soon 🫡🇬🇪🇪🇺”

— Publika.ge (@publikage.bsky.social) December 26, 2024 at 1:58 PM

This is actually a good message by default if not by design: leave the system now and get the Presidential and American support.

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— Marika Mikiashvili 🇬🇪🇺🇦🇪🇺 (@marikamikiashvili.bsky.social) December 26, 2024 at 1:50 PM

Finland:

Finnish presser live: 3km No fly zone over Eagle S declared, finnish police and border guards on board and conducting investigation.

Eagle S suspected of breaking the Estlink 2 power cable and other (unspecified) cables.

— Aki Heikkinen (@akihheikkinen.bsky.social) December 26, 2024 at 7:06 AM

“The Cook Islands-registered ship, named by authorities as the Eagle S, was boarded by a Finnish coast guard crew which took command in the Baltic Sea and sailed the vessel to Finnish waters, a coast guard official told a press conference.” www.cnn.com/2024/12/26/e…

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— Shashank Joshi (@shashj.bsky.social) December 26, 2024 at 10:39 AM

“The Finnish customs service said it had seized the vessel’s cargo and that the Eagle S was believed to belong to Russia’s so-called shadow fleet of aging tankers that seek to evade sanctions on the sale of Russian oil.” amp.cnn.com/cnn/2024/12/…

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— Shashank Joshi (@shashj.bsky.social) December 26, 2024 at 11:02 AM

From CNN:

Reuters — Finnish authorities said they boarded and took control of an oil tanker traveling from Russia on Thursday, on suspicion it had caused the outage of an undersea power cable and three internet lines connecting Finland and Estonia a day earlier.

The Cook Islands-registered ship, named by authorities as the Eagle S, was boarded by a Finnish coast guard crew which took command in the Baltic Sea and sailed the vessel to Finnish waters, a coast guard official told a press conference.

“From our side we are investigating grave sabotage,” said Robin Lardot, Director of the Finnish National Bureau of Investigation, which leads the multi-agency probe.

“According to our understanding an anchor of the vessel that is under investigation has caused the damage,” he added.

The Finnish customs service said it had seized the vessel’s cargo and that the Eagle S was believed to belong to Russia’s so-called shadow fleet of aging tankers that seek to evade sanctions on the sale of Russian oil.

Both the Finnish and the Estonian government will hold extraordinary meetings later on Thursday to assess the situation, they said in separate statements.

Baltic Sea nations are on high alert for potential acts of sabotage following a string of outages of power cables, telecom links and gas pipelines since 2022, although subsea equipment is also subject to technical malfunction and accidents.

Repairing the 170 km (106 miles) Estlink 2 interconnector will take months, and the outage could cause a tense power supply situation during winter, operator Fingrid said in a statement.

The Eagle S Panamax oil tanker crossed the Estlink 2 electricity cable at 5.26a ET on Wednesday, a Reuters review of MarineTraffic ship tracking data showed, identical to the time when Fingrid said the power outage had occurred.

The ship was stationary near the Finnish coast on Thursday afternoon, with a Finnish patrol vessel stopped nearby, the data showed.

United Arab Emirates-based Caravella LLCFZ, which according to MarineTraffic data owns the Eagle S, did not immediately respond to a request for comment.

Peninsular Maritime, which, according to MarineTraffic acts as a technical manager for the ship, declined to comment outside of the company’s opening hours.

‘Disrupt and deter’
Damage to subsea installations in the Baltic Sea has now become so frequent that it is difficult to believe this was caused merely by accident or poor seamanship, Estonian Foreign Minister Margus Tsahkna said in a statement.

“We must understand that damage to submarine infrastructure has become more systematic and thus must be regarded as attacks against our vital structures,” Tsahkna said.

The 658 megawatt (MW) Estlink 2 outage began at midday local time on Wednesday, leaving only the 358 MW Estlink 1 in operation between the two countries, operator Fingrid said.

Twelve Western countries on Dec. 16 said they had agreed measures to “disrupt and deter” Russia’s so-called shadow fleet of vessels in order to prevent sanctions breaches and increase the cost to Moscow of the war in Ukraine.

“We must be able to prevent the risks posed by ships belonging to the Russian shadow fleet,” Finnish President Alexander Stubb said in a post on social media X on Thursday.

Lithuanian foreign minister Kestutis Budrys said the growing number of Baltic Sea incidents should serve as a stark and urgent warning to NATO and the European Union to significantly enhance the protection of undersea infrastructure there.

Poland:

After all the threats to Poland, an enraged Putin, frustrated by Ukraine’s suspension of gas transit, is now seriously proposing that Poland restore gas transit through its territory via the Yamal-Europe pipeline.

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— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) December 26, 2024 at 5:12 PM

The Kerch Strait:

Storm turned Russian barriers against Ukrainian drones near the bridge across the Kerch Strait into a mess.

Comparison of satellite images from November 8 (before the storm), December 16 and December 24 – the last photo shows that it has not yet been possible to restore the barriers from old barges

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— 🦋Special Kherson Cat🐈🇺🇦 (@specialkhersoncat.bsky.social) December 26, 2024 at 2:20 PM

Kharkiv:

Kharkiv’s soundtrack: Jingle Bells drowned by air raid sirens. This is life in war. Sound on.

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— Iryna Voichuk (@irynavoichuk.bsky.social) December 26, 2024 at 4:50 AM

Kharkiv region today after the russian glide bomb attack. At least one man died

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— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) December 26, 2024 at 11:09 AM

A Russian Kh-59 cruise missile was neutralized in Kharkiv after crashing on someone’s yard and not detonating.

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— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) December 26, 2024 at 12:39 PM

Earlier today, russia targeted the suburbs of Kharkiv with glide bombs, resulting in shattered homes, injured residents, and a massive crater.

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— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) December 26, 2024 at 10:20 AM

The Zaporizhzhia front:

Yet another successful night hunt of “NEMESIS” unit on Russian TOR-M2 air defence system. Zelenopil, Zaporizhzhia front.

The fewer air defense systems Russia has, the safer the skies are for everyone.
t.me/usf_army/315

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— 🦋Special Kherson Cat🐈🇺🇦 (@specialkhersoncat.bsky.social) December 26, 2024 at 10:06 AM

Nikopol:

Central market. Holiday season.

Russians launched an attack on the central market in Nikopol today, injuring 8 civilians.

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— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) December 26, 2024 at 10:25 AM

The Kursk cross border offensive:

Another column of occupiers “burned out on the job” in the Kursk region, failing to make it to the New Year. The doomed attackers were met with artillery, mortars, and FPV drones. Heavy equipment shattered like splinters, and one tank even flipped over.

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— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) December 26, 2024 at 1:43 PM

The deadly carousel was orchestrated by the brave Cossacks of the 47th Brigade.

— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) December 26, 2024 at 1:43 PM

That’s enough for tonight.

Your daily Patron.

There are no new Patron tweets or videos tonight. Here’s the next episode of Patron’s official animated series that I had not yet posted here.

Open thread!

War for Ukraine Day 1,037: Kyiv Under FirePost + Comments (18)

Excellent Read: ‘Get Ready for Trump’s TV Government’

by Anne Laurie|  December 26, 20246:28 pm| 113 Comments

This post is in: Excellent Links, Republican Politics, Trumpery

trump has won fascism is inevitable, the republic is lost, oligarchy is inevitable. boo hoo.
these guys are dumb and completely disorganized and hate each other. the old man looks like he’s three steps from a date with the grim reaper.
get tough, quit crying in your beer. jesus christ.

— not an art thief (@famousartthief.bsky.social) December 23, 2024 at 1:57 AM

oh hey it ya girl explaining why the recent government shutdown extravaganza is just a preview of the next four years of GORILLA CHANNEL GOVERNANCE
foreignpolicy.com/2024/12/20/t…

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— Dr. Samantha Hancox-Li (@sjshancoxli.bsky.social) December 20, 2024 at 8:31 PM

In 2018, a joke tweet went viral suggesting that then-President Donald Trump spent 17 hours a day watching “the gorilla channel,” a fake TV channel featuring footage of gorillas fighting created by his staffers. In 2024, President-elect Trump nominated Peter Hegseth, whose primary qualification is appearing on Fox and Friends, for secretary of defense. Trump nominated Mehmet Oz (aka Dr. Oz), whose primary qualification is appearing on Oprah, to be Centers of Medicare and Medicaid Services administrator.

Since Trump’s election, some on the left have given in to the impulse of doom. They talk as if Trump is a god-emperor who will sweep away the American republic with a wave of his hand. Some on the right believe this too, though in their case, they approve of that course of action. Certainly Trump and his allies have declared their intention to reshape American society in an authoritarian direction.

But what we should expect is not an organized transformation. What we should expect is gorilla channel governance—chaotic, personalist, and based largely on what the president most recently saw on television…

show full post on front page

Personalist systems are less effective at managing a society than impersonal bureaucracies. Moreover, they are heavily reliant on the personal abilities of the leader. Trump is not a young, energetic dictator ready to spend the next 40 years remaking America. He is a tired old man who forgets what state he’s currently standing in.

And, for the most part, he is not appointing energetic young psychopaths to remake the entire system. He’s appointing people he saw on the teevee. This is gorilla channel governance: government based not on long-term plans to reshape society energetically and carefully pursued, but on the whims of an aging leader who surrounds himself with sycophants and lives in a world of television and social media…

This affects how Trump will interact with existing federal bureaucracies. Trump is not constructing his administration de novo after a revolution. Rather, he is confronted with an existing bureaucratic regime of immense size. The American federal government employs 4.5 million people and controls $6.8 trillion in spending. It can be very difficult for political appointees to control the large institutions of the permanent civil service.

This is true even when the political appointees nominally have total authority over the bureaucrats. There are large informational and organizational gaps between the bureaucrats and the appointees. A toy example: The appointee proposes some new policy. The bureaucrat, who does not want to enact this policy, says, “Yes, of course, sir, we’ll get right on it.” But the plan bureacrats enact is guaranteed to take forever, and likely be challenged in court. They will do a study to see if they should do it and a year later conclude they shouldn’t. Overcoming the preferred policies of the permanent civil service requires energy, area knowledge, and attention to detail. To put it bluntly: the ability to recognize when the civil servants are running a snow job on you.

Trump has suggested courts-martial for officers involved in the Afghanistan withdrawal. This will come to nothing, precisely because it offers the military bureaucracy an excuse to spend time “following orders,” preparing for these trials, and finally acquitting the officers (who indeed committed no misconduct). And by the time that’s all done with there will be something new on the gorilla channel…

Theories without predictive power mean little, and so let’s make a forecast here: We should expect Musk to be among the first of Trump’s picks to get shanked by Trump, precisely because he has too much of his own base and is not dependent on Trump for fame or power. A clash of egos, and Musk will be out, replaced by someone you’ve never heard of…

as i argue here, trump is most likely to achieve his worst goals when he's rowing with the tide of the party and the institutions. deportations are probably going to happen. war with mexico? the pentagon very, very, very much does not want war with mexico.
foreignpolicy.com/2024/12/20/t…

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— Dr. Samantha Hancox-Li (@sjshancoxli.bsky.social) December 22, 2024 at 6:39 PM

probably they'll figure a way to do some joint special operations with the mexican military and it will achieve absolutely fuck-all

— Dr. Samantha Hancox-Li (@sjshancoxli.bsky.social) December 22, 2024 at 6:39 PM

Excellent Read:<em> ‘Get Ready for Trump’s TV Government’</em>Post + Comments (113)

Greg Casar

by @heymistermix.com|  December 26, 20242:13 pm| 92 Comments

This post is in: Open Threads

I promised another post on Rep Greg Casar (D-TX-35), the chair of the House Progressive Caucus for the next term.  (Pramila Jayapul, the current chair, is term-limited.). Casar comes from a D+21 district along I-35 between Austin and San Antonio that contains parts of both cities.  He was first elected in 2022.

Here’s a piece in the Texas Tribune about Casar.  It highlights his support for the homeless in Austin, and how he lost a fight an initiated measure to make camping in the city illegal.  In the piece, Casar re-iterates his opposition to that initiative, and reflects on how he could have done better in the fight.  Casar started as a member of the Austin city council at age 25, which is pretty impressive.

Since the big dust-up in the comments was about Casar’s stand on trans rights, based on a paraphrase in a NBC News article, I went looking for his statements on trans rights.  Here’s the page from his House website on that.  He’s a member of the Equality Caucus.  I also found an interview shortly before the election with Casar and Hasan Piker.  Here’s the whole interview [YouTube], and the portion I’m quoting starts around the 21 minute mark.  The context for it is Casar’s trip to Nevada to talk with Latino construction workers there:

Casar: They have had this message where the Democratic Party isn’t focused on them, even if their Congressperson has been there for them, even if we voted for the infrastructure bills that have created the construction jobs they’re working on.  So how does that propaganda break through?  I think we’re going to have this challenge…where people like Gregg Abbott, my governor, pick on LGBTQ youth.  Do you decide you’re not going to stand up for LGBTQ youth because you don’t want a news story that distracts from the economic issues?  No, I mean you’ve gotta do the right thing — trans young people have rights, we should be able to stand up for civil rights.  But then at the same time we don’t want this distraction from the core economic issues these disaffected voters care about.  I think that takes the pairing of the issues and saying why is it that this guy with all this power is picking on trans middle-schoolers?  Isn’t that sick?  Maybe he’s doing it because he’s trying to take money out of your pockets and not have you notice.  I think it’s that connection, that piece, we have to do.  Because we can’t just tell people, hey, don’t worry about what you see on TV.  We need to make that connection for folks.

I can see how this would get paraphrased in stories in a way that sounds like Casar might be wobbling on trans rights, especially since the media narrative of Dems running away from trans rights is something the DC press wants to promote, and some Dems have definitely helped them.  It’s the kind of “dog bites man” story that they crave (because the Progressive Caucus chair who went squishy on trans rights would be big news, since that caucus has always led on LGBTQ issues).  But as far as I can tell, and I looked hard, Casar is a strong advocate of LGBTQ rights.

Biden just signed the Defense Authorization Act  for 2025 (NDAA), which included the first ant-LGBTQ legislation since DADT and DOMA.  It bans TriCare coverage for gender-affirming care to minors.  The House Progressive Caucus came out against it — the trans healthcare ban was part of the reason.  Here’s the roll call.  I don’t see any Progressive Caucus members voting YEA, including Casar.  I don’t know why the hell Dems like Colin Allred and Yadira Caraveo, who both lost elections, felt that one of their last votes had to be for the first bill to take away LGBTQ rights since the ’90s.  These kinds of votes are the issue with trans rights in the Democratic Party, not the new Progressive Caucus chair.

Greg CasarPost + Comments (92)

‘Cause Cheap is How I Feel

by @heymistermix.com|  December 26, 202411:55 am| 186 Comments

This post is in: Open Threads

We’ve gotten in the habit of bringing a lot of “big city” food when we come to visit our parents in a small red Dakota town.  The grocery stores here are a combination of expensive and mediocre.  We used to pack it in the 12 volt compressor fridge of our van, but since we’re transitioning to another rig (not yet built), I needed to get a cooler.   We were near a Wal-Mart, so I stopped in and found an Igloo brand 48 quart cooler (iow the big one) for $14.

I just can’t get over that price.  It’s a decent plastic cooler, for $14.  It would take 2-3 styrofoam disposable coolers to carry the same amount of stuff, and that would be more than $14 at the grocery store.  It almost seemed immoral that a cooler of that quality could be purchased for that price.  I wonder what kind of slavery and exploitation was involved in the production, shipping and shelving of this item.

I’m a pretty big devotee of “buy once, cry once,” especially as we’ve radically downsized.  So I buy very little at Wal-Mart, though when we’re traveling in the rural red south or southwest, I’ll stop a Wal-Mart for groceries simply due to lack of a choice.  I’ll also stop at them in Baja because little Mexican tiendas have a terrible supply chain and/or about the same selection as you’d see in a 7-11 in the states.  (There are actually stores in Baja with signs of Costco brands that are full of merchandise purchased and carried down the peninsula from the couple of Costcos near the border or near Cabo.)

This is all to say that I’m no purist, and I also don’t think I’m doing the world a favor by picking (for example) Target instead of Wal-Mart — all big box retail is exploitative, as far as I’m concerned.  So I’ll hold back my shocked face when I read that economists have finally figured out just how deeply Wal-Marts fucked up rural communities:

[…] [T]hey find that the costs Walmart imposes in the form of not only lower earnings but also higher unemployment in the wider community outweigh the savings it provides for shoppers. On net, they conclude, Walmart makes the places it operates in poorer than they would be if it had never shown up at all. Sometimes consumer prices are an incomplete, even misleading, signal of economic well-being.

This is apparently a surprise to economists, since even the head of Obama’s Council of Economic Advisors believed that the cheap prices at Wal-Mart outweighed the economic harm to the community.

A couple of weeks ago, I listened to Jon Lovett interview Hasan Piker, who’s one of the young guys trying to build a following  as an alternative to Joe Rogan et. al.   Piker made the point that the rise of Wal-Mart, etc., is part of an implicit social contract:  big box retail and chains would take away local retail, decimate Main Street, deliver a bunch of cookie-cutter restaurants with mediocre food, and in return, everything would be cheap.  When prices went up, people were pissed, because they had kept their part of the bargain and gotten screwed.  That anger was part of the “throw the bums out” election.

This gets abbreviated in the comments here as “cheap eggs”, and, yeah, I get that people shouldn’t vote for racists, sexists and anti-LGBTQ bigots just because prices went up.   But I bought that fucking $14 cooler.  It was something small and frail and plastic, baby, and cheap is how I feel.

‘Cause Cheap is How I FeelPost + Comments (186)

Thursday Morning Open Thread: Boxing Day (Is For Leftovers)

by Anne Laurie|  December 26, 20249:07 am| 257 Comments

This post is in: Open Threads

Two dudes chillin in an eggnog hot tub…

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— Laurasaurus (@laurasaurus.bsky.social) December 7, 2024 at 4:53 PM


 

There's genuinely so much beauty in the American project, even amidst the horrors. There's nothing wrong with this country that can't be fixed by what's right with it.

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— Leonid Baezhnev (@rev-avocado.bsky.social) December 25, 2024 at 9:54 PM

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— Pete Woods- use only as directed (@thatpetewoods.bsky.social) December 24, 2024 at 10:39 PM

 

Some people never got past how they felt in like 2011, so they’re teaming up with those who objected to every inch of progress we’ve had since the civil war.

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— Clean Observer (@hammbear2024.bsky.social) December 25, 2024 at 11:19 PM

My credo for the upcoming year:

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The most cringe resist lib who built shrines to Mueller and thought “Drumpf” was cooking with fire had a better batting record than every single savvy politics knower. Despite -or perhaps because this- the media has no interest in attending a wine mom brunch instead of another blue collar diner.

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— Starfish Who Can’t Think Something Witty (@irhottakes.bsky.social) December 24, 2024 at 2:54 PM

A lot of lefty folks think a bunch of politically active negatively polarized women who voted against Trump three times are fascists eager to join the Trumpenreich SS but manly men who voted Republican every election since 1996 are one Rogan interview away from socialism. I don’t think that’s true.

— Starfish Who Can’t Think Something Witty (@irhottakes.bsky.social) December 24, 2024 at 11:04 PM

Tbh, your goofy aunt is the most valuable type of protester under an aspiring authoritarian. (ie: the kind the Army would say “no thank you” to shooting.)

— Starfish Who Can’t Think Something Witty (@irhottakes.bsky.social) December 24, 2024 at 11:08 PM

We’re a big country and our civil society is still stronger than most places that have fallen apart. We can beat these guys. There are more of us than there are of them. Again, it’s a big country. A lot harder to steal it all.
(H/t to @skatingtomato.bsky.social for resurfacing)

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— Clean Observer (@hammbear2024.bsky.social) December 24, 2024 at 11:07 PM

Thursday Morning Open Thread:  Boxing Day (Is For Leftovers)

(Mike Luckovich via GoComics.com)

Thursday Morning Open Thread: Boxing Day (Is For Leftovers)Post + Comments (257)

Chag Sameach! Hanukkah Open Thread

by Anne Laurie|  December 26, 20243:45 am| 30 Comments

This post is in: Open Threads, Religion

Rabbi Sacks said: A people that can walk through a valley of shadow of death and still rejoice is a people that cannot be defeated by any force or fear.

That capacity for faith is the light of the Jewish people.

As Hanukkah begins, may it shine from menorahs around the world. pic.twitter.com/fw91jGO6iH

— President Biden (@POTUS) December 25, 2024

The story of Hanukkah reminds us that even in darkness, we can find the light. May the next eight nights of reflection bring you hope, joy, and love. Happy Hanukkah. pic.twitter.com/krqPTyVlwk

— Vice President Kamala Harris (@VP) December 25, 2024

With @VP’s support, I’ve lived openly and proudly with Jewish joy over these past 4 years. Today, I rededicate myself to finding light in the darkness and spreading that light to others. Wishing everyone meaningful and happy Hanukkah! pic.twitter.com/J13fVAI6s1

— Douglas Emhoff (@SecondGentleman) December 25, 2024

Today, we mark both Christmas and the beginning of Hanukkah. It is very good that in Ukraine we can celebrate such holidays with respect for each other, communicate, live together and wish different people the same victory—the victory of light over darkness.

And today, together… pic.twitter.com/GxSQNm7jTr

— Volodymyr Zelenskyy / Володимир Зеленський (@ZelenskyyUa) December 25, 2024

Today, we mark both Christmas and the beginning of Hanukkah. It is very good that in Ukraine we can celebrate such holidays with respect for each other, communicate, live together and wish different people the same victory—the victory of light over darkness.

And today, together with the rabbis of Ukraine, I lit Hanukkah candles. This particular Hanukkah menorah was presented to me by President of Argentina Javier Milei during his inauguration last December.

I congratulate the Jewish community on this holiday. I wish Jewish families peace, joy, and a prosperous future. May the Hanukkiah shine in every home, granting strength, filling hearts with new hopes, and deepening faith in the power of truth and justice

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Sending love and light to everyone celebrating Hanukkah in #Texas30, and all across the globe. In a world where so many are fighting for justice, may this season bring you strength, peace, and the courage to keep pushing forward. Chag Sameach!

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— Congresswoman Jasmine Crockett (@repjasmine.bsky.social) December 25, 2024 at 10:22 AM


chag sameach, everyone

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— Micah (@rincewind.run) December 25, 2024 at 8:32 PM

NASA astronaut celebrating Hanukkah in space! pic.twitter.com/Rikq01ko6n

— Rabbi Shmuel Reichman (@ShmuelReichman) December 24, 2024

Today we welcome Hanukkah — the Festival of Lights.

In a time of uncertainty, may this celebration shine a light on brighter days to come.

Happy Hanukkah!

— Sen. Adam Schiff (@schiff.senate.gov) December 25, 2024 at 3:34 PM

Happy Hanukkah!

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— Mueller, She Wrote (@muellershewrote.bsky.social) December 25, 2024 at 11:30 AM

Merry Christmas 🎄 and Happy Hanukkah 🕎

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— @NYAnna22 (@nyanna22.bsky.social) December 25, 2024 at 7:44 AM

Merry Christmas, Happy Hanukkah, Happy Kwanza, happy holidays, or just a happy Wednesday. Be kind. Everything starts there, and nothing ends there.

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— Patrick Skinner (@pmskinner.bsky.social) December 24, 2024 at 7:38 PM

Chag Sameach! Hanukkah Open ThreadPost + Comments (30)

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