
A quick housekeeping note. Rosie is still doing excellently. She has this week off before her next treatment. Thank you all for the good thoughts, well wishes, prayers, and donations.
As I begin tonight’s update at 7:35 PM EDT/2:35 AM local in Ukraine, almost all of Ukraine is under air raid alert. And drone attacks are being reported.
Ukraine is under a large russian drone attack right now.
Possibly russian way of throwing tantrum over Kursk, or they are just being their usual genocidal selves. pic.twitter.com/unL1Fab5ae— Kate from Kharkiv (@BohuslavskaKate) August 10, 2024
Here’s the butcher’s bill from yesterday’s attack in Kostiantinivka, as well as from Russia’s attacks on Kharkiv and Kramartosk.
The bodies of two children were identified in Kostiantynivka: girls aged 9 and 11. 14 people killed https://t.co/gDtcRhip1h
— Maria Avdeeva (@maria_avdv) August 10, 2024
The bodies of two children, a 9-year-old girl and a 12-year-old girl, have been identified among the victims of the russian missile attack on Kostiantynivka. According to the Donetsk Obl prosecutor’s office,six of the 14 bodies remain unidentified, including that of another child pic.twitter.com/8AKNFecxBv
— Iryna Voichuk (@IrynaVoichuk) August 10, 2024
A russian war crime that will likely go unnoticed by Western media, yet demands as much attention as any massive missile strike. Last night, russian forces targeted the village of Pershotravneve in the Izium district of Kharkiv Oblast. The attack claimed the lives of a… pic.twitter.com/2sYy6ep9xH
— Iryna Voichuk (@IrynaVoichuk) August 10, 2024
A russian war crime that will likely go unnoticed by Western media, yet demands as much attention as any massive missile strike. Last night, russian forces targeted the village of Pershotravneve in the Izium district of Kharkiv Oblast. The attack claimed the lives of a 24-year-old man and an 80-year-old woman, who perished beneath the rubble of their home. A 58-year-old man later died from his injuries in the hospital.
#RussiaIsATerroristState
In the early hours today, russian forces targeted Kramatorsk in Donetsk Oblast with a missile strike, which devastated a critical infrastructure facility and resulted in the death of one worker. pic.twitter.com/7MuetPsJnF
— Iryna Voichuk (@IrynaVoichuk) August 10, 2024
Here is President Zelenskyy’s address from earlier today. Video below, English transcript after the jump.
Ukraine Is Proving that it Really Knows How to Restore Justice – Address by the President
10 August 2024 – 20:47
I wish you good health, fellow Ukrainians!
First of all, I would like to commend all our warriors for this week – the combat brigades, which are highly effective in defending our country and destroying the occupier. We leave no part of the front unattended. Every direction, every point of combat engagement. The Sumy region, the Kharkiv region, all directions in the Donetsk region, especially the toughest ones – Pokrovsk, Toretsk, Kramatorsk – and the south of our state. Everywhere, there is something to thank the Ukrainian warriors for.
In particular, I would like to mention the 47th and 110th separate mechanized brigades. This is the Pokrovsk direction specifically. Well done, guys! Also, the 1st separate assault battalion, the 35th separate marine infantry brigade, the 54th separate mechanized brigade, the 57th and the 59th separate motorized infantry brigades, the 77th separate airmobile brigade and the 100th separate mechanized brigade. Thank you all! And also, I thank the special units of the Defense Intelligence of Ukraine for their actions in the south direction.
Today, Commander-in-Chief Syrskyi has already reported several times – on the frontline situation and on our actions to push the war out into the aggressor’s territory. I thank every unit of our Defense Forces that makes this happen. Ukraine is proving that it really knows how to restore justice and guarantees exactly the kind of pressure that is needed – pressure on the aggressor.
I also want to thank our partners – all those who made this week effective in terms of sanctions against Russia and individuals associated with it. This should be felt every week – that sanctions truly work, and anyone who tries to circumvent them will get a response from the world. We are preparing new decisions that will impose restrictions on the Russian state. I am thankful for the new defense packages for Ukraine. This week we have an American package. Missiles for Stingers, shells for HIMARS, 155-mm caliber artillery. We are working on timely logistics, to make the aid tangible on the frontline as soon as possible. And we look forward with great anticipation to decisions on long-range capabilities – from the United States, the United Kingdom, and France – we look forward to strong decisions that will bring a just peace closer.
And one more thing. I have just held a preparatory meeting on a decision that will strengthen our Ukrainian spiritual independence. We must deprive Moscow of the last opportunities to limit the freedom of Ukrainians. And the decisions to achieve this must be one hundred percent effective – they must really work. We will ensure them.
Glory to Ukraine!
For want of a nail!
This, of course, suggests that Ukraine is still not allowed to use ATACMS and Storm Shadow/SCALP missiles to strike targets in Russian territory. https://t.co/CvFLi3r7W9
— Rob Lee (@RALee85) August 10, 2024
The reason:
Warrior Dad came to see his daughter perform in the Olympics. She didn’t know whether he will be able to get there until she came out to perform and saw him waving and cheering. “Miracles do happen!” she said.
Dad has been defending Ukraine since 2014. Glory!
📹: Suspilne pic.twitter.com/kiZL3aaeB5
— Anton Gerashchenko (@Gerashchenko_en) August 10, 2024
It looks like the Ukrainians have also crossed Russia’s border into Belgorod Oblast:
Ukrainian military next to the Porozovsky village club
Belgorod region, village Poroz, Sergeevka street. 3km from the Ukrainian border. (50.5771226, 35.4506268)Russian sources confirm movements of the Ukrainian soldiers in Poroz area: “Under the cover of artillery, the… pic.twitter.com/15QJt9d9hw
— Special Kherson Cat 🐈🇺🇦 (@bayraktar_1love) August 10, 2024
KURSK OFFENSIVE /2110 UTC 10 AUG/ Ukrainian forces reported in contact at Belaya, SE of Sudzha. Possible expansion of UKR offensive. Russian Ka-52 reported downed by Ukrainian MANPADS. pic.twitter.com/HYRvrfhiCL
— Chuck Pfarrer | Indications & Warnings | (@ChuckPfarrer) August 10, 2024
UPDATE: Sources report that an evacuation order has been issued to Russian citizens in the vicinity of Belaya, SE of Sudzha. This would appear to confirm a 2nd UKR thrust has entered Russia.
— Chuck Pfarrer | Indications & Warnings | (@ChuckPfarrer) August 10, 2024
Ukrainian military next to the Porozovsky village club
Belgorod region, village Poroz, Sergeevka street. 3km from the Ukrainian border. (50.5771226, 35.4506268)Russian sources confirm movements of the Ukrainian soldiers in Poroz area: “Under the cover of artillery, the Ukrainian Armed Forces entered the settlement of Poroz, Graivoronsky urban district, Belgorod region.”
The Ukrainians Soldiers are holding a Georgian flag, which is covered in signatures, and a Ukrainian flag with the battalion’s crest.
Day five of Ukraine’s “special military operation” in Russia.
🔴 Ukrainian forces continue advancing east of Sudzha, heavy fighting reported throughout the area.
🔴 Russia says at least 76,000 Russian civilians have fled the border areas of Kursk region.
🔴 Ukrainian soldiers… pic.twitter.com/M3a2KiN2Tu— Yaroslav Trofimov (@yarotrof) August 10, 2024
Day five of Ukraine’s “special military operation” in Russia.
🔴 Ukrainian forces continue advancing east of Sudzha, heavy fighting reported throughout the area.
🔴 Russia says at least 76,000 Russian civilians have fled the border areas of Kursk region.
🔴 Ukrainian soldiers post a video from another cross-border incursion, in a village in Belgorod region.
🔴 Russian Ka-52 helicopter downed in Kursk, both sides lose some tanks and fighting vehicles. More videos of Russian POWs emerge.
Kursk Oblast, Russia:
On Day 5 of incursion into Kursk, Russia announces anti-terrorist operation in three bordering oblasts “to maintain public order.” Here’s what this tells us:
1. Restrictions on using Western weapons and limiting military aid to Ukraine to avoid escalation are pointless. Putin… pic.twitter.com/OBnkk9pUFJ
— Maria Avdeeva (@maria_avdv) August 10, 2024
On Day 5 of incursion into Kursk, Russia announces anti-terrorist operation in three bordering oblasts “to maintain public order.” Here’s what this tells us:
1. Restrictions on using Western weapons and limiting military aid to Ukraine to avoid escalation are pointless. Putin only understands strength. 1/👇🏻
3. Russia’s border regions, and areas deep within, are poorly defended, opening up opportunities to target military infrastructure and further weaken its war machine.
4. Military defeat is the only path to real change in Russia, and events in Kursk are making that path clearer.
— Maria Avdeeva (@maria_avdv) August 10, 2024
Captured Russian T-72B3M obr.2022 tank somewhere in the Kursk regionhttps://t.co/DlcOrzHpvc pic.twitter.com/Z9Gu83ynnd
— Special Kherson Cat 🐈🇺🇦 (@bayraktar_1love) August 10, 2024
As said, this morning Russian attempted to organize a tank ambush on Ukrainian forces but their attempt failed, somewhere in the Kursk regionhttps://t.co/V7czcAkowi pic.twitter.com/Pq4ffW6Uyj
— Special Kherson Cat 🐈🇺🇦 (@bayraktar_1love) August 10, 2024
This is great reporting from Alexander Chernykh of @kommersant. He lets the local voices speak for themselves, and they don’t hold back their anger at the Russian leadership. Also clear signs of discontent with the war as a whole, though not on any principled grounds. https://t.co/DVAJqAcQEX
— Shashank Joshi (@shashj) August 10, 2024
“Tell the state that we want to see them. Let the state tell us the truth – what should we expect? Will we return to our homes or can we say goodbye to them? Well, at least some crumb of honest information from the state!” https://t.co/kztgiU2vet
— Shashank Joshi (@shashj) August 10, 2024
“We had such a sincere rise of patriotism in 2022…then we saw that everything was not going as it should be. And they began to wonder – who made these plans at all? Maybe you shouldn’t have thrown the guys to Kiev right away? Maybe we should have liberated Donbass first?”
— Shashank Joshi (@shashj) August 10, 2024
‘And we also don’t understand why we are not told the truth. The enemy entered our territory, and on TV they said, “This is an emergency.” What an incident when other people’s tanks are on our land! This war is already concrete!’ https://t.co/kztgiU2vet
— Shashank Joshi (@shashj) August 10, 2024
As Ukraine invades a Russian region, the reaction in Moscow is mostly business as usual. “Meh, it happens.” My latest with @tggrove in @WSJ https://t.co/toIpRssUKH
— Yaroslav Trofimov (@yarotrof) August 10, 2024
From The Wall Street Journal: (emphasis mine)
In the five days since Ukrainian forces pushed into Russia’s Kursk region, at least 76,000 Russian civilians have fled the fighting—some seen racing away in shrapnel-peppered cars. A tent city for refugees is being set up in the regional capital.
The first major foreign military invasion of Russian territory since World War II, the Ukrainian incursion caught Moscow by surprise. Kyiv’s forces have advanced at least 20 miles in from the border and raised a Ukrainian flag in the town of Sudzha.
Videos posted online show a column of Russian reinforcements taking heavy losses Friday near another town in the area, Rylsk, and Ukrainian troops released footage with well over a hundred Russian prisoners. At least three Russian combat helicopters have been shot down, according to Russian military analysts.
Still, on Russian TV—and in the Kremlin’s pronouncements—the tumultuous events of recent days are presented as nearly routine, with Ukrainian forces usually referred to as “saboteurs” who are “attempting” an incursion. President Vladimir Putin described the advance of Ukrainian armored units as “yet another large-scale provocation.”
The chief of Russia’s general staff, Gen. Valery Gerasimov, said no more than 1,000 Ukrainian troops were involved. Russia’s Defense Ministry later said 1,120 Ukrainian troops have been killed, sparking online ridicule of the defense establishment by Russian nationalist bloggers.
On Friday, the Russian government described activities in the border regions of Kursk, Bryansk and Belgorod as a “counterterrorist operation,” giving them the same legal status as law-enforcement actions against Islamist extremist groups in the northern Caucasus.
This placed the fighting on the Ukrainian border under the overall command of the Federal Security Service, Russia’s domestic intelligence agency—rather than the military.
“There can be no rally around the flag effect for an authoritarian regime that is losing,” said self-exiled Russian political analyst Abbas Gallyamov, who used to be one of Putin’s speechwriters. “The authoritarian public only respects strength—if you win, you become more popular. But if you start losing, and the defeat in Kursk is obvious, then you remain alone and people don’t just turn away from you, they start hating and despising you.”
It was a wave of public outrage about the conduct of the war—and Russian combat losses—that fueled the most serious challenge to Putin’s rule so far, last summer’s brief mutiny by the Wagner paramilitary group led by Yevgeny Prigozhin. Wagner easily took the southern Russian city of Rostov and rolled virtually unopposed toward Moscow before aborting the uprising.
It appears that Russia has managed to slow down Ukrainian advances in Kursk, but it is nowhere near regaining the lost territory so far, and Russian military bloggers said Kyiv seized an additional Russian village, Plekhovo, on Saturday. “We must look at this situation with sobriety,” Russian lawmaker Andrey Gurulev, a retired lieutenant-general, told Russian TV as he pointed to the size of invading Ukrainian units. “We won’t be able to push them out quickly.”
The Ukrainian move into Sudzha followed a similar, but less successful, Russian cross-border offensive in Ukraine’s Kharkiv region in May. That operation prompted the U.S. and allies to relax longstanding restrictions on using Western-supplied weapons on Russian soil. Washington still maintains the ban on striking Russian targets outside border areas, such as military airfields, with American-supplied ATACMS missiles, out of fear of sparking escalation by the Kremlin.
Putin’s muted reaction to the invasion of Kursk, however, raises questions about what red lines the Russian leader really has—and whether Western hesitation to arm Ukraine, a result of concerns about Russian escalation, was a strategic mistake.
“We have to see how the Russians respond, but this is an assault on its territorial integrity and ultimately sovereignty,” said John Foreman, a former U.K. defense attaché in Russia. “So the question is what is a red line.”
For now, at least, there is no evidence of popular outrage directed at Putin outside the immediately affected areas of Kursk region. Russia’s hypernationalist war analysts are fuming about the failures of the Russian Defense Ministry. Some of them have demanded the firing of Gerasimov, and the return to the front of former Ukraine war commander Gen. Sergei Surovikin, who was briefly detained and sidelined last year because of his ties to Prigozhin, and Maj. Gen. Ivan Popov, the commander of the 58th Combined Arms Army who criticized the General Staff last year and is now in jail on corruption charges.
But this criticism is limited—in part because several hypernationalist commentators have been jailed or died in mysterious circumstances in the wake of the Wagner uprising. Just as the Ukrainian offensive in Kursk began, Russia tightened restrictions on YouTube and imposed curbs on the Signal messaging service, trying to contain the flow of information.
“War has become so routine in people’s minds, that even such serious failures as the seizure of internationally recognized Russian territory is treated as something like: Meh, it happens,” said Alexandra Prokopenko, a fellow at the Carnegie Russia Eurasia Center and a former adviser at the Russian central bank. “I don’t think anything can mobilize Russian society at this point. Generally speaking, the Russian people have wanted and keep wanting the same thing: to be left alone.”
While the Ukrainian offensive into the internationally recognized Russian territory might seem a dramatic turn of events to many in the West, it is less so in Russia because the Kremlin’s propaganda treats all of the fighting in the Ukrainian war as occurring on Russian soil.
Moscow, after all, announced the annexation of the Donetsk, Luhansk, Kherson and Zaporizhzhia regions of Ukraine in the fall of 2022—and, from the point of view of the Russian constitution, there is no legal distinction between a Ukrainian offensive in Kursk or in occupied southern Ukraine.
Much more at the link.
Regardless of how the Ukrainian gambit in Russia concludes, one thing it has proven for sure: there are no red lines , except those the West drawns.
— Kate from Kharkiv (@BohuslavskaKate) August 10, 2024
Some russian Telegram channels are claiming that NATO forces are present in Russia and that chemical weapons have been used against RU forces. They provide no evidence since they have none. What are they trying to imply? That NATO entered Russia and used WMD as Putin ignores it?
— Tatarigami_UA (@Tatarigami_UA) August 10, 2024
NATO expansion really is non-negotiable. Who knew?
Putin has declared a counter-terrorist operation in the Kursk, Bryansk and Belgorod regions. And this means that the operation will be managed by the FSB.
The FSB, which has long been actively pursuing the military on Putin’s orders, bringing criminal cases against them and… pic.twitter.com/E8Nuet0i1e
— Denis Danilov (@DenisDanilovL) August 10, 2024
Putin has declared a counter-terrorist operation in the Kursk, Bryansk and Belgorod regions. And this means that the operation will be managed by the FSB.
The FSB, which has long been actively pursuing the military on Putin’s orders, bringing criminal cases against them and arresting high-ranking generals, has now been given control over an operation that should involve the same military. I highly doubt that the generals of the Russian military will just swallow this and comply.
Let’s see where such decisions will lead, because, as we know, most of the coups have occurred precisely in times of war, when tensions between the various branches of government reach a critical point.
It is significant that Putin has put the response to the Ukrainian cross-border offensive under the FSB. The FSB is the successor of the KGB, which was Putin’s professional home before he was placed into politics in St. Petersburg. It is the one institution he trusts within Russia. It may be the only one. The FSB is unlikely to actually have the resources and the capabilities to actually deal with this on their own.
The story of a captured FSB Border Service instructor who made a reasonable decision to surrender together with the rest of the border patrol unit and conscripts. https://t.co/d8HbfIVwgJ pic.twitter.com/4pGyGco6WM
— Anton Gerashchenko (@Gerashchenko_en) August 10, 2024
The thinner the FSB’s forces and personnel get stretched on Russia’s borders, borders which include the Kaliningrad enclave sandwiched between Poland and Lithuania.

This isn’t going to help things:
Danish military expert Anders Nielsen @anderspuck tells how Putin is using Russian conscripts in the war with Ukraine.
▪️ Historical context
During the Afghan War, the forced dispatch of conscripts to the war zone caused panic in families. Fear was fueled by the zinc-lined… https://t.co/fD2j02H7uF pic.twitter.com/M9AfHo2hQV— Anton Gerashchenko (@Gerashchenko_en) August 10, 2024
Danish military expert Anders Nielsen @anderspuck tells how Putin is using Russian conscripts in the war with Ukraine.
▪️ Historical context
During the Afghan War, the forced dispatch of conscripts to the war zone caused panic in families. Fear was fueled by the zinc-lined coffins of “Cargo 200” arriving in every corner of the country.This public sentiment was one of the reasons why the USSR actually lost the war and withdrew its limited contingent from Afghanistan.
▪️ Conscripts and the “SMO”
Given the lessons of the Afghan War, the Kremlin leadership promised not to send conscripts to Ukraine.Nevertheless, conscripts have been in the war since the first days of the invasion. Some of them allegedly voluntarily signed a contract with the Russian Ministry of Defense, while others were part of the advancing units.
At least 159 Russian conscripts died during the Russian invasion of Ukraine. This figure is given by the BBC Russian Service, analyzing information from open sources together with the Mediazona media outlet.
▪️ Conscripts on the border
Since the fall of 2022, Russian conscripts have been actively used to protect the most difficult parts of the border, where they replaced the contract soldiers who had been sent to the front line.It was conscripts, along with border guards, who were on the first line of Russian defense during the large-scale breakthrough into the Kursk region. They lacked heavy weaponry, equipment, and proper training. As a result of the fighting, dozens of conscripts could have been captured.
▪️ What next?
According to Danish military expert Anders Nielsen, the Kursk incursion presents Putin with a dilemma – replace conscripts with units intended for the war in Ukraine or recognize the participation of conscripts in combat operations.And this is a highly sensitive issue that will affect the majority of Russians.
“If Ukraine kills some poor guy that is from Siberia and he joined the army to earn some money, then that’s not something that’s going to get people upset in the middle-class neighborhoods. But if the conscripts start dying, then they will care.”
De-Nazified.
— Illia Ponomarenko 🇺🇦 (@IAPonomarenko) August 10, 2024
Russian occupied Crimea:
On the night of August 9, 2024, near Chornomorske in the temporarily occupied Crimea, operators of the @DI_Ukraine special unit “Group 13” used a MAGURA V5 marine attack drone to destroy another vessel of the occupiers—a speed boat of the project KS 701 of the Tunets type. pic.twitter.com/uiR0kGAt8q
— Defense of Ukraine (@DefenceU) August 10, 2024
The Russian occupied Black Sea:
/2. Judging by FIRMS data, the targeted oil platform is located here – 45.2600278, 31.6751667. (Yellow dot on the map.) pic.twitter.com/JrIQ9owxN9
— Special Kherson Cat 🐈🇺🇦 (@bayraktar_1love) August 10, 2024
Here’s the machine translation of Sternenko’s tweet:
The Navy is clearing the Black Sea of Russian junk!
That night, they struck one of the gas towers in the water area, where the enemy had placed technical reconnaissance equipment and held up to 40 personnel.
Now these are underwater and at the same time fried katsaps.
The gas platform is still burning 🔥The Navy of the Ukrainian Armed Forces is armed with twin Sea Baby drones with a range of up to 1,000 km and a warhead of about 900 kg, so the Russians will have fewer and fewer chances to survive in the Black Sea.
I am attaching an exclusive video of a successful strike by our sailors.
Chasiv Yar:
Chasiv Yar.
By Ukraine’s 18th National Guards. pic.twitter.com/NnTnlEV9Lj
— Illia Ponomarenko 🇺🇦 (@IAPonomarenko) August 10, 2024
Rostov on Don, Russia:
Rumor has it that a military base near Rostov, russia is having a Saturday BBQ party pic.twitter.com/WTjimPIvSG
— Kate from Kharkiv (@BohuslavskaKate) August 10, 2024
Russian Telegram channels report a large fire not far from Persianovka village in Rostov region of Russia. There is a military unit in that area. pic.twitter.com/YM44TDkoSa
— Anton Gerashchenko (@Gerashchenko_en) August 10, 2024
Reuters reports that Iran will be sending ballistic missile systems to Russia:
Aug 9 (Reuters) – Dozens of Russian military personnel are being trained in Iran to use the Fath-360 close-range ballistic missile system, two European intelligence sources told Reuters, adding that they expected the imminent delivery of hundreds of the satellite-guided weapons to Russia for its war in Ukraine.
Russian defence ministry representatives are believed to have signed a contract on Dec. 13 in Tehran with Iranian officials for the Fath-360 and another ballistic missile system built by Iran’s government-owned Aerospace Industries Organization (AIO) called the Ababil, according to the intelligence officials, who requested anonymity in order to discuss sensitive matters.
Citing multiple confidential intelligence sources, the officials said that Russian personnel have visited Iran to learn how to operate the Fath-360 defence system, which launches missiles with a maximum range of 120 km (75 miles) and a warhead of 150 kg. One of the sources said that that “the only next possible” step after training would be actual delivery of the missiles to Russia.
Moscow possesses an array of its own ballistic missiles, but the supply of Fath-360s could allow Russia to use more of its arsenal for targets beyond the front line, while employing Iranian warheads for closer-range targets, a military expert said.
A spokesman for the U.S. National Security Council said the United States and its NATO allies and G7 partners “are prepared to deliver a swift and severe response if Iran were to move forward with such transfers.”
It “would represent a dramatic escalation in Iran’s support for Russia’s war of aggression against Ukraine,” the spokesman said. “The White House has repeatedly warned of the deepening security partnership between Russia and Iran since the outset of Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine.”
Russia’s defence ministry did not respond to a request for comment.Iran’s permanent mission to the United Nations in New York said in a statement that the Islamic Republic had forged a long-term strategic partnership with Russia in various areas, including military cooperation.
“Nevertheless, from an ethical standpoint, Iran refrains from transferring any weapons, including missiles, that could potentially be used in the conflict with Ukraine until it is over,” the statement said.The White House declined to confirm that Iran was training Russian military personnel on the Fath-360 or that it was preparing to ship the weapons to Russia for use against Ukraine.
The two intelligence sources gave no exact timeframe for the expected delivery of Fath-360 missiles to Russia but said it would be soon. They did not provide any intelligence on the status of the Abibal contract.
A third intelligence source from another European agency said it had also received information that Russia had sent soldiers to Iran to train in the use of Iranian ballistic missile systems, without providing further details.
Much more at the link.
That’s enough for tonight.
Your daily Patron!
There are no new Patron tweets or videos, so here’s some adjacent material from the Ukrainian Ministry of Defense.
Happy Caturday!
Today’s mission: bring good luck and boost morale.📷: Oksana Chorna pic.twitter.com/MmHRU60BmJ
— Defense of Ukraine (@DefenceU) August 10, 2024
Open thread!





