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Balloon Juice

Come for the politics, stay for the snark.

No offense, but this thread hasn’t been about you for quite a while.

I see no possible difficulties whatsoever with this fool-proof plan.

Motto for the House: Flip 5 and lose none.

“What are Republicans afraid of?” Everything.

The fight for our country is always worth it. ~Kamala Harris

We are aware of all internet traditions.

The republican ‘Pastor’ of the House is an odious authoritarian little creep.

There are times when telling just part of the truth is effectively a lie.

Putin must be throwing ketchup at the walls.

Since when do we limit our critiques to things we could do better ourselves?

We do not need to pander to people who do not like what we stand for.

The cruelty is the point; the law be damned.

Dumb motherfuckers cannot understand a consequence that most 4 year olds have fully sorted out.

The revolution will be supervised.

“Facilitate” is an active verb, not a weasel word.

Democracy cannot function without a free press.

One of our two political parties is a cult whose leader admires Vladimir Putin.

A norm that restrains only one side really is not a norm – it is a trap.

“In this country American means white. everybody else has to hyphenate.”

We’ve had enough carrots to last a lifetime. break out the sticks.

Republicans do not trust women.

🎶 Those boots were made for mockin’ 🎵

Welcome to day five of every-bit-as-bad-as-you-thought-it-would-be.

The fundamental promise of conservatism all over the world is a return to an idealized past that never existed.

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Open Thread:  Hey Lurkers!  (Holiday Post)

Open Threads

You are here: Home / Archives for Open Threads

Thursday Evening Open Thread: Trump’s Wheels Are Falling Off

by Anne Laurie|  August 1, 20246:31 pm| 102 Comments

This post is in: C.R.E.A.M., Elections 2024, Open Threads, Proud to Be A Democrat, Schadenfreude

Truly fucked up that Trump tried to keep Gershkovich imprisoned, but since he did that, claiming only he could secure Gershkovich’s release, shouldn’t campaign headlines read “U.S. journalist freed from wrongful Russian imprisonment in major setback for Trump?”

— Brian Beutler (@brianbeutler) August 1, 2024

Cash rules everything around him… Dolla, dolla, y’all, get the money…

He can’t even muster a work of thankfulness that Americans are coming home pic.twitter.com/xYUwVceZPV

— Aaron Rupar (@atrupar) August 1, 2024

Trump (who is weird): They’re the weird ones! Nobody's ever called me weird. I'm a lot of things, but weird I'm not. And JD Vance is not either pic.twitter.com/R4d8wh3qM9

— Kamala HQ (@KamalaHQ) August 1, 2024

Lolz. He’s bigly ketchup flinging mad at being called a weird weirdo. pic.twitter.com/3DZX2WRrmf

— Hadley Sheley (@HadleySheley) August 1, 2024

ETA:

My thought too. Putin thinks his boy doesn’t have the juice. https://t.co/mxYrzHhkpI

— Josh Marshall (@joshtpm) August 1, 2024

Thursday Evening Open Thread: Trump’s Wheels Are Falling OffPost + Comments (102)

I’m Not Joe Biden, But I Approve This Message

by WaterGirl|  August 1, 20243:53 pm| 206 Comments

This post is in: Democratic Politics, Elections 2024, Open Threads, Politics

Seems like we should all be sharing this.  Everywhere we can.

Open thread.

I’m Not Joe Biden, But I Approve This MessagePost + Comments (206)

Landmark Prisoner Exchange with Russia

by WaterGirl|  August 1, 20241:25 pm| 229 Comments

This post is in: Biden Administration in Action, Open Threads, Politics

President Biden in Action


Landmark Prisoner Exchange with Russia
Washington Post  (gift link)

The United States, Russia, Germany and four other countries swapped at least two dozen people Thursday in the largest prisoner exchange since the height of the Cold War. Those released included American journalist Evan Gershkovich, former Marine Paul Whelan, Russian dissidents and others from the United States, Germany, Poland, Slovenia, Norway, Russia and Belarus.

The exchange caps months of painstaking diplomacy involving negotiations at the highest levels of multiple governments. “The deal that secured their freedom was a feat of diplomacy,” said President Biden in a statement. Russia received eight prisoners Thursday, and released 16, many of whom were unjustly accused or handed heavy sentences for minor offenses.

 

Landmark Prisoner Exchange with RussiaPost + Comments (229)

Thursday Morning Open Thread: Yes We KAM!

by Anne Laurie|  August 1, 20247:43 am| 566 Comments

This post is in: Elections 2024, Kamala Harris for President, Open Threads, Proud to Be A Democrat

https://t.co/GoHjKCGxMC

— Mandy Patinkin (@PatinkinMandy) July 31, 2024


Bait for the Blogfather!

pic.twitter.com/W2YsQz7NXB

— NanaG-no fux left to give (@quiltsbypagan) July 31, 2024

The elegance and beauty of a well-run campaign that knows never to interrupt an opponent beclowning himself spectacularly in public. https://t.co/jcZbQuh0pD

— Ondine, MD☕️☕️☕️ (@Ondine_MD) August 1, 2024

$24M just today. Yow. https://t.co/EjsgtA15wp

— Jason Karsh (@jkarsh) August 1, 2024

I am honored to celebrate Disability Pride Month with our incredible Biden-Harris Administration team. Thank you for the history-making work you do each day to fight for a more inclusive and accessible America. pic.twitter.com/Q3u9u5NBrQ

— Vice President Kamala Harris (@VP) July 31, 2024

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The joy at VP’s event yesterday is what pisses miserable white people off pic.twitter.com/QTXPCFjslR

— Candidly Tiff 🪷 (@tify330) July 31, 2024

Thursday Morning Open Thread 22

•VP stresses that “fundamental freedoms are on the ballot and so is our democracy” and tells donors that if Trump wins “I promise you, he intends to pass a nationwide abortion ban in every state, but I will not let that happen.”

— Nidia (@NidiaCavazosTV) August 1, 2024

WATCH >> @MayorGiles, Republican mayor from ARIZONA endorses @KamalaHarris

"She's got tremendous momentum, there's an energy, there's a huge population here in Arizona, young people, people of color, if they show up they they did four years ago, we'll have a similar result." pic.twitter.com/s7INKvZPex

— Ammar Moussa (@ammarmufasa) July 31, 2024

So far, the GOP has no answer for:

–@VP
–@actblue
-Dobbs
-Being labelled "Weird"
-Project 2025

KEEP GOING!!!!! https://t.co/NIAWJ1fMB0

— Kamalapool & Walzerine (@TonyMoonbeam) July 31, 2024

Today, I'm proud to unveil the #vcsforkamala pledge.

As of this morning, 110 VCs representing ~$150 Billion in assets under management have signed. pic.twitter.com/mTUU2GpZoH

— Leslie Feinzaig (@LeslieFeinzaig) July 31, 2024

Inflation is at 2% and Trump tanked the border bill https://t.co/NRgH6oVaOe

— Kamalapool & Walzerine (@TonyMoonbeam) July 31, 2024

pic.twitter.com/9qyzeLOVuO

— Kamala HQ (@KamalaHQ) August 1, 2024

Our failed major media…

Honestly, if I worked at the Washington Post and was in any way responsible for this headline, I would sharpen the edges of an old, rusting pica ruler and use it to commit ritual seppuku.

Harris has no problem here. She is all that she is and she has embraced the whole of it.… https://t.co/q5QkHfmyfQ

— David Simon (@AoDespair) August 1, 2024

The press is literally beyond parody. https://t.co/PS8ROtVjz5 pic.twitter.com/zaJIfKgbVu

— Venn Cactus ⏺️⏺️🌵 (@ExcelCactus) July 31, 2024

By Jonathan Swan https://t.co/K2LHBrMyeV

— Kamalapool & Walzerine (@TonyMoonbeam) August 1, 2024

Thursday Morning Open Thread: Yes We KAM!Post + Comments (566)

Late Night Open Thread: Getting Vanced

by Anne Laurie|  August 1, 20243:24 am| 102 Comments

This post is in: Elections 2024, Open Threads, Republicans in Disarray!, Trumpery, Schadenfreude

Late Night Open Thread:  Getting Vanced

(Drew Sheneman via GoComics.com)

 

lol, he’s already turned on Vance https://t.co/SqPXyVJf9H

— Peter Wolf (@peterawolf) July 31, 2024

Vance praises a key leader behind Project 2025, a conservative effort Trump has disavowed https://t.co/N9FImNUe2k

— The Associated Press (@AP) July 31, 2024

The Trump campaign is so distanced from Project 2025, his VP literally wrote the foreword to the book. https://t.co/EiAFqYgWTw

— Hillary Clinton (@HillaryClinton) July 31, 2024

am now somewhat convinced they’re gonna drop vance off on the curb like a… well, you know

[image or embed]

— GOLIKEHELLMACHINE (@golikehellmachine.com) Jul 30, 2024 at 5:11 PM

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tbf i think it is *somewhat* unlikely because of timing

— GOLIKEHELLMACHINE (@golikehellmachine.com) Jul 31, 2024 at 8:02 PM

We’re constantly told how important it is to find a supportive partner, but when JD finds a partner who can support his dreams, desires, *and* lower lumbar, the jackal press brings out the shame stick ?? pic.twitter.com/bp51h3ijRf

— Peter Wolf (@peterawolf) July 25, 2024

Told @politico and now I'm telling you: The “weird” label fits not just the candidates but the broader MAGA movement. “It’s the first word that came to mind when I saw the white bandages on the ears of delegates at the RNC: ‘That’s weird.’”https://t.co/QxJxisMWwv

— Martha McKenna (@mmckenn) July 28, 2024

JD Vance is exactly what happens when you try to be Extremely Online in the real world. This stuff has currency among culture warriors on social media. It does not resonate with normal people, because it's…not normal. I wish people would learn this lesson. https://t.co/70rDXz69Ly

— Billy Binion (@billybinion) July 30, 2024

Late Night Open Thread:  Getting Vanced 1

(Matt Davies via GoComics.com)

Late Night Open Thread: Getting VancedPost + Comments (102)

War for Ukraine Day 889: Tallyho!

by Adam L Silverman|  July 31, 20248:57 pm| 18 Comments

This post is in: Foreign Affairs, Foreign Policy, Military, Open Threads, Russia, Silverman on Security, War, War in Ukraine

Quick housekeeping note: Rosie is doing excellently. Thank you all for the good thoughts, well wishes, prayers, and donations.

Let’s start with the good news:

The cat is out of the bag and it seems that they wanted us to know.

F-16 over Lviv, Ukraine. pic.twitter.com/ps2srtaPxn

— (((Tendar))) (@Tendar) July 31, 2024

The Associated Press has the details:

Ukraine has received the first F-16 fighter jets that it has sought for months to fight back against an onslaught of Russian missile strikes, a U.S. official confirmed to The Associated Press.

A Ukrainian lawmaker also confirmed Ukraine had received a small number of F-16 fighter jets. The two officials spoke on the condition of anonymity because they were not permitted to speak on the subject publicly.

Ukraine has been pushing its Western allies for F-16s for Ukraine for months, saying they were critically needed to fight back against the onslaught of missiles Russia has fired against it. The F-16 is specialized in suppressing enemy air defenses. The West has hesitantly moved toward providing the jets, after previous concerns that arming Ukraine with advanced weaponry would further escalate the war with Russia.

The U.S. has also been training Ukrainian pilots on how to fly the jets and has already graduated the first group of pilots on its operation.

During his visit to Washington earlier this month for the NATO summit, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy pressed NATO allies to remove all limitations on how Western-provided weapons are used, specifically allowing Ukraine to fire Western-provided weapons against an expanded set of Russian targets.

It’s not clear how many jets were provided in the first tranche or which nations provided them. The Ukrainian government has not confirmed receipt of the jets.

Belgium, Denmark, the Netherlands and Norway — all NATO members — have committed to providing Ukraine with more than 60 planes. That number is dwarfed by the Russian jet fighter fleet, which is estimated to be around 10 times larger.

Ukraine needs at least 130 F-16 fighter jets to neutralize Russian air power, Ukrainian officials say. F-16s can fly up to twice the speed of sound and have a maximum range of more than 2,000 miles (3,200 kilometers).

The bad news is that, as the AP reports, Ukraine needs at least 130 F-16 and only six were delivered today.

From The Times:

The first F-16 fighter jets have arrived in Ukraine, a year after they were pledged by four of the country’s Nato allies.

A source familiar with the matter told The Times that six jets had been supplied to Ukraine from the Netherlands, with more to follow shortly from Denmark. The Ukrainian air force declined to comment.

Kajsa Ollongren, the Dutch defence minister, had informed the Netherlands parliament that “delivery of the first aircraft will take place soon” in a letter dated July 1.

On June 16 President Zelensky had announced that Danish aircraft would start arriving “in the near future”.

A video posted on a Ukrainian Telegram channel on July 18 claimed to show an F-16 jet flying over the country, but could not be verified. However, on Wednesday Bloomberg reported the first delivery of a small number of warplanes, citing several anonymous sources.

Over the course of the next year, Kyiv is expected to receive about 20 of the aircraft, including further jets from Belgium and Norway, enough to form only a single squadron.

In the longer-term, the four countries have pledged some 80 of the ageing jets, but many are expected to be cannibalised for parts and may never fly. Ukraine has asked its allies for 300 warplanes as it battles an intense Russian bombing campaign that is crippling its critical infrastructure.

The airworthy planes will be equipped with updated radars from the manufacturer Lockheed Martin and modern US weaponry, including anti-radar missiles, laser-guided bombs and medium range air-to-air missiles.

For want of a nail.

As expected in last night’s update, Russia threw a large amount of drones and missiles at Ukraine.

100% russian drones destroyed!

Overnight, russia launched one of the most massive drone attacks since the beginning of the full-scale invasion. 🇺🇦 defenders shot down 89/89 “Shahed” UAVs and 1 Kh-59 missile.

Thank you, air defenders, for your heroic work!
Thank you, partners,… pic.twitter.com/5Q257kFBFU

— Defense of Ukraine (@DefenceU) July 31, 2024

100% russian drones destroyed!

Overnight, russia launched one of the most massive drone attacks since the beginning of the full-scale invasion. 🇺🇦 defenders shot down 89/89 “Shahed” UAVs and 1 Kh-59 missile.

Thank you, air defenders, for your heroic work!
Thank you, partners, for strengthening Ukraine’s air defense!

Tonight was the biggest russian drone attack on Ukraine this year. pic.twitter.com/vCjds1cMf1

— Kate from Kharkiv (@BohuslavskaKate) July 31, 2024

🔥Ukrainian air defenses successfully intercepted all 89 russian Shahed drones that attacked Ukraine last night pic.twitter.com/iULCTQhYqa

— Iryna Voichuk (@IrynaVoichuk) July 31, 2024

More footages of the interception of the Shahed kamikaze drones during tonight’s Russian attack. https://t.co/JvPqJzMhQ1 https://t.co/xm4V8oxCzr pic.twitter.com/rzGK7aSDrE

— Special Kherson Cat 🐈🇺🇦 (@bayraktar_1love) July 31, 2024

More on all of this after the jump.

Here is President Zelenskyy’s address from earlier today. Video below, English transcript after the jump.

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It Is Crucial to Increase Ukraine’s Skies Defense Capabilities, We Are Doing Everything for That — the Address by the President

31 July 2024 – 19:56

I wish you good health, fellow Ukrainians!

Briefly about this day.

First — the defenders of our skies. Last night alone, almost ninety “Shahed” drones were shot down. This is a serious result. I thank everyone for their precision: our mobile fire groups, fighter aircraft crews, anti-aircraft gunners, electronic warfare specialists — everyone. You have done an excellent job in the skies across many of our regions. And it is also crucial to increase Ukraine’s skies defense capabilities. We are doing everything for that. And now, if such a significant result can be achieved in the defense against the “Shahed” drones, it is an obvious proof that we can be stronger both in the defense against missiles and in the defense against Russian military aircraft. Everything depends on the weapons in the hands of our warriors. We need reliable air defense systems; we need sufficient range of our weapons. Russian terror must lose every time the occupier tries to destroy life in Ukraine. And it is not just our security. It is the security of everyone neighboring Russia. We will continue to work with our partners — to persuade them, to search for what is needed for our defense in the world and supply it to Ukraine, to cooperate in the production of necessary weapons. All this is our shared defense of everyone in Europe, of everyone in the world who values life.

Second. I held a meeting with our international experts — the Office, the Ministry of Foreign Affairs — on the preparation of new arrangements with partners. Security arrangements. And also, on the reconstruction of Ukraine. We are also preparing new bilateral security agreements and new arrangements at the multilateral level. Something that will strengthen Ukraine for sure. August is the time for preparations. Autumn is the time for results. I am grateful to everyone in the team who is involved. And now I would like to thank the United States for the assistance package that was announced earlier. Among other things, the package includes missiles for the NASAMS air defense systems, which are crucial since they are always in short supply. It also includes ammunition for HIMARS and Javelins. Thank you! We are working on ensuring the fastest possible logistics.

And the third thing, there was a report by Commander-in-Chief Syrskyi. The frontline situation. First of all, the Pokrovsk direction. Our positions, our defensive actions and our potential reinforcements. I am grateful to all those who are destroying the occupier and defending our country — defending it effectively.

Glory to Ukraine!

This war started with “Kyiv will fall within 72 hours” and with “Resistance is futile, Zelensky needs to flee to Poland ASAP.”

Now, 890 days after the day of all days, we’re still standing and seeing F-16s roar over our cities. Something that was repeatedly, persistently, and…

— Illia Ponomarenko 🇺🇦 (@IAPonomarenko) July 31, 2024

This war started with “Kyiv will fall within 72 hours” and with “Resistance is futile, Zelensky needs to flee to Poland ASAP.”

Now, 890 days after the day of all days, we’re still standing and seeing F-16s roar over our cities. Something that was repeatedly, persistently, and unequivocally called IMPOSSIBLE by so many.

Yet, we are where we are today. Heaven sees we’ve made such a long way and broken through so many nevers… We have friends, the people of goodwill, particularly thanks to whom this is reality.

The light prevails over the dark.

Goodnight from Ukraine, the country of good hope.

Deliveries of HIMARS, Western tanks, Storm Shadow missiles, ATACMS, and F-16s did not start a nuclear war. This is an undeniable fact proven over time. The excuses for delaying or denying these deliveries were bullshit, regardless of how some people tried to spin it.

— Tatarigami_UA (@Tatarigami_UA) July 31, 2024

I think a lot of us would want to say our congrats to @_juicefighter_ over the fact that F-16s are now defending the skies of Ukraine.

Dude, your dream has come true. Although you’re not at the controls….

I’ll be visiting Andriy’s resting place in Kyiv tomorrow, and I think… pic.twitter.com/EnWlP6P5Fj

— Illia Ponomarenko 🇺🇦 (@IAPonomarenko) July 31, 2024

I think a lot of us would want to say our congrats to @_juicefighter_ over the fact that F-16s are now defending the skies of Ukraine.

Dude, your dream has come true. Although you’re not at the controls….

I’ll be visiting Andriy’s resting place in Kyiv tomorrow, and I think many of us in town will want to come over and say hi.

Kharkiv:

A Ukrainian rescuer faced the ultimate nightmare when he was called to extinguish a fire at his own home, which had been hit by an airstrike.

In the attack on Velykyi Burluk in Kharkiv region, Inna Zamesova tragically lost her life, and her 10-year-old son suffered severe burns.… pic.twitter.com/MD10tGWYj5

— Kate from Kharkiv (@BohuslavskaKate) July 31, 2024

A Ukrainian rescuer faced the ultimate nightmare when he was called to extinguish a fire at his own home, which had been hit by an airstrike.

In the attack on Velykyi Burluk in Kharkiv region, Inna Zamesova tragically lost her life, and her 10-year-old son suffered severe burns.

Her husband, a firefighter, was forced to confront the horrors of war on a deeply personal level as he raced to save what was left of his family home.

The State Emergency Service has released this heartbreaking footage.

Early this morning, russian troops launched an airstrike on a residential area in a village in the Chuhuiv district of Kharkiv Oblast, resulting in the death of a 37-year-old woman and injuring her 10-year-old son. pic.twitter.com/MHNDEOr2R9

— Iryna Voichuk (@IrynaVoichuk) July 31, 2024

Russians used Orlan drones with Leer-3 systems to send mass texts, mimicking cellular base stations to trick phones into connecting.

Great story on how Russia weaponized disinformation during Kharkiv offensive in the largest war of fakes by @Max_Hunder https://t.co/0PRjPNxxaa pic.twitter.com/gGBONgrmQh

— Maria Avdeeva (@maria_avdv) July 31, 2024

Reuters has the details:

KHARKIV, Ukraine, July 31 (Reuters) – In early April, some residents of Kharkiv received a series of chilling text messages from government officials telling them to flee the city before Russian forces surrounded it.

Due to the threat of enemy encirclement, we urge the civilian population of Kharkiv leave the city by April 22,” said one alert, which bore the logo of the State Emergencies Service of Ukraine and mapped out safe escape routes on a slick infographic.

It was fake. Volodymyr Tymoshko knew immediately. He’s the police chief of Kharkiv region and would have been one of the first to find out about any official evacuation plans.

“Residents started getting these notifications en masse,” the 50-year-old told Reuters as he shared a screenshot of the alert, sent as Russian troops were massing at the border 30 km away.

“This is a psychological operation, it triggers panic. What would an average citizen think when they receive such a message?”

Disinformation and propaganda, long mainstays of war, have been digitally supercharged in the battle for Ukraine, the biggest conflict the world has seen since the advent of smartphones and social media.

Tymoshko said he received about 10 similar messages via SMS and Telegram messenger in April and early May, the weeks leading up to Russia’s offensive in northeastern Ukraine that began on May 10 and opened up a new front in the war.

A Ukrainian security official, who requested anonymity to discuss sensitive matters, said the Russians frequently sent large numbers of text messages from devices attached to an Orlan-10 long-range reconnaissance drone which can penetrate dozens of kilometres into Ukrainian airspace.

The devices, known as Leer-3 systems, imitate cellular base stations that phones automatically connect to in search of coverage, he added.

The phone barrage was accompanied by a social media blitz as Russian troops advanced on Kharkiv, according Andriy Kovalenko, head of Ukraine’s Centre for Countering Disinformation (CCD), a branch of the national security council.

The average number of social media posts classed as disinformation about the war by Ukrainian authorities spiked to over 2,500 a day when the Kharkiv offensive began in May, up from 200 a day in March, data compiled by the CCD shows.

The CCD chief told Reuters that Ukrainian intelligence had assessed that disinformation campaigns were primarily carried out by Russia’s FSB security service and military intelligence agency, commonly known as the GRU.

Russia’s foreign ministry and the FSB didn’t respond to a request for comment on the Ukrainian assertions, while Reuters was unable to contact the GRU.
Moscow has accused Ukraine and the West of unleashing a sophisticated information war against Russia, using the West’s major media, public relations and technology assets to sow false and biased narratives about Russia and the war.

The Ukrainian security official acknowledged his country used online campaigns in an attempt to boost anti-war sentiment among Russia’s population, although he characterised this effort as “strategic communications” to spread accurate information about the conflict.

Kyiv:

Kyiv faced the largest drone attack of this year last night. Air defense took down over 40 drones, with the air alert lasting more than seven hours. Our air defense performed exceptionally well 💪🏻

📷 Reuters pic.twitter.com/HLhoUiXiDk

— Maria Avdeeva (@maria_avdv) July 31, 2024

All clear in Kyiv now.

Over 30 drones attacking the capital city and suburbs in two waves in the dead of night and the early day.

The largest drone assault in 2024 so far.

Red tracer rounds from anti-aircraft machine guns soaring into the night sky, searchlight beams, the…

— Illia Ponomarenko 🇺🇦 (@IAPonomarenko) July 31, 2024

All clear in Kyiv now.

Over 30 drones attacking the capital city and suburbs in two waves in the dead of night and the early day.

The largest drone assault in 2024 so far.

Red tracer rounds from anti-aircraft machine guns soaring into the night sky, searchlight beams, the rumble of explosions above the sleeping city… that’s our nights.

No casualties reported as of now.

Kurahove direction, Pokrovsk, Donetsk Oblast:

Another russian failed assault.
The warriors from the 33rd Mechanized Brigade repelled an attack in the Kurahove direction using MLRS, artillery, drones and landmines. pic.twitter.com/mPxASC7MEG

— Defense of Ukraine (@DefenceU) July 31, 2024

Eastern Ukraine:

“The last two nights have been terrible…I will leave when there are no walls here…”
In eastern #Ukraine, Russian ‘glide bombs’ push civilians to flee. My report via @csmonitor https://t.co/k21aVhVsNL

— Scott Peterson (@peterson__scott) July 31, 2024

The Christian Science Monitor has the details:

The tiny poodle strains at its leash and barks, triggering a deafening reaction from a pack of dogs roaming the wreckage in this town in Ukraine’s embattled far east, some 10 miles from Russia’s gradually advancing forces.

“A lot of people are leaving, and let their dogs go,” explains the poodle’s owner, a retired Ukrainian military pilot in a faded orange tank top, who gives the name Oleksandr.

On their right stands the shell of an apartment block, hollowed out just days before by a single Russian “glide bomb” – a heavy Soviet-era “dumb” bomb upgraded with wings and a guidance system, and launched from a plane deep inside Russian airspace.

On their left is all that remains of a kindergarten complex, newly built before Russia’s invasion of Ukraine in February 2022, but targeted a third time, also just days earlier.

“A lot of people lived here all their lives, and have apartments and jobs, but now our lives look like this,” says Oleksandr, as he describes how Russia’s advancing forces and use of glide bombs are triggering new departures from this Donetsk coal mining town.

He points to a nearby building entrance where a neighbor, Olena, “didn’t have a chance” when she stepped out after the first blast, only to be killed by a second – one of three deaths in the bombardment.

“Now the front is coming closer, and it’s more and more dangerous to live here,” says Oleksandr. “Now the intensity of the strikes is like never before.”

Augmenting Russia’s supply of rockets and missiles, the glide bombs, which can pack from 500 pounds to more than 3,000 pounds of explosive punch each, remain virtually unstoppable by Ukraine’s air defense systems.

To stay or to go is the decision being weighed by an increasing number of residents of Myrnohrad with heightened urgency in recent weeks.

Among the towns along Ukraine’s eastern front, Myrnohrad may be at particular risk, as it sits on an important Ukrainian supply line that Russian forces have already disrupted and – advancing west toward the Pokrovsk-Kostiantynivka road – appear determined to control.

“I tell everyone that you should leave, especially those with children and older people,” says Yurii Tretiak, Myrnohrad’s acting military administrator, who describes a state of “stable intensity.”

“We don’t know why they don’t like our kindergartens so much,” he says, noting that a number of schools have been targeted by 12 glide bombs, especially, that hit residential areas and claimed seven lives over a recent two-week period. Earlier in July, President Volodymyr Zelenskyy said Russia was launching 3,500 such glide bombs each month.

“We can see that people are actually dying, so [people] decided to leave,” says Mr. Tretiak. “We hope more weapons [for Ukrainian forces] will come soon, and the front-line situation will be better.”

He steps into an abandoned Soviet-era theater, where the engine of one Russian rocket still hangs from the ceiling where it fell, two weeks earlier. Ironically, on a wall nearby remains a tile mosaic that commemorates Moscow’s former friendship with the Ukrainian Soviet Socialist Republic.

“Of course, weapons can help stabilize the front. But we really hope they can fly 30 kilometers [behind Russian lines]. If used with sophistication, then this category of glide bomb won’t exist,” he says.

In late April, the United States approved a long-delayed $60.84 billion military and economic aid package, and European nations have also funneled billions of euros into weapons and ammunition for Ukraine.

But so far that has not stopped Russian forces from moving forward, if slowly. One recent 24-hour period reportedly saw 172 front-line clashes along this sector of the front alone.

More at the link.

Donetsk Oblast:

/2. Air defence activity and black smoke raising somewhere from the ground filmed by residents of Donetsk at the time when loss of Russian Mi-8 was reported pic.twitter.com/AWTz9XbLqb

— Special Kherson Cat 🐈🇺🇦 (@bayraktar_1love) July 31, 2024

/4. Debris of the Russian Mi-8 near Donetsk https://t.co/vGokPM7hIc pic.twitter.com/UgICmMheNb

— Special Kherson Cat 🐈🇺🇦 (@bayraktar_1love) July 31, 2024

Khrustalnyi, Russian occupied Luhansk Oblast:

/2. Khrustalnyi, Luhansk region, where ATACMS missile engine was found. pic.twitter.com/ChkPkpavvt

— Special Kherson Cat 🐈🇺🇦 (@bayraktar_1love) July 31, 2024

Kuweires airbase, outside Aleppo Syria:

Exclusive footage from @KyivPost sources shows special forces carrying out a complex strike on a Russian airbase in Syria

“The target of the attack was Russian military equipment at the Kuweires airbase, which is located east of Aleppo and occupied by Russian forces.

The… pic.twitter.com/Du8FmnukbT

— Special Kherson Cat 🐈🇺🇦 (@bayraktar_1love) July 31, 2024

Exclusive footage from @KyivPost sources shows special forces carrying out a complex strike on a Russian airbase in Syria

“The target of the attack was Russian military equipment at the Kuweires airbase, which is located east of Aleppo and occupied by Russian forces.

The released videos purports to show key moments of the attack: first, a Russian mobile EW complex is destroyed, followed by drones attacking Russian military objects at the airbase itself.

Ukrainian intelligence tells Kyiv Post that the base was also used for training and transporting foreign mercenaries to the war in Ukraine.”

Full article: https://kyivpost.com/post/36646

From The Kyiv Post:

The Kyiv Post has obtained several exclusive videos and photos showing the continuation of a special operation by the Main Intelligence Directorate (HUR) units to degrade Russian military assets in Syria.

According to Kyiv Post sources within the intelligence agency, the Khimik group carried out another complex strike against the positions of the Russian forces in Syria at the end of July 2024.

The target of the attack was Russian military equipment at the Kuweires airbase, which is located east of Aleppo and occupied by Russian forces.

The released videos purports to show key moments of the attack: first, a Russian mobile EW complex is destroyed, followed by drones attacking Russian military objects at the airbase itself. The strike was reportedly carried out the day after a meeting in the Kremlin between Russian President Vladimir Putin and Syrian President Bashar al-Assad on Wednesday, July 24.

The Kuweires airbase has been controlled and used by the Russians for military purposes since 2015.

Ukrainian intelligence tells Kyiv Post that the base was also used for training and transporting foreign mercenaries to the war in Ukraine.

In early June, Kyiv Post also published exclusive footage of Ukrainian special forces attacking enemy checkpoints, strongholds, foot patrols, and columns of military equipment in the Golan Heights in Syria.

According to Kyiv Post’s HUR source, since the beginning of the year, insurgents with the support of Ukrainian fighters have delivered numerous strikes against Russian military facilities under the control of the so-called Russian Armed Forces Group in the Syrian Arab Republic.

More at the link.

Khalino airfield, Kursk, Russia:

Judging by the official statement of the General Staff of the Ukrainian Armed Forces the strike on Russian aviation ammunition storages was carried out by Navy, which means Neptune missiles were likely used.

“Tonight, an attack was made on a warehouse for storing weapons and… https://t.co/0OFipW5RXr

— Special Kherson Cat 🐈🇺🇦 (@bayraktar_1love) July 31, 2024

Judging by the official statement of the General Staff of the Ukrainian Armed Forces the strike on Russian aviation ammunition storages was carried out by Navy, which means Neptune missiles were likely used.

“Tonight, an attack was made on a warehouse for storing weapons and military equipment near the settlement of Kursk (Russian Federation).

The work of enemy air defense and explosions at aiming points were observed. Combat work was carried out by designated units from the forces and means of the Navy of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, in cooperation with other components of the Defense forces.

Detailed information about the result of the damage is being clarified.”
https://t.me/GeneralStaffZSU/16436

That’s enough for tonight.

Your daily Patron!

First, some adjacent material from the Ukrainian Ministry of Defense:

Meet “Buddy”, a Belgian shepherd who serves in the Luhansk Border Guard Detachment. pic.twitter.com/AmIlDlnN0N

— Defense of Ukraine (@DefenceU) July 31, 2024

And a new video from Patron’s official TikTok!

@patron__dsns

Найкраще відчуття ⛰️✨🥹🍃 #карпати #песпатрон

♬ оригінальний звук – Patron_official

Here’s the machine translation of the caption:

The best feeling ⛰️✨🥹🍃 #карпати#песпатрон

Open thread!

War for Ukraine Day 889: Tallyho!Post + Comments (18)

Wednesday Evening Open Thread: Positive News

by Anne Laurie|  July 31, 20247:35 pm| 180 Comments

This post is in: Elections 2024, Kamala Harris for President, Open Threads, Proud to Be A Democrat, Trumpery

UAW endorses Harris, says rally planned with the VP in Detroit next week https://t.co/0DptjRyOUt via @michiganadvance

— Michigan Advance (@MichiganAdvance) July 31, 2024

Vice President Kamala Harris reeled in a major endorsement Wednesday as the UAW International Executive Board voted to endorse her presidential bid.

“Our job in this election is to defeat Donald Trump and elect Kamala Harris to build on her proven track record of delivering for the working class,” stated UAW President Shawn Fain. “We stand at a crossroads in this country. We can put a billionaire back in office who stands against everything our union stands for, or we can elect Kamala Harris who will stand shoulder to shoulder with us in our war on corporate greed.”

The UAW had previously given a strong endorsement to President Joe Biden, but until Wednesday had not said whether that endorsement would extend to Harris, who has already secured the pledge of enough delegates to next month’s Democratic National Convention to become the official nominee…

The union also announced that on Wednesday, Aug. 7, the day after Michigan’s primary election, Harris will campaign in Detroit to “rally with UAW members, Michigan voters, and thousands of working class people who are fighting for a better future.”…

In its release, the UAW noted Harris’ long record of supporting the labor movement including voting “against unfair trade deals that hurt the American worker like NAFTA and NAFTA 2.0, the USMCA.”

Harris had already lined up several key union endorsements prior to Wednesday’s UAW announcement, including the Service Employees International Union (SEIU), the American Federation of Teachers (AFT) and the United Farm Workers (UFW).

Megan Thee Stallion knows what time it is!

We got Women for Harris
White Dudes for Harris
Hotties for Harris
Republicans for Harris
The Villages for Harris

Kamala Harris will be the next President of these United States. ???? pic.twitter.com/KxZCULW2aO

— Ryan Shead (@RyanShead) July 31, 2024

Leaning into the shared bee symbolism is very cute https://t.co/lYJn4vtQYn

— Peter Wolf (@peterawolf) July 31, 2024

Big uptick for Harris today on quite a bit of new polling.https://t.co/vsGVG189Sa pic.twitter.com/8GhbRR4559

— Nate Silver (@NateSilver538) July 31, 2024


 
Elsewhere… this is positively a(n unintentional) contribution to the Harris campaign…

Trump: I have never been asked a question in such a horrible manner, first question. You don't even say "Hello, how are you." Are you with ABC? Because I think they are a fake news network, a terrible network pic.twitter.com/K8qnUnYKUf

— Acyn (@Acyn) July 31, 2024

Wednesday Evening Open Thread: Positive NewsPost + Comments (180)

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