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Balloon Juice

Come for the politics, stay for the snark.

The unpunished coup was a training exercise.

When someone says they “love freedom”, rest assured they don’t mean yours.

If rights aren’t universal, they are privilege, not rights.

Let me file that under fuck it.

The lights are all blinking red.

Take hopelessness and turn it into resilience.

I desperately hope that, yet again, i am wrong.

We’re watching the self-immolation of the leading world power on a level unprecedented in human history.

They are lying in pursuit of an agenda.

So it was an October Surprise A Day, like an Advent calendar but for crime.

I really should read my own blog.

Republicans: slavery is when you own me. freedom is when I own you.

Not rolling over. fuck you, make me.

Books are my comfort food!

It’s all just conspiracy shit beamed down from the mothership.

Motto for the House: Flip 5 and lose none.

Not so fun when the rabbit gets the gun, is it?

A snarling mass of vitriolic jackals

Republicans are the party of chaos and catastrophe.

Oppose, oppose, oppose. do not congratulate. this is not business as usual.

Do not shrug your shoulders and accept the normalization of untruths.

Make the republican party small enough to drown in a bathtub.

Republicans are radicals, not conservatives.

Relentless negativity is not a sign that you are more realistic.

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Open Thread:  Hey Lurkers!  (Holiday Post)

Open Threads

You are here: Home / Archives for Open Threads

Open Thread

by @heymistermix.com|  July 11, 20244:04 pm| 336 Comments

This post is in: Open Threads

Sorry, busy today, but here’s a thread.

Open ThreadPost + Comments (336)

Open Thread: Lawrence Is Worth A Listen

by TaMara|  July 11, 202410:28 am| 426 Comments

This post is in: Open Threads, Politics

This is worth a watch:

There is absolutely no evidence that will convince those “Biden must step down” folks and I just don’t see any point in trying. But there is plenty of evidence that this MSM nonsense is not having the impact they thought it would have – polls remain mostly unaffected, but that could change if we don’t shift the messaging ASAP.  And it’s July people…if inflation continues to dip and the predicted reduction in interest happens in Sept…those polls could change dramatically.

This interview with Ron Klain is pretty straightforward and doesn’t sugarcoat things:

Greg Sargent: So in the current FiveThirtyEight polling averages, Trump leads Biden by 2.2 points nationally, 3.4 points in Pennsylvania, 1.6 points in Wisconsin, and 0.7 points in Michigan. To win, Biden has to take those three Rust Belt states plus Nebraska’s second district at a minimum. And in those averages, Biden trails by a lot more in Arizona, Nevada, and Georgia, up to five points in them. I just want to know, Ron, do you contest that general depiction of the current state of the race? Do you think those numbers are in the ballpark of where things actually stand right now, or not?

Ron Klain: I think they’re in the ballpark, Greg. I think actually the president’s doing a little better than that. I’ve seen other polls that have him leading in some of those battleground states or tied in some of those battleground states. It depends if you do the two-way or the three-way and what your likely voter screen looks like. But look, I’ve said all along, it’s a very close race. And I’m not saying Joe Biden has it in the bag, but I do believe firmly that he is the best Democratic candidate and is the person most likely to beat Trump, having beaten Trump previously.

I think, if we are serious here, we need to stop trying to pushback on the “Biden has to go” bullshit (not happening, and here’s Klain’s take on that):

Ron Klain: Greg, I think that he has to continue to do what he’s doing and do more of it. I think people need to hear his vision for a second term. They need to see that he’s still fighting for them. I think he needs to kind of move forward on some key issues like bringing down costs and continuing to fight kind of the—as he mentioned in the debate—the question of the lingering impacts of the pandemic and corporate greed, continuing to fight those issues and continuing to have a strong progressive economic message, which I think is one thing that unites a lot of those groups you’ve been talking about. Maybe not so much the Trump-disaffected Lincoln Project type people, but for a lot of the other voters in Pennsylvania and Michigan, that economic populism that was successful in the 2020 campaign, I think needs to be brought back with more vigor.

I’ve been talking about that all year long. And look, I think that he is uniquely positioned to do that. And when I hear people talk about him getting out, I mean, the only precedent for that is 1968. And I’ll remind people how 1968 ended. It did not end with the Democrats’ substitute candidate holding on to the White House. It ended with Richard Nixon being our president. So I don’t see why 1968 is anyone’s role model for how the presidential campaign should go.

And instead, pivot all discussions to how unfit Trump is and how dangerous his Project 2025 cabinet would be. Anything else feels like political misconduct.

Looks like the NYT, which may or may not be bleeding subscribers, are trying to pivot.

 

LOL. Read: “We are bleeding subscribers for asking Biden to drop out so let’s ask Trump to drop out and see if we can get them back.”

Nope @nytimes. WAY too late. You’ll never get a dime from me for news ever again. https://t.co/CpmDCsKulQ

— Mueller, She Wrote (@MuellerSheWrote) July 11, 2024

“HE IS DANGEROUS,” the Times declares in all caps. “IN WORD, DEED AND ACTION.”

Whatever you traitorous rag.

I wrote a bit about my experience this week in deep red land if you’re interested.

We have work to do.

Open thread, try to play nice (I know, I know, but I had to try)

Open Thread: Lawrence Is Worth A ListenPost + Comments (426)

Thursday Morning Open Thread: #RidingWithBiden

by Anne Laurie|  July 11, 20248:44 am| 291 Comments

This post is in: Elections 2024, Open Threads, President Biden, Proud to Be A Democrat

Here's how to watch Biden's news conference Thursday as he tries to quiet doubts after the debate https://t.co/TLMf4JVR0B

— The Associated Press (@AP) July 11, 2024

… When is the news conference?
Biden is scheduled to take questions from the White House press corps at 5:30 p.m. Thursday.

Where is Biden speaking?
Biden will be speaking from the Walter E. Washington Convention Center, a short distance from the White House, where many events of the ongoing NATO summit are being held.

What channel is carrying it?
The White House streams much of its live content. Given the attention on this event, television networks could also break away from programming to carry Biden’s remarks live once he starts speaking.

The Associated Press will offer a livestream at apnews.com.

Who will be watching?
Probably a lot of people.

CNN reported that 51 million people watched the Atlanta debate, which was in primetime, while more than 8 million people tuned in to watch Biden’s ABC interview live. If networks break into their daily coverage or cable channels carry it live, that will guarantee a significant number of eyes on Biden…

Biden returns to the campaign trail with a trip to Michigan Friday. He will also do an interview with NBC on Monday.

Michigan:

Whitmer: We have a choice between Donald Trump for four years, which would be destruction of our economy, of our individual rights of our ability to grow manufacturing, which is all happened under Joe Biden. And Joe Biden. Until Joe Biden says otherwise he is our candidate pic.twitter.com/IVHxBhUcgi

— Acyn (@Acyn) July 11, 2024

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MONDAY: President Joe Biden to sit down with @LesterHoltNBC in an exclusive one-on-one interview.

Watch the interview in its entirety on NBC and NBC News NOW on Monday, July 15 at 9 p.m. ET. pic.twitter.com/T0HIi7RDxS

— NBC Nightly News with Lester Holt (@NBCNightlyNews) July 10, 2024


 

What an amazing moment. The President of the AFL-CIO union gave President Biden a STRONG endorsement yesterday “You support working families, you've always had our back. We have your back.” Love this. Biden stands with hard working Americans! pic.twitter.com/NfjrW3dolv

— Harry Sisson (@harryjsisson) July 11, 2024

With all the fabricated stories coming out of CNN, MSNBC and The New York Times today, how many people know the AFL-CIO just reaffirmed their endorsement of Biden for president? https://t.co/t3yPL7abwy

— Ragnarok Lobster ?? (@eclecticbrotha) July 11, 2024


 
I think I owe Rikyrah a hat tip for this one…

So you’re just gonna steal democracy from us? We voted and we chose President Biden as our nominee. pic.twitter.com/GmQqpBVzip

— 2RawTooReal (@2RawTooReal) July 11, 2024

Thursday Morning Open Thread: #RidingWithBidenPost + Comments (291)

Dank Grey Dawn Open Thread: No Pitch Hot and the Devil to Pay

by Anne Laurie|  July 11, 20245:14 am| 206 Comments

This post is in: Elections 2024, Open Threads, Republicans in Disarray!, Trump Crime Cartel

I’m still looking for any enterprising hard hitting journalist to ask Trump and his minions why the hell is he randomly holding a rally on his golf course in the very not battleground state of Florida during a high heat alert at all? Why isn’t he traveling? Why has Mr. Vigorous… https://t.co/U9cIll8zDp

— Fred Wellman (@FPWellman) July 9, 2024

When my Irish granny used the title phrase, she referred to a much older meaning than the nautical one; there’s a quasi-medieval story that one who makes a deal with the devil will be called down to hell at the worst possible time to heat the tar they don’t have ready to hand in their days of earthly success.

Given the general understanding that every Republican accusation is a projection, perhaps it is worth paying attention to TFG’s actions over the last ten days or so?…

WOW!!! MSNBC just played a side-by-side of President Biden’s NATO speech and Donald Trump’s unhinged speech in Florida yesterday and the difference is remarkable. Biden sounds like a president, Trump sounds like a clown. pic.twitter.com/3Xzpxwa0Q2

— Harry Sisson (@harryjsisson) July 10, 2024

His handlers got him stuffed into a suit — took an hour longer than they planned — gave him a free hand with the bronzer, and guided him up on the stage to perform the greatest hits for his willing-to-be-pleased groupies…

Not sure what happened here pic.twitter.com/N03CeFwHkA

— Acyn (@Acyn) July 10, 2024

show full post on front page

"Mothers will never again be forced to watch their children overdosing and hosp–lee. And we will never allow mothers to watch their child hopelessly dying in their arms, screaming, 'What can I do? What can I do?"
— Yo. TV folk. Guy's still a maniac.

— Charles P. Pierce (@CharlesPPierce) July 10, 2024

Didn’t Trump leak our nuclear sub detection capabilities to a foreign national?

(Yes. He did.) https://t.co/HRlKl6iZnT

— Mueller, She Wrote (@MuellerSheWrote) July 10, 2024

Trump: "But when people who love our country protest on January 6 in Washington, they become hostages unfairly imprisoned for long periods of time. But fortunately, the Supreme Court has just ruled and they should be out soon." pic.twitter.com/vaYhvvvkC4

— Aaron Rupar (@atrupar) July 10, 2024

He is not rambling. He is telling his devoted followers that he will destroy them, telling them over and over that he sees them as "food" for his bank account & ego. https://t.co/IEq29ZsxAR

— Ruth Ben-Ghiat (@ruthbenghiat) July 11, 2024


 
Memories…

Trump’s Former Department of Homeland Security Chief of Staff, Miles Taylor: “He is a f*cking idiot!” pic.twitter.com/d6AFgJMeDp

— Reg Saddler (@zaibatsu) July 10, 2024

Again with the classic arc: Aging warlord calls up his youngest son, publicly pits him against the older ‘boys’ who’ve been working for the old man since forever. Because that’s never caused trouble in the company biz before…

The last Trump spawn joins the family grift empire.

Something is very creepy about this kid.
pic.twitter.com/9saGmTj0Tn

— Marlene Robertson (@marlene4719) July 10, 2024


 
But what of his last current wife?

President of Log Cabin Republicans on why Melania will help Trump win the LBGT vote: “Mrs. Trump has a long history of supporting efforts around unity & inclusion. She is a self-made woman, having a very successful career before she met Donald Trump.” pic.twitter.com/B7PQdgvlOo

— Ron Filipkowski (@RonFilipkowski) July 9, 2024

Rich men in suits, looking to share their money? Melania’s there.

Yawping human trash, spending their government disability payments on trinkets enshrining their godling? That’s what Melania fought her way out of Slovenia to get away from!

Melania on Monday with her “personal stylist” Herve Pierre Braillard, who is paid $18,000 a month from Trump’s Save America PAC despite the fact that Melania hasn’t attended a single campaign event and won’t be seen in public with her husband. pic.twitter.com/6sxe5DuYNB

— Ron Filipkowski (@RonFilipkowski) July 10, 2024

When the end is in plain sight, the dictator’s kinfolk grab everything they can lift and (try to) slip out the back gate before the mob breaks in.

Next week’s RNC convention — ‘headed’ by Lara Trump — should be lit.

Dank Grey Dawn Open Thread: No Pitch Hot and the Devil to PayPost + Comments (206)

Wednesday Night Open Thread: James Comer Is Back on His Bullsh*t

by Anne Laurie|  July 10, 202410:20 pm| 189 Comments

This post is in: Elections 2024, Open Threads, Republican Venality, Our Failed Media Experiment

Scoop: GOP-led House Oversight subpoenas top White House aides Anthony Bernal, Annie Tomasini, and Ashley Williams for closed door depositions later this month about the president's health.
All 3 are low-profile but very influential inside the WHhttps://t.co/in165uYCwS

— Alex Thompson (@AlexThomp) July 10, 2024


We regret to inform you…

The GOP-led House Oversight Committee subpoenaed three senior White House aides Wednesday, demanding they sit for depositions regarding President Biden’s health, according to letters obtained by Axios.

Why it matters: The subpoenas signal Republicans’ desire to investigate whether some of Biden’s closest aides essentially have hidden the 81-year-old president’s true condition, in a probe that could drag through the Nov. 5 election…

Driving the news: Oversight chair James Comer (R-Ky.) subpoenaed First Lady Jill Biden’s top aide Anthony Bernal, deputy chief of staff Annie Tomasini, and senior adviser Ashley Williams, according to the letters.

= All three are low-profile but very influential inside the White House, Biden officials have told Axios.

= Comer asked for the aides to respond by July 17 and requested they sit for closed-door interviews later this month.

= He also cited a recent Axios report about Bernal and Tomasini having access to the first family’s residence — a situation that White House residence staff found unusual since political staffers often don’t have such access.

What they’re saying: In each letter, Comer writes that the committee is “concerned” that each official is “one of several White House staffers who have taken it upon themselves to run the country while the President cannot.”…

White House spokesperson Ian Sams said in a statement: “Like everything Congressman Comer has done over the past year, these subpoenas are a baseless political stunt intended for him to get media attention instead of engage in legitimate oversight.”

“His partisan attacks on the president have been discredited, and now he continues to debase the House by weaponizing subpoenas to get headlines instead of seeking information through the proper constitutional process.”

Zoom out: Comer recently helped lead an impeachment inquiry into Biden that included interviewing several members of the president’s family.

The inquiry ultimately fizzled out, however, and Biden wasn’t impeached.

No doubt Comer’s latest attention grab will be the subject of many TFG donation-demanding emails, and probably garner the man some applause at next week’s Milwaukee convention. And that’s the last we’ll hear of it, assuming virtue triumphs come November.

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If one should happen to be keeping a list of Very Serious Media people not to trust, here’s an earlier discussion of Comer’s scribe Axios reporter Alex Thompson:

His Biden book deal went south and this angle has been a golden opportunity for him to revive it. pic.twitter.com/HaCaSihVRU

— A.J. Carrillo (@ajcarrillo) July 9, 2024

Axios has chosen its side…

No, Axios. Chuck Schumer is not "open" to dumping Biden, nor did Schumer ever say he was "open" to dumping Biden anywhere in the article you just posted. Also, the source who said Schumer was "open to dumping Biden" is, of course, anonymous. Pure & utter disinformation from Axios

— Dash Dobrofsky (@DashDobrofsky) July 10, 2024

????Scoop: Chuck Schumer is open to dumping Biden at the top of the ticket, three sources tell us.

Schumer is hearing from donors and assessing to path forward. A Schumer spox declined to comment.

W/ @HansNichols https://t.co/tktGYixnpn

— Stephen Neukam (@stephen_neukam) July 10, 2024

…Over the last 12 days, Schumer has been listening to donors’ ideas and suggestions about the best way forward for the party, according to three people familiar with the matter.

The majority leader is one of several Democrats, including former President Obama and former House Speaker Nancy Pelosi, who has the political and personal standing to convince Biden to step aside. Even so, Biden can still dig in and the delegates are pledged to him.

“As I have made clear repeatedly publicly and privately, I support President Biden and remain committed to ensuring Donald Trump is defeated in November,” Schumer said in a statement after this story was published…

I’m really looking forward to the RNC convention, and not just for my own lulz.

Wednesday Night Open Thread: James Comer Is Back on His Bullsh*tPost + Comments (189)

War for Ukraine Day 868: What Does Underway Actually Mean?

by Adam L Silverman|  July 10, 20249:04 pm| 14 Comments

This post is in: Foreign Affairs, Foreign Policy, Military, Open Threads, Russia, Silverman on Security, War, War in Ukraine

Painting by NEIVANMADE. The background is black. There is a white cross in a broken window frame. In front of it is a hispital bed with an IV stand falling across it. Wires from a broken monitor on the right are strewn on the floor with a yellow basketball on the right and teddy bear on the left. In the foreground are fragments of a Russian cruise missile, which are red, and have the "Z" war symbol. In the top of the painting in grey is written "Children's Hospital." Below that in red "Is Just Another Target for Russia" is written.

(Image by NEIVANMADE)

A couple of quick housekeeping notes. First, Rosie is still doing very well after her first chemo treatment of round three on Monday. Thank you all for the good thoughts, well wishes, prayers, and donations.

Second, the new router arrived this afternoon. It actually set up without any problems. And I’m back up and running. Despite the old one only being a couple of years old, it is amazingly fast, even with the VPN.

“Military target ”
2024#Ukraine #Ukrart #borisgroh pic.twitter.com/GV1cHa3fcQ

— borisgroh.bsky.social 🇺🇦 (@BorisGrohArt) July 10, 2024

More on the butcher’s bill from the attack on Kyiv on Monday.

A boy who was in critical condition in the intensive care unit at the time of the Russian missile attack on the Okhmatdyt children’s hospital has died in one of Kyiv’s hospitals – Ukrainian Health Minister.

Deepest condolences to his family. Russia continues killing our kids. https://t.co/7a1lQHUCxY

— Anton Gerashchenko (@Gerashchenko_en) July 10, 2024

“I did not feel [the glass] in my back. But a lot of it was taken out.”

Oleh Holubchenko, a doctor in a blood-stained uniform, whose photo went viral, told about what he experienced during the Russian missile attack on Ohmatdyt children’s hospital.

At the time of the attack, he… https://t.co/YsoO13Xhvr pic.twitter.com/ACLtNIHBkI

— Anton Gerashchenko (@Gerashchenko_en) July 10, 2024

“I did not feel [the glass] in my back. But a lot of it was taken out.”

Oleh Holubchenko, a doctor in a blood-stained uniform, whose photo went viral, told about what he experienced during the Russian missile attack on Ohmatdyt children’s hospital.

At the time of the attack, he was performing surgery on the child’s face. He says he heard the explosions and thought the missiles were not flying at the children’s hospital. The device broke down after the hit, and the child was left without ventilation, but the doctors used their wits and saved the little patient.

The child was carried to the shelter right from the operating table. After that, Oleh Holubchenko called his pregnant wife, told her that he was fine, and ran to the shattered toxicology building to clear the rubble with the glass fragments in his back.

He is back at work, saving lives. What an incredible person Oleh is.

📹: TSN

On July 8, five people were killed in the ADONIS clinic as a result of a Russian missile attack on Kyiv.

◾️Svitlana Poplavska was an obstetrician-gynecologist and mother of three children.

◾️Tetiana Sharova was a senior nurse and mother. In 2014, at the beginning of the war,… https://t.co/afBngqIH7u pic.twitter.com/nzJC1NaYPh

— Anton Gerashchenko (@Gerashchenko_en) July 10, 2024

On July 8, five people were killed in the ADONIS clinic as a result of a Russian missile attack on Kyiv.

◾️Svitlana Poplavska was an obstetrician-gynecologist and mother of three children.

◾️Tetiana Sharova was a senior nurse and mother. In 2014, at the beginning of the war, she and her family fled from Donetsk. Her son was in Russian captivity.

◾️Viktor Brahutsa was an ultrasound diagnostics doctor, father of two daughters.

◾️Oksana Korzh was a nurse and mother of two children. Her younger son graduated from school this year, and her older daughter recently gave birth to twins.

◾️Viktoriia Bondarenko was a senior cashier and mother of two children.

Eternal memory. Deepest condolences to the families.

Here is President Zelenskyy’s address from earlier today. Video below, English transcript after the jump.

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We Continue Our Work in Washington, and There Will Be a Decision Regarding the F-16s Very Soon – Address by the President

10 July 2024 – 16:12

I wish you health, fellow Ukrainians!

Today, we continue our work in Washington. Very soon, there will be a decision regarding the F-16s. We are increasing the number of aircraft available to Ukraine. Yesterday, we secured a decision on 5 more Patriots and dozens of other air defense systems for Ukraine, and today – a decision on aircraft. There will also be two new security agreements. These agreements include support for sanctions against Russia, support for our accession to the EU and NATO, support for our defense – our soldiers, all our people, and reconstruction – all of this is taken into account in the security agreements exactly as needed.

And our meetings. There will be at least ten negotiations with state leaders. I am grateful to our entire team for their activity. Today, there will also be meetings in the U.S. Congress – both parties, both chambers. We appreciate the American support and will discuss how to add even more good results to our cooperation with America – preferably, long-range and far-reaching. Thank you to everyone who helps! Every day we are becoming stronger and getting closer to a just peace.

Glory to Ukraine!

Denmark and Holland:

🇺🇦 🇩🇰 🇳🇱 An important and productive meeting with the Minister of Defence of Denmark, @troelslundp and the Minister of Defence of the Netherlands @DefensieMin, Ruben Brekelmans.

The key issue of the meeting was the transfer of F-16 fighters to Ukraine. We are preparing to meet… pic.twitter.com/JZVRa3f4R4

— Rustem Umerov (@rustem_umerov) July 10, 2024

🇺🇦 🇩🇰 🇳🇱 An important and productive meeting with the Minister of Defence of Denmark,
@troelslundp and the Minister of Defence of the Netherlands @DefensieMin, Ruben Brekelmans.

The key issue of the meeting was the transfer of F-16 fighters to Ukraine. We are preparing to meet modern fighter jets in the Ukrainian skies.

We also discussed investments in our defence industry.
Denmark is the first NATO country to directly finance Ukrainian production of arms and ammunition. Thank you, Denmark, for your leadership! The first contract is to be signed soon.

Another priority is the establishment of joint ventures. We discussed a model of joint investment in the production of weapons.
Ministry of Defense is creating the “Defense Fund” to be the main partner for our foreign allies in creating joint ventures.

I sincerely thank Denmark and the Netherlands for their support. Together we are stronger.

🇺🇦🤝🇩🇰🤝🇳🇱

Norway:

+6 F-16s from Norway 🔥

Norway will donate six F-16 fighters to Ukraine. 🇳🇴 Prime Minister @jonasgahrstore announced that the donations will start in 2024.

We are grateful for this important decision by our Norwegian friends. Ukraine is waiting for F-16s in our sky!… pic.twitter.com/7rS64qNQhg

— Defense of Ukraine (@DefenceU) July 10, 2024

+6 F-16s from Norway 🔥

Norway will donate six F-16 fighters to Ukraine. 🇳🇴 Prime Minister
@jonasgahrstore announced that the donations will start in 2024.

We are grateful for this important decision by our Norwegian friends. Ukraine is waiting for F-16s in our sky!

@Forsvarsdep @Bjornarildgram

New Zealand:

New Zealand announced a new military aid package for Ukraine valued at NZD 6 million ($3,68 million).
The package includes allocation of $2.45 million for the Drone Coalition within the #UDCG and $1,23 million for the military medical needs.

Despite the significant distance… pic.twitter.com/fWu03TP3NM

— Defense of Ukraine (@DefenceU) July 10, 2024

New Zealand announced a new military aid package for Ukraine valued at NZD 6 million ($3,68 million).
The package includes allocation of $2.45 million for the Drone Coalition within the #UDCG and $1,23 million for the military medical needs.

Despite the significant distance between our countries, we are united by common values. We continue our fight for freedom! Thank you, New Zealand!
🇺🇦🤝🇳🇿
@chrisluxonmp

NATO:

NATO countries (🇺🇸 🇳🇱 🇩🇪 🇮🇹 🇷🇴) have announced the donation of 5 more air defense systems to Ukraine.

The package includes additional #Patriot and #SAMP-T systems, and components for their operation. We are grateful to our allies from the USA, Germany, Romania, the Netherlands,… pic.twitter.com/riu8KbVhNx

— Defense of Ukraine (@DefenceU) July 10, 2024

NATO countries (🇺🇸 🇳🇱 🇩🇪 🇮🇹 🇷🇴) have announced the donation of 5 more air defense systems to Ukraine.

The package includes additional #Patriot and #SAMP-T systems, and components for their operation. We are grateful to our allies from the USA, Germany, Romania, the Netherlands, and Italy.

Also, in the coming months, the US and its allies will provide dozens of tactical air defense systems: NASAMS, HAWK, IRIS T-SLM, IRIS T-SLS, and Gepard.
Special thanks to Canada, Norway, Spain, the United Kingdom, and other countries for providing these systems and interceptors.

Lithuania:

Leaving Ukraine outside of any security arrangement in Europe means that you are inviting attack.@AtlanticCouncil pic.twitter.com/tQM1vIOmE9

— Gabrielius Landsbergis🇱🇹 (@GLandsbergis) July 10, 2024

🇱🇹 Government just allocated 1 mln EUR to support recovery of Okhmatdyt Children’s Hospital in Kyiv 🇺🇦 and other medical facilities brutally and intentionally shelled by russia.
The only way to stop the terrorist state is by scaling up support to Ukraine‘s victory. The only just…

— Ingrida Šimonytė (@IngridaSimonyte) July 10, 2024

The UK:

I held my first meeting with the new UK Prime Minister @Keir_Starmer.

I thanked Prime Minister Starmer for all the UK’s military and financial assistance provided to our country. This morning, I learned about the permission to use Storm Shadow missiles against military targets… pic.twitter.com/zEHHpLh105

— Volodymyr Zelenskyy / Володимир Зеленський (@ZelenskyyUa) July 10, 2024

I held my first meeting with the new UK Prime Minister @Keir_Starmer.

I thanked Prime Minister Starmer for all the UK’s military and financial assistance provided to our country. This morning, I learned about the permission to use Storm Shadow missiles against military targets in Russian territory. Today, we had the opportunity to discuss the practical implementation of this decision.

I’m grateful to the UK for its unwavering support for Ukraine and our people.

🇺🇦🇬🇧

Today, Secretary Blinken said this:

❗️”As we speak, the transfer of F-16 jets is underway, coming from Denmark and the Netherlands. Those jets will be flying in the skies of Ukraine this summer, to make sure that Ukraine can continue to effectively defend itself against the Russian aggression.” – US Secretary of… pic.twitter.com/qCn7dS4FcD

— Anton Gerashchenko (@Gerashchenko_en) July 10, 2024

❗️”As we speak, the transfer of F-16 jets is underway, coming from Denmark and the Netherlands. Those jets will be flying in the skies of Ukraine this summer, to make sure that Ukraine can continue to effectively defend itself against the Russian aggression.” – US Secretary of State Antony Blinken.

While this is good news, what does underway actually mean here? We know from other reporting that the first twelve or so planes, as well as the pilots and maintenance crews, won’t be ready for several more months. So what does the transfer is underway mean? Are we talking the paperwork? There’s also only about ten weeks left in summer 2024. Are these things going to actually get to Ukraine and in the air by the 22 of September? All the previous statements from the Danish and Dutch governments, as well as the Biden administration, make that unlikely. At this point Blinken needs to either put up or shut up.

Because restrictions, negotiations with the beast, and other hypocritical games of pretending to be blind doves of peace only lead to another tragedy.#NEIVANMADE@JPLindsley @caukraine2022 pic.twitter.com/Q3YT5LrXRy

— #NEIVANMADE (@neivanmade) July 9, 2024

President Zelenskyy calls on the US to lift all restrictions on strikes on Russian territory: this will protect Ukrainian cities from shelling. pic.twitter.com/Z6mMfmEfPC

— Anton Gerashchenko (@Gerashchenko_en) July 10, 2024

Speaker Johnson then picked the low hanging fruit:

Speaker Mike Johnson was asked his opinion on lifting restrictions from the Ukrainian Army for long-range strikes to the Russian territory.

He said he was “a supporter” of the AFU deciding the best way to use the weapons received from the U.S.

📹: Voice of America https://t.co/ENrrvVDLXe pic.twitter.com/rikFndO8wm

— Anton Gerashchenko (@Gerashchenko_en) July 10, 2024

But but but Putin wants peace https://t.co/jY0XxyKkf3

— Illia Ponomarenko 🇺🇦 (@IAPonomarenko) July 10, 2024

Here’s the full text of Trofimov’s tweet:

Medvedev: Even if Ukraine surrenders the territories we claim and renounces NATO aspirations in exchange for a peace deal, sooner or later we would still have to put the nail into the coffin of Ukrainian statehood and return the rest of the country’s lands “into the bosom of Russia.”
Cc: Western governments hoping for a diplomatic solution.

https://t.me/medvedev_telegram/515

I’ve written an op-ed for @latimes on the make-Ukraine-surrender-for-peace delusion that is being so persistently propagated by Putin fans in the West.

Well, no surprises here – America and the entire West is not “prolonging the war” by helping Ukraine defend itself.

You…

— Illia Ponomarenko 🇺🇦 (@IAPonomarenko) July 10, 2024

From The LA Times:

Kyiv, Ukraine — 

We hear this refrain a lot these days: “America is only prolonging the war by helping Ukraine. We need diplomacy.”

To Ukrainian ears, however, “diplomacy” sounds like a euphemism for “Ukraine surrendering and ceasing to exist.”

Admittedly, an honest question underlies the refrain: Why can’t Ukraine seek peace with Russia?

But here’s how the question could be rephrased: Why not give away huge swaths of sovereign territory to a brutal and corrupt regime? Why not stay away from NATO, allow the Russian sanctions to be lifted, create a demilitarized zone (sacrificing more territory, of course) and aspire to mutual trust?

The answers are obvious, given the reality on the ground and in the fevered mind of Vladimir Putin, especially this week, after Russia bombed the children’s hospital in Kyiv in a massive daytime missile attack that killed at least 39 across Ukraine.

For a decade, Russia’s President Putin has played the West’s fear of a European war like a master. The West initially gave in to his threats and persistently kept Ukraine out of NATO (God forbid we trigger a war!) and thus made the invasion of 2014, and the ongoing full-scale war, starting in 2022, inevitable. Ukraine was barred from the world’s most successful defense alliance and was vulnerable to major aggression, which is exactly what the Kremlin wanted.

Since then, exercises in “escalation management” and major restrictions on defense aid to Ukraine have not brought Putin to reason as he carries out the largest European war of aggression since Adolf Hitler. Instead, those limits have cost Ukraine a chance to disable Russia, and instead enabled a long war of attrition.

In this photo taken from video released by Russian Defense Ministry Press Service on Wednesday, July 3, 2024, Russian soldiers fire from their 152-mm «Giatsint-B» howitzer from their position at Ukrainian troops at an undisclosed location in Ukraine. (Russian Defense Ministry Press Service via AP)

Half-measures of support have helped Putin to recover from his military’s early failure in northern Ukraine, as well as helping him to adapt to sanctions, to make the war profitable for his elites, to find allies and new markets, and to prepare Russia for perpetual war.

Until very recently, Ukraine was strictly banned from using the West’s weapons to attack military targets inside Russian territory, a red line that effectively tied Ukraine’s hands. Did the Kremlin appreciate the gesture? It did — the Russian military used its safe haven status to prepare new offensives and devastating bombing campaigns unchallenged.

Starting last fall, the chorus demanding a “diplomatic solution” grew louder on the know-nothing right in America, and defense aid foundered for six critical months in Congress, creating a gargantuan shortage of munitions in the Ukrainian military.

The lack of U.S. help did nothing to precipitate a halt in hostilities or bring about the “compromise” that Putin hypocritically chatters about in his periodic surrender ultimatums to Ukraine.

Instead, it expedited Ukraine’s tragic loss of the city of Avdiivka to the Russians in early 2024, as well as Moscow’s overconfident spring offensive in Kharkiv. Ukraine’s front line did not fall, as many predicted, thanks to the valor and inventiveness of the Ukrainian military.

Russia responded to the delay of aid from the U.S. by tripling its missile attacks on Ukraine’s electricity and heating infrastructure, exploiting Ukraine’s under-resourced air defense. Now the lion’s share of Ukraine’s energy production and distribution system is destroyed. Ukrainians go most of the day without electricity, and only heaven knows what nightmare awaits us in the winter to come.

Decision-makers in Washington keep following the same dangerous script over and over. Ukraine asks for weapons and the response comes back: providing X ammunition or Y missile system would cross a red line and cause an escalation. Months-long deliberations follow; the situation in Ukraine worsens. Belated permission is granted and the weapons — artillery, armored vehicles, rocket systems, missiles, air defense, fighter jets — arrive late. Then the whole scenario is repeated, as Ukraine plays catch-up and suffers.

When Ukrainian troops finally got HIMARS rocket launchers in the summer of 2022, they were able to stunningly derail Russia’s logistics, undermine Russia’s immense artillery power, halt a Russian offensive and help precipitate the liberation of Kherson later that year.

The U.S.-made PATRIOT air defense system was an absolute no-go until late 2022, when it could finally be used against Russia’s air force. The long-belated arrival of ATACMS missiles, declared off limits for more than two years, eventually did devastating damage to Russia’s airfields and air defense systems in occupied Crimea. All without “escalating” blowback.

After tallying up the red lines crossed and the consequences, the Kremlin’s nuclear saber-rattling begins to sound a bit tinny, doesn’t it? As Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky has noted, Putin may be crazy, but his instinct for self-preservation is alive and well. We need to be brave enough to call his bluff.

Placating Putin is not the way to peace; it’s an open invitation to eliminate Ukraine as a nation, absorb its territory and its resources, and install Russian aggressors directly on Europe’s borders.

Putin will stop only when he is made to, with a proper and powerful response that defeats his ability to fight on. Ukrainians held off Russia’s attempted decapitating blitz on Kyiv in February and March 2022 with just that kind of all-out effort.

More at the link.

Kyiv:

They shelled the children’s hospital “Okhmatdyt” and Ukrainian cities on July 8, 2024.@molfar_agency found 95 MiG pilots, military personnel from military unit 06987 at the Engels airbase, and military unit 33310 from Shaikovka: https://t.co/9wsFSVcM5G#RussianWarCrimes pic.twitter.com/Dnrl6xGWza

— Molfar (@molfar_agency) July 9, 2024

SBU has found new evidence that Russia hit the Okhmatdyt children’s hospital with a Kh-101 cruise missile. A fragment of the missile engine was found at the site. Plus:
▪ a fragment of the Kh-101 wing deployment mechanism
▪ a fragment of the Kh-101 jamming unit
▪ the middle… pic.twitter.com/2ibH7s6zk3

— Michael Weiss (@michaeldweiss) July 9, 2024

SBU has found new evidence that Russia hit the Okhmatdyt children’s hospital with a Kh-101 cruise missile. A fragment of the missile engine was found at the site. Plus:
▪ a fragment of the Kh-101 wing deployment mechanism
▪ a fragment of the Kh-101 jamming unit
▪ the middle part of the body of the Kh-101 cruise missile (pictured under the rubble);
▪ tail section fairing and a fragment of the Kh-101 cruise missile’s hydraulic unit;
▪ fragments of the Kh-101 cruise missile engine cowling with the inventory (inside) and serial numbers (outside). https://t.me/SBUkr/12348

Kharkiv:

A tank has always been and will be a formidable weapon on the battlefield.
🇺🇦 T-64BV tank in service with the Khartiia brigade is destroying enemy positions in the Kharkiv region. pic.twitter.com/EarWEBoKEe

— Defense of Ukraine (@DefenceU) July 9, 2024

The Zaporizhzhia front:

https://t.co/1WzHLN3zRI

— Special Kherson Cat 🐈🇺🇦 (@bayraktar_1love) July 9, 2024

Kasputin Yar, Russia:

/2. Kapustin Yar is actively used by Russians as a test range for: air defense missiles, ballistic missiles, ICBMs, etc. Footage from Kapustin Yar published by Russians in mid May. https://t.co/8BpkZLRRQchttps://t.co/2shFrsl7TP https://t.co/s5Lh1qDV0E pic.twitter.com/Ur6I5H35rT

— Special Kherson Cat 🐈🇺🇦 (@bayraktar_1love) July 9, 2024

Kalach-na-Don, Volgograd Oblast, Russia:

/2. The moment of the strike on Russian oil depot in Kalach-na-Donu pic.twitter.com/vtd5dAw8Ze

— Special Kherson Cat 🐈🇺🇦 (@bayraktar_1love) July 9, 2024

/2. The moment of the strike on Russian oil depot in Kalach-na-Donu pic.twitter.com/vtd5dAw8Ze

— Special Kherson Cat 🐈🇺🇦 (@bayraktar_1love) July 9, 2024

That’s enough for tonight.

Your daily Patron!

There are no new Patron tweets or videos today. Here is some adjacent material.

pic.twitter.com/KwamV3jDhz

— UkrARMY cats & dogs (@UAarmy_animals) July 5, 2024

The same 😂 pic.twitter.com/y4U4Jzq4X2

— UkrARMY cats & dogs (@UAarmy_animals) July 5, 2024

pic.twitter.com/ulC1Ew5GW8

— UkrARMY cats & dogs (@UAarmy_animals) July 5, 2024

Open thread!

War for Ukraine Day 868: What Does Underway Actually Mean?Post + Comments (14)

Wednesday Night Open Thread

by John Cole|  July 10, 20246:08 pm| 372 Comments

This post is in: John Cole Presents "This Fucking Old House", Open Threads

Apparently Dr. Ross has chimed in with an op-ed in the NYT, and I have officially given up. Go ahead and replace the incumbent three months before an election. Not like I am gonna vote for a Republican anyway, and my vote will not matter in WV to begin with- I am pretty confident that not ONE candidate I vote for in any other race here will win, so might as well make it a clean sweep.

In other news, we had high winds today, and part of one of my trees broke and is now resting on the power lines:

Wednesday Night Open Thread 7

Wednesday Night Open Thread 8

Because it is on a power line I can’t deal with it myself, so the power company has been notified and is en route with a tree trimming Apparently the universe is aware that I do not get paid in the summer so fuck it, why not make him pay for some tree removal with a credit card that he can then pay off over the fall. We’ll add it to the new roof, new water line, and generator that need to be dealt with in the future.

I wish the fucking thing had fallen on me.

Aside from being devastated about the damage to one of my favorite trees- this was a major shade producer for the front porch- I also now have to decide what to do with what is remaining and whether or not it is safe, so I may have to remove the entire damned thing. I’m sick to my stomach.

The ONLY good thing about it (besides it not taking out the power lines) is that it is late enough in the summer that the nesting birds do not have any babies in it right now. So for that I am thankful.

I am in a foul fucking mood. Think I am going to have an edible and go to bed.

Wednesday Night Open ThreadPost + Comments (372)

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