BREAKING: Iran's supreme leader presides over a funeral for the country's late President Ebrahim Raisi, foreign minister, and others killed in a helicopter crash https://t.co/6B0xGuzLSg
— The Associated Press (@AP) May 22, 2024
What killed President Ebrahim Raisi? Iranians have theories. https://t.co/gYH2z2SjQp
— Scott MacKay (@ScotMackRI) May 21, 2024
I particularly wanted to share this report from the Washington Post’s Jason Rezian, who knows Iran as do very few Western reporters — What killed President Ebrahim Raisi? Iranians have theories. [gift link]:
…Even though it appeared that the crash was a weather-related accident, few details were released to the public, naturally fueling wide speculation among observers. Iranian authorities’ track record of tampering with the crash sites of aviation disasters does little to instill confidence that they will be transparent in reporting their findings, which inevitably leads to more questions.
Let’s address the most basic one first: How can a vehicle transporting top officials of a large country — one credited with all manner of sinister powers — simply disappear within its borders and for so long? The likeliest answer is that Iranian authorities knew immediately what had happened but dragged their feet while they considered how to inform the nation and the world.
During those long hours when officials had little to say, conspiracy theories undermining the regime proliferated. All three point to weaknesses the regime would prefer to hide. In walking through them here, I’ll save the most probable explanation for last.
Inevitably, some pointed to Israel as a possible culprit. That country denied any involvement, but it has done that in previous instances when it killed key Iranian officials. Regardless of whether Israel played a role, ordinary Iranians will not dismiss the possibility that this was a message to Iran’s supreme leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei: that Israeli forces truly seem capable of doing whatever they like inside Iran. Even if this is not true, it does an authoritarian regime no good for its people to think it might be.
Another pesky theory that will be hard for the regime to shake was the notion that this was an inside job.
Foreign Affairs Open Thread: What Happens After Ebrahim Raisi?Post + Comments (44)





