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Jesus, Mary, & Joseph how is that election even close?

Never entrust democracy to any process that requires Republicans to act in good faith.

“A king is only a king if we bow down.” – Rev. William Barber

SCOTUS: It’s not “bribery” unless it comes from the Bribery region of France. Otherwise, it’s merely “sparkling malfeasance”.

Damn right I heard that as a threat.

One of our two political parties is a cult whose leader admires Vladimir Putin.

Every decision we make has lots of baggage with it, known or unknown.

Give the craziest people you know everything they want and hope they don’t ask for more? Great plan.

Dear elected officials: Trump is temporary, dishonor is forever.

They were going to turn on one another at some point. It was inevitable.

Hey Washington Post, “Democracy Dies in Darkness” was supposed to be a warning, not a mission statement.

Prediction: the gop will rethink its strategy of boycotting future committees.

Republicans firmly believe having an abortion is a very personal, very private decision between a woman and J.D. Vance.

Not all heroes wear capes.

Republicans are radicals, not conservatives.

It’s easy to sit in safety and prescribe what other people should be doing.

“Alexa, change the president.”

Hot air and ill-informed banter

Petty moves from a petty man.

Fight them, without becoming them!

I’m more christian than these people and i’m an atheist.

Finding joy where we can, and muddling through where we can’t.

Peak wingnut was a lie.

Sometimes the world just tells you your cat is here.

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You are here: Home / Archives for 2024

Archives for 2024

War for Ukraine Day 698: Updated Information on the Donetsk Strike – the Russians Most Likely Did It!

by Adam L Silverman|  January 22, 20248:04 pm| 27 Comments

This post is in: Foreign Affairs, Foreign Policy, Military, Open Threads, Russia, Silverman on Security, War, War in Ukraine

Last night we opened up with what was being alleged to be a Ukrainian strike on Russian occupied Donetsk. The Russian occupation authorities were claiming that the strike was both Ukrainian and had killed civilians. We now have more, and more accurate, information.

There is evidence that the #attack on the #market in #Donetsk on Jan. 21, 2024 was a Russian false flag.

Time between sounds of rounds being fired and their impact indicates max distance of weapon of 4km. Front line shown in red: Weapon was fired in Russian-held territory. https://t.co/WJ2PaLjuhq pic.twitter.com/QUJFAoEMSA

— Euan MacDonald (@Euan_MacDonald) January 22, 2024

https://t.co/xl8T9O8VH6

— Euan MacDonald (@Euan_MacDonald) January 22, 2024

More on this after the jump.

Here is President Zelenskyy’s address from earlier today. Video below, English transcript after the jump.

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War for Ukraine Day 698: Updated Information on the Donetsk Strike – the Russians Most Likely Did It!Post + Comments (27)

Monday Evening Open Thread: The Covid Ate My Legal Brief

by Anne Laurie|  January 22, 20246:46 pm| 92 Comments

This post is in: COVID-19, Open Threads, Republican Stupidity, Trump Crime Cartel

Alina Habba told the court this morning that Trump doesn’t want to testify before the NH primary, and her parents have covid & she wasn’t feeling well. The judge granted a continuance until tomorrow, then Trump posted 44 attacks on Carroll in 20 minutes. https://t.co/ansi9gg97x

— Ron Filipkowski (@RonFilipkowski) January 22, 2024

Rhinovirus (Covid / flu / RSV) infection exposure is certainly a possibility right now, but nothing in our corrupt reality can be separated from POLITICS…

What actually happened:

Trump’s lead attorney Alina Habba asked for an adjournment after she and a juror may have been exposed to COVID — and the judge granted that request, over the objections of E. Jean Carroll’s lawyer. https://t.co/tAdNDyLa9e pic.twitter.com/0BN3HPWV9D

— Adam Klasfeld (@KlasfeldReports) January 22, 2024

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Monday Evening Open Thread: The Covid Ate My Legal BriefPost + Comments (92)

God Help Me I’ve Been Watching The View

by @heymistermix.com|  January 22, 20245:58 pm| 51 Comments

This post is in: Open Threads

Not by choice, but by accident.  In the current Planet Fitness I’m using, the bikes are in front of  the ABC screen, so I’ve seen a couple of episodes.  It’s interesting how all-in they are on hating Trump and electing Biden.  This includes the token Republican, Alyssa Farah Griffin, who was a former member of the Trump press staff.   She sorta-kinda disowned Trump at the end of his term but in the chickenshit way that every Republican who wants to stay a Republican does.  (The insurrection was bad, but he should have been censured, not impeached, we need to move on, blah blah blah.) Still, from the little I’ve seen, she isn’t pushing back on the danger of electing Trump at the moment.

VP Harris was on the show last week and I caught most of it.  She did well, as usual, but I was more interested in the talking points.  First, immigration — she pushed the important point that the Republicans don’t want to make a deal.  I thought she could have shit on Johnson harder, but you can’t have everything.  On abortion, again, a good message focusing on the danger to the health of women who need an abortion to save their lives or because they have a non-viable baby.  I don’t remember if she said “Donald Trump ended the right to abortion” but the Biden ad that is now airing (which I saw but on a different screen, can’t remember the network) says that, and it’s a good, direct and fundamentally true message.

I don’t know who watches The View but I’m guessing that most of them aren’t the average political junkie.  I was frankly surprised at the lack of punch-pulling and both-siderism there — if only the supposedly professional political press could do as well.

God Help Me I’ve Been Watching The ViewPost + Comments (51)

Good News for People Who Care About Human Life

by WaterGirl|  January 22, 20243:31 pm| 115 Comments

This post is in: Open Threads, Politics, Supreme Court, Supreme Court Corruption

This is a relief. Though it’s disgusting that 4 SC justices do not appear to care about human life.

BREAKING: The Supreme Court, by a vote of 5-4, has cleared the way for federal agents to remove the razor wire fencing along the Texas-Mexico border which Biden administration officials and immigration advocates had called dangerous and inhumane. https://t.co/EGaASy6hLP pic.twitter.com/O9BR34wKBp

— ABC News (@ABC) January 22, 2024

Steve Vladeck names names.

#BREAKING: By 5-4 vote, #SCOTUS *grants* Biden administration request to vacate Fifth Circuit injunction in Texas border razor-wire case; clears way for federal officials to remove physical impediments to the border.

Justices Thomas, Alito, Gorsuch, and Kavanaugh dissent.

— Steve Vladeck (@steve_vladeck) January 22, 2024

h/t Dorothy Winsor for breaking the news in the previous thread.

ABC news

The Department of Homeland Security has also argued that the state’s activities interfered with clear federal supremacy in setting border enforcement policy.

The Supreme Court’s order did not elaborate on the decision. It means federal border agents can resume full control of the contested border area while litigation continues.

Justices Clarence Thomas, Samuel Alito, Neil Gorsuch and Brett Kavanaugh said they would have denied the administration’s request to lift a lower court injunction that was blocking removal of the wire.

I have been seen a lot of talk over the past week comparing this disregard of federal supremacy to the actions that were in defiance of the ruling on desegregation all those years ago.  Happy to see the defiance generally called out in the legal proceedings, even if the filings didn’t mention the connection with desegregation.

Open thread.

Good News for People Who Care About Human LifePost + Comments (115)

Ready or Not, Here I Come

by WaterGirl|  January 22, 20241:39 pm| 165 Comments

This post is in: Open Threads, Politics, Technology

“Ready or not, here I come.”  That was from a children’s game.

Now, it’s the reality of AI.  So ready or not, here it comes.  With AI, we have a rocky road ahead.

If I were given the choice, I would probably stop the AI train because I think it can do more harm than good.  Feel free to tell me that I’m wrong.

NEWS: Robocall (AI deepfake) of Joe Biden tells NH Democrats *not* to vote on Tuesday.

We’ve been working with US officials on the expected surge in deepfakes.

This is just the beginning. https://t.co/LHg71ctqUE

— Miles Taylor (@MilesTaylorUSA) January 22, 2024

The NYT gift link below takes you to a test of 10 images that you determine are either real or AI.  I wonder how well people can do with voices.

The most interesting thing in the article, to me, is that results showed that higher confidence in the person’s answer correlated with a higher chance of being wrong.  Yikes!

Anyway, take the quiz, or just read the article at the link.

(New York Times gift link)  h/t dnfree

Distinguishing between a real versus an A.I.-generated face has proved especially confounding.

Research published across multiple studies found that faces of white people created by A.I. systems were perceived as more realistic than genuine photographs of white people, a phenomenon called hyper-realism.

Researchers believe A.I. tools excel at producing hyper-realistic faces because they were trained on tens of thousands of images of real people. Those training datasets contained images of mostly white people, resulting in hyper-realistic white faces. (The over-reliance on images of white people to train A.I. is a known problem in the tech industry.)

The confusion among participants was less apparent among nonwhite faces, researchers found.

Participants were also asked to indicate how sure they were in their selections, and researchers found that higher confidence correlated with a higher chance of being wrong.

“We were very surprised to see the level of over-confidence that was coming through,” said Dr. Amy Dawel, an associate professor at Australian National University, who was an author on two of the studies.

“It points to the thinking styles that make us more vulnerable on the internet and more vulnerable to misinformation,” she added.

A.I. systems had been capable of producing photorealistic faces for years, though there were typically telltale signs that the images were not real. A.I. systems struggled to create ears that looked like mirror images of each other, for example, or eyes that looked in the same direction.

But as the systems have advanced, the tools have become better at creating faces.

The hyper-realistic faces used in the studies tended to be less distinctive, researchers said, and hewed so closely to average proportions that they failed to arouse suspicion among the participants. And when participants looked at real pictures of people, they seemed to fixate on features that drifted from average proportions — such as a misshapen ear or larger-than-average nose — considering them a sign of A.I. involvement.

What do you believe when you can’t believe your own eyes?

Open thread.

Ready or Not, Here I ComePost + Comments (165)

That Was Weird

by Betty Cracker|  January 22, 202411:41 am| 141 Comments

This post is in: 2024 Primaries, Open Threads, Politics, Republican Stupidity

DeSantis laughing awkwardly at Iowa event

Bill and I were watching sports on TV yesterday when word reached us that DeSantis had suspended his campaign. We high-fived as if celebrating a touchdown. Ever since, I’ve been trying to figure out what it means, if anything. But I keep coming back to this: Well, that was weird.

DeSantis and his epic flameout of a campaign are and were weird, but not in the stereotypical Florida sense of the word, e.g., weird like throwing a live gator through a drive-thru window.

Rather, DeSantis is a signpost in this weird moment in our political history, when buttoned-down Freedom Caucus-adjacent fascists are trying to co-opt lumpy Orange Sauron’s fake populism to accrue political power. Sometimes it works. J.D. Vance is now a U.S. Senator, for example.

And sometimes it doesn’t work, Ron DeSantis being the latest cautionary tale. But the thing is, he and J.D. and Senator Hawley, etc., are a type, and while it’s right and proper to celebrate when one of them flames out, I think we need an epic face-plant by their master to reduce the danger they pose to the republic to a manageable level.

For my money, David Roth at The Defector described Trump’s appeal and the type of scrawny, elitist fascist who hopes to leverage Orange Sauron for power as well as anyone ever has:

In place of conservatism’s worn nostrums about freedom-to and freedom-from, there’s just retributive violence and impunity; a gun brandished as an argument-ender at the supermarket or a truck accelerating toward a pod of protestors; the absolute right to turn in anyone who offends or just crowds you, and state agents standing by to do the dirty work from there. It is about who calls the cops on whom, and what they expect the cops to do when they arrive; its adherents are cop-callers and the self-deputized.

The challenge for the cynics and gremlins and adult libertarians running against Trump for the GOP nomination is that they also have to promise to do all this while, crucially, not being Trump himself—to sell the same rancid fantasy in a more compelling and presentable way than the dumpy golf priss that the fantasy’s adherents have made its hero and deliverer. How would one do that?

The ambitious aspiring genocidaires around Trump, who want to remake every institution around those vicious impulses, lack both Trump’s demented gravitas and his curdled charisma, but they have the parasitic instinct to know that he can get them where they want to go. They would still be around government if it weren’t for Trump, working in some vile congressman’s office or think tank and doing their level best to shovel as much hurt as possible onto the people they hate the most, but they would be nowhere near as close to being able to do it at the scale to which they aspire. They’re loyal to Trump in the same inextricable and fundamentally unreasoning way that a symptom might be considered loyal to a disease.

Erstwhile and once again Trump loyalist Ron DeSymptom ran a lousy campaign, but it was hamstrung from the beginning because the disease was also in the race. Voters who crave the disease — to extend the metaphor, let’s call it syphilis — aren’t going to vote for “genital lesions” when “syphilis” is right there on the same ballot. It really is that simple, I think.

Anyhoo, my hope is that his humiliating flop will end Ron DeSantis’s career in national politics forever. You never know, but I think that’s a real possibility because DeSantis is a peevish dick, and now that he’s stumbled, everyone is giving into the impulse to kick a fallen bully. Here’s a sample analysis in CNN:

Iowa revealed how ineffective his effort had been all along — his ground game, his message, his strategy, all exposed as a paper tiger and turning his candidacy into a punchline in Republican circles.

“Historic disaster,” said one veteran Republican fundraiser once hopeful of DeSantis’ chances. “JV team.”

Veteran GOP strategists Curt Anderson and Alex Castellanos called it the “Worst Republican Presidential Campaign Ever” in a blistering audit written for Politico that was devoured Friday by DeSantis allies and enemies alike.

Here’s Orlando Sentinel columnist Scott Maxwell on the ignominious ending of DeSantis 2024:

It’s hard to overstate just how epic this collapse was.

Less than a year ago, Ron DeSantis was the next big thing. Wall Street loved him. So did the GOP faithful.

Polls suggested he was more popular among Republicans than Donald Trump. And just eight months ago, DeSantis had twice as much campaign cash.

But Ron DeSantis had a problem: Ron DeSantis.

The more he campaigned, the less people liked him — namely members of his own party. He was awkward, entitled and angry.

Anger is actually a quality some people crave in their politicians. But DeSantis was angry about weird things — like Disney World…

And by the time DeSantis tucked his tail and ate his own words Sunday, endorsing the very man he’d spent weeks debasing, he’d managed to do something his supporters never imagined — damage his own brand.

See, many politicians mount their first campaign for president without really expecting to win. Instead, they just want to introduce themselves to voters and boost their name ID for the next time. But DeSantis managed to leave the race worse than he started.

The Miami Herald editorial board noticed too (via HuffPo):

“It’s not just that he was steamrolled by Donald Trump,” the newspaper wrote. “DeSantis never appeared to want to save the GOP. He was more interested in making it a more ravenous, angrier and intolerant party. That worked for Trump, but didn’t work for the governor with all the charisma of burned toast.”

But while DeSantis’ campaign may be over, the damage he has done to Florida remains:

“Without his political ambitions, there likely wouldn’t be ‘Don’t say gay,’ woke wars and the waste of state resources to fight meaningless battles against drag queen bars. These were efforts to appeal to Trump’s base but his supporters refused to leave the former president, especially after he was indicted.”

The newspaper said DeSantis could’ve made a play for a “more reasonable” form of conservatism to appeal to a broader range of Americans.

“Instead, he banked on exploiting divisions in our country. As he bows out, DeSantis leaves the Republican Party exactly as he found it, under Trump’s dominance,” the newspaper said.

Yep. And now he’s coming back to his day job, God help us. DeSantis ended his campaign on the same glitch-ridden platform where he launched it — the former Twitter — and his speech concluded with ominous words for those of us in the Sunshine State:

While this campaign has ended, the mission continues. Down here in Florida, we will continue to show the country how to lead.

We’ll see about that. Now that DeSantis has been exposed as a paper tiger, I doubt the corrupt oafs in the statehouse will keep sticking their necks out for him. With any luck, maybe some of the votes they took to bolster his disastrous campaign will come back to bite them on the ass. Maybe better people will emerge.

But no matter what happens in Florida, the Republican Party’s drive to extend Trump’s vicious campaign of dominance and retribution will go on, and there are dozens if not hundreds of DeSantis-like fascist creeps waiting in the wings for their shot. The only thing that can end the whole nauseating Trump circus is us showing up in droves in November, leaving nothing left for the hyper-ambitious sadists to inherit.

Open thread.

That Was WeirdPost + Comments (141)

Monday Morning Open Thread: New Week, Same Goals

by Anne Laurie|  January 22, 20248:22 am| 167 Comments

This post is in: Biden Administration in Action, Open Threads, Proud to Be A Democrat, Show Us on the Doll Where the Invisible Hand Touched You

This progress is possible because the people voted for @JoeBiden and me.

The work continues. pic.twitter.com/zYZB7ghA5D

— Kamala Harris (@KamalaHarris) January 20, 2024

Remember, social media folks: Sharing is caring!

Since the start of this year, I've been to Georgia, Nevada, North Carolina, and South Carolina meeting voters on the road.@JoeBiden and I are traveling the country to let Americans know what we have achieved—from job growth to student loan relief—and who brought it to them. pic.twitter.com/oMEww2BJc1

— Kamala Harris (@KamalaHarris) January 21, 2024

UAW invites Biden to annual conference, signaling likely endorsement…https://t.co/hCugt0AwFo

— Robert Costa (@costareports) January 20, 2024

Fox: The U.S. stock market just hit an all-time record high. It’s hitting record high after record high pic.twitter.com/C8mus9rTUQ

— Biden-Harris HQ (@BidenHQ) January 19, 2024

Our ‘kids’ are okay…

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Monday Morning Open Thread: New Week, Same GoalsPost + Comments (167)

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