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War for Ukraine Day 1,475: If You Look Around the Table & Can’t Tell Who the Mark Is, You’re the Mark

by Adam L Silverman|  March 10, 202610:51 pm| 12 Comments

This post is in: Foreign Affairs, Foreign Policy, Iran, Military, Open Threads, Russia, Silverman on Security, War, War in Ukraine

Once again Trump and his team, which I’ve decided to start calling Team Clown Shoes, has told on themselves:

QUINTANILLA: Do we think the Russians have shared intel about US military assets, and if so, why would we be giving waivers on oil sanctions?

WITKOFF: I can tell you that on the call with POTUS, the Russians said they have not been sharing. That’s what they said. We can take them at their word.

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— Aaron Rupar (@atrupar.com) March 10, 2026 at 12:08 PM

It is important to remember that a significant portion of Witkoff’s wealth comes from doing business with Russian oligarchs and organized crime leaders investing in the retail properties he develops. Just as Jared’s and his family’s, as well as Trump’s, is from Russian oligarchs and organized crime members using their purchases of Kushner and/or Trump properties to launder their money, as well as to have their wives, mistresses, and girlfriends live in while pregnant so their children are born in the US so they’re US citizens. Kushner’s family’s companies actually market not just to wealthy Russians using this as a perq of buying one of their properties, they do the same thing with wealthy Chinese citizens. All while Trump rails against birthright citizenship.

Remember as I covered last week, Witkoff, Kushner, and whomever works for them refused to read the documents the Iranians prepared for them in English to ensure that there would be no confusion or misunderstanding during negotiation because reading three to five pages of bullet point was too hard and too much to read. Today we found out from new reporting that these geniuses didn’t understand the intelligence and information they were given about Iran’s nuclear program and went right to the Iranians were driving quickly towards building an viable functional nuclear weapon. From MSNow:

The Trump administration has cited Iran’s Tehran Research Reactor as a central justification for its military strikes, but has provided no evidence that the facility — built by the United States and used for civilian research for nearly six decades — was being used to develop nuclear weapons. Multiple nuclear scientists and nonproliferation experts told MS NOW that the reactor does not have the  capacity to serve as an easy conduit to a bomb as asserted by the administration.

The gap between the administration’s numerous claims about Iran and the available evidence has become a focal point of criticism as questions mount over the decision to launch strikes rather than continue negotiations.

Just 36 hours before the United States opened its military assault, Iran’s nuclear negotiators, along with Oman’s foreign minister as mediator, presented the U.S. with a seven-page proposal for a potential nuclear deal, according to U.S. negotiator Steve Witkoff. But the American negotiators, Witkoff and Jared Kushner — who, according to a senior Middle East diplomat with knowledge of the talks, chose not to include nuclear technical experts in the negotiations — balked at Iran’s request to continue using 20%-enriched uranium at the reactor, a facility for civilian nuclear development that the U.S. first built and provided to Iran in 1967.

“The [International Atomic Energy Agency] had evidence that they were stockpiling there and they had enough fuel to run TRR for the next seven or eight years without any additional fuel being delivered,” Witkoff said on “The Mark Levin Show.” “They were stockpiling again at the 20% level.”

Witkoff alleged that the International Atomic Energy Agency director general, Rafael Grossi, who was a part of the final round of talks just before the military incursion, told Iran that it had stopped “burning anything” at the reactor and, instead, claimed that “all of the fuel is stockpiled.” Witkoff said it was their “‘Perry Mason’ moment.”

“This is spin, it just isn’t true, and the conversation that did take place with Director General Grossi present has been taken completely out of context by Mr. Witkoff,” a Persian Gulf diplomat who spoke on the condition of anonymity to discuss sensitive deliberations said in response to the claim.

Several nuclear experts who spoke to MS NOW questioned the extent to which Witkoff and Kushner — who led the nuclear negotiations and described the Iranian position to Trump — understood the technical details of the enrichment programs at the heart of the deliberations.

Elena Sokova, the executive director of the Vienna Center for Disarmament and Non-Proliferation, called the administration’s assessments of the Tehran Research Reactor “confusing and misleading” and riddled with “technical errors.”

“It mixes up different elements of the nuclear program and their potential proliferation capabilities,” Sokova said. “Research reactors are not capable of doing enrichment of uranium, whether for civil or military purposes.”

Witkoff and Kushner did not bring technical experts from the U.S. to sit in on their talks in Geneva, according to a senior Middle East diplomat with knowledge of the talks, and the White House opted to forgo scheduled technical talks set for this past Monday in Vienna, where more detailed nuclear details were expected to be addressed.

More at the link.

Speaking of Team Clown Shoes:

For ordinary civilians who don’t follow the news closely, modern drone warfare might seem new and unreal.

But officials, who have access to all the intelligence and whose duty was to plan an attack on Iran, have no excuse.

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— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) March 10, 2026 at 2:39 PM

> Ukrainians had to make a PowerPoint presentation for US officials to articulate the threat of Iranian drones, Americans dismissed it as just “Ukrainian things” but then their 2 collective neurons finally connected after a shahed above a US military base

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— Mira of Kyiv 🇺🇦 (@reshetz.bsky.social) March 10, 2026 at 6:32 PM

“Three Ukrainian teams have departed for Qatar, the UAE, and Saudi Arabia, and their arrival is expected later this week.” – Zelenskyy.

— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) March 10, 2026 at 12:53 PM

Despite the inanity, the Ukrainians are on their way to help. As President Zelenskyy detailed in his address today. Video below, English transcript after the jump.

show full post on front page

Our Team Is Now on Its Way to the Gulf Region, Where They Can Help Protect Lives and Stabilize the Situation – Address by the President

10 March 2026 – 19:59

Dear Ukrainians!

A brief update on today. Our team – including military personnel and Rustem Umerov – is now on its way to the Gulf region, where they can help protect lives and stabilize the situation. We see the challenges that exist now due to strikes from Iran, due to this entire war, which could drag on. The Iranian regime has effectively blocked the Strait of Hormuz – one of the main routes for supplying oil and gas to the global market. This is a major source of instability. No one in the world can yet say how long all of this will last, but it is important that the protection of life starts working effectively as soon as possible. Stability is important for us as well. Those now seeking Ukraine’s help must continue to assist our own defense – first and foremost, our air defense. Last year, we already proposed an agreement to the United States – a drone agreement. This is the right way forward: to partner with us in the production and use of drones, and everyone now sees that there is no alternative to this approach. Ukraine has the greatest experience in the world in countering attack drones, and without our experience, it will be very difficult for the Gulf region, the entire Middle East, and partners in Europe and America to build strong protection. We are ready to help those who help us, help Ukraine. Rustem Umerov, together with our military officials, intelligence, the Ministry of Defense, and the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, will prepare concrete agreements. Ukraine is a reliable security provider, and this is not only our security prospect, but also our economic one. Protection for Ukraine, cooperation with partners, and development of Ukrainian production. Everything Ukrainians have learned for their own defense can serve as a global foundation for security – a global foundation for protected life.

Today, our intelligence agencies reported, among other things, on how the Russians want to leverage the war in the Middle East. They aim to benefit from Iranian strikes. Russians talk about lifting sanctions, claiming they supposedly could somehow help the United States in the Iran situation. These are typical Russian manipulations. They only help where they see an opportunity to dominate. They’re simply incapable of working on an equal footing. We hope that the United States sees and understands all the risks, all the dependencies, and all the threats. Even a partial lifting of sanctions on Russia could serve as an extremely negative example – including for others, those who want to wage war on their neighbors, as Russia does.

And one more thing.

Today, I received a report from Commander-in-Chief Oleksandr Syrskyi on missile use and our responses – fully justified responses to the aggressor. Our warriors struck one of the key Russian military plants in Bryansk. This plant produced electronics and components for Russian missiles – those that strike our cities, our villages, and civilians. We defend ourselves. Russia has long had the ability to end this war – the war it started itself. This is basically their joint war – by Russia, the Iranian regime, and North Korea. This is their shared aggression against the West, against the entire democratic world, against the fact that nations and states have their own rights and real significance. Life must be protected. And we must act together to ensure this protection. I want to thank everyone standing with Ukraine. I thank everyone who is helping care for life and people.

Glory to Ukraine!

Georgia:

Georgian Dream PM Irakli Kobakhidze has congratulated Mojtaba Khamenei on his appointment as Iran’s Supreme Leader.

“On behalf of the Government of Georgia, I congratulate you… Georgia values partnership with Iran based on mutual respect,” Kobakhidze wrote.

📷 Publika

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— Rusudan Djakeli (@rusudandjakeli.bsky.social) March 10, 2026 at 3:05 AM

The EU Sanctions Envoy, David O’Sullivan, makes it clear that the Georgian Dream committed to stop Russia sanctions evasion through the Kulevi port, and that is why the port has now been omitted from the EU 20th sanctions package.

civil.ge/archives/724…

1/2

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— Marika Mikiashvili 🇬🇪🇺🇦🇪🇺 (@marikamikiashvili.bsky.social) March 10, 2026 at 2:20 PM

This essentially means that the GD admitted to having used the port for sanctions evasion. Yet their propaganda insists on the opposite, and they prosecute people over exposing sanctions evasion and asking for targeted sanctions to stop the practice.

2/2.

— Marika Mikiashvili 🇬🇪🇺🇦🇪🇺 (@marikamikiashvili.bsky.social) March 10, 2026 at 2:20 PM

By the way, it’s very important to note that, according to the Georgian Dream propaganda since 2022, we would end up at war with Russia if Georgia had joined Western sanctions against Russia — meaning, if Georgia didn’t enable trade and sanctions evasion.

1/

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— Marika Mikiashvili 🇬🇪🇺🇦🇪🇺 (@marikamikiashvili.bsky.social) March 10, 2026 at 4:10 PM

Today, when they faced the actual possibility of sanctions, the Georgian Dream suddenly made a promise to no longer evade Russia sanctions through Kulevi port (although something tells me they are not extending this promise to broader country infrastructure).

2/

— Marika Mikiashvili 🇬🇪🇺🇦🇪🇺 (@marikamikiashvili.bsky.social) March 10, 2026 at 4:10 PM

Yet, we are not suddenly at war with Russia, are we? 🤡

The poster is from the GD’s 2024 election campaign — the election they would later rig.

It says “No to war! Choose peace! 41 — GD” and proudly features a destroyed church in Ukraine in contrast to the Trinity Church in Tbilisi.

3/3.

— Marika Mikiashvili 🇬🇪🇺🇦🇪🇺 (@marikamikiashvili.bsky.social) March 10, 2026 at 4:10 PM

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— Marika Mikiashvili 🇬🇪🇺🇦🇪🇺 (@marikamikiashvili.bsky.social) March 10, 2026 at 7:41 PM

Jill Dougherty, prominent Russia expert and former CNN Moscow bureau chief on Russia’s playbook in Georgia and its political trajectory www.youtube.com/watch?v=ROge…

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— Talk Georgia (@talkgeorgia.bsky.social) March 10, 2026 at 2:02 PM

Hungary:

Hungary’s Transport Minister openly admits Hungary stole $80 million belonging to Ukraine and plans to use it as leverage to restore the Druzhba oil pipeline.

European Union, hello? Any reaction? Nothing to say?

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— Maria Drutska (@mariadrutska.bsky.social) March 10, 2026 at 11:43 AM

This is not going to end the way that Orban, his ministers, and the members of his revanchist reactionary political party and movement think it will.

Germany:

Ukraine will receive 35 Patriot missiles in the coming weeks.

The package was put together by several European countries and coordinated by Germany.

Thanksies 🥹

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— Maria Drutska (@mariadrutska.bsky.social) March 10, 2026 at 12:11 PM

Merz: There is no reason to consider easing sanctions against Russia. We should not face a choice between maintaining sanctions and showing solidarity. Our position is clear: We stand with Ukraine and are prepared to endure such difficulties if necessary. Aid to Ukraine must not be interrupted.

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— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) March 10, 2026 at 10:55 AM

Norway:

Oslo mayor Anne Lindboe was driving in the Ukraine Freedom Convoy, traveling thousands of km along with 40 Norwegian volunteers to deliver in person 21 life-saving vehicles to the Ukrainian defenders.

Isn’t it outstanding? 🇳🇴🇺🇦

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— Olena Halushka (@halushka.bsky.social) March 10, 2026 at 2:40 PM

Back to Ukraine:

It turns out that if you help Ukraine with modern highly effective missiles – and stop trembling in fear of Putin and burying Ukraine under endless absurd restrictions – Russia starts losing key military factories and weapons one after another.

It becomes less capable of continuing this war.

— Illia Ponomarenko (@ioponomarenko.bsky.social) March 10, 2026 at 8:01 PM

And somehow the sky doesn’t collapse on earth, and nobody’s ass in high office falls off.

— Illia Ponomarenko (@ioponomarenko.bsky.social) March 10, 2026 at 8:01 PM

Trump: “Now we have low cost interceptors effectively combating Iranian drones.”

Oh, do you? Interesting where those came from.

BuT diD YoU sAy ThAnK yOu?

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— Maria Drutska (@mariadrutska.bsky.social) March 10, 2026 at 11:26 AM

Trump: ​”So now we have low-cost interceptors effectively combating Iranian drones.”

I wonder which country with “no cards” gave it to you 🤔

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— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) March 10, 2026 at 11:37 AM

Ukraine’s cards are:
-> a combat-hardened military with experience in modern warfare,
-> battle-tested and constantly upgraded technology,
-> a resilient society that has just survived the hardest winter of this war.

That’s more cards than most countries around the world have.

— Olena Halushka (@halushka.bsky.social) March 10, 2026 at 2:20 PM

www.bbc.com/news/article…

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— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) March 10, 2026 at 2:19 PM

From The BBC:

The deportation and forcible transfer of Ukrainian children to Russia constitutes a crime against humanity and a war crime, the UN has said.

A new report by the Independent International Commission of Inquiry on Ukraine says Russian authorities “at the highest level” have deported “thousands” of children from the occupied areas of Ukraine.

Vladimir Putin’s “direct involvement” has been “visibile form the outset,” it adds.

Ukraine says almost 20,000 children have been illegally sent to Russia and Belarus.

The UN Commission has so far identified 1,205 cases of children who were taken from Ukrainian territories by Moscow in 2022.

Eighty percent of these children have not yet been returned, the report says, and many parents and guardians are to this day unaware of the whereabouts of the minors.

This amounts to enforced disappearance and unjustifiable delay in repatriation, which are crimes against humanity and war crimes respectively, according to the UN.

The majority of the children mentioned in the UN report lived in the so-called Donetsk and Luhansk People’s Republics – Ukrainian regions which Moscow illegally claims control over.

The report says that just before it launched its full-scale invasion of Ukraine, Moscow evacuated these children to the Russian Federation, claiming they were at risk of an imminent attack by Ukraine. Then, the children were placed in families or institutions and given Russian citizenship.

Moscow has always dismissed accusations of forcibly removing children from Ukrainian territory.

Vladimir Putin once said that “the story of the ‘child abductions’… [was] exaggerated” and insisted that the children in question had been “rescued” from a war zone. At the time, he also insisted there was “no problem” returning the children to their homeland.

But Kyiv has always argued that was not the case and the UN report says that children have faced huge difficulties travelling back to Ukraine.

This forced removal and severed ties with their homeland, combined with a “coercive environment” in Russia, “has been a source of deep distress for the children”, according to the UN.

The children who manage to return suffer from “trauma, anxiety and fear of abandonment”, the report says, often due to harsh treatment in Russia. One child was told by staff in a Russian orphanage that his country, Ukraine, “does not exist anymore, everything has burnt down, and your parents have probably died”.

“I am still looking for my daughter, and I am terribly afraid of what she might think of me and how she survives [in Russia], where many people hate Ukrainians,” the report quotes a mother who has been unable to track down her child as saying.

In 2023 the International Criminal Court (ICC) issued an arrest warrant for Putin, accusing him and his commissioner for children’s rights Maria Lvova-Belova of the unlawful deportation of Ukrainian children.

Lvova-Belova gave an interview in which she described “taking in” a 15-year-old boy from the Ukrainian city of Mariupol, which Russia currently occupies, and “re-educating” him despite the fact he “did not want to go” to Russia.

Ukraine says it has so far recovered 2,000 children.

More at the link.

🇺🇦🚀 A powerful strike on a Russian “Shahed” by our Strela-10 anti-aircraft complex in the frontline zone. Right where the liberation of the occupied territories is underway.
The crew of the anti-aircraft missile and artillery division of the 92nd OSBR performed flawlessly 🫡

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— Vitalis Viva (@vitalisviva.bsky.social) March 10, 2026 at 10:09 AM

Kharkiv and Dnipro:

Consequences of Russia’s strike on Kharkiv and Dnipro tonight.

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— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) March 10, 2026 at 5:30 AM

Sloviansk, Donetsk Oblast:

Russia struck the center of Sloviansk with three aerial bombs.

At least two people were killed and 11 residents injured, including a 14-year-old girl.

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— Iryna Voichuk (@irynavoichuk.bsky.social) March 10, 2026 at 6:12 AM

📍Sloviansk, Donetsk Oblast

The death toll from the russian aerial attack has risen to four.

16 more people were injured.

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— Iryna Voichuk (@irynavoichuk.bsky.social) March 10, 2026 at 7:46 AM

In Donetsk region 4 people were killed and another 20 injured in a Russian airstrike on central Sloviansk‼️

The same Donetsk region that Russia wants us to surrender without a fight. Because our people are surely eager to join a state that bombs them and kills their neighbors (not)

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— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) March 10, 2026 at 11:53 AM

4 residents of Sloviansk were killed in a russian airstrike, and another 16 were injured, according to Vadym Liakh, head of the local military administration. Among the wounded is a 14‑year‑old girl. The Russian army attacked the city in the morning‼️

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— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) March 10, 2026 at 8:35 AM

Kivsharivka, Kharkiv Oblast:

In Kivsharivka, Kharkiv region, russian drone attacked a medical team’s vehicle while they were treating a wounded patient.

“The car was completely destroyed — nothing left but scrap metal. Fortunately, the crew was unharmed.

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— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) March 10, 2026 at 9:22 AM

They took the injured man back to their base and later evacuated him to Kharkiv under cover of darkness,” said Viktor Zabashta, director of the Emergency Medical Assistance Center.

— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) March 10, 2026 at 9:22 AM

Kharkiv Oblast:

The “Skifs” unit is shooting down Russian Shahed drones over Kharkiv region using a Bofors 40 mm gun.

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— 🦋Special Kherson Cat🐈🇺🇦 (@specialkhersoncat.bsky.social) March 10, 2026 at 10:10 AM

Russian occupied Mariupol:

Something is detonating in occupied Mariupol. Allegedly, russian ammunition depot got toasted 👀💥

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— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) March 10, 2026 at 7:32 PM

Donetsk Oblast:

⚡️🇺🇦 The Armed Forces of Ukraine are conducting counteroffensive operations in certain areas of the Donetsk region and are successfully holding key defensive positions, according to Syrsky.

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— Vitalis Viva (@vitalisviva.bsky.social) March 10, 2026 at 8:07 AM

Putin: Donetsk and the region are rebuilding well.

Meanwhile in Donetsk: …

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— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) March 10, 2026 at 12:52 PM

Putin looks and sounds worse than Trump.

Oleksandrivske, Donetsk Oblast:

The work of the Air Assault Forces grouping in the Oleksandrivske direction. Ukrainian soldiers eliminated 10 Russian occupiers and destroyed 2 vehicles and 3 quad bikes.

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— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) March 10, 2026 at 9:08 AM

Dnipropetrovsk Oblast:

🇺🇦 Almost the entire territory of Dnipropetrovsk region has already been liberated from the Russians. The AFU still need to complete their work in three small settlements and conduct mop-up operations in two more, according to Major General Komarenko.

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— Vitalis Viva (@vitalisviva.bsky.social) March 10, 2026 at 7:59 AM

Russia:

Ignore Putin’s words, watch his actions: he’s terrified of how bad things are going.

How do we know? Moscow’s already-strong air defence keeps growing, yet mobile internet has been disabled for days in central Moscow, blocking payment terminals and closing stores.

Tick tock. ⌛️

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— Maria Drutska (@mariadrutska.bsky.social) March 10, 2026 at 4:27 AM

Bryansk Oblast, Russia:

Zelensky confirmed the successful strike on Bryansk.

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— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) March 10, 2026 at 3:29 PM

💥A Russian plant in Bryansk producing control systems for missiles and drones has been struck.

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— Maria Drutska (@mariadrutska.bsky.social) March 10, 2026 at 7:17 PM

Fire in Russian Bryansk 🔥

Something happened at “Kremniy” plant, which produces microelectronics for missiles and air defense systems 👀💥

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— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) March 10, 2026 at 11:59 AM

Word is that Bryansk, Russia, is feeling particularly Stormy and Shadowy today 👀🚀

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— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) March 10, 2026 at 12:08 PM

One of seven reported Storm Shadow strikes hitting the Kremniy El electronics plant in Bryansk, fascist Russia, today. The plant makes microchips for Iskander and Kalibr missiles. Governor reports several dead and wounded. Other footage shows a burning car near the factory.

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— Euan MacDonald (@euanmacdonald.bsky.social) March 10, 2026 at 1:49 PM

/3. Clearer look on SCALP/Storm Shadow missile diving on a Russian Kremniy EL plant in Bryansk.

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— 🦋Special Kherson Cat🐈🇺🇦 (@specialkhersoncat.bsky.social) March 10, 2026 at 11:56 AM

Several Storm Shadow / SCALP missiles fly past the windows of residents in Bryansk during the strike on the Kremniy EL plant.

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— 🦋Special Kherson Cat🐈🇺🇦 (@specialkhersoncat.bsky.social) March 10, 2026 at 12:13 PM

⚡️The General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine has released footage of Storm Shadow strikes on the Kremniy EL plant in Bryansk.

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— 🦋Special Kherson Cat🐈🇺🇦 (@specialkhersoncat.bsky.social) March 10, 2026 at 2:12 PM

The clearest ground footage yet of Storm Shadow strikes on the Kremniy EL plant in Bryansk, filmed by local residents.

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— 🦋Special Kherson Cat🐈🇺🇦 (@specialkhersoncat.bsky.social) March 10, 2026 at 2:43 PM

That’s enough for tonight.

Your daily Patron!

There are no new Patron skeets or videos today.

Here is some adjacent material.

There are so many everyday heroes in Ukraine, I lost count long ago. This is Polina who feeds displaced cats in Kharkiv, even in the winter cold. The Hachiko team brings her pet food to support her efforts. Happy Caturday! 😺

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— Nate Mook (@natemook.bsky.social) March 7, 2026 at 9:23 AM

Open thread!

War for Ukraine Day 1,475: If You Look Around the Table & Can’t Tell Who the Mark Is, You’re the MarkPost + Comments (12)

Tuesday Night Open Thread

by John Cole|  March 10, 20268:24 pm| 126 Comments

This post is in: John Cole Presents "This Fucking Old House"

It feels like Friday. Let’s check in on the shitshow murderfest in Iran:

The U.S. Navy has refused near-daily requests from the shipping industry for military escorts through the Strait of Hormuz since the start of the war on Iran, saying the risk of attacks is too high for now, according to sources familiar with the matter.

The Navy’s assessments spell continued disruption to Middle East oil exports and reflect a divergence from President Donald Trump’s statements that the U.S. is prepared to provide naval escorts whenever needed to restart regular shipments along the key waterway.

Shipping along the narrow strait has all but halted since the start of the U.S.-Israeli war on Iran more than a week ago, preventing exports of around a fifth of the world’s oil supply and sending global oil prices surging to highs not seen since 2022.

Ehh, no big deal. Trump says it will be all over soon and the markets could agree. I wonder how Iran feels about things:

Iran has begun laying mines in the Strait of Hormuz, the world’s most important energy chokepoint that carries about one-fifth of all crude oil, according to two people familiar with US intelligence reporting on the issue.

The mining is not extensive yet, with a few dozen having been laid in recent days, the sources said. But Iran still retains upward of 80% to 90% of its small boats and mine layers, one of the sources said, so its forces could feasibly lay hundreds of mines in the waterway.

Just a flesh wound. Meanwhile, the strikes from the US and Israel continue in Iran and are on going as we speak, and Israel blasted Beirut for shits and giggles. So that’s all going great.

***

I forgot Congress can actually legislate:

The Senate is moving toward passing the most significant housing legislation in a generation, grasping for a rare bipartisan deal in a Congress deeply divided ahead of midterm elections where the majority is at stake.

The package of bills, which aims to make it easier to build and finance new housing and bolster existing federal assistance programs, has quietly advanced even as lawmakers clash over other issues, including President Trump’s immigration enforcement tactics and the war in Iran.

The progress of the White House-backed package has been all the more surprising because it would tackle a critical cost-of-living issue at a time when Democrats have made it clear they plan to try to weaponize Americans’ economic stress in their campaigns against Republicans as they push to win control of Congress. So far, Democrats appear to have calculated that they do not want to be seen as standing in the way of enacting what could be the only significant legislation to address affordability ahead of the November balloting, wary of opening themselves to Republican attacks that they are not sincere about addressing the issue.

But fresh obstacles have emerged in recent days. Mr. Trump has declared that he will not sign any legislation until Congress delivers him a voter ID bill that has stalled in the Senate, making it clear that the housing measure is not his top priority. And Republicans have begun feuding among themselves over what should be in the final bill, including whether to include a provision to ban the creation of a federal cryptocurrency, complicating the legislation’s chances of clearing Congress at all.

Have any of you been following this?

***

Joelle just got home from work so I am going to go hassle her. I am really enjoying the new Young Sherlock series on Amazon Prime- I don’t care what people say, I love the Guy Ritchie style. It’s always fun.

*** Update ***

Two quick bird stories. I was sitting outside watching the birds (I feed them this time very night) and some bird swooped down, grab a finch off the cinderblock fence (it screamed) and took off carrying the dead bird like the eagles carried frodo off the top of Mt. Doom and landed on my neighbor’s roof while I stood up and screamed “hey hey hey put that down.” It never relinquished it’s grip, rested a bit and took off.

It happened so fast I did not get a good look at it and had my sunglasses on and got no real good look at it, but it was a wild thing to witness. It was not that big of a bird, either.

Somewhat relatedly, I may be overfeeding my birds and making them targets of opportunity:

Tuesday Night Open Thread 29

Can birds get diabeetus?

Tuesday Night Open ThreadPost + Comments (126)

DHS Open Thread: Backtrack!… BACKTRACK!

by Anne Laurie|  March 10, 20267:03 pm| 64 Comments

This post is in: Immigration, Open Threads, Republicans in Disarray!, Trump Crime Cartel

"WH encourages Republicans to go ahead and try to close the barn doors a few months after the horses went out"

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— Daniel Gilmore (@gilmored85.bsky.social) March 10, 2026 at 3:16 PM

It's hard to say. Detention numbers are down significantly. We can't say exactly why for now (I have theories, as do others) but if the Homan/Lyons wing has convinced the White House that the Miller/Noem mass deportation pushes were bad politics, they may have finally found the brake pedal.

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— Aaron Reichlin-Melnick (@reichlinmelnick.bsky.social) March 10, 2026 at 3:03 PM

They won’t stop trying to do mass deportations, but it’s becoming increasingly obvious that talking about mass deportations is not nearly as popular as Stephen Miller assured them it would be. Blair is Susie Wiles’ underhenchman:

DORAL, FL — White House Deputy Chief of Staff James Blair privately urged House Republicans on Tuesday to stop emphasizing “mass deportations” and instead focus their messaging on removing violent criminals, according to sources in the closed-door briefing.

Why it matters: Mass deportations were central to the GOP’s 2024 campaign message.
– Nearly half — 49% — of Americans say Trump’s mass deportation campaign is too aggressive, including 1 in 5 voters who backed the president in 2024, a Politico poll from January found.

State of play: Blair delivered the message during a policy listening session with House Republicans at their annual retreat in Doral, Florida.
– He encouraged members to focus on deporting violent offenders rather than defending the broader concept of mass removals.

The advice signals a recalibration by the White House — and reflects growing concern among some Republicans that Democrats are successfully framing Trump’s immigration policy as overly sweeping and indiscriminate…

ICE detention peaked at roughly 73,000 people in custody in mid-January. Since then, my sources say total in detention has fallen to sub-63,000. That is a significant drop, reversing the trend back to where things were in early November.
I am deeply skeptical of any major changes, to be clear.

— Aaron Reichlin-Melnick (@reichlinmelnick.bsky.social) March 10, 2026 at 3:05 PM

Meanwhile, the KKKlown in Chief, last night:

It's been well over 10 years now, and nobody close to him has even bothered to tell him that's not what seeking asylum is.

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— ⓘ 𝕆ligarch f*ckery detected (@adelpreore.bsky.social) March 10, 2026 at 12:20 PM

DHS Open Thread: <em>Backtrack!… BACKTRACK!</em>Post + Comments (64)

The Politics of AI

by Betty Cracker|  March 10, 20262:12 pm| 189 Comments

This post is in: C.R.E.A.M., Open Threads, Politics, All we want is life beyond the thunderdome

I don’t hate AI per se. I’ve used Le Chat occasionally for stuff like planning itineraries, and I know people who use AI on the job in all kinds of useful applications, including research.

My main objection is that a staggeringly high percentage of the people who are competing to build the dominant AI platforms and many of the technology’s most prominent boosters seem to be sociopaths.

That’s bad! And then there’s what’s already happening in schools:

I understand why chatbot cheating happens but every time I read about it I want to gently remind everyone that the point of schoolwork is not for the submission to exist. Teachers are not just greedy for more essays or solved equations. The point is to do the work WITH YOUR OWN BRAIN, FOR LEARNING.

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— Katie Mack (@astrokatie.com) February 24, 2026 at 2:37 PM


Prompt engineering may become a valuable skill in its own right, but it isn’t going to teach people to think for themselves. Also, I hate bullshit framing like this:

How does A.I. stack up against some of the world’s best human writers? Take our quiz.

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— The New York Times (@nytimes.com) March 9, 2026 at 6:00 PM

Fuck their stupid quiz!

It’s no coincidence that tech oligarchs and AI boosters aligned themselves with the political movement that needs to make the truth meaningless and keep people angry, divided and dumb to retain power.

But you know who else finds AI deeply suspect? Lots of voters, across the ideological spectrum. NBC News did a poll, and here’s an article about it that’s interesting if you can ignore the reflexively anti-Dem framing.

A couple of excerpts:

Voters are worried about AI and don’t trust either political party to handle the rapidly evolving technology, according to a new national NBC News survey.

A majority of registered voters, 57%, said they believe the risks of AI outweigh its benefits, compared with 34% who said the opposite. What’s more, a plurality of voters view AI negatively and don’t believe either Democrats or Republicans are doing a good job handling policy related to the rapidly advancing technology.

Just 26% of voters say they have positive feelings about AI, compared with 46% who hold negative views.

Trump and his cronies are all in on AI because they are greedy pricks and also authoritarians. They hope to socialize the risks during the development phase, privatize any profits that emerge and then use AI to fire workers and create a surveillance state.

As noted, that’s bad, but maybe it’s also an opportunity?

Bill McInturff, a Republican pollster with Public Opinion Strategies, which conducted the NBC News poll along with the Democratic polling firm Hart Research Associates, said the findings indicate AI is an issue that’s “up for grabs” by both parties to try to seize a political advantage.

The demographic groups with the most negative views of AI are voters ages 18-34, among whom the net favorability rating for AI is minus 44, and women ages 18-49, who reported a net AI favorability rating of minus 41. The two groups with the most positive views of AI are men over 50, with a plus 2 favorability rating, and upper-class voters, who also have a plus 2 favorability rating.

I don’t know how the politics of AI will develop, but it’s something to keep an eye on. Open thread for this or any other topic.

The Politics of AIPost + Comments (189)

Tuesday Morning Open Thread

by Anne Laurie|  March 10, 20267:21 am| 270 Comments

This post is in: Open Threads, Proud to Be A Democrat, Republican Venality, War, Lock Him Up...Lock Them All Up

Libraries are for everybody, or they’re for no one.

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— James Felix Black (@tft.io) March 8, 2026 at 7:03 PM


Tuesday Morning Open Thread 26

“I’ve been consuming nothing but trash, so I thought I’d brush up on the classics.”

— carbonoperator (@carbonoperator.bsky.social) March 8, 2026 at 8:07 PM

******

This disgusting shit doesn’t belong in American society.
And Republicans who support it don’t belong in Congress.

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— Katherine Clark (@whipkclark.bsky.social) March 9, 2026 at 11:24 AM

Instead of lowering prices for you, Republicans are busy dreaming up new ways to make the rich even richer.
Here’s their latest idea: sidestepping Congress to hand another giant tax cut to the top 1%.

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— Elizabeth Warren (@warren.senate.gov) March 9, 2026 at 7:25 PM

www.washingtonpost.com/business/202…

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— Elizabeth Warren (@warren.senate.gov) March 9, 2026 at 7:25 PM


Always a wise move to make Ted Cruz the face of the GOP’s latest outrageous ask:

… Sens. Ted Cruz (R-Texas) and Tim Scott (R-South Carolina) will send a letter to Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent on Tuesday urging him to use executive authority to reduce some of the taxes paid on capital gains — a change that would lower the tax burden on Americans selling stocks, businesses, homes and other assets, according to a copy obtained by The Washington Post ahead of its release. The senators argue the administration does not need congressional approval to make the shift, although some conservative legal experts and Treasury officials have disagreed with that conclusion in the past…

The plan pushed by Cruz and Scott has been sought by conservatives for many years. Under current law, an investor who bought $100 worth of stock in 1990 and sold it today for $300 would currently owe capital gains taxes on the full $200 in profit. But the $100 investment in 1990 would be worth roughly $230 in today’s dollars after accounting for inflation. Under the Cruz-Scott proposal, the investor would only owe taxes on that $70, rather than the full $200. That is why the proposal is known as “indexing capital gains for inflation.”…

The proposal, however, faces significant legal and political headwinds. A 1992 opinion by the Justice Department’s Office of Legal Counsel concluded that Treasury does not have the authority to make such a change unilaterally — and that it would require an act of Congress. Any executive action along these lines would likely face immediate legal challenges.

Critics also argue that the benefits would flow overwhelmingly to the wealthy. The Penn Wharton Budget Model found during Trump’s first term that the top 1 percent of income earners would receive roughly 86 percent of the benefits from indexing capital gains to inflation, while the bottom 80 percent of earners would receive just 1 percent…

government small enough to fit inside every child's bedroom and pick out their clothes every school day

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— Henry (@henrythedog.bsky.social) March 10, 2026 at 12:46 AM

A high-powered Chicago law firm announced a plan Monday to push for the appointment of a special prosecutor to investigate and potentially charge the agents who carried out Operation Midway Blitz.
@sophiesherry.bsky.social reports: chicago.suntimes.com/crime/2026/0…

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— Jon Seidel (@jonseidel.bsky.social) March 9, 2026 at 10:01 PM

BREAKING: Alexander Butterfield, the Richard Nixon aide who disclosed the Watergate tapes, dies at 99.

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— The Associated Press (@apnews.com) March 9, 2026 at 3:51 PM

show full post on front page

It’s day 9 of Trump’s reckless Iran War—and he’s now spent over $9.5 BILLION of your tax dollars. That’s more than USDA spends every year, in every school, on free breakfasts for students in America.

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— Rep. Jim McGovern (@repmcgovern.bsky.social) March 9, 2026 at 1:34 PM

In the 60s it was “suppose they gave a war and nobody came.” Now it’s “suppose we did a war and then said that we didn’t do a war and also we already won the war and we beat you shut up”

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— Special Envoy for the Shield of the Popehats (@kenwhite.bsky.social) March 9, 2026 at 5:51 PM

Iran launched new attacks at Gulf Arab countries as it kept up pressure on the Middle East in a war that has sent oil prices surging and stunned global economies.

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— The Associated Press (@apnews.com) March 10, 2026 at 3:49 AM

It's me, an Indian sea captain piloting an unarmed, unarmored, horizontal skyscraper full of liquid hellfire through a narrow strait full of mines, drones and commando boats because an American who makes seven figures to sit on a couch and wants an arrow on a TV to turn green called me chicken.

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— Zeddy (@zeddary.bsky.social) March 9, 2026 at 11:20 AM

Indeed, assuming this represents current policy, it is an open admission that the regime change effort has failed, de-nuclearization is likewise impossible or impractical and the only objective that remains is to extricate from a costly failure.

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— "Online Rent-a-Sage" Bret Devereaux (@bretdevereaux.bsky.social) March 9, 2026 at 3:36 PM

The Content Wars of 2026

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— Zeddy (@zeddary.bsky.social) March 9, 2026 at 8:13 PM

Trump on his war on Iran: "We talked about that with President Putin. He was very impressed with what he saw."

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— Aaron Rupar (@atrupar.com) March 9, 2026 at 6:19 PM

Is this the first KIA for Space Force?

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— Ray Radlein (@radlein.bsky.social) March 9, 2026 at 11:15 PM

Tuesday Morning Open ThreadPost + Comments (270)

On The Road – Elma – International Garden Tour Part 1

by WaterGirl|  March 10, 20265:16 am| 19 Comments

This post is in: On The Road, Photo Blogging

Elma

One of the things I like to do, when I travel, is to visit botanical gardens. I went back through my travel photo archive for some pictures to share. The first part is a visit to Keukenhof Gardens in the Netherlands. This trip was with the University of Wisconsin Alumni Association in 2008. It was a river boat tour of Holland and Belgium and the garden visit was an excursion. Although the distance from place to place in the Netherlands is insignificant by American standards, the traffic made for a long bus ride.

On The Road - Elma - International Garden Tour Part 1 9
Netherlands

It was raining when we arrived.

 

On The Road – Elma – International Garden Tour Part 1Post + Comments (19)

Late Night Open Thread: Ave Atque Vale, Troops

by Anne Laurie|  March 10, 20262:27 am| 53 Comments

This post is in: Military, Open Threads

$6.9 million of lobster tail in a month????? What would you even do with that much lobster

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— Amanda Katz (@katzish.bsky.social) March 10, 2026 at 12:38 AM

Surf & turf is the classic meal they serve when they’re about to tell you your deployment has been extended so…

— tawdryhepburn9.bsky.social (@tawdryhepburn9.bsky.social) March 10, 2026 at 12:42 AM

“Surf and turf before the storm“

But seriously, it’s not that they had any actual plans…

The Pentagon spent more money in September—the end of the 2025 fiscal year—than it had in any other year since 2008. But a good chunk of the budget wasn’t used for anything that could be considered a pertinent military expense.

The Defense Department burned through $93 billion that month alone, signing checks left and right in order to dry up its congressionally allocated budget, according to a recent analysis by the government watchdog Open the Books…

Some of the frivolous September purchases made under Secretary Pete Hegseth’s stewardship include a $98,329 Steinway & Sons grand piano for the Air Force chief of staff’s home, $5.3 million for Apple devices such as the new iPad, and an astronomical amount of shellfish, including $2 million for Alaskan king crab and $6.9 million worth of lobster tail. (Lobster tail is apparently a favorite of Hegseth’s Pentagon—the department spent more than $7.4 million total on the luxury item in March, May, June, and October.)…

One of the largest bulk expenditures was just for furniture, for which the Pentagon decided to shell out $225 million. That included $12,000 for fruit basket stands, and checks totaling more than $60,000 for Herman Miller recliners. All in all, the agency spent more on furniture in 2025 than it had in over a decade.

In the last five days of September alone, the department blew through $50.1 billion on just grants and contracts. For context, only nine other countries spend that much on the entirety of their defense budget per year. It’s also more than the total military budgets of Canada and Mexico combined…

Why does one get the feeling that ‘fruit basket stands’ is a code for ‘Hegseth’s personal alcohol allowance’?

Late Night Open Thread: Ave Atque Vale, TroopsPost + Comments (53)

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