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Balloon Juice

Come for the politics, stay for the snark.

Today in our ongoing national embarrassment…

The fight for our country is always worth it. ~Kamala Harris

Just because you believe it, that does not make it true.

Giving up is unforgivable.

If you’re gonna whine, it’s time to resign!

“woke” is the new caravan.

Nothing worth doing is easy.

“They all knew.”

Fuck these fucking interesting times.

They are lying in pursuit of an agenda.

When tyranny becomes law, rebellion becomes duty. ~Thomas Jefferson

If you can’t control your emotions, someone else will.

Republican speaker of the house Mike Johnson is the bland and smiling face of evil.

Fight for a just cause, love your fellow man, live a good life.

Be a wild strawberry.

The words do not have to be perfect.

The party of Reagan has become the party of Putin.

Optimism opens the door to great things.

Conservatism: there are people the law protects but does not bind and others who the law binds but does not protect.

One of our two political parties is a cult whose leader admires Vladimir Putin.

Every one of the “Roberts Six” lied to get on the court.

The truth is, these are not very bright guys, and things got out of hand.

They spent the last eight months firing professionals and replacing them with ideologues.

“Until such time as the world ends, we will act as though it intends to spin on.”

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Open Thread:  Hey Lurkers!  (Holiday Post)

Open Threads

You are here: Home / Archives for Open Threads

Monday Afternoon Open Thread

by WaterGirl|  May 20, 20245:20 pm| 78 Comments

This post is in: Open Threads, Politics

I am playing catch-up today.

No lie told, as rikyrah would say.

Justice Alito turned the flag upside down. Donald Trump turned the Bible upside down. MAGA turned the Capitol upside down. The Roberts Court turned the Constitution upside down. Let’s set America right side up in November.

— Jamie Raskin (@jamie_raskin) May 20, 2024

I laughed out loud, literally.

BREAKING: FBI updates their BOLO for the DC Pipe Bomber.

“Bleach blonde bad built butch body.”

— Jack E. Smith ⚖️ (@7Veritas4) May 17, 2024

Now this is what I call an indictment:

Not surprising. At all. https://t.co/R6IPe6M53s

— Jack E. Smith ⚖️ (@7Veritas4) May 16, 2024

And this sounds like an old-fashioned ass whipping!

!!!!! Judge MERCHAN to Costello: “Are you staring me down right now? Clear the courtroom!” https://t.co/2k6g6qK8df

— Hugo Lowell (@hugolowell) May 20, 2024

Open thread.

Monday Afternoon Open ThreadPost + Comments (78)

Open Thread: Randy Rainbow Brings the Fire

by TaMara|  May 20, 20242:42 pm| 34 Comments

This post is in: Open Threads

Thought we could use an open thread. If you still need to process Betty C’s news, you can continue here, too.

Open Thread: Randy Rainbow Brings the Fire

And a few happy flowers from my garden.

Open thread

Open Thread: Randy Rainbow Brings the FirePost + Comments (34)

Trump’s NY Criminal Trial, Day 19 (Michael Cohen Cross)

by WaterGirl|  May 20, 20249:15 am| 108 Comments

This post is in: Open Threads

It’s Day 19 of the trial.

Michael Cohen cross continues today!

Michael Cohen must be exhausted after all these days of testimony and cross.   More cross examination today, and surely redirect, because Justice Merchan expects closing arguments and jury instructions on Tuesday.

Stormy Daniels had her Wednesday off a couple of weeks ago, and she was able to come back and be even better as she handled the cross from the defense.  Hoping Cohen does the same.

Very much hoping the defense didn’t use their 3-day weekend to improve their performance – it feels like the defense picked up steam on Thursday and I don’t want to see that repeated.

Best sources of live blogging that I have found.

Josh Kovensky (TPM)   live blogging

Mark Sumner (Daily Kos)  live blogging

Tyler McBrien (Lawfare) on twitter

Good morning from 100 Centre St for what could be the final week of Trump’s NY criminal trial

I’ll be reporting it all for @lawfare, alongside @AnnaBower, @qjurecic, and Ben Wittes.

Join me, won’t you? 🧵⚖️ pic.twitter.com/IqKvfLxeC9

— Tyler McBrien (@TylerMcBrien) May 20, 2024

Anna Bower (Lawfare) on twitter

Good morning from 100 Centre Street, where Donald Trump’s criminal trial is set to resume.

On deck today: The cross examination of Michael Cohen is set to wrap up.

Will the defense call any witnesses to the stand once the prosecution rests its case?

Follow along 👇 ⬇️ 👇 pic.twitter.com/XNFtHyxlf8

— Anna Bower (@AnnaBower) May 20, 2024

Adam Klasfeld on twitter

Good morning from New York.

Michael Cohen’s cross examination continues. Prosecutors have another chance to have Cohen clarify his testimony—and then, a moment of truth amid the will-he-or-won’t-he speculation.

Will Trump or any other defense witness testify?

Follow along 🧵

— Adam Klasfeld (@KlasfeldReports) May 20, 2024

Lisa Rubin on twitter

NEW: Morning from 100 Centre Street, where proceedings will start early this morning for matters outside the jury’s presence before Michael Cohen’s last stretch on the stand. pic.twitter.com/u5KrE5FBRN

— Lisa Rubin (@lawofruby) May 20, 2024

AP Live blogging

Still loving this awesome image.

But I may need to find a new one for tomorrow, with closing arguments and jury instructions.  If anyone has a great image for that, please send it my way.

Update:

(NBC) Upon taking the stand, Merchan said it has “become apparent that we are not going to sum up tomorrow.”

Closing arguments will instead happen the Tuesday after Memorial Day, or May 28, Merchan said, to ensure there are not multiple days between summations

h/t Scout211

Update 2:  Whoa, Trump still thinks he wants to testify?  His attorneys must be stroking out.

Open thread.

Trump’s NY Criminal Trial, Day 19 (Michael Cohen Cross)Post + Comments (108)

Late Night Monsters Open Thread: Governor Greg Abbott, Not A Good Man

by Anne Laurie|  May 20, 20242:11 am| 35 Comments

This post is in: Gun Issues, Justice, Open Threads, Republican Venality

The Klan is thriving in Texas. https://t.co/xxLGHL2FMB pic.twitter.com/PYUW7ChYwX

— Liberal Hegemony Enjoyer (@Danofran) May 16, 2024

Per the Associated Press, “Texas governor pardons ex-Army sergeant convicted of killing Black Lives Matter protester”:

Texas Gov. Greg Abbott issued a full pardon Thursday for a former U.S. Army sergeant convicted of murder for fatally shooting an armed demonstrator in 2020 during nationwide protests against police violence and racial injustice.

Abbott announced the pardon shortly after the Texas Board of Pardons and Paroles announced a unanimous recommendation that Daniel Perry be pardoned and have his firearms rights restored.

Perry had been in state prison on a 25-year sentence since his 2023 conviction in the killing of Garrett Foster, and was released shortly after the pardon, a prison spokeswoman said.

Perry, who is white, was working as a ride-share driver when his car approached a demonstration in Austin. Prosecutors said he could have driven away from the confrontation with Foster, a white Air Force veteran who witnesses said never raised his gun…

A Republican in his third term, Abbott has typically issued pardons only for minor offenses, and he notably avoided a posthumous pardon recommendation for George Floyd for a 2004 drug arrest in Houston. It was Floyd’s killing by a white police officer in Minneapolis in 2020 that set off national demonstrations…

Abbott’s demand for a review of Perry’s case followed pressure from former Fox News star Tucker Carlson, who on national television had urged the governor to intervene after the sergeant was convicted at trial in April 2023. Perry was sentenced after prosecutors used his social media history and text messages to portray him as a racist who may commit violence again…

Seems bad Greg Abbott pardoned this guy https://t.co/wYtyIPAPW5

— James Medlock (@jdcmedlock) May 16, 2024

show full post on front page

The jury that convicted Daniel Perry didn't "nullify" Perry's right to self-defense. It decided that a guy who lusts over killing protesters and then drives into a group of protesters and shoots one who didn't pose him a threat isn't defending himself.https://t.co/K2FRDgCeMg

— Andrew Egger (@EggerDC) May 17, 2024

The thing not to forget about all this is that Daniel Perry was tried by a jury of his peers, in which all of these issues – self-defense, open carry, etc. – were fully litigated, and the jury found him guilty of murder. Abbott is overriding that decision for political reasons.

— James Surowiecki (@JamesSurowiecki) May 17, 2024

The point of the pardon is to demonstrate that open-carry (and the 2nd amendment in general) applies only to white people. https://t.co/M87p2QqAGh

— Tom Hilton (@TVHilton) May 17, 2024

Late Night Monsters Open Thread: Governor Greg Abbott, Not A Good ManPost + Comments (35)

War for Ukraine Day 816: Singular Points of Failure Will Fail at Inopportune Times

by Adam L Silverman|  May 19, 20249:19 pm| 20 Comments

This post is in: Foreign Affairs, Foreign Policy, Military, Open Threads, Russia, Silverman on Security, War, War in Ukraine

Painting by NEIVANMADE. It has a white background an in the center are Soldiers in green doing air defense by firing at incoming Russian missiles in the upper right. The missiles are red and yellow. In the upper left, written in green, is the text: "SAVE THE BRAVEST PEOPLE IN THE WORLD!" Below the Soldiers, also written in green, is "SUPPORT FOR KHARKIV"

(Image by NEIVANMADE)

Quick housekeeping note: Ruby is back to her normal self. Rosie is still doing well. She goes for her next chemo treatment tomorrow, so I’ll have more to info on her condition tomorrow evening. Thank you to everyone for the good thoughts, well wishes, prayers, and donations. They are all most welcome.

Iranian President Raisi, as well as Iran’s Foreign Minister and several other Iranian officials, are all still missing as a result of an emergency hard landing by Raisi’s helicopter earlier today. The weather was bad when it went down and has gotten worse ever since. Rescue crews from Iran are on site and Turkey, and Russia are assisting in various ways. From all credible reports the helicopter made a hard landing, but people on board, such as the prayer leader from Tabriz, had been in contact with Iranian authorities. The biggest concerns at this point are because of the weather and the terrain. It is cold, damp, the rain has turned to snow, and those on the downed helicopter are in forested mountains.

Your daily Baykraktar:

BREAKING — Turkey’s Bayraktar Akinci drone detected a heat source, which is thought to be the wreckage of the helicopter carrying the Iranian President Raisi, and shared its coordinates with the Iranian authorities, Anadolu reports pic.twitter.com/HqI77lH8UM

— Ragıp Soylu (@ragipsoylu) May 20, 2024

 

https://tenor.com/bF5X9.gif

One of the reasons that Russia was able to make some initial quick gains in Kharkiv Oblast is because they had worked out a way to jam the Ukrainian’s Starlinks!

https://twitter.com/shashj/status/1791764421309542539

The Washington Post has the details: (emphasis mine)

KHARKIV, Ukraine — Russia’s new offensive across Ukraine’s northeastern border had been expected for months — yet it still surprised the Ukrainian soldiers stationed there to defend against it.

Ukraine’s 125th Territorial Defense Brigade — stretched thin along a roughly 27-mile stretch of the Kharkiv region’s border with Russia — used reconnaissance drones to monitor, daily, how Moscow was steadily building up forces for a possible attack. But the morning it happened, May 10, the brigade lost all its video feeds due to Russian electronic jamming.

Its Starlink devices — satellite internet the Ukrainian military relies on for basic communication — failed, the first time it was knocked out completely for them since Russia’s invasion in February 2022.

“We were left at a certain point completely blind,” said a drone unit commander in the brigade. The Post agreed to identify him by his call sign, Artist, in keeping with Ukrainian military protocol.

“This was the biggest problem, we didn’t see how they were moving, we only worked through radio or through phones where they still worked,” Artist, a 53-year-old sergeant, said. The drone feeds, he said, “simply disappeared.”

But Russia’s battlefield gains in recent days were not only a result of Ukrainian shortfalls.

Begrudgingly, Ukrainian troops admit that their enemy has gotten smarter and adapted, especially with technological advancements such as electronic warfare — a sharp contrast with the first year of the invasion, when Russia’s own blunders and overconfidence allowed the Ukrainians to hold key cities and later liberate large swaths of territory in successful counteroffensives.

The new Russian advances, in Kharkiv and in the neighboring Donetsk region, have prompted questions about the viability of Ukraine’s defense — not only if Kyiv can fulfill its promise of expelling all invaders, but also if Russia will soon overpower Ukraine’s forces and seize more territory.

The latest assault on the Kharkiv border has forced Ukraine to redirect some reserves north, potentially imperiling other positions.

Even as they watched the Russians building up forces, Artist, the drone commander in the 125th Brigade, said the Ukrainians were largely unable to construct the kind of fortified defense lines now being emphasized by the government and by military commanders.

The Russians’ own layered web of “dragon’s teeth” antitank pyramid blocks, mines and concrete-reinforced trenches proved effective against Ukraine’s disappointing southeastern counteroffensive last summer.

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky even visited the Kharkiv border in April to inspect the newly reinforced defenses. But Artist and other soldiers said that every time the units stationed here tried to build fortified lines, the Russians — using their own reconnaissance drones — would monitor their activity and fire on them.

Excavators and other engineering equipment were needed but not brought in because it would have been easily destroyed by the Russians.

Especially with the U.S. aid lagging, Ukrainian soldiers said they lacked the means to fire back and give themselves the time to build stronger defenses. The Ukrainians were also prohibited by the White House from using U.S.-provided weapons to strike Russia despite the Russians firing at them from across the border.

Artist said that soldiers in his unit would dig with shovels at night. “We tried to do what we could, but it’s not the same,” he said.

“Because the soil is very heavy here, it’s machines that can dig through that and machinery that can install concrete fortifications,” he added. “We weren’t able to do that. Ammunition, artillery could have protected us. … People would’ve been able to work in those moments. But sadly, we have wasted a lot. More than half a year has been wasted because we weren’t able to do this.”

More at the link!

There are two issues here. The first is that the Ukrainians rely on Starlink and if Starlink goes down, is jammed, or Musk decides to screw the Ukrainians, they are immediately at a disadvantage. The reliance on Starlink, which is facilitated by a very large DOD contract, has created a single point of failure. Right now it has led to Russian gains in Kharkiv. Over time it could lead to Russian gains elsewhere. It also demonstrates a strategic failure on the part of the DOD. Shoveling more money at Musk and his companies while treating him like a head of state isn’t going to solve enduring US defense problems. All it is going to do is create more singular points of failure.

The second issue is that we are continuing to see the effects of the congressional GOP’s intransigence and hostility towards Ukraine combined with the Biden administration’s strategic confusion regarding Ukraine ripple through time and space. We are back in for want of a nail territory. People are complaining of the failure of the Ukrainian MOD and general staff to ensure the layered defenses were emplaced. It is, of course, almost impossible to do that when you cannot defend your personnel trying to emplace them.

Here is President Zelenskyy’s address from earlier today. Video below, English transcript after the jump.

show full post on front page

The Occupier Fails to Achieve Its Goal of Stretching Our Forces Thin and Thus Weakening Ukraine – Address by the President

19 May 2024 – 19:19

I wish you health, fellow Ukrainians!

Today, as every day, our primary focus is on all areas of hostilities – the entire defense line. There was a report from the Commander-in-Chief – General Syrskyi is on the frontline, directly in our combat brigades. As a result of these days – of the whole week – we have secured stronger positions in the Kharkiv region. The 57th brigade, the 82nd air assault brigade – thank you, warriors! At the same time, our forces are quite effectively destroying the occupier in the Donetsk directions – in particular, in the areas of Chasiv Yar and other locations. In fact, the occupier fails to achieve its goal of stretching our forces thin and thus weakening Ukraine on a wide front from the Kharkiv to the Donetsk regions. I thank each of our soldiers, each sergeant, each officer who courageously and steadfastly fulfill combat orders and hold our positions. I would like to especially recognize the 41st brigade, first of all, the DIU special units “Kraken” and “Artan,” and the National Guard units for battles these days. Thank you, guys, for Chasiv Yar – for destroying Russian equipment and repelling the assaults! And I would also like to thank the 225th separate assault battalion – well done!

Second. I am thankful to all our units of the State Emergency Service of Ukraine and the National Police, every medical worker, and all the repair crews involved in eliminating the consequences of Russian strikes. Brutal Russian shelling and missile attacks, attacks with guided aerial bombs continue every day. Sumy region, Kharkiv region. Donetsk region, Zaporizhzhia, Mykolaiv region, cities of Dnipropetrovsk region. Whatever the difficulties, there is a proper response of our emergency services – of all those who save lives – everywhere. Today, I would like to recognize the rescuers of the Kharkiv region who have shown themselves in helping our people – Andriy Plakhonin, Artem Kostyria, Maksym Tomko, Vladyslav Kasyaniuk, Andriy Skyba, Stanislav Neshcheretnyi – all the employees of the State Emergency Service in the Kharkiv region. Thank you! I am also grateful to Svitlana Shovkova, a doctor at the Vovchansk Emergency Medical Department. I am also grateful to the rescuers of the State Emergency Service of Ukraine in the Sumy region – Yevhen Kostrov, Andriy Olkhovskyi, Serhiy Kovbasa, Ihor Ponomarenko. I would like to thank the feldshers of the emergency teams working in the Sumy region who have distinguished themselves over the past few days and weeks – Maryna Bakun and Oleh Yefymenko – for their dedication. And the repair crew members who are restoring normalcy after the Russian shelling in the Sumy region – Oleksandr Stoliarenko, Serhiy Kyslyi and all your colleagues. I am grateful to everyone who helps our entire country to stand against Russian terror and protect lives by fulfilling their professional duties. I am grateful to everyone who fights for our country and who helps others to get through this difficult time!

Glory to Ukraine!

Washington, DC:

https://twitter.com/shashj/status/1791882993524482231

Because the WSJ is paywalled, here are the details via Militarnyi:

Ukraine has asked the United States to help identify targets in Russia for Kyiv to strike using its own weapons.

It has also asked the U.S. to lift restrictions on the use of American-provided weapons against military objectives inside Russia.

The Wall Street Journal reported on this with reference to U.S. and defense officials.

The request from Ukraine was received last week and is currently being considered by the Biden administration.

At a briefing on May 17, John Kirby, Coordinator of the National Security Council at the White House, said that Washington does not currently support helping Kyiv select targets or using US weapons to strike Russian territory.

“We do not encourage or support attacks on Russian soil, which has been our longstanding policy,” Kirby said.

According to the media, the United States provided Ukraine with ATACMS tactical ballistic missiles and other weapons systems on the condition that Ukraine would not use them to strike targets in Russia.

It is noted that this caveat, which Kyiv agreed to as a condition for receiving weapons, was intended to reduce the risk of the conflict escalating into a direct confrontation between the United States and Russia.

The Pentagon previously also stated that it believes that the weapons provided by the United States to Ukraine as part of military assistance should be used within Ukrainian territory.

Sabrina Singh, Deputy Pentagon Press Secretary in the Department of Defense, stated that during a briefing.

President of Ukraine Volodymyr Zelenskyi reacted to restrictions on the use of Western weapons by the Ukrainian Defense Forces to strike Russian soil.

According to Zelenskyi, there should be no restrictions on the use of Western weapons, as this is not a matter of Ukraine’s offensive, but a matter of defense against Russian attacks.

Right now the Russians can mass personnel and equipment that will be used against Ukraine just across the border, but Ukraine is not allowed to use the US supplied munitions to destroy them until they actually cross into Ukraine and start destroying Ukrainian infrastructure and killing Ukrainians. This is just stupidity being presented as strategic genius.

Timofiy Mylovanov, the head of the Kyiv School of Economics, has some thoughts on the strategic reality in DC that the Ukrainians have figured out. Via the Thread Reader App:

Zelensky says the West doesn’t want Ukraine to win. His words are careful, but the meaning is clear.

He talks about the U.S. fear of Russia loosing and thus preventing Ukraine from winning

But the implication is simple – the war will go on 1/

kyivindependent.com/zelensky-our-p…
Image

Zelensky: ‘Our partners fear that Russia will lose this war’President Volodymyr Zelensky believes that Ukraine’s partners “are afraid of Russia losing the war” and would like Kyiv “to win in such a way that Russia does not lose,” Zelensky said in a meeting wit…https://kyivindependent.com/zelensky-our-partners-fear-that-russia-will-lose-this-war/
Indeed, if Ukraine gets just enough support not to lose, Russia will be tempted to keep trying. Until Putin dies! 2/ 
Some might argue it is not true and U.S. is doing all it can to help Ukraine, but it is not easy. There are elections, a dysfunctional Congress etc

True, but not. That’s not the reason for why the aid to Ukraine is delayed, limited, and restricted in use 3/ 

Remember HIMARS? Too escalatory to give to Ukraine. ATACAMS, NASAMS, tanks, artillery, drones, F16s, Patriots… it is always the same story. Eventually Ukraine gets it but only after a long delay and tons of excuses why this isn’t possible or may provoke Russia. 4/ 
So, this is a clear policy, not an unfortunate coincidence of circumstances. The US wants to support Ukraine but not enough for it to win.

But then what’s the U.S. strategy about how to end the war? 5/ 

My sense is that there is some vague idea that eventually Putin would be willing to negotiate and then ukraine can be divided. Of course, no one will say that publicly, but behind every closed door there are signals to be “realistic”. 6/ 
In fact, Putin uses similar language when he talks about “the need to respect realities on the ground”. 7/ 
I am not saying that Russia and the US are colluding to split Ukraine. Far from it. But it’s true that both Russia and the U.S. expect Ukraine to give up some territory. Russia says this directly. The US doesn’t, but it surely acts that way by restricting Ukraine’s capabilities/ 
While I don’t agree with that outcome, let’s consider it seriously for a second. Imagine the U.S. wants to freeze the conflict at some contact line. 8/ 
Russia wants to freeze it in such a way so it can leverage it in the future, politically or militarily. It can attack again in 5 years time. Or it can hope to impose political conditions on Ukraine that will eventually turn it into Belarus. 9/ 
It might not succeed but it will definitely try.

What does the U.S. want? A sustainable peace. So that the problem goes away. It doesn’t care about territory or people in Ukraine, but wants the fighting to stop, on whatever terms 10/ 

What should happen for the fighting to stop? The contact line should stop moving. Because as long as it moves both parties are engaged and will try harder. 11/ 
But this requires giving Ukraine sufficient support so no matter how hard Russia tries, Ukraine can hold.

The U.S. believes it can manage this support on day to day or month to month basis. It worries that if it gives Ukraine too much support, it will win the war 12/ 

The fear there if that if Russia loses it can get destabilized. And that would be very scary, clear weapons, aggressive military … the U.S. certainly has a point, although I reasonably disagree with it.13/ 
In my view, the only way to achieve stability in the region is for Russia to loose. It has to learn that it doesn’t always win, it doesn’t always get away with whatever it does. Because otherwise it will continue to disrupt the region. 14/ 
Anyway, even if one were to agree with the U.S. position, the way they are going about it is wrong. There is no way they can do measured weapons delivery to hold the line. Russia will outplay them. This is exactly what is happening in Kharkiv now. 15/ 
My point is that the U.S. should become real and decide whether it wants Ukraine to win or not. If it does, it should give proper support. If it doesn’t, the there should be a realistic alternative to the war which will last “as long as it takes” [for Putin to die]X 
If the US withdraws support, Ukraine might fall. Despite their rhetoric to support Ukraine “as long as it takes”, the U.S. politicians might not care that much. But they are wrong and they should. 2/ 
If Ukraine falls, Russia will be emboldened, there will be a major refugee crises from Ukraine – we will be seeing 10s of millions of people, and Russia friendly state then will border Poland. 3/ 
Russia will quickly turn Ukraine into a to Belarus or worse. The world will watch with horror war crimes in occupied territories. And the politicians in the West who allowed this disaster to happen will carry political responsibility. 

I have written here many times that the Biden administration’s actual policy, as evidenced by what his administration is doing versus what they’re saying, is to do just enough so that Ukraine can’t lose, but not enough so that Ukraine can win. Largely either out of fear of what Putin might do if enough assistance was provided for Ukraine to win or what might happen should Putin and Russia lose. The Ukrainians are not stupid. They have also long recognized this unfortunate reality. They also recognize that they are unlikely to get much more aid from the US beyond the supplemental that finally passed. As such, they are speaking their minds instead of holding their tongues.

Sevastopol, Russian occupied Crimea:

Another bad day for the russian Black Sea Fleet.

Overnight, Ukrainian defenders destroyed a russian minesweeper Project 266M "Kovrovets".
Great job, warriors! pic.twitter.com/ol4reKtuN6

— Defense of Ukraine (@DefenceU) May 19, 2024

/1. In the morning Ukrainian sources reported that Russian Project 266M Kovrovets was destroyed/damaged. Soon some Russian sources began to leak information that there was indeed a damaged/destroyed Russian ship during tonight’s strikes on Sevastopol, but it was not Kovrovets,… https://t.co/6i0to5eQZt pic.twitter.com/awsCz9MXaq

— Special Kherson Cat 🐈🇺🇦 (@bayraktar_1love) May 19, 2024

/1. In the morning Ukrainian sources reported that Russian Project 266M Kovrovets was destroyed/damaged. Soon some Russian sources began to leak information that there was indeed a damaged/destroyed Russian ship during tonight’s strikes on Sevastopol, but it was not Kovrovets, but “something worth”, without going to much into details.

Now there are such claims regarding the ship that was targeted:

“Project 22800 Karakurt “Cyclone” was hit. Information from the source. Requires additional confirmation.

It is reported that tonight, May 19, 2024, a missile attack was carried out on a small missile ship of Project 22800 “Cyclone” in the port of Sevastopol.

The strike was carried out by two ATACMS ballistic missiles.

As a result of the strike, 6 servicemen of the Russian Black Sea Fleet were killed and 11 more were injured.

The ship was sunk.”

https://t.me/dosye_shpiona/529

A quick boxing/prize fighting update:

This.
Is.
Ukraine!! https://t.co/wTVwrWkuyI

— Illia Ponomarenko 🇺🇦 (@IAPonomarenko) May 19, 2024

Not sure where this is in Ukraine, but I expect it is Sumy Oblast:

Shaheds in the morning pic.twitter.com/osqPVj2fLs

— Illia Ponomarenko 🇺🇦 (@IAPonomarenko) May 19, 2024

Kharkiv:

Today is a day of mourning in Kharkiv region.

Russian attacks killed at least 11 civilians over the last 24 hours or so, including a pregnant woman.

— Illia Ponomarenko 🇺🇦 (@IAPonomarenko) May 19, 2024

UPD. According to the Kharkiv Oblast prosecutors’s office, two women were injured.

— Iryna Voichuk (@IrynaVoichuk) May 19, 2024

Footage from a recreation center near Kharkiv, where six people died, including a woman who was 7 months pregnant. 27 more were injured, including an 8-year-old child – Internal Affairs Ministry.

Shortly after the first strike, Russia launched a second one – it injured a… https://t.co/IJiGhYT7Vv pic.twitter.com/xYh0xvLUjt

— Anton Gerashchenko (@Gerashchenko_en) May 19, 2024

Footage from a recreation center near Kharkiv, where six people died, including a woman who was 7 months pregnant. 27 more were injured, including an 8-year-old child – Internal Affairs Ministry.

Shortly after the first strike, Russia launched a second one – it injured a police officer and a paramedic who had arrived after the first strike to rescue people. This is not the first time the Russians have used the tactic of double strikes.

“One of the victims was killed 100 meters from the base, he was fishing – a direct hit of a fragment to the heart,” head of the Kharkiv regional police investigation department.

📹: Oleksandr Titov/Nakypilo

 

I recognized this place, having spent many happy times there with friends. It was always full of life. Today, people enjoying a peaceful Sunday morning in nature near Kharkiv became targets of a russian missile strike.

📹Suspilne Kharkiv, Denys Klymenko/Gwara media pic.twitter.com/gcOtYJ8jHB

— Iryna Voichuk (@IrynaVoichuk) May 19, 2024

“As long as it takes” for Russia to destroy Ukraine apparently🤷‍♂️ https://t.co/dwlb4EJMv5

— Andriy Haydash (@andriyhaydash) May 19, 2024

I’ve seen the videos of the aftermath of this strike. You do not need to go looking for them!!

The death toll from a russian missile strike on a suburb of Kharkiv has risen to six. A 68-year-old man died of his wounds in hospital. pic.twitter.com/h7vhyeJSPO

— Iryna Voichuk (@IrynaVoichuk) May 19, 2024

This was a double tap strike using Iskanders. An 8 year old girl and a woman who was seven months pregnant are among the killed and wounded.

Among those killed at the recreation base was a woman seven months pregnant. What is this if not a continuing genocide? pic.twitter.com/sYeVdYRxrc

— Maria Avdeeva (@maria_avdv) May 19, 2024

"Driving home, I saw an attack on the recreation center and immediately headed there. It was awful. On my way back, two UMPBs (guided bombs) flew overhead and hit the park and cemetery"—Just another typical day in Kharkiv.

📷 Yury Larin pic.twitter.com/wTq9c1Lkgl

— Maria Avdeeva (@maria_avdv) May 19, 2024

Briefly about the Kharkiv front:

> Ukraine asks the West for help with weapons because Ukrainian weapons alone are not enough to protect itself from Russia.
>The West provides weapons.
>The West prohibits Ukraine from using the supplied weapons against Russia.
>Ukraine is… https://t.co/5ud3jGSC65

— Special Kherson Cat 🐈🇺🇦 (@bayraktar_1love) May 19, 2024

Briefly about the Kharkiv front:

> Ukraine asks the West for help with weapons because Ukrainian weapons alone are not enough to protect itself from Russia.
>The West provides weapons.
>The West prohibits Ukraine from using the supplied weapons against Russia.
>Ukraine is forced to fight against Russia only with its own weapons.

Ukrainian Marine Kriegsforscher has posted a long thread detailing what is going on in Kharkiv Oblast where he is currently deployed. From the Thread Reader App:

My company and I are involved in the battle for Vovchansk, Kharkiv oblast.

When I one month ago have «predicted» that RUAF will attack in Kharkiv oblast I didn’t expect to take part in this. I was sure about Donetsk oblast😵‍💫

Well, that’s my third time here🧵Image

May 2022, Kharkiv oblast.

May 2024, Kharkiv oblast.

Again & again.
Image
Image

Frankly speaking, it’s very painful to watch this. People just had no time to evacuate in a proper way. They had a supper at their tables.

Very unpleasant feelings.

«Papa’s kitty house» it is written.Image

Our president said that we have no problems with artillery shells and no one complains. That’s not true and I see no point of lying in this situation.

Our artillery is firing, yes. But it’s incomparable with Russian artillery.

They may fire 6 SPG at once.Image

Most of their artillery (2S19 and 2S43) are located in Belgorod region, Russia.

And, unfortunately, we cannot fire them with American HIMARS (for example).

So we just suffer, resist and bite. If we only could fire Russian targets at their territory… 

Very strange emotions I feel. Right now our army is fighting where Germans and Soviets fought during the WWII.

German helmet.Image

But when Russians arrive to Ukraine — they burn.

Image
Image
Image

"Forgive me. I would never give you away."

A grandmother, who is being evacuated from Vovchansk, had to say goodbye to her dog. Volunteers are looking for a new home for the woman, but the dog was not allowed to stay in the dormitory, so he was taken to a shelter.

Thankfully,… pic.twitter.com/cxWuNMux74

— Anton Gerashchenko (@Gerashchenko_en) May 16, 2024

“Forgive me. I would never give you away.”

A grandmother, who is being evacuated from Vovchansk, had to say goodbye to her dog. Volunteers are looking for a new home for the woman, but the dog was not allowed to stay in the dormitory, so he was taken to a shelter.

Thankfully, volunteers were able to solve the situation and later, information appeared that the grandma and her doggie would soon be together.

I know that this situation happened to many Ukrainians, to those who are abroad as well because the housing conditions did not allow them to settle with their animals, so they were forced to give them to the shelter.

Damn Russia. Our pets are family members.

📹: shafranskaya.vtobi/TikTok

Sumy Oblast:

⚡️Russian forces attack 13 communities in Sumy Oblast, injuring 1.

Russian forces struck 13 communities in Ukraine's northeastern Sumy Oblast in 43 separate attacks throughout the day, injuring one person, the regional administration reported on May 19. At least 236 explosions…

— The Kyiv Independent (@KyivIndependent) May 19, 2024

From The Kyiv Independent:

Russian forces struck 13 communities in Ukraine’s northeastern Sumy Oblast in 43 separate attacks throughout the day, injuring one person, the regional administration reported on May 19. At least 236 explosions were recorded.

The communities of Khotin, Yunakivka, Bilopillia, Myropillia, Krasnopillia, Velyka Pysarivka, Nova Sloboda, Druzhba, Svesa, Hlukhiv, Shalyhyne, Esman, and Seredyna-Buda, were targeted.

A man in the Khotin community was reportedly injured as a result of the shelling.

Throughout the day, Russia assailed the border communities with mortar, mines, artillery, grenade launchers, and drone attacks.

The town of Bilopillia, with a pre-war population of about 15,600 residents, experienced the bulk of the attacks reported, with 68 explosions recorded in the area. The community is located just eight kilometers south of the Ukraine-Russia border.

Russian strikes against Sumy Oblast have become increasingly destructive in recent months. Amid intensified attacks, Ukrainian authorities ordered increased evacuations from the region.

Ukraine’s military intelligence chief, Kyrylo Budanov, said on May 14 that he expects Russia to launch a new attack in Sumy Oblast after the situation in Kharkiv Oblast stabilizes.

Shelling is a daily occurrence for the communities near Ukraine’s northeastern border with Russia, with residents in the region’s vulnerable border settlements experiencing multiple attacks per day.

Novomykhailivka:

Precision strikes on Russian positions on the Novomykhailivka fronthttps://t.co/2U7va8MNyZ pic.twitter.com/pG4XmcLKgO

— Special Kherson Cat 🐈🇺🇦 (@bayraktar_1love) May 19, 2024

Chasiv Yar:

On May 17th there was a big Russian attempted attack on Chasiv Yar, Bakhmut front. Approximately 20 AFVs were used by Russians in this attack.

In total 10 Russian AFVs were destroyed/damaged during the attack. One group of Russian infantry was able to land on the outskirts of… pic.twitter.com/7UB6ac5RIY

— Special Kherson Cat 🐈🇺🇦 (@bayraktar_1love) May 19, 2024

On May 17th there was a big Russian attempted attack on Chasiv Yar, Bakhmut front. Approximately 20 AFVs were used by Russians in this attack.

In total 10 Russian AFVs were destroyed/damaged during the attack. One group of Russian infantry was able to land on the outskirts of the town near multi-story buildings. But the group was cut off from Russian forces. In the evening of the 18th of May there were no more Russian infantry in the town.

“Currently there are also no Russians in the cities of Chasiv Yar.
For the third day in a row, Russians are trying to attack with AFV groups of up to 20 units.
On the morning of May 19, there was another attempt to break through the towns defenses, without success.
Some of the armored vehicles were destroyed, some moved back to their positions”

The last video shows part of the Russian infantry group that has reached Chasiv Yar but was cut of from the Russian forces and was captured by Ukrainian ‘Kraken’ unit.

https://t.me/kraken_kha/577

https://t.me/in_factum/24784

https://t.me/black_swan_ukraine/71…

https://t.me/kito_news/1071

https://t.me/kraken_kha/578

Krasnodar Krai, Russia:

Last night, not only did Fury miss a few hooks, but so did the Russian military airfield and oil refinery in Krasnodar Krai pic.twitter.com/qcVvLfLzHE

— Maria Avdeeva (@maria_avdv) May 19, 2024

This night there was a drone attack on Russian Slavyansk ECO oil refinery. This is not the first time this oil refinery is being targeted.

Slavyansk ECO in the Krasnodar Territory suspended operations after a drone attack last night, according to the company representatives.… https://t.co/qGVCNk9qiD pic.twitter.com/TzxVMUR3j3

— Special Kherson Cat 🐈🇺🇦 (@bayraktar_1love) May 19, 2024

 

This night there was a drone attack on Russian Slavyansk ECO oil refinery. This is not the first time this oil refinery is being targeted.

Slavyansk ECO in the Krasnodar Territory suspended operations after a drone attack last night, according to the company representatives.

“There were arrivals. The plant is now shut down. We are counting the damage and the law enforcement agencies are working,” he said.

He added that it is not yet clear when the plant will resume operations.

That’s enough for tonight.

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Open thread!

War for Ukraine Day 816: Singular Points of Failure Will Fail at Inopportune TimesPost + Comments (20)

Gun Humpers Open Thread: The NRA’s Annual Meeting in Dallas

by Anne Laurie|  May 19, 20244:01 pm| 85 Comments

This post is in: Elections 2024, Gun Issues, Open Threads, Trumpery

Former president Donald Trump addressed the embattled NRA in Dallas as the race for the White House heats up. There he promised to protect gun rights and roll back some of president Biden's gun reforms. @jayobtv talks to voters. https://t.co/ezEiVKcUUc pic.twitter.com/4THzUwbnHV

— World News Tonight (@ABCWorldNews) May 19, 2024

Per the Texas Tribune, “Trump, Abbott paint gun rights as imperiled at NRA convention”:

At the National Rifle Association’s annual convention on Saturday, Donald Trump and Gov. Greg Abbott encouraged the thousands gathered to vote for Trump in the 2024 presidential election as a way to ensure their Second Amendment rights…

Trump and Abbott spoke to a room packed with NRA members, some of which sported supportive attire from the standard-fare red caps to a dress covered with photos of the former president.

During the convention, the NRA released its endorsement for the 45th president, and the Trump political campaign announced the launch for the “Gun Owners for Trump” coalition.

Abbott touted his track record on gun rights by pointing to Texas laws passed last year, such as House Bill 3137 which prohibits local governments from requiring firearm owners to buy liability insurance. To energetic applause, he said the law ensured people would not be forced to pay to exercise their Second Amendment rights.

Almost to the day, the NRA convention takes place two years after the Uvalde school shooting, where an 18-year-old gunned down an elementary school with a legally purchased assault rifle. The shooter killed 19 fourth-graders and two teachers with an AR-15 style rifle…

“Donald Trump and Texas Republicans made the gun violence epidemic worse, especially in our state, where we have seen nine mass shootings just in the last 15 years,” said a statement by Gilberto Hinojosa, the Texas Democratic Party Chair, on Friday. “Even after Uvalde parents pleaded with Greg Abbott and Ted Cruz for commonsense gun safety laws, they decided, like Trump, that the NRA and gun lobby was more important.”

Instead the legislature approved a school safety bill that established preventative measures toward school shootings. The law included a mandate that every school must hire an armed security officer and the creation of a department within the Texas Education Agency that can compel districts to adhere to active-shooter protocols…

2/2 Texas Rally for Gun Violence Prevention & #NRA Accountability at Dallas City Hall Saturday morning.

Pics of local Dallas #MomsDemandAction chapter leaders and pro-gun safety North Texas politicians.👏🏻👏🏻 👏🏻 pic.twitter.com/QFTzdVThzh

— Scott Uhl (@ScottUhlTX) May 18, 2024

Per Politico, “Trump at NRA convention floats a three-term presidency”:

show full post on front page

… “You know, FDR 16 years — almost 16 years — he was four terms. I don’t know, are we going to be considered three-term? Or two-term?” Trump quipped at the National Rifle Association annual meeting, speaking before a crowd of gun rights supporters.

Some in the crowd shouted in response: “Three.”…

During a meandering speech in Dallas, Trump addressed thousands of gun rights supporters on Saturday. The former president spoke about guns and the Second Amendment, but also tackled immigration, foreign policy, the economy and abortion. He at one point slammed Robert F. Kennedy Jr. as “radical left,” while continuing his attacks on Biden and CNN about the debates…

Trump, intermittently pivoting back to the gun issue, spoke before a vastly different NRA than the one that threw its support behind him just eight years ago. In May 2016, the organization backed Trump and would go on to spend more than $30 million to help send him to the White House. On Saturday, the NRA endorsed Trump again, support that comes as both the former president and the nation’s top gun group face mounting legal challenges, raising questions about how much money the organization will be able to put behind Trump’s 2024 bid to return to power…

Trump used Saturday’s speech — his ninth time addressing the nation’s top gun lobby — to gin up enthusiasm among some of his staunchest supporters, a key constituency for fundraising. The NRA cheered Trump during his first term in office, as he appointed three conservative Supreme Court justices and took steps pushed by the gun lobby, including his designation of gun and ammunition retailers as critical infrastructure during Covid.

Trump also used the venue to rail against President Joe Biden’s restrictions on gun ownership and vowed to roll back gun safety provisions passed by his administration.

Biden has taken a number of steps to tackle gun violence, issuing a slew of executive actions and establishing the first-ever federal office of gun violence prevention — moves that have angered the gun lobby. The president most recently moved to expand background checks for gun purchases, in an effort to eliminate a loophole that has allowed sales of guns without background checks outside of brick-and-mortar stores.

As Trump headlined the event, the weight of the NRA’s backing and its relevance in the country’s politics this cycle is increasingly murky. The group has been embattled with scandals, internal power struggles and lawsuits that have emptied its coffers, spurring uncertainty about how much cash it can put forward to support Trump at a time his own war chest lags behind Biden’s.

“No matter what you’ve heard, we are strong. We are healthy. We are resolute, committed and united as ever,” said Andrew Arulanandam, interim CEO and executive vice president of the NRA, before Trump’s speech…

Trump starts playing QAnon music during his bizarre slur-filled NRA speech pic.twitter.com/tprP3rRxMR

— Biden-Harris HQ (@BidenHQ) May 18, 2024

… Addressing thousands of members of the NRA at their annual meeting in Texas, the former president stuck to his usual talking points, hailing the reversal of Roe v. Wade as an “amazing thing,” comparing himself to Al Capone, and insisting “genius” runs in his bloodline.

Then, as he wound down, in a disorienting shift, sentimental music began to play and Trump furrowed his brow and shook his head to deliver the grim message that America is “a failing nation.”

In a monologue set to melodramatic instrumental music, Trump described the current state of the country as if he were breaking the news to a small child that his mother had just died: “Now we are a nation in decline. We are a failing nation. We are a nation that has the highest inflation in 58 years, where banks are collapsing, and interest rates are skyrocketing.”…

“Where, and who, are these people, that would do this to our country? Who are these people who would ruin us and make us look like fools?” he said, before calling the U.S. a “drug-infested, crime-ridden nation, incapable of solving even the simplest of problems.”

With an economy that is collapsing into “a cesspool of ruin,” Trump said, and an educational system “at the bottom of every list,” America is no longer “admired” or even “listened to” on the world stage, he claimed.

He went on to call those who attacked the U.S. Capitol Building on Jan. 6 “hostages” who have been “unfairly imprisoned” simply for staging a “protest.”…

The list of grievances and horror stories went on and on, veering off at one point to “dirty” airports, where Trump claimed “you sit and wait for hours and then are notified that the plane won’t leave and they have no idea when they will.” To stop such “horror,” he said, NRA members need to “fight for America like no one has ever fought before” in the “final battle” that is the 2024 presidential election, vowing to “liberate our country from these tyrants and villains.”

Guess who banned guns today?!

NRA banned guns at Trump’s speech in Dallas

Trump bans guns at Mar-a-Lago, Trump Tower & all his properties

He bans guns at all his Klan rallies

But Trump has the nerve to tell us to just “get over it” when our kids are murdered?!

GIMME A BREAK

— Lindy Li (@lindyli) May 18, 2024

Gun Humpers Open Thread: The NRA’s Annual Meeting in DallasPost + Comments (85)

Special, so Fucking Special

by @heymistermix.com|  May 19, 202411:50 am| 124 Comments

This post is in: Open Threads

This was in Denver yesterday.  Right after I took this picture, the guy at the right asked me “Do you want to help get Bobby on the Colorado ballot?”  My answer, “Absolutely not.”  I’m usually polite to petition gatherers, but come on — Brain Worms Bobby, one of the few anti-vaxxers who actually might have needed Ivermectin?  Hard pass.  Not that it justifies rudeness towards them, but I’d bet a fair amount that these were paid petition-gathers because Junior’s new running mate has a big bank account and is paying for his ballot access effort.

Also, “Declare Your Independence” is a chef’s kiss effort to attract the glibertarian moths to this particular flame.  The target audience for this campaign is folks who have the same perspective as a house cat:  they’re the most independent and fierce individualists who’ve ever pooped in a box, never mind that their whole existence is dependent on the largesse of their owners.

 

Special, so Fucking SpecialPost + Comments (124)

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