
Well this is ungood:
Iran destroyed AN/TPY-2 THAAD radars at Al-Ruwais Air Base in the UAE and Muwaffaq Salti Air Base in Jordan, while satellite imagery confirms the AN/FPS-132 phased array radar in Qatar was also damaged, complicating missile defense across the region. #MiddleEast
— NOELREPORTS (@noelreports.com) March 3, 2026 at 5:28 PM
Anyhow, I told Amy! I’d answer her question from last night tonight.
your reports regularly note that Ukrainians are regaining ground now (phrased as regaining more than they’ve lost, so I gather that there’s actually movement in both directions on what have become somewhat static lines). I heard (a little less than four years ago now) that Putin and Russia, failing in that initial push, had already lost the war, even if they could continue the war until exhaustion stopped them. Is this evidence of a threshold being crossed? Has the tide turned? Gah, clichés: will the boys be home by Christmas? Seriously, is this an indicator that the outcome of the war is, in the end Ukrainian victory? I’m not sure that you accept the premise that, failing to win an overwhelming victory, Russia cannot win an attempted occupation against a hostile population, but I found the argument compelling, which made the past three and three quarters years all the more tragic. Do you have an opinion on that score that you’re willing to share?
Sure, the boys will eventually be home by Christmas. Just like in the 30 and 100 year wars. More seriously, what you’re finally seeing is some of what has been moving below the waterline or below the ice. Since early 2023 people – from pundits to think tankers to intel weenies – have been arguing that the conflict was frozen, would remain frozen, and that meant that Russia had won and Ukraine should negotiate terms and cut their losses. The reality, as I’ve explained here and as I explained in my professional work, is that the conflict was NOT frozen. Rather, there was a lot going on that wasn’t being reported, that wasn’t going to show up on satellite imagery, and it would eventually become apparent in a year or two. A lot of what we’re now seeing is the result of the quiet hard work done by the Ukrainians. This includes work by the HUR, both in operations we’ve seen and in their work with partisan undergrounds in Russian occupied areas. It includes all the weapon and counter-measure development. It includes the continuous development and redevelopment of the Ukrainian way of war.
Here are some of tonight’s outgoing Ukrainian fires:
HERE WE GO 🦅🦩🚀 DroneBomber
— MAKS 25 👀🇺🇦 (@maks23.bsky.social) March 3, 2026 at 1:55 PM
Here is President Zelenskyy’s address from earlier today. Video below, English transcript after the jump.
In the Spring, the Russians Are Not Going to Reduce the Number and Cynicism of Their Attacks; They Are Preparing to Target Critical Infrastructure in the Same Way – Address by the President
3 March 2026 – 19:44
I wish you health, fellow Ukrainians!
Today, I chaired a meeting of the National Security and Defense Council – a special session attended not only by central government officials, law enforcement, and the military, but also by representatives of the regions. All our regions and the largest cities were present. For each of them a specific plan has been prepared – covering energy, critical infrastructure, and logistics – for the next winter. Unfortunately, Kyiv was the only exception – the capital proved unprepared. But we will overcome this challenge as well. In fact, for all regions there is now one common task for the next winter and for the immediate period as well: in the spring, the Russians are not going to reduce the number and cynicism of their attacks; they are preparing to target critical infrastructure in the same way. Of course, we got through this winter – some communities, some of our cities were able to achieve better results in protection and in supporting people. Others failed completely, as we saw. Now we must take all the best experience from the regions, detailed tasks for the military and for our diplomacy, and implement two components of the nationwide strategy: to prepare for strikes in the near term and to prepare for the next winter so that there are no catastrophes or problems like those we faced this winter. Alternative generation and heat supply solutions, additional energy sources, real protection – taking into account the scale of all threats – all of this must be ensured. I thank every region, every mayor, and all Ukrainian communities that have already presented their resilience plans. I thank the Government for its work this winter and for the right approach to preparing for the next one. There are things we must do at our own level in Ukraine – specific work – and the biggest tasks lie with the communities and the military. There are tasks regarding air defense and the construction of protective structures. It is also clear what we need to agree on with our partners for the next heating season. I thank Naftogaz, all our Ukrainian energy companies, every repair crew, as well as Ukrzaliznytsia and the State Emergency Service of Ukraine – everyone who worked to help people get through this winter. Ukraine received the necessary imports – both gas and electricity. We are increasing the relevant capacities. Financial coordination with partners was also properly established. This must continue. Of course, due to the war with the Iranian regime, there are now challenges both regarding rising energy prices and the volume of air defense equipment supplies needed by us in Ukraine. But we must have adequate responses to this as well – all of us in the state must work together to ensure that.
I spoke with Ursula von der Leyen, in particular about the situation surrounding Iran and all the challenges. We also discussed our bilateral issues with the European Union. Ukraine is fulfilling its obligations, and we expect the same fair and sincere attitude toward Ukraine – toward the interests of our people.
Today I spoke with leaders of countries currently under attack from Iran – the President of the United Arab Emirates and the Amir of Qatar. We will continue this diplomatic engagement with the broader Middle East and Gulf region. Ukraine stands in solidarity with all those who are resisting the spread of war and violence. For decades, the Iranian regime has invested in destroying the lives of its neighbors and others wherever it could reach. It was on that very foundation that they became accomplices of Russia in the war against Ukraine. Every “shahed” drone in Ukrainian skies proves that the Iranian regime must be held accountable for its attempts to destroy lives and kill people. It is essential that those who defend life prevail in this confrontation. At the level of our teams – the Ukrainian team, the teams of the Emirates and Qatar, and other states – we will determine how, together, we can provide stronger protection for life. Ukraine’s expertise in countering “shahed” drones is currently the most advanced in the world, and these drones represent the primary challenge in that region as well. It is clear why so many requests are directed to Ukraine. However, any such cooperation aimed at protecting our partners can only proceed without diminishing our own defense capabilities here in Ukraine. Russia’s war against Ukraine continues, Russian strikes continue, and protecting Ukrainian lives remains our first priority. Thank you to everyone who stands with Ukraine!
Glory to Ukraine!
President Zelenskyy also held a press briefing today. Here’s the video:
Prime Minister Yulia Svyrydenko, First Deputy Prime Minister/Minister of Energy Denys Shmyhal, Secretary of the National Security and Defense Council Rustem Umerov, and Deputy Prime Minister for Recovery/Minister of Community and Territorial Development Oleksiy Kuleba gave a briefing to the press after the National Security and Defense Council meeting. Here’s that video:
Georgia.
Day 461 of daily, uninterrupted, nationwide protests in Georgia.
— Rusudan Djakeli (@rusudandjakeli.bsky.social) March 3, 2026 at 12:57 PM
A criminal case has been launched against Baia Margishvili for tearing up case materials during a trial. She is charged with contempt of court. The hearing concerned road blocking under GD’s repressive law. The Criminal Code article carries up to 2 years in prison.
#TerrorinGeorgia
— Publika.ge (@publikage.bsky.social) March 3, 2026 at 10:27 AM
What a powerful mural at Ilia State University in Tbilisi: Ilia Chavchavadze—19th-century writer, statesman, and one of the architects of modern Georgian political identity—walking toward a door painted as the EU flag.
One EU star is missing; Ilia holds one bearing the Georgian flag. 🇬🇪🇪🇺
— Rusudan Djakeli (@rusudandjakeli.bsky.social) March 3, 2026 at 1:29 PM
Georgia’s legitimate President Salome Zourabichvili comments positively on the Opposition Alliance launched yesterday:
“This strategy should become the basis of the joint fight of political and societal forces — to ensure the change of the regime.”
— Marika Mikiashvili 🇬🇪🇺🇦🇪🇺 (@marikamikiashvili.bsky.social) March 3, 2026 at 2:53 AM
The EU:
🇪🇺❗️🇺🇦 France, Germany and other EU countries oppose accelerated Ukraine’s accession. Among the arguments are the risk of rollback of reforms after accession and corruption — Reuters.
Ukraine’s aspiration for accelerated accession to the EU by 2027 has encountered stiff resistance from member states.
— MAKS 25 👀🇺🇦 (@maks23.bsky.social) March 3, 2026 at 4:48 PM
EU fears that in the event of accelerated accession, Ukraine and other countries may stop implementing reforms, such as the fight against corruption.
Kachka suggested that Ukraine could at least sign an EU accession treaty next year, even if ratification and other integration steps take longer.
— MAKS 25 👀🇺🇦 (@maks23.bsky.social) March 3, 2026 at 4:48 PM
“Why does Putin think he can outlast us?”
— Darth Putin (@darthputinkgb.bsky.social) March 3, 2026 at 1:33 PM
The Mediterranean Sea:
In the Mediterranean Sea, off the coast of Libya, a sanctioned Russian LNG tanker Arctic Metagaz from the Kremlin’s shadow fleet is burning 😎🔥
— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) March 3, 2026 at 2:30 PM
/2. Arctic Metataz current location.
More details by Times Malta:
timesofmalta.com/article/russ…— 🦋Special Kherson Cat🐈🇺🇦 (@specialkhersoncat.bsky.social) March 3, 2026 at 2:13 PM
Germany:
A small recap from last week’s Cafe Kyiv in Berlin, where people arrived not to drink tea or coffee, but to show values they stand for.
#makerussiapay remains our top priority on the way towards Ukrainian victory!
— Olena Halushka (@halushka.bsky.social) March 3, 2026 at 6:53 AM
🇩🇪 Merz: The Russian giant today stands on feet of clay.
And that is why we want to come to solutions here, but also solutions that involve the Europeans.
We are not prepared to accept an agreement that is negotiated over our heads.
— MAKS 25 👀🇺🇦 (@maks23.bsky.social) March 3, 2026 at 4:32 PM
Sweden:
“Justice must be served. Cheaters must be held accountable.”
Sweden’s biathlon team has been awarded bronze from the 2010 Olympics — 16 years later.
At Vancouver 2010, Sweden finished 4th in the men’s relay, behind Russia’s bronze. Russian Evgeny Ustyugov (a member of that team)
— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) March 3, 2026 at 1:07 PM
was later found to have used a banned substance, leading to his disqualification and Russia’s medal being stripped.
— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) March 3, 2026 at 1:07 PM
Poland:
🇵🇱☢️ Tusk: Poland does not want to be passive when it comes to nuclear security in the military context. We will seek to prepare Poland in the future for as much autonomy as possible in this area.
— MAKS 25 👀🇺🇦 (@maks23.bsky.social) March 3, 2026 at 1:24 PM
Italy:
Italian PM Meloni accused Russia of shattering international law and causing global chaos, stating that the “explosive situation” in the Middle East is a direct consequence of Russia’s full-scale war against Ukraine.
— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) March 3, 2026 at 8:44 AM
The 2026 Paralympics:
🇪🇺 11 countries and the EU are already boycotting the opening of the 2026 Paralympics over the admission of Russians and Belarusians under their own flags!
— MAKS 25 👀🇺🇦 (@maks23.bsky.social) March 3, 2026 at 5:17 PM
Germany joined the boycott today. Earlier, Ukraine, EU officials, as well as Estonia, Canada, Latvia, Lithuania, the Netherlands, Poland, Finland, Croatia and the Czech Republic announced such a decision.
— MAKS 25 👀🇺🇦 (@maks23.bsky.social) March 3, 2026 at 5:17 PM
The US:
TRUMP ON RUSSIA AND UKRAINE: “There is this tremendous hatred between Putin and Zelenskyy. I’ve seen a lot of hatred in my life, but I think this is about top scale.”
Putin hates us because we refuse to die quietly. Zelenskyy hates Putin for trying to murder us all and erase our state.
— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) March 3, 2026 at 1:03 PM
They are not the same.
— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) March 3, 2026 at 1:03 PM
What Trump left out here is that he also hates President Zelenskyy because of the events leading up to Trump’s first impeachment. And because President Zelenskyy is not a physical coward.
🇺🇸🇺🇦 I support Ukraine, but a lot was given away. Biden gave away a significant part of it senselessly. As you know, when I transfer ammunition, they pay for it. The EU pays. Then they can dispose of it as they see fit — for example, transfer it to Ukraine, — Donald Trump.
— MAKS 25 👀🇺🇦 (@maks23.bsky.social) March 3, 2026 at 4:40 PM
Back to Ukraine.
President Zelenskyy recently sat for an interview with Corriere Della Serra. Here’s some excerpts:
CORRIERE DELLA SERA: If you had guarantees from your allies with their troops on the ground, would you be ready to abandon all of Donbas?
ZELENSKYY: First of all, the Russians don’t want foreign troops in Ukraine. And I believe Europe should be more firm on this point.
— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) March 3, 2026 at 9:41 AM
I don’t see why Moscow should decide which troops are stationed on our soil.
Second, I will never leave Donbas and the 200,000 Ukrainians who live there. Why on earth should I do that? Because Putin imposes it as a condition for peace?
— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) March 3, 2026 at 9:41 AM
And will he immediately impose new demands? No, I’m not having it.
Besides, our best defense strongholds are here; if we withdraw, the Russians will have a free hand towards the center of the country.
— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) March 3, 2026 at 9:41 AM
CORRIERE DELLA SERA: Orbán demands that you restart the Druzhba pipeline. Will you do it?
ZELENSKYY: The Russians bombed Druzhba several times and then attacked our technicians who were repairing it. Why on earth didn’t Orbán accuse the Russians of the bombing?
— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) March 3, 2026 at 8:00 AM
I explained it to Fico: the pipeline is destroyed, to repair it, a ceasefire is needed, and this must be made clear to Putin.
— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) March 3, 2026 at 8:00 AM
The Ukrainian ground robotic system Droid TW-7.62 is armed with an FN MAG machine gun and uses automatic target acquisition to engage and shoot down FPV drones.
— 🦋Special Kherson Cat🐈🇺🇦 (@specialkhersoncat.bsky.social) March 3, 2026 at 1:26 PM
🇺🇦🤖 Ukrainian “Droid TW-7.62” shot down Russian drone!
— MAKS 25 👀🇺🇦 (@maks23.bsky.social) March 3, 2026 at 2:40 PM
At present, more than 70% of Russian Shahed drones attacking Kyiv and its surrounding areas are being intercepted specifically by interceptor drones.
— 🦋Special Kherson Cat🐈🇺🇦 (@specialkhersoncat.bsky.social) March 3, 2026 at 8:35 AM
In the morning report of the General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, a +1 destroyed ship appeared.
— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) March 3, 2026 at 4:25 AM
Analysts from the channel “Crimean Wind” suggest that it may refer to an Admiral Grigorovich-class frigate – a carrier of “Kalibr” cruise missiles. It was identified from satellite images after the attack on the port of Novorossiysk.
— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) March 3, 2026 at 4:25 AM
🤬 Russia executed 337 Ukrainian prisoners of war in 2025, — Lubinets
🙏 Over 95% of released defenders were subjected to systematic torture. The data is confirmed by the UN.
#NoPeaceWithoutJustice 🇺🇦
— The Ukrainian Review (@theukrainianreview.bsky.social) March 3, 2026 at 1:19 PM
Babin Yar:
OTD in 2022 we bombed the Babi Yar holocaust memorial.
We are denazifying Ukraine by bombing holocaust memorials and killing holocaust survivors.
Ukraine ofc deserves this for provoking us by putting their border near our army.
— Darth Putin (@darthputinkgb.bsky.social) March 3, 2026 at 12:35 PM
Chuhuiv, Kharkiv Oblast:
Russia struck homes in Chuhuiv, Kharkiv Oblast, with a drone, destroying them and injuring five people, including an 8-year-old girl.
— Iryna Voichuk (@irynavoichuk.bsky.social) March 3, 2026 at 12:47 PM
Russian occupied Luhansk Oblast and Russian occupied Crimea:
According to Ukraine’s General Staff:
▪️ An S-300 air defense radar was hit near Tytarivka (Luhansk region). ▪️ A “Sopka-2” air surveillance radar and a 39N6 “Kasta-2E2” radar were struck in Crimea.— 🦋Special Kherson Cat🐈🇺🇦 (@specialkhersoncat.bsky.social) March 3, 2026 at 11:28 AM
Oleshky, Russian occupied Kherson Oblast:
In the occupied town of Oleshky on the left bank of the Kherson region, another humanitarian catastrophe is unfolding, where approximately 6,000 residents still remain.
www.ukrinform.net/rubric-socie…— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) March 3, 2026 at 5:59 AM
Russian troops are not providing any assistance to the local population, while at the same time keeping the town under blockade without gas, electricity, medicine, and with a severe shortage of food. Any attempts to deliver humanitarian aid end in the deaths of civilians.
— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) March 3, 2026 at 5:59 AM
Krasnodar Krai, Russia:
Russian air defense systems in action during the recent attack on Russian facilities in Novorossiysk.
— 🦋Special Kherson Cat🐈🇺🇦 (@specialkhersoncat.bsky.social) March 3, 2026 at 5:18 PM
Rostov Oblast, Russia:
A large fiery trail observed in the sky over Russia’s Rostov region. According to local Russian sources in the Rostov region: “As a result of the UAV attack, unfortunately one of our Russian Aerospace Forces (VKS) assets was destroyed. Eternal memory to the fighters.”
— 🦋Special Kherson Cat🐈🇺🇦 (@specialkhersoncat.bsky.social) March 3, 2026 at 4:43 PM
The large fireball which was seen in the sky over Russia’s Rostov region has turned out to be a downed Russian military helicopter.
A source associated with Russian military helicopter aviation wrote:
“The sky takes the best… Eternal flight. In the fifth year, friendly fire hasn’t gone anywhere.”— 🦋Special Kherson Cat🐈🇺🇦 (@specialkhersoncat.bsky.social) March 3, 2026 at 5:04 PM
It appears the Russian helicopter reached the ground only in the form of many small, burning fragments.
— 🦋Special Kherson Cat🐈🇺🇦 (@specialkhersoncat.bsky.social) March 3, 2026 at 5:16 PM
Volgograd Oblast, Russia:
💥👀 Russian air defense worked in Volgograd.
— MAKS 25 👀🇺🇦 (@maks23.bsky.social) March 3, 2026 at 3:31 PM
Volgograd, Russia 💥💥💥
— MAKS 25 👀🇺🇦 (@maks23.bsky.social) March 3, 2026 at 3:47 PM
That’s enough for tonight.
Your daily Patron!
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Here is some adjacent material.
😻🌸 The sky is blue, the mood is cheerful, and only this red-haired beauty knows the secret to true happiness: find a warm brick, stretch out comfortably, put your face in the sun, and forget about all your problems! It’s spring!
— Vitalis Viva (@vitalisviva.bsky.social) March 2, 2026 at 8:02 AM
Open thread!
War for Ukraine Day 1,468: (Some of) You Have Questions, I (May) Have AnswersPost + Comments (31)



