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Balloon Juice

Come for the politics, stay for the snark.

Jack Smith: “Why did you start campaigning in the middle of my investigation?!”

With all due respect and assumptions of good faith, please fuck off into the sun.

“Jesus paying for the sins of everyone is an insult to those who paid for their own sins.”

Be a wild strawberry.

Polls are now a reliable indicator of what corporate Republicans want us to think.

The willow is too close to the house.

Speaker Mike Johnson is a vile traitor to the House and the Constitution.

Republicans: “Abortion is murder but you can take a bus to get one.” Easy peasy.

Trump’s cabinet: like a magic 8 ball that only gives wrong answers.

We know you aren’t a Democrat but since you seem confused let me help you.

Roe is not about choice. It is about freedom.

“Until such time as the world ends, we will act as though it intends to spin on.”

Too often we hand the biggest microphones to the cynics and the critics who delight in declaring failure.

Let me file that under fuck it.

Just because you believe it, that does not make it true.

There is no right way to do the wrong thing.

One of our two political parties is a cult whose leader admires Vladimir Putin.

I don’t recall signing up for living in a dystopian sci-fi novel.

The current Supreme Court is a dangerous, rogue court.

Find someone who loves you the way trump and maga love traitors.

“The defense has a certain level of trust in defendant that the government does not.”

The rest of the comments were smacking Boebert like she was a piñata.

It’s the corruption, stupid.

She burned that motherfucker down, and I am so here for it. Thank you, Caroline Kennedy.

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Open Thread:  Hey Lurkers!  (Holiday Post)

Open Threads

You are here: Home / Archives for Open Threads

Even the Dogs Know

by WaterGirl|  March 8, 20254:10 pm| 87 Comments

This post is in: Open Threads

Even the dogs know the truth about President Elon, and they aren’t afraid to tell it!

Sparrow the dog is trying to play it cool, and at first glance he seems kind of shy, but in truth he is really proud of the sign he put together for a recent protest in Rochester, NY.  He asked commenter pika to share the photo with us.

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These guys (Button and Acorn) appear to be mesmerized by something, maybe their Mom?

Is everyone having a lazy Saturday?   I would be, but I keep thinking it’s Sunday!

Open thread.

Even the Dogs KnowPost + Comments (87)

Envy This Daffodil Open Thread

by Rose Judson|  March 8, 20252:05 pm| 71 Comments

This post is in: Open Threads, All we want is life beyond the thunderdome, The Horrors

This flower is totally unaware of the existence of Elon Musk, et. al.

Envy This Daffodil Open Thread

It’s also looking quite healthy considering I’ve done fuck-all in the garden over the last year. I finally, finally, finally close on this house later this month, though, and once I’m officially no longer renting the joint, I plan to get things in ship-shape for next spring. Raised beds, new paths, a magnolia tree. I’ve never owned a house of my own before, so 2025 is set to give me that, at least.

Looks like we could use an open thread, so here you go.

Envy This Daffodil Open ThreadPost + Comments (71)

Life in the Halfway House (Open Thread)

by Betty Cracker|  March 8, 202510:57 am| 217 Comments

This post is in: Open Threads, Politics, Republican Stupidity

In the late night thread, commenter Jeffg166 shared a link to a post on Paul Krugman’s Substack that featured a conversation with Dr. Kim Scheppele, a Princeton scholar who is an expert on authoritarianism and has studied how democracies slide into autocracy.

The link is for part II of a longer conversation, but it’s pertinent to our political moment because Krugman and Scheppele discuss at length how the Trump 2.0 administration is similar to and different from Hungary’s transformation into a “soft” autocracy under Viktor Orbán.

The Republican Party, the Heritage Foundation and Trump himself have explicitly praised the Hungarian model. I suspect Trump’s attraction to Orbánism is as shallow as he is and based on something dumb like flattery. But the organizations have openly declared an intention to imitate it. Scheppele notes that Project 2025 is the roadmap the Heritage types built to effect a Hungary-style soft autocracy in the U.S.

Krugman and Scheppele speculate that if quieter types like Russ Vought had been in charge of Project 2025 implementation and unhampered by chaos agents like Musk and Trump, we’d be further down the road to autocracy than we are already.  Instead, we got a shambolic mess that is perhaps starting to arouse opposition that might slow the project down further, or at least we hope it will.

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There’s video and a transcript at the link, and I recommend viewing/reading the whole thing if you can because it’s edifying to hear two smart people talking about the current shit-show. But here’s an excerpt that covers speculation on a topic that I know many of us, myself included, are kind of obsessed about, i.e., what is likely to happen next.

Krugman: I know that obviously we don’t know: What do you think is going to happen? Are we going to get Orban-ized or what are the odds that we manage to steer away from this particular cliff?

Scheppele: So, I’m writing a book on this and there are three kinds of countries. There’s Autocracy Fast, which is like the Orban takeover capture. It all happens very quickly. For instance Venezuela, it almost happened in Ecuador, Turkey…I’ll put Turkey in the second box. That was fast.

Then there was what I call Autocracy Slow, where autocrats start to look like good guys. Remember Turkey wanted to join the EU and Putin actually looked like he was just organizing things at the beginning. And then they make a pivot and people don’t realize they’ve made the pivot.

But then there’s a group of countries in which I put India, Brazil, and the US that I call Autocracy on the Fence. And what happens in these countries is you get these aspirational autocrats who come to power. They capture some pieces of the system, but these are big, complicated, large federal systems, India, Brazil, and the US…

And the autocrats are eventually voted out of office because they can’t capture everything. They don’t fully capture the election system. But they captured some things. And those some things prevent the pro-democrats who come back to power from being able to actually really restore things. And then because the pro-democrats can’t fully govern, they lose popularity because they look ineffective. And then the autocrats come back and they capture more things… And so that’s kind of a halfway house between autocracy and democracy.

As Scheppele points out, Trump captured the Supreme Court in his first term. With that institution under their control, Republicans were able to sandbag Biden after Trump got voted out by ruling against Democratic programs that would have improved people’s lives in the short term and therefore helped Democrats politically, e.g., things like student loan debt cancelation.

The implication here is that we’ll be stuck in the halfway house — or slide into autocracy altogether — unless the next Democrat who takes power is able to roll back authoritarian capture by, say, expanding the Supreme Court. That’s a heavy lift, as we all know. But maybe more realistic than hoping Barrett and Roberts go full Souter?  (Talk about a slim reed to hang your hopes on!)

Anyhoo, Scheppele outlines another exit from the halfway house:

One thing you’re starting to see now, and especially the more government just screws up on stuff everybody took for granted and/or didn’t attribute to government, the more you’re gonna start getting pushback from red state areas. Because I mean, as you know, better than anyone, the United States is a giant redistributive project in which the blue states are subsidizing the red states.

And as government starts to fall apart, the places that are going to feel it the worst are actually going to be the red states long-term. And so the question is, Which is first? The red states suffer and then they have a political awakening. They’re not going to become blue state liberals, but they’re at least going to become anti-Trump Republicans. And that’s an optimistic scenario. Until the United States gets a conservative party that believes in constitutional government, we are in trouble.

Maybe that scenario is possible. From what I know of them, Trump voters fall into categories. Some are full-blown cultists, and I don’t think anything will change their minds, even personal ruin. But my impression is that’s a fairly small group. I don’t know what comes next.

Reading that conversation does reinforce something I think a lot of us feel in our bones, which is that if we get another shot at power, there’s no going back to “normal” times. That ship has left the barn, and that horse has sailed! So as leaders emerge, we should maybe look for someone who gets that and is ready to take the steps necessary to exit the halfway house.

Anyway, thanks again to Jeffg for the link.

Open thread.

Life in the Halfway House (Open Thread)Post + Comments (217)

Saturday Morning Open Thread: Sound & Fury, Signifying

by Anne Laurie|  March 8, 20258:09 am| 231 Comments

This post is in: Open Threads, Republican Stupidity, Trump-Musk

"americans don't need cheap goods" "americans don't need good stock portfolio" "americans don't need job" look if the goal is to radicalize the public by taking away all the benefits of capitalism and leaving only the bad parts these guys could scarcely be doing a better job

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— Hemry, Local Bartender (@bartenderhemry.bsky.social) March 7, 2025 at 12:07 PM

One way to think about this administration is:
Trump's last full year in office was a global pandemic with no known cure that filled hospitals with dying patients and shut down the entire in-person economy.
And firms think the current business environment has *more* uncertainty.

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— Derek Thompson (@dkthomp.bsky.social) March 6, 2025 at 8:19 AM

Remember, sharing is caring:

This is not a winning message lmao

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— Schnorkles O'Bork (@schnorkles.bsky.social) March 6, 2025 at 11:47 AM

BOLD STRATEGY COTTON

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— Schnorkles O'Bork (@schnorkles.bsky.social) March 6, 2025 at 12:25 PM

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lmao I just fucking can't.
Lets do the "prices are too damn high" election and win by promising to lower prices, and then.. *waves hand at everything*

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— Schnorkles O'Bork (@schnorkles.bsky.social) March 6, 2025 at 12:25 PM

Donald Trump has ruined the solid, full employment economy that Joe Biden handed him.

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— Clean Observer (@hammbear2024.bsky.social) March 7, 2025 at 10:15 AM

Joe Biden handed them a full employment economy and they’ve done nothing but fire people, damage public services, and unleash chaos.

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— Clean Observer (@hammbear2024.bsky.social) March 7, 2025 at 9:39 AM

You’re getting no credit because if you’d done nothing, you’d have more stable markets and thousands of more people working.

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— Clean Observer (@hammbear2024.bsky.social) March 7, 2025 at 9:40 AM

Thief-in-Chief is making bank, though!

SCOOP: Business leaders are paying as much as $5,000,000 to meet one-on-one with President Donald Trump at his Florida compound, sources tell WIRED, while others are paying $1,000,000 apiece to dine with him in a group setting.

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— WIRED (@wired.com) March 4, 2025 at 11:01 AM

It hasn’t even been two months and already we know we don’t need the long judgment and perspective of history: his second administration is extremely high up there, arguably the top, in terms of both most openly and brazenly corrupt and lawless:
www.rollingstone.com/politics/pol…

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— Asawin Suebsaeng (@swin24.bsky.social) March 7, 2025 at 8:59 AM

Saturday Morning Open Thread: Sound & Fury, SignifyingPost + Comments (231)

Late Night ‘Beyond Parody’ Open Thread: Tucker Carlson Interviews Sam Bankman-Fried

by Anne Laurie|  March 8, 20253:18 am| 123 Comments

This post is in: C.R.E.A.M., Grifters Gonna Grift, Open Threads, Republican Politics

Looks like Sam Bankman-Fried, the crypto kid who made a fortune playing digital Monopoly with OPM, found the rich-guy survival handbook: "I've seen the light, & the light is Republican!"

People used to find Jesus in jail. Now, they find Trump. https://t.co/7HwfNoloBw

— Matt Lewis (@mattklewis) March 7, 2025

Effective altruism, they call it. Per the NYTimes, “Sam Bankman-Fried Ramps Up Effort for a Pardon From Trump” [gift link]:

Consulting with a lawyer who has ties to President Trump. Reaching out to Washington lobbyists. And sitting for a jailhouse interview with Tucker Carlson.

Sam Bankman-Fried, the disgraced cryptocurrency mogul who was once a top Democratic donor, has embarked on a long-shot campaign to secure a pardon from the Trump administration, six people with knowledge of the matter said.

The effort has been driven by a small group of Mr. Bankman-Fried’s supporters, including his parents, Joe Bankman and Barbara Fried, who are trying to help their son escape the 25-year prison sentence he received after he was convicted of fraud, conspiracy and money laundering in the collapse of his crypto exchange, FTX.

There is no indication that the Bankman-Frieds and their allies have reached Mr. Trump directly or discussed a potential pardon with his White House advisers.

But the push appears intended to capitalize on Mr. Trump’s transactional approach to clemency. The president has favored pardon seekers with connections to him — either personally or through lawyers and lobbyists — and claims of prosecutorial misconduct that echo his own grievances about the cases against him.

As part of the clemency effort, Mr. Bankman and Ms. Fried, who are Stanford University law professors and longtime active Democrats, are consulting with Kory Langhofer, an Arizona lawyer who worked for Mr. Trump’s 2016 and 2020 presidential campaigns. Politically connected businesspeople and Washington lobbyists have also received outreach from intermediaries who claim to be allies of Mr. Bankman-Fried, three people with knowledge of the situation said…

So far, the push does not appear to have gained traction, the people with knowledge of the matter said. The only indication that Mr. Bankman-Fried may be making headway came this week, when he got an audience with Mr. Carlson, who is close to Mr. Trump. On Thursday, the former Fox News host published a 43-minute interview with Mr. Bankman-Fried that was recorded via video call…

… Mr. Bankman-Fried does not fit the profile of someone Mr. Trump would instinctively pardon. The former crypto mogul not only donated to Democrats, but also voiced opposition to Mr. Trump. His conviction was celebrated by Elon Musk, the president’s close adviser.

Still, Mr. Trump has shown a willingness to grant clemency to people whose causes have resonated with him or who have access to his circle of Republican allies. During the election campaign, he was enthusiastically backed by crypto executives, who urged him to act on several policy priorities. Among them: a pardon for Ross Ulbricht, a cult hero in the crypto world who was serving a sentence of life in prison for running the online drug marketplace Silk Road. Mr. Trump issued the pardon within days of his inauguration…

You can buy Trump’s love — but you need a really big sum to do so.

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Even the paleoconservative Angry Baseball Head Guy understands this is a bad idea!

While Bankman-Fried is a fool, he's also a guy who got crazy rich by being able to spot a mark.

He looked at Tucker Carlson and saw a mark. https://t.co/QOMlpRW0St

— Dan McLaughlin (@baseballcrank) March 7, 2025

A confused Tucker asks SBF why his donations to Democrats didn’t keep him out of jail.

Because Democrats believe in the rule of law! He thinks everyone is like Trump.

Conspiracy theorists never consider maybe their worldview is wrong. They just start looking for more elaborate… pic.twitter.com/HrGoCnocKv

— Richard Hanania (@RichardHanania) March 7, 2025

[*Sad trombone coda*]

Tucker Carlson's interview with Sam Bankman-Fried was not approved by the US Bureau of Prisons, which placed him in solitary confinement after it was published, per NYT. pic.twitter.com/AtMtsYQCUb

— Jacob Shamsian ⚖️ (@JayShams) March 7, 2025

Late Night ‘Beyond Parody’ Open Thread: Tucker Carlson Interviews Sam Bankman-FriedPost + Comments (123)

War for Ukraine Day 1,107: Russia Opens Up on Ukraine’s Energy Infrastructure

by Adam L Silverman|  March 7, 20259:46 pm| 20 Comments

This post is in: Foreign Affairs, Foreign Policy, Military, Open Threads, Russia, Silverman on Security, War, War in Ukraine

Painting by NEIVANMADE. It has a white background an in the center are Soldiers in green doing air defense by firing at incoming Russian missiles in the upper right. The missiles are red and yellow. In the upper left, written in green, is the text: "SAVE THE BRAVEST PEOPLE IN THE WORLD!" Below the Soldiers, also written in green, is "SUPPORT FOR KHARKIV"

(Image by NEIVANMADE)

A quick housekeeping note: It has been a very long week, so I’m going to just run through the basics tonight.

Earlier today, Putin took advantage of Trump turning off US sharing of intel with Ukraine.

Last night, russia bombed Ukraine. You know, because we haven’t been wearing our suits to bed.

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— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) March 7, 2025 at 11:31 AM

Last night’s russian missile attack on Ukraine after U.S. halted intelligence sharing. Thank you, JD Vance!

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— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) March 7, 2025 at 10:47 AM

Russia launched massive attack on Ukraine’s energy and gas infrastructure with missiles and drones, targeting cities from Kharkiv to Ivano-Frankivsk. This is the first strike since the US stopped sharing early warning data

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— Maria Avdeeva (@mariainkharkiv.bsky.social) March 7, 2025 at 1:05 AM

58 missiles and 194 drones fired on Ukraine last night.

That’s how Russia “wants peace” while Trump keeps twisting Ukraine’s arms.

— Illia Ponomarenko (@ioponomarenko.bsky.social) March 7, 2025 at 7:59 AM

I believe this is the first time he has shifted his focus toward the actual aggressor.

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— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) March 7, 2025 at 9:30 AM

At the same time, Russian Foreign Ministry spokeswoman Maria Zakharova dismissed Trump’s threat of new sanctions, claiming that past restrictions have failed to stop Moscow from pursuing its “objectives” in Ukraine. As reported, she shared this with CNN.

— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) March 7, 2025 at 12:47 PM

I’m not sure Trump has a really good understanding of cause and effect. Of course he ordered Secretary Duffy to only hire MIT graduates as air traffic controllers after Musk ordered Duffy to fire currently serving air traffic controllers, so everyone is clearly firmly rooted in reality and rationality.

Here is President Zelenskyy’s address from earlier today. Video below, English transcript after the jump.

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Every Day, New Russian Strikes and Reality Itself Prove That It Is Russia That Must Be Forced Into Peace – Address by the President

7 March 2025 – 19:34

I wish you health, fellow Ukrainians!

I held a Staff meeting. There was a detailed analysis of today’s Russian strike and the operation of our air defenses. We usually do such analyses of combat activities after massive attacks – identifying weak points as well as lessons learned that deserve to be shared. Today, all the necessary reports on this were presented. Special emphasis was placed on the effectiveness of our air defenses. In total, the Russians used more than 260 aerial attack assets in this strike: cruise and ballistic missiles, attack drones. Our troops succeeded in responding to the attack with the highest level of professionalism. I want to thank every unit, all the services involved, all our warriors. As always, the attack was repelled in a comprehensive manner. Among other things, we deployed fighter aircraft – F16s and French Mirage jets, which performed exceptionally well today. Emmanuel, thank you! I want to commend all our fighter pilots, our helicopter crews of the Ukrainian Defense Forces, our electronic warfare units and mobile fire groups of our army, and especially the units of the 160th Anti-Aircraft Missile Odesa Brigade, the 208th Anti-Aircraft Missile Kherson Brigade and the 540th Anti-Aircraft Missile Lviv Brigade. Well-done, warriors!

We are also working very actively to prevent any shortages in supplies to protect lives. Ukraine’s Minister of Defense Umerov is practically on a continuous business trip – constantly in meetings and in communication with partners to secure new support packages, with air defense, of course, being the top priority.

Today, this Russian strike on our energy system and civilian facilities occurred so routinely for Russia, so vile and cynical, as always, as if there are no efforts at all from Ukraine and the world to end this war. Ukraine is ready for peace as soon as possible – we have proposed concrete steps. And every day, new Russian strikes and reality itself prove that it is Russia that must be forced into peace – into stopping the war, into real diplomacy, into ensuring security and into a reliable and lasting peace. I thank everyone who is helping Ukraine, everyone who is supporting our state, our people, our defense, and simply the truth.

And a few other things. This week we have significantly increased our support in Europe. Both from the EU and from individual countries. There is a particularly strong decision from Norway to finance our resilience – the level of announced assistance this year has been increased to USD 7.7 billion, and most of it will be allocated to weapons production in Ukraine. This will help a lot. Thank you. We also expect decisions from other Nordic countries. France will expedite its security assistance. The Netherlands is ready to invest EUR 700 million in the production of drones. There are new decisions by our Baltic friends to support us. We have solid security agreements with European Council President Costa and European Commission President von der Leyen. We are preparing for a meeting at the level of the Chiefs of General Staff in France.

We continue working on the relevant steps with our partners who want peace, who want it just as much as we do. And next week there will be a lot of work here in Europe, with America, in Saudi Arabia – we are preparing a meeting to accelerate peace and strengthen the foundations of security. Today, throughout the day, the most intensive work to date has been ongoing with President Trump’s team at various levels – with many phone calls. The agenda is clear – peace as soon as possible, security as reliable as possible. Ukraine is committed to the most constructive approach.

We thank everyone who is helping us!

Glory to Ukraine!

Georgia:

🟥 March 7 marks the 100th day of continuous protest in #Georgia.

🟥 For 100 days in #Batumi pro-European protest demonstrations have been taking place every evening, demanding release of political prisoners and new elections.

#GeorgiaProtests
#RepressionInGeorgia

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— Batumelebi&Netgazeti (@netgazeti.org) March 7, 2025 at 3:18 PM

This couple is on Rustaveli every day, protesting, fighting for the European future of Georgia.

#GeorgiaProtests
Day 100

📸 Luka Tvaliashvili

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— Publika.ge (@publikage.bsky.social) March 7, 2025 at 2:10 PM

DAY 100 of continuous protests in Georgia!

The crisis will only get worse without new, free and fair elections, and the release of the regime prisoners.

I came rather late, regretfully, and many were already leaving. #GeorgiaProtests

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— Marika Mikiashvili 🇬🇪🇺🇦🇪🇺 (@marikamikiashvili.bsky.social) March 7, 2025 at 2:09 PM

Zugdidi on the 100th day of continuous pro-European protests.

#GeorgiaProtests
📸 Oto Shengelia

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— Publika.ge (@publikage.bsky.social) March 7, 2025 at 1:43 PM

Attackers who brutally assaulted two cafe girls over giving free beverages to protesters have been released on GEL 3000 bail (around EUR 1000).
For comparison, protesters on Rustaveli get fines of GEL 5000 for simply being there. And wearing a mask is GEL 2000.
#terrorinGeorgia

— Marika Mikiashvili 🇬🇪🇺🇦🇪🇺 (@marikamikiashvili.bsky.social) March 7, 2025 at 12:52 PM

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— Marika Mikiashvili 🇬🇪🇺🇦🇪🇺 (@marikamikiashvili.bsky.social) March 7, 2025 at 3:42 PM

March 7 marks 100 continuous days of protests in 🇬🇪.

There will be no end to the all-encompassing crisis without new, free & fair elections, and the release of the regime prisoners. 1/

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— Marika Mikiashvili 🇬🇪🇺🇦🇪🇺 (@marikamikiashvili.bsky.social) March 7, 2025 at 3:59 AM

Georgians cannot protest without leaders, they said. Georgians are prone to emotional outbursts alone and cannot persist in a cool-headed routine of their mission, they said. Georgians cannot protest in winter, they said. 2/

— Marika Mikiashvili 🇬🇪🇺🇦🇪🇺 (@marikamikiashvili.bsky.social) March 7, 2025 at 3:59 AM

Overall, we have been protesting for 11 months now. And in the process of protesting against the last ever Russian rule in Georgia that is the Georgian Dream regime (because Russians have no political, social, or cultural foothold in Georgia), – 3/

— Marika Mikiashvili 🇬🇪🇺🇦🇪🇺 (@marikamikiashvili.bsky.social) March 7, 2025 at 3:59 AM

A new, civic nation is being born. A new social contract is being drafted.

“Until the end!” –

video by Coalition for Change, although with different music. Made faster to adjust Bluesky by @theskyisnotblue.bsky.social
4/4.

— Marika Mikiashvili 🇬🇪🇺🇦🇪🇺 (@marikamikiashvili.bsky.social) March 7, 2025 at 3:59 AM

The US:

Trump: “Despite the Russia Russia Russia hoax I’ve always had a good relationship with Putin. He wants to end the war. And I think he’s gonna be more generous than he has to be.”

(Russia continues to bomb Ukraine, so it doesn’t seem like Putin really wants the war to end.)

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— Aaron Rupar (@atrupar.com) March 7, 2025 at 12:28 PM

Trump on Putin: “I think we’re doing very well with Russia. But right now they’re bombing the hell out of Ukraine. I’m finding it more difficult, frankly, to deal with Ukraine. And they don’t have the cards … in terms of getting a final settlement, it may be easier dealing with Russia.”

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— Aaron Rupar (@atrupar.com) March 7, 2025 at 12:20 PM

REPORTER: You said on social media that Russia is pounding Ukraine. Why not provide Ukraine with air defenses?

TRUMP: Because I have to know that they want to settle. We want them to settle.

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— Aaron Rupar (@atrupar.com) March 7, 2025 at 12:23 PM

Meanwhile, as reported by The Hill, Republicans are calling for the lifting of the ban on arms supplies and intelligence sharing with Ukraine, as the delay in aid could potentially undermine Ukraine’s combat readiness and negotiating position.

thehill.com/homenews/sen…

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— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) March 7, 2025 at 10:58 AM

Ukraine has supplied the U.S. with extensive intelligence and vast amounts of data on Russian technology, captured equipment, battlefield operational guides, weapon performance, and countermeasures against US provided systems. A shame no one seems to remembers or appreciates it

— Tatarigami (@tatarigami.bsky.social) March 7, 2025 at 3:21 PM

🚨🚨Another horrible set of news for #ukraine: US aerospace company Maxar Technologies has restricted Ukraine’s access to its satellite imagery- assumedly due to illegitimate pressure by evil and nasty Trump administration. 🧵
kyivindependent.com/maxar-techno…

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— Jacob Öberg (@profjacob.bsky.social) March 7, 2025 at 8:29 AM

From The Kyiv Independent:

U.S. aerospace company Maxar Technologies has restricted Ukraine’s access to its satellite imagery, the Ukrainian media outlet Militarnyi reported on March 7, citing unnamed users of the service.

Kyiv has relied on high-resolution satellite images for defense and strategic planning, tracking Russian troop movements, assessing battlefield conditions, and monitoring Russian infrastructure damage.

The alleged move follows the U.S. decision to halt intelligence sharing with Ukraine, a shift confirmed by CIA Director John Ratcliffe on March 5.

According to Militarnyi, the restriction was imposed under an order from U.S. President Donald Trump’s administration, with the State Department allegedly prohibiting U.S. companies from providing satellite data to Ukraine.

The Kyiv Independent was unable to verify the claims and has contacted Maxar Technologies for confirmation but has yet to receive a response.

Ukraine’s cyber community Cyberboroshno also reported the restriction, claiming that free access to satellite reconnaissance had been cut off.

“According to our information, at least private companies can buy already ordered (satellite) images through the provider,” Cyberboroshno wrote on Telegram.

Washington has also frozen military aid to Kyiv as part of a broader effort to pressure President Volodymyr Zelensky into peace talks with Russia.

Ukraine’s Defense Minister Rustem Umerov said on March 6 that Kyiv is working on alternatives to counter the loss of U.S. intelligence, including potential cooperation with European partners.

In cutting access to commercially available unclassified imagery, the US is moving from reducing military assistance to Ukraine towards something more like sanctions.

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— James Cameron (@jjjcameron.bsky.social) March 7, 2025 at 4:06 AM

Sanctions on Ukraine for defending itself from an invasion by the world’s leading nuclear power, yay!

Humankind discovers new levels of insanity and stupidity every single day.

— Illia Ponomarenko (@ioponomarenko.bsky.social) March 7, 2025 at 7:58 AM

Trump’s cryptic Russia comment ‘probably just bluster,’ experts say #Ukraine

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— 🔱🇺🇦 (@amplifyukraine.eu) March 7, 2025 at 7:20 AM

From The Kyiv Independent:

U.S. President Donald Trump’s claim to be the only person who knows why Russia wants to “make a deal” and end the war in Ukraine is “probably just bluster,” experts have told the Kyiv Independent.

Speaking to reporters in the White House on March 6, Trump addressed his ongoing — and controversial — efforts to end the fighting and bring both Kyiv and Moscow to the negotiating table.

“I think what’s going to happen is Ukraine wants to make a deal because I don’t think they have a choice,” he said.

“I also think that Russia wants to make a deal because in a certain different way — a different way that only I know, only I know — they have no choice,” Trump cryptically added.

Trump did not elaborate, and his comments left observers baffled as to what he might be referring to.

“No clue,” former U.K. Defense Attache in Moscow, John Foreman, told the Kyiv Independent when asked for his thoughts.

“Unless he’s referring to intel about discussions in Moscow about how long they can keep at it, the real state of the Russian army or economy, or (Russian President Vladimir) Putin’s health,” he added.

Jenny Mathers, a Russian political expert and lecturer at the U.K.’s Aberystwyth University, dismissed the comments as “probably just bluster to make Trump look like he is getting something out of his conversations with Putin.”

“Trump is always claiming unique abilities, so it is not too surprising that he is claiming some unique knowledge. I seriously doubt that Putin is confiding secret Russian weaknesses or strategy to Trump,” she added.

But like Foreman, Mathers did also keep open the possibility that Trump was referring to possible U.S. intelligence reports that “reveal Russian weaknesses.”

“But that does not fit well with Trump’s eagerness to offer up front concessions to Moscow before peace talks even begin,” she added.

Retired Lt Gen @GlenGrant on @BBCNews

“People need to be clear – what the US is trying to do is get Ukraine to capitulate,” he says. “To give in to Russia…”

“The reason for that is quite simple. Trump is unable to – or perhaps unwilling to – do anything against Russia…”

— Olga Onuch (@oonuch.bsky.social) March 7, 2025 at 3:26 AM

The consequences of the US stopping intelligence sharing with Ukraine, as one Russian newspaper sees them: “Now we have a higher chance of finding the enemy’s weak spot and striking when they’re not expecting it.” #ReadingRussiahttps

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— Steve Rosenberg (@bbcstever.bsky.social) March 7, 2025 at 1:38 AM

The Czech Republic:

Here’s the translation:

And Czech president talks sense too:

www.youtube.com/watch?v=rI9k…

English translation by someone on Reddit:

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— Tomasz Oryński (@torynski.bsky.social) March 7, 2025 at 5:30 PM

France:

Here’s French Senator Malhuret’s full speech with subtitles:

Finland:

And remarks from the Finnish Foreign Minister:

Poland:

Lots of terrible & misinformed takes on Poland tonight, proving once again how shallow the coverage of Poland by most international media is: this time based on an out of context misreading of Tusk’s remark on nuclear & a misunderstanding of his comments on military training. 🫠

— Jakub Krupa (@jakubkrupa.bsky.social) March 7, 2025 at 2:29 PM

No, Tusk didn’t announce plans for a Polish nuclear programme; it appeared to be a response to Macron’s words about extending the French umbrella, with Tusk confirming “serious talks” about it.

Some people should think twice before misreading things and tweeting for engagement.

— Jakub Krupa (@jakubkrupa.bsky.social) March 7, 2025 at 2:29 PM

Relevant bit from the speech, translated, below.

Very clear he talks about it mostly theoretically, as part of a bigger rethink of Polish defence policy and need to rearm.

And then he was also asked about it *VERY SPECIFICALLY* in the press huddle after the speech (follows in next post).

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— Jakub Krupa (@jakubkrupa.bsky.social) March 7, 2025 at 2:29 PM

Here’s the press huddle afterwards: a clear reference to Macron, acknowledgment of the (obvious) lesson from Ukraine, but also no decisions made, list of things to consider, and a caveat that it’s “a very long road”, wd need a consensus etc.

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— Jakub Krupa (@jakubkrupa.bsky.social) March 7, 2025 at 2:29 PM

And then the best thing about frenzied reports about Poland’s “plans” to “put in place system of compulsory military training for all adult men” is that Tusk literally said it wouldn’t be compulsory.

And that he would have said conscription if that’s what he meant.

But he didn’t.

— Jakub Krupa (@jakubkrupa.bsky.social) March 7, 2025 at 2:29 PM

And yet, that’s what you are reading in your feeds, because Poland is so poorly covered, often with people who don’t know the context or speak the language, but just take a DeepL translation and come up with any random stuff to get engagement in this frenzied environment.

Depressing.

— Jakub Krupa (@jakubkrupa.bsky.social) March 7, 2025 at 2:29 PM

Britain:

UK to continue to supply intelligence to Ukraine after US cutoff

Britain will also continue to supply analysis of raw data but will not pass on shared US information, sources say www.theguardian.com/world/2025/m…

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— Andy Scollick (@andyscollick.bsky.social) March 7, 2025 at 3:26 AM

From The Guardian:

Britain will continue to supply intelligence to Ukraine, though the more limited capabilities on offer from London and other European countries will make it difficult to replace the flow halted from the US earlier this week.

The UK will also continue to supply its analysis of the raw data, sources said on Thursday, though in line with normal intelligence practice it will not simply pass on US information obtained via long-established sharing arrangements between the two countries.

“They are not as far reaching as US capabilities, not at the same scale and not able to take their place,” a former Whitehall insider said. But they will allow Ukraine to maintain some early warning from attack and a degree of deep strike capability into Russia.

Reconnaissance data collected from satellites, ground stations, surveillance aircraft such as Rivet Joint, and even covertly deployed ground forces is accumulated and shared with Ukraine in conjunction with open source material to enable damaging deep missile and drone strikes into Russia.

France also said publicly that it would continue to provide intelligence to Ukraine. Sébastien Lecornu, the country’s armed forces minister, said that while the US decision would have a “significant operational impact” Paris would continue to help with its “sovereign intelligence”.

The French minister said the UK’s position was “more complicated” because its intelligence apparatus was more closely bound up with Washington – though British sources emphasised there had been a long history of competition as well as cooperation between the UK and US.

One expert suggested the US decision to halt its intelligence could make it easier for Russia to renew a stalled offensive towards Ukraine’s second city. The Kremlin could “move everything inside its borders near Kharkiv and attack again”, Dr Jade McGlynn, of King’s College London, said.

There are concerns Ukraine would struggle to detect the launch of bombers from Russian air bases and incoming missiles, though there was a warning on Wednesday before a missile attack on a hotel in the central city of Kryvyi Rih, which killed four and injured at least 32.

A defence expert said he believed the intelligence freeze meant Ukraine could no longer detect incoming Iskander-M ballistic missiles and their North Korean equivalents, KN-23s and KN-24s. Valerii Riabykh, the editor of the Defence Express consulting firm, said the US had jeopardised the safety of civilians with its decision.

However, Riabykh suggested the cutoff would not significantly affect the situation on the frontline. “We have our own intelligence officers, satellite services and agents in Russia. This is enough to strike stationary objects deep inside the Russian Federation,” he said.

The Institute for the Study of War said the US decision “will damage Ukraine’s ability to defend itself against ongoing Russian attacks”, and gave examples of successful long-range strikes by the Ukrainian military that would prove harder to execute.

That included the bombing of an ammunition facility near Toropets, Tver oblast, overnight on 17-18 September 2024 that “destroyed “two to three months of Russia’s ammunition supply” at a site that stored ballistic missiles, glide bombs and other artillery ammunition.

A day after the ban was announced by the CIA director, John Ratcliffe, another member of the Republican administration said the US decision was primarily political. Keith Kellogg, Donald Trump’s special envoy for Ukraine, said the idea was “sort of like hitting a mule with a two by four across the nose. You get their attention.”

Speaking at an event organised by the Council on Foreign Relations thinktank, Kellogg said the goal was to force Ukraine to “engage in diplomatic activities” and to get them to set out “their term sheet”, or outline negotiating position, for a deal. “So, more of anything, it’s a forcing function,” he added.

More at the link.

Back to Ukraine.

“The 🇫🇷 Mirages successfully intercepted Russian cruise missiles,” Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky said on Facebook

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— Sophie Pedder (@sophiepedder.bsky.social) March 7, 2025 at 9:06 AM

French Mirage-2000 takes down russian missiles over Ukraine 🇺🇦🇫🇷

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— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) March 7, 2025 at 3:37 PM

From PoliticoEU:

KYIV ― Ukraine’s military used Mirage 2000 jets provided by France to repel a Russian attack for the first time, deploying the aircraft overnight against Moscow’s latest barrage of missiles and drones.

Russian forces launched 67 missiles and 194 drones against Ukraine, bombing mostly energy and civilian infrastructure in the country’s Odesa, Poltava, Kharkiv and Ternopil regions, Ukrainian officials said. Army spokesman Dmytro Lykhoviy said it was first massive Russian combined attack since the U.S. stopped aid to push Kyiv to negotiate with Moscow.

Kyiv managed to shoot down 34 missiles and 100 drones, Ukrainian air force spokesman Yuriy Ihnat said in a statement.

“The Mirages successfully intercepted Russian cruise missiles,” Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy said on Facebook. He said U.S.-made F-16 jets also were used against the Russian attack.

The first of the French fighter jets arrived in Ukraine in early February, eight months after French President Emmanuel Macron announced the delivery. France has also stepped up by providing Kyiv with intelligence it needs to counter the Russian attacks after the U.S. stopped sharing intel with Ukraine.

More at the link.

“Putin wants to stop and settle.” Weird, because from here, it looks more like he wants to bomb and kill. Someone tell Trump.

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— Maria Avdeeva (@mariainkharkiv.bsky.social) March 7, 2025 at 4:19 PM

Optic fiber FPV drones of the Magyar unit target two Russian AFVs in a hangar.

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— 🦋Special Kherson Cat🐈🇺🇦 (@specialkhersoncat.bsky.social) March 7, 2025 at 1:04 PM

Dobropillia Donetsk, Oblast:

Russia demonstrates its so-called readiness for peace by launching three missiles at Dobropillia in Donetsk Oblast, killing five civilians and injuring 15.

[image or embed]

— Iryna Voichuk (@irynavoichuk.bsky.social) March 7, 2025 at 5:19 PM

More from Dobropillia in the Donetsk region, where russia attacked residential building, killing at least 5 civilians and injuring at least 15

[image or embed]

— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) March 7, 2025 at 6:27 PM

Kharkiv:

Overnight and into the early morning, Ukraine faced a massive russian drone and missile attack. An Iskander missile struck a critical infrastructure facility in Kharkiv, also damaging nearby homes. At least eight civilians were injured

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— Iryna Voichuk (@irynavoichuk.bsky.social) March 7, 2025 at 2:25 AM

Russian missile strike on Kharkiv injured 8 civilians and destroyed homes and vehicles in residential area.

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— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) March 7, 2025 at 7:10 AM

Russian occupied portion of Kharkiv Oblast:

Ukrainian soldiers from the reconnaissance special forces company of the 1st Brigade of the National Guard of Ukraine, “Bureviy,” are conducting raid operations behind enemy lines in the Kharkiv direction and capturing prisoners.

Full video: t.me/wartranslated

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— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) March 7, 2025 at 2:54 PM

Odesa:

Russian drone strikes next to a car in Odesa 😱

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— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) March 7, 2025 at 5:22 PM

Odesa is under the russian drone attack tonight.
Drones caused damage to energy infrastructure and ignited fires in three private homes. The number of casualties is still being determined.

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— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) March 6, 2025 at 5:28 PM

🤬🙏 Odesa region hit again: this is the 6th attack on its energy infrastructure in the past 2.5 weeks, — DTEK

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— Savchenko Volodymyr (@savchenkoua.bsky.social) March 7, 2025 at 3:15 AM

Antonivka, Kherson Oblast:

🖤Kherson. Antonivka.

Human safari place.

To get there, one drives in an armored vehicle along the “Road of Death.”

(I don’t have a permit to work there but interviewing a family evacuated from there to downtown today.)

🎥 by Serhiy Ivashchenko, the head of Antoniivka,

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— Zarina Zabrisky (@zarinazabrisky.bsky.social) March 7, 2025 at 4:28 AM

Chasiv Yar:

Russians are bogged down and suffering serious losses in Chasiv Yar due to Ukraine’s significant drone advantage—essentially, they can’t even lift their heads. The use of armoured vehicles is extremely limited. EW is ineffective due to the rapid adaptation of the Ukrainian Armed Forces.

[image or embed]

— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) March 7, 2025 at 3:32 PM

Russian occupied Kherson Oblast:

⚓️Ukrainian FPV drones launched from the naval drone attack two Russian air defense systems deep in the Russian rear.

“Naval drone carriers delivered the FPV drones by sea to the operation site, and then they hit the Strela-10 and Osa-AKM air defense systems!”

[image or embed]

— 🦋Special Kherson Cat🐈🇺🇦 (@specialkhersoncat.bsky.social) March 7, 2025 at 5:45 AM

Russia:

Reports of Ukrainian drones launched in direction of Moscow, others headed N towards south-western European Russia, and others headed SE towards Ukraine’s Russian-occupied Crimea and southern Russia.

[image or embed]

— Euan MacDonald (@euanmacdonald.bsky.social) March 7, 2025 at 1:36 PM

That’s enough for tonight.

Your daily Patron!

A new video from Patron’s official TikTok!

@patron__dsns

Нагадую вам про важливе ❤️👅 #песпатрон

♬ son original – bestsongsforever75

Here’s the machine translation of the caption:

I remind you of something important.❤️👅 #песпатрон

Open thread!

War for Ukraine Day 1,107: Russia Opens Up on Ukraine’s Energy InfrastructurePost + Comments (20)

The People vs. Musk

by WaterGirl|  March 7, 20251:25 pm| 125 Comments

This post is in: Democratic Response to Trump 2.0, Open Threads, Opposition to Trump-Musk, Political Action, Resistance to Trump

THE PEOPLE VS. ELON MUSK

About to join Chris Jansing on @msnbc.com to talk about the PeopleVMusk.org campaign—to ensure Susan Crawford wins the Wisconsin Supreme Court race, instead of Elon Musk’s puppet Brad Schimel.

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— Ben Wikler (@benwikler.bsky.social) March 6, 2025 at 1:49 PM

Ben Wikler and the Wisconsin Dems are taking the fight to Trump and Musk.  I like what I’m seeing.   He should have been the DNC Chair, dammit.  Let’s not turn back the clock in Wisconsin.


Donate

Something good:

In a court case that could very well define the limits of Donald Trump’s presidential power, a federal judge Thursday reinstated a member of a federal labor agency, warning of the damage to the country if Trump continues to rule as if he were a king.

U.S District Judge Beryl Howell reinstated Gwynne Wilcox to the National Labor Relations Board after Trump removed her without providing any cause, issuing an opinion that suggests the case could be a broader test of the “unitary executive theory.”

“An American President is not a king — not even an ‘elected’ one — and his power to remove federal officers and honest civil servants like plaintiff is not absolute,” Howell wrote.

Something decidedly not good, except that perhaps it will open up some eyes:

Driving while black.  Shopping while Puerto Rican.

show full post on front page

Milwaukee drew national attention this week after a report said U.S. citizens were detained by U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement after being overheard speaking Spanish in a store.

Elected officials and immigration rights groups say they are working to authenticate the incident but have few details to go on. ICE did not respond to requests for comment on Thursday.

Telemundo Puerto Rico reported a Puerto Rican mother, her 3-year-old son and mother-in-law were taken into custody by ICE while shopping at an unnamed store in Milwaukee on Jan. 24.

New: ICE denies report that officers detained Puerto Rican family in Milwaukee
According to the TV station’s report, ICE bused the family and several other Spanish-speakers from the store to an unidentified detention center. Telemundo aired a live audio interview with a relative, who was not named.

Puerto Ricans are U.S. citizens.

Sheriff’s offices in Milwaukee County, Waukesha County, Sheboygan County and Kenosha County said they had no record of the family being detained in their jails.

“It should also be noted that we would not house a 3-year-old in our facility under any circumstances,” said Amy Tesch with the Waukesha County Sheriff’s Department in an email Thursday.

Telemundo’s report erupted online. U.S. Rep. Gwen Moore, U.S. Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and thousands more shared Telemundo’s story on social media.

Moore told the Journal Sentinel she’s still gathering information about the incident but hasn’t been able to verify it.

“However, regardless of its validity, many of my constituents are concerned about mass deportation efforts,” Moore said in a text message Thursday.

Ald. Jose Perez says his office is also working to authenticate the incident.

“Any time an allegation occurs in Milwaukee, I will exhaust every resource I have to verify it for accuracy and respond,” Perez said in an email Thursday.

Local immigrants’ rights groups like Forward Latino and Voces De La Frontera are also looking into the report.

 

Open thread.

The People vs. MuskPost + Comments (125)

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