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Balloon Juice

Come for the politics, stay for the snark.

New McCarthy, same old McCarthyism.

If senate republicans had any shame, they’d die of it.

The “burn-it-down” people are good with that until they become part of the kindling.

I am pretty sure these ‘journalists’ were not always such a bootlicking sycophants.

Republicans choose power over democracy, every day.

After dobbs, women are no longer free.

It’s easy to sit in safety and prescribe what other people should be doing.

My years-long effort to drive family and friends away has really paid off this year.

Beware of advice from anyone for whom Democrats are “they” and not “we.”

American history and black history cannot be separated.

Not rolling over. fuck you, make me.

One way or another, he’s a liar.

Why is it so hard for them to condemn hate?

I’d like to think you all would remain faithful to me if i ever tried to have some of you killed.

Let me eat cake. The rest of you could stand to lose some weight, frankly.

Decision time: keep arguing about the last election, or try to win the next one?

Michigan is a great lesson for Dems everywhere: when you have power…use it!

Also, are you sure you want people to rate your comments?

The revolution will be supervised.

This country desperately needs a functioning fourth estate.

“When somebody takes the time to draw up a playbook, they’re gonna use it.”

At some point, the ability to learn is a factor of character, not IQ.

We still have time to mess this up!

Donald Trump found guilty as fuck – May 30, 2024!

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Open Thread:  Hey Lurkers!  (Holiday Post)

Open Threads

You are here: Home / Archives for Open Threads

Open Thread (Hey Night Shift, Want to Get in on the Donation Action?)

by WaterGirl|  August 30, 202410:00 pm| 42 Comments

This post is in: Open Threads

This morning we announced the official start of our Four Directions Montana fundraising!  As we all know, Montana is about keeping Jon Tester’s senate seat, as well as helping Native people have more of a voice in elections.  Besides being “boots on the ground for the Native vote”, Four Directions also litigates – and often wins – on their behalf.

I got word late yesterday that Four Directions has fund a match for the full $30,000 we are trying to raise!  

Two Angel matches – Marleedog and anonymous – plus donations from the day shift – have gotten us to $7,500 in the donation thermometer!  We have a new Angel match this evening – and friend of the blog, Andrew will match up to $2,000 overnight.

Matching up to $100 per person, to count toward the match, tell us about your donation in the comments or via email to me.   With the external match and the Angel match, these are 4x donations!

THIS LINK IS FOR MONTANA DONATIONS – NOT FOR THE RAFFLE


Donate

 


Also: raffle tickets for the quilt will be available until Sunday evening, 9/8.

The quilt was made by Linda Szabo, who is a member of Rosebud Sioux Tribe.

Raffle tickets are $25 each.

Here’s the link to buy raffle tickets and see the full quilt raffle announcement and details.

Open Thread & New $1,250 Angel Match for The Civics Center

Open thread!

Open Thread (Hey Night Shift, Want to Get in on the Donation Action?)Post + Comments (42)

War for Ukraine Day 919: Kharkiv Burns

by Adam L Silverman|  August 30, 20249:23 pm| 16 Comments

This post is in: Foreign Affairs, Foreign Policy, Israel, Military, Open Threads, Russia, Silverman on Security, War, War in Ukraine

Painting by NEIVANMADE. It has a white background an in the center are Soldiers in green doing air defense by firing at incoming Russian missiles in the upper right. The missiles are red and yellow. In the upper left, written in green, is the text: "SAVE THE BRAVEST PEOPLE IN THE WORLD!" Below the Soldiers, also written in green, is "SUPPORT FOR KHARKIV"

(Image by NEIVANMADE)

Two quick housekeeping notes. First, Rosie is doing great. She’s a little bummed because it keeps monsooning and when not deluging, it is hot and humid. Her next treatment is Tuesday. It is the first of her final round of chemo. Thank you all for the good thoughts, well wishes, prayers, and donations.

Second, despite sleeping much of the day, I’m still fried. Part of that is I spent most of the week dealing not just with bureaucracy, but also the petty bureaucrats. I never had much patience for that to start with. I have almost none now. As a result, the bill has come do and I have to pay for the amount of energy that I had to expend to get through the week. We’ll be sticking to the basics tonight so I can go back to sleep as soon as I hit publish.

All of eastern and central Ukraine, with the exception of Mykolaiv Oblast, are under air raid alert as of 8:10 PM EDT/3:10 AM local time in Ukraine. The alert maps are not indicating that Russian bombers are in the air, so this is likely another drone swarm attack.

Russia unloaded on Kharkiv again today.

The Russian strike on Kharkiv directly on people, on ordinary house. All services are currently engaged in the rescue operation. I thank everyone who is helping to save lives at this moment.

This strike was carried out using a Russian guided aerial bomb—a strike that could have… pic.twitter.com/ydRfqPju6n

— Volodymyr Zelenskyy / Володимир Зеленський (@ZelenskyyUa) August 30, 2024

The Russian strike on Kharkiv directly on people, on ordinary house. All services are currently engaged in the rescue operation. I thank everyone who is helping to save lives at this moment.

This strike was carried out using a Russian guided aerial bomb—a strike that could have been prevented if our Defense Forces had the capability to destroy Russian military aircraft at their bases. We need strong decisions from our partners to stop this terror.

This is an absolutely legitimate need. There is no rational reason to limit Ukraine’s defense. We need long-range capabilities and the full implementation of air defense agreements for Ukraine. These are life-saving measures.

Russian airstrike on Kharkiv on August 30th killed at least 7 people and injured 77, including 18 children, according to the State Emergency Service. Search and rescue operation continues.

Among the killed was a 14-year-old girl whose father went missing on the Donetsk front.… pic.twitter.com/JzW8Xb5R2w

— Kate from Kharkiv (@BohuslavskaKate) August 30, 2024

Russian airstrike on Kharkiv on August 30th killed at least 7 people and injured 77, including 18 children, according to the State Emergency Service. Search and rescue operation continues.

Among the killed was a 14-year-old girl whose father went missing on the Donetsk front.

A fire covering an area of over 1500 square meters in a 12-story residential building, caused by the Russian strike, was localized at 7:20 PM. The State Emergency Service continues to extinguish it

Glide bombs were launched on Kharkiv from russia’s Dubrovoe in the Belgorod region, only 25 km (15 miles) from the border, and 65 km (40 miles) from the impact site.

This one is on you as much as it is on russia @JakeSullivan46 pic.twitter.com/myP70w5trA

— Kate from Kharkiv (@BohuslavskaKate) August 30, 2024

Anyone to talk about negotiating with Russia? But first, imagine your family in that burning house. pic.twitter.com/ktZROsJ8Ew

— Maria Avdeeva (@maria_avdv) August 30, 2024

UPD Kharkiv. The death toll from the russian aerial attacks has risen to six, with 57 other civilians injured. Rescue efforts are ongoing. pic.twitter.com/qvlNxcTNH0

— Iryna Voichuk (@IrynaVoichuk) August 30, 2024

Here is President Zelenskyy’s address from earlier today. Video below, English transcript after the jump.

show full post on front page

We Must Strengthen Ourselves and Take Care of People, of Personnel – of All Our Warriors – Address by the President

30 August 2024 – 20:13

Dear Ukrainians!

Rescue operations are currently underway in Kharkiv where Russian bombs hit. Unfortunately, there are dead people. Among them is a child. A girl, Sofia. She would have turned 15 this fall. My condolences to all the families and friends. There are many injured. Everyone is receiving help, and the rescuers are doing everything they can to save as many lives as possible. I thank everyone who is involved and who is supporting Kharkiv and Kharkiv residents. These are terrible, vile Russian strikes directly on buildings, on a city park. Russia will definitely be held accountable for all its evil. But everyone in the world must remember that the most effective tactic is to prevent evil from acting. We need decisions that can be made by our partners, by those countries on whom it depends – whether we have the ability to destroy Russian military aircraft exactly where they are based, exactly where the elimination of these terrorists and their aircraft can be the most effective. We in Ukraine, along with our friends around the world, are not just talking about long-range decisions. About strong decisions. About things that can bring us closer to ending this war, because, for Putin, the most important aspect of his wars is the terror against civilians, the intimidation, and the abuse of people. This is how the Russian evil came everywhere, to Syria, and Georgia, and Ukraine. They have the same terror tactics everywhere, and we must put a stop to this. It can be ensured by our, Ukrainian, long-range capabilities, with appropriate support for our Defense Forces and air defense systems for Ukraine. All the things we are talking about with our partners.

Today we had many meetings about our military work. There was a report by the Chief of the Defense Intelligence of Ukraine. Today, I also held a meeting of the Staff. First, there was a report by the Commander-in-Chief about the front, with a focus on the Pokrovsk direction. Toretsk. Defense against Russian assaults. The most challenging areas. It is crucial that everyone, at all state levels, who is involved in this, really make their maximum efforts to ensure our resilience and that of our warriors. And I thank everyone who is now really effectively destroying the occupier and protecting our positions. I thank every soldier and commander, everyone who produces and supplies the necessary weapons, shells, drones. Also today, the Commander-in-Chief reported on the development of our actions in the Kursk region. The daily result there, which is important for all of us, is the replenishment of the exchange fund for Ukraine. And the more this replenishment is, the more of our people we will be able to bring back from Russian captivity. This is our strategic priority.

Also today, at the Staff meeting, I received reports on preparations for the school year. This is the personal responsibility of Government officials: both the Prime Minister and the Ministers. The maximum number of schools should be opened offline – first of all, this is a question of shelters. Also, the readiness of schools to meet the existing energy challenges. This is the direct task of the Government. And today there were several important dialogues on energy – the consequences of the strikes and the defense that should be in place. And in the Staff meetings, it was repeatedly discussed and decided what to do, how to act, what to provide. Now it is time to draw conclusions.

I have decided to replace the Commander of the Air Forces of the Armed Forces of Ukraine. I am immensely grateful to all our military pilots, all engineers, all warriors of mobile firing groups, air defense units. All those who really fight for Ukraine – for the result. And the same goes for the command level – we must strengthen ourselves. And take care of people. Take care of personnel – take care of all our warriors.

Glory to Ukraine!

LTG Anatoliy Kryvonozhko is now the acting head of the Air Force. pic.twitter.com/Bk3zcajftf

— Illia Ponomarenko 🇺🇦 (@IAPonomarenko) August 30, 2024

Apparently part of the motivation for the removal of the Commander of the Ukrainian Air Force is the allegation that Colonel Mes – he was posthumously promoted – was shot down by friendly fire from a Ukrainian Patriot battery.  We will have to wait for the outcome of the investigation to see whether or not this happened, but if it did, it wouldn’t be the first time this has happened. During the first few years of Operation Iraqi Freedom, a couple of F-16s were brought down by friendly fire from Patriots because the targeting software couldn’t discriminate between an incoming missile or a US F-16. Raytheon created a fix about twenty years ago. I would expect the Patriot systems provided to Ukraine to have fully up to date targeting software, but at this point anything is possible.

The cost:

Today, Russia hit Kharkiv and killed seven people. Fifty people were injured. Among dead young artist Nika Kozhushko.
No words… pic.twitter.com/lcJfrViSqd

— Oleksandra Matviichuk (@avalaina) August 30, 2024

18-year-old artist Veronika Kozhushko was killed by the Russian strike on Kharkiv.

Serhii Zhadan, famous Ukrainian writer, musician and serviceman reported that on Friday, August 30th.

“Today, during a strike on Kharkiv, Nika Kozhushko died – very young, sincere and gifted. An… https://t.co/pUltfask3S pic.twitter.com/6CPMPGFuPD

— Anton Gerashchenko (@Gerashchenko_en) August 30, 2024

18-year-old artist Veronika Kozhushko was killed by the Russian strike on Kharkiv.

Serhii Zhadan, famous Ukrainian writer, musician and serviceman reported that on Friday, August 30th.

“Today, during a strike on Kharkiv, Nika Kozhushko died – very young, sincere and gifted. An hour before her death, she sent her new drawing. That is, her last drawing. Russians continue destroying our future. There is no explanation for that. And there is no forgiveness, as well,” Zhadan wrote.

RIP.

Was honored to meet with @SecDef Lloyd Austin in the United States.

An important, constructive meeting.

I briefed Secretary on the operational situation on the battlefield and our further objectives, the priority needs of the Ukrainian army in terms of weapons, equipment and… pic.twitter.com/PeqBljDGoD

— Rustem Umerov (@rustem_umerov) August 30, 2024

Was honored to meet with @SecDef Lloyd Austin in the United States.

An important, constructive meeting.

I briefed Secretary on the operational situation on the battlefield and our further objectives, the priority needs of the Ukrainian army in terms of weapons, equipment and training of our troops.

Air defense remains our priority—we need air defense systems and interceptors to protect our critical infrastructure, our cities, and our people.

Special thanks to Lloyd Austin for his personal contribution to the work of the Ukraine Defense Contact Group.

Another focus of the meeting is the development of the Ukrainian defense industry.
Over the past two years, we have launched hundreds of new businesses capable of rapidly producing high-quality weapons. Cooperation with our partners is critical for expanding production and ensuring an even more effective defense of Ukraine.

At the meeting, the Ukrainian side was represented by the head of the Office of the President @AndriyYermak, Deputy Minister of Defense for European Integration @O_Balanutsa, Deputy Chief of the General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine Major General Volodymyr Horbatiuk and Chief of the Main Logistics Department of the General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine Lieutenant General Mykola Shevtsov.

Thanks to the USA for their leadership and support 🇺🇦🇺🇸

Poland:

https://t.co/nYRDu8GVlT

— 𝐀𝐧𝐧𝐚 𝐊𝐎𝐌𝐒𝐀 | 🇪🇺🇫🇷🇵🇱🇺🇦 (@tweet4Anna_NAFO) August 30, 2024

With friends like these, neither Poland or Ukraine don’t need enemies.

There is something devilishly helpless in a policy of just expecting Vladimir Putin to show reason and de-escalate the war on Ukraine and giving his bombers a comfortable safe haven to devastate Ukrainian cities unpunished.

Historians of the future will have to write tons of… pic.twitter.com/5mzhC4RCkZ

— Illia Ponomarenko 🇺🇦 (@IAPonomarenko) August 30, 2024

There is something devilishly helpless in a policy of just expecting Vladimir Putin to show reason and de-escalate the war on Ukraine and giving his bombers a comfortable safe haven to devastate Ukrainian cities unpunished.

Historians of the future will have to write tons of volumes of works to try and comprehend this absurdity.

You may be wondering how are the sanctions against Russia are working:

Russian economy is “overheating” and is expected to grow by 3.5-4% in 2024, the Central Bank of Russia said in its latest forecast

Production capacities and labour resources had already been “nearly fully used, with utilisation close to 80 per cent”https://t.co/W1VeSsXigX pic.twitter.com/vFwCRKePgA

— Anastasia Stognei (@NastyaStognei) August 30, 2024

From The Financial Times:

Russia’s “overheating” economy will slow sharply next year with interest rates stuck at well above prewar levels until 2027, the Russian central bank has said.

Rapid growth, expected to hit 3.5 to 4 per cent this year, has been driven primarily by strong domestic demand from consumers and the state, which has outpaced supply, the CBR said in its annual report.

It said acute labour shortages and the negative effects of western sanctions were crimping production.

The central bank assessment underscores the challenges facing the Russian economy, despite its better than expected overall performance even with sanctions imposed by the west after Moscow’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine in 2022.

The CBR projects economic growth of 0.5 to 1.5 per cent in 2025 and 1 to 2 per cent in 2026, under its baseline scenario. However, longer-term expansion will be limited by “restrictions on technological imports and the outflow of skilled labour”, it warned.

It said the country’s production capacities and labour resources had already been “nearly fully used, with utilisation close to 80 per cent”. Manufacturing, trade and agriculture are among the sectors facing the most severe labour shortages.

“Available production capacity is depleted,” CBR deputy governor Alexei Zabotkin told reporters on Thursday. “The pace of expansion is held back by sanctions barriers and by physical limitations on the output of the means of production. The economy needs additional labour for this as well,” he said, adding that labour shortages had “significantly worsened”.

To address the issue, Russian businesses have resorted to increasing wages. In the first quarter of 2024, nominal wages in Russia increased by 19.2 per cent. The growth slowed slightly in the second quarter to 17.4 per cent.

Rising wages, coupled with escalating budget expenditures, are fuelling inflation, which is expected to reach 6.5 to 7 per cent by the end of 2024, the CBR said. It also pinpointed “sanctions barriers in payments and logistics” that resulted in lower imports of goods into Russia.

The CBR forecasts inflation falling to 4 to 4.5 per cent in 2025 and stabilising around 4 per cent thereafter. Throughout this period, the CBR key interest rate is expected to remain in double digits, a significant shift from prewar levels when it had not exceeded 9.5 per cent for many years.

More at the link.

Oy vey:

the absolute state of this app 🫠 pic.twitter.com/k2yHYPMxWX

— Georgian Legion (@georgian_legion) August 30, 2024

Vovchansk, Kharkiv Oblast:

Vovchansk in Kharkiv Oblast has been reduced to rubble, with 90% of the city destroyed, the Governor said.

📷Suspilne pic.twitter.com/m7u8FfN38C

— Iryna Voichuk (@IrynaVoichuk) August 30, 2024

This is what Putin and the Russians have planned for Kharkiv City, Kyiv, Lviv, and every other city, town, and village in Ukraine.

Kharkiv:

Lots of injured people in critical conditions. Amputations. Blood needed. Fucking horror show.
Lives ruined just like that.
Because of disgusting evil fucks who just can’t fuck off. https://t.co/pm4iv1RLfj

— Anastasiya Paraskevova (@UkrainianAna) August 30, 2024

I want to take a moment to thank the first responders, firemen in particular (since I had some experience with them personally too).
We are blessed (literally, look at the rainbow) to have them risk their lives to save ours.
Heroic people in every way. pic.twitter.com/fdfFB0vRz8

— Anastasiya Paraskevova (@UkrainianAna) August 30, 2024

I would like to once again invite @JakeSullivan46 to visit Kharkiv.

Explain to the families of those who burned alive in their own homes today how preventing it was “escalation.”

Explain to the parents of children bombed on the playground how saving them was “escalation.”

📸:… pic.twitter.com/CLyOSezAno

— Kate from Kharkiv (@BohuslavskaKate) August 30, 2024

I would like to once again invite @JakeSullivan46 to visit Kharkiv.

Explain to the families of those who burned alive in their own homes today how preventing it was “escalation.”

Explain to the parents of children bombed on the playground how saving them was “escalation.”

📸: @GwaraMedia (subscribe to them for Kharkiv updates)

I would not hold my breath.

A poignant mural depicting a ‘Patriot’ missile system has appeared on the ruins of bombed-out by russia Epicenter shopping center in Kharkiv.

The artwork, a testament to the resilience of Kharkiv residents, expresses our deep appreciation for the international support provided… pic.twitter.com/4IFxDQTJfq

— Kate from Kharkiv (@BohuslavskaKate) August 30, 2024

A poignant mural depicting a ‘Patriot’ missile system has appeared on the ruins of bombed-out by russia Epicenter shopping center in Kharkiv.

The artwork, a testament to the resilience of Kharkiv residents, expresses our deep appreciation for the international support provided to defend our city. It also serves as a plea for continued assistance as we strive to rebuild our lives and community in the face of war.

Kurahove:

A massive destruction of the russian AFVs 🔥

17 russian fighting vehicles attacked Ukrainian positions in the Kurakhove direction.
Only 4 of them managed to return. The other 13 were destroyed by ATGMs, FPV drones, artillery fire, and landmines.

📹: 46th Airmobile Brigade pic.twitter.com/A9ScXTQscP

— Defense of Ukraine (@DefenceU) August 30, 2024

Pokrovsk:

Newly mobilized, inexperienced troops “freeze…they don’t know what to do in real combat…turn and run at the first explosion,” said a lieutenant near Pokrovsk. Artillery units near Pokrovsk also highlighted a deficit in shells and mismatch in firepower. https://t.co/k1qsnxjaXO

— Christopher Miller (@ChristopherJM) August 30, 2024

The Financial Times has the details.

President Volodymyr Zelenskyy has come under a barrage of criticism from soldiers, lawmakers and military analysts over the rapid advances made by the Russian army in eastern Ukraine since Kyiv launched its bold incursion into Russia’s Kursk region.

Many Ukrainians celebrated their army’s invasion of Kursk on August 6, hoping the gamble would force Moscow to divert resources to the new front and swing the momentum of the war in Ukraine’s favour.

However, a breach in the frontline in the strategically important Donetsk region this week has triggered a backlash against the leadership in Kyiv, with critics arguing Ukraine’s positions were weakened by the redeployment of thousands of battle-hardened Ukrainian troops to the Kursk operation.

Russian forces are closing in on the strategically important city of Pokrovsk taking several nearby towns this week and forcing undermanned Ukrainian units to retreat from prepared defensive positions.

Pokrovsk is one of two key rail and road junctions in the Donetsk region and its loss would threaten the entire region’s logistics for Ukraine’s military, according to Frontelligence Insight, a Ukrainian analytical group.

Satellite imagery analysed by open-source investigators at the Finland-based Black Bird Group shows Russian forces now just 8km from Pokrovsk. In response, local authorities have ordered the evacuation of residents in the area.

Oleksandr Kovalenko, a military analyst at the Kyiv-based Information Resistance group, called the situation on the eastern edge of Pokrovsk “a complete defensive failure”.

“It’s not the fault of ordinary soldiers holding positions,” he wrote on Telegram. “The problem lies with those who make decisions for these soldiers,” he added, pointing to Ukraine’s leadership.

Several soldiers in the area expressed concerns about the defences around Pokrovsk.

Zhenya, a Ukrainian soldier in the 93rd Mechanized Brigade who fought in the gruelling 10-month battle of Bakhmut last year, described a fast-deteriorating situation in Pokrovsk. In a candid assessment on X, he criticised the military’s command structure, citing systemic failures and inadequate responses to evolving battlefield conditions.

“Honestly, I have never seen anything like this. Everything is falling apart so quickly,” he warned. “Pokrovsk will fall much faster than Bakhmut did.”

Ukrainian troops this week pulled out of Novohrodivka, 8km south-east of Pokrovsk. The Centre for Defence Strategies (CDS), a Kyiv-based security think-tank, said the withdrawal indicated a shortage of defensive resources, despite Pokrovsk’s importance as a logistical hub.

Mariana Bezuhla, an MP and member of the defence committee in parliament, shared photos on Facebook from a visit last week to the frontline near Novohrodivka. She claimed they showed the path to Pokrovsk wide open.

“The trenches in front of Novohrodivka were empty. There was practically no Ukrainian army in the once 20,000-strong city,” she wrote in a scathing post.

Gen Oleksandr Syrsky, Ukraine’s top military commander, said in a statement on Thursday that he had visited the Pokrovsk area and was working “to strengthen the defence of our troops in the most difficult areas of the front, to provide the brigades with a sufficient amount of ammunition and other material and technical means”.

In the past three weeks, Moscow’s forces have quickly captured more than two-dozen towns and villages with minimal resistance, including the long-held stronghold of Niu-York.

Rob Lee, a senior fellow at the Foreign Policy Research Institute, attributed the Russian gains to a shortage of experienced Ukrainian infantry and the diversion of resources to the Kursk offensive.

“Ukraine committed reserves to Kursk, leaving fewer options to plug gaps elsewhere. Some of the more experienced brigades have been replaced by newer, less experienced units,” Lee said.

Soldiers who were mobilised this summer following the Ukrainian government’s new conscription laws meant to fill Kyiv’s dwindling ranks have been sent into the fray with little training or experience.

“They freeze . . . they don’t know what to do in real combat,” said a lieutenant whose troops are on the frontline near Pokrovsk. Many “turn and run at the first explosion”.

Soldiers in artillery units near Pokrovsk also highlighted a deficit in shells and a severe mismatch in firepower compared to Russian forces.

“Our shells are running out. We just don’t have enough,” said an artillery commander, noting that many resources had been redirected north to Kursk. For about the past month, his unit has had one shell for every six to eight fired by the Russians.

More at the link including maps and other imagery.

The strategist’s dilemma is always how to balance risk versus reward. The Kursk offensive is a high risk course of action. If successful it could bring great reward, but that was not and is not guaranteed.

The Kursk cross border offensive:

HIMARS strikes on the Russian pontoon crossings over the Seym river in the Kursk region pic.twitter.com/2NNmm4eJ4d

— Special Kherson Cat 🐈🇺🇦 (@bayraktar_1love) August 30, 2024

“They filled their pockets and left us all behind,” residents of Sudzha, Kursk region of Russia, told about the local authorities and the so-called “evacuation” from the town.

The settlement is now under the control of the Ukrainian Armed Forces, who provide humanitarian aid to… https://t.co/wTaIDInPkA pic.twitter.com/f2VrUvsAf5

— Anton Gerashchenko (@Gerashchenko_en) August 30, 2024

“They filled their pockets and left us all behind,” residents of Sudzha, Kursk region of Russia, told about the local authorities and the so-called “evacuation” from the town.

The settlement is now under the control of the Ukrainian Armed Forces, who provide humanitarian aid to the civilian population. This is very different from what Russia does to Ukrainian cities.

Locals complain that there was no coordinated evacuation from the town after the outbreak of hostilities, and officials simply fled, leaving people to fend for themselves.

📹: Donbas. Realii

That’s enough for tonight.

Your daily Patron!

There are no new Patron tweets or videos today. Here is some adjacent material.

☺️ pic.twitter.com/Me4bQ20Uc3

— UkrARMY cats & dogs (@UAarmy_animals) August 24, 2024

Open thread!

War for Ukraine Day 919: Kharkiv BurnsPost + Comments (16)

Friday Evening Open Thread: A Genuine Shock To Some Pundits’ Systems

by Anne Laurie|  August 30, 20245:32 pm| 219 Comments

This post is in: Elections 2024, Excellent Links, Kamala Harris for President, Kiss My Black Ass, Open Threads, Our Failed Media Experiment

A woman with over 20 years of elected experience is being portrayed by the right as unprepared or unqualified.

A woman with a book (mostly about policy), a mountain of legal and legislative writings, and decades of policy positions that became law—yet they're hinting she’s… https://t.co/s1qf8IT1en

— Democrat, Environmentalist, & the establishment (@BlueSteelDC) August 28, 2024

A woman with over 20 years of elected experience is being portrayed by the right as unprepared or unqualified.

A woman with a book (mostly about policy), a mountain of legal and legislative writings, and decades of policy positions that became law—yet they’re hinting she’s “light on policy” while her opponent, who’s never faced a follow-up question, gets a free pass.

This is all code speak. ” You don’t fit our model of leadership. You don’t belong.

It’s actually worth watching the whole six-minute video, though, if you want (it seems to me like) a good explanation of how pollsters are doing their mysterious jobs. (If you disagree, by all means let me know!)

Friday Evening Open Thread: A Genuine Shock To Some Pundits’ SystemsPost + Comments (219)

The Political Press Needs a Reset

by @heymistermix.com|  August 30, 20244:35 pm| 106 Comments

This post is in: Open Threads

The Political Press Needs a Reset

I watched the Harris/Walz interview with Dana Bash and I thought it was good for Harris/Walz, and at the same time bad TV and poor journalism.  Atrios has helpfully summarized all the questions asked if you want to remember just how lackluster they were.

The interview was bad TV because the questions were mostly shitty gotcha attempts about fairly old history (Harris’ 2019 campaign, and Walz’ campaign for House).  Those kind of Russert-style gotchas are aimed towards the ever-dwindling audience of the Sunday morning political TV shows (Meet the Republicans, Face the Republicans, This Week in Republicans), which at last look was a pathetic 2.7 million for MTP, the biggest of the shows.  People — especially those who are not targets for laxative, Ozempic or statin ads — are not watching that shit.

The interview was poor journalism because there wasn’t a lot of information imparted to the viewer.  For example, Kamala Harris was VP for a while.  Tim Walz was the very successful governor (by Democrats’ standards) of a good-sized state.  You might have missed both of those facts if you watched the interview.  Why not examine some of the Biden administration’s policies?  Ask Walz whether his experience getting legislation through on tiny margins would be relevant.  There’s a lot to ask if you really do care about informing your viewers.

Of course, when Bash did ask about Biden administration policies, she began with the DC/Republican frame that the economy was terrible, and also tried some gotchas on the border.   It all devolved into stupid “jousting”.

That’s because, unlike the rest of the known universe, Bash believes that she’s a weak reporter if she interviews to inform.  Not a lot of DC Press interviewers are good at both questioning and informing (Ezra Klein, for all his faults as a pundit, is good at this, so it’s not an unknown trait in those circles).

Bash is an intelligent, well informed person, but she’s in a reward structure where the only win is to get a “gaffe” from a Democrat.  Well, she didn’t, so the interview was good for Harris/Walz,  and the DC press will keep whining until a gaffe appears.

I hope Harris and Walz choose to do a lot more social media with influencers, and a lot less of this shit, in future.

The Political Press Needs a ResetPost + Comments (106)

On the Road Again, Montana!

by WaterGirl|  August 30, 202411:55 am| 105 Comments

This post is in: 2024 Activism, Open Threads, Political Action, Political Fundraising, Politics, Targeted Political Fundraising 2023-24

Officially announcing the start of our Four Directions Montana fundraising!  As we all know, Montana is about keeping Jon Tester’s senate seat, as well as helping Native people have more of a voice in elections.  Besides being “boots on the ground for the Native vote”, Four Directions also litigates – and often wins – on their behalf.

I got word late yesterday that Four Directions has fund a match for the full $30,000 we are trying to raise!  Thank you, Four Directions, for finding the match, and thank you to the two $15,000 external matchers that were found!

And we have a Balloon Juice Angel for you, right out of the gate – who has been patiently waiting for Montana to be up at bat!  Not sure if I can use their nym or not (waiting to hear) so for now it’s anonymous.   Thank you, Marleedog!

Matching up to $100 per person, for a total of $1,000!  To count toward the match, tell us about your donation in the comments or via email to me.   With the external match and the Angel match, this is a 4x donation.

THIS LINK IS FOR MONTANA DONATIONS – NOT FOR THE RAFFLE


Donate

Also: raffle tickets for the Native-made quilt will be available until Sunday evening, 9/8.
$25 each.  Here’s the link to buy raffle tickets and see the quilt raffle announcement and details.


Open Thread & New $1,250 Angel Match for The Civics Center

On the Road Again, Montana!Post + Comments (105)

TGIFriday Morning Open Thread: Hoping for A Quiet Holiday Weekend

by Anne Laurie|  August 30, 20248:26 am| 247 Comments

This post is in: Elections 2024, Kamala Harris for President, Open Threads, Proud to Be A Democrat

Someone stole our “Harris-Walz” sign today. My wife’s response; pic.twitter.com/FNrc2SDCBA

— Jim Rosenthal (@JimRosenthal4) August 24, 2024

After Vice President Kamala Harris and running mate Tim Walz recorded their highly anticipated CNN interview, Walz split off to go to NC for a few stops. @AP

His first stop? Cook Out, at the recommendation of Gov. Roy Cooper.

Walz’ order? Mint chocolate chip shake. pic.twitter.com/m58cw7WT8b

— Makiya Seminera (@makseminera) August 29, 2024

otoh, we will still be talking about Arlington https://t.co/5wiEKlWtEE

— Greg Dworkin (@DemFromCT) August 30, 2024

Postmaster general is confident about ability to process mail-in ballots https://t.co/w4ukeMMY2s

— The Associated Press (@AP) August 29, 2024

DeJoy better not be lying again. “Postmaster general is confident about ability to process mail-in ballots“:

… The Postal Service has been undergoing rapid changes, including the opening of large hubs, but some of those changes are being paused before the election to ensure they don’t interfere with performance, DeJoy said. And it will be all hands on deck to ensure the millions of mail-in ballots are delivered swiftly to their destinations.

“We’re going to be in great shape for the election. I’m pretty confident about everything that were doing,” DeJoy told The Associated Press ahead of an official rundown Thursday of election mail practices. “The American people should be confident.”

It’s a far cry from four years ago, when DeJoy, just a few months into the job, was being criticized as a Donald Trump crony who was dismantling mail-processing machines and removing blue postal boxes to undermine the election as Trump, the president at the time, sowed distrust in the Postal Service. Despite being excoriated, DeJoy’s Postal Service performed admirably under a crush of mail-in votes during the pandemic, and strongly pushed back against what they said were false claims of any intentional effort to damage the postal service before the 2020 election…

U.S. Postal Service officials briefed news reporters Thursday on measures that are being taken to ensure election mail reaches its destinations, building on its performance in 2020, when 97.9% of ballots were returned to election officials within three days, and in 2022, when 98.9% of election mail was delivered within three days. DeJoy said he’d like to inch closer to 100% this election cycle.

The lack of drama is a welcome relief from four years ago, when the Postal Service was dogged by backlogs and accusations of voter suppression ahead of the 2020 presidential election, in which more than 135 million ballots were delivered to and from voters.

show full post on front page

DeJoy was criticized for restricting overtime payments for postal workers and stopping the agency’s longtime practice of allowing late and extra truck deliveries in the summer of 2020. And the previously scheduled dismantling of dozens of mail-sorting machines and removal of blue boxes, corresponding with a massive drop in first-class mail, provided additional fuel to critics. The postmaster general, who was a major donor to Trump, was thought to be on thin ice, especially with the election of Democratic President Joe Biden…

U.S. Rep. Gerry Connolly, a frequent critic of changes under DeJoy, said Thursday that he’s confident Postal Service workers will “will ensure every ballot cast by mail is safely and securely delivered.” But the Virginia Democrat also said that oversight is important and that “Congress must remain vigilant on decisions made by the postmaster general in the days leading up to this election.”

The Postal Service is proceeding with a 10-year, $40 billion Postal Service modernization plan in which it’s renovating aging facilities, opening modern regional hubs in Georgia, Virginia, Oregon and elsewhere, and starting the process of purchasing 100,000 vehicles to replace older delivery trucks dating to 1987. The next-generation delivery vehicle was displayed Thursday at a separate event in Indiana that was aimed at promoting the Postal Service’s investments.

The Postal Service also showed that it can make adjustments when it abandoned a criticized plan to reroute Reno, Nevada-area mail processing to Sacramento, California, that had created an uproar among northern Nevada residents.

If there’s anything the public can do to help, DeJoy said, it would be to avoid procrastination when it comes to mailing ballots. “Vote early! If you’re using the mail, help us out,” he said.

 
TGIFriday Morning Open Thread:  Hoping for A Quiet Holiday Weekend...

(Joel Pett via GoComics.com)

TGIFriday Morning Open Thread: Hoping for A Quiet Holiday WeekendPost + Comments (247)

Late Night Open Thread: Early Responses to That CNN Interview

by Anne Laurie|  August 30, 20242:27 am| 172 Comments

This post is in: Elections 2024, Kamala Harris for President, Open Threads, Proud to Be A Democrat

The first 10 minutes of Kamala Harris’s CNN interview with Dana Bash is already more serious and substantive than any interview Donald Trump has ever given in the nine long years since he rode down his golden escalator in 2015.

— Keith Boykin (@keithboykin) August 30, 2024

It seems — and this is probably a net positive — to have been a disappointment to Our Most Public Media. The NYTimes is disappointed that Harris didn’t give them any actual ‘gaffes’ they could use against her…

The main reason CNN’s interview with Vice President Kamala Harris turned out to be remarkable was that it was the first one she had done since President Biden bowed out and tapped her as his successor.

Seated alongside her running mate, the quietly supportive Gov. Tim Walz of Minnesota, Ms. Harris parried questions from Dana Bash on Thursday without causing herself political harm or providing herself a significant boost.

She was methodical and risk-averse in the 27-minute interview, performing like a top seed in the early rounds of the U.S. Open tennis tournament trying to hold serve, survive and advance to the next round — in this case, her Sept. 10 debate with former President Donald J. Trump…

Meanwhile, Fox News is pissed that Dana Bash didn’t work hard enough to make Harris, and Walz, look bad. (Always blame the woman, it’s the Fox News creed.)

Here’s some snippets. Remember: Sharing is caring!

Harris in response to first Q from Dana Bash: Sadly in the last decade we have had in the former president someone who has really been pushing an agenda & environment that's about diminishing the character & strength of who we are as Americans. People are ready to turn the page pic.twitter.com/joNm229Jap

— Aaron Rupar (@atrupar) August 30, 2024

In polar opposite to the loathsome piece of shit — Harris' profound humility, and deep respect and loyalty to President Biden is heartwarming. All in all, she crushed her interview w/Dana Bash. Harris is going to be the next president of the United States. pic.twitter.com/NsTc8s87HU

— Bill Madden (@maddenifico) August 30, 2024

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This is actually pretty believable because there was a decent chance the next thing he said was that he was dying. Fortunately he’s not and it’s just politics, but this take is hindsight at best or the sort of sociopathy that makes someone a republican to begin with at worst. https://t.co/zwEs6QK13c

— Skit Skat Skoodle Doot (@ilpomodoro2) August 30, 2024

Fact check: True https://t.co/aOBzYCyk6G

— Jason Karsh (@jkarsh) August 30, 2024

Vice President Kamala Harris: “I think the most important and most significant aspect of my policy perspective and decisions is my values have not changed” pic.twitter.com/1n7lV5wYfQ

— Reda (@RedaMor_) August 29, 2024

Tim Walz to Dana Bash: "If it's not this, it's an attack on my children for showing love for me, or it's an attack on my dog. I'm not going to do that. And the one thing I'll never do is I'll never demean another member's service in any way. I never have. And I never will." pic.twitter.com/nkweI1ZlCy

— Justin Baragona (@justinbaragona) August 30, 2024

Harris says unequivocally that she has no regrets about defending President Biden when people were calling for him to get out of the race and praises him. pic.twitter.com/M7CM2vdr6J

— Aaron Rupar (@atrupar) August 30, 2024

Harris explains shifting her position on fracking by pointing out it actually hasn't changed since 2020, emphasizing "my values have not changed. I believe it's very important that we take seriously what we most do to guard against what's a clear crisis in terms of the climate" pic.twitter.com/5xtDIIAFa9

— Aaron Rupar (@atrupar) August 30, 2024

Harris doesn't commit to any policy changes on Israel/Hamas but says, "Israel has a right to defend itself … and how it does so matters." pic.twitter.com/n4722VycmF

— Aaron Rupar (@atrupar) August 30, 2024

Kamala Harris responds to a question about immigration by bringing up the bipartisan border security bill and criticizing Trump for scuttling it pic.twitter.com/sk0JNxbX1k

— Reda (@RedaMor_) August 30, 2024

In conclusion, Kamala Harris means business pic.twitter.com/1ML13xlFQ0

— Aaron Rupar (@atrupar) August 30, 2024

Tim Walz speaks about his son Gus on getting emotional during his speech:

"I'm grateful I got to experience it. I'm so proud of him. I'm proud of him, I'm proud of hope, I'm proud of Gwen, our politics can be better, life can be kinda hard." pic.twitter.com/Izbb26b7gH

— Reda (@RedaMor_) August 30, 2024

Kamala Harris to CNN’s Dana Bash: The true measure of the strength of a leader is based on who you lift up, not who you beat down. pic.twitter.com/R112BNTQEm

— Keith Boykin (@keithboykin) August 30, 2024

Note from a random normie:

I watched THE INTERVIEW.

1. Weird set .
2. MVP Harris remained optimistic, detailed and in command.
3. Tim Walz refused to disown his comments about service.
4. I like Dems who fight.
5. Axe grudgingly conceding Harris was ok.
6. Harris and Walz fight. I like that.

— #Harris2024 Dr CTVoter (@CTVoter) August 30, 2024

CNN’s got a three-part video of the interview on its site, starting here. And they’ve got a clip version up on YouTube, here:

Late Night Open Thread: Early Responses to That CNN InterviewPost + Comments (172)

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