• Menu
  • Skip to primary navigation
  • Skip to main content
  • Skip to primary sidebar

Before Header

  • About Us
  • Lexicon
  • Contact Us
  • Our Store
  • ↑
  • ↓

Balloon Juice

Come for the politics, stay for the snark.

This must be what justice looks like, not vengeful, just peaceful exuberance.

The unpunished coup was a training exercise.

Anne Laurie is a fucking hero in so many ways. ~ Betty Cracker

They are lying in pursuit of an agenda.

The snowflake in chief appeared visibly frustrated when questioned by a reporter about egg prices.

Radicalized white males who support Trump are pitching a tent in the abyss.

Stop using mental illness to avoid talking about armed white supremacy.

Sitting here in limbo waiting for the dice to roll

Innocent people do not delay justice.

We do not need to pander to people who do not like what we stand for.

I might just take the rest of the day off and do even more nothing than usual.

Wow, I can’t imagine what it was like to comment in morse code.

Fundamental belief of white supremacy: white people are presumed innocent, minorities are presumed guilty.

A democracy can’t function when people can’t distinguish facts from lies.

Reality always lies in wait for … Democrats.

Too often we confuse noise with substance. too often we confuse setbacks with defeat.

Seems like a complicated subject, have you tried yelling at it?

You are so fucked. Still, I wish you the best of luck.

It is not hopeless, and we are not helpless.

They think we are photo bombing their nice little lives.

How stupid are these people?

75% of people clapping liked the show!

She burned that motherfucker down, and I am so here for it. Thank you, Caroline Kennedy.

The arc of the moral universe does not bend itself. it is up to us to bend it.

Mobile Menu

  • 4 Directions VA 2025 Raffle
  • 2025 Activism
  • Donate with Venmo, Zelle & PayPal
  • Site Feedback
  • War in Ukraine
  • Submit Photos to On the Road
  • Politics
  • On The Road
  • Open Threads
  • Topics
  • Authors
  • About Us
  • Contact Us
  • Lexicon
  • Our Store
  • Politics
  • Open Threads
  • 2025 Activism
  • Garden Chats
  • On The Road
  • Targeted Fundraising!
Open Thread:  Hey Lurkers!  (Holiday Post)

Open Threads

You are here: Home / Archives for Open Threads

Excellent Read: “History Will Judge the Complicit” – STOCKPILE

by Anne Laurie|  January 1, 202410:22 pm| Leave a Comment

This post is in: Excellent Links, Information As Power, Republican Venality

Tens of thousands of Americans dead from a pandemic he could have prevented.
Tens of millions of Americans unemployed thanks to a crisis he created
American cities filled with violent protests
Yet no one in Trump's White House has resigned. Here's why: https://t.co/06GFXlVbmI

— Anne Applebaum (@anneapplebaum) June 2, 2020

As a German living in Berlin, some of the history described in this piece is all too close and palpable and maybe that helps to see things clearly, but as @anneapplebaum points out, even without that precedent a simple dictum should be enough: „Just try to be decent.“

— Kai Kupferschmidt (@kakape) June 2, 2020

Happy is the country that has no history. Anne Applebaum is an expert on the Baltic politics

… Since the Second World War, historians and political scientists have tried to explain why some people in extreme circumstances become collaborators and others do not. The late Harvard scholar Stanley Hoffmann had firsthand knowledge of the subject—as a child, he and his mother hid from the Nazis in Lamalou-les-Bains, a village in the south of France. But he was modest about his own conclusions, noting that “a careful historian would have—almost—to write a huge series of case histories; for there seem to have been almost as many collaborationisms as there were proponents or practitioners of collaboration.” Still, Hoffmann made a stab at classification, beginning with a division of collaborators into “voluntary” and “involuntary.” Many people in the latter group had no choice. Forced into a “reluctant recognition of necessity,” they could not avoid dealing with the Nazi occupiers who were running their country.

Hoffmann further sorted the more enthusiastic “voluntary” collaborators into two additional categories. In the first were those who worked with the enemy in the name of “national interest,” rationalizing collaboration as something necessary for the preservation of the French economy, or French culture—though of course many people who made these arguments had other professional or economic motives, too. In the second were the truly active ideological collaborators: people who believed that prewar republican France had been weak or corrupt and hoped that the Nazis would strengthen it, people who admired fascism, and people who admired Hitler.

Hoffmann observed that many of those who became ideological collaborators were landowners and aristocrats, “the cream of the top of the civil service, of the armed forces, of the business community,” people who perceived themselves as part of a natural ruling class that had been unfairly deprived of power under the left-wing governments of France in the 1930s. Equally motivated to collaborate were their polar opposites, the “social misfits and political deviants” who would, in the normal course of events, never have made successful careers of any kind. What brought these groups together was a common conclusion that, whatever they had thought about Germany before June 1940, their political and personal futures would now be improved by aligning themselves with the occupiers…

We all feel the urge to conform; it is the most normal of human desires. I was reminded of this recently when I visited Marianne Birthler in her light-filled apartment in Berlin. During the 1980s, Birthler was one of a very small number of active dissidents in East Germany; later, in reunified Germany, she spent more than a decade running the Stasi archive, the collection of former East German secret-police files. I asked her whether she could identify among her cohort a set of circumstances that had inclined some people to collaborate with the Stasi.

She was put off by the question. Collaboration wasn’t interesting, Birthler told me. Almost everyone was a collaborator; 99 percent of East Germans collaborated. If they weren’t working with the Stasi, then they were working with the party, or with the system more generally. Much more interesting—and far harder to explain—was the genuinely mysterious question of “why people went against the regime.”…

To the American reader, references to Vichy France, East Germany, fascists, and Communists may seem over-the-top, even ludicrous. But dig a little deeper, and the analogy makes sense. The point is not to compare Trump to Hitler or Stalin; the point is to compare the experiences of high-ranking members of the American Republican Party, especially those who work most closely with the White House, to the experiences of Frenchmen in 1940, or of East Germans in 1945, or of Czesław Miłosz in 1947. These are experiences of people who are forced to accept an alien ideology or a set of values that are in sharp conflict with their own.

Not even Trump’s supporters can contest this analogy, because the imposition of an alien ideology is precisely what he was calling for all along. Trump’s first statement as president, his inaugural address, was an unprecedented assault on American democracy and American values. Remember: He described America’s capital city, America’s government, America’s congressmen and senators—all democratically elected and chosen by Americans, according to America’s 227-year-old Constitution—as an “establishment” that had profited at the expense of “the people.” “Their victories have not been your victories,” he said. “Their triumphs have not been your triumphs.” Trump was stating, as clearly as he possibly could, that a new set of values was now replacing the old, though of course the nature of those new values was not yet clear.

Almost as soon as he stopped speaking, Trump launched his first assault on fact-based reality, a long-undervalued component of the American political system. We are not a theocracy or a monarchy that accepts the word of the leader or the priesthood as law. We are a democracy that debates facts, seeks to understand problems, and then legislates solutions, all in accordance with a set of rules. Trump’s insistence—against the evidence of photographs, television footage, and the lived experience of thousands of people—that the attendance at his inauguration was higher than at Barack Obama’s first inauguration represented a sharp break with that American political tradition. Like the authoritarian leaders of other times and places, Trump effectively ordered not just his supporters but also apolitical members of the government bureaucracy to adhere to a blatantly false, manipulated reality. American politicians, like politicians everywhere, have always covered up mistakes, held back information, and made promises they could not keep. But until Trump was president, none of them induced the National Park Service to produce doctored photographs or compelled the White House press secretary to lie about the size of a crowd—or encouraged him to do so in front of a press corps that knew he knew he was lying…

The built-in vision of themselves as American patriots, or as competent administrators, or as loyal party members, also created a cognitive distortion that blinded many Republicans and Trump-administration officials to the precise nature of the president’s alternative value system. After all, the early incidents were so trivial. They overlooked the lie about the inauguration because it was silly. They ignored Trump’s appointment of the wealthiest Cabinet in history, and his decision to stuff his administration with former lobbyists, because that’s business as usual. They made excuses for Ivanka Trump’s use of a private email account, and for Jared Kushner’s conflicts of interest, because that’s just family stuff.

One step at a time, Trumpism fooled many of its most enthusiastic adherents. Recall that some of the original intellectual supporters of Trump—people like Steve Bannon, Michael Anton, and the advocates of “national conservatism,” an ideology invented, post hoc, to rationalize the president’s behavior—advertised their movement as a recognizable form of populism: an anti–Wall Street, anti-foreign-wars, anti-immigration alternative to the small-government libertarianism of the establishment Republican Party. Their “Drain the swamp” slogan implied that Trump would clean up the rotten world of lobbyists and campaign finance that distorts American politics, that he would make public debate more honest and legislation more fair. Had this actually been Trump’s ruling philosophy, it might well have posed difficulties for the Republican Party leadership in 2016, given that most of them had quite different values. But it would not necessarily have damaged the Constitution, and it would not necessarily have posed fundamental moral challenges to people in public life.

In practice, Trump has governed according to a set of principles very different from those articulated by his original intellectual supporters. Although some of his speeches have continued to use that populist language, he has built a Cabinet and an administration that serve neither the public nor his voters but rather his own psychological needs and the interests of his own friends on Wall Street and in business and, of course, his own family. His tax cuts disproportionately benefited the wealthy, not the working class. His shallow economic boom, engineered to ensure his reelection, was made possible by a vast budget deficit, on a scale Republicans once claimed to abhor, an enormous burden for future generations. He worked to dismantle the existing health-care system without offering anything better, as he’d promised to do, so that the number of uninsured people rose. All the while he fanned and encouraged xenophobia and racism, both because he found them politically useful and because they are part of his personal worldview.

More important, he has governed in defiance—and in ignorance—of the American Constitution, notably declaring, well into his third year in office, that he had “total” authority over the states. His administration is not merely corrupt, it is also hostile to checks, balances, and the rule of law. He has built a proto-authoritarian personality cult, firing or sidelining officials who have contradicted him with facts and evidence—with tragic consequences for public health and the economy. He threatened to fire a top Centers for Disease Control and Prevention official, Nancy Messonnier, in late February, after her too-blunt warnings about the coronavirus; Rick Bright, a top Health and Human Services official, says he was demoted after refusing to direct money to promote the unproven drug hydroxychloroquine. Trump has attacked America’s military, calling his generals “a bunch of dopes and babies,” and America’s intelligence services and law-enforcement officers, whom he has denigrated as the “deep state” and whose advice he has ignored. He has appointed weak and inexperienced “acting” officials to run America’s most important security institutions. He has systematically wrecked America’s alliances…

…[A] Republican senator who dares to question whether Trump is acting in the interests of the country is in danger of—what, exactly? Losing his seat and winding up with a seven-figure lobbying job or a fellowship at the Harvard Kennedy School? He might meet the terrible fate of Jeff Flake, the former Arizona senator, who has been hired as a contributor by CBS News. He might suffer like Romney, who was tragically not invited to the Conservative Political Action Conference, which this year turned out to be a reservoir of COVID‑19…

The price of collaboration in America has already turned out to be extraordinarily high. And yet, the movement down the slippery slope continues, just as it did in so many occupied countries in the past. First Trump’s enablers accepted lies about the inauguration; now they accept terrible tragedy and the loss of American leadership in the world. Worse could follow. Come November, will they tolerate—even abet—an assault on the electoral system: open efforts to prevent postal voting, to shut polling stations, to scare people away from voting? Will they countenance violence, as the president’s social-media fans incite demonstrators to launch physical attacks on state and city officials?

Each violation of our Constitution and our civic peace gets absorbed, rationalized, and accepted by people who once upon a time knew better. If, following what is almost certain to be one of the ugliest elections in American history, Trump wins a second term, these people may well accept even worse. Unless, of course, they decide not to.

And one last excellent point from the piece: „Sometimes the point isn’t to make people believe a lie—it’s to make people fear the liar.“
We would do well as journalists to remember this…

— Kai Kupferschmidt (@kakape) June 2, 2020

Horseshoe theory in action:

Who collaborates? 1. Those who perceive themselves as part of a "natural ruling class," unfairly deprived of power; 2. “'Social misfits and political deviants' who, in the normal course of events, would never have made successful careers of any kind." https://t.co/GIXaDx4YPW

— Nils Gilman (@nils_gilman) June 3, 2020


(1) MAGAt white supremacists; (2) ‘Leftists’ so pure they prefer fascists to Democrats

Excellent Read: “History Will Judge the Complicit” – STOCKPILEPost + Comments

Heartbreaking / Infuriating Read: ‘In a town plagued by an environmental crisis, a local abortion debate consumes public attention’ – STOCKPILE

by Anne Laurie|  January 1, 202410:21 pm| Leave a Comment

This post is in: Environmental Rights, Excellent Links

New: @EricBoodman reports from Bristol, a town straddling TN and VA, on battles over an abortion clinic and a landfill that’s sickening residents https://t.co/FZllhab7hk

— Megan Thielking (@meggophone) April 18, 2023

Heartbreaking / Infuriating Read: ‘In a town plagued by an environmental crisis, a local abortion debate consumes public attention’ – STOCKPILEPost + Comments

War for Ukraine Day 677: Ukraine Welcomed the New Year with Air Defense

by Adam L Silverman|  January 1, 20247:44 pm| 22 Comments

This post is in: Foreign Affairs, Foreign Policy, Military, Open Threads, Russia, Silverman on Security, War, War in Ukraine

Anti-aircraft missile forces and mobile fire groups in action

📹: "South" Air Command pic.twitter.com/9tI2JRV59X

— Defense of Ukraine (@DefenceU) January 1, 2024

On New Year's night Ukraine's Air Defense destroyed a record number of Shahed drones – 87/90. Alarms blared all across Ukraine. We enter 2024 shaken, but unbroken 💪🏻🇺🇦 pic.twitter.com/y24EyI6fYv

— Maria Avdeeva (@maria_avdv) January 1, 2024

On New Year's Eve, our brave air defenders managed to shoot down a record number of enemy Shahed UAVs: 87 out of 90!
🇺🇦💪

📷: Oleg Petrasiuk (Illustrative photo) pic.twitter.com/X4ZmgGN4Nk

— Defense of Ukraine (@DefenceU) January 1, 2024

Unfortunately, one of the Shahed-136/131 drones Russia fired upon Odesa last night hit a high-rise building.

Source: https://t.co/CpNSVgugkp#Ukraine #Odesa pic.twitter.com/s6YcaugHoj

— (((Tendar))) (@Tendar) January 1, 2024

There is no new address posted yet today by President Zelenskyy. Yesterday I posted his New Year’s address, but here is his daily address to Ukrainians from yesterday, which is different than the New Year’s one. Video below, English transcript after the jump.

show full post on front page

I signed several decrees on honoring our warriors and our gratitude to them – address by the President of Ukraine

31 December 2023 – 16:17

I wish you health, fellow Ukrainians!

December 31 of the second year of full-scale war, of our resistance.

Recently I signed several decrees on honoring our warriors and our gratitude to them. And I want to talk about them today. Almost 700 warriors. The Army. The Air Force. The Navy. The Main Intelligence Directorate. Five Heroes of Ukraine, and four of them are intelligence officers, warriors of the Main Intelligence Directorate. Those whose heroic work cannot be disclosed yet, but whom we should all thank. Our heroes. Another “Gold Star” of the Hero of Ukraine is awarded to a warrior of the Armed Forces, Junior Sergeant Ihor Tymoshchuk. I personally presented him with the award during a trip to Avdiivka. He is a very strong guy. A strong commander. One of those who truly inspire. Four more warriors have now been awarded “Crosses of Military Merit”: Soldier Oleh Duzhenkyi from the 130th separate reconnaissance battalion, Soldier Mykyta Kaliayev from the 115th separate mechanized brigade of the Reserve Corps of our Ground Forces, Captain Bohdan Mazurenko from the 35th separate marine brigade and Major Roman Stryzhobyk from the 47th separate mechanized brigade. Thank you, guys, to each of you! Behind these awards are names that speak for themselves and bravery that is the more eloquent the fewer words you add to it. Robotyne, Zaporizhzhia region. A suburb of Horlivka, Donetsk region. Kherson region, the left bank of the Dnipro River. Krasnohorivka and Stepove, Donetsk region.

All of these nearly 700 warriors who have been honored today, as well as the medics who have also been awarded and to whom we are all grateful for saving our military, have shown themselves on the front line in combat brigades, in the defense of our people and the whole of Ukraine. On December 31, January 1, on every holiday and every weekday, our Ukraine is defended by such people, such Ukrainians. They are the strength and pride of our nation. And I want to especially thank everyone who is in combat, at combat posts, on combat missions now! Everyone who is at the front. Everyone who is defending our Ukrainian skies right now, on this day – Kropyvnytskyi and the region. Unfortunately, there are Russian strikes again today. And the guys will defend our skies tonight and tomorrow. Everyone who treats our servicemen, who is on duty in the ranks of the State Emergency Service of Ukraine. In local authorities. And everyone who uses the New Year to complete another fundraiser for the guys on the front line. I thank everyone who works and will work at our defense enterprises seven days a week. And everyone who will continue to communicate with Ukraine’s partners on January 1, tomorrow, without wasting time, so that next year our country will have as many capabilities as possible to fight the Russian evil.

I thank you all! 

Glory to Ukraine!

Everyone who currently is in battle, at an observation post, conducts reconnaissance or destroys the enemy by drone. Who rises to the occasion and retaliates. Relatives and friends of our warriors. Happy New Year to everyone who believes in and helps the Armed Forces of Ukraine! pic.twitter.com/HQdTrDZVvb

— Commander-in-Chief of the Armed Forces of Ukraine (@CinC_AFU) January 1, 2024

Ukrainian anthem playing in the first moments of the New Year… absolute chills and goosebumps. Slava Ukraini! 🇺🇦 pic.twitter.com/D827OgV3BT

— Maria Avdeeva (@maria_avdv) January 1, 2024

Ottowa:

Zelensky reported on additional NASAMS systems and missiles for NASAMS from Canada

"I am grateful to Justin Trudeau for his willingness to help strengthen the defense of the Ukrainian sky, in particular for the supply of additional NASAMS – systems and missiles for them,"… pic.twitter.com/iCj98HbL2Z

— Special Kherson Cat 🐈🇺🇦 (@bayraktar_1love) January 1, 2024

Zelensky reported on additional NASAMS systems and missiles for NASAMS from Canada

“I am grateful to Justin Trudeau for his willingness to help strengthen the defense of the Ukrainian sky, in particular for the supply of additional NASAMS – systems and missiles for them,” Zelensky said.

https://t.me/V_Zelenskiy_official/9065

The cost:

https://twitter.com/IhateTrenches/status/1741607234411339862

There is no celebration, much like last New years.
Instead, it’s reaching out to the fallens’ families and of remembrance

I hope one day, the actions of these men can be released as well as actions of the Ukrainians who stood shoulder to shoulder as brothers..

RIP until we meet again

 

40 бригада тактичної авіації.

Памʼяті Андрія Пільщикова, позивний «Джус» pic.twitter.com/zOWgI8VWsz

— Vadym Blonsky (@vadymblonsky) January 1, 2024

40 brigade of tactical aviation.

In memory of Andriy Pilschikov, call sign “Jus”

 

On this New Year Night, please remember that some 700 Ukrainian Azovstal defenders are still seeing this night in Russian captivity.

— Illia Ponomarenko 🇺🇦 (@IAPonomarenko) January 1, 2024

Today, on 1 January 2024, Victoria Amelina would have turned 38. She was killed in the Russian missile strike in June 2023. Read her work and tributes to her memory in our @ukrlondonreview and continue Victoria’s legacy. https://t.co/gqlmZcXrBO

— Ukrainian Institute London (@Ukr_Institute) January 1, 2024

Bucha:

Bucha pic.twitter.com/5I89KcsV6j

— Illia Ponomarenko 🇺🇦 (@IAPonomarenko) January 1, 2024

Kyiv:

The first Kyiv sunrise of 2024 viewed from Saint Volodymyr's Hill pic.twitter.com/QKLlEu7Zqq

— Business Ukraine mag (@Biz_Ukraine_Mag) January 1, 2024

Sevastopol, Russian occupied Crimea:

/2. Sea Baby with MLRS pic.twitter.com/xuGzB8fTEY

— Special Kherson Cat 🐈🇺🇦 (@bayraktar_1love) January 1, 2024

https://twitter.com/Tendar/status/1741785510119424360

The Ukrainian SBU released a video of one of their USVs. It shows a spectacular new development. Apparently, Ukrainian USVs are now capable to fire missiles. The video shows an attack against Russian Navy vessels at the port of Russian-occupied Sevastopol.

Source: https://t.me/Crimeanwind/51185

#Ukraine #Crimea #Sevastopol

Novomykhailivka, Russian occupied Donetsk Oblast:

https://twitter.com/bayraktar_1love/status/1741902772017008710

Russian occupied Donetsk Oblast:

https://twitter.com/bayraktar_1love/status/1741893909075120139

https://twitter.com/Tendar/status/1741954461172441206

https://twitter.com/Tendar/status/1741901710769971572

Results of the Ukrainian strikes against the “Donbas Palace Hotel”, where during New Year’s Eve high ranking Russians were having party. We still don’t have accurate readings on what the casualties are but Pro-Russian regime channels have been quite upset.

Source of video: https://t.me/uniannet/121663

#Ukraine #Donetsk

Stavropol, Russia:

https://twitter.com/bayraktar_1love/status/1741948551087751640

Austin, Texas:

https://twitter.com/Kasparov63/status/1741930517530911108

Obligatory:

Tymofiy Mylovanov, the head of the Kyiv School of Economics, has a long thread on how Ukraine broke the Black Sea blockade once Putin arrogated the grain deal. First tweet from the thread, the rest from the Thread Reader App.

https://twitter.com/Mylovanov/status/1741903020839891427

2. It called out Russia’s attempt to use food as a weapon
3. It took some risky military actions against certain pressure from the allies

Details of the story: 2/ 

Russia’s withdrawal from the grain initiative in July 2023 led to an immediate escalation of missile and drone attacks on Ukraine’s ports, blocking maritime exports

Ukraine anticipated this scenario and devised a plan to break the blockade 3/ 

That plan has succeeded. As of December 30, 2023, 400 ships carrying almost 13 million tons of cargo have been sent to 24 countries via the grain export corridor since August 8. 4/ 
Agricultural products comprise 70% of exports. 430 ships were received by Ukrainian ports through the corridor for unloading. 5/ 
Operational Ukrainian ports in the corridor zone include Pivdennyi, Odesa, Chornomorsk, Bilhorod-Dnistrovskyi and Ust-Dunaysk.

Fully reopening the ports of Greater Odesa could increase Ukraine’s annual GDP growth by 8%. 6/ 

Russia was dissatisfied with the plans to bypass the blockade. As of end of 2023, almost 180 port infrastructure facilities were fully or partially destroyed. 7/ 
However, Ukraine has been able to push the Black Fleet back into its bases and significantly decrease its capabilities. 8/ 
The British Defense Minister stated in late December that Ukraine destroyed 20% of Russia’s Black Sea Fleet over the previous four months. Russia’s dominance in the Black Sea is now in question. 9/ 
After Ukrainian attacks in August and September, Russia’s Black Sea Fleet had to relocate ships and submarines, including missile carriers, from Sevastopol to Novorossiysk. 10/ 
However, Ukraine has decided to move on Novorossiysk too. It was a high-stakes gamble that drew warnings from partners at all levels. The gamble succeeded. 11/ 
On August 3-4, Ukraine used a new SBU-developed “Mamai” suicide drone to strike Russia’s Black Sea Fleet in its harbor in Novorossiysk, hitting the landing ship “Olenegorsky Gornyak. 12/ 
Economically, the Novorossiysk attacks imposed hundreds of millions in losses on Russia from increased insurance rates. But they also impacted oil exports, concerning Ukraine’s partners. Ukraine received warnings from partners but persisted. 13/ 
This is because Novorossiysk is also a huge oil transshipment point. Through this port that oil giants from the United States export Kazakh oil. The “gray” export of Russian oil also takes place from there under the guise of other brands. So … Western business interests 14/ 
The gamble paid off – Russia eased pressure after the strikes, allowing Ukraine to open its own temporary maritime corridor for grain exports on August 10 without Russia’s agreement. 15/ 
But Russia continues to harass the maritime routes from Ukraine. One of Russia’s latest tactics is the remote mining of the sea with KABs. Russian bombers drop KABs equipped with special sensors onto the shallowest maritime routes. They explode when a ship passes over them. 16/ 
On December 5th, a Ukrainian anti-aircraft missile shot down a Russian Su-24M bomber near Zmiinyi Island that was engaged in such mining activities 17/ 
So, the battle to break the maritime blockade continues. Yet, the results have shown that Ukraine can defy and contain Russia, even if the Western allies are worried about their own interests and are not always happy with that. Russia understands force and this story proves it X 
Sources:

pravda.com.ua/news/2024/01/1…

Ùîá ç³ðâàòè ðîáîòó “çåðíîâîãî êîðèäîðà”, ÐÔ ì³íóº ìîðå ÊÀÁàìèϳñëÿ â³äíîâëåííÿ Óêðà¿íîþ êîíòðîëþ íàä ×îðíèì ìîðåì ³ ðîáîòè “çåðíîâîãî êîðèäîðó” ðîñ³éñüê³ îêóïàíòè âäàþòüñÿ äî ð³çíèõ ï³äëîñòåé íà êøòàëò ì³íóâàííÿ àêâàòî𳿠êåðîâàíèìè àâ³àáîìáàìè.https://www.pravda.com.ua/news/2024/01/1/7435423/
Àòàêà íà Íîâîðîñ³éñüê áóëà ñòðàòåã³÷íî âàæëèâîþ, õî÷à ïàðòíåðè áóëè íåâäîâîëåí³ – ÓÏÀòàêà íà ïîðò Íîâîðîñ³éñüêà ó ñåðïí³ 2023 ðîêó áóëà ñòðàòåã³÷íî âàæëèâîþ çàäëÿ â³äíîâëåííÿ “çåðíîâîãî êîðèäîðó”, õî÷à ì³æíàðîäí³ ïàðòíåðè ï³ñëÿ íå¿ âèñëîâëþâàëè ñâîº íåâäîâîëåííÿ Óêðà¿í³.https://www.pravda.com.ua/news/2024/01/1/7435418/

The folks at The Economist did an interview with President Zelenskyy over the weekend.

https://twitter.com/shashj/status/1741890842430763021

https://twitter.com/shashj/status/1741904311511142472

Here it is via the Internet Archive: (emphasis mine)

Volodymyr Zelensky is angry; not about the successes of his enemies (he sees none) nor even about his own army’s lack of progress on the battlefield. Instead, Ukraine’s president is exasperated by the wobbles of some of his allies as well as the detachment among some of his compatriots. And he wants you to know it.

Hardened by the pressures of war, a year of negative headlines and the failure of a counter-offensive that promised so much at the start of 2023, he has shed the lightness and humour that characterised our earlier meetings with him. Seated in his situation room and speaking to The Economist via Zoom, he punches out his message as if trying to break through the computer screen.

The day after Russia invaded on February 24th 2002, Mr Zelensky galvanised the world and mobilised his country with a 32-second video recorded on his phone in which he said simply: “We are here.” He and his team are still there, in the vast government complex in Kyiv. Russia is still striking at Kyiv, Dnipro, Kharkiv, Odessa and elsewhere, but the world is no longer listening as intently and the master-communicator no longer controls the narrative as he did two years ago. In Ukraine weariness is setting in. In the West headlines ask whether Vladimir Putin, Russia’s president, has started to win. Aid to Ukrainians has become a subject for political horse-trading in America and Europe.

The West has lost a sense of urgency and many Ukrainians have lost a sense of existential threat, Mr Zelensky says. He is now trying to rekindle both. “Maybe we did not succeed [in 2023] as the world wanted. Maybe not everything is as fast as someone imagined,” he says, but the idea that Mr Putin is winning is no more than a “feeling”. The reality, he says, is that Russian forces are still being slaughtered in places like Avdiivka, from where he has just returned. British defence intelligence sources estimate that, on current trends, Russia will have suffered more than 500,000 casualties, killed and wounded, by 2025.

“Thousands, thousands of killed Russian soldiers, nobody even took them away.” He emphasises that Mr Putin’s army failed to take a single large city in 2023, whereas Ukraine managed to break through Russia’s blockade of the Black Sea and is now shipping millions of tonnes of grain using a new route that hugs Ukraine’s southern coast. “Huge result!” the president declares.

Yet, as a former actor who managed to change how the world sees Ukraine, Mr Zelensky knows that perceptions can become reality in less helpful ways, too. In a war that has become about mobilising resources, the belief among Ukraine’s backers that victory has become impossible risks starving Ukraine of the money and arms that it needs to win. Fatalism can become a self-fulfilling prophecy.

That is what makes the coming year so important. As Russia’s war effort cranks into higher gear, and Ukraine’s resources are depleted, the attention of America and many European countries is shifting to domestic politics in a year of elections. Mr Zelensky’s task is harder than ever, and the stakes have not been higher since those first days of fighting.

Central to his argument is that by supporting Ukraine, Europe is protecting itself from Russian aggression. “Giving us money or giving us weapons, you support yourself. You save your children, not ours,” he warns bleakly. If Russia is allowed to take Ukrainian children, “they will take other children”. If Russia violates the rights of Ukrainians, “it will violate the rights in the world”. If Ukraine loses, Mr Putin will bring his wars closer to the West. “Putin feels weakness like an animal, because he is an animal. He senses blood, he senses his strength. And he will eat you for dinner with all your eu, nato, freedom, and democracy.”

With hunched shoulders, Mr Zelensky rams home his points by banging his fingers on the white formica desk of the situation room: “Maybe something is missing. Or maybe someone is missing. Someone who can talk about Ukraine as a defence of all of us.” European countries should be lobbying America to support Ukraine for their own sake. “Intelligence services of several European countries have started to [examine] a possibility of attack on their territory from Russia… Even those countries that were not in the ussr.”

As for suggestions about negotiations, Mr Zelensky says he does not detect “any fundamental steps forward to the peace from Russia”. What he and Ukrainians experience instead is a barrage of aerial attacks on Ukrainian cities in the east, south, north and west. “I see only the steps of a terrorist country.” And if Russia sends signals about wanting to freeze the conflict, as some Western media have reported, “it is not because they are righteous men, but because they don’t have enough missiles, ammunition, or prepared troops. They need this pause. Restore all their strength. And then with all their strength, turn the page of this war.”

Mr Zelensky gives little away about what Ukraine can achieve in 2024, saying that leaks before last summer’s counter-offensive helped Russia prepare its defences. But if he has a message, it is that Crimea and the connected battle in the Black Sea will become the war’s centre of gravity. Isolating Crimea, illegally annexed by Russia in 2014, and degrading Russia’s military capabilities there, “is extremely important for us, because it is the way for us to reduce the number of attacks from that region,” he says.

A successful operation would  be an “example to the world”, he continues. It would also have a big effect inside Russia. Losing a centre piece of the Kremlin’s propaganda would show that “thousands of Russian officers died just because of Putin’s ambition”. Ukraine is already scoring improbable victories on the strategically important peninsula, destroying a “good number” of ships in the Black Sea fleet—British officials say that a fifth of that fleet has been destroyed in the past four months alone. Losing naval bases that Russia has held for the past 240 years would be a huge embarrassment for Mr Putin.

But Mr Zelensky says that the speed of any success will depend on the military assistance he gets from Western partners. He has asked for the Taurus, a German-made, long-range stealth cruise missile with the ability to explode deep inside a target. This could enable Ukraine to destroy the $4bn Kerch bridge, in effect isolating the Crimean peninsula from Russia. “Russia has to know that for us this is a military object.” He suggests the Germans are not the only Western power standing in his way.

Mr Zelensky is still less open about his goals in the east and the south. Ukraine’s stated strategic ambition to restore Ukraine to its original borders, has not and will not change, but he is no longer setting time-lines and makes no promises of how much territory Ukraine can “de-occupy” next year. Its immediate task in the land war  will be “to defend the east, to save these very important cities of Ukraine, east and south, Kharkiv, Dnipro, Zaporizhzhia, Kherson, Mykolaiv”, and to protect his country’s critical infrastructure.

The inflated expectations Mr Zelensky created ahead of the counter-offensive of 2023 were partly what led to a sense of disappointment. An interview by Valery Zaluzhny, the commander of Ukrainian forces, with The Economist in November 2023 acknowledged the stalemate on the battlefield. Although it initially sparked an angry reaction from Mr Zelensky, it has also given him an opportunity to shift his message. To sustain this grinding war it is not just the West that needs to mobilise, but first and foremost Ukraine itself.

“We must consider our own strength,” says Mr Zelensky. While he is still positive that America will, in the end, provide military aid, Ukraine, he says, is also building up its own production in case Western supplies fall short. It was a message he echoed in a defiant and sober New Year’s address that was markedly less upbeat than his words on December 31st 2022. As part of this Plan B, he is asking the American government to provide licences to Ukraine to produce weapons ranging from artillery systems and missiles to air defence.

The “mobilisation of Ukrainian society and of the world” at the beginning of the war is not present today, Mr Zelensky says. “That needs to change.” Polls suggest that reducing the mobilisation age from its current 27 years and reducing the grounds for exemption are not popular. But Ukraine’s leader insists there is no alternative.

“Mobilisation is not just a matter of soldiers going to the front. It is about all of us. It is the mobilisation of all efforts. This is the only way to protect our state and de-occupy our land. Let’s be honest, we have switched to domestic politics,” Mr Zelensky says. This is a choice Ukrainians will have to make. “If we continue to focus on domestic politics, we need to call elections. Change the law, the constitution. But forget about counter-offensive actions and de-occupation.”

Nearly two years into a full-scale war, Mr Zelenksy has lost his youthful vibrancy. But he remains vehement that Ukraine cannot turn back from its plan to defeat Russia. “The most important profession a Ukrainian can do at the moment is to be in Ukraine…and for our Western partners, it is to be with Ukraine…If you don’t have the strength, then either get out or step aside. We will not retreat.” The question is whether the master-communicator of 2022 can persuade the rest of the world to share that conviction.

That’s enough for tonight.

Your daily Patron!

@patronthedog

Ми з Томом вітаємо усіх з прийдешнім Новим роком❤️

♬ оригінальний звук – Patron the Dog

Here’s the machine translation of the caption:

Tom and I wish everyone a very happy New Year. ❤️

Open thread!

War for Ukraine Day 677: Ukraine Welcomed the New Year with Air DefensePost + Comments (22)

Monday Evening Open Thread: Getting Our Voters Ready

by Anne Laurie|  January 1, 20246:56 pm| 61 Comments

This post is in: Elections 2024, Open Threads, Proud to Be A Democrat

🧵 The New Year provides an opportunity for evaluation and reflection.

I’m often asked about the DNC returning to a 50 states strategy. In evaluating our support for state parties over the past few years, we have taken that strategy to the next level.

Since I’ve been Chair…

— Jaime Harrison (@harrisonjaime) December 29, 2023

Message from Jaime Harrison - STOCKPILE

show full post on front page

Message from Jaime Harrison - STOCKPILE 2

Message from Jaime Harrison - STOCKPILE 3

======

Wrote in the @semafor media newsletter about how paid influencers are about to flood your feed with political content in 2024https://t.co/XwtQ4NChAO

— Max Tani (@maxwelltani) December 18, 2023

Interesting info, despite the anti-Dem bias. From Semafor, “Democrats built an influencer economy. Can it save Joe Biden?”:

When the Environmental Protection Agency opened public comments this month, they were flooded with more than 60,000 comments from people who support Joe Biden’s new power plant regulations — and had learned about the issue from micro-celebrities they follow on Instagram.

“So join me and let’s get LOUD!” one influencer, Ariana Jasmine Afshar, exhorted her 46,000 Instagram followers. “Let’s show them that we are serious about the young generation’s future.”

This was not a spontaneous outpouring of digital passion for energy regulations, however. Some of the social media celebs, including Afshar, were being paid to speak out by political influencer marketing firm atAdvocacy, which was working with environmental awareness client Evergreen Action to push the president to the left on climate issues. Afshar speaks regularly on social issues to a following that also includes 200,000 people on TikTok, and her posts about the regulations helped inspire some of them to write to the EPA.

Influencer marketing, pioneered years ago by the culture industries and fashion and beauty brands, is now big business. And 2024 is shaping up as the first serious influencer election. Both parties have cultivated networks of informal spokespeople who can reach younger voters or supporters who may not see or be moved by traditional television advertising. An ecosystem of companies on the left including Vocal, atAdvocacy, and Social Currant have emerged to connect candidates to influencers and help those influencers get paid for speaking out on behalf of causes and candidates.

“The young people under 35 that watched the [Republican] debate is in the tens of thousands,” Stuart Perelmuter, the CEO of the influencer network atAdvocacy told Semafor. “We’re reaching them by the 10s of millions every single day.”…

… [H]arnessing influencer and creator voices is clearly on the minds of top national Democrats involved in the biggest race. President Joe Biden’s digital team has openly discussed at length its strategy for wooing influencers in an unpaid capacity. Last month, the White House hosted its first ever creator holiday party, inviting influencers to the White House to post. (Donald Trump did more or less the same in 2019.) Since taking office, Biden’s team has regularly invited its loose network of political supporters online to the White House for briefings, and granted interviews to supportive Substackers and YouTubers. Last year, Biden granted a rare one-on-one sitdown interview to Brian Tyler Cohen, a popular YouTuber who helped launch atAdvocacy.

In addition to convening influencers, the White House and Biden teams have also built strong relationships with the leaders of the organizations that will deploy them. The Biden digital teams have privately hosted atAdvocacy and Social Currant at the White House to discuss influencer messaging and learn about the digital information ecosystem.

The networks have also developed close ties to each other. Last week, the Center for American Progress, one of the most well-known liberal institutions, hosted an event on the importance that independent digital voices will have on the election next year. Ellie Langford, the senior director of strategic partnerships for CAP’s digital advocacy team, is an alum of Vocal during the 2020 cycle (Vocal itself is led by an alum of the Center for American Progress). Social Currant has partnered with AtAdvocacy on several issue campaigns. Many key players from all companies were in attendance at CAP’s event last week, hosted by Langford…..

When I spoke with Biden deputy campaign manager Rob Flaherty last summer, he acknowledged that conservatives had scaled up their influencer ecosystem. But he stipulated that the Biden campaign was focused not just on cultivating established political influencers, but figuring out how to boost voices that can persuade undecided voters rather than simply get the message out.

“What they’re starting to build out is the digital version of what they’ve always had,” he said, comparing the outspoken right wing digital influencers to angry, impassioned Fox News pundits. “They’re slower on the ‘persuasion influencers.’ They’re building an influencer ecosystem and we’re trying to talk to people where they are.”…

Monday Evening Open Thread: Getting Our Voters ReadyPost + Comments (61)

Open Thread: Make a Joyful Noise

by TaMara|  January 1, 20245:32 pm| 33 Comments

This post is in: Duck Blogging, Open Threads

Open Thread: Make a Joyful Noise

This year, because I spent so much time traveling, I didn’t feel like dragging the fake tree and all the ornaments out for just two weeks (I’m a “take the tree down right after Christmas” kinda gal). So, when the real trees went on sale, 1/2 off at the local grocery store, I grabbed a tabletop tree for cheap. Gave it some basic (all white this year) decorations and enjoyed the smell until the branches started to shed their needles.

I removed the decorations this weekend and finally dragged the tree outside today and left it on the patio. I did NOT expect the ducks to be in duck heaven. See video below for their sounds of approval.

Happy New Year y’all and open thread

Open Thread: Make a Joyful NoisePost + Comments (33)

WSJ: Those Pesty Asians, No Longer Willing to Support Our Addiction to Cheap Stuff – STOCKPILE

by Anne Laurie|  January 1, 20244:51 pm| Leave a Comment

This post is in: Excellent Links, Foreign Affairs, Open Threads, Show Me On the Doll Where Rahm Touched You

Whut? You mean people with epicanthic folds are just like those without? Prefer an indoor job, no heavy lifting? Say it ain't so! https://t.co/TLiIW4huqx

— Tim Worstall (@worstall) August 7, 2023

The Wall Street Journal is duly alarmed — “The Era of Ultracheap Stuff Is Under Threat”:

… Asia, the world’s factory floor and the source of much of the stuff Americans buy, is running into a big problem: Its young people, by and large, don’t want to work in factories.

That’s why the garment factory is trying to make its manufacturing floor more enticing, and why alarm bells are ringing at Western companies that rely on the region’s inexpensive labor to churn out affordable consumer goods.

The twilight of ultracheap Asian factory labor is emerging as the latest test of the globalized manufacturing model, which over the past three decades has delivered a vast array of inexpensively produced goods to consumers around the world. Americans accustomed to bargain-rate fashion and flat-screen TVs might soon be reckoning with higher prices.

“There’s nowhere left on the planet that’s going to be able to give you what you want,” said Paul Norriss, the British co-founder of the Vietnam garment factory, UnAvailable, based in Ho Chi Minh City. “People are going to have to change their consumer habits, and so are brands.”…

Starting in the 1990s, China and then other Asian manufacturing hubs integrated into the global economy, turning nations of poor farmers into manufacturing powerhouses. Durable goods such as refrigerators and sofas became less expensive.

Now those manufacturing nations are running up against a generational problem. Younger workers, better-educated than their parents and veterans of Instagram, TikTok and other social media, are deciding their work lives shouldn’t unfold inside factory walls.

Demographic shifts are playing a role. Young people in Asia are having fewer children than their parents did, and at later ages, which means they are under less pressure to earn a steady income in their 20s. A booming services sector offers the option of less-grueling work as store clerks in malls and receptionists at hotels…

In the past, manufacturers might simply have moved to less expensive destinations. That’s not so easy these days. There are nations in Africa and South Asia with large labor pools, but many are politically unstable, or lack good infrastructure and trained workforces.

Clothing brands were stung when they expanded into Myanmar and Ethiopia, only to find operations disrupted by unrest and civil war. Bangladesh has been a reliable base for producing clothes, but restrictive trade policies and clogged ports have kept it from making much beyond that…

India has a huge population, and firms seeking alternatives to China are expanding there. But even in India, factory managers are beginning to complain about the difficulties of retaining young workers. Many young people prefer farm life supported by state welfare programs or choose gig work in cities over living in factory dormitories in industrial hubs. Trained engineers leave factories for IT jobs…

The labor landscape was much different two decades ago, when finding workers was as simple as opening factory gates and watching bicycles stream in.

In 2001, Nike reported that more than 80% of its factory workers were in Asia, and that the typical one was 22, single and raised on a farm. Today, Nike’s average worker in China is 40, and in Vietnam, 31, in part because Asian countries are aging rapidly…

When Asian factories automate, many have trouble finding workers capable of operating advanced machinery. Managers said not enough young people are interested in learning mechanical engineering, and that the ones that do jump to other professions.

Abhyuday Jindal, managing director of Indian stainless-steel manufacturer Jindal Stainless, said Gen Z workers are drawn to the IT sector, and that most of them “look for office jobs, even when recruited for technical functions.”

Factories “either have to pay a bit more money for the skills they want, or compromise on the capabilities that they need,” said Richard Jackson, managing director of JacksonGrant, a Thailand-based recruitment firm…

Young people from developing countries who otherwise might take factory jobs are finding work caring for the growing numbers of the elderly people in developed nations, as well as plugging gaps in those countries’ aging workforces.

Susi Susanti, a 29-year-old from Indonesia, said she tried factory jobs after graduating from high school. She hated being pressured to work faster by her managers at an electronics factory, and in a second job making shoes. She told her mother she had to do something else.

A six-month training course taught her rudimentary Mandarin, and she set off to work caring for an elderly couple in Taiwan. Her pay is three times as high as she earned in factories back home, she said, and it’s less exhausting. “When the person I’m looking after is doing well,” she said, “I can relax.”

And yet populist politicians & media in US and their nostalgic economics (JD Vance, Trump, T Carlson) yearn for good old days when everyone had the opportunity to work in an environment where they could lose a limb.

— Joshua Henry (@joshdhenry) August 7, 2023

WSJ: Those Pesty Asians, No Longer Willing to Support Our Addiction to Cheap Stuff – STOCKPILEPost + Comments

Ashokan Farewell Open Thread: Big Media *Craves* the Idea of ‘Civil War’

by Anne Laurie|  January 1, 20244:50 pm| Leave a Comment

This post is in: Domestic Terrorism, Open Threads, Republican Stupidity, Republican Venality, Trumpery, Our Failed Media Experiment

When asked by Tucker Carlson whether the US is headed towards a violent civil war, Donald Trump chooses to answer by praising the people who attacked the Capitol on January 6th https://t.co/7opdx1PRIi

— Citizens for Ethics (@CREWcrew) August 24, 2023

Sad RW Pandas Open Thread: Tucker & Trump

https://slate.com/news-and-politics/2023/08/tucker-carlson-trump-interview-x-epstein-debate.html

https://www.rollingstone.com/politics/politics-news/donald-trump-tucker-carlson-debate-night-interview-epstein-civil-war-1234811372/

… Carlson closed the interview with a pointed question: “Do you think we’re moving towards civil war?”

Trump paused for a moment. “There’s tremendous passion, and there’s tremendous love,” he responded. “Jan. 6 was a very interesting day, because they don’t report it properly.”

“People that were in that crowd that day — a very very small group of people — went down there and there were a lot of scenarios that we can talk about, but people in that crowd said it was the most beautiful day they had ever experienced. There was love and unity.”

“I’ve never seen such spirit and such passion and such love, and I’ve also never seen, simultaneously and from the same people, such hatred of what they’ve done to our country,”Trump added.

“So do you think it’s possible that there’s open conflict?” Carlson pressed.

“I don’t know, I don’t know,” Trump replied. “I can say this: There’s a level of passion I’ve never seen, and there’s a level of hatred I’ve never seen. And that’s probably a bad combination.”

https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2023/08/24/trump-georgia-surrender-republican-impact/

wallet inspector please hand over your wallet for review pic.twitter.com/tWhWcK75EQ

— Jean-Michel Connard ?? (@torriangray) August 25, 2023

https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2023/aug/25/sarah-palin-us-civil-war-donald-trump-prosecutions

Saturday Morning Open Thread:  Big Talk About 'Civil War'
(h/t BethanyAnn)

For years now we've suffered a steady drumbeat of Nazi shooters almost identical in their ideology and method. AR-style rifle. Body armor. 8chan manifesto. Often swastikas and references to other shooters.

But half our media/government pretends they each occur in a total vacuum.

— zeddy (@Zeddary) August 26, 2023

Ashokan Farewell Open Thread: Big Media *Craves* the Idea of ‘Civil War’Post + Comments

  • « Go to Previous Page
  • Page 1
  • Interim pages omitted …
  • Page 630
  • Page 631
  • Page 632
  • Page 633
  • Page 634
  • Interim pages omitted …
  • Page 5294
  • Go to Next Page »

Primary Sidebar

On The Road - UncleEbeneezer - Eastern Sierra Fall Foliage 2024- McGee Creek, CA (Part 7/8) 3
Image by UncleEbeneezer (11/11/25)

We did it!

Recent Comments

  • BlueGuitarist on Doing the Work Is More Important Than Ever – A Long Shot Becomes a Potential Flip in the House – We Did It! (Nov 11, 2025 @ 3:48pm)
  • iKropoclast on Tuesday Morning Open Thread: One Must Imagine Sisyphus Happy (Nov 11, 2025 @ 3:47pm)
  • lowtechcyclist on Tuesday Morning Open Thread: One Must Imagine Sisyphus Happy (Nov 11, 2025 @ 3:46pm)
  • frosty on Doing the Work Is More Important Than Ever – A Long Shot Becomes a Potential Flip in the House – We Did It! (Nov 11, 2025 @ 3:41pm)
  • WTFGhost on Tuesday Morning Open Thread: One Must Imagine Sisyphus Happy (Nov 11, 2025 @ 3:41pm)

Balloon Juice Posts

View by Topic
View by Author
View by Month & Year
View by Past Author

Featuring

Medium Cool
Artists in Our Midst
Authors in Our Midst
On Artificial Intelligence (7-part series)

🎈Keep Balloon Juice Ad Free

Become a Balloon Juice Patreon
Donate with Venmo, Zelle or PayPal

Calling All Jackals

Site Feedback
Nominate a Rotating Tag
Submit Photos to On the Road
Balloon Juice Anniversary (All Links)
Balloon Juice Anniversary (All Posts)
Fix Nyms with Apostrophes

Balloon Juice Mailing List Signup

Upcoming Meetups

Virginia Meetup on Oct 11 please RSVP

Social Media

Balloon Juice
WaterGirl
TaMara
John Cole
DougJ (aka NYT Pitchbot)
Betty Cracker
Tom Levenson
David Anderson
Major Major Major Major
DougJ NYT Pitchbot
mistermix
Rose Judson (podcast)

We did it!

Site Footer

Come for the politics, stay for the snark.

  • Facebook
  • RSS
  • Twitter
  • YouTube
  • Comment Policy
  • Our Authors
  • Blogroll
  • Our Artists
  • Privacy Policy

Copyright © 2025 Dev Balloon Juice · All Rights Reserved · Powered by BizBudding Inc