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Balloon Juice

Come for the politics, stay for the snark.

“woke” is the new caravan.

“What are Republicans afraid of?” Everything.

Everybody saw this coming.

T R E 4 5 O N

Something needs to be done about our bogus SCOTUS.

If you still can’t see these things even now, maybe politics isn’t your forte and you should stop writing about it.

When I was faster i was always behind.

They were going to turn on one another at some point. It was inevitable.

You cannot shame the shameless.

Michigan is a great lesson for Dems everywhere: when you have power…use it!

Insiders who complain to politico: please report to the white house office of shut the fuck up.

They fucked up the fucking up of the fuckup!

We are learning that “working class” means “white” for way too many people.

The unpunished coup was a training exercise.

Motto for the House: Flip 5 and lose none.

So fucking stupid, and still doing a tremendous amount of damage.

The revolution will be supervised.

I did not have this on my fuck 2025 bingo card.

Make the republican party small enough to drown in a bathtub.

Republicans choose power over democracy, every day.

Good lord, these people are nuts.

Trumpflation is an intolerable hardship for every American, and it’s Trump’s fault.

Give the craziest people you know everything they want and hope they don’t ask for more? Great plan.

Speaking of republicans, is there a way for a political party to declare intellectual bankruptcy?

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Open Thread:  Hey Lurkers!  (Holiday Post)

Open Threads

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Times of Israel – U.S. Military Emergency Mission to Build Pier Off the Coast of Gaza

by WaterGirl|  March 8, 20249:55 am| 166 Comments

This post is in: Biden Administration in Action, Foreign Policy, Open Threads, Politics

Such welcome news!

According to the live blog on the Times of Israel: the US military will build a temporary pier off Gaza coast that will allow for maritime delivery of aid!

President Biden is the living embodiment of what Nancy Pelosi said in this clip about passing health care reform in 2010.  The whole clip is  only 1.5 minutes, but the money quote starts one minute in at 1:05.

Cutting to the chase.  Biden Administration:

We’re not waiting on the Israelis. This is a moment for American leadership, and we are building a coalition of countries to address this urgent need.

.

US President Joe Biden will announce in his State of the Union address tonight that he has directed the US military to embark on an emergency mission to establish a temporary pier off the coast of Gaza that will allow for the direct delivery of humanitarian assistance from the Mediterranean Sea, senior administration officials tell reporters on a briefing call.

The idea for a marine humanitarian corridor into Gaza has been floated for years, but never got off the ground due to Israeli reticence and concerns that the existing Gaza City fishing port isn’t equipped for docking large ships. The US made a renewed push for the corridor establishment following last week’s deadly mass-casualty incident where dozens of Palestinians were killed trying to collect aid in northern Gaza.

Believing that the best way to ensure civilians receive aid is by flooding the strip with assistance by land, air and sea, the US has airdropped food over Gaza three times since Saturday, and will over the coming weeks begin work to establish a causeway facility off the coast of Gaza that will be able to receive large ships carrying hundreds of truckloads of food, water, medicine and temporary shelters each day, according to the administration officials.

The US is coordinating with Israel to ensure its security concerns are met and with the UN and humanitarian organizations on the ground in order to ensure that the aid is properly distributed.

Initial shipments will arrive to the port via Cyprus’s Larnaca Port, where they will ostensibly undergo security inspections.

It will take “a number of weeks” to get the temporary pier built and running, one of the officials briefing reporters said, adding that the US hopes that the port will turn into “a commercially operated facility over time.”

The officials clarified that the project will not require US boots on the ground in Gaza. Instead, US military personnel will be present on vessels offshore while the pier is being built.

“We’re not waiting on the Israelis. This is a moment for American leadership, and we are building a coalition of countries to address this urgent need,” one of the senior officials says.

I wrote this yesterday but held it because of the state of the union.  I still think this is worth front-paging.  Do take a minute to watch Nancy Pelosi!

Open thread.

Times of Israel – U.S. Military Emergency Mission to Build Pier Off the Coast of GazaPost + Comments (166)

Friday Morning Open Thread: President Joe Hit *All* the Bases

by Anne Laurie|  March 8, 20248:34 am| 133 Comments

This post is in: Open Threads, President Biden, Proud to Be A Democrat, Republicans in Disarray!

When your base is ecstatic, the media is floored and the usual suspects are pissed off and busy trying to parse your speech, you had a good night.

— Ragnarok Lobster (@eclecticbrotha) March 8, 2024

I could do a dozen aggregating posts like this, and I suspect I won’t be the only front-pager posting about last night…

Q: Did President Biden meet the moment?

Speaker Emerita Pelosi: Definitely, it was spectacular. He did it with vigor, vision, and patriotism. It was one of the finest State of the Union addresses I've seen pic.twitter.com/gD6pc3WKoD

— Biden-Harris HQ (@BidenHQ) March 8, 2024

those Dems complaining that Biden lacks vigor and fight getting splash of cold water in the face right now

— John Harwood (@JohnJHarwood) March 8, 2024

President Biden: On January 6th, insurrectionists placed a dagger at the throat of American democracy. America stood strong, democracy prevailed. While Trump seeks to bury the truth, I will not. Here’s the simplest truth, you can’t be pro-insurrection and pro-America pic.twitter.com/XwlHrS3AIc

— Biden-Harris HQ (@BidenHQ) March 8, 2024

show full post on front page

President Biden: Putin will not stop at Ukraine, he will not. But now, assistance is being blocked by those who want to walk away from our world leadership. Trump tells Putin “do whatever the hell you want," he actually said that. It’s outrageous, dangerous, and unacceptable pic.twitter.com/rAykEkPIee

— Biden-Harris HQ (@BidenHQ) March 8, 2024

President Biden: Those bragging about overturning Roe have no clue about the power of women in America. They found out when reproductive freedom won on the ballot and will find out again in 2024. With a Congress that supports the right to choose, I promise I will restore Roe pic.twitter.com/snKdOhQ0qi

— Biden-Harris HQ (@BidenHQ) March 8, 2024

Biden: Tonight, I am directing U.S. Military to lead a mission to establish a temporary pier on the coast of gaza that will receive large shipments covering food water.. Israel must do its part. They must allow more aid into gaza to make sure workers are caught in the crossfire pic.twitter.com/UlejixQX8R

— Acyn (@Acyn) March 8, 2024

President Biden: Trump says we should “get over” mass shootings. I’m demanding a ban on assault weapons, to pass universal background checks. I’m proud we beat the NRA with the most significant gun safety law in 30 years, now we must beat them again pic.twitter.com/Lei6a46Ele

— Biden-Harris HQ (@BidenHQ) March 8, 2024

President Biden: I'm proud to be the first President to walk a picket line. Wall Street didn't build this country, the middle class did. It’s because of you, our country is stronger, brighter. We can proudly say, the state of our union is strong and getting stronger pic.twitter.com/BUcR03VYbo

— Biden-Harris HQ (@BidenHQ) March 8, 2024

President Biden: I will not demonize immigrants, saying they “poison the blood of our country” as Trump said in his own words. I will not separate families or ban people from America because of their faith. Unlike Trump, I know who we are as Americans pic.twitter.com/r6YWvpa362

— Biden-Harris HQ (@BidenHQ) March 8, 2024

"Turning setback into comeback."

Joe Biden is bringing it.

— William K. Wolfrum (@Wolfrum) March 8, 2024

President Biden made the GOP look stupid (not exactly difficult to do, but still)… https://t.co/72ZrLTewYu

— Jeff Mayers (@TimeLordJeff) March 8, 2024

The biggest tell to me were all the reports that gops were telling reporters they were mad because Biden was too partisan

— Josh Marshall (@joshtpm) March 8, 2024

How did Joe do?

(you could tell how effective he was by the Repugs all sitting there silently with sullen looks on their faces like teenagers who just got grounded) 🤣 pic.twitter.com/CfCZ2On8IK

— Mark Hamill (@MarkHamill) March 8, 2024

so sad pic.twitter.com/fpl9upPggL

— Josh Marshall (@joshtpm) March 8, 2024

Mike Johnson on President Biden's State of the Union address that included supporting IVF, ending cancer, raising teacher pay, defending democracy, and securing the border: There was nothing Republicans could agree to pic.twitter.com/gRrNeqyhoA

— Biden-Harris HQ (@BidenHQ) March 8, 2024

President Biden's closing remarks at the State of the Union: pic.twitter.com/2k4HUBYc7V

— Biden-Harris HQ (@BidenHQ) March 8, 2024

I’ve told y'all time and time again.. keep betting against @joebiden & you will be joining the RNC… taking out a line of credit & going broke!

— Jaime Harrison (@harrisonjaime) March 8, 2024

That was definitely the feeling inside the room. And a bunch of flabbergasted republicans unsure whether or not they should applaud stuff like job growth and taking care of veterans. It was quite a scene. https://t.co/9Cy2bwId8g

— Brian Schatz (@brianschatz) March 8, 2024

Not a poll, a real number. https://t.co/nxfU5OyMr1

— Kaivan Shroff (@KaivanShroff) March 8, 2024

pic.twitter.com/bSujBysiiz

— Candidly Tiff (@tify330) March 8, 2024

Friday Morning Open Thread: President Joe Hit *All* the BasesPost + Comments (133)

Grim Dawn Open Thread: Another Angle on GOP’s Katie Britt ‘Rebuttal’

by Anne Laurie|  March 8, 20246:47 am| 178 Comments

This post is in: Elections 2024, Open Threads, Republicans in Disarray!, Schadenfreude

Imagine you're sleeping over at a friend's house and you get up in the middle of the night to pee and you hear a weird sound so you follow it to the kitchen, where your friend's mom is drunk, crying, and rambling about the national debt.

Those are the vibes from Katie Britt rn.

— Julia Ioffe (@juliaioffe) March 8, 2024

The modern SOTU rebuttal is generally an opportunity to take a putative GOP rising star and make them into a punch line. so yeah.

— Josh Marshall (@joshtpm) March 8, 2024

okay, not sure we're going to be hearing a lot more from her

— Josh Marshall (@joshtpm) March 8, 2024

Some hours before Britt’s State of the Union ‘rebuttal’, Puck‘s journamalistic botfly Tara Palmeri posted “Mar-a-Lago V.P. Soul-Searching”:

Among the first to arrive at Mar-a-Lago on Super Tuesday was Marjorie Taylor Greene, dressed in all black, at 4:30 p.m., when there were still just a handful of other people in the gilded ballroom. Within hours, of course, the royal court of Donald Trump had filled with red-hatted men and bleached blond women in sequins and leopard prints, who cheered as Trump pulled off a sweep (sans Vermont), essentially securing his coronation as the G.O.P.’s 2024 standard-bearer…

Greene then enumerated the reasons why rising star Katie Britt—the youngest Republican woman ever elected to the Senate, charged with delivering the rebuttal to Biden’s State of the Union address—isn’t MAGA enough to be Trump’s vice president. “Katie Britt, she’s a fairly new senator,” she told me, citing Britt’s underwhelming Heritage Action score (81) from memory. “Not as strong of a conservative as the base would like to see.” Perhaps there was another candidate Greene had in mind? “Of course, I’ll serve in any role that President Trump asks me to,” she said.

Trump himself spent most of the evening out on the patio, away from the applause and well-wishers, buttonholing high-dollar donors to help ease his financial troubles: a $41 million cash disadvantage relative to Biden and the D.N.C.; a deluge of campaign ads from well-funded Democratic groups; his tens of millions of dollars in legal fees, and hundreds of millions more in civil penalties. (Between the $83.3 million due to E. Jean Carroll for defamation, and $355 million plus interest owed to the state of New York, he’s on the hook for nearly half a billion dollars.) Perhaps that’s why the former president didn’t seem jubilant, exactly, when he sauntered onto the stage to deliver another “American Carnage”-style speech…

So while Greene seems to think that Trump will select his vice president based on their appeal to MAGA voters, the emerging consensus among campaign insiders is that his choice will come down to who can perform best with wealthy donors—the Republican constituency that still needs the most convincing before getting comfortable with another four years of Trump.

show full post on front page

Indeed, people in Trump’s orbit have said as much, telling me that his V.P. choice will likely be a donor play, not a voter tickle. And he may have to make the selection soon: Waiting until the week before the Republican National Convention, in July, might be cutting it close in a race where the candidates and their parties are expected to spend $2.7 billion on advertising between them. “They are worried, they are calling around,” said a source…

But the donor heartthrob du jour is Britt, the 42-year-old former Senate staffer. The Alabama senator has fans in the A.O.A., a group of G.O.P. megadonors that includes Ken Griffin and Paul Singer, who have thus far refused to line Trump’s coffers—but might be convinced to capitulate if they see a young and normalizing rising star on the ticket. The billionaire Ricketts family, which also sat out the primary and remains an influential part of the A.O.A. network, also has a strong affection for Britt. Warren Stephens, who gave to Asa Hutchinson in the primary, likes Britt, too. But the group, which rarely comes out in support of a candidate, has yet to endorse Trump…

So… was Britt shoved into a role she was manifestly unready for because the big money donors liked her, or because the actual Freedom Carcass legislators don’t? Possibly both! My opinion: LET.THEM.FIGHT.

Anyone calling Britt "America's mom" now? https://t.co/69Ctj3jzjP

— Brian Stelter (@brianstelter) March 8, 2024

Professional pessimist Tom Nichols, gradually backing away from his original (low) opinion…

The article is much better than this tweet about it, and worth a read. https://t.co/rNjaZYPpKw

— Tom Nichols (@RadioFreeTom) March 8, 2024

Look, this Katie Britt address – breathy, theatrical, on the verge of tears – is completely weird, very coached and like a high school acting audition.
But you have to remember that these people know their base, and the base is going to *love* this.

— Tom Nichols (@RadioFreeTom) March 8, 2024

There is no way that this Katie Britt address does not end up as part of the SNL cold open

— Tom Nichols (@RadioFreeTom) March 8, 2024

But then, so did the NYTimes!

With a sunny, inviting smile, Senator Katie Britt of Alabama welcomed Americans into her kitchen on Thursday night.

Many soon backed away nervously.

In the Republican Party’s official response to President Biden’s State of the Union address, Ms. Britt delivered a jarring speech that toggled between an increasingly strained cheerfulness and a fierce glare as she gave ominous warnings about illegal immigration…

Her comments were in line with messages Republicans have increasingly used to criticize Mr. Biden at the start of the election year, but her 17-minute speech seemed likely to be remembered more for her disconcerting performance. She spoke in grim detail about a child victim of sex trafficking by drug cartels and the recent killing of a Georgia nursing student in which a Venezuelan migrant has been charged.

“That could’ve been my daughter,” Ms. Britt said. “It could’ve been yours.”

Previous State of the Union rebuttals have been delivered from behind a lectern in official settings, but Ms. Britt chose a domestic backdrop, trying to underscore her argument that Mr. Biden represents a threat to prosperity for American families.

But the scene seemed to confuse viewers on social media, where Ms. Britt was mocked by some for using a dramatic, breathy voice to deliver critiques of the president…

Earlier on Thursday, Ms. Britt’s team distributed talking points that promoted her speech by comparing it to some of the most famous oratory in the nation’s history and urging fellow Republicans to praise the Alabama senator for coming across “like America’s mom.”

“His speech was tone deaf,” the talking points declared, before either Mr. Biden or Ms. Britt had spoken. “Hers was the perfect pitch.”

[sad trombone klaxon]

Of course, Trump could still award Britt the VP rose — because some donor offers a big enough bribe, or because she tickles his perverse fancies (maybe she’ll bleach her hair blonde?), or just because he thinks it’ll piss off his myriad enemies. But she’s already spoiled her ‘new, fresh, rising star’ image…

Getting strong "mommy blogger who's about to be arrested for child abuse" vibes from this. pic.twitter.com/vBe562kv6y

— Daily Trix (@DailyTrix) March 8, 2024

I am not interested in joining NXIVM but thank you for the pitch, good day.

— Tim Miller (@Timodc) March 8, 2024

Grim Dawn Open Thread: Another Angle on GOP’s Katie Britt ‘Rebuttal’Post + Comments (178)

Shut up, hissy kitty!

by Betty Cracker|  March 7, 202411:11 pm| 168 Comments

This post is in: Open Threads

Is it just me, or is Katie Britt giving a world-historically terrible SOTU response? This is Bobby Jindal-level bad.

Open thread.

Shut up, hissy kitty!Post + Comments (168)

War for Ukraine Day 743: (Some of) You Have Questions, I (May) Have Answers

by Adam L Silverman|  March 7, 20248:13 pm| 13 Comments

This post is in: Foreign Affairs, Foreign Policy, Military, Open Threads, Russia, Silverman on Security, War, War in Ukraine

I’m going to keep tonight’s update as brief as possible. Lot going on and I’m sure everyone wants to watch the State of the Union as bookend to this mornings Senate Armed Services Committee hearing with the CENTCOM and AFRICOM commanders.

Miss Bianca asked the following in last night’s comments:

“Our job title is not fund the CIA’s war against Ukraine“?

WTF does this even mean? I mean, I know it’s Marjorie Taylor Greene, but WTF does this even mean?

It means she actually read that NY Times article from last week about the Ukrainian intelligence partnership with the CIA that I wrote about in last Sunday night’s update.

Here is President Zelenskyy’s address from earlier today. Video below, English transcript after the jump.

show full post on front page

At a time of Russian aggression, everyone sees how important it is to maintain alliances, to strengthen our own security and to take care of the security of neighbors – address by the President of Ukraine

7 March 2024 – 20:01

I wish you health, fellow Ukrainians!

A few summaries of the day.

I held a meeting with the Head of the Foreign Intelligence Service to discuss current threats and some sensitive areas of our international activities. I am grateful to everyone in the world who helps Ukraine with the proper focus of our country’s attention.

We also continue to work with our partners – I had a meeting with the UK Secretary of State for Defenсe, who was on a visit to Ukraine today. I thanked him for the UK’s tangible leadership in security support for Ukraine, in strengthening our defense and the world’s joint capabilities to defend against Russian aggression. Today we discussed our further cooperation. The priorities are obvious – air defense, long-range weapons, artillery. Supply and joint production. And achieving justice, so that every Russian murderer and their entire terrorist state are held accountable for this war. We have already reached a historically unprecedented level of cooperation with Britain. By the way, it was with Britain that we signed the first bilateral agreement on security commitments. We must fully implement it for the sake of our common strength.

Today, I also approved the candidate for the position of our country’s ambassador to the UK. General Valerii Zaluzhnyi told me that this is the direction he would like to take – diplomacy. The Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Ukraine has sent a corresponding request for agrément. Our alliance with Britain should only get stronger.

And today there are several decrees worth mentioning. I have signed two decrees on awarding state decorations to our warriors – 520 more servicemen of the Armed Forces. Each and every one of them deserves our gratitude and respect. And today there is also a decree to discharge conscripts – those who were called up for military service before the start of the full-scale invasion. Now, at the request of the military command, a few weeks are needed for preparatory procedures – for replacing people in terms of defense tasks, and from April, the conscripts will be sent to the reserve. I know that some of them have signed a contract to serve in the Defense Forces. I am grateful to everyone.

And a few more things for today.

I had the honor to hand over apartment certificates to the Heroes of Ukraine and the families of the fallen Heroes. This is our new tradition of specially honoring every warrior whose bravery has become a paragon.

I would like to thank all our people in the regions bordering Russia – Sumy, Chernihiv, Kharkiv. Everyone who protects these regions from subversive groups and enemy shelling, who saves people. This is extremely important and we appreciate it. Each and every one of you who is doing everything to preserve normal life. Today, Russia launched another attack on Sumy. There are wounded. Unfortunately, there are dead. My condolences to all those who have lost their loved ones. The Russian state will definitely be held accountable for this evil. Our warriors will ensure accountability of the terrorists.

Today, it is important to note that one more country in Europe has achieved greater protection from Russian evil. The procedures for Sweden’s accession to NATO are being finalized.

When the security of one country is guaranteed and when that country is able to truly strengthen common security, everyone wins. This rule has worked consistently throughout NATO’s existence. And I believe it will work in the future.

Now, at a time of Russian aggression against everything that has made Europe peaceful and united, everyone sees how important it is to maintain alliances and partnerships, to strengthen our own security and to take care of the security of neighbors.

Sweden is a strong ally and a country that can be trusted. And I congratulate everyone in Sweden and everyone in the Euro-Atlantic area. Ukraine has always supported Sweden in its pursuit of NATO membership, and I thank Sweden for its support of our country – there will be a day when Sweden will be able to congratulate Ukraine on joining the Alliance as well. Together, we are always stronger.

I thank everyone who is in Ukraine and with Ukraine! Glory to all those who fight and work for the sake of our country and people!

Glory to Ukraine!

Well this is interesting:

https://twitter.com/ChristopherJM/status/1765791973925929205

The cost:

https://twitter.com/IAPonomarenko/status/1765727906733441431

https://twitter.com/IAPonomarenko/status/1765834413697372171

The reason:

https://twitter.com/DefenceU/status/1765759560965308510

A dose of reality from Tatarigami:

https://twitter.com/Tatarigami_UA/status/1765617076201238859

Given the re-emergence of discussions about a potential Ukrainian counter-offensive in 2024, and even specific dates named, it would be wise to avoid these speculations, particularly by officials, considering both frontline realities and past experiences with inflated expectations.

In my assessment, any realistic counter-attacks should be opportunistic, responding to enemy mistakes or rare openings, which might or might not arise this year, much like the Kharkiv 2022 counter-offensive. Announcing such moves in advance would be highly counterproductive.

While the enemy may be losing offensive momentum, it is very important to understand that Ukraine cannot afford to incur losses comparable to those suffered by Russia – 16 thousand men and over 300 vehicles, as highlighted by the deceased Russian milblogger Morozov, only to liberate a settlement like Avdiivka.

In this asymmetrical situation, where the enemy has more men, vehicles, ammo, and better-fortified positions, a head-to-head and entirely symmetrical approach is unlikely to succeed.

 

https://twitter.com/KyivIndependent/status/1765802884032036978

From The Kyiv Independent:

The ongoing impasse on U.S. aid for Ukraine is “nothing short of a gift to (Russian President Vladimir) Putin” and other American adversaries, U.S. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen said on March 7.

Aid for Ukraine and other U.S. allies have been stalled in Congress for months, largely over unrelated domestic political disputes.

The U.S. Senate passed a foreign aid bill on Feb. 13 containing $61 billion in funding for Ukraine, but House Speaker Mike Johnson has yet to put it to a vote in the House, despite pressure from the Senate and the White House.

“As the House continues to stall, Russia is gaining ground and Ukraine is being forced to ration ammunition and supplies,” Yellen said ahead of a bilateral meeting in Washington with German Economy Minister Robert Habeck.

“The House must act and show the strength of the U.S support for Ukraine in the face of Putin’s aggression,” she added.

Yellen’s comments echo those from other U.S. officials, who have argued that the impasse in Congress contributed to Ukraine’s loss of the key front-line city of Avdiivka.

U.S. National Security Council spokesperson John Kirby said earlier in March that Putin is taking advantage of delays in U.S. aid to Ukraine to further Russian military efforts.

U.S. Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer warned during his visit to Lviv in February that Ukraine is at risk of losing the war without American aid, urging Johnson to put the bill to a vote.

According to internal U.S. estimates in February, Ukraine’s ammunition shortage, exacerbated by the delay in U.S. aid, “could effectively turn the tide of the war and lend Putin a significant advantage.”

Ya think?

https://twitter.com/michaeldweiss/status/1765379008760312226

Dynuz has the details.

he fighting had become increasingly ferocious last month at the Zenith air-defense base a mile south of Avdiivka, where for years a company of Ukrainian soldiers had defended the southern approaches to the city.

Russian troops had moved up on their flanks and were pounding them from all sides with tank, artillery and mortar fire, smashing their defenses and wounding men.

“Every day we tried to repel enemy attacks,” said Senior Soldier Viktor Biliak, a 26-year-old with the 110th Mechanized Brigade, who had spent 620 days defending the base. “All the fortifications were being destroyed and there was no possibility to build new ones.”

Soldiers interviewed after their retreat described an uneven four-month battle under a relentless onslaught of Russian artillery and glide bombs that destroyed buildings and broke through deep concrete bunkers. As the Ukrainians took casualties they became increasingly outnumbered by the Russians assaulting the city, who broke through at two strategic points and quickly seeded areas with fighters.

The fall of the city, when it came in mid-February, was brutal and fast, occurring in less than a week.

For two weeks, as soldiers warned they could be overrun by Russian forces, commanders told them to keep holding their positions, a delay that cost lives, Soldier Biliak said. Some units were crumbling under Russian fire. One company pulled back to the Zenith base after losing its positions.

The final retreat was dangerous and costly, as Russian artillery fired constantly on the roads leading out of the city. Many soldiers died along the way.

The biggest losses came in the center of the city from the heavy Russian aerial bombardment, said Shaman, 36, a commander of the 25th Separate Battalion, who was monitoring his units from a command post. Some brigades lost contact with units under the bombing. A group retreated to a house and were killed when a glide bomb hit it, said Shaman, who like others interviewed identified himself by his call sign for security reasons.

The capture of Avdiivka was the Russians’ most significant gain in nine months and a blow to Ukrainian forces struggling with shortages of ammunition and men.

As they regrouped in the villages and training grounds after their retreat from Avdiivka, Ukrainian soldiers expressed no doubt why they lost the city, a holdout on the eastern front that had been a target of Russian assaults for 10 years.

“It was the lack of ammunition,” said Shaman, whose battalion was deployed to Avdiivka in October when the Russians began a new offensive against the city. “No question.”

With sufficient artillery Ukrainian troops could have held the city, he said, by hitting Russian supplies and logistics behind lines, and preventing reinforcements from coming in.

More at the link.

France:

https://twitter.com/michaeldweiss/status/1765770128405237976

Here’s the rest of Rahman’s thread from the Thread Reader App:

Macron today produced maps of a poss Russian breakthrough towards Kyiv or Odessa which could oblige the west to act to prevent a Russian victory in Ukraine. In talks w French opposition leaders, Macron said there should be no more “red lines” on Fr involvement in the conflict 1/ 
.@EmmanuelMacron summoned leaders of all French parliamentary parties to talks at the Elysée Palace to explain his controversial remarks last week in which he said the deployment of western troops in Ukraine should no longer be excluded 2/ 
Participants in the meeting said Macron had explained his theory of “strategic ambivalence” – keeping Moscow guessing. Since Vladimir Putin clearly knew no limits, he said, the West had been handing him an advantage by fixing or “interiorising” limits of its own /3 
But Opposition leaders of the Far Right, Right and Left said they had been left worried and unconvinced by Macron’s approach (which has also been rejected by the US, UK, Germany and several other Nato countries) /4 
Jordan Bardella, the president and de facto Number Two of Marine Le Pen’s @MLP_officiel far right Rassemblement National, said threatening to send French soldiers “to fight a Nuclear power like Russia  is irresponsible and  extremely dangerous for world peace” /5 
The Communist Party leader Fabien Roussel said that he feared that Macron was “ready to engage in a bellicose escalation which would be very dangerous” /6 
Today’s meeting was the prelude to a two day parliamentary debate next week to discuss a ten year defence pact signed by Macron and the Ukrainian president, Volodymyr @ZelenskyyUa last month 7/ 
Macron told French journalists on Wednesday that he hoped this debate would “make it clear” which political forces in France supported Ukraine and which supported Russia 8/ 
Elysée officials deny domestic politics & June EU elex have influenced Macron’s new rhetoric on Ukraine. They say he is driven by the difficult situation on front line, Navalny’s murder & Kremlin talk of a possible attempt on his own life when he visits Kyiv later this month 9/ 
Macron is, however, evidently hoping the new rhetoric will embarrass Le Pen, who had a long history of Putin worship before the Ukr invasion. The Govt spokeswoman, Prisca Thevenot, says it is “quite evident” that Le Pen, unlike Macron, is not “committed to Russia’s defeat” ENDS 

Macron has found his spine. That’s a good thing if he can walk and not just talk.

Germany:

https://twitter.com/michaeldweiss/status/1765763322803060978

https://twitter.com/michaeldweiss/status/1765767161119666226

Since Weiss didn’t thread these right, here’s the last two tweets:

(FYI: Kurenkov was part of the FSO, Putin’s praetorian guard, until 2022; now he’s the Russian Minister for Emergency Situations.)

Should have been clearer above: Kurenkov was the liaison to the FSB. The cut-out used was Visa Mizayev, a Russian businessman, who first met Arthur. E. and mentioned his Russian minister contact.

 

Moldova:

https://twitter.com/GiorgioCafiero/status/1765750262579245237

Politico Europe has the details.

CHIȘINĂU, Moldova — Moldova is feeling the heat from Russia, but it has a message for Moscow: know your limits.

Increasingly belligerent security threats from Moscow and hints that it could annex the Kremlin-backed breakaway region of Transnistria are chilling but they are out of touch with the reality of Russia’s current military capabilities, Chișinău’s top diplomat told POLITICO.

Foreign Minister Mihail Popșoi said that Russia’s military power has waned “thanks to the sacrifice of the brave Ukrainian people and the Ukrainian army,” in one of his first interviews with international media since taking office a month ago.

“We are safe, although safe could be a strong word given the front lines are just 200 kilometers away,” he said.

Fears have grown among Moldovans, the West and analysts that the Kremlin is stepping up its efforts to destabilize Moldova after Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov last week accused Chișinău’s government of “following in the footsteps of the Kyiv regime” by “canceling everything Russian” and “discriminating against the Russian language.” A significant proportion of Moldova speaks Russian as a native language, and it is widely used across society without restrictions — a situation Popșoi reiterated the government has no intention of changing.

“Lavrov, the perception is, doesn’t speak for the siloviki,” he said, referring to Russia’s bellicose security and military elites who call the shots when it comes to staging provocations. “We know the situation on the ground, and most likely he knows the situation on the ground — he just has to play his role.”

The veteran Russian envoy also sought to inflame tensions over Transnistria, a breakaway region inside Moldova’s borders along the frontier with Ukraine, where Russia has stationed a contingent of troops and exerts control over the separatist administration. Last week, while stopping short of requesting annexation by Russian President Vladimir Putin, Transnistria’s leaders called on Moscow to “protect it against the pressure of Moldova.”

“Our intelligence services, Ukraine’s intelligence services, are clear that there is no premise for that,” Popșoi said. “They are showing us evidence that the situation on the front line, because Ukraine is so determined in defending its territory, makes it unlikely — although not impossible. The probability that the Russians would be able to advance and reach our territory is much lower now than it was two years ago.”

Instead, Popșoi continued, the threats are more likely part of “a psychological operation” designed to divide Moldovans and undermine the country’s negotiations to become part of the EU.

More at the link.

Norway:

https://twitter.com/DefenceU/status/1765710043054248351

Good news from our Norwegian friends 🇺🇦🤝🇳🇴

Norway will provide €140 million to procure artillery shells for Ukraine within the Czech initiative.

Also, Norway joined the Air Defense Coalition. That’s an important step towards strengthening Ukraine’s capabilities, as Norwegian NASAMS have already proven their effectiveness in protecting Ukrainian cities.

We are grateful to Norway for their unwavering support. We stand united on our way to Victory.
@Forsvarsdep @Bjornarildgram

Only had to go through 5 countries to get to some good news!

Britain:

https://twitter.com/rustem_umerov/status/1765823490513334484

Together with @CinC_AFU Colonel General Oleksandr Syrskyi, met with my British counterpart Grant Shapps @grantshapps and Chief of the Defence Staff of the United Kingdom Admiral Sir Tony Radakin
@AdmTonyRadakin_.

Discussed priority needs of Ukraine’s defence forces.
Grateful to 🇬🇧 for the decision to increase drone funding for Ukraine by over $150 mln and delivering of more than 10,000 drones to the #UAArmy.

Commander-in-Chief Oleksandr Syrskyi provided an update on the situation on the frontlines and the enemy’s recent activity.

Expressed gratitude for the UK’s comprehensive support, particularly for providing Storm Shadow missiles that truly make change on the battlefield.

The UK is continuously persuading the free world to do what’s right. Together, we are proving that democracy can win against autocracy.

Sweden:

https://twitter.com/NATO/status/1765792533378933201

And the best of the good news for last!

https://twitter.com/bayraktar_1love/status/1765794972387733664

The necessary amount for the purchase of 800,000 pieces of artillery ammunition for Ukraine from countries outside the European Union has been collected. Czech President Petr Pavel told journalists today during his visit to the Central Bohemian Region. Another 18 countries will participate in the assistance initiated by the Czech Republic. The ammunition should be in Ukraine in the coming weeks.
https://ceskenoviny.cz/zpravy/pavel-castka-na-nakup-munice-pro-ukrajinu-je-shromazdena/2489100

From Ceske Noviny: (machine translated into English)

Kersko – The amount needed to buy 800,000 artillery ammunition for Ukraine from outside the European Union was collected. President Petr Pavel told reporters today when visiting the Central Bohemian Region. Another 18 states will be involved in the assistance initiated by the Czechia. Ammunition should be in Ukraine in the coming weeks, said Pavel. Prime Minister Petr Fiala (ODS) appreciated the ability to cooperate with partners in providing assistance to the country under attack by Russia. He assured that hundreds of thousands of rounds would be delivered this year. However, according to national security adviser Tomáš Pojar, the total costs are not covered and the president apparently thought only of the first delivery, he said Diary N.

“This morning we have collected the total amount for the purchase of all ammunition, ie the 800,000 pieces,” the president announced today. According to him, the next step is to be taken by the Czech government, which will conclude a memorandum and set up mutual relations. “The Czech side will then be followed by information on all those contributing states about the timetable and how we will proceed,” said President Pavel.

According to Prime Minister Fiala, Ukraine now needs more support than ever. “I am glad that we are able to work with so many partners around the world to provide the necessary help. I can guarantee that hundreds of thousands of rounds will be delivered this year, “the Prime Minister told ČTK today.

However, National Security Adviser Pojar questions that he would be able to withdraw the money needed to buy all the ammunition. “I assume that the President meant covering the first batch, not our entire initiative, we have by no means covered here yet,” said Deník N Pojar, who coordinates the initiative.

According to Defense Minister Jana Černochová (ODS), the speed with which the necessary money can be obtained is great. “The initiative continues, we are constantly looking for other ways to get Western and Eastern provenance ammunition. It is necessary to use the potential of this broad coalition, “she said. She pointed out that the Czechia was one of the first countries to supply Ukraine with rocket launchers, tanks, howitzers or attack helicopters. “At a time when other countries were still hesitant about Russia’s response. When it turned out that Europe’s efforts to deliver the promised ammunition would not be fulfilled, we were the first to come up with an ammunition initiative and once again stood at the forefront of helping Ukraine as leaders, “added Černochová.

“Defending sovereign Ukraine is in Europe’s security, as Russian imperialism will not stop in Ukraine. Czech diplomacy is doing everything to ensure the security of Czech citizens, “said Daniel Drake, a spokesman for the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, in a statement to ČTK.

President Pavel informed about the possibility of purchasing artillery shells for Ukrainians in third countries at the Munich Security Conference in mid-February this year. He said the Czechia had located 500,000 artillery ammunition in standard NATO caliber and another 300,000 pieces in Soviet caliber in non-EU states. The British Financial Times wrote that the purchase should cost $ 1.5 billion (about $ 35 billion). The Agency reported today that the amount was collected Bloomberg with reference to its unnamed resources.

Pavel did not want to mention the amounts from individual states today. “It probably wouldn’t be fair to those states that contributed if we didn’t discuss it with them,” he said. According to him, Norway promised the necessary amount today. “Now it will only be on the dexterity of our companies and the Ministry of Defense, how we will be able to speed up the whole process,” added Pavel.

Kharkiv:

https://twitter.com/DefenceU/status/1765673997159563507

Novomykhailivka:

https://twitter.com/DefenceU/status/1765698659679617352

Russian occupied Kherson Oblast:

https://twitter.com/bayraktar_1love/status/1765722789128871936

Moscow:

https://twitter.com/JayinKyiv/status/1765873887709954135

Cherepovets, Russia:

This morning, 7th of March 2024, 5:40 local time. There was a reported drone attack on the Severstal plant (Steel industry company) in Cherepovets, Russia. 800km from Ukraine border. The drone hit the place where the blast furnace is located. pic.twitter.com/OuNI5b0XBm

— Special Kherson Cat 🐈🇺🇦 (@bayraktar_1love) March 7, 2024

That’s enough for tonight.

Your daily Patron!

Proud to serve Ukraine with our brave sappers of @SESU_UA pic.twitter.com/dD9p9zjo49

— Patron (@PatronDsns) March 7, 2024

Open thread!

War for Ukraine Day 743: (Some of) You Have Questions, I (May) Have AnswersPost + Comments (13)

Thursday Evening Open Thread: Repubs Prepping for Tonight’s SotU

by Anne Laurie|  March 7, 20247:43 pm| 119 Comments

This post is in: Open Threads, Proud to Be A Democrat, Republican Stupidity, Clown car

This happens before every Biden debate and SOTU. They spend all year telling people that he’s old and senile and can’t put two sentences together, then the day of the event he’s a maniacal deceptive genius. pic.twitter.com/lg5cpIugLE

— Ron Filipkowski (@RonFilipkowski) March 7, 2024

Mike Johnson has reportedly implored his Members not to behave like classless asses again during the SOTU tonight and they will listen to him about that as much as they do about everything else.

— Ron Filipkowski (@RonFilipkowski) March 7, 2024

Some House Republicans are dismissing Speaker Johnson's calls for decorum during the State of the Union tonight.

Rep. Lauren Boebert told me: “I don’t even promise my pastor I’m going to hold back in church.

And MTG says: "Decorum broke a long time ago."

— Melanie Zanona (@MZanona) March 7, 2024

I vote the Secret Service have a super-soaker on hand for ‘Just Us’ Alito, assuming he shows up…

I think Joe needs to have a super soaker on hand to handle the hecklers.

— SnarkTank (@TheSnarkTank99) March 7, 2024

show full post on front page

Reminder: Last year’s Photo of the Event…

House Speaker Mike Johnson has pleaded with Republican lawmakers to not make a scene, and refrain from boorish behavior, at tonight’s State of the Union Address. He’s talking to you Lauren Boebert and Marjorie Taylor Greene. pic.twitter.com/noZTTwElX9

— Mike Sington (@MikeSington) March 7, 2024

I wonder how many Republican Reps. are fighting over who gets the seat next to Boebert at the SOTU.

— Ron Filipkowski (@RonFilipkowski) March 7, 2024

I’m wondering if they know they can’t win the election—they can’t—so they’re not trying to appeal to anyone but hardcore MAGA because they want their support for Trump to try to violently seize the government. Seriously, this stuff would make Birchers say “uh, that’s hyperbolic” https://t.co/G1mptREOk5

— Dana Houle (@DanaHoule) March 7, 2024

Lots of other Repubs want in on the clown coverage, but it’s a tough gig…

MAGA diehard Randy Quaid is irate at Ted Cruz for bringing the cop who arrested him to the SOTU tonight as his special honored guest. Story …https://t.co/1heikm3zmd

— Ron Filipkowski (@RonFilipkowski) March 7, 2024

BREAKING: They found a Boebert no-groping option!

George Santos, expelled from the House in December, is sitting with Lauren Boebert and is wearing a crystal-encrusted collar ahead of President Biden’s State of the Union address.

Follow live updates. https://t.co/AdocpDO9Gw pic.twitter.com/GO4ckFe6PO

— The New York Times (@nytimes) March 8, 2024

Thursday Evening Open Thread: Repubs Prepping for Tonight’s SotUPost + Comments (119)

Marcy Wheeler: Merrick Garland Isn’t to Blame for Delays in Trump’s Election Interference Case

by WaterGirl|  March 7, 20244:15 pm| 223 Comments

This post is in: Open Threads

Kudos to MSNBC for publishing this article be Marcy Wheeler, aka emptywheel.

Open Thread: Merrick Garland

Merrick Garland Isn’t to Blame for Delays in Trump’s Election Interference Case

by Marcy Wheeler, legal and national security journalist

After the Supreme Court delayed consideration of Donald Trump’s immunity claim until April, some liberals directed considerable outrage not just at the court, but also at a member of President Joe Biden’s Cabinet. Such attacks act as if the delay were Attorney General Merrick Garland’s fault instead of justices like Clarence Thomas. These criticisms are misplaced. The Justice Department, before and after Garland’s delayed confirmation, started investigating key figures in the election interference case against Trump in 2021. And accusations of delay ignore the real-world obstacles that special counsel Jack Smith, his team and their predecessors had to navigate carefully — lest the whole case fall apart in court.

The department took overt investigative steps against three of the six alleged co-conspirators identified in Trump’s Jan. 6 indictment in 2021, long before Garland appointed Smith to the case. Days after a New York Times report on Jeffrey Clark’s role in Jan. 6, on Jan. 25, 2021, Justice Department Inspector General Michael Horowitz announced an investigation into “whether any former or current DOJ official engaged in an improper attempt to have DOJ seek to alter the outcome of the 2020 Presidential Election.” The IG investigators remained involved when FBI agents seized Clark’s phone June 23, 2022. The department had already, a month earlier, obtained a warrant for one of Clark’s private email accounts and would obtain a second one the following day. The August 2023 indictment of Trump describes Clark as co-conspirator 4.

In April 2021 — on Deputy Attorney General Lisa Monaco’s first day on the job — the Justice Department obtained a warrant to seize Rudy Giuliani’s phones. That wasn’t a warrant for Jan. 6; it sought evidence that Trump’s lawyer was doing the bidding of Ukrainians when he convinced Trump to fire Marie Yovanovitch in 2019. But the DOJ used the special master review that Giuliani demanded to look at all the communications seized, not just those relating to Ukraine. In September 2021, the judge in that case granted prosecutors’ request to do the privilege review of materials seized from Giuliani’s devices on all files that post-dated Jan. 1, 2018, irrespective of subject. (The special master even prioritized the devices that were used through 2021.)

And in September 2021, prosecutor Molly Gaston — one of two lead prosecutors on the Jan. 6 case against Trump — subpoenaed associates of Sidney Powell as part of an investigation into her fundraising off false claims of voter fraud. Just one paragraph in the Trump indictment describes Powell’s actions, as co-conspirator 3, in the conspiracies charged against the former president. But that paragraph focuses on a topic related to the subpoenas sent out in 2021: Powell’s relentless attacks on Dominion Systems in lawsuits.

Those often ignored early moves against Trump’s co-conspirators — and other investigative developments, such as the purported cooperation of Jan. 6 defendant Brandon Straka, investigative steps implicating Roger Stone, and the prosecution of Alex Jones’ sidekick — go unmentioned in reports that claim Garland delayed the investigation. For good reason: Most happened where reporters and pundits weren’t looking.

But the popular narratives attributing delay to Garland also ignore several factors that did take time.

Kudos to Marcy, as well!  Read the whole thing.

Open thread.

Marcy Wheeler: Merrick Garland Isn’t to Blame for Delays in Trump’s Election Interference CasePost + Comments (223)

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