
Part of the reason that Speaker Johnson has stated he will hold up the border security in exchange for supplemental aid to Ukraine is because Trump has told him to.
Isolationism and complete misunderstanding of American national interest. They are standing on the wrong side of history and will be judged harshly. https://t.co/6GKzHIF3iW
— Maria Popova 🇨🇦 (@PopovaProf) January 17, 2024
👀 Laura Ingraham says Trump just told her he opposes the Senate immigration deal and wants Mike Johnson to oppose it too, doesn’t think it’s needed to secure the border.
“President Trump is not wrong,” Johnson responds. “He and I have been talking about this pretty frequently.”
— Sahil Kapur (@sahilkapur) January 18, 2024
This is because 1) Trump wants to be able to continue to use immigration and the border as political weapons during the 2024 campaign and 2) he also wants Ukraine to lose. Johnson, of course, doesn’t want to be politically defenestrated by his own coalition because he believes he’s on a mission from the Deity.
Here is President Zelenskyy’s address from earlier today. Video below, English transcript after the jump.
Blocking Russia’s ways to circumvent sanctions means blocking terror – address by the President of Ukraine
18 January 2024 – 20:01
I wish you health, fellow Ukrainians!
Briefly about this day.
A very positive, truly inspiring conversation with President of France Macron.
I thanked him for the creation of an artillery coalition within our Ramstein defense format and for France’s willingness to supply Ukraine with dozens of very effective CAESAR artillery systems and ammunition for them this year.
We will further bolster our air defense as well, and I thank France for its powerful decisions.
Of course, today we discussed the situation on the battlefield in Ukraine – the details at the moment, and the prospects. Accordingly, we discussed what is important to include in the new defense package that France is currently preparing.
And, on top of all that, we discussed the work with France on security commitments for Ukraine. We are preparing a bilateral agreement.
Emmanuel, Mr. President, thank you once again.
We continue our communication with partners on sanctions against Russia – their full effect. All of our diplomatic representatives must step up their efforts to ensure that our partners respond more actively to every instance of Russia’s circumvention of sanctions.
This is not just an abstract question – it’s about how a terrorist state produces weapons, including missiles. All Russian missiles have dozens of critical components manufactured abroad, many of them by companies from the free world. Today, the Head of the Foreign Intelligence Service of Ukraine, Oleksandr Lytvynenko, made a report on this. These are clear facts. So blocking the ways Russia circumvents sanctions is literally blocking terror. I am grateful to all partners who understand this and to everyone in the world who helps us in this work.
Today I also held a meeting with the head of our government, Denys Shmyhal. First of all, we discussed the energy sector, the protection and capabilities of our energy system. Consumption is high now, and the threats from the enemy are extremely high, but the professional work of our power engineers and all those responsible for the protection of energy facilities makes it possible to provide the country with light and heat. And this is important. There was also a separate report on the protection of strategic energy facilities. The report was made by Deputy Prime Minister Oleksandr Kubrakov.
The Prime Minister also reported today on the situation in our financial system. The situation is stable, and social payments are being disbursed in full. Moreover, this is being done without issuance. And by the way, I would like to thank all our taxpayers in the country – everyone who keeps jobs in Ukraine, ensures production, and works legally and cleanly. Last year, despite the war, we had economic growth of 5% and an increase in tax payments that corresponds to the growth in the economy. This is a clear sign of Ukraine’s strength. And the state really appreciates everyone who works, pays taxes, and thus contributes to our common ability to defend the state and independence despite all the difficulties.
A separate report by the Prime Minister was made on the construction of fortifications. The work is ongoing, and I am grateful to everyone involved. The results are exactly what we need.
Glory to everyone who defends our country, who fights and works for Ukraine and who is as active as possible to ensure that Ukraine, Ukrainian companies, and Ukrainians get the results they need.
Glory to Ukraine!
France:
We are grateful to our French partners at @Armees_Gouv for their leadership in establishing the Artillery coalition.
Today, the Minister of the Armed Forces, Sébastien Lecornu @SebLecornu, announced that France would deliver 6 Caesars in the coming weeks and was capable of… https://t.co/eGNshutTuz
— Defense of Ukraine (@DefenceU) January 18, 2024
We are grateful to our French partners at @Armees_Gouv for their leadership in establishing the Artillery coalition.
Today, the Minister of the Armed Forces, Sébastien Lecornu @SebLecornu, announced that France would deliver 6 Caesars in the coming weeks and was capable of producing 72 additional ones in 2024 for Ukraine.
Thank you, France!
🇺🇦🤝🇫🇷
France will start supplying Ukraine with Armement Air-Sol Modulaire (AASM) aerial bombs. According to French Defense Minister Sébastien Lecornu the monthly output throughout 2024 will 50 missiles, starting in January.
Source: https://t.co/43WJQLoxCa#France #Ukraine pic.twitter.com/V2zopBrdF1
— (((Tendar))) (@Tendar) January 18, 2024
Bakhmut:
https://twitter.com/Teoyaomiquu/status/1748005411943235997
As promised I’m posting the video about the russian failed assault around Invanivske (Bakhmut)
The assault was repelled and many Ukrainian lives and lives of my friends were saved, and I can say that it happened thanks to you.
Ukrainian troops have to conserve the ammo and even VOG17 (automatic grenade launcher ammo used as droplets from drones) is scarce. However, because of our support, the troops have drones and make one round as effective as 20 before.
The succesful defense is also was also made possible by skilled drone operators and coordination between them, at timestamp 2:05 on this video, you can see an effective use of drone pairs. Two pilots wait for the infantry to dismount the IFV and coordinate drops to ensure devastating effect on russian troops.
In the end I want to ask you to help our efforts to support our troops by donating here: https://paypal.com/pools/c/919PcoYG0W
The aid goes directly to our troops, they need our help more than ever before.
Drones Save Lives.
Slava Ukraini.
Russian occupied Luhansk Oblast:
A very curious situation developed in the so-called "Luhansk People's Republic": former employees of Wagner PMC, now attached to the 331st Regiment, 98th Division, decided on their own initiative to fight drug crime in the occupied territory.
According to the report, the… pic.twitter.com/oweA388ei5
— WarTranslated (@wartranslated) January 19, 2024
A very curious situation developed in the so-called “Luhansk People’s Republic”: former employees of Wagner PMC, now attached to the 331st Regiment, 98th Division, decided on their own initiative to fight drug crime in the occupied territory.
According to the report, the fighters identified the narcotics traffic channel that supplied cannabis to the Russian servicemen, and rounded up people they believed to be involved in it, including a road traffic officer, without reporting to the local “police”. They recorded all footage of their righteous actions.
According to the fighters, the commander of the traffic “police” officer accused of selling drugs said that he would get his subordinate out and do his best to imprison the fighters.
The ex-Wagner fighters then received information this morning stating that their base in Stakhanov was about to be “assaulted”, and recorded a video appeal to stop it.
What is known so far is that the men were detained by local “police” for interrogation. Perhaps we will have access to more information later. I translated as much as I could in the time I had available. A lot more footage in Russain can be accessed here: https://t.me/romanov_92/43906
To be frank, this is probably the most batshit insane stuff I’ve seen this week.
Avdiivka:
Fighters of the 25th Assault Battalion of the 47th Mechanised Brigade talk about their experience defending Avdiivka. pic.twitter.com/IfCoIK85iS
— WarTranslated (@wartranslated) January 18, 2024
Destruction of the Russian T-72B3 on the Avdiivka front. Interestingly, the author points out that Russians used this previously abandoned tank as an ammunition storage.https://t.co/0N5oweX2s3 pic.twitter.com/nbJXWMioSy
— Special Kherson Cat 🐈🇺🇦 (@bayraktar_1love) January 18, 2024
Nova Khakovka, Kherson Oblast:
Newly published archival footage of HIMARS strike on Russian column (as said with EW systems) in Nova Kakhovka, Kherson Region.
(46.7436857, 33.3750734)https://t.co/6GDE4PpVKP pic.twitter.com/i54KXrBAGU— Special Kherson Cat 🐈🇺🇦 (@bayraktar_1love) January 18, 2024
It’s HIMARS O’Clock:
Left bank of the Dnipro, Russian occupied Kherson Oblast:
Russian Msta-S self propelled howitzer destroyed by FPV drone in the left bank Kherson region. https://t.co/CrXDvTw03y pic.twitter.com/SDGSXfZN1Q
— Special Kherson Cat 🐈🇺🇦 (@bayraktar_1love) January 18, 2024
Sevastopol, Russian occupied Crimea:
Electricity in some parts of Russian-occupied Sevastopol is gone.
Source: https://t.co/RnvJTeyoEK#Ukraine #Crimea #Sevastopol pic.twitter.com/9bKIDGj7la
— (((Tendar))) (@Tendar) January 18, 2024
Stary Oskol, Belgorod Oblast, Russia:
In Stary Oskol, Belgorod Region, somebody turned an electrical substation into an open air disco.
Source: https://t.co/hLFCkYopRt#Russia #Belgorod #Bilhorod pic.twitter.com/Jq0k7nIzbJ
— (((Tendar))) (@Tendar) January 18, 2024
Foreign Affairs has published a new essay by Graham Allison on the Trump effect as a result of the 2024 election. Here are some excerpts:
Leaders are now beginning to wake up to the fact that a year from now, former U.S. President Donald Trump could actually be returning to the White House. Accordingly, some foreign governments are increasingly factoring into their relationship with the United States what may come to be known as the “Trump put”—delaying choices in the expectation that they will be able to negotiate better deals with Washington a year from now because Trump will effectively establish a floor on how bad things can get for them. Others, by contrast, are beginning to search for what might be called a “Trump hedge”—analyzing the ways in which his return will likely leave them with worse options and preparing accordingly.
Russian President Vladimir Putin’s calculations in his war against Ukraine provide a vivid example of the Trump put. In recent months, as a stalemate has emerged on the ground, speculation has grown about Putin’s readiness to end the war. But as a result of the Trump put, it is far more likely that the war will still be raging this time next year. Despite some Ukrainians’ interest in an extended cease-fire or even an armistice to end the killing before another grim winter takes its toll, Putin knows that Trump has promised to end the war “in one day.” In Trump’s words: “I would tell [Ukrainian President Volodymyr] Zelensky, no more [aid]. You got to make a deal.” Facing a good chance that a year from now, Trump will offer terms much more advantageous for Russia than anything U.S. President Joe Biden would offer or Zelensky would agree to today, Putin will wait.
Ukraine’s allies in Europe, by contrast, must consider a Trump hedge. As the war approaches the end of its second year, daily pictures of destruction and deaths caused by Russian airstrikes and artillery shells have upended European illusions of living in a world in which war has become obsolete. Predictably, this has led to a revival of enthusiasm for the NATO alliance and its backbone: the U.S. commitment to come to the defense of any ally that is attacked. But as reports of polls showing Trump besting Biden are beginning to sink in, there is a growing fear. Germans, in particular, remember former Chancellor Angela Merkel’s conclusion from her painful encounters with Trump. As she described it, “We must fight for our future on our own.”
Trump is not the only U.S. leader to ask why a European community that has three times the population of Russia and a GDP more than nine times its size has to continue to depend on Washington to defend it. In an oft-cited interview with The Atlantic’s chief editor, Jeffrey Goldberg, in 2016, U.S. President Barack Obama lacerated Europeans (and others) for being “free riders.” But Trump has gone further. According to John Bolton, who was then Trump’s national security adviser, Trump said, “I don’t give a shit about NATO” during a 2019 meeting in which he talked seriously about withdrawing from the alliance altogether. In part, Trump’s threats were a bargaining ploy to force European states to meet their commitment to spend two percent of GDP on their own defense—but only in part. After two years of attempting to persuade Trump about the importance of the United States’s alliances, Secretary of Defense James Mattis concluded that his differences with the president were so profound that he could no longer serve, a position he explained candidly in his 2018 letter of resignation. Today, Trump’s campaign website calls for “fundamentally reevaluating NATO’s purpose and NATO’s mission.” When considering how many tanks or artillery shells to send to Ukraine, some Europeans are now pausing to ask whether they might need those arms for their own defense were Trump to be elected in November.
Historically, there have been eras when differences between Democrats and Republicans on major foreign policy issues were so modest that it could be said that “politics stops at the water’s edge.” This decade, however, is not one of them. Unhelpful as it may be to foreign-policy makers and their counterparts abroad, the U.S. Constitution schedules quadrennial equivalents of what in the business world would be an attempted hostile takeover.
As a result, on every issue—from negotiations on climate or trade or NATO’s support for Ukraine to attempts to persuade Putin, Chinese President Xi Jinping, or Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman to act—Biden and his foreign policy team are finding themselves increasingly handicapped as their counterparts weigh Washington’s promises or threats against the likelihood that they will be dealing with a very different government a year from now. This year promises to be a year of danger as countries around the world watch U.S. politics with a combination of disbelief, fascination, horror, and hope. They know that this political theater will choose not only the next president of the United States but also the world’s most consequential leader.
Much more at the link.
That’s enough for tonight.
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War for Ukraine Day 694: Speaker Johnson is Doing Trump’s BiddingPost + Comments (36)





