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Balloon Juice

Come for the politics, stay for the snark.

“What are Republicans afraid of?” Everything.

The republican ‘Pastor’ of the House is an odious authoritarian little creep.

We do not need to pander to people who do not like what we stand for.

Insiders who complain to politico: please report to the white house office of shut the fuck up.

A sufficient plurality of insane, greedy people can tank any democratic system ever devised, apparently.

I would try pessimism, but it probably wouldn’t work.

The party of Reagan has become the party of Putin.

Putin must be throwing ketchup at the walls.

Let there be snark.

The rest of the comments were smacking Boebert like she was a piñata.

Fear or fury? The choice is ours.

Motto for the House: Flip 5 and lose none.

It’s all just conspiracy shit beamed down from the mothership.

He really is that stupid.

We cannot abandon the truth and remain a free nation.

They want us to be overwhelmed and exhausted. Focus. Resist. Oppose.

Let’s delete this post and never speak of this again.

The republican caucus is covering themselves with something, and it is not glory.

Hi god, it’s us. Thanks a heap, you’re having a great week and it’s only Thursday!

Boeing: repeatedly making the case for high speed rail.

They traffic in fear. it is their only currency. if we are fearful, they are winning.

This really is a full service blog.

Republicans got rid of McCarthy. Democrats chose not to save him.

Stamping your little feets and demanding that they see how important you are? Not working anymore.

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Open Thread:  Hey Lurkers!  (Holiday Post)

Open Threads

You are here: Home / Archives for Open Threads

Late Night Open Thread: Nightmare Fueled

by Anne Laurie|  August 21, 20252:40 am| 68 Comments

This post is in: Immigration, Open Threads, Republican Politics, Trump Crime Cartel, Lock Him Up...Lock Them All Up

Stephen Miller: "All these demonstrators that you've seen out here in recent days, all these elderly white hippies, they're not part of the city and never have been … we're gonna ignore these stupid white hippies that all need to go home and take a nap because they're all over 90 years old."

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— Aaron Rupar (@atrupar.com) August 20, 2025 at 12:57 PM

These are terrible people, every one of whom deserves to stand trial in the Hague. And yet, their every publicity stunt has a level of shrill incompetence that would shame the average high school drama club. It’s like watching a 1970s B movie on an 18″ television from a too-distant over-the-air station.

I see poor people.

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— Sherrilyn Ifill (@sifill.bsky.social) August 20, 2025 at 3:06 PM

====

This is nazi logic. The Nazis would redistribute the confiscated property of Jews to the German populace as an incentive to support their mass deportation to concentration camps.

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— Alejandra Caraballo (@esqueer.net) August 20, 2025 at 9:53 PM

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Burgum touts that restaurant reservations in DC are "up 30 percent" (in fact restaurant dining in DC has plunged since Trump's takeover: https://www.fox5dc.com/news/dc-restaurant-dining-plunges-trumps-crime-crackdown-continues)

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— Aaron Rupar (@atrupar.com) August 20, 2025 at 8:51 AM

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BREAKING: DHS Secretary Kristi Noem is pushing for ICE to use funds to buy, own and operate its own fleet of airplanes to deport immigrants, two sources familiar with the discussions tell NBC News.

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— NBC News (@nbcnews.com) August 20, 2025 at 4:44 PM

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Millions for souped up cars, next to nothing for hungry kids. Make it make sense.

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— @NewsJennifer (Jennifer Schulze) (@newsjennifer.bsky.social) August 20, 2025 at 10:38 PM

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The tone of this video is completely wild. It's filmed like a high school media class project. It looks like it too; the presentation and graphics are amateurish. And yet it's chilling, because she's a real government spokesperson dismissing reports of abuses in detention with finger quotes.

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— Aaron Reichlin-Melnick (@reichlinmelnick.bsky.social) August 20, 2025 at 10:38 PM

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When you actually pay attention to the content, it's genuinely just "trust us, we have standards, and the people who are accusing us of abuse? They're all crooks. Dangerous crooks."
This administration is just… wild to watch. Wild.

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— Aaron Reichlin-Melnick (@reichlinmelnick.bsky.social) August 20, 2025 at 10:48 PM

===

Yep. Their "fact-check" of the specific claims about treatment in Florida is, in the order they come:
– The claims are false.
– The man has conviction for drug trafficking, homicide and battery
– He's a lying convicted murder.
– The facility meets standards.
– The claims are false.
That's it!

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— Aaron Reichlin-Melnick (@reichlinmelnick.bsky.social) August 20, 2025 at 10:57 PM

===

For all the people responding that this is AI, it’s not, Lauren Bis is a real person. She worked at the Heritage Foundation for years, then with the Trump Media org, then got hired at DHS at some point this year. www.dhs.gov/medialibrary…

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— Aaron Reichlin-Melnick (@reichlinmelnick.bsky.social) August 20, 2025 at 11:54 PM

Late Night Open Thread: Nightmare FueledPost + Comments (68)

When Even Good TV Lets You Down

by WaterGirl|  August 20, 20259:02 pm| 118 Comments

This post is in: Mostly Open Thread

I had been putting off watching Season 3 of Bosch: Legacy because I didn’t want the show to be over.  I started watching it last week and just finished the last episode.

Did anyone else feel like they did a good job tying up the series?  I had read that even Bosch didn’t know it was his last season until after the filming was complete – which seems really shitty to me – but to me the final episode didn’t really fit with the rest of the season, and it was as though they wanted to hastily tie up the Bosch 10-season series and clumsily introduce Ballard to send Bosch out to see on an ice floe.

I’ll be interested to see if I am alone in this, but I felt it was a very unsatisfying end to a great long-running show.  Bastards!

Speaking of unsatisfying endings to long-running shows, I have one word for you.  LOST.   Bastards!

Maybe I’m just in a bad mood?

And don’t get me started on what I assume are cicadas – they are louder than some concerts I have been to!

The highlight of my day was this video shared by eclare.  It’s twitter, but but it’s worth breaking my twitter embargo for.

I work at a doggy daycare, and we have a heated saltwater pool just for dogs. They get to swim twice a week, plus therapy sessions for older pups and those recovering from surgery… pic.twitter.com/1vz47xFrnU

— Puppies 🐶 (@PuppiesIover) August 20, 2025

I think you may be able to just watch the video from within this post, without going to twitter.  I was able to, anyway.

The tweet itself said:

I work at a doggy daycare, and we have a heated saltwater pool just for dogs. They get to swim twice a week, plus therapy sessions for older pups and those recovering from surgery…

Feel free to share any non-political thing that you’re finding annoying, or anything good that’s happening that’s happening in your life.

Anything goes, except politics.

When Even Good TV Lets You DownPost + Comments (118)

War for Ukraine Day 1,273: Russian Tu-95s Are Up, Air Raid Alerts Are Spreading Across Ukraine

by Adam L Silverman|  August 20, 20258:05 pm| 21 Comments

This post is in: Foreign Affairs, Foreign Policy, Military, Open Threads, Russia, Silverman on Security, War, War in Ukraine

A painting by the Ukrainain artist NEIVANMADE. The upper 1/2 is grey and there are black Shahed drones on it aimed towards the bottom of the painting. The bottom half of the painting has a blood red background and in the center of the bottom is a house, to it's left is a swing set, and to its right is a car. They are charcoal grey on the blood red background background. The drones are targeting the house, swing set, and car. Above the house and below the drones are the words "Russia Kills To Erase Free People".

(Image by NEIVANMADE)

I’m absolutely fried, so I’m just going to run through the basics tonight.

At 2:28 AM local time/7:28 PM EDT, air raid alerts are up over almost all of northern and central Ukraine and the alerts are still going up. The air raid alert maps indicate that Russian Tu-95s are up over western Russia, which means that Ukraine will be facing another long night of missile strikes and drone attacks,

Russian planes are in the air‼️

Probably on the way to bomb Ukrainian apartment buildings and murder sleeping families again.

Keep us in your thoughts.

— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) August 20, 2025 at 5:33 PM

People sheltering in Kyiv metro during air alert early Aug. 21 due to threat of Russian/Iranian Shahed flying bomb drones. At 0200 (GMT+3) there was a warning of a threat of ballistic missile launches from Russia’s Kursk Oblast. Explosions from air defenses heard in Kyiv Oblast.

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— Euan MacDonald (@euanmacdonald.bsky.social) August 20, 2025 at 7:15 PM

Multiple russian drones are once again over Ukraine, carrying w their ugly buzz a message of russia’s genuine “peace” intentions.

Those who claim to care about peace should pressure russia to stop attacking — not shame Ukraine into stopping the defense.

Photo war_monitor_ua

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— Olena Halushka (@halushka.bsky.social) August 20, 2025 at 3:54 PM

One reason Putin now wants a “peace process” (or rather a “get Ukraine to surrender” process) is because in strategic terms the balance is shifting – and not in his favor. He’s taking tiny slivers of ground for huge losses, while new UA weapons threaten deeper strategic strikes.

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— Euan MacDonald (@euanmacdonald.bsky.social) August 20, 2025 at 3:36 AM

Have you noticed it’s already half a year of “peace talks” where russia talks about anything but peace — while the killing has only intensified? That’s all you need to know about “diplomatic means” to end this war.

— Olena Halushka (@halushka.bsky.social) August 20, 2025 at 11:17 AM

President Zelenskyy presented the annual National Legend of Ukraine awards today. Video below, English write up after the jump.

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The President Presented the Annual “National Legend of Ukraine” Award to Servicemembers, Athletes, Artists, and Philanthropists

20 August 2025 – 21:37

President of Ukraine Volodymyr Zelenskyy presented the “National Legend of Ukraine” award to this year’s laureates. First Lady Olena Zelenska also took part in the ceremony.

The Head of State emphasized that the award carries great significance and purpose – as a rightful tribute to Ukraine’s talents, geniuses, and heroes.

“I want to thank you for making Ukraine known, for defending our state with your voices. We must constantly keep the focus on our state so that support does not diminish – both political support and, above all, support for our warriors. We are grateful to them for defending Ukraine and for defending all the talent you have brought to our country,” said the President.

This year, Volodymyr Zelenskyy presented ten “National Legend of Ukraine” awards to servicemembers, athletes, artists, and philanthropists. The awardees are:

Musician, vocalist, composer, and leader of the rock band Okean Elzy, Sviatoslav Vakarchuk, who also serves as a United Nations Development Programme Goodwill Ambassador for Youth in Ukraine. Since the start of the full-scale Russian invasion, he has actively supported Ukrainian warriors, giving more than 150 concerts on the front line and at military units, as well as organizing numerous fundraisers to support the Armed Forces of Ukraine and civilians.

First Vice President of the National Academy of Sciences of Ukraine, Hero of Ukraine, Volodymyr Horbulin. He has devoted over 60 years of his life to strengthening the state. One of the authors of Ukraine’s National Security and Defense Concept, the first National Space Program, and the Strategy for the Construction and Development of the Armed Forces. He is regarded as the father of Ukraine’s rocket and space industry in the years of Ukraine’s independence.

Employees of the Security Service of Ukraine, who developed and carried out the unique military operation “Spiderweb.” As a result of this operation, four Russian airfields were attacked and 41 aircraft – one-third of the enemy’s strategic aviation – were destroyed. For security reasons, the names and faces of the awardees remain undisclosed. The special operation was led by the Head of the Security Service of Ukraine, Lieutenant General Vasyl Maliuk

Ballet artist, choreographer, and dance theorist, Serge Lifar (posthumously). His contemporaries called him “the god of dance.” In 1922, Serge Lifar emigrated from Kyiv to Paris, rising quickly from corps de ballet dancer to soloist, and in 1929, he became head of the ballet troupe at the Paris Opera. This year, Ukraine marks the 120th anniversary of his birth.

Olympic champion, multiple world and European champion in athletics, Yaroslava Mahuchikh. Last year, she won Olympic gold and was named the world’s best female athlete. She was a bronze medalist at the 2020 Olympics and is a three-time Diamond League winner. She is currently competing in another Diamond League stage in Lausanne. Yaroslava Mahuchikh will receive her award once she returns home from the competition.

Opera singer, soloist of the Taras Shevchenko National Academic Opera and Ballet Theatre of Ukraine, Liudmyla Monastyrska. She is considered the “leading Aida” of the modern world opera stage, as she is performing this role at La Scala, Covent Garden, and the Metropolitan Opera. Liudmyla Monastyrska has received numerous international awards and is listed among the world’s top opera singers.

Artist, master of non-figurative painting and landscape, laureate of the Taras Shevchenko National Prize of Ukraine, Anatoly Kryvolap. He is the author of a unique approach to color in painting. The artist twice set world records for sales of contemporary Ukrainian art on the international art market.

Commander of a medical company, captain of the medical service, Andrii Semianiv (MED GOblin). For over two years, he has overseen stabilization points in the Donetsk and Kharkiv regions. His unit combines advanced approaches to the evacuation of the wounded with the provision of qualified medical aid to warriors directly on the front line. Andrii Semianiv has provided assistance to nearly 6,000 wounded warriors.

Entrepreneur, philanthropist, and public figure, Canadian citizen of Ukrainian origin, James Temerty. Since the beginning of the full-scale war, he has funded a program for students and teachers from Ukraine in Toronto, supported the Olena Zelenska Foundation in helping residents of de-occupied territories, and donated one million dollars for generators for Ukrainian hospitals.

Singer, People’s Artist of Ukraine, Hero of Ukraine, Vasyl Zinkevych. His songs are part of the golden collection of 20th-century Ukrainian music. It was with the trio Smerichka – featuring Vasyl Zinkevych, Nazariy Yaremchuk, and Volodymyr Ivasiuk – that the legendary “Chervona Ruta” was first performed. This year, Vasyl Zinkevych celebrated his 80th birthday.

The “National Legend of Ukraine” award was established in 2021. Since then, the President has annually honored people who have contributed to building an independent Ukraine, defending our state, and advancing the national economy, science, education, culture, arts, sports, health care, as well as active charitable and public work.

A full television broadcast of this year’s awards ceremony will air on the national United News telethon on Ukraine’s Independence Day, August 24, at 9:00 p.m.

Georgia:

For the 266th day in a row, Rustaveli Avenue is blocked in Tbilisi. Protests continue in 8+ cities across Georgia. 🇬🇪

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— Rusudan Djakeli (@rusudandjakeli.bsky.social) August 20, 2025 at 1:25 PM

Classic Russian: gets punched, takes the bluff back, sulks.

The Georgian Dream has always threatened with leaving CoE whenever they got criticism from CoE or PACE.

Now that it’s been voiced for the first time that Georgia could be expelled from CoE, he misrepresents and downgrades the situation.

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— Marika Mikiashvili 🇬🇪🇺🇦🇪🇺 (@marikamikiashvili.bsky.social) August 20, 2025 at 9:07 AM

1/ Georgian Dream Prime Minister Irakli Kobakhidze responded to a statement by 51 PACE members by saying that “European bureaucracy is absurd.”

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— Publika.ge (@publikage.bsky.social) August 20, 2025 at 5:37 AM

3/ “They are demanding the suspension of a status that we have already suspended ourselves. It is completely absurd; unfortunately, European bureaucracy is absurd, and the European politicians involved are in absurdity”.

— Publika.ge (@publikage.bsky.social) August 20, 2025 at 5:37 AM

The other day I saw that Belarus jailed a retired lady in her 70s and thought to myself that at least the regime in Georgia didn’t jail the elderly yet.

Well, I was wrong…

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— Marika Mikiashvili 🇬🇪🇺🇦🇪🇺 (@marikamikiashvili.bsky.social) August 20, 2025 at 7:23 AM

Lithuania:

Earlier this year, Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov wrote the foreword for a monograph questioning the existence of the Lithuanian language & Lithuania’s very statehood. Now, a journal that Lavrov oversees has an article warning that the Baltic Sea could become a “military operations theater.”

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— Kevin Rothrock (@kevinrothrock.me) August 20, 2025 at 1:33 AM

From Meduza:

The Russian Foreign Ministry journal “International Affairs” recently published an article urging Moscow to view the Baltic Sea as a “potential theater of military operations.” Journalists at Agentstvo drew attention to the text on Tuesday, August 19. The monthly journal, whose editorial board is overseen by Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov, features essays on international politics, diplomacy, and global security. Meduza summarizes the boldest claims of the controversial text on the looming “Baltic danger.”

In the text, The Baltics: Guarantees of Danger, Nikolai Mezhevich claims that Russia’s “adversaries” among the Baltic countries (Estonia, Latvia, and Lithuania) and Northern Europe (particularly Finland) are forming a so-called “gray zone” in the Baltic Sea. Mezhevich, a chief research fellow at the Russian Academy of Sciences’ Institute of Europe, writes regularly about the foreign policies of the Baltic countries and NATO’s military activities in the region. He has been publishing in International Affairs since 2016 and often appears in the Russian media with warnings about alleged plots by Poland, Latvia, Estonia, and Lithuania against Minsk, Moscow, and ethnic Russians.

Mezhevich’s concern about Russian security in the Baltic Sea follows the recent accession of Finland and Sweden to NATO, which more than doubled the alliance’s land border with Russia to 2,550 kilometers (roughly 1,585 miles). He describes the emerging threat in the Baltics as an asymmetric conflict, warning that active military operations would pose great risks to major cities. “This is a space of heightened danger not only for direct military operations but also for proxy conflicts,” he argues. Mezhevich also cites the potential for “propaganda, active intelligence transitioning to terror, psychological operations, and the use of civilian objects for military purposes.”

He characterizes Russia’s ability to “break through” to the North Sea as seriously compromised:

Somewhere in the archives are dusty old plans for how the Soviet Baltic Fleet might be deployed, alongside the East German and Polish navies, back when Finland and Sweden were officially neutral. But even then, the mood was far from confident. In today’s situation, access to the North Sea itself would be of little use.

Mezhevich states that “the situation in the Baltic countries, Germany, Poland, and Northern European countries has become irreversible.” He warns that “only parties that support aggression against Russia” will “come to power” in these countries. He says the region is now cooperating strategically with Britain to create “military, political, and economic threats to Russia and Belarus.” However, Mezhevich maintains that Russia’s European adversaries won’t succeed where they have twice before: “[Their] logic is clear: it worked once, it will work again, but the conditions of the logical pair are not met. Russia in 1919, as well as in 1991, has different parameters from Russia in 2025.”

Mezhevich says Sweden’s entry into NATO could precipitate the “remilitarization” of Gotland (Sweden’s largest island, located in the middle of the Baltic Sea), but he argues that such plans “strangely” ignore the lessons Russia drew at Snake Island in the Black Sea.

Reported plans by Finland, Estonia, and Latvia to mine Russia’s borders also arouse Mezhevich’s concerns, though he simultaneously dismisses the concept as unrealistic. “No one really knows how to mine bare granite, swamps, or lakes,” he writes, adding that the installation of dense minefields and a border “fence” against Russia would be too costly. Senior economic officials in Estonia and Finland “know this perfectly well,” Mezhevich adds.

He nevertheless concludes the article with a warning that “geographic location and a complex of historical narratives” force Russia and its adversaries alike to consider the eastern part of the Baltic Sea as a “potential theater of military operations, possibly in classic, possibly in ‘gray’ formats.”

Poland:

An unidentified drone crashed and exploded in the village of Osiny, Poland. Approximately 100km from Belarus/Ukrainian border.

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— 🦋Special Kherson Cat🐈🇺🇦 (@specialkhersoncat.bsky.social) August 20, 2025 at 6:08 AM

The Polish Ministry of Foreign Affairs confirmed that the drone which crashed in a field in the village of Osiny, eastern Poland, turned out to be a Russian “Shahed.”
tvpworld.com/88441847/obj…

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— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) August 20, 2025 at 12:23 PM

Sweden:

Sweden is ready to contribute to Ukraine’s security guarantees.

“We want to be involved, but it must happen safely and reliably, and we need to know what we’re committing to.” – said Swedish Prime Minister Ulf Kristersson.
www.aftonbladet.se/nyheter/a/bm…

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— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) August 20, 2025 at 11:19 AM

Britain and (some of) the EU:

The Guardian reports that the UK Chief of Defence Staff, Admiral Tony Radakin, stated that Britain is ready to deploy troops to Ukraine to protect its skies and ports. He will also inform his American counterparts about this at a meeting in the Pentagon.
www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2025…

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— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) August 20, 2025 at 6:37 AM

Bloomberg sources report that around 10 countries, including the United Kingdom and France, are ready to send troops to Ukraine as a security guarantee.

www.bloomberg.com/news/article…

— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) August 20, 2025 at 9:08 AM

The US:

Russia is doing all it can to backtrack from this meeting. If I had to bet, I’d say it won’t happen.

There was no pressure. Trump walked back the sanctions promise and the ceasefire demand. He doesn’t send new weapon packages. Without pressure, Russia will just continue its war.

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— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) August 20, 2025 at 12:24 PM

Needless to say, any ‘security guarantee’ where russia has a veto is actually a new russian invasion guarantee. No one will ever agree to this.

But the audacity, the entitlement, the confidence in everybody’s stupidity is just… next level.

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— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) August 20, 2025 at 9:52 AM

There will not be a meeting between President Zelenskyy and Putin any time soon. There will not be a ceasefire. And there most certainly won’t be a peace agreement.

Please, somebody give this man a map already!🤦‍♀️

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— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) August 20, 2025 at 2:32 PM

A black and white picture of the Three Stooges. They are wearing hats, seated at a table, and all 3 are face palming themselves so that you cannot see their faces. The caption says: Triple Face Palm Because Even the Three Stooges Can See That You Fail.

Back to Ukraine.

💥”Lazar” unit bombards valuable Russian S-300V air defence system.

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— 🦋Special Kherson Cat🐈🇺🇦 (@specialkhersoncat.bsky.social) August 20, 2025 at 7:51 AM

After destroying a Russian air defense system, the drone operator lands on its target and watches the Russians bustling around as a sign of absolute superiority.

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— 🦋Special Kherson Cat🐈🇺🇦 (@specialkhersoncat.bsky.social) August 20, 2025 at 8:17 AM

Russia is testing a new LTE-enabled drone. Ukraine’s DIU released a 3D model and details, noting its use across the front. The UAV resembles a smaller Shahed-131 (Geran-1). Nearly half its parts, including key electronics, are made in China.
war-sanctions.gur.gov.ua/page-ag-4862

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— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) August 20, 2025 at 4:48 AM

Dnipropetrovsk Oblast:

A large fire broke out in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast, where russia attacked critical infrastructure with drones.

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— Iryna Voichuk (@irynavoichuk.bsky.social) August 20, 2025 at 6:05 PM

Risk of chemical poisoning in the Dnipro region: Local media report russian strikes on gas storage facilities and a huge fire.

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— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) August 20, 2025 at 6:23 PM

Kharkiv Oblast:

In Kharkiv Oblast, a russian FPV drone killed a 70-year-old man and a 71-year-old woman in their car.

Somewhere, a russian soldier piloting that drone likely laughed — pleased to add two more kills to their brutal human safari, where murder is the mission, and joy is found in death.

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— Iryna Voichuk (@irynavoichuk.bsky.social) August 20, 2025 at 6:17 AM

Donetsk:

Russia left Donetsk without water, turning it into a city facing a humanitarian disaster, where people literally have to shit into plastic bags and throw them out the windows because there is no water to flush the toilet.

Pardon my vivid description.

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— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) August 20, 2025 at 11:04 AM

Ukrainian monitoring channels report that temporarily occupied Donetsk is under drone strikes.

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— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) August 20, 2025 at 4:28 PM

Odesa:

The aftermath of Russia’s overnight attack in the southern Odesa region. In Izmail, a large fire broke out at a fuel and port infrastructure facility as a result of the strikes. At least one person has been reported injured.

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— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) August 20, 2025 at 4:01 AM

Russia:

Fuel apocalypse in Russia! Long lines are forming at gas stations due to drone attacks on oil refineries.

Ukrainian sanctions work💪

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— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) August 20, 2025 at 1:45 PM

Day 1274 of my 3 day war. It’s going so well that a country with massive reserves of oil is running out of fuel.

I remain a master strategist.

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— Darth Putin (@darthputinkgb.bsky.social) August 20, 2025 at 12:00 PM

Rostov Oblast, Russia:

Novoshakhtinsk, Rostov Oblast.

​The Novoshakhtinsk oil products plant is on fire 🔥 👀

Ukrainian sanctions arrived.

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— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) August 20, 2025 at 5:30 PM

Belgorod, Russia:

Belgorod, Russia is smoking hot 👀

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— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) August 20, 2025 at 9:38 AM

That’s enough for tonight.

Your daily Patron!

A new Patron video!

@patron__dsns

Іноді для щастя потрібно так мало 😌 #песпатрон

♬ original sound – HOLLY BROOKS

Here’s the machine translation of the caption:

Sometimes it takes so little to be happy 😌#песпатрон

Open thread!

War for Ukraine Day 1,273: Russian Tu-95s Are Up, Air Raid Alerts Are Spreading Across UkrainePost + Comments (21)

Wednesday Afternoon Open Thread

by WaterGirl|  August 20, 20255:20 pm| 58 Comments

This post is in: Open Threads

Looks like we can use an open thread!

 

Wednesday Afternoon Open ThreadPost + Comments (58)

Open Thread: *Not* Good News for Republicans

by Anne Laurie|  August 20, 20252:07 pm| 101 Comments

This post is in: Open Threads, Proud to Be A Democrat, Republican Politics, Trumpery

i don't know the future but this is not a great trendline if you're a Republican

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— post malone ergo propter malone (@proptermalone.bsky.social) August 19, 2025 at 3:51 PM

Sometimes I find it informative to eavesdrop on other poasters’ ‘microblogging’…

again, recall that Congress is going to come back at the start of September and immediately be in a media bath related to 1) the ongoing DC occupation and 2) the imminent Republican wipeout in Virginia

— post malone ergo propter malone (@proptermalone.bsky.social) August 19, 2025 at 3:53 PM

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— post malone ergo propter malone (@proptermalone.bsky.social) August 19, 2025 at 3:58 PM

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— post malone ergo propter malone (@proptermalone.bsky.social) August 19, 2025 at 3:58 PM

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Also, Epstein!

— Dana Houle (@danahoule.bsky.social) August 19, 2025 at 4:02 PM


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And it’s only now that people are starting to really feel tariffs.

— Dana Houle (@danahoule.bsky.social) August 19, 2025 at 3:52 PM

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show full post on front page

Still feels like mainstream outlets are literally afraid of touching discussion of his general unpopularity.

— Mr. PotHead (@mrpothead.bsky.social) August 19, 2025 at 3:54 PM


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It reminds me of how the media was still describing Dubya as “a popular wartime president” as his approval sank below 40 never to return.

— uosdɯıS ɐuɐᗡ ✨🦄✨ (@danacorn.bsky.social) August 19, 2025 at 4:02 PM


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(And how Hillary Clinton was described as unpopular when her approval was in the 60s)

— uosdɯıS ɐuɐᗡ ✨🦄✨ (@danacorn.bsky.social) August 19, 2025 at 4:03 PM

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What if Trump falling just as hard but no Preibus or Kelly or Tillerson or Mattis to ablate the nuttiness

— Chatham Harrison dba TRUMP DELENDUS EST (@chathamharrison.bsky.social) August 19, 2025 at 4:01 PM

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Yeah I’ve had people looking into this data for a few hours now and tentative conclusion is “Line Go Down”.

— First Wordle Problems (@fwordleproblems.bsky.social) August 19, 2025 at 3:54 PM


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In all seriousness, what’s his all-time floor? Can’t be much lower than this. But do we think he can get below 35? Further?

— First Wordle Problems (@fwordleproblems.bsky.social) August 19, 2025 at 3:57 PM


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if the GOP turns on him, yeah

— post malone ergo propter malone (@proptermalone.bsky.social) August 19, 2025 at 3:59 PM


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Mighty big "if" there.

— RoninMacbeth ☠️🎢 (@roninmacbeth.bsky.social) August 19, 2025 at 4:02 PM


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certainly, if he holds his party i don't think he goes below mid-30s at worst

— post malone ergo propter malone (@proptermalone.bsky.social) August 19, 2025 at 4:04 PM


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I don't think there is an "if." After everything, the party still wants him. We should assume that his floor is 35 and base our expectations on that.

— RoninMacbeth ☠️🎢 (@roninmacbeth.bsky.social) August 19, 2025 at 4:06 PM

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I'm not so sure. "He is roughly as unpopular as the same point in his first term." So he was this unpopular 5 years ago and yet… here we are.

— Jeffrey Ross-Ibarra (@jrossibarra.bsky.social) August 19, 2025 at 3:52 PM


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he's tricked off ~22 points of net approval since taking office, the 2018-2020-2022 elections were all worse than expected for the GOP; like i said i don't know the future but last time he did pay a real electoral price for his unpopularity

— post malone ergo propter malone (@proptermalone.bsky.social) August 19, 2025 at 4:04 PM

Open Thread: *Not* Good News for RepublicansPost + Comments (101)

Florida Vets Push Back (Open Thread)

by Betty Cracker|  August 20, 20258:27 am| 189 Comments

This post is in: Domestic Politics, Open Threads, Politics, Republican Stupidity

Orlando veteran Alexander McCoy, who protected embassies abroad as a U.S. Marine, started a petition for Florida veterans who oppose the Trump administration using the military to occupy American cities. Here’s a gift link to a column about it in The Orlando Sentinel:

If you’ve ever watched disaster movies or dystopian science fiction, you’re probably familiar with a plot device screenwriters use to let audiences know things have reached the point of disaster — namely for the fictional president to order U.S. troops to take control of a city on American soil.

The reason they do so is because it creates a stark image; soldiers with guns drawn storming a community in their own country.

So when a Marine in Orlando saw something similar recently — except in real life when President Trump dispatched Marines to Los Angeles and Florida to help with his immigration crackdown — it didn’t sit well.

According to columnist Scott Maxwell, McCoy wasn’t sure if he was alone in feeling queasy about seeing U.S. soldiers patrolling the streets of American cities to support ICE operations, so he asked around and found that many fellow veterans felt the same way. He started the petition at flvetsletter.com, and the op-ed says more than 450 vets from every branch of the service have signed it so far.

Here’s the letter:

Dear Elected Officials:

As military veterans who proudly wore the uniform, we are deeply concerned by the reported deployment of active-duty U.S. Marines to Florida in support of ICE deportation operations—including in Orlando and at the “Alligator Alcatraz” detention center in the Everglades.

This is wrong.

Military troops are not trained for law enforcement. We were trained for combat—to fight and win wars, not to police American communities. Inserting troops into domestic law enforcement undermines public safety and risks escalating tense situations. We saw this firsthand when Marines were deployed to Los Angeles this year, and a fellow Marine Corps veteran was mistakenly arrested while en route to a VA appointment.

Blurring the line between military and law enforcement weakens the foundation of a free society. Increasingly, ICE officers and local police wear tactical gear and uniforms that mimic combat troops. The more indistinguishable we become, the more the public begins to associate the military with political crackdowns and fear—not service and sacrifice.

This trend must stop. We call on President Trump, Governor DeSantis, members of Florida’s congressional delegation, and local officials in Orlando and Miami-Dade to oppose the misuse of the U.S. military for immigration enforcement.

We swore an oath to the Constitution—and the law makes clear what the U.S. military is for, and not for. Using Marines to participate in ICE operations on U.S. soil dishonors that oath.

Bravo!

Trump and henchmen like Hegseth bluster about using the U.S. military to repel “invaders” a lot, but according to the Sentinel piece, the Pentagon quietly dropped plans to attach active duty soldiers to ICE enforcement efforts in Orlando and elsewhere in Florida, calling up National Guard troops instead. This happened after McCoy and other signatories launched their campaign.

Good. Sometimes pushing back works. Now to get the FL National Guard out of the ICE business…

Programming note: I’m taking a work break later so I can go jump into another cold spring. Hopefully I’ll get some pictures worth sharing, but you never know. In the meantime, here’s a cute little chickadee who visited the feeder cam yesterday:

Good morning, little chickadee! #birds

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— Betty Cracker of Florida (@bettycrackerfl.bsky.social) August 19, 2025 at 9:01 AM

We have a cardinal pair who inhabit a bamboo stand nearby, and they’ve been splooting on that feeder to the point that few other birds get to visit. I don’t mind — all are welcome, even birds who attempt to monopolize the chow. But both cardinals are molting, so I wonder if they’d be indignant if they realized they were being spied upon in that state.

Open thread.

Florida Vets Push Back (Open Thread)Post + Comments (189)

Late Night Open Thread: Pastor Mike Johnson, King of White-Bread Chutzpah

by Anne Laurie|  August 19, 202510:01 pm| 88 Comments

This post is in: Open Threads, Proud to Be A Democrat, Republican Politics, Republicans in Disarray!

Johnson Says Newsom Is Insulting Voters by Letting Them Vote – New York Magazine apple.news/Aqwbr2d45T62…

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— Dana Brown (@jdanab.bsky.social) August 19, 2025 at 1:28 PM

Unpaywalled link:

Republicans want to demonize Gavin Newsom’s effort to give his party some extra U.S. House seats in the 2026 midterms. But they have a bit of a messaging problem. After all, Newsom is very explicitly responding to the power grab Donald Trump demanded in Texas (as indicated by the formal name for the legislation the California governor is pushing to authorize a ballot initiative in November: the Election Rigging Response Act).

Beyond the fact that Trump did it first, Republicans can’t really get too pious about what Newsom is doing because it reflects the reality that blue states, by and large, have been much more likely than red states to let independent commissions rather than partisan politicians draw their congressional and state legislative districts. Many Democrat-led states have embedded these practices in their laws and constitutions. Indeed, that’s why California has to hold a special election: to enable its legislature to do what Texas’s (and probably Florida’s, Missouri’s, and Indiana’s) can do as an exercise in pure partisan power…

And that’s why House Speaker Mike Johnson’s social media attack on Newsom is such a profile in chutzpah:

Pastor Mike Johnson, King of White-Bread Chutzpah

So Newsom is attempting to “disenfranchise millions of California voters” by letting them vote on a congressional map? Will voters in Texas have a chance to vote on the map Trump is pushing through that state’s legislature? How about in Johnson’s Louisiana, where the U.S. House map drafted by that state’s Republican-controlled legislature has been deemed in violation of the Voting Rights Act in both district and circuit courts? If Governor Ron DeSantis follows through on his threat to conduct a mid-decade re-redistricting in Florida to give the GOP even more of a cushion for the midterms, will Sunshine State voters get to vote on that? Of course not…

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GOP populists plot to repeatedly bypass Mike Johnson www.axios.com/2025/08/14/m…

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— Rod,Tia & Lola's dad (@roddsdad.bsky.social) August 15, 2025 at 4:32 AM

A desperate man(ling) will try desperate measures…

show full post on front page

House Speaker Mike Johnson‘s (R-La.) right flank is trying to bypass him repeatedly next month by forcing votes on releasing the Epstein files and banning congressional stock trading…

State of play: Rep. Anna Paulina Luna (R-Fla.) wants to force a vote on Rep. Tim Burchett’s (R-Tenn.) bill to ban members of Congress, their spouses and dependent children from trading or owning stocks.

– Tamping down congressional stock trading has been a cause célèbre for lawmakers in both parties for years, but congressional leaders have largely stonewalled their efforts to secure a vote.

– Another discharge petition from Reps. Thomas Massie (R-Ky.) and Ro Khanna (D-Calif.) on forcing the release of the Justice Department’s documents on Jeffrey Epstein is set to trigger a vote within days of the House’s return to session next month.

Between the lines: The Epstein petition is widely expected to obtain 218 signatures, with most Democrats and several right-wing Republicans likely to sign on…

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Speaker Mike Johnson caught between lawmakers and Trump in GOP map fight
www.washingtonpost.com/politics/202…

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— Timothy McBride (@mcbridetd.bsky.social) August 15, 2025 at 9:38 AM

Cue the world’s tiniest violin — “Speaker Mike Johnson caught between lawmakers and Trump in GOP map fight” [gift link]:

Speaker Mike Johnson is serving as mediator between the White House and Republican lawmakers worried about President Donald Trump’s ambitious drive to remake the national map to strengthen the House GOP majority in the 2026 midterm elections.

It’s a tough spot for the speaker, who is trying to mollify Republican House members who worry they may be targeted in a redistricting war, while also backing Trump’s push to expand the GOP’s razor-thin House majority — and solidify the president’s agenda for the second half of his administration…

Johnson has kept in regular touch with Trump’s team about its redistricting push, a White House official confirmed. Trump aides have told the speaker to reassure anxious House Republicans that “no one is getting sacrificed,” according to a person familiar with the conversation, who spoke on the condition of anonymity to be candid about private deliberations.

The message has assuaged some, but it has not convinced other Republican lawmakers whose futures in Congress could be jeopardized if Texas Republicans go ahead with their plan to create five additional GOP seats in a rare round of mid-cycle redistricting. The Texas gambit has sparked a cascade of threats from blue-state governors, from California to Maryland, to retaliate in ways that would imperil Republican members in those states.

“I really don’t like the idea that this is going to be some sort of redistricting war, or there’s going to be this domino effect where one state after another upends their district lines. That’s not the way things are supposed to work,” said Rep. Kevin Kiley, whose GOP district is one of five that California Democrats could erase if Texas proceeds with its plan.

Republican state lawmakers in Indiana are set to meet with Trump at the end of the month to discuss redistricting as some lawmakers remain concerned over how their district lines could be redrawn…

Redistricting is only the latest headache for Johnson, who oversees a historically narrow House majority with boisterous personalities who have often stymied passage of key legislation. A larger majority could ensure a continuation of Johnson’s speakership for another two years and give him a wider margin for success. But the redistricting debate could make it harder for him to pass legislation in the meantime.

The House Republican campaign arm and Johnson have been at pains to say they are not the driving force behind the effort to redraw the national map…

A presentation given to House GOP lawmakers and donors at Johnson’s political retreat in Jackson Hole, Wyoming, [last] week showed the map in Texas with its current lines, not those the legislature has proposed that have yet to be adopted. At a different briefing led by the White House and the Congressional Leadership Fund, the House GOP’s fundraising arm, redistricting was briefly discussed and described as a response to Democrats having drawn maps to their political advantage for years…

Some red-state Republicans are concerned, too. Texas Republican House members are frustrated that their seats in the new map, which is on the path to approval, would become more competitive and that they might have to fend off primary challengers in slightly less conservative districts. Some fear their districts could include more Democratic voters and become swingier.

Lawmakers privately noted that Johnson is bearing the brunt of the worries because his colleagues are loath to defy Trump…

He who sups with the Devil, Pastor, needs to bring a long spoon.

Late Night Open Thread: Pastor Mike Johnson, King of White-Bread ChutzpahPost + Comments (88)

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