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Balloon Juice

Come for the politics, stay for the snark.

Republicans are the party of chaos and catastrophe.

Is it irresponsible to speculate? It is irresponsible not to.

Relentless negativity is not a sign that you are more realistic.

Jesus, Mary, & Joseph how is that election even close?

Every one of the “Roberts Six” lied to get on the court.

Republicans do not trust women.

JFC, are there no editors left at that goddamn rag?

We cannot abandon the truth and remain a free nation.

You don’t get to peddle hatred on saturday and offer condolences on sunday.

Is trump is trying to break black America over his knee? signs point to ‘yes’.

They think we are photo bombing their nice little lives.

The revolution will be supervised.

A norm that restrains only one side really is not a norm – it is a trap.

Everybody saw this coming.

The rest of the comments were smacking Boebert like she was a piñata.

The fundamental promise of conservatism all over the world is a return to an idealized past that never existed.

Cancel the cowardly Times and Post and set up an equivalent monthly donation to ProPublica.

Oh FFS you might as well trust a 6-year-old with a flamethrower.

… gradually, and then suddenly.

This has so much WTF written all over it that it is hard to comprehend.

When you’re a Republican, they let you do it.

The gop is a fucking disgrace.

T R E 4 5 O N

Republicans: The threats are dire, but my tickets are non-refundable!

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War for Ukraine Day 1,468: (Some of) You Have Questions, I (May) Have Answers

by Adam L Silverman|  March 3, 202610:17 pm| 14 Comments

This post is in: Foreign Affairs, Foreign Policy, Military, Open Threads, Russia, Silverman on Security, War, War in Ukraine

Well this is ungood:

Iran destroyed AN/TPY-2 THAAD radars at Al-Ruwais Air Base in the UAE and Muwaffaq Salti Air Base in Jordan, while satellite imagery confirms the AN/FPS-132 phased array radar in Qatar was also damaged, complicating missile defense across the region. #MiddleEast

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— NOELREPORTS (@noelreports.com) March 3, 2026 at 5:28 PM

Anyhow, I told Amy! I’d answer her question from last night tonight.

your reports regularly note that Ukrainians are regaining ground now (phrased as regaining more than they’ve lost, so I gather that there’s actually movement in both directions on what have become somewhat static lines). I heard (a little less than four years ago now) that Putin and Russia, failing in that initial push, had already lost the war, even if they could continue the war until exhaustion stopped them. Is this evidence of a threshold being crossed? Has the tide turned? Gah, clichés: will the boys be home by Christmas? Seriously, is this an indicator that the outcome of the war is, in the end Ukrainian victory? I’m not sure that you accept the premise that, failing to win an overwhelming victory, Russia cannot win an attempted occupation against a hostile population, but I found the argument compelling, which made the past three and three quarters years all the more tragic. Do you have an opinion on that score that you’re willing to share?

Sure, the boys will eventually be home by Christmas. Just like in the 30 and 100 year wars. More seriously, what you’re finally seeing is some of what has been moving below the waterline or below the ice. Since early 2023 people – from pundits to think tankers to intel weenies – have been arguing that the conflict was frozen, would remain frozen, and that meant that Russia had won and Ukraine should negotiate terms and cut their losses. The reality, as I’ve explained here and as I explained in my professional work, is that the conflict was NOT frozen. Rather, there was a lot going on that wasn’t being reported, that wasn’t going to show up on satellite imagery, and it would eventually become apparent in a year or two. A lot of what we’re now seeing is the result of the quiet hard work done by the Ukrainians. This includes work by the HUR, both in operations we’ve seen and in their work with partisan undergrounds in Russian occupied areas. It includes all the weapon and counter-measure development. It includes the continuous development and redevelopment of the Ukrainian way of war.

Here are some of tonight’s outgoing Ukrainian fires:

HERE WE GO 🦅🦩🚀 DroneBomber

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— MAKS 25 👀🇺🇦 (@maks23.bsky.social) March 3, 2026 at 1:55 PM

Here is President Zelenskyy’s address from earlier today. Video below, English transcript after the jump.

show full post on front page

In the Spring, the Russians Are Not Going to Reduce the Number and Cynicism of Their Attacks; They Are Preparing to Target Critical Infrastructure in the Same Way – Address by the President

3 March 2026 – 19:44

I wish you health, fellow Ukrainians!

Today, I chaired a meeting of the National Security and Defense Council – a special session attended not only by central government officials, law enforcement, and the military, but also by representatives of the regions. All our regions and the largest cities were present. For each of them a specific plan has been prepared – covering energy, critical infrastructure, and logistics – for the next winter. Unfortunately, Kyiv was the only exception – the capital proved unprepared. But we will overcome this challenge as well. In fact, for all regions there is now one common task for the next winter and for the immediate period as well: in the spring, the Russians are not going to reduce the number and cynicism of their attacks; they are preparing to target critical infrastructure in the same way. Of course, we got through this winter – some communities, some of our cities were able to achieve better results in protection and in supporting people. Others failed completely, as we saw. Now we must take all the best experience from the regions, detailed tasks for the military and for our diplomacy, and implement two components of the nationwide strategy: to prepare for strikes in the near term and to prepare for the next winter so that there are no catastrophes or problems like those we faced this winter. Alternative generation and heat supply solutions, additional energy sources, real protection – taking into account the scale of all threats – all of this must be ensured. I thank every region, every mayor, and all Ukrainian communities that have already presented their resilience plans. I thank the Government for its work this winter and for the right approach to preparing for the next one. There are things we must do at our own level in Ukraine – specific work – and the biggest tasks lie with the communities and the military. There are tasks regarding air defense and the construction of protective structures. It is also clear what we need to agree on with our partners for the next heating season. I thank Naftogaz, all our Ukrainian energy companies, every repair crew, as well as Ukrzaliznytsia and the State Emergency Service of Ukraine – everyone who worked to help people get through this winter. Ukraine received the necessary imports – both gas and electricity. We are increasing the relevant capacities. Financial coordination with partners was also properly established. This must continue. Of course, due to the war with the Iranian regime, there are now challenges both regarding rising energy prices and the volume of air defense equipment supplies needed by us in Ukraine. But we must have adequate responses to this as well – all of us in the state must work together to ensure that.

I spoke with Ursula von der Leyen, in particular about the situation surrounding Iran and all the challenges. We also discussed our bilateral issues with the European Union. Ukraine is fulfilling its obligations, and we expect the same fair and sincere attitude toward Ukraine – toward the interests of our people.

Today I spoke with leaders of countries currently under attack from Iran – the President of the United Arab Emirates and the Amir of Qatar. We will continue this diplomatic engagement with the broader Middle East and Gulf region. Ukraine stands in solidarity with all those who are resisting the spread of war and violence. For decades, the Iranian regime has invested in destroying the lives of its neighbors and others wherever it could reach. It was on that very foundation that they became accomplices of Russia in the war against Ukraine. Every “shahed” drone in Ukrainian skies proves that the Iranian regime must be held accountable for its attempts to destroy lives and kill people. It is essential that those who defend life prevail in this confrontation. At the level of our teams – the Ukrainian team, the teams of the Emirates and Qatar, and other states – we will determine how, together, we can provide stronger protection for life. Ukraine’s expertise in countering “shahed” drones is currently the most advanced in the world, and these drones represent the primary challenge in that region as well. It is clear why so many requests are directed to Ukraine. However, any such cooperation aimed at protecting our partners can only proceed without diminishing our own defense capabilities here in Ukraine. Russia’s war against Ukraine continues, Russian strikes continue, and protecting Ukrainian lives remains our first priority. Thank you to everyone who stands with Ukraine!

Glory to Ukraine!

President Zelenskyy also held a press briefing today. Here’s the video:

Prime Minister Yulia Svyrydenko, First Deputy Prime Minister/Minister of Energy Denys Shmyhal, Secretary of the National Security and Defense Council Rustem Umerov, and Deputy Prime Minister for Recovery/Minister of Community and Territorial Development Oleksiy Kuleba gave a briefing to the press after the National Security and Defense Council meeting. Here’s that video:

Georgia.

Day 461 of daily, uninterrupted, nationwide protests in Georgia.

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— Rusudan Djakeli (@rusudandjakeli.bsky.social) March 3, 2026 at 12:57 PM

A criminal case has been launched against Baia Margishvili for tearing up case materials during a trial. She is charged with contempt of court. The hearing concerned road blocking under GD’s repressive law. The Criminal Code article carries up to 2 years in prison.

#TerrorinGeorgia

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— Publika.ge (@publikage.bsky.social) March 3, 2026 at 10:27 AM

What a powerful mural at Ilia State University in Tbilisi: Ilia Chavchavadze—19th-century writer, statesman, and one of the architects of modern Georgian political identity—walking toward a door painted as the EU flag.

One EU star is missing; Ilia holds one bearing the Georgian flag. 🇬🇪🇪🇺

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— Rusudan Djakeli (@rusudandjakeli.bsky.social) March 3, 2026 at 1:29 PM

Georgia’s legitimate President Salome Zourabichvili comments positively on the Opposition Alliance launched yesterday:

“This strategy should become the basis of the joint fight of political and societal forces — to ensure the change of the regime.”

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— Marika Mikiashvili 🇬🇪🇺🇦🇪🇺 (@marikamikiashvili.bsky.social) March 3, 2026 at 2:53 AM

The EU:

🇪🇺❗️🇺🇦 France, Germany and other EU countries oppose accelerated Ukraine’s accession. Among the arguments are the risk of rollback of reforms after accession and corruption — Reuters.

Ukraine’s aspiration for accelerated accession to the EU by 2027 has encountered stiff resistance from member states.

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— MAKS 25 👀🇺🇦 (@maks23.bsky.social) March 3, 2026 at 4:48 PM

EU fears that in the event of accelerated accession, Ukraine and other countries may stop implementing reforms, such as the fight against corruption.

Kachka suggested that Ukraine could at least sign an EU accession treaty next year, even if ratification and other integration steps take longer.

— MAKS 25 👀🇺🇦 (@maks23.bsky.social) March 3, 2026 at 4:48 PM

“Why does Putin think he can outlast us?”

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— Darth Putin (@darthputinkgb.bsky.social) March 3, 2026 at 1:33 PM

The Mediterranean Sea:

In the Mediterranean Sea, off the coast of Libya, a sanctioned Russian LNG tanker Arctic Metagaz from the Kremlin’s shadow fleet is burning 😎🔥

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— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) March 3, 2026 at 2:30 PM

/2. Arctic Metataz current location.

More details by Times Malta:
timesofmalta.com/article/russ…

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— 🦋Special Kherson Cat🐈🇺🇦 (@specialkhersoncat.bsky.social) March 3, 2026 at 2:13 PM

Germany:

A small recap from last week’s Cafe Kyiv in Berlin, where people arrived not to drink tea or coffee, but to show values they stand for.

#makerussiapay remains our top priority on the way towards Ukrainian victory!

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— Olena Halushka (@halushka.bsky.social) March 3, 2026 at 6:53 AM

🇩🇪 Merz: The Russian giant today stands on feet of clay.

And that is why we want to come to solutions here, but also solutions that involve the Europeans.

We are not prepared to accept an agreement that is negotiated over our heads.

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— MAKS 25 👀🇺🇦 (@maks23.bsky.social) March 3, 2026 at 4:32 PM

Sweden:

“Justice must be served. Cheaters must be held accountable.”

Sweden’s biathlon team has been awarded bronze from the 2010 Olympics — 16 years later.

At Vancouver 2010, Sweden finished 4th in the men’s relay, behind Russia’s bronze. Russian Evgeny Ustyugov (a member of that team)

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— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) March 3, 2026 at 1:07 PM

was later found to have used a banned substance, leading to his disqualification and Russia’s medal being stripped.

— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) March 3, 2026 at 1:07 PM

Poland:

🇵🇱☢️ Tusk: Poland does not want to be passive when it comes to nuclear security in the military context. We will seek to prepare Poland in the future for as much autonomy as possible in this area.

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— MAKS 25 👀🇺🇦 (@maks23.bsky.social) March 3, 2026 at 1:24 PM

Italy:

Italian PM Meloni accused Russia of shattering international law and causing global chaos, stating that the “explosive situation” in the Middle East is a direct consequence of Russia’s full-scale war against Ukraine.

— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) March 3, 2026 at 8:44 AM

The 2026 Paralympics:

🇪🇺 11 countries and the EU are already boycotting the opening of the 2026 Paralympics over the admission of Russians and Belarusians under their own flags!

— MAKS 25 👀🇺🇦 (@maks23.bsky.social) March 3, 2026 at 5:17 PM

Germany joined the boycott today. Earlier, Ukraine, EU officials, as well as Estonia, Canada, Latvia, Lithuania, the Netherlands, Poland, Finland, Croatia and the Czech Republic announced such a decision.

— MAKS 25 👀🇺🇦 (@maks23.bsky.social) March 3, 2026 at 5:17 PM

The US:

TRUMP ON RUSSIA AND UKRAINE: “There is this tremendous hatred between Putin and Zelenskyy. I’ve seen a lot of hatred in my life, but I think this is about top scale.”

Putin hates us because we refuse to die quietly. Zelenskyy hates Putin for trying to murder us all and erase our state.

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— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) March 3, 2026 at 1:03 PM

They are not the same.

— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) March 3, 2026 at 1:03 PM

What Trump left out here is that he also hates President Zelenskyy because of the events leading up to Trump’s first impeachment. And because President Zelenskyy is not a physical coward.

🇺🇸🇺🇦 I support Ukraine, but a lot was given away. Biden gave away a significant part of it senselessly. As you know, when I transfer ammunition, they pay for it. The EU pays. Then they can dispose of it as they see fit — for example, transfer it to Ukraine, — Donald Trump.

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— MAKS 25 👀🇺🇦 (@maks23.bsky.social) March 3, 2026 at 4:40 PM

Back to Ukraine.

President Zelenskyy recently sat for an interview with Corriere Della Serra. Here’s some excerpts:

CORRIERE DELLA SERA: If you had guarantees from your allies with their troops on the ground, would you be ready to abandon all of Donbas?

ZELENSKYY: First of all, the Russians don’t want foreign troops in Ukraine. And I believe Europe should be more firm on this point.

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— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) March 3, 2026 at 9:41 AM

I don’t see why Moscow should decide which troops are stationed on our soil.

Second, I will never leave Donbas and the 200,000 Ukrainians who live there. Why on earth should I do that? Because Putin imposes it as a condition for peace?

— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) March 3, 2026 at 9:41 AM

And will he immediately impose new demands? No, I’m not having it.

Besides, our best defense strongholds are here; if we withdraw, the Russians will have a free hand towards the center of the country.

— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) March 3, 2026 at 9:41 AM

CORRIERE DELLA SERA: Orbán demands that you restart the Druzhba pipeline. Will you do it?

ZELENSKYY: The Russians bombed Druzhba several times and then attacked our technicians who were repairing it. Why on earth didn’t Orbán accuse the Russians of the bombing?

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— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) March 3, 2026 at 8:00 AM

I explained it to Fico: the pipeline is destroyed, to repair it, a ceasefire is needed, and this must be made clear to Putin.

— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) March 3, 2026 at 8:00 AM

The Ukrainian ground robotic system Droid TW-7.62 is armed with an FN MAG machine gun and uses automatic target acquisition to engage and shoot down FPV drones.

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— 🦋Special Kherson Cat🐈🇺🇦 (@specialkhersoncat.bsky.social) March 3, 2026 at 1:26 PM

🇺🇦🤖 Ukrainian “Droid TW-7.62” shot down Russian drone!

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— MAKS 25 👀🇺🇦 (@maks23.bsky.social) March 3, 2026 at 2:40 PM

At present, more than 70% of Russian Shahed drones attacking Kyiv and its surrounding areas are being intercepted specifically by interceptor drones.

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— 🦋Special Kherson Cat🐈🇺🇦 (@specialkhersoncat.bsky.social) March 3, 2026 at 8:35 AM

In the morning report of the General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, a +1 destroyed ship appeared.

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— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) March 3, 2026 at 4:25 AM

Analysts from the channel “Crimean Wind” suggest that it may refer to an Admiral Grigorovich-class frigate – a carrier of “Kalibr” cruise missiles. It was identified from satellite images after the attack on the port of Novorossiysk.

— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) March 3, 2026 at 4:25 AM

🤬 Russia executed 337 Ukrainian prisoners of war in 2025, — Lubinets

🙏 Over 95% of released defenders were subjected to systematic torture. The data is confirmed by the UN.

#NoPeaceWithoutJustice 🇺🇦

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— The Ukrainian Review (@theukrainianreview.bsky.social) March 3, 2026 at 1:19 PM

Babin Yar:

OTD in 2022 we bombed the Babi Yar holocaust memorial.

We are denazifying Ukraine by bombing holocaust memorials and killing holocaust survivors.

Ukraine ofc deserves this for provoking us by putting their border near our army.

— Darth Putin (@darthputinkgb.bsky.social) March 3, 2026 at 12:35 PM

Chuhuiv, Kharkiv Oblast:

Russia struck homes in Chuhuiv, Kharkiv Oblast, with a drone, destroying them and injuring five people, including an 8-year-old girl.

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— Iryna Voichuk (@irynavoichuk.bsky.social) March 3, 2026 at 12:47 PM

Russian occupied Luhansk Oblast and Russian occupied Crimea:

According to Ukraine’s General Staff:
▪️ An S-300 air defense radar was hit near Tytarivka (Luhansk region).
▪️ A “Sopka-2” air surveillance radar and a 39N6 “Kasta-2E2” radar were struck in Crimea.

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— 🦋Special Kherson Cat🐈🇺🇦 (@specialkhersoncat.bsky.social) March 3, 2026 at 11:28 AM

Oleshky, Russian occupied Kherson Oblast:

In the occupied town of Oleshky on the left bank of the Kherson region, another humanitarian catastrophe is unfolding, where approximately 6,000 residents still remain.
www.ukrinform.net/rubric-socie…

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— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) March 3, 2026 at 5:59 AM

Russian troops are not providing any assistance to the local population, while at the same time keeping the town under blockade without gas, electricity, medicine, and with a severe shortage of food. Any attempts to deliver humanitarian aid end in the deaths of civilians.

— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) March 3, 2026 at 5:59 AM

Krasnodar Krai, Russia:

Russian air defense systems in action during the recent attack on Russian facilities in Novorossiysk.

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— 🦋Special Kherson Cat🐈🇺🇦 (@specialkhersoncat.bsky.social) March 3, 2026 at 5:18 PM

Rostov Oblast, Russia:

A large fiery trail observed in the sky over Russia’s Rostov region. According to local Russian sources in the Rostov region: “As a result of the UAV attack, unfortunately one of our Russian Aerospace Forces (VKS) assets was destroyed. Eternal memory to the fighters.”

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— 🦋Special Kherson Cat🐈🇺🇦 (@specialkhersoncat.bsky.social) March 3, 2026 at 4:43 PM

The large fireball which was seen in the sky over Russia’s Rostov region has turned out to be a downed Russian military helicopter.

A source associated with Russian military helicopter aviation wrote:
“The sky takes the best… Eternal flight.
In the fifth year, friendly fire hasn’t gone anywhere.”

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— 🦋Special Kherson Cat🐈🇺🇦 (@specialkhersoncat.bsky.social) March 3, 2026 at 5:04 PM

It appears the Russian helicopter reached the ground only in the form of many small, burning fragments.

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— 🦋Special Kherson Cat🐈🇺🇦 (@specialkhersoncat.bsky.social) March 3, 2026 at 5:16 PM

Volgograd Oblast, Russia:

💥👀 Russian air defense worked in Volgograd.

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— MAKS 25 👀🇺🇦 (@maks23.bsky.social) March 3, 2026 at 3:31 PM

Volgograd, Russia 💥💥💥

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— MAKS 25 👀🇺🇦 (@maks23.bsky.social) March 3, 2026 at 3:47 PM

That’s enough for tonight.

Your daily Patron!

There are no new Patron skeets or videos today.

Here is some adjacent material.

😻🌸 The sky is blue, the mood is cheerful, and only this red-haired beauty knows the secret to true happiness: find a warm brick, stretch out comfortably, put your face in the sun, and forget about all your problems! It’s spring!

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— Vitalis Viva (@vitalisviva.bsky.social) March 2, 2026 at 8:02 AM

Open thread!

War for Ukraine Day 1,468: (Some of) You Have Questions, I (May) Have AnswersPost + Comments (14)

Tuesday Night Open Thread

by John Cole|  March 3, 20269:25 pm| 59 Comments

This post is in: John Cole Presents "This Fucking Old House"

Just like every generation gets their own quagmire, every generation gets their own Ollie North:

The CIA is working to arm Kurdish forces with the aim of fomenting a popular uprising in Iran, multiple people familiar with the plan told CNN.

The Trump administration has been in active discussions with Iranian opposition groups and Kurdish leaders in Iraq about providing them with military support, the sources said.

Iranian Kurdish armed groups have thousands of forces operating along the Iraq-Iran border, primarily in Iraq’s Kurdistan region. Several of the groups have released public statements since the beginning of the war hinting at imminent action and urging Iranian military forces to defect. Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) has been striking Kurdish groups and said on Tuesday that it targeted Kurdish forces with dozens of drones.

I wonder how Erdogan feels about this or if he even knew? I am sure this will end fabulously and none of those weapons will slip into the wrong hands and end up being used against us because nothing like that has ever happened before.

***

The names of four of the first six dead American military members have been released:

The Defense Department has identified four of the six service members who were killed over the weekend by an Iranian attack. All four Reserve soldiers were assigned to the 103rd Sustainment Command, based out of Des Moines, Iowa.

Capt. Cody A. Khork, 35, of Winter Haven, Florida; Sgt. 1st Class Noah L. Tietjens, 42, of Bellevue, Nebraska; Sgt. 1st Class Nicole M. Amor, 39, of White Bear Lake, Minnesota; and Sgt. Declan J. Coady, 20, of West Des Moines, Iowa, were killed on March 1 in Port Shuaiba, Kuwait by an Iranian drone attack, defense officials announced on Tuesday.

The names of the other two service members killed in the attack have not yet been released.

“We honor our fallen Heroes, who served fearlessly and selflessly in defense of our nation,” Lt. Gen. Robert Harter, Chief of Army Reserve and Commanding General U.S. Army Reserve Command, said in a statement. “Their sacrifice, and the sacrifices of their families, will never be forgotten.”

Killed in a retaliatory drone strike while Trump was partying with billionaires at Mar-a-lago. They won’t be the last. We will be paying a price for this war for a long time to come.

***

The pathetic piece of shit Noem was in front of the Senate today being grilled, and there were some heated exchanges and she didn’t remember or didn’t know about apparently everything that has happened underneath to and include things she herself said:

When pressed by Sen. Dick Durbin, the top Democrat on the Senate Judiciary Committee, about why Noem labeled Alex Pretti, who was shot and killed by federal law enforcement in Minneapolis in January, a domestic terrorist without evidence, she would not admit she was wrong.

You can watch the whole Durbin line of questioning here– she’s just garbage and Durbin is too polite. I am just so instantly repulsed whenever I see any of these fucking people. The Tillis grilling is pretty fun to watch:

In other ICE news:

Support for abolishing ICE has hit a new high in this week’s Economist / YouGov poll. Half (50%) of Americans now somewhat or strongly support abolishing ICE. Only 39% oppose abolishing the agency.

This marks the first time support has reached 50% in YouGov polling. Support for abolishing ICE has been steadily growing since January. At the same time, opposition to abolishing ICE has fallen since the start of the year, and now sits at an all-time low.

And in one last piece of ICE news, in North Carolina last year, a Democrat defected to the Republicans on a pro-Ice vote, and she is currently just being destroyed in her primary today, as are several other Dems who were voting with the Republicans.

Wow: In the early vote, it's a blow-out *so far*.

Rodney Sadler, the progessive pastor and activist, leads state Representative Carla Cunningham 75% to 18%.

(Stay tuned as we see how the Election Day vote compares, but that's an ominous start for the incumbent.)

Context:

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— Taniel (@taniel.bsky.social) March 3, 2026 at 6:40 PM

So it could be a really big night in NC, and that jackass Republican Dan Crenshaw is being nuked into orbit by a Trump MAGA loser in his primary. They both vote the same way on all the important shit, so I am much happier with a frothing lunatic in the seat than someone the media can give a shiny patina to. Fuck off, Crenshaw, you smarmy shit.

***

Behold, dinner:

My new dinner hyper fixation (3 out of the last four dinners) has been a massive bowl of tabouli with feta on top with a grilled chicken breast and some castletrevano olives

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— Cake or Death (@johngcole.bsky.social) March 3, 2026 at 7:23 PM

I’m off to relax. Be cool.

Tuesday Night Open ThreadPost + Comments (59)

Texas Primary Results – This Should Be Interesting! (and NC!)

by WaterGirl|  March 3, 20267:35 pm| 113 Comments

This post is in: 2026 Elections, Elections, Open Threads

Update at 7:45 pm:

I was thinking of Texas, but NC primary is today, too. NC peeps, what are the key primary elections there?

A Win for Texas (and for Voting and Democracy)

 

(MSNOW)

Republicans and Democrats are locked in epic primary battles to set the stage for November in the Texas Senate race. Sen. John Cornyn is running for a fifth term and faces serious competition from Attorney General Ken Paxton in the GOP primary. U.S. Rep. Jasmine Crockett and state Rep. James Talarico are vying for the Democratic nod to face the winner of the GOP contest. If no candidate nabs a majority of the vote, a runoff will be held on May 26.

BJ peeps in Texas, is there a good site to watch the election returns?

MSNow seems to be the best of the ones that don’t require a login or turning off an ad blocker.

MSNow

Option A

Option B

 

 

Texas Primary Results – This Should Be Interesting! (and NC!)Post + Comments (113)

Open Thread: Warner Bros. Paramount’d

by Anne Laurie|  March 3, 20267:14 pm| 46 Comments

This post is in: C.R.E.A.M., Media, Open Threads

Paramount'd

Maybe I’m just a Cynic, but this whole saga reads to me like one of the We are no longer bound by your puny Rules!!! indicators that come just before a major economic crash. Per the WSJ, “Six Months, 9 Offers and $81 Billion. How Hollywood’s Nasty Takeover Was Won” [unpaywalled version]

For six months, the son of one of the world’s richest men kept hearing the same unfamiliar word: No.

Even before he closed a deal to combine his company with a much bigger one, David Ellison was already plotting to do it again. Once his Skydance Media took control of Paramount, he turned his attention to a Hollywood icon, launching an audacious takeover bid for Warner Bros. Discovery that would give the Ellison family control of a sprawling media empire.

His first offer was swatted away. So were his second and third. By the time Ellison made his sixth offer, Warner Chief Executive Officer David Zaslav stopped responding to his texts. Even when Warner officially accepted a rival offer from Netflix, Ellison refused to take no for an answer.

As the battle dragged on, Ellison sweetened his offers, ratcheted up the pressure, took the hostile bid directly to shareholders, threatened a bruising proxy fight, brought in President Trump allies to lobby, and treated the existing term sheet like paper waiting to be shredded.

On the ninth offer, the wealth and influence of the Ellisons finally won…

And once Netflix dropped its own $72 billion deal for Warner’s studios and HBO Max streaming business, the scion of software billionaire Larry Ellison was poised to become one of the most powerful people in a town that once derided him as a nepo-baby.

Ellison, 43 years old, as Paramount chief executive will now control much of our attention: the shows we watch, the news we consume and the screens we stare at all day long, with a family portfolio that will include HBO, CNN, CBS News, the historic Warner Bros. studio lot and crown jewels such as DC Comics and Harry Potter.

As much as Ellison and his team had been telling anyone who would listen that his business would ultimately prevail in buying a company five times its size, the reaction on Friday from Hollywood to Washington to Wall Street was astonishment…

On Friday, Paramount paid a breakup fee of $2.8 billion to Netflix.

 
At NYMag, “Paramount Wins, Everybody Loses”:

Backed by his billionaire dad’s bankroll and the full support of many in Donald Trump’s MAGA movement, Paramount CEO David Ellison won the battle for Warner Bros. on Thursday, successfully quashing a surprise bid by Netflix to take over the storied movie and TV company. Ellison is no doubt celebrating his victory over the streaming powerhouse, ditto Warner Bros. Discovery shareholders who stand to gain from Paramount’s sweetened offer. But for everyone else, this deal feels like a colossal dud, one that will result in a new company burdened with billions more in debt — almost surely leading to thousands of layoffs, fewer movies and TV shows getting made, and the creation of a combined CBS News–CNN operation likely to lean well to the right of where either is now.

In fairness, Netflix closing a deal for Warner Bros. would have had numerous downsides too. Many in the film business, including notable figures such as director James Cameron, were vehemently opposed to the streamer getting its mitts on WB given its business model to date has had no real use for theatrical distribution. And as the Writers Guild told Vulture in December, “The problem is the acquisition and pending consolidation of two media giants, not who the buyer is.” Industry consolidation in this century, including Disney’s purchase of Rupert Murdoch’s Fox entertainment assets or Amazon’s gobbling up MGM, has rarely been good for everyday people. A Netflix “win” wouldn’t have been great news for the average viewer or moviegoer either.

But as one Warner Bros. veteran told me late last year, the Netflix bid felt very much like the “least worst option,” and I think that’s exactly right. For all the downsides the tech giant’s now-dead deal would have had, Paramount’s winning is the worst-case scenario for Hollywood — and America.

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For one thing, workers in the industry, whether employees of Warner Bros. and Paramount or just creatives trying to set up new projects, will lose because Ellison won. Netflix would surely have ended up making some staff cuts, and while it had promised to let Warners keep making movies for theaters, I’m convinced the current Netflix film unit would have cut back on big-budget titles such as The Rip had the deal gone through, if only because Warners would have offered a consistent diet of such spectacles.

But while a Netflix-WB union would have resulted in a bit less money overall being spent on films, Par-WB figures to be a bloodletting. Just as Disney didn’t need 20th Century Fox to keep churning out as many movies once it took control of that studio, Ellison will quickly decide he doesn’t need to double his theatrical slate overnight. Or, as former New York contributor Nolan Hicks mused Thursday, “If anyone actually thinks the Paramount-WB combo is going to field a slate of [about] 40 movies a year, can I also interest you in buying the Brooklyn Bridge, which is also definitely for sale?”

Ellison’s supersize company will carry with it a supersize debt load — roughly $60 billion by some estimates. So in addition to scaling back on movie spending, Paramount-WB will need to slash costs like crazy. And unlike Netflix-WB, there are overlapping departments everywhere: two sets of cable-TV businesses, competing news divisions (CNN and CBS News), rival sports units, multiple marketing teams, competing sales staff, and on and on. Had the Netflix deal gone through, Warners was going to spin off most of its cable holdings, allowing those units to fend for themselves as NBCUniversal’s cast-offs at Versant are now doing. It wouldn’t have been easy, but folks at Warner-owned cable channels would have had a shot at keeping their jobs. The Paramount-WB cable combination will result in thousands of workers losing their jobs as back-office operations get smooshed together…

…[I]t’s hard to see much upside at all in the Paramount deal for Warners should it actually close. We will now have one fewer truly independent major studio making and distributing movies and TV shows. Thousands of workers will lose their jobs, and fewer creative voices will have a platform as the number of projects that get made shrinks still further. At best, less money will be devoted to covering the news and investigating wrongdoing; at worst, that news will be slanted further toward one political point of view. And at a time when the president of the United States and his cronies have embarked on a bid to make the country less democratic and less pluralistic, a media company that has shown a clear willingness to align itself with that mission is about to get dramatically bigger. If there were a worst-case scenario in what might happen to Warner Bros., this is it.

Paramount Skydance will combine Paramount+ and HBO Max into one streaming service, said company CEO David Ellison.
The announcement comes days after Paramount Skydance agreed to buy Warner Bros. Discovery, HBO’s parent company.

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— The Washington Post (@washingtonpost.com) March 2, 2026 at 12:45 PM

… He added that Paramount didn’t want to make changes to the HBO brand. “Our viewpoint is HBO should stay HBO,” Ellison said, noting that his favorite HBO product is “Game of Thrones.” If Justice Department regulators allow the deal to go through, it would place recent HBO Max hits, such as “The Pitt” and “A Knight of the Seven Kingdoms,” alongside Paramount offerings including “South Park” and “Yellowstone.”…

Ellison is the son of Oracle co-founder and Trump ally Larry Ellison. His firm, Skydance, bought Paramount over the summer, putting CBS, Paramount Pictures and more under his control. The $8 billion deal was approved by the Trump administration following a lengthy review and several concessions.

The deal to buy Warner Bros., valued at about $110 billion, will almost surely attract regulatory scrutiny from the Justice Department because — without divestments — it places major swaths of the film, television and news industries under one roof: Warner Bros. and Paramount studios, HBO Max and Paramount+, and CBS and CNN would all have the same parent company. Ellison expressed confidence on the call that the deal wouldn’t face hurdles with regulators…

 

the Ellison media empire, even if they do manage to build it out, is an extremely fragile asset for the reactionary cause in several ways
for one, the commitment to the cause of those principals that are younger than 80 is uncertain
for two, there's not much evidence they're good at this

— post malone ergo propter malone (@proptermalone.bsky.social) February 27, 2026 at 4:52 AM

yeah there's imo some real tension between the "they will have to consume what we give them" posture and the absolute explosion in content generation pathways

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— post malone ergo propter malone (@proptermalone.bsky.social) February 27, 2026 at 5:03 AM

this probably is cope: I think it is more likely that Team Ellison eats the $7b breakup fee for nothing when the WB deal is blocked than that the deal is consummated

— post malone ergo propter malone (@proptermalone.bsky.social) February 27, 2026 at 8:12 AM

In all probability a few years from now Ted will either scoop up WB for a significant discount and/or pick apart the useful pieces of the failed Ellison media empire for peanuts.

— foggydrinker.bsky.social (@foggydrinker.bsky.social) February 27, 2026 at 8:17 AM

Yeah, everyone is very much overlooking that Murdoch got rich doing media because, for better or worse, he was good at it.
Bezos/Ellison buying media companies as vanity projects is a very different thing

— Tuffy (@smtuffy.bsky.social) February 27, 2026 at 4:56 AM

PARAMOUNT DOWNGRADED TO JUNK BY FITCH; RATINGS ON NEG. WATCH

— Blurry TV Headlines (@blurrytvheadlines.numbergoup.com) March 2, 2026 at 6:33 PM

Private Equity gonna do to Star Trek, Batman, and HBO what they did to Toys R Us, Sears and RadioShack

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— Zeddy (@zeddary.bsky.social) March 3, 2026 at 11:54 AM

is it “because we got almost three billion dollars out of folding and faillison is likely to have to spin off properties we want within five years?”

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— GOLIKEHELLMACHINE (@golikehellmachine.com) March 2, 2026 at 6:33 PM

Just thinking about how, before buying Paramount, Ellison's time at Skydance was so mid-to-bad that Paramount executives had to tell him that his taste in movies is garbage. www.vulture.com/article/larr…

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— James Downie (@jamescdownie.bsky.social) March 2, 2026 at 8:43 PM

Paramount President Jeff Shell was fired by Comcast in 2023 over sexual harassment allegations. Now he's facing a lawsuit over insider trading related to recent Paramount deals (like their $7.7 billion deal to exclusive MMA broadcast rights).
really a wonderful collection of human beings

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— Karl Bode (@karlbode.com) March 2, 2026 at 1:45 PM

Paramount should enjoy its growing news monopoly while they have it because when Democrats win back power we are going to break up these anti-democratic information conglomerates. All of them.

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— Chris Murphy (@chrismurphyct.bsky.social) February 27, 2026 at 1:01 PM

Open Thread: Warner Bros. Paramount’dPost + Comments (46)

Another Win for Democracy Docket

by WaterGirl|  March 3, 20264:00 pm| 65 Comments

This post is in: Breathtaking Corruption, Breathtaking Criminality and Lawlessness, Justice, Open Threads, Politics

Another win for Democracy Docket!

The Department of Justice (DOJ) abandoned its defense of President Donald Trump’s retribution campaign against law firms that challenged his political agenda or represented his political opponents over the years.

This makes the big law firms that rolled over the administration look even more weak and cowardly and feckless than they did before.

Well, hang on, maybe I spoke in haste.  They were completely weak and cowardly and feckless before; I’m not sure they could look worse.  But somehow they do!

Marc Elias

The Department of Justice (DOJ) abandoned its defense of President Donald Trump’s retribution campaign against law firms that challenged his political agenda or represented his political opponents over the years.

The DOJ dropped its appeals of four lower court rulings that found Trump’s executive orders sanctioning Jenner & Block, WilmerHale, Perkins Coie* and Susman Godfrey were unlawful and issued specifically to punish the firms for exercising their constitutional rights.

Last year, Trump attempted to paralyze the firms’ ability to represent clients in dealings with the federal government by signing a series of orders that terminated contracts and stripped their lawyers of security clearances and access to government buildings.

In addition to firms, Trump also targeted individual lawyers through his orders.

The DOJ dropping its defense of the orders represents a major win for the rule of law. By targeting firms based on the clients they represented, Trump’s orders represented a direct assault on the country’s adversarial system of justice.

Some law firms — including Paul, Weiss — folded in the face of the orders and pledged tens of millions of dollars worth of pro bono legal work for causes favored by the White House in order to get Trump’s sanctions lifted.

Other firms successfully sued. The first to do so was Perkins Coie, which argued that it was being illegally targeted because it challenged the Trump campaign’s attempts to overturn the results of the 2020 election and for its work on voting rights cases.

“The government’s decision to dismiss its appeal is clearly the right one,” WilmerHale said in a statement. “As we said from the outset, our challenge to the unlawful Executive Order was about defending our clients’ constitutional right to retain the counsel of their choosing and defending the rule of law. We are pleased these foundational principles were vindicated.”

Several district court judges overseeing the suits gave impassioned defenses of the rule of law and warned that Trump’s orders risked intimidating attorneys or law firms that might represent the president’s political opponents.

In a March hearing on Perkins Coie’s complaint, U.S. District Judge Beryl Howell, who was appointed by President Barack Obama, said the government’s defense of Trump’s order sent “chills” down her spine. A DOJ attorney had claimed that the president could also issue a retaliatory order against Williams & Connolly, a major law firm that was representing Perkins Coie in its suit.

Talk about people and institutions rising to the occasion.  Where would we be without Marc Elias and Democracy Docket?

I would love to hear from our legal peeps about whether and how this has affected the world of big law.  Have the big firms that rolled over lost standing in the legal world?

I’m tired.  You’re tired.  We’re all tired.  But we have to keep on fighting the good fight.

Another Win for Democracy DocketPost + Comments (65)

Underpants Noem (Open Thread)

by Betty Cracker|  March 3, 20262:00 pm| 153 Comments

This post is in: Domestic Politics, Open Threads, Republican Stupidity, Assholes, Clown Shoes, General Stupidity

The incompetent twatwaffle Donald Trump appointed to run the sprawling Department of Homeland Security agency appeared before the Senate Judiciary Committee. It didn’t go well for her. Here’s a fellow Republican who voted to confirm her:

Tillis to Noem: “A 14 month old dog is basically a teenager in dog years. You decided to kill that dog bc you hadn’t invested the appropriate training, then you have the audacity to write a book & say it’s a leadership lesson! … Those are bad decisions not unlike what happened in Minneapolis”

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— Aaron Rupar (@atrupar.com) March 3, 2026 at 12:55 PM

Tillis is retiring, so he went full honey badger, later calling for Noem’s resignation and threatening to throw sand in the Senate’s procedural gears if she keeps stonewalling on answers Tillis has demanded about how DHS fucked up investigations in North Carolina.

***

In other news, the demented president embarrassed the country in front of a foreign leader again. In a press avail with German Chancellor Friedrich Merz, Trump wrongly claimed his own shitty father was born in Germany.

The odious Fred Trump was actually born in an outer NYC borough. It was Trump’s cathouse-running grandfather Drumpf who was born in Germany and then kicked out for being a draft dodger, after which he made his way to the U.S.

Sounds like Trump would like to tariff Spain into supporting his unpopular war, but oops, SCOTUS:

Trump: “Spain has been terrible. I told Scott to cut off all dealings with Spain. They said we can’t use their bases. We could use their bases if we want. We could just fly in and use it. Nobody is gonna tell us not to use it.”

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— Aaron Rupar (@atrupar.com) March 3, 2026 at 12:04 PM

But actually, Trump WON on tariffs, actually, despite SCOTUS plastering a big red L on his mottled orange forehead:

Trump: “We won on tariffs, actually. Somebody said, ‘You actually won the case.’ We won on tariffs. You had a decision that was wrong.”

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— Aaron Rupar (@atrupar.com) March 3, 2026 at 12:11 PM

Oh, and invading Iran is super popular — and gas prices are going to fall back to $1 a gallon real soon, just you wait.

Trump on going to war with Iran: “I have never had more compliments on something I did. So if we have a high oil prices for a little while, but as soon as this ends these prices are gonna drop I believe even lower than before.”

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— Aaron Rupar (@atrupar.com) March 3, 2026 at 12:09 PM

To sum up, what a pack of whiny-ass, buffoonish and incompetent losers.

Open thread.

Underpants Noem (Open Thread)Post + Comments (153)

Tuesday Morning Open Thread

by Anne Laurie|  March 3, 20267:48 am| 266 Comments

This post is in: Open Threads, Proud to Be A Democrat, Republican Stupidity, Trumpery, War

Eclipse of the Blood Moon…

am i planning on staying up until 5 am for the lunar eclipse? yes.
is it worth it for this view? yes.

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— Jasmine 🌌🔭 (@astrojaz.bsky.social) March 2, 2026 at 3:05 PM

Iraq War Veteran Crow: Trump announced the start of this war with Iran at Mar-a-Lago. He talked about the fact that service members were going to die. Then he literally walked behind the curtains to his private club and he hosted a million dollars a plate dinner and dance party that night.

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— FactPost (@factpostnews.bsky.social) March 2, 2026 at 5:56 PM

The MarkWayne Indicator strikes again!
(MarkWayne Indicator: If the GOP is shoving Mullin out to defend their latest atrocity… it means nobody with better thinking skills is willing to put themselves in the line of fire.)

— Anne Laurie (@annelaurie.bsky.social) March 2, 2026 at 6:58 PM

Hunt: “Did the president not run on not starting a war with Iran?”
Sen. Mullin: “He ran on ending wars. He's ended eight of them.”
Hunt: “He started this one.”
Mullin: “This isn’t a war.”

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— The Bulwark (@thebulwark.com) March 2, 2026 at 5:13 PM

When you are shoveling that much shit it helps to have a plumber on speed dial.

— Jason Barscheski (@jasonbarscheski.bsky.social) March 2, 2026 at 8:41 PM

MarkWayne, just following orders…

Very putinesque.

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— Patrick Chovanec (@prchovanec.bsky.social) March 2, 2026 at 7:01 PM

My government has a real “we didn’t know starting a war would cause a war“ vibe going on which I realize I should be outraged about in the abstract but find myself mainly nonplussed by at this point.

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— Starfire’s Deranged Neocon Foreign Policy Podcast (@irhottakes.bsky.social) March 2, 2026 at 3:23 PM

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The gap between how cool he thinks he sounds and how he actually sounds would take light eight centuries to traverse.

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— Philip Bump (@pbump.com) March 2, 2026 at 8:17 AM

Hey is this good

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— Fubar ???? (@captainfubar.bsky.social) March 1, 2026 at 10:10 PM

Under our Constitution, the President does not get to unilaterally declare war. Speaker Johnson should call the House back immediately to vote on the war powers resolution. Trump must stop putting service members in danger until he has laid out the strategy to Americans and Congress has approved.

— Katherine Clark (@whipkclark.bsky.social) March 1, 2026 at 1:07 PM

This is an illegal war that could easily escalate in dangerous and unpredictable ways into a wider regional conflict.
Have we learned absolutely nothing from our decades of endless war and reckless attempts at regime change in the Middle East?

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— Rep. Jim McGovern (@repmcgovern.bsky.social) March 1, 2026 at 6:33 PM

Trump spent a decade selling "America-First" isolationism.
No more endless war, no sending Americans to die in the Middle East, he said.
He lied. Why? Follow the money. He's just another neocon shill for Big Oil & Middle East autocrats. Many of us tried to warn you.

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— Rep. Jim McGovern (@repmcgovern.bsky.social) March 2, 2026 at 12:02 PM

There’s that number.

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— Malaclypse the Middle (@malaclypse.bsky.social) March 1, 2026 at 6:39 PM

this isn’t an exaggeration, it’s literally word for mangled word

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— GOLIKEHELLMACHINE (@golikehellmachine.com) March 2, 2026 at 1:50 PM

American troops are dying in the Middle East for Trump's illegal war against Iran, but the president is more concerned with promoting his gold-encrusted ballroom.

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— Elizabeth Warren (@warren.senate.gov) March 2, 2026 at 1:32 PM

The American people want affordable health care and cheaper groceries, not another forever war in the Middle East.

— Elizabeth Warren (@warren.senate.gov) March 2, 2026 at 5:01 PM

The U.S. Embassy in Saudi Arabia tells Americans to "avoid the Embassy until further notice due to an attack on the facility," and the U.S. State Department orders the evacuation of non-emergency personnel and family in Bahrain and Jordan.

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— The Associated Press (@apnews.com) March 3, 2026 at 12:57 AM

Replacement cost for three F-15Es is in the neighborhood of $300 million for those keeping track

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— Zeddy (@zeddary.bsky.social) March 2, 2026 at 11:16 AM

Attacking Iran looks like it will cost US consumers about 40 cents/gallon.

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— George Pearkes (@peark.es) March 2, 2026 at 7:11 AM

H/t YY_Sima Qian:

a thing historians will marvel about when they study this era is the extent to which the "war is a thing that happens to poorer, browner people" class went about systematically dismantling every aspect of the global political order that confined the costs of war to poorer and browner people

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— Olúfẹ́mi O. Táíwò (@olufemiotaiwo.bsky.social) March 2, 2026 at 10:32 PM

whether war, vaccines, or critical infrastructure there is contingent of the right that seems to believe that their security from the worst things that happen is some kind of metaphysical principle rather than the result of specific historical processes that could've gone otherwise and still could

— Olúfẹ́mi O. Táíwò (@olufemiotaiwo.bsky.social) March 2, 2026 at 10:37 PM

all seems like fun and games until the measles outbreak, incel mass shooter, or Shahed 136 drone hits your kid's school I guess

— Olúfẹ́mi O. Táíwò (@olufemiotaiwo.bsky.social) March 2, 2026 at 10:39 PM

And even then…

There’s a movement to draft Barron Trump, but I think a campaign such as this would be more effective if it impacted someone Donald Trump knew personally.

— Frank Conniff (@frankconniff.bsky.social) March 2, 2026 at 3:41 PM

Tuesday Morning Open ThreadPost + Comments (266)

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