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Balloon Juice

Come for the politics, stay for the snark.

Republicans don’t want a speaker to lead them; they want a hostage.

Hey Washington Post, “Democracy Dies in Darkness” was supposed to be a warning, not a mission statement.

So fucking stupid, and still doing a tremendous amount of damage.

The arc of the moral universe does not bend itself. it is up to us to bend it.

Republicans do not trust women.

Michigan is a great lesson for Dems everywhere: when you have power…use it!

Museums are not America’s attic for its racist shit.

Dumb motherfuckers cannot understand a consequence that most 4 year olds have fully sorted out.

This chaos was totally avoidable.

Usually wrong but never in doubt

America is going up in flames. The NYTimes fawns over MAGA celebrities. No longer a real newspaper.

It is possible to do the right thing without the promise of a cookie.

Republicans choose power over democracy, every day.

We are learning that “working class” means “white” for way too many people.

When tyranny becomes law, rebellion becomes duty. ~Thomas Jefferson

Thanks to your bullshit, we are now under siege.

Weird. Rome has an American Pope and America has a Russian President.

Stay strong, because they are weak.

I’d hate to be the candidate who lost to this guy.

Let’s delete this post and never speak of this again.

Republicans don’t lie to be believed, they lie to be repeated.

These are not very smart people, and things got out of hand.

The rest of the comments were smacking Boebert like she was a piñata.

Baby steps, because the Republican Party is full of angry babies.

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Open Thread:  Hey Lurkers!  (Holiday Post)

Open Threads

You are here: Home / Archives for Open Threads

Open Thread: Hunter Trolls The Oversight Committee

by TaMara|  January 10, 202410:37 am| 156 Comments

This post is in: Open Threads, Republican Stupidity, Assholes

I’m quietly working away when I get an alert saying that “Hunter Biden has entered the building” (I’m paraphrasing). This guy is done with these fools:

.@RepNancyMace: “Who bribed Hunter Biden to be here today? That’s my first question. Second question, you are the epitome of white privilege…what are you afraid of? You have no balls to come up here…” pic.twitter.com/Wd9WbMP5bJ

— CSPAN (@cspan) January 10, 2024

 

Mace: You’re the epitome of white privilege, coming into the oversight committee, spitting in our face, You have no balls to come up here and —

Moskowitz: We can hear from Hunter Biden right now

Mace: Are women allowed to speak?!? Hunter Biden should be arrested right here pic.twitter.com/4Ao8kNbfKm

— Acyn (@Acyn) January 10, 2024

Hunter Biden is taking a break from his presidential campaign to appear at the Capitol pic.twitter.com/Iw4hbBjOBP

— Aaron Rupar (@atrupar) January 10, 2024

They are freakin’ melting down and I’m here for it

Open thread

Open Thread: Hunter Trolls The Oversight CommitteePost + Comments (156)

Wednesday Morning Open Thread: When Money *Can’t* Buy You Love Votes

by Anne Laurie|  January 10, 20248:27 am| 121 Comments

This post is in: 2024 Primaries, Excellent Links, Open Threads, Proud to Be A Democrat, Assholes, Schadenfreude

Wednesday Morning Open Thread 5

(Arlo & Janis via GoComics.com)

Robert F. Kennedy Jr. is abruptly bailing on his own party after a handful of allegedly invited A-listers publicly disavowed any knowledge of the event—and loudly promised that they would never, ever be caught dead backing him. https://t.co/CoaeQDPdpj

— The Daily Beast (@thedailybeast) January 8, 2024

Is it me, or is the Kennedy Scion’s head starting to develop the same weird angles as Roger Stone’s?

Per the Daily Beast, “RFK Jr. Backs Out of His Own Birthday Bash After Celebrity Snub-Fest”:

… Kennedy’s press team told The Daily Beast in a statement on Monday that he would no longer be attending the Jan. 22 event, organized by a super PAC supporting his presidential bid.

The PAC, American Values 2024, announced the event on X last week, confirming a Daily Mail report that celebrities like Dionne Warwick, Martin Sheen, Mike Tyson, and Andrea Bocelli would all be there to wish Kennedy many happy returns…

It was unclear Monday if the party would go ahead at all—American Values 2024 did not immediately respond to The Daily Beast’s request for comment.

 

$30m is nothing for a SuperPAC. There are Congressional races w spending over $30m. https://t.co/ipSbk458HP

— Dana Houle (@DanaHoule) January 10, 2024

Puck pays Teddy Schleifer to be dazzled by people with money (n.b., his coverage of Sam Bankman Fried), but even he can’t visualize RFK Jr as a viable candidate — “Camelot for the Anti-Vax Set”:

… Look, the guy won’t be president. But R.F.K. is certain to be a major storyline of the election, even if most reporters and pundits have yet to figure out if he’ll be a sideshow or a spoiler. His success could be determined, in no small part, by how much money he brings in—and whether his operation can professionalize enough to ensure he qualifies for as many state ballots as possible. “I don’t care how many podcasts you do and hands you shake,” said Sofia Karstens, an actress who runs a nascent super PAC working on ballot access for R.F.K. “If you’re not on the ballot in all 50 states, who cares?”…

Major donors to Kennedy have included the ever-voluble Bill Ackman and David Sacks, and I know of at least a few billionaire donors who have expressed interest in brokering introductions with the R.F.K. camp, eager to get face time with his campaign. In the new year, Kennedy’s fundraising blitz across the country, with an event scheduled every few days, will focus on states he already has to visit for ballot-qualification purposes, I’m told. The events, according to invites I’ve seen, are often as unusual as the candidate: On January 1, he held a high-dollar event with folks in Aspen, where “apres ski attire” was recommended; on January 16, donors in Hawaii can wear “aloha attire” for a “private sunset reception” with Kennedy and his wife, Cheryl Hines, or join him two days later to go whale watching at a “very special event on a beautiful catamaran in the heart of Oahu.”

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Several of the hosts come from the so-called “health freedom” community—the euphemism for these anti-vaccine activists—as is true of many people in R.F.K.’s fundraising orbit and supportive super PACs. For instance, this past weekend in Oregon, Kennedy spoke and answered questions at a sold-out cocktail reception outside of Portland hosted by J.B. Handley, the founder of Generation Rescue, an organization that has pushed links between vaccines and autism. It was attended by about 170 people who paid a minimum of $500 to be there, making it, at minimum, an $85,000-grossing event. There’s plenty of money in the vaccine-skeptic world…

Kennedy is on the fundraising warpath because he needs to make the damn ballots. Unlike other candidates raising major-donor money, R.F.K. has to spend much of that cash on ballot qualification as an independent candidate. Securing ballot access is a byzantine process that’s different in every state; Kennedy qualified in Utah last week, but in more than half of the states, for instance, he needs to name a V.P. candidate before he can qualify. Kennedy has said in interviews that he expects the ballot access push to cost $15 million total, calculating that he needs to collect about 1 million signatures nationwide at $15 a pop. Plenty of experts think it would cost far more than that, but Kennedy, who believes he will make it on every state’s ballot, is banking on his base of volunteer zealots to supplement paid signature-gathering efforts.

Kennedy has also embraced the help of super PACs. Before he even announced his bid, R.F.K. personally asked a supporter in Silicon Valley, Steven Kirsch, to make sure there was a super PAC operation set up specifically for his campaign, Kirsch told me. Kirsch, a hardline anti-vaccine activist, then found an existing group and rejiggered it to become a pro-R.F.K. operation, which is now called American Values. That group has said it will spend up to $15 million of its own money to help R.F.K. qualify in seven states—including those that require the most signatures, such as California, New York, and Texas—with the possible goal of triggering a contingent election, where no candidate reaches 270 electoral college votes, and the president is chosen by congressional delegations from each state.

American Values founder Tony Lyons, the president of Skyhorse Publishing and a close Kennedy friend, told me his PAC will take the lead in those seven states, and the campaign itself will seek qualification in the other 44 jurisdictions, including Washington, D.C. But when I spoke with the campaign, they reiterated that they, following in the footsteps of Ross Perot, would be trying on their own to qualify on all 51 ballots, which sounds pretty duplicative. Perhaps there are some management wrinkles to iron out, in addition to future legal headaches: I know some operatives working for Kennedy opponents who believe that super PACs cannot legally do these extensive ballot-qualification efforts and are working to stop it. R.F.K.’s team obviously disagrees.

Lyons’s group says it has now raised close to $30 million, a not-insignificant amount of money. Its biggest public donors to date have been an eclectic mix, including Timothy Mellon, an heir to the Gilded Age banking fortune. Mellon, who lives part-time in Wyoming, emerged from the woodwork in the Trump era, making eight-figure donations to G.O.P. groups who didn’t even solicit money from him; he also single-handedly tried to finance the border wall in Texas. Mellon, I’ve been told, is fascinated by presidential politics and was first inclined to give $5 million to R.F.K. because he thought he was a kooky Biden-botherer in the Democratic primary. But now, some wonder whether Mellon will see independent R.F.K.’s run as a threat to his preferred candidate, Trump…

And what about Elon?
Lyons also told me that Elon Musk had not yet donated to the group, but that he was a “logical donor” eventually. “There were lots of people who thought that he was just on the verge of donating to Bobby Kennedy. And my guess is that he probably will.”…

… And the documentary about the encounter between those two Very Special Fellas will be titled “When Titanic Egos Collide”.

Head of second largest anti-vaccine organization hired as the director of communications for the head of largest anti-vaccine organization’s presidential campaign. https://t.co/CxvWlCCPCF

— Brandy Zadrozny (@BrandyZadrozny) January 1, 2024



Everybody’s a critic!

we need a candidate who understands you should wear over-the-calf socks with suits pic.twitter.com/MbxVef1dnA

— derek guy (@dieworkwear) January 4, 2024

If this is all they can do, RFK will at most be on the ballots of three swing states (AZ, MI, GA). His own campaign admits his only hope is to keep both Trump and Biden under 270. He's a chaos agent, nothing more. https://t.co/aDOEs16kTL

— Bradley P. Moss (@BradMossEsq) December 26, 2023

Speaking of titanic egos:

Dear God,

Please let this happen. https://t.co/WxTvrnjufm

— Rachel Bitecofer ?????????????? (@RachelBitecofer) January 5, 2024

Wednesday Morning Open Thread: When Money *Can’t* Buy You <del>Love</del> VotesPost + Comments (121)

Late Night Open Thread: Pivot to Video!

by Anne Laurie|  January 10, 202412:02 am| 86 Comments

This post is in: Open Threads, Tech News & Issues, Assholes, social media

only a bold and visionary business genius like elon musk could every come up with such an original and audacious plan as pivoting to video https://t.co/ytupAHdGxz

— Jamison Foser (@jamisonfoser) January 9, 2024

NEW: Elon Musk’s X claims it’s now a ‘video-first platform’ as it tries to reverse an advertiser exodus that has cost it billions in value https://t.co/0XW779xqxH

— Kylie Robison (@kyliebytes) January 9, 2024


It was irresistible!… Long years after everyone else has grown tired of the meme, Fortune informs us that “Elon Musk’s X claims it’s now a ‘video-first platform’ as it tries to reverse an advertiser exodus that has cost it billions in value”:

Elon Musk’s X, long known as a service for posting short text-based messages about anything and everything, claims it’s “now a video-first platform.”

The assertion, made by the company today in a blog post that was aimed at advertisers, follows an exodus of marketers from the platform including Disney, IBM, and Apple after Musk’s assertion that an anti-Semitic conspiracy theory was the “absolute truth.” That implosion plus other missteps have caused the value of the business to plummet from its $44 billion sales price last year by more than 70% according to Fidelity, one of X’s investors.

As proof of its video transformation, X touted a new video feature that is much like TikTok’s full-screen infinite scroll, and that has over 100 million daily users—”more than half of whom are Gen Z, the fastest growing audience on X,” the blog post claimed. It also mentioned letting users publish longer-form videos, crowing that “In December alone, people watched 130 years’ worth of videos 30 minutes or longer.”

However, X’s blog post was short on specifics. For example, its claims of a large Gen Z audience came without any metrics to back it up.

A source at X, who asked to remain anonymous because they weren’t authorized to talk to the press, was skeptical about the blog post’s assertion of a video-focused transformation. “I think it’s way too early to declare us a video-first platform,” the source said…

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indeed it is one of the best sites around for watching the entirety of john wick 4 or barbie for several weeks until someone finally gets round to taking them down https://t.co/Z7Jmg6zqN7

— flglmn (@flglmn) January 9, 2024

As long as this is the most-watched video on the site, I’m good with ithttps://t.co/rRXQXWXmTB

— Dan Kenny (@partial_lyrics) January 9, 2024

Late Night Open Thread: <em>Pivot to Video!</em>Post + Comments (86)

War for Ukraine Day 685: Shame

by Adam L Silverman|  January 9, 20248:58 pm| 28 Comments

This post is in: Foreign Affairs, Foreign Policy, Military, Open Threads, Russia, Silverman on Security, War in Ukraine

Screen shot of painting by NEIVANMADE. It has a grey border. On the left is a Ukrainian apartment block in the background. In the left foreground is an armored forearm and fist blocking incoming Russian rockets and missiles. The Russian rockets and missiles are red and have the "Z" symbol on them. The backgound is black. Above the armored arm and fist, written in white, is "Every Single Day in Ukraine."

(Image by NEIVANMADE)

https://twitter.com/shashj/status/1744828316685652129

The Washington Post has an excerpt from Yarislov Trofimov’s forthcoming book on Russia’s genocidal re-invasion of Ukraine: (emphasis mine)

Ukraine’s foreign minister, Dmytro Kuleba, was flying home on a Turkish Airlines plane from New York when Russia invaded. He had just been welcomed into the White House by President Biden. It felt like he had been diagnosed with Stage 4 cancer, he thought. The warm handshakes, the empathetic smiles were meant to be final farewells — for him, and for his country.

In Washington, and in most European capitals, no one expected Ukraine to survive in February 2022. The CIA director, William J. Burns, had secretly flown to Kyiv at Biden’s request, warning Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky that Russia was planning to assassinate him.

“They spoke about the physical liquidation of our leadership, about the creation of filtration and concentration camps,” said Zelensky’s national security adviser, Oleksiy Danilov. “But what could we do? We kept asking: give us weapons. But they didn’t really give weapons to us.”

As the United States shut down its embassy in Kyiv ahead of the invasion, it did ship some weapons to great fanfare, such as Javelin antitank missiles. But the quantity was puny: only about 90 Javelins, according to Danilov. Then-British Prime Minister Boris Johnson, while also briefed about the hopelessness of the Ukrainian cause, had overruled internal objections and authorized a heftier load of about 2,000 NLAW missiles. Still, those were weapons best suited for a guerrilla campaign, not a conventional war.

At the time, Ukraine’s military leadership, under Gen. Valery Zaluzhny, had successfully kept Kyiv’s war planning secret — and not just from the Russians. Neither Washington nor many senior officials in the Zelensky administration knew Zaluzhny’s blueprint. “We were pessimistic about Ukraine holding out in part because the Ukrainians didn’t share any of their preparations or planning with us,” a senior Pentagon official told me later. “And the preparations and plans that they did share with us were military deception.”

Poland, perhaps because of its history, was the only nation that didn’t despair in these early hours. Rerouting his connecting flight, Kuleba attended Poland’s national security council meeting on Feb. 24, the day of the invasion. The Polish government, like other NATO members, had been told by the alliance’s intelligence that a swift collapse of the Ukrainian state was near certain. Still, Warsaw refused to give up. Immediately, Poland sent several truckloads of ammunition and heavy weapons. “The Poles believed in us more intuitively than fact-based, because all the facts spoke against us at the time,” Kuleba recalled.

The mood was very different in other European capitals. “Nobody was giving the Ukrainians any chances,” Johnson said. “If this is going to happen, the best thing is that maybe it should happen quickly,” a senior aide to German chancellor Olaf Scholz told him at the time.

There is much more at the link if you can stomach it.

We should be ashamed. We did nothing of significance to deter Putin, nor to assure our allies and partners. Then we provided a parting gift of 90 javelins, turned tail, and ran. That shame has now been compounded by the wreckers that are the House majority GOP caucus:

https://twitter.com/shashj/status/1744849182966284793

The Ukrainians are not going to stop no matter how often we continually let them down.

Here is President Zelenskyy’s address from earlier today. Video below, English transcript after the jump.

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Every aspect of logistics in the army needs to be expedited – address by the President of Ukraine

9 January 2024 – 19:32

I wish you health, fellow Ukrainians!

I will begin with the Staff.

Today was a special meeting – with the direct, in-person participation of all major commanders and heads of operations.

Together with the Commander-in-Chief, the General Staff, the Ministry of Defense, the Ministry of Strategic Industries, and the Ministry of Digital Transformation, we analyzed the supply of shells and drones in detail. Distribution between brigades and units. Daily needs. Actual costs. The bottom line is that every aspect of logistics needs to be expedited. We also discussed the launch of new production lines for weapons and ammunition in Ukraine – at our enterprises and together with partners.

Of course, we considered the supplies we expect to receive this year. Despite all the challenges in the world, our careful, clear approach to every requirement and every opportunity can provide the Defense Forces with everything necessary. We see how we can realize Ukraine’s priorities this year: what is needed, who is needed, and what signals can work.

We analyzed the work of our Air Force, all our defenders of the sky, separately and in detail. The results of shooting down Russian missiles and drones. The aspects we succeeded in. And the results we must achieve. We continue to work with all our partners to bolster our air defense. And at the same time, to increase pressure on Russia. The world’s sanctions are definitely working. And they are working well. There is clear evidence of a slowdown in the Russian defense industry. But for the sanctions to be one hundred percent effective, the schemes for circumventing the sanctions must also be one hundred percent blocked. New global steps are also needed against those who continue to help Russia. Everyone in the world knows this small list of terrorist accomplices. We will discuss this further with our partners.

Today I have already held three phone calls with the leaders: the President of Romania, the President of Poland, and the Prime Minister of Belgium.

I thanked Romania for the level of cooperation we have already achieved. We are having remarkable results in the Danube region, in the Black Sea cooperation, and in the overall interaction between us. We appreciate Romania’s support on our way to the European Union. We definitely have the potential to increase cross-border cooperation, particularly in the Ukraine-Romania-Moldova triangle. Today, we also discussed with President Iohannis some promising issues in the defense sector – the ways we can shore up our positions together. In particular, we discussed the training of our F-16 pilots.

There was a good conversation with the President of Poland. I am grateful to Poland for its unwavering assistance to Ukraine in matters of our accession to the European Union. No matter what happens, strategically we are still working together in Europe. Today, we discussed, in particular, our cooperation in matters of NATO – Ukraine must become a member of the Alliance. I briefed President Duda on the situation at the front, on the continued Russian attacks, our defense, and our needs. In particular, our needs for support. I appreciate President Duda’s words about the unity we so critically need.

I also had an important conversation with the head of the Belgian government. Belgium has now begun its presidency of the Council of the European Union, and I am grateful that support for Ukraine and international law is one of the priorities of the Belgian presidency. Together with Belgium, we have achieved some truly groundbreaking things, including the use of Russian assets to support Ukraine. And this is one of those examples where Belgian leadership is of global importance. I am grateful for the support of sanctions against Russia, as well as for the clear support of our European integration. This year, we can make significant progress both in the accession negotiations with Ukraine and in the issue of a more decisive attitude of the world towards Russian assets. The aggressor must pay for what he has done. This is only fair.

Of course, I also spoke with all the leaders about our work on the Peace Formula, as the meeting of advisors in Davos is coming up. We are working to make it both representative and meaningful. We are succeeding, and I thank everyone who contributes to the cause!

Glory to all who work for freedom, to all who fight for freedom! To those who do everything to make freedom stronger and to make terror – namely terror – lose. Every week there should be fewer opportunities for Russia. Every week there should be more opportunities for Ukraine.

Glory to Ukraine!

The cost:

You know, there's a mall in Bucha along the Warsaw Highway.

Not far away from my place of living in town.

The mall, along with endless shops, also hosts a clinic, part of a large private healthcare services brand that often accepts war veterans for rehabilitation care.… pic.twitter.com/JdLYzPJWi8

— Illia Ponomarenko 🇺🇦 (@IAPonomarenko) January 10, 2024

You know, there’s a mall in Bucha along the Warsaw Highway.

Not far away from my place of living in town.

The mall, along with endless shops, also hosts a clinic, part of a large private healthcare services brand that often accepts war veterans for rehabilitation care.

Amputees. Mostly young dudes.

I often see them having a smoke or just sitting in wheelchairs next to the clinic’s entrance, just taking the air and silently looking at people passing by and minding their own business at the mall.

I often see them because I sometimes feed stray dogs that hang around near window shops, waiting for some bleeding heart to buy them a treat.

And every time, there’s a new face of a legless soldier looking at the city in front of him.

So the other day, I was walking toward my car parked near the mall.

And I saw yet another disabled veteran in a wheelchair at the clinic’s door. A guy in his early twenties, AirPods in his ears, one leg amputated above his knee.

The guy was petting one of my ‘sponsee dogs.’ He gave the dog a treat, ruffled its head, and wheeled toward the clinic entrance to get back inside.

The automatic sliding door wouldn’t open.

He tried again and again, but nope. The sensor wasn’t seeing the wheelchair vet.

It was pretty late in the evening, and there were few people around to pay attention.

‘Hey, let me do this for you,’ I came along.

‘I’m afraid they forgot about me and locked the door for the night…” the veteran got a bit shy. ‘No worries, I’ll try and call somebody who’s inside.’

I waved my hand up closer to the sensors, and the sliding door opened up.

Yeah!

The guy gladly wheeled into the shadow of the clinic’s entrance.

‘Could you please…’ he also shyly looked at a hinged door into the lobby.

Sure.

‘Oh God, thank you so much for this… Phew!’

No, man, thank YOU for everything.

I mean… I hope on that night, the guy went to bed in his hospital ward without thinking that no one cared about him, never appreciated his battlefield sacrifice, or even failed to take notice of him in the streets.

Who knows how many more of us will have to go to the trenches when it’s our turn. Who knows how many more of us will eventually end up alone in a wheelchair trying to get back in.

For those who will see the end of this fucking war in one piece, it’s going to be a lifetime duty to be helping disabled vets.

I know I’m being idealistic, but I believe true veteran care begins with a very simple sign of respect by a random dude from a parking lot.

The reason:

Ivan: "I am from the village of Oleshnyk in Vynogradiv district, Zakarpattia region. I joined the army on March 1, 2022, despite being 57 years old. I couldn't stay home. My wife assumed I was joking when I mentioned I was heading to the military recruitment office. My call sign… pic.twitter.com/lhWBfgttj6

— Defense of Ukraine (@DefenceU) January 9, 2024

Ivan: “I am from the village of Oleshnyk in Vynogradiv district, Zakarpattia region. I joined the army on March 1, 2022, despite being 57 years old. I couldn’t stay home. My wife assumed I was joking when I mentioned I was heading to the military recruitment office. My call sign is “Vujko” (Uncle), but the lads just call me “Dido” (Grandpa).

📷: Serhii Hudak

The New York Times has a deep dive into the conditions at the Zaporizhzhia front: (emphasis mine)

ZAPORIZHZHIA REGION, Ukraine — Under the cover of darkness, leaning forward under the weight of packs and rifles, a squad of soldiers walked along a muddy lane and slipped into a village house.

They were Ukrainian infantrymen of the 117th Separate Mechanized Brigade, assembling for a last briefing and roll call several miles from Russia positions before heading to the trenches on the front line. Stolid men in helmets and rubber boots, they listened in silence as an intelligence officer briefed them on a new route in to their positions.

“Morale is all right,” said the deputy battalion commander, who uses the call sign Shira, standing nearby to see the men off. “But physically we are exhausted.”

Ukrainian troops along most of the 600-mile front line are officially in defensive mode. Only in the southern region of Kherson are they still on the offensive in a tough assault across the Dnipro River.

But the fighting has not eased and Russian forces are now on the offensive.

The capture of the town of Robotyne in the southeastern Zaporizhzhia region was as far as Ukrainian troops managed to advance in their summer counteroffensive. No breakthrough occurred. Now, in the trenches around Robotyne, Russian units are attacking daily. Ukrainian troops try to counterattack immediately if they lose ground, commanders said.

Indeed, Ukrainian soldiers and commanders interviewed in recent weeks along a broad stretch of the central and eastern front said that Russian attacks were so intense that operating near the frontline has never been so dangerous.

Russia has in recent days turned its focus to bombing Ukraine’s big cities to wear down civilians; for weeks its ground forces have been mounting attacks to claw back territory lost last summer and to seize long-prized Ukrainian redoubts along the eastern front.

Well accustomed to Russian artillery fire, soldiers said that since March they had suffered the additional devastating power of glide bombs, half-ton explosives unleashed from planes that smash through underground bunkers.

“They would send them two by two by two, eight in an hour,” said a 27-year-old soldier known as Kit, of the 14th Chervona Kalyna National Guard Brigade. Like others interviewed, Kit identified himself by his call sign, according to military protocol. “It sounds like a jet coming down on you,” he said, “like hell’s gate.”

The destruction wrought by glide bombs is visible in towns and villages near the front line. The town of Orikhiv, about 12 miles north of Robotyne, once served as a command center for the counteroffensive. Now it is an empty shell, the main street deserted, the school and other buildings split asunder by massive bomb craters.

A lone workman, Valera, was riding a bicycle through the town. He said he had stayed despite the heavy bombardment because he had paid work, fixing generators. He lived off humanitarian aid and was feeding 20 stray cats at his home, he said.

Soldiers moved cautiously in the area, mostly living in basements and staying undercover, out of sight.

That is because the latest menace is Russia’s use of F.P.V. kamikaze drones, which has forced Ukrainian soldiers largely to abandon vehicles in frontline areas and operate on foot.

A cheap commercial drone, the F.P.V. — for first person view — has become the latest weapon of the moment in the Ukrainian war. It can fly as fast as a car, carries a lethal load of explosives and is guided to its target by a soldier sitting in a bunker several miles away.

Both the Russian and Ukrainian armies are using them to hunt and attack targets because they cut out the delay of relaying back coordinates and requesting artillery strikes. Ukrainian soldiers said they often use the drones instead of artillery because shells were increasingly in short supply and the drones are a cheap, quick weapon for attacks on nearby Russian vehicles, bunkers and infantry.

The men of the 117th Brigade, who were deployingto the front line in the Zaporizhzhia region on a recent night, faced a four-mile hike through rain and mud, the intelligence commander said. If they were wounded and captured, Russian troops would execute them, he warned them.

The long, arduous slog to carry in ammunition and food to supply troops and to carry out the wounded was one reason Ukraine could not sustain its counteroffensive, a company commander, Adolf, 23, said.

Ambulances and supply vehicles came under fire from kamikaze drones so often that his unit stopped using them, resorting instead to a four-wheeled buggy that volunteer engineers rigged up to carry a stretcher. The buggy was hidden under some trees beside his command post several miles from the front line.

Ukrainian units are dealing out the same treatment with F.P.V. drones on Russian lines and say they were the first to start using drones to attack targets. But the Russians have copied the tactic and flooded frontline areas with drones in recent weeks, to lethal effect, Ukrainian soldiers and commanders said.

“My impression is Russia is interested in drones at the state level,” the soldier known as Kit said, but in contrast, Ukraine still largely relied on volunteers and civilian donors for its drone program. “My sense,” he said, “is the government should be doing more.”

Much more at the link!

Germany:

The pressure on Olaf Scholz to release the TAURUS cruise missile is mounting.

After former German President Joachim Gauck, the opposition leader of the CDU, Friedrich Merz, demands from Scholz to give up his hesitancy on this question.

"I welcome Scholz' call on our allies to… pic.twitter.com/8KAFWfYCxw

— (((Tendar))) (@Tendar) January 9, 2024

The pressure on Olaf Scholz to release the TAURUS cruise missile is mounting.

After former German President Joachim Gauck, the opposition leader of the CDU, Friedrich Merz, demands from Scholz to give up his hesitancy on this question.

“I welcome Scholz’ call on our allies to increase their effort in supporting Ukraine. It is a good message, but it is more credible when we do our part, by delivering the TAURUS missiles.”

Within the government coalition voices among the Greens and the FDP are getting even more louder.

Source (German): https://rp-online.de/politik/deutschland/friedrich-merz-zoegern-bei-der-taurus-lieferung-muss-aufhoeren_aid-104783739

#Germany #Ukraine

Good, Scholz should be ashamed too!

Avdiivka, Donetsk Oblast:

Авдіївка, Донеччина
Ворог продовжує рівняти місто з землею pic.twitter.com/kAGKyYipTL

— Мисливець за зорями (@small10space) January 9, 2024

Tatarigami has a new assessment regarding the railroad construction the Russians have been doing in parts of Ukraine that they’re occupying. First tweet from the thread, the rest from the Thread Reader App:

Geospatial Analysis: Railroad Construction on Occupied Territories. 🧵Updated Thread:

1/ Frontelligence Insight examined satellite imagery of railroad constructions in occupied territories, specifically south of Donetsk and in Mariupol. Here is what we know: pic.twitter.com/7oZkOQnr22

— Tatarigami_UA (@Tatarigami_UA) January 9, 2024

2/Burne – Malovodne branch

To enhance logistics between Russia, Donetsk, and Mariupol, Russians are actively constructing a new railroad branch to the south of Donetsk. This branch aims to bypass a risky section of the frontline near Mariinka and Vuhledar.Image

3/ The new branch starts in the village of Burne and links up with the existing railroad at Malovodne. Based on satellite imagery, significant progress is evident in the construction of this railroad branch, making our team believe that it might be completed in 2024.Image
4/ Comparative analysis highlights a slowdown due to the construction of a bridge over the Kal’mius River. While composing this analysis, reports from the adviser to the Mariupol mayor suggested that Ukrainian forces had targeted the bridge while still under construction 
5/ The vulnerability of this single point of failure to Ukrainian weaponry increases the likelihood of future strikes even after completion, impacting the functionality of the entire railroad branch.Image
6/ Taganrog – Crimea

Russians are also working on the railroad connecting Taganrog with Mariupol and Crimea to the rest of Russia. This serves as an alternative to the Crimean Bridge, aiming to shorten travel time. Frontelligence Insight has identified early construction stagesImage

7/ In contrast to the previously mentioned railroad between Burne and Malovodne, this railroad branch is much longer and is still in the early stage of construction. Consequently, we assume that Russia won’t be able to complete this project by the end of 2024. 
8/ Sattelite imagery shows that Russians also successfully restored the gas pump station and worked on the restoration of a gas pipeline between Mariupol and the broader continental region of Russia.Image
9/ This pipeline is likely a component of the Mariupol-Taganrog natural gas system. The significant investment in infrastructure suggests that the Russians are intending to transform the region into a fortified frontline stronghold with a robust military presence.Image
10/ To effectively target railroad bridges, Ukraine would require more powerful missiles designed for bridge destruction, like the German Taurus missiles. Overall, Russia is anticipated to improve and expand its military infrastructure on occupied territories in 2024Image
11/ With Ukraine facing challenges such as ammo shortages, undermanned units, and limited assistance from the US in 2024, a defensive approach will likely be adopted. Concurrently, Russian forces are expected to intensify their efforts in expanding their military infrastructure.Image
12/ The full analysis is accessible on the website listed in my bio. Kindly consider supporting us through BuyMeaCoffee, as our expenses rely solely on your public support, and maintaining quality without financing is still challenging for us. Don’t forget to share and like! 
13/ This is an updated thread to address inaccuracies and incorporate additional imagery. In the previous version, an image near Mariupol was mislabeled as a railroad instead of a pipeline, which is now corrected. We apologize for any confusion. 

Oryol, Russia:

/2. Results of the UAV strike on Russian oil depot in Oryol. pic.twitter.com/jNh1piGJGd

— Special Kherson Cat 🐈🇺🇦 (@bayraktar_1love) January 9, 2024

That’s enough for tonight.

Your daily Patron!

-20 in Ukraine today 😮🥶 pic.twitter.com/tXW9HHXpoN

— Patron (@PatronDsns) January 9, 2024

And some adjacent material:

47 seconds that may restore your faith in humanity.
We in Ukraine are now having pretty unusually cold weather ❄️
And this dude from Irpin named Viktor saved a dog that couldn't make it out of an iced pond.
The world still has good people. pic.twitter.com/apZr3EIINX

— Illia Ponomarenko 🇺🇦 (@IAPonomarenko) January 9, 2024

Best buddies stand for protecting our freedom. pic.twitter.com/BeUjv3CSiz

— Defense of Ukraine (@DefenceU) January 9, 2024

Open thread!

War for Ukraine Day 685: ShamePost + Comments (28)

Tuesday Evening Open Thread: Dean Phillips, Out in the Cold

by Anne Laurie|  January 9, 20246:01 pm| 129 Comments

This post is in: 2024 Primaries, Open Threads, Assholes, Schadenfreude

fair chance this becomes the highest performing tweet of his campaign https://t.co/BPjN4n4VlI

— Patrick Dillon (@mpdillon) January 9, 2024

I think it’s probably time for him to get some winter gloves since he isn’t shaking any hands

— Adam Parkhomenko (@AdamParkhomenko) January 9, 2024

Zero voters showed up to Dean Phillips’ “Government Repair Truck” for an event he dubbed “Coffee Conversations.”

It was below freezing outside.

"Sometimes if you build it, they don't come," he said.https://t.co/78aU6GTQ3T pic.twitter.com/4AKxHyIayo

— Emma Barnett (@emmab929) January 9, 2024


“… A dish best served cold… “

The only person in this picture old enough to vote is the asshole up front with two thumbs in the air.

— Tony Posnanski (@tonyposnanski) January 9, 2024

show full post on front page

Rather than he admit that what he said was wrong. You cannot mount a national campaign – in a short amount of time. He did the rounds on @billmaher and other tv shows-shaming his fellow Dems who knew. he is seeing this embarrassment through. Its going to get more painful.

— Democrat, Environmentalist, & the establishment (@BlueSteelDC) January 9, 2024

Dude could have served in MN03 for as long as he wanted and instead threw it all away to help Schmidt and Weaver's refill their vacation funds.

— Andy (@trtx84) January 9, 2024

Previously on… (last night)

Oh brother.https://t.co/dlrYFYFKdM pic.twitter.com/KJtm6F6q8h

— Ragnarok Lobster (@eclecticbrotha) January 9, 2024

Quick history:

In 2004- DC had a Jan preference primary that didn't count.
In 2008- Florida and Michigan
In 2016- Nebraska and Washington State Primary did not count only Caucuses did. https://t.co/fAGAqLyLll

— Democrat, Environmentalist, & the establishment (@BlueSteelDC) January 8, 2024

Self-important, much?

Rep. Dean Phillips told NBC News he has not reached out to the Democratic National Committee since it sent a letter to the New Hampshire Democratic Party on Friday criticizing the state for selecting delegates for what it called a “meaningless” unsanctioned presidential primary.

“I’ve made myself pretty clear about what they’re doing is the most egregious affront to democracy I’ve ever seen in my life,” he said. “Don’t take my word for it. Take the Department of Justice here in New Hampshire that felt compelled to send a letter to one of the two major political parties in the United States of America, asking them to cease and desist from the unlawful suppression of American voters.”

He then compared Democrats’ silence over calling the New Hampshire primary “meaningless” to Republicans’ silence after the Jan. 6 attack at the U.S. Capitol.

“I’m not going to now be quiet when I see my own party doing the same damn thing. They’re doing the same thing,” Phillips said. “And they’re doing it overtly thinking that they can delude the whole country into believing the nonsense that we’re protecting democracy.”…

New Hampshire can’t dictate to the DNC is actually the issue. The DNC will not award delegates based on the meaningless NH primary. NH DOJ is engaged in a fraud on its voters https://t.co/LoOL3lsPkD

— Armando (@ArmandoNDK) January 8, 2024

I’m starting to think Dean Phillips will not be the Democratic nominee for president. pic.twitter.com/BRA3xGFoBG

— Republicans against Trump (@RpsAgainstTrump) January 5, 2024

#DropOutDean is one of the top trends in the country. Dean Phillips should take the hint and do what the people want. pic.twitter.com/yu0RQtAXHD

— Daniel (@DailyLibber) January 9, 2024

Tuesday Evening Open Thread: Dean Phillips, Out in the ColdPost + Comments (129)

Some Fun After the Massacre Today (hopefully) at the Appeals Court

by WaterGirl|  January 9, 20244:42 pm| 72 Comments

This post is in: Open Threads, Politics, Trump Indictments

The reviews are in!  I hope we don’t have to wait long for the release of the most important one.

There are about a thousand people in prison wondering why Trump didn’t just hang Mike Pence himself and claim Presidential immunity.

— Jack E. Smith ⚖️ (@7Veritas4) January 9, 2024

🌼

They just destroyed their own case for absolute immunity 5 minutes into their argument.

It’s not going well.

— Jack E. Smith ⚖️ (@7Veritas4) January 9, 2024

🌼

Following the truth, is why you have four criminal indictments and 91 felony charges. pic.twitter.com/pJPTbXu5aZ

— Jack E. Smith ⚖️ (@7Veritas4) January 9, 2024

🌼

Trump’s lawyer said Nixon’s conduct, for which he was pardoned, was “private” conduct and thus not subject to presidential immunity. But that concedes the ballgame: Nixon was engaged in illegal campaign activity, which is precisely what is alleged in the Trump J6 indictment.

— Andrew Weissmann (weissmann11 on Threads)🌻 (@AWeissmann_) January 9, 2024

🌼

4/ Judge Pan’s devastating hypothetical shows Trump legal position is utterly unsustainable:

“You’re saying a president…could order Seal Team Six to assassinate a political rival” and could not be prosecuted, if he hadn’t been impeached and convicted by Senate for those acts. pic.twitter.com/dsvJcWSGVM

— Ryan Goodman (@rgoodlaw) January 9, 2024

🌼

Some Fun After the Massacre Today (hopefully) at the Appeals CourtPost + Comments (72)

Ominous Signs (Open Thread)

by Betty Cracker|  January 9, 20241:18 pm| 171 Comments

This post is in: Elections 2024, How about that weather?, Open Threads, Politics

The wind is howling, and the sky is filled with pendulous, bruise-colored clouds. We keep getting ominous weather alerts like this:

Weather alert for severe storms

I’m keeping the feeders up as long as possible to serve hungry customers like this Yellow-Throated Warbler:

Ominous Signs (Open Thread)

But I’ll take them down within the hour so they won’t become missiles if the storm(s) are as bad as advertised.

Was just perusing the headlines, and I read that Trump’s lead in Iowa is growing — he’s ahead of DeSantis and Haley by 40 points, and the caucuses are next week. But there’s a late game-changer: Judge Judy endorsed Nikki Haley.

The article says Judge Judy made one endorsement before this one: She backed Michael Bloomberg in the 2020 Democratic primary, presumably before Senator Warren field-dressed and roasted the former NYC mayor at a debate. So maybe not such a game-changer.

Open thread.

Ominous Signs (Open Thread)Post + Comments (171)

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