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Balloon Juice

Come for the politics, stay for the snark.

… riddled with inexplicable and elementary errors of law and fact

How any woman could possibly vote for this smug smarmy piece of misogynistic crap is beyond understanding.

We do not need to pander to people who do not like what we stand for.

The low info voters probably won’t even notice or remember by their next lap around the goldfish bowl.

Only Democrats have agency, apparently.

Cancel the cowardly Times and Post and set up an equivalent monthly donation to ProPublica.

T R E 4 5 O N

SCOTUS: It’s not “bribery” unless it comes from the Bribery region of France. Otherwise, it’s merely “sparkling malfeasance”.

I swear, each month of 2025 will have its own history degree.

After dobbs, women are no longer free.

I desperately hope that, yet again, i am wrong.

Live so that if you miss a day of work people aren’t hoping you’re dead.

This really is a full service blog.

The truth is, these are not very bright guys, and things got out of hand.

The fundamental promise of conservatism all over the world is a return to an idealized past that never existed.

Incompetence, fear, or corruption? why not all three?

Beware of advice from anyone for whom Democrats are “they” and not “we.”

If you’re gonna whine, it’s time to resign!

Jesus watching the most hateful people claiming to be his followers

Consistently wrong since 2002

You don’t get to peddle hatred on saturday and offer condolences on sunday.

President Musk and Trump are both poorly raised, coddled 8 year old boys.

I see no possible difficulties whatsoever with this fool-proof plan.

Republicans are the party of chaos and catastrophe.

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Open Thread:  Hey Lurkers!  (Holiday Post)

Open Threads

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Cold Grey Pre-Dawn Open Thread: The GOP’s Hunter Sideshow

by Anne Laurie|  January 11, 20244:22 am| 61 Comments

This post is in: Excellent Links, Impeachment Inquiry, Open Threads, Republican Stupidity, Republican Venality

Cold Grey Pre-Dawn Open Thread:  The GOP's Hunter Sideshow

(John Deering via GoComics.com)

House Republicans demonstrate once again that their Biden probe is a vampire inquiry: sounds scary until you bring it into the sunlight.

Gift link, because it’s important to understand how the con here works. https://t.co/js6zDJVSk5

— Philip Bump (@pbump) January 11, 2024

Best summary I’ve seen so far of the GOP’s latest media-seeking circle-jerk: Philip Bump, for the Washington Post — “Weighing action against Hunter Biden, GOP resorts to falsehoods ” [unpaywalled]:

… Hunter Biden was subpoenaed for a deposition but through his attorney said he would appear before Oversight in an open hearing instead. (His attorney, in a letter to Comer, pointed to the chairman’s statement during a podcast that he would welcome either public or private testimony.) The date of the deposition came and went, and Republicans moved forward with approving a contempt-of-Congress referral.

What Hunter Biden no doubt knows is that a closed-door deposition allows Comer and other Republicans to cherry-pick claims much more easily — if they release the transcript of the deposition at all. (Most of the depositions that have taken place, Oversight Democrats note, have not been made public.)

During the meeting, Rep. Jasmine Crockett (D-Tex.) was pointed on this subject.

“Let me tell you why no one wants to talk to y’all behind closed doors,” she said to her Republican colleagues. “Because y’all lie.”

This is demonstrably true, including when considering the Archer testimony itself. It is fair to question the legitimacy of Hunter Biden’s failure to participate in the subpoenaed deposition, certainly, but it is indisputably justifiable for him to be wary of doing so.

When it was his turn to speak, Rep. Greg Casar (D-Tex.) raised a related, valid point: If Republicans were so desperate to hear from Hunter Biden, why didn’t they just go ahead and hold the open hearing anyway? The younger Biden had unexpectedly appeared in the hearing room, allowing Rep. Jared Moskowitz (D-Fla.) to ask for a show of hands from the committee members about their willingness to swear Hunter Biden in for questions right then and there. None took him up on the offer…

show full post on front page

Moskowitz: Here is the subpoena to representative Scott Perry, who did not comply. Here is the subpoena to mark meadows who did not comply. Here is the subpoena to Jim Jordan who did not comply with a lawful subpoena. pic.twitter.com/E0s2MYsNPu

— Acyn (@Acyn) January 10, 2024

“We were here for a year,” [ranking Democrat Jamie Raskin] noted at one point. “You guys did not lay a glove on Joe Biden. You don’t have a single credible piece of evidence, not one iota, showing any crime by Joe Biden.”…

A bit later, Rep. Paul A. Gosar (R-Ariz.) offered a response to that claim. This wasn’t an impeachment itself but, instead, an inquiry into filing articles to impeach Biden.

“An inquiry is different than an impeachment,” he said. “It is a search for [a] document.”

A bit later, Raskin jumped in, noting that the inquiry has ostensibly been underway since September.

“What’s been found since then?” he asked.

“Once again, there’s stuff there,” Gosar said. “There is stuff there.”

“There’s stuff there?” Raskin replied. “Can you share it with us?”…

This was answered in a closed-door deposition six months ago. It is obvious once you consider the actual function of the LLCs, as The Post did in August. Both of which predate the September impeachment inquiry. An inquiry, mind you, that’s had only one public hearing — one featuring witnesses who were meant to demonstrate the sketchiness of Hunter Biden’s work but ended up pointing out that they had no direct evidence implicating Joe Biden.

After that hearing, a presumably embarrassed Comer told reporters that he didn’t like public hearings and might not hold any more. It’s much easier to bolster your narrative when you get to choose what parts of it people see.

The House Oversight Committee just held a recorded vote on whether to allow Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene (R-Ga.) to display redacted naked photos of Hunter Biden before Congress. The GOP-led committee voted along party lines, 21-to-15, to allow the photos.

— Matt Viser (@mviser) January 10, 2024

Do you think that when she was a young girl, the lady on the left dreamed of growing up to become the dick pic holding lackey for #MarjorieTaylorPeen over here? pic.twitter.com/5iToc3kTAg

— Kathleen Wolak (@wolak_kathleen) January 11, 2024

Also: You can’t simultaneously claim Hunter’s laptop is real AND declare he has no balls. The former shows clear evidence of the existence of the latter. https://t.co/ZltrQHAXvy

— Robert X George (@RobGeorge) January 10, 2024

If the MAGA Republicans wanted to go after foreign corruption, they would be investigating Donald Trump. We know that during his presidency, Trump received $7.8 million from foreign interests, including $5.5 million from China. But Mr. Jordan has not launched an investigation. pic.twitter.com/ruuhOYmTzB

— House Judiciary Dems (@HouseJudiciary) January 10, 2024

Mr. Pierce, at Esquire, on holding people in contempt:

… [Nancy Mace] then called for the younger Biden to be arrested on the spot. And, of all people, Rep. Andy Biggs called for a return to decorum. One of his colleagues then accused Biggs—Andy Freaking Biggs!—of “interrupting a woman. “Don’t act like a bunch of…nimrods,” Biggs said. And the world turned upside down. “I believe,” Mace concluded, “that Hunter Biden should be hauled off to jail right now.”

A timeline is helpful here. Comer, who couldn’t run a two-car funeral if you spotted him the hearse, repeatedly said in various television appearances that Hunter Biden could choose to testify in public, or to sit for a secret deposition. Biden accepted the former option, at which point Comer pulled the clumsiest and most obvious bait-and-switch one could imagine, insisting on the private—and easily manipulated—deposition, and then proposing to hold Biden in contempt of Congress for refusing to sit for the deposition. We continue.

Biden thereupon completed his coup de main by ostentatiously walking out when it was time for Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene to use up five minutes of otherwise valuable oxygen, Considering that the MTG had used a previous hearing to display dick pics of Biden while Comer sat there like a lump of goo, I’d say Biden acted with considerable restraint in leaving the hearing without flipping the congresswoman off, but she got to call him a coward for the cameras, so her work for the day was done. I left the proceedings when Trumpist Rep. Byron Donalds defended the former president*’s profiteering by talking about how luxurious his hotels are, and by waving off the Emoluments clause of the Constitution as though it were an ancient Blue Law forbidding public entertainments of the Sabbath. The committee is going to vote to hold Hunter Biden in contempt, and the entire House will endorse the decision, and Nancy Mace, I guess, will get several additional opportunities to talk about his balls. It’s enough to make you nostalgic for Louie Gohmert.

Cold Grey Pre-Dawn Open Thread:  The GOP's Hunter Sideshow 1

(Mike Luckovich via GoComics.com)

Cold Grey Pre-Dawn Open Thread: The GOP’s Hunter SideshowPost + Comments (61)

I Like What I’m Seeing

by WaterGirl|  January 11, 202412:23 am| 70 Comments

This post is in: Open Threads

I really wanted to title this post Balls to the Wall, but I was able to to exhibit at least a modicum of self control.

Whether it’s our awesome members in the House, or President Biden, or a bunch of young women in MN, I like what I’m seeing.

I’ve been working all day, so apologies if you have already seen all of these already.

Moskowitz: Here is the subpoena to representative Scott Perry, who did not comply. Here is the subpoena to mark meadows who did not comply. Here is the subpoena to Jim Jordan who did not comply with a lawful subpoena. pic.twitter.com/E0s2MYsNPu

— Acyn (@Acyn) January 10, 2024

🌼

Crockett: To be clear, whatever happens to your little leader it is going to be because of the actions he took so you can talk all you want to about how January 6 was nonsense but all of you are running at that time. You all were grabbing gas masks. pic.twitter.com/ptPaSXkSyg

— Acyn (@Acyn) January 10, 2024

🌼

Notice anything special about the new St. Paul City Council? 😊 pic.twitter.com/1mpiCtz3nF

— Jon Cooper (@joncoopertweets) January 10, 2024

🌼

🔥🔥🔥🔥@danielsgoldman is a national treasure

pic.twitter.com/nfnDRKtDTx

— Angry Staffer 🌻 (@Angry_Staffer) January 10, 2024

🌼

NEW: Biden supports seizing $300B in Russian assets to support Ukraine. https://t.co/fWUZilvYFE

— Mueller, She Wrote (@MuellerSheWrote) January 10, 2024

🌼

Intense Biden pressure on this gets results: Netanyahu forced publicly reject Gazan displacement and Israeli reoccupation, against the far-right parties in his own coalition. This will undermine that coalition, which as I’ve written, is Biden’s point: https://t.co/xVLiUqOBsw https://t.co/PhFY2Zq9xB

— Yair Rosenberg (@Yair_Rosenberg) January 10, 2024

🌼

Comer’s face. Priceless. https://t.co/sE9yHUBGMs

— Katie Phang (@KatiePhang) January 10, 2024

Totally open thread.

I Like What I’m SeeingPost + Comments (70)

War for Ukraine Day 686: Kharkiv Comes Under Fire, Again!

by Adam L Silverman|  January 10, 20247:57 pm| 22 Comments

This post is in: Foreign Affairs, Foreign Policy, Military, Open Threads, Russia, Silverman on Security, War, War in Ukraine

Screen shot of new artwork by NEIVANMADE. The background is black. In the bottom foreground are grey Ukrainian homes and apartment buildings being bombarded by red Russian missiles with the Special Military Operation "Z" symbol on them. Above the missiles, written in red is the word "Ruzzians". Below the buildings being attacked is the statement "Turns Homes Into Graves".

(Image by NEIVANMADE)

Russia opened up on civilian targets in Kharkiv again:

So far 9 civilians are injured, 2 in critical condition. The compound was hit by two 🇷🇺s300 rockets. All of the cars at the parking lot were destroyed. pic.twitter.com/1eOZ7xG5ld

— Volodymyr (@vicechat) January 10, 2024

Sickening. Another missile attack on hotel in Kharkiv. 10 injured, including Turkish journalist. Russian terror continues. Every night, around 11 pm, Kharkiv shudders in waves of explosions pic.twitter.com/Oak5EvwCzY

— Maria Avdeeva (@maria_avdv) January 10, 2024

That's a children's health center in Kharkiv after the russian missile strike. russians act like terrorists, destroying civilian objects with the use of ballistic missiles.

Fortunately, there were no casualties.

📸: Kharkiv Military Administration pic.twitter.com/7vXtNahfq8

— Defense of Ukraine (@DefenceU) January 10, 2024

More on this after the jump.

President Zelenskyy addressed the both the Ukrainian and Lithuanian people today during his visit to Vilnius. Video below, English transcript after the jump.

show full post on front page

Together we are changing history for the better – President Volodymyr Zelenskyy’s speech to the public of Lithuania and Ukraine

10 January 2024 – 17:03

Sveikinu tave, Vilniau, sveikinu tave, Lietuvos tauta!

Days before, Vilnius experienced an especially cold spell. The next few days may also be very cold. But today, it’s significantly warmer, – a symbolic change indeed. When we stand together, even the cold retreats.

And I am confident, so will Russia.

We cannot mark a specific day when this will happen, nor can we detail every aspect of how it will unfold. But we know it will happen.

Our freedom will prevail – and there will be that day, the first day after this war. Our day.

When in ’89, ’90, ’91, the Baltic peoples first among nations, enslaved by Moscow, openly embarked on the path to restoring real state independence, Ukrainians were inspired by your courage and your anticipation – anticipation of the future.

You desired freedom above all else. And you knew, once your freedom was safeguarded, it would define a prosperous fate for you.

And so it did.

We are all grateful for that courage of yours, which helped change history for the better.

Now, we find ourselves at an even more pivotal historic moment. Now, risks are even higher.

Now, all of us are facing a much more malicious Russia.

As Moscow tries to resurrect its old empire with the whole range of modern weapons, our Ukrainian courage also helps you. Our common unity is also a security guarantee for you. The resilience of our warriors is also your resilience. And our Ukrainian sense that Russia will not withstand if we keep striking, also confirms our common rightness. The rightness of our shared historical choice – to be independent. To be in Europe. To be among equals and therefore, peaceful.

This will happen. And to this end, we must do everything possible in maximum unity for as long as it takes to achieve our goal. There will be no more empire.

Those who instigated this aggression against Ukraine clearly envisioned how they wanted the first day after Ukraine to look.

They dream of humiliating our nation. They kill without hesitation. They deported hundreds of thousands of our people, adults and children. They wanted to erase everything our culture stands on.

They brutally torture our people – thousands held captive – simply to avenge Ukraine’s existence. Such is the level of Russian evil.

And if a catastrophic day – the day after Ukraine – ever came to pass, Russia would ensure it continued. There would be a day after Moldova. Then, a day after the Baltics. A day after Poland… A day after many others.

Kazakhstan and Uzbekistan already hear Russia disparaging their independence. Moscow has no respect for the nations of the Caucasus and there is a clear Russian desire to manipulate all.

And it is dangerous for everyone to stay silent, to stay aside or alone.

When everyone helps one, the freedom of each wins. This rule has worked repeatedly throughout history. It will work now too – for all of us.

Any empire is built on the cornerstone of freedom’s definitive defeat, and Moscow needs to subjugate our state for this very reason.

But together, we are changing history for the better.

There won’t be a day after Ukraine. There will be a day after the war. After Putin.

It will be a day of our guaranteed security. And your inviolable freedom. And peaceful life for Lithuania, Estonia, Latvia, Finland, Sweden. For all states whose fate Russia now tries to drown in doubt.

It will be a new day of opportunity for Belarus – an opportunity Belarus deserves.

A day of newfound strength for our entire Europe, which defending against Russian hybrid attacks is learning true unity… A unity that makes our continent a global defender of freedom. A unity, complete with Ukraine. With Ukraine in the European Union, with Ukraine in NATO, with Ukraine in peace.

Dear friends! 

We all know the steps needed. We all know what we can lose and what we can gain. We all know the day we desire. And we must get our job done. We must do everything for the victory.

I thank you, the people of Lithuania, for everything, for supporting Ukraine. Thanks a lot and big applause to you! Thank you, Gitanas, my friend! I am thankful to your family, your loved ones, all people who have been standing with Ukraine for all these days and months of our war for freedom, our fight for independence! I thank you all for being here, for having Ukraine in your heart all these months and years of war. Thank you for standing with Ukraine!

Glory to you!

Glory to Ukraine!

Estonia, Latvia, and Lithuania are our reliable friends and principled partners.
 
Today, I arrived in Vilnius before going to Tallinn and Riga.
 
I will hold talks with the President, Prime Minister, Speaker of the Seimas, as well as meet with politicians, the media, and the…

— Volodymyr Zelenskyy / Володимир Зеленський (@ZelenskyyUa) January 10, 2024

Lithuania is Ukraine's true friend!
Thank you for your unwavering support.
🇺🇦🤝🇱🇹 https://t.co/DXz4gm5XWA

— Defense of Ukraine (@DefenceU) January 10, 2024

The cost:

The 3 guys on the right of this picture didn't make it. They died heroes✌️🇺🇦
I hope one day there will be a monument to all the Internationals that paid the ultimate price. Perhaps a garden of remembrance. A place to sit, think, laugh and love 💙 pic.twitter.com/J4uF6WFKEr

— Macer Gifford (@macergifford) January 10, 2024

Every day, new petitions appear on @ZelenskyyUa's site asking him honor a fallen soldier as a Hero of Ukraine.

The sheer number of appeals (> 2,000 since Feb. 2022 invasion) offers a window into the scale of trauma 🇺🇦 is living through.

My story:https://t.co/dZ83alzOyR

— Dan Peleschuk (@dpeleschuk) January 10, 2024

From Reuters: (emphasis mine)

KYIV, Jan 10 (Reuters) – After her younger brother was killed in November fighting Russian forces in eastern Ukraine, Anna Birzul spent two days stricken with grief.

Then she sprang into action, penning a petition asking President Volodymyr Zelenskiy to award 29-year-old Bohdan Krotov the highest military honour, Hero of Ukraine.

“We buried him on the 26th, and already on the 27th I had written it,” said a tearful Birzul, 35, standing at Krotov’s grave in a Kyiv cemetery.

A portrait of the combat medic, smiling, hung beneath a fluttering Ukrainian flag that featured his Interior Ministry unit’s insignia.

Birzul’s petition is one of at least 2,000 submitted, usually by a relative or a friend, since Russia’s February 2022 full-scale invasion calling on Zelenskiy to honour a fallen soldier with the award.

Fewer than 400 service members have been named Hero of Ukraine since the war began, many of them posthumously, for valorous acts such as helping thwart enemy advances.

The petitions, introduced in 2015 as a platform for popular appeals to the president, are not a formal part of the nomination process for the award, which was established in 1998.

When Ukrainian troops were fighting a lower-intensity insurgency by Moscow-backed separatists, appeals were registered sparingly.

Now, new petitions appear almost daily from grieving widows, mothers and children – first on the president’s website, then splashed across social media – and have become a common ritual in a war that has rallied the nation but shows no signs of abating.

They offer a window into the collective trauma Ukrainians are living through, and underline how virtually every soldier who is killed in battle is seen as a “hero” for helping to defend the country from invading forces.

The government does not disclose its losses, but Western intelligence services have estimated that tens of thousands of Ukrainian soldiers have been killed.

Birzul described her brother, who joined an assault brigade before Ukraine began a counteroffensive last June, as cheerful and selfless. He had been sensitive and supportive when they were young and lacked a strong father figure.

Krotov, who commonly went by the name Hlib, dreamed of starting a family of his own, she said, but while at war he felt a sense of purpose.

He had hauled wounded men off the battlefield and rescued them under heavy fire, Birzul wrote in her petition. His comrades-in-arms recalled him fondly, “with tears in their eyes”.

He saved four people the day he was killed, Birzul told Reuters, citing Krotov’s fellow soldiers.

Like some others, Birzul has promoted her appeal widely on social media, urging friends and followers – among them public figures – to share it on their own accounts.

It is a race against time, she said, to collect within 90 days of publication the 25,000 signatures needed for consideration.

More at the link!

Ukraine will need about $4.1 bln in humanitarian aid to support more than 15 mln people, roughly 40% of the country’s population, according to @UNOCHA. Also, about 6.3 mln 🇺🇦 have been forced to seek refuge abroad because of the war in Ukraine. It is about the scale of the… pic.twitter.com/0J22SmqAXu

— Гюндуз Мамедов/Gyunduz Mamedov (@MamedovGyunduz) January 10, 2024

The stakes:

Historians of the future will spend centuries arguing how it was even possible that the pre-war world got so unbelievably dumb. pic.twitter.com/2dDwai46Ld

— Illia Ponomarenko 🇺🇦 (@IAPonomarenko) January 10, 2024

From Politico EU:

BRUSSELS — One of Europe’s most senior politicians recounted how former U.S. President Donald Trump privately warned that America would not come to the EU’s aid if it was attacked militarily.

“You need to understand that if Europe is under attack we will never come to help you and to support you,” Trump told European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen in 2020, according to French European Commissioner Thierry Breton, who was also present at a meeting at the World Economic Forum in Davos.

“By the way, NATO is dead, and we will leave, we will quit NATO,” Trump also said, according to Breton. “And he added, ‘and by the way, you owe me $400 billion, because you didn’t pay, you Germans, what you had to pay for defense,'” Breton said about the tense meeting, where the EU’s then-trade chief Phil Hogan was also present.

Breton told the anecdote at an event in the European Parliament in Brussels on Tuesday, just days before the Republican Party holds its January 15 caucus in Iowa, the opening contest in Trump’s bid to win the Republican nomination for a run at returning to the White House. Party members will cast their votes for candidates including Trump, Florida Governor Ron DeSantis and former South Carolina Governor Nikki Haley, who both trail way behind the ex-president in opinion polls.

Brussels is rife with fear about the possibility Trump will return to the U.S. presidency.

As the commissioner in charge of the EU’s industrial policy and defense agenda, Breton has pushed for the EU to boost its own self-defense capabilities amid Russia’s war in Ukraine, and on Tuesday floated a €100 billion fund to ramp up arms production in the bloc.

“That was a big wake-up call and he may come back,” Breton said about Trump. “So now more than ever, we know that we are on our own, of course. We are a member of NATO, almost all of us, of course we have allies, but we have no other options but to increase drastically this pillar in order to be ready [for] whatever happens.”

I want to be very clear here: I have significant issues with Biden’s senior natsec team, as well as the strategies they’ve undertaken in regard to supporting Ukraine, but in regard to natsec policy and strategy I am very glad he is president right now and not Trump for the reasons outlined in the Politico EU article.

Kharkiv:

One of the best children's summer camps in Kharkiv. Today, Russia can be proud of itself: a worthy target for a missile strike pic.twitter.com/A7EACMBzvU

— Maria Avdeeva (@maria_avdv) January 10, 2024

pic.twitter.com/cc30v6pOMO

— Volodymyr (@vicechat) January 10, 2024

Suspilne* — correcting the weird autocorrect typo above

— Christopher Miller (@ChristopherJM) January 10, 2024

Went to Kharkiv metro today and stumbled upon a folk ensemble keeping Ukrainian traditions alive. Beautiful, yet painful that all public activities are still possible only underground in Kharkiv pic.twitter.com/pk80cQYrlX

— Maria Avdeeva (@maria_avdv) January 10, 2024

Serebryansky Forest, Luhansk Oblast:

Serebryansky forest, Luhansk region

— Мисливець за зорями (@small10space) January 10, 2024

Kyiv:

This is after Volodymyr “Rydiy” Starykov, a warfighter with the Azov special operations detachment killed during the Battle of Kyiv at Moschun on March 15, 2022.

— Illia Ponomarenko 🇺🇦 (@IAPonomarenko) January 10, 2024

Krynky, left bank of the Dnipro, Russian occupied Kherson Oblast:

Video by the Birds of Magyar unit. Destroying Russian AFVs which were abandoned during resent Russian attack on Krynky. BTR, BMP, T-62 and Bukhanka with BIG cage.https://t.co/zMeMjBwWYP https://t.co/EzHcpB7Kfd pic.twitter.com/RaEx9rLJmL

— Special Kherson Cat 🐈🇺🇦 (@bayraktar_1love) January 10, 2024

Magyar’s Birds continue their hunt!

Vuhledar front:

Destruction of the Russian 2S19 Msta-S 152.4 mm self-propelled howitzer on Vuhledar front. ~11km from the frontline
47.644301, 37.091726 https://t.co/ecdfYJApFo pic.twitter.com/akziGoHlfo

— Special Kherson Cat 🐈🇺🇦 (@bayraktar_1love) January 10, 2024

Here’s the machine translation of Stenenko’s tweet:

Destroyed Russian artillery does not happen a lot 💥

Another Russian Msta-S self-propelled gun was burned by Shadow soldiers!
The installation in the firing position burned out after a few hits and will never harm anyone again.

It took 4 of your FPVs to destroy the self-propelled guns. One is not always enough. That is why the army needs more drones!

Russian occupied Crimea:

/2. The death of the commander of the 3rd Radio-Technical Regiment was mentioned three days ago by this source: https://t.co/Nixo9alz32

— Special Kherson Cat 🐈🇺🇦 (@bayraktar_1love) January 10, 2024

Obukhovo, Moscow Oblast:

A polymer plant in Obukhovo in the Moscow region experienced spontaneous combustion. Are of fire over 8,000 km2. Hundreds of emergency workers deployed. pic.twitter.com/33PasTua2O

— WarTranslated (@wartranslated) January 10, 2024

Nizhny Tagil, Russia:

A couple of days ago, Russian media reported that an explosive device was detonated on the railway in Nizhny Tagil. Now a video from locals has appeared online showing the damage caused. ~1650km from the front line. https://t.co/pxiqB9cpkK

— Special Kherson Cat 🐈🇺🇦 (@bayraktar_1love) January 10, 2024

For you logistics enthusiasts, Military Ukraine has some interesting details by Andriy Haruk on Russian armor. (machine translation)

How many tanks are left in Russia? A question that often arises in discussions, and to which it is simply impossible to find an exact answer – she probably does not even know the shogu with the gerasimov. However, attempts to count tanks do not stop. Today we will analyze one of them – report of the French OSINT cell ARI, published on August 31, 2023.

The French tried to figure out how many tanks the Russians have at storage bases. I must say that the numbers here are very « jump» – for example, the International Institute for Strategic Studies estimated this number in 2022 at as many as 17.5 thousand tanks, including 200 T-90, 3 thousand T-80, 7 thousand T-72, 2 thousand T-64, 2.5 thousand T-62 and 2.8 thousand T-55. However, these calculations are very inaccurate, as they start from estimating the number of tanks released during the USSR.

Estimates of last year’s Military Balance anniversary are much more modest: about 2,000 tanks in the storm and up to 5,000 in storage. However, its authors take into account models from T-62 and above – but in reality the Laptenogi not only have hundreds of T-54/55 in warehouses, but also already use them at the front! Interestingly, in 2022. Military Balance wrote about 13.7 thousand Russian tanks, but in this case did not count T-54/55.

ARI experts in their calculations used satellite images taken between April and September 2021. Complemented their information from social networks. Calculations were made at ten central storage bases out of 22 available in the Russian Federation – on them, an estimated 95% of tanks.

So what could be counted? 5538 tanks, of which 4347 – identified by type. It is clear that these are tanks that are stored in the open air. At the studied bases there are also canopies and boxes, the capacity of which is estimated in 1950 cars. However, some of these premises should be allocated for repairs, and some are probably not occupied by tanks, but by other machines. Taking into account the above, the number of tanks in storage can be estimated at a maximum of 7 thousand, but probably – about 6 thousand.

More at the link!

That’s enough for tonight.

Your daily Patron!

There are no new Patron tweets or videos today, so here’s some adjacent material from the Ukrainian Ministry of Defense.

Our mission is to defend those we love.

📸: Oleksandr Kozlovskyi / 121st @TDF_UA Brigade pic.twitter.com/IK5L2cHfcA

— Defense of Ukraine (@DefenceU) January 10, 2024

Open thread!

War for Ukraine Day 686: Kharkiv Comes Under Fire, Again!Post + Comments (22)

Wednesday Evening Open Thread: … ‘Comedy’ Tonight!

by Anne Laurie|  January 10, 20247:21 pm| 120 Comments

This post is in: 2024 Primaries, Open Threads, Republicans in Disarray!, I Read These Morons So You Don't Have To, Schadenfreude

TONIGHT: Join @DanaBashCNN and @JakeTapper live from Des Moines, Iowa for CNN’s Republican Presidential Debate with fmr. Amb. Nikki Haley and Gov. Ron DeSantis. Tune in without needing a cable log-in at 9pET on @CNN channels and streaming on CNN Max. pic.twitter.com/WfokVNlHYg

— CNN Communications (@CNNPR) January 10, 2024

Last Big! Serious! Head-to-Head! GOP debate before next week’s starter gun at the Iowa caucus, and all journos want to talk about is Chris Christie officially dropping his campaign. (And, apparently, getting ‘caught on a hot mic‘ slagging Haley on his way out.)

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Also, TFG has another counter-programming rally, because of course he does — how else can his people use ‘official’ campaign funds to give him an outlet for his latest sundowning rants?

DeSantis and Haley are going head-to-head tonight in one last live debate before the Iowa caucuses. Here's what to watch for in the showdown:https://t.co/d5DIiMXfdd

— Julia Mueller (@jmthewriter) January 10, 2024


For completists, the Hill dutifully drops “5 things to watch in the DeSantis-Haley Iowa debate”.

Ron DeSantis and Nikki Haley are the only two candidates at the last GOP debate before the Iowa caucuses — while Vivek Ramaswamy will be airing an ad telling viewers not to watch it. CBS News’ Taurean Small reports outside the debate hall. pic.twitter.com/fjuRbPPpWi

— CBS News (@CBSNews) January 10, 2024

At this point, the GOP race doesn’t even amount to a decent attempt at farce.

Wednesday Evening Open Thread: <em>… ‘Comedy’ Tonight!</em>Post + Comments (120)

Long Belated Tribute: Nothing Compares 2 Sinéad O’Connor

by Anne Laurie|  January 10, 20245:19 pm| 18 Comments

This post is in: Excellent Links, Music, RIP

Sinéad O’Connor’s cause of death has been revealed #THRNews pic.twitter.com/3cpbybu2lE

— The Hollywood Reporter (@THR) January 9, 2024

Per Rolling Stone:

Sinéad O’Connor died from natural causes, a coroner in London has determined.

A statement said that the coroner has “ceased their involvement” in O’Connor’s death and no other comments would be made.

O’Connor died on July 26 at age 56. The singer’s family confirmed her death in a statement but did not share a cause of death. “It is with great sadness that we announce the passing of our beloved Sinéad,” her family said. “Her family and friends are devastated and have requested privacy at this very difficult time.”…

Following her death, tributes to O’Connor poured in from admirers like Phoebe Bridgers, Jamie Lee Curtis, Tegan and Sara, Tori Amos, and others. Tegan and Sara recalled seeing O’Connor live right before the Covid-19 lockdown began, saying, “Can’t express what an absolutely massive impact Sinéad O’Connor had on us from childhood through adulthood. Her voice, her brain, her bravery.” …

More details will come out, eventually, but let me put this into the record: Irish women are medically notorious for a stoic resistance to seeking medical assistance — we historically tend to treat anything short of gushing blood or passing out in public as ‘it’ll heal, given time.‘ People who have been physically abused, especially as children, also learn to avoid acknowledging pain or distress. Given these factors, it is not at all implausible that O’Connor died of (possibly untreated) heart failure or another one of the medical conditions all too familiar to those of us past our youth — no matter how much more exciting the popcult narratives.

Last year, working in Ireland, having a pint in the cold outside a Dalkey pub with some new friends, a woman with purpose strode past us. Puffy parker zipped to the nape and her bowed head covered in a scarf. One of my new friends muttered an exclamation, jumped up

— Russell Crowe (@russellcrowe) July 26, 2023

and pursued the woman. Thirty metres down the road the friend and the woman embraced and he waived me over. There under streetlights with mist on my breath, I met Sinéad. She looked in my eyes, and uttered with disarming softness “ oh, it’s you Russell”.

She came with us back to the table and sat in the cold and ordered a hot tea. In a conversation without fences we roamed through the recent Dublin heatwave, local politics, American politics, the ongoing fight

for indigenous recognition in many places, but particularly in Australia, her warm memory of New Zealand, faith, music, movies and her brother the writer. I had the opportunity to tell her she was a hero of mine.

When her second cup was taking on the night air, she rose, embraced us all and strode away into the fog-dimmed streetlights.
We sat there the four of us and variously expressed the same thing. What an amazing woman.

Peace be with your courageous heart Sinéad.

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Fantastic story — it sounds like she had found her peace, at last:

“Sinead O’Connor Remembers Things Differently” https://t.co/n0zko5i8fo (@amandahess) pic.twitter.com/7UfouD9D8q

— Longform (@longform) May 21, 2021


(If it turns out to require a NYT subscription, let me know in the comments & I’ll add a gift link.)

Sinead O’Connor, acclaimed Dublin singer, dies aged 56 https://t.co/00uq4SjSHr

— The Irish Times (@IrishTimes) July 26, 2023

Andy Vermaut shares:Miley Cyrus Speaks Out On Sinead O’Connor Criticisms: “God Bless Sinead O’Connor”: A month after the untimely death of Irish singer-songwriter Sinead O’Connor at age 56, Miley Cyrus has spoken about their 2013 conflict over… Thankyou. https://t.co/toSnVZtGO3 pic.twitter.com/d1xbhVmPc4

— Andy Vermaut (@AndyVermaut) August 25, 2023

Nothing Compares 2 Sinéad O’Connor - STOCKPILE

Long Belated Tribute: Nothing Compares 2 Sinéad O’ConnorPost + Comments (18)

How Stupid People Should be Treated

by John Cole|  January 10, 20242:53 pm| 180 Comments

This post is in: Open Threads

This is fucking beautiful:

Jimmy’s thoughts on quarterback Karen Rodgers… pic.twitter.com/mRh5VRUycz

— Jimmy Kimmel Live (@JimmyKimmelLive) January 9, 2024

Every idiot should be treated like this.

How Stupid People Should be TreatedPost + Comments (180)

“The Fallen and the Damned”

by Betty Cracker|  January 10, 202412:00 pm| 113 Comments

This post is in: Open Threads, Republican Venality, The War On Women, Women's Rights

I’ve been reading Slate law and politics writers Dahlia Lithwick and Mark Joseph Stern for years now. They’ve chronicled the conservative-led hollowing out of the U.S. Supreme Court about as well as anyone could, in my opinion. They write about the court’s decline with a horrified detachment that is reminiscent of a steely safari guide describing a pack of braying hyenas taking down a wounded elephant.

But in their latest piece, the veteran Slate editors achieve a level of cold fury I can’t recall seeing before in their work. The article addresses the contemptuous disregard red state officials and judges are now displaying toward pregnant women:

Any woman who seeks to terminate a pregnancy is wicked, any woman who miscarries is evil, and any woman who—for reasons of failing health, circumstance, or simple bad luck—does not prove to be an adequate incubator deserves whatever she gets. Every unborn fetus is the priority over the pregnant person carrying it and must be carried to term at all costs. So goes the moral calculus of the death-panel judges who now determine how to weigh the competing interests between real, existing human life and a state’s dogmatic fixation with a fetus that, by definition, must be seraphically innocent.

One need only look at red states’ scramble to defend their draconian abortion bans to witness this perverse moral hierarchy in action. In the wake of Roe v. Wade’s demise, the victims of these laws are no longer hypothetical: They are flesh-and-blood women, directly and viscerally injured by the denial of basic health care, and some of them have even had the gall to fight for their rights. Republican attorneys general have responded with furious indignation, openly demeaning these women as liars, wimps, partisans, and baby killers.

If that sounds hyperbolic, read the whole thing, and you’ll find Lithwick and Stern’s fury is fully justified. They cite the hideous legal harassment of an Ohio woman who miscarried as well as corrupt Texas AG Ken Paxton and the state’s supreme court’s papal decree that blocks local emergency care access.

They point to Idaho AG Raúl Labrador’s grotesque insistence that “women forced to carry dangerous, nonviable pregnancies merely ‘disagree with the legitimate policy choices made by the Idaho legislature.’” Lithwick and Stern also call attention to a particularly egregious filing by Tennessee’s Republican AG:

(AG Jonathan T.) Skrmetti has been fighting a lawsuit filed by a group of Tennessee women denied emergency abortions under the ultranarrow medical exception to that state’s ban. The women plaintiffs suffered an appalling range of trauma, including sepsis and hemorrhaging, because they could not terminate their pregnancies. The attorney general’s response to their complaint is a scathing, shockingly personal broadside against the victims of the ban. He accused them of attempting to draw “lines about which unborn lives are worth protecting” by imposing a medical exception “of their own liking.” He mocked them for asserting that ostensibly minor conditions like “sickle cell disease” might justify an abortion. And he insisted that the lead plaintiff, Nicole Blackmon, lacks standing, because she underwent sterilization after the state forced her to carry a nonviable pregnancy and deliver a stillborn baby. The attorney general viciously suggested that, if Blackmon really wanted to fight Tennessee’s ban, she could have tried for another doomed pregnancy.

Perhaps Skrmetti deserves half credit for candor, because he did not even pretend to treat these plaintiffs like compelling moral human beings. Instead, he wrote that Tennessee may allow different standards of care for pregnant and nonpregnant women. A pregnant woman, the attorney general averred, may be refused a treatment if it “has the potential to harm unborn lives—an issue not implicated” when treating nonpregnant women. “No equal-protection rule,” he concluded, “bars lawmakers from acting on that difference to protect unborn babies.” In other words, once a woman is pregnant, she becomes a vessel for “unborn babies,” giving the state authority to cut off her access to urgently necessary health care.

Jesus. Under Tennessee’s outlier system, Skrmetti was appointed to an eight-year term as a “nonpartisan” AG by the state’s supreme court in 2022, so he’ll be crapping on Tennesseans’ rights for the better part of the next decade. Skrmetti is another Harvard Law grad, by the way. The wrap-up from Lithwick and Stern:

The mother will never be able to show that she wanted the pregnancy enough, took good enough care, made every correct predictive decision. And as such, the state will happily dismiss her interests as not only irrelevant, but self-serving, greedy, and dishonest. That it’s being said aloud in courtrooms, in pleadings, and in affidavits should not surprise anyone.

The pregnant woman has always been the fallen and the damned. Now, according to red states, it’s acceptable—necessary, even—to ensure that she knows this, from the very moment of conception until the moment she loses the power to make any choices about how she gives birth. Even if she dies, she was forever that which stood in the way of flawless, purest life.

I wish Lithwick and Stern were wrong, but it’s there in the documents, in black and white. We know about the cases they cite because those matters wound up in court, but how many women will die without challenging substandard care in the legal system? That number may be unknowable. But this we know: No matter how high the toll in women’s lives and health, it’s acceptable to red state Republican officials.

Open thread.

“The Fallen and the Damned”Post + Comments (113)

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