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Balloon Juice

Come for the politics, stay for the snark.

If a good thing happens for a bad reason, it’s still a good thing.

It is possible to do the right thing without the promise of a cookie.

Donald Trump found guilty as fuck – May 30, 2024!

🎶 Those boots were made for mockin’ 🎵

Their freedom requires your slavery.

Many life forms that would benefit from greater intelligence, sadly, do not have it.

We still have time to mess this up!

There is no right way to do the wrong thing.

Let me file that under fuck it.

At some point, the ability to learn is a factor of character, not IQ.

Celebrate the fucking wins.

Conservatism: there are people the law protects but does not bind and others who the law binds but does not protect.

Perhaps you mistook them for somebody who gives a damn.

Also, are you sure you want people to rate your comments?

Stop using mental illness to avoid talking about armed white supremacy.

It’s all just conspiracy shit beamed down from the mothership.

Technically true, but collectively nonsense

Speaker Mike Johnson is a vile traitor to the House and the Constitution.

They punch you in the face and then start crying because their fist hurts.

Humiliatingly small and eclipsed by the derision of millions.

Beware of advice from anyone for whom Democrats are “they” and not “we.”

He wakes up lying, and he lies all day.

Why is it so hard for them to condemn hate?

Dear media: perhaps we ought to let Donald Trump speak for himself!

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Open Thread:  Hey Lurkers!  (Holiday Post)

Open Threads

You are here: Home / Archives for Open Threads

The New Statists

by Betty Cracker|  November 21, 20234:25 pm| 194 Comments

This post is in: Open Threads

In the “Hostages” thread below, in response to a comment I made about Israel under Netanyahu, Adam outlined how healthy democracies take on authoritarian traits and/or devolve into illiberal, managed “democracies” (scare quotes mine):

(Israel) ceased to be a democracy when Bibi started pushing the reforms legislatively in the spring. Having hundreds of thousands of citizens in the street protesting, the bulk of the fighter pilots in the Israeli Air Force, and the bulk of the Israeli Special Forces resign in protest is not actually a sign of a healthy, vibrant democracy. They are the signs of a state that has crossed the threshold into authoritarianism because you have lost the ability to use the normal political process to achieve your goals. In this case blocking Bibi’s judicial reforms.

It is the same dynamic here. The fact that 6 JAN 2021 happened is the same type of indicator. As was McConnell’s blocking Obama from appointing a Supreme Court Justice. As is 30 states having GOP trifectas and, as a result, being managed illiberal democracies where the will of the majority of voters do not actually matter. As is having to get a court order to keep polls open in majority Black districts in Mississippi because they ran out of ballots within an hour of opening and still never had enough ballots for everyone to vote. As is every extreme gerrymander and extreme voter suppression scheme.

All the extra hard work everyone has to do to just barely eke out competitive victories in the US is not a sign of a vibrant liberal democracy. All of this extra effort and work and expense are signs that the US has already gone past the tipping point. Far too may people – elected officials, the news media, elites, notables – either refuse to recognize what has happened and continues to happen or refuse to admit it out of fear of what happens when they actually tell everyone the truth.

The US was an imperfect pluralistic liberal democracy from the late 1960s through to 2016. Prior to that at the municipal, state, and federal level it was an illiberal managed democracy. The backlash to the period that was the late 1960s through 2016 was strong, relentless, under reported, ignored, pooh poohed, and, as a result, succeeded in pushing the US back into what it has been for the majority of its existence. Which is not a liberal democracy.

I was unhappy with that response. Not because I don’t believe it’s true but because I think it is.

Later I read an essay by Josh Marshall at TPM that struck me as a piece of the same puzzle clicking into place. It didn’t seem that way at first because the topic of the essay is Elon Musk and his frivolous lawsuit against Media Matters.

But then Marshall mentioned how an agent of an illiberal state, the crooked attorney general of Texas, Ken Paxton, slithered forth to help Musk silence a media outlet. And how other agents of illiberal managed democracy states followed suit. That’s when it clicked:

This isn’t merely opportunistic. Of all the “ideas” and “policies” backfilled into the fetid carcass of Trumpism this one stands out. That is the belief that the marketplace of ideas or the literal marketplace can no longer be relied on to keep America pure and right. The ‘culture’ is slipping away. What is necessary is to gain state power and use that power to coerce culture and society back in a conservative direction. With all the Trumpite ‘think tanks’ and organizations popping up to support a second Trump term, this is the one overriding idea and aim: state power to change the direction of society and culture.

Certainly conservative principles to the contrary were as often as not in the past honored in the breach. But the change is real. It means new kinds of state action and a much more antagonistic relationship with major elements, though by no means all, of the business community. But most important. and underlying all the rest, it is premised on a basic belief that conservatism is not popular. Cultural and social change left to their own devices are running against it. State intervention is required to change it.

We’ll see that in abundance if Trump retakes the presidency next year. We’ll continue to see it at the state level even if he doesn’t.

In both scenarios, on every front, the hard-right is leveraging state power to undermine democracy. Speaking only for myself, I don’t think it’s too late to tip the balance back — to recover the imperfect pluralistic liberal democracy that prevailed from the late 1960s until 2016.

But I also don’t think it’s pessimism to acknowledge that it’s going to be a long, hard slog to do so and that the outcome is uncertain. In fact, I think acknowledging that is essential because if we can’t accurately define the stakes, if we treat this as business as usual, we’ve already lost.

I’m probably preaching to the choir here. I suspect most of us feel in our bones — and have for years now — that the country is on a knife’s edge. That feeling didn’t go away when Biden was inaugurated, and it won’t dissipate if, dog willing, he’s inaugurated for a second time.

Some of us are already living in authoritarian fiefdoms within a federal system where democracy is increasingly tenuous. If we can’t begin to turn that around at every level, the most chilling slogan from the flailing DeSantis campaign, “make America Florida,” may come true regardless of what happens to the ridiculous Pudd’n Boots himself. Let’s not let that happen, okay?

Open thread.

The New StatistsPost + Comments (194)

There May Now Be a Hostages for Ceasefire Deal

by Adam L Silverman|  November 21, 202311:51 am| 130 Comments

This post is in: Foreign Affairs, Foreign Policy, Israel, Military, Open Threads, Palestine, Silverman on Security, War, War in Ukraine

I’ve been watching the Israeli sources for several days to see if the tentative, coming very soon, imminent, hostages for ceasefire deal. What I kept seeing was this has been going on for weeks, nothing is happening, there’s no deal.

Now, however, we have news.

💥"Official Israeli source"
-50 hostages will be released at once
-Hamas has not committed to release all hostage children. Hamas says it will try to locate the rest during truce days
-Ceasefire will last 4 days
-Hamas will release 10 more hostages for every additional truce day

— Noga Tarnopolsky נגה טרנופולסקי نوغا ترنوبولسكي (@NTarnopolsky) November 21, 2023

– אסירים פלסטינים שהורשעו ברצח – לא ישוחררו
– האסירים הפלסטינים שישוחררו, נשים וקטינים, יועברו לביתם
– דלק וסיוע הומניטרי ייכנס לעזה במהלך ימי ההפוגה
– כל גורמי הביטחון, כולל צה״ל ושב״כ, תומכים בעסקה
– חמאס מסוגל לשחרר בשלב זה כ-80 חטופים

— Suleiman Maswadeh סולימאן מסוודה (@SuleimanMas1) November 21, 2023

Machine translations of Maswadeh’s reporting:

The details of the kidnap deal, according to an Israeli political official:

– 50 abductees will be released at once
– There is no commitment from Hamas to release all the children. Hamas will try to locate the rest during the truce
– The ceasefire will be for 4 days
– Every additional day of the ceasefire, Hamas will release 10 more hostages
– The abductees who will be released alive, have Israeli citizenship
>>>

And:

– Palestinian prisoners convicted of murder – will not be released
– The Palestinian prisoners who will be released, women and minors, will be moved to their homes
– Fuel and humanitarian aid will enter Gaza during the ceasefire days
– All security forces, including the IDF and Shin Bet, support the deal
– Hamas is able to release about 80 hostages at this stage

ETA at 12:00 PM EST: Here’s Barak Ravid’s reporting. It has now gone beyond the original four tweets I posted, so first tweet from the thread and the 8 from the Thread Reader App:

1 A senior Israeli official said in a briefing with reporters that the IDF, Shin Bet and Mossad support the hostage deal with Hamas and so are the members of the war cabinet

— Barak Ravid (@BarakRavid) November 21, 2023

2 \ The Israeli official said Israel’s insistence in the last two weeks led to an improvement of the deal mainly when it comes to the increase in the number of women and children that could be released and the decrease in the number of days of pause 
3 \ The official said that among the 50 hostages that will be released on phase one there will only be Israelis or Israelis dual nationals. The official said that if Hamas chooses to release foreign nationals who are not Israelis it is doing this not as part of the deal 
4 \ The official said that if during the four day pause Hamas locates more hostages it is willing to release Israel is ready to give another day of pause for every 10 hostages Hamas releases 
5 \ An Israeli official said: “We think Hamas can get 70-80 hostages. For all we are concerned it needs to bring hostages from the Islamic Jihad and other factions that hold hostages” 
6 \ According to the Israeli official, Israel will not release Palestinian prisoners who killed Israelis. In the 24 hours after the cabinet approves the deal the names of the prisoners will be made public so that Israeli citizens can appeal to court against their release 
7 \ The Israeli official added that Israel will allow more fuel into Gaza only during the days of the pause and once the pause is over the amount will go back to level before the deal 
8 \ The Israeli official said that Israeli intelligence services made clear they have surveillance capabilities other than drones and therefore they have no problem with stopping the use of drones for six hours a day during the pause 
9 \ As part of the agreement Israel will continue to prevent the return of Palestinians from southern Gaza to the northern Gaza strip during the days of the pause and the IDF will resume military operations in Gaza once the pause is over. END

So were does this leave us? As is the case with everything for the past 15 plus years, with Bibi!

BREAKING: An official who is involved in the negotiations on the hostage deal says “the ball is in Bibi’s court now” and he needs to make sure the cabinet approves it

— Barak Ravid (@BarakRavid) November 21, 2023

💥Netanyahu would not convene the government if he did not have a written offer in hand https://t.co/JFCaXlrNPY

— Noga Tarnopolsky נגה טרנופולסקי نوغا ترنوبولسكي (@NTarnopolsky) November 21, 2023

What is Bibi actually up to these days? Noga Tarnopolsky has the details after the jump: (emphasis mine)

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The first month of Israel’s war against Hamas was marked by the highest-profile support ever from an American president with Joe Biden sweeping into Tel Aviv, where he bigfooted Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu. Israelis treated Biden like a savior after their government failed to foresee or prevent Hamas from slaughtering 1,200 people and shirked responsibility for the attack.

Immediately after October 7, Netanyahu went into virtual hiding. He was unpopular with Israelis and with the Biden administration before the war thanks to a proposed “judicial reform” that would have upended Israel’s system of government, and possibly saved him from his corruption trial, which is still underway. Seventy-six percent of Israelis believe he should resign as a result of perceived mistakes and misconceptions that allowed Hamas’ assault to be so lethal.

Now, as the war killing thousands extends deep into a second month, the man known as “the Magician” for slipping out of political traps is trying to wriggle loose again by directly confronting the United States and, according to one former and one current U.S. official, angering the Biden administration.

“For the first three weeks, Netanyahu was asleep,” said Gideon Rahat, a professor at Hebrew University who specializes in Israeli politics. “He just couldn’t function.” When Netanyahu woke up, Rahat said, he realized that Biden had replaced him as the leader Israelis turned to in their anguish. “He didn’t like hearing ‘Biden, Biden, Biden’ everywhere, and now he’s trying to get back into it. He wants to be the focus.”

During a press conference on Sunday, Netanyahu touted a “diplomatic Iron Dome” and said he would not give in to “increasingly heavy pressure … used against us in recent weeks” to cease fighting, agree to future Palestinian stewardship of the Gaza Strip, or agree to a deal that would see hostages exchanged for Palestinian prisoners held in Israeli jails. “I reject these pressures and say to the world: We will continue to fight until victory — until we destroy Hamas and bring our hostages back home.”

“No one thinks that at the end of this Netanyahu will still be around,” the U.S. official said, echoing Israeli sentiment. “It just doesn’t seem possible, whenever this winds up. He’s not taking any responsibility, but he’s trying to reposition himself for political survival. It’s incredible.” (The White House did not respond to a request for comment.)

Over the past week, Netanyahu has openly defied the U.S., by far Israel’s most important ally, on every war-related issue except the goal of eradicating Hamas. He declared that Israel would retain “security control” for Gaza “indefinitely,” leading Biden to say occupying Gaza would be “a big mistake.” Secretary of State Antony Blinken also underscored that there should be “no reoccupation of Gaza after the conflict ends. No attempt to blockade or besiege Gaza. No reduction in the territory of Gaza.”

Hours before Netanyahu spoke, Biden wrote in the Washington Post that “Gaza and the West Bank should be reunited under a single governance structure, ultimately under a revitalized Palestinian Authority, as we all work toward a two-state solution.”

Netanyahu’s speech on Sunday appeared to be a direct rebuke, according to Chaim Levinson, a political analyst for the left-leaning daily Haaretz and an old Netanyahu hand. He wrote that Netanyahu’s repositioning was now clear: “Mr. Security is dead; Mr International is born … He can no longer run for reelection on a platform promising to deter Hamas and prevent ISIS from reaching Sderot; his ticket is the Palestinian Authority. Netanyahu will eliminate it. He will prevent Biden and Blinken from letting it into Gaza.”

Netanyahu has rejected the return of the Palestinian Authority, which was ousted from Gaza by a violent coup in 2007, telling NBC News that “a different authority” would have to take over after the anticipated defeat of Hamas. His extremist, ultraright finance minister, Bezalel Smotrich, commended the prime minister for “clearly” stating that the “Palestinian Authority is a body that supports and encourages terrorism.”

“There’s no difference between Gaza and Ramallah,” Smotrich said in a radio interview on Monday. “We should all wake up to this fact. The Palestinian Authority supports terrorism and supports the terrible massacre. This war should end in a situation where there is no threat to the State of Israel. For any reason. That is victory.”

Biden also wrote that he has been “emphatic with Israel’s leaders that extremist violence against Palestinians in the West Bank must stop and that those committing the violence must be held accountable. The United States is prepared to take our own steps, including issuing visa bans against extremists attacking civilians in the West Bank.”

“I told President Biden that the accusations against the settlement movement are baseless,” Netanyahu said on November 9, dismissing American pleas that Israel curb a swelling wave of violence in the occupied West Bank, which is governed by the Palestinian Authority and dotted by Israeli settlements. He portrayed the violence is coming from a “small extreme minority,” not the settlement movement.

“His comments about Palestinians particularly riled us up,” said a U.S. official familiar with relations with the Israeli government. Netanyahu’s words, in the official’s opinion, “were unnecessary given what we are trying to do for him and the support we’ve given him.”

By the way I actually do believe that Bibi will be around when this is over. There will never be a no confidence vote in Knesset to bring down the government and force an election. The reason for this is that the extremist coalition he’s built is using the cover of the emergency to achieve their authoritarian, theocratic, and neo-fascist objectives. Convicted terrorist Ben Gvir is illegally arming his ulradevout ultranationalists constituents with carbines the US provided Israel solely for military and law enforcement work. Smotrich is looting the treasury to illegally funnel money to his ultradevout ultranationalist constituents institutions. Both are working to drive Palestinians out of east Jerusalem, as well as the occupied West Bank and further expand the illegal settlements. Yariv Levin, Israel’s Justice Minister, is actually undertaking by fiat what he and Bibi were unable to through legislation: transforming the judiciary. Gantz, who is now in the emergency war cabinet, has never been able to actually build a coalition of his own because he’s even more hawkish regarding the Palestinians than Bibi is. As is Bibi’s Defense Minister Gallant. If a no confidence vote passes, none of these extremists get to keep doing what they’re doing. In terms of their personal political goals and ambitions, Hamas attack is working out great for them.

By law the next Israeli election won’t take place until 2026. By then, Bibi and his extremist coalition partners will have so radically transformed Israel’s government and constitutional order that none of them will be going anywhere. This state of emergency has been a great gift to them. They will milk it for every thing they can.

Finally, as I wrote the other day, once the women and children hostages come back and relate they’ve been abused, show signs of abuse, or both, I expect the Israelis will escalate because of how these hostages were treated.

Open thread!

There May Now Be a Hostages for Ceasefire DealPost + Comments (130)

Tuesday Morning Open Thread: T-Day Countdown

by Anne Laurie|  November 21, 20238:08 am| 200 Comments

This post is in: Open Threads, President Biden, Proud to Be A Democrat, Our Failed Media Experiment, Show Me On the Doll Where Rahm Touched You

The president and first lady serving food at a Friendsgiving at Norfolk Naval Station pic.twitter.com/SkuWWntjCU

— Sophie Hills (@sophiemhills) November 19, 2023

Some *very* happy Midwestern Thanksgiving gatherings…

“The United Auto Workers confirmed that members at General Motors Co., Ford Motor Co. and Stellantis NV have ratified record four-and-a-half-year agreements, securing wage increases, investment commitments and more for 146,000 members”https://t.co/RYoLHvM3gD

— philip lewis (@Phil_Lewis_) November 20, 2023

Tuesday Morning Open Thread: T-Day Countdown 1

show full post on front page

Tuesday Morning Open Thread: T-Day Countdown

Speaking of screwing things up…

Peter Baker crying https://t.co/Z9i4ZiNLA9

— B-21 Mothra (@TonyMoonbeam) November 20, 2023

Tuesday Morning Open Thread: T-Day Countdown 2

Gerontocracy experts meanwhile are just holding their breath

— Pinboard (@Pinboard) November 21, 2023

On Jan. 6, the president of the United States incited a mob to attack the U.S. Congress for the purpose of stopping a constitutional process. Some people — including the vice president — were forced to flee. Don't let the fog-throwers befog you. They will never stop trying.

— Jay Nordlinger (@jaynordlinger) November 18, 2023

Again, there was a report in the newspaper that employs you describing how voters flipped back to Biden after being reminded of Trump's policies by the reporter. https://t.co/No895VCC6v

— vocational politics appreciation account (@Convolutedname) November 20, 2023

Tuesday Morning Open Thread: T-Day CountdownPost + Comments (200)

The Life of Rosalynn Carter, Love Adventure Story

by Anne Laurie|  November 21, 20232:10 am| 25 Comments

This post is in: Absent Friends, Open Threads

Rosalynn Carter Will Be Buried at Family's Georgia Residence After Lying in Repose Next Week https://t.co/gBQQV1fO1M via @people

— Gina Lawriw (@GinaLawriw) November 20, 2023

Per People Magazine, “Rosalynn Carter Will Be Buried at Family’s Georgia Residence After Lying in Repose Next Week”:

Rosalynn Carter, a lifelong advocate for mental health and human rights advocate and the wife of former President Jimmy Carter, will be memorialized with a series of public and private events in Georgia after the Thanksgiving holiday — ending with her burial at the Plains residence she called home since 1961.

On Monday, Nov. 27, ceremonies will begin with a wreath-laying at Georgia Southwestern State University’s Rosalynn Carter Health and Human Sciences Complex. The former first lady will then be taken to the Jimmy Carter Presidential Library and Museum in Atlanta, where members of the public are invited to pay respects while she lies in repose from 6 to 10 p.m.

On Tuesday, Nov. 28, the Carter motorcade will move to Emory University’s Glenn Memorial Church for a private tribute service, and on Wednesday, Nov. 28, a formal funeral service for family and friends will take place at Maranatha Baptist Church in Plains.

The public is welcomed to line the family’s motorcade route after the funeral service before she is privately interred at the Carter family’s residence, near the home she and President Carter built more than 60 years ago.

In lieu of flowers, the Carter family is requesting that those interested consider contributing to the Carter Center’s Mental Health Program or the Rosalynn Carter Institute for Caregivers…

In a statement released following her death, the former president said, “Rosalynn was my equal partner in everything I ever accomplished. She gave me wise guidance and encouragement when I needed it. As long as Rosalynn was in the world, I always knew somebody loved and supported me.”

The couple’s son, Chip Carter, added in a statement: “Besides being a loving mother and extraordinary First Lady, my mother was a great humanitarian in her own right. Her life of service and compassion was an example for all Americans. She will be sorely missed not only by our family but by the many people who have better mental health care and access to resources for caregiving today.”

After leaving the White House, the Carters started The Carter Center, a health and human rights organization aimed at alleviating human suffering around the globe. Rosalynn chaired the center’s Mental Health Task Force and served as a member of the Carter Center Board of Trustees.

In 1987, Rosalynn also founded the Rosalynn Carter Institute for Caregivers with the goal of empowering caregivers and advocating for public policy changes. RCI was inspired by her own experience caring for others with illnesses and disabilities, beginning when she was 12 and tasked with supporting her terminally ill father and younger siblings…

That’s a whole narrative, just that last sentence. More details, and pictures, at the link.

Coretta Scott King, Rosalynn Carter, Betty Ford and Lady Bird Johnson supporting Equal Rights Amendment, November 1977: pic.twitter.com/oFfJJbeKNi

— Michael Beschloss (@BeschlossDC) November 19, 2023

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“Blessed are the peacemakers…” Love and prayers for former First Lady, #RosalynnCarter, and former President, #JimmyCarter. pic.twitter.com/hU37Jb6Owc

— Be A King (@BerniceKing) November 19, 2023

The most exciting thing that’s happened to Jimmy Carter pic.twitter.com/xfyWLKwVmN

— Jeff 🌊 ☕ (@wellsy57) November 20, 2023

In a touching story revealed by historian Michael Beschloss, when former President Jimmy Carter was at his sickest, and they feared the worst, he refused hospital care saying he wanted to pass away holding Rosalynn’s hand.

New information has surfaced that when Rosalynn died… pic.twitter.com/CGfhDBWRdF

— CALL TO ACTIVISM (@CalltoActivism) November 20, 2023


The Life of Roselynn Carter, <del>Love</del> Adventure Story

Rosalynn and Jimmy Carter on their wedding day in 1946. ?? pic.twitter.com/X0xYQa1jNw

— Marin K Levy (@marinklevy) November 19, 2023

You learn very quickly that there is no handbook or rules to being First Lady. Technically, it’s not even an official position. And while there are spoken and unspoken expectations that provide some structure, the role is largely shaped by the passions and aspirations of the… pic.twitter.com/MDOVk8NtR1

— Michelle Obama (@MichelleObama) November 19, 2023

.@POTUS statement on the passing of Rosalynn Carter: pic.twitter.com/SSNB5cX6CB

— Bros46 (@Bros4Joe) November 19, 2023

Rosalynn and Jimmy Carter, a truly beautiful love story. 🩵 pic.twitter.com/7OtClWpBrY

— ᗰᗩƳᖇᗩ ℙ𝕙𝕠𝕥𝕠𝕘𝕣𝕒𝕡𝕙𝕪 (@LePapillonBlu2) November 21, 2023

Gentlemen: In a world full of cold hearted, gold digging Melania Trumps, find yourself a Rosalynn Carter.

Ladies: May you find someone who loves and respects you as much as Jimmy Carter loved & respected Rosalynn. ❤️ pic.twitter.com/xlayOvCVZo

— Exhausted American 🏀⚒️Nuggets Stan (@ShePersisted70) November 20, 2023

The Life of Rosalynn Carter, <del>Love</del> Adventure StoryPost + Comments (25)

War for Ukraine Day 635: Secretary Austin Pays a Visit to Kyiv

by Adam L Silverman|  November 20, 20239:47 pm| 20 Comments

This post is in: Foreign Affairs, Foreign Policy, Israel, Military, Open Threads, Palestine, Russia, Silverman on Security, War, War in Ukraine

Graphic by NEIVANMADE of a Russian bomb with a "Z" symbol on it crashing through the roof of the Ukrainian Postal Service delivery hub. "Everyone Is a Target" and "Stop Russia" are written in the space between the destroyed roof and the fins of the bomb.

Just a quick housekeeping note: There is still no ceasefire for hostages deal. In fact the President Special Envoy for the Middle East, Amos Hochstein, arrived in Israel to express the President’s concerns that Israel is trying to bait Hezbullah into a war in Lebanon that would draw in other regional actors, as well as the US. And that Israel should knock it off. Israel is unlikely to knock it off.

Secretary of Defense Austin paid a visit to Kyiv today.

Was extremely glad to welcome Secretary Austin to Kyiv today.
This visit is a clear message — the US support for Ukraine will remain steadfast and long-term.

We had a fruitful discussion with @SecDef.
Discussed Ukraine's current and future (capabilities) on the battlefield… pic.twitter.com/HOgvH1Sjvb

— Rustem Umerov (@rustem_umerov) November 20, 2023

The visit of @SecDef to Kyiv today is a clear message — the US support for Ukraine will remain steadfast and long-term.

Minister @rustem_umerov discussed with Secretary Austin Ukraine's current and future (capabilities) on the battlefield and how the US & allies can help… https://t.co/MRh3yR2v3O

— Defense of Ukraine (@DefenceU) November 20, 2023

I’ll have more details from the SecDef’s press gaggle in Kyiv after the jump.

Here is President Zelenskyy’s address from earlier today. Video below, English transcript after the jump.

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The world sees America’s strength in helping Ukraine – address by President Volodymyr Zelenskyy

20 November 2023 – 19:03

I wish you health, fellow Ukrainians!

It was an eventful day.

U.S. Secretary of Defense Austin paid a visit to Ukraine. The delegation also included Supreme Allied Commander Europe, Mr. Cavoli. It was a very productive conversation, and it is important that it took place on the eve of the new meeting in the Ramstein format.

Of course, we discussed the situation on the battlefield and its prospects – how we can enhance both our defense and our advancement. There is a new defense package for our country from the United States. I am grateful for it. In particular, there will be more artillery – shells that are needed right now.

We also discussed Ukraine’s actions in the Black Sea and the protection of our export corridor. Freedom of navigation is a fundamental value for the entire world, and Ukraine has proven here in the Black Sea that we are capable of driving the aggressor out of the water area that it wanted so badly to make dead.

I am grateful to all partners who are helping us to ensure the real restoration of international law on our land and in our sea, and I am especially grateful to the United States for its continued leadership in support.

Normal life in the world largely depends on whether America is strong in protecting life. And the world sees this strength in helping Ukraine.

I held several important meetings today. The first one was about planning our international communication for the coming weeks. There will be relevant events. I also held meetings with the heads of the intelligence services – both the Main Intelligence Directorate and the Foreign Intelligence Service of Ukraine. Both are working efficiently, and I am grateful for that.

A meeting with Prime Minister Denys Shmyhal. Mostly about current issues – things that the government is currently implementing. But also about our relations with some partners.

In particular, the Prime Minister reported on his talks with representatives of Bulgaria and Romania, which is clearly a growing area of cross-border cooperation. I am grateful to our partners. This includes the work of the maritime corridor, the Danube export cluster, and the overall trade turnover between our countries. With Romania alone, we see the potential to reach 4 million tons of trade turnover by the end of this year. This is very powerful and very supportive not only for our country, not only for jobs in Ukraine, but also for partner countries. The whole region grows when neighbors cooperate.

I am sure we will expand our cooperation. Romania, Bulgaria, Moldova, Ukraine, and the entire European Union are absolutely interested in making our ties stronger. Because later on, this strength is reflected in the growth of our ability to defend ourselves – to defend freedom.

I thank everyone who helps Ukraine! I thank everyone whose job is to make Ukraine, our people, and our children more secure. And I thank every Ukrainian soldier, every sergeant, every officer of the Defense and Security Forces of Ukraine, everyone who defends the state and truly cares about human life!

Glory to Ukraine!

I came to Kyiv today with an important message – the United States stands with Ukraine, and we are going to be with them for the long haul. pic.twitter.com/4wPE2Jx2tm

— Archive: Lloyd J. Austin III (@SecDefAustin) November 20, 2023

Here’s the transcript of SecDef’s press gaggle from earlier today in Kyiv: (emphasis mine)

Secretary of Defense Lloyd J. Austin III Holds a Press Gaggle, Kyiv, Ukraine
Nov. 20, 2023
Secretary of Defense Lloyd J. Austin III

BRIG. GEN. PAT RYDER: All right, ladies and gentlemen, welcome. Secretary Austin will have a few opening remarks, and then we’ll turn it over to questions. Please note, I will call on reporters.

So, Mr. Secretary, over to you, sir.

SECRETARY OF DEFENSE LLOYD J. AUSTIN III: Good evening. It’s great to be back in Kyiv.

This is my third visit to Kyiv as Secretary of Defense, my second visit since the war started. I was here in April of 2022. Since that time, the Ukraine Defense Contact Group, which, as you know, is a group of about 50 nations that work together to provide much-needed security assistance to Ukraine – that group has roared into action, and we have continued to work together to provide much-needed security assistance in the form of HIMARS, other artillery platforms, tanks, munitions. And so really, really good work on the part of our allies and partners.

Had a good chance to discuss a number of issues with President Zelenskyy and Minister Umerov; talked about current operations and also talked about what Minister Umerov looks to do with the Ministry of Defense going forward in terms of his near-term goals and objectives and his mid-term goals and objectives. So very, very constructive conversations.

I wanted to reassure the leadership that the United States of America will continue to support Ukraine. And so, you know, we talked about the things that we’re going to continue to do to make sure that they have what they need to be successful on the battlefield.

It also gave us an opportunity to re-focus and make sure that we maintain alignment between the operations on the ground and the President’s objectives. And so that was a great opportunity.

And so overall, it’s been a great visit. And with that, I’ll take a couple of your questions.

BRIG. GEN. RYDER: Ellee, CBS?

Q: I’m going to derail things. I have an Israel question, so sorry. Have you seen any cause for concern, how the Israelis are using the American-provided weapons? And have you voiced any concerns to your counterparts in Israel?

SEC. AUSTIN: So the question is have I seen any cause for concern, in terms of how the weapons that we’re providing to Israel are being used? We have said every step of the way that our expectation is that the Israelis conduct their operations in accordance with the law of armed conflict.

And we have made sure that we continue to emphasize to the Israelis that they must account for civilians in the battlespace. And not only that, but they must do everything – or should do everything that they can to get humanitarian assistance in to the people in Gaza.

And as we’ve said a number of times, Hamas does not equal the Palestinian people. Hamas is a terrorist organization and the Palestinian people deserve better, they deserve much more. And again, hopefully at the end of this, you know, this will transition into something that provides good governance for the people of Gaza and addresses the underlying causes of instability.

(CROSSTALK)

Q: Mr. Secretary, German Minister Boris Pistorius said that XX will be a gamechanger in Ukraine. Some are afraid of even F-16s won’t be a gamechanger. Given these statements, and what, in what in your opinion, can be a gamechanger or advantage in Ukraine?

SEC. AUSTIN: Well, that’s a great question. And you heard me say, you’ve heard us say a number of times that there is no silver bullet in a conflict like this. It really depends on providing the right capabilities and also integrating those capabilities in meaningful ways so that you can create the right effects on the battlefield.

And so whether it’s F-16s, whether it’s HIMARS, whether it’s something else, it’s the way that you go about utilizing those capabilities and integrating it, synchronizing the capabilities to produce the right effects on the battlefield.

BRIG. GEN. PAT RYDER: Let’s go to Voice of America, Carla Babb.

Q: Thank you. First of all, there’s been a steady drumbeat of aid rolling out for Ukraine. Did you tell your counterparts about any additional U.S. aid that is coming out for Ukraine in the coming days?

And then on the fighting, how important is it to prevent Russia from again having the winter months to harden their defenses? And have you received assurances from the people you stood with today, from these leaders, that they are going to keep the pressure on Russia?

SEC. AUSTIN: Well, you heard President Zelenskyy say a number of times that he intends to continue to keep the pressure on the Russians. And so, we expect that, you know, that will absolutely happen.

And the first part of your question again, Carla?

Q: Well, the first part was did you tell them that about any additional aid that the U.S. would be providing to Ukraine in the coming days?

SEC. AUSTIN: Yeah, so I announced today another $100 million drawdown using presidential drawdown authority, that it’ll provide additional artillery munition — munitions, additional interceptors for air defense, and a number of anti-tank weapons as well.

So, our support continues, but you’re right, other allies and partners are also stepping up to the plate as well.

BRIG. GEN. PAT RYDER: Let’s go to IC TV, Natalia

Q: Good evening. Mr. Secretary, I will follow up with my colleague’s question. From your perspective, is Ukrainian Army all ready for winter combat, especially considering the fact of this funding challenges from the United States Congress?

SEC. AUSTIN: I think they are prepared for combat in the winter, and certainly they did a great job last year. This year, we expect for them to be, just based upon what the President has said, President Zelenskyy has said, for them to be even more aggressive. In this latest drawdown package that I just mentioned, we’ve included in there some winter gear as well. We provided winter gear last year.

So yeah, they have the means that they’ll need to be successful in fighting in the wintertime. And I think I agree with President Zelenskyy — the right thing to do is continue to press the fight, take the fight to the enemy.

BRIG. GEN. PAT RYDER: Let’s go to AFP, Will.

Q: Secretary Austin, how worried are you personally about the future of U.S. security aid to Ukraine, given the opposition in Congress? And how do you seek to reassure Ukrainians through your visit … the U.S. back and forth.

SEC. AUSTIN: Well, I continue to see bipartisan support in both chambers of Congress. And I know that there are some things that we need to continue to work through to get the supplemental request approved, and we’ll continue to work with Congress to do that. Again Congress, our congressional members, have valid questions that we will answer. But again, I would point out that Ukraine matters, what happens here matters. Not just to Ukraine, but to the entire world.

This is about the rules-based international order. This is about, not living in a world where a dictator can wake up one day and decide to annex the property of his peaceful neighbor. That’s not the world that we want to live in.

And so, this is more than just Ukraine, this is about, again, the rules-based international order.

BRIG. GEN. PAT RYDER: Final question, Missy Ryan, Washington Post?

Q: Hi, Secretary Austin. Coming away from your talks today, do you have a sense that Ukraine has a more clear path to substantial territorial progress and that it has remedied some of the issues that contributed to the problems in the current counter-offensive?

And I have a follow-up, if I might.

SEC. AUSTIN: I think, you know, Ukraine — the Ukraine military is a learning organization and it will continue to learn from all of its operations to this point. I think what’s important is that the military constructs its operations to focus on the objectives and the goals that the President wants to achieve. And again, synchronizing that up and making sure that we remain in the right place — or they remain in the right place continues to be something that they’ll continue to focus on.

So yeah, I think — I think they have learned a lot. I think they’ll continue to learn. But, you know, this is dynamic. As they learn and make adjustments, the enemy learns and makes adjustments.

Q: And then the related follow-up is I know you and your team and your counterparts on the military side have been working really hard over the last year and a half to support Ukraine and train their forces to get at a number of different capabilities. And yet, the operation — offensive operations haven’t had the outcome that everybody wanted.

How does this deadlock on the battlefield get broken, given that you guys have give — you know, given all the support that you thought you could give?

SEC. AUSTIN: Well, let’s take stock of what the Ukrainians have actually done.

They’ve take back half the prog- — half the — the ground that the Russians originally occupied. I think that’s a pretty big deal.

I think if you look at what they’ve accomplished here at the — with the Black Sea Fleet, they have inflicted significant pain on the — on that fleet and actually caused them to reposition a bit.

If you look at the damage that they’ve created the Russians land forces overall, it’s significant, and it will take Russia quite a while to recover from that in order to create the kind of force that it had before this began.

So, we have to give credit where credit is due. I mean, we said it was going to be a tough fight. It’s a grinding fight, and I think we’ll continue to see that in the future.

Now, what’s important, as you’ve pointed out in your earlier part of the question, is that they learned from, you know, operations in the past and that they’d make the right adjustments, and that they anticipate that the enemy will also adjust as they are adjusting.

(CROSSTALK)

Here’s the full details on the drawdown based assistance package:

RELEASE
IMMEDIATE RELEASE
Biden Administration Announces New Security Assistance for Ukraine
Nov. 20, 2023

Today, the Department of Defense (DoD) announced additional security assistance to meet Ukraine’s critical security and defense needs. This announcement is the Biden Administration’s fifty-first tranche of equipment to be provided from DoD inventories for Ukraine since August 2021. This package includes additional air defense capabilities, artillery ammunition, anti-tank weapons, and other equipment to help Ukraine defend its sovereign territory and fight for its freedom from Russia’s ongoing war of aggression.

This package utilizes assistance previously authorized for Ukraine during prior fiscal years under Presidential Drawdown Authority (PDA) that remained after the PDA revaluation process.

The capabilities in this package, valued at up to $100 million, include:

  • Stinger anti-aircraft missiles;
  • One High Mobility Artillery Rocket System (HIMARS) and additional ammunition;
  • 155mm and 105mm artillery rounds;
  • Tube-Launched, Optically-Tracked, Wire-Guided (TOW) missiles;
  • Javelin and AT-4 anti-armor systems;
  • More than 3 million rounds of small arms ammunition;
  • Demolitions munitions for obstacle clearing;
  • Cold weather gear; and
  • Spare parts, maintenance, and other ancillary equipment.

The United States remains committed to working with the coalition the United States has built of some 50 Allies and partners who are providing Ukraine with the capabilities it needs to defend itself now and deter Russian aggression well into the future. Our allies and partners have stepped up to provide approximately $36 billion in security assistance to Ukraine. Under the leadership of the United States, this global coalition has enabled Ukraine’s courageous forces to successfully defend Ukraine’s sovereignty and independence, win critical battles that repelled Russian forces, and take back more than half of the territory seized by Russian invaders.

Security assistance for Ukraine is a smart investment in our national security. It helps to prevent a larger conflict in the region and deter potential aggression elsewhere, while strengthening our defense industrial base and creating highly skilled jobs for the American people in dozens of states across the country. It is critical that Congress take action to support Ukraine by passing the President’s supplemental funding request.

 

Secretary Austin was not the only visitor in Kyiv today. Lachlan Murdoch, Fox reporter Benjamin Hall, and Sun reporter Jeremy Starkey also met with President Zelenskyy today. From the President of Ukraine’s website:

President of Ukraine Volodymyr Zelenskyy met with Fox Corporation CEO Lachlan Murdoch, Fox News journalist Benjamin Hall and The Sun journalist Jerome Starkey, who visited our country.

The Head of State thanked the representatives of the media group for comprehensive coverage of Ukraine’s fight against Russian aggression and for telling about Russian atrocities despite the risks to themselves.

In the spring of 2022, a group of Fox News journalists came under Russian fire in Kyiv region. Cameraman Pierre Zakrzewski and Ukrainian fixer Oleksandra Kuvshynova were killed. Benjamin Hall was seriously wounded.

The President noted the important role of the world media in consolidating international support for Ukraine and expressed condolences to all those whose relatives and friends were taken by the war.

“All this time, journalists, cameramen, editors, photographers, drivers have been on the frontline. As this is a hybrid war, information is also a weapon in Russian hands. My sincere condolences to the families and friends of those very brave men and women who lost their lives trying to show what is happening in Ukraine. In particular, it is thanks to journalists from many countries that we now have such support in the world,” Volodymyr Zelenskyy said

The President awarded Benjamin Hall with the Order of Merit, III class, for his outstanding personal contribution to strengthening interstate cooperation, support for Ukraine’s independence and territorial integrity.

The Head of State thanked Lachlan Murdoch for his visit and emphasized that it is a very important signal of support at the time when the world’s attention is blurred by other events.

The President also spoke about the situation on the battlefield, the high motivation and determination of the Ukrainian people and their belief in victory. Volodymyr Zelenskyy emphasized the importance of maintaining the world’s attention to our efforts in the fight for freedom and our state.

“For some reason, people treat it like a movie and expect that there will be no long pauses in the events, that the picture before their eyes will always change, that there will be some surprises every day. But for us, for our warriors, this is not a movie. These are our lives. This is daily hard work. And it will not be over as quickly as we would like, but we have no right to give up and we will not,” the Head of State emphasized.

The interlocutors discussed further cooperation and exchanged views on Russian propaganda narratives used by opponents of support for Ukraine. They also discussed the Ukrainian vision of a just peace based on the Peace Formula.

Kyiv:

Meanwhile, we in Kyiv have a new monumental artwork dedicated to air defense people and electricians — the heroes of the last (and the upcoming) winter under the barrage of Russian missiles. pic.twitter.com/B3PaGZQzJ9

— Illia Ponomarenko 🇺🇦 (@IAPonomarenko) November 20, 2023

Avdiivka:

Cluster munition strikes on groups of Russian infantry. Avdiivka front. https://t.co/KJqT4Dmgig pic.twitter.com/U5cUctuKvv

— Special Kherson Cat 🐈🇺🇦 (@bayraktar_1love) November 20, 2023

Donetsk Oblast:

Operators of the 3rd Regiment of the Special Operations Forces adjusted HIMARS fire on a russian R-149 command and staff vehicle in Donetsk region.

📹: @SOF_UKR pic.twitter.com/yg9oT2oeua

— Defense of Ukraine (@DefenceU) November 20, 2023

Obligatory:

 

Kreminna, Russian occupied Luhansk:

Russian source published a video of a blown up car of “acting deputy minister of the Ministry of Internal Affairs of the so-called LPR”.

As stated on the evening of November 16, at one of the checkpoints in Kreminna, a UAZ “Patriot” was blown up, in which there were “deputy… pic.twitter.com/J4zui4S3HE

— Special Kherson Cat 🐈🇺🇦 (@bayraktar_1love) November 20, 2023

Russian source published a video of a blown up car of “acting deputy minister of the Ministry of Internal Affairs of the so-called LPR”.

As stated on the evening of November 16, at one of the checkpoints in Kreminna, a UAZ “Patriot” was blown up, in which there were “deputy head of the Criminal Investigation Department of the Ministry of Internal Affairs of the LPR,” police lieutenant colonel Vladimir Pakholenko and “acting deputy minister of the Ministry of Internal Affairs for the LPR,” police lieutenant colonel Oleg Shumilov.

As claimed, both were hospitalized and diagnosed with shrapnel wounds.

https://t.me/astrapress/42639

Statomlynivka:

58th brigade repels Russian attack on Statomlynivka area.
Chinese Desertcross 1000-3 UTV can be seen starting from 0:24. By early 2024 China will supply Russian army with a total of 1590 such vehicles. https://t.co/lRZWsw8HeV pic.twitter.com/SUmAfABeJo

— Special Kherson Cat 🐈🇺🇦 (@bayraktar_1love) November 20, 2023

Slovianks, Kramatorsk, Druzhkivka, and Kherson:

I wish Ukrainians could experience the first snow from the comfort of their warm homes, not in trenches or bomb shelters. The first snowfall in Sloviansk, Kramatorsk, Druzhkivka, Kherson pic.twitter.com/SISjIRDrcg

— Maria Avdeeva (@maria_avdv) November 20, 2023

Kursk Oblast, Russia:

On November 18, 2023, a Russian radar and radio position was discovered near the settlement of Dmitriev, Kursk region.

Two expensive Russian radar stations were struck. First is a 55Zh6 "Sky" radar and secondly is probably a "Gamma-S1E".

Final damage assessment is still ongoing… pic.twitter.com/turQEWzwTl

— (((Tendar))) (@Tendar) November 20, 2023

Here is Tatarigami’s take on F-16s and their utility for the Ukrainians. Please remember that Tatarigami is an officer in the Ukrainian Army Reserves, not an aviator.

The crucial aspect I forgot to include in the last sentence is the essential need for both weaponry and radars. The combination of capable radars and weaponry with an operational range exceeding 100 km is necessary. Without this combination, it won't be effective.

— Tatarigami_UA (@Tatarigami_UA) November 20, 2023

F-16s: Addressing Challenges and Creating Opportunities

Introduction

There have been many developments on the frontlines, including the increased presence of guided aerial bombs, that turn old dumb bombs into more precise and deadly weapons. This poses a significant threat, allowing russians to engage targets anywhere around 60 km away, placing them outside the effective range of most air defense systems.

This war is heavily dependent on artillery, leading to two significant challenges for both sides – shortages of ammunition and barrel wear, along with the straightforward combat loss of artillery. In attempts to address these issues, both sides seek foreign assistance, while alternative methods, to a limited extent, such as FPV and aerial bombs serve as partial compensatory measures

Problem

The increasing use of guided aerial bombs by russians is an increasing problem due to their capacity to carry a much larger payload than conventional artillery shells or kamikaze drones like the Shahed. Russia’s aerial bombs typically carry explosives ranging from 100 to 700 kg. With the adoption of the UMPK kit, russian jets gained the capability to transform dumb bombs into gliding munitions, allowing them to target locations from approximately 50 – 65 km away.

This places them beyond the effective range of most if not all, frontline air defense (AD) weaponry. While Ukraine does possess a limited number of AD systems capable of reaching jets deploying gliding bombs, these systems are primarily tasked with protecting more strategically significant installations located farther from the frontline.

In practical terms, this presents a problem of a systematic character. The number of existing AD systems is insufficient to consistently counter the threat posed by jets launching gliding bombs.

Advancement of this technology, coupled with the recent utilization of the RBK-500 cluster bomb by Russians demonstrates the potential for future problems if russia successfully organizes an industrial-level deployment of these bombs, particularly when boosted by the UMPK kit.

Solution

In my view, deploying F-16s armed with AIM-120D missiles, with an operational range of approximately 100 km (with claims that the range is actually much longer), could effectively mitigate this problem. This capability will allow Ukraine to engage Russian jets carrying guided bombs without flying into the frontline, thus avoiding most russian air defense systems like TOR or BUK. It is crucial to remember that Ukraine needs not just F-16s but also the appropriate AMRAAM missiles to effectively target air threats with air-to-air missiles.

Furthermore, this solution has the potential to not only mitigate the issue with glide bombs but also address concerns related to russian helicopters. Ka-52 and Mi-28 NM helicopters, operating 8-12 km away from their targets and deploying Vikhr and/or LMUR missiles, currently remain outside the effective range of Ukraine’s Short-Range Air Defense (SHORAD) systems.

Summary

I remain skeptical about either side achieving aerial supremacy in this war, given the saturation of air defense (AD) systems that would impede dominance, and russia still operates fighters capable of deploying air-to-air missiles. A good retrospective example is the early stage of the war, where, despite having a larger russian air force and experienced pilots, they failed to establish control over Ukrainian skies. This occurred even with the advantages of surprise and a massive missile barrage against Ukrainian AD and radar sites, long before any serious AD systems from the West were brought to Ukraine.

Given this, the F-16’s value lies in its potential to substantially impede Russian air capabilities rather than provide air dominance, possibly attaining favorable local air situations or temporary air superiority during offensive operations. This could offer a crucial window of opportunity for maneuvering. Realizing this potential would likely necessitate a considerable deployment of F-16s equipped with appropriate weaponry, including AIM-120, AGM-158 JASSM, and AGM-154 JSOW.

And a few follow ups:

I am sure that for any problem there can be thousands of excuses. As it happened with all previous weapon deliveries including HIMARS and ATACMS

— Tatarigami_UA (@Tatarigami_UA) November 20, 2023

I didn’t imply that they are problems of the same root, but implied that these are solvable problems. There aren’t just too many alternatives to the problem I described. There always will be some problems, ifs and buts, but the bottom line is that there are no better alternatives

— Tatarigami_UA (@Tatarigami_UA) November 20, 2023

That’s enough for tonight.

Your daily Patron!

A new video from Patron’s official TikTok.

@patron__dsns

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♬ оригінальний звук – Patron_official

Machine translation of the caption:

How I imagine myself when I hear the versions of Eminem and 50cent x Dog Patron 😎💰 #песпатрон

Open thread!

War for Ukraine Day 635: Secretary Austin Pays a Visit to KyivPost + Comments (20)

Fundraising for Four Direction in Montana – Angel Matching, trying something new!

by WaterGirl|  November 20, 20235:26 pm| 35 Comments

This post is in: Open Threads, Political Fundraising, Targeted Political Fundraising 2023-24

Last week, we announced our fundraising effort – and a zoom with Four Directions. We got some great clips from the zoom, which was fun, and informational.


Zoom With Four Directions Set for Thursday at 7 pm ET 1

Key Information 

  • Jon Tester is running what looks to be his toughest race yet!
  • So while it’s not a swing state, it is a strategic choice – this is is a seat we have to hold!
  • As always, we feel that boots on the ground is the best bang for our buck.
  • The Native American vote is critical, and they make up 6.5% of the population.
  • That’s far more than the margin of victory has been for Jon Tester in Montana.
  • Four Directions has secured an external match for us, and we have another angel match.
  • We are trying something new for this new $5,000 Angel match.
  • Every dollar you add through the thermometer is double-matched, no limit.
  • Multiply your donation by 4 to see how much will go to Montana.
  • The Balloon Juice angel will mail their $5,000 check when we reach $18,500.

Click below for all the details.  And don’t forget to thank our BJ Angel!

Zoom With Four Directions Set for Thursday at 7 pm ET

Angel match starts now!


Donate

 

Fundraising for Four Direction in Montana – Angel Matching, trying something new!Post + Comments (35)

President Biden, In his own words.

by WaterGirl|  November 20, 20232:35 pm| 105 Comments

This post is in: Biden Administration in Action, Open Threads, Politics

Maybe you, like me, have been intending to read Joe Biden’s statement of his position, in the Washington Post OPINION piece?

I finally read it just now, and it was worth the 5 minutes it took to read the whole thing.  We probably all guessed that Biden was pissed when he called David Axelrod a prick.  After reading this, I’m pretty sure it’s not just Axelrod the he’s pissed at.

*Are there really people who don’t know that Joe Biden is President of the United States?

Joe Biden is president of the United States.

Today, the world faces an inflection point, where the choices we make — including in the crises in Europe and the Middle East — will determine the direction of our future for generations to come.

What will our world look like on the other side of these conflicts?

Will we deny Hamas the ability to carry out pure, unadulterated evil? Will Israelis and Palestinians one day live side by side in peace, with two states for two peoples?

Will we hold Vladimir Putin accountable for his aggression, so the people of Ukraine can live free and Europe remains an anchor for global peace and security?

And the overarching question: Will we relentlessly pursue our positive vision for the future, or will we allow those who do not share our values to drag the world to a more dangerous and divided place?

Both Putin and Hamas are fighting to wipe a neighboring democracy off the map. And both Putin and Hamas hope to collapse broader regional stability and integration and take advantage of the ensuing disorder. America cannot, and will not, let that happen. For our own national security interests — and for the good of the entire world.

show full post on front page

 The United States is the essential nation. We rally allies and partners to stand up to aggressors and make progress toward a brighter, more peaceful future. The world looks to us to solve the problems of our time. That is the duty of leadership, and America will lead. For if we walk away from the challenges of today, the risk of conflict could spread, and the costs to address them will only rise. We will not let that happen.

That conviction is at the root of my approach to supporting the people of Ukraine as they continue to defend their freedom against Putin’s brutal war.

We know from two world wars in the past century that when aggression in Europe goes unanswered, the crisis does not burn itself out. It draws America in directly. That’s why our commitment to Ukraine today is an investment in our own security. It prevents a broader conflict tomorrow.

We are keeping American troops out of this war by supporting the brave Ukrainians defending their freedom and homeland. We are providing them with weapons and economic assistance to stop Putin’s drive for conquest, before the conflict spreads farther.

The United States is not doing this alone. More than 50 nations have joined us to ensure that Ukraine has what it needs to defend itself. Our partners are shouldering much of the economic responsibility for supporting Ukraine. We have also built a stronger and more united NATO, which enhances our security through the strength of our allies, while making clear that we will defend every inch of NATO territory to deter further Russian aggression. Our allies in Asia are standing with us as well to support Ukraine and hold Putin accountable, because they understand that stability in Europe and in the Indo-Pacific are inherently connected.

We have also seen throughout history how conflicts in the Middle East can unleash consequences around the globe.

We stand firmly with the Israeli people as they defend themselves against the murderous nihilism of Hamas. On Oct. 7, Hamas slaughtered 1,200 people, including 35 American citizens, in the worst atrocity committed against the Jewish people in a single day since the Holocaust. Infants and toddlers, mothers and fathers, grandparents, people with disabilities, even Holocaust survivors were maimed and murdered. Entire families were massacred in their homes. Young people were gunned down at a music festival. Bodies riddled with bullets and burned beyond recognition. And for over a month, the families of more than 200 hostages taken by Hamas, including babies and Americans, have been living in hell, anxiously waiting to discover whether their loved ones are alive or dead. At the time of this writing, my team and I are working hour by hour, doing everything we can to get the hostages released.

And while Israelis are still in shock and suffering the trauma of this attack, Hamas has promised that it will relentlessly try torepeat Oct. 7. It has said very clearly that it will not stop.

The Palestinian people deserve a state of their own and a future free from Hamas. I, too, am heartbroken by the images out of Gaza and the deaths of many thousands of civilians, including children. Palestinian children are crying for lost parents. Parents are writing their child’s name on their hand or leg so they can be identified if the worst happens. Palestinian nurses and doctors are trying desperately to save every precious life they possibly can, with little to no resources. Every innocent Palestinian life lost is a tragedy that rips apart families and communities.

Our goal should not be simply to stop the war for today — it should be to end the war forever, break the cycle of unceasing violence, and build something stronger in Gaza and across the Middle East so that history does not keep repeating itself.

Just weeks before Oct. 7, I met in New York with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu. The main subject of that conversation was a set of substantial commitments that would help both Israel and the Palestinian territories better integrate into the broader Middle East. That is also the idea behind the innovative economic corridor that will connect India to Europe through the United Arab Emirates, Saudi Arabia, Jordan and Israel, which I announced together with partners at the Group of 20 summit in India in early September. Stronger integration between countries creates predictable markets and draws greater investment. Better regional connection — including physical and economic infrastructure — supports higher employment and more opportunities for young people. That’s what we have been working to realize in the Middle East. It is a future that has no place for Hamas’s violence and hate, and I believe that attempting to destroy the hope for that future is one reason that Hamas instigated this crisis.

This much is clear: A two-state solution is the only way to ensure the long-term security of both the Israeli and Palestinian people. Though right now it may seem like that future has never been further away, this crisis has made it more imperative than ever.

A two-state solution — two peoples living side by side with equal measures of freedom, opportunity and dignity — is where the road to peace must lead. Reaching it will take commitments from Israelis and Palestinians, as well as from the United States and our allies and partners. That work must start now.

To that end, the United States has proposed basic principles for how to move forward from this crisis, to give the world a foundation on which to build.

To start, Gaza must never again be used as a platform for terrorism. There must be no forcible displacement of Palestinians from Gaza, no reoccupation, no siege or blockade, and no reduction in territory. And after this war is over, the voices of Palestinian people and their aspirations must be at the center of post-crisis governance in Gaza.

As we strive for peace, Gaza and the West Bank should be reunited under a single governance structure, ultimately under a revitalized Palestinian Authority, as we all work toward a two-state solution. I have been emphatic with Israel’s leaders that extremist violence against Palestinians in the West Bank must stop and that those committing the violence must be held accountable. The United States is prepared to take our own steps, including issuing visa bans against extremists attacking civilians in the West Bank.

The international community must commit resources to support the people of Gaza in the immediate aftermath of this crisis, including interim security measures, and establish a reconstruction mechanism to sustainably meet Gaza’s long-term needs. And it is imperative that no terrorist threats ever again emanate from Gaza or the West Bank.

If we can agree on these first steps, and take them together, we can begin to imagine a different future. In the months ahead, the United States will redouble our efforts to establish a more peaceful, integrated and prosperous Middle East — a region where a day like Oct. 7 is unthinkable.

Open thread.

President Biden, In his own words.Post + Comments (105)

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