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Balloon Juice

Come for the politics, stay for the snark.

This chaos was totally avoidable.

New McCarthy, same old McCarthyism.

The press swings at every pitch, we don’t have to.

… riddled with inexplicable and elementary errors of law and fact

They are not red states to be hated; they are voter suppression states to be fixed.

When they say they are pro-life, they do not mean yours.

Stop using mental illness to avoid talking about armed white supremacy.

Sitting here in limbo waiting for the dice to roll

Come on, man.

This isn’t Democrats spending madly. This is government catching up.

He seems like a smart guy, but JFC, what a dick!

Optimism opens the door to great things.

SCOTUS: It’s not “bribery” unless it comes from the Bribery region of France. Otherwise, it’s merely “sparkling malfeasance”.

Our job is not to persuade republicans but to defeat them.

Republicans seem to think life begins at the candlelight dinner the night before.

Nancy smash is sick of your bullshit.

the 10% who apparently lack object permanence

And now I have baud making fun of me. this day can’t get worse.

Anne Laurie is a fucking hero in so many ways. ~ Betty Cracker

Fuck these fucking interesting times.

Prediction: the gop will rethink its strategy of boycotting future committees.

A snarling mass of vitriolic jackals

Proof that we need a blogger ethics panel.

Take hopelessness and turn it into resilience.

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You are here: Home / Archives for Balloon Juice / First Posts

First Posts

The Chucklefuck Clown Cavalcade

by ruemara|  November 14, 20191:54 am| 68 Comments

This post is in: Election 2020, First Posts, Impeachment, Impeachment Inquiry, Information Warfare, Open Threads, Organizing & Resistance, All we want is life beyond the thunderdome, Bitter Despair is the New Black

¡Buenas noches, Juicers! Yeah, I was going to start things off with my usual elan and graciousness, but due to circumstances where I really wish I could slap the stupid out of people’s genes, I’m going to commence with rant and we’ll do the formal howdy doody and cat pics the minute we get images to work on the blog? Ok? Good talk, glad we’re on the same page.

Analysis: The first two witnesses called Wednesday testified to President Trump's scheme, but lacked the pizzazz necessary to capture public attention. https://t.co/1UfkaeZ3I4

— NBC News (@NBCNews) November 14, 2019

Lo, the ultrafuckery. And it’s not even CNN?! I can’t tell if I’m marveling at CNN not delving into this level of commentary or disappointed at NBC News for grabbing a shovel and digging right to the Marianas Trench level of analysis. Deep Stupid, indeed.

Whenever I’ve said I was against impeachment, even to the point of don’t discuss impeach club, the media was why. We don’t have great journalism. We never had universally great journalism, but we had a standard that managed to keep mostly on target. Regular old journalism is boring statement of facts. Some obvious, some not, & some you have hunt them down because they’re hella elusive. Instead, we have a packs of styrofoam peanuts shoved into Hugo Boss suits always looking for a hot mic. The American press is always looking for the highest highs, the flashiest story. Much like watching McG’s cinematic oeuvere, they think everything should be the noisiest, most explosive drama, no matter how serious the issue is. When our media behaves like this, no wonder we’re pretty far gone into fascism. I can’t see a future where we survive this mess and the press stays the same. I’ve watched it locally and seen how it mirrors the national media. Reporters, pundits, analysts – they want flash & smoke. What they don’t get is that this teaches people who need to be told about the facts, that the issues aren’t really that important. …

It’s a good profession, journalism. Pity so few are actually working in it.

Maybe somewhere, a batch of good journos are trying to do something about this mess bourne of 24/7 news channels and the idea that news should be as glitzy as tv show. I bid them good luck. And I chuck a hefty twitter brick at this media analysis about impeachment hearings needing PIZZAZZ.

For real pizzazz, Jonathan Allen should just watch Joel Grey & Gonzo do Fosse.
THAT’S PIZZAZ!

Dems shouldn’t be required to put on a carnival for members of the 4th estate to do their duty on reporting cleanly, smartly and accurately so we have an informed citizenry.

alright, I’m trying to finish 3 pages today, back to work.

The Chucklefuck Clown CavalcadePost + Comments (68)

Balloon Juice Site Rebuild – Sneak Peek

by WaterGirl|  May 12, 201911:51 am| 375 Comments

This post is in: First Posts, Previous Site Maintenance, Site Maintenance

Hey, everyone. WaterGirl here with an update on the site rebuild.

I’ll start with a tiny bit of information about the process. The kickoff meeting with the web developers was just over a week ago on Friday, May 3, and we started the design phase on Monday. The design phase lasts no more than 2 weeks, so it’s a whirlwind! In that time, we decide on all the features and functionality, as well as the look and the overall design, right down to the choice of fonts and exactly where everything will be and what it will look like. The actual programming starts right after that.

So we are in the design phase for just a few more days. Once the programming begins, there’s not a lot of room for adding functionality or changing the look, the fonts, the overall design, or anything, really. So your chance to share your thoughts in a way that could influence the outcome is right now, over the next few days, not once the site goes live.

Maybe you’ll want to know a bit about where we’re coming from? On other political blogs, there has never been a site redesign or site overhaul that I have liked; I always feel like they’ve ruined the blog. So the main goal here was to not do that. First on our spec list to potential developers:

“We don’t want a new DESIGN. We want better functionality. Our primary goal: a speedy, responsive, reliable, aesthetically pleasing site with a reliable commenting system that works consistently, and well — on mobile devices and desktops — with the features outlined in this document.”

What we’re going for here is streamlined and zippy, not flashy with a lot of bells and whistles. We still want it to feel like home, and we’re kind of excited about how it is shaping up. Now we get to find out whether you guys feel that way, too.

So jump in and tell us what you really think, and don’t worry about hurting anyone’s feelings. Oh, wait, this is Balloon Juice, never mind, I’m pretty sure that last part goes without saying. If you prefer to share your thoughts privately, you can send email to BJfestivus at that google mail place. Whichever way you share your thoughts, I promise we will read every word. Scratch that. I can’t speak for John, but I promise I will read every word.

You never want to give up functionality in an upgrade unless there’s a darn good reason, and we’ve tried to stay true to that. So, for example, you’ll still be able to contact a front pager, but you’ll do it in a different way. We are going with email hosting using the balloon-juice.com domain, so instead of a contact form you’ll send email to directly to a front pager using their name. If their name is Humpty Dumpty, you’ll add a dash between the two parts of the name. (Each front pager can choose whether to keep their front pager email separate or to forward it to another account with their personal mail.)

You’ll see that Quick Links is gone, but there’s a floating bar and a category bar and some links that perform the same functions. So take a look and let us know what you think, but please understand that things are moving quickly and there have already been some changes that aren’t reflected in the mockup posted here, such as the reply button, which will always show for each comment even though the mockup indicates that it will only show up if you hover on a comment. And you’ll see that the checkbox to save your nym is on there, but not to worry, nyms etc will be permanent again and the little checkbox will be gone in the next mockup. If we waited to show you the mockup until it’s perfect, we would lose the window for your input.

I’ll be back at 6pm Eastern time to answer any questions or comments that come in then, or that came in during my afternoon siesta.

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Balloon Juice Site Rebuild – Sneak PeekPost + Comments (375)

Samwise Open Thread / An Introduction, for the Unfamiliar

by Major Major Major Major|  July 27, 201812:45 am| 122 Comments

This post is in: Cat Blogging, First Posts, Gamer Dork, Open Threads, The Gay Enemy Within, Blogospheric Navel-Gazing, General Stupidity, Go Fuck Yourself

Hello, my pseudonym is Major Major Major Major, and I am, apparently, a blogger.

As many of you already know, I’m a prolific commenter here. (For those who didn’t know that, now you do.) Recent-ish-ly, I’ve been working with Alain on various improvements to the site. These efforts kept hitting the same snag: developing anything for a system you don’t have access to is terrible. So Alain gave me the keys to the production server. Somebody had the bright idea to give me the keys to WordPress too, so here we are.

I know I’m supposed to say something snarky here, but I really do think it’s kind of an honor, so hey, thanks!

Now. Before you complain about the site in the comments, let me say that we are aware there are many issues. We might even be aware of yours! But BJ is nobody’s full-time job, so, well, you know how triage works.

As for posting, I’m going to keep that light. As Alain mentioned, I’d like to start a twice-monthly series where we can all talk about good books to read. I may do the first one on Sunday. If there’s interest, I may also start a feature where we can talk about video games. Let me know. Finally, I may jump in with a west coast late night open thread on evenings where there’s a need.

Bio and pet pics below the fold…

show full post on front page

I’m a web developer in San Francisco with an enormous cat named Samwise and a husband named something else. Generationally, I’m an early millennial, which basically means I’m a digital native but I don’t understand Snapchat. I am on Twitter though, so if that’s your thing, feel free to follow me. It’s mostly art and nerd humor, programming stuff, and the expected politics of a neoliberal shill.

(Speaking of my Twitter account, my identity is obviously not a secret, but my name is very rare and I ask that you not use it here in text.)

I am also apparently a writer, in the sense that somebody recently paid me for a short story, which comes out next Friday. I’m also working on my third novel, which is the first good one I’ve written.

Without further ado: Samwise!

Open thread.

Samwise Open Thread / An Introduction, for the UnfamiliarPost + Comments (122)

Redesign Launch and Issues Post

by Alain Chamot (1971-2020)|  November 1, 20159:26 pm| 267 Comments

This post is in: First Posts, Previous Site Maintenance

Welcome to the new Balloon Juice!
This post is an area for you to report issues, ask questions, or give feedback. Please keep to the topic—use a different thread for Open Thread and new subjects!

Tommy (yeah I posted this, didn’t feel comfortable logging in as John to do it) and possibly Alain will keep an eye on this thread (and any of its successors), commenting and answering questions when possible. You can always send an email to [email protected] as well.

BTW: Be gentle folks …..

Redesign Launch and Issues PostPost + Comments (267)

Friday Recipe Exchange: Not Afraid to Experiment

by TaMara|  September 18, 20158:55 pm| 167 Comments

This post is in: First Posts, Food, Guest Posts, Recipes

Wow. Here I am behind the curtain at Balloon-Juice. [[surveys surroundings]]  And it’s just like you’d expect, full of libruls and DFHs.

Hello.

Since Anne Laurie has somehow been shutout of the blog (harrumph) it has fallen to me to actually post my own recipe exchange. Enjoy. Play nice. Here are the recipes for tonight:

Spinach Tomato Soup

What a week we’ve had here. I retreated to the kitchen often, cooking truly reduces my stress and helps me refocus. And since everyone needs to eat, I have a perfect excuse to retreat and regroup.

Cool weather blew in today, signalling the start of soup season, a great time of year. I have quite a few soup recipes and I began the season with one of my favorites, Tomato-Spinach, pictured above and recipe here.

Next up, Pumpkin Bars, because I needed something to share with friends and this recipe makes a lot. Click here for recipe and photos.

JeffreyW went to the Farmer’s Market and made Refrigerator Pickles, there are plenty of great photos and the pickle recipe here. He went on to use the beans he purchased to make Three Bean Salad, here.

And finally, for the pet lovers, some Bixby pictures and a bit of an update.

It’s the last official weekend of summer, how will you usher it out? What’s on your plate for the weekend? We are going to head up to the mountains to take in some color, which is predicted to be a short show this year.

Sausages with Grapes

For tonight’s featured recipe, I decided to experiment with flavors I would have never thought of on my own. Facebook and blog friend Michael F, shared a recipe on Facebook from Italy, in Italian no less, and the photo intrigued me. I let google translate the recipe (which was a hoot) and went about putting my touches into it.

It was so unusual, my most reliable recipe testers politely declined my dinner invite. Totally understandable. But I will tell you I was pleasantly surprised how well this turned out. If you like pork and apples, this has a similar flavor palate. It was also quick and easy to prepare. I’m glad I decided to experiment.

All right, if you’re up for something new and different, here you go, tonight’s featured recipe.

Sausage and Grapes

  • 8 links Italian sausage (I used spicy, but you could use any style sausage you favor)
  • 1/2 sweet onion, finely diced
  • 2 tsp fennel seeds
  • 1 cup green seedless grapes, washed, dried and halved lengthwise
  • 1 cup red seedless grapes, washed, dried and halved lengthwise
  • salt and pepper to taste (I used none, didn’t need it)
  • angel hair pasta
  • freshly grated Parmesan

skillet

Slice sausage links into four pieces each, add to skillet and fry on medium high for about 10 minutes. Add onion and fennel seeds, cook another 5 minutes, stirring frequently, until onions are translucent. Add grapes, stir until well mixed, cover and let simmer for an additional 10-15 minutes while pasta cooks.

Cook pasta according to package directions until al dente. Drain well.

You can toss with the sausage mixture, or serve separately. Serve with Parmesan.

The pasta was my addition. When I asked Michael what would be a good side, he suggested eggplant or roasted potatoes. Roasted zucchini spears would probably work well, too.

Here is the original recipe.

That’s if for this week. Hope I didn’t screw anything up.  Have a great weekend. – TaMara

p.s Thanks John and hurry back Anne Laurie

Friday Recipe Exchange: Not Afraid to ExperimentPost + Comments (167)

Post Modern Violence: From Leaderless Resistance to Lone Wolves

by Adam L Silverman|  August 19, 20155:30 pm| 50 Comments

This post is in: First Posts, Politics, Silverman on Security

Without stepping on Zandar’s post from yesterday, I do want to approach the overall topic from a different angle. While the emerging reports seem to indicate that the Kansas bomb carrier was not actually trying to blow up the clinic, the news rightly put everyone’s antenna up. Whether we are talking about shootings or other attacks at movie theaters, the attack on the Chattanooga recruiting center and military facility, the Charleston church shooting, or other actions that seem to fall in between what we would define as crimes against persons, hate crimes, and/or terrorism, there certainly seems to be a buzz in the air. Both here in the US and abroad. Back in 2011 the term stochastic terrorism started to make the rounds. There was even a blog devoted to it; albeit one that was a one post and done website. While I think the term stochastic terrorism has descriptive merit, what we have been watching develop and unfold is actually one step back from stochastic terrorism – we have been observing stochastic violence. We have so much noise to signal right now, and so many more platforms for transmission of messages that have the ability to enflame and incite, that it is easy for aggrieved parties, including those with mental health issues, to lock onto something and ride it as motivation for an attack. Basically, we cannot and will not be able to predict exactly who might or might not undertake an act of mass violence – shooting, bombing, knifing, running down a crowd of folks in one’s car, etc, but we can be sure that these types of action will happen. This also includes political forms of violence like terrorism.

Stochastic violence is an unfortunate reality of the interconnected, 24/7 media and social media world we live in and it presents a unique challenge to the concept and practice of freedom of speech. While this is certainly a constitutional/foundational law issue in the US and some other states, it is definitely a real, complicating factor in trying to get a handle on the problem. It raises questions as to what, if anything should be regulated and who, if anyone, bears responsibility beyond the specific actor or actors involved in any given attack. These questions actually helped to create an earlier iteration of this type of political violence and terrorism: leaderless resistance. Louis Beam, back in the early 1980s, coined the term leaderless resistance to cover the concept of how to put white supremacist and eliminationist ideals into practice without the need to create a highly organized movement. His bottom line was that if you heard or read the message and were inspired to act on it, then just go and do it. Do not contact him or other white supremacist leaders for permission or join an organized and trackable group, just go and do whatever it is you think you are called to do. The idea was to have cake and eat it too. By using the messaging to inspire action, but have the actors not formally/objectively tied to any movement or individual leader, then one got the behavior one wanted, but the plausible deniability and lack of legal liability when whatever was planned actually occurred. One of the best examples of this was Timothy McVeigh. McVeigh was clearly a subjective member of a number of white supremacist groups – he clearly identified with them. However, he never joined any of them, which is what made it hard to track him as outside of personal contacts (Mike from Michigan and the Ozarks supremacist community he was in contact with), he was basically an incredibly angry and resentful cypher. McVeigh and his co-conspirators were classic examples of leaderless resistance.

The concern now, though, is being expressed as the self radicalization of individuals leading to lone wolf attacks. This is basically the path/route taken by McVeigh, as well as Reverend Paul Hill who went from being abortion clinic protestor to abortion clinic shooter, the recent worry is about self radicalizing Muslim youth exposed to the online presence and messages of the Islamic State. While this is, certainly, a concern, what we have actually been seeing in the US, parts of Europe, Israel, and elsewhere is a lot of individuals, with only a portion of them being Muslim, engaging in violence to redress their real or imagined grievances. The process, regardless of who is being exposed to it, however, is the same one I wrote about here last year: neutralization of norms (definitions favorable) for normative, legal behavior to redress problems allowing for the potential lone wolves to drift into deviant, violent, and sometimes terroristic acts to solve their problems. The policy and strategy implications to dealing with this problem are complex, specifically because of our dedication to the concept and practice of freedom of speech. The policy outcome should be the reduction of lone wolf attacks, whether violent crimes, hate crimes, and/or terrorism, to as close to zero as possible regardless of the demographic of the perpetrator. However, that is going to be very difficult to achieve as the ways to achieve this end need to not do damage to the freedom of speech. As is so often the case, and in what seems to be a reverse of Beowulf, one of our greatest strengths is also one of our most exploitable weaknesses. I will leave you with Justice Brandeis’s wisdom on the matter: “If there be time to expose through discussion the falsehood and fallacies, to avert the evil by the process of education, the remedy to be applied is more speech, not enforced silence.”

Post Modern Violence: From Leaderless Resistance to Lone WolvesPost + Comments (50)

What are those charges…

by David Anderson|  September 5, 20139:43 pm| 125 Comments

This post is in: Anderson On Health Insurance, C.R.E.A.M., Domestic Politics, First Posts, Politics, World's Best Healthcare (If You Can Afford It), All we want is life beyond the thunderdome

I’m a bureaucrat at a health insurance company which most of you have never and will never hear about. My job is to be a subject matter expert on a fairly arcane set of knowledge. I have seen some posts and some great comment threads at Balloon Juice where great questions are being asked and basic mechanical knowledge would be very useful. I will be writing a series of posts over the next couple of weeks/months that attempts to explain why a profit seeking insurance company does what it does.

And yes, before I get started, I agree with the vast majority of the commenteriat here that absent massive path dependency and being able to make policy behind a veil of ignorance, I would not choose the US model or the modifications to the model that are being made by Obamacare. I would have chosen a far more comprehensive single payer system that is not a kludge of multiple previous kludges. However, that is not the world that we live in, so I am assuming profit seeking insurance companies will be around for a while.

Why do insurance companies charge deductibles, co-payments and co-insurance?  What is the point of three forms of making the buyer of insurance pay?  Why wouldn’t there be a single form?  What are the incentives and how do the different cost share payments save the insurance company money?

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These three types of pocket payments have slightly different purposes but they all serve to minimize costs for the health insurance company. One things that we need to remember as we go through the mechanics of non-universal health insurance along the lines of either Canadian Medicare or British NHS is that members/buyers of insurance know way more about their health than the insurers. That knowledge fuels the buyer’s ability to seek the best deal. This is known as adverse selection.

Let’s look at JC for an example.  A mid-40s something male still on average has reasonably low health care costs without too many high expense outliers.  Someone of his general demographics is still in the sweet spot for insurance risk as the long term chronic conditions of late middle age and old age aren’t too common yet.  John knows he is a klutz and that Steve is plotting to kill him slowly.  So if he selects a plan with low cost sharing because he knows that in the next year he needs to worry about a repeat of the mop incident or the first failed attempt on his life by Steve.  That is unusual and therefore valuable information for an insurance company as John would have self-identified as riskier than typical for someone his age.

Deductibles serve two purposes. The first is to transform insurance from being purely pre-payment of average medical expenses for a particular population into an insurance product. Insurance is the payment of defined sums for protection against uncertain losses for an individual. The first purpose of deductibles is to get the insurance company off the hook for the first chunk of expenses.

A zero deductible plan is very attractive to people who know that they have major medical expenses coming their way. A very high deductible plan is attractive to people who anticipate very low health care expenses due to their general good health or belief in their own invincibility. An employer group that offers a $500 deductible plan and a $2,500 deductible plan to its employers will not see random selection of those two choices by its employees. Most of the time, older, sicker employees will choose the lower deductible plan, which is extremely valuable information for the insurance company. They expect high usage of expensive services, so premiums are higher. Conversely, the high deductible plan is more attractive to the younger, healthier and typically a more male population that statistically don’t use expensive services all that much. Bigger spreads between deductible amounts allows for insurance companies to aggressively identify adverse selection risks and then appropriately price that risk.

Co-payments are fixed dollar amounts that members pay for services that don’t apply to deductible sums. There are two reasons for co-pays. The first is to make a service slightly less expensive for the insurance company. This is a minor factor. The main factor is to add a marginal cost for a service from the member’s perspective after a deductible has been satisfied. This is supposed to make members slightly cost sensitive. A $100 co-pay for an MRI is supposed to get the member to question whether or not they really need an MRI or whether the no co-pay X-ray is sufficient. Co-pays for cost sensitivity purposes are extremely common for prescription drug benefits where generic or cheap brand name drugs have nominal co-pays, while patented drugs that have reasonably available and effective substitutes have very high co-pays.

Co-insurance is a percentage of costs that a member is responsible for after their deductible has been satisfied. The primary purpose is to make the member become extremely cost sensitive. For instance, a 20% co-insurance for a non-complicated labor and delivery when my wife gave birth to Reproductive Success #1 and #2 could have put me on the co-insurance hook for roughly a paycheck at the local mid-wife center or a couple of paychecks at the hospital. These type of variable marginal costs for identical services are designed to get people going to the cheaper providers or to eliminate the less essential services.

To review – deductibles are designed for adverse selection identification and effective repricing of risk while co-payments are designed to steer people to cheaper option with fairly simple incentives. Co-insurance is designed to get members to price compare between a variety of providers for a single array of services. Finally, total out of pocket exposure is often capped because there is no reasonable ability of people to finance $30,000, $40,000, or $50,000 in medical expenses from a single incident.

The more cost-sharing through deductibles, co-pays and co-insurance, the less risk the insurance company bears, and the more risk the individual carries on their own. A high deductible, high co-pay, high co-insurance plan is an adequate plan for individual members who either have significant free cash flow OR have a high degree of confidence in their health AND have some ability to access assets in an oh-shit hit by a bus scenario. High deductible, high co-payment, and high co-insurance plans will be the dominant plans on the Catastrophic and Bronze exchanges. Conversely, low deductible, low co-payment and low co-insurance are “rich” coverages that are used by people who can either afford a high premium but few surprises, OR know they need to use a lot of medical resources.

The next post will talk about how insurance is regulated.

NB: Actually going through all the Balloon Juice categories for the first time is pretty damn awesome

What are those charges…Post + Comments (125)

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