• Menu
  • Skip to primary navigation
  • Skip to main content
  • Skip to primary sidebar

Before Header

  • About Us
  • Lexicon
  • Contact Us
  • Our Store
  • ↑
  • ↓

Balloon Juice

Come for the politics, stay for the snark.

I don’t recall signing up for living in a dystopian sci-fi novel.

She burned that motherfucker down, and I am so here for it. Thank you, Caroline Kennedy.

Black Jesus loves a paper trail.

People are weird.

He seems like a smart guy, but JFC, what a dick!

Their shamelessness is their super power.

Rupert, come get your orange boy, you petrified old dinosaur turd.

When do we start airlifting the women and children out of Texas?

Narcissists are always shocked to discover other people have agency.

I’m starting to think Jesus may have made a mistake saving people with no questions asked.

Oh FFS you might as well trust a 6-year-old with a flamethrower.

They fucked up the fucking up of the fuckup!

Trumpflation is an intolerable hardship for every American, and it’s Trump’s fault.

Nothing worth doing is easy.

Hey Washington Post, “Democracy Dies in Darkness” was supposed to be a warning, not a mission statement.

Do we throw up our hands or do we roll up our sleeves? (hint, door #2)

Disagreements are healthy; personal attacks are not.

They love authoritarianism, but only when they get to be the authoritarians.

Every decision we make has lots of baggage with it, known or unknown.

“Alexa, change the president.”

The revolution will be supervised.

Not so fun when the rabbit gets the gun, is it?

These days, even the boring Republicans are nuts.

Damn right I heard that as a threat.

Mobile Menu

  • 4 Directions VA 2025 Raffle
  • 2025 Activism
  • Donate with Venmo, Zelle & PayPal
  • Site Feedback
  • War in Ukraine
  • Submit Photos to On the Road
  • Politics
  • On The Road
  • Open Threads
  • Topics
  • Authors
  • About Us
  • Contact Us
  • Lexicon
  • Our Store
  • Politics
  • Open Threads
  • 2025 Activism
  • Garden Chats
  • On The Road
  • Targeted Fundraising!
Open Thread:  Hey Lurkers!  (Holiday Post)

Open Threads

You are here: Home / Archives for Open Threads

War for Ukraine Day 1,349: The Cost and the Reason

by Adam L Silverman|  November 4, 20259:12 pm| 8 Comments

This post is in: Foreign Affairs, Foreign Policy, Military, Open Threads, Russia, Silverman on Security, War, War in Ukraine

A painting by the Ukrainain artist NEIVANMADE. The upper 1/2 is grey and there are black Shahed drones on it aimed towards the bottom of the painting. The bottom half of the painting has a blood red background and in the center of the bottom is a house, to it's left is a swing set, and to its right is a car. They are charcoal grey on the blood red background background. The drones are targeting the house, swing set, and car. Above the house and below the drones are the words "Russia Kills To Erase Free People".

(Image by NEIVANMADE)

The cost:

Russia murdered volunteer Olena Polynina, who rescued stray animals, in Sloviansk.

According to her fellow volunteers, that day Olena had packed food and set out to feed the strays she cared for. At that moment, Russian forces struck the city with a multiple rocket launcher.

[image or embed]

— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) November 4, 2025 at 5:00 PM

Two other people were killed alongside her.

— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) November 4, 2025 at 5:00 PM

The reason:

This is so beautiful: a Ukrainian soldier sent his wife sunflowers from the fields of Donbas — after coming back from the zero line.
Photos: _kononchuk_annie_ threads.

[image or embed]

— Olena Halushka (@halushka.bsky.social) November 4, 2025 at 1:12 PM

President Zelenskyy did a battlefield circulation today. He met with the Soldiers of the Azov Corps, as well as the 4th Brigade of the National Guard/the Rubizh Brigade, the 25th Separate Sicheslav Brigade, the 7th Rapid Response Forces of the Airborne Assault Forces, and the 414th Brigade/Magyar’s Birds and presented awards.

🫡🇺🇦 President Volodymyr Zelensky visited the command post of the 1st Corps of the National Guard of Ukraine “Azov,” which is currently operating in the Dobropillia direction.

[image or embed]

— Vitalis Viva (@vitalisviva.bsky.social) November 4, 2025 at 9:16 AM

He also visited the food train:

The 🇺🇦 Food Train 🚂 had a visitor today! Grateful to the Ukrainian Railways team for their non-stop courageous work. The train is still cooking thousands of meals every day, often under fire in the Kharkiv region. The Iron People are unbreakable.

[image or embed]

— Nate Mook (@natemook.bsky.social) November 4, 2025 at 4:05 PM

Here is President Zelenskyy’s address from earlier today. Video below, English transcript after the jump.

show full post on front page

I Directed an Increase in Funding for the Corps on Key Directions and Discussed This With the Command – Address by the President

4 November 2025 – 19:40

I wish you good health, fellow Ukrainians!

Today, I was in the Donetsk and Dnipro regions, and – most importantly – in the Pokrovsk sector, with those very corps that are doing the crucial work: destroying the occupier, defending Pokrovsk, defending Myrnohrad, defending Dobropillia.

The 1st Corps of the National Guard “Azov” – this is specifically the Dobropillia direction. We also visited, in particular, the 4th Rapid Response Brigade of the National Guard of Ukraine “Rubizh,” the 7th Rapid Response Corps of the Airborne Assault Forces, the 25th Separate Airborne Sicheslav Brigade, and the 414th Separate Unmanned Strike Aviation System Brigade of the AFU “Magyar’s Birds.” All the commanders of the Unmanned Systems Forces are present. And all of them, together with our other forces, are ensuring the defense of the Pokrovsk areas.

I want to thank every warrior, every unit engaged here and on other parts of the front. Today, I presented awards to the finest warriors – those who distinguished themselves in combat. And as is now traditional, I spoke with brigade commanders about their urgent needs, mostly about drones. This is truly the key component of combat operations right now. There were many-many details, but the main thing is – we need more drones, all types of drones, and independence in drone production, and our own independence, and truly reliable partners for Ukraine. Units have put forward proposals – about contracts: new contracts currently being developed, which will form the foundation of our professional army – and also proposals on procedures within the Armed Forces.

It is good that direct financing to brigades is effective, and units can purchase what they need and produce what they need. I thank all the craftsmen working for our army – we will simplify the procedures we discussed today so it becomes much easier to work with drops and with explosives. I directed an increase in funding for the corps on key directions and discussed this with the command. There are things that still need to be unified – both in production and in procedures, particularly between the Armed Forces of Ukraine and our National Guard. We discussed how recruiting works in detail and how to add more motivation for our warriors. There are many ideas for new weapons development, and right now, the first and main priority is drones. The largest share of funds goes to drones and components, and that is right and necessary. However, we are looking for every way to increase our ability to achieve results. The key task is increasing crews and boosting supplies.

The Russian army has once again been forced to push back the deadlines it had drawn up for itself for capturing our Pokrovsk and our Dobropillia. And every Russian loss in these very areas of the Donetsk region, on the border with our Dnipro region, and also in Kupyansk – every Russian loss – contributes to our ability to defend our state, to protect our people, our independence.

It is symbolic that today we have truly the most positive European Commission report in three years – the strongest result for Ukraine in three years. This gives all of us, all Ukrainians, even more motivation as Europe recognizes our joint efforts. Ukraine is doing everything to gain EU membership. Even in wartime, even amid the toughest battles, our state keeps moving forward – and only forward – in the membership talks, which is absolutely unprecedented across Europe. Every other EU member state has followed a much easier path. And it is crucial that our results are met with proper support in Europe – that the European Union fulfils its commitments. Ukraine is ready to open the clusters, and we need a European decision on this. I want to thank everyone who is truly helping us! I am proud of our people, proud of every single one of our warriors. Thank you!

Glory to Ukraine!

First Lady Zelenska visited a foster family and the School of Superheroes in Pokrovsk today.

Olena Zelenska and the Foundation Team Visited a Large Foster Family and the School of Superheroes in the Poltava Region

4 November 2025 – 18:05

The First Lady of Ukraine, together with the team of the Olena Zelenska Foundation, visited a large foster family in the Poltava region, for whom a new home was built this year, with the support of the Hilti Foundation, as part of the “Room for Childhood” project.

Olha and Oleksandr Checher’s family shared their story. They spoke about their life after moving in and showed what their new home looks like now.

“Every house we build within the ‘Room for Childhood’ project is not just about housing. It is primarily about the opportunity for children to grow up in a family, surrounded by those who support, protect, and love them. When you see a family that, after everything they’ve been through, once again has their own home, filled with children’s laughter and a sense of family warmth – you realize: this is what we strive for – for every child to have not a temporary shelter, but a true home where they are awaited, accepted, and cared for,” said the President’s wife.

“Room for Childhood” is a project of the Olena Zelenska Foundation aimed at building new homes for large foster families. Its goal is to provide them with comfortable housing while promoting family-based upbringing as an alternative to institutional care. Within the first wave of the project, the Foundation built 17 houses across eight regions of Ukraine.

Following the successful completion of the first wave, in May 2025, the Foundation announced the launch of the second wave – primarily for foster families ready to welcome more children into their care. The Foundation has already begun constructing the next 20 such homes with the support of international partners: ten funded by the United Arab Emirates and another ten made possible by a grant allocated by the Danish Business Authority through a donation from the A.P. Møller Relief Foundation.

Olena Zelenska and the Foundation team also visited the School of Superheroes in Poltava. The educational space, operating on the premises of a children’s hospital, ensures uninterrupted learning for children undergoing treatment.

“The School’s educational center in Poltava has been operating for almost a year – the first of its kind in the city. Every month, more than 100 children who are in hospital can continue their studies, keep developing despite illness, and experience positive emotions,” said Nataliia Zhilinska, Director of the State Institution “School of Superheroes.”

The establishment of the center was funded by the Olena Zelenska Foundation with the support of an international partner from South Korea: the charity Good Steward Inc. FEBC-Korea.

Georgia:

The people of Georgia persist, Day 342 of #GeorgiaProtests

[image or embed]

— Marika Mikiashvili 🇬🇪🇺🇦🇪🇺 (@marikamikiashvili.bsky.social) November 4, 2025 at 12:41 PM

Day 342 of uninterrupted, nationwide protests in Georgia. 🇬🇪❤️✊

[image or embed]

— Rusudan Djakeli (@rusudandjakeli.bsky.social) November 4, 2025 at 12:00 PM

“Georgian education is in danger.”

Three civic movements — Freedom Square, Movement for Social Democracy, and Georgian Education Is in Danger — are holding a protest against the new so-called education reform.

They warn the new regulations will harm the system and be used as a tool of repression.

[image or embed]

— Rusudan Djakeli (@rusudandjakeli.bsky.social) November 4, 2025 at 10:19 AM

Persistence isn’t the thing we lack, that’s for sure.

#TerrorinGeorgia #GeorgiaProtests

📷 Merab Metreveli

[image or embed]

— Marika Mikiashvili 🇬🇪🇺🇦🇪🇺 (@marikamikiashvili.bsky.social) November 4, 2025 at 2:34 PM

The regime police brutally assaulted former political prisoner Giorgi Akhobadze.

#TerrorinGeorgia #GeorgiaProtests

[image or embed]

— Marika Mikiashvili 🇬🇪🇺🇦🇪🇺 (@marikamikiashvili.bsky.social) November 4, 2025 at 4:33 AM

Rusiko Kobakhidze, a mother of 9 children, consciously risking jail to protest the Russian takeover and a dictatorship in Georgia.

#TerrorinGeorgia #GeorgiaProtests

[image or embed]

— Marika Mikiashvili 🇬🇪🇺🇦🇪🇺 (@marikamikiashvili.bsky.social) November 4, 2025 at 2:48 PM

At least three more people have been arrested tonight in Georgia: Paata Shamugia, Vazha Berishvili, Beka Agulashvili.

📷 Netgazeti

[image or embed]

— Rusudan Djakeli (@rusudandjakeli.bsky.social) November 4, 2025 at 2:03 PM

Protesters distract the regime police that is there to hunt individual protesters at the Freedom Square metro station.

Next thing to be banned: banners. Or just standing near a policeman.

#TerrorinGeorgia #GeorgiaProtests

📷 @mariamnikuradze.bsky.social

[image or embed]

— Marika Mikiashvili 🇬🇪🇺🇦🇪🇺 (@marikamikiashvili.bsky.social) November 4, 2025 at 4:34 PM

Yesterday, a mother and a daughter risked jail together, holding their hands.

For merely protesting.

#TerrorinGeorgia #GeorgiaProtests

[image or embed]

— Marika Mikiashvili 🇬🇪🇺🇦🇪🇺 (@marikamikiashvili.bsky.social) November 4, 2025 at 5:23 PM

Poland:

Polish Prime Minister Donald Tusk has shown the wreckage of Russian drones found on Polish territory.

[image or embed]

— 🦋Special Kherson Cat🐈🇺🇦 (@specialkhersoncat.bsky.social) November 4, 2025 at 5:38 AM

Germany:

Reuters reports that Germany plans to increase its financial aid to Ukraine by around €3 billion in 2026. The funds will be used for artillery, drones, and armored personnel carriers.
www.reuters.com/world/german…

— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) November 4, 2025 at 11:49 AM

Back to Ukraine.

🔥Infographic of Ukrainian attacks on Russian refineries.

From x.com/khoholenko/s…

[image or embed]

— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) November 4, 2025 at 4:02 AM

Ukraine’s Defense Intelligence released a video compilation of combat operations in the Zaporizhzhia and Lyman sectors over the past week, showing a series of ambushes, assaults through wooded areas, the capture of prisoners, drone strikes, and other battlefield actions.

[image or embed]

— Tatarigami (@tatarigami.bsky.social) November 4, 2025 at 6:40 AM

Another sleepless night for Russia, as Ukrainian forces continue their deep-strike campaign, now a new element of daily life in the country. Ukraine successfully hit multiple important targets tonight

🧵Thread:

1. Video showing the aftermath of the attack on the refinery in Kstovo, Nizhny Novgorod:

[image or embed]

— Tatarigami (@tatarigami.bsky.social) November 3, 2025 at 11:09 PM

2/ Sterlitamak petrochemical plant: According to local media, part of a production workshop collapsed following an explosion.

[image or embed]

— Tatarigami (@tatarigami.bsky.social) November 3, 2025 at 11:09 PM

3/ Another successful strike: explosions, reportedly in Dovzhansk, Luhansk Oblast, were captured on video

Source: Exilenova_plus

[image or embed]

— Tatarigami (@tatarigami.bsky.social) November 3, 2025 at 11:09 PM

Check out this deep dive into Ukraine’s drone campaign against Russian oil refineries complete with detailed analysis, accessible infographics, videos, and a breakdown of scale and strategy.
www.reuters.com/graphics/UKR…

[image or embed]

— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) November 4, 2025 at 1:41 PM

A couple of weeks old, but interesting nonetheless. From Reuters:

“You don’t have the cards,” Donald Trump famously told Volodymyr Zelenskiy during their Oval Office showdown in February as he dismissed Ukraine’s capabilities in the war against Russia.

As the two leaders prepare to meet in the White House again, Ukraine’s military remains on the back foot — but it has shown it has at least one potent play to hit the enemy where it hurts: long-range drone strikes on Russia’s crucial energy industry.

Last month, Zelenskiy described the attacks on the oil sector, which funds and fuels Moscow’s war effort, as “the sanctions that work the fastest”. Reuters can reveal the scale of the campaign and the strategy behind it, drawing on data from independent researchers, footage of some attacks, plus interviews with seven Ukrainian sources with knowledge of the strikes.

Ukraine has launched at least 58 attacks on key Russian energy sites since the start of August, sending drones as far as about 2,000 km (1,200 miles) into Russian territory to bomb refineries, pumping stations, storage depots and export terminals, according to data compiled by UK-based non-profit group Open Source Centre (OSC).

That compares with just one such strike in June and two in July.

A senior Ukrainian government source, who requested anonymity to discuss security matters, told Reuters the primary goal of the campaign was to create shortages of key products like gasoline and diesel within Russia, making it harder for Moscow to push forward on the front lines.

The impact is being felt.

Drone strikes at various refineries knocked out around 17% of Russia’s refining capacity in mid-August, or 1.2 million barrels per day, which rose to 21%, or 1.4 million barrels per day, by the end of that month, according to Reuters calculations.

Domestic gasoline prices in Russia have risen by about a tenth and sporadic queues have appeared at filling stations. The strikes on refining have also served to push more crude towards export, reshaping Russia’s energy trade, according to LSEG data.

The recent attacks are not the first time Ukraine has launched long-range drones, or unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs), at Russian energy installations. But the frequency of attacks is the highest since Moscow’s full-scale invasion of February 2022, as the range and payloads of drones grow.

Russia, for its part, has been pummelling Ukraine’s power and natural gas facilities in the last two months, causing widespread blackouts and water shortages across the country.

The Kremlin didn’t respond to a request for comment for this article. Russian officials have said no external power will force them to change course in the conflict and that attacks on the oil industry are dangerously escalatory.

Russia’s energy industry isn’t under critical threat, as Kyiv itself acknowledges.

Sergey Vakulenko, an oil and gas specialist at the Carnegie Russia Eurasia Center, said only repeated successful strikes on refineries could knock the facilities out of service.

“Russia’s oil refineries are facing a lot of problems, but things are far from catastrophic,” he wrote in a report. “How the situation develops in the coming months depends on whether Ukraine is able to maintain the pace of … or even ramp up attacks.”

Following Russia’s invasion, Western allies prohibited Kyiv from firing the weapons they provided at targets deep inside Russian territory for fear of escalating the conflict, leading Ukraine to develop its own drone capabilities.

Both sides in the war produced between about 1.5 and 2 million military drones of all types last year, according to officials, underlining the rapid expansion of aerial warfare. Zelenskiy said in November last year that Ukraine would produce at least 30,000 long-range drones in 2025.

The Ukrainian Liutyi and FP-1 long-range drones, powered by small engines and able to fly in excess of 1,000 km, are among the workhorses of the campaign to hit energy assets.

A source with knowledge of Ukraine’s long-range attacks against Russian energy facilities said that operations typically include between 20 and 30 drones designed to dive into targets laden with explosives, with a smaller number of decoys sometimes sent beforehand to drain Russia’s air defences.

Sometimes drone fleets can be much larger — Zelenskiy said at a news briefing in early October that up to 300 drones had been deployed in a single operation.

Ukraine’s main challenge is scale. Though it is constantly increasing production, it doesn’t have enough drones to routinely overwhelm Russia’s air defences, while Russia is also improving its interception rate, meaning a smaller proportion are reaching their targets, according to the source.

Satellite imagery verified by Reuters also shows what appear to be anti-drone nets and structures over key parts of the Gazprom Neftekhim Salavat refinery located some 1,400 km away from the Ukrainian border.

The source familiar with Ukraine’s attacks said various means were used for navigation and targeting drone strikes.

One of the main methods is visual navigation, where the drone uses an on-board camera to match features on the ground to a pre-loaded map. Unlike GPS-guided navigation, this cannot be hacked or jammed by Russian electronic warfare systems.

Another common way is to use advanced satellite-navigation antennas designed to block out unusual signals that seek to jam or disorient the system, while the craft continues to receive its real position from satellites in space.

Much more at the link including charts, graphs, and images/visualizations.

A drone of the Ukrainian security service scouted a city buildings from the inside and discovered a Russian infantryman hiding inside.

[image or embed]

— 🦋Special Kherson Cat🐈🇺🇦 (@specialkhersoncat.bsky.social) November 4, 2025 at 8:34 AM

Nikopol, Dnipropetrovsk Oblast:

In Nikopol, russian troops struck an ambulance while it was transporting a patient to the hospital.
Three medics were injured.

[image or embed]

— Iryna Voichuk (@irynavoichuk.bsky.social) November 4, 2025 at 2:56 AM

Synelnykove, Dnipropetrovsk Oblast:

Russia attacked the Synelnykove district in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast, killing a woman and injuring eight others, including two children.
A 5-year-old girl is in critical condition.

[image or embed]

— Iryna Voichuk (@irynavoichuk.bsky.social) November 4, 2025 at 3:51 AM

Kharkiv Oblast:

In Kharkiv region As a result of a nighttime attack by Russian UAVs, multiple fires broke out, with injuries reported among both civilians and firefighters.

In the village of Dokuchaevske, three separate fires were recorded: two private homes, a gas pipeline, and a civilian infrastructure facility

[image or embed]

— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) November 4, 2025 at 2:13 AM

wereset ablaze. One of the Russian drones struck the building of the local Rohanska fire brigade, causing significant damage to the fire station and its equipment.

In the village of Ruska Lozova, a private home caught fire.

6 civilians were injured in the attack, including 2 volunteer firefighters

— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) November 4, 2025 at 2:13 AM

WARNING!! WARNING!! GRAPHIC IMAGERY!! WARNING!! WARNING!!

Yet another horrific video has surfaced online of russians deliberately and cynically murdering two unarmed civilians who tried to walk away from the frontline under a white flag with their dog in the Kharkiv region.

White flag. Civilian clothes. No resistance. Just a dog.

[image or embed]

— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) November 4, 2025 at 10:06 AM

An inhuman, disgusting war crime carried out deliberately with two separate drones. Again.

There are no words to describe this cruelty and no more ways to explain why russia must be stopped, if even cases like this one are not convincing enough.

— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) November 4, 2025 at 10:06 AM

ALL CLEAR!!!!

Pokrovsk, Donetsk Oblast:

🇺🇦🦾 In Pokrovsk, soldiers of the 79th Brigade approach a building occupied by Russians and blow it up with a TM-62M mine. In addition, paratroopers capture several occupiers. Ukrainian soldiers demonstrate heroism and courage every day in the battle for Pokrovsk.

[image or embed]

— Vitalis Viva (@vitalisviva.bsky.social) November 4, 2025 at 9:42 AM

The Defence Intelligence of Ukraine has released unique footage of combat operations on the front line by fighters of the “Timur Special Unit” in Pokrovsk, Donetsk region. The DIU operation in the designated area of Pokrovsk is ongoing.
t.me/c/1606301574…

[image or embed]

— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) November 4, 2025 at 4:56 AM

Southern Ukraine:

🔥👌 Spectacular footage of three enemy vehicles with electronic warfare equipment being destroyed by State Border Service soldiers in the south!

[image or embed]

— Vitalis Viva (@vitalisviva.bsky.social) November 4, 2025 at 12:52 PM

Avdiivka, Donetsk Oblast:

Ukrainian Defence Intelligence conducted a targeted strike on the Russian “Rubikon” UAV command post in occupied Avdiivka. An FP-2 drone carrying over 100 kg of explosives hit the site, eliminating several Russian officers and drone operators.

[image or embed]

— 🦋Special Kherson Cat🐈🇺🇦 (@specialkhersoncat.bsky.social) November 4, 2025 at 7:16 AM

Dobropillia, Donetsk Oblast:

The Russian army carried out an airstrike on Dobropillia in the Donetsk region, partially destroying a five-story residential building.

[image or embed]

— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) November 4, 2025 at 12:57 PM

Kherson Oblast:

Fighters of Ukraine’s “Bratstvo” unit, part of the “Timur Special Unit,” conducted a successful reconnaissance and sabotage mission in the “grey zone” near the Velyki Kuchuhury islands at the bottom of the former Kakhovka Reservoir.
t.me/c/1606301574…

[image or embed]

— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) November 4, 2025 at 6:47 AM

Nizhny Novgorod Oblast, Russia:

Hope all your oil burns, along with your refineries, your money, and your ability to murder people in your neighboring state with them.

Kstovo, Russia.

Burn!

[image or embed]

— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) November 3, 2025 at 9:08 PM

Kstovo — a little tour of the Lukoil refinery. The video shows repairs being carried out on a distillation column responsible for primary oil processing, which was damaged after previous attacks. They say that everything was “shot down” last night — it’s just that “debris was falling.”

[image or embed]

— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) November 4, 2025 at 8:16 AM

Kursk Oblast, Russia:

An “Atesh” partisan completely burned down a relay cabinet on a local communication tower. This paralyzed military communications and the transmission of operational data in the Kursk region, which is a key border area.

[image or embed]

— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) November 4, 2025 at 10:52 AM

Volgograd Oblast:

According to local public channels, drones also attacked a 500 kV substation in the city of Frolovo, Volgograd region. Russians in local chats are whining about communication problems.

[image or embed]

— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) November 4, 2025 at 5:50 AM

The Republic of Bashkortostan, Russia:

At night in Russia, in Bashkortostan, drones attacked a petrochemical plant in the city of Sterlitamak. Local residents heard explosions and reported seeing smoke.

[image or embed]

— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) November 4, 2025 at 4:29 AM

Oryol Oblast, Russia:

Oryol, Russia 💥💥💥

[image or embed]

— MAKS 25 👀🇺🇦 (@maks23.bsky.social) November 4, 2025 at 5:47 PM

More from Oryol 👀💥

[image or embed]

— MAKS 25 👀🇺🇦 (@maks23.bsky.social) November 4, 2025 at 5:50 PM

❗️

[image or embed]

— MAKS 25 👀🇺🇦 (@maks23.bsky.social) November 4, 2025 at 5:50 PM

Oryol… missiles? 🚀👀

[image or embed]

— MAKS 25 👀🇺🇦 (@maks23.bsky.social) November 4, 2025 at 6:01 PM

That’s enough for tonight.

Your daily Patron!

There are no new Patron skeets or videos today. Here is some adjacent material.

Today the Hachiko team is in Cherkask, eastern 🇺🇦—these tiny kittens were found at Tetiana’s gate sick & exhausted. We provided ear & eye drops, flea & tick treatment, deworming tablets, and nutritious paste for kittens. Now the little ones are in safe hands and a warm home. 🙏😻

[image or embed]

— Nate Mook (@natemook.bsky.social) November 2, 2025 at 2:39 PM

Open thread!

War for Ukraine Day 1,349: The Cost and the ReasonPost + Comments (8)

Open Thread: Oligarchs Love the Panglossians

by Anne Laurie|  November 4, 20254:00 pm| 86 Comments

This post is in: C.R.E.A.M., Open Threads, Our Failed Media Experiment

Poll: Americans say “too divided”
Pundit: Dems are being too divisive
Poll: Legal system unfair
Pundit: The public thinks Trump should get away with crimes
Poll: Low trust in media
Pundits: MSM is too far left
Every time they see a nonspecific term and assume everyone thinks like a Republican.

[image or embed]

— Nicholas Grossman (@nicholasgrossman.bsky.social) November 2, 2025 at 10:04 AM

Do our pundits know that Voltaire meant ‘All is for the best in the best of all possible worlds’ as satire? Or do people like Ezra Klein just agree with the oligarchs who believe that their personal success vindicates the current political situation, because it’s been a very profitable career choice for Ezra Klein and his ilk?

When a voter says politics is too divided, could they be thinking of the current president who constantly works to divide people?
Can’t be. They must be saying appease MAGA.
When a voter says they don’t trust the media, could they be thinking of Fox, or criticizing NYT from the left?
Can’t be.

— Nicholas Grossman (@nicholasgrossman.bsky.social) November 2, 2025 at 10:10 AM

Assuming every poll respondent pictures the same thing when they respond to an ambiguous question is a social science error.
When someone says “too divisive” or “I don’t trust institutions,” that doesn’t tell us who, what, or why.
Not data analysis. The pundit’s fallacy, dressed up with numbers.

— Nicholas Grossman (@nicholasgrossman.bsky.social) November 2, 2025 at 10:18 AM

There's also a weird conventional wisdom forming that the Democratic agenda is toxically unpopular and that Republicans are delivering what voters want.
This is laughably false. Trump is the most unpopular president in modern history and his entire agenda is underwater.

[image or embed]

— Michael Hobbes (@michaelhobbes.bsky.social) November 2, 2025 at 8:51 AM

Klein is right that Dems have to win in red states and that the party should be engaging in some soul-searching right now.
But the soul-searching should begin with basic facts. Moderation *is* the current strategy and Dems are losing despite having a popular agenda. More of the same won't fix it.

— Michael Hobbes (@michaelhobbes.bsky.social) November 2, 2025 at 8:55 AM

The items in their agenda are popular, yet the impression for a vast number of people is that their agenda sucks.
Thats partly on us for not delivering the message well, but mostly on the bad guys for lying so relentlessly about it on every platform where those people get their information.

— johnpfree (@johnpfree.bsky.social) November 2, 2025 at 9:02 AM

Open Thread: Oligarchs Love the PanglossiansPost + Comments (86)

Big Law’s Big Choice (Paging Our Balloon Juice Attorneys)

by WaterGirl|  November 4, 20252:15 pm| 88 Comments

This post is in: Open Threads, Politics

Really interesting article from Paul Rosenweig about chickens coming home to roost!

Big Law’s Big Choice (Paging Our Balloon Juice Attorneys) 2
Getty images

I know some of you don’t like the Bulwark, but as long as we are fighting the demise of the rule of law together, I’m not going to dismiss them out of hand.

I would love to hear from our various BJ attorneys – are the 9 who signed these (I think, sleazy) agreements in a bind, and is it realistic to think they would seriously consider backing out of the agreement?

A D.C. Bar opinion shows why it would be ethical for the nine Big Law firms to rescind their settlement agreements with Trump. But to do so would invite his wrath.

When nine Big Law firms settled with Donald Trump (or, perhaps more accurately, cravenly “caved” to him), they probably thought that discretion was the better part of valor. Why fight with the big dog when the fight will only hurt, and when there is no apparent downside to surrender?

The downside has now become apparent. As reported in the New York Times, the District of Columbia Bar Legal Ethics Committee recently issued an opinion calling into grave question the ethical appropriateness of Big Law’s settlements with Trump.

Though the opinion does not mention Trump by name, the upshot of the opinion is that the big law firms that settled with him have to address significant ethical questions. Taken seriously, this opinion is a quiet earthquake that might shake the foundations of several law firms both because it says that what the law firms have done may have violated the Rules of Professional Conduct and because it also suggests that their violations cannot be cured without rescinding their agreements with Trump.

To see why, it’s worth backing up a bit to set the groundwork.

I can’t share the whole article, but it’s definitely worth reading the whole thing!

One of the most important aspects of the Rules of Professional Conduct is a prohibition against conflicts of interest. For example, a conflict of interest might arise when one lawyer in a large law firm is representing a client (let’s call him Client A) and another potential client (Client B) wants to sue Client A. As a general matter, a lawyer cannot represent one client in a suit against another existing client—at least not without the consent of both of the clients.

But conflicts of interest do not arise exclusively between clients. A lawyer’s own financial or personal interests also may create a conflict between her clients and her. And so, the rules provide that: “a lawyer shall not represent a client with respect to a matter if . . . the lawyer’s professional judgment on behalf of the client will be or reasonably may be adversely affected by . . . the lawyer’s own financial, business, property, or personal interests.”

Toward the end of the article:

There are only three ways to eliminate a conflict—get an informed waiver from the client, drop the client, or remove the conflict. The D.C. Bar opinion makes clear that the waiver option may not be realistic. The firms may not in fact be capable of securing knowing waivers from their clients since the indefinite nature of their commitments to Trump render any disclosure almost by definition incomplete.

And no firm wants to drop a big institutional paying client. But none of them are any happier following this analysis to its logical conclusion—that the only foolproof way to remove the conflict is by withdrawing from the agreement with Trump.

Discuss!

 

Big Law’s Big Choice (Paging Our Balloon Juice Attorneys)Post + Comments (88)

Inspirational Read: Rep. Sarah McBride

by Anne Laurie|  November 4, 202512:32 pm| 35 Comments

This post is in: Excellent Links, LGBTQ Rights Are Human Rights, Proud to Be A Democrat

Sarah McBride says that her worst day in Congress came after Mike Johnson banned her using women's restrooms, which, of course, came after Nancy Mace had proposed the ban.
www.advocate.com/politics/sar…

[image or embed]

— Eric Michael Garcia (@ericmgarcia.bsky.social) November 3, 2025 at 10:06 PM

A reminder that elections can have good consequences, too. The Advocate, “Sarah McBride opens up about her darkest day in Congress (exclusive)”:

Nearly one year after making history as the first out transgender member of the U.S. House of Representatives, Delaware Democrat Sarah McBride has spent her first term navigating both the exhilaration of progress and the exhaustion of being a symbol in a Congress with a Republican majority that is often hostile to her existence…

The first time The Advocate sat down together for an interview with McBride after she won her historic election was November 15, 2024, inside a designated media broadcast room in the Cannon House Office Building in Washington, D.C. It was orientation week for new members of Congress, and Sarah McBride, then 34, Delaware’s newly elected congresswoman, was radiating something between fatigue and disbelief.

“I’m just trying to breathe it all in,” she said at the time. A few days later, the joy turned.

“The high of orientation,” McBride explained when The Advocate met her again almost a year later, in late October, this time in her Longworth Building office, “was met with probably the deepest low of my life outside of losing my husband to cancer.”…

That low came 15 days after her November 5 election. On November 20, when Republican House Speaker Mike Johnson, who has called gender-affirming care “child abuse,” banned transgender people from using restrooms aligned with their gender identity in House-controlled spaces. McBride responded by saying she would comply with all House rules.

Behind the scenes, Democrats tried to cushion the cruelty. Several quietly offered McBride access to the private single-person restrooms in their Capitol offices — small acts of solidarity in the face of a policy many called cruel and absurd.

show full post on front page

The following day, on November 21, The Advocate reported the reaction within the trans community. It was a fracture in what had otherwise been a celebration. Some activists wanted defiance; others accused McBride of being too measured. One person said it felt like “being pulled right under the wheels of the bus by someone I thought was trying to pull me out.”…

For her, the episode revealed how outrage itself had become performance. She said that people targeting trans people were just wanting to incite, but she didn’t want to feed into their actions. Her refusal to respond in kind, she explained, was not detachment but discipline.

“The country needs a clear visual contrast between the inhumanity of anti-equality politicians and our literal humanity,” she said. “In a world where someone might see a photo or video for just a millisecond while scrolling, that contrast has to be obvious.”

She invoked the moral power of the civil-rights movement — students walking silently into newly integrated schools as mobs jeered.

“It was unfair that they had to walk forward in silence,” she said. “But in doing so, they made clear to the public who was right and who was wrong.”…

Even amid the transphobia, McBride showed up in Congress. She helped unite Democrats against anti-LGBTQ+ amendments to the National Defense Authorization Act, introduced measures to reverse Trump’s transgender military ban, and co-sponsored the Equality Act, the Pride in Mental Health Act, and the Veterans Healthcare Equality Act.

She joined colleagues pressing the State Department to restore LGBTQ+ human-rights data, opposed cuts to suicide-prevention programs, and fought discriminatory passport policies.

“I am really proud that thus far we have kept our party together and united in defense of the trans community,” she said. “I would never claim credit for that, but I do believe I have played a role in both the public and private tactics that I’ve employed in helping our party in the aftermath of an election when many pundits said the lesson was that supporting trans people and defending trans people had cost us that election.”

McBride said the hate aimed at trans people can be stopped two ways. “One is to change public opinion. The other is to win back power. In a democracy, you can’t have one without the other,” she said…

“When people hear ‘meeting people where they are,’ they think I’m talking about right-wing politicians,” she said. “I’m not. I’m talking about voters — people with goodwill and questions.”

“If you lump everyone who’s still on a journey with the far right,” she said, “you cap your coalition at about 30 percent. You push potential allies toward extremists.”…

For McBride, persuasion is itself a form of courage. “It’s comforting to preach to our choir,” she said. “But this is a moment where we have no alternative but to have the courage to grow our congregation.”…

She recalled nearly not running at all. “When I was deciding whether to run for this office,” she said, “one of the questions I had to ask myself was, ‘Am I willing to take this risk?’ Because we had been hearing a lot of things about the risk to my physical safety, even if I just ran, and I almost didn’t run in part because of that. But then I decided that if I didn’t run because of that, then that would mean they win.”

“If they can successfully intimidate us out of public life,” she continued, “then that is a surefire way for us to not only be pushed back into the shadows, but to see a politics that is perhaps unstoppably cruel toward us.”…

Inspirational Read: Rep. Sarah McBridePost + Comments (35)

Media Themes and Political Wisdom, Nov 2025

by WaterGirl|  November 4, 202510:00 am| 177 Comments

This post is in: Elections, Elections 2025, Open Threads, Politics

Robert Reich has a pretty interesting article up today.

He included a poll, which I just took at around 9:30 this morning.

Results from that moment in time:

Auto Draft 140

Guessing that Dems coming back is bolded because that’s the one I chose.

Okay, now let’s get to the meat of the article.

Which one would you choose?

1. A new generation of American leaders is capturing the hearts and spirit of the nation. The best example is the election of Zohran Mamdani. The young, African-born, Muslim, avowed Social Democrat generated more enthusiasm than America has seen for any politician in many years, and he ignited a vast army of young volunteers. The future of the Democratic Party is with unapologetic progressives like Zohran who inspire the young and fight for average working people.

2. The Democratic Party is coming back. Anti-Trump sentiment won the day, with near-record Democratic turnouts. All the winners — including California’s Gavin Newsom — presented a positive vision of the future sharply at odds with Trump’s dark, vindictive one. They all spoke of a government that works on behalf of all the people, not just the well-off. This bodes well for the Democrats in next year’s congressional midterm elections, if they can keep up the momentum.

3. The Democratic Party did well because it moved to the center. The biggest lesson of today’s races is that the future of the Democratic Party lies in pragmatism and moderation. Abigail Spanberger won in Virginia and Mikie Sherrill in New Jersey because voters want leaders who can solve problems, not mount slogans or declare class warfare. We also saw this in Andrew Cuomo’s stronger-than-expected performance in New York, and in Gavin Newsom’s pragmatic approach to redistricting in California.

4. Trump’s spell over the nation continues unabated. You’d think that with the economy in trouble, the government shuttered, tens of millions of American now lacking nutrition assistance, and millions more about to lose affordable health care, Trump’s influence would be in free fall. But America has become more conservative, even in traditionally liberal and progressive precincts such as New York, New Jersey, and California; Virginia is also moving back toward its conservative roots.

[I confess that as I was scrolling, I first caught the word “unabated” as “masturbate”, I think because at that moment i was thinking about the media and how they are going to be dealing with today, and that’s what I think much of the media has become.]

Anyway, I have two questions for you guys.

But first, an assumption on my part.  I think Dems are going to do well today.  For this conversation, let’s a assume that Dems do well.

ONE.  Which of those four do you agree with?

TWO. Which of those four do you think the media is likely to roll with?

 

Media Themes and Political Wisdom, Nov 2025Post + Comments (177)

Dick Cheney Dead

by Betty Cracker|  November 4, 20259:25 am| 84 Comments

This post is in: Open Threads

Former VP Dick Cheney is dead at 84. Here’s a snippet of the NYT obit (gift link to the whole thing):

Dick Cheney, widely regarded as the most powerful vice president in American history, who was George W. Bush’s running mate in two successful campaigns for the presidency and his most influential White House adviser in an era of terrorism, war and economic change, died Monday. He was 84.

The cause was complications of pneumonia and cardiac and vascular disease, according to a statement from his family.

Plagued by coronary problems nearly all his adult life, Mr. Cheney had five heart attacks from 1978 to 2010 and had worn a device to regulate his heartbeat since 2001. But his health issues did not seem to impair his performance as vice president. In 2012, three years after retiring, he underwent a successful heart transplant and had been reasonably active since then.

Most recently, he startled Americans of both parties by announcing that he would vote for Vice President Kamala Harris, a Democrat, in the 2024 election, denouncing her Republican opponent, former President Donald J. Trump, as unfit for the Oval Office and a grave threat to American democracy.

I had forgotten that the old bastard voted for Kamala Harris, though I knew Liz did. Kudos to the late Mr. Cheney for that, but not much of anything else he ever did in a long career that left this country meaner, weaker and less fair.

The only relatable story I ever heard about Dick Cheney was that he was the cook in the family — his wife and daughters apparently can’t boil an egg. One of them (Liz, I think) said when her father was hospitalized over a Thanksgiving holiday, he left detailed instructions to the family on how to cook the turkey. It started with a reminder to remove the plastic wrapper before putting it in the oven.

That’s all I have to say about that.

Open thread!

Dick Cheney DeadPost + Comments (84)

Tuesday Morning Open Thread

by Anne Laurie|  November 4, 20256:09 am| 232 Comments

This post is in: GOP Death Cult, Open Threads, Proud to Be A Democrat, Republicans in Disarray!

Good morning.
I don't know who did this, but I love you.

[image or embed]

— Richard Kadrey (@richardkadrey.bsky.social) November 3, 2025 at 10:01 AM

===

is this what trump means when he keeps saying he has record numbers?
edition.cnn.com/2025/11/03/p…

[image or embed]

— Rachel Maddow (@maddow.msnbc.com) November 3, 2025 at 1:54 PM

In Washington Post polling, a double-digit percentage of Republicans shifted from strongly to only somewhat approving of his presidency since February — a kind of shift that could crack the door open for GOP criticism and defections.
www.pbump.net/o/the-number…

[image or embed]

— Philip Bump (@pbump.com) November 3, 2025 at 11:46 PM

Americans broadly disapprove of how President Donald Trump is handling his job, and a majority say he has gone too far in exercising the powers of his office, according to a Washington-Post-ABC News-Ipsos poll.

[image or embed]

— The Washington Post (@washingtonpost.com) November 3, 2025 at 3:30 PM

===

Guess what’s happening in Donald Trump’s backyard?
A health care affordability crisis.
Quick reaction from the airport in Florida:

[image or embed]

— Elizabeth Warren (@warren.senate.gov) November 3, 2025 at 7:17 PM

show full post on front page

Per Politico, “Senate Democrats head to Trump’s ‘backyard’ to press him on Obamacare”:

… “We’re here, particularly in Miami-Dade, because you’re ground zero for absorbing the pain from the Republican cuts,” Sen. Elizabeth Warren said before a crowd gathered at a local health care union headquarters. “You are the ones who will lose more people off health care altogether and more people who will see their premiums go up than any place else in the country.”

Warren, along with Sens. Tina Smith of Minnesota and Chris Murphy of Connecticut, criticized President Donald Trump and Republicans for refusing to extend the more generous subsidies originally created as part of a 2021 pandemic relief bill.

“We are in Donald Trump’s backyard to make the point that people’s health insurance premiums are doubling because of him,” Smith said, referring to Trump’s residence at Mar-a-Lago in Palm Beach…

Murphy argued the federal government already had enough funding to help Obamacare customers, pointing to the ballroom Trump is building at the White House, as well as the $20 billion economic rescue package the U.S. is sending to Argentina. The ballroom’s estimated cost is $300 million.

“Donald Trump could reopen the government tomorrow if he just decided to fix this problem,” Murphy said. He added that though Democrats “want to get the government open,” they won’t vote for what he called “an immoral budget that throws millions of people off their health care.”…

===

You can either say “the Democrats are standing in the way” or you can say “finally we get to stop funding this program”. You can’t do both.

[image or embed]

— Patrick Chovanec (@prchovanec.bsky.social) November 3, 2025 at 6:17 PM

===
Gov. Abbott, courting an audience of one…

Closing the Texas border to MAGA asylum seekers.

[image or embed]

— Dana Houle (@danahoule.bsky.social) November 3, 2025 at 4:55 PM

Tuesday Morning Open ThreadPost + Comments (232)

  • « Go to Previous Page
  • Page 1
  • Page 2
  • Page 3
  • Page 4
  • Interim pages omitted …
  • Page 5289
  • Go to Next Page »

Primary Sidebar

On The Road - UncleEbeneezer - Enchanted Fall Color 2025: Road to Mora (Part 2 of 5) 1
Image by UncleEbeneezer (11/5/25)

Recent Comments

  • Suzanne on Wednesday Night Open Thread (Nov 5, 2025 @ 7:25pm)
  • Tony Jay on How About a Celebration Open Thread? (Nov 5, 2025 @ 7:24pm)
  • skerry on Wednesday Night Open Thread (Nov 5, 2025 @ 7:24pm)
  • Almost Retired on Wednesday Night Open Thread (Nov 5, 2025 @ 7:21pm)
  • Harrison Wesley on Open Mockery Thread: Participation Trophy (Nov 5, 2025 @ 7:20pm)

Balloon Juice Posts

View by Topic
View by Author
View by Month & Year
View by Past Author

Featuring

Medium Cool
Artists in Our Midst
Authors in Our Midst

🎈Keep Balloon Juice Ad Free

Become a Balloon Juice Patreon
Donate with Venmo, Zelle or PayPal

Calling All Jackals

Site Feedback
Nominate a Rotating Tag
Submit Photos to On the Road
Balloon Juice Anniversary (All Links)
Balloon Juice Anniversary (All Posts)
Fix Nyms with Apostrophes

Balloon Juice Mailing List Signup

Upcoming Meetups

Virginia Meetup on Oct 11 please RSVP

Social Media

Balloon Juice
WaterGirl
TaMara
John Cole
DougJ (aka NYT Pitchbot)
Betty Cracker
Tom Levenson
David Anderson
Major Major Major Major
DougJ NYT Pitchbot
mistermix
Rose Judson (podcast)

Site Footer

Come for the politics, stay for the snark.

  • Facebook
  • RSS
  • Twitter
  • YouTube
  • Comment Policy
  • Our Authors
  • Blogroll
  • Our Artists
  • Privacy Policy

Copyright © 2025 Dev Balloon Juice · All Rights Reserved · Powered by BizBudding Inc