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Balloon Juice

Come for the politics, stay for the snark.

Republicans firmly believe having an abortion is a very personal, very private decision between a woman and J.D. Vance.

The most dangerous place for a black man in America is in a white man’s imagination.

Peak wingnut was a lie.

Wake up. Grow up. Get in the fight.

The gop is a fucking disgrace.

American history and black history cannot be separated.

They spent the last eight months firing professionals and replacing them with ideologues.

Michigan is a great lesson for Dems everywhere: when you have power…use it!

I’ve spoken to my cat about this, but it doesn’t seem to do any good.

Do we throw up our hands or do we roll up our sleeves? (hint, door #2)

Since we are repeating ourselves, let me just say fuck that.

New McCarthy, same old McCarthyism.

America is going up in flames. The NYTimes fawns over MAGA celebrities. No longer a real newspaper.

Sadly, media malpractice has become standard practice.

You cannot love your country only when you win.

Come for the politics, stay for the snark.

They fucked up the fucking up of the fuckup!

Sometimes the world just tells you your cat is here.

Every decision we make has lots of baggage with it, known or unknown.

Incompetence, fear, or corruption? why not all three?

This must be what justice looks like, not vengeful, just peaceful exuberance.

It may be funny to you motherfucker, but it’s not funny to me.

One of our two political parties is a cult whose leader admires Vladimir Putin.

Polls are now a reliable indicator of what corporate Republicans want us to think.

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Open Thread:  Hey Lurkers!  (Holiday Post)

Open Threads

You are here: Home / Archives for Open Threads

Crime & Time (Open Thread)

by Betty Cracker|  May 16, 20243:17 pm| 115 Comments

This post is in: Open Threads, Politics, Republican Stupidity, Republican Venality

Crime & Time (Open Thread)

Overly be-shirted Trump goon Steve Bannon will probably be compelled to report to prison soon for a four-month sentence for two contempt of Congress violations:

In Tuesday’s court filing, the U.S. Attorney’s Office for the District of Columbia told Nichols that because Bannon’s appeal was rejected “on all grounds … consequently, there is no longer a ‘substantial question of law that is likely to result in a reversal or an order for a new trial.’”

“Under these circumstances … the stay of the sentence must be lifted,” prosecutors wrote.

In a footnote, prosecutors wrote that a federal district court in D.C. and the appeals court rejected a similar request by another former Trump aide, Peter Navarro, to stay a four-month jail sentence for contempt of Congress.

I hope whichever minimum security lockup Bannon lands in has an enormous supply of industrial-strength Febreze. It won’t be enough, but several cases of a strongly scented odor-fighting product might help. Jails should be humane!

According to TPM, Bannon probably won’t get a special visit by a greasy member of the Trump clan such as Don Jr. while in the hoosegow, as was granted to Peter Navarro, who’s about two months in to his own four-month stretch for contempt of Congress. That’s because Trump doesn’t really like Bannon.

While they remain supporters of one another’s work, Trump and Bannon have been at odds since Bannon exited the White House. Bannon left primarily because he couldn’t get along with Jared Kushner, but Trump also reportedly blamed Bannon for information getting leaked to the media. He also reportedly got tired of Bannon claiming too much credit for Trump’s electoral victory in 2016.

Navarro finds his four-month confinement so horrific that he keeps petitioning the judge to cut the sentence. The judge will not:

Last week, Navarro asked district Judge Amit Mehta in Washington, DC, to allow him to cut 30 days off his prison sentence in exchange for 30 days of supervised release, citing the First Step Act. Mehta said no.

“In sum, a four-month prison term without supervised release was warranted at the time of Defendant’s sentencing, and it remains warranted now,” the judge wrote.

Navarro reported to a federal prison in Florida on March 19 after other appeals were rejected by the Supreme Court.

Heh. Rot in jail, you skeezy fuck!

The truth is, I relish every prison sentence handed down to Trump creeps, even if the sentences are too short. It’s especially humorous that Bannon was ensnared because in an unrelated case, he received a presidential pardon for a fraud crime that could have sent him away for years. And yet he couldn’t appreciate his luck and just stop criming! I hope the same fate befalls Roger Stone.

Open thread.

Crime & Time (Open Thread)Post + Comments (115)

Copping to the Con (Open Thread)

by Betty Cracker|  May 16, 202412:06 pm| 122 Comments

This post is in: Domestic Politics, Education, Elections 2024, Open Threads, Politics, Republican Venality

I believe the story of U.S. politics in the Trump era is partly a tale of marks refusing to believe they’ve been conned. An example: my sister recently had a conversation with a MAGA relative who expressed a belief so incandescently stupid that I was momentarily taken aback.

In response to my sister’s query, our relative said he trusted Trump as president to put the country’s interests above his own in a national emergency. At least more than any other option, including Biden.

I’ll understand completely if you assume the person who said this is a blithering idiot, but I know otherwise. The thing is he’s prideful, and he refuses to admit he’s been conned.

Despite copious evidence to the contrary, he chooses to believe every other politician in the country is an even more rapacious crook than Donald Trump rather than accepting what’s glaringly obvious at this point — that Trump supporters have been taken in.

It’s a goddamn irritating dynamic. But apparently sometimes even poor judges of character and insight-free propaganda consumers wake up all on their own without a liberal blood relative beating some sense into their fucking heads.

Here’s an example in the form of a newly enlightened far-right school board member who ran on an anti-woke platform and then discovered who the real manipulators are. Most of the folks commenting here understood what the oligarchs were up to way back in 1999, but better late than never? (Texas Tribune)

When Courtney Gore ran for a seat on her local school board in 2021, she warned about a movement to indoctrinate children with “leftist” ideology. After 2 1/2 years on the board, Gore said she believes a much different scheme is unfolding: an effort by wealthy conservative donors to undermine public education in Texas and install a voucher system in which public money flows to private and religious schools.

Why did Gore run to overturn an indoctrination scheme that she later discovered didn’t really exist? It sounds like she genuinely believed the bullshit about children being exposed to Marxist and anti-Christian propaganda. That’s a sharp contrast to the cynical Republican political operatives who found Moms for Liberty-type groups — they know they’re lying to gain political power.

Anyhoo, here’s to waking up, however late the hour.

Open thread!

Copping to the Con (Open Thread)Post + Comments (122)

Trump’s NY Criminal Trial, Day 18 (Michael Cohen Cross)

by WaterGirl|  May 16, 20249:20 am| 169 Comments

This post is in: Open Threads, Politics, Trump Indictments, Trump’s NY Criminal Trial

 It’s Day 18 of the trial.

Is it still possible that the prosecution could rest as soon as today?  Stay tuned!

Michael Cohen cross continues today!

Best sources of live blogging that I have found.  It looks like some of them are only live blogging for the “big” witnesses, but I think the Michael Cohen cross qualifies as a big witness.  Stormy Daniels had her Wednesday off last week, and she was able to come back and be even better as she handled the cross from the defense.

Hoping the defense didn’t use their Wednesday to improve their performance from Tuesday!  Wondering if they are going to have Bove do the cross, which would not be as good for our side.

Josh Kovensky (TPM)   live blogging

Mark Sumner (Daily Kos)  live blogging

Tyler McBrien (Lawfare) on twitter

It’s a misty morning here at 100 Centre St for DAY 18 of Trump’s NY criminal trial.

This morning, Cohen is back on the stand.

I’ll be reporting it all alongside @AnnaBower for @lawfare.

Join me, won’t you? 🧵⚖️ pic.twitter.com/Xtur8tfBtd

— Tyler McBrien (@TylerMcBrien) May 16, 2024

Anna Bower (Lawfare) on twitter

Good morning from rainy New York City, where Donald Trump’s criminal trial is set to resume at 9:30 am ET.

On deck today? Trump’s attorney, Todd Blanche, is expected to continue his cross examination of Trump’s former “fixer,” Michael Cohen.

Follow along 👇 ⬇️ 👇 pic.twitter.com/dM1t9R8d7D

— Anna Bower (@AnnaBower) May 16, 2024

Adam Klasfeld on twitter.

Good morning from New York.

The first day of Michael Cohen’s cross-ex began with a reminder that he called Trump’s lead attorney Todd Blanche a “crying little s***.”

Outside the jury’s ear, the judge then scolded Blanche for “making this about yourself.”

Day Two ahead 🧵

— Adam Klasfeld (@KlasfeldReports) May 16, 2024

AP Live blogging

NBC live blogging

Still loving this awesome image.

But I may need to find a new one for when the defense puts on their case.

Open thread.

Trump’s NY Criminal Trial, Day 18 (Michael Cohen Cross)Post + Comments (169)

Cold Cold Grey Dawn Open Thread: The NYTimes Is Determined to Estrange Its Best Customers

by Anne Laurie|  May 16, 20244:14 am| 59 Comments

This post is in: Elections 2024, Open Threads, Our Failed Media Experiment

“Dems cleared the field”=Nobody ran against him bc
A. They knew they’d lose
B. They knew he already beat Trump & the odds were better of beating Trump w Biden then rolling the dice

This isn’t complicated, but people who don’t understand basic politics try to make it complicated https://t.co/79SY3MVJhH

— Dana Houle (@DanaHoule) May 14, 2024

I remember Astead Herndon as someone doing excellent reporting during the Black Lives Matter protests. Such good reporting, in fact, that the FTFNYTimes apparently hired him to be their Black Best Friend for the 2024 electoral cycle, where hate-clicks spend just like the honest ones…

The reason Biden won the primary is that he’s very popular with Democratic primary voters and all of his credible challengers decided to support his re-election, this isn’t that complicated

— vituperativeerb (@vituperativeerb) May 14, 2024

show full post on front page

Again, *you* are deciding to paint him as having bad vibes. The guy oozes charm and you can't get over the fact he didn't come grovel to you and your boss for an interview. Fuck offhttps://t.co/1MB29g3GOz

— The okayest poster there is (@ok_post_guy) May 14, 2024

I think a lot about that time the NYT endorsed two people that weren't Biden and then the lady who was operating the elevator backed him. She has better political instincts than all of them.

— Alex ????? ?? ????? (@JewishWonk) May 14, 2024

NYT columnist who is Definitely Not Mad that Biden thinks he and his colleagues are a bunch of whiny, entitled babies (true!) will not and cannot explain how dems "cleared the field" pic.twitter.com/VSkeqttzpz

— Josh (@JoshGreenberg27) May 14, 2024

And finally, the 'clearing the field for an unpopular candidate' narrative is just the dumbest shit (especially from a 'serious' political reporter). When do presidential incumbents face serious primary challengers? Never. Just dumb as hell.

— Centrism Fan Acct ?? (@Wilson__Valdez) May 14, 2024

Speaking of ‘clearing the field’, there were other potential candidates for the Democratic nomination — just not any who intended to have a continued political career!

i am torn between being angry that horserace reporters forgot that dean phillips exists while finding it hilarious that everyone else also forgot dean phillips exists

[image or embed]

— GOLIKEHELLMACHINE (@golikehellmachine.bsky.social) May 14, 2024 at 1:41 PM

Cold Cold Grey Dawn Open Thread: The <em>NYTimes</em> Is Determined to Estrange Its Best CustomersPost + Comments (59)

War for Ukraine Day 812: A Brief Wednesday Night Update

by Adam L Silverman|  May 15, 20249:34 pm| 17 Comments

This post is in: Foreign Affairs, Foreign Policy, Military, Open Threads, Russia, Silverman on Security, War, War in Ukraine

A painting by Ukrainian artist NEIVANMADE. The words "NEVER AGAIN" are repeated over and over, from left to right and top to bottom, in a faded, washed out black against a white background. Red, the color of blood, runs and drips down across 2/3rds of the painting. "WHILE YOU TOLERATE TYRANTS" is written/painted in the bottom white corner below the three rows of "NEVER AGAIN".

(Image by NEIVANMADE)

A brief housekeeping note. Rosie is still doing well recovering between chemo sessions. Her next one is next Monday. Ruby came home this morning. They had her temperature back to normal about three hours after they started pushing fluids and I headed home for the night. She’s drinking, can hold a squat, her temp is normal, but she’s a bit zonked out. For obvious reasons given what she went through yesterday. I want to thank everyone for the good thoughts, well wishes, and prayers. Both the ongoing ones for Rosie and the ones last night and today for Ruby.

By now you’ve seen this. I want to thank Cole and TaMara for doing this, as well as Watergirl who I’ve been informed helped out behind the scenes. I really appreciate it. And I want to thank everyone that has already donated or is considering donating.

Given the events of yesterday afternoon and evening, I’m going to keep tonight’s update shorter as I’m fried. Not as tired as Ruby, but tired nonetheless.

While I was drafting this update, air raid alerts went up over Kharkiv and Zaporizhzhia Oblasts.

The Russians have (re)added Kherson to its target list.

In the middle of the day, russian forces attacked the center of Kherson with three aerial bombs, damaging dozens of residential buildings and civilian infrastructure. 18 people were injured. pic.twitter.com/zE5awxaGLm

— Iryna Voichuk (@IrynaVoichuk) May 15, 2024

Explosions reported in Kharkiv! Right now, the city is under russian missile attack for the second time today!

— Iryna Voichuk (@IrynaVoichuk) May 15, 2024

Russian troops are on the streets of Vovchansk. The situation is critical. Kharkiv police continues evacuation pic.twitter.com/GbjfGmaMHh

— Maria Avdeeva (@maria_avdv) May 15, 2024

⚡️Russia's attack on Sumy Oblast kills civilian, injures 1.

Russian forces attacked 10 communities in Sumy Oblast on May 15, killing one civilian and injuring another, the Sumy Oblast Military Administration reported.https://t.co/8Z9DtW355g

— The Kyiv Independent (@KyivIndependent) May 16, 2024

From The Kyiv Independent:

Russian forces attacked 10 communities in Sumy Oblast on May 15, killing one civilian and injuring another, the Sumy Oblast Military Administration reported.

The communities of Khotin, Bilopillia, Krasnopillia, Velyka Pysarivka, Nova Sloboda, Esman, Shalyhyne, Druzhbivka, Seredyna-Buda, and Znob-Novhorodske were targeted.

The town of Esman and surrounding areas were attacked with mortars, multiple launch rocket systems, and artillery. One woman was killed in the shelling, according to regional authorities. In the Druzhbivka community, one civilian was injured in the shelling. No details were provided on the extent of the victims’ injuries.

Throughout the day, Russia assailed the border communities with mortar, artillery, rocket launcher, and drone attacks. The community of nova Sloboda saw six mines dropped over the past 24 hours.

In total,183 explosions were recorded in 37 separate attacks on the region.

Sumy Oblast borders Russia’s Bryansk, Kursk, and Belgorod oblasts.  Russian strikes against Sumy Oblast have become increasingly destructive in recent months. Amid intensified attacks, Ukrainian authorities ordered increased evacuations from the region.

Here is President Zelenskyy’s address earlier today. Video below, English transcript after the jump.

show full post on front page

Over the Course of the Day, our Defense and Security Forces Have Managed to Partially Stabilize the Situation — Address by the President

15 May 2024 – 18:29

Dear Ukrainians!

All day long our military and the Ministry of Defense have been delivering reports. Our attention is constantly focused on the frontline, on all combat zones. In the Kharkiv region — the areas near the border, the city of Vovchansk — our defensive actions continue. Over the course of the day our Defense and Security Forces of Ukraine — all units involved — have managed to partially stabilize the situation. The occupier, who entered the Kharkiv region, is being destroyed with all available means. Artillery, drones, and our infantry are working quite accurately. I thank all those who are in their positions now. The same attention is paid to all other directions. Especially to the Pokrovsk direction in the Donetsk region, as well as to the Kupyansk direction in the Kharkiv region. We clearly see how the occupier is trying to distract our forces and make our combat work less concentrated. We are reacting to this exactly as we should — we must have the means to retaliate against the enemy in every direction. Our Ukrainian result, our strength, depends on every soldier, every sergeant, and every officer who is directly in their positions, in combat, on the frontline: the full accomplishment of combat tasks in the current conditions should disrupt the Russian offensive plans. Throughout the day there were also reports on the internal situation: security, the elimination of the consequences of Russian strikes. Today there was a brutal attack on Kherson, Russian aerial bombs… Dnipro — there was a Russian missile attack… Kharkiv, Mykolaiv, and Sumy regions… Our rescuers of SES of Ukraine had a lot of work today. I thank every rescue team for their consistent promptness. I thank all the states that also help us, always promptly and always efficiently, — help our people and our state. The world has the strength, it has the weapons, it has the ability to force Russia into peace — into a just peace. And to succeed in this, absolutely everything must be done now to ensure that the Russian offensive and the Russian attempt to expand the war fails.

And one more thing.

Today there was an appalling attack on the Prime Minister of Slovakia, Robert Fico. This is a totally unacceptable act of violence. I wish Mr. Prime Minister a speedy recovery, and it is important that the attacker be held accountable for his actions. No form of violence, and especially political violence, should ever be a part of people’s existence.

Glory to all who defend life! I thank all those who defend Ukraine!

Glory to Ukraine!

The cost:

💔 The son of a fallen Ukrainian defender Taras Onyskiv receives a Ukrainian flag from his father's brothers-in-arms.

Taras Onyskiv joined the Armed Forces of Ukraine in 2023. Yesterday, Lviv honored his memory.

📷: Ostap Govda / X pic.twitter.com/88wKu0erME

— UNITED24 Media (@United24media) May 15, 2024

IMHO, this could have worked out much better if the secretary had first announced an outstanding aid package for Ukraine and a major U.S. administration shift toward the use of U.S. provided weapons against important military targets in the Russian territory – and then had this… https://t.co/cxmaPeDrYJ

— Illia Ponomarenko 🇺🇦 (@IAPonomarenko) May 15, 2024

IMHO, this could have worked out much better if the secretary had first announced an outstanding aid package for Ukraine and a major U.S. administration shift toward the use of U.S. provided weapons against important military targets in the Russian territory – and then had this gig in Kyiv.

https://twitter.com/shashj/status/1790832609037099329

Two and a half more months until Ukraine is properly reprovisioned.

https://twitter.com/sergeykovalenko/status/1790480555470987408

Here’s the machine translation:

Night

What happened today – the power outage in the population – was, unfortunately, a matter of time.

The last few weeks have been full of dissonance. Despite the shelling, you and I had no idea how difficult the situation was. At the same time, we lost most of the shunting generation. But energy experts 24/7 came up with schemes to make sure that we do not feel the last attacks of the enemy. And they succeeded. I want to say that real heroes work at Ukrenergo and DTEK. And sometimes we don’t see it, but they are the ones who, staying in their places even during shelling and risking their lives, do everything possible so that we are with the light.

However, not today. The deficit has not gone away, imports have physical limits, and the demand for a commodity called electricity is increasing significantly because of the low temperature. Today it is low, and in summer it is the opposite – due to the load due to the heat.

As a result of shelling, we lost 8 GW of capacity. And first of all, maneuvering capacities such as TPP or hydroelectric power stations. So, a difficult period awaits us. And not so much in the summer, when we will experience these outages, as in the winter.
But no one gives up and everything is already being done to change the situation. Both generation companies and the largest consumers among businesses. Many thanks to them for this.

However, it is very important that our business can work, that we have someone to create GDP, strengthen the army, that people have work. Therefore, it is wrong to transfer the entire deficit to business. If we want to win, we need to create parity between the population and business, so, unfortunately, blackouts are inevitable for you and me.

Of course, maybe right now the energy experts are coming up with a new scheme, how to make the lack of electricity less noticeable, but we have to go through this difficult path. And everyone should understand their responsibility in this matter, and each of us should limit our consumption.

And we will pass this stage, and we will restore everything, we will overcome everything, because the victory will be ours!

@YASN0_ua

Kharkiv:

Russian troops struck the village of Mala Danylivka on the outskirts of Kharkiv with an aerial bomb, damaging a medical facility, a dormitory, and residential houses. Four employees of the outpatient clinic suffered acute stress reactions. pic.twitter.com/gvSjOGdTEW

— Iryna Voichuk (@IrynaVoichuk) May 15, 2024

Amid the ongoing russian offensive and constant shelling, some 8,000 people have been forced to flee their homes in Kharkiv Oblast over the past few days to save their lives. pic.twitter.com/yNER9cMFW3

— Iryna Voichuk (@IrynaVoichuk) May 15, 2024

This morning, 53-year-old Oleksandr from Vovchansk took his three dogs, documents, canned food, and photo albums and set off for evacuation. He walked 15 km until the police picked him up. He decided to leave the town after a russian tank damaged his house. Vovchansk is… pic.twitter.com/7JeKryCTSx

— Iryna Voichuk (@IrynaVoichuk) May 15, 2024

This morning, 53-year-old Oleksandr from Vovchansk took his three dogs, documents, canned food, and photo albums and set off for evacuation. He walked 15 km until the police picked him up. He decided to leave the town after a russian tank damaged his house. Vovchansk is devastated, with russian troops constantly attack the town.

📷Suspilne Kharkiv

 

Russians publish video of shelling of the Kharkiv region of Ukraine from the territory of the Belgorod region, Russia. pic.twitter.com/8iwyblASc6

— Special Kherson Cat 🐈🇺🇦 (@bayraktar_1love) May 15, 2024

Meanwhile, residents of Kharkiv chant "Bavovna" at the Art Fortress concert in the basement of the Kharkiv Opera House. pic.twitter.com/qICrmYMLE9

— Maria Avdeeva (@maria_avdv) May 15, 2024

They can't hide from justice!
Artillerymen from the 3rd Assault Brigade destroyed an enemy 2S9 Nona-S artillery system in the Kharkiv region. pic.twitter.com/YJdJAh1gbG

— Defense of Ukraine (@DefenceU) May 15, 2024

Until a few months ago, I was often asked about my opinion on a possible russian offensive on Kharkiv Oblast and whether I thought the city was ready to repel it. I answered that the authorities stated Kharkiv Oblast was reliably fortified, and I could only hope and believe them.… https://t.co/8COpN8NXrq

— Iryna Voichuk (@IrynaVoichuk) May 15, 2024

Until a few months ago, I was often asked about my opinion on a possible russian offensive on Kharkiv Oblast and whether I thought the city was ready to repel it. I answered that the authorities stated Kharkiv Oblast was reliably fortified, and I could only hope and believe them. Now, I don’t believe it.

Here’s the machine translation of Deep State’s tweet:

🚩 Unprepared defense lines 10 km from the state border of Ukraine

🖼 In continuation of yesterday’s topic about IFS. Many accepted the thesis about the commission and the search for the guilty with skepticism. And we will probably agree, because instead of finding the culprits, everything is blamed on “discrediting” and hostile IPSO.

🧱 Forced to additionally provide footage of one of the unprepared positions of the VOP 10 km from DKU (in 2023, the nearest enemy SP was at a distance of 15 km), which the fighters shared with us. And here we are not talking about the absence of engineering and fortification structures, but rather about their poor preparation and incompetent approach, which, most likely, was presented to the military and political leadership as “success”, from which conclusions could even be drawn about the “final stages of the construction of the IFS” , in particular, in the Kharkiv region.

🤐 Looking ahead, let’s dispel theses about “began to arrange” and “hostile IPSO”. Other positions of “fortifications” have only its name, because they did not begin to be equipped at all. And it seems very strange that 10 km from the state border during 2023-2024 they were able to carry out only the first stage of construction there. Such a negligent approach to the work process played an evil joke in the Ocheretiny district. And only due to the fact that our fighters had to withdraw from their positions, it was possible to avoid losses from light damage by artillery and FPV drones. Fortunately, Muscovites ended up in their place. As for the “permanent shelling” thesis, their intensification began closer to the offensive.

🤷🏻‍♂️ If corruption and unprofessionalism continue to be attributed to IPSO, then we all have big problems with the future. Still, it’s worth focusing on the checks…

Novomykhailivka:

Groundhog Day for the occupiers on the Novomykhailivka axis.
17 units of enemy armored vehicles were used in the attack, and the warriors from the 79th Air Assault Brigade destroyed 11 of them. pic.twitter.com/uXXqwILSVQ

— Defense of Ukraine (@DefenceU) May 15, 2024

The Dnipro River, Kherson Oblast:

Boat with Russian assault group of 7 infantrymen destroyed in the Dnipro river, near Kherson, by the FPV drone strikes. https://t.co/hGbrHfgglr pic.twitter.com/wszqCFzvUn

— Special Kherson Cat 🐈🇺🇦 (@bayraktar_1love) May 15, 2024

Russian occupied Crimea:

Reportedly, Russian S-400 radar components in occupied Crimea destroyed last night with a Ukrainian-used ATACMS.

This is far from the first time that Ukraine uses U.S.-provided ATACMS (the use of which has been one giant boogeyman for the last 2 years of war!) against… pic.twitter.com/kV70WUh5kR

— Illia Ponomarenko 🇺🇦 (@IAPonomarenko) May 15, 2024

Reportedly, Russian S-400 radar components in occupied Crimea destroyed last night with a Ukrainian-used ATACMS.

This is far from the first time that Ukraine uses U.S.-provided ATACMS (the use of which has been one giant boogeyman for the last 2 years of war!) against top-priority Russian targets.

And the sky is not falling down on the earth, there’s no ‘nuclear escalation’, no ‘WWIII’ or whatever else Russian state propaganda and surrender cultists in the West try to intimidate the public with to undermine the support of Ukraine’s defense.

What happens in reality, again and again, is Russia losing its top-notch air defense capabilities it uses in its war to exterminate Ukraine.

(Sorry, I accidentally deleted the previous tweet about this)

Last night at the Belbek airfield in Russian-occupied Sevastopol.

Seems like this was a major hit. pic.twitter.com/NDydd9WxxW

— Illia Ponomarenko 🇺🇦 (@IAPonomarenko) May 15, 2024

/2. The Belbek military airfield does not have MiG-27 on it. This can be said for sure.
Perhaps Su-27 were meant but in any case, it is impossible to say for sure about something based only on such statements. Like many, I hope that satellite images or more photos of the area…

— Special Kherson Cat 🐈🇺🇦 (@bayraktar_1love) May 15, 2024

Regarding tonight’s missile strikes on Russian Belbek military airfield:

“10 ATACMS ballistic missiles were fired towards the airfield. It is worth noting that the signal about targets detection was given two minutes before the actual strike.

Losses:
• Airfield fuel and lubricants warehouse;
• Two S-400 air defense missile launchers;
• Radar “92N6E”;
• MiG-31 damaged;
• 3 MiG-27s damaged.

There is information on the network about damage to 3 Su-27s, without confirmation yet (perhaps they were confused with the MiG).

7 servicemen from units of the 27th mixed aviation division (military unit 46434, Sevastopol) and the 31st air defense division (military unit 03121, Sevastopol) were killed. Another 12 were injured of varying degrees of severity.”

https://t.me/dosye_shpiona/528

 

/3. Russian claims regarding night strikes on Belbek military airfield in Crimea:

“At night, Ukrainian formations launched a new attack on Crimean airfields. This time the target was Belbek, at which up to 16 ATACMS operational-tactical missiles with a cluster warhead were… pic.twitter.com/i3BBoHvQ2t

— Special Kherson Cat 🐈🇺🇦 (@bayraktar_1love) May 15, 2024

/3. Russian claims regarding night strikes on Belbek military airfield in Crimea:

“At night, Ukrainian formations launched a new attack on Crimean airfields. This time the target was Belbek, at which up to 16 ATACMS operational-tactical missiles with a cluster warhead were fired. (Interesting to watch how the Russian claimed number of ATACMS missiles increased from 8 in the early morning to 10 and now to 16)

The sounds of the work of the 31st Air Force and Air Defense divisions were heard by the population of Crimea and Sevastopol around 2 am. Even residents of Chernomorskoe noted flashes and sounds of explosions in the sky. In total, about 13 missiles were shot down on the approaches to Belbek.

Unfortunately, we failed to shoot down one or two missiles. And the results of the hits again became known to the whole world thanks to the publication of video from a surveillance camera on the Internet. How and why this is still possible in the third year of the war has long been a rhetorical question.

As we ourselves and our colleagues have noted more than once, until criminal penalties are introduced for the publication of such videos and photos, Ukrainian formations will have no problem assessing the results of their strikes even without the help of NATO satellites.

It is not entirely clear where the missiles were launched from. Previous raids were from the Berislav area (Kherson region). But, as a rule, the enemy changes positions to prevent detection. And the ATACMS range of 300 km increases the combat capabilities of the Ukrainian Armed Forces.

It is possible that this time the launch was carried out from the Kherson region. However, some of our sources report that the missiles’ flight was recorded from the direction of Snake island. So the launchers could be located somewhere near Vilkovo on the border with Romania.”

/5. Destroyed Russian 92N6 radar station of the S-400 air defence system in Belbek. https://t.co/709RyzHuF4 pic.twitter.com/LjgSQWzCjJ

— Special Kherson Cat 🐈🇺🇦 (@bayraktar_1love) May 15, 2024

/7. Results of the detonation of ATACMS submunitions on the territory of Belbek military airfield. Published by Russian sources. pic.twitter.com/sDn0bE0Z5h

— Special Kherson Cat 🐈🇺🇦 (@bayraktar_1love) May 15, 2024

Slovakia:

Slovak media has published the video of Fico being evacuated from the scene.

This looks really bad for the PM. pic.twitter.com/Ng39vhoI3B

— Illia Ponomarenko 🇺🇦 (@IAPonomarenko) May 15, 2024

Slovak Prime Minister Robert Fico’s office said he was in a “life-threatening condition” after being shot multiple times as he greeted people in the town of Handlová. “The next few hours will decide,” Fico’s office added. @RaphaelMinder @HenryJFoy https://t.co/AQiEY9HjKP via @FT

— Christopher Miller (@ChristopherJM) May 15, 2024

Video of the rally: https://t.co/jOyhSqWxYi

— Mark Krutov (@kromark) May 15, 2024

Some interesting details about the shooter's biography, which look like he lived his life from the one extreme to another. https://t.co/IZG7qMzFWS pic.twitter.com/rH9VTZDV4P

— Mark Krutov (@kromark) May 15, 2024

‼️🇷🇺Wow. Looks like Slovak PM Robert Fico's reported assailant, writer Juraj Cintula, was associated with pro-Russian paramilitary group Slovenskí Branci (SB). Their leader was even trained by Russian ex-Spetsnaz soldiers. Read more on @VSquare_Project 👇https://t.co/2IzSHwq54d pic.twitter.com/M9fgp186R3

— Szabolcs Panyi (@panyiszabolcs) May 15, 2024

More on @VSquare_Project on the pro-Russian paramilitary group Slovenskí Branci and their regional activities:

SJS 2077 (a Strzelec or Shooters’ unit) from Krakow and Slovenski Branci training together: https://t.co/e5oIFjvaJU

Ties between Night Wolves and SB:…

— Szabolcs Panyi (@panyiszabolcs) May 15, 2024

 

More on @VSquare_Projecton the pro-Russian paramilitary group Slovenskí Branci and their regional activities:

SJS 2077 (a Strzelec or Shooters’ unit) from Krakow and Slovenski Branci training together: https://vsquare.org/brothers-in-arms/…

Ties between Night Wolves and SB: https://vsquare.org/the-shady-businesses-and-friendships-of-jozef-hambalek-night-wolves/…

“Pro-Russian tendencies pose a risk to Slovak armed forces”: https://vsquare.org/pro-russian-tendencies-pose-a-risk-to-slovak-armed-forces/…

Interview with Czech journalist Jan Gebert who spent three years filming SB: https://vsquare.org/modern-fascists-are-no-longer-skinheads/…

Czech militias following the path of SB: https://vsquare.org/czechs-and-militarization-ethical-approach/

Now we wait for further details to come to light.

That’s enough for tonight.

Your daily Patron!

To my friends in the USA 🇺🇸
The documentary «Saving the Animals of Ukraine» will be broadcast on @PBSNature at 8 pm today!
It’s a documentary of my friend @ptuxerman. And I’m so grateful he wanted to tell my story and share the heroism of Ukrainian people who risked their lives… pic.twitter.com/mnR5GsDQmp

— Patron (@PatronDsns) May 15, 2024

To my friends in the USA 🇺🇸
The documentary «Saving the Animals of Ukraine» will be broadcast on @PBSNature at 8 pm today!
It’s a documentary of my friend @ptuxerman. And I’m so grateful he wanted to tell my story and share the heroism of Ukrainian people who risked their lives to save the animals.
I can’t wait for you to see it 😍 Please watch and tell me what you think.
Dear friends from Canada 🇨🇦
You can watch this documentary on @CBC

And I’ll post updates for other countries soon 🙌

Catch me in NYC this Thursday, may 16.
in a screening of my documentary “Us,our pets and the war” in Village East by Angelika. Tickets are here: https://t.co/NK6JXzLWwT pic.twitter.com/awLuD7rHWF

— Anton Ptushkin (@ptuxerman) May 14, 2024

Thank you❤️

— Patron (@PatronDsns) May 15, 2024

Open thread!

War for Ukraine Day 812: A Brief Wednesday Night UpdatePost + Comments (17)

Open Thread: Let’s Help Adam and Rosie

by TaMara|  May 15, 20247:06 pm| 90 Comments

This post is in: Dog Blogging, Open Threads

John was going to do a post on this tonight, but turns out he’s without power, so it falls to me.

Open Thread: Let's Help Adam and Rosie 1

Some of you already know that Adam Silverman’s pup, Rosie, has developed lymphoma and is currently in treatment. Her chemo is going okay, with some pretty scary side effects that landed her in the emergency room for an overnight visit, as well as pushing her third treatment back at least a week. BUT, the good news is, her lymph nodes have returned to normal size with only a few treatments. So her prognosis is good.

Pet portrait of my black Lab mix Rosie. The bottom picture is a of a grinning 3 month old black Lab mix, her ears up with the tips flopped over, and her tongue partially sticking out. The upper picture is of an adult Rosie. Her red collar is visible, as is her front left paw. She has her ears pricked up with the tips flopped over. Her eyes are brown.

Barring further complications, she’s due for a total of 16 (!) very expensive treatments over the next few months. After conferring with the Blogfather, it was decided a fundraiser would be very helpful in defraying the costs.

As always, donate if you can. No obligations. Kind, supportive words in the comments are always welcome.

Open Thread: Let's Help Adam and Rosie
Bonus Rosie and Ruby chillin together

We did have a bit of a hiccup after I set things up and pulled it to ensure everything worked and I restarted it today.

Here is the link to the GoFundMe: Support Rosie’s Cancer Battle

Otherwise, this is an open thread

Open Thread: Let’s Help Adam and RosiePost + Comments (90)

Wednesday Afternoon Open Thread

by WaterGirl|  May 15, 20244:53 pm| 118 Comments

This post is in: Open Threads

I feel like I’ve worked a full week this week, but it’s only Wednesday.

I haven’t been able to watch even a bit of news today, or even catch the BJ threads.

What’s everybody up to?

Wednesday Afternoon Open ThreadPost + Comments (118)

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