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Balloon Juice

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Tide comes in. Tide goes out. You can’t explain that.

We can show the world that autocracy can be defeated.

The rest of the comments were smacking Boebert like she was a piñata.

Let me file that under fuck it.

They punch you in the face and then start crying because their fist hurts.

The line between political reporting and fan fiction continues to blur.

How any woman could possibly vote for this smug smarmy piece of misogynistic crap is beyond understanding.

Sitting here in limbo waiting for the dice to roll

We need to vote them all out and restore sane Democratic government.

Someone should tell Republicans that violence is the last refuge of the incompetent, or possibly the first.

Fear or fury? The choice is ours.

Wake up. Grow up. Get in the fight.

So it was an October Surprise A Day, like an Advent calendar but for crime.

Jack Smith: “Why did you start campaigning in the middle of my investigation?!”

Historically it was a little unusual for the president to be an incoherent babbling moron.

The Giant Orange Man Baby is having a bad day.

That meeting sounds like a shotgun wedding between a shitshow and a clusterfuck.

When I decide to be condescending, you won’t have to dream up a fantasy about it.

If a good thing happens for a bad reason, it’s still a good thing.

American history and black history cannot be separated.

Republicans want to make it harder to vote and easier for them to cheat.

Hot air and ill-informed banter

That’s my take and I am available for criticism at this time.

It is not hopeless, and we are not helpless.

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War for Ukraine Day 932: Russia Attacks a Turkish Operated Transport Vessel In the Black Sea

by Adam L Silverman|  September 12, 20248:32 pm| 31 Comments

This post is in: Foreign Affairs, Foreign Policy, Israel, Military, Open Threads, Palestine, Russia, Silverman on Security, United Kingdom, War, War in Ukraine

Three quick housekeeping notes. First, Rosie is doing great, but she’d like the daily/multi-times a day thunder monsoons would stop. Thank you all for the good thoughts, well wishes, prayers, and donations.

Second, why is it still not Friday?

Third, I want to make an additional point above the fold. The strategic incoherence, inconsistency, and malpractice we’ve spent the past 31 months watching Biden’s senior natsec appointees demonstrate in regard to Ukraine and the past 11 months in regard to Israel, Hamas, and Gaza is because this natsec team was not put together to deal with any of this. They were put together to repair the foreign policy and national security damage created by Trump and his team of misfits, oddballs, amateurs, and weirdos. A lot of them were people that President Biden had worked with for decades, in some cases their whole careers were the result of working for and/or with him when he was in the Senate and/or the vice president. Others had been the junior to mid-level Obama appointees and their next stop were the senior level appointments in the next Democratic administration regardless of which Democrat was elected. There’s a club. They’re all in on that the major, ongoing threat to the US is a form of great power competition with the PRC. Which is why all of the US’s strategic documents give the PRC pride of place as an ever emerging threat despite the actual reality of the ongoing, enduring threats from Russia and the never ending, and unlikely to end in my lifetime, destructive volatility of the entire Middle East. A fair amount of which we’re responsible for because of George W. Bush and Dick Cheney’s stupid idea to invade Iraq in 2003.

What this team was not put together to do was serve as the senior natsec staff for a major, and frankly genocidal, interstate war in Europe, which is part of Russia’s ongoing world war against the US, the EU, and NATO, as well as Bibi Netanyahu’s megalomaniacal narcissism, his extremist coalition, Yahya Sinwar’s nihilism, and Hamas. Personnel is policy and these personnel were put into place to do something else. They are the wrong makes, models, and types to manage what the US and our allies and partners are currently facing and will continue to face for years to come. The result is that Putin and Russia, Bibi and his extremist partners, and Sinwar continually wrong foot the US. President Biden’s failure was not in appointing these people, they are all eminently qualified. His failure was not replacing them with the right makes, models, and types to handle the crises the US is currently and will continue to face.

President Zelenskyy and First Lady Zelenska both addressed the Fourth Summit of First Ladies and Gentlemen today. Video of First Lady Zelenska’s address is below followed after the jump by the video and English transcript of President Zelenskyy’s address.

show full post on front page

Children’s Safety Is Everyone’s Concern Today – President’s Speech at the Fourth Summit of First Ladies and Gentlemen

12 September 2024 – 19:54

Dear First Ladies and Gentlemen!

Dear Guests!

Ladies and Gentlemen!

First of all, I want to thank all of you, the First Lady of Ukraine, and all participants and guests of this Summit. Thank you for this productive day, for this extremely important event. Thank you for coming to Ukraine during these challenging times and for standing with us as we overcome them together. Now and in the past years, over the course of which this global platform has proven that it is a necessary venue where important voices from around the world are heard, an effective platform where crucial solutions are found and then implemented. It brings more protection to life and more justice to the world.

Thanks to your activity, dialogue and initiatives, and the fact that you act today as true ambassadors of the bright side of history, promoters of human values, and ambassadors of life.

And I congratulate all of you on holding this year’s Summit, the fourth one already. Despite the war, all the challenges, threats, and difficulties, Ukraine once again brings together First Ladies and Gentlemen from around the world. This is very important. We must not shy away from challenges but overcome them, we must not look away from threats. We must address difficult and pressing issues, seek out answers, and find them. We must keep the world’s attention on Ukraine and ensure the world does not forget, because it’s not just Ukraine under attack today, but the values of freedom and life globally. This year’s topic is children’s safety.

It’s hard to imagine two more polar, more opposite concepts than “war” and “children.” Unfortunately, in today’s world, there are those who have chosen the former – war. Aggressors, dictators – whatever you call them – they have chosen destruction over development. Ruthless and constant violations of children’s rights instead of protecting and caring for future generations.

This is the most painful aspect of war. The fact that children are the most vulnerable during war is not just words. It’s a fact. Nothing tugs at the heart more or sounds more terrifying than a child saying, “I’m scared.”

You can rebuild destroyed homes, restore the economy, rebuild infrastructure capacities, and clear territories scattered with enemy mines – you can do all that. But how do you give back a stolen childhood? Is there a “compensation mechanism” for taking away children’s peace and safety?

Recently, I was told a story. It was about a conversation between our warriors in a trench on the frontline. An experienced fighter who has been defending Ukraine since the very beginning of the occupation in 2014 praised his brother-in-arms for his bravery. They had just returned from a combat mission. Then he expressed regret that they hadn’t met earlier, as those qualities would have been very useful. He asked, “Where were you in 2015?” The brother-in-arms replied, “In 10th grade.”

I think this story is a tragedy. It’s reality. And I think there are many such stories among us: on the front lines, in civilian life. Unfortunately, far too many, because of this war that Putin has brought. Yesterday’s children are today’s warriors, defending their homeland and sacrificing their lives.

Some were in school, some had just entered university, and each of them had their childhood, youth, and part of their life stolen.

This is what happens if evil is not put in its place immediately. This is what happens when the world spends years thinking about red lines and searching for diplomatic solutions in dealing with those who have been undiplomatically killing, burning, and raping for years. For years, annexing, waging wars, and fighting them for as long as they need. And they will continue doing so. As long as the world is asleep. As long as some pretend to care. As long as some believe in the narrative that Putin is fighting Nazism in Ukraine or neo-Nazis of some kind. Which Nazis exactly? Today, in Kyiv, we are saying goodbye to our warrior, a fallen Ukrainian defender, the son of Ukraine’s Chief Rabbi, Moshe Azman. I want to express my condolences to him and to all those who have lost loved ones. Today, war affects everyone. It affects all of us in Ukraine, in Europe, and around the world. All of us: men, women, our parents, but above all, our children.

Ten days ago, Ukraine celebrated Knowledge Day – the start of the new school year. But the war has brought completely different kinds of knowledge to our country and our children. Knowledge that no child on this planet should have. Going to the first lesson to the sound of sirens, learning not just language, history, and math but also short routes to the bomb shelter, adapting to online education, adapting to studying in another country, in another language. This is difficult, too.

And the worst thing is not seeing your mother or father, when our families are separated because of a full-scale war that has been going on for almost three years. Our children born after February 24th have already learned to walk. They’ve already learned to speak. Unfortunately, war has taught them words like “alarm,” “attack,” “missiles,” “shelling,” “strikes,” “danger.”

These are challenges not meant for children. And that’s why today, our children ask questions of grown-ups: “Is it flying again?” “When can we go outside?” “Was that a hit or our air defense?” “When will dad come home?” “Why doesn’t God punish and take away this Putin?” And the most important question: “When will this war end?”

And this question comes from every child in Ukraine, from every single one. And it is a question for all of us, for all the adults on Earth. And it requires honest answers. It requires that we all be honest, especially with ourselves.

Because it’s easy to condemn a Russian missile hitting our school. But it’s not so easy to admit that the missile might contain parts made in America, Europe, Asia, or any other part of the world. There is a saying, “The devil is in the details.” Unfortunately, the example of these missiles proves this, in every sense of the phrase.

How is this possible? Why is this possible? And while it may be hard to admit, is it really that hard to fix, to stop, to resolve?

This Summit, in particular, and all the efforts of Ukraine and our allies in general, prove that the safety of children today concerns all of us: each and every one of us.

It should unite us, and it is uniting everyone today, regardless of any political levels. Leaders of nations, First Ladies and Gentlemen, international organizations and institutions, active, brave, and caring people from around the world. In general – adults, who must overcome challenges not meant for children.

Ukraine is determined to solve this issue. Ukraine knows the answers to all these questions. We offer our solutions to the world. Our Peace Formula, our victory plan, the Peace Summit – all contain just answers for a just end to the war. This is what should happen when the one who has encroached on the safety of children is held accountable for their actions, and when repeating such crimes in the future becomes impossible.

So that children in Ukraine and all over the world can have a happy childhood, so that loved ones are nearby, and families are not torn apart by this shameful war Russia has brought. So that the world never again sees pictures of a child’s room hit by a shell or a child being pulled out of the rubble after a missile strike. This war, and all wars, must become a thing of the past. This war, and all wars, must become a thing of the past.

Ukraine strives for this. Ukraine unites the world for this. Ukraine and the world must achieve this.

Once again, I thank all of you for organizing this Summit, for participating, for coming to Ukraine, and for fighting with us. We will surely win. We must.

Thank you for your attention!

Glory to Ukraine!

The cost:

У Центральній синагозі Києва попрощалися з Матітьягу Самборським — сином головного рабина України, який загинув на фронті.

Прощальні слова сказали його батько, головний рабин України Моше Асман, інші родичі та посол Ізраїлю в Україні Михайло Бродський. pic.twitter.com/oofQcMekxo

— Радіо Свобода (@radiosvoboda) September 12, 2024

Here’s the (machine) translation:

In the Central Synagogue of Kyiv, they said goodbye to Matityagu Samborsky, the son of the chief rabbi of Ukraine, who died at the front.

Farewell words were said by his father, the chief rabbi of Ukraine Moshe Asman, other relatives and the ambassador of Israel to Ukraine Mykhailo Brodskyi.

Matityahu Samborskyi, son of the Chief Rabbi of Ukraine Moshe Azman, died defending Ukraine. On September 12, his funeral took place in the central synagogue of Kyiv.

The rabbi shared that he and his wife adopted Matityahu in 2002. At that time, he was 11 years old and had the… pic.twitter.com/pbizT26dTq

— Anton Gerashchenko (@Gerashchenko_en) September 12, 2024

Matityahu Samborskyi, son of the Chief Rabbi of Ukraine Moshe Azman, died defending Ukraine. On September 12, his funeral took place in the central synagogue of Kyiv.

The rabbi shared that he and his wife adopted Matityahu in 2002. At that time, he was 11 years old and had the name Anton. The new family gave him a Jewish name – Matityahu. In May of this year, the Defender’s daughter was born.

Eternal memory and eternal glory to Ukrainian Hero.

📷: Suspilne

May his memory be a blessing.

Lithuania:

Another round of M113 armored vehicles & SUVs from our Lithuanian friends.
We are grateful for your unwavering support!
Together until Victory!
🇺🇦🤝🇱🇹 https://t.co/E8nMDnqZnr

— Defense of Ukraine (@DefenceU) September 12, 2024

Romania:

I had a fruitful phone conversation with the Minister of National Defense of Romania, @AngelTilvar.

The main topic is strengthening Ukrainian skies’ protection from russian missiles and drones.

Ukraine will soon receive a new Patriot air defense system from our Romanian…

— Rustem Umerov (@rustem_umerov) September 12, 2024

I had a fruitful phone conversation with the Minister of National Defense of Romania, @AngelTilvar.

The main topic is strengthening Ukrainian skies’ protection from russian missiles and drones.

Ukraine will soon receive a new Patriot air defense system from our Romanian partners.

There will also be more F-16s in Ukrainian skies. A group of our pilots is already undergoing training in Romania.

I thanked my Romanian colleague, people, and government for supporting and strengthening our air defense.

We agreed to continue cooperation.

Together, to victory! 🇺🇦🇷🇴

Turkey:

Russian missile against a wheat cargo bound for Egypt. Tonight, Russia launched a strike on an ordinary civilian vessel in the Black Sea right after it left Ukrainian territorial waters. Fortunately, there were no casualties, according to preliminary reports.

Ukraine is one of… pic.twitter.com/nNCqNDVfJV

— Volodymyr Zelenskyy / Володимир Зеленський (@ZelenskyyUa) September 12, 2024

Russian missile against a wheat cargo bound for Egypt. Tonight, Russia launched a strike on an ordinary civilian vessel in the Black Sea right after it left Ukrainian territorial waters. Fortunately, there were no casualties, according to preliminary reports.

Ukraine is one of the key global food security guarantors. Domestic stability and normal life in dozens of countries around the world are dependent on the normal and unhindered operation of our food expert corridor.

Ukraine’s food deliveries to African and Middle Eastern countries are critical. We will continue to make every effort to safeguard our ports, the Black Sea, and food exports to global markets. This is Ukraine’s true priority—to protect life—and it should be the priority of all countries.

We are waiting for the world to react. Wheat and food security should never be targets for missiles.

Bulk carrier “Aya”, struck by a Russian missile earlier, now has a Romanian military/SAR plus another Romanian SAR vessel assisting it. https://t.co/T25brO5lkG pic.twitter.com/7xGcyXVNqw

— Andy Scollick (@Andy_Scollick) September 12, 2024

Now watch Erdogan taking revenge.

Unlike Scholz and Biden, Erdogan knows that putin will fold instantly if confronted militarily. https://t.co/WYLIpoOsrE

— Thomas C. Theiner (@noclador) September 12, 2024

Naval News has the details:

A Turkish operated merchant vessel, the MV Aya, has been hit by a Russian Kh-22 missile launched by a Tu-22M Backfire bomber. The Belize-owned, St. Kitts & Nevis flagged ship was sailing from the port of Chornomorsk, carrying 26,550 tons of grain for Egypt.

According to people familiar with the incident, the ship was hit by the missile at around 23:05 on September 11, 75km (46 miles) south of Snake Island. This places it in Romanian EEZ.

The Kh-22 missile, known by the NATO reporting name AS-4 Kitchen, is a very large anti-ship missile. It flies at Mach 4.6 (5,600 km/h; 3,500 mph) and carries a 1,000 kg (2,205 lb) warhead. This makes it much larger, and harder hitting, than Harpoon or Exocet class missiles. The missile was launched from a Russian Tu-22M Backfire bomber. Only Russia operates this aircraft or missile.

The missile was developed during the Cold War to attack aircraft carriers and other high-value targets. While old, it remains formidable. Since the start of the full-scale invasion of Ukraine Russia has employed it against ground targets, including Snake Island.

Modern merchant ships have proven very resilient to missiles, although the risk to the vessel and crew remains high. Context is everything. This is demonstrated by the Houthi Movement who have struck a number of vessels with ballistic missiles in the Red Sea, resulting in broadly similar damage.

More at the link!

My source with knowledge of this Russian missile attack on a grain ship that had left a Ukrainian port yesterday said that the attack occurred in Romania’s maritime economic zone. @FT https://t.co/C3aIbLWcE0 pic.twitter.com/zfphSvWwUC

— Christopher Miller (@ChristopherJM) September 12, 2024

So we’ve got a bulk grain carrier operated by a crew from Turkey, a NATO member, attacked in the territorial waters of Romania, also a NATO ally.

The US:

This would seem to reinforce the idea that the problem is with US targeting data required for certain sorts of Storm Shadow strikes. “A British defence source said that the UK did not need the support of other countries in Nato to go ahead.” https://t.co/1AMTbUIJD6

— Shashank Joshi (@shashj) September 12, 2024

The Times has the details: (emphasis mine)

President Putin has warned Britain and the United States that they will be “at war” with Russia if they allow Ukraine to use long-range missiles to strike targets across the border.

Sir Keir Starmer and President Biden will hold talks on Friday in the White House about allowing Ukraine to use British-made Storm Shadow missiles against targets in Russia.

They are expected to reach an agreement within weeks after accusing Moscow of a “significant escalation” in the conflict as Russia bought more than 200 ballistic missiles from Iran for use against Ukraine.

But before the meeting, Putin told Russian state television on Thursday that the move would “change the very nature of the conflict” in a “significant” way forcing Moscow to respond. “It would mean that Nato countries are at war with Russia,” he said. “We will take the appropriate decisions based on the threats that we will face.”

Starmer immediately dismissed his warning. “Russia started this conflict,” he said as he travelled to Washington. “Russia illegally invaded Ukraine. Russia can end this conflict straight ­away. Ukraine has the right to self- defence, and obviously we’ve been ­absolutely fully supportive of Ukraine’s right to self-defence, providing training capabilities. But we don’t seek any ­conflict with Russia, that’s not our ­intention in the slightest. But they started this conflict, and Ukraine’s got a right to self-defence.”

In a significant shift in tone, Starmer and Biden are expected to hold talks on how to bring Putin’s invasion of Ukraine to an end.

Starmer will use a two-hour meeting in the White House with Biden to discuss how to bring about a “long-term solution” to the war, as well as the conflict in Gaza. The discussions represent a shift from the present policy of staying the course to one where there is some form of end to the conflict.

The UK and US are expected to agree to allow Ukraine to use British-made long-range Storm Shadow missiles and their French equivalent, Scalp missiles, against targets in Russia. However, Biden may stop short of allowing Ukraine to use US-made ATACMS — ballistic missiles — in Russia, according to two sources, amid concern about Putin’s response. Starmer confirmed that today’s meeting would address the “nature of that capability” but refused to be drawn on details.

The prime minister said: “We will, of course, be talking about many things in the round, but this is not a sort of a ­series of individual decisions that we want to arrive at. It is making sure that all the decisions we made are within the strategic context.”

Biden is understood to have been more reluctant than Antony Blinken, the US secretary of state, who has become more aligned with Britain on the use of long-range missiles on Russian targets.

A western official said they believed the discussion in Washington would centre on “how do we use the remaining months of the Biden administration to put Ukraine in the strongest possible position by the end of the year”.

By increasing western support for Ukraine and relaxing rules around missile use, the UK hopes to give Zelensky a stronger hand in the build-up to any future deal with Putin. Areas of discussion on Friday are likely to include how to bring Putin to the table and whether Ukraine will accept a deal that agrees to relinquishing chunks of its territory in return for peace.

If Biden decides to go ahead with the option of just allowing Ukraine to fire British and French missiles inside Russia then he may disappoint his Ukrainian allies.

One Ukrainian military source criticised the idea of discussions rumbling on and the prospect of Biden allowing only certain long-range weapons to be used inside Russia.

The source said: “I think this war can’t be won or stopped by half measures. Every day costs us a number of human lives and destruction and we are always begging for obvious things needed for our survival. It’s not fair to buy time with human lives.”

More at the link.

It is this strategic incoherence and repeatedly demonstrated hesitance and cowardice that empowers Putin.

The list of things russia struck today include: a Red Cross vehicle, a wheat shipment bound for Egypt, the home of an 86-year-old woman in Borova, along with other houses and civilians there, and an apartment building in Konotop.

The list goes on, growing every day. The pressing…

— Kate from Kharkiv (@BohuslavskaKate) September 12, 2024

The list of things russia struck today include: a Red Cross vehicle, a wheat shipment bound for Egypt, the home of an 86-year-old woman in Borova, along with other houses and civilians there, and an apartment building in Konotop.

The list goes on, growing every day. The pressing question remains: When will the world finally muster the courage to help us stop these terrorists?

Perfectly fair to raise escalation risks. My view: yes there is risk of Russian backlash to Ukr deep strikes with Western weapons. But 1/ there are costs to Russia enjoying blanket sanctuary on its soil & 2/ Ru attack on NATO risks full-scale war & risk of worse outcome for Ru. https://t.co/A43OtbZhCt

— Shashank Joshi (@shashj) September 12, 2024

Russia has increased pressure on West for last 18 months via sabotage & subversion in Europe. Partly but not wholly an effort to coerce end to Ukr aid & deter escalation of aid. Ru response to deep strikes surely likelier to be intensification of this campaign, not direct attack.

— Shashank Joshi (@shashj) September 12, 2024

Putin, like the Russian leaders before him with the exception, perhaps, of Gorbachev, look for weakness and then exploit it wherever it is found.

Russia wouldn’t stand a chance.
Which is why they would not do this.

As Kennan said back in ‘47, the “towers of the Kremlin cast long shadows that move the hearts & sway the deeds of statesmen” “rather than the substance of things.”

Don’t fall for Putin’s BS bluff. https://t.co/2KZV49viZS

— Benjamin Tallis 🇺🇦 (@bctallis) September 12, 2024

Kennan’s Long Telegram is still prescient and spot on.

The Black Sea:

Last flight of the russian Su-30SM jet.

A video released by @DI_Ukraine shows the destruction of a russian plane over the Black Sea. The cost of an aircraft is $50 million. pic.twitter.com/mtH3eC6JcS

— Defense of Ukraine (@DefenceU) September 12, 2024

Russian Su-30SM was downed from MANPADS during one of the operations in the Black Sea, official statement from the Main Directorate of Intelligence of Ukraine:

“During the operation in the waters of the Black Sea, the soldiers of the special unit of the Main Directorate of… https://t.co/tF8PmAxbxt pic.twitter.com/JPsoiPND78

— Special Kherson Cat 🐈🇺🇦 (@bayraktar_1love) September 12, 2024

Russian Su-30SM was downed from MANPADS during one of the operations in the Black Sea, official statement from the Main Directorate of Intelligence of Ukraine:

“During the operation in the waters of the Black Sea, the soldiers of the special unit of the Main Directorate of Intelligence of the Ministry of Defense of Ukraine destroyed a Russian Su-30SM combat aircraft with a MANPADS hit.

The fighter that fell into the sea belonged to the 43rd Independent Naval Attack Aviation Regiment of the Russian Armed Forces, which is based at the airfield of the city of Saki in the temporarily occupied Crimea.

The Russians lost contact with their battleship on September 11, 2024 around 5 am. Roughly three hours later, Russians launched a search and rescue operation involving the An-26 aircraft, as well as Mi-8 and Ka-27 helicopters.

At lunchtime, Russians reported to the command about a characteristic stain from aviation fuel discovered in the sea, 70 kilometers northwest of Cape Tarkhankut, and soon they also saw the wreckage of the destroyed Su-30SM.”

https://t.me/DIUkraine/4406

Kharkiv:

With two glide bombs.

— Iryna Voichuk (@IrynaVoichuk) September 12, 2024

Earlier today, russia struck Kharkiv with glide bombs, destroying or damaging 15 households. https://t.co/YPtAi1jdNG pic.twitter.com/e73kcbXMVm

— Kate from Kharkiv (@BohuslavskaKate) September 12, 2024

Borova, Kharkiv Oblast:

Rescuers have freed an 86-year-old woman from the rubble of a residential building in Borova, Kharkiv region, that was hit by a russians tonight.

The injured woman has been hospitalized, according to the State Emergency Service pic.twitter.com/SObjtzEMzf

— Kate from Kharkiv (@BohuslavskaKate) September 12, 2024

Konotop, Sumy Oblast:

14 people were injured in last night’s russian attack on an apartment building Konotop, Sumy region. https://t.co/4sjcyHuF8S pic.twitter.com/5zqOU6aKgx

— Kate from Kharkiv (@BohuslavskaKate) September 12, 2024

Kreminna:

The combat operations of the Azov brigade in the Kreminna direction from a first-hand perspective.
Our warriors are performing truly heroic missions. pic.twitter.com/iMzNbJkAXz

— Defense of Ukraine (@DefenceU) September 11, 2024

Pokrovsk:

❗️Pokrovsk was left without gas and water.

A filtration station ceased operating due to combat, and it’s impossible to get it working again. Drinking water is brought to people.

Russian troops also destroyed a gas distribution station.

Today, Russians destroyed a bridge… pic.twitter.com/Umd7htGDEY

— Anton Gerashchenko (@Gerashchenko_en) September 12, 2024

❗️Pokrovsk was left without gas and water.

A filtration station ceased operating due to combat, and it’s impossible to get it working again. Drinking water is brought to people.

Russian troops also destroyed a gas distribution station.

Today, Russians destroyed a bridge between Pokrovsk and Myrnohrad.

People continue evacuating from a city to which a war has approached.

Virolyubivka, Donetsk Oblast:

Three citizens of Ukraine, employees of the ICRC, were killed and two injured in artillery shelling by the Russian Federation on the village of Virolyubivka in Donetsk region!

The @ICRC must officially recognize Russia’s violation of the norms of the Geneva Conventions! pic.twitter.com/ovyqQU8EL3

— Dmytro Lubinets (@lubinetzs) September 12, 2024

I don’t even know why the Red Cross refuses to name the aggressor, who killed 3 of their staff in Ukraine today. Out of fear to lose the access to prisoners of war held in russia, who they never visited anyway? Spineless cowards https://t.co/D54uXi4jHR

— Kate from Kharkiv (@BohuslavskaKate) September 12, 2024

Speaking of cowardice, the ICRC has not covered itself in glory in Ukraine. Nor in Gaza. Nor Sudan. Nor anywhere else lately.

Not quite sure where in Ukraine this is:

46th Brigade of Ukraine repulsed the biggest assault on the Brigades position. 46 units of Russian AFVs were used in the assault:

“On September 12, Russians attacked with four waves of assaults from 5:45 a.m. to noon on the positions of the battalions of 46th Brigade. A total… pic.twitter.com/2isXk2j665

— Special Kherson Cat 🐈🇺🇦 (@bayraktar_1love) September 12, 2024

46th Brigade of Ukraine repulsed the biggest assault on the Brigades position. 46 units of Russian AFVs were used in the assault:

“On September 12, Russians attacked with four waves of assaults from 5:45 a.m. to noon on the positions of the battalions of 46th Brigade. A total of 46 units of armored and not so armored vehicles fell on us.

And the record was set! Such a number of destroyed and damaged enemy equipment in one day in the direction of responsibility of the 46th Brigade has never really happened. With effective fire from all available means of destruction 15 units (9 BMPs, 2 tanks, 2 APCs and 2 motorcycles) were destroyed and 11 BMPs were disabled.”

https://t.me/oaembr46/1012

The Kursk cross border offensive:

So after five weeks, Russia has launched its counteroffensive in Kursk. Key takeaways:

– Ukrainian troops made early gains, but it was always a question of when and what reserves Russia would deploy.
– Kursk showcases Ukraine’s ability to effectively wear down Russian forces.
-… pic.twitter.com/MiM17AwC12

— Maria Avdeeva (@maria_avdv) September 12, 2024

So after five weeks, Russia has launched its counteroffensive in Kursk. Key takeaways:

– Ukrainian troops made early gains, but it was always a question of when and what reserves Russia would deploy.
– Kursk showcases Ukraine’s ability to effectively wear down Russian forces.
– Ukrainian forces are experiencing increased pressure as Russia brings in more reinforcements.
– Cross-border raids will likely continue to be effective for exposing weak points in Russian defenses.
– It’s too early to make a clear assessment of how large or fast the Russian counteroffensive might be.

More from Estonian reserve Soldier Artur Rehi:

After the loud announcement of the Russian counteroffensive in the Kursk region, the news from the Russian side has died down. The Russian Defense Ministry reports “the destruction of 12,000 Ukrainian soldiers,” but there is no video, no photos, no statements about regaining
1/11Image
control over major settlements. Putin gave the order to recapture the Kursk region by October 1, but the counteroffensive is stalling. Ukrainian soldiers write in Telegram that heavy fighting is underway, not without losses, but the counterattack was expected and
2/11Image
the Russians were expected. Russia has now switched from bombing to frontal attacks, which allows for greater resource losses. Ukraine expected and prepared for this step and to inflict serious damage on the advancing troops. Apparently, Syrskyi plan has begun to work and
3/11Image
Russia has transferred resources to the Kursk region and will transfer more to fulfill Putin’s decree. If this becomes a priority for the Russian army, then we can expect a decrease in the intensity of Russia’s offensive in the Donetsk region. The offensive on Pokrovsk has
4/11Image
already started to stall, but this is compared to August. Russia is still storming there every day and there are very difficult battles. Autumn has come and soon it will be more difficult to conduct military operations. Especially to conduct an offensive. If Russia does
5/11Image
not recapture the Kursk region before the rains start, it will be more difficult for it to do so. It will be even more difficult to do so if Ukraine starts to strike deep into Russia. Apparently, Great Britain is lifting restrictions on the use of Storm Shadow deep into
6/11Image
Russian territory and there is talk of the United States making the same decision. Most likely, the missiles supplied will have a range of about 250 kilometers, because this is an export version, but within this radius there are many juicy targets for Ukrainian missiles.
7/11Image
Logistics, airfields in Rostov-on-Don, Voronezh, Kursk, Belgorod, Bryansk, troop columns – this is only a small list of targets that Ukraine can hit first. If talk of lifting restrictions turns out to be true, it will be another problem added to the huge list of difficulties
8/11Image
in Russia. The red lines are over, the nuclear scarecrow does not work, the economy is at the limit and is about to collapse, resources are depleted. The equipment is running out, but there are still people. But in 2 years there is no longer a professional army and the army
9/11Image
consists of cripples, alcoholics, criminals and old men with conscripts. But this army also causes colossal damage. It is precisely because of this composition that it has no morality and leaves behind a trail of war crimes and scorched earth. Although the “professional
10/11Image
army” in Russia is not much different from this. But the crisis in the Russian army and management is growing. This is a downward spiral that cannot be stopped and sooner or later Russia will fall into a free fall to the bottom.
11/11Image

More detailed video of the destruction of the Russian Zemledelie remote mine-laying system by the 78th Separate Battalion of Ukraine. https://t.co/BXfozemur8 https://t.co/ZPdUiB0lqL pic.twitter.com/yaWhm4ovwL

— Special Kherson Cat 🐈🇺🇦 (@bayraktar_1love) September 12, 2024

Captured Russian T-72B3M obr.2022, somewhere in the Kursk region. https://t.co/UbmqDKDpH7 pic.twitter.com/QC2ezd5ded

— Special Kherson Cat 🐈🇺🇦 (@bayraktar_1love) September 12, 2024

 

That’s enough for tonight.

Your daily Patron!

Here is some adjacent material from the Ukrainian Ministry of Defense.

Don’t hang your nose!
All will be great.

📷: 117th Mechanized Brigade pic.twitter.com/UTZaTnPcBd

— Defense of Ukraine (@DefenceU) September 12, 2024

And a new video from Patron’s official TikTok.

@patron__dsns

❤️

♬ som original – vih_a.r

Open thread!

War for Ukraine Day 932: Russia Attacks a Turkish Operated Transport Vessel In the Black SeaPost + Comments (31)

Readership Capture Open Thread: Bold Contrarian Matt Taibbi Has A New Theory

by Anne Laurie|  September 12, 20248:20 pm| 84 Comments

This post is in: Elections 2024, Grifters Gonna Grift, Open Threads, Proud to Be A Democrat, Trumpery

If the entire world is in on a conspiracy, can you still call it a conspiracy? Or it is “reality”?https://t.co/A8MMMUShRq

— Patrick Chovanec (@prchovanec) September 12, 2024

Relentlessly mediocre “centrist” Jon Chait, at NYMag, gets an easy one — “Is the Entire World Conspiring to Make It Look Like Trump Lost the Debate?”:

… Why did so many journalists who witnessed the same event describe it so similarly? To Matt Taibbi, a popular commentator who has migrated from liberal-hating leftist to liberal-hating Trump apologist, there could be only one explanation: The entire news media was taking orders from the Democratic Party.

Taibbi’s post-debate column, headlined, “DNC Talking Points Become Instant Post-Debate Headlines,” advances a bold hypothesis. Taibbi amasses suspicious evidence of media collusion:

Conspiracies, pet-eating, and the “same old tired playbook” figured prominently in morning headlines. “Harris baits Trump over and over,” wrote the Christian Science Monitor. “Harris baits an aging Trump into being his grumpiest, weirdest self,” was Salon’s take. “Harris Baits and Batters Trump,” wrote the Miami Herald. “Harris Baits Trump Into Arguments,” added CNN. “Harris Baits Trump: Inside their Fiery Debate,” was another Times headline, while The Wall Street Journal went with “Harris Baits Trump in Fiery Presidential Debate.” There were cheers that Harris was able to “bait him into defending himself rather than talking about issues.” And on and on. Instantly, bait everywhere. No wonder Jake Tapper talked about fishing after the event.

“As one of the last relics of the ‘Boys on the Bus’ era, I don’t recall campaign messaging being this crude, or politicians, press, and audience acting so overtly as a chorus,” he writes, “the DNC or RNC just backing up to the commentariat, dumping loads of phrases, and seeing them instantly converted to conventional wisdom, that’s new.”

Taibbi’s theory suffers from two serious flaws. The first lies in the linear nature of time. Taibbi seizes on a Democratic Party press release summarizing reactions to the debate and concludes that the reactions were implanted by the party into the media. But the news release came after the reactions. That is how it was able to quote them…

show full post on front page

The second flaw with Taibbi’s analysis is that the belief Trump looked terrible was shared by many people who could not possibly be controlled by the Democratic message machine. As the debate occurred in real time, online betting markets moved in Harris’s direction, and Trump’s scammy meme stock plunged.

What’s more, the conclusion that Harris effectively baited Trump into an incoherent performance was echoed by many observers who are sympathetic to Trump. “Trump Took the Bait. Harris Kept Her Cool,” wrote Eli Lake in The Free Press. “He rose to the bait repeatedly when she baited him,” moaned Brit Hume on Fox News. “She won the debate because she came in with a strategy to taunt and goad Mr. Trump into diving down rabbit holes of personal grievance and vanity that left her policies and history largely untouched. He always takes the bait, and Ms. Harris set multiple traps so he spent much of the debate talking about the past, or about Joe Biden, or about immigrants eating pets, but not how he’d improve the lives of Americans in the next four years,” complained The Wall Street Journal editorial page…

Interestingly enough, Taibbi’s assessment of Trump’s performance is much more forgiving than that of Trump’s own advisers, who were apoplectic over his incoherent rants. “The [former] president was supposed to pivot but Trump blew it,” a campaign insider tells Marc Caputo. “He was supposed to make her own the Biden record. That didn’t really happen.” Trump advisers unloaded to Axios, noting that Trump simply declined to exploit the opportunities given to him by ABC News. “He was told to hold her accountable for the deadly, hasty withdrawal from Afghanistan. Yet when the moderators teed up that softball twice, he swung at other topics.”…

Yes, perhaps the only two sane people in the universe are Donald Trump and Matt Taibbi. Or maybe there is some other explanation.

Readership Capture Open Thread: Bold Contrarian Matt Taibbi Has A New TheoryPost + Comments (84)

Harris and Walz Live Events Today: Open Thread

by TaMara|  September 12, 20246:35 pm| 84 Comments

This post is in: Elections 2024, Kamala Harris for President, Open Threads, Politics

The Gov is in Grand Rapids:

 

Madam VP is in Greensboro, NC

These teams know what they are doing:

Four hours before the VP arrives here in Charlotte, the Harris campaign has a DJ spinning beats for those in the security line. pic.twitter.com/xrkhaAeA8a

— Maeve Reston (@MaeveReston) September 12, 2024

 

And this went up while I was out, so you can watch it while we wait for the evening event.

 

New ad dropped:

And these amused me today:

I dare you to watch this only once.

pic.twitter.com/lHt3bPNJWs

— Jack E. Smith ⚖️ (@7Veritas4) September 12, 2024

😂😂😂 pic.twitter.com/vyaS4aK9WJ

— Nurse Ashley 💁🏼‍♀️✨ (@TheBlondeRN) September 11, 2024

Open thread

Harris and Walz Live Events Today: Open ThreadPost + Comments (84)

He Bravely Ran Away

by @heymistermix.com|  September 12, 20243:52 pm| 200 Comments

This post is in: Open Threads

LOL at this cope:

Donald Trump announced he will not participate in a second debate with Kamala Harris, saying she has turned down previous opportunities to meet and alleging she lost their Tuesday night face-off.

“When a prizefighter loses a fight, the first words out of his mouth are, ‘I WANT A REMATCH.’ Polls clearly show that I won the Debate against Comrade Kamala Harris, the Democrats’ Radical Left Candidate, on Tuesday night, and she immediately called for a Second Debate,” the former president wrote on Truth Social.

When a few mild fact checks of your wild bullshit makes your supporters blame the refs, you definitely won:

He Bravely Ran Away

You also clearly won when the refs gave you over 5 minutes more speaking time than your opponent, and you used it to blather instead of fighting back.  Another signal of your commanding win is that all of your supporters on Capitol Hill are bravely running away from reporters.

You won so much that JD should probably sit out the October 1 debate, because liberal media CBS News might check a fact or two, too.

He Bravely Ran AwayPost + Comments (200)

Speaking of the wealthy and talented Ms. Swift…

by Betty Cracker|  September 12, 202412:01 pm| 292 Comments

This post is in: Open Threads, Politics, Republican Stupidity

This probably came up in a thread I missed about the Taylor Swift endorsement, but GROSS: (Source: Rolling Stone)

[O]ne major Trump supporter, the always-thirsty Elon Musk, thought he could weave viral magic by responding to her with an offer of insemination. “Fine Taylor,” Musk posted on X, the website he owns that continues to smolder in the ruins of Twitter, “you win … I will give you a child and guard your cats with my life.”

Good gravy, what a slimy creep! Also, does Musk realize Swift’s boyfriend is a rather large fellow?

Swift can take care of herself, but it would be immensely satisfying if Mr. Kelce publicly punched the frog-faced fuck-stick Musk into the sun.

Open thread!

Speaking of the wealthy and talented Ms. Swift…Post + Comments (292)

Thursday Morning Open Thread: Swift-ly

by Anne Laurie|  September 12, 20248:44 am| 231 Comments

This post is in: Elections 2024, Kamala Harris for President, Open Threads, Proud to Be A Democrat, Women's Rights Are Human Rights

Taylor Swift officially launched her Kamala Harris era following Tuesday’s debate. But will her endorsement of Harris impact the race? AP’s Kimberlee Kruesi explains. pic.twitter.com/asHO1aJPwF

— AP Entertainment (@APEntertainment) September 11, 2024

“This weekend, @Swifties4kamala will host its first official phone bank in partnership with @VotersTomorrow. Members of the coalition will spend two hours on Saturday, Sept. 14 calling unregistered student voters in Wisconsin and Georgia, two swing states.”https://t.co/2Qb8VbQBSk

— Jack Lobel (@jackplobel) September 11, 2024

After Taylor Swift endorsed Harris, encouraging her fans to register to vote, Google recorded a surge in people wanting to register to vote. www.washingtonpost.com/politics/202…

[image or embed]

— Philip Bump (@pbump.com) September 11, 2024 at 9:13 AM

Miss Americana ?? pic.twitter.com/f0uH1J9MqS

— Kamala HQ (@KamalaHQ) September 12, 2024

Play stupid games, you win stupid prizes, Very Serious Media:

show full post on front page

Yes! Men of Illinois – please save your women from immodest dress, the gays and cussing by giving away your Taylor Swift tickets and paraphernalia to the godless witches of the Illinois Swifty universe! They will be happy to take these instruments of Satan off your hands! Quick! pic.twitter.com/AkK3fj4GLJ

— Anne Caprara (@anacaprana) September 11, 2024

Here we have none other than thee Linda Ronstadt endorsing Kamala! pic.twitter.com/m3lXtUEqZE

— Steph, Bonds Dog Agent ???? ?? (@stephnav) September 12, 2024


 
On the other hand: Not very swift, not at all…

I can't stress this enough: no they don't. In politics there's often a massive gap between what people say they want and what they actually want. There is nobody on the planet less interested in policy details than the "undecided voter." pic.twitter.com/Z7o4CTGgHR

— Christopher Ingraham?? (@_cingraham) September 11, 2024

Another important point: the NYT is recontacting and quoting these people over and over so who knows how much they're simply roleplaying the part of sagacious freethinking truth seekers https://t.co/qCvJ8sQlnH

— Christopher Ingraham?? (@_cingraham) September 11, 2024

Undecided voters who want to be on TV aren’t undecided. https://t.co/zWdePTimOf

— Armando (@ArmandoNDK) September 11, 2024

I have found that most “undecideds” are actually closet republicans who just want attention.

— Dan Przygoda (@dprzygoda) September 11, 2024

Thursday Morning Open Thread: Swift-lyPost + Comments (231)

Schadenfreude Open Thread: Let… Us… SAVOR!

by Anne Laurie|  September 12, 20246:09 am| 154 Comments

This post is in: Elections 2024, Excellent Links, Kamala Harris for President, Open Threads, Proud to Be A Democrat, Republicans in Disarray!, Schadenfreude

Schadenfreude Open Thread:  Let... Us... SAVOR!

(John Deering via GoComics.com)

 
Harry the retreat, shoot the enemy’s wounded, and loot the corpses!

A Walk Amid The Ruinshttps://t.co/oSzP5D8A5K

— Charles P. Pierce (@CharlesPPierce) September 12, 2024

Come along on a short walk across the battlefield, checking out the smoking ruins, the shattered artillery pieces, and the tattered flags of the MAGA armies.

1) El Caudillo del Mar-a-Lago‘s drop-by in the post-debate spin room was a real tell. Usually, candidates avoid the spin room as though it’s a cholera ward. The spin room is a job for vice presidents, at best. (J. Divan Vance did show his face, but mostly to defend the dog-eating fantasy.) But, usually, you trot out experts, or famous senators, to make your case. You don’t allow the ambulatory carcass of what used to be your candidate to come out and blither to Kaitlan Collins of CNN about how he “won all the polls” after the debate was over. That was pure desperation with a fine glaze of flopsweat on it…

9) On the scale of Defending The Indefensible, I think it was a tie between his defending his infamous ad calling for the execution of the now-exonerated Central Park 5 and the following delusional account:

We did a phenomenal job with the pandemic. We handed them over a country where the economy and where the stock market was higher than it was before the pandemic came in. Nobody’s ever seen anything like it. We made ventilators for the entire world. We got gowns. We got masks. We did things that nobody thought possible.

And, somehow, 350,800 Americans died of Covid in 2020. Phenomenal.

in the sense that a shellacking is a draw because you're shiny now https://t.co/aqtthA4uuD

— cai (@AnneNotation) September 12, 2024

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Rolling Stone, “Trump Rushes to Spin Room to Save Face After Disastrous Debate”:

The clearest sign that Kamala Harris’ campaign thought she won the ABC presidential debate was the fact that her elated surrogates in the post-debate spin room were gloating about “finally landing a punch on Donald Trump” — and floating the possibility of a rematch.

The clearest sign Trump knew he lost was the fact that Trump himself appeared in the spin room to defend his debate performance on Tuesday night.

Shortly before 11:30 p.m., the former president shuffled into the Pennsylvania Convention Center, where an armada of surrogates, including Robert Kennedy Jr., Sen. Tom Cotton (R-Ark.), his daughter-in-law Lara Trump, former adviser Stephen Miller, Sen. Marco Rubio (R-Fla.) — as well as running mate, J.D. Vance — had been struggling mightily to make a case that Trump did anything other than burst into flames on the stage…

The former president’s visit to the spin room caught much of Team Trump by surprise. Some aides received word he would be appearing only just before he walked in, accompanied by an entourage including top advisers like Steven Cheung, Boris Epshteyn, and Corey Lewandowski, a source familiar with the matter says.

Tim Murtaugh, a Trump campaign official who was present for the mad dash to shove cameras in Trump’s face, said Trump’s surprise appearance “shows fearlessness and confidence. Kamala Harris would never do it.” A Harris aide, who got swept up into the large huddle as Trump entered the spin room, remarked that it was a mistake for the former president to appear and that it looked “desperate.” …

He was right to be concerned, as his team was struggling to cast the performance as anything less than a cataclysmic disaster for Trump. Asked to address directly whether Trump had a bad night, Cotton said he had not seen “any of the commentary.” Asked why Trump didn’t detail any plans for his next term, Cotton said simply, “You don’t have to worry about what Donald Trump is going to do — you know what he’s going to do.” Lara Trump, his Republican National Committee co-chair, bemoaned the fact that there wasn’t enough focus during the debate on immigration.

Even the dead-eyed Miller was having trouble defending Trump’s fixating during the debate on conservatives’ racist, debunked claims about Haitian immigrants eating cats in Springfield, Ohio. (“They’re eating the pets of the people that live there, and this is what’s happening in our country,” Trump said on Tuesday.) Miller repeatedly referenced a 911 call raising concerns about geese instead; Gaetz referred to the same call when questioned…

It was California Gov. Gavin Newsom, though, who offered one of the most prescient observations early in the night. Asked how significant the debate would be in the grand scheme of things, he predicted it would make a difference — because of the way Trump himself would react.

“Donald Trump will not be capable of not overreacting to how badly he did tonight over the course of the next days,” Newsom said, roughly 40 minutes before Trump made his shock appearance in the spin room. “I think this will shape shift in a way that’s even more profound than the evening itself — we will see him reacting to this for weeks and weeks and weeks, with his pity party and his grievance mindset. I’m sure he’ll be complaining about the refs and the rules for weeks.”

“Clearly he is having a very difficult time processing that.” ??pic.twitter.com/WpZZlPBhWH

— Kamala HQ (@KamalaHQ) September 11, 2024

Tim Miller, at the Bulwark, “Inside Trump’s Spin Room From Hell”:

WHEN IT COMES TO SPIN ROOMS there is one unimpeachable truism that political hacks of all stripes can agree on: A winning candidate needn’t show up there.

So when the Secret Service arrived at the Pennsylvania Convention Center after Tuesday night’s presidential debate across the street at the National Constitution Center, the room began to buzz. We all knew which of the night’s two combatants felt compelled to appear before the assembled press.

The one who spent the evening on the receiving end of a spanking.

Burnt-sienna face paint melting around the edges, shoulders sagging, lips and neck hole pursed, Donald Trump shambled over to the bank of cameras. Reporters shouted questions about his bizarre claim that immigrants were eating pets. They wondered if he would debate his foe again, why he was so rattled by her, and whether he was disappointed that she had earned the coveted Taylor Swift endorsement…

Standing in the back, I tried to get in the mix, shouting repeatedly—to one communications staffer’s great annoyance—about Trump’s inability even to look in the alpha dog vice president’s general direction. “Why wouldn’t you even look at her?” I yelled out again and again…

There is no job in politics less fun than being the spin-room representative for a loser. Trust me, I’ve been there. You stand underneath a placard with your name, but you raise it only to half-mast in the hopes that the media jackals find some other prey first.

Just after Trump’s lame spin-room performance, I encountered Trump spokesman, Tim Murtaugh, a onetime establishment type I knew a little bit. He was huddled closely with one of the Washington Examiner’s MAGA content generators, Byron York. I leaned over and observed that Murtaugh had found a friendly voice. “Byron will write you something good,” I said. As Murtaugh grimaced at me, York grunted out “Fuck you.”

Then there was Trump adviser Corey Lewandowski, who hip-checked me following a debate eight years ago. After a brief reminiscence about those spin rooms past, I asked him what he thought Trump’s best answer was at the debate. “There were so many good answers,” he said before briskly departing my company. His former partner-in-crime David Bossie was even more flummoxed by that query. “That’s a good question. You are putting me on the spot,” he said, retreating to an easier subject, the former president’s record…

Coming off the MSNBC set, I caught California Governor Gavin Newsom, smile wide, hair uncharacteristically unkempt. Our last encounter was in a similar setting two months prior, following his attempt to put on a brave face for Joe Biden.

He locked eyes with me and immediately launched into a victorious spiel. “From minute one she owned him,” he said. “Now he knows her name.”

He then repeated the victor’s name purposefully. Each syllable in staccato.

“Kah-muh-luh. Kah-muh-luh.”

Absolutely fascinating.

Google searches for voter registration spiked during debate when Trump gave awful answer to January 6th question (whether he has any regret for what he did that day) and Harris called him out for it.@OutFrontCNN rolls tape and shows chart.

cc: @pbump pic.twitter.com/ScuviL8uE8

— Ryan Goodman (@rgoodlaw) September 12, 2024

Schadenfreude Open Thread: Let… Us… SAVOR!Post + Comments (154)

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