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Balloon Juice

Come for the politics, stay for the snark.

JFC, are there no editors left at that goddamn rag?

Celebrate the fucking wins.

“In this country American means white. everybody else has to hyphenate.”

At some point, the ability to learn is a factor of character, not IQ.

Nothing says ‘pro-life’ like letting children go hungry.

if you can’t see it, then you are useless in the fight to stop it.

Of course you can have champagne before noon. That’s why orange juice was invented.

“woke” is the new caravan.

We can’t confuse what’s necessary to win elections with the policies that we want to implement when we do.

Too often we confuse noise with substance. too often we confuse setbacks with defeat.

When I decide to be condescending, you won’t have to dream up a fantasy about it.

They punch you in the face and then start crying because their fist hurts.

I swear, each month of 2025 will have its own history degree.

Stop using mental illness to avoid talking about armed white supremacy.

I’d hate to be the candidate who lost to this guy.

Giving up is unforgivable.

Dumb motherfuckers cannot understand a consequence that most 4 year olds have fully sorted out.

Shallow, uninformed, and lacking identity

Nancy smash is sick of your bullshit.

Trump’s cabinet: like a magic 8 ball that only gives wrong answers.

“Can i answer the question? No you can not!”

Their boy Ron is an empty plastic cup that will never know pudding.

Republicans: The threats are dire, but my tickets are non-refundable!

When I was faster i was always behind.

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Open Thread:  Hey Lurkers!  (Holiday Post)

Open Threads

You are here: Home / Archives for Open Threads

Late Night Open Thread: Elon Musk, Plate-Spinner

by Anne Laurie|  October 31, 20232:51 am| 45 Comments

This post is in: C.R.E.A.M., Excellent Links, Grifters Gonna Grift, Open Threads, Lock Him Up...Lock Them All Up, social media, Sociopaths

Even that seems wildly overvalued. https://t.co/FRZq58R4tT

— Clean Observer (@Hammbear2024) October 30, 2023

I assume this is happening now because the IRS, or the banks which are his creditors — or both — are pressing Musk a littler harder than he can handle? Per the NYTimes:

X, the company formerly known as Twitter, handed out stock grants to employees on Monday that showed it was worth about $19 billion, down about 55 percent from the $44 billion that Elon Musk paid to buy the firm a year ago, according to internal documents seen by The New York Times.

Mr. Musk paid $54.20 a share to buy Twitter just over a year ago. The tech billionaire has since said he overpaid for the social network. In March, he wrote in an email to workers that he believed the company was worth $20 billion, calling it “an inverse start-up.”

In the paperwork for the new stock grants, X said the equity would be offered at $45 a share in the form of restricted stock units, which employees can earn over time. Employees will still be paid in cash in the amount of $54.20 for any outstanding shares that were granted to them under previous management, the company said.

It’s unclear why the share price has not dropped by the same percentage as the company’s valuation, though X could have altered the amount of shares outstanding. Fortune earlier reported on the valuation…

Late Night Open Thread: Elon Musk, Plate-Spinner 1

I cannot imagine Elon knows anything about dating, and he spent $44B on this site so I don't think he should be holding anyone's money either. https://t.co/FQdlh1ROA9

— Linette Lopez (@lopezlinette) October 30, 2023

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… A company-wide meeting on Thursday, the year anniversary of when Musk took over Twitter, hosted by Musk and his CEO of a few months Linda Yaccarino, was mostly an ad nauseam going over the various product changes to the platform, according to two people present for the video call. These individuals requested anonymity as they were not authorized to speak to the press. Their identities are known to Insider. Both described the call overall as “scripted,” but it wasn’t without off-kilter comments.

During the call, Musk attempted to take a tone of excitement for what X will look like over the next year, the people present said. X will in 2024 be a “fully fledged” dating site, he insisted, as well as a digital bank. These details have not been previously reported, although other elements of the call were reported by The Verge as was the email that went out to staff right before the call by Fortune.

Musk did not get into details of how exactly X would become a dating app, if there was any user demand for such features, or what further product changes would be made to turn it into one, one of the people present said. However, the idea is in line with Musk’s push for features that require payment, as most dating apps today are some form of subscription service…

Getting more users to give X payment and banking information ties in with Musk’s long-held desire for X to offer full payment and banking services to users, part of his ambitions to create an “everything app” like WeChat, one of the people present said. “He wants people to pay for everything,” the person noted. Musk said during the meeting he expects X to be capable of functioning as a bank by next year, the person added, whether or not users want it to be.

“It doesn’t seem to be what users really want,” the person said…

Late Night Open Thread: Elon Musk, Plate-Spinner 2
 
Ed Zitron, at his (unpaywalled) Substack, on the plate-spinning “Junk Bond Trader”:

Elon Musk is not an inventor, a creator or an innovator. He is not a thoughtful leader or steward of companies, nor is he worthy of any title that suggests he has been the active force behind any major accomplishment by any company…

No, Elon Musk is far more of a modern-day hustler, a nihilistic master of the art of financial plate-spinning and theoretical value. He is, in many ways, quite innovative, but only in the sense that he has repeatedly found ways to swindle the media and the financial markets without ever having to make or do anything. His joyless, banal and destructive path to becoming the world’s richest man is fueled entirely through exploiting the weaknesses of society. To quote Michael Lewis’ Liar’s Poker, Musk has a “Ph.D in man’s ignorance,” and can cleanly see where rules can be bent or broken entirely without creating any real existential threat…

Musk realized early on that by crafting a certain persona — the modern day trailblazing innovator with his hands in the future — he could take advantage of the emotional (and at times deeply illogical) nature of the markets, manipulating large cadres of investors into believing that he was a kingmaker.

And nowhere have the markets been more thoroughly hoodwinked than by Musk’s acquisition of Twitter, where he successfully conned banks like Morgan Stanley, Bank of America, and Barclays into giving him $13 toward the $44 billion purchase of a massively-overvalued public company. A year into the acquisition, Twitter is worth a tenth of its purchase price, its value destroyed by the very kingmaker the banks had hoped would turn their investment into easily-floggable debt rather than what may go down as the worst acquisition in tech history…

Musk took advantage of the greed and arrogance of financiers that have crafted a market that responds to signals and vibes over good company financials. A company can firmly sit in the red for years without fear that their stock will drop as long as they can show revenue growth, and a stock like Tesla’s — one decoupled from rationale or fundamentals — can soar based entirely on the bloviating of a 53-year-old man-child. Musk’s facade had been carried by the fact he had, for the most part, made good investments and then left the companies in question to actually build the things, operating as an awkward carnival barker, calling questions he didn’t like “boneheaded” and “uncool.”

The problem was that Twitter, for the most part, is totally unlike any other company that Musk has owned or had a hand in creating…

… Musk cannot encourage “more” of Twitter, because Twitter is already so vast, and monetizing an experience that is already free hasn’t been particularly successful. Twitter Blue has just over a million subscribers, and they’re “superspreaders” of disinformation, weakening the core “tweets” product that actually makes Twitter money.

One might argue that Elon’s sell-the-sizzle playbook is antithetical to Twitter as a company. Twitter had, until 2022, become notable less as a company and more as an institution — a place where news was broken, arguments were had, and discourse brewed. By making Twitter more conspicuous, Musk has somehow increased scrutiny while reducing traffic, because much of the press around Twitter is telling you that the core product is worse, and its creators (and leadership team) are part of the problem. While Musk can temporarily distract from build problems with the cybertruck by driving one to an F1 race, his near-autonomous ability to drive press to his products is a never-ending advertisement for why Twitter sucks and you shouldn’t visit it.

It’s hard to guess where things go next. Musk could offer to buy the debt at dirt-cheap prices, but the banks will likely refuse, demanding instead that he continues to make his $1 billion interest payments. Twitter itself could file for bankruptcy, as the debt is held by the company itself, which would likely lead to a fire sale and the company’s acquisition by another big tech giant, assuming that at that point there’s much left of a platform crumbling on a daily basis…

He turned a wildly imperfect, barely profitable but incredibly influential global town square teeming with up-to-the-moment info and organic conversations and turned it into a failing pay-to-hate vanity messageboard

— John DeVore (@JohnDeVore) October 30, 2023

Late Night Open Thread: Elon Musk, Plate-SpinnerPost + Comments (45)

Open Thread: Speaker Mike Johnson, Wrapped in the Flag & Carrying A Cross

by Anne Laurie|  October 30, 202310:41 pm| 69 Comments

This post is in: GOP Death Cult, Open Threads, Republican Stupidity, Republican Venality

Issue w Johnson isn’t that he’s from Louisiana. It’s more that he’s from the far less cosmopolitan part of LA, the part of Arkansas located south of the LA border, & he appears to have seldom left there except to litigate cases to allow prayer during school or gov’t proceedings

— Dana Houle (@DanaHoule) October 30, 2023

"People really do look at the funding we’re sending to Israel and Ukraine and say, 'I can’t afford to go to Kroger.'"

Of course. Because the debate was "should we employ Americans to make stuff to send overseas, or send a check to the guy in a diner."https://t.co/T7bP3WHYKY

— Tom Nichols (@RadioFreeTom) October 30, 2023

I don’t think the reporters are as naive as the headline here… The Washington Post visits a modern Peaksville — “House Speaker Mike Johnson’s Louisiana hometown guided by faith and family”:

SHREVEPORT, La. — In this small town masquerading as a city, a mention of newly elected House Speaker Mike Johnson during the lunchtime rush at Strawn’s Eat Shop Too (“home of the ice box pie”) drew an interruption.

“Are you talking about Mike Johnson?” said a woman in a flowered blouse, gold-cross necklace and gray ponytail. “I’m his mom.”

Jeanne “Jee Jee” Johnson, 69, had been sharing a “celebration lunch” Thursday with her cousin here in the central Broadmoor neighborhood, pausing to greet fellow diners as her cellphone exploded with well wishes.

Johnson saw her son’s selection in spiritual terms. “God did this,” she said. “ … It’s so good for America.”…

The Ark-La-Tex region in northwest Louisiana that includes Johnson’s hometown is full of historic Black and White churches, more like neighboring Arkansas, Texas and the rest of the Bible Belt than the rest of the state. It’s often overshadowed by flashier cities to the south: New Orleans and the state capital, Baton Rouge. The idea that one of its sons is now second in line to the presidency has been met with joyous surprise in many quarters. But views are mixed about whether his ascension will benefit all residents, who remain divided, like much of the country, along ideological and racial lines.

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Residents call the metro area of about 760,000 Shreveport-Bossier, encompassing Shreveport — population 180,000, where Johnson was raised on the west bank of the Red River — and growing suburbs to the east in Bossier Parish, where the speaker now lives.

But there are vast distinctions between the two sides, the residue of disinvestment and white flight by families like Johnson’s.

The city proper is about 57 percent Black, 37 percent White and 3 percent Latino, according to the most recent census. Bossier Parish, home to about 130,000 people, is about 70 percent White, 24 percent Black and 7 percent Latino. Overall, Johnson’s district has a median household income of about $48,600, below the national median of nearly $75,000. About 22 percent live below the poverty level…

Like many cities in Louisiana, Shreveport is governed by Democrats and Bossier Parish is largely Republican; Republicans will control all three branches of state government once conservative Attorney General Jeff Landry, elected governor earlier this month, takes office in January…

“He was a part of that exodus from Shreveport; he didn’t stay and make the community better and as a congressman, he has done little to make the community better,” said the Rev. Theron Jackson, the Black pastor of 94-year-old Morning Star Missionary Baptist Church.

A former Shreveport city council member, Jackson, 54, was once a Democrat but said he now considers himself an independent. He’s working to counter homelessness and what he calls “trans-generational poverty” that dates to segregation.

Earlier this year, Jackson traveled to Baton Rouge to lobby for changes to Louisiana’s congressional districts — only one of six is a majority Black district despite a state population that is more than 30 percent Black. Last month, the U.S. Supreme Court rejected a request to speed up redrawing the districts after a federal judge found the latest map still dilutes the strength of Black voters.

“When you become speaker of the house, that’s supposed to mean a lot more for your district and your state. The question is, what is that going to mean for us?” Jackson said. “It may mean more for those who have already benefited from his presence, but certainly not all of us.”…

America’s proudly ‘independent’ voters:

This person seems to have a well thought out and coherent political perspective pic.twitter.com/li9FCsUG7v

— Tomb Hellton (@TVHilton) October 30, 2023

Then again, one could always check out FTFNYTimes, if you prefer a cozier take:

You can tell this is a fair and balanced look at Mike Johnson’s hometown and how it shaped him by the way it starts off quoting his mother and then waits until paragraph 36 to quote a Black person despite Shreveport being 57 percent Black.https://t.co/V5CzlHj36m

— Jamison Foser (@jamisonfoser) October 30, 2023

"We need to stop asking people in diners about foreign aid … Instead, put our national leaders on the spot to explain what they think foreign aid is … and then call them out, every time, when they spin fantasies about it," @RadioFreeTom writes: https://t.co/PspKru2o2H

— Not a former naval aviator (@jonruttenberg) October 30, 2023

… “Politics here is personal,” according to Celeste Gauthier, 45. (The Post, for some reason, notes that Gauthier attended Middlebury College for a time—perhaps as a clumsy way of trying to tell us she’s not merely some rough local, and that she returned from Vermont to help run her family’s three restaurants.) She is concerned:

“People really do look at the funding we’re sending to Israel and Ukraine and say, ‘I can’t afford to go to Kroger,’” Gauthier said as she sat amid the lunchtime crowd, some of whom she said had stopped buying beverages because of the cost. “A lot of these customers know Mike Johnson and think we often get overlooked and maybe we won’t anymore,” she said.

I’m not sure what it means to be “overlooked” in a cherry-red district in a state where, as the Post notes, Republicans will control all three branches of state government once the conservative governor-elect is sworn in, but the comment about foreign aid is a classic expression of how little people understand about the subject.

Perhaps Gauthier or others believe that the new speaker—who has been opposed to sending aid to Ukraine—would redirect the money back to “overlooked” Louisianans, maybe as increased aid to the poor. He wouldn’t, of course, as he has already proposed huge cuts in social spending. As for Israel, evangelical Christians such as Johnson have a special interest in Israel for their own eschatological reasons, and Johnson has already decided to decouple aid to Israel from aid to Ukraine. Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell—whose understanding of foreign policy is practically Churchillian compared with Johnson’s—is none too happy about that…

We need to stop asking people in diners about foreign aid. (Populists who demand that we rely on guidance from The People should remember that most Americans think foreign aid should be about 10 percent of the budget—a percentage those voters think would be a reduction but would actually be a massive increase.) Instead, put our national leaders on the spot to explain what they think foreign aid is, where it goes, and what it does, and then call them out, every time, when they spin fantasies about it. Otherwise, legislators such as Johnson will be able to sit back and let the folks at the pie counter believe that he’s going to round up $75 billion and send it back home.

That’s an old and dumb trope, but it works. If you’re a Republican in Congress, and if you can stay in Washington by convincing people at the diner that you’re going to take cash from Ukrainians (wherever they are) and give it back to the hardworking waitress pouring your coffee, then you do it—because in this new GOP, your continued presence in Washington is more important than anything, including the security of the United States.

As ever, to the self-professed ‘Christians’:

Hey Speaker Johnson and the House Republicans… pic.twitter.com/otqPmN0MMd

— Michael F Ozaki MD (@brontyman) October 26, 2023

Open Thread: Speaker Mike Johnson, Wrapped in the Flag & Carrying A CrossPost + Comments (69)

War for Ukraine Day 614: Three Young Men from Lviv

by Adam L Silverman|  October 30, 20238:41 pm| 43 Comments

This post is in: Foreign Affairs, Foreign Policy, Military, Open Threads, Russia, Silverman on Security, War, War in Ukraine

Graphic by NEIVANMADE of a Russian bomb with a "Z" symbol on it crashing through the roof of the Ukrainian Postal Service delivery hub. "Everyone Is a Target" and "Stop Russia" are written in the space between the destroyed roof and the fins of the bomb.

(Image by NEIVANMADE)

The House GOP is out with it’s supplemental aid package. It is only for Israel, there is no mention of Ukraine.

https://twitter.com/mindys4Biden/status/1719097309005250684

Senate Democrats are not amused; especially by the cuts to IRS funding. Well, all the Senate Democrats except one:

https://twitter.com/mkraju/status/1719123402072436972

Hey Cole, come get your village idiot. He’s loose again!

What about the next Ukraine aid supplemental you ask? According to Speaker Johnson there will not be one because aid to Ukraine is not an urgent need:

https://twitter.com/ChristopherJM/status/1718914927744762044

Just a quick update on the airport pogrom in Dagestan. The Israeli government has indicated that the flight, which was ultimately destined to go on to Moscow, was actually carrying Dagestani children who had gone to Israel for medical treatment that is not available in Russia. The Times of Israel has the details:

“There were hundreds at the [Makhachkala] airport. About 50 men approached the airplane and asked passengers if they were Jews. I said no. I’m Russian. They wanted to see my passport. I had a Russian passport. They hung around there and then pulled back at a certain point,” one eyewitness said in a recording obtained by Carmel News, a Telegram channel that focuses on Russia and Ukraine.

None of the passengers were hurt in the incident, according to Alex Bendersky, a Russian-speaking Israeli who covered the event on Carmel News.

According to an unconfirmed report by Carmel News, aboard the plane were Dagestani children who had undergone medical treatment in Israel.

Here is President Zelenskyy’s address from earlier today. Video below, English transcript after the jump.

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We all must be strong, united, we must withstand to prove that freedom is indeed stronger than aggression – President of Ukraine’s address

30 October 2023 – 21:09

I wish good health to all Ukrainian men and women!

First and foremost, I want to acknowledge our combat brigades. All the warriors who are fighting at the hottest sections of the front lines. Thank you to all the warriors who, through their assaults and their resilience – heroic resilience – demonstrate in practice that Ukraine is capable of resisting Russian pressure, capable of defeating the occupiers, capable of winning.

The 53rd and 110th separate mechanized brigades, the 79th separate airborne assault brigade. Thank you, guys, for Avdiyivka and Maryinka! The 14th, 32nd, and 57th separate motorized infantry brigades – thank you for defending the Kupiansk direction. The 80th separate airborne assault brigade and the 93rd separate mechanized brigade – thank you, warriors, for the Bahmut direction, for advancing! The 33rd separate mechanized brigade – thank you for your strength in battles in the south of Ukraine!

Today, I had important negotiations with Prime Minister of the Netherlands Mark Rutte. I informed him about the situation on the front lines, about our actions, our capabilities. I am grateful for the assistance! For air defense systems, for ammunition for our soldiers, for powerful things that help us maintain the security of the eastern part of the Black Sea. Our agreements with Mark, which we discussed during the meeting in Odesa, are being implemented. It is also very important that the Netherlands has become the first state outside the G7 with which we started bilateral work on security guarantees. We discussed with the Prime Minister the results of the advisors’ meeting on the Peace Formula in Malta.

I met with a delegation from the U.S. Congress – three congressmen who are currently visiting Ukraine. It’s an important visit of solidarity. I’m grateful to everyone in Congress – from both parties – who helps defend freedom, to President Biden, his team, and every American who understands that freedom in the world can only stand when America is strong, and when there is no doubt among the enemies of the free world about American leadership. I informed the congressmen about the situation on the front lines, the very successful use of U.S. ATACMS recently provided to our defense forces. Of course, we also discussed the issue of military and budgetary support.

Today, I also held several important meetings regarding our future international steps. A wrap-up meeting regarding the advisors’ meeting in Malta and future plans regarding the Peace Formula. A meeting on the expected assessment from the European Commission regarding our progress in European integration. And also a meeting regarding our strategy to keep the world’s attention on Ukraine, to support the unity that helps us defend ourselves and ensure the systematic weakening of the aggressor state.

We must soberly assess the Russian system. They have mobilized all their forces to try not to lose what they seized in Ukraine, but in doing so, they have contaminated their own territory with such a level of hatred and degradation that, for the second time this year, Russia is losing control over events. We see that mutineers are heading to Moscow, and no one is stopping them. We see that the power vertical in Dagestan is evaporating, leading to a real upheaval. These are all signals that Russia can, for now, sustain military operations and increase pressure on the frontlines in some places but is unable to withstand this strategic confrontation.

Strategically, we all must be strong, we must be united, and we must do everything possible and impossible to withstand, to reclaim what is ours, and to prove that freedom is indeed stronger than hatred and aggression. For this, our unity is needed, unity between us, unity across all of Europe, unity in America, and unity throughout the free world… Unity is the most effective, precise, and long-range weapon.

I thank everyone who is helping! I thank each and every one who is fighting and working for the sake of Ukraine!

Glory to Ukraine!

https://twitter.com/rustem_umerov/status/1719102956107071794

Was pleased to meet in Kyiv with a delegation of members of the #US Congress representing both the Democratic and Republican parties, @RepFrenchHill, @RepMikeQuigley, and @RepStephenLynch.

Adoption of NATO standards, improving procurement procedures for the army, and localization of weapons production in Ukraine are priorities for the ministry’s team.

Briefed the members of the US Congress on the situation on the front lines, our urgent military needs.

The cost:

https://twitter.com/IAPonomarenko/status/1718981510957559822

https://twitter.com/IAPonomarenko/status/1718986143721562386

https://twitter.com/IAPonomarenko/status/1718986947044028757

Lviv:

Also, the cost:

The New York Times has taken a deep dive into three childhood friends from Lviv who went to war together. Here are some excerpts:

At a gas station in western Ukraine, three men in their late 20s, friends since childhood, slid into plastic chairs. Exhausted and anxious, they began to sing.

It was March 2022, three weeks after Russian forces invaded, and the men were on their way to war. “Let It Be Cold and Windy” was an old folk tune about weathering adversity that they had sung as boys in a Ukrainian scouts group. Somehow, it brightened the mood.

“In grief and trouble, and the sea of ​​darkness,” they sang, “I will shield you from misfortune with a cloak.”

Their names were Artem, Dmytro and Roman. They had met as boys in the scouts group called Plast, in the western city of Lviv, and forged bonds over mountain hikes, sunburns, scratched knees and bug bites.

Later, boyhood games gave way to college and girlfriends and nights out in Lviv.

Artem Dymyd was a traveler. Addicted to adventure, he was never without his parachute as he sky-dived and base-jumped around the world. Friends called him “Kurka,” Ukrainian for chicken, because of the mop of curly hair he styled into a mohawk as a youth. The nickname stuck. When he got older and led a troop of younger scouts, they called themselves “the eggs.”

Dmytro Paschuk left college to join the French Legion, looking for adventure and a steady income, then came home to open a wine bar in Lviv. He was an entrepreneur full of big ideas. But he was also deeply invested in seeing his small home village near the city thrive, and hoped to start a small farm there.

Roman Lozynskyi studied political science in Lviv and got into local politics before spending time as an intern in the Canadian Parliament. He was elected to the Ukrainian Parliament in 2019, and had started to split his time between Kyiv, the capital, and Lviv.

None of them were really sure of the exact moment they met. In some ways, it felt like they were simply always together.

“Artem, Dmytro and I were like three sides of the horizon: south, west and east,” Roman said. Their interests and personalities were very different, but, “Boom!” he said, describing how they had become fast friends.

Now war had reunited them. After the invasion, all three volunteered to fight for Ukraine. They had just returned from weeks in a military training camp and were on their way to Lviv to collect drones, radios, food and other gear donated to the unit they would serve in together.

If they were friends before, Dmytro later said, the war would soon make them brothers.

When Russia launched its full-scale invasion of Ukraine in February 2022, Artem was traveling around Brazil, parachute in hand, seeking out places to base jump. He boarded a flight home when he heard the news. He had volunteered for the military in 2014 and fought in the east against Russia-backed separatists, so he quickly rejoined.

Roman was in Kyiv. He had volunteered as a reservist weeks earlier as the possibility of war became more real. He made plans to head to a military training base in central Ukraine, and called Dmytro, who was in Lviv running his wine bar and other businesses.

Dmytro had also decided to volunteer and was already on his way to the same facility, after talking to Artem about the best place to go for training.

Within days, the three men met at the base in central Ukraine to sign contracts and start training. And three lives that had diverged since their days in the scouts came colliding back together.

Soon, they were headed east as part of a specialist operations unit.

They found purpose and solidarity in their missions and a deep desire to seize back control of Ukraine and end the devastation of indiscriminate attacks on civilians. And they were driven by their shared vision of their country’s future — of a full-fledged democracy free from Russian interference.

There was comfort but also fear in serving together, Roman explained, especially after perilous missions in the spring of 2022, when their unit was focused on operations behind enemy lines.

“We really understood how high the risk was to lose someone from our team,” Roman said. But Roman took solace from the fact that Artem and Dmytro had previous military experience.

They had close calls, including once when their camp was hit by shelling in the first weeks of the war.

“We talked a lot about death,” Roman said. “And then, it happened.”

In the fourth month of the war, the three friends were deployed near the small village of Bila Krynytsya in Ukraine’s south. Fighting had been fierce along the banks of the Inhulets River, which served as a front line between Russian and Ukrainian troops.

On the night of June 18, Dmytro and Artem were asleep in their camp — Roman was on a mission in a different village — when a Russian shell came hurtling toward them. The explosion rattled Dmytro from sleep. He heard screams and instinctively searched for his friend.

“I couldn’t find Kurka,” he said, using Artem’s nickname.

Artem’s injuries were devastating. Shrapnel had ripped into his body. Another friend from the scouts, Vitya Kolya, who was a medic in the same unit, tried to treat Artem as they loaded him into the back of a pickup truck. Dmytro was at the wheel and sped to a field hospital. Artem managed a final few words: “I am alive.”

“For a minute, I couldn’t move at all, as if I forgot who I was or where I was,” Dmytro said.

“I was afraid, and I wanted everyone to do something,” he said. “I was giving orders to unload the car,” he said, adding, “I was afraid to be near him.”

Artem died within the hour. He was 27.

“Kurka was a dude who wasn’t afraid of death,” Dmytro later said. “And he wasn’t just saying that, he lived like that.”

Three days later, Roman and Dmytro traveled to Lviv to say goodbye to their friend.

Hundreds of current and former scouts lined the streets as his coffin was carried to the military cemetery on Lviv’s outskirts. Roman, wearing military fatigues, eyes heavy with grief, and Dmytro, in a white linen shirt with long hair, joined the crowds. A military band played a funeral march.

At the grave, they helped unwrap Artem’s beloved parachute and spread it gently over the open ground. Then his coffin was placed on top.

They joined friends and family members who shoveled the first heaps of soil onto the wooden box.

While no official death toll has been released since the war began, U.S. officials estimated that by the end of August this year, close to 70,000 Ukrainian soldiers had been killed and some 100,000 to 120,000 wounded. The mounting losses are evident in the military cemetery in Lviv, where the once-empty hillside around Artem’s grave has seen hundreds of burials since June 2022.

After the funeral, Roman and Dmytro sat on steps at the edge of the graveyard. They spoke of Artem, of his zest for life and his carefree attitude.

“To be honest, instead of this strange orchestra, it should be Metallica playing or Johnny Cash,” Dmytro said, pushing his shaggy hair back from his eyes. “We should have driven his coffin on pickup trucks. It should be some sort of celebration.”

Within days, he and Roman headed back to war.

The fall turned to winter, their first at war. In December and January, Roman and Dmytro posted videos singing carols for Christmas and Orthodox Christmas from the front line. They marked a year since Russia invaded.

In early March, they were given a short break. After a few days away, Dmytro returned to camp in the Kherson region, and Roman planned to follow several days later. Roman was still in Kyiv on March 12 when another soldier called from down south.

The Russians had discovered their position and launched a kamikaze drone attack. Dmytro died instantly. Like Artem, he was 27.

The death of another close friend haunted Roman. “You really don’t know why these things happen how they do, and why it happened to Kurka or Dmytro,” he said.

The three were together all the time in the war, Roman said, but he was not present when both of his friends died.

“So why was I not with them?” Roman asked. “You think if you were there, probably you could do something, save them or something.”

Again, he traveled west to say goodbye to a friend.

Dmytro had grown up in the small village of Khlivchany, about an hour from Lviv. That was where he was buried in March as a rainstorm soaked the mourners, the drops mingling with their tears.

As his coffin was driven to the church, local residents knelt in the puddles that pooled along the roadside. A blue and yellow flag, soaked through by the rain, clung to the wood.

Roman stood alongside Dmytro’s fiancée, Ganusya, in the church. She and Dmytro had planned for an April wedding just three weeks later.

“This is the greatest pain, I think, if we start to talk about how much stuff they could have done in the future,” Roman said this summer, reflecting on the loss of his friends.

He was sitting at a cafe called Respublika, one of Dmytro’s projects that he had long been planning to open. Dmytro died before he had the chance, but friends and family opened the cafe this spring.

There is much more at the link!

Avdiivka:

https://twitter.com/ChristopherJM/status/1718916199218663863

https://twitter.com/DefenceU/status/1718981830622216243

https://twitter.com/bayraktar_1love/status/1719007067665481899

https://twitter.com/bayraktar_1love/status/1719006047929544826

https://twitter.com/wartranslated/status/1718911222026846649

Russian “reporter” Filatov, who is present in the Avdiivka frontline, explains what went wrong: newly arrived reserves were meant to demine paths for vehicle columns, then to be followed by other forces, including the 114th Brigade. The goal was to overwhelm Ukrainian positions and artillery.

However, for unclear reasons, it was the 114th that went first and ended up under extreme Ukrainian shelling, causing major losses. The following columns faced the same fate as no demining took place.

Filatov complains also about disingenuous reports that were being sent to the higher-ups regarding Avdiivka.

https://t.me/FilatovCorr/2077

Here’s the screen grabs of Dmitri’s translation:

 

https://twitter.com/wartranslated/status/1719120355279659327

Here’s the screen grabs of Dmitri’s translations:

 

Bakhmut:

https://twitter.com/666_mancer/status/1719053146004103513

Bakhmut direction, everyday life #3ошбр #всу (full video https://t.me/ab3army/3298)

Russian occupied Crimea:

https://twitter.com/wartranslated/status/1718902201471348773

Russian sources report that a combined attack using 2 ATACMS missiles, 3 unmanned boats, and, presumably, Storm Shadow missiles, was launched against Crimea last night.

This would be the first use of ATACMS against Crimea.

Ukrainian official source this morning reported about 17 Russian casualties in Cape Tarnakhut, alongside 5 “vehicles”. It is said that the Russian air defence regiment was attacked. The unmanned boats were noticed in Sebastopol (Rybar). The Storm Shadow claim also comes from Rybar. Ukrainian channels have not publicly said which weapon type they used.

Additionally, the Ukrainian “South” operational command says that Russians are actively developing a military hub in Crimea where they will keep resources at a decent level of readiness.

https://t.me/astrapress/41363
https://t.me/rybar/53748
https://ukrinform.ua/rubric-crimea/3780221-u-krimu-trivae-sezon-bavovni-rosiani-namagautsa-pererozpodilati-sili-ok-pivden.html

https://twitter.com/Tendar/status/1718934046909034672

Multiple pro-Russian sources say that the Russian bases near Olenivka at the Cape Tarnakhut have been struck by two ATACMS and potentially Storm Shadows / SCALP-EG. In addition, they claim that three USVs were involved in an attack at Sevastopol.

The Ukrainian Army hasn’t commented on that, yet.

This would mark the first usage of ATACMS in Russian-occupied Crimea, further complicating Russia’s already strained logistical issues and even diminish Crimea as a staging ground for Russian attacks in all of Ukraine.

#Ukraine #Crimea #Olenivka

https://twitter.com/Tendar/status/1718891511171994109

At 03:00 am this morning local time, a Russian air defense regiment at Olenivka, Russian-occupied Crimea, has been hit. The source says that 17 Russian soldiers were wounded and 5 vehicles damaged.

The casualties are probably higher.

Source: https://t.me/astrapress/41363

#Ukraine #Crimea #Olenivka

 

https://twitter.com/bayraktar_1love/status/1718944050152157249

https://twitter.com/Tendar/status/1718942256785195467

Krynky, Kherson Oblast:

https://twitter.com/Tendar/status/1718685910634463694

There is enough evidence that Ukrainian forces successfully crossed the Dnipro river at multiple points. Among them is the settlement of Krynky.

This is in line with claims from Russian sources as well as the fact that the Russian commander of this sector, Colonel General Makarevich, has been removed from command, as mentioned in my previous post.

Source of video: @NOELreports

#Kherson #Ukraine

https://twitter.com/Tendar/status/1718776514408230993

Other parts of Kherson Oblast:

https://twitter.com/Tendar/status/1718777406138237406

Russian occupied Volnovakha, Donetsk Oblast:

https://twitter.com/Tendar/status/1718904137155309918

Russian soldiers murdered an Ukrainian family of four, including 5 more relatives in Russian-occupied Volnovakha.

It happened during the a birthday celebration. During the party, the Russian “soldiers” appeared, demanding from them to surrender their house. The father refused and for that they were all murdered. The murderers are Kadyrovkis from Chechnya.

The pictures of the massacred family are circulating in social media. I won’t share them. Instead, I will share pictures of the families in good times, before Russia came and murdered them. Their names were: Andrei Kapkanets, his wife Natalia and their children Nikita (4 years) and Nastya (9 years).

#Ukraine #Volnovakha

I’ve seen the pictures of the family circulating on social media. Trust me that you don’t want to see them, which is why I’m not posting those posts, even though they’re from legit sources I regularly reference.

That’s enough for tonight.

Your daily Patron!

There is a new slideshow at Patron’s official TikTok. Those don’t embed here, so click through if you want to see it.

Here’s some Patron adjacent material from the State Border Service of Ukraine via the Ukrainian Ministry of Defense:

https://twitter.com/DefenceU/status/1719056824794534288

Open thread!

War for Ukraine Day 614: Three Young Men from LvivPost + Comments (43)

Monday Evening Open Thread: We All Need Some Prime Snark, Sometimes…

by Anne Laurie|  October 30, 20236:07 pm| 138 Comments

This post is in: C.R.E.A.M., Excellent Links, Something Good Open Thread

One of the problems of putting in leadership some chucklegantry who has seldom left Bumblefuck County in the state of Oh Brother Where Art Thou https://t.co/AjOybYaN6x

— Dana Houle (@DanaHoule) October 30, 2023

Chucklegantry is a new one for me, but I think I can work it into my vocabulary.

And a Halloween culinary experiment (trigger warning)…

show full post on front page

Here is my review of the Taiwan Pizza Hut Halloween pizza:

Honestly, pretty tasty! All the components on their own are good (the chicken feet are de-boned – I know you all were curious) but it certainly is more than the sum of its parts! Spicy, chewy, and cheesy! Very fun! https://t.co/1yM039zX6Y pic.twitter.com/JDqBtslBqN

— Lev Nachman (@lnachman32) October 25, 2023

(Well, it’s Pizza Hut. Points for local content?)

Monday Evening Open Thread: We All Need Some Prime Snark, Sometimes…Post + Comments (138)

Enjoyable Reading (Open Thread)

by WaterGirl|  October 30, 20233:07 pm| 123 Comments

This post is in: Open Threads, Politics, Trump Indictments

DC Indictment News

Who would have thought, even just a few years ago, that I would find any legal documents interesting reading?  I guess that was back in the olden days when most of us had no idea what a MINUTE order was.

This is the Jan 6 case in DC with Judge Chutkan that is set to start in March.

QUICK CHEAT SHEET

Classified docs case
The Jack Smith case with Judge Loose Cannon in FL, with all the delays.

Jan 6 case
The Jack Smith case with Judge Chutkan in DC set to start in March, with a partial gag order.

Civil case in NY (please take all his properties!)
The Tish James case with Judge Engoron in NY, going on now, also with a partial gag order and the assistant that Trump hates.

Fake Electors RICO case
The Fani Willis case with Judge McAfee in GA, with 4 people taking plea deals so far, and 15 more defendants to come.

Late additions suggested by Fake Irishman:

Fraud case in NY (criminal)
Alvin Bragg in NY fraud case, the original criminal case, he basically gave Jack Smith his spot on the calendar.

E. Jean Carroll civil case
One of the defamation cases.  Not clear on the details.

🧚‍♀️

The court entered a temporary administrative stay of its Order while the parties briefed the Motion, see October 20, 2023 Minute Order, but will now DENY Defendant’s Motion and lift the stay.

Four factors guide the decision whether to stay an order pending appeal:

  1. whether the stay applicant has made a strong showing that he is likely to succeed on the merits;
  2. whether the applicant will be irreparably injured absent a stay;
  3. whether issuance of the stay will substantially injure the other parties interested in the proceeding; and
  4. where the public interest lies.

In this non-lawyer’s opinion, Judge Chutkan destroyed Trump’s motion on all 4 counts.

Favorite phrases from the document:

Mr. Trump, you and your attorneys are full of shit.

Defendant has not made a strong showing that he is likely to succeed on the merits.

Contrary to Defendant’s argument, the right to a fair trial is not his alone, but belongs also to the government and the public

Defendant’s other claims also disregard the record.

Again, the record flatly contradicts that claim.

Defendant’s final claim is that the Order is unconstitutionally vague for various reasons, none of which withstand scrutiny.

For these reasons, Defendant’s Motion to Stay, ECF No. 110, is hereby DENIED, and the administrative stay imposed by the court’s October 20, 2023 Minute Order is hereby LIFTED.

PDF of Judge Chutkan’s ruling to Deny Defendant’s Motion and LIFT the administrative stay.

I am so grateful that Judge Chutkan was assigned to the DC case.  If we had another Loose Cannon, I might be rocking in a corner.

Talk about current events, or anything else.

TOTALLY OPEN THREAD.

Enjoyable Reading (Open Thread)Post + Comments (123)

Open Thread – Questions for the BJ Pedants!

by WaterGirl|  October 30, 202312:57 pm| 235 Comments

This post is in: Open Threads

Okay, it’s a slow day, and there’s nothing going on in the back room.  So I have questions for the BJ pedants:

HOORAY

How you you spell the shortened version of “hooray!”  As in hip, hip, hooray!

I spell it “yay”, often with an exclamation point.

I have seen “yeah”, which I think is a synonym for “yes” or “yep”.

I have a friend who spells it “yaaa!”.

I have also seen “yah”, which I don’t understand.

How do you spell this word?

Is there a  correct spelling of this word?

FUCKING PUNCTUATION AT THE END OF A SENTENCE WITH QUOTATION MARKS

Example 1:

How do you spell the word “honey”?

To me, that’s the only way that makes sense, but I don’t know how to reconcile that with the new “punctuation goes inside the quotation” thing which is TOTALLY OPPOSITE of what the nuns taught me in grade school.

Example 2:

At feeding time, I always ask the kitties “Who’s hungry?”

That’s a question within a statement.   Should there be a period at the end of the sentence?

⭐️

Totally open thread.

Open Thread – Questions for the BJ Pedants!Post + Comments (235)

Monday Open Thread

by WaterGirl|  October 30, 202310:21 am| 150 Comments

This post is in: Open Threads

Looks like we could use an open thread!

This is from a month ago, but it’s too funny not to share.

beep boop https://t.co/swEcefIt6A

— Ben Collins (@oneunderscore__) September 24, 2023

What other funny or mocking takes have you seen related to the ridiculous poll results – hell, let’s widen that from just polls to ridiculous Republicans – that are being pimped everywhere in the mainstream media?

Sometimes I think that mockery of Republicans is the only thing that gets through.

Post your links in the comments, and I’ll add the best ones to the thread.

Monday Open ThreadPost + Comments (150)

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