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Balloon Juice

Come for the politics, stay for the snark.

Let’s bury these fuckers at the polls 2 years from now.

The world has changed, and neither one recognizes it.

Trump’s cabinet: like a magic 8 ball that only gives wrong answers.

Nancy smash is sick of your bullshit.

They want us to be overwhelmed and exhausted. Focus. Resist. Oppose.

Since when do we limit our critiques to things we could do better ourselves?

Republicans seem to think life begins at the candlelight dinner the night before.

Our messy unity will be our strength.

Let me eat cake. The rest of you could stand to lose some weight, frankly.

Let there be snark.

They fucked up the fucking up of the fuckup!

There are consequences to being an arrogant, sullen prick.

“But what about the lurkers?”

“In this country American means white. everybody else has to hyphenate.”

Too often we confuse noise with substance. too often we confuse setbacks with defeat.

Not so fun when the rabbit gets the gun, is it?

When I was faster i was always behind.

Jack be nimble, jack be quick, hurry up and indict this prick.

It’s all just conspiracy shit beamed down from the mothership.

Make the republican party small enough to drown in a bathtub.

When we show up, we win.

American history and black history cannot be separated.

I see no possible difficulties whatsoever with this fool-proof plan.

He really is that stupid.

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Open Thread:  Hey Lurkers!  (Holiday Post)

Open Threads

You are here: Home / Archives for Open Threads

Dank Grey Dawn Open Thread: Dean Phillips Not Winning Over Democratic Hearts

by Anne Laurie|  October 30, 20233:00 am| 48 Comments

This post is in: 2024 Primaries, Excellent Links, Grifters Gonna Grift, Proud to Be A Democrat, Show Us on the Doll Where the Invisible Hand Touched You

… For some reason:

Having worked for a lot of small businesses, this doesn’t surprise me. There isn’t a lot of room in the Democratic party for people whose primary issues are labor exploitation and tax avoidance.

— William Melvin (@willmelvin) October 29, 2023

Bored reporters & broke consultants. https://t.co/LSWt0cLhXH

— Dana Houle (@DanaHoule) October 29, 2023

Mr. Charles P. Pierce asks “Do You Want a Gelato Tycoon for President?”:

… If there ever was a time in our history in which our politics is ill-suited to the vague and quixotic, it is this one. The threat to democracy remains very real. One of our two major political parties is being led by a deteriorating maniac who is still conducting a bedlam’s chorus throughout our political institutions. He has real power and no real challengers. Yet the incumbent president does have challengers — Robert F. Kennedy, Jr., running on the Free The Viruses ticket, Cornel West, running on the God Knows Why line on the ballot, and now, Rep. Dean Phillips, running as a Democrat because he is convinced that his party can do better than the current president, and that he is the better that his party can do. Politico fills in the details.

A multi-millionaire gelato tycoon, the heir to one of America’s largest liquor dynasties and the first Democrat to represent Minnesota’s 3rd Congressional District in nearly 60 years, Phillips is expected to make his long-rumored presidential campaign official in New Hampshire on Friday, ending months of speculation over his plans for 2024.

I was saying just the other day that what American politics needs is more gelato tycoons because I think we all have been missing an important voice from an influential constituency…

He also pitched his business acumen as a major selling point for voters: “I’d like to bring some of the business principles, the fiscal responsibility that I appreciate in the Republican Party, to Democrats,” he said.

He has only one real issue — the current president’s age. He apparently believes that makes him less menacing than Kennedy or West. This is a miscalculation of whopping proportions. By his very act of running, Phillips is reinforcing a critical Republican talking-point and one of the key factors behind the puzzling gap between the president’s performance in office and his approval ratings.

The bus’ bumper teased Phillips’ new campaign slogan: “Make America Affordable Again.”

Lincolnesque, no?…

show full post on front page

He started out claiming he was trying to get another candidate into the race because Biden was too old. Now he's just trying to tear Biden down even though it's clear no real candidate is getting in. I guarantee you this is being run by GOP money men.

— Josh Marshall (@joshtpm) October 28, 2023

I think he's more of a useful, and very rich, idiot, than an agent of the GOP – but the impact is the same. https://t.co/siPjQpVuG6

— davidrlurie (@davidrlurie) October 28, 2023

$teve $chmidt ?????????? https://t.co/S8dyeNIaUY

— Colin Seeberger (@CMSeeberger) October 26, 2023

It’s because of his commitment to Washington, Lincoln, Jackson, Hamilton, Grant, & Franklin.

Especially Franklin. Lots & lots & lots of Franklins. https://t.co/zoOt5D3UrY

— Dana Houle (@DanaHoule) October 27, 2023

Democratic primary professionals, outside lily-white New Hampshire, not exactly impressed:

The path to the White House runs through Nevada — a strong, diverse, pro-union state. You shouldn’t run for President if you’re not going to compete for Nevada voters, @deanbphillips. https://t.co/9IbZMerRQE

— Catherine Cortez Masto (@CortezMasto) October 27, 2023

South Carolinians have demonstrated for decades that we are good predictors of great presidential candidates. Apparently, Dean Phillips disagrees.

He's not respecting the wishes of the titular head of our Party and the loyalties of some of our Party's most reliable constituents. https://t.co/uS1V6MSPQ5

— Jim Clyburn (@ClyburnSC06) October 27, 2023

Atlanta Mayor Andre Dickens on Minnesota Rep. Dean Phillips long-shot Democratic challenge to President Biden: “The stakes are too high – especially for Black voters – to be focused on a side-show vanity project …” #gapol pic.twitter.com/jSb3YbZsXo

— Greg Bluestein (@bluestein) October 27, 2023

But grift respect grift:

I’ve spent time with Dean Phillips and he would make a great President. He has exceptional values and character as well as courage and conviction. He’s a sane, moral 54-year old which is what most Americans want. He’s going to surprise a lot of people. @deanbphillips

— Andrew Yang???????? (@AndrewYang) October 27, 2023

In 2020 Joe Biden won Minnesota’s 3rd Congressional district by 20 points.

In 2020 Dean Phillips won Minnesota’s 3rd Congressional district by 12 points. https://t.co/WT0KDeCfqW

— Dana Houle (@DanaHoule) October 27, 2023

His whole campaign is rich guy panic and Republican talking points. https://t.co/x6naBKtvJn

— Clean Observer (@Hammbear2024) October 28, 2023

TFW that wave year tide washes you high up on the beach among the driftwood, but you think you walked on water to get there

— Casey O'Shea (@coshea2) October 28, 2023

Dank Grey Dawn Open Thread: Dean Phillips Not Winning Over Democratic HeartsPost + Comments (48)

Late Night Open Thread

by John Cole|  October 29, 202311:26 pm| 72 Comments

This post is in: Open Threads

This was pretty damned genius:

Got a couple hearty laughs out of it.

Late Night Open ThreadPost + Comments (72)

Sunday Night Open Thread

by WaterGirl|  October 29, 20239:30 pm| 78 Comments

This post is in: Open Threads

Looks like we could use an open thread!

I’ve got noting, except a photo of the last of my flowers that I brought in because we are getting a hard freeze tonight.

Sunday Night Open Thread

Totally open thread.

Sunday Night Open ThreadPost + Comments (78)

War for Ukraine Day 613: Russia Secures a Russian Airfield in Dagestan

by Adam L Silverman|  October 29, 20237:25 pm| 35 Comments

This post is in: Foreign Affairs, Foreign Policy, Military, Open Threads, Russia, Silverman on Security, War, War in Ukraine

Here is President Zelenskyy’s address from earlier today. Video below, English transcript after the jump.

show full post on front page

It’s important never to forget how many people make efforts to protect our country and Ukrainians – address by President Volodymyr Zelenskyy

29 October 2023 – 20:27

I wish you good health, dear Ukrainians!

First, there is good news from the meeting in Malta – the meeting of advisors on the Peace Formula. A joint statement of the co-chairs of the summit, both basic and unifying, has been agreed upon. This is the right signal. No matter what is happening in the world, the most important thing is unity for the sake of the real power of international law, as this is unity for the sake of justice for Ukraine and all countries and nations that may face aggression.

Second, we are already preparing for important steps planned for the first weeks of November. In general, this November and December are set to be significant for Ukraine. This includes new defense packages and the development of our relations with the European Union, by the way. We are also preparing for international events planned in Ukraine. Our work with partners will remain active.

And third, this is our gratitude. It’s important never to forget how many people – different people – put in their efforts to protect our country and Ukrainians, to preserve Ukraine, the resilience of our state, our society, and each and every one of us. Only on this day did Russian occupiers launch brutal attacks on our Donetsk, Kherson, Kharkiv, and Zaporizhzhia regions. There were missiles and drones too. I thank all our air defense warriors! I thank everyone in the security and defense forces of Ukraine! And today, I want to specifically highlight those people in different regions of Ukraine who, despite all the difficulties, arrive at the scene of shelling at any time of the day, eliminate the consequences of the strikes, clear debris, demine the territory, extinguish fires, save people, and document evidence of Russian terrorism. These are all our employees of the State Emergency Service, all our doctors, emergency response workers, utility workers, our volunteers, our police, investigators, and forensic experts, prosecutors, our sappers, and pyrotechnicians. Everyone who helps. I thank you!

I want to express my gratitude separately to the entire staff of the State Emergency Service of Ukraine in Kherson region, especially those who work in the city of Beryslav and other towns and villages that are constantly under attack by occupiers. Bombs, artillery… But our people there are never left without help. Captain Mykola Ilchyshyn, the head of the 6th State Fire and Rescue Unit of the State Emergency Service of Ukraine in Kherson region. Oleksandr Chaika, the chief master officer and commander of the detachment of this 6th fire and rescue unit. Yevhen Shatailo, the driver and civil defense service sergeant. Thank you for your bravery, for your dedication to Ukraine!

Zaporizhzhia region. The State Emergency Service of the region – thank you all, everyone who works for the people! I particularly want to mention Sergeant Andriy Nikolaenko, Master Sergeant Oleksiy Svertnev, Major Vitaliy Sheremet, and Lieutenant Colonel Nazar Kutovy. Our firefighters. Thank you, guys, and all your colleagues!

Khmelnytsky region, which Russian troops target with missiles and Shahed drones… I want to acknowledge the work of the 18th and 21st State Fire and Rescue Units of the State Emergency Service of Ukraine in Khmelnytsky region. In particular – Serhiy Lykholat, a firefighter and rescue worker, a sergeant. Also, Oleh Mykhailiuk, a master sergeant, also a firefighter and rescue worker. Vitaliy Zakharchuk, a captain and head of the unit. Serhiy Bondaruk, chief master sergeant and commander of the unit. Thank you!

Rescuers who work in Kharkiv region. In particular, the 44th and 54th State Fire and Rescue Units, whose employees were among the first to arrive in the village of Hroza after the terrible attack by Russian occupiers on October 5. During the rescue operation, Sergeant Serhiy Horbenko, Master Sergeants Oleksiy Kuzub and Dmytro Lahutin, and Sergeant Oleksandr Sinchenko helped a lot. Thank you, guys, for your dedication to work!

Thank you to all our people, everyone who remembers that the most important thing is to take care of Ukraine, of Ukrainians, and of each other. To find your place in the national resistance against Russian aggression. To fight for Ukraine. To work for Ukraine. To contribute something of your own to the collective effort of Ukrainians.

Glory to all who are not indifferent! This is so important!

Glory to our warriors!

Glory to Ukraine!

Together with Lieutenant-General Serhii Naiev, Commander of the Joint Forces of the #UAArmy and the commander of the OG, Major General Dmytro Krasilnikov, arrived at one of the positions near the border.

Awarded our soldiers and thanked them for their service. Slava Ukraini. pic.twitter.com/cLxWEPDmR7

— Rustem Umerov (@rustem_umerov) October 29, 2023

Last night YY_Sima Qian asked:

Michael Clarke mentioned that Russia is now dipping into a reserve of missiles to strike at Ukraine’s civilian infrastructure ahead of winter again. I haven’t seen you post Ukrainian MOD’s daily AD tallies against Russian ballistic/cruise missiles & drones. Has the Ukrainian MOD stopped such tweets? Is Ukraine running out of interceptors? Or is Ukrainian AD becoming less effective in intercepting these missiles & drones (which seems hard to believe)?

I haven’t posted them because the Air Force of Ukraine primarily posts this information on its Facebook page. I don’t have a Facebook account and, as a result, it is a pain in the ass to access it. They also post it on their Telegram channel, which I can access, so here’s the latest:

This is machine translated from Ukrainian. On the Air Force of Ukraine’s Telegram channel you will also be able to see the most up to date air raid warnings and alerts.

To answer YY_Sima Qian’s substantive question, my understanding from the reporting is that Russia is basically treading water on its munitions. As in it can produce just about enough replacements for what it is using each month. What stockpiles exist are the older stuff. As for Ukraine, I’ve not seen any reporting indicating that they are running out of interceptors, nor that their air defense is less effective. What I have seen reporting on is the concern that should Russia escalate its bombardment, Ukraine would both need more western supplied air defense systems and the US and its allies would struggle to meet the demand for the systems themselves and the ordnance for them. As I’ve written repeatedly, it would be good if the US’s defense industrial base, as well as those of of our NATO, EU, non-NATO, and non-EU allies supporting Ukraine were actually put on a war footing.

The Black Sea corridor:

Станом на сьогодні через Чорноморський гуманітарний коридор пройшло 53 судна, які доставили у світ понад 2 мільйони тонн 🇺🇦 сільськогосподарської продукції та інших вантажів. pic.twitter.com/rnDFDBtaDx

— U.S. Ambassador to Ukraine (@USAmbKyiv) October 29, 2023

Makhachkala, Republic of Dagestan, Russia:

As I wrote about in an update earlier in the week, Russian-Israeli dual nationals have been fleeing Israel back to Russia. One of the most recent flights received a very warm reception when it landed in Dagestan.

Day 613 of my 3 day war. Russian forces have liberated a Russian airfield in Russia from Russians.

I remain a master strategist. pic.twitter.com/G1Pdo08V3h

— Darth Putin (@DarthPutinKGB) October 29, 2023

Don’t get the idea this pogrom means that Russians can indeed organise into large groups to attack government owned facilities. pic.twitter.com/itTzSCHFni

— Darth Putin (@DarthPutinKGB) October 29, 2023

Appalling videos from Makhachkala, Russia, where an angry mob broke into the airport searching for Israeli citizens on the flight from Tel-Aviv.

This is not an isolated incident in Makhachkala, but rather part of Russia’s widespread culture of hatred toward other nations, which…

— Volodymyr Zelenskyy / Володимир Зеленський (@ZelenskyyUa) October 29, 2023

Appalling videos from Makhachkala, Russia, where an angry mob broke into the airport searching for Israeli citizens on the flight from Tel-Aviv.

This is not an isolated incident in Makhachkala, but rather part of Russia’s widespread culture of hatred toward other nations, which is propagated by state television, pundits, and authorities.

The Russian foreign minister has made a series of antisemitic remarks in the last year. The Russian President also used antisemitic slurs. For Russian propaganda talking heads on official television, hate rhetoric is routine. Even the most recent Middle East escalation prompted antisemitic statements from Russian ideologists.

Russian antisemitism and hatred toward other nations are systemic and deeply rooted. Hatred is what drives aggression and terror. We must all work together to oppose hatred.

 

In 🇷🇺 Makhachkala, locals storm the airport after a plane from Tel-Aviv arrives. They check passports, looking for Israelis. The police don’t interfere. #Israel #IsraelPalestine pic.twitter.com/2mnTBiq1kK

— olexander scherba🇺🇦 (@olex_scherba) October 29, 2023

Here’s the thread with the details (machine translated from the Hebrew):

זהו, ההמונים בדגסטאן (חלק מפדרציה רוסית) השתלטו על שדה התעופה ועתה הם מחפשים שם יהודים. כנראה שיש ציפיה שהם יהיו עם קרניים וזנב.
זה מה שחוללו סרטוני השחיטה של מחבלי החמאס בדרום, וגם ההסתה האנטי-ישראלית בתקשורת הרוסית.
רוסיה הופכת למסוכנת ליהודים ולישראלים. pic.twitter.com/tV12Qc9CuX

— Ksenia Svetlova كسنيا سفطلوفا (@KseniaSvetlova) October 29, 2023

That’s it, the mobs in Dagestan (part of the Russian Federation) have taken over the airport and now they are looking for Jews there. Apparently there is an expectation that they will have horns and a tail.
This is what the videos of the slaughter of the Hamas terrorists in the south caused, and also the anti-Israeli incitement in the Russian media.

Russia is becoming dangerous for Jews and Israelis.s I updated before, the Red Wings plane landed at another airport near the city, so the rioters did not find what they wanted. But there is no doubt that if a Jew or Israeli had been found, it would have ended in murder.
Dagestan is not the Muslim republic in Russia. It’s worth raising the risk level and posting a warning to those who travel there (yet).

*Is not the only Muslim republic

https://twitter.com/Yair_Rosenberg/status/1718728630057001087

Nope, doesn’t ring a bell.

Notably, Dagestan is among Russian regions having a disproportionately heavy death toll from the war in Ukraine.
And the airport's antisemitic mob's most hated enemy is not the Kremlin that sends the people of Dagestan to bloodbath — its Ukrainians and now also Jews.

— Illia Ponomarenko 🇺🇦 (@IAPonomarenko) October 29, 2023

The ongoing anti-Jewish pogrom in Russia is, of course, no fluke.

It's the result of literally more than a decade of hateful state-run propaganda that most of the world preferred not to see for years.

It's what happens when a dictatorial regime places a bet and allocates…

— Illia Ponomarenko 🇺🇦 (@IAPonomarenko) October 29, 2023

The ongoing anti-Jewish pogrom in Russia is, of course, no fluke.

It’s the result of literally more than a decade of hateful state-run propaganda that most of the world preferred not to see for years.

It’s what happens when a dictatorial regime places a bet and allocates gargantuan funds on the nurturing of xenophobia, the constant search for antagonism and enemies without and within — you know, the ones who are to blame for everything.

It’s about all those insane clips from Russian political TV shows that feel like a madhouse going bonkers.

Hatred and tribalism have become an integral part of Vladimir Putin’s Russia. Dirty khokhol swines, degenerate Westerners, dumb Yankees, slow Estonians, fascist Germans, NATO, gays, English island rats, and now also Zionists – they are all enemies, and they owe us, and we’re going to take what’s ours, and the sacred war is the answer.

Nationalistic pro-war Z-channels on Telegram literally drown in slurs toward northern and southern Caucasians, Asians, Ukrainians, etc etc etc.

The hatred of everyone against everyone is the regime’s very foundation. The Kremlin has been playing with fire and using this instrument for way too long and too much.

The bar is being lowered with every step. Down to declaring an entire 40-million European nation “Nazi” and unleashing the worst European bloodbath since WWII.

And now all the hatred and resentment are manifesting themselves a bit out of hand.

How are things with Ramzan Kadyrov and his private army’s increasingly offensive conduct toward Russia’s white Z-patriots?

What I see now tells me the domestic situation in Russia may be much more fragile than we think.

Avdiivka:

AVDIIVKA AXIS /1340 UTC 29 OCT/ Despite heavy and increasing losses, RU renewed 15 unsuccessful attacks. UKR broke up RU offensives in the vicinities of Keramik, Novokalynove, Stepove, Avdiivka, and Tonenke. UKR reports downing a Russian Su-25 strike aircraft. pic.twitter.com/A2SnEB5DPH

— Chuck Pfarrer | Indications & Warnings | (@ChuckPfarrer) October 29, 2023

Found here https://t.co/KNOUQlGLd1

If you know who that is, please let me know.

— WarTranslated (@wartranslated) October 29, 2023

Russian observers discussing Avdiivka. Perspectives are hazy, and bloody (for them).https://t.co/qC9fq9CfqQ pic.twitter.com/Pz2XkS0joV

— WarTranslated (@wartranslated) October 29, 2023

Here’s the screen grabs of Dmitri’s translations:

 

I ♥️ Avdiivka

Before and after Russia decided to "liberate" it. pic.twitter.com/sjd3H27nuS

— UNITED24 Media (@United24media) October 29, 2023

Krynky, Kherson Oblast:

Three Russian BTR-82A. Near Krynky, Kherson region. By the Birds of Magyar unithttps://t.co/41KZPEYQiKhttps://t.co/M5irTRTPyA pic.twitter.com/C71wdm9i2J

— Special Kherson Cat 🐈🇺🇦 (@bayraktar_1love) October 29, 2023

#NewsMap
The Ukrainian army liberated parts of #Krynky on the left bank of the Konka in #Kherson oblast.
I geolocated the footage, but won't point to the right buildings for security reasons.
Russian exchanged their commander for the region and vow to regain the village. pic.twitter.com/3bMsVFcqGr

— Julian Röpcke🇺🇦 (@JulianRoepcke) October 29, 2023

https://twitter.com/JulianRoepcke/status/1718676805911998659

Between Poima and Radensk, Kherson Oblast:

Proofs for @GeoConfirmed and @UAControlMap:
Tank drives around 46.614098,32.872451 and gets hit.
Tank stops and receives an additional hit at 46.6200963, 32.8902122.
Both locations on the T2206 between Poima and Radensk, Kherson Oblast. pic.twitter.com/VOCD4nCXy1

— Arvelleg (@Arvelleg1) October 29, 2023

Soledar:

Source: https://t.co/BoiURRQtVj

— WarTranslated (@wartranslated) October 29, 2023

And here’s the full video from Bohdan Khmelnytsky Presidential Brigade

‘s YouTube page:

From the description below the video:

Experienced soldiers know that positional warfare is primarily about digging and observation. We are going to the observation post of the 4th Mechanized Battalion, where anti-tankers are watching for enemy vehicles.

The Separate Presidential Brigade named after Hetman Bohdan Khmelnytsky (OPBr, military unit A0222) is a military unit of the Land Forces of the Armed Forces of Ukraine and is actively involved in the Russian-Ukrainian war.

Simon Kupar, writing at The Financial Times, dives into western leaders’ failure to understand Putin, take what he was saying and doing seriously, and, as a result, unintentionally appeasing him.

Emmanuel Macron spent years talking to Vladimir Putin about partnerships. In summer 2019, he even invited Putin to the Côte d’Azur to discuss building “a new architecture of security and confidence between Russia and the EU”. Putin was bewildered, given that Macron hadn’t bothered checking beforehand with the other Europeans. “Do you think you’ll manage to convince them?” he asked Macron.

After Russia invaded Ukraine last year, the documentary-maker Guy Lagache asked Macron: “You thought reasoning with Putin would lead to something else?”

“Yes.”

“It didn’t.”

“No,” Macron conceded. In the film, he gazes into the distance, drinks water, then briefly falls silent. “For a moment,” French journalist Sylvie Kauffmann writes of the scene in her newly published history Les aveuglés (“The Blinded Ones”), “Emmanuel Macron gives the impression of finally having understood who Vladimir Putin was.”

Les aveuglés anatomises why the west misread Putin. Kauffmann traversed Europe, interrogating ex-leaders and diplomats, excavating long-buried shouting matches at international summits. I finished her book feeling that, yes, western leaders were often blind to Putin. And like him, they treated eastern Europeans as second-tier nations that needn’t be consulted. But in appeasing Russia from 2008 to 2022, westerners were also pursuing their interests. I suspect they’ll do it again.

Each western country had its own incentive to misread Putin. The French retained a fantasy they were a superpower, dealing head to head with their peers, not just following the US. Germany’s psychologically damaged embrace of Russia was made up of guilt, greed and fear. The Germans, Kauffmann recounts, felt they owed Russia (though not Ukraine, Belarus, etc) for every Soviet killed in the second world war. And German industry craved cheap Russian energy. Economic interdependence brought friendship with France; surely it would work with Russia, too? German leaders imagined that Putin pursued economic rationality, just like they did.

The US simply didn’t care much. Sure, it was affronted by Putin’s invasion of Georgia in 2008. During a panel debate earlier this year, Condoleezza Rice, then-secretary of state, recalled a White House discussion with “the testosterone flying on the table”. But, she said, “We were not going to use American military forces against the Russians.” That always remained true. Little Georgia lacked military force. So did Ukraine in 2014. When Russia invaded Crimea, Kauffmann reveals, the Obama administration instructed Ukraine not to resist. Much of Ukraine’s army in Crimea defected to Russia. Its own defence minister fled to Crimea and took Russian citizenship. His successor told Ukraine’s president: “We don’t have an army.”

What changed between 2014 and 2022 wasn’t Putin or the west, but Ukraine. It built a serious army. Only after it resisted Putin did surprised western countries finally do likewise. Now the battle is for the lands between the two worlds. Ukraine, Georgia and Moldova will either join the west or be recolonised.

But however this plays out, western armies won’t defeat Russia. The country has one military advantage over the west and possibly even over China: it treats its citizens as cannon fodder. The US lost about 7,000 soldiers in two decades in Iraq and Afghanistan and gave up fighting wars. The Russian army lost perhaps 120,000 in the war’s first 18 months and didn’t bother burying many of them.

Young Germans, Americans, Britons and French people aren’t going to die in freezing trenches to save eastern Europe. Angela Merkel, the chancellor who presided over Germany’s addiction to Russian gas, worked from that premise. Even her eastern European critics admit she actually understood Putin. In a wonderful exchange in Kauffmann’s book, he says to Merkel, “Listen, I’ll tell you the truth,” and she replies, disingenuously: “But Vladimir, I hope you always tell the truth.” “Everyone lies,” he retorts. “I lie, you lie, Emmanuel lies, even Mr Zelenskyy will lie, it’s normal.” All western leaders now know Putin lies. Yet, when the time comes, they will try to bully Zelenskyy into laying down arms — let’s not even call it peace — just as then-French president Nicolas Sarkozy bullied Georgia’s leader Mikheil Saakashvili in 2008.

Since the west won’t bring down Putin, it will have to live with an imperialist Russia. It learnt from 1945 to 1990 that it can, even as it knows that eastern Europe cannot. When British soldier Fitzroy Maclean was fretting in 1942 about postwar Yugoslavia going communist, Winston Churchill asked him, “Do you intend to make your home in Yugoslavia after the war?” No, Maclean responded. “Neither do I,” said Churchill. Substitute Ukraine for Yugoslavia, and traces of that western attitude linger: no longer blind, just selfish.

That’s enough for tonight.

Your daily Patron!

There are no new Patron tweets or videos tonight, so here’s some adjacent material from the 126th Odesa Brigade of Ukraine’s Territorial Defense Forces.

The 126th Odesa @TDF_UA Brigade has revealed its secret weapon: the Ginger Heart-Melter. pic.twitter.com/IERimf7O2Y

— Defense of Ukraine (@DefenceU) October 29, 2023

Open thread!

War for Ukraine Day 613: Russia Secures a Russian Airfield in DagestanPost + Comments (35)

Interesting Read: Dave Roth on ‘Twilight of the Heroes of Capitalism’

by Anne Laurie|  October 29, 20236:02 pm| 50 Comments

This post is in: Books, C.R.E.A.M., Excellent Links, Grifters Gonna Grift

I wrote about a lousy literary genre rocketing into its self-satire phase, and my hope that Michael Lewis’s Sam Bankman-Fried book will someday be appreciated as a comic masterpiece. https://t.co/RCrQT582da

— David Roth (@david_j_roth) October 17, 2023

There’s been a lot of interesting stories about both SBF and Michael Lewis over the last couple of weeks, but there’s been so much other news that there hasn’t really been space or time to share them. A taste: The always interesting Dave Roth, at NYMag (not his usual site), on “… How Michael Lewis got duped by Sam Bankman-Fried”:

… Between Going Infinite and Walter Isaacson’s enormous biography of the increasingly daffy and grim Elon Musk, it has been a rough time for the Heroes of Capitalism genre. The future prospects for that type of book are certainly still bright; Americans aren’t going to stop revering rich people just because they are “awful” or “boring” any time soon. But the ways in which Going Infinite falls short suggests a problem that goes beyond a national shortage of sufficiently compelling or just acceptably non-sociopathic rich guys. The fact that Isaacson’s “The Genius Biographies” series has declined from Leonardo Da Vinci to Steve Jobs to Elon Musk suggests not only that the heroes are getting less heroic, but that these books’ usual signifier of genius — vast wealth — has completely decoupled from any personal merit.

Part of the fun of reading Lewis’s books — and they are fun; Going Infinite is the first Lewis book I’ve read that qualifies as anything like a tough sit — is watching him hit familiar storytelling marks. A Michael Lewis book will generally describe a stubborn, widely misunderstood problem — legacy inefficiencies in the stock market or the market for corner infielders; bubbles of systemic fraud that have been missed or willfully ignored — and then introduce characters, all of them rich-but-obscure real people, who see the solution to that problem earlier and more clearly than anyone else. Much of the satisfaction of these stories comes from how deftly Lewis explains those bigger issues and the artful, affectionate way that he colors in those characters. Lewis protagonists are not always admirable, and their motivations are not necessarily pure, but because they are correct and bold and often outside of an Establishment that is more smug or more self-interested or just slower than them, they tend to make for effective heroes.

Going Infinite fails to deliver on either half of that formula. It’s not clear in the book, as it has never really been clear anywhere else, what social or economic problem is being addressed by cryptocurrency. This is doubly true of the ad hoc lawlessness of FTX, which Bankman-Fried created primarily because he (correctly) identified the crypto market as inefficient and easily gamed. Lewis admits that cryptocurrency itself doesn’t much interest him, and he is wry in his assessment of how a concept that began as “both financial innovation and social protest” swiftly became a sprawling, speculative scamscape. For a book whose story is in large part about Bankman-Fried applying the flash-trading techniques he learned during a brief career on Wall Street to the lawless frontier of crypto trading, the acknowledgment that all of this is not just meaningless but valueless lets the air out of the story a bit…

Lewis will describe Bankman-Fried doing the things he does — which, for pretty much the entirety of the book, is whatever he wants, without any apparent care for the consequences those whims might visit on anyone or anything around him — and then offer some simultaneously overwrought and underbaked explanation or justification for those actions. “He didn’t mean to be rude,” Lewis writes early in the book. “He didn’t mean to create chaos in other people’s lives. He was just moving through the world in the only way he knew how. The cost this implied for others simply never entered his calculations. With him, it was never personal.”

All of which may be true, but it is also pretty much replacement-level asshole behavior…

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Bankman-Fried is a weird guy and does plenty of weird things, but he is also never quite as brilliant as this story or the usual Lewis template would require. He’s absolutely high-handed and cold and difficult to be around in the ways that geniuses are, but any sense of his genius seems to have been reverse-engineered from how unstintingly, exhaustingly reckless and unpleasant and uncaring he is. As with Musk, the fact that Bankman-Fried was a billionaire when Lewis started reporting the book seems to not just color but retroactively justify what a turd he otherwise is; why else would this distinguished author be writing a book about him?

The insistence that Bankman-Fried is just like this, and that his mistakes, whatever they might be, were just Sam being Sam, is not convincing in the book. It has not fared better at trial, where former coworkers have revealed that they knew their misuse of customer funds was risky and wrong, and did it not just at Bankman-Fried’s direction, but with his oversight. “He believed,” Bankman-Fried’s former business and romantic partner Caroline Ellison testified, “that the ways that people tried to justify rules like ‘don’t lie’ and ‘don’t steal’ within utilitarianism didn’t work.” Whatever else that also might be, this is a classic case of “a guy doing crimes,” the only real novelty being the increasingly strained justification that it was done to maximize the future benefit to humanity.

Which, again, is very funny, in a way that augurs weirdly well for Going Infinite’s future as a sort of satire of this whole genre — all the familiar Lewis beats, but none of the familiar foresight or competence from the protagonists, all amounting to a deliriously janky waste. This is the risk of trying to fit goons like Bankman-Fried into a storytelling framework that cuts them so much slack; it’s not just that it doesn’t work, but that the deference becomes part of the gag. Imagine reading a book about a basketball player exactly as competitive, driven, sadistic, and conflicted as Michael Jordan during which it gradually becomes clear that the basketball player cannot dribble with his left hand, and hates playing defense, and also frequently struggles to tie his shoes correctly…

Interesting Read: Dave Roth on ‘Twilight of the Heroes of Capitalism’Post + Comments (50)

Remembering Matthew Perry

by WaterGirl|  October 29, 20234:59 pm| 35 Comments

This post is in: Absent Friends, Open Threads

I can’t stop looking at photos of this beautiful man. I’m so,so sad that such a cruel,unyielding disease always tried to define him. It will never define him for me. His untouchable gift for comedy,his total honesty on & off screen & his beautiful,handsome face will . pic.twitter.com/7CBM5jugXJ

— Hannah Waddingham.💣 (@hanwaddingham) October 29, 2023

I want to leave Matthew Perry’s own words here as the way we remember him. There will never be another like him- he lit up so many hearts in so many ways. Godspeed to Paradise! pic.twitter.com/rUYSeD7tW0

— Mira Sorvino (@MiraSorvino) October 29, 2023

Full text: (click the image below to see the bigger, non-blurry version)

Remembering Matthew Perry

I read that he had “failed sobriety” something like 60 or 70 times.  But he never gave up on other people.

Open thread.

Remembering Matthew PerryPost + Comments (35)

Sunday Morning Open Thread: All Tricks, No Treats

by Anne Laurie|  October 29, 20238:43 am| 332 Comments

This post is in: GOP Death Cult, Open Threads, Proud to Be A Democrat

Sunday Morning Open Thread:  All Tricks, No Treats

(Jeff Danzinger via GoComics.com)

You will never find a more wretched hive of scum and villainy or a more rancorous cabal of irritable, bleached assholes. https://t.co/QFGFca0Yec

— Ragnarok Lobster (@eclecticbrotha) October 25, 2023

Current GOP move is to rush Johnson into the Speaker's office before anyone can listen to all the insane shit he's said over the years. https://t.co/RBNGVchtnC

— zeddy (@Zeddary) October 25, 2023

A risk to picking an outsider because you're too exhausted to keep fighting over normal candidates- you may elevate someone who hasn't been vetted the way those who rise in the ranks normally are. This is very bad and who knows what else is out there? Republicans certainly don't. https://t.co/kFDzqMApiM

— Aaron Fritschner (@Fritschner) October 25, 2023


 
Who knows what else is out there? Quite a lot, it turns out!
Sunday Morning Open Thread:  All Tricks, No Treats 1

(Clay Jones via GoComics.com)

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He’s going from low profile in a safe district to starting quarterback in the NFL. The election denial and the support for abortion bans will now be front and center and Rs should have to answer for them. https://t.co/rniCIBwuQ5

— Kate Bedingfield (@KBeds) October 25, 2023

During a House Judiciary Committee hearing, Rep. Mike Johnson attacks Roe v. Wade, insisting that if only women were compelled to bring more "able-bodied workers" into the world, Republicans wouldn’t need to slash Social Security and Medicare. pic.twitter.com/RGzg09TYEW

— House Judiciary Dems (@HouseJudiciary) October 25, 2023

This case of amnesia came moments after Johnson claimed Biden is in cognitive decline https://t.co/LC1uhmgOnS

— Aaron Rupar (@atrupar) October 27, 2023

One type of reporter is saying how folksy he is, and others finding the path of destruction he left on the world. https://t.co/jfx5H46LGm

— Sviatoslav Richter Scale (@ilpomodoro2) October 25, 2023

So, no more shellfish? https://t.co/JWbkOK6IQ3

— Ragnarok Lobster (@eclecticbrotha) October 27, 2023

Sunday Morning Open Thread:  All Tricks, No Treats 4

Well, you have to give Republicans credit.

I mean, it was damned hard finding someone worse than Kevin McCarthy, Jim Jordan, and Steve Scalise combined, but they did it.

— Stonekettle (@Stonekettle) October 25, 2023

Sunday Morning Open Thread:  All Tricks, No Treats 2

ON NEW HOUSE SPEAKER MAGA MIKE JOHNSON pic.twitter.com/sFgF5CPv5l

— Trae Crowder (@traecrowder) October 26, 2023

(N.B: Snark warning):
Sunday Morning Open Thread:  All Tricks, No Treats 3

Jordan didn’t have legislative accomplishments. But he built a bloc of steadfast support among House Repubs. He used committee hearings to boost his profile. He got on TV a lot. He got a high-profile committee chair. Last three years his leadership PAC raised $25m. /2

— Dana Houle (@DanaHoule) October 25, 2023

If he’s effective Johnson’s effect on the country could be catastrophic. But it’s at least as possible that he’s going to be in so far over his head that he’s gone in a month. And if he hangs on he’ll almost certainly cost the Repubs the House /4

— Dana Houle (@DanaHoule) October 26, 2023

Oh I agree Johnson may be an albatross for them in 2024. I'm just afraid of the damage he can do in the meantime https://t.co/3dv1r7tTbo

— Fleet (now on BlueSky) (@fleetadmiralj) October 25, 2023

Sunday Morning Open Thread: All Tricks, No TreatsPost + Comments (332)

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