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Balloon Juice

Come for the politics, stay for the snark.

Today in our ongoing national embarrassment…

It’s always darkest before the other shoe drops.

The republican caucus is covering themselves with something, and it is not glory.

A sufficient plurality of insane, greedy people can tank any democratic system ever devised, apparently.

Never entrust democracy to any process that requires republicans to act in good faith.

Our job is not to persuade republicans but to defeat them.

We are learning that “working class” means “white” for way too many people.

Give the craziest people you know everything they want and hope they don’t ask for more? Great plan.

Peak wingnut was a lie.

Radicalized white males who support Trump are pitching a tent in the abyss.

It is not hopeless, and we are not helpless.

Oppose, oppose, oppose. do not congratulate. this is not business as usual.

The fight for our country is always worth it. ~Kamala Harris

Whoever he was, that guy was nuts.

Welcome to day five of every-bit-as-bad-as-you-thought-it-would-be.

Dumb motherfuckers cannot understand a consequence that most 4 year olds have fully sorted out.

Not loving this new fraud based economy.

Relentless negativity is not a sign that you are more realistic.

Republicans do not trust women.

Republicans don’t want a speaker to lead them; they want a hostage.

… gradually, and then suddenly.

When tyranny becomes law, rebellion becomes duty. ~Thomas Jefferson

If you still can’t see these things even now, maybe politics isn’t your forte and you should stop writing about it.

Compromise? There is no middle ground between a firefighter and an arsonist.

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Snarky Respite Read: David Brooks: Wearing A Mets Hat Might Just Save Our Democracy

by Anne Laurie|  August 19, 20252:30 am| 68 Comments

This post is in: Excellent Links, Our Awesome Meritocracy, Our Failed Media Experiment

If there’s one heretical view I’ll stand on, it’s that cold, heartless, relentlessly prompt shattered AI should be the only things allowed to do these fluffer interviews.
“Turns out the horror from beyond the stars likes his eggs over easy, too!”

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— Dan Sylveste (@constantinejn.bsky.social) August 18, 2025 at 9:29 PM

National treasure Dave Roth, at Defector, concerning blog favorite chew toy BoBo Brooks:

… Brooks made his name as an amateur cultural taxonomist, driving (or not!) around this great country, looking at whatever people were buying or wearing or doing or eating and then writing, Rich people like to have summer homes in Nantucket, but poor people like to drink energy drinks. He has done this for many years, producing work of no real import on a regular schedule, much of it faintly trailing the stink of The Deadline Sweats. This, maybe, is another reason why I’ve always been so dismissive of his work: He is more or less doing a lower-effort version of what I do, except my parents actually know where to find his work, and read it. They don’t like it, but Brooks has been in the Times long enough and lazily enough that he is just part of the landscape at this point. Provided you don’t actually read anything that he writes, there is almost something comforting about knowing that, even as the nation gnaws and hacks itself to bits in a state of blind tantrum, David Brooks is still off in a corner somewhere, maundering about charter schools…

The cabin from within which Brooks writes these things is pressurized, and any breach—the question of why all these mediocre people have wound up owning and controlling so much, or what social and political forces are at work making sure that they stay just where they are—would send all those white papers and tasteful finishes rocketing out through that aperture and into a very cold expanse. It is easier and safer, and also something like a precondition of the whole enterprise, for Brooks to look out through that bulletproof glass and describe whatever he sees going on out there, but that doesn’t mean that he is always going to like what he sees. “America’s democracy is under threat,” Brooks wrote in his most recent Times column. “President Trump smashes alliances, upends norms and tramples the Constitution. So it’s normal to ask: What can one citizen do to help put America on a healthier course?”…

So it’s a bad column, and not news as such. But what is poignant about it is that Brooks, unlike the less enlightened types busying themselves writing That’s Actually Still Not A Genocide or Thank You For Helping Us WIN, Sir, really is aware that something is going wrong. It is just that his deep incuriosity and prissy dismissal of material politics—that is, his whole shtick and whole being, to the extent either exists independent of the other—prevent him from proposing or even imagining any kind of solution to it beyond everyone and everything just settling down somewhat, and trying to send their children to highly selective universities. Also in this one Brooks mentions that there needs to be more room for Trump supporters in “media, nonprofits, the academy, the arts world.” Great shit, obviously, but the reason this blog exists is because of the solution that Brooks hits upon in his final paragraph:

Mostly it will require ground-up social reform. The rest of us can do something pretty simple: join more cross-class organizations and engage in more cross-class pastimes. Even something small makes a difference. This summer I’ve been wearing a New York Mets hat. As is their wont, the Mets have been trampling all over my heart for the past few months. But over that time, in places all around America, I’ve had scores of people from all walks of life come up to me to talk about the Mets, which often leads to conversations about other things. My Mets hat has reminded me of a nice reality: We still could be one nation, despite all the ways we’ve segregated it up.

It is probably true that a nation with as many problems as this one does not necessarily need the sort of commentary that David Brooks provides. That sort of thing is a luxury good, a trifle for your less-discerning elites to nibble on between meals, and this broader moment is starving and wild-eyed and desperate, and it is always and everywhere absolutely devouring itself. But, again, Brooks somehow backs into something profound, here. He can more or less see things as they are: everyone everyday further apart and more at risk and everything always being shoved further under the idiot bootheels of some of the worst people this country has ever produced, and even he can feel how helpless and awful that is, how fucking pathetic it is that things have fallen so far simply because the people in power—his beloved meritocratic elite, with all their values and traditions and institutions—don’t actually know or value or believe in anything but their own status and comfort. He knows it is bad.

But because he cannot admit or acknowledge why any of that is, and because his understanding of the world and the people in it is entirely a matter of affect and aesthetics, Brooks is pretty well stymied. Almost, that is, but not entirely. There is still that Mets hat, and all the people—some of them clearly from other “walks of life”—who approach him to ask him what’s wrong with the damn bullpen. This is where it begins: with Americans of every station, the important ones and also the less important ones, coming together to ask each other what is wrong with Mark Vientos, and then go to their respective homes to watch him pop out—one nation of people complaining, soulfully, about things they cannot change, together. Does this moment call for anything less?

Snarky Respite Read: <em>David Brooks: Wearing A Mets Hat Might Just Save Our Democracy</em>Post + Comments (68)

Day Twelve of No Oven, No End in Sight

by WaterGirl|  August 18, 202511:18 pm| 78 Comments

This post is in: Mostly Open Thread

Still waiting for the repair of the board that runs my entire oven.  They took it away and sent it out for repair twelve days ago, and the they said “see you next week” as they walked out the door.

So  I thought it would take less than a week to get it back.  Well, that’s a nope.  So on Friday I called to ask the repair center for some idea of when I could expect to be back in business again.  She told me the part was on order, and I told her, no, the part can’t be on order because you can’t get this part anymore.  It is out for repair.

So put me on hold for a few minutes and then returned to tell me that the board had been sent in for repair.  I reminded her that that’s why I was calling, that I wanted some idea of when the board might be repaired.  She told me that they would call me when the part comes in.

With as much friendliness as I could muster, which I confess wasn’t a lot, I told her that I need to have some idea of when I might be able to cook again.  She told me again that they would call me when the part comes in.  I tried to explain to her that I can’t even shop for groceries without some idea of *when the fucking board would be repaired.

*True confession, I did not say that part out loud, but I was definitely thinking it.  Anyway, I plan to call again tomorrow and get someone on the phone who actually gives a fuck.

Anyway, I am ranting about this because I can’t bear to think about any of the awful news at the moment.  I would call it political news, except that it affects absolutely everything.  Politics is such an abstract term for what is happening now.

So maybe this can be a mostly open thread where we don’t discuss the virtual crack in the earth that might swallow us whole?

I’ll start.  My tomatoes this year have amazing flavor.  Apparently they like 100+ degree heat a lot more than I do!

Oh, and I tried making the corn on the cob in the microwave.  Definitely not as good as the boiling water method, but it works!

Day Twelve of No Oven, No End in SightPost + Comments (78)

War for Ukraine Day 1,271: Uh….

by Adam L Silverman|  August 18, 20259:00 pm| 26 Comments

This post is in: Foreign Affairs, Foreign Policy, Military, Open Threads, Russia, Silverman on Security, War, War in Ukraine

A black and white cartoon with Popeye the Sailor Man facing forward and to the left. His word bubble says "I Yam Disgustipated"

It was a very long Monday and I’m both fried and very (workout) sore, so I’m just going to run through the mess that was today, the rest of the basics, get cleaned up, and rack out.

To mark my beliefs to market, while things were weird at the White House, the European and EU leaders did actually meet with Trump and Zelenskyy and the working dinner did happen. So my concerns that neither of those would happen were not realized.

this is where Stubb was sitting when Trump couldn’t see him btw

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— Aaron Rupar (@atrupar.com) August 18, 2025 at 3:16 PM

I did mention that it was weird, right?

At 3:15 AM local time in Ukraine/8:15 PM EDT, almost all of eastern and central Ukraine is under air raid alert and the alert maps are showing Russian Tu-95s up over eastern Russia headed towards Ukraine. Which means ballistic missile and glide bomb attacks are likely.

❗️Monitoring channels report the takeoff of a group of russian Tu-95 bombers — likely indicating that Ukraine may come under a massive missile attack within the next few hours.

— Iryna Voichuk (@irynavoichuk.bsky.social) August 18, 2025 at 4:43 PM

Russian planes reportedly took off in Olenya. It means that Ukraine is highly likely to face another night of russian bombing terror.
Please keep us in your thoughts!

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— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) August 18, 2025 at 4:54 PM

Today President Trump informed the world about the most important thing required for peace in Ukraine: brining his license plate into his polling place to verify his identity so he can vote.

Trump: “When you go to a voting booth, and you do it the right way, and you go to a state that runs it properly, you go in — they even asked me, they asked me for my license plate. I said, ‘I don’t know if I have it.’ They said, ‘Sir, you have to have it.’ I was very impressed actually.”

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— Aaron Rupar (@atrupar.com) August 18, 2025 at 2:24 PM

A black and white picture of the Three Stooges. They are wearing hats, seated at a table, and all 3 are face palming themselves so that you cannot see their faces. The caption says: Triple Face Palm Because Even the Three Stooges Can See That You Fail.

Trump on Putin: “He’s expecting my call when we’re finished with this meeting. Thank you very much everybody.”

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— Aaron Rupar (@atrupar.com) August 18, 2025 at 1:48 PM

Trump didn’t actually wait for things to end before he reported back to and back briefed Putin:

“Europeans were not present for the conversation.”

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— Kevin Rothrock (@kevinrothrock.me) August 18, 2025 at 5:46 PM

Trump on a hot mic on Putin: “I think he wants to make a deal for me. Do you understand? As crazy as it sounds.”

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— Aaron Rupar (@atrupar.com) August 18, 2025 at 2:52 PM

Trump to Zelenskyy: “I think you’ll see that President Putin really would like to do something also.”

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— Aaron Rupar (@atrupar.com) August 18, 2025 at 3:10 PM

Based on the air raid alert map, as well as one from earlier today, Putin really wants to continue to try to bombard Ukraine off the map.

Putin’s message to the Washington meeting? Sirens across Ukraine. Russia speaks its own language — terror.

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— Iryna Voichuk (@irynavoichuk.bsky.social) August 18, 2025 at 12:57 PM

Russia just struck an apartment building in Kharkiv for no military reason whatsoever. Murdered several people. Murdered 1-year-old child!

What peace deal? what peace deal, you orange piece of shit? Do people who want peace murder children in their beds?

Arm Ukraine!

— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) August 17, 2025 at 11:33 PM

Here’s the full video of the oval office gaggle:

show full post on front page

Georgia:

Day 2️⃣6️⃣4️⃣ of #GeorgiaProtests

loud and clear – WE STAND WITH UKRAINE🇺🇦🫶🏻✊🏼

📸Mose

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— Tata Chemia (@tatach.bsky.social) August 18, 2025 at 3:54 PM

Day 264!

Слава Україні!

🇺🇦🇬🇪

#Tbilisiprotests
#Georgiaprotests

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— Tamar (Tako) Tolordava (@takotolordava.bsky.social) August 18, 2025 at 1:24 PM

❗️🎥Video from the arresting of 70+ years old Zura Menteshashvili and Lado Berozashvili, who is a disabled person.
#GeorgiaProtests

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— László Róbert Mézes (@laszlorobertmezes.bsky.social) August 18, 2025 at 10:50 AM

1/ On August 16, the Ministry of Internal Affairs announced the arrest of two activists involved in the nine-month-long continuous demonstrations. They were later identified as Tornike Tokhshua and Mindia Shervashidze, both active participants in the protests.

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— Publika.ge (@publikage.bsky.social) August 18, 2025 at 7:26 AM

2/ According to the Interior Ministry and the Prosecutor’s Office, the two are accused of assaulting a Georgian Dream supporter on Rustaveli Avenue on August 1.

— Publika.ge (@publikage.bsky.social) August 18, 2025 at 7:26 AM

3/ The incident involved former football player and national team member Beka Gotsiridze, who, according to witnesses, approached the protesters and began insulting them, sparking a confrontation.

— Publika.ge (@publikage.bsky.social) August 18, 2025 at 7:26 AM

4/ Witnesses also claimed Gotsiridze had a knife in his pocket, which fell out during the clash. Activists maintain he deliberately staged a provocation.

— Publika.ge (@publikage.bsky.social) August 18, 2025 at 7:26 AM

5/ The detainees’ lawyer, Omar Purtseladze, argued that the investigation lacked sufficient evidence for the arrests, noting that the charges rest primarily on “the alleged victim’s testimony and a single video recording.”

— Publika.ge (@publikage.bsky.social) August 18, 2025 at 7:26 AM

6/ In the 18-second video released by the Interior Ministry, a man dressed in black is seen being followed by several people.

— Publika.ge (@publikage.bsky.social) August 18, 2025 at 7:26 AM

7/ After the incident, Beka Gotsiridze himself posted a video on social media, claiming he had not been beaten.

— Publika.ge (@publikage.bsky.social) August 18, 2025 at 7:26 AM

Back to Ukraine.

Here’s last night’s Ukrainian air defense tally:

Last night, the Russian army attacked with four Iskander-M ballistic missiles. Missile and attack UAV strikes were recorded at 25 locations in Donetsk, Kharkiv, Sumy, Dnipropetrovsk, Odesa, and Kyiv regions. Ukraine’s air defense forces destroyed 88 out of 140 enemy drones.

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— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) August 18, 2025 at 3:18 AM

SCOOP: Ukraine will promise to buy $100bn of American weapons financed by Europe as part of a deal to obtain US guarantees for its security after a peace settlement with Russia, according to a document seen by @financialtimes.com.
www.ft.com/content/8dad…

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— Christopher Miller (@christopherjm.ft.com) August 18, 2025 at 5:32 PM

From The Financial Times:

Ukraine will promise to buy $100bn of American weapons financed by Europe in a bid to obtain US guarantees for its security after a peace settlement with Russia, according to a document seen by the Financial Times.

Under the proposals, Kyiv and Washington would also strike a $50bn deal to produce drones with Ukrainian companies that have pioneered the technology since Russia’s full-scale invasion in 2022.

Kyiv shared the proposals for new security deals with the US, which have not been previously reported, in a list of talking points with European allies ahead of a meeting with US President Donald Trump in the White House on Monday, according to four people familiar with the matter.

The document does not state which weapons Ukraine is asking to procure as part of a deal but Kyiv has been clear about its desire to buy at least 10 US-made Patriot air defence systems to protect its cities and critical infrastructure, along with other missiles and equipment. The document does not specify how much of the drone deal would be procurement or investment.

Ukraine’s pitch is intended to appeal to Trump’s desire to benefit American industry. Asked on Monday at the White House about further US military aid for Ukraine, Trump said: “We’re not giving anything. We’re selling weapons.”

The document details how Ukraine intends to make a counter-pitch to the US after Trump appeared to align himself with Russia’s position for ending the war following his meeting with President Vladimir Putin in Alaska last week.

It reiterates Ukraine’s call for a ceasefire which Trump had espoused but then dropped after his Putin meeting in favour of the pursuit of a comprehensive peace settlement.

German Chancellor Friedrich Merz told Trump on Monday during a public portion of the meeting with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy and other European leaders in Washington that the group would like the US president’s help to secure a ceasefire before any next steps.

“I can’t imagine that the next meeting would take place without a ceasefire,” he said. “So let’s work on that and let’s try to put pressure on Russia because the credibility of these efforts we are undertaking today depends on at least a ceasefire.”

The document says a “lasting peace shall be based not on concessions and free gifts to Putin, but on [a] strong security framework that will prevent future aggression”.

It adds that recent footage in Russian media shows that the Kremlin is not serious about a potential peace deal and holds a low opinion of Trump’s leadership, citing disparaging comments about the US president made by prominent television host Vladimir Solovyov.

In one, he mocks Trump for “threatening” Russia, saying Moscow could “destroy [the US] with nuclear weapons”.

Ukraine will not accept any deal including territorial concessions to Russia and insists on a ceasefire as the first step towards a full peace agreement, according to the document.

According to the document, Kyiv also rejects the proposal Putin made to Trump in Alaska to freeze the rest of the frontline if Ukraine withdraws troops from the partly occupied eastern regions of Donetsk and Luhansk. Doing so would create “a foothold for a further and rapid advance of Russian forces towards the city of Dnipro” and enable Putin to “achieve the goals of aggression by other means”, it says.

More at the link.

Launches of the new Ukrainian “Flamingo” missiles

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— 🦋Special Kherson Cat🐈🇺🇦 (@specialkhersoncat.bsky.social) August 18, 2025 at 11:05 AM

Zelenskyy just answered Ukrainian journalists’ questions in Washington DC. It is noticeable that he can’t say much, but he seems calm and satisfied with the meeting overall. Here are the key points:

(Thread) 1/..

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— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) August 18, 2025 at 7:44 PM

– This was the best meeting we’ve had with Trump.

​- Security guarantees are the key issue and the starting point for ending the war.
2/..

— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) August 18, 2025 at 7:44 PM

​- The U.S. will be a participant in security guarantees for Ukraine. I can’t go into details, but it’s important that a political decision has been made.

​- Russia first proposed a bilateral meeting between Ukraine and the Russian Federation, and then a trilateral one.
3/..

— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) August 18, 2025 at 7:44 PM

​- Point number two: the return of children. The First Lady of America, and everyone, will get involved in the return of children. The U.S. President will also help me with an ‘all for all’ exchange.(meaning PoWs and civilians)
4/..

— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) August 18, 2025 at 7:44 PM

​- We don’t know the details of the bilateral meeting. With the U.S., we discussed that all sides must demonstrate a desire to end the war. This is a diplomatic meeting at the leader level. If Russian side shows no such desire, we will act accordingly.
5/..

— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) August 18, 2025 at 7:44 PM

​- I believe we should meet without any conditions. Because if we start demanding a ceasefire beforehand, Russia will start making a hundred other demands.
6/..

— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) August 18, 2025 at 7:44 PM

​- We are confident that the war will end. It’s important to us that this is not just a pause in the fighting, but real peace that can be protected by security guarantees.

​- The question of territories is a question we will leave for me and Putin.
7/..

— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) August 18, 2025 at 7:44 PM

– The American weapons package includes, first and foremost, planes, air defense systems, and so on. There’s a package worth $90 billion that is part of security guarantees (EU expected to finance this)

​- No unacceptable decisions were made.

8/..

— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) August 18, 2025 at 7:44 PM

​- The details of the security guarantees will be worked out within 10 days.

9/9 end

— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) August 18, 2025 at 7:44 PM

Zaporizhzhia Oblast:

Russian tanks, with Russian and American flags, are driving to storm Ukrainian positions. Right now.

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— Olga Nesterova (@onestpress.onestnetwork.com) August 18, 2025 at 7:56 AM

RT showed the video first. Obviously it was planned to record and blast it as a hello to everyone in DC.

In normal world, Pentagon should’ve immediately issued a statement after calling kremlin. But that’s normal world..

— Olga Nesterova (@onestpress.onestnetwork.com) August 18, 2025 at 8:07 AM

From The Kyiv Independent:

A U.S.-made M113 armored personnel carrier bearing Russian and American flags was filmed storming Ukrainian positions in Zaporizhzhia Oblast, Russian propaganda media outlet RT claimed on Aug. 18.

Allegedly sent by Russian soldiers of the 70th Motorized Rifle Regiment of the 42nd Guards Division, the video likely shows an M113 that was supplied to Ukraine by its Western allies. and captured by Russian forces during fighting.

The video was shared by Russian propaganda media just days after U.S. President Donald Trump met Russian President Vladimir Putin in Alaska in what Moscow cast as the end of its international isolation.

Andriy Yermak, head of Ukraine’s Presidential Office, condemned the video as “the height of insolence.”

“Russians are using the symbols of the United States in their own terrorist, aggressive war involving the killing of civilians,” Yermak wrote on Telegram.

The Kyiv Independent could not independently verify the footage.

Russian propaganda outlets have increasingly praised Trump as a pragmatic peacemaker while portraying Ukraine, Europe, and the U.K. as obstructionist.

Russian media frequently amplify Trump’s past claims that either President Volodymyr Zelensky or former U.S. President Joe Biden “provoked” Russia’s war, a narrative that shifts blame from Moscow.

The RT footage appeared shortly after Trump praised his Aug. 15 summit with Putin as “10 out of 10,” even though no peace agreement was reached. Trump said he and Putin agreed on “many points,” including the possibility of territorial swaps between Russia and Ukraine.

In recent statements, Trump claimed Zelensky could end the war “almost immediately” if he agreed to concessions, making clear that Ukraine would not be allowed to join NATO or reclaim Crimea under any deal he might broker with Moscow.

The footage was allegedly filmed in Zaporizhzhia Oblast, where Russia is preparing to make a new push, redeploying troops from other sectros of the front, according to Commander-in-Chief Oleksandr Syrskyi.

About 70% of the region is under Russian occupation, including the Zaporizhzhia Nuclear Power Plant, Europe’s largest nuclear facility.

Russia declared the illegal annexation of the entire Zaporizhzhia Oblast, along with three other Ukrainian regions, in September 2022, following sham referenda.

Russian President Vladimir Putin had earlier demanded Ukraine’s withdrawal from the Ukrainian-controlled parts of Zaporizhzhia, Donetsk, Luhansk, and Kherson oblasts as preconditions for peace negotiations. Most recently, the demands have reportedly narrowed to Donetsk and Luhansk oblasts.

Zaporizhzhia:

WARNING!! WARNING!! GRAPHIC IMAGERY!! WARNING!! WARNING!!

❗️In Zaporizhzhia, russian Iskander missile strikes killed three civilians and injured 20 others.

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— Iryna Voichuk (@irynavoichuk.bsky.social) August 18, 2025 at 6:46 AM

ALL CLEAR!!!!

Russian occupied Crimea:

1/ Russia’s Federal Security Service (FSB) claims that “Ukrainian special services attempted another explosion on the Crimean Bridge.”

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— Publika.ge (@publikage.bsky.social) August 18, 2025 at 7:24 AM

2/ According to the FSB, the bomb was transported into Ukraine via Georgia. The agency says it “managed to identify and neutralize the explosive device” and detained all individuals involved.

— Publika.ge (@publikage.bsky.social) August 18, 2025 at 7:24 AM

3/ Kyiv and Tbilisi have not yet commented on the FSB’s statement.

— Publika.ge (@publikage.bsky.social) August 18, 2025 at 7:24 AM

Kharkiv:

A very important thing to know about this morning’s Russian attack on an apartment building in Kharkiv is that it was hit by several drones, not just one. Several drones, coming from different sides. This was a deliberate, calculated murder of civilians as they slept in their beds.

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— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) August 18, 2025 at 3:30 PM

One after another — cold-bloodedly and deliberately — russia sent five kamikaze drones into an apartment building in Kharkiv, killing seven people, including an entire family with two children. The youngest was just one year old.

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— Iryna Voichuk (@irynavoichuk.bsky.social) August 18, 2025 at 5:54 AM

People are screaming under the rubble of their home in Kharkiv, which russia attacked with five drones this morning.

Trump rolled out the red carpet, applauded, and shook hands with the man responsible for this horror.

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— Iryna Voichuk (@irynavoichuk.bsky.social) August 18, 2025 at 3:58 AM

7 people are confirmed dead after the russian drone attack on Kharkiv this morning, including 2 children.

24 others were injured.

Search and rescue efforts continue.

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— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) August 18, 2025 at 11:09 AM

Russia struck a residential building in Kharkiv with five!!! Shahed drones, killing five people — among them a one-year-old girl and a 16-year-old boy. At least 20 others were injured, among them six children. Search and rescue efforts are still underway.

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— Iryna Voichuk (@irynavoichuk.bsky.social) August 18, 2025 at 2:49 AM

Don’t blame the children in the hospital for being bombed.

Blame the terrorists who fired those missiles at them.

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— Olena Halushka (@halushka.bsky.social) August 18, 2025 at 2:31 PM

Sumy:

Russia has destroyed a building of Sumy State University

Monsters. 🤬

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— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) August 18, 2025 at 7:34 AM

Odesa:

In Odesa region, Russian terrorists hit SOCAR’s oil depot with Shahed drones, damaging all 17 tanks, a pump station, and technical facilities. A major fire broke out. No casualties reported. This is the second attack on the site in August.

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— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) August 18, 2025 at 8:10 AM

Tambov Oblast, Russia:

The Commander of the Unmanned Systems Forces announced a complete halt of oil pumping for an indefinite period. The oil pumping station “Nikolskoye” in the Tambov region has been destroyed.

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— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) August 18, 2025 at 4:14 PM

Magyar’s Birds continue their hunt!

Hungarian Foreign Minister Péter Szijjártó accused Ukraine of attacking a Russian oil pipeline and allegedly halting oil supplies to the country.
www.reuters.com/business/ene…

— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) August 18, 2025 at 8:35 AM

Even better, it pissed off the Hungarians.

That’s enough for tonight.

Your daily Patron!

There are no new Patron skeets or videos today. Here is some adjacent material.

Now that’s a big Ukrainian dog! The Hachiko team treated Kurt 🐕 in the city of Sloviansk, which is under increasing attack as Russia tries to take more of the Donetsk region. It’s not clear how long we will be able to keep operating here.

[image or embed]

— Nate Mook (@natemook.bsky.social) August 17, 2025 at 12:44 PM

Open thread!

War for Ukraine Day 1,271: Uh….Post + Comments (26)

Open Thread: Very Busy Agents

by Anne Laurie|  August 18, 202511:52 am| 114 Comments

This post is in: Open Threads, Proud to Be A Democrat, Shitty Cops

QUICK, EVERYONE MAKE SIGNS CRITICIZING OR MOCKING ICE SO THEY SPEND TIME TAKING DOWN SIGNS THAT HURT THEIR FEELINGS INSTEAD OF ARRESTING 9 YEAR OLDS ON THEIR WAY TO CHEMO TREATMENTS!
What a bunch of snowflakes…

[image or embed]

— Dana Houle (@danahoule.bsky.social) August 17, 2025 at 8:17 PM

===

psst, guys, Stephen Miller won’t count that toward your quotas.

— Dana Houle (@danahoule.bsky.social) August 17, 2025 at 8:20 PM

===

Further evidence of my thesis that we can wait them out even by just mildly annoying them. They're so fucking fragile they have to get into full tactical regalia to take down a sign or arrest a sandwich slinger. Every minute they spend doing this shit is time they don't spend hassling kids.

— Zeddy (@zeddary.bsky.social) August 17, 2025 at 8:26 PM

===

Taking down that sign cost like thousands of dollars lmao. That's like 10 of them. They have to drive there, spend the time doing it, blah blah blah

[image or embed]

— Schnorkles O'Bork (@schnorkles.bsky.social) August 17, 2025 at 8:17 PM

===

We want to pay you 2 or 3 hours of pay to go take down a sign so you don't have to do your miserable job.
Just look like you're happy to take it down.

— Schnorkles O'Bork (@schnorkles.bsky.social) August 17, 2025 at 8:22 PM

===

And if you go back to that same spot now, 8 signs popped up to take it's place. I think these Chuds won't bring that up or go there again to pull them down again because it makes them look small and petty and powerless. the opposite of the big boy energy they are trying to project with this.

— ivanhoelockley.bsky.social (@ivanhoelockley.bsky.social) August 18, 2025 at 8:08 AM

Open Thread: Very Busy AgentsPost + Comments (114)

Fallout

by WaterGirl|  August 18, 202510:10 am| 119 Comments

This post is in: Open Threads

We all witnessed the humiliation of the U.S. on the global stage.

So there’s no need to get into the gruesome details here, but I want to share this short but perfect summary from Dan Pfeiffer.

Under this framework, Trump is abandoning Ukraine and Europe and rewarding Russia for the original sin of invading Ukraine.

This is what happens when you send a naive, suggestible, aging reality star into a meeting with a KGB operative turned dictator.

There is so much to say about this stunning—but not shocking—capitulation from Trump.

He wants to focus on how Democrats can capitalize on this moment, and I do, too.

The Arguments Making the Rounds

As you have either seen or can clearly imagine, elected and online Democrats are in an uproar over Trump surrendering so much to Putin in exchange for nothing. It’s hard to summarize the entire internet, but there are three main arguments being made against Trump:

1. Trump’s a Russian Asset. This is a throwback to Trump 1.0, when it was an article of faith among some on the Left that Trump was in cahoots with Putin—either for financial gain or because Putin was leveraging kompromat on Trump (remember the pee tape?).

2. Trump is a Traitor to the West. This argument tends to come from foreign policy types and former neocons turned Never Trumpers. You see this one a lot in the pages of The Atlantic. These folks make the accurate point that Trump is abandoning 75 years of American policy and siding with a war-mongering dictator over a traditional U.S. ally.

3. TACO Trump. You are probably familiar, but TACO stands for Trump Always Chickens Out. It refers to Trump’s reputation on Wall Street and around the world for implementing harsh tariffs and then backing off at the first sign of turbulence or backlash. This argument is that Trump is a coward, a weakling, a sucker.

Of these three arguments, I strongly believe that Democrats should embrace a version of number three.

I don’t know that I agree that Dems should ONLY embrace #3.

I believe that different messages resonate with different people, so I would do all three.  Still, this is the message from Dan Pfeiffer, and I think we should try to do it, everywhere, all the time.  Don’t focus on dangerous, which he clearly is.  Focus on weak.  Poke a hole in the boat and maybe some of his supporters will notice the boat sinking.

How to Beat a Strongman

If you are a long-time reader of this newsletter or a Pod Save America listener, you have probably heard this riff before: strength is the axis of American politics. In a chaotic and scary world ruled by a broken and corrupt political system, a certain segment of voters gravitates towards strength. In 2016 and 2024, voters put aside their reservations about Trump’s character and criminality because they thought he was strong enough to protect them and take on the broken system.

I know that seems ridiculous to many of us, but it shows up in all of the research.

Under this rubric, in his first term and during the most recent campaign, Democrats too often inadvertently amplified Trump’s strength by talking about how authoritarian and destructive he would be. I have argued that the best way to beat a wannabe strongman is not to raise alarm about their strength, but instead to expose their weakness.

This was easier to do in Trump’s first term. He was a wannabe strongman—nothing more than a Twitter bully, too weak or ineffective to follow through on most of his authoritarian whims. Democrats were bemoaning what Trump might do.

It’s much more challenging now. Trump is rapidly dismantling democracy and turning the U.S. into an authoritarian state. He is using law enforcement to investigate his opponents and deploying troops to American cities. Democrats who don’t point this out and raise the alarm are missing the moment.

As Jon Favreau often gently points out to me, the “Trump is weak” message can sometimes feel like jamming a square peg into a round hole. He’s right—you can’t make it the message. It doesn’t work in every context. However, when we have the opportunity to paint Trump as weak, a clown, and/or a sucker, we cannot pass it up.

This is one of those opportunities.

In his interview with Sean Hannity after the summit, Trump could not have sounded more naive. He was so obviously played for a fool by a much savvier leader.

If you want to make Trump suffer politically for a historic diplomatic debacle, paint him as a clown—not a Russian agent (even if it’s hard to tell the difference).

Gift link to the full article.

As I mentioned above, I don’t really care for this as the approach across the board.  But as I think about it,  #1 (Russian asset) and #2 (traitor to the west) would get blown off and immediately tuned out if I tried that with my sisters and the “normie” people I know who support T but aren’t MAGA.

But for what I call the “hit and run” chatting in a store or in the grocery line or at the farmer’s market, I think #3 is probably the best approach.  Imagine if all of us did that, every chance we got.  That person hearing the “weak” message over and over would surely make a dent with someone who isn’t as engaged with politics and isn’t aware of 1/100th of the damage that’s being done.

Just a simple “Trump looked so weak with Putin, I was embarrassed.” dropped a hundred times in a week – that could make a difference.  I think that could really add up.

It’s not the only thing to do, but it’s one thing we can all do, every day.  Think of it as being part of the resistance, because it is.

Thoughts?  Reactions?

FalloutPost + Comments (119)

The Third Lady’s “Peace Letter” & Why Trump Will Never Release the Epstein Files

by Betty Cracker|  August 18, 20258:50 am| 49 Comments

This post is in: C.R.E.A.M., Open Threads, Politics, Republican Stupidity, Assholes, Clown Shoes, General Stupidity

As we wait to see how Trump will humiliate the U.S. today by carrying water for Putin,* can we talk about the “peace letter” from Melania Trump that Fox News was crowing about a couple of days ago?

Fox News Digital exclusively obtained the “peace letter” the first lady penned to Putin, which President Trump hand-delivered to the Russian leader before their summit in Alaska, Fox News Digital has learned.

Immediately upon receiving the letter, Putin read it as the American and Russian delegations looked on.

Having read the “peace letter,” I wonder how challenging it was for Putin, a genocidal dictator who’s feeding his own countrymen into a meat grinder so he can keep murdering Ukrainian civilians every day, to keep a straight face. Or if he even bothered.

Here’s an image of the letter, followed by the entire text:

The Third Lady's "Peace Letter"

August 15. 2025

Dear President Putin,

Every child shares the same quiet dreams in their heart, whether born randomly into a nation’s rustic countryside or a magnificent city-center. They dream of love, possibility, and safety from danger.

As parents, it is our duty to nurture the next generation’s hope. As leaders, the responsibility to sustain our children extends beyond the comfort of a few. Undeniably, we must strive to paint a dignity-filled world for all – so that every soul may wake to peace, and so that the future itself is perfectly guarded.

A simple yet profound concept, Mr. Putin, as I am sure you agree, is that each generation’s descendants begin their lives with a purity – an innocence which stands above geography, government, and ideology.

Yet in today’s world, some children are forced to carry a quiet laughter, untouched by the darkness around them -a silent defiance against the forces that can potentially claim their future. Mr. Putin, you can singlehandedly restore their melodic laughter.

In protecting the innocence of these children, you will do more than serve Russia alone-you serve humanity itself. Such a bold idea transcends all human division, and you, Mr. Putin, are fit to implement this vision with a stroke of the pen today.

It is time.

Sincerely,

(illegible scrawl that mimics Trump’s serial killer-style signature)

Jesus. I’m not a national security expert like our Mr. Silverman or even an amateur Kremlinologist, but my guess is Putin was unmoved by this missive from a person he likely regards as a low-rent Slovenian hooker.

***

Speaking of Slovenian hookers (not that there’s anything wrong with Slovenians or sex workers!), I strongly suspect the real reason Trump will never release the Epstein files is that they contain anecdotes like the following:

Clipped the key part here which was provided below by @quintonthomas.bsky.social. This is from Entitled a new Prince Andrew bio just published by Andrew Lownie in the UK. I mentioned this book in a recent post. In fairness to all involved this is what Epstein claimed in 2007. Needless to say …

[image or embed]

— Josh Marshall (@joshtpm.bsky.social) August 16, 2025 at 5:35 PM

The Epstein files likely contain lots of non-actionable gossip about Trump and billionaire GOP donors who spend winters in Palm Beach. Unlike Trump, who often brags about his piggish behavior in public, maybe some of the rich weirdos in the file are capable of shame.

But Trump isn’t, and he doesn’t particular care about anyone else, so why not release the files? Maybe because speculation that Trump married sloppy seconds from Epstein would be personally humiliating. I guess it’s possible Trump really is withholding smoking-gun evidence that he raped underaged girls, but I doubt it. (I doubt evidence is in the files, I mean, not that Trump is a rapist.)

So, to protect the fragile ego of a repulsive swine, Ghislaine Maxwell, convicted sex offender, gets to do her time in a celebrity prison camp with the possibility of a pardon/commutation at the end of Trump’s term if she keeps quiet. Epstein’s victims get disrespected by Trump and his wholly owned subsidiary, the Department of Justice. And the rest of us are left to wonder what the hell is in those files.

Open thread.

*PS: Here’s a gift link to a piece from Anne Applebaum at The Atlantic: “Trump Has No Cards.” It’s good.

The Third Lady’s “Peace Letter” & Why Trump Will Never Release the Epstein FilesPost + Comments (49)

Monday Morning Open Thread: Burnishing Our Golden Dome

by Anne Laurie|  August 18, 20256:15 am| 108 Comments

This post is in: Open Threads, Proud to Be A Democrat, Show Us on the Doll Where the Invisible Hand Touched You

"But nearly three years later, it’s becoming clearer and clearer — the Massachusetts millionaires tax has been a total success, and an incredible benefit for our state’s businesses. " #mapoli
commonwealthbeacon.org/opinion/the-…

[image or embed]

— Jonathan Cohn (@jonathancohn.bsky.social) August 17, 2025 at 11:24 AM

Thing is, Boston is a very attractive city — people who can afford to live here don’t want to leave The Hub of the Universe, not even if they have to dip a little deeper into their own pockets to do so. (And, yes, I’m sure the richest among us have accountants who’ve managed to minimize their sacrifices.) Don’t know if this is a portent for Mamdani’s campaign in NYC, but I suspect New Hampshire would warn New Jersey not to count on an influx of millionaires:

… There’s universal agreement that investments in transportation and public education, which the new tax funds, are crucial to building a dynamic and prosperous economy. But some speculated that multi-millionaires would flee Massachusetts rather than pay the new tax. Last week’s news that the millionaires tax generated $3 billion over the past year should put those fears to rest.

Prior to its passage, opponents of the Fair Share ballot question predicted it would backfire — failing to generate meaningful revenue to address the state’s transportation and public education needs, and hurting our economic competitiveness along the way.

But nearly three years later, it’s becoming clearer and clearer — the Massachusetts millionaires tax has been a total success, and an incredible benefit for our state’s businesses.

Despite predictions of substantial millionaire flight, the number of millionaires and ultra-wealthy individuals in Massachusetts grew significantly over the first two years the Fair Share Amendment was in place.

The state has experienced revenue gains — $2.46 billion in the first year and nearly $3 billion in the second — that are more than double the state’s initial expectations, and more than even the proponents of the new tax predicted. That’s strong evidence that that multi-millionaires are staying in Massachusetts and paying more in taxes, not fleeing for other states.

And that revenue is making a real difference. Over the past two and a half years, the state Legislature has approved more than $6 billion in Fair Share investments that are helping to deliver two of the most important resources for Massachusetts businesses: a well-educated workforce and a reliable transportation system…

Thanks to Fair Share funding to expand the number of public pre-K classrooms in cities and towns across the state, thousands of parents can now afford to stay in the workforce after their children are born.

Kids can’t learn if they’re hungry. So Fair Share is funding in-school breakfast and lunch for every child in the state, helping them succeed in school and start off on a path to long-term success. The millionaires tax is supporting school building improvements across the state, enabling more vocational programs to train the next generation of workers in high-demand careers. And it’s delivered significant funding to every school district in the state, ensuring that schools have more of the resources they need to educate our future workforce.

Once students graduate, Fair Share is funding free community college and expanded financial aid for low- and middle-income students at UMass and our other state universities. As a result, public college enrollment has increased for the first time in a decade. That means thousands of additional students who are preparing for good jobs with local employers.

And when our graduates enter the workforce, Fair Share funding is delivering a transportation system they can count on to get to and from work. It’s the key funding mechanism in Gov. Healey’s plan to repair the MBTA after decades of disinvestment, which has resulted in the elimination of subway slow zones, trains that are moving faster, and the hiring of more bus drivers to expand service.

In other parts of the state, the state’s regional transit authorities are using Fair Share funding to expand their service hours, add weekend service, create new bus routes, and make buses free. And hundreds of millions of dollars have gone into repairing roads and bridges across the state, ensuring that drivers can get to work on time…

Monday Morning Open Thread: Burnishing Our Golden DomePost + Comments (108)

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